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Speaker 1: Two one.

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Speaker 2: You're welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.

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This is wager Talk Today. I'm your host, Andy Lang.

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It's a brand new week. We've got a loaded show

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to kick it off. Johnny the Greek is gonna be

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here with the Steam Report, crack Man's gonna drop us

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off an MLB prop and we're also going to talk

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about the FanDuel the big parlays. When FanDuel is saying

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now that they are limiting people that play this play

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the same plays.

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Speaker 3: I have a lot of.

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Speaker 1: Thoughts on this one, so we're going to talk about that.

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Speaker 2: Brian Power is going to break down the Giants and

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the Diamondbacks. We got big info, we got sharp plays.

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Let's get it started, all right, Dan, we go back

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to Friday. We had some really close guesses on the

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exact score. Did we have a winner on Friday's game

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for the exact score and the winner of the way?

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Speaker 3: Close?

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Speaker 4: But no cigar, Andy, close.

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Speaker 1: So close.

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Speaker 2: Jason Hamilton had Seattle six five and the final score.

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Speaker 1: Was seven to six. That's a hell of a guest.

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Speaker 5: Really, all I know is whoever finally wins this swag bag,

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It's gonna be one hell of a prize because it's

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just getting larger.

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Speaker 2: Yes, absolutely, absolutely, Uh so we're gonna pick a game

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on the board today, real simple. You tell us the

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winner in the exact score in the comments below, and

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you're gonna win some free wager tax. But we're gonna

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get one this week. You guys are way too close

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to these scores to not hit one.

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Speaker 1: So all right, let's get started. You guys know what

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to do.

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Speaker 2: Hit that like button, subscribe to the wager Talk YouTube

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channel and let's get started with Gianni and we're talking

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the steamer port. Gianni, I'm guessing it's all Major League Baseball.

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Speaker 1: There's no w NBA. We don't even have.

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Speaker 2: UFC this week. Like it's a it's a slow week.

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So we got to pick our spots. And like we say,

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we only need a few plays that we can take

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advantage of the profits.

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Speaker 1: So what are you seeing on this Monday so far?

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Speaker 6: You simply got to be selective.

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Speaker 7: There's nothing wrong with that, unless you have to choose

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from the more selective you have to be. They're still

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gonna be value on the board. The participants are the

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same people that bet every day, are still going to

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continue betting every day. With that said, you know, I

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know a lot of sharp guys that I work with

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every day. This is when they take their vacations.

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Speaker 4: In July.

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Speaker 6: This is the month everybody takes their vacations.

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Speaker 7: Mostly around I remember, for the longest time I did

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it at the All Star break.

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Speaker 6: Every year.

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Speaker 7: All Star Break was when I would go on my vacation.

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You know, now I work three sixty five, so I

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really just don't do that. But you know, there was

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a time where even I took off. With that said,

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that's why you see, it's a lot slower, But when

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that happens, it offers a lot of value, even to

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more recreational betters, because you don't have every wise guy

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on the planet sitting in front of five screens trying

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to pick off every road number that's out there, every

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inefficiency that's out there. So if anything, I think there's opportunity.

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But again, you just got to be selective.

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Speaker 3: Man.

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Speaker 1: That's it. What are we seeing with money?

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Speaker 2: You mentioned, but probably a lot of people on vacation,

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maybe some of the big timers.

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Speaker 1: Are taking off. Are we seeing any signific line movement?

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Speaker 2: And if we're not, if you get line movement, that

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gives us that gives us some real opportunity.

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Speaker 6: Today on Monday, it's been dogs.

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Speaker 7: Four dogs that are sticking out all getting h sendicate money.

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Nine fifty four Pittsburgh at plus one ten nine fifty six,

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Arizona plus one thirty nine fifty eight Toronto plus one

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thirty nine sixty five Cincinnati plus one sixty Those are

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four dogs that immediately took some money, and then there

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was some follow through as well. A couple totals got hit,

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but not any big line movement, like you know, just

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picking off some of the eight and a half before

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it goes to nine, some of the seven and a

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half before it goes to seven. That kind of stuff

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that you see each and every day, but nothing that

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I would confirm as a legit move this early in

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the day.

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Speaker 6: That's why I just wanted to stick the sides.

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Speaker 7: With what I share, because again it's a small board

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and I don't pick up as the week goes on.

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But it's just one of those days where it's a

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little bit slower, not a bad thing coming off such

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a busy weekend with all the UFC stuff, all the baseball,

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the end of NBA Finals and the NHL Finals, So

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it's a good January. July is a good month because

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you do you got baseball every day and then WNBA

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and some of those smaller markets where you can still

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do damage. And as you get ready and prepare for

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the football season, which I know everybody's excited about, and

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that's now just right around the corner.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, listen for us, it's a huge morning. It's first

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first day at Wimbledon. We have seventeen plays.

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Speaker 1: In actually today, so oh yeah, oh yeah.

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Speaker 2: We find that the first couple days of these majors

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are where it's at. You have so many matches to

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pick from, you have so many like really big mismatches,

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and you'll see like we'll probably be fired away Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday,

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maybe Thursday, and then the closer you get to the finals.

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Speaker 1: There's just no value.

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Speaker 2: It's it's the best players against the best players. You've

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got injuries, you've got fatigue. So yeah, we come out

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hot and heavy in the first few days of wimbled

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and I saw.

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Speaker 6: A couple moves real quickly.

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Speaker 7: It's it's hard to find the best when it's this

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early in the tournament.

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Speaker 6: It's funny.

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Speaker 7: The other day I got Arthur Arthur Kasole Arthur Kasle

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against Adam Walton. It took me about twelve minutes to

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find that matchup. They didn't have a bet number on it.

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It's like you got to remind these bettingstons against dude,

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add rotation numbers, add rotation numbers. Don't just put the

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name out there when there's two hundred match offs.

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Speaker 6: It took me forever to find it.

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Speaker 7: By the time I got down, I was found like

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I was able to get down at like minus one

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seventy five at minus one eighty.

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Speaker 6: But yeah, I see a lot of the sharps.

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Speaker 7: That's what they do, exactly what you're doing, where they

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take advantage of Wimbledon early early, early in the tournament,

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and as the tournament progresses, you get less and less

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positions because again the lines titan, which it's supposed to do.

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Speaker 2: Do you hit your five percent in the UFC correct?

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I see some people at nice work, Nice work.

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Speaker 3: What was it? Oh?

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Speaker 7: I love Delgatto bro I put eighty five percent of

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my UFC on the line bankroll in the show on him.

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Speaker 6: I just thought.

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Speaker 7: There's just no better bet on the board, regardless of outcome.

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I felt confident. And the worst part is it was

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actually a worse bet than the week before on my

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five percent that lost. Honestly, if I'm grading it from

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a sharp better's perspective, it actually was a worse bet.

