WEBVTT 1 00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:04.719 You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from KFI 2 00:00:05.000 --> 00:00:06.040 AM six forty. 3 00:00:07.000 --> 00:00:08.599 It is The Conway Show. 4 00:00:08.839 --> 00:00:11.759 And Mark Thompson states with us, and Moe Kelly joins, 5 00:00:11.800 --> 00:00:13.439 it's nice to see you, buddy, brother. 6 00:00:13.599 --> 00:00:14.400 Yeah, look at you. 7 00:00:14.400 --> 00:00:18.359 You're really into politics. So is Mark Thompson. Me not 8 00:00:18.440 --> 00:00:20.760 so much, but they have me here any What the hell? 9 00:00:21.320 --> 00:00:21.600 All right? 10 00:00:21.679 --> 00:00:25.640 Don Corbin Carson is with us. He's checking out congressional 11 00:00:25.719 --> 00:00:29.239 races in Orange County and I we got the latest. Uh, 12 00:00:29.280 --> 00:00:30.600 Corbin Carson, you're on KFI. 13 00:00:30.640 --> 00:00:31.839 How you bob that? 14 00:00:32.000 --> 00:00:34.960 You know, Republicans and Democrats both have about two hundred 15 00:00:35.039 --> 00:00:38.200 seats that are safe this election. As far as what 16 00:00:38.520 --> 00:00:42.840 as who will control Congress, and Republicans hold about two twenty. 17 00:00:42.880 --> 00:00:45.159 They have the they have. 18 00:00:45.159 --> 00:00:48.240 The majority, and then to twelve to the Democrats. There 19 00:00:48.240 --> 00:00:51.159 are two key congressional races in southern California that could 20 00:00:51.200 --> 00:00:54.320 decide which party controls the House. I talked to all 21 00:00:54.399 --> 00:00:57.280 four of the candidates. We'll hear about them tonight. The 22 00:00:57.320 --> 00:00:59.880 first is the forty fifth district, which includes so Rito's 23 00:01:00.119 --> 00:01:02.679 Buena par Garden Grove, that sort of area. That seat 24 00:01:02.719 --> 00:01:07.680 is currently held by Congresswoman Michelle Steele. She's in a 25 00:01:07.760 --> 00:01:11.480 tight race with Democrat Derek Tran. I'm at the Derek 26 00:01:11.519 --> 00:01:15.079 Tran watch party. I caught up with him this week. 27 00:01:15.120 --> 00:01:18.239 He said, not a whole lot is kicking starting here 28 00:01:18.280 --> 00:01:19.840 at the watch party. But I caught up with him 29 00:01:19.840 --> 00:01:23.120 about the importance of what this race means to Democrats. 30 00:01:23.200 --> 00:01:26.680 This is the closest rage race in the country. Every 31 00:01:26.719 --> 00:01:30.439 single poll has us neck and neck. Republicans control the 32 00:01:30.480 --> 00:01:33.280 House by just four seats, so it's not just about 33 00:01:33.359 --> 00:01:37.400 electing me, but it's the difference between a Republican Congress 34 00:01:37.480 --> 00:01:41.000 and a Democratic Congress, a speaker Johnson or a speaker 35 00:01:41.079 --> 00:01:45.159 Jeffries another January sixth or protecting our democracy. 36 00:01:45.239 --> 00:01:48.799 And as you can imagine, Congresswoman Steel is saying the 37 00:01:48.840 --> 00:01:52.000 same thing. I asked her that and she says, Republicans 38 00:01:52.040 --> 00:01:52.920 have to win this. 39 00:01:53.760 --> 00:01:58.840 We have a very unique perspective nationally because we understand 40 00:01:58.879 --> 00:02:02.079 that what it's likely in a state with high taxes, 41 00:02:03.000 --> 00:02:07.120 person in contact thirteen point three percent and spend policies, 42 00:02:07.280 --> 00:02:11.280 and how that's failing, how funny families and our families 43 00:02:11.319 --> 00:02:15.680 are really suffering with a high inflation rate and gas prices. 44 00:02:15.800 --> 00:02:19.599 And I think that's the reason that we are working 45 00:02:19.719 --> 00:02:22.280 really hard to get re elected. 46 00:02:22.039 --> 00:02:22.439 Now, guys. 47 00:02:22.479 --> 00:02:24.960 The other close seat is the forty seventh district that 48 00:02:25.000 --> 00:02:28.800 includes Newport Beach Lake Forest further south Orange County, Irvine. 49 00:02:29.199 --> 00:02:32.719 That seat is vacated by Democratic Congresswoman Katie Porter and 50 00:02:32.879 --> 00:02:35.960 is now in a tight heat between former Republican Assemblyman 51 00:02:36.039 --> 00:02:40.759 Scott Baw and Democratic Senator State Dave Men. Here's a 52 00:02:40.800 --> 00:02:44.560 ball on how important this seat this district is for Republicans. 