Speaker 1: You are welcome to the best sports betting show on
the planet. This is wager Talk Today, and I am
your host, Andy Lang. It's Wednesday. We are dialed in.
We have MLB, we got CFL, we got the Steam Report.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna talk a little golf. A lot of.
Speaker 1: Things going on on this Wednesday, So let's keep the
momentum rolling. Geohnny's gonna get u started with the Steam Report.
You guys know that Ross Benzman is gonna join us
talk the Rays and the Yankees, and Are McGinnis is
gonna join us to talk CFL, Red Blacks, Stam Peters,
and Dan and I are gonna break down the Chargers
nine and a half season win total. Let us know
what you think about the Chargers good number. I do
have a pretty strong opinion on this one. So excited
about that. If you guys could while we're getting started,
hit that like button subscribe to the channel. We cross
two hundred and ten thousand subscribers. I believe our goal,
our next goal is two hundred and thirty thousand. I
think that's what we're that's what we're targeting. So you
want to help us out. Join the wager Talk family.
We're flying in on the subscribers, so appreciate everybody for
joining us. Let's get started and bring in gianni uh.
Let's talk the Steam report. I see one massive move
in a particular sport. I'm interested if you're going to
talk about it. What are we looking at for steam
right now?
Speaker 2: Johnny?
Speaker 3: All right, sharp sharps are on fire right now. God
just stay selective. That's the key because there's a lot
of scalping. I'm seeing a ton of scalps later in
the day. But yesterday a nice three and one day
with a push the five dollars four percent WNBA hit
two and oh on WNBA. Hopefully you had that free
play as well. The free plays that I'm giving out
are premium, so make sure you check it out on
Instagram and TikTok. Yesterday I gave out a four percent
in baseball on those platforms, so make sure you check
them out. Greek Underscore Gambler and Greek Underscore Gambler seven
at TikTok and no WNBA today so far as a premium,
but they did get down on Phoenix six oh one
Phoenix minus two and a half. Now Baseball, if you
go over to wagtalk dot com. Check out the free
picks you'll see I put out a three percent prop
in Major League Baseball. It's a run, hits and arras
prop that I released through subscribers as three percent. So far,
that's the only baseball premium. But here's some of the
steam that I've been moving since early this morning. Nine
fifty one under seven and a half up to minus
one twenty Cubs Milwaukee nine fifty six, San Diego even money,
nine sixty two, Baltimore minus one fifteen keep running Baltimore
nine sixty three under eight and a half up to
minus one thirty, Boston, Minnesota nine seventy five, Atlanta plus
one ten, nine seventy seven, Philly minus one forty and
finally nine eighty under eight minus one ten uh Colorado
and Cleveland. So a couple sides, couple totals. Still a
little bit slow today, but that'll pick up like it
did yesterday later in the afternoon.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that Phoenix in Indiana one is a bit curious.
Caitlin Clark is still out. What's crazy about it is
the offense for Indiana is like rocketed roll in. These
games are flying over the total. I see a big
move on the total up. Mitchell's been absolutely red hot,
but yeah, I could see the move on Phoenix. So
make sure you're checking the injury report, especially in the
Liberty game. If you guys are betting WNBA, it still
Liberty missing a ton of people.
Speaker 2: I'm stunned there's money on Atlanta.
Speaker 1: Giohnny, I'm stunned that there's money on Atlanta.
Speaker 2: I guess.
Speaker 1: I mean they have to be playing the number, not
the team, because the teams and shambles.
Speaker 2: What am I missing in this one?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 3: I mean, listen, again, it's tough at some of these teams,
especially when they're playing bad and they're fifteen sixteen, seventeen
games under five honor. But when it comes to money
lines again, that's the great equal lies. I don't want
to sound like a broken record, but we talked about
that all the time time. You know, there's somewhere in
between that the fifty five percent is what those teams win,
and this looks to me like it just took advantage
of a high opener. Obviously, Kansas City is a five
hundred team, five hundred at home. I think one game
below that. I get it. Nothing sexy on the Atlanta side.
They've won only two of their last day games, so
I again, I don't know what they saw there. I'm
looking at the pitching matchup. You're looking at a starter
that gave up three earned runs in his last game.
They haven't won a game in his last five. But
the same thing with Kansas City. He's pitching better than
their starter, but they're not putting up runs for them.
It's just an ugly game. I could see a dog
or pass situation. I mean, being excited about laying chalk
on Kansas City doesn't get me all excited either. But yeah,
just one. Not a game that I've looked at, to
be honest with you, nothing that jumped out at me.
But they did take the plus and that's why that
lines down to like minus one twelve a bet online
right now. So he got hit again. Wow, it was
like one fifteen a little earlier. So for whatever reason, man,
they're petting Atlanta.
Speaker 2: Unknown entity has an amazing stat. I can't verify this.
Speaker 1: Atlanta has won the last eight of their day games
on Wednesdays. Wow, that is an incredible stat. Unknown, Thank
you for sharing that with everyone.
Speaker 2: Brett wants know. How do you bet runs?
Speaker 1: Hits air that is in the props section. So you
just got to go to depending on your book, Like
on DraftKings, just go to Baseball and scroll across the
top and you'll see the props. They runs hits, airs,
home runs.
Speaker 2: Just hits.
Speaker 1: They offer all kinds of props, So just check the
prop section in Baseball. So, Johnny, anything that was surprising
you in some of those I mean, I said Atlanta
really surprised me. Any of those games kind of jump
off the page. You're like that one's a little curious
why they're betting that one.
Speaker 3: I'm seeing the dogs that they're betting, And like Miami,
where'd that Miami game go? Miami with Saint Louis, Like
the public is all over Miami. And that's one of
those that the sharps need as well, because remember that
was one of those series bets that's actually still live.
