Speaker 1: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.
This is wager Talk Today, and I am your host,
Andy Lang. It is Friday. Weekend. Board is loaded. We
got UFC, we have MLB, We've got WNBA and more
recovering it all today, so you're gonna be ready to
fire off into Saturday and Sunday. Let's close the week
strong and stack some wins. Johnny is recording UFC, so
you get another one of Andy's patented steam reports. Buckle up, Toyo,
Brady's gonna join us. We're gonna talk Mariners and the Tigers.
Marco's gonna give us his thoughts on the Phillies and Padres,
plus the Dream and the Fever. Andrew Babikidis is gonna
join us to talk the UFC fight card, and then
we're gonna break down the Chiefs season win total eleven
and a half. This was the easiest research I've ever
had to do on a team. Dan already knows where
I'm going with this one, so let's get started. Hit
the like button. You guys know what to do. Happy Friday, everyone,
Let's take a look at the Steam report. I'm actually
gonna go to basketball here real quick. And if you're
taking a look at Summer League, money's come in on
Atlanta versus Miami. Miami opened up minus five, that's down
to minus three. Little bit of money has come in
on Detroit, a little bit of money has come in
on Charlotte. Looks like money definitely has come in on Toronto.
They opened up at minus five and a half. They're
up to minus six and a half. And money has
come in on Golden State. They opened at minus three
and a half, up to minus four and a half.
And if we're looking at WNBA, I mean the Seattle
opens up at minus sixteen and a half, minus sixteen
and a half against the poor Connecticut Son, you're thinking, well,
no way money is coming in on a minus sixteen
and a half. Oh yeah, oh yeah, They're all the
way up to minus eighteen and a half. They are
fading the Connecticut Son who are really really struggling. Not
a whole lot going in on baseball, Money's come in
a little bit on Washington both games that the White
Sox are playing, money has come in on them. And
money has come in on the Kansas City Royals. What
an icky? I Actually, let's let's bring in Tokyo Brandon,
because I have to get his thoughts on this. Bring
bring in, Bring in Tokyo, brand in here, Tokyo. How
many days can you say money is coming in on
the Royals and both of the White Sox games. This
this feels like it doesn't happen very often. Do you
agree with those moves?
Speaker 2: Oh, it does not happen very often, but at least
it's not the Colorado Rockies. Actually, the Royals are Royals
are not that horrible of the team, and Waka is
not that bad of a picture. I'm not really surprised
to see money coming in on him. We don't really
know what to expect from Senga. Senga's pretty solid, but
he's been off for a month. So, uh, what was
the other team?
Speaker 1: The Royals? And then both of the games on the
White Sox. I know I heard you. I heard yeah,
I heard you talking about the White Sox on total
basis earlier today, So I know you do agree with
that one.
Speaker 2: Yes, the White Sox, especially uh.
Speaker 1: In their game two. I like them.
Speaker 2: The White Socks are actually a team that were expected
to be the worst team in baseball this season, and
they're not so that that goes to the Colorado Rockies.
But I think there are two other teams that are
actually worse than the White Sox. The White Sox can
hit pretty well, and their bullpens not that bad. So
I do understand the money coming in for White Sox and.
Speaker 1: For the Royals.
Speaker 3: Actually, if you told me.
Speaker 2: That that money was coming in on the Rockies, I
would be flabbergasted.
Speaker 1: It is not. It's all Cincinnati money.
Speaker 3: It never knows.
Speaker 1: One penny coming in on the Colorado Rockies. Now a
little bit of under on the on the Rockies and
Red so Yes, Yes, the chat has sniffed this out.
Happy schooball day, everybody. We're going to talk Mariners and
the Tigers. I know the Tigers have been very polarizing
team in the betting markets this year, so let's talk
about this game today. Of course, we have scoot Ball
going for the Tigers, we have Castillo going for the Mariners,
and of course Detroit is going to be a favorite.
But wow, minus two sixty with an over under of seven, Tokyo,
what's your breakdown on this game? Nope, do we lose?
Do we lose? Tokyo?
Speaker 3: Brandon, we can You're muted Brandon, you can't hear me?
Speaker 1: Nah? Here good?
Speaker 2: Okay, the Tigers are probably the best mediocre MLB team
in history, and they have a great record for being mediocre.
So but yeah, there's no doubt that Scooble is an
absolute stud.
Speaker 3: He is the man.
Speaker 2: I have him ranked number one out of two hundred
and twenty starting pitchers in Major League Baseball. There's no
doubt he's He's a ridiculously good talent. But let's talk.
