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Speaker 1: And hello, welcome to the Big Ready, The Big Ready,

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The Big Podcast, Old Habits, Die Hard, The Big Podcast

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on this Thursday. Today's the fourteenth day of August, Year

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of Our Lord, twenty twenty five. My name is Tom Sullivan.

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And yeah, we've got well, well, let's start with what

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we have been talking about of late, and that is

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the DC crime problem. And it's still a top story.

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And I mean, to me, this is I've heard some

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Democrats already saying, oh, oh oh, this is a trap.

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It's a trap, and you go, well, what's the trap? Well,

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Donald Trump, they get it. Donald Trump was elected for

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lots of reasons. One of them was the border, another

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one which he has pretty well fixed and done it

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in record time. I mean, he changed that overnight. But

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the other big issue was about crime and cracking down

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on crime, being tough on crime. This has worked in

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the past, or our cycles to it in American politics.

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The last time there was a big tough out crime

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candidate was Richard Nixon back in nineteen sixty eight, and

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it worked for him. Well it's working again for Donald Trump.

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A lot of people voted for him to crack down

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on crime. So it's painfully obvious to me that he's

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looking around and going, well, I got elected because I'm

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going to be tough on crime. I'm sitting here in Washington,

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d C. Where there's always been crime problem in DC

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there always has been. And then somebody on his staff

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for himself, whoever, I mean, he has keen political instincts. Well,

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wait a minute, I don't have to ask anybody's permission.

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I can take control of DC because it's federal property

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and under the Home Rule of nineteen seventy three, I

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can go in and take over the city and I'll

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crack down on crime. And look, it will be another

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way for me to fulfill a promise. And so it is.

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It's pretty slick. But whether he's already talking about maybe

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going to other cities to do this, but it's not

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going to be as easy because this is where the

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law gives the president total control over federal property. Harry Enton,

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the statistician over at CNN. Listen to what he has

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found out about what people think about Donald Trump in crime.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that Democrats have to get it around

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their heads that Americans are far more hawkish on crime

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than they think that they are. What are we talking

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about Trump's not approval handling crime. Where was he last year?

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He was way underwater at minus thirteen points views of

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term number one.

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Speaker 1: But look at where he is now.

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Speaker 2: He's on the positive side of ellection. He's on the

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positive side at plus one points. Americans view Trump far

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more favorably now on crime than they did a year ago.

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And while this polling doesn't take into account what's exactly

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happening in DC right now, it does take an account

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what happened in Los Angeles, what's happened earlier this year,

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and Americans for the most part, actually view Trump favorably.

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Crime is one of Trump's best issues. It's one of

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the reasons why he wants to talk about crime, because

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it favors him. Yeah, okay, I think this sort of

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gives the game away here because Donald Trump is like

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Air Jordan, towering over Joe Biden when it comes to

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their handling a crime. Look in twenty twenty four, look

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at where Biden's net approval was on crime, way on

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the water there at minus twenty six points. It was

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one of Biden's where's issues. Granted, pretty much every issue

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is one of Biden's wears issues. And again, look at

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where Donald Trump is way, way, way above Joe Biden.

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Speaker 1: What is that?

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Speaker 2: That's twenty seven points. So Americans vastly prefer Donald Trump's

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approach to crime than they ditch you Joe Biden's. And again,

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I think it gets back to the point that Americans

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are far more hawkish on crime than a lot of

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Democrats want to it.

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Speaker 1: Mat.

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Speaker 2: You know, we're talking about Donald Trump here, right, So

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I think it's very important to note that this isn't

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just about Donald Trump. It's about Republicans versus Democrats, right,

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And that, of course is a key question going into

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next year's midterm election. I think the party closest to

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your views on crime. Look in twenty twenty three, Republicans

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were favored by thirteen points. Look at where they were

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in May of this year. Republicans were actually favored by

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sixty months. They actually gained ground on crime, They were

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maintaining their edge and actually added a little bit to it.

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So Republicans in the House, Republicans in the Senate, they

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absolutely want to be talking about crime. The more they

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feel that we're talking about crime, the better they feel

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that the electoral landscape is for them.

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Speaker 1: So not only is that's it a morally good thing

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to do is to try to crack down on crime.

