Speaker 1: You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from KFI
Speaker 1: AM six forty.
Speaker 2: It is The Conway Show.
Speaker 3: And Mark Thompson states with us, and Moe Kelly joins,
Speaker 3: it's nice to see you, buddy, brother.
Speaker 2: Yeah, look at you.
Speaker 3: You're really into politics. So is Mark Thompson. Me not
Speaker 3: so much, but they have me here any What the hell?
Speaker 4: All right?
Speaker 3: Don Corbin Carson is with us. He's checking out congressional
Speaker 3: races in Orange County and I we got the latest. Uh,
Speaker 3: Corbin Carson, you're on KFI.
Speaker 2: How you bob that?
Speaker 5: You know, Republicans and Democrats both have about two hundred
Speaker 5: seats that are safe this election. As far as what
Speaker 5: as who will control Congress, and Republicans hold about two twenty.
Speaker 2: They have the they have.
Speaker 5: The majority, and then to twelve to the Democrats. There
Speaker 5: are two key congressional races in southern California that could
Speaker 5: decide which party controls the House. I talked to all
Speaker 5: four of the candidates. We'll hear about them tonight. The
Speaker 5: first is the forty fifth district, which includes so Rito's
Speaker 5: Buena par Garden Grove, that sort of area. That seat
Speaker 5: is currently held by Congresswoman Michelle Steele. She's in a
Speaker 5: tight race with Democrat Derek Tran. I'm at the Derek
Speaker 5: Tran watch party. I caught up with him this week.
Speaker 5: He said, not a whole lot is kicking starting here
Speaker 5: at the watch party. But I caught up with him
Speaker 5: about the importance of what this race means to Democrats.
Speaker 6: This is the closest rage race in the country. Every
Speaker 6: single poll has us neck and neck. Republicans control the
Speaker 6: House by just four seats, so it's not just about
Speaker 6: electing me, but it's the difference between a Republican Congress
Speaker 6: and a Democratic Congress, a speaker Johnson or a speaker
Speaker 6: Jeffries another January sixth or protecting our democracy.
Speaker 5: And as you can imagine, Congresswoman Steel is saying the
Speaker 5: same thing. I asked her that and she says, Republicans
Speaker 5: have to win this.
Speaker 7: We have a very unique perspective nationally because we understand
Speaker 7: that what it's likely in a state with high taxes,
Speaker 7: person in contact thirteen point three percent and spend policies,
Speaker 7: and how that's failing, how funny families and our families
Speaker 7: are really suffering with a high inflation rate and gas prices.
Speaker 7: And I think that's the reason that we are working
Speaker 7: really hard to get re elected.
Speaker 2: Now, guys.
Speaker 5: The other close seat is the forty seventh district that
Speaker 5: includes Newport Beach Lake Forest further south Orange County, Irvine.
Speaker 5: That seat is vacated by Democratic Congresswoman Katie Porter and
Speaker 5: is now in a tight heat between former Republican Assemblyman
Speaker 5: Scott Baw and Democratic Senator State Dave Men. Here's a
Speaker 5: ball on how important this seat this district is for Republicans.
Speaker 5: We have a nope, that's Steel trying to get trying
Speaker 5: to steal some more airtime.
Speaker 2: Here's ba.
Speaker 8: Jerrymandering throughout the entire country has left only about twenty
Speaker 8: seats that are up for grabs. The rest of the
Speaker 8: seats are relatively safe, either Republican or Democrat. And this
Speaker 8: is one of four open seats in the entire country
Speaker 8: where there's no incumbent running for reelection in a purple
Speaker 8: district that is winnable. As you know, I ran last
Speaker 8: time and got really close. I was standing being outspent
Speaker 8: nine to one. This time, I'm still being outspent, but
Speaker 8: it's closer to three to one, so it's more of
Speaker 8: a fair fight. But it's an important seat for our
Speaker 8: party because we want to make sure that we maintain
Speaker 8: control of Congress and see if we can grow it
Speaker 8: a little bit.
Speaker 3: And now you're going to be all night, you're going
Speaker 3: to be at these races. Let me put you on
Speaker 3: hold real quick. We have some numbers to give out here.
Speaker 3: We just had some states closed here. Then we'll get
Speaker 3: back to Corbyn Carson here. But right now Trump is
Speaker 3: at one thirty seven, Harris is at ninety nine.
Speaker 2: The popular vote.
Speaker 3: Is very very close, fifty two percent for Trump, forty
Speaker 3: six point two percent for Harris, but California is not
Speaker 3: has not been counted yet or closed yet. That's fifty
Speaker 3: four electoral votes. New York is twenty eight. So you
Speaker 3: can always add eighty two to her total. And if
Speaker 3: you do that, she is currently at one p eighty one.
Speaker 3: Donald Trump one thirty seven and real quickly the big
Speaker 3: stage Florida called for Donald Trump. Georgia fifty two percent
Speaker 3: for Donald Trump. Right now, Kamala Harris fifty two percent
Speaker 3: in Michigan. She's up fifty two percent in Michigan. Donald
Speaker 3: Trump in North Carolina is up. And in Pennsylvania, Kamala
Speaker 3: Harris has with eighteen percent reporting, sixty percent of the
Speaker 3: vote for Kamala Harris.