Miami and Boston are still live on the series bets
because it's.
Speaker 5: One to one.
Speaker 3: They need both Miami and they need both Boston to
win today to cash those series bets. But the other
dog series bets are going to lose for them, the Arizona,
the Mets, and one other team they had that on
that series. The athletics. The athletics as well are all
down like to nothing. So all those are gonna lose.
But they need Boston, they need Miami today and both
of those are getting heavy public money. Like those are
two public dogs that are getting a ton of action.
Miami over Saint Louis. That was yesterday. Also, they were
all over to Miami side. They're coming right back with them,
and they were all over Boston that got had done,
so they're coming right back with them. Like that was
a sharp play and a public play where they were
both on the same side. And it looks like the
same thing again where you got the sharps and the
public all those same dogs again. Well they come through.
Time will tell. But that always worries me. It always
worries me when I see the recreational betters lining up
on underdogs, especially you know, money line dogs. It's different
if they're getting points, but money line dogs always worried me.
Speaker 1: I I'm very proud of you for not taking your
victory lap. That the Detroit Tigers are four and six
in their last ten and they're below fifty eight percent
on their win percentage. I know you just shrug it's
the numbers. The history tells us the story. Sometimes you
don't need to overthink these things, but the numbers are
just there in front of us. So yeah, I don't
see I don't see anybody over that that sixty percent
closest believe or not. Brewer, the Red Hot Brewers, they're
the closest to sixty percent.
Speaker 3: Based on my guys projection, no team's gonna win sixty percent.
The closest is going to be the Dodgers, who are
gonna be He has him winning like ninety six games
at that point, they're like at fifty nine percent, fifty
nine point something, so he has nobody winning sixty percent.
In fact, he has Detroit gotten down the fifty five percent.
Oh he's coming down even more.
Speaker 5: So.
Speaker 1: Okay, Justin asked, is it too early to determine where
the public money is? I will just refer back to
what Dave Mason told us. He said at this time
when we when we're recording the show, the public money
has not come in yet. No, So yes, Justin, it
is most recreational betters.
Speaker 2: They're going to be betting before.
Speaker 3: Hour before the game. In fact, like on Sunday NFL
two hours before the game is where seventy five to
eighty percent of the month gets bet, Like you may
have twenty percent of the action bet up until Sunday morning,
an hour or two before kickoff, Like that's when it
all floogs in. Most already had made up their mind
and but for whatever reason, they just wait until hour
before to bet. But a lot of betters also aren't
working with credit shops, so they're not going to tie
They don't tie up their money like they say, there's
an NFL game on Sunday, but they're betting baseball Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday,
or NBA or college basketball during those times, so they're
not getting out ahead and betting college football, betting NFL
until the day of That's, you know, not the best
thing to do a lot of times, but it's just
the position a lot of betters are in. That's why
most of the action comes in very very late, the
bulk of it. For sure.
Speaker 1: I want to take this time right now. Tell you guys, Okay,
when football season starts. The most important day that you
guys need to watch this show for NFL spreads is Monday.
Speaker 2: And it's not because of Monday.
Speaker 1: Night football it's because we need to get out ahead
of these numbers. If we're trying to put in plays
on Moneay lines and spreads and we're doing it's Friday,
or we're doing it Sunday mornings, we've missed the boat.
Mondays is going to be the most important day of
wager talk today during football season.
Speaker 2: We need to know what these.
Speaker 1: Numbers are, where they're moving, and how we can get
out ahead of it. So just be prepared during football season. Monday,
you guys need to be here. We will talk Monday
Night football, but you want to be better than ninety
nine percent of the recreational betters come here. That's where
we're going to be talking about the lines. It's the
most important day of NFL season. So I just wanted
to throw that out there.
Speaker 5: Je.
Speaker 2: I'm sure you're with me here.
Speaker 3: I could not agree more. Listen, if you're putting all
your NFL plays in on Sunday, you're probably not gonna
win like I have a winning season if you're doing
that weekend week out, weekend week out, because you're betting
into the sharpest number and they've already been like bet
into buy the sharpest betters on the planet. That like
all the information has been factored into the betting line.
That's arguably one of the worst times you could place
a bet, unless you're taking advantage of an overreaction. Like again,
because the books aren't guessing what the outcome is going
to be. They're trying to manage risk. So a lot
of times betting late does offer some advantages. If they're
shading that line towards all that public money coming in,
you may get a better number. But if all your
bets are being placed an hour before kickoff, you're probably
not having a winning NFL season. It's just too hard
to beat a sport like that that late, it's just
not gonna happen.
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, absolutely so.
Speaker 1: Yes, the teasers, Yes, teasers are gonna be great content
for later on in the week. But we're just talking
money lines and spreads.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, and we'll touch about we'll touch on the
teasers when the season starts, because that that's very different.
And you know that there's ones that are avaluable during
the week that as the line moves, they're not no
longer avaluable, and as better you got to decide should
I put those teasers in when the numbers there, or
should I not, you know, and we'll talk about that
as the season progresses.
Speaker 2: For sure, Before I let you go anything jumping out
of you.
Speaker 1: For UFC, we always get a little UFC action. I
gotta be honest, there's not a ton I like on
this card. I have not been running great in UFC.
It feels like if I like something and I don't
put it in, it easily wins. If I put it in,
the guy gets randomly knocked out a la Carlos Lial
the only one there, the only one that I'm I'm
kind of curious on. I like Treyhon Gorett the plus
one seventy against Rodolfo Vieira Gianni.
Speaker 2: Rodolfa has literally said he doesn't like fighting.
Speaker 1: This is a professional fighter that says he doesn't like fighting,
and I get plus one seventy on a guy that's
fighting for a spot on the roster.
Speaker 2: Other than that, not a.
