WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.080 --> 00:00:03.520 This is Dan Caplis and welcome to today's online podcast 2 00:00:03.640 --> 00:00:05.719 edition of The Dan Caplis Show. Please be sure to 3 00:00:05.759 --> 00:00:08.240 give us a five star rating if you'd be so kind, 4 00:00:08.320 --> 00:00:11.599 and to subscribe, download, and listen to the show every 5 00:00:11.679 --> 00:00:16.039 single day on your favorite podcast platform. My lord, it 6 00:00:16.160 --> 00:00:20.160 is the craziest presidential election of our lifetime and very 7 00:00:20.199 --> 00:00:22.960 much the most high stakes, so I get to dive 8 00:00:22.960 --> 00:00:25.600 into the latest. We always keep it fresh, and today 9 00:00:25.679 --> 00:00:29.120 we'll be talking about more good news, more reason to 10 00:00:29.160 --> 00:00:31.960 believe that Trump's going to win. But as has been 11 00:00:32.000 --> 00:00:35.679 the theme so often, we're talking about things that appear 12 00:00:35.880 --> 00:00:38.679 bad on the surface, but as you dig into them, 13 00:00:39.119 --> 00:00:42.439 you realize they're actually good news, and we'll have very 14 00:00:42.479 --> 00:00:45.079 concrete examples of that today as well. And then there's 15 00:00:45.159 --> 00:00:47.640 just the good old fashioned good news. Right Hell, there's 16 00:00:47.640 --> 00:00:49.920 a new poll, it's good for Trump. It's just right there. 17 00:00:50.000 --> 00:00:51.759 So we'll cover all of that. 18 00:00:51.840 --> 00:00:54.119 And one of the reasons we do that is it's fun. 19 00:00:54.200 --> 00:00:57.200 Another reason is that we know a tactic of the 20 00:00:57.320 --> 00:01:00.439 left is to try to discourage to cause to spare 21 00:01:01.039 --> 00:01:04.680 on the right and right leaning unaffiliated, and you know, 22 00:01:04.719 --> 00:01:08.120 we saw that well. Best latest examples twenty twenty where 23 00:01:08.120 --> 00:01:11.680 there Wisconsin Pole just before on election day had Trump 24 00:01:11.719 --> 00:01:14.920 down some impossible number and he ends up losing by 25 00:01:14.920 --> 00:01:18.640 a handful of votes. But that routine very very common 26 00:01:19.040 --> 00:01:22.040 with the polling done by a most industry polster. 27 00:01:22.239 --> 00:01:24.079 So we got that going for us today. 28 00:01:24.120 --> 00:01:26.560 We'll have some fun with that kind of an overarch 29 00:01:26.840 --> 00:01:30.640 is we're going to talk about the VP walts. We're 30 00:01:30.680 --> 00:01:33.760 going to talk about Walls and whether you think they're 31 00:01:33.799 --> 00:01:35.719 going to dump them. But what I really want to 32 00:01:35.760 --> 00:01:37.680 hear from you, because hey, and whether they're going to 33 00:01:37.760 --> 00:01:39.920 dump them or not, right, we're all guessing right, and 34 00:01:40.159 --> 00:01:43.400 I'll lay out a lot of reasons why unfortunately they should. 35 00:01:44.120 --> 00:01:47.000 But what I'd love to hear from you is do 36 00:01:47.040 --> 00:01:51.200 you think it would help or hurt Harris to dump him? 37 00:01:51.280 --> 00:01:53.760 And you're aware, obviously of the competing arguments there, but 38 00:01:53.920 --> 00:01:56.560 I'd be very anxious for your take on that because 39 00:01:56.599 --> 00:01:59.200 I think you could argue it either way. My mind, 40 00:01:59.280 --> 00:02:02.840 it's a no brain my mind. She gains tremendously by 41 00:02:02.920 --> 00:02:07.000 dumping them. Why because she has virtually the entire press 42 00:02:07.000 --> 00:02:10.159 with a couple of noble exceptions, in her pocket. So 43 00:02:10.840 --> 00:02:13.599 if she does something bad and which she has done 44 00:02:13.599 --> 00:02:17.479 many bad things. If if the media is not reporting 45 00:02:17.520 --> 00:02:20.560 it consistently often, it doesn't get the traction. It doesn't 46 00:02:20.560 --> 00:02:22.719 mean the American people have missed it and it won't 47 00:02:22.719 --> 00:02:25.960 be a factor, but it doesn't get the same traction. 