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It just won because the truth is I didn't get

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any real closing line value. There was so much money

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coming in on the dog that I had to be

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the product more or less of good luck and pick

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the right sign because I didn't get much line value

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at all. In fact, I bet it at a worst

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line at what it closed that and that's not a

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good position to be in. That's not betting from any

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position to strength. So I'm glad it worked out for us,

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and I'm glad I cashed a big ticket. But the

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truth of the matter is the week prior, where I

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had Jamal Hill as my five percent that lost, I

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thought going into that fight that was a much better

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bet because I had him on even money and he

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closed at minus one forty five close to one fifty

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at some shops. So for me, I'm like, I did

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my job a lot better on that bet than I

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did on the Saturday's You havec bet. But it tells

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you you're gonna get graded by your results at the end.

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Speaker 6: Of the day. We all say the right things.

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Speaker 7: We all you know, everybody on sports betting social media,

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on Twitter and Instagram, they all say the right things

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as far as value and bet sizing and all that.

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Speaker 6: We all know what to say.

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Speaker 7: But doing it's a completely different thing because you see

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it so much in this industry. Like people are like, oh,

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you know, they don't like big games and promoting big

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locks and all that. But you move a four percent

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play into a five percent play, and all of a sudden,

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you're gonna sell twenty x the amount of packages because

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you move a thing one percent bigger. Your BET's now

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one percent bigger, and that's gonna make people think now

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you have a lot.

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Speaker 6: And it's the same thing.

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Speaker 7: With closing line value, Like you could place a great bet,

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prove that it's a great bet, but if it loses,

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no one cares. They just want to cash a ticket

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at the end of the day. And if that's your

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your out, you know your approach. I'm telling you you're

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gonna get disappointed. You're going to continue losing money. If

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that's all you care about is the result in the

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short term, you're gonna get buried because you're going to

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keep tasting that short term gratification that we all do,

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and that burns us all. You gotta gotta learn to

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think long term. You got to be able to grade

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yourself hard. And like I said, great Goda got the

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job done. He looked like the right side. He finished

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the fight for us in thirty seconds. He was never

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in danger of us losing that bet. But I didn't

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get any respect from the betting market at all. In fact,

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it was the opposite. It looked like a bad bet

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heading into it. So again, like I.

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Speaker 6: Like to keep it real.

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Speaker 7: And when I have a great bet and I'm beating

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the market, I pat myself on the back. But when

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I place a bet and I'm not beating the market

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and I still happen to win, I gotta, you know,

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chalk that up as the gambling gods gave me a

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winner at that time, like it did me a song.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, kind of like now for the bad beat, they

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made one up for me.

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Speaker 7: Because again that's just how I grade my work, because

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I know if I can do that andy over and.

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Speaker 6: Over and over again, there's nothing they could do. I'm

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gonna win money. It's like card accounting.

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Speaker 7: As long as I don't bet size incorrectly and I

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make the right move every single time.

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Speaker 6: There's nothing they could do. I'm gonna take their money.

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Speaker 7: And if you could keep beating the closing line value,

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there's nothing they can do. You're gonna take their money

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as long as again you bet size correctly, which is key.

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Speaker 2: Well, I will tell you this, I love fights like that.

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First off, you know, congratulations on Delgado. I'm coming right

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back and betting Hyder a Mill in his next one.

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They're gonna give him a step down in competition, and

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it's probably gonna be someone he steam rolls through. I

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love some of these guys when they when they're like

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undefeated and they get get a loss, or like they're

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on a win streak and they get a lost, UFC

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bumps them.

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Speaker 1: Down and they come back more more motivated than ever.

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Speaker 2: I take a look at some of these guys that

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are gonna get to step down and competitions, I'll be

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I don't know who's gonna fight, but most likely I'll

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be betting on on Hyder and Mill.

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Speaker 7: So I talked about it, I said a comment from

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cam Hier. Bro great job, congratulation, bro. You you doubled

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your bank from twenty to forty dollars betting two dollars

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a game. God bless you. Good, good job. Stay to

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two dollars a game. Don't up that. Do not up that, bro,

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until you get that forty to like one hundred dollars.

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Then approach it differently. Stay at your two dollars because

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now if you jump it up to like four dollars,

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because you doubled your bank roll, you now could lose

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all that profit with half the production, meaning like you're

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now going to be betting double.

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Speaker 6: So what it took you.

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Speaker 7: To double your bank roll, you could lose in fifty

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percent of a negative run because you're now betting.

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Speaker 6: Double what you did to get to that point of

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one hundred percent return.

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Speaker 7: So mathematically, I highly highly recommend you stick to that

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two dollars range. Just keep firing two dollars. That way,

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if you get cold, you'll still be in action. If

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you have an edge, it'll materialize. Keep firing two dollars.

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Good job, bro. I love seeing that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, yeah, I couldn't agree more with that. So, Johnny,

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what do you have up for clients here on this Monday?

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Speaker 6: All right? Nothing up yet?

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Speaker 7: Like I said, I'm staying real selective. I got a

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couple of baseball players that I have leans on, going

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to try to confirm them to put out a package,

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but no reason.

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Speaker 6: The rush. So far, so good.

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Speaker 7: We're about six months in. We got six months to go.

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My goal is to be up when December thirty first

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rolls around. I'm highly confident that will happen coming off,

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you know, a losing year like we had last year,

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and I'm just gonna grind. If I find some big bets,

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that package will be up, probably with in the next

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sixty minutes. Otherwise, subscribers will get what's confirmed, and then

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we'll move on to Tuesday's action again. I have no

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problems passing. If we don't find value, well, if we do,

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it'll be there for sure.

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Speaker 1: Love it, Johnny and Greek everyone.

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Speaker 2: Let's get this week off to a good start. Johnny,

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let's have a great Monday, and we'll see you again tomorrow.

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I'm gonna talk to Johnny a little bit later this

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week about what to do when you're having one of

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your worst months, and full disclosure, that is me June.

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We're gonna see what happens these next couple days, but

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June's gonna end up being one of the worst months

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I've ever had since being at wager Talk. So we'll

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talk about it once we get the final numbers. We'll

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talk about how we manage the bank role, what you do,

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what's the mindset, how do you analyze what happens. So

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it's good that we do the show because we can

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talk about this. We talk about our winners, and we'll

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talk about our losers. And when we talk about our

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worst moments, that's when we do all the learning and it.

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Speaker 1: Sets us up, sets us up for the future.

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Speaker 2: So I'll be talking to Johnny once we get our

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final numbers in from June here, let's bring in crack

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Man and we're gonna talk little MLB prop and I

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got a couple other topics to talk about. We'll talk

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about fan duel and we'll actually let's start there.

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Speaker 3: Bill.

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Speaker 2: There's this story FanDuel and their Terms in Service about

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trying to limit groups that are betting the same things,

294
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and they're shutting down accounts.

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Speaker 1: With you know, with groups.