53 00:02:44.680 --> 00:02:47.879 We have a nope, that's Steel trying to get trying 54 00:02:47.919 --> 00:02:49.280 to steal some more airtime. 55 00:02:49.319 --> 00:02:49.719 Here's ba. 56 00:02:50.039 --> 00:02:53.840 Jerrymandering throughout the entire country has left only about twenty 57 00:02:53.879 --> 00:02:55.759 seats that are up for grabs. The rest of the 58 00:02:55.840 --> 00:03:00.319 seats are relatively safe, either Republican or Democrat. And this 59 00:03:00.439 --> 00:03:03.439 is one of four open seats in the entire country 60 00:03:03.639 --> 00:03:07.000 where there's no incumbent running for reelection in a purple 61 00:03:07.080 --> 00:03:10.319 district that is winnable. As you know, I ran last 62 00:03:10.319 --> 00:03:12.879 time and got really close. I was standing being outspent 63 00:03:13.400 --> 00:03:16.240 nine to one. This time, I'm still being outspent, but 64 00:03:16.240 --> 00:03:18.000 it's closer to three to one, so it's more of 65 00:03:18.039 --> 00:03:21.400 a fair fight. But it's an important seat for our 66 00:03:21.439 --> 00:03:24.240 party because we want to make sure that we maintain 67 00:03:24.360 --> 00:03:26.360 control of Congress and see if we can grow it 68 00:03:26.360 --> 00:03:26.759 a little bit. 69 00:03:26.879 --> 00:03:29.199 And now you're going to be all night, you're going 70 00:03:29.240 --> 00:03:31.000 to be at these races. Let me put you on 71 00:03:31.039 --> 00:03:33.639 hold real quick. We have some numbers to give out here. 72 00:03:33.879 --> 00:03:35.879 We just had some states closed here. Then we'll get 73 00:03:35.879 --> 00:03:38.400 back to Corbyn Carson here. But right now Trump is 74 00:03:38.439 --> 00:03:40.639 at one thirty seven, Harris is at ninety nine. 75 00:03:41.159 --> 00:03:42.520 The popular vote. 76 00:03:42.280 --> 00:03:45.759 Is very very close, fifty two percent for Trump, forty 77 00:03:45.800 --> 00:03:49.120 six point two percent for Harris, but California is not 78 00:03:50.240 --> 00:03:53.439 has not been counted yet or closed yet. That's fifty 79 00:03:53.479 --> 00:03:56.319 four electoral votes. New York is twenty eight. So you 80 00:03:56.319 --> 00:03:59.479 can always add eighty two to her total. And if 81 00:03:59.479 --> 00:04:03.120 you do that, she is currently at one p eighty one. 82 00:04:03.520 --> 00:04:06.639 Donald Trump one thirty seven and real quickly the big 83 00:04:06.680 --> 00:04:11.080 stage Florida called for Donald Trump. Georgia fifty two percent 84 00:04:11.120 --> 00:04:14.800 for Donald Trump. Right now, Kamala Harris fifty two percent 85 00:04:14.840 --> 00:04:19.439 in Michigan. She's up fifty two percent in Michigan. Donald 86 00:04:19.480 --> 00:04:23.639 Trump in North Carolina is up. And in Pennsylvania, Kamala 87 00:04:23.639 --> 00:04:29.079 Harris has with eighteen percent reporting, sixty percent of the 88 00:04:29.160 --> 00:04:30.600 vote for Kamala Harris. 89 00:04:30.639 --> 00:04:31.360 That is huge. 90 00:04:31.600 --> 00:04:34.360 I know it's early, but still that is a big number. 91 00:04:34.600 --> 00:04:37.160 Moe Kelly joins us MO. You've been following these numbers 92 00:04:37.160 --> 00:04:37.600 all night. 93 00:04:37.720 --> 00:04:39.319 What do you see? What do you feel? What do 94 00:04:39.319 --> 00:04:41.079 you what do you? What do you know? This is 95 00:04:41.160 --> 00:04:42.800 like the appetiser before the meal. 96 00:04:43.279 --> 00:04:45.439 I always say, if you follow sports, here's a good 97 00:04:45.439 --> 00:04:49.959 sports analogy. A series doesn't turn until someone wins on 98 00:04:50.000 --> 00:04:52.879 someone else's home court, you know, wins an away game. 99 00:04:53.279 --> 00:04:54.680 At this point, it's been chalk. 