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Speaker 1: What's going on.

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and again, thank you so much for your support. So

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the Democrat Party seems to be circling the drain a bit.

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It's got people kind of concerned, to the point where

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the New York Times turned what were rumblings into a

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full on siren. The headline that was bouncing all around

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yesterday you may have seen the Democratic Party's voter registration crisis.

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The party is bleeding court beyond the ballot box, beyond

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the ballot box. So here's how the piece by Shane

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Goldmeacker and Jonah Smith begins. The Democrat Party is hemorrhaging

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just okay, to be clear, they use the term Democratic Party,

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but I just call it the Democrat Party because when

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you see how they operate, it's not really democratic. So

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the Democrat Party is hemorrhaging voters long before they even

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go to the polls. Of the thirty states that track

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voter registration by political party, Democrats lost ground to Republicans

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in Do you want to take a guess how many

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of the thirty Every one of them. That's right, every

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single state. They have lost ground to Republicans between the

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twenty twenty and twenty twenty four elections over the course

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of four years. That's what we're talking about here, four years.

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A four year swing towards Republicans adds up to four

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and a half million voters, a deep political whole that

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could take years for Democrats to climb out from. I

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would add, if it can, if the party can even

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climb out from it. The stampede away from the Democrat

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Party is occurring in battleground states, the bluest states and

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the reddest states two so basically every state.

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Speaker 1: It's all of them.

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Speaker 2: This is according to a new analysis of voter registration

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data by The New York Times along with a nonpartisan

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data firm called L two. For the first time going

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back to twenty eighteen, more new voters nationwide chose to

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be Republicans then Democrats. Last year, Okay, So twenty eighteen

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you had this surge in Republican registrations that was two

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years into Trump's first term, and now with his reelection

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you see a similar surge in twenty twenty four. Democrats

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lost about two point one million registered voters over the

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last four years since the twenty twenty election, two point

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one million in the thirty States and Washington, d C.

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Speaker 1: As well.

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Speaker 2: Because all of those thirty states and DC, they all

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allow people to register with political parties. The other twenty

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states do not register their voters with a political party,

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so everybody is just a voter. I guess everyone's unaffiliated,

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which I was not aware there were that many states.

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Almost half of the states don't have party registration. So

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Democrats lose two point one million and Republicans gain two

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point four million. Now there are still more Democrats registered

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nationwide than Republicans, and that's partly because you have the

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big blue states California, which allows people to register by party,

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but over in Texas, which is the second largest state,

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they do not. Okay, so it's difficult to do like

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a national comparison because you have Democrat controlled states that

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are very large that make people or allow people to

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register by party, and you have very large Republican controlled

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states that do not.

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Speaker 1: Either way.

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Speaker 2: The trajectory is quote unquote troublesome, and there are growing

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tensions about what to do about it.

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Speaker 1: And I am so here for it. Hmm. Michael Pruser

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or Prusser Crusayer. Anyway.

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Speaker 2: He tracks voter registration as the director of data science

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for Decision Desk HQ, which is an election analysis site.

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It's a very good site. By the way. He says,

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quote I don't want to say the death cycle of

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the Democratic Party, but there seems to be no end

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to this.

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Speaker 1: There is no.

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Speaker 2: Silver lining or cavalry coming across the hill. This is

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month after month, year after year. The Ships also previewed

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Democratic weaknesses. In twenty twenty four, the party saw some

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of its steepest declines in registration among men and younger voters.

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Two constituencies that swung sharply towards mister Trump I saw

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this is Zachary.

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Speaker 1: Dun Ninny.

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Speaker 2: He does data science for Decision Desk h Q as

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well also for Yale polling, and he says, at the

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heart of the Democratic collapse young white men registering as

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Republicans in unprecedented numbers. Gen Z is on track to

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be the most pro GOP generation since the Great Depression.

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Speaker 1: Gen Z. So here I was thinking gen Z was.

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Speaker 2: Well, I mean it was mainly the millennials. I was

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given the most amount of guffh to over the years.

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But gen Z, I like, I apologize. I welcome you

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to I welcome you to the fold. There are a

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lot of us gen xers that landed here too. So yes,

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on the on the the right side of this political spectrum,

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so welcome. In North Carolina, Republicans erase roughly ninety five

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percent of the registration advantage that Democrats held just four

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years ago. Let me say that again, the advantage Democrats

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had four years ago has been erased by ninety five percent.