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Speaker 2: I gotta be honest with somebody that's had FanDuel and

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DraftKings for like a decade.

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Speaker 1: This isn't new to me.

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Speaker 2: Like, like I've had books limited where it's just like

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me and some guys I work with that live in

301
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the same city, if you put the same bed in

302
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within a few minutes of each other, We've gotten limited

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on some.

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Speaker 1: Of these books. So this is not a surprise for me.

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Speaker 2: I'm kind of surprised that people are just now realizing this.

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Speaker 1: Did you are Were you aware of this?

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Speaker 8: Yeah, good morning Andy, first of all, and thanks for

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having me on.

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Speaker 3: You know, I kind of want to ask to them

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a little bit.

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Speaker 8: I usually kind of stay away from things until I

312
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know the full story, and it looks like exactly that

313
00:13:56,639 --> 00:13:59,559
that should have been done in this situation. This was

314
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regarding these telegram chats where these parlay guys dub club telegram.

315
00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:10,399
They had like these different chats of people that are

316
00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:11,840
in there together.

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Speaker 3: And let's be blunt.

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Speaker 8: These aren't sharp syndicate groups. These are Joe publics that

319
00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:20,000
are trying to have a good time. Maybe some parlays

320
00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:25,600
which I never recommend. And what happened here is one

321
00:14:25,679 --> 00:14:28,360
or two guys said, hey, they changed their terms and

322
00:14:28,399 --> 00:14:32,799
conditions and fandel they meanwhile to be blunt, they paid everybody.

323
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So they paid everybody. It may even be a bad

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rumor that started. Internally, they haven't acknowledged this, and even

325
00:14:44,639 --> 00:14:46,759
some of the guys that FANDLE said, we don't know

326
00:14:46,799 --> 00:14:49,519
what they've been talking about. We've paid everybody, and it

327
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isn't our terms and conditions. But they've realized that they

328
00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:57,240
make so much money from these type of groups of

329
00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:01,720
this is the seven leg of home run that have

330
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to be hit that day in that game.

331
00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,399
Speaker 3: This is almost an impossibility.

332
00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:10,159
Speaker 8: Yes, they lost some money, but the rumor on these

333
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:13,399
accounts was two point two million. They probably lost a

334
00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:16,159
lot more than that because you have all these people

335
00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:19,879
in there, but eleven dollars parlay to win one hundred thousand,

336
00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:22,919
that's easily gonna, you know, just equal a couple dozen

337
00:15:22,919 --> 00:15:25,080
people and you're over to two point two million. They

338
00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:28,720
probably actually lost even more than that. But I have

339
00:15:28,919 --> 00:15:32,600
not seen anything where someone said, hey, vandal sent me

340
00:15:32,639 --> 00:15:36,399
an email or a text or something saying you won't.

341
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Speaker 3: Be paid on the next one.

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Speaker 8: So before we jump on them, i'd have to see

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some more facts.

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Speaker 3: And I did say something on Visan about it.

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Speaker 8: And my comment's pretty simple, and to be real blunt,

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00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:55,320
it probably is something that's looked at. You know what

347
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I said, because you know, not just me.

348
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Speaker 3: It's just it's almost common sense.

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Speaker 8: If it was done in a way where they said, hey,

350
00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:06,360
you know they're doing this, they should have spun it

351
00:16:07,039 --> 00:16:10,960
in a good way where they can actually have said, hey,

352
00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:13,759
you guys got us this time or something like that.

353
00:16:14,519 --> 00:16:17,480
I'm looking for what my response was, but yeah, I

354
00:16:17,759 --> 00:16:19,279
actually did reply to it, though, and.

355
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Speaker 3: I just don't know if this was exactly one hundred

356
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percent true.

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Speaker 8: So before I really go off on them a little bit,

358
00:16:26,919 --> 00:16:30,120
I just ye don't see I don't see these sports books.

359
00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:31,240
Speaker 3: Here was my response.

360
00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 8: FanDuel execs should have spun this a fun way instead

361
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:38,879
of causing any controversy. The untold millions they make from

362
00:16:38,919 --> 00:16:41,799
the types of telegram and chat rooms are meant and

363
00:16:41,879 --> 00:16:44,240
overcome the small loss one hundred plus fold.

364
00:16:44,799 --> 00:16:47,639
Speaker 3: It's another example of how people with college.

365
00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:50,080
Speaker 8: Degrees that have no pulse of the gaming arena are

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making decisions.

367
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Speaker 3: Well, I don't know if that happened.

368
00:16:52,799 --> 00:16:55,840
Speaker 8: So until I see someone saying that a show on that,

369
00:16:56,399 --> 00:16:59,480
I just think that they probably took a big loss

370
00:16:59,519 --> 00:17:02,639
on this. And here's what happens those people that run

371
00:17:02,679 --> 00:17:06,440
those chat groups or those telegram groups, dub club groups.

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00:17:07,039 --> 00:17:09,240
Speaker 3: Of course, they want to spin it that way.

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00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:13,039
Speaker 8: We're so sharp in our group that they're changing their

374
00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:16,240
terms and conditions. They don't want us, you know, to

375
00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:19,599
sell themselves more So, it's an interesting thing that I

376
00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,279
found out in the last forty eight hours, Andy, and

377
00:17:22,759 --> 00:17:23,119
I don't know.

378
00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:27,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, yeah, I'll just I'll let you guys

379
00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:29,839
know out here. So the way that we protect ourselves

380
00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,359
here is, you know, I work with you know, I

381
00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:34,839
work with guys that have you know, we all have

382
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,200
DraftKings and FanDuel and all the you know, bet MGM

383
00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:39,799
and all the ones that are legalized, but we can't

384
00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:42,759
put in like the same prop bet. We can't put

385
00:17:42,799 --> 00:17:45,680
it in at the same time on the same book.

386
00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:49,319
So like if I'm playing something, you know, pretty big

387
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:53,160
on FanDuel, the other person can't play it on FanDuel.

388
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:56,359
They have to play it on DraftKings. We've gotten limited

389
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,319
when you put in the same the same bet really

390
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:01,480
close to each other they're on the same book, especially

391
00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:03,680
if it's a little bit obscure, like they're like, wait

392
00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:06,839
a minute, nobody's playing that assist plus rebounds prop. But

393
00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:09,519
we got hit three times in Indianapolis on this one,

394
00:18:09,599 --> 00:18:12,759
So like you know working, you know myself working with

395
00:18:12,839 --> 00:18:13,119
a group.

396
00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:16,559
Speaker 1: There's there's ways you put this in play. You're it sucks.

397
00:18:16,559 --> 00:18:18,720
Speaker 2: But in props, you can't beat the you can't beat

398
00:18:18,759 --> 00:18:21,640
the line value too bad, and you can't have multiple

399
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:24,359
books playing the same thing. They sniff that out absolutely,

400
00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:26,119
they all the time, half for years.