100 00:04:55.120 --> 00:04:57.920 The states that have been one have by large been 101 00:04:57.959 --> 00:05:02.360 expected to be won by the Harris or Trump. When 102 00:05:02.399 --> 00:05:06.399 we get a state Georgia, you could say possibly was 103 00:05:06.560 --> 00:05:08.759 a toss up, but I didn't think it really was. 104 00:05:09.000 --> 00:05:10.879 When we get a state that is supposed to go 105 00:05:11.079 --> 00:05:13.160 one way and goes the other way, then it will 106 00:05:13.160 --> 00:05:16.000 probably tell us our eventual winner. From what I see, 107 00:05:16.120 --> 00:05:20.000 Harris has to win North Carolina. That's the one that 108 00:05:20.000 --> 00:05:22.600 I'm looking at, which is probably going to be a decider. 109 00:05:22.560 --> 00:05:23.639 Right North Carolina. 110 00:05:23.759 --> 00:05:28.000 Right now, with forty percent reporting and sixteen electoral votes, 111 00:05:28.319 --> 00:05:32.519 Donald Trump with fifty one almost fifty two percent, Kamala 112 00:05:32.600 --> 00:05:35.639 Harris with forty seven percent. I think another big state 113 00:05:35.680 --> 00:05:38.519 I think we all agree is Pennsylvania. I think whoever 114 00:05:38.519 --> 00:05:41.319 wins Pennsylvania, But we won't find that one out tonight. No, 115 00:05:42.319 --> 00:05:46.120 And right now, Kamala Harris is up by nearly two 116 00:05:46.199 --> 00:05:51.319 hundred thousand votes, sixty percent to thirty eight percent. And 117 00:05:51.639 --> 00:05:53.920 that's a that's a big deal, even though there's a 118 00:05:54.000 --> 00:05:55.879 just you know, eighteen percent reporting. 119 00:05:56.240 --> 00:05:57.040 That's a big deal. 120 00:05:57.240 --> 00:05:59.759 If you look at the three states that the Kamal 121 00:05:59.800 --> 00:06:03.600 Harris and or Donald Trump really are focused on. Wisconsin 122 00:06:03.759 --> 00:06:08.079 nothing reported, Michigan ten percent reporting, Kamala Harris up by 123 00:06:08.839 --> 00:06:12.560 forty thousand votes, and then, as we said, Pennsylvania, where 124 00:06:12.600 --> 00:06:15.720 she's up by two hundred and fifty thousand votes. So 125 00:06:15.959 --> 00:06:19.399 it'll be interesting to see what happens as these states 126 00:06:19.519 --> 00:06:22.279 as we move west and they close and we get 127 00:06:22.279 --> 00:06:25.560 these bigger numbers. But so far, the only real surprise 128 00:06:25.879 --> 00:06:29.519 is how many votes Donald Trump won by in Florida. 129 00:06:29.560 --> 00:06:33.120 And it's amazing that Florida, the big, huge state of Florida, 130 00:06:33.439 --> 00:06:36.240 has already counted ninety three percent of their votes. 131 00:06:36.319 --> 00:06:38.759 Well that goes back to two thousand and Mark, I 132 00:06:38.800 --> 00:06:40.920 know you know about this with two thousands. 133 00:06:40.959 --> 00:06:43.120 Because of what happened in Florida with Bush v. 134 00:06:43.319 --> 00:06:46.279 Gore, they chase the law so they could count all 135 00:06:46.319 --> 00:06:49.839 their mail mail in and early balloting in advance. So 136 00:06:49.879 --> 00:06:52.800 that's why I get the returns from Florida almost immediately 137 00:06:53.040 --> 00:06:54.800 when the polls closed. 138 00:06:54.800 --> 00:06:58.240 Why doesn't every state do that well? I mean, why 139 00:06:58.240 --> 00:06:59.920 does he state? Why doesn't every state do a lot 140 00:06:59.959 --> 00:07:02.079 of things? I mean, all the states are so individual, 141 00:07:02.160 --> 00:07:04.439 that's the idea. I mean, that's one reason why the 142 00:07:04.519 --> 00:07:08.519 election can't really be hacked, because you have fifty different 143 00:07:08.680 --> 00:07:13.439 versions of vote, you know, right. I'm just gonna ask 144 00:07:13.439 --> 00:07:16.319 you because Tim and I were talking before about Florida 145 00:07:16.319 --> 00:07:18.439 and the fact that it's gone for Trump and it 146 00:07:18.560 --> 00:07:21.759 just seemed to have gone to the right. I mean, 147 00:07:21.800 --> 00:07:23.720 did you expect that, mo as you you know, as 148 00:07:23.759 --> 00:07:25.639 you saw the Florida returns. Just seeing that state has 149 00:07:25.680 --> 00:07:27.639 now moved even further right, it. 150 00:07:27.519 --> 00:07:30.199 Doesn't surprise me at all because Democrats have won a 151 00:07:30.279 --> 00:07:33.160 statewide election, I think since Obama. 