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But people are loving it. And the more you talk

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about crime, the more you talk about being a crime fighter,

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the more people are going to like it. Remember Tim Paulenti,

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he was the governor of Minnesota, ran for president years ago,

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didn't get very far, and he's been a moderate, middle

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of the road Republican all of his political life, and

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he thinks Donald Trump's doing a great job on it.

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Speaker 3: What I say to that is that this is an

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important issue, both substantively and politically, and for all the

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reasons Harry just outlined. This is a powerful issue for

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a reason. People are fed up with cities, particularly our

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major urban centers, being filled with homeless encampments, crime, graffiti,

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and other liveability issues.

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Speaker 1: And they've had it.

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Speaker 3: And President Trump has tapped into that. And by the way,

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it's not like he just came up with this problem.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 3: DC has been dysfunctional for big parts of its modern history,

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and no mayor, no city council has really made substantial progress.

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It's a mess, and I'm glad that he's actually taking

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bold treatment towards DC. They need a shock and they're

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getting it.

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Speaker 1: So that's the fascinating part to me, is that the

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people that live in that city, you would think that

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they would be tired of the crime and the homelessness

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and all of the problems that Washington, DC has, or

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LA or San Francisco or name your city, Chicago. Why

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do they keep voting for the people that don't know

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how to run the city. Why do they keep voting

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for them? That is the part that bothers me. Maybe

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it's because of the fact that they give them crumbs,

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they hand out money or programs for them just to

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keep them pacified. But the people of Washington, d C.

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It's like Tim Plenty said, it's been dysfunctional for as

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long as I can remember, and he can remember. So

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why do people keep voting for the same losers that

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are running the city? I don't have the answer, but

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it is quizzical. People are so fed up with these issues.

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I think they're willing.

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Speaker 3: To tolerate, at least for a while, a little bit

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of perhaps overreach or aggressive behavior. And by the way,

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I lived in DC for six years. I'm a frequent

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visitor there, and they got problems. And as to your question, though,

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does it look overly dramatic maybe initially, but when more

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business as usual more of the same isn't working, and

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so something different has to be tried. There's been no administration,

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either federally or in the DC district where they fundamentally

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have solved these problems for any length of time. So

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just saying a little more money for a little longer

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time isn't going to work. We have to try something different.

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I applaud the President for trying.

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Speaker 1: Well, so do I. Whether it's a political stunt, or

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it's over aggressive, or whatever complaint you want to have

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about what's going on in DC, it's going to be

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if nothing else associate cologist out there are going to

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be studying is to see, hey, maybe you try something new,

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maybe you try something different. So the President says he's

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going to try to get an extension on the thirty day.

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He's aware of the thirty day requirement that this is

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only good. The president can only take over control of

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the district for thirty days without getting Congress to pass

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an extension. He thinks Congress will pass it because he

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thinks all the Republicans will give him the okay to continue,

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and that the Democrats are in this pickle where they

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can't vote against him because otherwise they'll look like they're

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for crime. And nobody's for crime, not even the Democrats.

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So the problem is it's just incompetent leadership. And I

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think that's the true of so many of our big cities.

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Speaking of which the mayor's race in New York is.

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I try not to spend much time on it because

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it's local, but it's not. It's getting a lot of

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national attention. Today. It turned out where Zoron ma'am Danny

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said yeap Obama called him after he won the primary.

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And so a lot of Democrats are afraid to come

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out and say, including Obama, saying that they're endorsing him.

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Not only are they afraid to say if they're endorsing

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him or not. Hakim Jeffries, who is not only the

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minority leader in the House of Representatives, but he's also

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a Congressman from Brooklyn, and he was asked a number

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of questions this morning by Andrew Ross Sorkin, who is

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a liberal guy, all kinds of questions and hawk King

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Jeffries just would not answer any of the questions. Here's

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an example. Listen to this.

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Speaker 4: Andrew Cuomo has made the point that Zoron Madami lives

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in a rank control department even though he is not

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considered quote unquote poor, and that Andrew Quan would actually

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try to create a law in the state that would

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prevent people like Mandomie from being from living in a

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rank control department. Do you think that he should live

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in a rank control department?

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Speaker 5: Well, listen, that's an issue for the state legislators and

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the state government to work out.

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Speaker 4: No, but it's a fascinating issue about affordability in this

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city and whether there are folks who are living in

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rent control departments all across this city that effectively should

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be going towards poor people who need that affordability.

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Speaker 5: It's a legitimate issue that has been raised, and the

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Mondamine campaign is going to have to address it.

