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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everyone.

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Speaker 2: It is time for Total Bases, the last show of

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the regular season. But we're gonna be here with you

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guys all through the playoffs, so don't worry. Total Basis

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isn't going anywhere. We'll just have less teams to talk about.

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But the way we do this show, that's that's not

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going to really be an issue until like the LCS

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round because we're only getting you know, six games or

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so each day, we're gonna deep.

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Speaker 1: Dive into them, so as always jump in the comments.

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Speaker 2: We are you know, we will talk about the games

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that you guys want to talk about, but I'm gonna

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start with there's still a couple of very meaningful games,

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and so I'm gonna start there.

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Speaker 1: We'll go from there.

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Speaker 2: Brian Leonard, we kind of knew that the Tigers were

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gonna get one, or at least felt like they had

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to get one at some point. Yesterday we pointed out

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some really good value on the Tigers in that game.

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If you if you dare to take a shot with them,

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they get the win, They even it up in the

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Al Central. There's now everything to play for going into

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the weekend, and they're up against another team that still

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has some work to do. I believe the Red Sox are.

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I think they still need at least one win, maybe

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two to fully clinch the wild card spot. This game's

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out of Fenway Park, Tiger's Red Sox. Is this the

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time you start to jump in with the Tigers?

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Speaker 3: Yeah. I think Boston wins advances if they get a

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win tonight or if Cleveland loses, I think is how

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it works out. But we'll see how it goes. Mi's

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against Harrison. Harrison, the lefty. He's the guy that came

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over from San Francisco in the trade. He was what

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they wanted and he's pitched pretty well for the Red

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Sox so far. Mis has been a guy, you know,

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we talked earlier the season. We've never been that huge

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of a fan of his, but he was highly drafted

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and he's putting together a pretty good season. I got

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to give him some credit in that regard. We've got

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Harrison about a one. Let's go about a one seventeen

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one eighteen favorite and the total is eight and a

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half to the over. When you take a look at

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the past page, we'll take a look at Myz here.

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Myze comes in three point nine one ERA three point

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seven six expected one point two eight whip. Whip is

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still career at one point two nine. You need to

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get lower at but at least uh get it down

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to at least one twenty at the most. But his

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walk rate now eighty five percent, tyle extension eighty ninth.

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But everything else is basically league average, slightly lower. Dest

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throw of the five pitches four seemer thirty four percent

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of the time. When it comes to Kyle Harrison such

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we haven't had a chance to talk to him about

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him a whole lot this year because they'd only thrown

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thirty two innings. But he comes in with a three

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point five eighty R three point eight nine expected one

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point one to nine whip in his career nine to

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nine four point three two ERA one point two eight whip,

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And that was pitching in a good pitchers park, which

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is San Francisco, So you got to take that with

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a little grain of salt. As I mentioned, only thirty

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two point two innings so far this year, so nothing

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is really stabilized as of yet. He does that pretty

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good extension seventy second percentiles, chase rate has been pretty good.

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Everything else about league average or so so the pitchers

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are very comparable in this one. The thing is with Harrison.

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He throws four pitches, but he throws his fourth seamer

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sixty percent of the time and it averages ninety four

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point eight which is one point seven miles an hour

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faster than the normal left hander. So it's a pretty

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good fast ball. But still I think he relies on

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it too much. When I'm looking at this game here,

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I think it's pretty much priced correctly. Detroit still not

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don't trust their hitting. Boston hasn't been the same since

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Anthony's gone out. Don't know if I want to get

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involved here, but hopefully it'll be in a Cleveland a

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pop fan. It'll go many innings and some of these

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pictures that get tired for the for the rest of

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the series. But other than that, I've got nothing on

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this one.

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Speaker 4: Hey, guys back in Japan, and one thing I picked

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up while I was in the US is a little

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bit of Apple fireball. Pretty excited to try that. Haven't

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tried it yet, but I'm gonna try it on the show.

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So anyways, go to waysotalk dot com and see what

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we have to offer. Many of us put free plays

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up just click free plays. There's at least twelve out

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there from all the kappers, so check out wayetalk dot com.

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Regarding this game, yeah, Tigers were in a slump, big slump,

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like panic slump, but they kind of turned that around yesterday. Well,

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I don't know if it's all turned around. Casey Myi's

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guy that I don't really trust. He's got terrible numbers

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against Boston in his career, thirty three at bats against,

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a three zero three average against nine eighty eight ops

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and if you heard me on previous shows, seven fifty

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is what I consider extremely average. So he's not good

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against these batters. And I got Boston hitting top ten

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in current form. As a matter of fact, I have

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Boston a little bit better than Detroit at almost everything,

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but just a little bit better. Boston's better at every

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single category, and yet the overall evaluation, they're only five

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points better than Detroit. So not enough for me to

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play it. If anything, maybe an over Harrison, like Brian said,

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the pictures are pretty comparable. Harrison's been good since Boston

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picked him up, but if you notice, he never goes

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past five innings, so maybe his inning's total under If

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you can get a fifteen and a half for Harrison,

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but overall, I'm probably gonna stay away from this one.

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Although it'll be good. It's it's good ramifications in good entertainment.

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I don't know if it's good betting.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna talk about Kyle Harrison for a second,

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because this is that's the most interesting part of this

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game to me. I think it's also what kind of

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makes my handicap. Whether I'll play it or not, I'm

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not sure. But listen, the Red Sox had every reason

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to sort of rus like rush Harrison up or not

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rush him up, because of course, Kyle Harrison's not a

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he's not a he's still young, but he's not like

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a prospect, not a rookie. I mean, he was up

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with the Giants in parts of multiple seasons at this point.

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So you know, they make this trade like out of

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the woodwork. They trade Raphael Devers and Kyle Harrison is

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the guy you're getting back, and you're getting blasted by

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your fan base for the move. The a lot of

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organizations might have felt pressure to sort of get him

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up and hope that he could go out and be good,

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just so they could say, see, like this is who

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we got back in return, and there was spots for

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them to potentially do that. Like that's the other thing.

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There was times where they needed another starter and they

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went Peyton Tolly Connolly early I think even on a

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couple of different occasions brought Chris Well back up. So, like,

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the reason I'm bringing that up is they really protected

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Harrison in that regard. And the reason I think they

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did that goes back to something Brian has talked about

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multiple times on this show where the Red Sox when

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they get a pitcher, they're trying to make you a

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certain way and then if you're not doing that, you

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get Krint Quinn Priester at Aka just thrown out on

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the street. Because that's what they tried to do with Priester.

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They grabbed him from the Pirates organization. He went down

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to Worcester. He probably didn't want to do what they

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were doing in terms of like throw the pitch mix

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that they wanted him to throw, and they were just like, great,

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see you, We're done with you, and good.

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Speaker 3: For the bruise.

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Speaker 1: The Brewers were able to pick him up and he's

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been great for that.

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Speaker 2: So the reason I'm bringing that up is I'm really

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only going to judge Kyle Harrison off of the last

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couple months because you almost have to think like when

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a guy goes new organization and now they're saying, hey,

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I know you've been doing it like this for the

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past two three years and you've actually had some success,

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but we want you to do this.

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Speaker 1: I'm not even looking at.

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Speaker 2: Those first couple starts because again, like that's that's got

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to be very uncomfortable for a pitcher. I'm sure TV

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has experienced that in his day working close to baseball organizations.

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That's a pitchers don't like to be like have their

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mechanics breaking down to a point where it's like, Okay,

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you got to start over here.

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Speaker 1: You have to throw this pitch, not this pitch.

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Speaker 2: So last two months for Kyle Harrison at Worcester in

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August two point three five ERA a two thirty five

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batting average against a one thirty five whip. The reason

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I bring that up is July was terrible for him

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and June was even worse, and I believe that trade occurred.

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So June was when the trade occurred, So his June

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numbers were actually still in San Francisco. Wasn't pitching well,

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I wonder if he maybe knew that he was about

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to get shipped off, and then July at Worcester was poor. Okay,

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September so far for him, one start at Worcester, two

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starts at Boston have been the best his numbers have

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been all season. You got a one eight zero e

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rah two thirty one batting average against in a one

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point two zero win. There's you know, last time out

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against the Rays, six innings, one run, the five strikeouts.

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He's hitting the zone, he's not really walking anyone. So

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for me, I don't want to bet against him right

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now because I think that that maybe he could be

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better than like if we're just because the books have

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to price it kind of like we started off where

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it's like, okay, well he doesn't really go past five innings,

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these are his numbers. It's like I'm going to throw

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away everything he's done at the Giants. I don't think

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he's the same pitcher at this point. I'm more intrigued

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by him than Casey Mice. I haven't been really high

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on Casey Mies all year. And it's like, yes, the

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Tigers did finally get a win yesterday, but now they

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got to go on the road to Fenway to Fay,

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a team that also, you know, the Red Sox maybe

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don't have as much pressure, but they kind of need

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to win here because if they lose this one, they

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could be in a situation where they're up against it

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over the weekend. Remember, the Red Sox are playing the

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team that could potentially catch them, and then if other

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things break a certain way over the weekend, the Red

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Sox could still be on the outside looking in. So

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I still think it's a very big game for the

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Red Sox at home.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you what.

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Speaker 2: I've been to these games on Friday night at Fenway

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late in the season before. This will be a playoff

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atmosphere in Boston tonight, and I'm still I think for me, guys,

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the Tigers, if they have a good weekend and they

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get into the playoffs, I'll be able to look at

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them next week.

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Speaker 1: I need to see more than one win. So it

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would be Red.

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Speaker 2: Sox or pass for me here, Okay, Colin Gregory says

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Red Sox are over.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't. I listen.

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Speaker 2: I could see them getting after Mies. I wouldn't be

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that surprised if the Red Sox scored and runs in

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this one. I think TV kind of mentioned that as well.

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All right, let's move on. I want to go to

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another another one of the big sort of big impactful games,

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and then we'll venture off from there. Let's go with well,

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let's go to Brian Leonter. Let's go with the Guardians.

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I know the Rangers are out of it, but the

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Guardians still obviously need to win their neck and neck

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now with the Tigers. Both teams enter play today tied

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at the top of the Al Central, so the division

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will be decided this weekend.

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Speaker 1: How are you feel How are you feeling about the

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Guardians going into this series?

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Speaker 2: What would just just and then I also talk about

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the game and if you have a play here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, with them losing yesterday, it's now the first time

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they've been on this great run and they've been the hunter.

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Now yesterday they were the hunted and the Bats went

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silent against Detroit. We'll see how it goes. This is

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really the first time they've been hunted since last year,

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maybe maybe the year before, so they're not in that

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position very very much. This year. They got Chacony's going

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on the mound against Lighter both rights, Cody's about a

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one fifty one to fifty five favorite total seven and

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a half to the under, there is sports four to

240
00:12:21,519 --> 00:12:23,679
one one, there's an eight to the under and the

241
00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:26,960
only paying ten percent or ten cents more if you

242
00:12:27,039 --> 00:12:29,159
like the under. That's not a bad bet if you

243
00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:34,360
have that account. But it's interesting how Cleveland's Cleve has

244
00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:37,519
already said that they're hoping they can clinch it before

245
00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:39,559
they get to Sunday, or they're going to have to

246
00:12:39,639 --> 00:12:41,799
use Williams instead of Allen. Well, you don't want to

247
00:12:41,919 --> 00:12:45,600
use Williams in the regular season if you don't have to,

248
00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:49,840
because he's been their best pitcher and he's been terrific

249
00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:53,600
and they want to be able to start the playoffs

250
00:12:53,639 --> 00:12:56,360
with them. But if you've got to win, you gotta win.

251
00:12:56,480 --> 00:12:59,000
But hopefully, as a Cleveland fan, if they do clinch,

252
00:12:59,399 --> 00:13:03,440
you'll be before then. But as I mentioned, seven and

253
00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:06,279
a half on the total looks a little bit low.

254
00:13:06,519 --> 00:13:10,559
I know it's a game that Cleveland needs to have here.