152 00:07:34.199 --> 00:07:34.839 Closest one. 153 00:07:34.879 --> 00:07:39.480 I think they had a senator in I think the 154 00:07:40.079 --> 00:07:43.879 mid twenty and tens who won a statewide election. But 155 00:07:44.560 --> 00:07:48.319 it hasn't gone the Democrats way in any recent history. 156 00:07:48.360 --> 00:07:50.720 So as far as I'm concerned, this is more confirmation 157 00:07:51.040 --> 00:07:53.879 that it's moving more right, I'm less surprised by that 158 00:07:54.000 --> 00:07:54.839 than anything else. 159 00:07:55.360 --> 00:07:59.000 Well with almost with well over, I'm sorry, just over 160 00:07:59.360 --> 00:08:04.040 ten million votes counted already. Donald Trump has nearly six 161 00:08:04.240 --> 00:08:07.839 million votes, fifty six point two percent to forty two 162 00:08:07.879 --> 00:08:11.439 point nine percent, so a big difference in Florida. 163 00:08:11.600 --> 00:08:13.639 All right, Texas will give you Texas. 164 00:08:13.360 --> 00:08:15.639 Numbers as soon as we get him, and then in 165 00:08:15.720 --> 00:08:19.680 the next hour or two, actually by eight o'clock, you're 166 00:08:19.720 --> 00:08:24.439 gonna see Washington, Oregon, Nevada, Idaho, Montana, Utah, Arizona, and 167 00:08:24.480 --> 00:08:26.959 then later on Alaska and Hawaii. And we will be 168 00:08:27.040 --> 00:08:30.279 here all night long. Mo Kelly promised to go to 169 00:08:30.399 --> 00:08:32.320 four five o'clock in the morning. If he has to 170 00:08:32.799 --> 00:08:34.879 get us these numbers, I'll be here ding dong with you. 171 00:08:35.120 --> 00:08:36.799 It's Conway Show. Mark Thompson's here. 172 00:08:36.799 --> 00:08:39.519 Mo Kelly's with us all the numbers tonight right here 173 00:08:39.559 --> 00:08:41.039 on KFI AM six forty. 174 00:08:41.840 --> 00:08:45.559 You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from KFI 175 00:08:45.840 --> 00:08:46.799 AM six forty. 176 00:08:46.960 --> 00:08:51.080 Conway Show Mark Thompson's here Since Tuesday, mo Kelly joins 177 00:08:51.159 --> 00:08:54.399 US as well as we look at all the numbers, 178 00:08:54.759 --> 00:08:56.720 Mo Kelly, during the commercial break, you said, yeah, your 179 00:08:56.720 --> 00:08:59.200 eye on two states. One of them I think was Ohio. 180 00:08:59.200 --> 00:09:02.279 On the other one was North Carolina, North Carolina and Ohio. 181 00:09:02.759 --> 00:09:05.440 In the past ten minutes or so, Donald Trump has 182 00:09:05.480 --> 00:09:07.639 opened up his lead in Ohio, and I was talking 183 00:09:07.639 --> 00:09:11.519 to Mark Thompson saying that I use this as an 184 00:09:11.559 --> 00:09:14.679 overlay of the twenty twenty map. So if Harris were 185 00:09:14.720 --> 00:09:18.480 to lose a state that Biden won in twenty twenty, 186 00:09:18.840 --> 00:09:22.679 presumably she has to replace that state with some other state. 187 00:09:23.159 --> 00:09:26.639 So we know that Biden won Georgia in twenty twenty. 188 00:09:26.960 --> 00:09:29.919 It looks like Trump is going to win Georgia in 189 00:09:29.960 --> 00:09:33.000 twenty twenty four. So for Harris to have any chance, 190 00:09:33.080 --> 00:09:35.440 she's going to need to replace that state or those 191 00:09:36.000 --> 00:09:40.639 sixteen electoral College votes, which would be North Carolina presumably. 192 00:09:40.840 --> 00:09:45.960 Okay, all right, and we still have you know, California, Oregon, 193 00:09:45.960 --> 00:09:50.559 and Washington, which are always going heavily towards Democrats. They 194 00:09:50.600 --> 00:09:53.240 have not closed and we have no numbers coming in 195 00:09:53.240 --> 00:09:54.080 from anybody. 196 00:09:54.200 --> 00:09:57.600 But because you mentioned the West him, Mo, what do 197 00:09:57.639 --> 00:10:02.120 you think might if Harris could carry a bit of 198 00:10:02.159 --> 00:10:02.600 the West. 199 00:10:02.720 --> 00:10:06.639 Might that make up the gap that she mathematically as possible, 200 00:10:06.679 --> 00:10:09.080 And that's why it goes down to Pennsylvania. But her 201 00:10:09.799 --> 00:10:13.559 her pathway, as they say, narrows considerably if she were 202 00:10:13.600 --> 00:10:17.120 to lose a Nevada or Arizona. We know Biden carried 203 00:10:17.159 --> 00:10:20.320 Arizona in twenty twenty, so Harris would have to find 204 00:10:20.360 --> 00:10:23.799 some other state. If she were to lose Arizona in 205 00:10:23.840 --> 00:10:26.200 twenty twenty four, it gets more and more difficult. 