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They four years ago they had four hundred thousand more

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registered Democrats than Republicans in North Carolina, and now it's

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seventeen thousand, and Republicans expect to overtake the Democrats pretty soon.

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I think Andy Jackson over at the John Locke Foundation,

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I think like he tracks these numbers whenever they get

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updated like monthly from the Board of Elections, and his

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projection show like this is going to be the Republicans

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will become larger than the Democratic Party within the year.

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If not within the year, then early next year, definitely

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before the twenty twenty four, sorry, twenty twenty six midterm election.

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It's just been a constant erosion for Democrats, not just here. Obviously,

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you've got the battleground states like Arizona and Nevada and

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Pennsylvania significant Democrat erosion. It's worse in Nevada and West

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Virginia than it's been here for many years. More and

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more voters have been registering as independents or unaffiliated, and

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that SAPs both parties' roles, right they're voter rules, and

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like in North Carolina, unaffiliateds are actually the largest registration.

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Speaker 1: Unaffiliateds.

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Speaker 2: Number two is still Democrats, but now about to surpass them.

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As Republicans, they've been number three. And remember this is

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in a state that has been controlled by Democrats, the

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Democrat party machine for a century and a half since

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the Civil War. Right they had a lockdown. People who

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have arrived to North Carolina maybe listening to this show

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and you've only lived here a couple of years, you're

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not aware of the background and the history. You did

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not get government jobs in this state. Unless you were Democrat,

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you made campaign contributions to the party machine, and you

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went to vote for the Democrat party boss. If you

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were a Republican, you simply did not get hired. I've

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told a story before. There's a family member now deceased,

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but he worked for state government for like fifty years

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and he was told when he went in for the

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job interview that he had to register as a Democrat,

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flat out told it.

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Speaker 1: All right, if you're listening to this show, you know.

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Speaker 2: I try to keep up with all sorts of current events,

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and I know you do too, And you've probably heard

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me say get your news from multiple sources. Why well,

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because it's how you detect media bias, which is why

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I've been so impressed with ground News. It's an app

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and it's a website and it combines news from around

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the world in one place, so you can compare coverage

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and verify information. You can check it out at check

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dot ground, dot news slash pete. I put the link

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in the podcast description too. I started using ground News

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a few months ago and more recently chose to work

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with them as an affiliate because it lets me see

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clearly how stories get covered and by whom. The blind

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spot feature shows you which stories get ignored by the

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left and the right. See for yourself. Check Dot Ground,

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dot News slash Pete. Subscribe through that link and you'll

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get fifteen percent off any subscription. I use the Vantage

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Ground News as they make the media landscape more transparent.

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New York Times with a big data dive on the

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declining fortunes of the Democrat Party. For many years, more

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voters have been registering as independents or unaffiliated, sapping both

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party roles, but more recently that growth has come mostly

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at the expense of Democrats. If you go back to

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twenty eighteen midterm election Trump's first term, Democrats accounted for

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about thirty four percent of new voter registrations nationwide, Republicans

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were only twenty percent. But by twenty twenty four, just

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six years later, Republicans have now overtaken Democrats among new registrants.

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So in six years, the GOP's share rose by nine

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percentage points and the Democratics share dropped by almost eight

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percentage points. So now you've got questions about how did

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this happen? Got to identify how it happened, so this

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way we'll know what to do about it, right, I mean,

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if you're the Democrat Party or you're a consultant in

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the you know, in the Party of the Jackasses, then

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you've got to figure out why this is happening. So

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enter Maria Cardona, a veteran party strategist and longtime member

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of the Democratic National Committee. And what does she say occurred?

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She said, quote, we fell asleep at the switch? Yeah,

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I did you.

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Speaker 1: I don't.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that's actually I don't think that's what happened.

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I don't think you fell asleep at the switch. I've

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I've had a pretty good look here in North Carolina

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for the last twenty five years of how the Democrat

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Party operates, and you know, puts all of these groups

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out into the field, registering voters and everything.

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Speaker 1: Like, I don't think you fell asleep at the switch. Here.

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Maybe she has some other important insight.

