Speaker 1: Week gone. Bet on It. We've got barking dogs. Of course,
we're gonna go over some of those big matchups in
the SEC, as well as some of those prime time
slated games that maybe should be ranked versus ranked. We'll
get into that as well. Of course, we've got best
bets for you at the end of the show. Let's
get into it. Bet on It. College Football Week three.
Kelly Stewart here, you guys know me as Kelly in Vegas.
Marco D'Angelo, contrary to what the comments say, does not
get to dictate my outfits. I'm gonna cover them up today.
You know why, because we've been getting killed in college
football and something's got to change the mojo. We've got
VR fresh off a nice night there in the UFC
comment section loving him as well there on the YouTube show.
So if you guys are watching on your phone, be
sure to check out that feed. We're gonna get right
into it, guys, with some of these primetime games are
going in TV time order. So I'm up first, three
point thirty PM Eastern Tennessee three and a half point
underdog at Georgia total forty nine and a half. I'm
just gonna come out and say this spread's too low. Okay,
I get it. Austin p not exactly a college football powerhouse,
but we've seen Kirby Smart do this before. He just
doesn't cover as a big favorite against inferior opponents. Marshall,
come on, guys, I don't think we downgrade Georgia just
yet because the Dogs refuse to run up the score here.
I made this game six and a half. This one
opened five and a half, four and a half, now
down to three and a half. I'm not gonna get
into the AP voters, but let's just say that maybe
maybe they put these two teams in the top fifteen
for the Mouse Network. I'm sorry, balls, you guys just
aren't in my top twenty five power ratings. I think
this is a bi low spot on the Bulldogs, who
have won and covered seven of the last eight meetings.
I apologize they've won the last eight seven to one.
Against the spread, I'm going with Georgia here. Marco DiAngelo,
and I think you kind of said, hey, if this
one hits three, I'll be on Georgia as well. We'll
get to Marco here in a minute though. Ace VR
four thirty pm Eastern a game that boy, oh boy,
are we excited to see Saturday, Miami at home taking
on USF the favorite killer. They beat Boise State, they
beat Florida last week. We'll get into that game here
in a little bit. Miami seventeen and a half point
favorite total fifty six and a half.
Speaker 2: I laid the seventeen with Miami. I released that to
my subscribers as well. I thought the line was a
little bit short. Bottom line, Miami's a little bit higher
than they should be. They're not a top five team,
that's the bottom line. I mean, having the impressive win
against Notre Dame and then beating Bethune Cookman the way
they did impressive, but they're not a top five power
rated team. Fortunately for them, though USF is not nearly
in the top twenty five, they're barely in the top
forty as far as power ratings go. Forget the rankings.
The rankings are going to reflect a team's record, not
a team's strength. So you have an undefeated record five six,
seven weeks, thing, you're going to be in the top
twenty five for sure, whether it's warranted or not. And
I think that's the case here with South Florida, They're
coming off arguably their biggest win in school history, beating
Florida for the first time, big brother in the state.
Speaker 3: Then what happens they follow that up?
Speaker 2: I mean prior to week prior they beat a top
twenty five team, then they be Florida. They've never done
either of those two things, beating a top twenty five
team in back to back weeks and beating Florida. And
now you're facing the Miami team that's just running really well,
and I just think they're just way too physical for
South Florida. They're gonna systematically break them down as the
game goes on. As long as they don't make mistakes,
that's the key. Limit the turnovers, limit the foolish mistakes,
the penalties, and it shouldn't be a very difficult game
for the Miami sign I mean, listen, this team is
dominated at home. As long as they're able to slow
down that dual threat quarterback, which I think they will
by putting pressure, I think they're gonna just start to
break away with margin, especially in the second half. Again,
South Florida has Miami's undivided attention, and that's a bad
thing for them. Come Saturday. I don't think Miami's going
to look past them. And this team shows up, they
beat them by four touchdowns. I'll lay the points with
Miami all day.
Speaker 1: They already make a very good point. Last year I said,
I like South Florida against this Miami team, and in
the first half they looked really good. I think if
you like us up, which I know a lot of
underdog betters do, maybe look towards the first half, thank you, VR. Unfortunately,
I think Miami will pull away there in a second. VR,
given those nice tidbits. Marco always bringing the snacks. Seven
thirty Eastern Texas A and M versus Notre Dame. Notre
Dame is now a six and a half point favorite
forty nine and a half Marco, What little little bites
do you have here on this game?