206 00:10:26.399 --> 00:10:27.919 In other words, every. 207 00:10:28.039 --> 00:10:32.360 State that Donald Trump could presumably win that Biden won, 208 00:10:33.159 --> 00:10:35.879 she has to replace it. And after a certain point, 209 00:10:36.200 --> 00:10:38.399 you run out of places where you can find those states. Now, 210 00:10:38.440 --> 00:10:41.720 there was a possibility, there was some belief that there 211 00:10:41.799 --> 00:10:44.919 might be a surprise in Iowa. I don't personally believe that, 212 00:10:45.039 --> 00:10:48.120 but that's been put out there. And Nevada is going 213 00:10:48.200 --> 00:10:50.679 to loom large as well. But as it gets later 214 00:10:50.720 --> 00:10:53.840 in the night, we'll see how large Pennsylvania is going 215 00:10:53.919 --> 00:10:54.080 to be. 216 00:10:54.080 --> 00:10:56.120 But it looks like it's going to be huge. Well. 217 00:10:56.159 --> 00:11:00.519 In Iowa, nine percent reporting and Kambala hairs as an 218 00:11:00.559 --> 00:11:04.679 eighteen point lead fifty eight percent to forty percent, with 219 00:11:04.799 --> 00:11:07.320 a thirty thousand vote lead. 220 00:11:07.360 --> 00:11:08.960 But that's it's extremely so early. 221 00:11:09.080 --> 00:11:16.000 Yeah, Wisconsin with four percent reporting, very lower number Donald 222 00:11:16.039 --> 00:11:20.679 Trump up fifty seven to forty percent, but still that 223 00:11:20.879 --> 00:11:23.039 you have no idea where the number came from or 224 00:11:23.440 --> 00:11:28.320 but here's something. And again I'm not a Northeast guy 225 00:11:28.399 --> 00:11:32.879 when it comes to elections. His Maine always been Democrat 226 00:11:32.960 --> 00:11:35.159 or his main flip back and forth. 227 00:11:36.080 --> 00:11:36.559 I don't know. 228 00:11:36.960 --> 00:11:40.240 Well, it has been split the It's kind of funky 229 00:11:40.240 --> 00:11:42.360 what they do in Maine. But I think it trends 230 00:11:42.480 --> 00:11:44.879 more progressive than Republican. 231 00:11:45.000 --> 00:11:46.679 They used to say. There was a saying that back 232 00:11:46.720 --> 00:11:49.840 in the old days, as as goes Maine, so goes 233 00:11:49.879 --> 00:11:53.679 the nation. And then Maine started to get out of 234 00:11:53.679 --> 00:11:56.240 step with the nation and only Vermont and Maine vote, 235 00:11:56.240 --> 00:11:58.240 and then they change it to as goes Maine, so 236 00:11:58.440 --> 00:12:01.840 goes Vermont. Yeah, so I think it's not necessarily a 237 00:12:01.840 --> 00:12:02.600 Bell Weathers state. 238 00:12:03.360 --> 00:12:06.399 It is interesting, and Mark pointed this out during commercial break, 239 00:12:06.559 --> 00:12:10.840 how close this thing is. It's unbelievable, you know, but 240 00:12:11.000 --> 00:12:16.080 usually by you know, by six thirty seven o'clock in California, 241 00:12:16.240 --> 00:12:19.240 by you know, nine thirty ten o'clock on the East coast, 242 00:12:19.360 --> 00:12:22.200 you have some idea of the direction that's going in, 243 00:12:22.240 --> 00:12:23.240 and I have no idea. 244 00:12:23.399 --> 00:12:26.200 Now you get a hint somewhere. That's why I listened 245 00:12:26.200 --> 00:12:29.639 to with interest as to Mo looking at the tea 246 00:12:29.720 --> 00:12:33.200 leaves this early, because I feel as though he makes 247 00:12:33.240 --> 00:12:35.399 a good argument for the things we should be focusing on, 248 00:12:35.440 --> 00:12:39.240 and the polls have closed in states where we can 249 00:12:39.320 --> 00:12:41.080 focus and get maybe some hint. 250 00:12:41.240 --> 00:12:43.919 Well, here's something else. I think people should caution themselves 251 00:12:43.960 --> 00:12:47.120 with these early totals. Usually they are going to come 252 00:12:47.159 --> 00:12:51.639 from the smaller counties, and those are probably not as 253 00:12:51.720 --> 00:12:54.919 densely populated. If you talk about a state like a Wisconsin, 254 00:12:55.240 --> 00:12:58.039 we talk about a state like a Georgia. In other words, 255 00:12:58.080 --> 00:13:00.440 the urban centers are going to come later the evening 256 00:13:00.480 --> 00:13:02.919 because there are more votes to be tabulated. 