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Speaker 1: Hakim Jefferies is just one of the many Democrats that

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are afraid to go anywhere near this guy. He's leading,

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but they're afraid to buddy up with him because he's

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totally I mean, Donald Trump calls him a communist. He is.

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He's not a socialist. He wants the city to control

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the private sector. Here's some of his by the way,

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his campaign is he's going from Burrow to Burrow one

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a day this week, and the message is I'm running

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against Donald Trump. Donald Trump is terrible. Now, if I

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remember right, Hillary Clinton tried to do that, saying vote

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for me because I'm not him. It didn't work. They

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also tried it with Kamala Harris. People try to vote

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run against Donald Trump. Sure, there's a lot of people

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that don't like Donald Trump. But if you're trying to

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put yourself up against Donald Trump, it doesn't seem to

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work politically. Here's mom Damie, and this is his message,

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trying to win well Burrow.

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Speaker 6: That will be free from Trump's cruelty. I describe my

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administration as being his worst nightmare. I describe it as

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such because we will actually fight for the people that

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he claimed to be running to represent.

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Speaker 1: So go to a political pro Carl Rove knows all

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about running campaigns, and here's his opinion of Donnie's campaign

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so far about running against Donald Trump.

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Speaker 7: Well, look, it works for him because he's the front

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runner and this allows him to eat up time. Think

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about this. We have about eleven weeks left in the

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election and he's out there saying I am Donald Trump's

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worst nightmare, which appeals to the more left wing Democrats,

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and it leaves his opponents trying to catch up with him.

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I thought Andrew CMO's response, well, I'm actually his worst

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nightmare because I actually stood up to him in Ancient

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History Times twenty twenty and so this is good for Domi.

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What gets me is it's to the benefit of both

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Mom Dommi and Trump that he take this line, because

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Trump is looking at it in a national picture and saying,

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if New York has a Democratic socialist mayor, and if

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you add one in Minneapolis, for example, we can run

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against them in the twenty twenty six midterms and say, look,

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here's what the New Democratic Party is all about. It's

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about free everything, democratic socialists, blah blah blah blah blah.

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So you know, both both Trump and Mom Dommy benefit

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from this, and the Democrat other Democrats I think are

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making a mistake. They ought to be out there finding

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a way to change the dialogue back to something on

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which they can win. Can I give you one example,

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what happened? What would happen? Mom Dommy said at the

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end of this, he said, you know what, I'm going

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to be spending city money to defend people in the

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city against deportation. What if a Democrat said, well, you

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know what, I just want to agree, I will use

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city money to defend people who are here in our city,

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contributing to our society, have kept their nose clean, whom

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Trump is trying to deport out of the country. I'm

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going to use your taxpayer dollars to defend him, but

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only if they've kept their nose clean. If they're criminals,

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that's their problem. We want them out of our community.

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What that would say is I'm a Democrat and I'm

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willing to spend your money to defend undocumented people, but

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I draw the line at criminals. So if you you're

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a normal Democrat, you don't have to go for the

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socialist in order to get what you want as a Democrat.

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It's a little dangerous, but they may need to do

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that with tetrology. Oh, Carl's right, that's you know, taking

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a big risk. But in New York, Democrats probably going

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to be the one that wins. So why not try

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to schmooze up to the majority of Democrats. And Andrew Cuomo,

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I don't know if he has the energy to do

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all of this to run another campaign. Well, he didn't

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have it to first go round, and he had all

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the advantages. He was better known, he had the political endorsements,

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he had lots and lots of money, and he ran

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way behind Mountdammie. He's got to find a way to

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shake this thing up. And look, the way to shake

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it up is to find a way to say I'm

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the normal Democrat who can actually run this place, and

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that guy over there is extreme and it's going to

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serve It's not going to serve the city of New

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York or our Democratic Party if he's the face of

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both our city and our party nationwide.

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Speaker 1: So that brings us to social Security today. I know

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you've got this marked on your calendar. Today is the

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ninetieth anniversary of Social Security. Yep FDR was the president.

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It was August fourteenth, nineteen thirty five, and at the

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time they said we'll make it so that when people

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turn sixty five they can start collecting social Security. They've

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changed it to sixty six and now to sixty seven,

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and who knows what they're going to do to it

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in the future as far as your eligibility age, but

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as or withdrawal age. But they never really talk about this.

