WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Here's your Channa nine weather forecast.

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<v Speaker 2>A lot of humidity going on here today, partley cloudy,

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<v Speaker 2>very muggy eighty six for the high to remain muggy.

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<v Speaker 2>Overnight will have seventy with partly cloudy skies eighty four. Yes,

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<v Speaker 2>muggy and maybe scattered showers and storms. Tomorrow with a

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<v Speaker 2>high of eighty four, partly clotty sixty nine over night,

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<v Speaker 2>muggy again, cloudy skies, and a cloudy Thursday as well,

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<v Speaker 2>with high of eighty seven seventy one degrees. Right now,

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<v Speaker 2>if you've out KERCD talk station traffic time from the

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<v Speaker 2>uc Health Traffic Center. U See Health has expert traumacare

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<v Speaker 2>focusing on prevention, treating injuries, and supporting long term recovery

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<v Speaker 2>and rehabilitation. Learn more at ucehealth dot com. Northbound seventy

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<v Speaker 2>five has got the lep lane block from an accident

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<v Speaker 2>before Paddock Road. Looking that a five minute the laid

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<v Speaker 2>back from Mitchell and eastbound two seventy five at seventy

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<v Speaker 2>five and Sharon builds an accident off on the right shoulder.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm at eazelak on fifty five KRCD talk station six

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<v Speaker 2>point thirty right now, if do you have CARCV talk

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<v Speaker 2>station and always enjoy this time a week get to

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<v Speaker 2>talk to Daniel Davis retired with a Colonel Daniel Davis

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<v Speaker 2>with the Daniel Davis Deep Dive. You can find his

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<v Speaker 2>podcast where you get your podcast. Welcome back, my friend.

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<v Speaker 2>It's always a pleasure to have you on the show.

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<v Speaker 1>Always a pleasure to be here.

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<v Speaker 2>Brian can't wait forgive the camera angle change. I came

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<v Speaker 2>in here this morning and someone had shifted switched up

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<v Speaker 2>the cameras, and I'm not the tech guy. I have

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<v Speaker 2>no idea how to get the camera back, so I'm

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<v Speaker 2>kind of looking at you from a different angle. Apologies,

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<v Speaker 2>but I can see you, and We've got a lot

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<v Speaker 2>to talk about this morning. Let's start with Russia Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 2>They had a Russia massive strike on Kiv the other day,

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<v Speaker 2>and I know Trump's been trying to finagle some negotiations.

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<v Speaker 2>Putin's not necessarily cooperating. Trump then has a conversation with Zelensky,

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<v Speaker 2>and after saying last week that we weren't going to

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<v Speaker 2>be providing any additional arms, I wake up to find

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<v Speaker 2>out that Trump is now resuming sending weapons to Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 2>Question for you Daniel Davis. After all the converse we've

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<v Speaker 2>had on this, can it do any good? Will additional weaponshipments,

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<v Speaker 2>whatever they happen to be, have an impact on the

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<v Speaker 2>direction of this war, which is not going well for Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's why I'm kind of scratching my head as well,

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<v Speaker 3>because I thought the ideal that they should withhold the

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<v Speaker 3>weapons was good a week ago when you and I

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<v Speaker 3>last talked, Because look, there is a certain number of

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<v Speaker 3>ammunition stockpiles, especially most importantly on interceptor missiles air defense

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<v Speaker 3>interceptor missiles. That's something that there is a certain number

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<v Speaker 3>that the United States has to keep in our stockpiles

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<v Speaker 3>in the event that we get into a war, especially

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<v Speaker 3>one that has to be sustained for some period of time.

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<v Speaker 3>We've got to have enough to provide for our own

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<v Speaker 3>national defense. Sean Parnell the Defense Department last week said that, hey,

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<v Speaker 3>we did a review. Turns out that we're getting close

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<v Speaker 3>to that. So we have to look out for the

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<v Speaker 3>needs of America first and will help Ukraine as we can.

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<v Speaker 3>And then all of a sudden last night and the

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<v Speaker 3>President to completely change his course when he was talking

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<v Speaker 3>with reporters with NETANYAHUU over dinner and says no, actually,

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<v Speaker 3>now we're gonna go ahead and do it.

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<v Speaker 1>Now.

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<v Speaker 3>It's unclear exactly what that is because he specifically said

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<v Speaker 3>defensive weapons. They need some help, but he didn't say

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<v Speaker 3>what those weapons were. Is it is it defensive interceptor missiles,

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<v Speaker 3>is it more artillery. It's unclear because they haven't specified

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<v Speaker 3>what it was. Sean Parnell listed or issued a statement

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<v Speaker 3>last night confirming what the President had said, but he

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<v Speaker 3>also didn't say what the weapons were or anything else.

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<v Speaker 1>So we don't know what that is.