Speaker 4: Oh, Kelly, Texas A and m does look like a
live dog, and that's why you're seeing some money come
in on them. But I'm not going to go that way.
I like Notre Dame. And here's one of the big things.
They played two weeks ago. They had a tough loss,
losing that game to Miami. I'm glad they had a
week off to prepare for this game. How often do
we say, you know, when you play a big game
that you can lose that same game twice, you come
back and play the next week. So this is actually
an advantage for Notre Dame. It also gives Marcus Freeman
a chance to correct the things that were wrong the
first week and have that extra week of practice and
game plan Notre Dame. If you look at the stats
in that Miami game, whether you like Miami or not,
you know, with the schedule they've played so far, they
did beat Notre Dame, but the stats were dead even.
It was the two turnovers by Notre Dame that was
the difference in that game. I think they'll clean that
up for this week. Excuse me. Then you look at
Texas A and m at who they've played. They've played
two cupcakes so far, and you know they beat up
on them. So what do you take away from that.
One alarming thing I take away from that is in
the Texas San Antonio game and a Grant and that
was a big brother versus little brother, and we always
talk about you know, those little brother schools get up
for it. They ran the football for two hundred and
three yards against Texas A and M. If they can
do that, Notre Dame should be able to have success
on the ground. And if they have success on the
ground in this game, it's going to open up the
passing game later and Notre Dame will be able to
hit some big plays. A lot of people are going
to look at the revenge angle. How many times have
I told you revenge is the most overused term in
sports betting. If this is not didn't end their season
last year for Texas A and M. It was the
first week of the season if you remember when they played.
So I'm not worried about the revenge factor at all
with this one. Notre Dame last year dominated on the ground,
and I believe they'll be able to do that again
in Texas A and M. When they're away from College Station.
They were two and three straight up last year on
the road. They struggle against the spread, whether it's a
road game or a neutral site. They're just three and
nine against the spread their last twelve away from College Station.
Give me Notre Dame. I got them thirty one to twenty.
Speaker 1: Well, thank you to Marco there. I saw that in
the spreadsheet early on. I had A and M on
my long list but I think you're right. This is
a good BILO spot here on the Irish. We're gonna
move right along. I've already got it written down. I
hope you guys have your pen and pad ready because
the VR Steam report is coming in hot.
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're ready to go again.
Speaker 2: Another another good week for the wise guys in college football,
three straight winning weeks.
Speaker 3: See if it could continue. Here's what they jumped on
already this week.
Speaker 2: Thursday night game under fifty four and a half, fifty
three and a half, fifty two and a half, NC
State wake Forest. Move on to Friday's primetime action over
forty three and forty four Colorado Houston, Kansas State, multiple accounts,
multiple groups at different numbers, from plus one all the
way to minus one and a half. They love the
Kansas State side, and finally land the fifteen with UCLA
that's opposite the public. I'm already starting to see some
recreational betters opposite UCLA on Friday night. Let's move on
to Saturday Northwestern game one eighteen plus the twenty eight
and a half, one thirty three Pit minus five and
a half, minus six one thirty five, Washington State plus
the six and a half one fifty three floor Atlantic
plus three and a half and three one fifty five
over fifty two and a half to fifty four and
a half app State Southern miss one nine eighty three
Duke plus three and plus two went through that key number,
and finally one ninety five Minnesota minus one minus one
and a half Minnesota money line as well. So early,
so far this week, still got a couple of days
to go, but that's somebody early stme for Saturday's action.
Speaker 1: All right, we've got some barking dogs for you guys.
Up next is the Deli Open and of course some
best bets. Head over to oddslogic dot com. You guys
can get a seven week free trial using aces promo
code odds Logic dot com backslash Ace Marco. Here was
a team that I looked at my text, our good
friend John Murray there over at the West Gates super Book,
and I said, talk to me, O, what's Virginia And
he said, you're a better woman than me if you
can bet that team. Last week a lot of people said,
Ohio was the look ahead spot here before Pitt and
they were right. Got to catch that plus four and
zero money line dollars, But I appreciate the nod there.