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But what they did this was I think borderline criminal.

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But what the government did in nineteen thirty five was

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they knew the the actuarials knew that most people don't

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live much past or at all past sixty five. Back

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in the nineteen thirties, that was it. So they were

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hoping that you would pour a bunch of money into

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Social Security, and Social Security would never ever have to

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pay it out, or if they paid out any it

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would be very few people who were able to live

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longer than their actuarial expected date of death. So it's

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still a big question because there's something like seventy thousand

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baby boomers that are mostly in retirement age eligibility age

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for Social Security, and they are collecting something like one

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hundred and thirty billion dollars a month. So the guy

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who took over Donald Trump appointed as the new head

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of Social Security is a guy by the name of

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Frank Bisigan Bisignano. Frank Bisignano, he used to be the

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chief operating officer over at JP Morgan Chase. He's run

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a couple of other countries. He's a turnaround guy. He's

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taken some companies that were doing terrible and turned them around.

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So they asked him today about where social Security is

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going to go and can you fix it?

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Speaker 8: Well, I think first of all, you have to think

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about the foundation, and what we've been doing is working

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out on the foundation. Second of all, we've always talked

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about social Security as seventy two million beneficiarias, we're talking

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about three hundred million active more than three hundred million

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active Social Security numbers, and so the ability to serve

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that whole base was really job one. Job two to

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digitize the business, and we have a bold goal to

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have two hundred million digital users. While doing that, we've

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been working on fraud, waste and abuse.

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Speaker 9: Earlier today I talked.

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Speaker 8: About eight billion dollars of changes we've made. These inputs

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have not gone into in solvacy formula yet, and the

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amount that we're still going to work on is still

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not even uncovered. It was an organization that had a

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one percent araray. I've often said, we need to move

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that five digits to the right. That may not solve

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the whole problem, but up till now, we've never accounted

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for a well run organization. It's not the expenses of

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the organization, it's the expenses of the Trust Funds. So

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I'm optimistic that each year we'll chip away at it.

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At some point in time, the Trust Funds trustees, which

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I'm one of us, one of them along with you know, Congress,

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we'll see what's needed. But I think it's verymature because

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we're doing so much to fix the operations of the organization. Well,

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as I said before, first of all, I like us

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to think about it. You know that one hundred and

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thirty that we looked at goes to seventy two million Americans,

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but there's three hundred million Americans that we actually serve

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with the Social Security number and having the pure accuracy

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of that. If you think about the cost of the

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inaccuracies of a one percent errate on that, that's very

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very large. So I think the first thing, and you know,

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there's my one hundred day in the job. You heard

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the stats from the President on what we've done in

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terms of servicing, getting the systems up one hundred percent

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of the time. We had a website down twenty nine

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percent of the time. If those things don't work right,

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that's not causing out payments to work right.

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Speaker 9: So the next job is payment accuracy.

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Speaker 8: And as we whittle away at that, we'll come back

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with ideas and thoughts on how to make this a

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better performer and ultimately protect and preserve it for the

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next ninety years. I'd say, in that same interview, your

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good senator talked about us having half the staffing that

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we have. You know, so are a lot of things

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that that interview that I would throw out because the

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inaccuracy is field office is closing.

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Speaker 9: We haven't closed one field office.

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Speaker 8: We're going to serve the American public where they should

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be served. There's been a drumbeat of inaccuracies consistently while

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we're performing better than any other agency. And if you

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had a business, I took a company First Data. It

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was ten x levered, with twenty four and a half

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billion a debt and losing money, and we ultimately turned

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it into a great company. It's started by fixing the operations.

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Nobody wants to talk about that, but that's where all

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the money goes through. So I'm going to come back

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to my platform. It's have a vision for a digital

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first agency, have two hundred million digital users by the

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end of next year, have it run as a great

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payment company, which would be five digits to the right

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of one percent, and then we'll actually know what the

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nut might be.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so I don't know. He sounds a little wonky

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to me, but he's got a track record of turning

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around organizations that need financial turnarounds. So yeah, his name's

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Frank Bisignano, and he wants to get the operations fixed first.

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But he doesn't. He's not talking about Social Security going broke.

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He has a plan to fix it. And that's probably

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a good point of Benny. Even the President today introducing

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the new head of Social Security, I was talking about

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the fact that, hey, how about that, no more tax

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on Social Security, and it's just not true. The big

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beautiful bill, that's what President wanted, but that's not what

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came out of Congress. Social Security is still taxable, federal tax.