Speaker 2: That is huge.
Speaker 3: I know it's early, but still that is a big number.
Speaker 3: Moe Kelly joins us MO. You've been following these numbers
Speaker 3: all night.
Speaker 2: What do you see? What do you feel? What do
Speaker 2: you what do you? What do you know? This is
Speaker 2: like the appetiser before the meal.
Speaker 9: I always say, if you follow sports, here's a good
Speaker 9: sports analogy. A series doesn't turn until someone wins on
Speaker 9: someone else's home court, you know, wins an away game.
Speaker 2: At this point, it's been chalk.
Speaker 9: The states that have been one have by large been
Speaker 9: expected to be won by the Harris or Trump. When
Speaker 9: we get a state Georgia, you could say possibly was
Speaker 9: a toss up, but I didn't think it really was.
Speaker 9: When we get a state that is supposed to go
Speaker 9: one way and goes the other way, then it will
Speaker 9: probably tell us our eventual winner. From what I see,
Speaker 9: Harris has to win North Carolina. That's the one that
Speaker 9: I'm looking at, which is probably going to be a decider.
Speaker 2: Right North Carolina.
Speaker 3: Right now, with forty percent reporting and sixteen electoral votes,
Speaker 3: Donald Trump with fifty one almost fifty two percent, Kamala
Speaker 3: Harris with forty seven percent. I think another big state
Speaker 3: I think we all agree is Pennsylvania. I think whoever
Speaker 3: wins Pennsylvania, But we won't find that one out tonight. No,
Speaker 3: And right now, Kamala Harris is up by nearly two
Speaker 3: hundred thousand votes, sixty percent to thirty eight percent. And
Speaker 3: that's a that's a big deal, even though there's a
Speaker 3: just you know, eighteen percent reporting.
Speaker 2: That's a big deal.
Speaker 3: If you look at the three states that the Kamal
Speaker 3: Harris and or Donald Trump really are focused on. Wisconsin
Speaker 3: nothing reported, Michigan ten percent reporting, Kamala Harris up by
Speaker 3: forty thousand votes, and then, as we said, Pennsylvania, where
Speaker 3: she's up by two hundred and fifty thousand votes. So
Speaker 3: it'll be interesting to see what happens as these states
Speaker 3: as we move west and they close and we get
Speaker 3: these bigger numbers. But so far, the only real surprise
Speaker 3: is how many votes Donald Trump won by in Florida.
Speaker 3: And it's amazing that Florida, the big, huge state of Florida,
Speaker 3: has already counted ninety three percent of their votes.
Speaker 9: Well that goes back to two thousand and Mark, I
Speaker 9: know you know about this with two thousands.
Speaker 2: Because of what happened in Florida with Bush v.
Speaker 9: Gore, they chase the law so they could count all
Speaker 9: their mail mail in and early balloting in advance. So
Speaker 9: that's why I get the returns from Florida almost immediately
Speaker 9: when the polls closed.
Speaker 4: Why doesn't every state do that well? I mean, why
Speaker 4: does he state? Why doesn't every state do a lot
Speaker 4: of things? I mean, all the states are so individual,
Speaker 4: that's the idea. I mean, that's one reason why the
Speaker 4: election can't really be hacked, because you have fifty different
Speaker 4: versions of vote, you know, right. I'm just gonna ask
Speaker 4: you because Tim and I were talking before about Florida
Speaker 4: and the fact that it's gone for Trump and it
Speaker 4: just seemed to have gone to the right. I mean,
Speaker 4: did you expect that, mo as you you know, as
Speaker 4: you saw the Florida returns. Just seeing that state has
Speaker 4: now moved even further right, it.
Speaker 9: Doesn't surprise me at all because Democrats have won a
Speaker 9: statewide election, I think since Obama.
Speaker 2: Closest one.
Speaker 9: I think they had a senator in I think the
Speaker 9: mid twenty and tens who won a statewide election. But
Speaker 9: it hasn't gone the Democrats way in any recent history.
Speaker 9: So as far as I'm concerned, this is more confirmation
Speaker 9: that it's moving more right, I'm less surprised by that
Speaker 9: than anything else.
Speaker 3: Well with almost with well over, I'm sorry, just over
Speaker 3: ten million votes counted already. Donald Trump has nearly six
Speaker 3: million votes, fifty six point two percent to forty two
Speaker 3: point nine percent, so a big difference in Florida.
Speaker 2: All right, Texas will give you Texas.
Speaker 3: Numbers as soon as we get him, and then in
Speaker 3: the next hour or two, actually by eight o'clock, you're
Speaker 3: gonna see Washington, Oregon, Nevada, Idaho, Montana, Utah, Arizona, and
Speaker 3: then later on Alaska and Hawaii. And we will be
Speaker 3: here all night long. Mo Kelly promised to go to
Speaker 3: four five o'clock in the morning. If he has to
Speaker 3: get us these numbers, I'll be here ding dong with you.
Speaker 2: It's Conway Show. Mark Thompson's here.