Talk to me why you're looking at the Mountaineers here.
I know this is a old school rivalry that has
been revitalized in your backyard and it.
Speaker 4: Is called the backyard Brawl, and it's called dad for
a reason. These two teams don't like each other. And Kelly, yes,
I was one of those teams guys that was on
Ohio you last week. I also was on Central Michigan
for the same spot for those two teams that Pitt
and West Virginia. Looking ahead to this week, West Virginia
did go down Pick got the cover. Well that's another
story for how they got that one on Saturday. But
looking at this one, and I just got done telling
you in the last one where I don't look at
you know, revenge it's an overused thing. Well, I said,
there's certain times that revenge is a factor in my playbook.
The top one is if it's ended your season. This
is not that case. The second one, though, is when
it's a rivalry, and this is a big rivalry between
Pitt and West Virginia. They renewed this rivalry. This will
be the fourth straight year that they played this rivalry
since it was suspended. As you know, these two teams
went different ways with conference affiliations. However, this will be
the final one until I think twenty twenty nine. So
West Virginia wants to even the score from last year.
Trust me, they had a big lead in that game
last year against pitt and they dominated time of possession
against pitt last year thirty six minutes to twenty four minutes.
And yet Pitt was able to come back Eli and
Holstein with that big comeback win at Pittsburgh. Now it's
at West Virginia. I've got to look to the dog
in this rivalry. These games have all been tight the
last eight meetings between these two teams, Six of the
eight were decided by seven points or less. And I
know you're gonna look at that in people are gonna
just have the knee jerk reaction. West Virginia loss to
a MAX school last week. Pitt destroyed a MAX school
last week. Pitt's win was not as big as it was.
They punched the last touchdown in with under a minute
to play in that game when they were up twenty
one to make it a twenty eight point win, and
they threw the football on that final drive four times
up twenty one point. So I think it's time for
a little reverse karma to come back this week against
head coach Pat Nardoozy, I'm going with West Virginia. I
think this is going to be a dogfight down to
the final possession. Let's call it in what should be
a high scoring game thirty one thirty West Virginia and
hopefully our buddy John Murray will be happy with that result.
Speaker 1: I might have to join you, Marco God, I asked.
This team is just so frustrating and the quarterback play
is so abysmal. V are a game that I had
on my long list. But truthfully, I know nothing about Delaware.
I know nothing about this team, but I do know
that I had yukon last week and I still don't
know how I lost that football game. Tell me why
you think they're gonna lose that Syracuse game twice?
Speaker 2: Well, that was a tough loss for them in overtime,
and now you got to go play a Delaware team
which can't be too motivated for With that said that,
the path to victory for Delaware is obvious.
Speaker 3: Throw the football. That's Syracuse's weakness. Unfortunately, for Delaware, that's
where they're strongest. If you look, the yards past differential
for them is positive compared the negative for Yukon, and
with Yukon, they're going to have their most success running
the football.
Speaker 2: So as long as the Delaware is able to sustain
some drives, not give Yukon that short field, this is
a game they could keep it within two scores for sure. Again,
as long as they stay consistent on offense, those drives,
they can't have those quick three and outs. They have
to have rhythm. That's the key because they are going
to depend on their passing game.
Speaker 3: So as long as they.
Speaker 2: Stick to the fundamentals and let Minchucci, however you sell
say that quarterbacks last name, win or lose the game
for them, they're going to be just fine. Again, I
thought they played well against Colorado, as good as you
could play. Having to go to Colorado not an easy
place to go and play, and because they weren't able
to put up a lot of points, I think we're
getting more here than we should add in home field
advantage and the defense that didn't look all that bad.
I think they do hold it close. Give me Delaware
take the ten points. Small sprinkle there. So far the
dog bets are two and oh we hit a plus
four hundred dog a plus what was it last week?
Plus it was a small dog. This one's a little bigger.
But I think the plus ten were safe.
Speaker 1: You know, I would love to hit an out right
underdog just once. Okay, I'm done complaining. I am gonna
complain about this though. I've got the odds logic straight up. Uh,
and let's see, this game's already down to four and
a half. Vanderbilt was my five and a half point
barking dog. Now down to four and a half, So
somebody agrees with me. Look, South Carolina is in a
sixteen game streak, right, sixteen straight they've won in this series.
