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Speaker 1: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.

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This is wager Talk Today, and I am your host,

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Andy Lang. It is Friday. Weekend. Board is loaded. We

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got UFC, we have MLB, We've got WNBA and more

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recovering it all today, so you're gonna be ready to

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fire off into Saturday and Sunday. Let's close the week

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strong and stack some wins. Johnny is recording UFC, so

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you get another one of Andy's patented steam reports. Buckle up, Toyo,

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Brady's gonna join us. We're gonna talk Mariners and the Tigers.

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Marco's gonna give us his thoughts on the Phillies and Padres,

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plus the Dream and the Fever. Andrew Babikidis is gonna

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join us to talk the UFC fight card, and then

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we're gonna break down the Chiefs season win total eleven

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and a half. This was the easiest research I've ever

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had to do on a team. Dan already knows where

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I'm going with this one, so let's get started. Hit

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the like button. You guys know what to do. Happy Friday, everyone,

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Let's take a look at the Steam report. I'm actually

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gonna go to basketball here real quick. And if you're

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taking a look at Summer League, money's come in on

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Atlanta versus Miami. Miami opened up minus five, that's down

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to minus three. Little bit of money has come in

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on Detroit, a little bit of money has come in

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on Charlotte. Looks like money definitely has come in on Toronto.

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They opened up at minus five and a half. They're

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up to minus six and a half. And money has

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come in on Golden State. They opened at minus three

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and a half, up to minus four and a half.

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And if we're looking at WNBA, I mean the Seattle

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opens up at minus sixteen and a half, minus sixteen

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and a half against the poor Connecticut Son, you're thinking, well,

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no way money is coming in on a minus sixteen

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and a half. Oh yeah, oh yeah, They're all the

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way up to minus eighteen and a half. They are

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fading the Connecticut Son who are really really struggling. Not

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a whole lot going in on baseball, Money's come in

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a little bit on Washington both games that the White

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Sox are playing, money has come in on them. And

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money has come in on the Kansas City Royals. What

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an icky? I Actually, let's let's bring in Tokyo Brandon,

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because I have to get his thoughts on this. Bring

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bring in, Bring in Tokyo, brand in here, Tokyo. How

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many days can you say money is coming in on

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the Royals and both of the White Sox games. This

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this feels like it doesn't happen very often. Do you

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agree with those moves?

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Speaker 2: Oh, it does not happen very often, but at least

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it's not the Colorado Rockies. Actually, the Royals are Royals

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are not that horrible of the team, and Waka is

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not that bad of a picture. I'm not really surprised

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to see money coming in on him. We don't really

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know what to expect from Senga. Senga's pretty solid, but

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he's been off for a month. So, uh, what was

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the other team?

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Speaker 1: The Royals? And then both of the games on the

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White Sox. I know I heard you. I heard yeah,

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I heard you talking about the White Sox on total

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basis earlier today, So I know you do agree with

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that one.

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Speaker 2: Yes, the White Sox, especially uh.

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Speaker 1: In their game two. I like them.

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Speaker 2: The White Socks are actually a team that were expected

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to be the worst team in baseball this season, and

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they're not so that that goes to the Colorado Rockies.

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But I think there are two other teams that are

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actually worse than the White Sox. The White Sox can

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hit pretty well, and their bullpens not that bad. So

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I do understand the money coming in for White Sox and.

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Speaker 1: For the Royals.

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Speaker 3: Actually, if you told me.

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Speaker 2: That that money was coming in on the Rockies, I

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would be flabbergasted.

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Speaker 1: It is not. It's all Cincinnati money.

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Speaker 3: It never knows.

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Speaker 1: One penny coming in on the Colorado Rockies. Now a

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little bit of under on the on the Rockies and

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Red so Yes, Yes, the chat has sniffed this out.

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Happy schooball day, everybody. We're going to talk Mariners and

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the Tigers. I know the Tigers have been very polarizing

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team in the betting markets this year, so let's talk

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about this game today. Of course, we have scoot Ball

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going for the Tigers, we have Castillo going for the Mariners,

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and of course Detroit is going to be a favorite.

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But wow, minus two sixty with an over under of seven, Tokyo,

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what's your breakdown on this game? Nope, do we lose?

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Do we lose? Tokyo?

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Speaker 3: Brandon, we can You're muted Brandon, you can't hear me?

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Speaker 1: Nah? Here good?

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Speaker 2: Okay, the Tigers are probably the best mediocre MLB team

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in history, and they have a great record for being mediocre.

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So but yeah, there's no doubt that Scooble is an

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absolute stud.

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Speaker 3: He is the man.

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Speaker 2: I have him ranked number one out of two hundred

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and twenty starting pitchers in Major League Baseball. There's no

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doubt he's He's a ridiculously good talent. But let's talk.

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Let's take a look at how these teams match up together. Yes,

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I do have the Tigers with slightly better lineup here,

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but still I have them only ranked sixteen out of

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thirty teams. Both bullpens right around the Mendos a mediocre

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line and Scooball obviously is a great picture. Louis Castillo

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going for the Mariners, I have him ranked. I curve

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my starting pictures to thirty so I can compare them

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with bullpens and batting, and I have Castillo ranked fourteen

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out of thirty, so a little bit above mediocre. But

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what I really like about this matchup is how Castillo

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has handled these Tiger batters in his history. If you

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take a look at how He's handled them throughout his history.

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He has a two thirty five batting average against and

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a five eighty five OPS. Now, since I was a

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scout for a major league team, I always take OPS

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seven point fifty over under as a tell whether this

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picture is good or bad. Against these batters, five eighty

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five is incredible, So I think Castillo will be able

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to handle these batters at least a little bit. If

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you look at Castillo's recent starts, he's been pretty good.

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He had one clunker and the rest he's been pretty solid.

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Taking a look at the team totals, here is the

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way I'm going to go because I really don't trust

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Seattle on a side, but for a team total, I

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think the Detroit Tigers team total at four and a

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half is way too high. I think this is gonna

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be one of those two to one, three to two

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kind of games. I don't even know if Detroit's gonna win.

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But with Scooble, what is he ten and two or

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something like that, So I'm not betting. I'm not dumb

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enough to bet against Scooble, but I do want to

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use the fact that Castillo has a great history against

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these batters, so I think the Tigers four and a

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half under would be the way to go in this game.

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Speaker 1: We have a question from Crypto Chrome forty five says,

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do you like Baltimore over the Marlins today or even

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Dean Kramer strikeout props? Any of those on your radar today, Brandon,

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Let's take a look.

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Speaker 2: Miami is one of those teams that actually hits quite well,

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and Baltimore has been hitting quite well too. I've never

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been a fan of Kremer though. Unfortunately, let's see, we

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got Cabrera going for Miami, is that right? Yeah? So

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the way these turn out, yeah, I have Miami a

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slight favorite here as far as my numbers are concerned,

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as far as starting pitchers are concerned, I have Kremer

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and Cabrera pretty equal. Miami's got a great bullpen. I mean,

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they're one of those teams that everyone thinks is just crap.