Speaker 3: Mo Kelly's with us all the numbers tonight right here
Speaker 3: on KFI AM six forty.
Speaker 1: You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from KFI
Speaker 1: AM six forty.
Speaker 3: Conway Show Mark Thompson's here Since Tuesday, mo Kelly joins
Speaker 3: US as well as we look at all the numbers,
Speaker 3: Mo Kelly, during the commercial break, you said, yeah, your
Speaker 3: eye on two states. One of them I think was Ohio.
Speaker 3: On the other one was North Carolina, North Carolina and Ohio.
Speaker 9: In the past ten minutes or so, Donald Trump has
Speaker 9: opened up his lead in Ohio, and I was talking
Speaker 9: to Mark Thompson saying that I use this as an
Speaker 9: overlay of the twenty twenty map. So if Harris were
Speaker 9: to lose a state that Biden won in twenty twenty,
Speaker 9: presumably she has to replace that state with some other state.
Speaker 9: So we know that Biden won Georgia in twenty twenty.
Speaker 9: It looks like Trump is going to win Georgia in
Speaker 9: twenty twenty four. So for Harris to have any chance,
Speaker 9: she's going to need to replace that state or those
Speaker 9: sixteen electoral College votes, which would be North Carolina presumably.
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, and we still have you know, California, Oregon,
Speaker 3: and Washington, which are always going heavily towards Democrats. They
Speaker 3: have not closed and we have no numbers coming in
Speaker 3: from anybody.
Speaker 4: But because you mentioned the West him, Mo, what do
Speaker 4: you think might if Harris could carry a bit of
Speaker 4: the West.
Speaker 9: Might that make up the gap that she mathematically as possible,
Speaker 9: And that's why it goes down to Pennsylvania. But her
Speaker 9: her pathway, as they say, narrows considerably if she were
Speaker 9: to lose a Nevada or Arizona. We know Biden carried
Speaker 9: Arizona in twenty twenty, so Harris would have to find
Speaker 9: some other state. If she were to lose Arizona in
Speaker 9: twenty twenty four, it gets more and more difficult.
Speaker 2: In other words, every.
Speaker 9: State that Donald Trump could presumably win that Biden won,
Speaker 9: she has to replace it. And after a certain point,
Speaker 9: you run out of places where you can find those states. Now,
Speaker 9: there was a possibility, there was some belief that there
Speaker 9: might be a surprise in Iowa. I don't personally believe that,
Speaker 9: but that's been put out there. And Nevada is going
Speaker 9: to loom large as well. But as it gets later
Speaker 9: in the night, we'll see how large Pennsylvania is going
Speaker 9: to be.
Speaker 2: But it looks like it's going to be huge. Well.
Speaker 3: In Iowa, nine percent reporting and Kambala hairs as an
Speaker 3: eighteen point lead fifty eight percent to forty percent, with
Speaker 3: a thirty thousand vote lead.
Speaker 2: But that's it's extremely so early.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Wisconsin with four percent reporting, very lower number Donald
Speaker 3: Trump up fifty seven to forty percent, but still that
Speaker 3: you have no idea where the number came from or
Speaker 3: but here's something. And again I'm not a Northeast guy
Speaker 3: when it comes to elections. His Maine always been Democrat
Speaker 3: or his main flip back and forth.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 9: Well, it has been split the It's kind of funky
Speaker 9: what they do in Maine. But I think it trends
Speaker 9: more progressive than Republican.
Speaker 4: They used to say. There was a saying that back
Speaker 4: in the old days, as as goes Maine, so goes
Speaker 4: the nation. And then Maine started to get out of
Speaker 4: step with the nation and only Vermont and Maine vote,
Speaker 4: and then they change it to as goes Maine, so
Speaker 4: goes Vermont. Yeah, so I think it's not necessarily a
Speaker 4: Bell Weathers state.
Speaker 3: It is interesting, and Mark pointed this out during commercial break,
Speaker 3: how close this thing is. It's unbelievable, you know, but
Speaker 3: usually by you know, by six thirty seven o'clock in California,
Speaker 3: by you know, nine thirty ten o'clock on the East coast,
Speaker 3: you have some idea of the direction that's going in,
Speaker 3: and I have no idea.
Speaker 4: Now you get a hint somewhere. That's why I listened
Speaker 4: to with interest as to Mo looking at the tea
Speaker 4: leaves this early, because I feel as though he makes
Speaker 4: a good argument for the things we should be focusing on,
Speaker 4: and the polls have closed in states where we can
Speaker 4: focus and get maybe some hint.
Speaker 9: Well, here's something else. I think people should caution themselves
Speaker 9: with these early totals. Usually they are going to come
Speaker 9: from the smaller counties, and those are probably not as
Speaker 9: densely populated. If you talk about a state like a Wisconsin,
Speaker 9: we talk about a state like a Georgia. In other words,
Speaker 9: the urban centers are going to come later the evening
Speaker 9: because there are more votes to be tabulated.
Speaker 2: So if you're talking about.
