WEBVTT

1
00:00:00.080 --> 00:00:03.799
<v Speaker 1>Hey, it's Alex with the Token Metrics daily pulse for

2
00:00:03.879 --> 00:00:08.759
<v Speaker 1>April twenty eighth, twenty twenty six, nine days of ETF inflows,

3
00:00:09.039 --> 00:00:14.439
<v Speaker 1>then nothing. FOMC is this week, Bitcoin is sitting below

4
00:00:14.480 --> 00:00:17.640
<v Speaker 1>eighty k and the macro picture just got a lot

5
00:00:17.679 --> 00:00:21.079
<v Speaker 1>more interesting. Let's get into it, but first a quick

6
00:00:21.120 --> 00:00:25.960
<v Speaker 1>word from our sponsor. Okay, so here's what's happening. Bitcoin.

7
00:00:26.079 --> 00:00:30.239
<v Speaker 1>ETFs just snapped a nine day inflow streak, nine days

8
00:00:30.280 --> 00:00:33.679
<v Speaker 1>of institutional money flowing in, and then right before the

9
00:00:33.679 --> 00:00:38.399
<v Speaker 1>FED meeting it stops. That's not a coincidence. Institutional buyers

10
00:00:38.439 --> 00:00:42.840
<v Speaker 1>don't add risk into FED uncertainty, they reduce it. Bitcoin

11
00:00:42.920 --> 00:00:46.359
<v Speaker 1>is sitting around seventy six thousand right now, down a

12
00:00:46.399 --> 00:00:49.159
<v Speaker 1>couple percent on the day, and the timing of this

13
00:00:49.240 --> 00:00:52.759
<v Speaker 1>reversal is exactly the kind of thing that makes traders nervous.

14
00:00:52.920 --> 00:00:55.920
<v Speaker 1>The question now is whether this is a pause or

15
00:00:56.000 --> 00:01:01.000
<v Speaker 1>a pivot. We won't really know until after FOMC. So

16
00:01:01.039 --> 00:01:04.239
<v Speaker 1>where does that leave the broader market? Pretty much everything

17
00:01:04.319 --> 00:01:07.719
<v Speaker 1>is read, but nothing is dramatic. Total market cap is

18
00:01:07.760 --> 00:01:10.879
<v Speaker 1>around two point six trillion, down less than two percent.

19
00:01:11.400 --> 00:01:15.680
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin dominance is holding at fifty eight percent, stable DeFi,

20
00:01:15.879 --> 00:01:18.760
<v Speaker 1>which is the on chain lending and trading world, has

21
00:01:18.799 --> 00:01:22.040
<v Speaker 1>about eighty three billion dollars locked in it right now,

22
00:01:22.359 --> 00:01:26.159
<v Speaker 1>basically flat. Here's what caught my eye. Though memes are

23
00:01:26.280 --> 00:01:29.439
<v Speaker 1>up twenty eight percent on the week, roll ups up

24
00:01:29.480 --> 00:01:34.079
<v Speaker 1>twenty seven percent, gaming tokens up around twenty percent. The

25
00:01:34.120 --> 00:01:37.719
<v Speaker 1>speculative end of the market is running while Bitcoin bleeds.

26
00:01:38.280 --> 00:01:41.079
<v Speaker 1>That divergence is either a sign that risk appetite is

27
00:01:41.120 --> 00:01:44.239
<v Speaker 1>alive beneath the surface, or it's the last burst of

28
00:01:44.359 --> 00:01:49.400
<v Speaker 1>energy before a bigger flush. I'm watching it closely. Let's

29
00:01:49.480 --> 00:01:53.159
<v Speaker 1>talk about Block. Jack Dorsey's payments company now holds nearly

30
00:01:53.280 --> 00:01:57.319
<v Speaker 1>nine thousand bitcoin about two point two billion dollars, and

31
00:01:57.359 --> 00:02:00.239
<v Speaker 1>they disclosed it through a proof of reserves report in

32
00:02:00.319 --> 00:02:04.439
<v Speaker 1>plain English. That means they published verifiable on chain evidence

33
00:02:04.799 --> 00:02:08.159
<v Speaker 1>of exactly how much bitcoin they hold, rather than just

34
00:02:08.199 --> 00:02:11.360
<v Speaker 1>saying a number in a press release. Here's why it matters.

35
00:02:11.879 --> 00:02:15.639
<v Speaker 1>Block isn't a software company making a leveraged bet on crypto.

36
00:02:16.159 --> 00:02:20.840
<v Speaker 1>It's a payments company with real revenue, real products, real customers.