255
00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:15,279
But Texas, Texas has plays a pretty good ball and

256
00:13:15,320 --> 00:13:18,919
they're still coming out and let's take a look at

257
00:13:18,919 --> 00:13:22,759
the last ten games Texas. Well, I'm my mistake on Texas.

258
00:13:22,799 --> 00:13:26,240
They're one and nine their last ten. They lost again yesterday.

259
00:13:27,759 --> 00:13:29,360
I must have been thinking of the week before that,

260
00:13:29,399 --> 00:13:33,679
but they've struggled lately. There's still one game over five hundred,

261
00:13:33,919 --> 00:13:36,679
and as I mentioned, everybody wants to end up an

262
00:13:36,759 --> 00:13:38,799
hundred to better have a winning record, so that may

263
00:13:38,879 --> 00:13:42,879
have some motivation there. Jacobi's pitch pretty well lately, I

264
00:13:42,919 --> 00:13:46,240
still don't trust him when I take a look at

265
00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:50,519
the teams here from a stackcast point of view, there's

266
00:13:50,519 --> 00:13:53,279
been a guy that I've I've liked. He hasn't had

267
00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:55,519
wins as much as he would have liked. He's only

268
00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:57,799
nine to ten of the season, but he's three point

269
00:13:57,879 --> 00:14:00,480
nine two ERA, four point six one expected one point

270
00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:03,960
three to one whip, stench in eighty nine percent, fastball

271
00:14:04,039 --> 00:14:08,159
velocity eighty eighth, but basically everything else is below league average.

272
00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:10,879
He's starting to learn how to pitch in the majors.

273
00:14:10,919 --> 00:14:13,840
He was terrific in the minors, but he hasn't hit

274
00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:17,919
that clicking into the majors yet. Chikoni is very similar.

275
00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:20,679
Iconi comes in with a four point one five are

276
00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:23,559
a five point two three expected one point one eight whip.

277
00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:27,480
His walk grade is great eighty six percentile, but basically

278
00:14:27,559 --> 00:14:30,720
everything else is in the negative average eggs of velocity

279
00:14:30,759 --> 00:14:34,840
first percentile, chase rate, third barrel third, hard hit rate first,

280
00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:39,639
which means to me that I can't trust Cleveland in

281
00:14:39,679 --> 00:14:42,679
this price range with CHACONI I think Later is a

282
00:14:42,679 --> 00:14:46,320
better pitcher. I know Detroit or see me, Texas isn't

283
00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:49,440
playing as well. But I think there's got to be

284
00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:51,799
another way where we could play Texas. Here. Let's take

285
00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:55,799
a team totals, Texas scores four runs, You've got a winner.

286
00:14:56,200 --> 00:15:05,240
It probably plus money. That's not a bad situation. Still,

287
00:15:05,279 --> 00:15:07,759
looking at this one, I don't I'm a little bit

288
00:15:07,759 --> 00:15:09,960
concerned about Cleveland with the with the way they started

289
00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:12,559
the last game. They did come back, score a couple

290
00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:14,360
of runs, but if you take a look at you know,

291
00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:18,039
the last last two weeks, they're still twenty eighth and

292
00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:23,600
hitting in WRC plus at seventy nine, Texas is still

293
00:15:23,639 --> 00:15:28,360
fourteenth at ninety nine. Texas is heading better that Cleveland is.

294
00:15:28,399 --> 00:15:31,759
I like to start a little bit better, try to

295
00:15:31,799 --> 00:15:33,919
find a way to play Texas in this game, but

296
00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:35,759
I don't know if I'll get there. Maybe if I

297
00:15:35,799 --> 00:15:38,240
can get this, you comeback right now, you can get

298
00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:40,360
as high as one forty two a pinnacle. It's about

299
00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:44,000
one thirty five to one thirty eight everywhere else. If

300
00:15:44,039 --> 00:15:46,759
I can get a one, I may end up on

301
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Texas Brother, and that I'll probably sit it out.

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Speaker 4: As go to the replay of this video and leave

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a comment and a like for us. We'd appreciate that.

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Let Way to Talk know that you support the show,

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00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:01,399
and they'll let us do it next year, because we

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would love to bring this back to you next year.

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Regarding this game, I'm kind of along the lines with Brian.

308
00:16:09,639 --> 00:16:14,200
I would go to Texas here because well, Lighter is

309
00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:16,879
not a guy I generally trust. But Chaconi is a

310
00:16:16,879 --> 00:16:19,600
guy who I've said it in previous shows. I always

311
00:16:19,639 --> 00:16:22,840
lose his games, so I fade him, he kills me,

312
00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:29,399
I back him, he kills me. But here not exactly

313
00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:31,559
a guy I like to back generally. I got him

314
00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:34,759
on a curve of thirty ranked twenty four. I got

315
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:38,080
Chaconi ranked twenty two, So they're both worse than twenty

316
00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:40,039
which means they're both in the bottom one third of

317
00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:46,799
starting pitchers. But the thing, the one stat that's kind

318
00:16:46,799 --> 00:16:51,799
of amazing is Lighter faced. These guys earlier in the season,

319
00:16:51,799 --> 00:16:55,000
he went seven innings in ten k and zero earned.

320
00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:59,679
It was a great start, and in his career he's

321
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:03,200
he's pretty good. I think he had one other start

322
00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:08,200
besides that, because he only has he only has twenty

323
00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:12,920
four vats again, so he's probably got two starts. But

324
00:17:13,079 --> 00:17:15,640
a one twenty five average and a two ninety two OP.

325
00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:18,240
He has pretty amazing two starts. I don't know if

326
00:17:18,279 --> 00:17:20,960
he's going to duplicate that effort, but we know he

327
00:17:21,039 --> 00:17:23,680
certainly has potential to hold the Cleveland Bats down here,

328
00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:28,279
maybe a Cleveland team total first five under one and

329
00:17:28,279 --> 00:17:31,519
a half. Maybe I haven't done it yet, because one

330
00:17:31,559 --> 00:17:34,279
and a half's I mean in MLB, just a little

331
00:17:34,279 --> 00:17:36,920
bloop in a blast and boom, your BET's done. Right.

332
00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:41,200
So and he did that at home the seven innings.

333
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,119
This time he's on the road and he's got a

334
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:46,400
four plus e RA on the road whereas Homira is three.

335
00:17:46,559 --> 00:17:50,079
So yeah, might do it, might not, But if I

336
00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:52,279
were to do it, I would do it that way.

337
00:17:54,799 --> 00:17:58,319
Speaker 2: Cody says, Adam, great pick yesterday. That is absolutely sarcastic.

338
00:17:58,400 --> 00:17:59,559
I got crushed yesterday.

339
00:17:59,599 --> 00:18:00,359
Speaker 1: I got that.

340
00:18:00,519 --> 00:18:02,400
Speaker 2: Hey, every every once in a while, you just have

341
00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:05,279
a trash day. Got to own up to it. I

342
00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:08,440
kind of knew I was cooked right up, like early

343
00:18:08,559 --> 00:18:10,519
the day I love I loved Hanwa. It was one

344
00:18:10,519 --> 00:18:13,160
of my favorite KBO that's in the last couple of weeks. Uh,

345
00:18:13,319 --> 00:18:15,599
they were like dead out Arrival, down seven to nothing.

346
00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:20,039
Then I had the Diamondbacks crushed, and so I knew

347
00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:23,279
Brian Tokyo Brandon that when the Cardinals tied that game,

348
00:18:23,599 --> 00:18:25,680
I had Cardinals plus one and a half. I'm watching

349
00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:27,240
it with Mallory. I said, I gotta they gotta go

350
00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:28,599
for two or I'm gonna lose. She said, what do

351
00:18:28,599 --> 00:18:30,480
you mean, they just tied the game. I said, just wait,

352
00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:34,240
you'll see, I said, Mariss Marist red Fox, Jason Myers

353
00:18:34,279 --> 00:18:36,559
is not missing a second field going. Sure enough, he

354
00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:38,839
banged the winner to hand me an oh and three day.

355
00:18:39,519 --> 00:18:41,079
The reason I even bring that up, I said, I

356
00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:43,240
think the one thing I did sort of nail yesterday

357
00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:46,559
was the uh that Pirate's Reds game and the fact

358
00:18:46,599 --> 00:18:49,599
that there was the need to win tax was very

359
00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:52,759
strong on the Reds and if you had if you

360
00:18:52,799 --> 00:18:55,200
had basically played it any other way than like Pirate's

361
00:18:55,279 --> 00:18:59,039
money line, Pirates plus one and a half unders the game.

362
00:18:59,079 --> 00:19:01,000
The play I really gave out in that game was

363
00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,039
the Reds team total under on the show, which cash

364
00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:06,200
you would have won? And That's how I'm going to

365
00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:10,720
look at this game. So I can't possibly back the

366
00:19:10,799 --> 00:19:13,119
Rangers right here. Reason being, I think they've kind of

367
00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:15,000
given up on the season one to nine in their

368
00:19:15,039 --> 00:19:18,240
last ten games playing on the road, they really haven't

369
00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:20,640
played well. I mean, they haven't played inspired ball over

370
00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:23,039
the last couple of weeks, and who knows how much

371
00:19:23,039 --> 00:19:25,240
they even really want to be here right season's over.

372
00:19:25,519 --> 00:19:27,599
We've talked about this team a couple times this year,

373
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:31,599
being twenty five guys, twenty five cabs. Not the most

374
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:33,960
tight knit group if you listen to Kevin Pular and

375
00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:36,880
who knows, one more weekend they get to go on

376
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:37,359
their way.

377
00:19:38,079 --> 00:19:39,680
Speaker 1: Not exactly the profile I want to back.

378
00:19:39,759 --> 00:19:42,559
Speaker 2: That being said, if it wasn't for that, I would

379
00:19:42,559 --> 00:19:44,240
think that there was a ton of value on the

380
00:19:44,319 --> 00:19:48,960
Rangers here, because matchup wise, this matchup absolutely favors the Rangers.

381
00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:52,880
I think Lier is a substantially better option than Seconi.

382
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:55,799
I know Seconi's pitched well better than I could have

383
00:19:55,799 --> 00:19:59,359
ever imagined, but like a lot of value here on

384
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:01,039
the Rangers side. So the way I'm gonna look at

385
00:20:01,039 --> 00:20:05,000
this one, I'm gonna look for under four team total

386
00:20:05,039 --> 00:20:09,519
Guardians team total under four it is probably I think

387
00:20:09,519 --> 00:20:11,799
you're gonna see some plus money three and a half's

388
00:20:11,799 --> 00:20:15,079
out there right now under force, probably like minus one ten,

389
00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:18,960
minus one fifteen. Reason I like that is because I

390
00:20:19,039 --> 00:20:21,920
personally like Lighter. I think he's I've been talking about

391
00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:23,720
guys like this on the show the last couple weeks,

392
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:26,599
Guys that I have on a list that I'm going

393
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,519
to like, probably like next year if they have a

394
00:20:29,519 --> 00:20:34,119
good offseason. McGreevy was one of them. We talked about

395
00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:36,039
one the other day, but Lighter is on that list

396
00:20:36,079 --> 00:20:36,319
for me.

397
00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:37,519
Speaker 1: I taught.

398
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,599
Speaker 2: I really think that the Rangers last year did him

399
00:20:40,599 --> 00:20:42,799
no favors the way they brought him up, sent it

400
00:20:42,839 --> 00:20:45,359
back down, brought him up, sent it back down short notice.

401
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:50,039
Twenty seventh man in a doubleheader this year was shaky

402
00:20:50,079 --> 00:20:52,519
early on. He's actually been very good, I would say

403
00:20:52,519 --> 00:20:55,079
second half of the season. And the thing with him

404
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:58,920
is because he's been up here more than that triple A,

405
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:00,559
and I think that might have to do with where

406
00:21:00,599 --> 00:21:03,720
he was drafted the last name. Of course, he's you know,

407
00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:06,240
the baseball lighter lineage. They want him at the big

408
00:21:06,279 --> 00:21:09,319
league level, Like he's a high draft pick and a name.