So sit here and say, oh, Vanderbilt on the road
catching less than a touchdown, Well, it's really fishy. And
I know the game Cocks are really excited. Lenora Sellers
give them the Heisman, but I think we need to
back it up here. I've not been impressed with South
Carolina's offense. They've scored seventeen points the last two games,
and oh in that loss to Illinois and the bowl
game as well, they needed two touchdowns on special teams.
One touchdown on defense to get past South Carolina State
last weekend. Oh a punt return to get the cover
versus Virginia Tech in Atlanta. I think we need to
pump the brakes on the game here. I think Vanderbilt
has had this game circled.
Speaker 3: Sure.
Speaker 1: South Carolina's covered six of the last seven. I think
Vanderbilt gets one back here. Give me Vanderbilt plus four
and a half. Give me Vanderbilt on the money line.
If you guys have not checked out our friends over
at the gold Sheet WT dot buzz backslash dgts wt
Dot buzz backslash GTS. Gold Sheets top football selections went
seven to one this past weekend on wager Talk, and truthfully,
it could have been eight to no if that Raven
Seemed kept a fifteen point lead. But the gold Sheet
provides itself on being one of the first football newsletters
to market. See Each week they give analysis on NFL
and of course, college football, and then they update it
throughout the week. Once the injury news is widely available,
the weather forecasts are set. Gold Sheet head over to
wager talk dot com to get their premium selections. Speaking
of premium Marco Deli has been awesome. You guys have
missed it. Marco puts out a Deli video of teams
that didn't make beat on It, but they are still
sandwich worthy four and one last week and do look
good there in the first half Marco. And while that
was about all, she wrote, what can people expect from
you seeing this every single week besides here on bet
on It?
Speaker 4: Yeah, Kelly, we do both the NFL and college So
obviously last week we only had the one play in
the NFL because it was Week one. Not many sandwich
spots to look at or trap games. But I break
these games down for you. The video generally is up
late on Thursday or early Friday. And I always tell people,
you know, I can give you a winner, and I
can make you a unit, but if I give you
at an angle or something and I take you off
of a loser that you had, I actually did better
for you because I saved you one point one units
with the juice. So it's a very informative video. We
pound all of the games, you know, in a quick fashion,
run it off you know, in you know, ten to
twelve minute show, and you'll get anywhere from five to
seven free plays each week from me, So check that
out on the wager Talk TV channel. Mark Kelly's open
this week.
Speaker 1: I know that Doll's open this week, and I totally
screwed up. I want to go back to barking Dogs
because you just mentioned actionable info and you text her
Ralph before the show. Our good friend Ralphie does a
TNA segment here on the wager Talk YouTube channel as well.
Can you please tell me what you called and asked
him about the Delaware plus ten.
Speaker 4: Yes, Kelly, we're all in agreement on Delaware in this one.
And I always told you guys about the angle of
lose the same game twice. Well, where that really comes
into play is teams that are coming off an overtime
loss last season. If you're a favorite, the following week
after you lost in overtime, those teams went just two
and seven against the spread. It's the epitome of lose
the same game twice. So just add that to VRS
already on Delaware. You already liked Delaware. I had Delaware
on the Trap Games spot, and you'll probably see Delaware
on the Deli Marcus Delhi on Friday as well. So
give you the triple endorsement on Delhi on Delaware, from
the Delhi, from the Deli.
Speaker 1: Let's get into this week's deli play. As you mentioned,
they have been doing so well, you got a big
old fat sandwich for us. This week they're in Denton, Texas.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna look at this one and I think
a lot of people are gonna like the dog in
this one. And why not. We have two teams that
are two and oh doing battle here. But the knee
jerk reaction is gonna be whenever you see North Texas
and Washington State. Even though Washington State, you know, one
of those teams that got left behind in the Pac twelve,
it's still a much bigger name than North Texas. So
you're looking at these two teams and you're getting the
points with Washington State, Yeah, you're gonna grab them. And
they're just coming off beating San Diego State thirty six
to thirteen. That was a popular play last week San
Diego State. A lot of people were on them. Is
for what you know, different reasons. I can tell you
the San Diego State team this year is not the
San Diego State team that we have seen in the past.
