1
00:00:01,439 --> 00:00:02,480
Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody?

2
00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:06,000
Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,

3
00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:10,759
we always start this show by being transparent. Yesterday, good day,

4
00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:13,080
two and oh day much needed two and o day

5
00:00:13,679 --> 00:00:16,280
aces team total under eighty two and a half or

6
00:00:16,320 --> 00:00:18,399
eighty one and a half. Whatever you got was a winner.

7
00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:20,960
And then I had the full game under one fifty

8
00:00:21,039 --> 00:00:21,760
nine and a half.

9
00:00:21,839 --> 00:00:23,239
Speaker 1: So love that.

10
00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:26,640
Speaker 2: Try to keep that going here today, Raveno, how was

11
00:00:26,679 --> 00:00:28,640
everything for you yesterday? How are you doing today?

12
00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:32,920
Speaker 3: I'm good today, Ski. Yesterday was a nothing day for

13
00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:34,799
me because I didn't play. I found out a little

14
00:00:34,799 --> 00:00:37,159
too late that Tiffany Hayes was going to be in

15
00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:38,960
the starting line up. Otherwise I would have played, and

16
00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:43,320
I probably would have lost with plus five on Golden State.

17
00:00:44,119 --> 00:00:46,679
But luckily for me, I didn't see it until late,

18
00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:50,479
didn't get there. So we're gonna start tonight. We got

19
00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:52,359
three games. See what we can do with these. I

20
00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:54,280
kind of like a couple of these, so see if

21
00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:55,399
we can get paid here.

22
00:00:56,799 --> 00:00:59,439
Speaker 1: Let's do it three games. We'll go on rotation order.

23
00:01:00,039 --> 00:01:01,000
We always do that.

24
00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:05,359
Speaker 2: Means first up, it's six thirteen, six fourteen, Dream and

25
00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:08,120
Sky opened up minus nine and a half for Atlanta

26
00:01:08,159 --> 00:01:12,079
on the road. Now up, I'm seeing pretty much eleven's

27
00:01:12,079 --> 00:01:16,040
a couple ten and a half total open one fifty

28
00:01:16,079 --> 00:01:18,719
eight and a half, and it's its highest one sixty

29
00:01:18,799 --> 00:01:20,879
one and a half depending where you shop, a lot

30
00:01:20,879 --> 00:01:25,879
of different numbers out there for Atlanta. Ryan Howard out,

31
00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:29,640
Grinder out, Maya Caldwell out.

32
00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:30,239
Speaker 1: So there.

33
00:01:30,519 --> 00:01:36,959
Speaker 2: I mean, it looks like more players than usual, and

34
00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:39,760
I don't necessarily think Grinder is that big of a

35
00:01:39,799 --> 00:01:43,840
deal anymore, but few players out for Atlanta. For Chicago,

36
00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:48,560
no Angel Reese, but Aero Akins game time. I'm pretty

37
00:01:48,560 --> 00:01:50,840
sure I saw her a shoot around or a tweet

38
00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:54,200
that says she participated in shoot around. Hayley van Lytt

39
00:01:54,599 --> 00:01:59,959
and Onion Wherry are probable. Atlanta has been playing really

40
00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:04,319
will you know? I'll say this, If you think Atlanta's

41
00:02:04,359 --> 00:02:08,039
gonna win, like majority of their wins, they've been hitting

42
00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:08,879
eighty five points.

43
00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:09,680
Speaker 1: I know that at least.

44
00:02:09,719 --> 00:02:11,400
Speaker 2: So I'm not sure what the team total we're looking

45
00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,080
at for today, but maybe that's an option if you

46
00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:18,199
think they're going to score. But I'm curious, how are

47
00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:19,439
you looking at this game today?

48
00:02:20,599 --> 00:02:22,919
Speaker 3: Well, that's exactly how I looked at it. At first,

49
00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:26,919
I looked at it as a full game over. The

50
00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:31,560
game time decision on Ariel Atkins kind of pushed me

51
00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:34,080
off a little bit. Then I did see the footage

52
00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:36,560
of her at practice or at shoot around this morning,

53
00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:40,840
So we're kind of in between here, depending upon what

54
00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,000
you read. The team is going to be cautious with her.

55
00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:45,879
Maybe the team does start her, not really sure. So

56
00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,800
I thought the dependable thing here was the Atlanta offense.

57
00:02:48,879 --> 00:02:51,599
The total team total is eighty five and a half

58
00:02:52,199 --> 00:02:54,120
at this point in time. Like you say, they've been

59
00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,479
scoring like crazy. I think it's eighty eight plus and

60
00:02:56,520 --> 00:03:01,159
five of their last six, So you gotta like it

61
00:03:01,199 --> 00:03:04,560
even without Maya called well, even without Britney Grinder. You know,

62
00:03:04,599 --> 00:03:06,479
the one thing about grinder Ski which led me the

63
00:03:06,479 --> 00:03:08,840
full game over at the beginning of this handicap is

64
00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:12,719
that it's a little less shot blocking or rim protection there.