409
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,960
I think he would have benefited for more time down

410
00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:15,680
at TRIPA A developing that slider, that change up, that sinker,

411
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:17,640
that second pitch, because his fastball is great.

412
00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:19,359
Speaker 1: He's got a great basketball like three.

413
00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 2: You know he's gonna throw ninety seven, ninety eight fastball

414
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:24,880
looks awesome. It's really the secondary stuff, but that stuff

415
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:27,519
started to improve. So I like him to have a

416
00:21:27,519 --> 00:21:30,440
decent start here. And then you talk about the Guardians

417
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,079
and what Brian was pointing out, like kind of on

418
00:21:33,079 --> 00:21:37,200
this dream run over a couple of weeks, maybe.

419
00:21:36,799 --> 00:21:38,799
Speaker 1: Back to reality a little bit after last night, and

420
00:21:38,839 --> 00:21:39,519
suddenly they.

421
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:41,440
Speaker 2: Wake up today and it's like, uh oh, Like we

422
00:21:41,839 --> 00:21:45,039
were pursuing the Tigers all this time, we overtook them.

423
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:47,400
Speaker 1: Now we're tied for the division lead. Like now it's

424
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:48,240
a must win game.

425
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:50,079
Speaker 2: I wouldn't be at all surprised to see them play

426
00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:52,279
a little tight, And I think I don't think that

427
00:21:52,319 --> 00:21:54,839
necessarily costs them the game, but I think it could

428
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:56,759
make it so they have to win, Like three to

429
00:21:56,799 --> 00:21:59,720
two two one. It could be like a lower scoring

430
00:21:59,759 --> 00:22:03,200
game or lighter comes out and shoves and suddenly they

431
00:22:03,279 --> 00:22:05,400
maybe they lose a game for one and they're in trouble.

432
00:22:05,759 --> 00:22:09,640
Either way, I think that under four Guardian's team total

433
00:22:09,759 --> 00:22:11,279
is a good bet. So that's the way I would

434
00:22:11,279 --> 00:22:16,200
look at this one. Okay, let's go to let me

435
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:17,720
get back to the chat here. I was on the

436
00:22:17,759 --> 00:22:23,680
wrong chat screen and I haven't looked at any of

437
00:22:25,759 --> 00:22:27,920
any of your guys' requests. So let's see if we

438
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:30,920
can all right, here we go, we can talk about

439
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:34,880
this team. Russell Deck says ken the Yankees go deep.

440
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:39,559
So we had the Yankees clinged. I believe the other

441
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:44,519
day they will They're going to take on the Orioles today.

442
00:22:44,519 --> 00:22:48,960
So we got Yankees Orioles in the Bronx Trevor Rodgers. So, Brian,

443
00:22:49,079 --> 00:22:51,440
we had this matchup, I believe last week. Actually, I

444
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,240
think TV was still on the show the last time

445
00:22:54,279 --> 00:22:57,920
we talked Trevor Rodgers versus Will Warren. I want to

446
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:00,599
say we won a bet in that game, or maybe

447
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:03,359
like talked about how it was like maybe Rogers first

448
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:07,400
five and he pitched well anyway, Yankees not quite as

449
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:09,279
meaningful as the last couple of weeks for them. But

450
00:23:10,079 --> 00:23:13,400
I just want to see here they are still just

451
00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:15,480
trying to get the division standings up for some reason.

452
00:23:15,559 --> 00:23:17,440
Speaker 1: I'm on multiple different screens.

453
00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:21,279
Speaker 3: They're tied with Toronto. They need to win the division

454
00:23:21,319 --> 00:23:23,000
to get the buy in the first round.

455
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:24,000
Speaker 1: Perfect.

456
00:23:24,079 --> 00:23:27,799
Speaker 2: Yes, they're tied with Toronto. Five straight wins for the Yankees.

457
00:23:28,039 --> 00:23:30,920
So let's talk Yankees Orioles. Why didn't you tell me

458
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:32,799
what you think about how this division ends up? And

459
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,160
also talk about the Yankees Oriols this matchup tonight.

460
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:42,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, as the show ended yesterday, we had a couple

461
00:23:42,799 --> 00:23:44,480
of words and I said, I like Toronto in the

462
00:23:44,519 --> 00:23:46,680
game and just didn't have the balls to play it

463
00:23:47,279 --> 00:23:50,799
and sure enough to come out and got the victory.

464
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,319
I have a huge for them. They lost that game

465
00:23:54,799 --> 00:23:57,559
and that was a muster wind for him. They've got

466
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:00,759
Beaver on the mountain today and they're just sancial favors.

467
00:24:00,799 --> 00:24:05,359
So but the Yankees Rogers against Warren and Rodgers. The

468
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,319
lefty Warren is the guy that's been up and down

469
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:11,400
all year long. He's very good or very bad. And

470
00:24:11,839 --> 00:24:15,119
the Yankees are about a one one forty one fifty

471
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:18,720
favorite here total eight and a half to the under

472
00:24:19,039 --> 00:24:23,680
or eight to the over, and Rogers has been fantastic.

473
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,799
He's thrown one hundred and six innings now and he's

474
00:24:26,839 --> 00:24:28,920
got a one point three five ERA three point oh

475
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:33,000
seven expected zero point eighty seven whip. His hard hit

476
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:36,039
rates still, it's amazing. He's got that one point three

477
00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:39,119
five ERA. Obviously he's been lucky based on the expect

478
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,240
of the IRA, but his heart hit rates in the

479
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:44,720
fifth percentile. He's still getting hit a little bit. He's

480
00:24:44,759 --> 00:24:47,839
not giving up barrels. He's in the eightieth percentile of barrels.

481
00:24:49,079 --> 00:24:53,240
So he's been hard to explain this year, but he's

482
00:24:53,279 --> 00:24:56,160
been very good. And as I said earlier the season,

483
00:24:56,279 --> 00:24:59,200
we gave the Orioles a lot of a lot of

484
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,319
crap for making that trade, but they were right. I

485
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:05,400
was wrong, and I'll admit it. He's been very good.

486
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,759
The Yankees are going to Will Warren. He's got a

487
00:25:08,799 --> 00:25:11,119
four point three five ERA four point five to five

488
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:13,839
expected one point three seven whip. Career whip at one

489
00:25:13,839 --> 00:25:16,160
point four to four, that's what really hurts him. His

490
00:25:16,279 --> 00:25:18,839
extension is very good eighty first percentile, but everything else

491
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,799
is either the league average or worse average ex of

492
00:25:21,839 --> 00:25:26,319
velocity eighth percentile, chase eighth percentile. So when I look

493
00:25:26,319 --> 00:25:29,799
at those two things, I eight and a half, maybe

494
00:25:30,039 --> 00:25:33,240
a little bit of a lower number. The problem is

495
00:25:33,279 --> 00:25:36,599
Baltimore is not really hitting well right now. Baltimore's ranked

496
00:25:36,599 --> 00:25:39,559
twenty first and WRC plus last two weeks at ninety one.

497
00:25:40,079 --> 00:25:43,279
Yankees are hitting well. They're at one twenty nine Yankees

498
00:25:43,279 --> 00:25:45,759
in the match of the top two. Something in the

499
00:25:45,799 --> 00:25:50,839
air in New York and is other than pollution, but

500
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:56,480
it's a it's a situation where obviously the Yankees got

501
00:25:56,519 --> 00:25:59,279
more to play for. But Rogers has been right there

502
00:25:59,319 --> 00:26:04,359
all season long. He's been very good in the second

503
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:08,680
half of the game. If Rogers only goes five and flies,

504
00:26:09,759 --> 00:26:12,119
there's really no reason for Baltimore to extend him. They're

505
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,119
out of the playoffs and he's going to be a

506
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:17,839
key piece for them next year. It wouldn't surprise me

507
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:19,680
if he just goes five and flies. If he does,

508
00:26:19,759 --> 00:26:22,960
I think the Yanks got the best bet on the

509
00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:24,880
second half of that game. But we'll have to see

510
00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:29,880
what the score is. But Baltimore is not hitting and

511
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:33,079
they may At this point, they had a pretty good

512
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:36,200
run there for a while. There's still six or four

513
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:38,200
of their last ten. They did get the victory yesterday,

514
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:40,559
so they're not giving up. The young guys continue to

515
00:26:40,559 --> 00:26:43,759
play well. I can't seem to find an edge on

516
00:26:43,799 --> 00:26:46,000
this game, so I'm going to pass it.

517
00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:52,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, Rogers has been great. I liked him even when

518
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:54,599
he was in Miami. I thought he was pretty good.

519
00:26:54,759 --> 00:26:58,400
He's excelled this year. Excuse me, still a little groggy

520
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:04,200
from the from the flights. He's been good, very good.

521
00:27:04,279 --> 00:27:06,480
He's been a bright spot on a team that hasn't

522
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:11,200
had a lot of bright spots. Will Warren has one

523
00:27:11,279 --> 00:27:14,279
of the biggest discrepancies in Major League Baseball between home

524
00:27:14,319 --> 00:27:18,000
and away. He's a great home pitcher three three three

525
00:27:18,079 --> 00:27:20,759
ERA and away he's got a five point eight ERA

526
00:27:22,079 --> 00:27:25,160
at home. He pitches really well against these Orioles. His

527
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:28,160
stats are pretty average in his career, but Trevor Rodgers

528
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:32,640
against these Yankees amazing stats. Fifty two at bats against,

529
00:27:33,039 --> 00:27:35,440
one hundred and thirty five average and a four to

530
00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:40,400
sixty two OPS. Amazing numbers. Here can you do it

531
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,440
today against the number six lineup in Major League Baseball

532
00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:48,880
in current form? Not sure about that, but the good

533
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,799
news is the Yankees team total in the first five

534
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:53,839
is two and a half, which I think is pretty high.

535
00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:56,799
I don't see Rogers giving up three runs to these guys.

536
00:27:57,319 --> 00:27:59,960
I could see him giving up two, but I don't

537
00:28:00,079 --> 00:28:03,400
think three. So I think the Yankees team total first

538
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:05,440
five innings under two and a half would be a

539
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:08,799
decent play here. Their team total for the whole game

540
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:10,960
is four and a half, but then you have to

541
00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:13,799
trust the oriole bullpen, which I have them ranked sixteen

542
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:19,000
right now. I'd rather just bet on Trevor Rodgers not

543
00:28:19,079 --> 00:28:21,160
giving up three runs. I think that might be a

544
00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:21,839
decent play.

545
00:28:24,079 --> 00:28:26,319
Speaker 2: I'm with you, TV, I was gonna say i'd I'd

546
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,119
rather just bet on Trevor Rodgers here.

547
00:28:28,599 --> 00:28:30,079
Speaker 1: First five you can get.

548
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:33,559
Speaker 2: You can get Orioles first five half a run minus

549
00:28:33,559 --> 00:28:35,720
one twenty. That's a really good bet. Or you could

550
00:28:35,759 --> 00:28:38,000
just take the plus money plus one twenty. I think

551
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:41,279
I'd rather have that that half run. That's that's a

552
00:28:41,319 --> 00:28:43,720
great bet in my opinion. Oriols first five half a

553
00:28:43,839 --> 00:28:46,440
run minus one twenty. I saw at one book. I mean,

554
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:48,079
even if it was like if you could find like

555
00:28:48,079 --> 00:28:50,599
a minus one fifteen, my gut says you probably find

556
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,759
worse that that minus one twenty is probably good number.

557
00:28:54,039 --> 00:28:56,839
Speaker 1: But I mean, listen, if let's say he knows.

558
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:59,240
Speaker 2: He's only probably out there for five innings or something like,

559
00:28:59,759 --> 00:29:02,039
he's gonna give it, you know, he's gonna try go

560
00:29:02,039 --> 00:29:03,119
go out there wipe him out.

561
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:04,759
Speaker 1: He's gonna you know, leave it out there.

562
00:29:04,799 --> 00:29:06,359
Speaker 2: He's not gonna pitch again the rest of the year,

563
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,000
So you'd have to think that he comes and has

564
00:29:09,039 --> 00:29:12,039
his his sort of best stuff for that performance. I

565
00:29:12,119 --> 00:29:14,400
know they just saw him, but they I watched that game.