Let's take a look at how these teams match up together. Yes,
I do have the Tigers with slightly better lineup here,
but still I have them only ranked sixteen out of
thirty teams. Both bullpens right around the Mendos a mediocre
line and Scooball obviously is a great picture. Louis Castillo
going for the Mariners, I have him ranked. I curve
my starting pictures to thirty so I can compare them
with bullpens and batting, and I have Castillo ranked fourteen
out of thirty, so a little bit above mediocre. But
what I really like about this matchup is how Castillo
has handled these Tiger batters in his history. If you
take a look at how He's handled them throughout his history.
He has a two thirty five batting average against and
a five eighty five OPS. Now, since I was a
scout for a major league team, I always take OPS
seven point fifty over under as a tell whether this
picture is good or bad. Against these batters, five eighty
five is incredible, So I think Castillo will be able
to handle these batters at least a little bit. If
you look at Castillo's recent starts, he's been pretty good.
He had one clunker and the rest he's been pretty solid.
Taking a look at the team totals, here is the
way I'm going to go because I really don't trust
Seattle on a side, but for a team total, I
think the Detroit Tigers team total at four and a
half is way too high. I think this is gonna
be one of those two to one, three to two
kind of games. I don't even know if Detroit's gonna win.
But with Scooble, what is he ten and two or
something like that, So I'm not betting. I'm not dumb
enough to bet against Scooble, but I do want to
use the fact that Castillo has a great history against
these batters, so I think the Tigers four and a
half under would be the way to go in this game.
Speaker 1: We have a question from Crypto Chrome forty five says,
do you like Baltimore over the Marlins today or even
Dean Kramer strikeout props? Any of those on your radar today, Brandon,
Let's take a look.
Speaker 2: Miami is one of those teams that actually hits quite well,
and Baltimore has been hitting quite well too. I've never
been a fan of Kremer though. Unfortunately, let's see, we
got Cabrera going for Miami, is that right? Yeah? So
the way these turn out, yeah, I have Miami a
slight favorite here as far as my numbers are concerned,
as far as starting pitchers are concerned, I have Kremer
and Cabrera pretty equal. Miami's got a great bullpen. I mean,
they're one of those teams that everyone thinks is just crap.
They're not as crap as you think. Their bullpen is
really good. They have a lot of young talent that
nobody's ever heard of. Baltimore does have a slight advantage
in the lineup, but overall, I see Miami as a
slight favorite in this game, and looking at the line
right now, they're plus one fifteen. I wouldn't. I wouldn't.
I wouldn't chew you out for taking a plus one
fifteen with the Marlins today.
Speaker 1: We don't want to be chewed out by Brandon.
Speaker 4: Two.
Speaker 1: You like Tobacco, Titan CT Any thoughts on Rangers over
eight and a half A little bit of plus money
here on this game? What's your thoughts on the Rangers.
Speaker 2: The Rangers and Astros? Yeah, Lighter Leader, I'm not the
last time I mispronounced his name. Everyone chewed me out.
I'm gonna call him lighter So last time he pitched, well,
I'm not the last time he pitched. The whole season
he's pitched, he's not been very good. Mccullor's is a
guy who used to be in absolute stud came back
from injury. He hasn't been performing very well as of late.
I do like Lighters walks. He walks a lot of guys.
So if you can get his walk prop over one
and a half, I think he'll definitely walk. Well, nothing's
definite in sports betting, but I think he is a
candidate to walk at least two batters in this game.
Looking at the lineups, They're both top five lineups in
MLB currently, So the way I do my lines I
current form is a big part of my cap and
both of these teams in current form are top five
right now. Texas's bullpen is awful right now and Houston's
is pretty average, and both starting pitchers I have them
around the average line So yeah, if anything, I would
definitely go with a with an over in this game?
Is it nine? Was it nine? Nine might be a
little high. I would try to either alt that or
get maybe a team total. If one of these teams
is three and a half, maybe take the over on that.
But nine is a dicey proposition here. I'm seeing eight
and a half, so I wouldn't I wouldn't be shy
from eight and a half in this game, Andrew.
Speaker 1: Last question here for you, Brandon. Andrew was wondering, if
we take the bullpens out of that Detroit Tigers game
Tigers and Mariners, would you look at maybe a first
five under a no run first inning. I'm looking at
the Detroit Tigers. It's a little juicy, but you know,
for example, the Tigers under two and a half minus
one fifty four for their team total. Mariners half a
run for their team total in the first five. Is
that something that you would look at or you're more
comforab with the full game in this one?
Speaker 2: Well, I do have a five percent play today, guys,
so go grab my five percent play before I talk
about that. But yes, actually Scooble's numbers against these batters
are not exactly great. Again, I'm a little shy to
bet against Schooble, but he does have an over seven
to fifty oh ps in his career against these batters,
albeit the sample size is a little small. However, I
think the Astros can score one run in the first
five innings on him, so I would not be shy
to take the over zero point five in the first
five if that's what their team total is. Regarding the
Tigers team total under two and a half in the
first five, I wouldn't mind that either, but I think
there's more value in taking four and a half for
the full game. I don't see the logic in taking
the bullpen out of the game. I wouldn't argue with it,
but I just don't see the logic in doing that.