65
00:03:12,759 --> 00:03:17,800
And perhaps Chicago with Cardozo, with Elizabeth Williams, they did

66
00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:20,360
a good job last game against Washington, maybe could do

67
00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:23,400
the same here and helped Chicago score points. But the

68
00:03:23,479 --> 00:03:26,120
Chicago defense is something I like to fade at this

69
00:03:26,199 --> 00:03:31,280
point in time. And the other day Atlanta got off

70
00:03:31,319 --> 00:03:34,360
to a twelve point first quarter and wound up scoring

71
00:03:34,439 --> 00:03:37,360
ninety nine. They scored eighty seven points in three quarters.

72
00:03:37,719 --> 00:03:41,280
The offense has just been that good. It looks like

73
00:03:41,319 --> 00:03:45,479
they'll probably go with pow Power in the starting lineup here, which,

74
00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:48,639
like I said, it shortens them up and maybe makes

75
00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,560
them a little weaker defensively, but certainly not offensively. So

76
00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,120
where I stand on this game, as I played, the

77
00:03:54,159 --> 00:03:57,400
Atlanta team total over eighty five and a half, and

78
00:03:57,439 --> 00:03:59,599
I'm still I may go back in and play the

79
00:03:59,599 --> 00:04:03,520
full game because if Fariol Atkins is in, it's a

80
00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,840
it's probably a better than one sixty and a half

81
00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:07,879
final score here.

82
00:04:07,919 --> 00:04:09,960
Speaker 4: So that that's the way I'm looking at this one.

83
00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:12,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, this one is.

84
00:04:12,639 --> 00:04:15,280
Speaker 2: This one's a little tough for me. You know, the

85
00:04:15,319 --> 00:04:18,959
sky before the previous game, they did fire the coach, right,

86
00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:22,319
and we always talk about that, you know, every sport,

87
00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:24,560
it doesn't even matter when the team fires the coach,

88
00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:27,839
we or when the organization fires a coach. You see

89
00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:30,920
the team and the players step up. I'm just curious

90
00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:33,279
if they can keep that going here for another night,

91
00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,439
if they can contribute. I'm not into lane in eleven

92
00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:38,720
with Atlanta I'll tell you that, especially on the road.

93
00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:42,279
So from a side perspective, I'm only trying to find

94
00:04:42,319 --> 00:04:46,000
reasons to back Chicago. I'm not sure if that magic

95
00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:50,639
will continue, but they're there. I think everybody will play

96
00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:53,959
except for Angel Reese, and that's a little healthier than

97
00:04:53,959 --> 00:04:57,759
they have been. We'll move it over to the next game.

98
00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:01,199
How about that? That looks like in Mercury and I

99
00:05:01,199 --> 00:05:02,959
have a little bit more opinions I think on this

100
00:05:03,079 --> 00:05:09,439
game opened up minus six for Phoenix and it's come

101
00:05:09,519 --> 00:05:12,600
down pretty much to three and a half everywhere total

102
00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:15,279
open one seventy and a half and it looks like

103
00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:17,600
it's up as high as one seventy.

104
00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:23,279
Speaker 1: Three injury report. So we did have a trade.

105
00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:24,560
Speaker 4: J C.

106
00:05:24,759 --> 00:05:28,480
Speaker 2: Sheldon was traded from the Sun to the Mystics for

107
00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:33,680
Eliah Edwards and I'm i mean Leah Ewards listed as Yeah,

108
00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:35,360
I'm pretty sure she's not gonna play. She just got

109
00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:40,879
traded there today. Bria Hartley was downgraded yesterday to questionable

110
00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:44,160
with an illness, and she still listed as questionable right now.

111
00:05:45,199 --> 00:05:49,720
As far as the I'm looking at the wrong game.

112
00:05:49,920 --> 00:05:51,160
If you know, you just let me go on to

113
00:05:51,199 --> 00:05:51,920
the wrong one.

114
00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:52,800
Speaker 3: I'm just running.

115
00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:54,920
Speaker 4: If we're starting to trend here with skipping.

116
00:05:54,639 --> 00:05:59,120
Speaker 3: Games, because we did it the other day too, we

117
00:05:59,160 --> 00:05:59,879
skipped ahead.

118
00:06:00,519 --> 00:06:03,680
Speaker 1: You know what it is. It's a it's my bad.

119
00:06:03,759 --> 00:06:06,560
Speaker 2: But usually this is in order as well, and this

120
00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:10,480
one was not in order. So that's my baut on

121
00:06:10,519 --> 00:06:12,959
that it's only Caitlin Clark out for this game. So

122
00:06:12,959 --> 00:06:14,319
I'm gonna just pass it to you Rob, you know,

123
00:06:14,439 --> 00:06:16,800
since I didn't even know what game we were talking about.

124
00:06:18,519 --> 00:06:22,680
Speaker 3: We got Indiana still on the road ski at Phoenix here.

125
00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:27,600
Phoenix did get that sixteen point win the other day

126
00:06:27,639 --> 00:06:32,480
against Connecticut. You could treat it two different ways. I mean,

127
00:06:32,519 --> 00:06:35,519
they did hold Connecticut the six points in the first quarter,

128
00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:39,079
Phoenix did. They got out to the big start, a

129
00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:43,519
huge lead, and some might say they took their foot

130
00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:45,879
off the gas and just coasted the rest of the way.