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They're not as crap as you think. Their bullpen is

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really good. They have a lot of young talent that

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nobody's ever heard of. Baltimore does have a slight advantage

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in the lineup, but overall, I see Miami as a

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slight favorite in this game, and looking at the line

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right now, they're plus one fifteen. I wouldn't. I wouldn't.

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I wouldn't chew you out for taking a plus one

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fifteen with the Marlins today.

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Speaker 1: We don't want to be chewed out by Brandon.

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Speaker 4: Two.

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Speaker 1: You like Tobacco, Titan CT Any thoughts on Rangers over

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eight and a half A little bit of plus money

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here on this game? What's your thoughts on the Rangers.

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Speaker 2: The Rangers and Astros? Yeah, Lighter Leader, I'm not the

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last time I mispronounced his name. Everyone chewed me out.

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I'm gonna call him lighter So last time he pitched, well,

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I'm not the last time he pitched. The whole season

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he's pitched, he's not been very good. Mccullor's is a

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guy who used to be in absolute stud came back

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from injury. He hasn't been performing very well as of late.

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I do like Lighters walks. He walks a lot of guys.

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So if you can get his walk prop over one

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and a half, I think he'll definitely walk. Well, nothing's

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definite in sports betting, but I think he is a

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candidate to walk at least two batters in this game.

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Looking at the lineups, They're both top five lineups in

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MLB currently, So the way I do my lines I

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current form is a big part of my cap and

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both of these teams in current form are top five

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right now. Texas's bullpen is awful right now and Houston's

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is pretty average, and both starting pitchers I have them

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around the average line So yeah, if anything, I would

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definitely go with a with an over in this game?

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Is it nine? Was it nine? Nine might be a

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little high. I would try to either alt that or

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get maybe a team total. If one of these teams

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is three and a half, maybe take the over on that.

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But nine is a dicey proposition here. I'm seeing eight

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and a half, so I wouldn't I wouldn't be shy

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from eight and a half in this game, Andrew.

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Speaker 1: Last question here for you, Brandon. Andrew was wondering, if

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we take the bullpens out of that Detroit Tigers game

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Tigers and Mariners, would you look at maybe a first

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five under a no run first inning. I'm looking at

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the Detroit Tigers. It's a little juicy, but you know,

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for example, the Tigers under two and a half minus

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one fifty four for their team total. Mariners half a

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run for their team total in the first five. Is

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that something that you would look at or you're more

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comforab with the full game in this one?

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Speaker 2: Well, I do have a five percent play today, guys,

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so go grab my five percent play before I talk

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about that. But yes, actually Scooble's numbers against these batters

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are not exactly great. Again, I'm a little shy to

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bet against Schooble, but he does have an over seven

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to fifty oh ps in his career against these batters,

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albeit the sample size is a little small. However, I

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think the Astros can score one run in the first

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five innings on him, so I would not be shy

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to take the over zero point five in the first

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five if that's what their team total is. Regarding the

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Tigers team total under two and a half in the

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first five, I wouldn't mind that either, but I think

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there's more value in taking four and a half for

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the full game. I don't see the logic in taking

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the bullpen out of the game. I wouldn't argue with it,

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but I just don't see the logic in doing that.

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I think it's much more difficult to get them to

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score five in the full game than it would be

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to get for them to score three in the first five.

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So either way, I would go with that. I haven't

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seen what the odds are for either one. I'd take

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the one with the better odds in that situation.

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Speaker 1: You know, I was just getting ready to say. I

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was like, anytime they give me over half a run,

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shouldn't you just take it? And then I'm looking at

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Scooball's game log and he's got fourteen straight innings of

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shutout ball, would have lost in his last two starts.

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It's like, it's just crazy tried.

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Speaker 2: To Yeah, it's tough. I hate against him and I hate,

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you know, putting money saying that a team is going

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to do something against him because he is the best

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pitcher in all of MLB, hands down, and I don't

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think there's any argument. But these batters, I've gotten to

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him before, So if anyone's going to do it, it's

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these guys. Maybe one run there, but I would much

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prefer to take the Tigers team total under either first

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five or full game.

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Speaker 1: All Right, you said mentioned, yeah you beat me to it.

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You mentioned you got a five percent best bet that

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is up. Tell us about that and Yeah, you got

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some really good streaks going on here Tokyo number one.

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You made it to the number one spot this year.

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I had no doubts you would end up there plus

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ninety five units, So congratulations on that. You have a

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promo code TB seven seven day pass, so really, really

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tell us about this five percent play. I love when

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you guys have a five percent play. We got two

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five percent plays talk about on the show. Tell us

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about yours.

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Speaker 2: Yes, I do have a five percent play in Major

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League Baseball today. So far this month, I'm one in

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one on my five percent place. But in my history

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at Wayger Talk, I've been number one all sports profit

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four of the last five years, including this year, so

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I'm a pretty good guy to ride with when I

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have a five percent play out. Wager Talk's doing several

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specials for me seven days for sixty nine dollars if

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you use code TB seven. They're also giving a special

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deal the rest of twenty twenty five for less than

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three dollars a day, and that's no code required. So

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if you go to my WT dot buzz slash TB

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00:13:27,519 --> 00:13:29,679
page you will see all of those deals. And I

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do have a free play up today in Major League

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Baseball as well at that link, So you can get

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all of that stuff if you visit my page number

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one cap or four of the five last years.

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Speaker 1: Love it. Thank you very much, Brandon continued to eek easy,

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good luck, good luck on that five percent play. Thanks

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for joining us, all right, thanks for joining us live, guys,

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and if you're watching after the fact, thank you. Let's

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get you ready for the weekend. Hit that like button.

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Make sure you subscribe to the channel. You get notified

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when all the shows come out. We're just we're like

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a few people from that two hundred and ten thousand mark,

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So if you haven't subscribed, go and do that. Help

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get us to two hundred and ten thousand. We'd really

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like to do that. So we're gonna bring on Marco,

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and then after that we've got an extended version of

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All Around the World. Dan's gonna join us. We got

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some lacrosse plays, we got soccer, we got baseball. But

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first let's talk to Marco at DiAngelo and we're gonna

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talk some WNBA as well as MLB.

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Speaker 3: Marco, how are you doing good?

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Speaker 5: How you guys doing today?

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Speaker 1: It's a beautiful day. I was staring at my collared shirts,

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00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:34,080
and then I was like, nope, I'm wearing the new

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Wager Talk hoodie. I know it's hot outside, I know

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00:14:36,759 --> 00:14:41,000
it's summer, but it just looks so good. And they

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were like, we're wear the college shirt when I was now,

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I'm wearing the I'm wearing the hoodie. So it may

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not look the most professional. I don't care. It looks

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awesome and it's it's super comfortable.

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Speaker 5: So casual Friday, You're you're good, don't we have casual Friday?

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Speaker 6: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: We got like no baseball coming up. Like sports are

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taking their take days off. I can take days off

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on a collared shirt. So all right, Marco, let's talk

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00:15:04,679 --> 00:15:09,279
the Phillies in the Padres. Suarez is going for Philly

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Burger for the Padres. How do you break this game down?

