Speaker 1: What's up everybody.
Speaker 2: Welcome back, Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If
you're new, Uh, this is one of the shows. We
always started by being transparent. But man, I on't even
remember the last time we did a show. I know
it's been a little while. Yeah, it's my fault. I've
been away dealing with some family stuff and I just
had to step.
Speaker 1: Away from doing the show. But we're back here today. Fo.
Speaker 2: I know you've still been rocking and rolling. Everything's been
okay with you. Is good to be back here on
the show with you.
Speaker 3: Yeah, glad to be back SKI. For those who were
missing us, here we are because there were a few
that were missing us. The past weekend was good. I
got to say the first weekend of NFL for me
was disastrous. But we got it back this week. We
got it back and then some this week, so very nice.
Saturday Sunday profit wise with football the WNBA, I did
not you know, it's something about that Sunday schedule. Scale
only had one play and in terms of wager talk
how we release the clients, it was only a one
and a half percent play on Sunday and it involves
one of the games we're going to talk about here.
A game two did not go my way, but I
think the second game is probably there's a couple of
things here that I like stronger. So we'll see if
we can't point our chat room in the direction of
some ticket cash.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: Week one NFL for me, I just I did too much.
I know that my top play one, but I just
had too many other plays. I had a couple overs
and you know, if you watch week one, you know
that wasn't any good. So Week two was a little better,
and we'll try to keep trending in that direction as
far as football is concerned for WNBA.
Speaker 1: Like you, I did have one play and.
Speaker 2: It was a winner, though it was a small play
on a dream on Sunday, And yeah, we'll talk about
that game again today. Shout out to you, Capper says,
first time catching the show since coming back home. Hope
all this good, skin Rab Well, it's the first time
the show has been back with U Capper. I've probably
been going as long as you, so yeah, good for me.
Speaker 1: To be back home too, I feel you.
Speaker 2: All right, let's get two of you know, two games
for today. We only have WNBA to talk about, so
we'll go in rotation order. That means six thirty one,
six thirty two Atlanta Dream Indiana Fever opened up minus
four for the Dream They're still four or three and
a half out there, depending where you shop. Total open
one fifty seven and a half and I see it.
I see it as high as one fifty nine and
a half, but I don't know most shops. I feel
like I have one fifty eight and a half. So again,
depending what you like, make sure you line shot for
the Fever. I mean, we know the season long injuries
they've had, right.
Speaker 1: CC Sophie Harry.
Speaker 2: He said, Dantis is also I believe out. Let me
just double check. I think Donte's is still out. Yeah,
Dante's is out, but I believe uh Bibius.
Speaker 1: Is in for this one.
Speaker 2: So a lot of injuries for this Fever team. They
lost by twelve in a game where I feel like
the Dreams didn't even play that good Ravino. I mean,
I know Jordan Canada only made one shot, but between
Alicia Gray and Ryan Howard felt like there is a
lot of Missus Dreams deil able to win by double digits.
Do you think, I mean, if they if they if
they win shooting that bad, it's hard to think that
they can't win here again, do you feel that same
way or how are you looking at this looking at
this game?
Speaker 3: Yeah, well I will tell you that someday I had
the Dream Team total over rady three and a half.
They got to eighty despite the shooting woes that you
just talked about. Ski The combination of Ryan Howard and
Alicia Gray were eleven for thirty three, so thirty three
percent between those two. On top of that, Jordan Canada
one for eight, so that's twelve for forty one, not
really good, and they still got to eighty despite all that,
which is promising for the direction that I played tonight.
I did play over the total one fifty eight and
a half. As you said, it seems to be more
or there seemed to be more outlets at least on
our Odds Logic screen that show fifty eight and a
half than fifty nine. So I think you can definitely
get a one to fifty eight and a half. But
I also expect Indiana to shoot a little bit better
here too, despite the injuries. I mean, they've played without
that said group of players for quite a while now.