131
00:06:45,879 --> 00:06:49,000
But they did get out scored by the Sun the

132
00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:55,519
final three quarters sixteen to fifty eight, and they barely

133
00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:57,680
covered that number, right, I think they were laying fifteen.

134
00:06:57,720 --> 00:06:59,839
They won by sixteen. I know they covered, but it

135
00:06:59,920 --> 00:07:02,639
was really really close, and it probably shouldn't have been close.

136
00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:05,439
Speaker 4: Too. Sobbily came back.

137
00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,839
Speaker 3: And played a really good game looks like all things

138
00:07:07,839 --> 00:07:11,959
have been mended there and no problem. And Alyssa Thomas

139
00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:14,319
I believe had a triple double in that game, if

140
00:07:14,319 --> 00:07:17,560
I'm not mistaken. So the front line was really really good.

141
00:07:17,639 --> 00:07:21,279
It's a good matchup against Indiana here. Indiana's defense has

142
00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:25,800
been shredded as of late, but their offense has been amazing,

143
00:07:26,319 --> 00:07:28,639
to say the least. Of course, when you play La

144
00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:33,040
you should look amazing. I think that had four turnovers

145
00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:37,759
ski in that game. The Indiana Fever assists. The turnover

146
00:07:37,879 --> 00:07:40,759
ratio was the best there's been in the WNBA this

147
00:07:40,879 --> 00:07:42,680
year for a single game. I think it was like

148
00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:48,160
five point two something assists to turnovers. So they're playing

149
00:07:48,199 --> 00:07:51,839
really well offensively giving it up defensively. It just seems

150
00:07:51,879 --> 00:07:55,360
like it should be an over in this contest. A

151
00:07:55,399 --> 00:07:58,399
lot of money on the Fever. That was my initial

152
00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:01,199
look because I don't like the Like I say, even

153
00:08:01,199 --> 00:08:03,720
know Phoenix won by sixteen last game, I just don't

154
00:08:03,759 --> 00:08:07,160
like the way they closed it out the final three quarters.

155
00:08:07,879 --> 00:08:10,759
We'll see maybe they did just let off the gas

156
00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:13,560
and they'll take this one a little more serious against Indiana.

157
00:08:13,560 --> 00:08:16,439
But I feel like Indiana is probably a bit more

158
00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:20,839
desperate as far as needing a win is concerned. Had

159
00:08:20,839 --> 00:08:24,279
their five game win streak broken the other night, haven't

160
00:08:24,319 --> 00:08:27,399
played it yet, I would probably look. I think the

161
00:08:27,519 --> 00:08:29,639
value in Indiana's gone. Let me put it that way.

162
00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:31,800
I don't think I want plus three and a half anymore.

163
00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:35,120
If he got six, if you got five, he did

164
00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:38,799
a good job. But I still could be talked into

165
00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:41,320
playing over one seventy two and a half year because

166
00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:43,840
Indiana's defense just hasn't really been good at all.

167
00:08:45,279 --> 00:08:47,480
Speaker 1: And that's all they talked about.

168
00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:50,279
Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, I've heard them say the same thing,

169
00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:52,879
but after games like they they just had.

170
00:08:54,039 --> 00:08:56,320
Speaker 1: I think it was Natasha Howard who was talking about it.

171
00:08:56,399 --> 00:08:58,960
Speaker 2: She said, you know, the defense starts everything if they're

172
00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:01,120
not getting the stops and they're not going to be

173
00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,000
able to do the things that they do on offense,

174
00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,200
pretty much saying everything starts on defense. And after you

175
00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:08,679
give up one hundred points, you know, you don't got

176
00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:11,080
to be a rocket science tist to know that should

177
00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:13,000
be the focus in the next game. At least that's

178
00:09:13,039 --> 00:09:17,639
how I think about it. For the Mercury, I mean,

179
00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:19,960
let me go to their schedule really quick. They played

180
00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:22,559
the fever, gave up one oh seven, even though they

181
00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:24,200
scored one on one, they gave up one oh seven

182
00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:26,480
and lost. Then they went the next game and gave

183
00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,279
up ninety five to Atlanta and got blown out and lost.

184
00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:34,240
And in that next game they played Chicago, which Chicago's

185
00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,399
not the best, but it was the second half of

186
00:09:36,399 --> 00:09:38,399
that game where they really ramped up the defense and

187
00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:42,759
started to run away with it and play better. And

188
00:09:42,919 --> 00:09:46,159
I remember it was the coach and it was a

189
00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,480
list of Thomas talking about the defense for the Mercury

190
00:09:50,639 --> 00:09:53,919
and how that's what you know flipped and that's where

191
00:09:53,919 --> 00:09:56,279
they need to focus to get back on track. They

192
00:09:56,279 --> 00:09:59,120
followed that up, holding Connecticut to sixty six points. I

193
00:09:59,159 --> 00:10:01,759
see two teams from on defense. I don't agree with

194
00:10:01,799 --> 00:10:03,360
the over in this game. I think it's more of

195
00:10:03,399 --> 00:10:06,480
an undergame. Anything else you want to say before, I

196
00:10:06,519 --> 00:10:07,840
want to talk about the side a little bit.