566
00:29:14,839 --> 00:29:18,160
They did nothing again. I mean, they were totally clueless

567
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:21,759
against him. A week ago one six shoutout of things,

568
00:29:21,799 --> 00:29:25,119
Yankees had one hit. I think they maybe draw drew

569
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:28,799
two walks in the game. So yeah, they could potentially adjust,

570
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:32,559
I suppose, But are you really a drop Like how

571
00:29:32,599 --> 00:29:34,960
much you're gonna figure out about Trevor Rodgers in six days?

572
00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:38,119
Like he's he's his stuff has been straight up ridiculous

573
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:41,559
since he was sort of called, you know, called back

574
00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:44,279
up and put in the starting rotation. I think Brian

575
00:29:44,359 --> 00:29:45,799
made the point the other day that had he been

576
00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:48,000
up longer, like he'd be in the mix for Cy

577
00:29:48,079 --> 00:29:50,559
Young this year. The only reason he's not in the

578
00:29:50,599 --> 00:29:54,200
Cy Young conversation is because he didn't really start his

579
00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:55,920
his big league season until June.

580
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:56,599
Speaker 1: Right.

581
00:29:56,880 --> 00:30:00,240
Speaker 2: Other than that, like like he's been as good any

582
00:30:00,279 --> 00:30:02,920
other starting pitcher in the league. Like you're gonna give

583
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,839
me him against Will Warren, who's inconsistent and could and

584
00:30:05,839 --> 00:30:09,440
could give up a crooked number first five, and you're

585
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:12,279
gonna give me the bailout of the fact that if

586
00:30:12,279 --> 00:30:15,200
we're tied after five innings, my bet still wins. I

587
00:30:16,039 --> 00:30:19,480
like that be so Orioles plus a half first five.

588
00:30:19,519 --> 00:30:21,160
I don't know if it's my Parley leg, but I

589
00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:23,319
that's the one I like the most of anything we've

590
00:30:23,359 --> 00:30:24,200
talked about so far.

591
00:30:24,519 --> 00:30:26,119
Speaker 1: Sorry, Brian, were you gonna jump in there?

592
00:30:26,279 --> 00:30:28,400
Speaker 3: I just don't say that. It's one twenty minus one

593
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:29,240
twenty everywhere.

594
00:30:29,279 --> 00:30:30,319
Speaker 1: So that's okay.

595
00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:33,279
Speaker 3: And I if problem was to play this game, I

596
00:30:33,279 --> 00:30:35,240
think that's a pretty good way to go about it.

597
00:30:36,599 --> 00:30:39,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I that was surprising to me. I

598
00:30:39,039 --> 00:30:41,200
thought they would have. I thought they would have really

599
00:30:41,319 --> 00:30:44,440
like taxed you for wanting Trevor Rodgers in the first five.

600
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:47,319
I expected that for Orioles first five to be like

601
00:30:47,359 --> 00:30:49,480
minus one forty for the plus a half run. But

602
00:30:49,799 --> 00:30:51,799
because the game line is where it is, it's I

603
00:30:51,799 --> 00:30:53,559
think it's got to keep it in check a little bit.

604
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:56,799
And yeah, I think that you're getting great value on

605
00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:59,039
Orioles first five plus a half a run.

606
00:30:59,079 --> 00:31:01,119
Speaker 1: There we get we had now that.

607
00:31:01,279 --> 00:31:02,680
Speaker 2: As soon as I said, got to go to the

608
00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:04,559
chat to get a game like five, people are like,

609
00:31:04,599 --> 00:31:07,160
you better talk about this day game. And so we're

610
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,960
going to talk about the day game. The schedule makers

611
00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:15,319
probably thought they cooked with this matchup Brian Cardinals Cubs last.

612
00:31:15,039 --> 00:31:17,279
Speaker 1: Weekend of the season, everything on the line.

613
00:31:17,319 --> 00:31:19,599
Speaker 2: The Brewers said, Nope, this division is going to be

614
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,839
put away by now, and this game maybe a little

615
00:31:22,839 --> 00:31:26,119
anti climactic for Cards Cubs because of course the Cubs

616
00:31:26,119 --> 00:31:28,559
are kind of already well, they're already in the Cardinals

617
00:31:28,599 --> 00:31:33,480
are going nowhere, So not quite the huge division sort

618
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:35,279
of battle will close out the season and I think

619
00:31:35,279 --> 00:31:36,160
people would hope for.

620
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:38,119
Speaker 1: But nonetheless, it's Cardinals Cubs.

621
00:31:38,119 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 2: It's Wrigley Field, two pm Eastern start day game at

622
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:45,119
Wrigley Are you getting involved in this one at all?

623
00:31:45,359 --> 00:31:49,759
Speaker 3: Nicholas against Ray is going in this one. Ray's about

624
00:31:49,759 --> 00:31:54,680
a one sixty one sixty yeah one, sixty three favorite,

625
00:31:54,759 --> 00:31:57,000
let's say, with a total of nine to the under

626
00:31:59,559 --> 00:32:01,160
one of the He's but saying Louis, they were still

627
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:03,319
playing some pretty good ball. They were trying to finish

628
00:32:03,319 --> 00:32:05,240
with a winning record. They cannot now. I believe the

629
00:32:05,279 --> 00:32:07,799
best they can do is finish with a five hundred record.

630
00:32:09,319 --> 00:32:12,119
They come in at yeah, seventy eight and eighty one,

631
00:32:12,319 --> 00:32:16,200
so that goal having a winning record is out the door,

632
00:32:16,319 --> 00:32:20,880
so that may lessen it a little bit. But the

633
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:24,000
Cubs got nothing to play for. They're locked in, So

634
00:32:24,519 --> 00:32:26,720
I really don't know which way to go about this.

635
00:32:27,799 --> 00:32:30,519
I'm not a fan of either pitcher, although Ray's gotten

636
00:32:30,559 --> 00:32:35,240
more out of his ability than Micholas has. Although Micholas

637
00:32:35,279 --> 00:32:37,920
second half of the season. He seems to do this

638
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:40,200
every year. He's a guy that you wonder when he's

639
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:43,839
pitching why he's in the major leagues. But he does

640
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,359
get on these streaks where he's been pretty good, and

641
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:49,359
he's been better in the second half on the season.

642
00:32:49,599 --> 00:32:51,319
When we take a look at Mickless, he comes in

643
00:32:51,359 --> 00:32:54,160
with a four point seven to six cra five point

644
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:56,559
three to zero expected, one point three to three whip.

645
00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,359
He's good at walking people. You know, he's in the

646
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:03,759
ninete percent. Other than that, everything's below average. Barroll rate

647
00:33:03,839 --> 00:33:07,440
thirty percentile with right second, strike out right fourth. He

648
00:33:07,519 --> 00:33:11,680
is not a good pitcher, and he would have a

649
00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:14,759
hard time next year finding a place to pitch if

650
00:33:14,759 --> 00:33:18,319
he is no longer with Saint Louis. But maybe they

651
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:21,039
they had those two, a couple of good guys in

652
00:33:21,079 --> 00:33:23,880
the miners that they could bring up. But we'll see

653
00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:25,759
what happens. We thought we'd go see more of them

654
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:30,160
this year. They didn't see Colin Ray ten to seven record,

655
00:33:30,279 --> 00:33:33,000
twelve and sixth record last year. But he's not been

656
00:33:33,039 --> 00:33:35,680
overly impressed. At four point one ora, four point seven

657
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:38,759
to seven expected, one point two eight whip. His walk

658
00:33:38,799 --> 00:33:42,400
rate's pretty good in the seventy second percentile six foot five,

659
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,480
so his extensions pretty well in the seventieth. But once again,

660
00:33:45,839 --> 00:33:49,680
all his other numbers are below league average. Barrell rate

661
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:56,039
fourteenth percentile expected banning the average thirteenth expected, the IRA sixteenth.

662
00:33:56,119 --> 00:33:58,960
When you take a look at the ballpark factors in

663
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:03,480
this game, for the Cubs, the wind is going all over,

664
00:34:03,519 --> 00:34:07,559
it's swirling right now. They've got a plus one percent

665
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:11,280
higher than normal for a Wrigley Field, which if you've

666
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:13,679
followed the last few days, the wind had been blown in,

667
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:17,159
so it's a little bit better hitting area than it

668
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:21,320
was environment than it was the last few days. Don't

669
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:23,400
know if I'll get there with the nine. There is

670
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:25,280
a couple eight and a half's out there eight and

671
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:29,480
a half over one twenty one twenty one. That would

672
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:31,199
be the only way I would go here is taking

673
00:34:31,199 --> 00:34:35,679
a look at the offenses. But the need just isn't

674
00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:38,320
there for Chicago right now. In Saint Louis, what do

675
00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:41,480
they have to play for? So there's not a lot

676
00:34:41,599 --> 00:34:45,440
jumping out on me on today's card. Hopefully I'll have

677
00:34:45,519 --> 00:34:47,840
something for clients by the time we're done with the show,

678
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:51,880
but right now everything seems to be priced similar to

679
00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:54,679
what I would have priced it. And if there's no value,

680
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,840
there's no value, and unfortunately, in this game, there's no

681
00:34:57,960 --> 00:34:58,599
value for me.

682
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:04,559
Speaker 4: Yeah. These are two pitchers who both pitched in Japan

683
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:09,079
around seven years ago. Five years ago, Ray played for

684
00:35:09,159 --> 00:35:14,360
the SoftBank Hawks and Thenicholas played for the Omute Giants.

685
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:17,719
But neither one. We're very impressive out here. They've been

686
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:21,519
better since they went back to the US, especially Reya

687
00:35:22,039 --> 00:35:26,079
but head to head matchups, man Nicholas has been clobbered

688
00:35:26,079 --> 00:35:29,960
by these guys. Uh. He's got a three three ten

689
00:35:30,039 --> 00:35:34,800
average against in eight forty seven ops. He he played

690
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:38,000
in Major League, went to Japan, went to Mexico, I think,

691
00:35:38,039 --> 00:35:41,639
and then he came back here to the US or

692
00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:44,800
out there to the US. So some of those stats

693
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,719
might be a little misleading from his first go around.

694
00:35:48,599 --> 00:35:51,679
But Raya, man, he's been awesome against these batters, a

695
00:35:51,679 --> 00:35:54,039
one sixty one average against in a four to ninety

696
00:35:54,079 --> 00:35:58,639
nine OPS. So advantage Raya in this matchup for sure.

697
00:36:00,599 --> 00:36:03,199
Like Brian said, neither team really has much to play for,

698
00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:05,800
but the pitchers don't care. The pitchers are playing to

699
00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:10,800
keep their eras down. I think the problem. My first

700
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:13,880
instinct would be, okay, let's let's take the Cubs or

701
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:16,800
the Saint Louis under. But Saint Louis is crushing the

702
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:19,400
ball right now. I love how some of these teams

703
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:22,119
get hot right when they're out of the playoffs. You know,

704
00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:26,800
it's kind of funny, like Saint Louis is one of them.

705
00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:29,320
They're getting hot right now for some reason. They're they're

706
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:33,679
hitting pretty well. Uh, And so I don't really want

707
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:36,400
to take their their under in that one, don't really

708
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:38,880
want to take the Cubs. You know, when both teams

709
00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:43,079
have their their exits from the playoffs or their playoff

710
00:36:43,119 --> 00:36:45,920
seeding already set up. There's too many X factors for me.

711
00:36:46,079 --> 00:36:48,840
So if anything, I would take the Cubs here, but

712
00:36:49,079 --> 00:36:50,599
I probably won't.

713
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:56,039
Speaker 2: So that I'll play off of the point you just

714
00:36:56,039 --> 00:36:59,760
just made their Yeah, I think that could also trickle

715
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:01,880
into bullpen usage. I think we could see teams a

716
00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:04,199
little bit liberal with their bullpen usage here today in

717
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:05,840
terms of like who gets what innings?