401
00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:29,440
Speaker 3: I don't agree with that. I don't agree. Okay, not

402
00:18:29,599 --> 00:18:32,359
not you. I'm saying I don't agree with those policies

403
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:34,240
of these places because oh, okay.

404
00:18:34,079 --> 00:18:38,400
Speaker 8: Real simple, it's real simple. If you guys are paying

405
00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:39,759
at the p I know how it works. At the

406
00:18:39,759 --> 00:18:42,400
back of the house. You have one guy that handles

407
00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,960
all the NBA, one guy handles all of the NFL,

408
00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:47,240
one guy handles all well, they have one guy that

409
00:18:47,319 --> 00:18:51,720
handles all of the props. It's not our fault, the

410
00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:54,400
originators and handicappers.

411
00:18:53,599 --> 00:18:55,440
Speaker 3: That we have a better line than you.

412
00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:59,680
Speaker 8: Do your job, do your work and get a better line,

413
00:18:59,759 --> 00:19:01,160
just like we get a better line.

414
00:19:01,599 --> 00:19:03,720
Speaker 3: Do your job. It's not our fault you put up

415
00:19:03,759 --> 00:19:05,160
a line. We bet into the line.

416
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:08,920
Speaker 8: You have one person or two people responsible for making

417
00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:10,720
sure you have an adequate or tight line.

418
00:19:11,039 --> 00:19:14,440
Speaker 3: Let me be real, blun what we do. We checked

419
00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:15,440
beat reporters.

420
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:17,559
Speaker 8: We checked up to the minute things that are going

421
00:19:17,599 --> 00:19:18,400
on in socials.

422
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:20,359
Speaker 3: Why can't you guys do that?

423
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:23,519
Speaker 8: You know, why can't you guys pick more money to

424
00:19:23,599 --> 00:19:26,160
check that out and be ahead of the curve? Then

425
00:19:26,319 --> 00:19:28,359
why do you have to wait for me to go

426
00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:30,119
in there with a bunch of different people that I

427
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,480
give my place to, and all of a sudden, now

428
00:19:32,519 --> 00:19:34,519
you're gonna limit them because.

429
00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:37,039
Speaker 3: You weren't up to date like we were. I don't

430
00:19:37,079 --> 00:19:37,839
agree with that at all.

431
00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:41,880
Speaker 8: I think they should hire people just like I hire

432
00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:45,960
people when my payroll is ridiculous what I have every year.

433
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:49,119
So yeah, I hire people to beat the books, and

434
00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:51,720
that's what we do. That's why we get limited or

435
00:19:51,759 --> 00:19:55,319
thrown out. Listen, I'll be real blun They can't stop me.

436
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:58,279
They can't stop us. We're gonna beard in any way.

437
00:19:58,559 --> 00:20:01,160
And by the way, we're gonna a nice bonus when

438
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,680
we beer it in. And I'm not gonna know Bill

439
00:20:03,759 --> 00:20:06,799
Krachenberger coming in. You're gonna know it's somewhat sharp. But

440
00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:10,240
down the line, after you give us multiple bets or

441
00:20:10,279 --> 00:20:14,160
you know, a month's worth of bets, I think it's stupid.

442
00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:16,319
I think these books should take our bets. And I'm

443
00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:19,799
not saying they don't listen. I have some pretty good rules.

444
00:20:20,039 --> 00:20:22,759
I go to the counter at DraftKings at when I'm

445
00:20:22,759 --> 00:20:27,119
back East at I'm I'm a fandom. I'm sorry, Fandel

446
00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:31,119
meigan Son. I go to the county there and DraftKings

447
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:32,279
at Foxwoods.

448
00:20:32,279 --> 00:20:33,359
Speaker 3: That's it Foxwoods.

449
00:20:33,519 --> 00:20:35,920
Speaker 8: So I go back a couple of times a year,

450
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,279
and I make doubt they limited me though I was

451
00:20:39,319 --> 00:20:43,799
betting many, many thousands on per bet, couldn't carry enough

452
00:20:43,839 --> 00:20:47,480
money with me on the plane. Now I'm still betting.

453
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:50,200
When I go a couple of times a year. It's

454
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:54,079
not unusual for me to bet a hefty, hefty, six figure,

455
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:56,240
you know, twice a year.

456
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:59,400
Speaker 3: During the futures, I went over one hundred a couple

457
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:01,200
of times, and they they actually do take my bet.

458
00:21:01,759 --> 00:21:04,480
Speaker 8: You know, I'm a better not only a guy that's

459
00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:06,880
out in the industry talking about it. I bet a

460
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,160
lot of my money on things as people do know

461
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,680
that that know me, that have dealt with me, and

462
00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:15,200
and you know, we're gonna lose forty two forty three

463
00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,079
out of one hundred bets, but making fifty seven to

464
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:20,640
fifty eight bets win out of one hundred. It's gonna

465
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:22,160
make me a hell of a lot of money, and

466
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:23,440
it should make you guys too.

467
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:27,119
Speaker 3: It's all about bank ro management, not chasing losses. I

468
00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:29,000
don't even check until the end of the day.

469
00:21:29,559 --> 00:21:32,079
Speaker 8: As a matter of fact, my assistant today told me

470
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:33,599
that we were like on fire.

471
00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:37,160
Speaker 3: You know, all right, We're on fire, so great. I

472
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:38,880
know in the end we're gonna win. If that's simple.

473
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:41,920
Speaker 8: So being on fire like the last month or whatever,

474
00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:44,839
the last three weeks, I get it. It's I know

475
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:47,240
we're gonna win. I know what we do every year.

476
00:21:47,279 --> 00:21:49,920
I know why I've been thrown out of thousands and

477
00:21:50,079 --> 00:21:51,960
thousands of sportsbooks.

478
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:55,000
Speaker 3: I played with so many local guys when I live back.

479
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:59,480
Speaker 8: East, you know, on these PPH shops, just like Gianni

480
00:21:59,599 --> 00:22:00,680
was talking about before.

481
00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:04,039
Speaker 3: I mean, sorry, you.

482
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:07,680
Speaker 8: Know we we we're gonna win. We win, we bet

483
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:11,960
I'm real, so uh that's gonna happen. It happens so

484
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:15,240
many times that really the local guys. It's out of

485
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,240
the market for me, But for you guys that are

486
00:22:17,319 --> 00:22:19,799
at home watching this, at least you guys can play

487
00:22:19,839 --> 00:22:22,039
with those local guys and you know, play for your

488
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,960
one hundred two hundred three hundred dollars of play where

489
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:29,039
for me, you know, Uh, it's just I'm done doing that, Andy,

490
00:22:29,079 --> 00:22:32,000
I'm done meeting the guys on the corner and then

491
00:22:32,039 --> 00:22:35,240
they can't ye sure, I'm done doing that and being

492
00:22:35,279 --> 00:22:36,720
told that you're not getting paid.