I think it's much more difficult to get them to
score five in the full game than it would be
to get for them to score three in the first five.
So either way, I would go with that. I haven't
seen what the odds are for either one. I'd take
the one with the better odds in that situation.
Speaker 1: You know, I was just getting ready to say. I
was like, anytime they give me over half a run,
shouldn't you just take it? And then I'm looking at
Scooball's game log and he's got fourteen straight innings of
shutout ball, would have lost in his last two starts.
It's like, it's just crazy tried.
Speaker 2: To Yeah, it's tough. I hate against him and I hate,
you know, putting money saying that a team is going
to do something against him because he is the best
pitcher in all of MLB, hands down, and I don't
think there's any argument. But these batters, I've gotten to
him before, So if anyone's going to do it, it's
these guys. Maybe one run there, but I would much
prefer to take the Tigers team total under either first
five or full game.
Speaker 1: All Right, you said mentioned, yeah you beat me to it.
You mentioned you got a five percent best bet that
is up. Tell us about that and Yeah, you got
some really good streaks going on here Tokyo number one.
You made it to the number one spot this year.
I had no doubts you would end up there plus
ninety five units, So congratulations on that. You have a
promo code TB seven seven day pass, so really, really
tell us about this five percent play. I love when
you guys have a five percent play. We got two
five percent plays talk about on the show. Tell us
about yours.
Speaker 2: Yes, I do have a five percent play in Major
League Baseball today. So far this month, I'm one in
one on my five percent place. But in my history
at Wayger Talk, I've been number one all sports profit
four of the last five years, including this year, so
I'm a pretty good guy to ride with when I
have a five percent play out. Wager Talk's doing several
specials for me seven days for sixty nine dollars if
you use code TB seven. They're also giving a special
deal the rest of twenty twenty five for less than
three dollars a day, and that's no code required. So
if you go to my WT dot buzz slash TB
page you will see all of those deals. And I
do have a free play up today in Major League
Baseball as well at that link, So you can get
all of that stuff if you visit my page number
one cap or four of the five last years.
Speaker 1: Love it. Thank you very much, Brandon continued to eek easy,
good luck, good luck on that five percent play. Thanks
for joining us, all right, thanks for joining us live, guys,
and if you're watching after the fact, thank you. Let's
get you ready for the weekend. Hit that like button.
Make sure you subscribe to the channel. You get notified
when all the shows come out. We're just we're like
a few people from that two hundred and ten thousand mark,
So if you haven't subscribed, go and do that. Help
get us to two hundred and ten thousand. We'd really
like to do that. So we're gonna bring on Marco,
and then after that we've got an extended version of
All Around the World. Dan's gonna join us. We got
some lacrosse plays, we got soccer, we got baseball. But
first let's talk to Marco at DiAngelo and we're gonna
talk some WNBA as well as MLB.
Speaker 3: Marco, how are you doing good?
Speaker 5: How you guys doing today?
Speaker 1: It's a beautiful day. I was staring at my collared shirts,
and then I was like, nope, I'm wearing the new
Wager Talk hoodie. I know it's hot outside, I know
it's summer, but it just looks so good. And they
were like, we're wear the college shirt when I was now,
I'm wearing the I'm wearing the hoodie. So it may
not look the most professional. I don't care. It looks
awesome and it's it's super comfortable.
Speaker 5: So casual Friday, You're you're good, don't we have casual Friday?
Speaker 6: Yeah?
Speaker 1: We got like no baseball coming up. Like sports are
taking their take days off. I can take days off
on a collared shirt. So all right, Marco, let's talk
the Phillies in the Padres. Suarez is going for Philly
Burger for the Padres. How do you break this game down?
Speaker 3: Well, it's two words.
Speaker 5: It's Rangers for as. This guy has been an absolute
beast for the Phillies. He's allowed zero for one run
in eight of his last nine starts. Oh and that
one start that he gave up more than one run.
He gave up two runs over seven innings and was
on the short end of a two to one final score.
Just the opposite for the Padres pitcher Berger. He has
made five starts, he's averaging going just four and a
third innings in those starts, and he's had some control issues.
He's given up ten walks in just seventeen innings of
work over his last seventeen innings of work. That's a concern.