Indiana did not play well. Other than Kelsey Mitchell had
twenty seven, her usual self expected to show up all
the time. It was the worst the shooting percentage game
of the Sunday four. These two teams didn't shoot well
from the field, they didn't shoot well from three, didn't
shoot anything well. They still got to one forty eight
Indiana two for fifteen from three, Lexi Hull three for
thirteen from the field, A Leah Boston only eight points.
Some of these numbers have to come up Ski and
I get that it's playoff atmosphere, and I get for
Indiana it's dew or die because these are best of
three series. So the fever, I guess what I asked
myself to begin with was if you expect playoff type
atmosphere and you expect the home team down oh one
to maybe tighten up defensively, is that team capable of
tightening up defensively? And I don't know. I think we've
both been on the side of Indiana's defense hasn't been
good this season, and I don't know that tightening up
means holding Atlanta to less than eighty again here today
on the road. Again, Atlanta didn't shoot well. First game,
probably shoot a little bit better here. If that's the case,
the way to win this game is to try and
outscore them. And I just trust Indiana offensively a little
more at home than I did on the road on
Sunday after Nune. And if I put that mathematics together,
eighty for the Dream plus fever in a close game,
probably eighty plus. I think both sides are going to
get to eighty here and that gets me over this
number one fifty eight and a half. I think it'll
be a little tighter than you would like it to be,
but I could certainly see one sixty or more in
this game if the shooting gets even an ounce better
than what it was on Sunday. So I did play
that game. I do like that game. Atlanta Indiana over
one fifty eight and a half.
Speaker 2: Well, I'll say I do think the Dream have a
lot of room for improvement. I mean it's hard to
see all three of their you know, wing players or
guards shoot that poor again for the Fever, I would
challenge though a little bit here, Rob, Yeah, they probably
will shoot better than two for fifteen, but like they
don't have a whole lot, they don't have playmaking, Like
it's just it's Kelsey Mitchell to create shots out there.
And I mean it's not like Aliah Boston can bully anybody.
You got Bree Jones, you got grinder if you need
her down there, Like, where is the playmaking going to
come from? They're going to continue to have to shoot
tough threes. That's just how I see it. And you
look at the dream that's been there, that's been a
strength of theirs all season long. They're number one as
far as defending above the breakthree, they're number one, you know,
as far as opponent three point percentage above the breakthree.
They're not gonna get. The shots aren't going to get
any easier for the fever'snight.
Speaker 1: Yeah, they shot poorly. Yeah they're gonna be at home.
Speaker 2: Could be enough to make more than two, But I
just I don't think the Fever have enough. I agree
with a couple comings here in the chat. I think
if you do like the Fever, you probably want to
get in and get out. You know, just hope that
energy with the home crowd and it's enough to carry them.
Because to what Kenny Clutch is saying here and what
we were saying too, the Fever just don't have the talent.
He says, half the players are picked up off the street.
Speaker 1: Yeah, look at it. Everybody they're missing for the season.
They just don't have it. So I agree with.
Speaker 2: Jeff be here he says Atlanta is an over team
on the road for most of the season. I think
Atlanta team total I could get behind that for sure,
but I struggle to think the Fever, you know, can
handle their side for for forty minutes. Team total before
I pass it or ask you if you have anything
else here Roub team total for Atlanta is eighty one.
I feel like in the games they've won, especially on
the road, they've definitely cleared the eighty one number. You
just have a little bit more faith than the Fever
than I, I guess. But you can't talk me off
to eighty one, right.
Speaker 3: No, And I would say this as bad as Indiana is,
I would ask this question. They got sixty eight on
the other team's home floor in game one of a
series where the crowd is going to be pretty frenzy,
the atmosphere is going to be difficult. You go in there,
you get sixty eight, dependent solely on Kelsey Mitchell. For
those sixty eight points at home, can you bump that
to seventy four? Can you score six more points? Can
you shoot better than two for fifteen to get six?
Because if you do, and you get the seventy four,
and you like the Atlanta over, then asking for eighty
five seventy four is not that big of an ask.