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I don't know about what your state says. Nine states

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imposed some income tax on Social Security, but what they

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did was not make Social Security untaxable. Still taxed, but

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if you are sixty five or older, you can claim

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six thousand dollars deduction. That's six thousand dollars for each

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of you if you're filing married, filing jointly, so it's

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a six thousand dollars deduction for tax years twenty twenty

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five through twenty twenty eight and basically until Donald Trump

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is out of office. So that's what he's doing, is

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giving you a deduction. The senior deduction is reduced by

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six percent if you have an income of above seventy

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adjusted gross income seventy five thousand dollars for singles, one

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hundred and fifty thousand dollars for joint filers, so you

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don't it's still taxable. You get a deduction six thousand

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dollars per nose for you, and if you're married, finally

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jointly for your spouse, and your income has to be

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below seventy five thousand single or one hundred and fifty

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thousand for a joint return. So according to the White

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House Council of Economic Advisors, apparently about twelve percent of

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seniors will still be paying taxes on Social Security. So

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I just want to correct it because it's talked about.

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Even the President's mentioned a couple of times about how

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there's no taxes on Social Security, and that's just not true.

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There is, but you've got to go through a deduction

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in order to get it. So I should have started

399
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with the top story of the day, which I'm being

400
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facetious about YouTube. Is a couple of stories about YouTube today.

401
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One of them is is that YouTube is going to

402
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start using AI to guess your age. They want to

403
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make some content, especially porn, not available to you if

404
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you're under eighteen. And what they're going to do to

405
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guess your age is they have your history of what

406
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you like to watch on YouTube. They also will look

407
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to see how old your account is and if it's

408
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been around a long time, and if it's If they

409
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guess that you're not an adult, and they prohibit you

410
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from watching certain YouTube channels you're going to have, you

411
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can get around it, but you've got to provide them,

412
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send them upload your driver's license, and I don't know

413
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what else to prove that you are an adult. The

414
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big story though about YouTube that I've been burying is

415
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Taylor Swift. Last night, she and Travis Kelsey, her boyfriend,

416
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,640
went on The Kelsey Brothers have a YouTube channel. It's

417
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about football, and she went on the first time she's

418
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ever done a podcast, and she went on with her

419
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boyfriend and his brother and disclosed her new album which

420
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is coming out. I don't know soon. Anyway, it crashed YouTube.

421
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YouTube has some pretty strong backbones, and the whole thing

422
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went down last night after I think an hour and

423
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they had to repost another twenty minutes of it later

424
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something like that. But Taylor Swift Swift crashed YouTube last

425
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night with Travis Kelsey. Economy, Well, this is let me

426
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just give you the facts here. It is a producer

427
00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:01,200
price index, the wholesale inflation rate, if you will. Producer

428
00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:05,480
price index was expected to go up two tenths of

429
00:26:05,519 --> 00:26:11,160
one percent. Instead it went up nine tenths of one percent.

430
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:16,480
The core rate when you thaw out food and energy

431
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was also up nine tenths So year over year, inflation

432
00:26:21,519 --> 00:26:25,279
at the core rate at the producer level wholesale level

433
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now up to three point three percent. That is much

434
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higher than had been expected. And the FED is going

435
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to be meeting mid September, and they got to be

436
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:40,400
looking at this and going, oh boy, this is more

437
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:43,279
inflation than we thought it would be. So will the Fed,

438
00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:48,519
which the Federal Fund's Future Market is estimating ninety three

439
00:26:48,599 --> 00:26:51,079
percent chance that they're going to be cutting interest rates

440
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,160
by a quarter of a percent in September. But with

441
00:26:54,319 --> 00:26:56,839
this kind of news, you know, there's going to be

442
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,079
some of the members of the Open Market Committee that

443
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:01,799
are going to say, I don't know, inflation looks like

444
00:27:01,839 --> 00:27:06,880
it's starting to show its ugly head. So this is

445
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:09,839
not good news for the Fed. They're going to have

446
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:13,599
to still. The market's betting they're still going to drop

447
00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:16,759
interest rates. But this is a question of are we

448
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:23,240
starting to see little dribs and drabs of inflation coming

449
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:29,319
from tariffs. It's too soon to tell. Tariffs take a

450
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,960
long time to work their way through the economy. President