Speaker 1: Ton of line movement or anything. I really really see,
what do you think of you?
Speaker 4: I like gore as well.
Speaker 3: He's going to have a slight reach advantage five years younger.
Switch stands for support like those are little trends that
that are definitely in his favor. He's coming off that
knocked out loss, but prior to that, you know, he
had back to back finishes himself. I think there's some
value there. Uh. The one that jumped out at me
a little bit was Carol Rosa Chaus. He's coming off
that loss against Alien Perez, which you know Perez is
red hot right now with twerk in and all of that.
Speaker 2: In more than one way. Yes, they do.
Speaker 3: That girl's rattled all four or five straight wins, and
I think this is a little overreaction. I think Rosa
would have been a much bigger favorite against Nora. But
it's kind of like that perfect storm. Nora's coming off
a nice submission win against Calwen. My girl's coming off
a loss, and I think there's a little recency bias
attached to that line. I thought she should have been
well over a two to one favorite. Again, you know,
Lane talking in MMA got to be select but that
one jumped down.
Speaker 4: I agree with you.
Speaker 3: I think it's a tough card, not the greatest of matchups,
and that's because we got a big pay per view
coming up in like two weeks. I think a couple
of good fight nights, you know, the Chamaia Duplessi and
Chicago in mid August. So there's a couple of good
cards ahead. This one not all that great.
Speaker 1: I agree, all right, what everybody you have up for
everybody for clients of but wader talking.
Speaker 3: I have tomorrow's Hall of Fame game. I released that
to subscribers, a four percent best bet in the NFL
first game of the year. I have the NFL College
Football Combo package with the futures. I have the MMA
Pass for Saturday, and of course baseball will be going
up as well. Started off the week well, four to
zero on Monday, three and one on Tuesday. Let's just
keep it going.
Speaker 1: All right, great stuff, Giohanny Hall of Fame Game tomorrow.
We'll be breaking that game down as best we can tomorrow.
Thank you, Giohanny, and keep enjoying your staycase brother. Let's see,
I haven't promoted a whole lot. I have not been
running hot in very many things.
Speaker 2: Full disclosure.
Speaker 1: It was a we had two really good weeks in
a row, and we laid an egg last week, so
we're trying to get back in the profits this week
that we would get a nice little run of three
out of four winning weeks. So that's what we're looking at.
What we have up right now is a really solid
golf play for the Windom Championship. It's a little bit
of an obscure tournament, but sometimes those are the best.
It's only fifteen dollars. Like I said, only play that we.
Speaker 2: Have up for sale.
Speaker 1: I have not talked much about selling plays just because
we have not been running very good and I do
not want to tell you to go get something that
we're not running well in.
Speaker 2: But I have never had a losing season in golf.
This play.
Speaker 1: You can lock this in before it starts in any
plays that we have during the tournament, like individual round plays.
And I think there's gonna be some good ones on
the weekend because there's some really nasty wind coming in,
so I think we're gonna have some pretty high round
scores coming up. But go grab that golf play. This
is the play that I absolutely love. Just jumped off
the page. I've already played this with my own money.
Speaker 2: I love it.
Speaker 1: It's a fifteen dollars play, So go grab that for
the Windham Championship. WT dot buzz slash al So yeah,
justin this tournament. I'm liking this tournament. This is a
really good one. The playoffs start next week, so there's
some guys that are going out there to really get
tuned in. You got some bigger names that are playing,
so looking forward to it. Dan, Let's go around the world.
Let's get some free plays for the people, give some
actionable info and listen. If you guys have been watching
this show, you know my guy, Harry Hall, best hat
game in the game. We're going right back to him,
top forty at minus one forty. Books are not adjusting
this number. Nine tournaments in a row, nine tournament nine times,
nine times.
Speaker 2: I's or Ferris Bueller throw out.
Speaker 1: All right, Harry Hall, top forty. If you've been cashing
on this one, you might want to sit this one
out because he's missed cut here the last two years.
But this man is a completely different golfer. He's number
one in putting over the last year, over the last
six months, over the last three months. I'm not worried
about it. I'm probably gonna play it a little bit.
But if you've hit like four or five in a
row and you're going, I don't know about playing this one,
just take your profits. But if you want to keep
riding the streak. Harry Hall top forty Dolan did a
great job giving us a free soccer winner. So let's
hit up Pavlos for one lega MX San Luis at Portland.
He's looking at the under three goals in regulation. Portland
lost a forward two injury a few games ago. They've
only scored five goals in seven matches since then. We
had a coaching change. Two losses last three games since
that change, so Pavlos expects us to be a little
bit of a low scoring game. And then we mentioned
this Braves and Royals. Teddy covers free play on the Royals.
He and clients cash last night on the Royals. These
are the stats that he brings up. The Braves two
and eight the last ten games. They've allowed six or
more runs in seven straight games. His bullpen has been bad.
Ronald Coonan now has a strained hamstring, and the Royals
are the offense is kind of coming around.
Speaker 2: It's been an anemic offense for most of.
Speaker 1: The year, but they're on a hot stretch six plus
runs average in the last nine games. So those are
your free plays today. So all right, let's bring in
the boss. Now, I'm not talking about our bosses. I
mean the boss Ross, Benjamin. Look at that background, got
the slick logos of the Rays and the Yankees.
Speaker 2: There Ross. How are you this week, sir, Andy?
Speaker 5: It's always a pleasure to be back with you, and
I'm doing terrific. You know, things couldn't be going better
on the handicapping side of things, and my clients have
done awfully well over the last two and a half
months or so, so free picks are rolling as well,
So no complaints, Andy.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get into Rays and Yankees. They split
the first two games of the series.
Speaker 2: I was bummed.
Speaker 1: I've talked about playing the Rays over their team total.
