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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everybody. It's Wednesday, hump Day, two

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Man Show today. I think Brian Leonard is traveling back east.

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I believe he's on his way back to Ohio, so

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he'll be back tomorrow. But we've got Trig somewhere in

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central New York, Tokyo, Brandon somewhere in central Japan. Is

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that right?

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Speaker 2: Yep? That is correct? Correct?

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Speaker 1: Awesome, and yeah, we're here to for the next hour

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to do what we do, give out MLB info and

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hopefully most of it wins. So I want to get

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right into it. TB. It looks like the game that

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I always laugh. I know, do you guys have like

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do you have to go on like the subscription services

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to watch games in Japan? Or like is most of

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this stuff? How do you get all the games? I

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guess is a question because in the States here, if

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you want to watch Twins Yankees tonight, I think you

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got to go to Amazon Prime, one of like five

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streaming services we need to watch games.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, all the Dodgers games obviously are broadcast on national

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TV and get huge ratings. They also show a lot

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of Cubs games because there's Amonaga and Suzuki other than that,

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you have to go online and find them streaming somewhere.

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So but interesting, we get a lot more access to

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stuff than Americans do because there's all of licensing stuff

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over there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I noticed that, like the it's a little looser

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like on the international streaming, no blackouts and stuff like that.

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I know MLB TV still likes to black your local

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team now, but yeah, the reason I bring it up

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is it looks like in the States tonight, if you

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want to watch Twins Yankees, you're probably doing it on

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Amazon Prime at least unless you're in the local market.

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And you know, interesting series here TV. Because last week

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I talked about the Twins, well, we all talked about

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the Twins. They obviously sold off their team at the

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trade deadline, right eleven trades. I think it was a record,

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and Brian, you know, Brian Leonard brought up, hey, maybe

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this is a team I want to play against. I

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was sort of on the other side where I was like, well,

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I'm excited about some of these young players, and they

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had a good week last week, But are we seeing

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the Twins kind of like become what they probably are

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the rest of the season. At this point, they lose

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the first two of the series, and now they're looking

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at being swept at Yankee Stadium. So where are you

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out in the Twins and how are you seeing this

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Twins Yankees matchup?

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Speaker 2: So, yeah, the way I look at it, like Schlittler's

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kind of unproven. If you look at how he's been,

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he's got a pretty high whip, pretty high numbers, not

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a huge sample size to go on, but his whip

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is one sixty six, which is not good. Looking at

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his splits, he actually, yeah, he's actually worse at home

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than he is on the road. And he's at home

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today against a really good pitcher in Joe Ryan. Looking

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at Joe Ryan's numbers against these guys, he has a

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two thirty nine average against in a six ninety nine ops.

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As I've said in many shows, I'll say it again.

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Seven fifty is kind of my line for ops over unders.

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He's under that, it means he's gotten the best of

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these batters. Minnesota did sell off a lot of their

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team at the trade deadline. Forty percent of their roster

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was actually shipped off at the trade deadline, but they're

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still hitting better than the Yankees according to my numbers

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in current form I have them drink sixteen or have

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the Yankees ranked twenty six. A lot of that current

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form is before Judge came back, perhaps because since he's

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come back, I think he's gotten a hit in almost

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every game except one, so he's definitely someone to be

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worried about. The Twins' bullpen is just absolute trash, though

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I got them ranked twenty six out of thirty in

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current form of the Yankees is pretty good. This is

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how I would approach this. The Twins first five plus

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zero point five is only minus one twenty. I think

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that's pretty good value to take Joe Ryan against Schlitler

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when my numbers have the Twins hitting better in current form.

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I know the Yankees lineup is a little bit scary

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with Judge there, but I think that's a pretty good

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number to get it at least a tie or a

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win in the first five with Joe Ryan.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you. I would love to. I'd love

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to find a way to confidently play the Twins here,

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so first five makes sense. Joe Ryan is a stud.

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That's the one thing. I truly believe they ran out

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of time. I think, if like I think, if they

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had another day, they find a way to trade Joe

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Ryan as well. So the fact that they didn't is

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to their benefit for the rest of this year. He's

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still an ace. I think he'd be an ACE on

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most teams in Major League Baseball. So no question to me.