Speaker 9: What are the larger counties in Georgia, you may not
Speaker 9: see that for another hour or so, and you'll see
Speaker 9: it may have a wide swing, and that throws a
Speaker 9: lot of people off. They think, wait a minute, Trumble's
Speaker 9: up fifteen points, and now he's only up four points.
Speaker 3: That's usually why, Well, you know, Pennsylvania's reporting twenty three percent.
Speaker 3: They've counted twenty three percent of the vote. Whi's not
Speaker 3: a small number, it's a quarter of all the votes.
Speaker 3: And Kambala Harris is up by sixteen percentage points, nine
Speaker 3: hundred and thirty five thousand to six hundred and eighty
Speaker 3: two thousand, up by nearly two hundred thousand, two hundred
Speaker 3: and forty thousand votes.
Speaker 2: That's a lot for Pennsylvania.
Speaker 4: Pennsylvania is such a weird state though, because it's really well,
Speaker 4: you're weird. How about that the cities tend to go Democrat,
Speaker 4: and of course that wide area of the rural Pennsylvania
Speaker 4: in between tends to go to public and that's how
Speaker 4: you end up in the deadlock that we're in.
Speaker 3: And I've noticed and again the a lot of these
Speaker 3: numbers are coming from Google. Google has their own you know,
Speaker 3: voting results, and you know, every network is calling it different.
Speaker 3: Fox has Trump at one ninety five Electoral College Harris
Speaker 3: at one thirteen. Google has one seventy seven for Trump,
Speaker 3: ninety nine for Harris, and CNN has one fifty four
Speaker 3: for Trump and fifty three for Harris. So CNN is
Speaker 3: playing it very very cautiously. Fox is playing it, you know,
Speaker 3: very very loosely. And I think Google is right down
Speaker 3: the middle here twenty twenty change.
Speaker 9: I guess the approach as far as calling these races,
Speaker 9: it's not about being first, it's about being accurate, right,
Speaker 9: And you don't want to call it and then have
Speaker 9: to take it back later on.
Speaker 2: Not in today's environment.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 3: That and and Fox with Arizona, even though they eventually
Speaker 3: got it, they ultimately got it right when they called
Speaker 3: Arizona so quickly. There's a lot of backlash on that,
Speaker 3: lots and lots of backlash. So here's where we stand
Speaker 3: right now. According to Google. Another it just gone up
Speaker 3: to one seventy eight. So Donald Trump one's seventy eight,
Speaker 3: leading in North Carolina, leading in Georgia, leading in Virginia
Speaker 3: with fifty three percent of the vote counted by a
Speaker 3: very slim margin in Virginia forty nine point six percent
Speaker 3: of forty eight point seven percent. There's only a difference
Speaker 3: of less than thirty thousand votes in Virginia, so we'll
Speaker 3: keep an eye on that. That's a really important state.
Speaker 3: Wisconsin again only seven percent reporting and Minnesota only one
Speaker 3: percent reporting, so not much there.
Speaker 2: But it was interesting. There was a vote.
Speaker 3: There was a poll that came out of Iowa that
Speaker 3: had Kamala Harris up by five, six or seven points
Speaker 3: from the Des Moines Register.
Speaker 2: Right, that was that single poll.
Speaker 9: I call it an outlier because all the other poles
Speaker 9: had shown Trump comfortably waiting I'll say four or five
Speaker 9: percentage points. But this one particular poll has been more
Speaker 9: accurate than the other polls in previous elections, and that's
Speaker 9: why some people have given it some credence. As far
Speaker 9: as it might pretend that Harris has a chance in Iowa,
Speaker 9: I'm not quite there yet, but I understand why there
Speaker 9: it's being said.
Speaker 3: So even though we're not going to find out, we
Speaker 3: most likely will not find out who's going to be
Speaker 3: the winter night. Do you think that both the Harris
Speaker 3: camp and the Trump camp will will have speeches at
Speaker 3: the end of the night.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but they'll be vastly different.
Speaker 7: You know.
Speaker 9: I expect Donald Trump to declare victory, let's be honest,
Speaker 9: and I expect Kamala Harris to say something along the
Speaker 9: lines that we're going to count every low counts. Yeah,
Speaker 9: and we're going to wait on every vote until we
Speaker 9: get fired. And let's not forget if there are close states,
Speaker 9: they some of them have mandatory recounts if it's within
Speaker 9: like three points or something like that. So there are
Speaker 9: things which have nothing to do with the candidates, have
Speaker 9: nothing to do with the votes per se. Just going
Speaker 9: back to what Mark was saying, you have fifty different
Speaker 9: actually more than fifty when you count Washington DC, all
Speaker 9: these different contests and how they count the votes and
Speaker 9: the processes for mail in ballots, and it's unrealistic to
Speaker 9: think that it would be settled tonight unless there is
Speaker 9: a large shift of states which go one candidate's way
Speaker 9: that we didn't see coming.