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Speaker 3: Well, it's two words.

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Speaker 5: It's Rangers for as. This guy has been an absolute

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00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:21,919
beast for the Phillies. He's allowed zero for one run

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in eight of his last nine starts. Oh and that

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one start that he gave up more than one run.

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He gave up two runs over seven innings and was

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00:15:31,679 --> 00:15:34,639
on the short end of a two to one final score.

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Just the opposite for the Padres pitcher Berger. He has

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made five starts, he's averaging going just four and a

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third innings in those starts, and he's had some control issues.

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He's given up ten walks in just seventeen innings of

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00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:55,799
work over his last seventeen innings of work. That's a concern.

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00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:58,600
You don't want to be putting base runners on free

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passes against a team that's got a pitcher as hard

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00:16:01,919 --> 00:16:04,919
as Shores is uh. And then you look at the

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00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:09,480
Padres themselves. They're struggling to score runs. They just completed

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a four game series where they scored a grand total

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of ten runs. That is bad in any four game series,

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but when you consider the four game series came against

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the Arizona pitching staff, that's really bad. So, uh, I

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00:16:24,559 --> 00:16:27,200
just don't want any part of the Padres in this

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particular matchup with a pitcher as hot as Suarez.

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Speaker 2: Uh.

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Speaker 5: So I'm gonna look to him. I'll give you kind

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00:16:33,639 --> 00:16:35,399
of a side play as well. If you want a

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00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:37,559
bonus play, this is not the one I'm gonna give you.

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But uh, Suarez since twenty twenty four when he's on

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the road and he gave up one run or less

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00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:50,080
than his last game. He's eight to o to the

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00:16:50,159 --> 00:16:53,159
under in the next game. So pretty powerful stat there.

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But I am gonna go with Philadelphia. I'm not gonna

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put the hand the game in the hands of the

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bullpen because I really don't russ the Philly bullpen. I'll

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00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:05,279
put it in him, surez his hands, and I'll take

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him first five innings. I'll lay the half a run

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first five innings with Philadelphia to get the job done

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tonight in San Diego.

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Speaker 1: Like that. Look there, Yeah, when you want to support

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00:17:18,279 --> 00:17:20,240
a starting pitcher. Yeah, take a look at the first

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00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:23,960
five over the w NBA. You got the Dream versus

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00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:28,160
the Fever. Fever are the line's kind of jumping around here.

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00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:30,400
I'm seeing minus one and a half pop up two

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00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:35,240
and a half opened up the Fever. Listen, they play

337
00:17:35,319 --> 00:17:37,200
twenty minutes from my house. They just can't seem to

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00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:40,319
stream together a good winning streak. Two wins in a row,

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00:17:40,799 --> 00:17:44,039
that's their best winning streak. They've lost too in a row. Meanwhile,

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00:17:44,079 --> 00:17:46,240
you got the Dream third in offense twelve and seven

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00:17:46,279 --> 00:17:49,160
this year, you got the Fever's very very small favorites.

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00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:50,200
How do you break this game down?

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00:17:51,279 --> 00:17:53,799
Speaker 5: Well, you look at this game, and they are two

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00:17:53,799 --> 00:17:57,839
different teams when Caitlyn Clark's on the floor and when

345
00:17:58,039 --> 00:18:01,680
she's not. In twice this year she's missed a stretch

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00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:06,039
of games. She just came back from missing five games

347
00:18:06,079 --> 00:18:09,240
on this last stretch come back. And how many times

348
00:18:09,279 --> 00:18:11,720
we talk about in different sports you hear me talk

349
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about the injured player theory. We like to take teams

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00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:17,839
that first game that Star is out because the rest

351
00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:21,160
of the team will step it up a notch and

352
00:18:21,279 --> 00:18:24,240
compensate for the loss. Well, there's a flip side to

353
00:18:24,319 --> 00:18:28,079
that angle, and that angle is when Star comes back.

354
00:18:28,559 --> 00:18:31,720
I like to go against that team for a couple reasons. One,

355
00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:35,119
you're gonna have an inflated line when the star comes back,

356
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is we saw in the last game in which she

357
00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:41,160
came back. But also you had the team playing one

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00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:44,920
way and if they were playing good, now you're changing

359
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:48,000
the chemistry again because it's a total different look when

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00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:51,279
she's on the floor and when she's not. Some actually

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00:18:51,319 --> 00:18:54,960
say Indiana is a better team. They play better as

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00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:57,440
a team. Let's word it that way when she's not

363
00:18:57,480 --> 00:18:59,640
on the floor, because when she is in the game,

364
00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:03,079
everything goes through her. When she's not on the floor,

365
00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:06,160
they get all five players involved. She came back the

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00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:10,680
other night against Golden State, an embarrassing loss for Indiana

367
00:19:10,799 --> 00:19:13,920
eighty to sixty one. They went three and two while

368
00:19:14,039 --> 00:19:18,480
she was out, and they won the third game of

369
00:19:18,519 --> 00:19:21,440
that five game stretch when they blew out the Las

370
00:19:21,559 --> 00:19:25,000
Vegas Aces eighty one to fifty four. Well, after that

371
00:19:25,079 --> 00:19:30,880
blowout win two days later, throw my favorite saying out there.

372
00:19:31,039 --> 00:19:34,200
They were fat and sassy, La Sparks were coming to town,

373
00:19:34,599 --> 00:19:38,160
team that's underachieved all year, and they ended up losing

374
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:41,039
eighty nine eighty seven. Well, then the next game you

375
00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:44,000
got Caitlyn Clark back and you had that mental let

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00:19:44,079 --> 00:19:48,160
down or disruption of the flow. They lose again. I

377
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:52,400
can tell you that the practices, all the reports I got,

378
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:55,839
it was a pretty heated practice. Coach was not happy

379
00:19:55,839 --> 00:19:59,079
with that performance. I think second game back with Caitlyn Clark,

380
00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:01,559
you're going to see a better game tonight from the team.

381
00:20:02,039 --> 00:20:06,680
Indiana shot just thirty in that game two days ago.

382
00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:12,440
You'll see a better performance tonight. And last four opponents,

383
00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:16,319
they have held three of the four to thirty seven

384
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:20,599
percent or less shooting. Indiana has played some good defense.

385
00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:24,440
I like Indiana tonight against the Atlanta Dream Lay the

386
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:24,920
two piece.

387
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:29,559
Speaker 1: Nice lay the two points. What's thought on your Aces

388
00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:30,440
this year so far?

389
00:20:31,519 --> 00:20:35,160
Speaker 5: Well, it's been a season where they had some injuries

390
00:20:35,319 --> 00:20:39,359
to start the season. Megan Gupherson played her first game

391
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:44,119
actually last night, one of their big offseason signings that

392
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:47,160
was going to be a major player in the team

393
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:51,359
this year. Unfortunately, you don't have to deal with this

394
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:58,920
any NBA maternity leave. So that took two key pieces

395
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:02,079
out of the team, and then they had some transition

396
00:21:02,319 --> 00:21:05,839
over that. And Asia Wilson has missed a few games

397
00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:08,799
this year, once with a concussion, she missed last night's

398
00:21:08,839 --> 00:21:13,839
game with a wrist injury. She should be back this weekend.