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Like even even with Schlitler's upside, which he does have

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a lot of it, I still would would prefer Joe

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Ryan if I was just putting those two head to head,

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I'm giving Joe Ryan the edge. Now, a couple of

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things with the Twins here. You you mentioned the Twins

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and they're they're you know, the way they're hitting. I

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don't think that's really a fluke because I I you know,

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the majority of moves the Twins made around the deadline

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was selling off relievers. So you know, you talk about

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their bullpen, Yeah, that's a concern. No bullpen depth, no

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high leverage arms. That's issue. But like they get Luke

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keshel back. He's hotter than the sun, hitting three fifty

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four on the season in a limited sample, but he's

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been awesome. I still think Alan Road and the guy,

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a guy that they got back from the Blue Jayson

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a trade is going to turn the corner at some point.

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But Byra Buxton was an All Star. He's back right,

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he didn't play that first week out of the All

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Star break, and man Twins Twins fans gott to just

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shake their head and and and just sigh when they

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talk about Royce Lewis, because this is a guy that

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I really thought he was going to be like a

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star at one point, and he's you know, he's always hurt,

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can't seem to get it together. But you know, they

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dropped him in the order. He's down there hitting like

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sixth or seventh. Now it's not it's not a bad lineup.

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And then you want to talk about pitching today, the

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bullpend being an issue, Well, this might not be the

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worst day for the Twins bullpen wise, because yesterday they

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went with Travis Adams and then Thomas Hatch pretty much

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cleaned up and pitched like five innings. So they really

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didn't use any of their big time bullpen arms. So

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what I think you might see here TV, I think

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you might see Joe Ryan. I think they might have

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Pierson Ol potentially pitch after him unless they're good, you know,

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maybe they use him because right now they're listing Bailey

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Ober as the starter for tomorrow, so I think ol

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is probably available out of the bullpen. That's pretty appealing

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to me. I think if you get because he's been

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pretty good, he's one of their better young arms at

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this point. I think if you get Joe Ryan a

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Pierson oll in this game, that's very appealing from a

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pitching standpoint for the Twins. And then it's just can

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they put some runs together? Well, they haven't hit all series,

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so I don't know. Maybe it is here. You give

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me Joe Ryan plus one twenty. I don't hate that,

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and I agree with you first five makes a lot

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of sense.

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Speaker 2: Here's one more stat to throw in before you go

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out the next game. Joe Ryan on the road in

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sixty plus innings as a two five to five VRA.

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I understand era is not the tell all sign of

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a good picture. But if you go sixty innings only

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giving up two point five runs in those starts, that's

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pretty good. Granted it wasn't all against the Yankees, but

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still just a thing. He's not a bad road picture.

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Just to throw that.

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Speaker 1: In, that's a great point. And I think I don't

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think Joe Ryan gets enough love. If we're being honest,

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I don't think he's ever got the love as an ACE,

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and I really truly believe he'd be an ACE on

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two thirds of the teams in the league. So Jack

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Barko was the Yeah, So Jack Barker was the comment

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I pulled up. He said, anyone think the Twins can

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take the game with Ryan on the mount? I think

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TV and I both think the Twins could take this

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game with Ryan on the mount. And also Jack says,

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not normally up this early, can't do it. Bad accident,

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So I'm at the doctor means I get to watch

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my favorite show in the world. We appreciate you. Listen, Jack,

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We wish you were here under better circumstances. I hope

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everything's good, and you know, whatever the accident was, you

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take care of. But we love having you live here.

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So shout out to Jack. Hope he feels better. That sucks. Well,

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we love having you live. Go ahead.

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Speaker 2: Someone else have to comment that usually they can't watch

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the show live, but today they're watching it live. I

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can't find it right now, but yeah, so it looks

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like we're gonna have lots of live viewers. So that's great, excellent,

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Thanks for watching, guys. Adam, do you have a play

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out yet today.

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Speaker 1: I do actually, so do it be. I've got a

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five percent play I am. I hate bringing it up.

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I let Travis in the chat bring it up, and

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I'm just gonna leave it there. I'm on a good

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run right now. So I'm on a good run. Let's

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put it that way. I don't want to drinkx it.

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But I've got an MLB play I love and I

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made it a five percenter, So great, check that out

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of my page. Awesome, yep. And yeah, I'm just trying

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to keep up with you. I'm just trying to keep

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up with you.