493
00:22:37,279 --> 00:22:38,440
Speaker 3: And why you're not getting paid.

494
00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:40,880
Speaker 8: You're betting with a team, you're betting with a group,

495
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:44,160
you're betting with a different I p H.

496
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:45,319
Speaker 3: You're using a bot.

497
00:22:45,519 --> 00:22:47,440
Speaker 8: Like you know, all I can do is I could

498
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,039
just press a button and bet by hands, and they're

499
00:22:50,039 --> 00:22:51,480
gonna accuse me of using a bot.

500
00:22:52,319 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 3: It's just there's so many things against you.

501
00:22:55,079 --> 00:22:56,759
Speaker 8: And you know, you have all these guys that are

502
00:22:56,839 --> 00:23:01,440
that think they're book makers and you know, like yeah.

503
00:23:00,839 --> 00:23:03,160
Speaker 3: And they're just not bookmakers. They think their book mak

504
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:03,920
They think it's easy.

505
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,799
Speaker 8: They think, oh, I can go to the poker flago

506
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,000
and you can go to any single right now the

507
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:11,759
world s there's a poker here. There's many pretend book

508
00:23:11,799 --> 00:23:14,759
makers here taking bets. You know, but if they lose,

509
00:23:15,279 --> 00:23:16,480
you're probably not gonna get paid.

510
00:23:16,559 --> 00:23:17,559
Speaker 3: I mean, is it a lot? Right?

511
00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:18,599
Speaker 1: Yeah?

512
00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:20,880
Speaker 2: Well, Bill, let's talk a little bit of a specific

513
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,720
prop here in MLB I know you've got it. Got

514
00:23:23,759 --> 00:23:26,519
it up on the free picks page. Talk to us

515
00:23:26,519 --> 00:23:28,400
about an MLB prop that you like today.

516
00:23:29,039 --> 00:23:32,799
Speaker 8: Yeah, so Chase Burns total strikeouts over five and a

517
00:23:32,839 --> 00:23:35,400
half minus a dollar fifty over six and a half

518
00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:36,359
plus a dollar twenty.

519
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:37,279
Speaker 3: I'm also seeing there.

520
00:23:37,279 --> 00:23:39,920
Speaker 8: I have no problem with you taking that plus juice

521
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:41,119
on an extra strikeout.

522
00:23:41,839 --> 00:23:45,240
Speaker 3: The Reds brought up this workie prospect up last week.

523
00:23:45,319 --> 00:23:48,880
Speaker 8: He had a great first start against the Yankee, striking

524
00:23:48,920 --> 00:23:52,119
out eight and five innings on eighty one pitches.

525
00:23:52,519 --> 00:23:54,079
Speaker 3: I think it was eighty one. I had the stats

526
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:55,559
up here. I think it was eighty one pitches.

527
00:23:55,559 --> 00:23:59,200
Speaker 8: Anyway, he should have a long release today against the

528
00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:03,559
Red Sox, who have the third highest strike strikeout rate

529
00:24:03,599 --> 00:24:06,960
in the league and have been even worse since they

530
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:08,480
traded divers.

531
00:24:08,559 --> 00:24:11,440
Speaker 3: So this kid has some elite stuff.

532
00:24:12,599 --> 00:24:17,000
Speaker 8: I expect him, you know, today against this Boston team

533
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:20,839
to go over strikeouts. That's Chase Burns over five and

534
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:23,359
a half minus a dollar fifty. You can go over

535
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,519
six and a half plus a dollar twenty. I'm seeing

536
00:24:26,559 --> 00:24:28,160
that out there too. So there you go.

537
00:24:29,079 --> 00:24:32,319
Speaker 2: Love it, love it, Bill Krackenberg, thank you so much.

538
00:24:32,559 --> 00:24:33,920
Tell her what you have up for clients here?

539
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:34,519
Speaker 1: Where'd you talk?

540
00:24:34,799 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 3: Yeah? You know, it's funny.

541
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,160
Speaker 8: I look just like you guys, like I have to

542
00:24:39,279 --> 00:24:41,079
go and look to see what like these guys are

543
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:44,640
talking about my assistant he's okay on fire run twenty

544
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:49,359
four and ten, you know, because let me see these

545
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:53,039
things since since May sixth, seventeen six and three. That's

546
00:24:53,079 --> 00:24:55,759
pretty and that is pretty good though on two percent

547
00:24:55,799 --> 00:25:00,000
or higher. So we have some we have plays up there.

548
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:04,920
There's a daily playoff there today and I'm gonna tell

549
00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:10,640
everyone this again preseason one month away, wait till football, guys,

550
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:12,839
this is gonna even though we're listen, I don't take

551
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:13,759
no time off.

552
00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:14,920
Speaker 3: I work a year round.

553
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 8: But even though we're having a good baseball season, football

554
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:22,680
is something I really look forward to. And uh, this

555
00:25:22,799 --> 00:25:24,880
year we're gonna get into the sides market, which I've

556
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:28,119
never done before. But uh, one of my guys has

557
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:31,079
proven to me after over the last three seasons, and

558
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:35,079
I seen his back tested method before that. You know,

559
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:39,319
we're not gonna kill anybody, but however, we're gonna have

560
00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:40,200
some nice volume.

561
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,079
Speaker 3: It looks good in your accountsaff football games too, especially

562
00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:43,720
on a Sunday.

563
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:46,119
Speaker 8: If you're betting props all week, you want to put

564
00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:47,599
some games in there on Sunday.

565
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:51,599
Speaker 3: You know something that's going on Sunday. I very rarely

566
00:25:51,599 --> 00:25:54,200
bet on a Sunday and NFL sides. I'm usually betting

567
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:59,079
them earlier in the week. So it is looking forward

568
00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:00,359
to this, guys. Thanks for watch it.

569
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:04,200
Speaker 2: Thanks Bill crack Man. Nobody does it better appreciate it

570
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:09,880
every week. Heye Bill, actually, Bill, So next couple of weeks,

571
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,160
I'm gonna ask you some questions about some local hot

572
00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:14,839
spots around Vegas, like some of your favorite restaurants, some

573
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:16,880
of your favorite spots and stuff like I woulda get.

574
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:18,519
Speaker 1: I want to get some of your your takes on

575
00:26:19,599 --> 00:26:20,400
next four nights.

576
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:22,880
Speaker 3: I have schedule people coming to town going to dinner,

577
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,839
so and I'm this is perfect. I'm only taking to

578
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:26,440
my joints.

579
00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:29,160
Speaker 1: So okay, next week, let's do it. Mark it down.

580
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:31,920
Next week we're gonna get crack Man's favorite spots. Thank

581
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:32,440
you so much.

582
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:32,680
Speaker 3: Bill.

583
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,880
Speaker 1: Now, now I'm stoked for next week. Come on next week,

584
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:39,640
Cake in here soon enough? Uh ja main.