If you're talking to me, Atlanta got eighty doing zero
with their big three, you mentioned it for them to
get to eighty. From eighty to eighty five, I don't
think it's that big of a deal here. So I
felt like the home team would at least give me,
will at least give me a decent effort here tonight,
and boy, if they get the seventy four seventy five points,
that little bit of a bump, a couple extra threes
is all it is, then I think this one I
should mention real quick here Ski there were a boatload
of free throws in that game. Look at the box
score here. These teams shot fifty free throws. A lot
of fouls in that game. Indiana got twenty two of
their points from the line. We'll see if that trend continues.
I don't necessarily follow referee crews in the WNBA. It's
basically the same referees all the time in these games,
but I don't really know their tendencies to know if
the crew tonight is a whistle blowing crew. But even
if they're behind at the end Indiana, knowing that they
go out of the playoffs with a loss here, they
probably foul right down to the wire just to try
and hang in. So I think it does get over
fifty eight and a half. But we'll see. And I
can't argue anybody. You know, I played Atlanta team total
the first time at home, and the point that was
made by the chat about Atlanta being a good offensive
road team, I think I played that to success a
lot this year playing Atlanta road team totals over. So
I can't disagree with that.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you brought it to our attention, uh
here on the show, so definitely remember that, Steve asking
any thoughts on Howard points, I don't have any reason
to talk you off, I mean off of a bad game.
Speaker 1: I think that she was shooting better here, let's see, Jeff. Nah.
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not saying I wouldn't, but that's not
that's not why I was away, Mark.
Speaker 1: I might be here this weekend and just hit me up.
Speaker 2: You know how to hit me up, and you know
where I'll be if I am here, so hopefully I'll
be able to catch you as well. Be Man liking
that we're back on the show. It's good to be back,
and you says, Nah, Ski.
Speaker 1: Saw the new the new look height him. That was crazy.
I'm not gonna lie.
Speaker 2: DJ does some good makeup or something, man, because I
was like, what, there's no way that's the same the
teacher hight him and I've been watching all this time.
Speaker 1: It just makes me all fair.
Speaker 3: Our offense has been great too, Ski ever since.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, that makes me fear man. They gotta that makeup.
Speaker 2: When you see these girls out there in the club, man.
Speaker 1: Rat watch out.
Speaker 2: Make up in them club likes you bet watch out.
But let's go to the next game. Six thirty three,
six thirty four, Las Vegas and Seattle, and let's get
back away from team Total. This one opened up minus
six for Vegas and it's doing the same thing it
did in game one. Right then it go down. It
says pretty much four and a half. Everywhere Total went
from one to sixty one and a half or didn't
really go anywhere. It's sitting right there, and I don't
see anybody on the injury report, so Veno, I'm gonna
ask you a little bit because I was, I was
a little occupied, you know, a lot of stuff going on,
but I was, I was following halfway. It just seemed
like the Storm never really were they even interested in
the game, or were the Aces just that dominant defensively
or I mean, I know the Aces have been playing well,
they won seventeen in a row, but the Storm looked
kind of kind of pitiful. What was your opinion on
that game? And any opinion on or what you saw
will translate to this one.
Speaker 3: Well, I'll say one general thought on Las Vegas's offenses.
Their three point shooting has been amazing as of play.
I think they made twenty two against la in a
Sparks we don't care anymore effort last game of the season.
You know, the Sparks went all out and won that game.
They're second to last game to stay alive in the playoffs,
only to have Seattle come back and win their game.
So the Sparks were eliminated and they had to play
Las Vegas. But Las Vegas needed that game to get
the two seed from Atlanta, and I think they made
twenty two threes that night. They made fourteen more opening
round to the player. Everybody is shooting on this team
right now. It's unbelievable. And Asia Wilson is you know,
she's been unstoppable for two months now. So from an
offensive standpoint, it's hard to keep up with the Aces
right now. And we know that the you know, to
me the storm and again it kind of happened in
that game. They have a tendency to go cold at times.