48 00:02:26.159 --> 00:02:29.360 I mean, whereas, let's say Trump had dropped JD. Vance 49 00:02:29.400 --> 00:02:31.280 and he never would have and thank god he didn't. 50 00:02:31.360 --> 00:02:33.560 I mean, Vance just gets better and better every day. 51 00:02:34.000 --> 00:02:36.479 But let's say he had, It's all you'd hear about 52 00:02:37.080 --> 00:02:39.479 all day, every day until election day. Oh, it shows 53 00:02:39.479 --> 00:02:42.360 Trump bad judgment. Trump's a coward, this, this, that that. 54 00:02:42.840 --> 00:02:44.960 So it does more harm to him because it is traction. 55 00:02:45.560 --> 00:02:48.319 And whereas if Kamala Harris and I think there's still 56 00:02:48.840 --> 00:02:51.759 a very solid chance of it, you know, drops walls 57 00:02:52.000 --> 00:02:55.080 during the convention next week, well at that point it's 58 00:02:55.080 --> 00:02:57.719 a one day story at most, and they cover for her. 59 00:02:58.120 --> 00:02:59.800 So yeah, it would hurt her in. 60 00:02:59.759 --> 00:03:03.080 Sound ways, but nowhere near as much as if there 61 00:03:03.159 --> 00:03:06.360 was a constant drum beat on it. Eight five five 62 00:03:06.560 --> 00:03:08.879 zero five A two five five text d A N 63 00:03:09.680 --> 00:03:11.439 five seven seven three nine. 64 00:03:11.560 --> 00:03:14.039 So count me as one guy who's. 65 00:03:13.800 --> 00:03:17.680 Going to be very very grateful and happy if she 66 00:03:17.800 --> 00:03:20.800 sticks with Walls. Because you did that switcher rude to 67 00:03:20.879 --> 00:03:24.159 Shapiro out of Pennsylvania and the road just got a 68 00:03:24.240 --> 00:03:25.960 lot tougher before I. 69 00:03:26.000 --> 00:03:26.759 Dive into the sound. 70 00:03:26.840 --> 00:03:32.280 Right, Is there any scenario now where Trump wins without Pennsylvania? 71 00:03:32.400 --> 00:03:35.080 Realistic scenario? Is that a new haircut. You're looking very 72 00:03:35.199 --> 00:03:38.879 GQ like fortune five hundred to day, you get a 73 00:03:38.879 --> 00:03:39.840 new job, a head. 74 00:03:39.719 --> 00:03:43.120 Court and uh I doan kaplis in persons? 75 00:03:43.240 --> 00:03:43.400 Right? 76 00:03:43.560 --> 00:03:43.759 Nice? 77 00:03:43.759 --> 00:03:46.080 So I bet you won. It was traffic court. You're here, 78 00:03:46.120 --> 00:03:48.199 so you probably won. You're not in chains. 79 00:03:48.639 --> 00:03:50.759 Yeah, then dragged me away. That's a good point. 80 00:03:51.120 --> 00:03:57.080 Yeah, No, winning Pennsylvania is critical, but it's Trump can 81 00:03:57.120 --> 00:04:02.199 win the election by simply winning Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina. 82 00:04:02.240 --> 00:04:03.759 So he's got to win those four, put those in 83 00:04:03.759 --> 00:04:06.400 his pocket. Then he only has to win one Dan 84 00:04:07.039 --> 00:04:10.319 of Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin. Harris would have to run 85 00:04:10.360 --> 00:04:12.960 the table. That still looks like the electoral math. I 86 00:04:13.000 --> 00:04:16.279 don't care what the polls say nationally. Otherwise, if Trump 87 00:04:16.319 --> 00:04:20.199 holds onto Nevada, which looks like he's been wanting to 88 00:04:20.240 --> 00:04:24.160 flip for the whole cycle, Arizona, Georgia back in his column, 89 00:04:24.199 --> 00:04:25.160 keeps North Carolina. 90 00:04:25.959 --> 00:04:27.959 That's it. That's the math in the table. 91 00:04:28.199 --> 00:04:30.720 She has to sweep the blue Wall States, the so 92 00:04:30.839 --> 00:04:33.240 called blue Wall States, the Rust spell at the Upper Midwest, 93 00:04:33.240 --> 00:04:33.920 all three of them. 94 00:04:34.040 --> 00:04:35.519 But I think we could put it this way. 95 00:04:35.759 --> 00:04:38.480 If he wins Pennsylvania, and as we sit here right now, 96 00:04:39.480 --> 00:04:43.160 I think an argument can be made that Pennsylvania is 97 00:04:43.199 --> 00:04:48.800 among his strongest states, his strongest possibilities, because his heroism 98 00:04:48.879 --> 00:04:52.000 following the assassination attempt occurred there and I think it 99 00:04:52.120 --> 00:04:54.680 forged a bond in addition to all of the other reasons. 