Speaker 3: All right, So we have Arizona closing at seven o'clock
Speaker 3: our time, Utah closing at seven o'clock, eight o'clock, Idaho,
Speaker 3: seven o'clock, Montana, and then you got the west coast
Speaker 3: Washington eight o'clock, Oregon eight o'clock, California eight pm, and
Speaker 3: then Alaska at ten pm our time, and Hawaii at
Speaker 3: nine pm our time. So lots more to cover a
Speaker 3: lot of local races. We'll come back and talk about
Speaker 3: the local races as well. But the one problem with
Speaker 3: talking about the local races, I mean, Corey Carson did
Speaker 3: a great job in Orange County about the congressional races,
Speaker 3: but you can't.
Speaker 2: We don't know anything until.
Speaker 4: Yeah, we don't want to talk eight or ee R
Speaker 4: pols are still open. That's right, that's right.
Speaker 3: We will keep an eye on the national numbers when
Speaker 3: we come back. Right now, CNN has Trump at one
Speaker 3: fifty four, Kamala Harris at fifty three. Fox has it
Speaker 3: one ninety five, one seventeen Trump, and then Google has
Speaker 3: it one seventy eight to ninety nine Harris. But they've
Speaker 3: not counted New York or California, which is eighty two
Speaker 3: eighty two electoral votes going towards Harris, and those haven't
Speaker 3: been calculated into the final number yet.
Speaker 2: So we will keep it going. We're live on KFI.
Speaker 3: It's Conway, Thompson and mo Kelly live here on KFI
Speaker 3: AM six forty.
Speaker 1: You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from KFI
Speaker 1: AM six forty.
Speaker 3: What's KFI AM six forty. It's Conway Show. Mark Thompson's here,
Speaker 3: Mokelly's with us. We're going to talk to Michael Monks
Speaker 3: here in a second. But first, according to Google and
Speaker 3: their results here, Harris ninety nine with forty six point
Speaker 3: six percent of the popular vote. Donald Trump won seventy
Speaker 3: eight electoral college with fifty two point two percent of
Speaker 3: the vote, still very early. Georgia is leaning towards Donald Trump.
Speaker 3: So it was North Carolina and Virginia, but again very early.
Speaker 3: And Michael Monks is before you get to Michael Monks
Speaker 3: and you guys keeping an eye on something interesting here.
Speaker 2: I Moe Kelly, tell me something. I don't know.
Speaker 9: I don't know what you do or don't know, but
Speaker 9: I see that Fox News is called Colorado for VP Harris,
Speaker 9: and that was a state that I thought that was
Speaker 9: going to be a little bit more competitive than it
Speaker 9: was at this point. They called it interestingly enough, with
Speaker 9: only thirty five percent of the vote in and Harris
Speaker 9: was up nine percentage points. The only reason I say
Speaker 9: that it's because I always think about the neighboring states,
Speaker 9: whether you tah could be more in play, how competitive
Speaker 9: New Mexico is going to be, Arizona and so forth.
Speaker 9: So I was looking at Colorado as far as whether
Speaker 9: it's coined to portend anything else in that region.
Speaker 3: And Wyoming has just closed, no information coming out, zero
Speaker 3: percent reporting.
Speaker 2: Maybe nobody voted.
Speaker 9: That's possible, And it's weird because Fox called Wyoming for
Speaker 9: Donald Trump with zero percent reporting, So I don't know,
Speaker 9: that's crazy.
Speaker 3: South Dakota the three percent reporting, sixty nine percent for Trump.
Speaker 3: North Dakota nine percent reporting, and seventy four point five
Speaker 3: percent for Donald Trump.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean some of these, like the ones you
Speaker 4: just mentioned, are kind of academic. I mean, we just
Speaker 4: sure that they're going to go for Trump.
Speaker 2: Like California as well, is academic for the deaths.
Speaker 4: Yeah, well, let's talk to on the presidential that's right.
Speaker 2: Michael Monks is with us.
Speaker 3: He's following some local issues and local races here. We
Speaker 3: got the sales tax increase Measure A in Los Angeles.
Speaker 3: Also Prop thirty six, the make crime illegal again, which
Speaker 3: is an interesting idea.
Speaker 2: Michael, what do you say? What do you know?
Speaker 10: Bob, Hey, good evening, guys. Enjoying listening to you. Take
Speaker 10: my mind off of the craziness that's going on. And yeah,
Speaker 10: let's focus a little bit on what's happening locally, because
Speaker 10: it's easy to get swept up and all the craziness nationally.
Speaker 10: But we cast ballots here at the local level as well,
Speaker 10: and some big, big ticket items are on the agenda
Speaker 10: here as well.
Speaker 2: And what do you think.
Speaker 3: I mean, obviously there are no results in yet, but
Speaker 3: when you were out there, I know you're out there
Speaker 3: all day, you get a feel that Proposition thirty six
Speaker 3: is as popular as it is locally here as it
Speaker 3: is state wide state wide. Is it seventy three percent
Speaker 3: voting for it?
Speaker 2: For sure?
Speaker 10: In fact, I had attended a few different organizational efforts
Speaker 10: to sway voters one way or the other in the
Speaker 10: weeks leading up to the election, and there really wasn't
Speaker 10: a lot of enthusiasm to vote against this proposition. So
Speaker 10: we are seeing overwhelming support for that. That's also indicated
Speaker 10: by the polls. Like you just said, it's expected if
Speaker 10: that is any indication that this will not just be
Speaker 10: approved by voters in California and even here in La County,
Speaker 10: but it will be approved overwhelmingly. And I think that
Speaker 10: speaks a lot to what we're experiencing here in California.