They can be really really hot for a half fifty
plus for a half, and then they can be ice cold,
score twenty nine the second half. They're just that up
and down of a team. So the steady consistency of
Las Vegas offensively is scary even on the road here.
It's again these these game two switch venues, so the
Seattle venue will definitely be a tough atmosphere. But Las
Vegas seems to be playing through everything right now. Now,
those who got to the opener took six. I think
we're down to four and a half at this point
in time. In fact, you have the graphic of four
four and a half. I don't know, I'm not willing
to take four and a half, even at home with Seattle,
knowing the tendency to, you know, to not shoot well. Now,
one thing is Neka had a horrible game in Game one.
Can she bounce back? Not so sure if she does
or not, but she had been playing really good down
the stretch. Gabby Williams has not been playing well offensively.
I don't know. I just a lot of questions offensively
about Seattle for me, So if I have to play side,
I would lean toward Las Vegas, and I don't know
that they could be slowed down Ski. I mean, I'm
trying to look now, I see what the total is.
I'm gonna look for the team total. Because I did
not play this game. Team total eighty two and a half.
They seem to be getting that by mistake. I don't know.
I'm all in on Las Vegas right now. I know
this freight train at some point has to end with
a with a loss somewhere. Maybe it doesn't, but right
now I'm not willing to step in front of it.
Speaker 2: I'm not willing either. I mean, Storm, I'm with you.
Kaper said they need to they got to blow it
up like the games are supposed to win.
Speaker 1: They don't. They've been poor at home all season long.
Speaker 2: They're just I don't know, they're just so mediocre to me,
the coach should probably go to I'm not a big
fan of Noel Quinn. Not a whole lot to like
for the Storm. Both of these teams, probably the Tour
or more, I mean at least the Aces.
Speaker 1: Prior to these.
Speaker 2: Seventeen games, these two teams were more two of the
more inconsistent teams. But Stormer just continued that inconsistency. So
I can't bet against the seventeen game win streak here.
Aces are just rolling coaching advantage, all that good stuff.
Speaker 1: They're just not at home.
Speaker 2: And uh that doesn't even mean too much with how
bad Storm have been at home for me, So Aces
are nothing.
Speaker 1: I do think if anything's gonna change the Storm.
Speaker 2: We're a solid defensive team all year long. They just
gave up one hundred points. I mean, if you're gonna
play pride for it has to be on that end.
Like I trust the Storm defense a thousand times more
than I trust their offense.
Speaker 1: So lean under lean asis.
Speaker 2: Anything else on this one oh before or I forget
because I already kind of forgot. Let me just answer
this from Greg. We'll talk about it more tomorrow, says,
how are you handling your Mercury future down the game
in the first series. I mean when I made that bet,
it was what probably two months ago, and it was
me thinking, I like what I see from the Mercury
right now. They have the Big Three, and I was
saying they could have a chance to get there depending
how the bracket shakes out, you know, et cetera. They're
on the same side as the Links, So I'm not
feeling good about the future at all.
Speaker 1: I was hoping we can get.
Speaker 2: To the finals and maybe you know, have hedge possibility,
et cetera, et cetera. I do think the Mercury still
can win this series, especially with Breonna Stewart being hurt.
But my thought process was, if I can take the
Murcury plus eighteen hundred, why can't I take the Links
to win two zero in this series?
Speaker 1: Minus? Was it two ninety?
Speaker 2: So that's kind of how I already have covered the
bet by making that. I think the Link the Links
blew them out in the first game. I think they'll
at least win as double digit favors tomorrow.
Speaker 1: That's what I did. That's the answer, you know.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's either aces are under for me anything else
for you on this game.
Speaker 3: I'll just backtrack just to you know this season history
of these two teams, Ski, there's a couple of moves
here that went really really good for one side and
went really really bad for the other side. For Seattle
since they acquired Britney Sykes, it's been downhill. If she
had no points, yeah, there's sixteen plus minutes zero points.
That's not what she was brought in for. And it
pushed Ereka Wheeler to the bench, and Erica Wheeler really,
other than the game winner that she had to put
them into the playoffs, has not been the same player offensively.