100 00:04:54.720 --> 00:04:56.879 And Kamala Harrison, we could play this out right out 101 00:04:57.000 --> 00:04:59.879 to Hanna. Of course, of course she opposes fractice. 102 00:05:00.079 --> 00:05:02.600 I mean, right there, Dan, he needs to hammer her 103 00:05:02.720 --> 00:05:07.240 on wanting to ban fracking, adds all over Pennsylvania, appearances 104 00:05:07.279 --> 00:05:11.079 from Erie to Pittsburgh to Philadelphia to Harrisburg in between. 105 00:05:11.439 --> 00:05:13.560 I'm with you, Dan, if he really pours a lot 106 00:05:13.600 --> 00:05:16.319 of resources into Pennsylvania, I think they'll pay off if 107 00:05:16.319 --> 00:05:18.279 he wins Pennsylvania, he wins the election. 108 00:05:18.560 --> 00:05:22.319 Frank Lumps, but I assure you that Donald Trump is 109 00:05:22.360 --> 00:05:26.800 doing better among the average union member, not teachers' unions, 110 00:05:27.199 --> 00:05:29.639 and not the unions for government, but everybody else, the 111 00:05:29.680 --> 00:05:32.920 trades people work in their hands. He's doing better among 112 00:05:32.959 --> 00:05:36.639 them than any Republican has done in decades. This is 113 00:05:36.639 --> 00:05:39.519 not going to be a problem for him. The union 114 00:05:39.639 --> 00:05:43.360 leadership is more divided from their membership, and the louder 115 00:05:43.399 --> 00:05:45.920 that it gets, the greater the divides are going to 116 00:05:45.959 --> 00:05:48.879 come in. And my focus groups, this is remarkable to me. 117 00:05:49.800 --> 00:05:53.560 The union membership says they don't speak for me. And 118 00:05:53.639 --> 00:05:56.360 I've been doing this now since nineteen I hate to 119 00:05:56.360 --> 00:05:57.319 say this, eighty. 120 00:05:57.160 --> 00:05:58.839 Nine, nineteen ninety. 121 00:05:59.319 --> 00:06:03.120 I've never had union people publicly say they don't speak 122 00:06:03.160 --> 00:06:03.399 for me. 123 00:06:04.079 --> 00:06:06.959 Another reason, it's twenty sixteen all over again. As long 124 00:06:07.000 --> 00:06:10.720 as President Trump is sharp, and this brings us to 125 00:06:11.879 --> 00:06:16.040 some pretty direct criticism of him today by Megan Kelly. 126 00:06:16.319 --> 00:06:17.439 And I want to play. 127 00:06:17.279 --> 00:06:18.879 This, but I want to put it in the category 128 00:06:19.040 --> 00:06:22.120 of what appears to be bad news that is actually 129 00:06:22.839 --> 00:06:25.399 good news, or at least potentially good news, because the 130 00:06:25.480 --> 00:06:29.279 truth is, you know that the fact that Harris is 131 00:06:29.279 --> 00:06:32.439 in the race now and because of the lies and 132 00:06:32.519 --> 00:06:35.759 the media and this, this, that, that, and frankly some 133 00:06:35.800 --> 00:06:39.639 smart moves that the other side is making the race 134 00:06:39.720 --> 00:06:42.199 is a whole lot tougher for Trump right now. And 135 00:06:42.839 --> 00:06:44.800 my hope is, like with all of us, think about 136 00:06:44.839 --> 00:06:46.360 you think about your own life. I know I can 137 00:06:46.360 --> 00:06:51.199 think about mine is you know, it's it's those most 138 00:06:51.319 --> 00:06:56.399 difficult moments, those toughest challenges, those times that we've failed 139 00:06:56.399 --> 00:06:59.279 and then had to rise back up and conquer, that 140 00:06:59.360 --> 00:07:01.879 make us better and often make us better. And I'm 141 00:07:01.920 --> 00:07:04.639 sure this is true in your life, often make us 142 00:07:04.680 --> 00:07:07.639 better in a hurry where you get that the. 143 00:07:07.720 --> 00:07:09.279 Leaps and bounds where you. 144 00:07:09.199 --> 00:07:13.600 Get decades in days kind of progress. And and so 145 00:07:13.680 --> 00:07:16.199 I think this criticism Trump is getting that. Hey man, 146 00:07:16.439 --> 00:07:18.720 this ain't Biden on the other side anymore. You've just 147 00:07:18.839 --> 00:07:22.920 got to be sharper, you know. I hopefully will will 148 00:07:22.959 --> 00:07:26.199 make him even better and even better in a hurry, 149 00:07:26.240 --> 00:07:28.160 because I think he will have to be, and I'm 150 