You don't want to be putting base runners on free
passes against a team that's got a pitcher as hard
as Shores is uh. And then you look at the
Padres themselves. They're struggling to score runs. They just completed
a four game series where they scored a grand total
of ten runs. That is bad in any four game series,
but when you consider the four game series came against
the Arizona pitching staff, that's really bad. So, uh, I
just don't want any part of the Padres in this
particular matchup with a pitcher as hot as Suarez.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 5: So I'm gonna look to him. I'll give you kind
of a side play as well. If you want a
bonus play, this is not the one I'm gonna give you.
But uh, Suarez since twenty twenty four when he's on
the road and he gave up one run or less
than his last game. He's eight to o to the
under in the next game. So pretty powerful stat there.
But I am gonna go with Philadelphia. I'm not gonna
put the hand the game in the hands of the
bullpen because I really don't russ the Philly bullpen. I'll
put it in him, surez his hands, and I'll take
him first five innings. I'll lay the half a run
first five innings with Philadelphia to get the job done
tonight in San Diego.
Speaker 1: Like that. Look there, Yeah, when you want to support
a starting pitcher. Yeah, take a look at the first
five over the w NBA. You got the Dream versus
the Fever. Fever are the line's kind of jumping around here.
I'm seeing minus one and a half pop up two
and a half opened up the Fever. Listen, they play
twenty minutes from my house. They just can't seem to
stream together a good winning streak. Two wins in a row,
that's their best winning streak. They've lost too in a row. Meanwhile,
you got the Dream third in offense twelve and seven
this year, you got the Fever's very very small favorites.
How do you break this game down?
Speaker 5: Well, you look at this game, and they are two
different teams when Caitlyn Clark's on the floor and when
she's not. In twice this year she's missed a stretch
of games. She just came back from missing five games
on this last stretch come back. And how many times
we talk about in different sports you hear me talk
about the injured player theory. We like to take teams
that first game that Star is out because the rest
of the team will step it up a notch and
compensate for the loss. Well, there's a flip side to
that angle, and that angle is when Star comes back.
I like to go against that team for a couple reasons. One,
you're gonna have an inflated line when the star comes back,
is we saw in the last game in which she
came back. But also you had the team playing one
way and if they were playing good, now you're changing
the chemistry again because it's a total different look when
she's on the floor and when she's not. Some actually
say Indiana is a better team. They play better as
a team. Let's word it that way when she's not
on the floor, because when she is in the game,
everything goes through her. When she's not on the floor,
they get all five players involved. She came back the
other night against Golden State, an embarrassing loss for Indiana
eighty to sixty one. They went three and two while
she was out, and they won the third game of
that five game stretch when they blew out the Las
Vegas Aces eighty one to fifty four. Well, after that
blowout win two days later, throw my favorite saying out there.
They were fat and sassy, La Sparks were coming to town,
team that's underachieved all year, and they ended up losing
eighty nine eighty seven. Well, then the next game you
got Caitlyn Clark back and you had that mental let
down or disruption of the flow. They lose again. I
can tell you that the practices, all the reports I got,
it was a pretty heated practice. Coach was not happy
with that performance. I think second game back with Caitlyn Clark,
you're going to see a better game tonight from the team.
Indiana shot just thirty in that game two days ago.
You'll see a better performance tonight. And last four opponents,
they have held three of the four to thirty seven
percent or less shooting. Indiana has played some good defense.
I like Indiana tonight against the Atlanta Dream Lay the
two piece.
Speaker 1: Nice lay the two points. What's thought on your Aces
this year so far?
Speaker 5: Well, it's been a season where they had some injuries
to start the season. Megan Gupherson played her first game
actually last night, one of their big offseason signings that
was going to be a major player in the team
this year. Unfortunately, you don't have to deal with this
any NBA maternity leave. So that took two key pieces
out of the team, and then they had some transition
over that. And Asia Wilson has missed a few games
this year, once with a concussion, she missed last night's
game with a wrist injury. She should be back this weekend.
But I think with Megan coming back last night, it
gives them a little more depth. And they just signed
last week Smith from Dallas. She has played spectacular for
the Aces in the three games that she's been on
the roster and she's still, you know, learning to play
with her teammates. She's actually started to the last two games.
Look for this team to make a run down the stretch.
They're still I say, fourth best team in the w NBA.
Speaker 1: People are asking if can you open the deli, please.
Speaker 5: The deli will be the deli will be coming back
for football season. A little tough with baseball to do
a bunch of games over the weekend in advance with
pitching stone. And you know, and I with me, I
don't make a baseball play. Do I see the final
scores from the night before, because that's gonna help dictate
for me whether I'm looking at a first five any wager,
or if I'm going a full game based on who's
available out of the bullpen that didn't get used last night.
Speaker 1: All right, Marco, you have a five percent play up
and you don't do too many of those, so everyone
pay attention. Tell us about your five percent.
Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, we've released since February of twenty twenty four,
I've had near close to fifteen hundred plays. Only forty
two of those plays have been five percent plays, and
we're twenty nine and twelve with them. I've got one
of those special plays tonight, and it's got a couple
subsets in this game that are outstanding. One is nine
and zero and one is ten and one or eleven
in one. I don't have my notes in front of me,
but outstanding situation with the game. You'll get the full
detail breakdown when you purchase to play. You can get
that game for thirty five dollars, or for four dollars more.
You can get everything I have today at wager Talker,
or of course you can always pick up a seven
day package long term, get every play we have. Save
yourself some money.
Speaker 3: But check that.
Speaker 5: Out twenty nine and twelve with those five percent plays
since February of twenty twenty four, guys, that's over nineteen months.
Speaker 1: Love it, Marco DiAngelo. Good look on that five percent man.
Whenever you have a five percent play, hey, buckle up,
let's play it. So thanks very much for joining us, Marco,
have a great weekend you too.
Speaker 5: Let's cash some tickets.
Speaker 1: Guys. All right, great offer going right now. Three days
for just forty nine dollars. You get full access to
the handicappy of your choice. But wait, it gets better.
You can take the same expert all three days, or
you can mixmatch it. We've been talking about flex passes
all week long. You can try someone new each day.
You can try a new Sport's completely up to you.
You've got the power to tailor make it to your
style and your schedule, sharp insight, winning plays, total flexibility,
all for under fifty dollars. You can take advantage of
Marco's five percent play. You can take advantage of Tokyo
Brandon's five percent play. That's a beauty about the flex passes.
You get to pick what handicapper, So take advantage of
that three days for just forty nine dollars. Save twenty
dollars limited time offer. All right, let's go all around
the world. Let's do some free plays, and we're gonna
get a live a couple of live plays from Dan.
Let's first go to the Let's go to the big
board here and go with the Blue Jays at the
Athletics over five and a half in the first five
Toronto third and batting average seventeen oh seven point oh
four er at home. And it's hot temperatures in Sacramento.
Last night in Sacramento temperatures, hop ball was flying. It
was three to three after five innings. We're also looking
at the Rangers at the Astros. Your fee. This is
a special from Ralph Michaels Rangers six and oh euro
fee run scored a first inning run in five out
of those six games. Houston nice little two to zero
run in the year feet as well, and then Pavlos
a plus five twenty five in the Women's Euros Italy
versus Spain draw in regulation. Here's the deal. Both teams
will advance to the next round, but both teams get
a better seed with a win or a draw. So
in a weird situation, both teams kind of have motivating
factors to have a draw. And the last meeting was
in October and it ended one to one. So you're
getting insane value on this plus five twenty five for
this game to end in a draw. All right, Dan,
come on in here. Let's talk a little bit of lacrosse.
Let's get people ready. Baseball is gonna have the All
Star breaks, so we got to focus in on some
of these other sports. Let's talk a player prop and
we got some numbers that are completely out of whack.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and full disclosure, and these are two that you know,
I suggested, Hey, we should load these for clients with you.
You have a team of handicappers that does you know
all these different sports. I'm the lacrosse department, and you know,
we've kind of been up and down. We haven't really
been able to go on a run. But when stats
stand out to me, I figured, hell, Andy, why don't
we give these ones out for free to the live
viewers here on wader Talk today. So hey, folks, just
as a little thanks, hit that like button subscribe. We're
so close to two hundred and ten thousand subscribers, so
free picks, you know, analysis, we answer your questions in
the chat here live more reasons than ever to hit
that like button and make sure that you're subscribed. We
do appreciate it. The play for me tonight, Andy and
Lacrosse Action, and you can get this on any of
the regulated sports books. Tom Shreiber of the Utah Archers,
we're taking him to go over two and a half points,
and we're taking him to go over one and a
half goals. The two and a half points you're looking
at like minus one thirteen. It's actually plus money for
the over one and a half goals. And why is
that is one of the best guys former MVP in
the league. I won't belabor the folks at the point
because they just want to play. But start amazing to me,
Andy that this guy has played seven years in the PLL.
So every year that the bl has been around. Tom
Schreiber has been here fifty nine games he's played, Andy,
and he has never not recorded a single point until
two weeks ago. That was the first time he was
ever blanked at any game ever. I mean, that's longevity
that you just cannot overstate. So seven years he's never
not recorded a point. He's coming off a game where
he did that. That's why we're seeing these low numbers,
and the injury report's pretty stark for the Utah Archers.
So Tom Schreiber, if the Archers want to get back
on their winning ways, their back to back league champions,
one of the best teams in the league, if they
want to get back to those winning ways, it figures
that Tom Schreiber is going to be a big part
of that. So we're taking Tom to go over two
and a half points tonight. Couldn't decide on that and
his goals. So at that plus money, let's sprinkle some
units on both of them, and let's have Captain America,
great nickname by the way, have a big tonight in
premiere Lacrosse League Action on ESPN Plus.
