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<v Speaker 2>KRC the talk station.

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<v Speaker 1>Happy Tuesday always made it extra special because now it's

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<v Speaker 1>the time we get a Daniel Davis deep dive retired

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<v Speaker 1>Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis. Always a distinct pleasure to have

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<v Speaker 1>you on the fifty five KRC Morning Show. Sir, welcome back.

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<v Speaker 2>Thanks for having me. Brian.

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<v Speaker 1>Always a treasure to be here. I appreciate that, and

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<v Speaker 1>I enjoy our conversations. Very enlightening and of course sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>a bit sobering, most notably for those folks who continue

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<v Speaker 1>to want to support Ukraine in the face of what

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<v Speaker 1>appears to be growing disaster.

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<v Speaker 2>I see.

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<v Speaker 1>First sentence of this Russian forces conquer large Dontesk stronghold.

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<v Speaker 1>Russian Federation forces have unstoppable momentum in the Dawnask region,

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<v Speaker 1>with a string of victories and the noticeable weaking of

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<v Speaker 1>the Ukrainian defenses. One Swiss paper Noya Zich Zaeitung, the

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<v Speaker 1>military situation in eastern Ukraine has deteriorated sharply. Defense lines

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<v Speaker 1>have collapsed in various parts of the front. I struggle

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<v Speaker 1>to find really any good news for the Ukrainians at

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<v Speaker 1>this moment in time.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, there's not any. On the battlefield.

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<v Speaker 3>I can assure you that because concurrent with that information

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<v Speaker 3>there's also reports from the Ukraine side from their minister

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<v Speaker 3>I'm sorry, from their Forstar General Serski, the guy in

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<v Speaker 3>charge of their own forces, that they're saying, hey, we're

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<v Speaker 3>not recruiting enough people even to meet losses. So the

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<v Speaker 3>number of losses they have per month is not offset

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<v Speaker 3>by the new people coming in. And what that tells you,

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<v Speaker 3>aside from just that it's the numbers the net net

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<v Speaker 3>is shrinking, it also tells you that they every time

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<v Speaker 3>they get somebody with some experience, they get killed or

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<v Speaker 3>taken off the battlefield and they come in with the

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<v Speaker 3>fresh so they are constantly getting rid of all their experience.

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<v Speaker 3>At the same time, you also have new reports that

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<v Speaker 3>two additional brigades that newly formed brigades one was trained

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<v Speaker 3>in France and one seven hundred people fled the battlefield

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<v Speaker 3>before they even left and got to the front. Then

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<v Speaker 3>they had another one on one fifty seventh brigade just

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<v Speaker 3>this week also collapsed and went away before it even

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<v Speaker 3>got to the front. So there's two new formations of

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<v Speaker 3>the less than they're getting for replacements are falling apart.

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<v Speaker 3>And then they fired a lot of these committee, they

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<v Speaker 3>fired the ground forces commander for the Eastern Front.

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<v Speaker 2>You see, the wheels are literally.

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<v Speaker 3>Coming off, and the question is how much longer can

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<v Speaker 3>they continue to function as a coherent unit.

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<v Speaker 2>And I don't think it's that much longer, Well that

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<v Speaker 2>much longer a months, weeks? How long is this gonna lae?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean at some point that there's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>east an absolute collapse, and an absolute then I would

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<v Speaker 1>argue perhaps Russian victory across the board, or they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to be forced to sit down a negotiation table and

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<v Speaker 1>seed some of their land to get it resolved.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, that's exactly the issue here. So you have a

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<v Speaker 3>couple of different possibilities. One is like what happened to

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<v Speaker 3>the Germans in World War Two. They were just methodically

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<v Speaker 3>just pushed all the way to the west by the

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<v Speaker 3>Soviet Union and they just continued to crumble, but they

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<v Speaker 3>stayed at least coherent all the way through. The losses

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<v Speaker 3>got bigger, got the losses got faster toward the end,

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<v Speaker 3>but they just continued on until literally they just.

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<v Speaker 2>Cease to exist in Berlin.

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<v Speaker 3>Or you have what happened to the British and French

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<v Speaker 3>in May nineteen forty, where the Germans, then on the

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<v Speaker 3>positive side, broke through the lines, got in the back

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<v Speaker 3>of their defenses and then the whole thing just collapsed.

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<v Speaker 3>So overnight you had the entire army collapse. And so

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<v Speaker 3>either of those two things are possible. Both are bad

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<v Speaker 3>for Ukraine. Both are bad for Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 1>Now with this, I would argue, anyxt maybe you should

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<v Speaker 1>call it this way. This positive momentum the Russians are

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<v Speaker 1>currently enjoying, does that suggest to you they're less likely

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<v Speaker 1>to want to sit down and negotiate a resolution of it.