The books have been hanging at three and a half.
Then I log in this morning, books bumped it up
the four and a half. So the books have sniffed
that one out. Rays have been been doing pretty decent
with the Bats. How do you break this game down today?
Game three in the series.
Speaker 5: Well, you know, it's a it's a tough one because
neither one of these teams has played well. They're both
looking like they're falling off the map in the Al
East race right now. But you know, the Yankees did
win yesterday. They're within five games of Toronto, although I
think this is a team you could fade going down
to stretch unless they make some major moves at the
trade deadline. But Zach Lettel gets a start for the
Tampa Bay Rays, it'll be Will Warren for the New
York Yankees, and Warren has been in bad form over
his last five starts six twenty nine ERA a one
to eighty five whip with a whip that's that high,
it's surprising his ERA is an even higher than six
twenty nine. He's given up six home runs in twenty
four and one third innings pitched over those five starts.
That's not a good ratio whatsoever. Since last year, Will
Warren has really faded down the stretch. From Game eighty
two on, he's been horrible. And it aligns with the
fact that in eleven starts since Game eighty two, plus
since the start of last year, ten and one to
the over the Yankees bullpen, which I've alluded to on
numerous occasions, not only with you, but Steve Merrill last Saturday,
seven thirty six ERA one sixty eight whip. Over their
last twenty four they've been brutal, and that's you know, again,
that was their strength in years past, but it's certainly
not their strength now. Zach Luttel, he's been prone to
giving up the long ball. Twenty six home runs and
twenty one starts, eighteen home runs and seventy two innings
pitched down the road, it's one per four innings.
Speaker 6: That it's not.
Speaker 5: A very good ratio for a starting pitcher. The current
New York Yankees are eighteen for sixty six against Lattel,
a three to sixty on base percentage, five home runs,
so they've had some success when facing Lattel, and that
includes at eighteen for sixty six with five home runs.
Doesn't include Aaron Judge in the mix, so it's not
like I'm it's a little bit a skew because Judge,
but he's not in a lineup and he's not included
in at eighteen for sixty six.
Speaker 6: The Tampa Bay.
Speaker 5: Bullpen, like the Yankees bullpen, underachieving terribly this year. Again,
like the Yankees, this was their strength over the last
few seasons, but not this year. In over the last
six games of five to ZHO nine era, the bullpen
on the road this year in Division games, eighteen games,
the Rays have played against division opponent on the road
this year in the bullpen in those eighteen games, a
six ten ERA and a one forty nine whip. The
Yankees fourteen division home games this year, averaging five point
four runs per game and averaging one point six home
runs per game and a three forty five on base percentage.
And here's the thing that people overlook a lot, and
you should consider home plate unplayers. David Rackley is slated
to be behind home tonight calling balls and strikes, and
he's eight and three to the over and his last
eleven is a home plate umpire. He's umpired, been behind
the plate, I should say, in two Yankees games this
year both went over to total. I'm gonna go with
Tampa Bay and the New York Yankees to go over
the total of nine. And I have a batter prop too,
which I know you like. Andy Anthony Volpi is five
for eleven lifetime against Zach Ltel. Not a huge sample size,
but he's had some success. That's somewhere around a four
p fifty batting average. And also out of those five hits,
two of them were home runs. He also knocked in
five knocked in five runs in those eleven at bats,
and I like Vopie to have one or more hits
tonight at odds of plus one seventy five, and then
I'm going to go out on a limb here and
go with Volpi one or more home runs tonight at
odds of plus five point fifty. Hopefully we hit that
one or more hits because of his success against Lttel,
and then we're assuring ourselves of making a profit. And
then if we hit the home run prop, then we're
really in the money in that regard. So again, Tampa
Bay Rays, New York Yankees over nine Anthony Volpi plus
one plus hits at plus one seventy five Anthony Volpi
one plus home runs.
Speaker 6: At odds a plus five fifty. There you have it, Andy.
Speaker 2: Hey Ross, real quick, just a little bit slower. That
was a great bullpen.
Speaker 1: Little Seve go over that real quick one more time.
Old dog Tray was asking about the bullpen stats. So real, yeah,
bullpen stats you just get, So give me that bullpen
stats that you just gave out one more time.
Speaker 5: That was great, all right, So the Yankees bullpen. Actually
I didn't include this and I will this time. A
seven thirty six era and a one sixty eight whip
over the last twenty four games.
Speaker 6: Terrible.
Speaker 5: And also the Tampa Bay bullpen. Uh, you're looking at
fourteen division away games this year, and in those fourteen
games their division, their bullpen has a staff six ten
ERA and one forty nine whip. So and if you
look at both of these bullpen's overall numbers and compare
them to what each bullpen has done for the Yankees
and to raise in the previous three seasons, for example,
it's night and day. There's definitely a drastic difference. And
it's not for the good.
Speaker 1: That's great stuff on the bullpens. Yeah, you got to
know these bullpens, so great work ross any teams jumping
off the page for you in MLB right now. Teams
you want to fade, teams, you want to support any
teams you find yourself gravitating towards.
Speaker 5: You know, it's sort of tough because, as Gianni mentioned,
you got a lot of teams over and around, you know,
between five hundred and six hundred over the last ten
games or so. I mentioned the Braves last week, and boy,
oh boy, that looks like a stupid pick right now,
because I had said that they may improve in the
second half, but you know, they've had a horrible week
since then, and like I said, I would look at
the Braves what they do with the trade deadline, and
right now they have to sell because they've fallen right
completely off the map and out of the race wild
Card and East. So that's a team that, you know,
I think that they're gonna get rid of a lot
of players and they'll probably get some youngsters back in return,
because it's not like they're going to get a rental
when they're out of the playoff race. So I'm gonna
stay away from them in terms of you know, again,
I don't see Toronto faden right now.