257 00:13:03.200 --> 00:13:05.000 So if you're talking about. 258 00:13:06.759 --> 00:13:10.639 What are the larger counties in Georgia, you may not 259 00:13:10.720 --> 00:13:13.360 see that for another hour or so, and you'll see 260 00:13:13.440 --> 00:13:15.720 it may have a wide swing, and that throws a 261 00:13:15.759 --> 00:13:17.879 lot of people off. They think, wait a minute, Trumble's 262 00:13:17.960 --> 00:13:20.480 up fifteen points, and now he's only up four points. 263 00:13:20.559 --> 00:13:25.000 That's usually why, Well, you know, Pennsylvania's reporting twenty three percent. 264 00:13:25.519 --> 00:13:27.480 They've counted twenty three percent of the vote. Whi's not 265 00:13:27.480 --> 00:13:29.480 a small number, it's a quarter of all the votes. 266 00:13:29.960 --> 00:13:33.559 And Kambala Harris is up by sixteen percentage points, nine 267 00:13:33.679 --> 00:13:36.080 hundred and thirty five thousand to six hundred and eighty 268 00:13:36.120 --> 00:13:41.559 two thousand, up by nearly two hundred thousand, two hundred 269 00:13:41.559 --> 00:13:42.759 and forty thousand votes. 270 00:13:43.159 --> 00:13:44.879 That's a lot for Pennsylvania. 271 00:13:44.919 --> 00:13:47.320 Pennsylvania is such a weird state though, because it's really well, 272 00:13:47.360 --> 00:13:51.279 you're weird. How about that the cities tend to go Democrat, 273 00:13:51.360 --> 00:13:54.120 and of course that wide area of the rural Pennsylvania 274 00:13:54.159 --> 00:13:55.840 in between tends to go to public and that's how 275 00:13:55.879 --> 00:13:57.279 you end up in the deadlock that we're in. 276 00:13:57.720 --> 00:14:00.360 And I've noticed and again the a lot of these 277 00:14:00.799 --> 00:14:03.840 numbers are coming from Google. Google has their own you know, 278 00:14:03.919 --> 00:14:08.360 voting results, and you know, every network is calling it different. 279 00:14:08.759 --> 00:14:12.600 Fox has Trump at one ninety five Electoral College Harris 280 00:14:12.639 --> 00:14:16.759 at one thirteen. Google has one seventy seven for Trump, 281 00:14:16.879 --> 00:14:21.600 ninety nine for Harris, and CNN has one fifty four 282 00:14:22.240 --> 00:14:25.159 for Trump and fifty three for Harris. So CNN is 283 00:14:25.159 --> 00:14:30.799 playing it very very cautiously. Fox is playing it, you know, 284 00:14:30.960 --> 00:14:33.679 very very loosely. And I think Google is right down 285 00:14:33.720 --> 00:14:35.840 the middle here twenty twenty change. 286 00:14:36.840 --> 00:14:39.440 I guess the approach as far as calling these races, 287 00:14:39.440 --> 00:14:43.120 it's not about being first, it's about being accurate, right, 288 00:14:43.200 --> 00:14:45.159 And you don't want to call it and then have 289 00:14:45.240 --> 00:14:46.559 to take it back later on. 290 00:14:46.679 --> 00:14:47.799 Not in today's environment. 291 00:14:47.879 --> 00:14:48.120 Yeah. 292 00:14:48.200 --> 00:14:52.519 That and and Fox with Arizona, even though they eventually 293 00:14:52.519 --> 00:14:55.279 got it, they ultimately got it right when they called 294 00:14:55.279 --> 00:14:58.120 Arizona so quickly. There's a lot of backlash on that, 295 00:14:58.279 --> 00:15:02.200 lots and lots of backlash. So here's where we stand 296 00:15:02.279 --> 00:15:05.679 right now. According to Google. Another it just gone up 297 00:15:05.679 --> 00:15:08.320 to one seventy eight. So Donald Trump one's seventy eight, 298 00:15:08.840 --> 00:15:14.120 leading in North Carolina, leading in Georgia, leading in Virginia 299 00:15:14.559 --> 00:15:17.399 with fifty three percent of the vote counted by a 300 00:15:17.720 --> 00:15:24.200 very slim margin in Virginia forty nine point six percent 301 00:15:24.240 --> 00:15:27.840 of forty eight point seven percent. There's only a difference 302 00:15:27.919 --> 00:15:31.360 of less than thirty thousand votes in Virginia, so we'll 303 00:15:31.440 --> 00:15:33.480 keep an eye on that. That's a really important state. 