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<v Speaker 3>Do you think they're just going to keep at it? Well,

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<v Speaker 3>this is the reality. They are definitely willing to have

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<v Speaker 3>a negotiated settlement. They have been emphatic about that from

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<v Speaker 3>the beginning. They're emphatic about it right now. But that's

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<v Speaker 3>not the same thing that may be in the mind

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<v Speaker 3>of Trump or his supporters, which is that they think

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<v Speaker 3>that they can negotiate a good deal at the current

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<v Speaker 3>line of contact that's going to be good for Zelensky

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<v Speaker 3>and good for Kiev. That's just not in the cards,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm afraid, Brian. What he's saying the Russian side is

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<v Speaker 3>saying we'll negotiate for all the land that we want,

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<v Speaker 3>which means land you haven't lost in battle yet, all

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<v Speaker 3>of the administrative orders of those four provinces, and if

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<v Speaker 3>they don't get those, and that of course that also

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<v Speaker 3>includes and plads that Zelensky has to go.

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<v Speaker 2>That's actually part of it.

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<v Speaker 3>They said they won't sign a deal with him because

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<v Speaker 3>he's exceeded his mandate and they said he's not legitimate.

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<v Speaker 2>We need you guys to have an election.

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<v Speaker 3>So there's somebody that we can negotiate or sign a

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<v Speaker 3>deal with.

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<v Speaker 2>And there has to.

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<v Speaker 3>Be, of course, a declaration of no NATO, no troops,

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<v Speaker 3>no peacekeeping troops, none of that stuff, or they'll just

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<v Speaker 3>keep fighting until they win it.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, And that's because they all the negotiation ships

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<v Speaker 1>on their side right now. Now, to those out there

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<v Speaker 1>that think this is a battle that's worth continuing to

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<v Speaker 1>wage and somehow magically Ukraine's going to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>bounce back and defend themselves, what do you perceive any

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<v Speaker 1>existential threat or other threat to NATO or the European

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<v Speaker 1>Union generally speaking, if Russia ends up taking over Ukraine completely.

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<v Speaker 3>No, and that's what's been said, really from the outset

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<v Speaker 3>of this war from the West, if they keep saying,

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<v Speaker 3>oh my god, if.

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<v Speaker 2>We don't stop him here, he'll come and roll here.

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<v Speaker 3>No, there's the Russians don't have the capacity in my view,

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, they don't even have the capacity if they

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<v Speaker 3>had the desire.

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<v Speaker 2>They don't have the capacity.

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<v Speaker 3>To launch into a war in you in NATO because

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<v Speaker 3>they know it doesn't even matter so much whether they're military.

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<v Speaker 3>They're conventional military could defeat the West, and probably in

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<v Speaker 3>the Baltics they could because the Russian army is now

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<v Speaker 3>because we didn't end this early. Instead of the about

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<v Speaker 3>one million it was in February twenty twenty two, it's

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<v Speaker 3>now it's one point five million active duty troops now,

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<v Speaker 3>troops that are sustained, they're trained, they've got the lot

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<v Speaker 3>of combat experience, and their industrial capacity behind them is

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<v Speaker 3>like a juggernaut. But they understand that if they go

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<v Speaker 3>into NATO now, then you have Article five issues in

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<v Speaker 3>three nuclear powers on the other side that could come

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<v Speaker 3>into play, and Russia's not gonna want to say, hey,

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<v Speaker 3>we fought this whole war to get security on our

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<v Speaker 3>western flank and then we're going to take action that

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<v Speaker 3>almost certainly would precipitate a nuclear response from the other side.

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<v Speaker 3>They're not going to do that because it's not in

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<v Speaker 3>their interest to do so, not because we have to

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<v Speaker 3>trust them or anything else, it's just not in their interest.

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<v Speaker 2>So if we bring.

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<v Speaker 3>This to an end, then all this stuff gets off

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<v Speaker 3>the table, and there's this ugly business of reconstruction and

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<v Speaker 3>world that's gonna go. It's going to linger for a generation.

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<v Speaker 3>But better to start that now than later on.

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<v Speaker 2>With even more death.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean, and I just have to observe it's

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<v Speaker 1>taking Russia this long to get as far as they

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<v Speaker 1>did in one single country. So compare that exactly the

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<v Speaker 1>entire might of the United States and the entire NATO countries.