00:07:28.160 --> 00:07:29.120 assuming he will be. 151 00:07:30.079 --> 00:07:33.319 I would encourage more reporting on you know, is Trump 152 00:07:33.319 --> 00:07:36.079 in some state of decline? I think that's a fair 153 00:07:36.160 --> 00:07:38.000 question to ask of any seventy eight year old that 154 00:07:38.040 --> 00:07:42.040 is a yeah. 155 00:07:40.920 --> 00:07:43.279 Yeah, that's absolut absolutely fair question. And look, I mean 156 00:07:43.279 --> 00:07:46.199 we've one of the reasons why Trump gets upset with 157 00:07:46.240 --> 00:07:48.800 yours truly is because I have been raising that question 158 00:07:48.839 --> 00:07:51.279 for a while, and when he has what appeared to 159 00:07:51.279 --> 00:07:53.319 be senior moments, I will call him out on it. 160 00:07:53.360 --> 00:07:55.160 And he doesn't like that, and I can't say that 161 00:07:55.199 --> 00:07:58.079 I blame him, but that's that's my job. I will 162 00:07:58.079 --> 00:08:01.160 say that in that discussion with Elon, to me, he 163 00:08:01.199 --> 00:08:04.879 seemed quite rambling. I mean it was like, yeah, he rambles. 164 00:08:04.920 --> 00:08:08.959 He goes on too long at his rallies and in 165 00:08:09.000 --> 00:08:11.560 these exchanges and at his presser the other day, to 166 00:08:11.639 --> 00:08:14.160 where you get kind of bored, you lose the thread, 167 00:08:14.519 --> 00:08:18.040 you lose interest, which is not something you're used to 168 00:08:18.120 --> 00:08:21.040 with Trump. Trump in twenty sixteen he was tough to 169 00:08:21.120 --> 00:08:24.439 lose interest in, and I think that's probably an age 170 00:08:24.480 --> 00:08:26.839 related change. So I think this is one of the 171 00:08:26.959 --> 00:08:29.319 challenges that the people around him, who are I'm sure 172 00:08:29.360 --> 00:08:32.639 are desperately trying to get him to stick on message. 173 00:08:32.759 --> 00:08:34.039 Yeah, do you think she's right? 174 00:08:34.600 --> 00:08:37.759 Do you think that Trump needs to be more focused, 175 00:08:37.759 --> 00:08:40.399 that he should be shorter, that he should ramble less, 176 00:08:40.639 --> 00:08:42.399 or do you think she's dead wrong on that? I'd 177 00:08:42.399 --> 00:08:44.000 like to get your take on that. Eight five five 178 00:08:44.000 --> 00:08:46.639 four zero five eight two five five text d A 179 00:08:46.840 --> 00:08:49.480 N five seven seven three nine. 180 00:08:49.879 --> 00:08:51.960 And then one other quick note because you see a 181 00:08:52.000 --> 00:08:53.360 lot of headlines today. 182 00:08:53.120 --> 00:08:57.240 About cook political reports, swing state polls, hair US up three, 183 00:08:57.639 --> 00:08:59.240 hair US up four, et cetera. 184 00:08:59.600 --> 00:09:01.559 Hey, wait a second, a second. 185 00:09:02.240 --> 00:09:08.440 These polls were completed two weeks ago, two weeks ago. 186 00:09:09.240 --> 00:09:12.200 Why do you think they're being dropped right now? And 187 00:09:12.279 --> 00:09:15.799 this is what I mean by just another example of 188 00:09:15.879 --> 00:09:18.360 something that looks bad on the surface for Trump, but 189 00:09:18.399 --> 00:09:22.159 when you dig in, is actually very good news because 190 00:09:22.200 --> 00:09:25.320 because think about where things were at two weeks ago, 191 00:09:25.639 --> 00:09:28.159 and why are they just dropping these poles now when 192 00:09:28.200 --> 00:09:32.840 they were done two weeks ago eight five five for 193 00:09:32.960 --> 00:09:35.120 zero five A two five five the number d A 194 00:09:35.279 --> 00:09:38.679 N five seven seven three nine. So when we come back, 195 00:09:38.720 --> 00:09:41.080 do you agree with Megan Kelly that Trump needs to 196 00:09:41.080 --> 00:09:45.559 get sharper and shorter and go on less or do 197 00:09:45.600 --> 00:09:47.759 you think you're messing with the magic At that point 198 00:09:47.840 --> 00:09:49.399 you're on the Dankapla Show. 199 00:09:51.519 --> 00:09:55.519 And now back to the Dan Taplas Show podcast. 