399
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:16,880
But I think with Megan coming back last night, it

400
00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:19,720
gives them a little more depth. And they just signed

401
00:21:19,839 --> 00:21:25,519
last week Smith from Dallas. She has played spectacular for

402
00:21:25,799 --> 00:21:28,440
the Aces in the three games that she's been on

403
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,279
the roster and she's still, you know, learning to play

404
00:21:31,279 --> 00:21:35,799
with her teammates. She's actually started to the last two games.

405
00:21:36,079 --> 00:21:39,160
Look for this team to make a run down the stretch.

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00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:43,759
They're still I say, fourth best team in the w NBA.

407
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:49,359
Speaker 1: People are asking if can you open the deli, please.

408
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:52,680
Speaker 5: The deli will be the deli will be coming back

409
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:55,680
for football season. A little tough with baseball to do

410
00:21:55,759 --> 00:21:59,000
a bunch of games over the weekend in advance with

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00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,279
pitching stone. And you know, and I with me, I

412
00:22:02,319 --> 00:22:04,440
don't make a baseball play. Do I see the final

413
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:09,119
scores from the night before, because that's gonna help dictate

414
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:11,880
for me whether I'm looking at a first five any wager,

415
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:15,240
or if I'm going a full game based on who's

416
00:22:15,279 --> 00:22:19,000
available out of the bullpen that didn't get used last night.

417
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,319
Speaker 1: All right, Marco, you have a five percent play up

418
00:22:22,559 --> 00:22:25,039
and you don't do too many of those, so everyone

419
00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:26,759
pay attention. Tell us about your five percent.

420
00:22:27,759 --> 00:22:31,440
Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, we've released since February of twenty twenty four,

421
00:22:31,519 --> 00:22:36,359
I've had near close to fifteen hundred plays. Only forty

422
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:39,480
two of those plays have been five percent plays, and

423
00:22:39,519 --> 00:22:42,000
we're twenty nine and twelve with them. I've got one

424
00:22:42,039 --> 00:22:45,160
of those special plays tonight, and it's got a couple

425
00:22:45,279 --> 00:22:49,599
subsets in this game that are outstanding. One is nine

426
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:52,680
and zero and one is ten and one or eleven

427
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:54,759
in one. I don't have my notes in front of me,

428
00:22:55,039 --> 00:22:57,799
but outstanding situation with the game. You'll get the full

429
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,720
detail breakdown when you purchase to play. You can get

430
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,920
that game for thirty five dollars, or for four dollars more.

431
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,640
You can get everything I have today at wager Talker,

432
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:09,400
or of course you can always pick up a seven

433
00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:13,079
day package long term, get every play we have. Save

434
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:14,039
yourself some money.

435
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 3: But check that.

436
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:18,160
Speaker 5: Out twenty nine and twelve with those five percent plays

437
00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:22,160
since February of twenty twenty four, guys, that's over nineteen months.

438
00:23:22,839 --> 00:23:25,799
Speaker 1: Love it, Marco DiAngelo. Good look on that five percent man.

439
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:29,759
Whenever you have a five percent play, hey, buckle up,

440
00:23:29,799 --> 00:23:31,880
let's play it. So thanks very much for joining us, Marco,

441
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:33,759
have a great weekend you too.

442
00:23:33,799 --> 00:23:34,799
Speaker 5: Let's cash some tickets.

443
00:23:34,839 --> 00:23:39,839
Speaker 1: Guys. All right, great offer going right now. Three days

444
00:23:39,839 --> 00:23:43,119
for just forty nine dollars. You get full access to

445
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,839
the handicappy of your choice. But wait, it gets better.

446
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:48,519
You can take the same expert all three days, or

447
00:23:48,599 --> 00:23:51,519
you can mixmatch it. We've been talking about flex passes

448
00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:54,400
all week long. You can try someone new each day.

449
00:23:54,559 --> 00:23:56,680
You can try a new Sport's completely up to you.

450
00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:58,720
You've got the power to tailor make it to your

451
00:23:58,759 --> 00:24:02,799
style and your schedule, sharp insight, winning plays, total flexibility,

452
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:05,559
all for under fifty dollars. You can take advantage of

453
00:24:05,559 --> 00:24:07,920
Marco's five percent play. You can take advantage of Tokyo

454
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:11,799
Brandon's five percent play. That's a beauty about the flex passes.

455
00:24:11,839 --> 00:24:14,839
You get to pick what handicapper, So take advantage of

456
00:24:14,839 --> 00:24:17,720
that three days for just forty nine dollars. Save twenty

457
00:24:17,759 --> 00:24:21,480
dollars limited time offer. All right, let's go all around

458
00:24:21,519 --> 00:24:23,480
the world. Let's do some free plays, and we're gonna

459
00:24:23,519 --> 00:24:27,880
get a live a couple of live plays from Dan.

460
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:31,039
Let's first go to the Let's go to the big

461
00:24:31,079 --> 00:24:33,559
board here and go with the Blue Jays at the

462
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:38,200
Athletics over five and a half in the first five

463
00:24:39,519 --> 00:24:42,680
Toronto third and batting average seventeen oh seven point oh

464
00:24:42,839 --> 00:24:46,440
four er at home. And it's hot temperatures in Sacramento.

465
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:49,359
Last night in Sacramento temperatures, hop ball was flying. It

466
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:52,119
was three to three after five innings. We're also looking

467
00:24:52,279 --> 00:24:56,480
at the Rangers at the Astros. Your fee. This is

468
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:59,400
a special from Ralph Michaels Rangers six and oh euro

469
00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:01,680
fee run scored a first inning run in five out

470
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:04,680
of those six games. Houston nice little two to zero

471
00:25:04,759 --> 00:25:07,599
run in the year feet as well, and then Pavlos

472
00:25:08,559 --> 00:25:12,160
a plus five twenty five in the Women's Euros Italy

473
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:16,000
versus Spain draw in regulation. Here's the deal. Both teams

474
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:19,319
will advance to the next round, but both teams get

475
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,799
a better seed with a win or a draw. So

476
00:25:22,079 --> 00:25:24,920
in a weird situation, both teams kind of have motivating

477
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,440
factors to have a draw. And the last meeting was

478
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:29,839
in October and it ended one to one. So you're

479
00:25:29,839 --> 00:25:32,799
getting insane value on this plus five twenty five for

480
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:36,160
this game to end in a draw. All right, Dan,

481
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,599
come on in here. Let's talk a little bit of lacrosse.

482
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:41,440
Let's get people ready. Baseball is gonna have the All

483
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:43,200
Star breaks, so we got to focus in on some

484
00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:45,960
of these other sports. Let's talk a player prop and

485
00:25:46,839 --> 00:25:48,720
we got some numbers that are completely out of whack.

486
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:52,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, and full disclosure, and these are two that you know,

487
00:25:52,279 --> 00:25:55,240
I suggested, Hey, we should load these for clients with you.