718
00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:06,800
Speaker 1: I don't think any.

719
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:09,920
Speaker 2: I don't think they're really trying to stress any especially

720
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:11,960
the Cubs. You're gonna have to play baseball next week,

721
00:37:12,159 --> 00:37:15,400
so you may you may not see like them unload

722
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:17,960
high leverage relievers. I guess the point I'm trying to

723
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:19,679
make here is I feel like the over is a

724
00:37:19,679 --> 00:37:21,800
good bet. Going back to what Bryan, So, what did

725
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:23,599
you say the park factors work for this game from

726
00:37:23,599 --> 00:37:24,960
a weather standpoint, Brian.

727
00:37:24,960 --> 00:37:27,320
Speaker 3: Is just one percent better than normal. But it's been

728
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:30,119
better than it has been the last few days. Well.

729
00:37:30,199 --> 00:37:32,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, and the other thing I think is worth pointing out.

730
00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:34,320
You know, the Cubs drop two of three from the Mets.

731
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,599
No big deal there, obviously, because they're sort of locked

732
00:37:36,599 --> 00:37:39,599
into their seating. But my takeaway from that series, having

733
00:37:39,639 --> 00:37:43,280
watched a lot of that series, is dare we say

734
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:45,119
the Cubs are heating up right now? I mean, this

735
00:37:45,199 --> 00:37:48,199
is a this is an offense that really hasn't been

736
00:37:48,239 --> 00:37:50,119
great in the second half. Right, Like, if you look

737
00:37:50,119 --> 00:37:54,119
at the season arc for the Cubs, red hot out

738
00:37:54,119 --> 00:37:56,440
of the gate, won a whole bunch of games. I

739
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:58,800
thought this lineup was world beaters out of the gate, right,

740
00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:01,079
I Mean, you had p c Armstrong, felt like every

741
00:38:01,079 --> 00:38:02,639
time he was coming to the plate, he was getting

742
00:38:02,639 --> 00:38:04,840
a hit. They were scoring a bunch of runs. And

743
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:07,039
then for a couple of months it was it was

744
00:38:07,159 --> 00:38:08,880
very much the opposite. I felt like they had to

745
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:12,079
win games with pitching. They just weren't getting those those

746
00:38:12,119 --> 00:38:14,599
big time crooked innings and the big.

747
00:38:14,599 --> 00:38:15,440
Speaker 1: Scoring out burst.

748
00:38:15,519 --> 00:38:18,159
Speaker 2: And suddenly the last three days, twenty two runs in

749
00:38:18,199 --> 00:38:21,519
three games against the Mets. Better pitching than they're going

750
00:38:21,599 --> 00:38:23,599
to see here, right, Like, you know, had to hit,

751
00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:24,920
had to get uh.

752
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:26,320
Speaker 1: They saw McClane yesterday.

753
00:38:26,599 --> 00:38:29,440
Speaker 2: Jonah Toong in that series, they blew him up Yeah,

754
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:31,679
granted he's, you know whatever, he's a young guy. But still,

755
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,880
I think they saw better pitching top to bottom from

756
00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:38,280
the Mets then they're going to see this weekend from

757
00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:38,880
the Cardinals.

758
00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 1: You start with Nicholas.

759
00:38:40,039 --> 00:38:42,519
Speaker 2: I mean, we all kind of agree that he's kind

760
00:38:42,559 --> 00:38:44,360
of a you know, he's on the in the twilight

761
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:46,199
of his career, kind of a veteran guy that's just

762
00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:49,400
there to eat up innings at this point, Tokyo Brandon

763
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:52,320
pointed out, pointing out the Cardinals, they're swinging the bats

764
00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:54,519
reasonably well, you know, for a team that's out of it.

765
00:38:54,559 --> 00:38:57,239
They've hit with runners at scoring position, and they're generating

766
00:38:57,280 --> 00:39:00,639
some ausfense. So nine flat seems like here for me,

767
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:03,039
eight and a half would have been a no brainer.

768
00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:04,800
But like right now, it looks like you can get

769
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:06,880
over nine even money some places, I think that's a

770
00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:10,199
good bet. So I think the over is a solid play.

771
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:12,480
I make it personally, make it nine and a half.

772
00:39:12,679 --> 00:39:14,800
And that is like the key threshold for an over

773
00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:16,639
in my opinion. Nine to nine and a half is

774
00:39:16,679 --> 00:39:19,760
like the biggest jump from a from a if you're

775
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:22,519
talking about an over, because once you're at nine and

776
00:39:22,559 --> 00:39:25,159
a half, you take four four to four. Bailing you

777
00:39:25,199 --> 00:39:27,920
out doesn't bail you out anymore. So I like the

778
00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:29,559
I like the over. Go ahead, Brian.

779
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:32,199
Speaker 3: Is it possible that I could throw out a game

780
00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:32,679
right now?

781
00:39:33,039 --> 00:39:33,239
Speaker 1: Yeah?

782
00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:36,480
Speaker 3: Go ahead any places in the Parliament. Yet, there is

783
00:39:36,559 --> 00:39:40,559
one game I do have some interest in. Tampa Bay

784
00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:45,440
is playing Toronto Pauser against Beaver. Right now, Toronto is

785
00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:48,920
about a one eighty favorite total seven and a half

786
00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:53,960
to the over, eight to the under. There's a few

787
00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:56,360
games like Cincinnati right now, even though they need to win,

788
00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,519
there's there's a little bit of value on them. They're

789
00:39:59,559 --> 00:40:02,679
they're not taking in money because they're playing Milwaukee, and

790
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:06,239
the other one is Tampa Bay. Here Howser's going for

791
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:09,280
Tampa Bay. He has not been the same for Tampa

792
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:13,039
that he had been in Chicago. But I'm not overly

793
00:40:13,039 --> 00:40:15,199
impressed by what Beaver has done now, Grunt, he's gone

794
00:40:15,199 --> 00:40:17,840
back from injury. It's gonna take him a while. But

795
00:40:18,000 --> 00:40:20,599
you're playing a pretty good tax here on Toronto in

796
00:40:20,679 --> 00:40:23,000
a must win game because they're tied with the Yankees

797
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:27,320
to win the division. But while it is it could

798
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:29,320
be considered a must win game, they've already plinched their

799
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:31,199
spot in the playoffs. They are one hundred percent in

800
00:40:31,199 --> 00:40:34,000
the playoffs, the Yankees one hundred percent in the playoffs. Obviously,

801
00:40:34,039 --> 00:40:35,880
they want to win the division because you want to

802
00:40:35,920 --> 00:40:42,840
get that buy but is this line do you really

803
00:40:42,880 --> 00:40:45,320
want to lay one eighty with Toronto the way they've

804
00:40:45,320 --> 00:40:48,639
been playing, both teams are four and six the last

805
00:40:49,199 --> 00:40:51,639
last ten games. We take a look at the run

806
00:40:51,639 --> 00:40:54,840
differential on the season, Toronto is up sixty two, Tampa

807
00:40:54,840 --> 00:40:58,639
Bay is up forty six. Tampa Bay is also only

808
00:40:58,639 --> 00:41:01,000
two games ahead of Baltimore with three games to go.

809
00:41:01,679 --> 00:41:04,000
Could you imagine Tampa Bay ending up the season that

810
00:41:04,039 --> 00:41:06,760
they started off having and they end up in last

811
00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:09,119
place in that division. I think there's a little bit

812
00:41:09,119 --> 00:41:14,000
of value here on the underdog if you take a

813
00:41:14,039 --> 00:41:20,079
look at Jeez put this thing Steck adds okay. Adrian

814
00:41:20,119 --> 00:41:23,840
Hauser on the season three point one eighty RA a

815
00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:27,119
four point oh eight expected. I would use that more

816
00:41:27,159 --> 00:41:30,280
than his actually RA one point two seven went. But

817
00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:33,039
he's in the eighty second percent tile and barrel rate,

818
00:41:33,159 --> 00:41:38,280
round ball rate eightieth percentile, and extension eightieth percentile. Now's

819
00:41:38,760 --> 00:41:41,079
with rates in the third percent sole hardhit rates is

820
00:41:41,079 --> 00:41:44,440
a six strikeout rate sixteenth. He's not a major strikeout guy.

821
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:47,719
He does throw five pitches and he does throw a

822
00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:51,119
sinker forty six percent of the time. When he's throwing

823
00:41:51,159 --> 00:41:53,880
your sinker, you're going to give up not going to

824
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:56,119
give up many home runs, and that's one of the

825
00:41:56,159 --> 00:41:59,880
reasons why she's had success this year. Shane Bieber comes

826
00:41:59,880 --> 00:42:01,719
in with a three point five to seventy r, a

827
00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:04,159
four point two to two expected, zero point nine to

828
00:42:04,199 --> 00:42:06,239
six swept. He's always been a very good web one

829
00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:09,639
point one one in his career. He has only thrown

830
00:42:09,679 --> 00:42:11,480
thirty five innings, so that a lot of his numbers

831
00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:15,119
have not stabilized. But his fastball velocity is really down.

832
00:42:15,199 --> 00:42:17,800
He's in the twenty thirty percentile. He only throws ninety

833
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:21,000
two point six on his sports semer, which he uses

834
00:42:21,119 --> 00:42:23,840
twice as much as any other pitch in the league.

835
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:26,639
Average from already eaters ninety five, so he doesn't have

836
00:42:26,679 --> 00:42:30,840
that velocity is the average acts of velocity given up.

837
00:42:31,039 --> 00:42:33,320
His barrel rate and his hard hit rate have all

838
00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:36,599
been bad. He does get hit pretty hard. Do I

839
00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:41,800
really want to play Toronto in this situation with I

840
00:42:41,840 --> 00:42:44,599
don't see much of a starting pitching edge for Biaber

841
00:42:44,639 --> 00:42:47,480
in this game. So I'm gonna take Tampa Bay in

842
00:42:47,519 --> 00:42:50,679
this game. I could get him. Let's let's just go

843
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:54,079
about one fifty nine and I'm gonna use that as

844
00:42:54,119 --> 00:42:59,800
my party one fifty nine for Tampa Bay and Toronto

845
00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:03,239
from a bullpen perspective. Let me just check that real quick.

846
00:43:04,039 --> 00:43:08,960
Toronto yesterday they had the bullpen game, so they had

847
00:43:09,280 --> 00:43:14,239
Hoffman twenty three pitches, Tamingus sixteen, and Rodriguez five. They

848
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:15,880
hadn't pitched in the last three days. I'm not too

849
00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:20,199
worried about that, but it's a situation for me whether

850
00:43:20,199 --> 00:43:22,639
there's in a card that I don't see a lot

851
00:43:22,679 --> 00:43:25,039
of value on. I think there's a little bit of

852
00:43:25,079 --> 00:43:28,360
value on Tampa Bay, and I think the Reds have

853
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:30,800
a little bit of value. Other than that, it's nothing's

854
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:32,559
jumping out of me today, so I'll use the Tampa

855
00:43:32,599 --> 00:43:33,119
Bay Here.

856
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:38,280
Speaker 4: Guys, go to waysgotalk dot com see what we have up.

857
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:41,280
I'm going to put my MLB play up right after

858
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:43,880
the show. Probably we'll have a free play, and I'm

859
00:43:43,920 --> 00:43:47,519
sure my colleagues here will also have a free play

860
00:43:47,599 --> 00:43:50,000
or a play up today. So take a look at

861
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:52,440
what we got go to the video replay and leave

862
00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:55,119
a comment. We look at them all and we answer

863
00:43:55,159 --> 00:43:58,639
most of them. Regarding this game, I'm one hundred percent

864
00:43:58,679 --> 00:44:02,480
aligned with Brian or Toronto is the only team I

865
00:44:02,559 --> 00:44:05,840
have that ranks twenty third or worse in all batting

866
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:12,280
categories and all bullpen categories, So that's not good. They

867
00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:15,119
do have a pitching advantage in my opinion. I got

868
00:44:15,119 --> 00:44:19,559
Bieber ranked twelve where I got Houser ranked eighteen, So

869
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:24,280
but twelve and eighteen not a huge not a huge discrepancy.