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Speaker 2: For years, the left has relied on a sprawling network

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of nonprofits. These nonprofits go out in solicit donations from

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people who do not have to disclose their identities because

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they are nonprofits, and then the nonprofits take all that

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money from dark money sources, you might say, and they

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go out and they register people based on racial profiling.

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I'm sorry, no I said that, But here's how the

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New York Times said it. They go out to register black,

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Latino and younger voters, so racial profiling, right.

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Speaker 1: They go to black.

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Speaker 2: Areas, they go to Hispanic areas, and then they also

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go to college campi and they register voters. Why because

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chances are, if you get a pool, you register one

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thousand black voters at a particular college campus or some

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event or whatever. You register a thousand black voters, chances are,

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you know, nine hundred plus of them are going to

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register as Democrats.

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Speaker 1: Hispanic voters. It's a little bit lower.

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Speaker 2: It's somewhere in the neighborhood of usually around sixty percent

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or so younger voters. Similar sort of breakout. And so

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the groups are technically nonpartisan, but they don't behave in

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that way.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 2: They say, oh, we're just rocking the vote, We're just

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getting people to register.

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Speaker 1: Why don't you want people to register? Why are you.

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Speaker 2: Trying to suppress people and opress people? Right, But the

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underlying assumption has always been that if you target these groups,

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the data based on profiling is that they will register

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as Democrats. And so that's where these quote nonprofits go.

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It is done to help the Democrats enter Donald Trump.

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He has now blown up those calculations. Why because of

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the inroads that he has made with working class, non

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white voters, and so ms Cardona says, quote, you can't

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just register a young Latino or a young black voter

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and assume that they're going to know that it's Democrats

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that have the best policies. Maybe because they don't. They

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don't they This is you, Democrats. You are going to

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be stuck in this doom loop, circling the drain until

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you recognize you are on the losing side of these issues,

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so many of these issues. And I know you don't

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believe that. I don't want to believe it. You cannot

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believe it. I know, I know it's hard. You're in denial.

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I get it. Not just a river in Egypt. I

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get it. But that's the truth. That is the truth. Also,

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you're kind of a victim of your own success here

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because by getting everybody to focus on racial identitarianism and

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running around calling white dudes the oppressors.

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Speaker 1: You have now prompted.

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Speaker 2: White dudes, young white dudes, to think of themselves by

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their racial identity. And if you're calling them the oppressor

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and they know from their own personal experience that they

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are not, they're not going to like you.

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Speaker 1: See. I tried to warn you guys, this is not

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a good path to be on.

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Speaker 2: But you thought you didn't need all of the deplorables, AKA,

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you thought you didn't need it because demographics is destiny,

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the replacement theory, which is not from the right, that

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was from the left, that was from rouy Tesera talked

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about how bringing in immigration, through immigration and birth rates

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and all of this, that the old white Republicans are

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all going to die off and Democrats will rule forever.

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And maybe that's what she's talking about falling asleep at

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the switch. But at the core of that is viewing

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people by their race first and only, and it has

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bitten you in the jackass. Here's a great idea. How

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about making an escape to a really special and secluded

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for a big old reunion. Cabins of Asheville has the

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ideal spot for you where you can reconnect with your

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their cabins offer a serene escape in the heart of

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the Blue Ridge Mountains. Centrally located between Ashville and the

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entry into the Great Smoky Mountain National Park. It's the

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perfect balance of seclusion and proximity to all the local

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attractions with hot tubs, fireplaces, air conditioning, smart TVs, Wi Fi, grills,

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that'll last a lifetime. John emails, it's a peat meal.

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He says, we get weekly reports about the registration. At

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the current rate, the Republican Party will overtake Democrats in

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North Carolina by the end of the year. Democrats are

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losing registered voters and Republicans are gaining voters. I think

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it is going to be deliciously ironic that the Democrats

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will become the third largest section of voters under shammeron

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Anderson Clayton, who is breezy as I understand it. I

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wonder if she's going to throw her sippy cup and cuss.

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Why would you wonder that, John. Of course she's gonna cuss.

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Of course she is. That's her jam Man. I don't

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know if she's gonna throw the sippy cup like that's

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you don't want to waste a perfectly good beverage, you know.

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Speaker 1: From the text line?

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Speaker 2: Let me let me scroll up here, Susanne says, ditto

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on the Democratic versus Democrat, Yeah, I use Democrat party.