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<v Speaker 3>But I can tell you authoritatively, whatever they are, it's

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<v Speaker 3>going to be in small numbers and it is absolutely

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<v Speaker 3>not going to have any impact on the war at all.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, when we had everything in the world, especially

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<v Speaker 3>in twenty twenty two, twenty twenty three for that offensive,

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<v Speaker 3>if that didn't change the dynamic, this small trickle, just

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<v Speaker 3>to a slightly larger small trickle is also not going

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<v Speaker 3>to change the term.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm not really sure what the objective is here

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<v Speaker 1>for the US.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, the listed armaments, at least as a report of

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<v Speaker 2>the Wall Street journally start out patriot anti missile interceptors,

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<v Speaker 2>and we can that's what I want to focus on,

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<v Speaker 2>but AM one twenty anti aircraft missiles. Howit's arounds, AGM

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<v Speaker 2>one fourteen hell fires missiles to arm the hi Mars

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<v Speaker 2>rocket launchers, Stinger anti tank missiles and grenade launchers. But

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<v Speaker 2>focusing on the Patriots. Those are the defensive weapons. Those

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<v Speaker 2>are the ones that shoot the rockets coming in from

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<v Speaker 2>the foe. Now I seem to have read and correct

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<v Speaker 2>me if I'm wrong. If you saw something different that

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<v Speaker 2>there was expectation that Russia could maybe launch as many

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<v Speaker 2>as a thousand rockets at Kiev or pick another target

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<v Speaker 2>or area of targets. I mean, you're not going to

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<v Speaker 2>send over one thousand Patriot missiles. I mean, these things

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<v Speaker 2>are multimillion dollars a pop. And the idea of shooting

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<v Speaker 2>down that kind of barrage of missiles, it just seems

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<v Speaker 2>like it's an impossible task.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, the claims that there will be a thousand, there

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<v Speaker 3>could be soon up to one thousand air Ara objects

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<v Speaker 3>going towards Ukraine. So those combination of drones and missiles,

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<v Speaker 3>and what the Ukraine side has done is that they

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<v Speaker 3>limit the air interceptor missiles only to like the kinsols

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<v Speaker 3>or the cruise missiles et cetera. They don't shoot them

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<v Speaker 3>at the drones. Problem is you can't just ignore the

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<v Speaker 3>drones because the drones are often sent to the missile batteries,

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<v Speaker 3>and if you don't take those things out, then you're

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<v Speaker 3>not going to have them to shoot the missiles down

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<v Speaker 3>later on, which is one of the Russian objectives. But

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<v Speaker 3>the bigger issue is we don't have them. It's not

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<v Speaker 3>even as important how much each of those interceptor missiles cost,

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<v Speaker 3>and you're right there, very very expensive.

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<v Speaker 1>But the problem is how many we have.

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<v Speaker 3>According to open source information, we produce maybe six hundred

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<v Speaker 3>per year. And in that and a blast like this,

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<v Speaker 3>you could use thirty forty or even more interceptor missiles

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<v Speaker 3>in one barush And you can see that's not gonna

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<v Speaker 3>last any time at all for the whole year. And

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<v Speaker 3>we can't go down on our own stock policy. We

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<v Speaker 3>put our national security at risk. So I just don't

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<v Speaker 3>know how you're going to square this circle. Well, what's

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<v Speaker 3>your prediction for what happens next? If Phutan's not willing

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<v Speaker 3>to sit down. I mean it was Zelenski's all giddy

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<v Speaker 3>with excitement about getting another arms shipment, but that doesn't

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<v Speaker 3>solve the problem. It doesn't solve the problem of their

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<v Speaker 3>manpower shortage, and it doesn't solve the problem of Russia

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<v Speaker 3>making further and further inroads in the Ukraine territory. Now,

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<v Speaker 3>a couple of things that happened in the last week

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<v Speaker 3>since you and I talked. Julian and Urupka for the

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<v Speaker 3>German journalist, who's probably one of the best cover in

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<v Speaker 3>the war in the West. He's very pro Ukraine, but

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<v Speaker 3>he admitted in an interview on the July first that hey,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm sorry, folks, but there are not enough Ukrainian men.

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<v Speaker 3>He said, there are sometimes just a handful of men

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<v Speaker 3>to defend an entire village, and the Russians have more men,

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<v Speaker 3>and they have more bombs, they have more drones, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 3>So they're able to take them methodically one after the other,

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<v Speaker 3>even if it's slow.

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<v Speaker 1>The Ukraine side can't stop them. That's the one issue.