Speaker 3: That's the play for me.
Speaker 1: Andy, Yeah, you don't get the nickname Captain America.
Speaker 3: For if you're not pretty good.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you earned that. You earned the nickname Captain America.
All right there, awesome over.
Speaker 3: Big tomber fans tonight.
Speaker 1: All right, let's bring in Andrew, Babikida said. Then we're
gonna break down the chiefs over or under eleven and
a half win totals, Andrew joining us with Westgate. Uh, Andrew,
this is how's the handle been so far on this
fight night? It's Derek Lewis, who I think is still
a draw. I think people still like him, but curious
if this card is bringing in a lot of money.
Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean it's pretty average for you know, a
fight night.
Speaker 6: I would say it's not too chalky.
Speaker 7: I mean there's a few big, big favorites, but other
than that, there's some there's some real betable prices. So
the handle has been pretty good, but I think people
are definitely more looking forward to next week and then
the week after in Abadab that's another really good card.
So you know, we have three back to back cards
that are you know, pretty solid, and during this time
of year when it's only baseball, I think the handle
is even higher than normal. So yeah, I'm looking forward
to the card.
Speaker 1: What's been some sharp action. I've seen this Derek Lewis
line all over the place on some of the books
out by me, so curious what you're taking money on
in the main event.
Speaker 6: Yeah, so we open to share at minus one ninety.
Speaker 7: It's sitting three dollars now, so I'm sure you guys
can kind of tell where the action's been coming.
Speaker 6: Yeah, we took some early bets onto Share.
Speaker 7: I wouldn't say anything overly respected, but clearly there's some
respected money on that side in the market for it
to move over one hundred cents in the matter of,
you know, less than a week. But yeah, that's been
a solid bet fight, and I'm sure there will be
some takers day of on Derek Lewis because he's, you know,
a popular guy, and I'm sure we'll get a lot
of knockout props on Derek Lewis fight Dan.
Speaker 1: Any other fights where you're taking a lot of one
sided action.
Speaker 7: One sided action, I'd say, let's see, we're getting a
lot of Steve Garcia action. But we did get some
respected buy back on Calvin Cater But I'd say a
majority of the public action on that fight has been
on that Garcia side, and then really really good two
way action on the Walter Walker fight versus Kennedy. There's
been sharp action on both sides of that fight, so
you know, that's kind of what we're looking for.
Speaker 6: We're looking for the action on both sides.
Speaker 7: And you know, there's been some some fights this week
that it's been strong.
Speaker 6: Opinions on both sides. Those are probably the two main
fights that I've seen so far.
Speaker 1: It's funny you bring up at Garcia and Cater fight.
I always run a violence parlay by you, so let's
do it. Get your thoughts on this one. I got
two fights go under two and a half rounds. Cater
and Garcia is the first one, and then I'm going
with the Tokos and Tafa. Tafa's basically got one shot
knockout power and that's it. He can get submitted on
the ground. He has maybe four or five minutes of
cardio and then he's dead to the world. Tokos is terrible.
This to me is a loser leaves town matchup. But
one of these guys is just gonna make a massive
mistake and the other one's gonna get the finish. And
then Cater and Garcia Garcia's got one shot knockout power.
He's been doing that for years. He's on a big
winning streak. But as far as volume, Cater is gonna
have the more volume, I think, and Garcia gets he
gets clipped every single fight, and if he does it
against Cater, I think Cater can knock him out. I
don't see this one going very long. I think somebody's
chin get gets touched pretty hard in this one. What's
your take on Cater, Garcia and Tokos and Tafa Under.
Speaker 7: Yeah, it's funny you bring up that Cater Garcia under
We did get hit pretty heavily on the under by
a sharp customer, and we were all pretty surprised early because,
I mean, just looking at it originally, you kind of
just look at it and you're like, Calvin Cater doesn't
really get finished.
Speaker 6: He's pretty he's pretty tough, and so is Steve Garcia.
Speaker 7: But yeah, the more I've looked into the flight, I
definitely understand, uh that play for sure, and uh yeah,
there's some respected action behind it. And I think I
think you want to like a seven to one peaceful
parlay last time we talked, or at least one one
of the big one of Oh.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we did. Yeah, absolutely we did. Andrew, Yeah, oh yes, yes,
absolutely we hit a seven to one parlay. That's that's
what we do around here.
Speaker 6: I remembered I had to shout you out for that.
That was pretty awesome.
Speaker 1: Thank you. All right, what's your favorite bet on this card?
Speaker 4: Ah?