197
00:10:08,039 --> 00:10:10,559
Speaker 1: But total wise, real.

198
00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:15,840
Speaker 3: Quick, ski, I'm the total. Indiana's last eight games, the

199
00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:21,440
closing line has been off by twelve points or more.

200
00:10:21,919 --> 00:10:24,320
Either way over or under, the closing line has been

201
00:10:24,399 --> 00:10:26,600
off by twelve points are more in seven.

202
00:10:26,399 --> 00:10:27,240
Speaker 4: Of their last eight.

203
00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:32,080
Speaker 3: Either with these recent numbers, either you're going to see

204
00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:35,639
a game that's easily under or a game that gets

205
00:10:35,759 --> 00:10:38,320
easily over, whichever way you like you should play. But

206
00:10:38,639 --> 00:10:41,399
these Indiana totals have not come close. The eighth game,

207
00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:46,159
the only one that hasn't had a total closing total

208
00:10:46,279 --> 00:10:49,759
miss by at least twelve was a game against the

209
00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:52,840
Dallas here where it missed by nine and a half,

210
00:10:52,919 --> 00:10:56,440
almost double digits, in eighth straight. So totals have not

211
00:10:56,480 --> 00:10:59,320
been close in Indiana games to the to the over

212
00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:02,679
or to the It's an interesting it's an interesting thing

213
00:11:02,679 --> 00:11:04,360
with Indiana. And I just want to get back real

214
00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:08,919
quick to what you said about Wow. I mean, give

215
00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:11,240
me one second, yere, because I'm just going back through

216
00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:16,399
my data results here, and if you take Indiana games

217
00:11:16,480 --> 00:11:21,200
back seven eight more, you're going to find that fourteen

218
00:11:21,279 --> 00:11:25,159
of their last sixteen closing totals have missed the number

219
00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:28,519
by at least ten and a half points. That's crazy

220
00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:32,320
double digits. Their totals are never close. It's either over

221
00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:35,159
or under by a wide margin. So keep that in mind.

222
00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:37,080
Whichever way you like tonight, play it. That way you

223
00:11:37,159 --> 00:11:40,320
probably get to get a good result. And real quick

224
00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:42,000
back to what you were saying, about Natasha. How we're

225
00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:44,679
talking about defense. Sophie Cunningham started that talk like about

226
00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:46,919
a month ago. We need to be in better position,

227
00:11:47,039 --> 00:11:48,440
we need to do this, we need to do that,

228
00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:50,960
and they've just been so up and down like a

229
00:11:51,039 --> 00:11:51,360
yo yo.

230
00:11:52,960 --> 00:11:54,320
Speaker 4: So we'll see.

231
00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:56,120
Speaker 3: I don't know. It's like when we talk about the

232
00:11:56,159 --> 00:11:58,000
Aces and their defense, are we going to see it

233
00:11:58,039 --> 00:11:59,840
or are we not going to see? Indiana's kind of

234
00:11:59,840 --> 00:12:01,600
that team.

235
00:12:01,879 --> 00:12:03,360
Speaker 1: And I'm thinking about it a little further.

236
00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:05,600
Speaker 2: I mean, I guess I could look right here and

237
00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:07,320
it would help me just the head up record, but

238
00:12:07,399 --> 00:12:09,960
standings wise, I mean, things are starting to get a

239
00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:11,679
little bit closer, right. I mean, I'm looking at these

240
00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:16,679
two teams eighteen and eleven verse seventeen and thirteen. Fever

241
00:12:16,759 --> 00:12:21,000
did beat them last game. I mean, I think this

242
00:12:21,039 --> 00:12:22,799
is a pretty important game. It's kind of what I'm

243
00:12:22,799 --> 00:12:24,480
trying to get at, just like I thought the game

244
00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:26,200
yesterday was a pretty important game.

245
00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,960
Speaker 1: This is also for the Fever. What they're fourth straight

246
00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:30,799
game on the road.

247
00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:36,519
Speaker 2: Maybe a little bit of travel fatigue for them. All

248
00:12:36,639 --> 00:12:39,000
right on that note, Yes, I think it's an under game,

249
00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:41,759
but I think it's a spot that favorites the Mercury.

250
00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:46,720
Like I said, Fever traveling four straight games, it's a

251
00:12:46,759 --> 00:12:48,919
revenge game for the Mercury. They're coming off back to

252
00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:53,519
back blowout wins. They're playing a little bit better. Granted,

253
00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:56,559
you know they're against lesser teams, but they're getting back

254
00:12:56,559 --> 00:13:00,360
into a rhythm and this is an important game at

255
00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:03,320
the house. I feel like it's getting too close to

256
00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:07,480
a pick them here, Rob. You know at this point

257
00:13:07,799 --> 00:13:09,519
is a one way ticket as Phoenix or nothing.