200 00:09:55.679 --> 00:09:58.440 I cannot get over my friends about everything about her 201 00:09:58.519 --> 00:10:02.240 campaign is fake, a fake joy that comes from being 202 00:10:02.320 --> 00:10:05.600 promoted to a new position instead of using the position 203 00:10:05.720 --> 00:10:08.279 you already have to do your job and make the 204 00:10:08.320 --> 00:10:11.559 lives of the decisions of this country better. It's a 205 00:10:11.559 --> 00:10:16.039 fake ticket that never earned a single Democrat primary vote. 206 00:10:16.279 --> 00:10:16.600 See. 207 00:10:16.679 --> 00:10:17.639 I think that's a key point. 208 00:10:17.679 --> 00:10:19.679 I'm not saying it's a central point in the campaign, 209 00:10:19.720 --> 00:10:24.240 but it's a point worth making. And this whole theme 210 00:10:24.279 --> 00:10:26.799 of fake because I'll tell you this, and you know 211 00:10:26.879 --> 00:10:29.559 this because you know people in that demo. But when 212 00:10:29.559 --> 00:10:32.240 you're talking about people, and let's ask Kelly, is she 213 00:10:32.639 --> 00:10:33.080 back there? 214 00:10:33.200 --> 00:10:33.639 She wakes? 215 00:10:34.440 --> 00:10:37.200 Let's asks the Kelly right because Kelly's daughter was just 216 00:10:37.320 --> 00:10:40.200 visiting beautiful young woman, tremendous college golfer. 217 00:10:40.399 --> 00:10:42.600 Ah. But there is and I. 218 00:10:42.600 --> 00:10:44.759 Don't expect you or anyone else to get this right, 219 00:10:44.840 --> 00:10:46.879 because there can be three or four right answers, but 220 00:10:47.159 --> 00:10:50.320 this is one of them. There is a buzzword among 221 00:10:50.519 --> 00:10:53.120 quote the kids right now, and it extends beyond that. 222 00:10:53.159 --> 00:10:59.080 But what is the most important quality to people in 223 00:10:59.120 --> 00:11:01.960 that like eighteen to two twenty four age group right now? 224 00:11:02.000 --> 00:11:05.159 What are they looking for in people as they size 225 00:11:05.480 --> 00:11:08.279 up people and depend on whether they trust people? 226 00:11:08.320 --> 00:11:10.159 What are they looking for? What's that word? 227 00:11:10.559 --> 00:11:16.720 They look at influencers on TikTok and some on YouTube, 228 00:11:17.080 --> 00:11:20.080 but mostly they're all into the TikTok thing. 229 00:11:20.159 --> 00:11:22.200 Well, if you're talking about it, that's a great point. 230 00:11:22.440 --> 00:11:26.399 If you're talking about a politician, though, I think what 231 00:11:26.440 --> 00:11:28.600 people in that age demo and it's not limited to them, 232 00:11:28.600 --> 00:11:32.039 but what they're looking for is the buzzword is authenticity. 233 00:11:32.159 --> 00:11:37.080 They're looking for authenticity is somebody real. And I think 234 00:11:37.120 --> 00:11:39.639 that one thing with Trump is love them or hate them, 235 00:11:39.840 --> 00:11:42.360 you know that guy's real. I mean, what you see 236 00:11:42.399 --> 00:11:45.320 is what you get. Yes, with Kamala Harrison, I'm glad 237 00:11:45.320 --> 00:11:48.799 they're going after this fake thing because so much about 238 00:11:48.840 --> 00:11:52.159 her is fake. But I love the fake ticket point. 239 00:11:52.600 --> 00:11:54.559 It is a fake ticket. It's the only time in 240 00:11:54.600 --> 00:11:58.960 American history where the presidential nominee and the VP they 241 00:11:58.960 --> 00:12:02.600 didn't get a single vote, single primary. It's a fake ticket. 242 00:12:02.679 --> 00:12:05.519 So I'm glad that Vance has labeled him that way. 243 00:12:05.720 --> 00:12:09.120 I'll tell you what else kind of pushed both of 244 00:12:09.159 --> 00:12:13.919 my children toward conservativism is when they started their jobs 245 00:12:14.759 --> 00:12:19.000 and they got their paychecks and they found out, oh 246 00:12:19.039 --> 00:12:22.159 my gosh, what are all these fees that are taken 247 00:12:22.200 --> 00:12:24.360 out when I'm supposed to be making this much an 248 00:12:24.399 --> 00:12:26.440 hour and I'm only taking home this much. 249 00:12:27.039 --> 00:12:28.639 So that's another. 250 00:12:28.320 --> 00:12:34.759 Quality that has really determined how they kind of have thought. 