Speaker 6: I mean they're they're hitting. Uh. They just added a
nice piece in the bullpen.
Speaker 5: Of course, they lost the doubleheader yesterday, but that's been
out of the ordinary for them because they've been on
a roll. I think that they run away with the
Al East when it's all said and done. I look
for Boston to make a run in the wild Card race.
I like their starting pitching, their bullpen is solid. If
they come around with the bats or they add a
bat or two at the trade deadline, I think that's
a team that will have some value in the second
half as well.
Speaker 1: Andy, that's great stuff. Ross appreciated. Tell her them what
you have up for clients up at wager talk all.
Speaker 5: Right, I'll have a Major League Baseball Premium Pick winner
up tonight for tonight, I'll have that up within the hour.
And also, folks, I will be taping another free pick
video and the game between the Cincinnati Reds and LA Dodgers.
Speaker 6: That'll be on wager Talk TV.
Speaker 5: It's a solo video and my free picks between wager
Talk today and my solo videos at wager Talk TV.
Although we lost yesterday, we're still forty seven and fourteen
and sixty four and twenty one runs with our free picks.
I know it sounds absurd, but folks, all you need
to do is you could check me by going to
my personal link at wager talkTV, which is WT dot
buzz slash ROSSTV at WT dot buzz slash Ross TV. Also,
keep in mind, folks, major League Baseball, you need.
Speaker 6: To get on board.
Speaker 5: I know that a lot of you don't like betting baseball,
but a lot of you do like making money. I'm sure,
and my Major League Baseball this year number two and
units earned. I'm on a current Major League Baseball premium
pick run of sixty eight and forty three, good for
sixty one percent and up sixty two point seventy one units.
Speaker 6: And I mentioned the two and a half month run with.
Speaker 5: The premium picks eighty three and fifty one with my
last thirty four sixty two percent and plus seventy nine
forty nine in terms of units earned. So a lot
of good things happening right now, folks. And don't forget
college football. My early bird special expires this Friday, four
ninety nine. As of Saturday morning, that's going up to.
Speaker 6: Five ninety nine. Why should you consider buying that from me?
Speaker 2: I'll tell you, I'm glad you asked.
Speaker 6: I'm glad you asked, is right?
Speaker 5: And college football number one and units earned number one
and win percentage last year two years ago, number two
in units earned, and when you combine the last two
college football seasons, nobody at wager talk dot com has
more units earned in college football than yours, truly, and
I'm really proud of that because, man, oh man, I
got a great, great cast of co workers over at
wager talk dot com.
Speaker 6: You know some of the top handicappers in the world.
Speaker 1: There, all right, Ross the Boss Benjamin, we're gonna work
on that that setup so so so next week you're
gonna say, why should we get the college football? And
then I'll go why should we get that football? Then
you say, I'm glad you asked.
Speaker 2: We're gonna get this. Yeah, we'll get this.
Speaker 6: Great absolutely pleasure man. Thank you for having me.
Speaker 1: Thanks for joining us, Ross the Boss Benjamin, we're having
a great time in the live chat.
Speaker 2: So we have to pull up the comment.
Speaker 1: That that that started this all so all in on
Hall of Fame game, no rent money, Sugar, that last
don't got me thirty yards. I would love to tell
you that I know what's going on here, but I
get the first part. All in on the Hall of
Fame game. Okay, Alex is going all in on the
Hall of Fame. We don't really recommend that no rent money.
I would recommend you at least pull back some for rent.
But Sugar, that lost last donk got me thirty yards.
Maybe it's a player prop. I bet I bet he
has a player prop that he needs. He needs a
big donk to get thirty yards. So, but speaking of this,
Alex is actually one of our YouTube insiders.
Speaker 2: This is a great little segue.
Speaker 1: We got three insiders with us, Day Duffel, Cole Jave,
and Alex WT dot bus Lash Insiders. It's only two
ninety nine a month. You get special content starting on
the first. You're gonna get a five dollars coupon every
scene month starting next month. So two ninety nine, you
get all the emojis, you get the badges, you're gonna
start getting some special content, and you're gonna get five dollars.
We're literally paying you two dollars in wager Bucks to
become a YouTube insider.
Speaker 2: So really really excited once we get.
Speaker 1: Into football season for all of the for all the
special features, you can check it out WT dot Buzz
Slash Insiders. All right, we're gonna break down the Chargers
nine and a half season win total after we get
with Andrew McGinnis because we got to get our CFL fix. Andrew,
we gotta football's here, man, But CFL has been with
us for a while here, So how you doing, man?
What's the background? What's what's what's what's your background? I
don't think i've seen that one before.
Speaker 7: This is an original six Original six picture there, so
all the original six teams, Leafs, Rangers, Blackhawks, Canadians. We
got Johnny Detroit's Red Wings there, so I got a
bunch up on the wall and fortune. I don't have
anything CFL. I love any MLB here. We're working on it.
But I'll tell you what I've been liking the no
Green screen background. It's a little bit more authentic, a
little more you know, personalized.
Speaker 2: I guess you know me. I'm team no Green Screen.
Speaker 1: I got a couple things ordered from Amazon to prop
up my lights, and I get to hang on my
artwork and in my new office is complete. So all right,
let's talk some little CFL. Let's talk to Red Blacks
and the stam Peters. You surprise me with this one.
I also want to tell you, Andrew and I we're
going to be doing our usual Monday NFL prop show.
Of course, we're not gonna not.
Speaker 2: Gonna stop doing that. That thing's a monster.
Speaker 1: And Andrew and I are going to talk a lot
more about team totals. You've heard me talk about team
totals a lot on this show. Andrew's been doing a
good job talking about it. Once we get into the
fall where we have college football, NFL, all these other sports.