585
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:43,160
Speaker 2: I had a question about making your own life. How

586
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:46,119
do you make your own lines? If you're not a bookie. Okay,

587
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:50,559
great question. There are a lot of ways to go

588
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,599
about it. I'll start with some of the sides and

589
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:56,960
the totals. I would say probably simulations right now are

590
00:26:57,279 --> 00:27:00,440
are the are the most popular. You run ten thousand

591
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:04,119
computer simulations, a thousand computer simulations, and you take a

592
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,480
look at what the simulation is and what's the outcome,

593
00:27:07,039 --> 00:27:11,000
and if your numbers do not match what the books are,

594
00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:14,200
then you probably have a bet on your hand. A

595
00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:17,559
lot of guys still do power rankings. They'll rate everything

596
00:27:17,599 --> 00:27:21,880
from coach, quarterback, offensive line, defensive line, and special teams.

597
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:24,759
They'll put those into their power ratings. They'll come up

598
00:27:24,799 --> 00:27:27,160
with their own numbers and then compare it to what

599
00:27:27,279 --> 00:27:29,839
lines the books come out with. If you got a

600
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,880
line that doesn't match, then you trust your own power

601
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:34,880
rankings as opposed to the books. Then you've got a

602
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,880
bet there. Those are two ways that are really popular

603
00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:41,039
when you're doing lines and you're doing totals. For myself,

604
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:44,519
I specialize in props. I tend to look and see

605
00:27:44,519 --> 00:27:46,480
what the books are putting out, and then I compare

606
00:27:46,519 --> 00:27:50,880
if the player's been hot or cold, I know what

607
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,839
I'm looking for in a prop. Number before, because I'm

608
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:56,160
following a player and what I'm looking for is the

609
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:58,599
book to be really consistent with the numbers.

610
00:27:58,599 --> 00:27:59,519
Speaker 1: So I'll give you an example.

611
00:27:59,599 --> 00:28:01,720
Speaker 2: We did really, really good on a couple of players

612
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:03,920
to go over one and a half, made three pointers.

613
00:28:04,839 --> 00:28:06,720
I knew what he was I do with these players,

614
00:28:06,799 --> 00:28:09,279
what their volume was, what their shooting percentage was. What

615
00:28:09,319 --> 00:28:11,119
I'm looking for is the book to just keep giving

616
00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:14,160
us the exact same number. So I'm looking at certain

617
00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,880
certain aspects of a player prop. Then I'm just hoping

618
00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:19,599
the book is consistent with it. So there's different ways

619
00:28:19,599 --> 00:28:21,799
that you can make lines, but it really is dependent

620
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:23,440
on what you're trying to bet. Are you trying to

621
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:25,559
brete a side, You're trying to bet a total? Are

622
00:28:25,559 --> 00:28:27,960
you trying to bet a prop? But yeah, those are

623
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:29,920
the ways that you can make your own lines, and

624
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:32,559
therefore and then when the lines come out, now you've

625
00:28:32,599 --> 00:28:33,839
got a really good comparison.

626
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,960
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, that's that's how you do it.

627
00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,519
Speaker 2: So all right, guys, we're gonna bring in Brian Power

628
00:28:39,559 --> 00:28:41,599
just but let's do a couple free plays here on

629
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:45,400
all around the world. Here, We've got just a couple today.

630
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:49,359
It's a light day. I will tell you this first one. Uh,

631
00:28:49,839 --> 00:28:53,200
I really like this one the Rays and the Athletics.

632
00:28:53,279 --> 00:28:55,759
I like the Rays under two and a half on

633
00:28:55,799 --> 00:29:00,279
their team total the first five innings. Lopez has been

634
00:29:00,359 --> 00:29:03,880
lights out four straight starts, allowing one or zero runs.

635
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:07,400
And he's going past this five inning, eight eight starts

636
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,839
this season allowing one or fewer runs this season, and

637
00:29:11,039 --> 00:29:13,279
I like he's got the element of the surprise. There's

638
00:29:13,359 --> 00:29:16,680
there's no there's These Tampa hitters haven't seen him. So

639
00:29:17,279 --> 00:29:19,599
I really like this team total under two and a half.

640
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:24,440
And honestly, going forward, looking at Lopez, Lopez's opponents under

641
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:26,799
their team total first five, He's getting five innings.

642
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:28,160
Speaker 1: He's been really good.

643
00:29:28,519 --> 00:29:32,000
Speaker 2: This play would have hit in think what seventy percent

644
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:33,640
of his games this season, So that's a team total

645
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,279
look at. And then I see the Red Sox popping

646
00:29:36,359 --> 00:29:39,079
up a lot on the free picks page, money line,

647
00:29:39,119 --> 00:29:42,720
and run line. This is all about crecheving Dominic last start,

648
00:29:42,799 --> 00:29:46,480
seven innings, shutout ten K's allowed two runs total the.

649
00:29:46,519 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 1: Last three starts.

650
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 2: So I see free plays on the Red Sox, the

651
00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:55,000
money line and the run line. So all right, let's uh,

652
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:58,720
let's bring in Brian Power. Good friend Brian Power here. Brian,

653
00:29:58,759 --> 00:29:59,960
how are you? How is your weekend?

654
00:30:00,039 --> 00:30:00,240
Speaker 7: Sir?

655
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:01,079
Speaker 8: Uh?

656
00:30:01,319 --> 00:30:02,160
Speaker 1: Doing okay?

657
00:30:02,319 --> 00:30:05,240
Speaker 4: The weekend it could have been better, especially Sunday.

658
00:30:05,599 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 5: You know, obviously we were on last Monday, we talked

659
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:11,480
about how well we were doing. It was a bit

660
00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:14,359
of a disappointing last seven days overall, just because of Sunday. Well,

661
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:16,640
we're off our first h to two day and quite

662
00:30:16,759 --> 00:30:21,880
some time, looking to gather ourselves and get back on

663
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:25,160
a winning run. We are still up over sixty units

664
00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:26,839
going back to the last week of May. So very

665
00:30:26,839 --> 00:30:28,799
happy with how things have been going over long term.

666
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:31,279
June's obviously been great, but we just did have kind

667
00:30:31,319 --> 00:30:35,400
of a one hiccup there yesterday, and looking to bounce

668
00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:39,200
back this week as I've been breaking some stuff down

669
00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:41,079
already found some stuff. I think I know what five

670
00:30:41,079 --> 00:30:43,920
dollars Tuesday is going to be tomorrow. But yes, you've

671
00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:46,880
got an important NL West matchup that we want to

672
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:50,000
talk about here on the show today that I'm excited

673
00:30:50,039 --> 00:30:50,519
to talk about.

674
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:53,799
Speaker 1: I had a hiccup, a little hiccup.