251 00:12:34.840 --> 00:12:39.200 And I never thought Haley in a million years would 252 00:12:39.519 --> 00:12:41.559 vote for Trump in primary. 253 00:12:41.120 --> 00:12:43.919 And she did well, that is awesome. And you know, 254 00:12:44.000 --> 00:12:46.399 tying into the fake thing. And I understand the campaign 255 00:12:46.399 --> 00:12:47.879 will be dropping this hammer later. 256 00:12:48.519 --> 00:12:50.960 And it's a specific phase of life. Remember, age is 257 00:12:50.960 --> 00:12:53.759 more than a chronological fact. What else do we know 258 00:12:53.799 --> 00:12:57.559 about this population eighteenth through twenty four? They are stupid, 259 00:13:00.600 --> 00:13:04.679 that is why we put them in dormitories, and they 260 00:13:04.720 --> 00:13:10.080 have a resident assistant. They make really bad decisions. 261 00:13:10.759 --> 00:13:12.879 Yes, so you know this whole fake theme. 262 00:13:13.120 --> 00:13:15.320 Yeah, keep it going, have it out there, but then 263 00:13:15.480 --> 00:13:17.519 back it up with stuff like this, so it's not 264 00:13:17.639 --> 00:13:20.840 just name calling, but when you got really powerful points 265 00:13:20.879 --> 00:13:22.919 such as they didn't get a single vote in a 266 00:13:22.960 --> 00:13:27.480 single primary, some Texters hiding ray the Megan Kelly clip. 267 00:13:27.480 --> 00:13:29.879 Would I like to see a more focus, less rambling Trump. 268 00:13:29.919 --> 00:13:32.480 Absolutely do. I think it's due to aging. Not really, 269 00:13:33.039 --> 00:13:36.799 it's just his style. Thank goodness for Vance, who is 270 00:13:37.200 --> 00:13:40.159 more focused. And yes, Trump is definitely rambling too much 271 00:13:40.200 --> 00:13:42.919 too often. He needs to listen to more questions, focus 272 00:13:43.000 --> 00:13:45.639 and shorten his response. Quit with the going overboard and 273 00:13:45.639 --> 00:13:50.240 with schoolyard, personal insults, bot fight fight fight Trump style. No, 274 00:13:50.360 --> 00:13:53.759 I think that's great advice, right, and hopefully what we'll 275 00:13:53.759 --> 00:13:55.399 see her is, yeah, Trump's got to be Trump. 276 00:13:55.440 --> 00:13:56.519 That's part of his magic. 277 00:13:57.159 --> 00:14:00.639 But just tightened up, Just tighten up in ammering those 278 00:14:00.679 --> 00:14:03.519 messages that are going to win, and no more mega 279 00:14:03.720 --> 00:14:08.240 unforced errors like criticizing the Georgia Governor Brian kemp is 280 00:14:08.279 --> 00:14:11.159 of what sixty five percent approval in a state that 281 00:14:11.200 --> 00:14:13.639 you've got to win and it's going to be hard fought. Now, 282 00:14:13.679 --> 00:14:16.519 Trump does so many things, well, it's easy to zero 283 00:14:16.600 --> 00:14:18.039 in on the occasional mistake. 284 00:14:18.159 --> 00:14:18.759 We all make them. 285 00:14:18.799 --> 00:14:22.879 All I'm saying is down the stretch here, this race 286 00:14:22.960 --> 00:14:26.919 is going to be determined. I submit in large part 287 00:14:27.039 --> 00:14:31.720 by how sharp President Trump is. I think the American 288 00:14:31.759 --> 00:14:34.799 people get Kamala Harris, that they get her awfulness for 289 00:14:34.879 --> 00:14:39.240 those who view far left San Francisco radical phony is awful. 290 00:14:39.840 --> 00:14:42.000 I think they already get the Wall stuff, which is 291 00:14:42.000 --> 00:14:44.399 why have you guys noticed if you go look at 292 00:14:44.399 --> 00:14:48.559 the if you go look at the Harris Walls graphics 293 00:14:48.600 --> 00:14:51.840 that you see now at different campaign appearances, it's like 294 00:14:51.879 --> 00:14:55.399 you're going in for an eye exam to read the walls. Now, 295 00:14:55.679 --> 00:14:59.159 when they did their big intro in Pennsylvania, remember that, 296 00:14:59.200 --> 00:15:02.240 and he's flying around some goofy sixty year old mel cheerleader. 