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<v Speaker 3>Then on the second side, you had just last night

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<v Speaker 3>you had Sergei Lavrov again say hey, look, we want

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<v Speaker 3>to have a negotiated settlement. We're looking we're inviting the

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<v Speaker 3>Ukraine side to come back to the third round of

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<v Speaker 3>direct talks, which they've had two up so far in

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<v Speaker 3>this nimbool, but then he listed his conditions, which are

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<v Speaker 3>just as draconing as they have ever been. Meanwhile, Russia

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<v Speaker 3>has made more offensive operations and advancements in the area Pakrosk,

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<v Speaker 3>and they have now resumed their offensive in Assumi area

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<v Speaker 3>and then also kind of in the northern Kupeyansk area,

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<v Speaker 3>et cetera. So they are continuing to relentlessly onslaught move

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<v Speaker 3>in as they say they want negotiated settlement, and you

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<v Speaker 3>have the Ukraine side doesn't have enough manpower and they

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<v Speaker 3>don't have enough ammunition to do anything on the battlefield,

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<v Speaker 3>So well, where's it going. Russia's gonna win the war

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<v Speaker 3>if we don't have a negotiated settlement.

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<v Speaker 2>That's well, and that's obviously from you have to give

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<v Speaker 2>them props the Russians for having these strategic objective in

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<v Speaker 2>their sits. Continue to pound away, you're winning, You're whittling

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<v Speaker 2>down their troops the virtually nothing, they're running out of munitions,

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<v Speaker 2>and that pushes us further and for to a point

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<v Speaker 2>of capitulation where we get what we want.

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<v Speaker 1>Draconian as our terms may be.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, that's the point, and either they're gonna and they

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<v Speaker 3>keep saying this, and they've never said anything else. Quite frankly,

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<v Speaker 3>they're either going to get it through a negotiated settlement,

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<v Speaker 3>which are these draconian terms, right, or they're just gonna

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<v Speaker 3>seize it on the battlefield. And they're showing that they

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<v Speaker 3>have the capacity. And believe me, Russia is able to

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<v Speaker 3>read the newspapers too. They know how few ammunition or

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<v Speaker 3>how little ammunition the Ukraine side, the Western side has

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<v Speaker 3>to give, and they know that they are continuing to

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<v Speaker 3>shrink the Ukraine army every day, because it is clear

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<v Speaker 3>that Ukraine is not able to force mobilize as many

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<v Speaker 3>people as they lose on a daily basis, probably in

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<v Speaker 3>the order of several thousand, and so that means every

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<v Speaker 3>month their army is shrinking, and that diversity or that

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<v Speaker 3>disparity that Julian Rupka noted is only going to increase.

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<v Speaker 3>And at some point, Brian, at some point there has

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<v Speaker 3>to almost methodically, mathematically, there must be a break somewhere,

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<v Speaker 3>and then the Russians have one hundred of thousands of

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<v Speaker 3>operational reserves that they can flood into a break if

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<v Speaker 3>they find one.

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<v Speaker 1>That's where we're at.

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<v Speaker 2>Doesn't paint a very pretty fixture, at least for Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 1>Right now.

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<v Speaker 2>Pivoting over to the Israel Iran situation, I see Iran

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<v Speaker 2>basically cracking down on its people, confiscating cell phones, murdering

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<v Speaker 2>or executing a lot of people that they believe to

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<v Speaker 2>be friendly with Israel, perhaps spies, I don't know. The

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<v Speaker 2>graduate imagine the sweep is a little bit broader than

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<v Speaker 2>people who are actually guilty of cooperating with Israel. But

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<v Speaker 2>that seems the direction they're going. I presume that the

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<v Speaker 2>powers of beer a little worried about a coup or

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<v Speaker 2>perhaps like a military coup for example, or a popular uprising.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, they are the.

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<v Speaker 3>Issue with the surprise attack by Israel on the so

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<v Speaker 3>called twelve day War, because it was predicated or started

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<v Speaker 3>with Massad agents being physically inside the and you know,

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<v Speaker 3>firing these drunes off, very similar to what the Ukraine

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<v Speaker 3>side did to Russia a month or so ago and

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<v Speaker 3>the bomber fleet.

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<v Speaker 1>The Massad agents did the same thing.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, they had to have some help on the ground,

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<v Speaker 3>that much was very clear, and they had locations all

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<v Speaker 3>over that had a much bigger effect than just a

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<v Speaker 3>tactical help.

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<v Speaker 1>On the first couple of days of the war. Now

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<v Speaker 1>it has the.

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<v Speaker 3>Iranian regime and a panic, and so they were cracking down.

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<v Speaker 3>And I actually had a conversation yesterday online with a

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<v Speaker 3>friend of mine who has direct contacts in the Iranian side,

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<v Speaker 3>and they're just in anguish, especially the Kurds, because the

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<v Speaker 3>regime is using this opportunity to crack down on anyone's

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<v Speaker 3>eeming suspected of anything, and they're definitely going way overward

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<v Speaker 3>because they figure, look, let's just use a big net

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<v Speaker 3>and that way we'll be sure to get the all

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<v Speaker 3>of them, even if we get some people who aren't guilty. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>whatever sucks to be done, but we're gonna do it.