Andrew and I really really believe in team totals, and
we believe that it can be a soft market at times.
So you got a team total for us in CFL,
but expect a lot more team total content coming from
Andrew and I once once more.
Speaker 2: These sports start.
Speaker 1: So let's let's talk about Red Blacks and Stampeters. How
do you break it down?
Speaker 7: Yeah, and I was trying to figure out which way
to start with this game, but I'll say this. You
talk about team totals, well, the one thing great about
it is that you don't have to worry about what
their defense necessarily does. Of course, if you're just betting
them over their certain number. That's how I feel about
this Red Blacks roster. I dodn't want to just worry
about their offense and not worry about the defense whatsoever.
Here now, this Red Blacks team is coming off back
to back losses against the exact same team. They had
a home and home against the tie Cats and then
a bye week. And I know when it's high pressure
situations doesn't mean it always is a time to back
a team, but I'd say this is a big game
here for this Red Blacks team, also a big game
for head coach Bob Dice. The GM has come out
and said he's backing Dice. He's cool with him. You know,
he has no issue with job security. But we've heard
that story before when a GM says that, then two
weeks later they're knocking on his door and saying see
you later. The Red Blacks need a good effort this week,
and they're healthy. The bye week help them get healthy.
All their all star receivers are back. Drew Brown is
feeling pretty good, but the big stories surrounding the CFL
this week are the Calgary injuries. Not only are they
missing their number one corner going into this week, Vernon
Adams Junior, their quarterback will miss at least one week.
Speaker 8: That means PJ. Walker.
Speaker 7: Yes, you heard that right, PJ Walker will be behind
center for Calgary. And although I'm not taking his side,
I'm taking a team total here. I think that with
PJ Walker being out there, it'll be less time and
possession for the Stamps. He didn't look very good last
week when he came in. I think he'll be a
little bit rusty still, which means they're not gonna have
the ball nearly as much. The red blocks will be
able to march the field take advantage of this very
banged up Calgary Stampeters roster. They went on a huge
run to start the season. They were five to oh
Ats as an underdog. Now last week they kind of
hit that bump in the road. They opened up four
and a half point favorites in this matchup. Now they're
plus three and a half. Andy, four and a half
point favorites to plus three and a half. Only a
swing you see in the CFL. I don't want to
worry about the points spread here. Let's just get over
twenty six and a half.
Speaker 8: This is a game.
Speaker 7: You can expect the Ottawa offense to show up at
home and we'll take them over twenty six and a
half with their team total.
Speaker 1: What are some other Actually, let's do a question here
from Duffell Andrew. Are we taking Bombers by six this week?
Are we taking the Bombers by six? You got to
play in that one strong opinion or is it a pass?
Speaker 8: Yeah, that's a side I would lead.
Speaker 7: I mean, speaking of team totals, Andy, that's kind of
I think I would probably just worry about their team total.
If I were to bet that one, it's another home
at home and back to back revenge spot the same
team there, and Argo is coming off and outright loss
as favorites.
Speaker 8: So this team is struggling.
Speaker 7: Not the exact same you know, a Bombers team that
we grew up watching here, or at least I grew
up watching. But at the end of the day, a
little bump in the road for them, a little adversity.
It makes a lot of sense, and I think that
this is a team that will still be a great
team come end of the year. At the minus sixth number,
I would lean that way, but I would more so
take over twenty nine and a half look for them
to get to that thirty point mark.
Speaker 2: Love it, Love it?
Speaker 1: Any other CFL teams kind of catch your eye. Yet,
any injuries that we're looking to fade or guys coming
back that we think we got some good spots over
the next couple weeks.
Speaker 7: Ah well, I'll tell you what you know. This Montreal
Alouett's team Andy right now. They they made some last
week because they had a backup quarterback in I believe
that was my free play gave out on the show.
Speaker 8: On wager Talk today.
Speaker 7: There were plus six and a half against Calgary, who
we just spoke about. They won that game outright. You know,
they had their backup quarterback in nobody believed in him
for some reason. I feel like right now Montreal is
an underrated team in the league, and going into the season,
they were one of the top rated teams to go
to the Great Cup, one of the top rated teams,
you know, future odds wise. So watch out for Montreal
guys over the next few weeks, especially if you can
get a good number on them, get that best price,
because you know a lot of times Andy will come
on and say, you watch out for this underdog, but
this might be a favorite actually that I think there's
going to be value on moving forwards.
Speaker 1: You've been on a nice run the last seven days.
I know you're running a promo. Promo code I believe
is week four nine.
Speaker 2: W ee k.
Speaker 1: There's two e's four nine. I get seven plays for
just forty nine dollars sixteen units over the last seven days.
Speaker 2: Nice work. Tell us about that. What's been working for you?
Speaker 8: Yeah? Thanks, Andy?
Speaker 7: It's the team totals for baseball forty nine percent, guys,
that's the win rate that I'm hitting at MLB doesn't
sound great, right, But if you're not laying a ton
of juice, it doesn't matter a lot. Of my average
prices plus one hundred plus one oh five plus one ten.
Yesterday I go two and one in baseball. Hit the
four percent, which was a plus one oh five, hit
the three percent, which is a plus one hundred. That's
how you win in baseball. In my opinion, I feel
like people get really hurt. They get damaged to their
bankroll by risking too much, by laying too much chalk.
Speaker 8: CFL has been great.
Speaker 7: I always tell you guys that people want to bet
it early on in the year. This is the time
to bet CFL. College football's back. We've got an NFL
game on Thursday. So if there were anybody that cared
about the CFL, half those people are going to drop
off this Thursday. But that's the time to bet on
the CFL. The markets are moving. I'll do the research
for you. You guys join me waitter talk dot com. Week
forty nine is a great deal. Forty nine bucks for
all of my plays. And I got some afternoon action
today in MLB action as well, so I cannot wait.