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Jefferson wants to know if all of these registration numbers

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include the dead.

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Speaker 1: I don't. I'm not sure about that.

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Speaker 2: Gray says, then why can't we get more media to

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be for our side. Well, that's a whole different topic.

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I've I've talked a bit about media.

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Speaker 1: Well I've talked a lot about media.

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Speaker 2: Okay, guilty is charged, but that is due to sort

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of structural issues inside of the profession. And it starts,

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you know, in high school basically, and you go to

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a journalism school and college is becoming you know, these

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credential factories. Basically, journalism used to be a sort of

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work in man's profession, you know, the whole ink stained

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wretch kind of caricature of who was in media, what

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kinds of people did newspaper work, and that sort of stuff.

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These these are not, they never really have been for

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the most part, you know, high paying jobs, and so

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you ended up with you know, people going to college

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and amassing more and more debt going then to work

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in a newsroom for twenty five thirty thousand dollars.

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Speaker 1: You can't afford to pay back your college loans on that.

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Speaker 2: So what ends up happening is you have this over

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production of the quote unquote elite or as I call them,

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the fo.

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Speaker 1: Elite, right because it's fake.

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Speaker 2: So they're not really elite, but you know they're they're

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NEPO babies basically Trustafarians, you know, kids with trust funds,

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and they're and really wealthy parents. They're able to get

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into the profession going to the Columbia Journalism school, going

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you know, a quarter million dollars in debt for that,

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with no prospect to be ever able to pay that back.

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So you now have to live with financial support from

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your parents, your wealthy parents who could afford to send

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you there and can afford to basically keep you on

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a living stipend while you're uh, you know, while you're

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coming up through the ranks, unless of course you are

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you know, somebody whose parents are already in one of

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these you know, really big legacy media operations, and then you,

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as a NEPO baby, you get boosted up above everybody else.

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That's like grinding it out in Walla Walla, Washington, right,

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And so like I my path here was, you know,

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went to Winthrop University, had a scholarship for my grades,

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and Winthrop at the time was the cheapest South Carolina

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state school, and graduated from Winthrop, worked at a tiny

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little station in rock Hill, worked for the NPR affiliate,

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landed as a part timer here, became a full timer,

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was a reporter, then moved into being a host after

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like nine years, so and I've been a host ever since.

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But I never had to accumulate all of the debt

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I paid off. I think I graduated with about twenty

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five thousand dollars in student loan debt, which I paid off.

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So the like, I wasn't crippled by that. I didn't

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go to Columbia or you know Syracuse, you know mass

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colm departments where they charged.

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Speaker 1: A ton of money.

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Speaker 2: So you got a lot of these ivy leaguers coming out,

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and they then populate the quote unquote elite or faux

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elite ranks. And when you are coming through that kind

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of a privileged lineage, you have a certain ideology and

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a lot of them, I feel, are motivated in large

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part by guilt. They have a lot of guilt for

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the fact that they know deep down that they really

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haven't done the work to get them to the positions

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that they're in. So I think that that colors a lot.

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And they're coming out of a you know, K twelve

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system and a collegiate system that has been completely corrupted

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with you know, the woke ideology.

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Speaker 1: So I think that's why you end up.

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Speaker 2: But you look, there are way more There are way

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more media platforms now, the democratization of media, right, That's

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part of the deal here as well, is that they're

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there are tons more voices out there. People can get

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a lot more information from various sources, seeing a lot

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of stuff on social media, true and false, to be sure.

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But the grip that the legacy media used to have

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they do not anymore. So I think that is also

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driving a lot of this backlash to the Democrats, is

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that they keep squeezing the grip tighter and tighter, and

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as they do so, more and more voters fall through

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their fingers. To mix a metaphor or seven. So there's

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a guy quoted in the New York Times piece named

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Tom Bonier. I'm gonna call him Bonier, or actually I'm

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gonna call him Tom Bonnier, okay, because I don't know

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how he pronounces it. And thank goodness, there is an

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e or sorry, there is an I before the e

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in his last name Bonnier or Bonnier. He's one of

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the Democrat parties leading experts on voter registration trends. He

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spent much of twenty twenty four downplaying the seriousness of

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his parties registration woes. He said in an interview quote,

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I was wrong. Yeah, Oh, better luck next time. Bonier,

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North Carolina could be the next battleground state. Two tip,

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says the New York Times. State record show the edge

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is down to less than seventeen thousand voters. Just four

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years ago, Democrats enjoyed a four hundred thousand voter margin Pennsylvania.