870
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:28,920
So if anything, I would go with Tampa perhaps or

871
00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:33,079
maybe even the Toronto team total under perhaps because they've

872
00:44:33,119 --> 00:44:38,039
just been ice cold behind the plate. I I don't

873
00:44:38,039 --> 00:44:40,239
know why I don't. I don't know if I'll get

874
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:41,920
to it or not, And I don't know why I

875
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:45,039
like Tampa here, but for some odd reason, seems like

876
00:44:45,079 --> 00:44:50,159
they can't win unless rasp since pitching. But they have

877
00:44:50,199 --> 00:44:52,840
every advantage here in my opinion, So take them or

878
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:55,400
take them a plus one and a half or something somehow,

879
00:44:56,159 --> 00:44:59,480
Take them and fade the Toronto bats is what I

880
00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:00,159
would be doing.

881
00:45:01,559 --> 00:45:03,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, RAS plus one and a half is a great

882
00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:06,599
bet in my opinion, Like if you're talking about, you

883
00:45:06,639 --> 00:45:08,119
know it price wise?

884
00:45:08,519 --> 00:45:09,320
Speaker 1: Price wise, it's.

885
00:45:09,199 --> 00:45:11,679
Speaker 2: A little lot of the range I would prefer, I

886
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:14,000
would say if this came down. But here's the thing, like,

887
00:45:14,519 --> 00:45:17,960
the the need to win tax is alive and well

888
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:21,280
here on the Jays right like that's probably but the

889
00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:24,400
Jay I will so two things. One, the books are

890
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:26,800
pricing in the need to win for the J's. Two,

891
00:45:27,400 --> 00:45:30,440
the Blue Jays tend to be a little bit inflated.

892
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:30,840
Speaker 1: When they play at home.

893
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:33,519
Speaker 2: Anyway, I'll be interested to see how this sort of

894
00:45:33,559 --> 00:45:35,599
goes throughout the day. If the Blue Jays take like

895
00:45:35,639 --> 00:45:38,400
a more money and drive that price down even more,

896
00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:40,679
it would be hard for me to not get involved

897
00:45:40,679 --> 00:45:42,519
with the race here. So let me talk about Adrian

898
00:45:42,559 --> 00:45:45,519
Houser for a minute, because that kind of makes a

899
00:45:45,559 --> 00:45:47,599
handicap for me. So this is a guy that I

900
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:51,000
I not intentionally, but it was just something I kind

901
00:45:51,000 --> 00:45:53,079
of picked up along the way watching minor league baseball

902
00:45:53,119 --> 00:45:56,119
this year and then kind of decided to follow his season.

903
00:45:56,719 --> 00:45:58,639
Speaker 1: He started the year in the Rangers organization.

904
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:01,519
Speaker 2: He was throwing the ball so good at Round Rock

905
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:05,880
that the Triple A manager who they interviewed like before

906
00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:07,360
one of the Round Rock games.

907
00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:08,679
Speaker 1: I just happened to have it on, so I was

908
00:46:08,679 --> 00:46:09,800
waiting for the game to start.

909
00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:12,679
Speaker 2: They talked to the Triple A manager and he pretty

910
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,320
much like almost was like, man, I wish he could

911
00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:19,400
have like maybe not thrown as well yesterday because they

912
00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:21,280
were about to put him on he was gonna have

913
00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:23,199
to go on waivers and they were gonna need to

914
00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:25,360
sign him to a new minor league contract. And I

915
00:46:25,400 --> 00:46:27,960
think he was like joking to an extent. I don't

916
00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:30,400
think he wants him to pitch poorly, but it was

917
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:32,400
like he went out and threw eight shutout innings and

918
00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:36,440
it almost like alerted the league to like, oh, who's this, Like, oh,

919
00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:38,880
this guy's out here, because remember Adrian Howse was a

920
00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:41,960
veteran guy. I think he's just thrilled to be back

921
00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:44,639
in the big leagues in a starting rotation. That's the

922
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:46,280
vibe I got from him earlier in the year. He

923
00:46:46,360 --> 00:46:48,679
just wanted a chance he gets to the White Sox.

924
00:46:48,719 --> 00:46:51,119
They interviewed him like early on during his time with

925
00:46:51,159 --> 00:46:53,840
the White Sox, which was very good. That was he

926
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:56,679
was playing meaningless ball for the White Sox, so again,

927
00:46:57,239 --> 00:46:58,880
you know, none of those games had any meaning The

928
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:01,039
socks when they picked him up. Where thirty games under

929
00:47:01,039 --> 00:47:02,920
five hundred, and he threw the ball great, and he

930
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:06,320
was just very grateful to be back in a rotation

931
00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:09,239
because you know, you get to his age, you don't

932
00:47:09,239 --> 00:47:11,119
know if you're going to get back into a starting rotation.

933
00:47:11,199 --> 00:47:13,519
So he was he was thrilled for the opportunity. He's

934
00:47:13,519 --> 00:47:17,039
thrown it. Well, he's now on the Rays's he continues

935
00:47:17,079 --> 00:47:21,199
to throw the ball. Well, you know, groundball percentage is great.

936
00:47:21,599 --> 00:47:23,800
He's got pretty you know, he doesn't get a ton

937
00:47:23,840 --> 00:47:25,320
of swinging miss But if you keep the ball on

938
00:47:25,360 --> 00:47:28,119
the ground and you're in, you're not getting totally smoked.

939
00:47:28,159 --> 00:47:32,920
From like a hard hit standpoint, you're typically okay. And

940
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:35,440
he does seem to give up some hard contact, but again,

941
00:47:35,599 --> 00:47:37,599
if you're keeping the ball on the ground, it tends

942
00:47:37,599 --> 00:47:40,440
to not be the end of the world. Like you know,

943
00:47:40,519 --> 00:47:43,400
sometimes you might get blown up, but usually you're all right.

944
00:47:44,039 --> 00:47:46,000
That's what he you know, last time out against the

945
00:47:46,039 --> 00:47:49,079
Red Sox, quality start start before quality start against the

946
00:47:49,079 --> 00:47:51,400
Cubs start before that five and a third against the

947
00:47:51,400 --> 00:47:55,519
White Sox was you know, nine strikeouts start before that

948
00:47:55,599 --> 00:47:59,119
seven innings, four runs, eight strikeouts against the Mariners, go

949
00:47:59,199 --> 00:48:02,519
back his whole seat. There's very few times that he's

950
00:48:02,559 --> 00:48:05,679
just picked bad right. It's it's pretty much like he

951
00:48:05,760 --> 00:48:09,440
goes out five six innings. It's solid, gives his team

952
00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:12,519
a chance to win. I'll go back to both of

953
00:48:12,519 --> 00:48:15,119
you guys said about the Blue Jays. I'm not We

954
00:48:15,159 --> 00:48:18,079
talked about this yesterday. This lineup has been poor for

955
00:48:18,119 --> 00:48:20,159
a couple of weeks, like for a few weeks now.

956
00:48:20,519 --> 00:48:20,920
Speaker 1: And.

957
00:48:22,239 --> 00:48:23,960
Speaker 2: Now they're in the spot where they're gonna feel like

958
00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:26,519
they need to generate offense, need to win. We've got

959
00:48:26,519 --> 00:48:28,360
the Yankees. We're tied with the Yankees. We had this

960
00:48:28,519 --> 00:48:31,119
lead for all this time, and now we're about to

961
00:48:31,159 --> 00:48:33,119
lose the division on the last weekend of the season.

962
00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:36,239
I don't like that at all for the Jas at

963
00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:38,599
this price, I think that this is a crazy price

964
00:48:38,599 --> 00:48:40,559
for them. So I'm with you guys. And if Brian

965
00:48:40,599 --> 00:48:42,159
didn't throw it in the parlay, I might have. So

966
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:44,559
I think it's a good I think you're onto something

967
00:48:44,599 --> 00:48:45,480
with the race for sure.

968
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:49,880
Speaker 1: Good. I want to go to a chat comment quick uh.

969
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:53,119
Speaker 2: Fixer says raised Rep five to two in the eighth

970
00:48:53,119 --> 00:48:55,119
for soils and instead of sending their best relievers. They

971
00:48:55,159 --> 00:48:57,239
left some pitcher in there knowing that he was getting

972
00:48:57,280 --> 00:49:00,880
hit up. Not a team that should be even for

973
00:49:00,920 --> 00:49:03,679
the price. This is kind of what I'm talking about though.

974
00:49:03,679 --> 00:49:06,440
With some of these teams, it's like, yes, the Rays

975
00:49:07,480 --> 00:49:11,559
focus right now is not like burning out every relief arm.

976
00:49:11,599 --> 00:49:13,400
So that could have been a scenario where they just

977
00:49:13,440 --> 00:49:15,559
wanted to see what a guy had. But it's like,

978
00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:17,960
you're still going to see them mix up excuse me,

979
00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:19,840
You're still going to see them mix up the relievers.

980
00:49:20,119 --> 00:49:22,559
You're probably going to see the guys that didn't pitch yesterday.

981
00:49:22,800 --> 00:49:25,719
So I don't think that's a reason to say like, oh, okay,

982
00:49:25,599 --> 00:49:28,440
they're just out there trying to trying to tank games.

983
00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:32,280
It's just, you know, that's why I think you're getting

984
00:49:32,320 --> 00:49:34,320
plus one sixty. You're gonna have to live with a

985
00:49:34,320 --> 00:49:36,519
little of that. I think you can live with it. Here,

986
00:49:36,559 --> 00:49:37,119
go ahead, Brian.

987
00:49:37,719 --> 00:49:41,199
Speaker 3: Yeah, Wednesday they used their best five relievers. They didn't

988
00:49:41,280 --> 00:49:44,320
use them yesterday, so they may have been the case.

989
00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:46,679
Kenna Kelly was out there. He blew it last night.

990
00:49:46,960 --> 00:49:50,880
He's their sixth best reliever, at least from he's a

991
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:55,679
middle reliever. But that the games like the wins losses

992
00:49:56,199 --> 00:49:59,039
don't mean as much for Tampa as obviously they would

993
00:49:59,039 --> 00:50:02,159
for Toronto. But I could see why they did that yesterday.

994
00:50:02,599 --> 00:50:06,000
That way, the rest of the weekend series they would

995
00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:07,840
be able to use any of their guys at any time.

996
00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:11,199
So that's a good point that the listener made. But

997
00:50:11,679 --> 00:50:13,119
I'm not rating too much into.

998
00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:16,320
Speaker 1: That, Russell.

999
00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:19,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, we'll be on through the playoffs, same show, same time,

1000
00:50:19,599 --> 00:50:22,960
same place. As long as they're playing baseball, we're gonna

1001
00:50:23,159 --> 00:50:24,559
do the show. As it gets to the end of

1002
00:50:24,559 --> 00:50:27,199
the playoffs, the show maybe a little bit shorter because

1003
00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:30,280
of course we'll have less games, but yeah, same show

1004
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:34,199
Monday through Friday, nine am Eastern through the playoffs. All right, Tokyo, Brandon,

1005
00:50:34,239 --> 00:50:36,559
do you have a game you want to talk about

1006
00:50:37,599 --> 00:50:39,400
for the parlay or do you know what did you

1007
00:50:39,519 --> 00:50:41,239
did your parley league come from a game that we've

1008
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:42,039
already discussed.

1009
00:50:42,400 --> 00:50:44,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think, by the way, I have a new

1010
00:50:44,960 --> 00:50:48,159
appreciation for what's brought what Brian's doing after I spent

1011
00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:50,960
two or ten days waking up at six in the

1012
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:56,599
morning to do the show. Couldn't couldn't drink this well that,

1013
00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:59,039
but I can do it now. It's Friday Night. So,

1014
00:50:59,599 --> 00:51:03,280
by the way, this Apple is really good. Uh. Anyways,

1015
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:07,000
I liked Regular better though, but Apple's pretty good. I'm

1016
00:51:07,039 --> 00:51:09,880
gonna do the Yankees game. I'm can I do a

1017
00:51:09,920 --> 00:51:12,039
first five team total or do?