Speaker 8: I'm shocked. You know, I love Ross Benjamin.
Speaker 7: I couldn't believe the he throw out the I know
a lot of you guys don't want to bet MLB.
Speaker 8: I'm sitting here like, dude, what do you mean?
Speaker 7: Like that's what everybody's going to the website for all summer?
Speaker 8: Like I've never heard anybody.
Speaker 7: I love the guy, but I'm like, dude, I'm out
here hitting five percent CFL plays begging people to join me, Like,
I don't know, I think people like their MLB just fine.
Speaker 2: Team total Dan came up with this one. I'm one
hundred percent on board.
Speaker 1: I'm just blindly betting the Bengals opponent over their team total.
That defense is so bad, So yeah, that could be
an easy way to profit NFL.
Speaker 2: Just the Bengals. I don't know how high that they.
Speaker 1: Could put it before I would look at it under,
but the Bengals opponent team total, that's gonna be what
I focus on the NFL.
Speaker 2: So all right, get ready for Andrew and I's prop show.
Speaker 1: It's going to be Monday morning, every Monday during NFL season,
always a great time. We get you ready for props
and team totals and everything under the sun for Monday
Night football and then the most important thing we do
in that show we look ahead to the next week.
Who do we like, what numbers are we looking at
for to come out with props? So that way, when
the props come out on Wednesday and Thursday, we're ready.
So get ready for that.
Speaker 2: Andrew, great work, Thanks for joining us, have a great week.
Speaker 7: Yes, thanks Andy, I just real quick, I wanted to
mention I forgot but we have our show, the Blueprint,
CFL Betting Blueprint myself Bobby de Oh, it's no opening
line or port with TC, but we do our best
to replicate that and that drops Tuesday evenings usually, and
with a league like the CFL, you really want to
get the best of the number, you want to bet
it earlier in the week. So guys, for all the
support you guys have given us on that show, we
appreciate it. If you have not checked it out yet,
it's up right now wager Talk TV. Every single week
CFL Betting Blueprint. Thanks Andy, Thanks Andrew.
Speaker 1: All right, So someone asked love the show Andy, quick
question though, what happened to President Teddy? And someone said
they had a divorce. They did not have a divorce.
They were never married. No, Teddy is focusing on other
things and Pres is focusing on other things.
Speaker 2: Pres is literally Dan, can we say he's become a
professional poker player, Like.
Speaker 4: You could say it. I don't know if it would
be completely true, but we could.
Speaker 1: Say no, Like, you're gonna get plenty of President Teddy's content.
Teddy's focusing an opening line report. Uh, pres is off
to it is is poker thing And honestly, guys, it
just it just runs its course they've been doing.
Speaker 6: Have you.
Speaker 4: Have you seen, like if you follow at Teddy underscore
on on Twitter, I have never seen him like posting
pictures looking happy, like with his son, like concert. Yes,
like Teddy is actually enjoying his life for probably the
first time since I've known Teddy and I worked with
him for one like five years. So Teddy deserves this.
And honestly, if you look at the run that he
he kind of went on, I think when you when
you take a step back sometimes it can honestly even
make you a better handicapper. I think Teddy just kind
of got worn out. So you know, it's fun to
be like, oh they had a divorce, Oh they hated
working with each other, like did not. The truth is
is they hang out every time they're in Vegas. I've
hung out with them in Vegas like they're the closest
of friends. It was just, you know, the the reality
of you know, Teddy one to kind of take a
little bit of a step back, Pres focusing on some
other things as well. So so yeah, no, I'm I'm
excited for both of them on Pump for PRES's news
show that's gonna be coming up, really exciting things there.
I don't want to let the cat out of the bag,
but it's gonna be a hell of a show that
Prez has coming up. And Teddy's you know, all in
on the Opening Line Report this year Kelly and Vegas
is actually gonna be alongside him for the Opening Line Report.
So every single Monday, you're gonna get KIV and Teddy
covers to start off the week. We got bet on
It coming back, so more reasons than ever for people
to hit that subscribe button. And I'm sure there will
be some present Teddy drama somewhere that we'll be able
to sprinkle it.
Speaker 1: Absolutely absolutely, sf Niner says he was only kidding.
Speaker 2: I know, we're kidding, yeah, whenever, Yeah, we're kidding with you.
We're kidding with you. Brother.
Speaker 1: It's a vibes yeah, all right, speaking of positive vibes,
is it gonna be a positive year for the Chargers.
Let's break down the Chargers here nine and a half
wins here.
Speaker 2: PFF ranked. This was interesting.
Speaker 1: Dan PFF ranked them eighteenth in offense last year in
twenty fifth on defense. It seems really low for a
team that won double digit games their offseason. They added
some nice secondary depth, some D line depth like Khalil Mack,
Mike Williams, Najie Harris hopefully Dajie's one hundred percent. They
got Makai Beckton as a guard. That was a really
nice I like all their additions. Here go through what
PFF has him ranked going into this year. They have
their defensive line nineteenth, offensive line tenth, which you know
that's a hardball staple. I mean, it's going to be
a top ten offensive line for his entire tenure.
Speaker 2: And Leslie sew of injuries.
Speaker 1: Running backs fifteenth, twenty seventh wide receivers, No surprise there.
They're not interested in getting into massive shootouts ninth in
the secondary and eighteenth linebackers. It feels like Harball's already
putting a stamp on this one. Let's do this schedule
real quick. Chiefs at Raiders, Broncos at Giants, Commanders at Dolphins, Colts,
Vikings at Titans, Steelers at Jags. I like that they
get their buy kind of later in the year. Then
they open up after the bye week with Raiders, Eagles
at Chiefs at Cowboys Houston, and then finish at Broncos.