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Speaker 1: Maybe on deck.

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Speaker 2: All right, you hear me talk a lot about incentives, Right, Well,

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let's talk about incentive trips, the kind that companies offer

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00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:47,200
employees to fire them up and reward their teams. If

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you own a business or you work somewhere that offers

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00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:52,319
these incentive trips, first off, good for you. But also

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00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:55,000
there is a custom app that's a game changer for

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00:25:55,039 --> 00:25:58,960
these trips. It's called Incentive trip Kit. Private group messaging,

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00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:03,319
shared photos, or itinerary travel details all built into a single,

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00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:06,640
easy to use app. There's even a traveler locator, so

393
00:26:06,759 --> 00:26:09,599
Carl from Accounting doesn't get left behind. The best part

394
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:13,839
about Incentive Tripkit it's totally private. No email captures, no

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00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:18,200
sign ups, no cringe ads. It's simple, clean and secure,

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00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,319
and when the trip is over. Incentive trip Kit turns

397
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:25,279
those highlights into a professional storytelling video. So think about it.

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00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:29,039
When you launch next year's incentive trip campaign, that video

399
00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:32,720
becomes your greatest motivator. Talk about a return on investment. Right,

400
00:26:33,039 --> 00:26:36,200
You got to check out incentive trip Kit for your business.

401
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:40,240
Visit incentive tripkit dot com because great trips deserve even

402
00:26:40,319 --> 00:26:41,079
better returns.

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00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:42,960
Speaker 1: From the text.

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00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:45,880
Speaker 2: Line, somebody anonymous says, it's not the message, it's the

405
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delivery that the Dems can't get.

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Speaker 1: Right, ha ha ha ha. Right.

407
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Speaker 2: The thing to always keep in mind I say this

408
00:26:53,039 --> 00:26:56,440
all the time because the Democrats keep doing it, which is,

409
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anytime they lose, anytime that they're unpopular, they always have

410
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:04,960
the same response, which is, it's not the substance, it's

411
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the style. That's what they claim. They keep thinking like

412
00:27:08,799 --> 00:27:13,319
our message. Just as in getting through, you control so

413
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many of the cultural institutions by which culture is transmitted,

414
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most importantly K twelve, education, movies, music, the news, legacy

415
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:31,079
media outlets. You guys control all of these pathways your

416
00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:35,279
message has been received. We are in the middle of

417
00:27:35,319 --> 00:27:37,279
what I have referred to also many times, this is

418
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the preference cascade. People are waking up and realizing now

419
00:27:41,039 --> 00:27:43,880
they have permission to vote for Donald Trump. They have

420
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:47,599
permission to do the Trump dance and dance to YMCA.

421
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You see these videos that the sororities and the fraternities

422
00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:54,880
are posting and stuff like this. People have now woken

423
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:59,680
up and realized that they're not alone. They have had

424
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these they've had these reservations, but they have been pressured

425
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either silently or overtly into going along. I did this

426
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story the other day where what was it like eighty

427
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percent or something of college kids said that they did

428
00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:19,599
not speak up for fear of offending people or being

429
00:28:19,839 --> 00:28:26,480
having a different opinion, a non progressive opinion, rewriting papers

430
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:30,119
just to make sure that they don't get dinged by

431
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:35,920
their left wing professors. It's the same thing Rosh Limbaugh

432
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:39,039
tapped into when he got on the air and he

433
00:28:39,119 --> 00:28:42,880
started saying this stuff, and people started saying, oh my goodness.

434
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Speaker 1: I thought I was.

435
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:49,119
Speaker 2: The only one that creates the permission structure that leads

436
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:52,960
to the preference cascade, which is slowly at first, and

437
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:56,839
then very quickly. Right, things start building slowly, and then

438
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:04,079
the damn breaks. The Democrat Party's diminished appeal to men

439
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:08,920
and younger voters was evident in partisan registration data long

440
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:12,079
before it became apparent to everyone. In the last election,

441
00:29:14,039 --> 00:29:16,480
Republicans went from I was just actually talking to Kyle

442
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:21,440
Bailey from our sister station WFNZ. I would say, listen

443
00:29:21,519 --> 00:29:21,839
to his.