Speaker 10: It seems as though, with that, coupled with the District
Speaker 10: attorney's races, that there are folks here who are kind
Speaker 10: of tired of what they're seeing. It may not be
Speaker 10: reflected in statistics, right, but the vibes are off for
Speaker 10: folks when it comes to crime, and they're clearly wanting
Speaker 10: to see a change.
Speaker 3: And Michael again, Michael Monks is with us in the
Speaker 3: newsroom here, La measure A is that a city or
Speaker 3: is that.
Speaker 2: A count county? County, and this is what they're asking
Speaker 2: you to do.
Speaker 10: Now, We already in La County pay a quarter cent
Speaker 10: sales tax to support homeless efforts, and we have been
Speaker 10: doing that for some number of years. That, however, was
Speaker 10: set to expire in twenty twenty seven. It was approved
Speaker 10: by voters about seven years ago and it had an
Speaker 10: expiration date. The county is asking voters to not renew that.
Speaker 10: They want to double it and keep it in perpetuity,
Speaker 10: so it would be a half sent sales tax supporting
Speaker 10: homeless and related efforts across the county, and it would
Speaker 10: have no expiration date unless a ballot was put on
Speaker 10: by voters somewhere down the road.
Speaker 2: So they're going to double it and it's going to
Speaker 2: be on forever exactly.
Speaker 10: They expected to get about a billion dollars for their
Speaker 10: efforts against homelessness. There has been a lot of mail
Speaker 10: and support of this, a lot of large nonprofits in
Speaker 10: support of this, like the United Way who had their
Speaker 10: name on some of the mailers that were coming out,
Speaker 10: suggesting that if this thing isn't passed, a lot of
Speaker 10: homeless people who have been housed will be back on
Speaker 10: the streets. So the polling on this shows right at
Speaker 10: about fifty percent support according to the poll in the
Speaker 10: La Times, and folks who had committed to voting against
Speaker 10: it were only at about thirty four percent, with the remainder
Speaker 10: in that poll undecided. So probably good news for folks
Speaker 10: in support of it, but we'll see once all the
Speaker 10: all the boat votes are counted.
Speaker 3: So in this county of Los Angeles, we're looking at
Speaker 3: nearly an eleven percent sales tax on everything you buy.
Speaker 10: It's going to be hitting people right at the cash register,
Speaker 10: and so coupled with inflation and the general expensive cost
Speaker 10: of living in California anyway, this is just another piece
Speaker 10: to add on to that. On that CBS receipt just
Speaker 10: got longer.
Speaker 3: Yeah, well, it is amazing. You know when you buy
Speaker 3: something at home Depot or Low's or Walmart Target, and
Speaker 3: you know, you buy one hundred dollars worth of groceries
Speaker 3: and you know, back to school stuff, and then it
Speaker 3: comes out to one hundred and eleven dollars. It does
Speaker 3: irritate the hell out of a lot of people, It
Speaker 3: certainly does. And by the way, the AT tax is
Speaker 3: not the only thing that could get bigger in La
Speaker 3: County because of a voter's decisions. They are also asking
Speaker 3: for the government itself to be bigger with measure G.
Speaker 3: So right now, there are five county supervisors that govern
Speaker 3: the entirety of La County. They each represent about two
Speaker 3: million people. That's more than some governors across the country.
Speaker 3: And so what measured G would do, if approved, we'd
Speaker 3: have nine county supervisors and on top of that a
Speaker 3: county wide executive or an elected executive like a county mayor,
Speaker 3: and that would go into effect in twenty thirty two
Speaker 3: if that's a proved by voters. Now, the supporters at
Speaker 3: the county office, the county building, they say they're going
Speaker 3: to be able to do this without raising taxes, and
Speaker 3: to do it within the confines of the current budget.
Speaker 2: Though, does anyone believe that, well not the opponents of it, certainly.
Speaker 3: All right, but I appreciate you kind of chiming, and
Speaker 3: we'll talk again soon, I hope. So okay, all right,
Speaker 3: Michael Monks in the KFI newsroom.
Speaker 2: Has anything moved here?
Speaker 3: I know CNN is reporting one fifty four for Donald Trump,
Speaker 3: eighty one for Harris. Google has at one seventy eight
Speaker 3: for Trump and ninety nine for Harris. No, I know
Speaker 3: you keep an eye on Georgia, North Carolina, and Virginia anymore.
Speaker 9: And I want to go back to Colorado for this reason.
Speaker 9: And it's not good news for Harris supporters right now.