They're down in Washington State took advantage of them in
that game and roll, but they were at home. Now
you've got North Texas here. They went on the road
and barely escaped winning. They beat Western Michigan thirty three
to thirty as a twelve and a half point favorite.
You've heard me talk many times. I love taking big
favorites that had us scare the week before. You know
you're going to get a focused effort from them. Gives
the coach, you know, firepower, you know, to light that
fire under them, work them hard in practice in I
got to figure that when they went into that game,
they might have been feeling just a little fat in
Sassey because the week before that Western Michigan game, they
played at home, they played a little brother in the state.
Normally North Texas is the little brother in these in
state matchups, but they played Lamar and they beat the
crap out of them fifty one nothing. I think they
got caught looking ahead to this one. Switch it to
this week. Who's the team that's gonna be feeling fat
and sassy and might get caught looking ahead? Well, it's
Washington State. They come off that game that I told
you last week where they beat San Diego State. But
oh boy, look at the schedule. Who do they have
on deck? Yeah, one of the teams that left them
behind in the Pac twelve and oh it's their big
brother of the State. They play Washington next week. That
was always the last game of the season, the Apple Cup.
Every year. They're going to be looking ahead to that one.
It's a horrible scheduling spot for Washington State to go
to North Texas this week. I am going to go
with North Texas in this one. I'm gonna lay the points.
Washington State held their first two opponents to ten and
thirteen points. But again, this is the best offense they've
seen so far. Look for North Texas to roll thirty
eight twenty three.
Speaker 1: All right, guys, it's time to get into those best bets.
We're gonna let VR go first. VR. Before you get
into it, please let everybody know what you've got going
on at wagertalk dot com.
Speaker 2: Yeah, big weekend for me, especially in football, and we
got combat sports as well.
Speaker 3: Here's what's up.
Speaker 2: I have this Saturday UFC not Cha packaged with the
Canelo Alvarez and Crawford fight. So that's a combat sports package.
That's up for Saturday. It'll have all the UFC and
the Canelo and Crawford fight. I have Saturday's College Football
pass up with a five percent big move in there,
and then I have Someday's NFL pack as well. Currently
number one in college football twenty twenty five, number one
combined college football NFL twenty twenty five, and I thought
this was going to be one of the best seasons
I've had in football so far. So good, jump on board,
steam Rooms. Sunday. We had five teaser bets on Sunday,
four thos cashed for us. We'll have some more this
Sunday before kickoffs, so join us.
Speaker 3: It'll be good, good times, good times.
Speaker 2: Now for my best bet, this is going to be
scary for betters, but I got to fade Texas Tech
here because they're just moving up too quickly as far
as the rankings go, and it's just not warranted. They're
not a top twenty five team. I think when the
season ends that will come to fruition. So far, they've
just been dominating against bad teams, you know, averaging sixty
plus points, pointing up six hundred yards of offense, and
I get it. Oregon State's not a world beater by
any stretch, but they're going to put up more resistance
than Texas Tech has faced to date, and here's another
spot where they just can't make those mistakes. More importantly,
Oregon State, they have the offense to sustain some drives,
and if they're able to sustain some drives, keep Texas
Text offense on the sidelines.
Speaker 3: It's very comfort they could cover this. Twenty four.
Speaker 2: I thought that was a little bit too high. The
total I also thought was high as well, but it
seems like the markets disagreeing with me. I thought sixty
one was just too high of a number, and I
thought it was based more on recency bias than anything else.
So with that said, as long as Oregon State's able
to put up points like they've showed so far this
year with their offense where they're averaging around twenty plus
points a game, four hundred plus yards overall, and they
got a good, really good passing game, I just think
this is a spot where the defense needs to show
up a little bit. The back door will be open,
and I like Oregon State to get in there and
get that cover.
Speaker 3: At plus twenty three and a half plus twenty four.
Speaker 1: Lots of points there in Lubbock, Texas. Marco DiAngelo your
best bet for college football Week three. But before you
get into it, tell me what specials you're running over
at wagertalk dot com.
Speaker 4: Well, Kelly, We've got a special going sight wide this weekend.