488
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:57,200
You have a team of handicappers that does you know

489
00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:00,799
all these different sports. I'm the lacrosse department, and you know,

490
00:26:00,839 --> 00:26:02,440
we've kind of been up and down. We haven't really

491
00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:04,799
been able to go on a run. But when stats

492
00:26:04,839 --> 00:26:07,599
stand out to me, I figured, hell, Andy, why don't

493
00:26:07,599 --> 00:26:09,839
we give these ones out for free to the live

494
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:13,960
viewers here on wader Talk today. So hey, folks, just

495
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:16,480
as a little thanks, hit that like button subscribe. We're

496
00:26:16,559 --> 00:26:20,079
so close to two hundred and ten thousand subscribers, so

497
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:23,200
free picks, you know, analysis, we answer your questions in

498
00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:25,880
the chat here live more reasons than ever to hit

499
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:28,240
that like button and make sure that you're subscribed. We

500
00:26:28,319 --> 00:26:32,160
do appreciate it. The play for me tonight, Andy and

501
00:26:32,279 --> 00:26:34,519
Lacrosse Action, and you can get this on any of

502
00:26:34,559 --> 00:26:39,799
the regulated sports books. Tom Shreiber of the Utah Archers,

503
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:43,200
we're taking him to go over two and a half points,

504
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:45,319
and we're taking him to go over one and a

505
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:47,319
half goals. The two and a half points you're looking

506
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:50,279
at like minus one thirteen. It's actually plus money for

507
00:26:50,319 --> 00:26:52,640
the over one and a half goals. And why is

508
00:26:52,759 --> 00:26:55,599
that is one of the best guys former MVP in

509
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:57,640
the league. I won't belabor the folks at the point

510
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:02,240
because they just want to play. But start amazing to me,

511
00:27:02,519 --> 00:27:05,720
Andy that this guy has played seven years in the PLL.

512
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,200
So every year that the bl has been around. Tom

513
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:12,240
Schreiber has been here fifty nine games he's played, Andy,

514
00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:17,240
and he has never not recorded a single point until

515
00:27:17,319 --> 00:27:19,240
two weeks ago. That was the first time he was

516
00:27:19,279 --> 00:27:22,039
ever blanked at any game ever. I mean, that's longevity

517
00:27:22,279 --> 00:27:26,480
that you just cannot overstate. So seven years he's never

518
00:27:26,559 --> 00:27:28,359
not recorded a point. He's coming off a game where

519
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:31,400
he did that. That's why we're seeing these low numbers,

520
00:27:31,519 --> 00:27:34,960
and the injury report's pretty stark for the Utah Archers.

521
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,160
So Tom Schreiber, if the Archers want to get back

522
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:39,880
on their winning ways, their back to back league champions,

523
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,480
one of the best teams in the league, if they

524
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:44,759
want to get back to those winning ways, it figures

525
00:27:44,759 --> 00:27:46,880
that Tom Schreiber is going to be a big part

526
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:49,039
of that. So we're taking Tom to go over two

527
00:27:49,039 --> 00:27:51,559
and a half points tonight. Couldn't decide on that and

528
00:27:51,559 --> 00:27:54,079
his goals. So at that plus money, let's sprinkle some

529
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:57,119
units on both of them, and let's have Captain America,

530
00:27:57,599 --> 00:28:00,759
great nickname by the way, have a big tonight in

531
00:28:00,799 --> 00:28:03,480
premiere Lacrosse League Action on ESPN Plus.

532
00:28:03,559 --> 00:28:04,359
Speaker 3: That's the play for me.

533
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:08,119
Speaker 1: Andy, Yeah, you don't get the nickname Captain America.

534
00:28:07,839 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 3: For if you're not pretty good.

535
00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:12,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, you earned that. You earned the nickname Captain America.

536
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:16,039
All right there, awesome over.

537
00:28:16,319 --> 00:28:18,000
Speaker 3: Big tomber fans tonight.

538
00:28:18,759 --> 00:28:20,839
Speaker 1: All right, let's bring in Andrew, Babikida said. Then we're

539
00:28:20,839 --> 00:28:23,519
gonna break down the chiefs over or under eleven and

540
00:28:23,519 --> 00:28:27,319
a half win totals, Andrew joining us with Westgate. Uh, Andrew,

541
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:29,720
this is how's the handle been so far on this

542
00:28:29,799 --> 00:28:33,880
fight night? It's Derek Lewis, who I think is still

543
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,319
a draw. I think people still like him, but curious

544
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:38,839
if this card is bringing in a lot of money.

545
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:42,240
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean it's pretty average for you know, a

546
00:28:42,279 --> 00:28:42,799
fight night.

547
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:45,119
Speaker 6: I would say it's not too chalky.

548
00:28:45,359 --> 00:28:48,079
Speaker 7: I mean there's a few big, big favorites, but other

549
00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:50,759
than that, there's some there's some real betable prices. So

550
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:55,799
the handle has been pretty good, but I think people

551
00:28:55,799 --> 00:28:58,519
are definitely more looking forward to next week and then

552
00:28:58,559 --> 00:29:01,359
the week after in Abadab that's another really good card.

553
00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:04,480
So you know, we have three back to back cards

554
00:29:04,519 --> 00:29:07,400
that are you know, pretty solid, and during this time

555
00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:10,160
of year when it's only baseball, I think the handle

556
00:29:10,519 --> 00:29:13,960
is even higher than normal. So yeah, I'm looking forward

557
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:14,599
to the card.

558
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:18,599
Speaker 1: What's been some sharp action. I've seen this Derek Lewis

559
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,000
line all over the place on some of the books

560
00:29:21,319 --> 00:29:23,400
out by me, so curious what you're taking money on

561
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:24,119
in the main event.

562
00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:27,559
Speaker 6: Yeah, so we open to share at minus one ninety.

563
00:29:28,319 --> 00:29:31,160
Speaker 7: It's sitting three dollars now, so I'm sure you guys

564
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:33,480
can kind of tell where the action's been coming.

565
00:29:34,799 --> 00:29:36,480
Speaker 6: Yeah, we took some early bets onto Share.

566
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:40,519
Speaker 7: I wouldn't say anything overly respected, but clearly there's some

567
00:29:40,599 --> 00:29:43,119
respected money on that side in the market for it

568
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:45,640
to move over one hundred cents in the matter of,

569
00:29:45,759 --> 00:29:49,359
you know, less than a week. But yeah, that's been

570
00:29:50,039 --> 00:29:52,279
a solid bet fight, and I'm sure there will be

571
00:29:52,359 --> 00:29:56,839
some takers day of on Derek Lewis because he's, you know,

572
00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,039
a popular guy, and I'm sure we'll get a lot

573
00:29:59,079 --> 00:30:02,119
of knockout props on Derek Lewis fight Dan.

574
00:30:03,079 --> 00:30:05,119
Speaker 1: Any other fights where you're taking a lot of one

575
00:30:05,119 --> 00:30:06,000
sided action.