1018
00:51:12,159 --> 00:51:14,639
Speaker 2: People might get that now you can do it, they'll

1019
00:51:14,639 --> 00:51:16,400
have people can adjust if they need to adjust.

1020
00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:17,760
Speaker 1: But yeah, you're you're good to go there.

1021
00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:20,079
Speaker 4: I like I like the Yankees under two and a

1022
00:51:20,159 --> 00:51:23,880
half in the first five. It's minus one forty where

1023
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:26,679
I'm seeing it. And you guys out there, if you

1024
00:51:26,679 --> 00:51:28,920
can't get that, then you can take the Yankees team

1025
00:51:29,000 --> 00:51:31,360
total under four and a half for the game. But

1026
00:51:31,840 --> 00:51:34,320
I like the first five better. So that's gonna be

1027
00:51:34,599 --> 00:51:35,800
my leg of the parlay.

1028
00:51:37,719 --> 00:51:39,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, and if you can't, if you can't, you know,

1029
00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:42,559
if you want another option again, like I I was

1030
00:51:42,599 --> 00:51:45,119
thinking about using Orioles plus a half run in the

1031
00:51:45,119 --> 00:51:47,320
first five for my leg. I'm not going to do

1032
00:51:47,320 --> 00:51:49,440
it now because you've you've used the game already, but

1033
00:51:49,559 --> 00:51:51,679
like that is, if you can't get that team total,

1034
00:51:51,719 --> 00:51:55,400
that's that's another option where you're where you're essentially betting

1035
00:51:55,440 --> 00:51:58,360
on Trevor Rodgers, which is kind of what Tokyo Brandon

1036
00:51:58,440 --> 00:52:00,199
is doing with his first five that which I very

1037
00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:00,840
much agree with.

1038
00:52:00,880 --> 00:52:03,320
Speaker 1: So I think I think you're good either end.

1039
00:52:04,400 --> 00:52:08,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, and and I'm also going to be a pig

1040
00:52:08,559 --> 00:52:10,920
and suggests a game that we do right now.

1041
00:52:11,320 --> 00:52:12,280
Speaker 1: Go ahead, that's fine.

1042
00:52:12,960 --> 00:52:15,000
Speaker 4: I want to know what you guys think about Jason

1043
00:52:15,039 --> 00:52:22,840
Alexander from Seinfeld Astros going against the Angels today. Actually

1044
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:27,159
have Kyle Hendricks ranked higher than Alexander, but I don't

1045
00:52:27,199 --> 00:52:30,320
think that can be true, could it? Now? I have

1046
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:36,719
them pretty equal, and I have I have the Astros

1047
00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:39,039
better at the Angels at almost everything, but just a

1048
00:52:39,039 --> 00:52:42,760
little bit better. The Astros had only scored seven runs

1049
00:52:42,800 --> 00:52:45,519
in five games until yesterday. They just blew up for

1050
00:52:45,639 --> 00:52:49,800
eleven or something like that. So I'm curious to hear

1051
00:52:49,800 --> 00:52:53,440
what you guys think about the Astros because I'm tempted

1052
00:52:53,480 --> 00:52:55,519
to take them, but I haven't done it yet, just

1053
00:52:55,559 --> 00:53:00,639
because they've been playing a little suspect lately. So, uh,

1054
00:53:01,079 --> 00:53:01,920
what do you think, Brian?

1055
00:53:02,719 --> 00:53:05,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, they weren't playing the Angels. The Angels I think

1056
00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:09,639
have given up, but the line's too high. If you

1057
00:53:09,639 --> 00:53:14,119
ask me, Houston Alexander against Hendricks for LA you're looking

1058
00:53:14,159 --> 00:53:16,920
at basically, Houston's about a one thirty one thirty two

1059
00:53:16,960 --> 00:53:21,079
favorite something of that effect a total of nine. Jason

1060
00:53:21,119 --> 00:53:25,079
Alexander comes in and he's got a four point five

1061
00:53:25,079 --> 00:53:27,679
excuse me, four point eight three ERA four point seven

1062
00:53:27,800 --> 00:53:30,719
zero expected one point thirty nine whip. That's his major

1063
00:53:30,760 --> 00:53:34,719
problems his whip. But if you look at his statcast page,

1064
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:38,400
ground ball rate sixty six percentile, that's good. But he's

1065
00:53:38,679 --> 00:53:42,119
first percent talent, chase rate ten percent tle, hard hit

1066
00:53:42,239 --> 00:53:46,800
rate ten percentile in fastball velocity. He's a guy who

1067
00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:49,400
can get hit, and that's the kind of people that

1068
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:53,000
the Angels could have some success against. Now you look

1069
00:53:53,000 --> 00:53:57,639
at Kyle Hendricks and I understand why your numbers have

1070
00:53:57,760 --> 00:54:01,320
him a little bit better, because as opposed to Alexander,

1071
00:54:01,400 --> 00:54:03,920
he's got a lot of red on his tech guest

1072
00:54:04,000 --> 00:54:08,800
page ninety fifth percentile and Abajackson velocity eighty first and

1073
00:54:08,920 --> 00:54:12,000
chase rate seventy six in walk rate ninety first and

1074
00:54:12,079 --> 00:54:17,480
hard hit rate. The problem similar to Alexander fastball velocity

1075
00:54:17,599 --> 00:54:20,079
only in the first percentile. He only throws seventy nine

1076
00:54:20,119 --> 00:54:24,039
point five miles an hour on his change in, eighty

1077
00:54:24,119 --> 00:54:28,440
six on his sinker and eighty six on his four seam,

1078
00:54:28,519 --> 00:54:30,800
so he's below average by about nine miles an hour

1079
00:54:30,880 --> 00:54:34,159
on his four singer He's fifth right, third percentile, strike

1080
00:54:34,199 --> 00:54:37,760
out rate, seventh and extension but despite being six foot three,

1081
00:54:38,119 --> 00:54:40,880
have an extension of in the first percentile. It is

1082
00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:45,599
kind of strange, but he's a guy who is having it,

1083
00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:49,639
I guess a decent season considering they've gotten him for

1084
00:54:49,840 --> 00:54:53,559
basically nothing and he's given him good innings all season long.

1085
00:54:53,800 --> 00:54:56,760
But do you trust the Angels right now from a

1086
00:54:56,840 --> 00:55:02,039
hitting standpoint? They are second to last again, right above Colorado,

1087
00:55:02,079 --> 00:55:06,639
with a seventy seven WRC plus the last two weeks,

1088
00:55:07,400 --> 00:55:10,639
and Houston's a team that has not been hitting much

1089
00:55:10,679 --> 00:55:14,719
better the bottom. Here's your bottom for the last two

1090
00:55:14,760 --> 00:55:19,199
weeks in WRC plus, going from bottom to top. Colorado,

1091
00:55:19,679 --> 00:55:26,679
the Angels, Cleveland, Houston, Pittsburgh, Washington, Saint Louis, Cincinnati, Chicago

1092
00:55:26,719 --> 00:55:30,719
White Sox. Not allowed to good hitting in that group,

1093
00:55:30,719 --> 00:55:32,400
and most of them are out of the playoffs except

1094
00:55:32,440 --> 00:55:38,440
for Cincinnati and Houston and Cleveland. They all have week

1095
00:55:38,719 --> 00:55:41,880
situations from the hitters, and I talked about yesterday. Houston,

1096
00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:46,960
their best hitter has been hurt, their leadoff hitter, So yeah,

1097
00:55:47,119 --> 00:55:49,480
if I played it, I'd play the Angels, but I'd

1098
00:55:49,519 --> 00:55:52,599
feel a little bit more confident if Houston was playing

1099
00:55:52,679 --> 00:55:54,920
another team that was playing a little bit better ball

1100
00:55:55,000 --> 00:55:57,360
right now. But I don't want to lay one thirty

1101
00:55:57,840 --> 00:55:59,599
in that range on the road with Houston right now,

1102
00:55:59,599 --> 00:56:00,199
I'll tell you that.

1103
00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:04,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's kind of where I'm at as well. I

1104
00:56:04,400 --> 00:56:07,920
don't I have no issues playing against the Astros. I

1105
00:56:07,960 --> 00:56:10,400
don't really. I haven't really liked Alexander all year. I

1106
00:56:10,400 --> 00:56:11,960
feel like he's pitched over his head a little bit,

1107
00:56:12,079 --> 00:56:16,599
not really an an MLB rotation piece in my opinion,

1108
00:56:17,039 --> 00:56:19,800
Like he's someone I would want to go against. But

1109
00:56:19,840 --> 00:56:22,559
the Angels just that they've been a tough team to

1110
00:56:22,599 --> 00:56:25,079
back for a couple of weeks now run differential on.

1111
00:56:25,000 --> 00:56:25,519
Speaker 4: The season year.

1112
00:56:27,320 --> 00:56:28,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, but that's the thing.

1113
00:56:28,199 --> 00:56:31,039
Speaker 2: We had this conversation when you on one of the days,

1114
00:56:31,079 --> 00:56:33,519
the last couple of days, and like for the first

1115
00:56:33,559 --> 00:56:35,760
like three or four months of the year, they really

1116
00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:38,440
were going out there giving an effort, winning games, hanging

1117
00:56:38,480 --> 00:56:41,000
around five hundred. I never thought it was realistic, and

1118
00:56:41,880 --> 00:56:44,519
it's now the last couple of months is what I

1119
00:56:44,519 --> 00:56:46,920
thought we were going to see from them all year.

1120
00:56:46,960 --> 00:56:50,360
I mean, they're they're gonna end up where I thought

1121
00:56:50,400 --> 00:56:52,760
they would probably end up, actually probably a little bit better.

1122
00:56:52,760 --> 00:56:54,199
I didn't think the Angels were going to get the

1123
00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:56,239
seventy wins this season, So the fact that they're at

1124
00:56:56,280 --> 00:57:00,480
seventy one, they they've been better than I could imagine

1125
00:57:00,480 --> 00:57:04,119
they would be. But all of the bad is right now,

1126
00:57:04,320 --> 00:57:06,559
like all of the bad is the last couple of weeks.

1127
00:57:06,559 --> 00:57:07,880
So go ahead, Brian, what were you going.

1128
00:57:07,880 --> 00:57:10,719
Speaker 3: To say, Well, we haven't had a lot of comedy

1129
00:57:10,719 --> 00:57:12,239
on the show at six o'clock in the morning out

1130
00:57:12,280 --> 00:57:15,400
here in Vegas. But since Jason Alexander is pitching for

1131
00:57:15,480 --> 00:57:17,679
Houston today, you can say the Houston Bats have had

1132
00:57:17,719 --> 00:57:19,880
a little bit of shrinkage second half of the season.

1133
00:57:21,719 --> 00:57:25,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, listen, that was one of the big points I made.

1134
00:57:25,599 --> 00:57:29,239
I cashed my Mariners Al West bet, and one of

1135
00:57:29,239 --> 00:57:31,920
the reasons I liked that was, you know, looking at

1136
00:57:32,079 --> 00:57:35,480
Houston's lineup, I'm like, this looks like sugar Lands lineup.

1137
00:57:35,239 --> 00:57:37,199
Speaker 1: And this team's twenty games over five hundred. How is

1138
00:57:37,199 --> 00:57:38,039
that even possible?

1139
00:57:38,320 --> 00:57:41,360
Speaker 2: Well, it really wasn't possible, at least for them to

1140
00:57:41,440 --> 00:57:42,199
keep that going.

1141
00:57:43,159 --> 00:57:44,920
Speaker 1: Now, the Astros.

1142
00:57:44,400 --> 00:57:47,840
Speaker 2: One thing I'll give the Astros here is that as

1143
00:57:47,880 --> 00:57:51,239
an organization, they have a culture of winning. Okay, that

1144
00:57:51,280 --> 00:57:55,280
they are an organization that tends to win the big game.