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Speaker 2: Well. You know, people might not know this, but when

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we put a five percent play out, wager Talk makes

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us with a free play out as well. So I'm

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sure Adam has a free playout.

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Speaker 1: So that's I'm glad you bring that up, TV, because

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what I'm gonna do is so my five percent play

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happens to be one of the games that goes tonight.

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Anything I play, whether it be Triple A, whether it

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be MLB, any any client play I have for the

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afternoon session, which I'm sure there will be one because

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there's there's midday Triple A games as well. I will

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post for free on my page, so make sure you're

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going to wager Talk has organized this for you into

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a free picks tab. So if you go to the

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wager talk website, you can just click free picks and

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see all the free picks. But if you go to

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the capp or page, they're nicely organized underneath the sale

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place or the sale bricks, so check that out after

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all the handicappers. Yeah, it's just you and me.

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Speaker 2: I have a free play up as well. Today it's

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just you and me. So I'm gonna oh, I can't

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do the comments, but Jack Jack Barco just made a

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comment you're getting a lot of love for your five

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percent win the other day with the Rays. You got

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a lot of love yesterday and today there's loving it.

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That must have been an amazing, an amazing cadre.

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Speaker 1: Uh So, why don't we Why don't we do this TV?

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Because I think there's a segue somewhere in here. I

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want to talk about Rai's A's because I guess like

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I see some some similarities between. So Monday night I

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made a five percent play on the A's. It was

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even money. And the reason I thought it was such

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a bad you know, just such a good spot for

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the Rais and and Jack saying, you know, bad line

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by the books. The A's were coming home from Baltimore, right,

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They just spent the whole week in on the East Coast.

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They played in Washington, d C. They played in Baltimore,

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no travel day. They had to come home and play

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on a on a Monday. And as we kind of know,

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and as we've kind of highlighted, it's not really coming

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home for the A's like they come back to Sacramento

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where they play their home games. But I think it's

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important to point out, like they have an embraced Sacramento

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and Sacramento really hasn't embraced them. It seems like Sacramento

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area is mostly Giants fans. Of course, Cutterhouse Park souther

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Health Park is where the Giants Triple A team plays,

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so I'm sure you know they get a live a

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lot of Giants fans because of that, and the A's

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have done nothing to like embrace being there. It's almost

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like they've they've insulted the city of Sacramento in a

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lot of ways by talking about how much they don't

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want to be there. And then I pull up just

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the just the record. If you go look at your

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standings page, I mean the A's are like twenty four

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and thirty. They're like eleven games under five hundred at home,

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they've actually been better on the road. So I kind

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of like the Rays here. The only difference is now

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I'm having to pay minus one thirty for the Rais,

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00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:40,200
whereas on Monday, in like a similar spot matchup, like

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00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:42,159
a good what I thought was a good matchup for them,

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I was getting them an even money. So talk to

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00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,399
me about this one. You got Rasmussen Gin like, I

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00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:49,440
see an edge here for the Rais, but now you're

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being forced to pay for it. How are you looking

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00:11:51,039 --> 00:11:51,879
at this one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? Let me mention the guys in the comments, telling

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God bless you. You guys are great, love your show,

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thank you for all the love you guys had given us,

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because if you weren't watching our show, then Wayger Talk

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would cancel us. So thank you for watching. And you

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go to the replay and leave, go to a replay

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and leave the comments and let wayger Talk know that

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you like us because we're not as popular as the

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football guys. So well, Adam does football, but I don't,

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so anyways, but yeah, yeah. Yeah, so now that football

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season is coming up. Yeah, they're pretty focused on football.

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So give us some comments and let wayser talk know

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that you love our show on the replay. So regarding

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this game, man, the A's are just hard to bet against,

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especially in this stadium, because they're just crushing the ball.

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We talked about this all season long on this show

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about how they've got probably the best young nucleus of players.

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If they can keep this lineup together, by the time

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they're in Las Vegas, they're going to be like playing

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in division championships. Oh yeah, they're good, but unfortunately their

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00:12:57,279 --> 00:13:00,759
pitching is lacking a little bit. And again is or Gin.