Speaker 2: All right over under his nine and a half?
Speaker 4: What say you dan atone twenty four or fat one
twenty four? Either either one. AFC is such a tough
division AFC West. And but for me, you know, I
always like saying, you know, iron sharpening iron, So I
sometimes like it when you have a team who is
battle tested in division, simply because when you go out
and get to play out of division, you know, some
of your toughest tests come there in division. You know,
you mentioned what the Chargers did last year. You'd be
remiss without saying they benefited from a pretty easy schedule
last year and still maybe underperformed a little bit. But
you ran down the schedule there, you know, outside of
a couple tough spots and you know, having to play
the NFC East. This this schedule isn't astronomically more difficult
than it was last year. You have a couple of
different tests, you have a really nice bye week, and
heading into that bye week outside of the you know
the Chiefs mentup. Do you have you a lot? I
have a lot of teams who are mined around that
five hundred mark. And you mentioned this is a team
who wants to ground and pound wear you down. They
add Naji Harris to the roster, him not having to
be a lead back and kind of being a piece
that will wear you down running back by committee. I
think that was a great signing. I'm with you. I
like a lot of what they did in the offseason,
and don't sleep on them doing something in season as well,
because they still have plenty of cap room to maybe
go out and add a little bit to the wide
receiving court. Because outside of Lad McConkie, who was a
nice surprise last season, who do you really have to
rely on moving the ball through the air.
Speaker 8: No one.
Speaker 4: But if your ground and pound works, you're going to
make sub tier wide receivers that much better down the stretch.
In games simply because you wore down, you know, the
second and the third line of the defense by pounding
the rocket teams keeping their defense fresh. So you know
all that. To say, Andy, nine and a half is
a beautiful number. I mean, I'm sure the comment commenters
will laugh and be like, oh Dan with his overs,
Like I ever so slightly lean to the over. But
the stronger thing for me is Andy, I wouldn't be
playing the under on this Chargers team. I'm really high
on them. Could an injury completely derail what they're doing
and then they only end up with eight wins? Sure?
Speaker 8: Could?
Speaker 4: Could you know, the running back by committee thing not
really work out and they need more help and they
can't get it through moving the ball down the field.
Sure that might happen, But the schedule, the coaching continuity,
the offseason moves that all to me spells towards ten
or more wins? Do they get there?
Speaker 6: Though?
Speaker 4: I don't have the confidence to say this would be
something I would bet up for our show purposes. It
would be an over with the LA Chargers for me.
Speaker 1: Coaching coaching, coaching, man, I guess it just hardball wins
literally wherever he goes, like Wherever this man goes, he
just puts his stamp on this team and it immediately
becomes his identity. And just in the first season, he's
already started to turn this team into what he wants.
Speaker 2: It to be.
Speaker 1: He loves his quarterback, so I get a great coaching staff,
I get great chemistry between him and the quarterback. Yeah,
you got some questions about the quarterback and the playoffs,
but during regular season, he doesn't throw a lot of interceptions.
I love this. I love the signing of Najee Harris.
If he is one hundred percent, I think that's a
really sneaky one. Their first game of the season is Chiefs.
I love that they get the Chiefs.
Speaker 2: At home in the in the first game of the season.
Speaker 1: Chiefs notoriously start off slow. You get him at home,
you got the whole training camp to prepare for him.
And then I'm looking at games against the Raiders. I'm
out on the Raiders. This division is tough, but I'm
completely out on the Raiders. And then I look at
games against Giants and the Dolphins and the Colts, and
what if the Vikings suck with macarth, that what it
would tighten. Yeah, Steelers Jags.
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is an over for me. Ten wins.
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, I see too many winnable games on this schedule.
I would say ten and seven would be the Mendoza
line floor.
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I'm kind of with you there. It's just
simply because of the division that they're in. That's again,
like if you're talking about this Charger schedule and they're
in the same division as the Jags. Oh, I'm all in,
you know what I mean, But but you just don't
know what's gonna happen in that AFC wise.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just I believe when you have a good
coach and a good quarterback, and then you and then
your PFF has some offensive line.
Speaker 2: You give me a good coach, a good quarterback, and
a good.
Speaker 1: Offensive line, I'm betting ten and wins every single time.
So I'm gonna go a little bit more of a
stronger opinion on the over, uh with with with the
Chargers there.
Speaker 4: So Lead Hobby did point out as well that that
is a home game for the Chargers on this schedule,
right it is. It is the Brazil game, which they
the Brazil game. But honestly, if anything, you know, neither
of the teams are accustomed to that, you know what
I mean. So so you can't really say, oh, well
one has more continuity than anything. You look, how wonky
that Eagles and uh and and Packers game was to
start off the year in Brazil. If it's the same turf,
just take the over on rushing yards for all of
these players, the same turf, because ain't nobody. Ain't nobody
digging in on that turf?
Speaker 1: No, no great catch hove. Yeah, I don't think it.
I don't think it changes my handicap of what could
happen in that game. I just love them getting it
week one. So all right, guys, leave us a comment,
tell us if you like the Chargers over or under
nine and a half. Don't forget to sign up for
my golf best bet. That tease off tomorrow about twelve
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go grab that. And also, don't forget to become a
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Speaker 2: It's a no brainer.
Speaker 1: You're gonna start getting special content. You also get emoji's
badges and we'll highlight your your comments definitely here on
the show. So great job everyone, absolutely fantastic show. Shout
out to Andrew, Ross and Giatti always bring in great
segments and appreciate to you guys the audience.
Speaker 2: Football is here.
Speaker 1: Tomorrow we're gonna break down the Hall of Fame game,
so make sure you join us. Hit that like button
and subscribe on the way out. Appreciate you guys, good
luck on your bets and take care