Speaker 9: They call the state for but she's only up like
Speaker 9: maybe ten percentage points, but she's running behind where Joe
Speaker 9: Biden was in twenty twenty by about seven points. And
Speaker 9: if that holds true, then that probably is not good
Speaker 9: news for Arizona if you're a hair supporter, And it
Speaker 9: just seems like nationally she's running behind where Joe Biden was,
Speaker 9: and twenty twenty was close enough as it was over
Speaker 9: those four states if you talk about Arizona, Georgia, Michigan,
Speaker 9: and Wisconsin. And so, if if everything were to hold
Speaker 9: true from twenty twenty to twenty twenty four, then Harris
Speaker 9: needs to perform at least as well as Joe Biden
Speaker 9: if she were to have any real chance of winning.
Speaker 2: Right now, she is running behind Joe Biden.
Speaker 3: Virginia is still very close with fifty eight percent reporting,
Speaker 3: North Carolina sixty three percent reporting, and Donald Trump's up
Speaker 3: by one hundred and sixty five thousand votes. But Georgia
Speaker 3: has just gone up to seventy seven percent reporting. And
Speaker 3: again that's the state that Joe Biden won in correct
Speaker 3: twenty three and Donald Trump is ahead by not only
Speaker 3: about two hundred thousand, little less than two hundred thousand
Speaker 3: votes at seventy seven percent report. So that might be
Speaker 3: a state that's called soon if they can, you know,
Speaker 3: get a better feel of what's going on there.
Speaker 4: And where does Harris get those votes in the state
Speaker 4: that Tim's talking about, which is Georgia. I mean you
Speaker 4: with the with the with the Fulton County vote already in,
Speaker 4: I don't know where.
Speaker 9: They're Fulton and the calp County to cab County are
Speaker 9: already in.
Speaker 2: So those are the major urban centers.
Speaker 9: So it's unlikely that she's going to be able to
Speaker 9: come from behind in any large degree in that state.
Speaker 9: If are less, I'm missing a large county.
Speaker 3: Well, I think you know, Savannah has grown over the
Speaker 3: last four years, and that's a fairly blue county. And
Speaker 3: so you know, all Atlanta and all the surrounding counties
Speaker 3: around Atlanta, Athens, Augusta, and Macomb, those are if those
Speaker 3: are all in, and it looks like they are the
Speaker 3: only ones that I'm seeing missing, then are ones that
Speaker 3: are We're all already in the last election read right
Speaker 3: right exactly, So that might be a state that is
Speaker 3: called soon. And as Moe had pointed out, if Kamala
Speaker 3: Harris loses that, she's got to replace that with another
Speaker 3: state with at least sixteen electoral votes, and she's going
Speaker 3: to have to find that state, whether it's Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin,
Speaker 3: or maybe Minnesota. But the Iowa was a was a
Speaker 3: real head scratcher, with a poll coming out late on
Speaker 3: Sunday with Kamala Harris up by six percentage points in
Speaker 3: a poll that has been very accurate in the past.
Speaker 3: And so with ten percent reporting in Iowa, Kamala Harris
Speaker 3: is up by thirty thousand votes fifty four percent to
Speaker 3: forty four percent. So up by ten percentage points in Iowa.
Speaker 3: That is remarkable. That's a state that everyone thought Donald
Speaker 3: Trump would just you know roll over and win it
Speaker 3: by you know, by this time.
Speaker 2: And it's and it's not even close. It's going the opposite.
Speaker 3: So we wait and we see we continue here on
Speaker 3: KFI mo Kelly, Conway Thompson.
Speaker 1: You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on debate from KFI
Speaker 1: AM six forty AFI.
Speaker 3: AM six forty Conway Show, Mark Thompson's heremo Kelly's here,
Speaker 3: and this is usually well in ten minutes to start
Speaker 3: at moll Kelly show. We're gonna stay till eight. Mo
Speaker 3: Kelly taken on after that and we will be here
Speaker 3: as long as numbers keep coming in. And so far,
Speaker 3: another state has just been called for Donald Trump.
Speaker 2: He's up to one eighty eight. They've just given him Wyoming,
Speaker 2: which is not unusual.
Speaker 3: New Mexico has nineteen percent reporting and literally a two
Speaker 3: thousand vote difference between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Mo Kelly,
Speaker 3: what do you keep an eye on? Are you you
Speaker 3: do more about? You do more with politics? I see
Speaker 3: you on on TV on Mark Thompson's show, and also
Speaker 3: on the cable what's the cable news station that you're on?
Speaker 2: Spectrum? Spectrum? Yes?
Speaker 9: How often you on Spectrum? Uh it ebbs and flows.
Speaker 9: But this week I'll be on like I don't know,
Speaker 9: twenty five times or something iculous.
Speaker 4: I didn't even bug him this week. You're so busy.
Speaker 9: I started off on Spectrum this morning and I'll be
Speaker 9: there tomorrow morning.
Speaker 3: So it's going to be a very very short not
Speaker 3: asleep for me. You know, Spectrum is my default. When
Speaker 3: I turn my TV on, the Spectrum news comes on immediately,
Speaker 3: and so that was kind of cool.
Speaker 2: All right, So what do you keep an eye in here?
Speaker 7: Do you?
Speaker 2: What do you? I know what Colorado was a big deal.
Speaker 9: Well, I'm looking at all these dates with respect to
Speaker 9: what happened in twenty twenty, and you mentioned New Mexico
Speaker 9: and Joe Biden won New Mexico by eleven percentage points.