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00:13:00,919 --> 00:13:03,840
Or Gin however, he says his name is one example

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of I mean, if they're starting this guy, you know

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00:13:06,039 --> 00:13:10,000
they're pitching is in shambles because this guy's bad. He's

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just not a good pitcher. And so I mean, I

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know his era is only four three nine, but he's

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actually not that good. In my opinion, I've seen him

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00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:21,879
and I don't like what I see. However, the problem

277
00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:24,519
with taking the race here and Rasmusen has really good

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00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:28,679
numbers against them the A's today, let me pull up

279
00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,960
my newsletter numbers. Raspusen has a two to eleven average

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00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,679
against and a seven thirty nine OPS so both of

281
00:13:34,720 --> 00:13:38,120
those are within uh, he's getting the best of them

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00:13:39,519 --> 00:13:43,480
sphere atmosphere, So I would love to take the race here.

283
00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:46,440
The problem is they're hitting. They're just not hitting well.

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00:13:46,840 --> 00:13:52,279
And but you know what can wake up the bats

285
00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:56,440
better than going against the guy like Gin? Right, So look,

286
00:13:56,480 --> 00:13:59,080
I got the Ray's bullpen rink three in all of MLB,

287
00:13:59,159 --> 00:14:01,559
and I've got to start pitcher Rasmussen on a curve

288
00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:06,360
of thirty ranked five. So, man, they're top five in

289
00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:10,720
everything except hitting. I got them ranked twenty. So do

290
00:14:10,759 --> 00:14:16,039
you think Rasmussen can hold down the A's bats while

291
00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:22,679
Tampa scores a few on Gin and this below mediocre bullpen? Probably,

292
00:14:23,759 --> 00:14:24,840
but I'm not gonna bet it.

293
00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:28,360
Speaker 1: TV. I love that you brought up the Ray's bullpen

294
00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:32,159
because I truly believe right now, like if we're just

295
00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:35,840
talking right now going forward, this is like a top

296
00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:39,639
maybe three bullpen in Major League Baseball. I love the

297
00:14:39,679 --> 00:14:41,840
fact that they went out and got Griffin Jacks. So

298
00:14:41,879 --> 00:14:44,039
we talked about the Twins sort of shipping some of

299
00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:48,120
their best relievers out to get guys in return. That

300
00:14:48,279 --> 00:14:50,440
was one of the guys that the Twins traded, and

301
00:14:50,759 --> 00:14:53,559
that was a tremendous move by the race. I truly believe,

302
00:14:53,679 --> 00:14:56,159
like having him in Fairbanks down there at the back

303
00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:58,399
end of that bullpen, and then just all the other

304
00:14:58,559 --> 00:15:01,120
arms they have that maybe don't get the credit they deserve,

305
00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:04,440
like even like a guy like Ian Seymour who's a

306
00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:08,120
little bit unproven, or Edwin who Setta who's you know,

307
00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:11,759
kind of pitched and beginnings of late like the Rays. Historically,

308
00:15:11,759 --> 00:15:14,279
we know this team. When the Rays are good, their

309
00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:17,480
bullpen is awesome. This year, they haven't been as good,

310
00:15:18,279 --> 00:15:20,399
like full season out of the bullpen, but that was

311
00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:23,159
something they really addressed at the trade deadline, and I

312
00:15:23,200 --> 00:15:25,840
think the rest of the way, the Rays are going

313
00:15:25,879 --> 00:15:27,200
to have one of the best bullpens in the league.

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00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:30,600
They're already they've already creeped into like top ten on

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00:15:30,720 --> 00:15:33,120
the year, and I think it's worth pointing out that

316
00:15:33,159 --> 00:15:35,320
they're like making up for lost time. This was not

317
00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:37,720
a top ten bullpen for like the first half of

318
00:15:37,759 --> 00:15:41,159
the season. They definitely underachieved. Another thing you brought up

319
00:15:41,159 --> 00:15:43,320
that I very much agree with, and this is this

320
00:15:43,399 --> 00:15:46,080
will be what kills this Raise team this year. The

321
00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:50,159
lineup just lacks like they just there's no pop in

322
00:15:50,159 --> 00:15:52,919
this lineup. I love Camon Earrow, like he's an awesome player,

323
00:15:52,919 --> 00:15:56,440
but one denine, they really lack like like big time

324
00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:58,679
pop in this lineup. They kind of have to string

325
00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:01,320
it together that the bottom of this order is very

326
00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:04,320
weak in my opinion, like so it really takes like

327
00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:06,960
a timely hit or two for them to score. And

328
00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:10,840
you know JT. Gin, Like, I'll defend j T Gin

329
00:16:10,960 --> 00:16:13,759
a little bit. He just I don't think he's bad.