1145
00:57:55,800 --> 00:57:57,039
Speaker 1: They have a winning culture.

1146
00:57:57,559 --> 00:58:01,280
Speaker 2: And I wouldn't be at all surprised if they go

1147
00:58:01,400 --> 00:58:04,480
out sweep the Angels this weekend and they're the final

1148
00:58:04,480 --> 00:58:06,280
team in the wild card and suddenly they're a pain

1149
00:58:06,360 --> 00:58:09,119
in the playoffs, because it's just the culture that's been

1150
00:58:09,119 --> 00:58:12,159
built in that Astros organization for the past ten years.

1151
00:58:13,679 --> 00:58:17,079
It makes this a very challenging handicap because if I'm

1152
00:58:17,079 --> 00:58:20,039
looking at the starting pitchers, there's more to like about Hendricks.

1153
00:58:20,159 --> 00:58:22,280
The one thing I've said about Hendricks all year, he's

1154
00:58:22,320 --> 00:58:24,760
in numbers accumulator. So when you look at his numbers,

1155
00:58:25,199 --> 00:58:29,639
you know he's out there accumulating like stats because he's

1156
00:58:29,719 --> 00:58:33,360
very consistent. He's throwing strikes, he's not giving up like

1157
00:58:33,639 --> 00:58:36,079
a ton of really doesn't give up much hard contact.

1158
00:58:36,119 --> 00:58:41,679
But a pitcher like that who throws eighty six if

1159
00:58:41,760 --> 00:58:44,039
they if they are bad, they're gonna get crushed. And

1160
00:58:44,079 --> 00:58:45,880
that's what we saw when he faced the Mariners. Two

1161
00:58:45,960 --> 00:58:48,760
starts to go, nine runs, ten hits, three and a thirty.

1162
00:58:49,119 --> 00:58:49,760
Speaker 1: Hasn't had that.

1163
00:58:49,760 --> 00:58:52,199
Speaker 2: Many of those this year, but the potential is always

1164
00:58:52,199 --> 00:58:57,159
there for Hendricks to have a start like that. I again,

1165
00:58:57,199 --> 00:58:59,360
it'll be It'll be interesting to see how this plays out.

1166
00:58:59,679 --> 00:59:01,559
I think I'm with Brian. I'd love to find a

1167
00:59:01,840 --> 00:59:03,440
way to play the Angels. I just don't have any

1168
00:59:03,480 --> 00:59:06,400
faith in them as a team right now, So I'm

1169
00:59:06,400 --> 00:59:08,719
out on this one. But I will close out of

1170
00:59:08,800 --> 00:59:11,360
parlay with that Cubs Cardinals over that That's gonna be

1171
00:59:11,400 --> 00:59:13,760
where I'm gonna go for the parlay. Brian, What am

1172
00:59:13,800 --> 00:59:15,840
I looking at for a market price on that right now?

1173
00:59:15,880 --> 00:59:17,119
Is it nine still.

1174
00:59:18,360 --> 00:59:22,679
Speaker 3: Current number for the Cubs and St. Louis? It's nine

1175
00:59:23,920 --> 00:59:28,039
over like minus one oh four or something in that range.

1176
00:59:30,079 --> 00:59:32,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's moving a little bit toward where I expected

1177
00:59:32,719 --> 00:59:34,679
it to move. It was there was when we got

1178
00:59:34,719 --> 00:59:36,039
on the show. You could have got a couple of

1179
00:59:36,119 --> 00:59:38,320
nine like plus Moneys. I didn't think that would hang

1180
00:59:38,360 --> 00:59:41,840
around very long and it hasn't. Just to feel like

1181
00:59:41,840 --> 00:59:43,079
it could be a little bit of a free for

1182
00:59:43,159 --> 00:59:45,960
all type game at Wrigley, neither team's desperate to win.

1183
00:59:46,119 --> 00:59:48,119
Kobbe starting to swing the bat well and if you

1184
00:59:48,159 --> 00:59:51,079
missed us talk about that game as always. This show

1185
00:59:51,119 --> 00:59:53,159
is up live and on demand on the way You're

1186
00:59:53,159 --> 00:59:55,760
Talking YouTube channel. You can head back and see our

1187
00:59:55,800 --> 00:59:58,280
full breakdown of Cubs Cardinals. But that's where I'm going

1188
00:59:58,320 --> 01:00:02,119
to go for the parlay. So let's get a part.

1189
01:00:02,360 --> 01:00:04,960
Let's get a price here. It's the last three. This

1190
01:00:05,000 --> 01:00:07,119
is gonna be a good price. Brian Leonard's like, we're

1191
01:00:07,119 --> 01:00:09,400
not fing around last one of the regular season. We're

1192
01:00:09,440 --> 01:00:12,480
gonna throw minus or plus one sixty in there. So

1193
01:00:12,599 --> 01:00:15,320
this actually might this might come out to be the

1194
01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:18,280
biggest price we've had. Well, no, not not not so much.

1195
01:00:18,280 --> 01:00:20,679
Forgot there was minus minus one forty on an under

1196
01:00:20,719 --> 01:00:22,480
two and a half, Brian, Is that what we said?

1197
01:00:22,880 --> 01:00:26,599
The team total minus one forty Yankees team total under

1198
01:00:26,639 --> 01:00:27,199
two and a half?

1199
01:00:27,840 --> 01:00:29,280
Speaker 3: Is that first five?

1200
01:00:29,920 --> 01:00:30,760
Speaker 1: First five? Sorry?

1201
01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:39,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, team totally Yankees? Yeah, two and a half minus.

1202
01:00:41,000 --> 01:00:43,000
Speaker 2: It's not the biggest one we've had because we've had

1203
01:00:43,039 --> 01:00:44,559
a couple nine to one shots this year.

1204
01:00:44,559 --> 01:00:46,000
Speaker 1: I do remember that off the top of my head.

1205
01:00:46,000 --> 01:00:49,039
Speaker 2: But plus seven sixty seven, what a what a way

1206
01:00:49,079 --> 01:00:50,920
to end the regular season. If we can hit this

1207
01:00:51,880 --> 01:00:54,280
the it's gonna be so my leg will go during

1208
01:00:54,280 --> 01:00:56,480
the day, So I guess we'll know early if we're

1209
01:00:56,519 --> 01:01:01,159
alive or not. Cubs Cardinals over nine in the day Tokyo,

1210
01:01:01,280 --> 01:01:04,800
Brandon is going with the Yankees first five under two

1211
01:01:04,840 --> 01:01:07,119
and a half. That's a team total. So Yankees team

1212
01:01:07,239 --> 01:01:10,199
total under two and a half in the first five.

1213
01:01:10,559 --> 01:01:13,840
Brian Leonard says, raised money line. That's just raised plus

1214
01:01:13,840 --> 01:01:16,559
one fifty nine plus one sixty whatever you can get

1215
01:01:16,559 --> 01:01:19,360
it at. Obviously shop it around, that's gonna come out

1216
01:01:19,400 --> 01:01:22,360
plus seven sixty seven ons. So one more time. Cubs

1217
01:01:22,360 --> 01:01:26,719
Cardinal's over nine, Yankee's first five team total under two

1218
01:01:26,719 --> 01:01:30,559
and a half, raise money line. It would be a

1219
01:01:30,599 --> 01:01:32,079
great way to end the season if we can get

1220
01:01:32,119 --> 01:01:33,440
it done. Go go ahead, Brian.

1221
01:01:33,360 --> 01:01:37,760
Speaker 3: What's our our year today going into today? On the

1222
01:01:37,920 --> 01:01:39,119
on the sparlers.

1223
01:01:40,320 --> 01:01:41,039
Speaker 1: Going up.

1224
01:01:41,360 --> 01:01:44,719
Speaker 4: Let me remind everyone that wayser Talk allows us to

1225
01:01:44,760 --> 01:01:49,679
put MLB plays out for nine dollars now if they're not, so,

1226
01:01:50,880 --> 01:01:54,159
if Brian, Adam or I have an MLB play out today,

1227
01:01:54,159 --> 01:01:57,840
they will be nine dollars. So if they're not a

1228
01:01:57,880 --> 01:02:00,679
five percent, so go to waysjatalk dot com and see

1229
01:02:00,719 --> 01:02:03,119
what MLB we have up for nine bucks.

1230
01:02:04,079 --> 01:02:06,800
Speaker 2: So to answer your question, Brian up three point one

1231
01:02:06,880 --> 01:02:09,119
four units, or if you were to play them, you know,

1232
01:02:09,199 --> 01:02:11,039
if you were to play them even evenly for the

1233
01:02:11,039 --> 01:02:14,400
same amount all year, a dollar has returned three dollars

1234
01:02:14,400 --> 01:02:17,480
and fourteen cents, So not that. Again, the fact that

1235
01:02:17,519 --> 01:02:18,880
we're even ahead on these.

1236
01:02:18,880 --> 01:02:21,880
Speaker 3: Is we're aligning the regular season with a winning record,

1237
01:02:21,920 --> 01:02:24,239
which is pretty impressive. When we get to the playoffs

1238
01:02:24,239 --> 01:02:25,880
and there's only a certain amount of games, it's going

1239
01:02:25,920 --> 01:02:28,199
to be honest with it, it's gonna be tougher. We

1240
01:02:28,280 --> 01:02:29,920
may have to use some player props or.

1241
01:02:29,920 --> 01:02:33,639
Speaker 1: Something, yeah, or what we'll we'll we'll see how it goes.

1242
01:02:33,679 --> 01:02:36,119
Speaker 2: I think, like, you know, we could always just if

1243
01:02:36,119 --> 01:02:38,400
we kind of agree on something, we could almost do

1244
01:02:38,480 --> 01:02:40,599
like a consensus type thing where it's like, oh, do

1245
01:02:40,800 --> 01:02:42,480
we like this one and maybe we only end up

1246
01:02:42,519 --> 01:02:45,239
with a two teamer, but yeah, we could always do

1247
01:02:45,320 --> 01:02:45,880
that as well.

1248
01:02:45,960 --> 01:02:47,880
Speaker 1: We'll see how it goes. Let's see how today goes.

1249
01:02:48,079 --> 01:02:51,159
Speaker 2: And of course early next week I think we should

1250
01:02:51,159 --> 01:02:52,960
have you know, we're going to have options those there

1251
01:02:53,000 --> 01:02:55,199
should be four games a day at least for a

1252
01:02:55,239 --> 01:03:00,400
couple of days. My guess is we'll be back on Twouesday.

1253
01:03:01,000 --> 01:03:02,480
I don't think there's games on Monday.

1254
01:03:02,679 --> 01:03:10,360
Speaker 1: Is that correct? Is Monday looked yet? So yeah, yeah,

1255
01:03:10,400 --> 01:03:11,320
so so Monday.

1256
01:03:11,639 --> 01:03:14,039
Speaker 2: So Monday, we will not have a show because it's

1257
01:03:14,079 --> 01:03:17,360
a it's a league wide off day. The playoffs start Tuesday,

1258
01:03:17,440 --> 01:03:21,960
so we will be back Tuesday, nine am Eastern. Four

1259
01:03:22,239 --> 01:03:24,840
games in the in the play and round, and we

1260
01:03:24,920 --> 01:03:30,599
will be with you, I believe, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, because

1261
01:03:30,679 --> 01:03:32,719
Friday is also an off day.

1262
01:03:32,760 --> 01:03:34,480
Speaker 1: So that's the schedule for next week.

1263
01:03:34,559 --> 01:03:38,880
Speaker 2: Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, normal show, full hour, nine am Eastern.

1264
01:03:38,960 --> 01:03:42,000
We'll be breaking down the wild Card round of the playoffs.

1265
01:03:42,079 --> 01:03:44,880
And yeah, hope you have a great weekend. Let's hit

1266
01:03:44,880 --> 01:03:47,960
one more parlay cash are your tickets, don't forget nine dollars.

1267
01:03:48,039 --> 01:03:50,559
MLB plays up on all of our pages, and we'll

1268
01:03:50,559 --> 01:03:55,679
see you guys Tuesday,