304 00:15:33.840 --> 00:15:40.840 Wisconsin again only seven percent reporting and Minnesota only one 305 00:15:40.879 --> 00:15:42.879 percent reporting, so not much there. 306 00:15:43.000 --> 00:15:44.960 But it was interesting. There was a vote. 307 00:15:44.960 --> 00:15:47.320 There was a poll that came out of Iowa that 308 00:15:47.480 --> 00:15:51.120 had Kamala Harris up by five, six or seven points 309 00:15:51.320 --> 00:15:52.960 from the Des Moines Register. 310 00:15:52.879 --> 00:15:54.360 Right, that was that single poll. 311 00:15:54.600 --> 00:15:57.200 I call it an outlier because all the other poles 312 00:15:57.600 --> 00:16:01.200 had shown Trump comfortably waiting I'll say four or five 313 00:16:01.639 --> 00:16:06.480 percentage points. But this one particular poll has been more 314 00:16:06.519 --> 00:16:09.399 accurate than the other polls in previous elections, and that's 315 00:16:09.399 --> 00:16:14.000 why some people have given it some credence. As far 316 00:16:14.039 --> 00:16:17.080 as it might pretend that Harris has a chance in Iowa, 317 00:16:17.600 --> 00:16:21.039 I'm not quite there yet, but I understand why there 318 00:16:21.120 --> 00:16:21.879 it's being said. 319 00:16:22.000 --> 00:16:23.720 So even though we're not going to find out, we 320 00:16:23.799 --> 00:16:25.480 most likely will not find out who's going to be 321 00:16:25.480 --> 00:16:28.519 the winter night. Do you think that both the Harris 322 00:16:28.559 --> 00:16:31.759 camp and the Trump camp will will have speeches at 323 00:16:31.759 --> 00:16:32.360 the end of the night. 324 00:16:33.440 --> 00:16:35.240 Yeah, but they'll be vastly different. 325 00:16:36.159 --> 00:16:36.279 You know. 326 00:16:36.399 --> 00:16:38.960 I expect Donald Trump to declare victory, let's be honest, 327 00:16:39.120 --> 00:16:42.200 and I expect Kamala Harris to say something along the 328 00:16:42.200 --> 00:16:44.360 lines that we're going to count every low counts. Yeah, 329 00:16:44.360 --> 00:16:46.559 and we're going to wait on every vote until we 330 00:16:46.600 --> 00:16:49.600 get fired. And let's not forget if there are close states, 331 00:16:49.960 --> 00:16:52.360 they some of them have mandatory recounts if it's within 332 00:16:52.480 --> 00:16:54.919 like three points or something like that. So there are 333 00:16:54.919 --> 00:16:56.840 things which have nothing to do with the candidates, have 334 00:16:56.919 --> 00:17:00.240 nothing to do with the votes per se. Just going 335 00:17:00.279 --> 00:17:02.279 back to what Mark was saying, you have fifty different 336 00:17:02.600 --> 00:17:05.599 actually more than fifty when you count Washington DC, all 337 00:17:05.640 --> 00:17:08.799 these different contests and how they count the votes and 338 00:17:09.119 --> 00:17:14.599 the processes for mail in ballots, and it's unrealistic to 339 00:17:14.759 --> 00:17:17.680 think that it would be settled tonight unless there is 340 00:17:18.119 --> 00:17:21.359 a large shift of states which go one candidate's way 341 00:17:21.359 --> 00:17:22.440 that we didn't see coming. 342 00:17:22.720 --> 00:17:26.319 All right, So we have Arizona closing at seven o'clock 343 00:17:27.400 --> 00:17:32.599 our time, Utah closing at seven o'clock, eight o'clock, Idaho, 344 00:17:33.680 --> 00:17:36.559 seven o'clock, Montana, and then you got the west coast 345 00:17:36.839 --> 00:17:40.400 Washington eight o'clock, Oregon eight o'clock, California eight pm, and 346 00:17:40.440 --> 00:17:44.799 then Alaska at ten pm our time, and Hawaii at 347 00:17:44.880 --> 00:17:49.400 nine pm our time. So lots more to cover a 348 00:17:49.440 --> 00:17:51.880 lot of local races. We'll come back and talk about 349 00:17:51.880 --> 00:17:54.519 the local races as well. But the one problem with 350 00:17:54.559 --> 00:17:56.880 talking about the local races, I mean, Corey Carson did 351 00:17:56.920 --> 00:18:01.519 a great job in Orange County about the congressional races, 352 00:18:01.519 --> 00:18:01.960 but you can't. 353 00:18:01.960 --> 00:18:03.759 We don't know anything until. 