576
00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:14,079
Speaker 7: One sided action, I'd say, let's see, we're getting a

577
00:30:14,079 --> 00:30:17,319
lot of Steve Garcia action. But we did get some

578
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:21,720
respected buy back on Calvin Cater But I'd say a

579
00:30:21,759 --> 00:30:24,279
majority of the public action on that fight has been

580
00:30:24,319 --> 00:30:30,319
on that Garcia side, and then really really good two

581
00:30:30,319 --> 00:30:34,960
way action on the Walter Walker fight versus Kennedy. There's

582
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,720
been sharp action on both sides of that fight, so

583
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:40,240
you know, that's kind of what we're looking for.

584
00:30:40,319 --> 00:30:42,519
Speaker 6: We're looking for the action on both sides.

585
00:30:42,599 --> 00:30:45,039
Speaker 7: And you know, there's been some some fights this week

586
00:30:45,039 --> 00:30:46,559
that it's been strong.

587
00:30:46,319 --> 00:30:48,839
Speaker 6: Opinions on both sides. Those are probably the two main

588
00:30:48,920 --> 00:30:50,400
fights that I've seen so far.

589
00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 1: It's funny you bring up at Garcia and Cater fight.

590
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:57,039
I always run a violence parlay by you, so let's

591
00:30:57,079 --> 00:30:59,440
do it. Get your thoughts on this one. I got

592
00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:01,920
two fights go under two and a half rounds. Cater

593
00:31:02,039 --> 00:31:04,680
and Garcia is the first one, and then I'm going

594
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:09,240
with the Tokos and Tafa. Tafa's basically got one shot

595
00:31:09,279 --> 00:31:11,519
knockout power and that's it. He can get submitted on

596
00:31:11,559 --> 00:31:14,440
the ground. He has maybe four or five minutes of

597
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,799
cardio and then he's dead to the world. Tokos is terrible.

598
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:21,079
This to me is a loser leaves town matchup. But

599
00:31:22,519 --> 00:31:24,839
one of these guys is just gonna make a massive

600
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,359
mistake and the other one's gonna get the finish. And

601
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:30,559
then Cater and Garcia Garcia's got one shot knockout power.

602
00:31:30,559 --> 00:31:32,799
He's been doing that for years. He's on a big

603
00:31:32,839 --> 00:31:35,720
winning streak. But as far as volume, Cater is gonna

604
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,480
have the more volume, I think, and Garcia gets he

605
00:31:38,519 --> 00:31:42,039
gets clipped every single fight, and if he does it

606
00:31:42,079 --> 00:31:44,400
against Cater, I think Cater can knock him out. I

607
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,400
don't see this one going very long. I think somebody's

608
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,119
chin get gets touched pretty hard in this one. What's

609
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:52,839
your take on Cater, Garcia and Tokos and Tafa Under.

610
00:31:53,559 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 7: Yeah, it's funny you bring up that Cater Garcia under

611
00:31:57,480 --> 00:31:59,839
We did get hit pretty heavily on the under by

612
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:04,039
a sharp customer, and we were all pretty surprised early because,

613
00:32:04,079 --> 00:32:08,480
I mean, just looking at it originally, you kind of

614
00:32:08,559 --> 00:32:10,359
just look at it and you're like, Calvin Cater doesn't

615
00:32:10,359 --> 00:32:11,240
really get finished.

616
00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:13,720
Speaker 6: He's pretty he's pretty tough, and so is Steve Garcia.

617
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 7: But yeah, the more I've looked into the flight, I

618
00:32:17,079 --> 00:32:21,519
definitely understand, uh that play for sure, and uh yeah,

619
00:32:21,559 --> 00:32:23,960
there's some respected action behind it. And I think I

620
00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:26,680
think you want to like a seven to one peaceful

621
00:32:26,759 --> 00:32:29,599
parlay last time we talked, or at least one one

622
00:32:29,599 --> 00:32:31,119
of the big one of Oh.

623
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:34,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, we did. Yeah, absolutely we did. Andrew, Yeah, oh yes, yes,

624
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:37,160
absolutely we hit a seven to one parlay. That's that's

625
00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:38,160
what we do around here.

626
00:32:38,839 --> 00:32:41,160
Speaker 6: I remembered I had to shout you out for that.

627
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:42,000
That was pretty awesome.

628
00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:45,559
Speaker 1: Thank you. All right, what's your favorite bet on this card?

629
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 4: Ah?

630
00:32:48,039 --> 00:32:51,680
Speaker 7: Man, if if I had to play anything, I mean,

631
00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:56,000
I hate just giving out when I'm saying the sharp act,

632
00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:59,960
you know what. I think there has been some sharp

633
00:33:00,079 --> 00:33:02,920
faction on this as well. But I'd say at this price,

634
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:07,799
I think WonderBoy. I like his chance. At these odds

635
00:33:07,839 --> 00:33:11,599
plus three fifty you can get. I think if he's

636
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,880
able to keep this standing, he should be able to,

637
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:16,799
you know, make this a close fight. I mean, he

638
00:33:16,799 --> 00:33:19,440
doesn't really get finished off, and I know he got

639
00:33:19,559 --> 00:33:21,720
knocked out at the end of the last fight, but

640
00:33:22,079 --> 00:33:24,839
I think he's a tough out for everybody on the feet.

641
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:26,720
And you know, this is a big step up in

642
00:33:26,759 --> 00:33:30,839
competition for on themes. So I'll say that as a long,

643
00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:32,240
long dog.

644
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:36,319
Speaker 1: This was my favorite upset on the car. I'm with you, Lockstep,

645
00:33:36,319 --> 00:33:38,480
but we didn't even talk about it. Yeah, it's Stephen Thompson.

646
00:33:38,799 --> 00:33:41,000
He's just a much better striker than Boom Theme at

647
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:43,039
Boom Bem doesn't get him on the ground. Boom Them's

648
00:33:43,039 --> 00:33:45,200
a sitting duck and he's got that weird karate style.

649
00:33:45,279 --> 00:33:47,559
So I'm with you one hundred percent on that one.

650
00:33:47,599 --> 00:33:51,400
I love that underdog on on on Stephen Thompson there,

651
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:53,799
So all right, tell everyone what you guys got got

652
00:33:53,839 --> 00:33:56,279
going on over at Westgate right on?

653
00:33:56,359 --> 00:33:58,720
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, if you guys haven't a followed me

654
00:33:58,759 --> 00:33:59,240
on X.

655
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:02,079
Speaker 7: I'm trying to get more or the content out with

656
00:34:02,119 --> 00:34:05,759
the little looks behind behind the counter, So.

657
00:34:05,759 --> 00:34:07,119
Speaker 6: Yeah, follow me if you haven't.

658
00:34:07,119 --> 00:34:09,639
Speaker 7: But over here at the book I know it's kind

659
00:34:09,639 --> 00:34:12,760
of slow season, so we're ramping up getting the NFL

660
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:17,320
content out there. We got the Wimbledon finals coming up.

661
00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:19,760
I'm really looking forward to that. But yeah, we're offering

662
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:23,480
really fair splits and really fair limits. So if you

663
00:34:23,519 --> 00:34:26,079
haven't added us as a book, please stop buy and

664
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:29,679
you know, add us to your index of different books.