330
00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:16,240
He just hasn't put it together at the big league

331
00:16:16,279 --> 00:16:18,159
level yet. Because this is a guy that shows has

332
00:16:18,159 --> 00:16:20,200
shown a lot of promise in the minors. He was

333
00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:22,480
a very high draft pick, I believe for the Mets.

334
00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:26,600
I think this was a Mets draft pick that was

335
00:16:26,639 --> 00:16:28,960
a high draft pick. And he came over in a

336
00:16:29,039 --> 00:16:31,440
trade last year for the Mets. I forget who they

337
00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:35,000
got in return for him, but point is like he's

338
00:16:35,039 --> 00:16:38,200
he's got the pedigree of someone that that should be

339
00:16:38,639 --> 00:16:41,159
a good starting pitcher in Major League baseball. He gets

340
00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:44,919
ground balls, you know, he's got a very live fastball.

341
00:16:45,759 --> 00:16:48,759
Good you know, good good fastball, good movement. He just

342
00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:50,799
hasn't put it all together yet at the big league level.

343
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So be that as it may, I think it's it's

344
00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:56,200
worth pointing out he hasn't put it together, and you know,

345
00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:59,559
maybe he gets himself into trouble a little bit at times,

346
00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:03,279
which could happen here now. Drew Rasmussen is bordering on

347
00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:05,519
an elite starter in Major League Baseball. I think that's

348
00:17:05,519 --> 00:17:07,759
why the Rays are minus one thirty here. And then

349
00:17:07,799 --> 00:17:09,920
you have to decide do you want to pay minus

350
00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,519
one thirty because you know you're paying a premium. Yes,

351
00:17:12,559 --> 00:17:15,400
you're getting the better pitcher, no question in Rasmussen, but

352
00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:17,359
you still need the Rays to hit. And then to

353
00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,640
your point TV, the A's are all young guys that

354
00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:24,119
can really rake when they get going, and it's almost

355
00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:25,920
like do you want to even you know, do you

356
00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:27,440
want to step in front of it? Because when the

357
00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:29,880
Rays are or when the A's are hitting, it can

358
00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:32,599
be a thing of beauty. So it's a very interesting game.

359
00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:35,519
I'm glad we brought this one up. I think the

360
00:17:35,599 --> 00:17:38,440
Rays are probably the look here because I do think

361
00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:41,880
you have a nice pitching edge, but it's not you know,

362
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:44,160
I don't know that this will make my I don't

363
00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:46,440
know at minus one thirty that I'm gonna like this

364
00:17:46,559 --> 00:17:48,599
play the way I did on Monday when I got

365
00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:50,720
the A's at even money or the Rays that even money,

366
00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:56,039
I guess is the point, right, Okay, okay, Oh, I

367
00:17:56,079 --> 00:17:58,119
gotta all right, I gotta go to the Uh. There

368
00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:00,359
was one in the chat. We have to bring this

369
00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,599
one up because you know, people are in the chat saying,

370
00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:06,039
don't you know this is their favorite show? We appreciate that.

371
00:18:06,079 --> 00:18:08,440
I'll tell you what TV. I don't do wager talk

372
00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:11,519
today very often, but the people on wager Talk today

373
00:18:11,519 --> 00:18:14,480
are probably like, who's who? Like, who's this Trigg character

374
00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,680
who came on and talked about the Pirates yesterday? And

375
00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:21,759
then they got They lost by two touchdowns, and Travis says, yeah,

376
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:24,759
maybe Pirates should put Treyola in the pen. He's talking

377
00:18:24,799 --> 00:18:28,680
about Treola the shortstop, because they continue to leave guys

378
00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:30,440
down at triple A that are probably better than the

379
00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:34,279
guys that are on their big league roster. But man,

380
00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:37,640
a couple of touchdowns for the Brewers yesterday, this team

381
00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:41,480
doesn't look like they're slowing down at all. How do

382
00:18:41,519 --> 00:18:43,119
you how do you what do you even do with

383
00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:44,759
this today? Can you can you step in front of

384
00:18:44,759 --> 00:18:46,599
it and you just have to admire what they're doing.