Speaker 7: Man, if if I had to play anything, I mean,
I hate just giving out when I'm saying the sharp act,
you know what. I think there has been some sharp
faction on this as well. But I'd say at this price,
I think WonderBoy. I like his chance. At these odds
plus three fifty you can get. I think if he's
able to keep this standing, he should be able to,
you know, make this a close fight. I mean, he
doesn't really get finished off, and I know he got
knocked out at the end of the last fight, but
I think he's a tough out for everybody on the feet.
And you know, this is a big step up in
competition for on themes. So I'll say that as a long,
long dog.
Speaker 1: This was my favorite upset on the car. I'm with you, Lockstep,
but we didn't even talk about it. Yeah, it's Stephen Thompson.
He's just a much better striker than Boom Theme at
Boom Bem doesn't get him on the ground. Boom Them's
a sitting duck and he's got that weird karate style.
So I'm with you one hundred percent on that one.
I love that underdog on on on Stephen Thompson there,
So all right, tell everyone what you guys got got
going on over at Westgate right on?
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, if you guys haven't a followed me
on X.
Speaker 7: I'm trying to get more or the content out with
the little looks behind behind the counter, So.
Speaker 6: Yeah, follow me if you haven't.
Speaker 7: But over here at the book I know it's kind
of slow season, so we're ramping up getting the NFL
content out there. We got the Wimbledon finals coming up.
I'm really looking forward to that. But yeah, we're offering
really fair splits and really fair limits. So if you
haven't added us as a book, please stop buy and
you know, add us to your index of different books.
This is definitely a book you want to be playing with.
And Mike always, I appreciate you having me on and
excited to talk three eighteen next week.
Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely huge card next week. Andrew Babakitas from the
west Gate. Thank you so much for doing this every Friday.
Have a great weekend. All right, let's do it, Dan,
Let's suck the Chiefs. We're going with the win total
of eleven and a half. We're talking season win totals.
In the comment section, let us know if you like
the over under on the Chiefs. Polarizing team. A lot
going on with this each team or is there is
there a lot going on with this team? Offseason moves.
They did sign more the left tackle, they added some
D line depth. I actually think this Rashid Rice coming
back is going to completely make that offense like a jugger.
Not PFF ranked their offense fourteenth. But the big thing
for me is they just become a defensive team. The
PFF had them ranked second in defense. This isn't like
the Tyreek Hill, high flying offense. We'll go through their schedule.
They got some they got some tough ones up front.
Back in it gets a lot easier. They start Chargers,
Eagles at Giants, Ravens at Jags, Lions, Raiders, Commanders at
Bills at Broncos. And here's where it starts to slow down.
Colts at Cowboys, Texans, Chargers at Titans, Broncos, and Raiders.
Your thoughts on the Kansas City.
Speaker 4: Chiefs, Well, Andy, I know you and I are going
to be disagreeing on this one because you know from
other teams that we've talked about in division. I think
it was the Denver Broncos that we did a preview
on and I am bullish on this division, Yet I
am bearish on the Kansas City Chiefs. I get it,
they go over this every single year. It's been Washprint's repeat.
But how many of those years, Andy, did they get well,
you know, guaranteed wins in their division. That ship has sailed.
Every single team in this division has gotten better in
my opinion, Okay, you add the tackle. Kansas City Chiefs
are the team in this division that has stayed the
exact same. And if you're not always innovating, if you're
not always raising your game, you're gonna fall stagnant. And yes,
that defense is stellar, don't get me wrong, But how
many times, Andy, do we see you know, when a
playbook comes out on a team this Kansas City everyone
talks about, you know, super Bowl hangovers, and why do
we just make it agnostic for a team who's not
only having a Super Bowl hangover. They're a team Andy
who had a documentary following and around all last year
because we're gonna three peat, We're gonna be the first
team to ever do it. And then all of that
air comes out of those tires. Travis Kelce looks like
a shell of himself, you know. And I think the
talking heads who were like, look at how fat Pat
Mahomes looks, that's idiotic. Like it's the off season and
Pat Mahomes is never a pinnacle.
Speaker 3: You're not walking around with eight pack. Pat Mahomes will
be just fine.
Speaker 4: But I just think it's a fact that this team
who has beat up on every little brother in this
division is finally gonna get punched back. And you laid
out the schedule there, well, you know you'll say that
the Colts is a guaranteed win. I'm not so sure
because I think the Colts are gonna be a little
bit better this year. But outside of you know, the
Colts will put them on the list. Titans and Jaguars
are the only games that you say those are guaranteed
wins for this team.
Speaker 3: In my opinion, you can.