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<v Speaker 1>So I concur with your assessment on that as much

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<v Speaker 1>tea leaf reading as we can do pivoting over your

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<v Speaker 1>I like, generally speaking, Pete Heegsas's message, which is we

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<v Speaker 1>are going to establish a military fighting force. Donald Trump's

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<v Speaker 1>not an executive order getting rid of DEI and I

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<v Speaker 1>have no idea what that has to do with killing

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<v Speaker 1>people and breaking things, But I have a more optimistic

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<v Speaker 1>positive view of the direction of America's military With Pete

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<v Speaker 1>Pete Hegsath at the realm and the getting rid of

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<v Speaker 1>DEI what's your perception on that one?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you know, in the like the eleventh hour, just

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<v Speaker 3>before the vote was taken, there was a number there

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<v Speaker 3>was senate debate and some of those who were against

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<v Speaker 3>him were saying, look, there was why do you have

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<v Speaker 3>to go up to this guy that's never been in

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<v Speaker 3>charge of a big company. H He wasn't a general,

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<v Speaker 3>so he wasn't in charge of a lot of troops.

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<v Speaker 3>He was only a major and that was relatively low

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<v Speaker 3>level in terms of the hierarchy of the army. And

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<v Speaker 3>they said, why wouldn't you go after somebody that that's

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<v Speaker 3>in the Republican Party, that's like has been, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>in all of these kinds of categories. And they said,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, like Mark Esper or like James Mattis. You know,

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<v Speaker 3>those are the guys they had these past ninety eight

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<v Speaker 3>to two, etc. And I'm liking, Okay, that's the last

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<v Speaker 3>thing that we need right now. Those are status quo

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<v Speaker 3>guys that don't want to change anything, that were very unsuccess.

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<v Speaker 3>You may remember James Mattison actually left office and because

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<v Speaker 3>he had a tantrum that Trump wanted to withdraw our

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<v Speaker 3>troops from Syria, so he resigned over that.

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<v Speaker 2>So he pushed back.

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<v Speaker 3>Not only would he not support the president, he didn't

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<v Speaker 3>have the foresight to see that that's not in America's interest, right,

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<v Speaker 3>that's not the person. We need, somebody from the status

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<v Speaker 3>quo who's been in the defense industry and all this

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<v Speaker 3>kind of stuff. We need somebody with some fresh thinking.

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<v Speaker 3>Now Hegseith doesn't come in with a great view. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>he's got some genuine skeletons in his closet and that

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<v Speaker 3>has to be considered.

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<v Speaker 2>But his focus and what he's saying.

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<v Speaker 3>Anyway, and I give him. I'm going to give him

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<v Speaker 3>the benefit of the doubt and give him a chance

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<v Speaker 3>to say if he's going to action with his words.

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<v Speaker 3>He says he wants to reform the military. Wants to

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<v Speaker 3>bring the warrior ethos back, which as the warfighter that

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<v Speaker 3>excites me. He wants to bring high standards back in

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<v Speaker 3>one standard for everybody.

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<v Speaker 2>You either meet it or you move out.

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<v Speaker 3>The bottom line is what is going to make the

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<v Speaker 3>army stronger or the military stronger?

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<v Speaker 1>And that is the right focus. Well, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>that will assist in large measure to get more people

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<v Speaker 1>interested in enlisting, because I think all this woke ideology

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<v Speaker 1>has really turned off a lot of very patriotic young

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<v Speaker 1>people who otherwise might have signed up to serve their country.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I totally agree, that's that's part of what the

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<v Speaker 3>what the at least what they're saying. I looked at

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<v Speaker 3>one of the executive orders that talked about the de

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<v Speaker 3>I stuff, and they're not saying they don't want any

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<v Speaker 3>more equality or you know, opportunity anything like that. They're

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<v Speaker 3>not saying this is against anyone. They're just saying they

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<v Speaker 3>don't want something that basically gives quotas and saying that

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<v Speaker 3>you have to have a certain amount of these categories

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<v Speaker 3>in higher positions, because now then you're you're elevating people

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<v Speaker 3>based on a criteria other than merits, other than do

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<v Speaker 3>they deserve it or not. And the focus is not

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<v Speaker 3>on making the military stronger, it's on making sure it

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<v Speaker 3>meets DEI stuff, which is not the same thing. And

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<v Speaker 3>so I want to make sure I hope they don't

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<v Speaker 3>go too far with that where they you know, it

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<v Speaker 3>goes back to where people are pushed down or certain

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<v Speaker 3>groups are minimized, and they don't get a fair shot.

