Speaker 1: Welcome everybody to the NFL Presidential Address for a Week
one of the twenty twenty five twenty six season. I
think this is probably your number twenty of the NFL
Presidential Address, and we're gonna go right back to the beginning.
I'm gonna do this show in free form. Last year
or the year before, I would write notes and read
them to you. Not this time around. We're going back
to the way it was done at the beginning. I'm
gonna go through every single NFL game on the board.
I'm gonna give you bets on every single one of them.
And we're gonna start right now with the Thursday night matchup,
Dallas playing against Philadelphia, and money is pouring in on
the Philadelphia Eagles. Eighty five percent of the tickets placed
in the last week have been on the Philadelphia Eagles.
We are now at minus eight and a lot of
money is coming in on the over as well, forty
seven and a half. And I'll tell you right off
the bat, guys, I like both the dog and the
over here. I don't understand all this money pouring it
on Philadelphia. I get that Micah is gone, but this
is a division matchup where hope springs eternal. And what
I mean by that is Dallas is not coming into
this game feeling like their season is gotten away from them.
They're not coming to this game feeling down on themselves
because they lost the last three. They're coming into this
game expecting to make the playoffs, expecting to go on
a run, and expecting to be a decent football team.
They have a stacked offense, a decent o line, and
I actually think Kenny Clark will be better for Dallas
in this matchup than Micah would be. What does Philadelphia
do better than any team in the league. They run
the ball. What does Kenny Clark do? He stops the run?
What does Micah do? He sacks quarterbacks? Well, this vodes
better for Dallas. I like them in the spot and
I like the over a lot too. Why. I think
Dallas has got a lights out offense. I think they'll
end up in the top seven eight offense on the league.
And I think Philadelphia is going to be able to
run the ball on this Dallas team and get themselves
some points. I see this game going into the fifties.
I like the dog and I like the over. Now
we turn our attention to the international matchup Kansas City
minus three against the LA Chargers totally here a forty
five and a half look rarely even betting fifty eight
percent of the bets of so far taking on Kansas
City fifty seven percent on the under. I like Kansas
City here, guys, but I don't like it a lot.
I look at this LA Chargers team and I think, look,
they've overhauled their entire team. Their offense is totally different.
They have a different defensive personnel as well, and I
really feel like they're going to need some time to gel.
And on top of that, we saw the Kansas City
Chiefs roll out their starters for three preseason games. This
team is getting ready with this game. I think they
win this game with that, and I think they cover
with that said, I do like the Chargers over the season,
and I do think we're going to see a regression
coming out of Kansas City. Next up Sunday matchups Pittsburgh
against New England minus two and a half minus three
in some areas, thirty eight and a half is the total.
And I like the underhere. What an incredible schedule matchup.
We got Aaron Rodgers heading back to play the Jets.
Who wants to win more? Do the Jets want to
beat their old quarterback where it didn't work out? Or
does Aaron Rodgers want to say bow yah, whose stupid
New York team should have kept me? I don't know,
but I do know that there's gonna be very little
scores scoring in this game. I think this Pittsburgh defense
is lights out. I think the New York Jets are
going to struggle to get past sixteen points. I think
the New York Jets defense is really good. And I
think Pittsburgh with an Aaron Rodgers has played well, almost
nothing good in three years. I don't think they're gonna
score more than sixteen points. This game is like sixteen
fourteens type written all over it. If I had to
bet the side, I'd take the dog, but I don't
take under the total of thirty eight and a half.
Now we got Miami going into Indianapolis. This Miami team
is super interesting. This is a team that we all
expected to do really well last year. The two I
gets injured and now all of a sudden, two is
back and we think this Miami team is falling apart.
They're playing an Indianapolis team that's running out Daniel Jones,
that has no wide receivers, that has very little defense,
that has horrible depth. I don't see how you don't
take Miami in the spot. Now. I understand that this
line has moved against Miami in a lot of wise
money is coming in on Indianapolis. I just don't get it.
I think Miami is a better team than most people
think coming into the season. I think their offense is
going to be better. Tuoa and Waddell worked out all
summer together. I think they're gonna be a nice connection there.