37
00:02:21.120 --> 00:02:23.960
<v Speaker 1>When a company like that puts bitcoin on its balance sheet,

38
00:02:24.400 --> 00:02:27.199
<v Speaker 1>it's a different signal, and the proof of reserves move

39
00:02:27.280 --> 00:02:29.919
<v Speaker 1>makes every other corporate treasury that doesn't do the same

40
00:02:30.439 --> 00:02:34.120
<v Speaker 1>look a little less accountable. Watch block stock over the

41
00:02:34.120 --> 00:02:37.400
<v Speaker 1>next week. If it holds or gains, the market is

42
00:02:37.479 --> 00:02:42.479
<v Speaker 1>rewarding transparency. If it sells off, investors still see bitcoin

43
00:02:42.520 --> 00:02:46.240
<v Speaker 1>treasury strategy as a distraction from the core business. That

44
00:02:46.400 --> 00:02:49.520
<v Speaker 1>answer matters for the next wave of companies thinking about

45
00:02:49.520 --> 00:02:52.840
<v Speaker 1>doing the same thing. Now. Speaking of companies stacking crypto,

46
00:02:53.280 --> 00:02:55.840
<v Speaker 1>there's a new one, and this time it's a theoreum.

47
00:02:56.240 --> 00:02:58.879
<v Speaker 1>A company called bitmin is buying ethereum at a pace

48
00:02:58.919 --> 00:03:01.800
<v Speaker 1>that's catching up to stratus bitcoin buying rate. They want

49
00:03:01.840 --> 00:03:05.319
<v Speaker 1>to be the ethereum treasury company. What makes this interesting.

50
00:03:05.719 --> 00:03:09.159
<v Speaker 1>Ethereum lets you earn a yield by staking it, which

51
00:03:09.199 --> 00:03:12.080
<v Speaker 1>means locking it up to help run the network and

52
00:03:12.120 --> 00:03:15.439
<v Speaker 1>getting paid for it. So a company holding ethereum isn't

53
00:03:15.520 --> 00:03:18.199
<v Speaker 1>just making a price bet. It's holding an asset that

54
00:03:18.280 --> 00:03:21.879
<v Speaker 1>generates income over time. The real test is whether bitmind

55
00:03:21.879 --> 00:03:24.479
<v Speaker 1>stock can trade it a premium to what its ethereum

56
00:03:24.520 --> 00:03:28.719
<v Speaker 1>is actually worth the way strategy does with bitcoin, strategy

57
00:03:28.759 --> 00:03:33.080
<v Speaker 1>got that premium by being first and loudest. Being second

58
00:03:33.360 --> 00:03:37.159
<v Speaker 1>with a different asset is harder than it sounds quick

59
00:03:37.199 --> 00:03:40.240
<v Speaker 1>pivot to something that flew under the radar. Israel just

60
00:03:40.280 --> 00:03:44.000
<v Speaker 1>approved its first regulated stable coin, a digital version of

61
00:03:44.039 --> 00:03:47.879
<v Speaker 1>the shekel. Most countries are still arguing about government run

62
00:03:47.960 --> 00:03:52.879
<v Speaker 1>digital currencies in conference rooms. Israel actually did something, and

63
00:03:52.960 --> 00:03:55.719
<v Speaker 1>the way they built it matters. This isn't a government

64
00:03:55.759 --> 00:04:00.400
<v Speaker 1>controlled ledger. It's privately issued money on regulated rails. Private

65
00:04:00.439 --> 00:04:03.479
<v Speaker 1>company issues it, but the government sets the rules. That's

66
00:04:03.599 --> 00:04:06.599
<v Speaker 1>much closer to how the US Genius Act envisioned stable

67
00:04:06.639 --> 00:04:09.919
<v Speaker 1>coins than how China built. It's digital. You want if

68
00:04:09.919 --> 00:04:13.479
<v Speaker 1>another major economy cites this framework within thirty days, the

69
00:04:13.599 --> 00:04:17.360
<v Speaker 1>regulated stable coin model is moving faster than most people expected.

70
00:04:17.759 --> 00:04:21.040
<v Speaker 1>A couple of quick hits worth flagging. Fidelity says they're

71
00:04:21.079 --> 00:04:25.160
<v Speaker 1>cautiously bullish on crypto heading into FOMC week. They like

72
00:04:25.240 --> 00:04:27.800
<v Speaker 1>what they're seeing on chain, but see the FED meeting

73
00:04:27.839 --> 00:04:31.040
<v Speaker 1>as the key near term risk and Onto Finance is

74
00:04:31.120 --> 00:04:34.920
<v Speaker 1>partnering with broad Ridge, one of the biggest financial infrastructure

75
00:04:34.959 --> 00:04:38.759
<v Speaker 1>firms around, to bring shareholder voting rights to people who