675
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 2: It was the entire month of June, yet little little

676
00:30:58,759 --> 00:31:02,640
hiccup there. But hey, Listen, I appreciate you sharing that

677
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:04,400
because we talk about our wins, we talk about our

678
00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:06,960
lost Yeah we can. We can do that here.

679
00:31:07,079 --> 00:31:08,359
Speaker 4: So I was on top of the world.

680
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 5: I don't want to bring up why I was on

681
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:12,960
top of the world last last Monday. Again, I know

682
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:16,160
that that you know personally affected you and your Indiana pay.

683
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:17,920
You know, it was a good end of the NBA

684
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,680
Finals for me. But yeah, you know, things were going well,

685
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,559
and then then yesterday, I don't know. Sometimes you know,

686
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:25,720
I was doing everything I've been doing all week, and

687
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:28,440
you know, the Cubs, who would have thought they'd get

688
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:30,680
shut out? The Cubs I have scored on the road,

689
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:33,640
they hold the the Strows to two runs. I would

690
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:36,359
have taken that. They lose to nothing. And then in

691
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:41,000
the FIFA Club World Cup flumen Ense score twice and

692
00:31:40,799 --> 00:31:43,039
and Byron of course puts four on the board. So

693
00:31:43,359 --> 00:31:45,400
there you go for Flamengo. Sorry me, I got my

694
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:46,480
Brazilian teams going.

695
00:31:47,079 --> 00:31:51,359
Speaker 2: Well, let's talk about the Giants and the Diamondbacks.

696
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:53,000
Speaker 1: How do you break this game down?

697
00:31:53,039 --> 00:31:55,799
Speaker 2: We got San Francisco minus went thirty five, Arizona plus

698
00:31:55,799 --> 00:31:57,519
one fifteen over under his eight.

699
00:31:57,599 --> 00:31:59,200
Speaker 1: You're looking at a side or a total.

700
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 5: Here, looking got the side, Andy, And that's interesting because

701
00:32:02,519 --> 00:32:05,359
initially when I saw this matchup, I didn't think I

702
00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:07,799
would be interested in the side. These are two teams

703
00:32:07,839 --> 00:32:10,119
that are pretty ice cold right now. Diamondbacks just got

704
00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:14,039
swept here at home by the Marlins over the weekend. Meanwhile,

705
00:32:14,079 --> 00:32:16,160
the Giants have lost five of their last six games

706
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:20,119
and were swept themselves at home by those aforementioned Marlins

707
00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:23,720
last week. So again, when I saw the matchup, didn't

708
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:25,720
think I'd exactly be rushing to bet either side.

709
00:32:25,839 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 4: But a couple of things here have caught my eye.

710
00:32:27,519 --> 00:32:27,759
Speaker 3: Andy.

711
00:32:27,799 --> 00:32:29,720
Speaker 5: One is the Giants should not have opened as a

712
00:32:29,759 --> 00:32:31,599
dollar fit favorite on the money line. The market clearly

713
00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:34,039
agrees with my assessment there. We've seen the number come

714
00:32:34,079 --> 00:32:36,359
down you met you just mentioned where it was currently at.

715
00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:39,440
And the second thing is Logan Webb. Look, he's very good,

716
00:32:39,559 --> 00:32:41,839
the starter for the Giants, and he's the reason that

717
00:32:42,599 --> 00:32:45,640
San Francisco Open is the favorite here. But throughout his

718
00:32:45,759 --> 00:32:48,960
career pretty stark home versus road splits for mister Webb

719
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:51,440
two point six to two era at home versus four

720
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,640
point four on the road. This season, he has allowed

721
00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:57,720
twice as many home runs per nine innings on the

722
00:32:57,839 --> 00:33:00,000
road as he has at home. Of course, San Francisco's

723
00:33:00,039 --> 00:33:04,799
one of those great run suppression ballparks. Arizona, okay, you

724
00:33:04,799 --> 00:33:06,720
look at their lineup while they were struggling and they

725
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:09,359
didn't win over the weekend against Miami, there's still number

726
00:33:09,359 --> 00:33:12,519
three overall in runs per game scored and number two

727
00:33:12,599 --> 00:33:15,039
in runs per game scored at home.

728
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 4: Obviously, this game in Arizona.

729
00:33:16,759 --> 00:33:19,400
Speaker 5: So the bottom line for me, Eddie, even with Web

730
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:21,559
on the mound here, I just don't think the Giants

731
00:33:21,559 --> 00:33:23,599
are a demonstrably better team than the Dbacs.

732
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:27,119
Speaker 4: Give me the plus money here with Arizona, I think

733
00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:28,200
they get it done.

734
00:33:28,759 --> 00:33:30,839
Speaker 5: I would you know, even with Web on the mount,

735
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:34,359
I think the value is with the home team in

736
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:35,119
this one.

737
00:33:36,519 --> 00:33:40,000
Speaker 1: Love it, love it all right, this is the game

738
00:33:40,039 --> 00:33:41,880
of the day, Brian. I don't know if you're aware

739
00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:46,119
that we do this. So okay, this is new on

740
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:47,319
the show, all right.

741
00:33:48,279 --> 00:33:50,799
Speaker 2: Leaving the comments section, everyone pick the winner of this

742
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:54,160
game and the exact score, and if you get it right,

743
00:33:55,039 --> 00:33:58,000
you get free wager talk swag. We started this last week, Brian.

744
00:33:58,319 --> 00:34:00,319
We don't tell the handicapper game.

745
00:34:00,359 --> 00:34:00,799
Speaker 1: We're picking.

746
00:34:00,799 --> 00:34:02,720
Speaker 2: But it's always a game we're talking about. So I'm

747
00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:05,000
putting you on the spot. Give us the winner, which

748
00:34:05,039 --> 00:34:06,759
I think you know what the winner is. Give us

749
00:34:06,759 --> 00:34:09,159
the exact score. If you get it right, we'll pick

750
00:34:09,199 --> 00:34:11,360
someone in the comments section to get to get swagged.

751
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,559
But everyone out there after the show's over, put in

752
00:34:13,559 --> 00:34:14,960
the comment section who's gonna win?

753
00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 1: And what's the exact score? What do you say?

754
00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:20,079
Speaker 4: Brian Power Arizona five to three?

755
00:34:20,840 --> 00:34:24,800
Speaker 2: Arizona five to three? Here we camp says, watch out,

756
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:26,039
I'm coming for that beanie.

757
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:29,760
Speaker 1: I don't think, I don't think we have beanies, but

758
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:33,199
if you want one, I'm sure. I'm sure we can have.

759
00:34:33,519 --> 00:34:36,239
Speaker 2: A nice beanie cam cam if you If you get

760
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:39,199
the right score today, I will personally get.

761
00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,320
Speaker 1: A Wager Talk beanie for how's that?

762
00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:41,880
Speaker 8: So?

763
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 3: All right?

764
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:46,199
Speaker 2: Brian, you're in, You're You're locked in, Arizona the Underdog

765
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:47,079
five to three?