And I would actually look to take waddle over in
receiving yards in this game as well. I think India,
when all said and done, will be a bottom seven
team in the league. Take my AMMI basically a pick them.
Carolina playing Jacksonville. This is an interesting game here, A
lot of money coming in on Jacksonville. This line was
minus three, it is now minus three and a half.
The totally eras forty six, and I'm just gonna outright
pass on this game. There's good vibes coming out of
both dressing rooms right now. Both teams have this hope
for the season coming up. Bryce Young looked good at
the end of last year. Trevor Lawrence needs a redo.
I think we're gonna lay off this game and see
what both of these teams are gonna give us for
the following week. Now we've got Cincinnati playing Cleveland. Cincinnati
a favorite, guys, listen to this. Cincinnati is one and eleven.
That's one win and eleven losses against the spread in
the first two weeks under Zach Taylor. That's right. Go
back six years and they have covered a spread one
time in the last two years. Now, they lost last
year to New England. Horrible loss set them back. You
would think they would be like, we gotta win this one,
we gotta win this one. Well, the year before they
lost two and they didn't win that one. Why would
I think anything is different. We have a depleted defense
in Cincinnati. We have an offense that is not balanced,
but does have two great wide receivers, an excellent quarterback,
but lacks balance. We have a coach that struggles to
get his team ready at the beginning of the year,
and we have a Cleveland team that has heard nothing
but horrible garbage all summer. This Cleveland team is going
to be much better than people think coming into the season,
this Cincinnati team is not going to make the playoffs.
I would not be surprised if Cleveland wins this game outright.
Take Cleveland plus the five and a half. One of
my favorite bets on the board Las Vegas Gino Smith
heading into New England. I love Mike Rabel as a coach.
We got New England here at minus two and a half,
sixty one percent of the money coming in on the Raiders,
seventy one percent of the bets on the under, and
that's where I like right here. I think the under
is a great play. I think the side is super interesting,
and I'd like to see what each of these teams
are gonna do. We got a new, revamped Raiders team,
we got a revamp New England team. I think we
weighed out, but I really struggle to see a lot
of scores in this game. We got New England who's
going to play to Mike Rabel's identity, which is let's
keep Let's keep the game and the scores low, Let's
keep the offense on the field, let's run the ball,
let's slow the clock down. And I think we're going
to see a very similar style out of Pete Carroll.
I think the Raiders are going to be one of
the top running teams in the league coming into the season.
This total is way too high. Take under the total
of forty three and a half Arizona going into New
Orleans minus six and a half or Arizona. I'm going
to bottom line this one guy's New Orleans is gonna
end up being the worst team in football. I really
do like their coach and I'm cheering for him. But
man Spencer Rattler is not a quarterback. I don't see
Alvin Kamara. I mean, I could be wrong. I think
he's seventy years old. I don't know who's playing wide receiver.
Their defense lacks while playmakers everywhere. If I have to
bet this game, I would take Arizona. I just don't
trust them yet. I do love their defense, but Kyler
Murray is very inconsistent. Minus six and a half is
too much. We're going to pass on that game. Now
we turn our attention to Tampa Bay and Atlanta. Full disclosure.
I think Atlanta wins the division. I think Tampa Bay
regresses this year. I like Atlanta in the spot at
home as a plus two and a half dog. Why not.
I think this Tampa Bay team is getting old, and
I look at this Atlanta team and I think they
are loaded with talent. Offensively, they are stacked, and defensively,
we saw a massive improvement out of this team last year.
I think if Atlanta wins this division, they're going to
need to win this game. This will be their division rival.
It'll come down the division to these two teams. This
game is crucial. I want the home team. I want
the younger team. I want a team who has a
better coach, and I think Atlanta will end up with
a better defense. I like Atlanta plus the points. Tennessee
playing Denver. What do I do for my survivor here?
I feel like Denver is the right play. This Denver
team has an unbelievable defense. I mean, maybe when O
said and done, the best defense in football. The problem is,
I don't know what to expect from this Tennessee team.