76
00:04:38.759 --> 00:04:42.680
<v Speaker 1>hold stocks as on chain tokens. In plain English, if

77
00:04:42.720 --> 00:04:45.800
<v Speaker 1>you own a tokenized version of a stock on the blockchain,

78
00:04:46.199 --> 00:04:49.439
<v Speaker 1>you can now actually vote your shares like a traditional

79
00:04:49.439 --> 00:04:53.279
<v Speaker 1>shareholder that closes a gap that's been holding big institutional

80
00:04:53.319 --> 00:04:56.759
<v Speaker 1>money back from this corner of the market. Small story,

81
00:04:57.279 --> 00:05:00.480
<v Speaker 1>big implications. All Right, before we get into the risks,

82
00:05:00.920 --> 00:05:04.839
<v Speaker 1>quick word from our sponsor. Okay, we're back. Let's talk

83
00:05:04.839 --> 00:05:08.839
<v Speaker 1>about what to watch for. Three things I'd watch closely

84
00:05:08.920 --> 00:05:13.759
<v Speaker 1>right now. First, the ETF outflow timing inflows snapped right

85
00:05:13.800 --> 00:05:18.040
<v Speaker 1>before FOMC. If the FED disappoints and outflows continue for

86
00:05:18.079 --> 00:05:21.519
<v Speaker 1>three or more days after that nine day streak starts

87
00:05:21.519 --> 00:05:24.720
<v Speaker 1>to look like a local top, not a trend. Second,

88
00:05:24.959 --> 00:05:28.399
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin dominance is stuck at fifty eight percent, while alt

89
00:05:28.439 --> 00:05:31.360
<v Speaker 1>coins are still bleeding even as memes and roll ups

90
00:05:31.439 --> 00:05:35.199
<v Speaker 1>post big weekly gains. That gap between narrative momentum and

91
00:05:35.399 --> 00:05:38.600
<v Speaker 1>actual price is the kind of thing that closes badly,

92
00:05:39.120 --> 00:05:42.399
<v Speaker 1>either alts catch a real bid or the narrative fades

93
00:05:42.600 --> 00:05:46.000
<v Speaker 1>and they dump harder. Third, there's an unfilled gap in

94
00:05:46.079 --> 00:05:50.800
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin's futures market above current price and FOMC lands this week,

95
00:05:51.160 --> 00:05:54.680
<v Speaker 1>prediction markets are only giving a seven percent chance of

96
00:05:54.759 --> 00:05:57.560
<v Speaker 1>three rate cuts this year, and there's even a fourteen

97
00:05:57.600 --> 00:06:00.720
<v Speaker 1>percent chance of a hike for crypto. A hike would

98
00:06:00.759 --> 00:06:04.480
<v Speaker 1>be the worst macro outcome of the year. Looking ahead,

99
00:06:05.040 --> 00:06:09.639
<v Speaker 1>FOMC is the obvious one. Any surprise moves crypto immediately

100
00:06:09.759 --> 00:06:12.399
<v Speaker 1>as a risk ass set, and the market is not

101
00:06:12.480 --> 00:06:18.079
<v Speaker 1>priced for hawkishness. Also watch megaeth's launch prediction. Markets are

102
00:06:18.120 --> 00:06:21.199
<v Speaker 1>giving it around a sixty percent chance of launching above

103
00:06:21.199 --> 00:06:25.560
<v Speaker 1>a one point five billion dollar fully diluted valuation. That's

104
00:06:25.600 --> 00:06:29.720
<v Speaker 1>a live test of whether ethereum ecosystem excitement can convert

105
00:06:29.759 --> 00:06:32.519
<v Speaker 1>to real capital right now, and keep an eye on

106
00:06:32.560 --> 00:06:36.879
<v Speaker 1>that future's gap above current bitcoin price. Whether bulls reclaimant

107
00:06:36.879 --> 00:06:39.759
<v Speaker 1>heading into the weekend tells you a lot about whether

108
00:06:39.800 --> 00:06:44.399
<v Speaker 1>this pullback is a pause or something more serious. By

109
00:06:44.439 --> 00:06:47.279
<v Speaker 1>the way, if you want daily market signals and weekly

110
00:06:47.360 --> 00:06:51.160
<v Speaker 1>question and answer breakdowns, check out token metrics Signal. It's

111
00:06:51.199 --> 00:06:54.879
<v Speaker 1>our entry level premium plan. Head to tokenmetrics dot com

112
00:06:54.879 --> 00:06:58.879
<v Speaker 1>to learn more. This is educational content, not investment advice.

113
00:06:59.319 --> 00:07:03.319
<v Speaker 1>Always do your own research. I'm Alex, See you next time.