297 00:15:02.639 --> 00:15:06.279 But but walls, these big letters. You know, a blind 298 00:15:06.320 --> 00:15:09.200 person could have seen him. But now that the latest 299 00:15:09.240 --> 00:15:11.519 Harris Walls thing that was up behind him at this 300 00:15:11.600 --> 00:15:14.919 speech he just gave. It's literally like going in for 301 00:15:14.960 --> 00:15:17.080 an eye exam. Can you read that bottom line? D 302 00:15:18.200 --> 00:15:23.960 W and maybe a Z yeah, yeah, yeah, So that 303 00:15:24.080 --> 00:15:24.559 tells you. 304 00:15:24.759 --> 00:15:28.000 The word is so important here, Dan, it's real versus fake. 305 00:15:28.120 --> 00:15:30.480 You got to be able to frame this in a snapshot. 306 00:15:30.600 --> 00:15:33.159 That's it. Jd Vance has done a wonderful job of this. 307 00:15:33.759 --> 00:15:37.679 But it's fake. It's fraudulent, it's phony. It feels forced, 308 00:15:37.720 --> 00:15:40.679 it feels put upon, it's thrown together. This is not 309 00:15:40.720 --> 00:15:43.080 a well organized campaign at this point, so they're trying 310 00:15:43.120 --> 00:15:45.919 to stay away from, you know, stepping in it. 311 00:15:46.000 --> 00:15:46.320 Walls. 312 00:15:46.759 --> 00:15:49.720 You don't think you don't think her campaign is well organized. 313 00:15:50.320 --> 00:15:54.399 I think her campaign, listen, I think she's all the 314 00:15:54.440 --> 00:15:57.360 awful things in office you say she is, But I 315 00:15:57.399 --> 00:16:00.000 think her campaign the cabal that was able to depart 316 00:16:00.240 --> 00:16:01.799 a democratically. 317 00:16:01.120 --> 00:16:02.919 Elected press panics of that I'm talking. 318 00:16:02.960 --> 00:16:05.600 I think the camp, their campaign unfortunately, is being very 319 00:16:05.600 --> 00:16:08.200 well run right now, and they're very smart to hide 320 00:16:08.200 --> 00:16:10.600 Harris because if they put her out there, it just 321 00:16:10.919 --> 00:16:12.440 proves that she's not capable. 322 00:16:12.559 --> 00:16:14.799 It's AstroTurf. It's an AstroTurf campaign. 323 00:16:14.919 --> 00:16:18.120 Everything about the appearances seem fake and forced and phony. 324 00:16:18.480 --> 00:16:19.960 And I think it's going to run out of steam 325 00:16:20.000 --> 00:16:22.799 and she's going to peek here at the convention coming 326 00:16:22.879 --> 00:16:24.559 up next week that doesn't have. 327 00:16:24.519 --> 00:16:26.440 Staying powered down. They can't walk and chew gum. 328 00:16:26.480 --> 00:16:30.360 At the same time, Jim Acosta was giving Harris Advisor 329 00:16:30.799 --> 00:16:32.919 a crap because they can't do one. 330 00:16:32.759 --> 00:16:34.519 Of one interview in the month of August. 331 00:16:34.600 --> 00:16:37.960 Come on, yeah and uh And we'll play that Acosta 332 00:16:38.080 --> 00:16:39.200 sound after the break. 333 00:16:39.240 --> 00:16:40.600 It's worth listening to. 334 00:16:40.799 --> 00:16:44.200 And but but again, let's be realistic about where this leads. 335 00:16:44.279 --> 00:16:44.440 Right. 336 00:16:45.080 --> 00:16:48.399 Okay, some media putting some pressure on her right now, 337 00:16:48.440 --> 00:16:51.759 but all that means is that, Okay, there's gonna she's 338 00:16:51.759 --> 00:16:54.679 gonna sit down for an interview and and she's gonna 339 00:16:54.679 --> 00:16:57.399 get coddled, and she's going to be able to slide 340 00:16:57.399 --> 00:16:59.440 through it. And then all of a sudden, people say well, look, 341 00:16:59.519 --> 00:17:01.240 she did so great in the interview and then that's 342 00:17:01.279 --> 00:17:04.079 the last interview. Yeah for a long time. I mean god, yeah. 343 00:17:04.160 --> 00:17:05.960 Branding news, Oh good. We love that. 344 00:17:06.119 --> 00:17:08.720 Fox News poll, which we know the polling service and 345 00:17:08.759 --> 00:17:10.160 system for Fox News does. 346 00:17:10.079 --> 00:17:12.039 Not lean right. No, it does not lean right. 