Speaker 9: And if Kamala Harris doesn't only doesn't also win the
Speaker 9: state and win it by a sizable margin, it probably
Speaker 9: says that the states around it are in jeopardy for her,
Speaker 9: and she's not performing as well as Joe Biden. And
Speaker 9: it was stamped to reason that her electoral college total
Speaker 9: will be reflective of that.
Speaker 3: You know, Kansas, which you would think is a very
Speaker 3: bright red state, is very very close. Donald Trump is
Speaker 3: literally up by less than three percentage points. Exactly three
Speaker 3: percentage points three hundred and sixty one three and forty thousand.
Speaker 3: So he's up by twenty one thousand votes with fifty
Speaker 3: one percent reporting.
Speaker 4: But that just really may be the votes that they've
Speaker 4: counted to him, you know, because he's really expected to
Speaker 4: win that state, I think, based on all polling.
Speaker 2: I know.
Speaker 3: But I'm just saying it's unusual that fifty one percent
Speaker 3: is already counted and that's not a sixty to thirty
Speaker 3: state by now, I mean, because I would if there's
Speaker 3: one state in the Union that you think of as
Speaker 3: bright red, it's Kansas.
Speaker 4: And you know, I know, I've got the counties around
Speaker 4: Topeka and Wichita, those are blue, okay, And so maybe
Speaker 4: they're counting those first. They're populous, right, so there are
Speaker 4: a lot of people there, But the rest of the
Speaker 4: state is you know, ruby red, right.
Speaker 3: And look, if you watch you know, I know you
Speaker 3: guys are both NFL fans when you watch, and I
Speaker 3: know this in you know, it's Kansas, Missouri, not Kansas City, Kansas.
Speaker 3: But when you watch a Kansas City Chiefs game, it's
Speaker 3: nineteen seventy eight. It's the tomahawk, it's the chant it's
Speaker 3: the chiefs. They've not gotten the message that the country
Speaker 3: has moved on from that.
Speaker 9: Well, Missouri is a red state, so it's not like
Speaker 9: it's going to be electorally all that different than Kansas
Speaker 9: the state, right.
Speaker 2: Right, All right, then we have local issues as well.
Speaker 3: Steve Gregory is out and he is going to be
Speaker 3: reporting at some point with the LA DA's race, and
Speaker 3: he'll have numbers. I imagine that as soon as you know, California,
Speaker 3: as soon as we reach eight o'clock in an hour
Speaker 3: and three minutes or so, almost exactly an hour and
Speaker 3: three minutes, they will have some indication of what's going
Speaker 3: on in Los Angeles and in the city of La
Speaker 3: the County of Los Angeles, and also the state of California.
Speaker 3: When it comes to the national numbers, we have got
Speaker 3: to take a small break. The latest though, CNM has
Speaker 3: it Conald Harris eighty one, Donald Trump won sixty two.
Speaker 3: Fox has it one seventeen to Harris, one ninety five
Speaker 3: for Donald Trump, and then Google has it ninety nine
Speaker 3: for Harris and one eighty eight for Donald Trump. You know,
Speaker 3: in the past we've got about thirty seconds here Mo
Speaker 3: and Mark. In the past, though I've noticed that almost
Speaker 3: all of these networks Fox, CNN, NBCABCCBS, New York Times,
Speaker 3: LA Times used to be within one or two electoral
Speaker 3: points from each other.
Speaker 2: Now they're wildly different.
Speaker 4: Well, you were saying something about that earlier.
Speaker 7: Mo.
Speaker 2: You just feel a hesitancy. Yeah, just don't want to
Speaker 2: get too far out in front of it.
Speaker 9: Used to be the polls would close and you'd have
Speaker 9: an instant projection, right, you just say, okay, the polls
Speaker 9: will close. Were project in New Jersey for Michael Decaucus
Speaker 9: or something like that.
Speaker 2: You don't see that anymore. Yeah, and it is.
Speaker 3: It's wild Also, how many people, I think, Mark, you're
Speaker 3: pointing this out, how many people in Florida. I mean,
Speaker 3: the difference between the vote in Florida six million to
Speaker 3: four point five or four four point six million votes,
Speaker 3: Donald Trump with a fourteen percent lead in Florida with
Speaker 3: ninety five percent of the vote.
Speaker 4: And we're talking about that before, and you were pointing
Speaker 4: out that, you know, COVID might have been a big
Speaker 4: component and changing the vote and changing the politics of Florida.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think John Colevel said that. But I'll take credit, all.
Speaker 9: Right, I've got to run but you're taking off.
Speaker 4: I'm listening.
Speaker 2: We're counting on you listening.
Speaker 4: On the way, I'm.
Speaker 2: Scrutinizing, all right, all right, all.
Speaker 3: Right, Conway, Mo, Kelly as well as well. I'll say
Speaker 3: for another hour, then mode takes over.
Speaker 2: See you doctor, if your election lasts more than four hours.
Speaker 2: K F I'm kost
Speaker 6: HD two, Los Angeles, Orange County Loves Everywhere on the
Speaker 6: a video