665
00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:32,119
This is definitely a book you want to be playing with.

666
00:34:32,159 --> 00:34:34,559
And Mike always, I appreciate you having me on and

667
00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:37,320
excited to talk three eighteen next week.

668
00:34:37,639 --> 00:34:40,840
Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely huge card next week. Andrew Babakitas from the

669
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:43,079
west Gate. Thank you so much for doing this every Friday.

670
00:34:43,079 --> 00:34:46,000
Have a great weekend. All right, let's do it, Dan,

671
00:34:46,079 --> 00:34:49,960
Let's suck the Chiefs. We're going with the win total

672
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:53,239
of eleven and a half. We're talking season win totals.

673
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:55,559
In the comment section, let us know if you like

674
00:34:55,559 --> 00:34:59,000
the over under on the Chiefs. Polarizing team. A lot

675
00:34:59,079 --> 00:35:03,039
going on with this each team or is there is

676
00:35:03,079 --> 00:35:05,800
there a lot going on with this team? Offseason moves.

677
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:09,400
They did sign more the left tackle, they added some

678
00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:12,880
D line depth. I actually think this Rashid Rice coming

679
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:16,440
back is going to completely make that offense like a jugger.

680
00:35:16,519 --> 00:35:21,360
Not PFF ranked their offense fourteenth. But the big thing

681
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,679
for me is they just become a defensive team. The

682
00:35:23,679 --> 00:35:26,159
PFF had them ranked second in defense. This isn't like

683
00:35:26,199 --> 00:35:31,159
the Tyreek Hill, high flying offense. We'll go through their schedule.

684
00:35:31,199 --> 00:35:34,159
They got some they got some tough ones up front.

685
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:37,400
Back in it gets a lot easier. They start Chargers,

686
00:35:37,519 --> 00:35:44,559
Eagles at Giants, Ravens at Jags, Lions, Raiders, Commanders at

687
00:35:44,639 --> 00:35:47,280
Bills at Broncos. And here's where it starts to slow down.

688
00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:53,239
Colts at Cowboys, Texans, Chargers at Titans, Broncos, and Raiders.

689
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:56,000
Your thoughts on the Kansas City.

690
00:35:55,840 --> 00:36:00,480
Speaker 4: Chiefs, Well, Andy, I know you and I are going

691
00:36:00,559 --> 00:36:03,760
to be disagreeing on this one because you know from

692
00:36:04,519 --> 00:36:06,400
other teams that we've talked about in division. I think

693
00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:09,159
it was the Denver Broncos that we did a preview

694
00:36:09,199 --> 00:36:13,960
on and I am bullish on this division, Yet I

695
00:36:14,039 --> 00:36:18,599
am bearish on the Kansas City Chiefs. I get it,

696
00:36:18,639 --> 00:36:21,880
they go over this every single year. It's been Washprint's repeat.

697
00:36:22,119 --> 00:36:25,119
But how many of those years, Andy, did they get well,

698
00:36:25,199 --> 00:36:29,400
you know, guaranteed wins in their division. That ship has sailed.

699
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:32,800
Every single team in this division has gotten better in

700
00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:36,000
my opinion, Okay, you add the tackle. Kansas City Chiefs

701
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:38,079
are the team in this division that has stayed the

702
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:41,119
exact same. And if you're not always innovating, if you're

703
00:36:41,159 --> 00:36:45,280
not always raising your game, you're gonna fall stagnant. And yes,

704
00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:48,400
that defense is stellar, don't get me wrong, But how

705
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:50,639
many times, Andy, do we see you know, when a

706
00:36:50,679 --> 00:36:53,599
playbook comes out on a team this Kansas City everyone

707
00:36:53,639 --> 00:36:56,599
talks about, you know, super Bowl hangovers, and why do

708
00:36:56,679 --> 00:36:59,320
we just make it agnostic for a team who's not

709
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:02,800
only having a Super Bowl hangover. They're a team Andy

710
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:06,280
who had a documentary following and around all last year

711
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:08,800
because we're gonna three peat, We're gonna be the first

712
00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:11,039
team to ever do it. And then all of that

713
00:37:11,159 --> 00:37:14,440
air comes out of those tires. Travis Kelce looks like

714
00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:18,000
a shell of himself, you know. And I think the

715
00:37:18,079 --> 00:37:20,360
talking heads who were like, look at how fat Pat

716
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:24,039
Mahomes looks, that's idiotic. Like it's the off season and

717
00:37:24,119 --> 00:37:25,800
Pat Mahomes is never a pinnacle.

718
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:28,119
Speaker 3: You're not walking around with eight pack. Pat Mahomes will

719
00:37:28,159 --> 00:37:28,880
be just fine.

720
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,599
Speaker 4: But I just think it's a fact that this team

721
00:37:31,639 --> 00:37:33,960
who has beat up on every little brother in this

722
00:37:34,079 --> 00:37:37,280
division is finally gonna get punched back. And you laid

723
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:39,840
out the schedule there, well, you know you'll say that

724
00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:42,760
the Colts is a guaranteed win. I'm not so sure

725
00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:44,559
because I think the Colts are gonna be a little

726
00:37:44,559 --> 00:37:47,000
bit better this year. But outside of you know, the

727
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:50,000
Colts will put them on the list. Titans and Jaguars

728
00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:52,760
are the only games that you say those are guaranteed

729
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:53,760
wins for this team.

730
00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:55,119
Speaker 3: In my opinion, you can.

731
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:56,599
Speaker 4: Say, oh, they're gonna beat up on the Raiders, we

732
00:37:56,599 --> 00:37:58,440
don't know what the new Raiders are gonna look like

733
00:37:58,519 --> 00:38:02,639
with Pete Carroll. So I'm pretty strong on this one. Andy,

734
00:38:02,679 --> 00:38:05,480
towards the under eleven and a half wins. Not only

735
00:38:05,480 --> 00:38:07,239
do I think they're going to be around ten wins

736
00:38:07,239 --> 00:38:09,760
this year, I don't think they win this division. That's

737
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:11,880
the gauntlet that I have tossed down. If you're giving

738
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,480
me the field versus Kansas City Chiefs in this division,

739
00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:17,239
I'll take that bet all day long. Tell the folks

740
00:38:17,239 --> 00:38:19,800
why I'm wrong, because I'm sure the chat is being like, Dan,

741
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:22,920
what the hell are you talking about?

742
00:38:23,199 --> 00:38:26,440
Speaker 1: No, We're we're kind of split here. Well, why this

743
00:38:26,639 --> 00:38:32,639
is Chiefs overrated? Boo? Taylor Swift? There's your analysis.

744
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,119
Speaker 3: That's honestly under So that's all you need to say.

745
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:37,119
Speaker 1: Under there you go. You know, I could just be

746
00:38:37,199 --> 00:38:39,079
the complete villain of the show and be like, you

747
00:38:39,119 --> 00:38:41,440
know who. I love Angel Reese and Taylor Swift. I

748
00:38:41,519 --> 00:38:46,360
want to go those are my two favorite celebrity Okay,

749
00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:49,760
I'm just going over six and one on this over

750
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:54,360
with Mahomes as the starter. I can't argue the Super

751
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:57,760
Bowl hangover that has really seemed to be true. I

752
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:01,039
just think every time I get a home Andy Reid team,

753
00:39:01,079 --> 00:39:04,760
I'm taking the over. It's like Jalen Hurts. Any team

754
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:07,599
that has Jalen Hurts, I'm just gonna be a buyer.