451
00:27:33,039 --> 00:27:37,519
was also talking about that again today, about the trillions

452
00:27:37,559 --> 00:27:39,920
he says that we have collected. I think it's in

453
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the tens of billions. It's a lot of money that

454
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:46,200
we've collected because of tariffs. And I have to ask

455
00:27:46,559 --> 00:27:51,240
you to ask the question who is paying the trillions

456
00:27:51,279 --> 00:27:56,720
of dollars to the US Treasury. Mostly it's from consumers. Now,

457
00:27:56,720 --> 00:28:00,839
there are some companies that are eating that charge and

458
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:03,400
not passing it on, but a lot of them are,

459
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:06,920
and a lot of them are saying that they're eating

460
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:09,359
the charge for now, but they can't keep that up forever.

461
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So if when every time he brags about the huge

462
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:16,759
amount of money that's coming in from tariffs. Just remember,

463
00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:20,519
somebody's paying that. And despite what he says, he has

464
00:28:20,599 --> 00:28:23,519
it wrong. He's always had it wrong. He says foreign

465
00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:29,039
countries pay it. No, they do not. It's that simple,

466
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,519
So let's talk. A job report also came out first

467
00:28:33,559 --> 00:28:38,000
time jobs claims two hundred and twenty four thousand. That's

468
00:28:38,119 --> 00:28:41,599
down from we were estimating two hundred and twenty nine thousand.

469
00:28:42,359 --> 00:28:46,000
Continuing claims long term claims a million, nine hundred and

470
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:53,799
fifty three thousand, that's down fifteen thousand. So one of

471
00:28:53,799 --> 00:28:56,680
the economists that is a professor at the Stanford Graduate

472
00:28:56,720 --> 00:29:00,720
School of Business. His name is Josh Ruaw. He is

473
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:07,359
not seen tariff inflation yet yet. Is the operative word here?

474
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Speaker 10: He is, Well, it's a toasting number. But I think

475
00:29:10,839 --> 00:29:13,599
this PPI index, it's pretty volatile. I don't think you

476
00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:15,559
can read too much into this. One thing I noticed

477
00:29:15,559 --> 00:29:18,200
that we haven't mentioned yet is that the services component

478
00:29:18,279 --> 00:29:20,920
is actually up more strongly the than the goods component.

479
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,359
And if you're you're thinking it could be about terrorifts,

480
00:29:23,359 --> 00:29:26,759
well you expect to see more in goods. So I

481
00:29:26,759 --> 00:29:30,880
think it generally reflects possibly somewhat hotter demand than we

482
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:34,640
had thought. It may slightly temper what the FED would

483
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:38,720
be thinking for the September meeting, but not by too much.

484
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:41,000
And I also would want to underscore what you were

485
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:44,400
discussing before, which is that the Fed should not be

486
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:48,640
responding to price changes that would be driven by tariffs.

487
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:50,640
I'm not seeing I mean, for the CPI, you had

488
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:54,519
to squint real hard to see evidence of tariffs in there.

489
00:29:54,799 --> 00:29:56,960
On the this PPI as well. You know, I think

490
00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:59,440
we got we got to digest the numbers. I'm not

491
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:03,680
seeing it. So in any case, it's I think it's

492
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:05,880
a volatile index. I think we're we're gonna have to

493
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:08,119
wait and see what comes out with the PCE and

494
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:09,480
the jobs numbers in early September.

495
00:30:09,519 --> 00:30:13,119
Speaker 1: Of course, so those are the numbers inflation at the

496
00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:17,240
wholesale level hotter than expected. The big question then becomes

497
00:30:18,559 --> 00:30:22,039
do you believe the numbers? This is where we are now.

498
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:25,839
We had the person that ran the Bureau of Labor

499
00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:30,079
Statistics who was fired for incompetence. President Trump is just

500
00:30:30,119 --> 00:30:34,039
appointed AJ and Tony to be the new head of

501
00:30:34,079 --> 00:30:38,200
this And the question about AJ is is he political

502
00:30:38,799 --> 00:30:41,759
and is this a number that is going to be

503
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:45,599
driven by politics or is it really driven by good

504
00:30:45,799 --> 00:30:50,079
economic stats. Back to Josh Ruaw, what I.