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<v Speaker 3>We don't want that, but we do want merit based promotions.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, you're I mean, sexuality has nothing to do with it.

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<v Speaker 1>You have the appropriate merit and skill sets to do

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<v Speaker 1>any given job. So I'm with you on that all

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<v Speaker 1>day long. And briefly, let's pivot over to Tulsi Gabbard

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<v Speaker 1>National Intelligence. She's somewhat controversial. I know that she was

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<v Speaker 1>in favor of Edward Snowden, wanted him pardon, and I

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<v Speaker 1>person don't have an issue with that. I think the

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<v Speaker 1>world is a better place for knowing what we know

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<v Speaker 1>after the snowed and release, but also previously against reauthorization

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<v Speaker 1>of FIZA section seven oh two, which I have judged

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<v Speaker 1>a Polaitano on every Wednesday, and boy, that's something that

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<v Speaker 1>he just finds absolutely an offense to the Fourth Amendment.

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<v Speaker 1>But she's flipped her position on that and now is

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<v Speaker 1>in favor of it. What's your take on Tulsa Gabbard. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>let's look at that part first. That's not accurate.

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<v Speaker 3>That's what's being characterized in some parts of the media

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<v Speaker 3>that she flipped on it.

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<v Speaker 2>She did not flip on it.

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<v Speaker 3>When you look bad, I've had I featured this on

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<v Speaker 3>my show. When you look at what she said at

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<v Speaker 3>the time she was against seven oh two, it was

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<v Speaker 3>just seven oh two. She expressly said as a member

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<v Speaker 3>of Congress when she voted against it was that we said,

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<v Speaker 3>we need some of these provisions for our national security

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<v Speaker 3>and our intelligence service definitely needed, but we need protections

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<v Speaker 3>and reform so that we don't get into the Fourth

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<v Speaker 3>Amendment parts.

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<v Speaker 2>She has said nothing different than that.

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<v Speaker 3>Now, what she has said in recent days was that

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<v Speaker 3>there has been some changes that lessened her concerns about

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<v Speaker 3>the Fourth Amendment part, but that keeps the issues for

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<v Speaker 3>the security part.

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<v Speaker 2>So she didn't flip.

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<v Speaker 3>But she has so many enemies, Brian, I'm telling you

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<v Speaker 3>because she is gonna faithfully say whatever the intelligence says,

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<v Speaker 3>that's what gets put before the President of the United States.

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<v Speaker 3>The deep I had to take to say deep stake

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<v Speaker 3>the establishment. They don't want somebody like Gabbard in there.

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<v Speaker 3>They want somebody in there like themselves that's gonna give

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<v Speaker 3>what kind of They're gonna pick and choose what kind

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<v Speaker 3>of intelligence goes to the president that fosters the.

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<v Speaker 2>Opinion that, well, you have to use military force.

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<v Speaker 3>They all they do is They want somebody that's like them,

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<v Speaker 3>that's gonna keep saying force for force, military, military. They

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<v Speaker 3>don't want somebody that may say, hey, sir, intelligence says this,

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<v Speaker 3>so we actually don't need to use military power here.

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<v Speaker 3>We can use other instruments of national military power. She

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<v Speaker 3>is gonna faithfully do that. She's been consistent from the front,

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<v Speaker 3>and she is always focused on what's good for America.

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<v Speaker 3>I think she may be the best pick on the cabinet.

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<v Speaker 3>How about that? Coming through loud and clear on that one.

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<v Speaker 3>Daniel Davis Deep Dive. You can find his podcast online.

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<v Speaker 3>Just search Daniel Davis Deep Dive. You run right into

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<v Speaker 3>it and you can always tune in every Tuesday at

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<v Speaker 3>the bottom of the eight o'clock hour for another edition

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<v Speaker 3>of the Daniel Davis Deep Dive. Always great talk with you, sir.

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<v Speaker 3>It's my pleasure. I'll look forward to another one next Tuesday.

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<v Speaker 2>See you next week, Brian. Have a great week.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a forty coun eighty forty one, I fifty have

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<v Speaker 1>krcdtalk station and we're gonna learn about cervical cancer. It

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<v Speaker 1>is Cervical Cancer Awareness Month. One of the great doctors

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<v Speaker 1>for my cancer doctors OHC is going to join the

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<v Speaker 1>program next and enlighten us about that what we need

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<v Speaker 1>to look for and watch out for.

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<v Speaker 2>Stick around, I hope you can.

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<v Speaker 3>This is fifty five karc an iHeartRadio station.

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<v Speaker 1>Are you dreaming of a smile that is as brilliant

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<v Speaker 1>as it is natural