385
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:53,160
Speaker 2: Well. Since Wood come back, he's been awesome, And today

386
00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:57,640
they're facing Mitch Keller, who is three pegs lower than

387
00:18:57,759 --> 00:19:00,920
Schemes who they faced yesterday. Look if this team can

388
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:04,240
crush Schemes like that, look on the show. I'll be

389
00:19:04,279 --> 00:19:08,000
the first to admit total transparency. I was way wrong

390
00:19:08,079 --> 00:19:10,079
on my cap for that game. I thought Schemes was

391
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:12,240
going to hold him down and that it was going

392
00:19:12,319 --> 00:19:16,720
to be an under I even, you know, I think

393
00:19:16,759 --> 00:19:21,920
my parlay piece yesterday was no. Maybe it wasn't. Anyways,

394
00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:27,119
I had Pirates first five plus zero point five. I

395
00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:28,759
was all in on Schemes. I thought he was going

396
00:19:28,839 --> 00:19:29,480
to shut him down.

397
00:19:29,799 --> 00:19:30,119
Speaker 1: Nope.

398
00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:34,480
Speaker 2: I was totally off yesterday on this game. And so look,

399
00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:39,599
what makes people intelligent more intelligent as time goes on.

400
00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:43,599
What gives you wisdom is to be able to adjust

401
00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:47,839
your way of thinking according to what you have experienced. Right,

402
00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:50,519
That's why older people have more wisdom than younger people,

403
00:19:50,519 --> 00:19:54,559
because they've experienced more stuff and they act upon that wisdom.

404
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:58,200
So I'm going to gain wisdom by yesterday's game and

405
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:02,079
not bet against the Brewers anymore. Now, the Brewers went

406
00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:04,920
on this huge winning streak. When I torched them on

407
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:07,640
this show when they lost a series to the Mets,

408
00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:09,920
I said their season is done, and then they go

409
00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:12,720
on and win what twenty out of thirty games. So

410
00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:15,400
now that I'm talking them up, they're probably gonna go

411
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:19,039
on a losing streak. But anyways, let me just break

412
00:20:19,039 --> 00:20:21,799
the game down real quick. I got Woodrift ranked very

413
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:25,599
high out of thirty, I out of ranked four on

414
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:29,319
a curve of thirty out Mitch Keller ranked seventeen. Milwaukee's

415
00:20:29,319 --> 00:20:33,079
bullpen slightly better than Pittsburgh, but negligible. I got them

416
00:20:33,799 --> 00:20:38,839
Milwaukee twelve, Pittsburgh fifteen. Pittsburgh's bullpen's actually pretty good. And

417
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:42,279
then batting, I've got Milwaukee ranked four and I got

418
00:20:42,279 --> 00:20:46,279
Pittsburgh ranked nineteen. So put all that together, Milwaukee is

419
00:20:46,319 --> 00:20:49,319
ten points better than Pittsburgh on the overall rating, which

420
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:52,400
means it's definitely a play on. Maybe even take a

421
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:57,480
minus one. But let me see, do I have Woodriff's

422
00:20:57,559 --> 00:21:01,960
Woodriff's stats. There wasn't a good enough sample size. No,

423
00:21:02,079 --> 00:21:05,039
there's probably not a good enough sample size. Oh there

424
00:21:05,079 --> 00:21:07,880
is a good enough sample size. Woodruff one fifty three

425
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:10,400
average against in a five to twenty OPS. That's two

426
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:16,559
hundred points below what I consider dominating hitters. Mitch Keller

427
00:21:16,599 --> 00:21:19,680
three twenty six average against and an eight sixty nine

428
00:21:19,759 --> 00:21:24,839
OPS against the Brewers. So every single arrow, every single arrow,

429
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:27,759
points to Milwaukee, and you know what happens when that happens,

430
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:33,039
they lose. But no, I mean, you can't bet Pittsburgh

431
00:21:33,039 --> 00:21:34,759
in this game. You just can't. I mean the only

432
00:21:34,759 --> 00:21:36,480
way you could bet them is on a hope or

433
00:21:36,519 --> 00:21:37,319
a lottery ticket.