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00:29:21,759 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 1: Program, but he's on when I'm on, So like you shouldn't.

445
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,799
Speaker 2: You shouldn't listen to him instead of me unless you

446
00:29:27,799 --> 00:29:30,359
get my podcast. It doesn't matter either way. So and

447
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:33,640
KB was saying that, like the board, the Disney board

448
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,640
is telling them to like telling the people, like, we

449
00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:40,279
need to create content aimed at young men because we've

450
00:29:40,319 --> 00:29:45,039
lost young men. Yes, why do you think young men

451
00:29:45,519 --> 00:29:53,440
have been lost in all of these Democrat progressive controlled institutions, music, movies,

452
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TV shows?

453
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Speaker 1: Why is that? Why do you think that is?

454
00:30:00,079 --> 00:30:05,319
Speaker 2: Again, when you tell everybody to view things always and

455
00:30:05,440 --> 00:30:12,680
everywhere through a prism of racial identitarianism, you certainly cannot

456
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:19,359
be surprised when everybody starts doing that. Right, You guys

457
00:30:19,359 --> 00:30:21,880
were playing with fire. People like me were saying, you

458
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:24,319
do not want this. We do not want a society

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00:30:24,359 --> 00:30:29,400
to think our identity in this nation is American. That's

460
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our unifying identity. If you want to pick an identity

461
00:30:33,119 --> 00:30:36,880
and you want that to define you. Make it American. Okay,

462
00:30:37,119 --> 00:30:41,039
make it American. But when you focus on these immutable

463
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characteristics of race, ethnicity, where you focus on religion or

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00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:48,519
your sexual preference or something like who you like to

465
00:30:48,559 --> 00:30:51,839
sleep with and all of this, when you start focusing

466
00:30:52,359 --> 00:30:56,720
so narrowly on these things as identities and telling people

467
00:30:56,759 --> 00:30:59,119
to vote that way, to live that way, to cut

468
00:30:59,119 --> 00:31:02,599
out family members from the Thanksgiving table because of uncomfortable

469
00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:08,119
conversation with Uncle Joe, you can't expect only your target

470
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:12,000
audience to hear that message and react to it. I

471
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:17,680
saw this coming, like you're gonna You're gonna convince everybody

472
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:22,599
to start thinking like this. And you may think, in

473
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,599
you know, twenty thirty forty years, white people won't be

474
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:28,400
the majority, so ha ha ha, we'll be in charge. Yeah,

475
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:32,240
But there they are right now. And so is this

476
00:31:32,319 --> 00:31:38,720
really wise? Is that a wise thing to do? Republicans

477
00:31:38,759 --> 00:31:42,680
went from roughly one third of newly registered voters under

478
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,720
the age of forty five to a majority just in

479
00:31:45,759 --> 00:31:50,519
the last six years. The shifts among male voters tell

480
00:31:50,559 --> 00:31:54,720
a similar story, as does the shift among Latino voters.

481
00:31:54,759 --> 00:31:57,440
In North Carolina, specifically, they mentioned in the New York

482
00:31:57,440 --> 00:32:02,920
Times piece the parties share of Latino registrants picking one

483
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:07,720
of the two major parties declined seventy two percent in

484
00:32:07,799 --> 00:32:14,359
twenty twenty, down to fifty eight percent last year. That's

485
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:17,680
what Democrats have lost among the Latinos. They're still getting

486
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:21,640
a majority of the new registrants, but it was three

487
00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:24,759
quarters and now it's a little more than half. That's

488
00:32:24,799 --> 00:32:29,839
a massive erosion, and it's an erosion moving towards a

489
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:33,519
party that you have been telling these people or who

490
00:32:33,559 --> 00:32:36,400
are registering Republican. You've been telling them that this party

491
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:40,480
hates them and is afraid of them and wants to

492
00:32:40,559 --> 00:32:48,079
deport them. Despite all of that messaging, that group of

493
00:32:48,319 --> 00:32:52,880
Americans has said, pound sand Democrats, I'm going to go

494
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:59,319
with that party. That's not a messaging thing. That's a

495
00:32:59,359 --> 00:33:05,680
you thing. That's a you problem, Democrats. So I mentioned earlier,