New quarterback cab Ward. Too many points. I'm going to
pass on this football game and we're gonna see how
these teams do moving forward. San Francisco minus two to
two and a half against Seattle. Sixty eight percent of
the bets are put down. The forty nine ers eighty
three percent on the under. I like San Franier guys,
but I'd like to take them on the money line.
I'm gonna tell you guys right now. And we see
this every year. San Fran is depleted, they are injured,
they lost debo. This is they They were horrible last year.
They they lack depth, this is this is not their year.
Sounds like the perfect time to take san Fran. I
love San fran plus one fifty to win the division.
They are gonna get Ayuk back six weeks from now.
They will have CMC coming out of the backfield, Kittle
playing in the slot, They'll have Ayuk stretching the field.
This team is winning the division of plus one fifty.
But for this game specifically, I think we're gonna see
a regression from the Seattle team. I do not believe
in Sam Darnold. I think the San Frand defense is
gonna be spectacular this year. Top three unit is back,
and I think the debo trade helps san Fran. I
think the debo trade says to the dressing room, guys,
the window is closing. It's now or never. I think
San Fran is a team to bet in the spot
and a team to bet to win the division Detroit
going into green Bay. Wow, this is a sexy matchup.
The division will likely come down to one of these
two teams. Detroit is plus two and a half. Eighty
nine percent of the money is coming in on Detroit
seventy one on the over. I agree Detroit is the
play here, guys, and Detroit is the play here on
the money line. The bottom line is the more hype
a team playing against Dan Campbell gets, the more I
want to bet Detroit. I love this Mika trade for Detroit.
I love everything about the Detroit Lions heading into the year.
I think they are the favorite to win the division.
I think they're the favorite to win the conference. I
think they are the favorite to win the Super Bowl.
I'm very high on Detroit and I am not that
high on green Bay. Although I love the green Bay
team moving forward over the next three to four years,
they're still young. I think their defense is good, but
not great. I think their offense is really good, but
not great. I think Detroit is the best top three
offense in the league, and I just love that they
are a dog hare. I like Detroit a lot in
the spot. LA Rams minus three against Houston. I'm gonna
lay off of this game. I don't know what to
expect out of this Houston team, and I'm deeply concerned
about the La Rams. I need to see what their
offense looks like and their defense. Their defense, I expected
last year to be bad, but they ended up being good.
I think we might see a regression on the La
Rams defense, and I just don't know what to make
of this Houston team quite yet. We had a great
Houston team two years ago, a regression last year. Let's
see what they do this year. I'm passing on that
game Buffalo played bolt More. Oh my god. Is there
a better matchup in all of football? And this? Is
there a better Week one matchup than this? I'll tell
you right off the bat. A lot of people are
betting the under in this game. We saw this line
move from fifty one and a half to fifty and
a half, which is shocking even though the public are
betting the over. So here you have a game where
ninety three percent of the tickets are on the over,
but the line is being bet down on the under,
which means that there is incredible smart money coming in
on the under. I'm gonna stay away from the total
in this game, and I'm gonna give out the Buffalo Bills. Now.
I love the Ravens and Buffalo this year, and I
would not be surprised if they meet in the championship game.
But man, I want the whole team here. I would
take bub Baltimore if this was swapped and we were
in Baltimore. I think the whole team here is the
right play. And I also think that Baltimore shows inconsistency.
That's been the problem with Lamar since day one. In consistency,
I think we get a mean excited Josh Allen. I
think Buffalo wins this game, and I got no issue
if you bet it. Take Buffalo as a pickum. Monday
Night Football, Minnesota playing Chicago. I like the under in
this game. I think Minnesota is rolling out a top
three to four defense in the entire league. I think
Minnesota is going to run the ball, even though they
have JJ and feelm just came back. I think we're
going to see them being more of a running team
with JJ McCarthy as their quarterback. And I think Chicago
is going to play a conservative offense and allow Caleb
to kind of come into the season. I like the
under in that primetime game. I have a promo to
give out. I should have given it out at the
beginning of the show, but I forgot. Guys. My NHL unbelievable.
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love this play. It's my favorite play on the board, obviously,
and that's really it. If you guys like these shows,
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every single week. That's it for week one. I'm Lawrence Presman.
Thank you for watching.