354 00:18:03.559 --> 00:18:04.880 Yeah, we don't want to talk eight or ee R 355 00:18:05.079 --> 00:18:07.039 pols are still open. That's right, that's right. 356 00:18:07.119 --> 00:18:10.359 We will keep an eye on the national numbers when 357 00:18:10.359 --> 00:18:14.359 we come back. Right now, CNN has Trump at one 358 00:18:14.480 --> 00:18:18.279 fifty four, Kamala Harris at fifty three. Fox has it 359 00:18:18.359 --> 00:18:21.720 one ninety five, one seventeen Trump, and then Google has 360 00:18:21.720 --> 00:18:24.400 it one seventy eight to ninety nine Harris. But they've 361 00:18:24.440 --> 00:18:28.119 not counted New York or California, which is eighty two 362 00:18:28.279 --> 00:18:32.000 eighty two electoral votes going towards Harris, and those haven't 363 00:18:32.039 --> 00:18:34.480 been calculated into the final number yet. 364 00:18:34.519 --> 00:18:36.960 So we will keep it going. We're live on KFI. 365 00:18:37.000 --> 00:18:40.119 It's Conway, Thompson and mo Kelly live here on KFI 366 00:18:40.200 --> 00:18:41.039 AM six forty. 367 00:18:41.759 --> 00:18:45.480 You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from KFI 368 00:18:45.759 --> 00:18:46.799 AM six forty. 369 00:18:47.680 --> 00:18:53.160 What's KFI AM six forty. It's Conway Show. Mark Thompson's here, 370 00:18:53.240 --> 00:18:55.799 Mokelly's with us. We're going to talk to Michael Monks 371 00:18:55.799 --> 00:19:00.039 here in a second. But first, according to Google and 372 00:19:00.079 --> 00:19:03.839 their results here, Harris ninety nine with forty six point 373 00:19:03.920 --> 00:19:06.720 six percent of the popular vote. Donald Trump won seventy 374 00:19:06.720 --> 00:19:09.680 eight electoral college with fifty two point two percent of 375 00:19:09.680 --> 00:19:14.200 the vote, still very early. Georgia is leaning towards Donald Trump. 376 00:19:14.279 --> 00:19:17.839 So it was North Carolina and Virginia, but again very early. 377 00:19:18.559 --> 00:19:22.079 And Michael Monks is before you get to Michael Monks 378 00:19:22.279 --> 00:19:24.960 and you guys keeping an eye on something interesting here. 379 00:19:25.440 --> 00:19:28.119 I Moe Kelly, tell me something. I don't know. 380 00:19:28.880 --> 00:19:30.440 I don't know what you do or don't know, but 381 00:19:30.480 --> 00:19:36.559 I see that Fox News is called Colorado for VP Harris, 382 00:19:36.960 --> 00:19:38.960 and that was a state that I thought that was 383 00:19:39.000 --> 00:19:41.160 going to be a little bit more competitive than it 384 00:19:41.359 --> 00:19:45.359 was at this point. They called it interestingly enough, with 385 00:19:45.440 --> 00:19:48.119 only thirty five percent of the vote in and Harris 386 00:19:48.160 --> 00:19:50.319 was up nine percentage points. The only reason I say 387 00:19:50.319 --> 00:19:53.119 that it's because I always think about the neighboring states, 388 00:19:53.160 --> 00:19:56.200 whether you tah could be more in play, how competitive 389 00:19:56.240 --> 00:19:58.799 New Mexico is going to be, Arizona and so forth. 390 00:19:58.839 --> 00:20:01.599 So I was looking at Colorado as far as whether 391 00:20:01.640 --> 00:20:04.240 it's coined to portend anything else in that region. 392 00:20:04.480 --> 00:20:08.559 And Wyoming has just closed, no information coming out, zero 393 00:20:08.640 --> 00:20:09.480 percent reporting. 394 00:20:09.599 --> 00:20:10.519 Maybe nobody voted. 395 00:20:10.559 --> 00:20:14.240 That's possible, And it's weird because Fox called Wyoming for 396 00:20:15.359 --> 00:20:18.079 Donald Trump with zero percent reporting, So I don't know, 397 00:20:18.160 --> 00:20:18.759 that's crazy. 398 00:20:19.480 --> 00:20:24.960 South Dakota the three percent reporting, sixty nine percent for Trump. 399 00:20:25.039 --> 00:20:29.519 North Dakota nine percent reporting, and seventy four point five 400 00:20:29.559 --> 00:20:31.000 percent for Donald Trump. 401 00:20:31.079 --> 00:20:32.799