496
00:33:05,759 --> 00:33:09,200
and I'm going to have to probably pick this up. Well, yeah,

497
00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:12,400
I got about two minutes here, so let me I'll

498
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:15,440
go back and mention real quick. Earlier I talked about

499
00:33:15,480 --> 00:33:18,200
the sprawling network of nonprofits. They go out, they get

500
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,119
donations from you know, anonymous donors. They then go out

501
00:33:21,119 --> 00:33:26,599
and register voters, and they target profile people basically saying, Okay,

502
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:28,759
well that's a black person, that's a Hispanic person, that's

503
00:33:28,799 --> 00:33:31,200
a young person, so therefore they're probably going to be

504
00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:34,920
a Democrat, so let's go register them. Now they're they're

505
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:39,160
technically non partisan, right, but we've all known that they

506
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:43,839
behave this way. But now the economics of that model

507
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:47,039
do not work anymore. And they break down the costs

508
00:33:47,119 --> 00:33:50,519
to get registered voters and stuff. And it's one thing

509
00:33:51,039 --> 00:33:53,319
if you can go out there spend a bunch of money,

510
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,240
maybe it costs you fifty bucks of registration or something

511
00:33:56,279 --> 00:33:57,799
to you know, put boots on the ground and get

512
00:33:57,799 --> 00:34:00,799
these registrations. You know, those economics work. But if you're

513
00:34:00,799 --> 00:34:03,720
going to go out and you're going to get i

514
00:34:03,759 --> 00:34:09,320
don't know, a quarter of the black vote that you're

515
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:12,239
going to register black voters in a quarter from register Republican,

516
00:34:13,679 --> 00:34:15,760
now all of a sudden, your economics don't work so well.

517
00:34:16,199 --> 00:34:17,679
If you used to be able to get three quarters

518
00:34:17,679 --> 00:34:20,760
of Hispanic young voters and now you're only getting half, Yeah,

519
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:23,760
those economics do not work at all. You're helping your opponent.

520
00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:24,280
Speaker 1: Actually.

521
00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:30,039
Speaker 2: Aaron Strauss, a data scientist who has spent years studying

522
00:34:30,039 --> 00:34:32,000
how to elect Democrats, wrote that the old way of

523
00:34:32,039 --> 00:34:36,599
registering voters might actually backfire. He wrote this actually before

524
00:34:36,679 --> 00:34:41,000
last year's election. This idea of working through nonprofit groups

525
00:34:41,039 --> 00:34:44,239
to enroll young people and people of color in general,

526
00:34:44,559 --> 00:34:49,360
rather than explicitly seeking new Democrats, that is going to backfire,

527
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:53,360
he said before the last election, because you can't just

528
00:34:53,559 --> 00:34:58,519
use these profile characteristics to determine whether or not they

529
00:34:58,559 --> 00:35:01,400
agree with us, whether they're going to register as a Democrat.

530
00:35:03,119 --> 00:35:05,440
Speaker 1: And so he says, what that means is you have

531
00:35:05,559 --> 00:35:06,000
to go.

532
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:13,440
Speaker 2: And specifically explicitly look to register Democrats. And therein lies

533
00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:18,639
the problem because you're a nonpartisan nonprofit. You can't do that.

534
00:35:19,199 --> 00:35:22,880
You know who does that, the Party and super PACs.

535
00:35:24,599 --> 00:35:29,639
So the nonprofits now they're facing an existential crisis. Oh

536
00:35:29,679 --> 00:35:33,639
you hate to see it, You hate to see it.

537
00:35:35,559 --> 00:35:37,840
Speaker 1: All right, that'll do it for this episode. Thank you

538
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:38,880
so much for listening.

539
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,119
Speaker 2: I could not do the show without your support and

540
00:35:41,199 --> 00:35:43,880
the support of the businesses that advertise on the podcast,

541
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:46,320
So if you'd like, please support them too and tell

542
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:48,079
them you heard it here. You can also become a

543
00:35:48,119 --> 00:35:52,159
patron at my Patreon page or go to dpetekalanershow dot

544
00:35:52,199 --> 00:35:55,039
com again, thank you so much for listening, and don't

545
00:35:55,039 --> 00:36:03,639
break anything while I'm gone.