Speaker 4: Say, oh, they're gonna beat up on the Raiders, we
don't know what the new Raiders are gonna look like
with Pete Carroll. So I'm pretty strong on this one. Andy,
towards the under eleven and a half wins. Not only
do I think they're going to be around ten wins
this year, I don't think they win this division. That's
the gauntlet that I have tossed down. If you're giving
me the field versus Kansas City Chiefs in this division,
I'll take that bet all day long. Tell the folks
why I'm wrong, because I'm sure the chat is being like, Dan,
what the hell are you talking about?
Speaker 1: No, We're we're kind of split here. Well, why this
is Chiefs overrated? Boo? Taylor Swift? There's your analysis.
Speaker 3: That's honestly under So that's all you need to say.
Speaker 1: Under there you go. You know, I could just be
the complete villain of the show and be like, you
know who. I love Angel Reese and Taylor Swift. I
want to go those are my two favorite celebrity Okay,
I'm just going over six and one on this over
with Mahomes as the starter. I can't argue the Super
Bowl hangover that has really seemed to be true. I
just think every time I get a home Andy Reid team,
I'm taking the over. It's like Jalen Hurts. Any team
that has Jalen Hurts, I'm just gonna be a buyer.
Speaker 4: On and for what it's worth. I was also on
the under eleven and a half for the Eagle. So
for me, it's just when these numbers start getting up there, crazy,
You're assuming everything goes perfectly right for the team, you know,
and I get it. The Chiefs cast this every single year,
and so I could look like an idiot, but I'm
not the person who's been calling my shot on the
Chiefs every single year. You know a lot of people
have said, oh, they're gonna regress, Oh they're gonna regress.
I haven't been that guy. But this year, I think
you are.
Speaker 3: Going to see.
Speaker 4: Because before it was they got to beat up on
the entire division. I don't think that's the reality personally anymore.
And that's where that's where the lean towards the under
or the play on the under comes in. For me,
is is this division has gotten markedly better. Yes, the
Kansas City Chiefs still have Andy Reid, they still have
Pat Mahomes, but this division isn't just the little brother
they get to beat up on anymore.
Speaker 3: They're punching back.
Speaker 1: And the other big case you can make for the
under is like, how many crazy one score games did
they win last year? I mean, you could have made
the case.
Speaker 3: I guess, but I have to.
Speaker 4: I have to Andy be a fly on the wall
in the officiating meetings and the NFL script writers because
if I'm I'm in there and the I'm a fly
on the wall for the NFL script writers, I'm gonna
know if they go over or under right.
Speaker 3: I need I need to see the script.
Speaker 1: The script writer. I love it. I just I hate
to be the guys that have season ending injuries when
they read that script for the first time. It's just
gotta be.
Speaker 3: I know, you're like, shit, You're at the table read
and you're like.
Speaker 1: What, I'm out week one, bold hamstring in week two,
it's a contrast. Shit. So my my my take on
the close one score games is that's what great teams
do that they win the close games. They they plan
for it, they're ready for it. So I'm just blindly
taking Ady Reid and Patrick Mahomes to do well. It's
gone over six out of seven games. I'm in on
the eleven and a half. Your point makes all the
sense in the world. I can't argue with everything, but
we are going to be in disagreement on this one.
Speaker 4: To comment below, this is the thing you comment about today.
Drop below in the comments Kansas City Chiefs over or under.
And also, if you're so inclined, leave your wager talk
user name and you might just be winning some some
free action like some of our winners who commented belows
like like Alec, like s Now's or snows like our
man Chris. All three of these people all they did,
they commented below. After the video went live, they added
their wager talk username and now they're getting some free
action on the house from wager talk.
Speaker 3: You can do the same. Comment below while you're down there,
make sure you subscribe to you know.
Speaker 1: That's all right, the strategist. I get where you're going
with this, and sf niner, we need a lady handicapper.
We might have to talk to Kelly and Ariel. We
might have to get some some spot uppear beyond. I'll
make some.
Speaker 3: Calls and see, yeah, we know some people, you know, the.
Speaker 1: Betting maybe the betting queen, the maybe all right, if
we get the betting queen to come on here, then
then you guys, and then every single person has to subscribe.
Speaker 4: We have Taylor Mathis, come on, dude, she'll walk around
as a guest that could move.
Speaker 3: We have right comment below.
Speaker 4: Should we have Tailor Mathis dude live walking bets on
wager Talk today.
Speaker 3: Let us know us it's very it's not.
Speaker 1: A busy week. Next week we can we can put
in some some time doing that. So all right, thanks
guys for watching. It's been a great week. Next week
no baseball, but you bet we're gonna be here giving
you all kinds of information and sports to help you win.
Make sure you check out our Flex Pass special for
forty nine dollars. That's twenty dollars off works for any
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Good luck on your bets. We'll be back Monday. Take care,