347 00:17:12.119 --> 00:17:15.400 No, it doesn't Trump fifty Harris forty nine trumps one. 348 00:17:15.599 --> 00:17:19.359 See that's huge, that's huge because thank you for that, Ryan, 349 00:17:19.640 --> 00:17:24.480 because Fox leans probably a couple of points left right, 350 00:17:24.519 --> 00:17:27.640 and that would be consistent with some other national polling 351 00:17:27.680 --> 00:17:30.599 we've seen. And listen, does that mean okay, Trump's up 352 00:17:30.599 --> 00:17:32.440 a point in the polls? It means he wins. No, 353 00:17:33.119 --> 00:17:36.799 but in terms of momentum and momentum for the Harris campaign, 354 00:17:36.839 --> 00:17:39.599 and that lines up with the CNBC poll. It also 355 00:17:39.680 --> 00:17:42.200 lines up with this question we raised yesterday, which is 356 00:17:43.000 --> 00:17:46.759 why haven't we seen more national polls since she picked Walls? 357 00:17:47.440 --> 00:17:47.720 Right? 358 00:17:47.799 --> 00:17:49.599 I mean, there have been a couple here and there, 359 00:17:49.640 --> 00:17:52.000 but there hasn't been a whole bunch of those polls. 360 00:17:52.119 --> 00:17:54.200 You can bet more have been done than we've seen. 361 00:17:54.599 --> 00:17:58.480 Thank you. That's really good stuff, really encouraging their Ryan. 362 00:17:58.720 --> 00:18:00.880 And again that's against the back drop of the polls 363 00:18:00.920 --> 00:18:05.720 the left is celebrating today. I was going to use 364 00:18:05.720 --> 00:18:08.920 a different word, but it's a family show. Those cook 365 00:18:08.960 --> 00:18:12.240 reports swing state poles, they were conducted weeks ago. 366 00:18:12.839 --> 00:18:17.079 They ended August second. The issue is whether the sugar. 367 00:18:16.839 --> 00:18:20.359 High is worn off, and a lot of indications it 368 00:18:20.440 --> 00:18:22.119 has here on the. 369 00:18:22.119 --> 00:18:22.960 Dan Capitlis Show. 370 00:18:29.039 --> 00:18:34.319 You're listening to the Dan Kaplis Show podcast. 371 00:18:34.960 --> 00:18:37.039 Yes, yes, yes, I told you we're going to have 372 00:18:37.039 --> 00:18:37.759 a soft landing. 373 00:18:37.759 --> 00:18:39.759 We're going to have a soft landing my policies and 374 00:18:39.880 --> 00:18:41.119 work and start writing that way. 375 00:18:41.160 --> 00:18:44.359 Okay, Wow, do you think Americans are feeling that? You 376 00:18:44.359 --> 00:18:45.319 think Americans are. 377 00:18:45.200 --> 00:18:49.200 Feeling that prices are down, that all of a sudden 378 00:18:49.240 --> 00:18:50.640 inflation is not an issue for them. 379 00:18:50.640 --> 00:18:54.200 That is so out of touch. But I'm glad to. 380 00:18:54.200 --> 00:18:56.480 See the proof of life right because one of the 381 00:18:56.559 --> 00:19:00.279 challenges ahead of us is the distinct possibility that the 382 00:19:00.319 --> 00:19:03.160 cabal that deposed him as nominee he will run Biden 383 00:19:03.200 --> 00:19:07.119 out and make Harris president before election day. If, as 384 00:19:07.160 --> 00:19:09.880 we suspect, her momentum is starting to fage. You may 385 00:19:09.880 --> 00:19:12.160 get a little bumped from the dump convention, but once 386 00:19:12.200 --> 00:19:14.279 your numbers start to go down, this is gonna be 387 00:19:14.359 --> 00:19:17.480 one of the most enjoyable times of your life because 388 00:19:17.559 --> 00:19:22.200 watching the left totally lose their bowels. Once her numbers 389 00:19:22.240 --> 00:19:25.880 start to go down, my lord, you're gonna want like me. 390 00:19:25.920 --> 00:19:27.839 You're gonna be want to listen to this stuff and 391 00:19:27.880 --> 00:19:30.440 watch it twenty four hours a day. But once that 392 00:19:30.559 --> 00:19:34.079 starts to happen, then yeah, very very distinct possibility. They 393 00:19:34.119 --> 00:19:37.440 run by now Cloaker and the presidency and hope that 394 00:19:38.200 --> 00:19:42.279 revs are back up again. Speaking of which, oh, by 395 00:19:42.279 --> 00:19:47.279 the way, on prices, on prices, listen. 396 00:19:48.240 --> 00:19:49.079 I thank God every day. 397 00:19:49.119 --> 00:19:50.839 I have a good job, we make a good living, 398 00:19:51.279 --> 00:19:54.319 but it is so hard to go out to eat anymore, right, 399 00:19:54.839 --> 00:19:59.680 I mean, it's like insane. We were celebrating the other 400 00:19:59.759 --> 00:20:04.160 night because Caroline's had these great accomplishments and Joe just 401 00:20:04.599 --> 00:20:06.759