766
00:34:47,599 --> 00:34:47,920
Speaker 1: Love it?

767
00:34:48,639 --> 00:34:50,880
Speaker 2: Tell her what you have up at Wager Talk Getty

768
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:53,920
free plays and he videos anything you want to promote Flooriziers.

769
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:56,599
Speaker 5: Yeah, let's talk about the video side. So just this morning,

770
00:34:56,880 --> 00:34:59,239
new episode of the Morning Wager dropped and we were

771
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,719
lucky enough to be joined by the great ariil Epstein.

772
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:05,119
She was kind enough to share her time, so a

773
00:35:05,159 --> 00:35:07,639
few more free plays than normal on a Monday from

774
00:35:07,639 --> 00:35:10,840
the Morning Wager. That episode is again out. Go ahead

775
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:14,239
and check that out on the YouTube channel. No Power

776
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:16,679
five today because I was here as well, one Man

777
00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:19,920
in the Morning that but.

778
00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:22,840
Speaker 4: The Power five Marl Power five. I had a good week.

779
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:24,159
We're four and one on Saturday.

780
00:35:24,199 --> 00:35:26,559
Speaker 5: The only loss was actually Chelsea failing to get the

781
00:35:26,639 --> 00:35:29,679
job done in regulation because there was that stupid long

782
00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:32,440
weather delay, you know, and of course then it goes

783
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:34,639
an added time and they just can't they couldn't.

784
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:37,719
Speaker 4: Stop putting the ball in the net. I digress. Still,

785
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:39,559
You'll take four and one any day.

786
00:35:40,639 --> 00:35:42,960
Speaker 5: And then you want to talk about what I have

787
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:45,880
up at wt dot buzz slash VP. Guys, it's been

788
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:48,039
a great first six months of twenty twenty five or

789
00:35:48,079 --> 00:35:51,000
number three and net profit for the year at the site,

790
00:35:52,199 --> 00:35:55,480
as I said, sixty one units since May twenty fourth. Well,

791
00:35:55,480 --> 00:35:58,320
if you want to get on board the next six months,

792
00:35:58,559 --> 00:36:00,159
you can do so right there. Rest of the your

793
00:36:00,199 --> 00:36:02,480
power package one price all plays. This is going to

794
00:36:02,519 --> 00:36:06,280
cover any all sports for me the rest of the year. Obviously,

795
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:08,239
football is right around the corner. We're getting very excited

796
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:10,760
about that. Mark Zanon and I will start breaking down

797
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:14,239
NFL on the Morning Wagers very soon, I believe think

798
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:17,639
next week. College football. Very excited about that. We had

799
00:36:17,679 --> 00:36:19,760
a great year last year, great year in college basketball

800
00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:21,880
of course, the end of the NBA on that twelve

801
00:36:21,960 --> 00:36:25,199
and one run that we were very proud of. And

802
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:27,519
it's baseball all summer and a little bit of soccer too.

803
00:36:27,559 --> 00:36:31,039
So WT dot buz slash pp one great low price

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gets you every play for the rest of twenty twenty five.

805
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Speaker 1: Nice Brian, Congratulations, I'm a good.

806
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:39,599
Speaker 3: Year.

807
00:36:40,039 --> 00:36:43,000
Speaker 5: Oh but I have to I have to jump in here.

808
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:44,920
I see in the comments section, was this guy on

809
00:36:45,039 --> 00:36:45,679
bay Watch?

810
00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:47,039
Speaker 3: Not with this? Not with this?

811
00:36:47,159 --> 00:36:49,159
Speaker 5: Dad bod buddy? Maybe I guess ten years ago, I

812
00:36:49,159 --> 00:36:50,440
guess they watch is an old show.

813
00:36:50,519 --> 00:36:54,920
Speaker 2: But I don't know, you know, well, maybe maybe Lifeguard

814
00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:58,840
at the local pool episode perversion of Baywatch, but definitely well,

815
00:36:59,280 --> 00:36:59,760
I kind.

816
00:36:59,599 --> 00:37:01,679
Speaker 5: Of am a away as I yelled at my daughter, please,

817
00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:04,679
you're not drowning right as I am breaking down the

818
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:07,360
baseball score lines for tomorrow.

819
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:08,840
Speaker 4: I just evidently look up every once in a while.

820
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:11,159
You're Okay, you're sitting in the deep bench. Somebody's looking

821
00:37:11,159 --> 00:37:12,360
at her. Okay, there you.

822
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:15,920
Speaker 1: Go, swim harder, ye, harder.

823
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:18,360
Speaker 5: Hey we got we got third place in the backstroke.

824
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:20,880
We're doing okay in that department. You know it's better.

825
00:37:20,960 --> 00:37:21,599
Speaker 4: I wouldn't better.

826
00:37:21,599 --> 00:37:23,360
Speaker 5: I would have lost if I would have guessed over

827
00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:24,840
under what place she would have got out of that

828
00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:26,599
backstroke relay.

829
00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:29,000
Speaker 4: So glad my daughter could make me look foolish.

830
00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:29,199
Speaker 8: There.

831
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:31,760
Speaker 1: Oh that's great Brian Power everyone.

832
00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:37,559
Speaker 2: Uh, the not Baywatch version of the suburban Baywatch out

833
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:39,000
at the pool kicking back.

834
00:37:39,079 --> 00:37:41,440
Speaker 1: So all right, Brian Power, everyone, thanks so much for

835
00:37:41,559 --> 00:37:42,039
joining us.

836
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:46,360
Speaker 2: Okay, guys, yeah, you have to comment after the show's

837
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:48,679
over in the comment section with the score. Tell us

838
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:51,440
who you think is gonna win, what the correct score is.

839
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:53,360
If you get it right, you get way to talk swag.

840
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:56,719
If Brian gets got it right, uh, then we'll pick

841
00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:59,119
someone out of the the comment section and we'll send

842
00:37:59,119 --> 00:38:01,679
them some swag. So I want to remind you guys,

843
00:38:01,960 --> 00:38:04,320
last day of the seven days of all access or

844
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flex picks for only six to nine dollars. It's less

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stick with any other expert that you bond with that

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you like. And the best part is you can pick

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a different handicapper every day. You're right with one handicapper

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all week you can try a few out. Really good

851
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way to try out different handicappers. See if you like

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the write up, see if you like the sports they're

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involved with. So seven days for only sixty nine dollars,

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take advantage of these summer specials. Guys, we run them

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some really really good spots to take advantage of. So

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go ahead and hit the like button. Make sure you

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subscribe to the channel. We're up over two hundred and

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seven thousand subscribers, so join the wager Talk family. If

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00:38:47,679 --> 00:38:50,599
you have not get notified when all your favorite shows start,

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We're gonna be get after it again tomorrow.

862
00:38:52,559 --> 00:38:54,679
Speaker 1: So good luck on your place and take care