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<v Speaker 3>That seems to be their attitude. And the Iranians have

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<v Speaker 3>to be careful with that because if they go too

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<v Speaker 3>far on that, they could actually cause some of the

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<v Speaker 3>simmering hatred toward their regime from the inside that could

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<v Speaker 3>give it fuel. It remains to be seen, and this

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<v Speaker 3>source who's been connected for many years and wants to

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<v Speaker 3>see an uprising on inside, says, so far, it's not

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<v Speaker 3>that far. It's not gone that direction because the opposition

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<v Speaker 3>is not unified enough. But if you keep pushing pressure,

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<v Speaker 3>you could create it just briefly before we part company today,

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<v Speaker 3>Daniel Davis, a brief word or two on the Hoothy's

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<v Speaker 3>firing rockets at ships.

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<v Speaker 2>Going off the coast. There, Where is this going and

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<v Speaker 2>where do you see this ending? I mean, if I

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<v Speaker 2>can even use that broad of a question for you.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, there was another ship that was sunk in the

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<v Speaker 3>Red Sea, which the Houthis claim was a ship going

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<v Speaker 3>to that was helping Israel. It was from a company

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<v Speaker 3>that already has one ship in a port at Israel.

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<v Speaker 3>So that's the connection between the two here. But this

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<v Speaker 3>just shows that despite what we did to the Hoothi's

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<v Speaker 3>despote with the Israelis, because they also launched another series

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<v Speaker 3>of a taxi gainst toothie targets in some ports, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 3>You're just not gonna shut him down. They just are

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<v Speaker 3>going to suffer and suck down whatever missiles you want

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<v Speaker 3>to send. But they are committed to what they're doing

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<v Speaker 3>and they're going to continue to fire at some lower level,

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<v Speaker 3>but some level it is as they've been doing for

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<v Speaker 3>a full decade already against the Saudi's, against US and

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<v Speaker 3>against Israel. You're just not going to shut this down. Okay,

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<v Speaker 3>real quick to what end? Yeah, they have to warn something.

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<v Speaker 3>But if they're I mean they're if they're if they're

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<v Speaker 3>not shooting the hoothies, do they want the war against

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<v Speaker 3>the the the Palestinians in Gaza to stop?

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<v Speaker 1>They said, if you stop that, we stopped this one.

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<v Speaker 3>And when we had the ceasefire last time, they did

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<v Speaker 3>until we started attacking again. So if there is a ceasefire,

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<v Speaker 3>if Trump is able to get a ceasefire with Nan Yahoo,

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<v Speaker 3>as he says he may be within a week, then

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<v Speaker 3>that will also stop.

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<v Speaker 1>Huh.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, maybe there is a bright spot in this discussion.

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<v Speaker 2>Daniel Davis Daniel Davis Deep Dive every Tuesday here in

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<v Speaker 2>the fifty five Jarsey Morning Show. Of course you can

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<v Speaker 2>find his podcast throughout the week. Daniel, always a pleasure

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<v Speaker 2>having in the program Sir, my.

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<v Speaker 1>Pleasure, my friends.

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<v Speaker 2>See you next time next Tuesday. It's a forty two

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<v Speaker 2>right now. If if you I have care, see the talk

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<v Speaker 2>station you mentioned Gaya Heaven Cemetery. Moving away from violence

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<v Speaker 2>and war and all the just the awfulness that goes

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<v Speaker 2>along with that, there is a place for tranquil, peaceful meditation, prayer, remembrance.

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<v Speaker 2>Of course, you're Gate of Heaven's cemetery Montgomery Road, really

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<v Speaker 2>easy to get to off a two seventy five. I

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<v Speaker 2>drive past it every day. I'm my way home and

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<v Speaker 2>to work. It is absolutely beautiful. It's tranquil, the landscaping

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<v Speaker 2>is perfect. It's ideal for prayer, reflection and remembrance, and

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<v Speaker 2>that's what it's all about. There to affirm and remember

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<v Speaker 2>that every stage of life is so important that, of

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<v Speaker 2>course is a final resting place for you or a

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<v Speaker 2>loved one. It's an ideal choice. But if you just

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<v Speaker 2>need a police to unwine and contemplate the importance of

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<v Speaker 2>life and exhale and clear your mind out, consider Gate

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<v Speaker 2>of Heaven. It's open to everyone to learn or go

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<v Speaker 2>to the website Gate of Heaven dot org. That's gateof

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<v Speaker 2>Heaven dot org.

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<v Speaker 3>This is fifty five KRC an iHeartRadio station.