258
00:13:11,759 --> 00:13:13,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, I wouldn't disagree with that Ski at all. Like

259
00:13:13,879 --> 00:13:17,559
you say, it is an important game and more. I

260
00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:19,519
guess you could make a case for both sides of

261
00:13:19,559 --> 00:13:22,399
the importance. Indiana's got the worst record, but Phoenix, as

262
00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:25,679
you mentioned, wants to make sure that they win for

263
00:13:25,759 --> 00:13:29,440
the season series end of it, so big game. Maybe

264
00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:32,120
Phoenix was saving a little something those last three quarters

265
00:13:32,159 --> 00:13:35,600
against Connecticut might have coasted looking forward to this. The

266
00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:37,759
good news for them, like I said at the start

267
00:13:37,759 --> 00:13:40,759
of this, is that Soaboly came back and played really well,

268
00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:44,120
and Phoenix needs that. When that front line is playing

269
00:13:44,159 --> 00:13:48,240
the way they did Sobbly and Thomas combined, they're pretty

270
00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:51,480
tough to stop. They sometimes make three, sometimes don't, but

271
00:13:51,519 --> 00:13:54,559
when they do, they're almost impossible to stop. So yeah,

272
00:13:54,759 --> 00:13:57,519
fourth road game for Indiana, I could see Phoenix at

273
00:13:57,519 --> 00:14:01,879
this point, I wonder. I guess most people just thought

274
00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,919
six was too much for Phoenix to late to push

275
00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:06,840
it down two and a half points, because it seems

276
00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:10,120
like a really drastic move with no injury situation in

277
00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:10,559
this game.

278
00:14:11,919 --> 00:14:17,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, I uh, I think everybody just best the fever

279
00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:20,600
all the time. Honestly, that's kind of just kind of

280
00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:23,559
what I think. And you never really see the fever

281
00:14:23,679 --> 00:14:27,240
plus six, you know, So I think people saw that

282
00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:31,080
number and just jumped on it, really, But we'll see

283
00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:35,799
how it shakes out. I'm thinking either Mercury or under

284
00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:41,919
maybe both. Last game on a slate six seventeen six eighteen,

285
00:14:42,240 --> 00:14:47,639
Connecticut and Los Angeles opened up eleven and a half

286
00:14:47,679 --> 00:14:50,519
for LA down to nine and a half now total,

287
00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:52,639
not that big of a move, but open one seventy

288
00:14:52,639 --> 00:14:56,120
four and a half looking like one seventy five or

289
00:14:56,159 --> 00:14:59,879
one seventy five and a half. Like I said, the

290
00:15:00,039 --> 00:15:03,200
injury report, J C. Sheldon got traded away from Connecticut.

291
00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:06,679
Lee Edwards probably not going to be playing there. That's

292
00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:09,279
who they got back from the trade and Bria Hartley

293
00:15:09,799 --> 00:15:14,360
yesterday was downgraded to questionable with an illness yesterday morning.

294
00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:18,679
I think it was about around this time or a

295
00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:22,279
little bit before we started the show. So we'll see

296
00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:24,519
if she's gotten any better and she's able to play,

297
00:15:24,559 --> 00:15:28,000
but we don't know just yet, Raveno. These teams have

298
00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:31,639
played twice so far this season. One was a four

299
00:15:31,639 --> 00:15:34,759
point win for LA that was a Connecticut cover and

300
00:15:34,799 --> 00:15:38,919
the other one was a fifteen point win for the Sparks.

301
00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:43,639
And I'm unsure if Connecticut covered that game or not, but.

302
00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:46,639
Speaker 1: There was some.

303
00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:50,600
Speaker 2: There was how do I call it? Remember the clip

304
00:15:50,639 --> 00:15:52,240
I sent you, Ravino, a little bit.

305
00:15:52,159 --> 00:15:57,960
Speaker 1: Of Oh, I guess Kia Jackson, Yes, yeah.

306
00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:00,879
Speaker 2: But Bria she's questionable to so we don't know if

307
00:16:00,879 --> 00:16:03,320
she's going to be out there. But I'm gonna just

308
00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:06,080
start off and say her point prop was it was

309
00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:08,440
eight and a half last hour. Looked when she plays,

310
00:16:08,679 --> 00:16:12,559
I mean, she's hit that six of her last eight games.

311
00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:15,080
I believe she's hitted both times versus Sparks. We know

312
00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:18,080
how bad Sparks defense is. That's the first game that

313
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:20,519
comes to my mind, at least, how are you looking.

314
00:16:20,279 --> 00:16:20,679
Speaker 1: At this game?