And on the other side, Becky Hmon put Jewel Lloyd
on the bench, and guess what happened. We went seventeen
in a row with Jewellloyd coming off the bench and
being a better player offensively. For sure. This also would
be Jewel Lloyd back in Seattle. If you're a prop player,
maybe in a playoff type atmosphere, run to back Jewel
Lloyd tonight. I don't know what her points total is,
but just a couple of things that these teams did
to try to make themselves better. One team got better,
the other side didn't.
Speaker 2: My bat there, yeah, I got you, I must. I
don't want to get too involved here. I'm trying to
get to some of these comments as well my screen
frogs for a little bit.
Speaker 1: But I'm good here. I think that's it for me here.
Speaker 2: Rob you know today only two games. We talked about
him for twenty minutes. Think it's about that time to
wrap it up. So before we go to best bets,
let me see if I still know how to do
some of these things. It is five dollars Tuesday, so
you can go to my page, and go to Rob's page,
and go to Ukaper's page, anybody's page. They should have
a top play up for five dollars. And if I'm
not mistaken or doing something new where you know, any
any bet that goes today, if you have a package up,
should be five dollars. Or or if you want to
get ahead of the NFL college football, Rob probably has
something up already from one of those sports for the weekend.
And on top of that or outside of that, we'll
put this up really quick. Weekend Warrior this weekend, get
every football play from your handicapper of your choice for
Saturday and Sunday. It includes any five percent release only
forty nine dollars, and as a bonus, will also include
any Monday night football. So those are the two promos
that we have right now. You know, I'll pass it
to you for the best, best segment, and I'll ask
you if there's anything else you'd like to promote, and
do you have you know, any of those five dollars
packages up?
Speaker 3: I do right now. It's a w NBA and there's
going to be it's going to be a there's going
to be a football play released as well this afternoon,
so you'll get a couple of Like SKI says, now
they're allowing multiple five dollars play packages so you can
go multi sport. I did last week with a college
football play. That the second promo there I think is dead.
That thing ran this weekend, but just as well because
I think the new promo SKI is flex picks again.
So we don't want to get ourselves in trouble by
trying to promo flex picks. But if you're interested in
flex picks, obviously up an available wageertalk dot com. Let's
get the best bets here real quick, because I do think,
you know, I stated why I think the Indian Atlanta
game is going to get over the total. It just
seems like a low total to me, one fifty eight
and a half with these two teams, Atlanta capable of
reaching ninety, Indiana capable of doing a little bit better
than sixty eight now that they're on their home floor.
Both teams capable of shooting better than what they did
in game one. So I think the friendliness of the
arena helps Indian a little bit here today we get
up in over one fifty eight and a half in
the Dream Fever game.
Speaker 2: Good stuff, and I keep looking. I did hit my
top plays in week one and week two of NFL.
I just did a lot of traveling and so I'm
a little slow to get to week three. So I'm
gonna look over today see if i can get one
up for early five dollars, you know, for people to
take advantage of five dollars Tuesday with it, And yeah,
my best bet for the show.
Speaker 1: I think the Dream of the Right saw it. I
think that the Fever just don't have enough.
Speaker 2: It's just they're depleted. So Atlanta dream for me, Rob
lies there to be points in that game. It's been
great being back on the show talking these games with you,
Robno I appreciate you taking the time to do that.
Everybody in the chat.
Speaker 1: Good to see you guys back as well.
Speaker 2: Great people and great cappers, and we all just try
to help each other win. So always gonna let you
know you're much appreciate it. We'll be back again tomorrow.
We have two more WNBA playoff games to talk about
and just putting it out there, you know. Thursday we
will talk some Thursday night football maybe if we feel
like it, will talk some college football. And Friday we'll
talk all that good stuff basketball football and just see
how we can get paid.
Speaker 1: So good to be back.
Speaker 2: As Casey said, hit the like button on the way out.
It helps us out quite a bit. Subscribe if you
want to know when we go live, and we'll catch
you guys on the next show.