755
00:39:07,519 --> 00:39:09,679
Speaker 4: On and for what it's worth. I was also on

756
00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:11,960
the under eleven and a half for the Eagle. So

757
00:39:12,360 --> 00:39:14,800
for me, it's just when these numbers start getting up there, crazy,

758
00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:17,840
You're assuming everything goes perfectly right for the team, you know,

759
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:20,199
and I get it. The Chiefs cast this every single year,

760
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:22,679
and so I could look like an idiot, but I'm

761
00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:24,480
not the person who's been calling my shot on the

762
00:39:24,559 --> 00:39:26,280
Chiefs every single year. You know a lot of people

763
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:28,400
have said, oh, they're gonna regress, Oh they're gonna regress.

764
00:39:28,639 --> 00:39:31,599
I haven't been that guy. But this year, I think

765
00:39:31,599 --> 00:39:32,119
you are.

766
00:39:32,039 --> 00:39:32,599
Speaker 3: Going to see.

767
00:39:32,679 --> 00:39:35,239
Speaker 4: Because before it was they got to beat up on

768
00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:38,519
the entire division. I don't think that's the reality personally anymore.

769
00:39:38,599 --> 00:39:41,079
And that's where that's where the lean towards the under

770
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:43,079
or the play on the under comes in. For me,

771
00:39:43,199 --> 00:39:46,119
is is this division has gotten markedly better. Yes, the

772
00:39:46,199 --> 00:39:48,320
Kansas City Chiefs still have Andy Reid, they still have

773
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:51,199
Pat Mahomes, but this division isn't just the little brother

774
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:52,480
they get to beat up on anymore.

775
00:39:52,480 --> 00:39:53,280
Speaker 3: They're punching back.

776
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:56,320
Speaker 1: And the other big case you can make for the

777
00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:59,559
under is like, how many crazy one score games did

778
00:39:59,599 --> 00:40:01,960
they win last year? I mean, you could have made

779
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:02,679
the case.

780
00:40:02,519 --> 00:40:03,599
Speaker 3: I guess, but I have to.

781
00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:05,440
Speaker 4: I have to Andy be a fly on the wall

782
00:40:05,519 --> 00:40:10,320
in the officiating meetings and the NFL script writers because

783
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:12,159
if I'm I'm in there and the I'm a fly

784
00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:14,760
on the wall for the NFL script writers, I'm gonna

785
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:16,360
know if they go over or under right.

786
00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:18,440
Speaker 3: I need I need to see the script.

787
00:40:18,360 --> 00:40:21,800
Speaker 1: The script writer. I love it. I just I hate

788
00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:23,880
to be the guys that have season ending injuries when

789
00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:25,719
they read that script for the first time. It's just

790
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:26,159
gotta be.

791
00:40:26,199 --> 00:40:29,320
Speaker 3: I know, you're like, shit, You're at the table read

792
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:30,000
and you're like.

793
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:34,320
Speaker 1: What, I'm out week one, bold hamstring in week two,

794
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:38,679
it's a contrast. Shit. So my my my take on

795
00:40:38,760 --> 00:40:41,679
the close one score games is that's what great teams

796
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:45,559
do that they win the close games. They they plan

797
00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:48,000
for it, they're ready for it. So I'm just blindly

798
00:40:48,039 --> 00:40:50,320
taking Ady Reid and Patrick Mahomes to do well. It's

799
00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:52,800
gone over six out of seven games. I'm in on

800
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:55,400
the eleven and a half. Your point makes all the

801
00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:57,440
sense in the world. I can't argue with everything, but

802
00:40:57,480 --> 00:40:59,639
we are going to be in disagreement on this one.

803
00:41:00,159 --> 00:41:03,480
Speaker 4: To comment below, this is the thing you comment about today.

804
00:41:03,679 --> 00:41:07,960
Drop below in the comments Kansas City Chiefs over or under.

805
00:41:08,280 --> 00:41:11,440
And also, if you're so inclined, leave your wager talk

806
00:41:11,920 --> 00:41:14,840
user name and you might just be winning some some

807
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:17,840
free action like some of our winners who commented belows

808
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:21,960
like like Alec, like s Now's or snows like our

809
00:41:22,000 --> 00:41:24,679
man Chris. All three of these people all they did,

810
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:28,320
they commented below. After the video went live, they added

811
00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:31,280
their wager talk username and now they're getting some free

812
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:33,119
action on the house from wager talk.

813
00:41:33,199 --> 00:41:35,199
Speaker 3: You can do the same. Comment below while you're down there,

814
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:38,119
make sure you subscribe to you know.

815
00:41:38,199 --> 00:41:42,480
Speaker 1: That's all right, the strategist. I get where you're going

816
00:41:42,519 --> 00:41:47,880
with this, and sf niner, we need a lady handicapper.

817
00:41:48,639 --> 00:41:50,559
We might have to talk to Kelly and Ariel. We

818
00:41:50,639 --> 00:41:53,199
might have to get some some spot uppear beyond. I'll

819
00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:53,880
make some.

820
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:57,519
Speaker 3: Calls and see, yeah, we know some people, you know, the.

821
00:41:57,480 --> 00:42:04,079
Speaker 1: Betting maybe the betting queen, the maybe all right, if

822
00:42:04,119 --> 00:42:06,800
we get the betting queen to come on here, then

823
00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:09,880
then you guys, and then every single person has to subscribe.

824
00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:13,239
Speaker 4: We have Taylor Mathis, come on, dude, she'll walk around

825
00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:14,760
as a guest that could move.

826
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:16,880
Speaker 3: We have right comment below.

827
00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:19,159
Speaker 4: Should we have Tailor Mathis dude live walking bets on

828
00:42:19,199 --> 00:42:19,960
wager Talk today.

829
00:42:20,039 --> 00:42:22,079
Speaker 3: Let us know us it's very it's not.

830
00:42:22,039 --> 00:42:23,880
Speaker 1: A busy week. Next week we can we can put

831
00:42:23,920 --> 00:42:27,880
in some some time doing that. So all right, thanks

832
00:42:27,880 --> 00:42:30,719
guys for watching. It's been a great week. Next week

833
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:33,239
no baseball, but you bet we're gonna be here giving

834
00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:35,239
you all kinds of information and sports to help you win.

835
00:42:35,519 --> 00:42:38,159
Make sure you check out our Flex Pass special for

836
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forty nine dollars. That's twenty dollars off works for any

837
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handicapper that you want. You can use one handicapper, you

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can use multiple ones. Check out Tokyo, Brandon and Marco's

839
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five percent plays. They mentioned those. Let's have a great weekend,

840
00:42:48,960 --> 00:42:51,559
Good luck on your bets. We'll be back Monday. Take care,