315
00:16:20,759 --> 00:16:25,120
Speaker 3: Robno, I think if I just talked from side perspective,

316
00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:28,759
for Ski, I was a little surprised. Maybe you shouldn't

317
00:16:28,799 --> 00:16:31,960
be surprised because LA doesn't play enough defense to give

318
00:16:32,039 --> 00:16:38,279
anybody eleven points. But after watching Golden State lose last night,

319
00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:42,679
this game becomes huge for Los Angeles. If they win,

320
00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:45,519
they're in a tie for that final playoff spot with

321
00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:50,000
Golden State, and they have a game the very next

322
00:16:50,039 --> 00:16:52,840
game after this one is against Golden State. So if

323
00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:55,279
they could beat Connecticut tonight and then beat Golden State

324
00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,759
next game, they're in. They're locked in and not locked in,

325
00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:00,279
but they would be in the eighth position. It'd come

326
00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:04,519
a long way to get into playoff position at this

327
00:17:04,599 --> 00:17:06,880
point in time, or at least in a spot where

328
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:08,720
they have an opportunity to make the playoff. So I

329
00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:13,039
think LA's gonna play because for me, at first, Glan Ski,

330
00:17:13,079 --> 00:17:16,440
it was no brainer. They'll probably score ninety five points

331
00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:17,359
against Connecticut.

332
00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:18,160
Speaker 4: I saw J. C.

333
00:17:18,319 --> 00:17:21,160
Speaker 3: Sheldon get traded. I'm like, well, it's even more of

334
00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:24,319
a no brainer because their backcourt defense basically is J. C.

335
00:17:24,480 --> 00:17:28,920
Sheldon Bria Hartley's hurt or excuse me, bea Hartley's sick,

336
00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:34,440
possibly less backcourt defense, the way LA pushes the ball

337
00:17:34,559 --> 00:17:37,279
up the floor like we saw against Indiana the other night,

338
00:17:38,039 --> 00:17:40,960
gonna be a zillion opportunities. I think you said earlier

339
00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:44,759
that they've played two overs already where full game is concerned.

340
00:17:45,279 --> 00:17:47,440
Los Angeles scored over one hundred and one of those,

341
00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:49,720
but they've scored one hundred points or more than three

342
00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:52,680
of their last four. I just can't see Connecticut holding

343
00:17:52,720 --> 00:17:55,559
this team under ninety three points tonight.

344
00:17:55,599 --> 00:17:57,559
Speaker 4: The LA team total is ninety two and a half.

345
00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:02,000
Speaker 3: If this was my only concern, if Los Angeles comes

346
00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:03,680
out there and acts like an eleven and a half

347
00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:06,160
point favorite, let's roll out the balls and next thing

348
00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:10,119
you know, we're in trouble early third quarter, then I

349
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:13,240
probably lose my bet. But the Golden State loss last

350
00:18:13,319 --> 00:18:17,480
night kind of has me thinking that. I mean, if

351
00:18:17,599 --> 00:18:22,720
Lynn Roberts in that locker room doesn't hypeer team up,

352
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:24,599
telling them, hey, listen, we're going to be in the

353
00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:26,440
eighth playoffs. But if we winness were tied for it,

354
00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:29,440
if we win this game, beat Golden State tomorrow actually

355
00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:32,920
are the eighth seed, it, she'd be crazy not to

356
00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:35,960
say that. I think it's meaningful to LA. I think

357
00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:40,279
they score Connecticut stops nobody I played over ninety two

358
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:41,839
and a half. For me, it was the first bet

359
00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:44,119
I made, and I think the strongest bet I made.

360
00:18:45,799 --> 00:18:49,240
Speaker 2: I mean, I understand that you are missing potentially Bria.

361
00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:51,440
I mean you don't think of JC is that big

362
00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:53,319
of an offensive deal. You just say you think of

363
00:18:53,319 --> 00:18:56,519
her more of defense. The Sparks defense isn't good either.

364
00:18:56,920 --> 00:19:00,960
Why would we want to exclude the Sparks defense? Miss equation,

365
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,720
That's what I'm thinking. I mean, one seventy five for

366
00:19:03,759 --> 00:19:07,920
both teams seems like it's doable. You you must not

367
00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:11,160
have enough. I must not have as much faith as me.

368
00:19:11,279 --> 00:19:14,920
I guess that Connecticut has firepower to score tonight.

369
00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:17,759
Speaker 3: Well it's funny, see because the other night I played

370
00:19:17,759 --> 00:19:20,319
the Connecticut team total over against Phoenix, right, it was

371
00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:21,079
seventy six.

372
00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:23,240
Speaker 4: And a half and I scored sixty six. And so.

373
00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:31,279
Speaker 3: But in my world, and you've talked to me enough

374
00:19:31,319 --> 00:19:35,000
over the last four years, I'm always huge on bounce back,

375
00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:38,559
and you would figure that after you're only scoring sixty

376
00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:40,880
six and they played a good last three quarters, they

377
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:45,279
scored sixty again. When I started doing the math, in

378
00:19:45,319 --> 00:19:47,799
my head, it's got to go like ninety four eighty

379
00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:51,680
two to get there. The odds makers are kind of

380
00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:53,559
pricing me out of some of these things. I shouldn't

381
00:19:53,559 --> 00:19:55,160
be afraid. You shouldn't have been afraid the other night

382
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,279
because La Indiana wound up getting to one hundred and

383
00:19:58,359 --> 00:19:58,920
ninety one.

384
00:19:59,799 --> 00:20:00,920
Speaker 4: And as we've said a couple of.