505
00:30:50,039 --> 00:30:52,119
Speaker 10: Do think about AJ Anthony is that some of his

506
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:55,559
statistical analyzes are not of the highest quality. I'd like

507
00:30:55,559 --> 00:30:57,559
to see somebody really high quality that job, like maybe

508
00:30:57,599 --> 00:30:59,440
somebody from Silicon Valley, where I'm from here.

509
00:30:59,880 --> 00:31:01,640
Speaker 1: I don't know what that was about. He's a professor

510
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:06,680
at Stanford, so he's really into Silicon Valley where Stanford

511
00:31:06,759 --> 00:31:12,480
is located. Another economic stat out of California was Port

512
00:31:12,519 --> 00:31:15,640
of Los Angeles said that they said an all time

513
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:20,720
record last month, they had more than one million containers

514
00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,480
that were unloaded at the Port of LA. That is

515
00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:28,720
a record. They said. The reason was people were simply

516
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:32,039
trying to beat the tariffs that are coming, so they've

517
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,799
ordered as much as they can before the tariffs went

518
00:31:34,839 --> 00:31:38,480
into effect. So Port of LA had a great July.

519
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:42,680
Let's see how they do this month or next. And

520
00:31:42,759 --> 00:31:45,880
late word coming out of California this afternoon is Governor

521
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:50,799
Newsom held a news conference and basically said that they

522
00:31:50,839 --> 00:31:55,200
are going to put on the ballot in November a

523
00:31:55,319 --> 00:32:01,240
plea to the voters of California to temper rare give

524
00:32:01,359 --> 00:32:05,359
them the power The politicians in California the power to

525
00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:09,599
draw congressional lines trying to fight what Texas is doing.

526
00:32:10,119 --> 00:32:12,119
They want to read district because they think they can

527
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:15,039
get five more Democrats out of the state of California.

528
00:32:15,079 --> 00:32:19,920
I don't know, it's maybe maybe one or two, but

529
00:32:20,119 --> 00:32:25,440
it is. The people took the power away from the

530
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:29,799
politicians a number of years ago of saying we don't

531
00:32:29,799 --> 00:32:33,480
want you drawing the congressional districts anymore because you've messed

532
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:37,319
it all up. So they have an independent commission that

533
00:32:38,079 --> 00:32:40,720
I believe they put it in the state constitution. Independent

534
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:44,839
commission has to draw the lines, not the politicians. And

535
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:46,960
new some today said they're going to put a ballot

536
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,920
measure up for the people to vote in California in

537
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:54,319
November that will allow the give it back temporarily to

538
00:32:54,440 --> 00:33:00,119
the politicians to redraw the lines in twenty six, twenty seven, eight,

539
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:03,599
and twenty nine, and then go back to the normal

540
00:33:03,799 --> 00:33:07,880
commission drawing of the lines in twenty thirty. So we'll

541
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:11,160
wait till November to see what the people of California

542
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,839
go for that or not. Right now, latest poll taken today,

543
00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:18,839
sixty four percent of the people in California want to

544
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:22,440
keep the Independent Commission, thirty six percent want to give

545
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:27,359
it back to the politician. So Governor Newsom has some

546
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:30,519
work to do if he wants at the past on

547
00:33:30,559 --> 00:33:33,480
the market today, stock market, well, they got the news

548
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,839
this morning before the market opened that inflation at the

549
00:33:36,839 --> 00:33:39,880
wholesale level was much hotter than had been expected. So

550
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:43,839
when the market opened, the dow took a dive, went

551
00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:46,559
down about two hundred points, stayed there for most of

552
00:33:46,599 --> 00:33:50,960
the session, but worked its way back to finish down eleven.

553
00:33:51,759 --> 00:33:56,160
The Dow at forty four and nine eleven. SMP went

554
00:33:56,240 --> 00:34:00,799
up two points, NASDAK went down two points. Price of

555
00:34:00,839 --> 00:34:04,079
gold it filled twenty six dollars to thirty three point

556
00:34:04,079 --> 00:34:07,440
eighty two, and oil popped up a little bit today

557
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:10,239
a buck and a half up to sixty four dollars

558
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:14,480
now for one barrel of oil. All right, Tomorrow Friday,

559
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:19,159
we've got the big meeting between President Putin and President Trump.

560
00:34:20,039 --> 00:34:22,440
We'll see how that affects the news of the day.

561
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,360
In the meantime, have yourself a wonderful rest of your

562
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:27,119
day to day. We'll see you tomorrow.