It's a forty nine dollars weekend Warrior for football, and guys,
you can pick your favorite cap or get all of
his plays for Saturday and Sunday forty nine dollars. I've
got a five percent going this weekend. It's going to
be the first five percent of the season. As you know,
we don't release a lot of them, thirty one and
thirteen on our five percent plays over the last nineteen months,
So be sure to check out that weekend Warrior package.
Also this week college football, This is the time of
the year. I always tell you the further we get
along into the season, the stronger my selections become. Because
I got stuff to work with, and I think there's
going to be an overreaction and we're getting a ton
of line value in this game, and I'm looking at
Liberty minus six and a half. This thing, to me
should be closer to ten than just under the touchdown.
It'll probably go to seven by the weekend. So go
ahead and get down on this one. Now, Liberty is
coming off a loss to Jacksonville State, and people are
going to look and say, hey, they lost to Jacksonville
State thirty four to twenty four. They're gonna think this
team's not that good. I can tell you they beat
themselves in that game. They had over five hundred yards
of offense five point thirty four to three to ninety
five to be exact. Two turnovers cost them in that one. Now,
the one problem that Liberty has shown so far is
the ability to stop the run. That's not gonna be
a problem against Bowling Green. In the first two games
of the season, Bowling Green has a grand total of
two hundred and fifty six yards on the ground in
two games. That was with seventy seven carries. That's just
three point three two yards per play. And one of
those two opponents was Lafayette. When they take a look
at this Liberty offense, which is a balanced offense. You
hear me talk about two hundred club members all the time.
They just missed being that they're one ninety seven on
the ground, two sixty six through the air. That balanced
attack is going to have a field day against this
Bowling Green team. And let's also look at the spot
for Bowling Green. This is a team that's coming off
an in state rivalry game last week against Cincinnati. Those
two schools only one hundred and some miles apart, Cincinnati
being one of those big brother schools. That was a
big game for them. And then look at who they
have on deck. They've got to go to Louisville. Horrible spot.
I love the bad spot for Bowling Green, the pissed
off team that I'm gonna get with Louisville or with
Liberty for coming off an upset loss on the road.
This is just a perfect storm for me. Take advantage
of Liberty. This is one of the buy low, sell
high situations, and I'm buying low on Liberty. Take them
minus the six and a half. I've got them winning
this one thirty four to seventeen.
Speaker 1: Who I'm just waiting for the comments section because this
is gonna be gross, and you guys can just go
ahead and tell me now how much you hate me.
And I kind of hate myself for this, I do.
I gave out Florida as a double digit favorite. Last
week we got the best of the number by one
and a half points, and they lost outright at home
in the swamp. I tweeted Billion Napier, I'm done with you.
I have seen enough. Except I had this game circled
for my three team money line parlay all the way
back in July. Yes, I go through the schedules early. Yes,
I still like Florida here I did it. Go ahead,
Just just say whatever you want to say. But you
guys know as well as anyone. Last week's a result
was downright embarrassing, not only for myself but for the
Florida Gators. And this is the team possesses all of
the talent in the world. Now here's my question. How
are they gonna respond getting punched in the mouth by
USF Were they looking ahead to this LSU team? Quite possibly?
How good is this LSU team? Lots of chatter, lots
of love to start the season, Garrett and us my
Meyer getting lots of Heidsman chatter. I don't know, did
you guys watch that Clemson game? I was with Marco.
I took the plus five when it hit. Wasn't that
impressive of a win? After we watched Clemson struggle for
three quarters versus Troy. Look, I'm gonna say it, give
me the better defense plus the points. Florida plus seven
and a half is my best bet for this week.
And yeah, I'm gonna put in my three team moneyline parlay.
I think they can go in and get the win
there in Death Valley. Let me have it. I deserve it.
I deserve all the hates in the comment for wearing
a turtleneck giving out the Florida Gators as my best
bet for the second week in all right, bring it on,
bring it on, all right, let's bring back in Marco
DiAngelo NVR. You guys are awesome. Thank you for talking
me off with some of these ugly square underdogs and
giving us some really good information there on the ones
that are barking. You guys can check us out on
the NFL edition of bet on It. We'll see you
guys here shortly put up that recap graphic for us, Dan.
Everybody's been asking for it. Back It is back, even
for you the cheat and scroll all the way to
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