385
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:04,359
Speaker 3: Times already, these two teams have played over one eighty

386
00:20:04,519 --> 00:20:06,920
I think are close to close to one eighty, and

387
00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:10,119
then over one eighty in two games already this season,

388
00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:12,160
So no reason not to like it. But I have

389
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:14,519
a lot more faith in the Los Angeles offense against

390
00:20:14,519 --> 00:20:15,519
that Connecticut defense.

391
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:19,480
Speaker 2: All Right, Well, I'm gonna throw a different curveball in here, Okay,

392
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,440
And I pretty much say this all the time, no

393
00:20:22,519 --> 00:20:31,200
matter if it's WNBA, college basketball, NBA, But if we

394
00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:34,240
can't trust you to get stops, how can we lay

395
00:20:34,279 --> 00:20:35,799
expect you to win by a big margin?

396
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:36,200
Speaker 1: Right?

397
00:20:36,519 --> 00:20:38,920
Speaker 2: I mean, Sparks have been the worst defense all season long.

398
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,400
They've been a little bit better their second worst the

399
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:44,440
last five games, but they're still not good even when

400
00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:47,559
they're winning these games. I mean, they're allowing their oppontments

401
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:51,279
to get their their portion Sparks as a favorite of

402
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:55,160
seven or more ohen four hs this season.

403
00:20:55,519 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 1: That makes perfect sense to me.

404
00:21:00,319 --> 00:21:03,119
Speaker 2: I think I think both teams score here, and I

405
00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:05,880
don't think the Sparks will play enough defense to cover

406
00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:09,160
the spread. I mean, if I put Connecticut and Over together,

407
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:11,880
then push me on Connecticut team total over the opposite

408
00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:13,400
of which not the opposite of what you got, but

409
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:17,359
just the other side. So I'm thinking Connecticut and Over.

410
00:21:17,799 --> 00:21:20,279
Any reason they talk to me off of either of those.

411
00:21:20,799 --> 00:21:24,559
Speaker 3: It's logically no. Connecticut scored eighty six and eighty eight

412
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:27,480
in the two games against LA so far this season.

413
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,319
LA won by fifteen and one by four. LAS scored

414
00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:33,079
ninety two and one oh one. They've both been huge

415
00:21:33,079 --> 00:21:35,599
scoring games. And to your point, all you had to

416
00:21:35,599 --> 00:21:39,839
do is watch any of these LA games last ten

417
00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:45,119
and realize that they really don't give a blank about defense.

418
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:45,559
Speaker 4: Right.

419
00:21:45,759 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 3: They kind of remind me of of in nineteen ninety

420
00:21:51,079 --> 00:21:53,599
Loyola Marymount, where all you care about is getting the

421
00:21:53,599 --> 00:21:55,160
ball out of the hoop and getting it down the

422
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:57,200
floor as fast as you can and scoring and hopefully

423
00:21:57,200 --> 00:21:58,079
grinding a team down.

424
00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:01,160
Speaker 4: They did it to Indiana the other night. The game

425
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:02,319
was fast, fast, fast.

426
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:05,440
Speaker 3: Indiana was in it, in it until they weren't, and

427
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:07,359
then Indiana tried to make a run at the end.

428
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:13,160
Speaker 4: But the Los Angeles core starters, the four players, the

429
00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:16,680
core four, are so good at scoring the basketball right

430
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:19,519
now that it's hard to play a full game under

431
00:22:19,519 --> 00:22:20,680
with them. I wouldn't do it.

432
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:22,680
Speaker 3: And again, like I say, they just don't even care

433
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:25,440
about playing defense. It seems we've said it right. Their

434
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:28,839
identity is simple, We're gonna outscore you. That's what they

435
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:30,920
care about. It's what they do best. It's how they've

436
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:32,559
gotten back into the playoff race.

437
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:34,559
Speaker 1: All right.

438
00:22:34,599 --> 00:22:38,880
Speaker 2: So we're seeing a lot of the same things. Shout

439
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:41,400
out to Johnny Robinson said he's a new viewyer, loved

440
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:41,799
the show.

441
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:42,640
Speaker 1: Appreciate you.

442
00:22:42,799 --> 00:22:44,680
Speaker 2: Mark A says he was on the other screen, that's all.

443
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,440
We missed him in the chat room. And there goes

444
00:22:47,759 --> 00:22:51,039
JD tapping in and say good afternoon to everybody. So

445
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:55,839
I think we did a pretty good job today, three

446
00:22:55,920 --> 00:23:00,640
games in about twenty three minutes. So on that note,

447
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:04,559
we will move it on over the best bets. And yeah,

448
00:23:04,599 --> 00:23:08,160
no graphics today. No graphics, I guess this week, you know,

449
00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:12,079
but I'll ask you like we usually do. If there's

450
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,119
anything you would like to promote, and if you have

451
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:16,559
a best bet for the show, we would love to

452
00:23:16,599 --> 00:23:16,960
hear it.

453
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:18,759
Speaker 1: If you don't, that is all good.

454
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:23,079
Speaker 3: It might be better that you don't have the graphics

455
00:23:23,079 --> 00:23:26,799
schime because the deal right now is flex picks, and

456
00:23:26,839 --> 00:23:30,519
every time we talk about flat ourselves into trouble, so

457
00:23:31,039 --> 00:23:34,079
again I'm going to try and describe it in a

458
00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:36,519
way where I can't get in trouble. Go over the

459
00:23:36,519 --> 00:23:39,720
wagetalk dot Com. Flexpicks basically means, I think it's a

460
00:23:39,759 --> 00:23:45,880
three day package where you can change handicappers as you like.

461
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:47,759
If you think it's a football day and you like

462
00:23:47,759 --> 00:23:50,960
a certain football handicapper, you can choose that handicapper that day.

463
00:23:52,319 --> 00:23:56,359
It's a special price, reduced price, and again you're able

464
00:23:56,799 --> 00:23:58,680
to maneuver however you want.

465
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,799
Speaker 4: With the sports, with the games with the handicappers.

466
00:24:01,839 --> 00:24:04,319
Speaker 3: So go ahead and visit wager talk dot com for

467
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,680
the flexpick special. I'm gonna you know, we may parlay

468
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:08,119
here again.

469
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:08,400
Speaker 1: Ski.

470
00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:10,240
Speaker 3: I mean, last two times we've been on the same

471
00:24:10,279 --> 00:24:12,720
game and had different parts of a game. I don't

472
00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:14,440
know where you're going, but if it is the la

473
00:24:14,519 --> 00:24:17,400
Connecticut game, I'm gonna leave you with LA team total

474
00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:18,319
over ninety.

475
00:24:18,039 --> 00:24:18,799
Speaker 4: Two and a half.

476
00:24:20,079 --> 00:24:21,839
Speaker 3: Like I say, the last couple of times that we've

477
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,599
had different angles on the same game, it's come through

478
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:27,519
both ways. So if you're on that one as well,

479
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:29,680
maybe we get it again. But for me, it's gonna

480
00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:32,599
be LA Sparks team total over ninety two and a half.

481
00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:37,880
Speaker 1: M LA Sparks team total ninety two and a half.

482
00:24:37,839 --> 00:24:39,519
Speaker 4: Right, ninety two and a half.

483
00:24:39,599 --> 00:24:42,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean they've been, they've been. They've been getting

484
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:46,480
damn near one hundred every game, so I'm not mad

485
00:24:46,519 --> 00:24:48,200
at it.

486
00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,200
Speaker 2: For myself, promo wise, I do have a five percent

487
00:24:51,279 --> 00:24:55,039
best bet up for today. I like it quite a bit,

488
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:56,319
so if you want to roll with me, you can

489
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:59,000
see the link to my profile Ravino profiles down there

490
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,839
too on the bottom of this and my best bet

491
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:02,400
for the show.

492
00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:04,119
Speaker 1: Now, I'm gonna change it up, Rob.

493
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:06,680
Speaker 2: You know, we have had success with that, but I

494
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:08,799
feel like I've been having success with the best bets

495
00:25:08,799 --> 00:25:13,839
on here picking unders, so I don't I don't want

496
00:25:13,839 --> 00:25:16,799
to stay in that same game for that. I'm gonna

497
00:25:16,839 --> 00:25:19,079
go with Connecticut. I mean, I'm sorry, I'm gonna go

498
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:23,400
with Indiana and Phoenix trying to see what the best

499
00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:25,960
number we can get here. I just think it's two teams.

500
00:25:26,079 --> 00:25:28,720
Be'st number I can get is actually see a one

501
00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:31,799
to seventy three out there, And I'm just you know,

502
00:25:32,039 --> 00:25:33,799
usually I would open up my app on the show

503
00:25:34,279 --> 00:25:36,519
and put it in there, but I'll do it right after.

504
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:41,079
But these are two teams who said their focus is defense.

505
00:25:41,599 --> 00:25:45,559
Phoenix has held two straight opponents under seventy points. Indiana

506
00:25:45,599 --> 00:25:47,839
coming off a game giving up one hundred points. I

507
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:51,319
think that, you know, like like Natasha Howard was saying,

508
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:53,160
they need to get back to playing some defense if

509
00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:56,160
they want to have success. So in a game that's

510
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,720
pretty important to both of those teams, I like under

511
00:25:58,759 --> 00:26:02,559
one seventy three my best bet for the show. You know,

512
00:26:03,839 --> 00:26:06,279
I always enjoy breaking these games down with you. Thank

513
00:26:06,319 --> 00:26:07,599
you for taking the time to do it.

514
00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:12,240
Speaker 1: Chat Room. We appreciate and we love you as well.

515
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 2: Like I always say, great people and great cappers and

516
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:16,160
we're all just trying to help each other and have

517
00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:19,200
a good time. So you guys definitely help make the

518
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:21,519
show what it is. Shout out to everybody on Twitch,

519
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:29,240
x kick, Apple, Spotify, and YouTube shorts. Even that's on there, Ravino,

520
00:26:30,279 --> 00:26:32,880
good old YouTube shorts. We appreciate all of you for

521
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:38,200
tuning in. We'll be back again tomorrow. We have one, two, three,

522
00:26:38,599 --> 00:26:40,920
three games again, so best of luck on all your

523
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:42,920
action tonight and we will catch you then