434
00:21:39,279 --> 00:21:43,200
Speaker 1: Yeah. Listen, after I picked my jaw off the floor yesterday,

435
00:21:43,319 --> 00:21:46,880
as I was watching schemes just get pummeled, I started

436
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:52,200
to think about, like, you know, the Brewers theoretically and

437
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:55,000
the way we do this as handicappers. Brewers sweep a

438
00:21:55,039 --> 00:21:59,319
big series against the Mets. They've now won what was

439
00:21:59,319 --> 00:22:01,599
it after that? They had won nine games in a

440
00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:05,240
row heading into this series with the Pirates. So I

441
00:22:05,279 --> 00:22:07,480
think as handicappers, we've done this long enough where we

442
00:22:08,039 --> 00:22:11,240
train ourselves to be like, Okay, now they're playing a

443
00:22:11,319 --> 00:22:13,640
lesser team, there's probably gonna be some sort of a letdown,

444
00:22:13,839 --> 00:22:16,400
and I think we even I know myself, and Brian

445
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,200
kind of brought that up on Monday when you could

446
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,559
have gotten them plus one and a half. And the

447
00:22:21,559 --> 00:22:23,799
more I watched that game yesterday, the more I started

448
00:22:23,839 --> 00:22:25,720
to think, you know what, this is sort of a

449
00:22:25,839 --> 00:22:29,119
unique situation where the Pirates were due for a letdown

450
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:32,480
as well. Right, Like, the Pirates actually came in and

451
00:22:32,519 --> 00:22:35,920
I've talked about Pirates management and leaving guys like Candevani

452
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:39,119
and Triple A and and some of their better they

453
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:41,599
They've got players in Triple A even bullpen Arms that

454
00:22:41,599 --> 00:22:44,799
I think should be on this team. Yet the Pirates,

455
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:49,119
in spite of their front office decisions, they came in.

456
00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:53,559
They they finished July winning eight of nine games, and

457
00:22:53,599 --> 00:22:57,119
then they came in to this series playing pretty good ball.

458
00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:01,799
So the Pirates were actually probably due for this drop

459
00:23:01,839 --> 00:23:06,160
off as well, because they're doing it really very much

460
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,039
in spite of some of the some of the decisions

461
00:23:08,079 --> 00:23:10,400
their front office has made. And so you almost have

462
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,359
to look at that and be like, well, how long

463
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,480
can the Pirates do this as well? And so I

464
00:23:14,519 --> 00:23:18,799
think this was just a unique scenario where the Pirates

465
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,720
were like almost just as hot relative to like where

466
00:23:21,759 --> 00:23:24,480
they are in the standings as the Brewers, and they

467
00:23:24,519 --> 00:23:27,039
came in and they just you know, now we're seeing

468
00:23:27,039 --> 00:23:29,680
the Pirates for what they are. So I don't know

469
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,039
that I want to go against the Brewers here. Where

470
00:23:32,039 --> 00:23:34,359
I will try to go against the Brewers probably TV

471
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,519
is this weekend when they have to go to Cincinnati,

472
00:23:37,559 --> 00:23:41,200
because suddenly that that's the Cincinnati team that is desperately

473
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:44,319
going to need those games, and that's a Cincinnati team

474
00:23:44,319 --> 00:23:47,160
that's a good ball club, and I think that's where

475
00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:49,319
the Brewers might lose one. I don't know if I

476
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,519
want to do it here, because the Pirates feel like

477
00:23:51,559 --> 00:23:53,000
they might be in a little bit of a free

478
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,720
fall mode off of a good streak as well. So

479
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:59,119
and now you got to think the Brewers too, internally

480
00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:01,920
now are like, let's let's run this up. Let's see

481
00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:04,039
how many, Let's see how long we can get this going.

482
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,279
They look like they're having a blast. Yeah, I I

483
00:24:07,759 --> 00:24:11,920
Unknown entities, Unknown Entities says, ride the train. You might

484
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:13,079
just have to ride that train.

485
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:19,240
Speaker 2: I mean in gambling, I mean you never I don't know, Adam,

486
00:24:19,319 --> 00:24:22,880
if you're subscribe to this theory, but you never never

487
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:26,000
bet the something is do theory. It never works. What

488
00:24:26,039 --> 00:24:28,559
you do is you ride a streak until it's done right.

489
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:32,519
Generally speaking, not always, but but generally you want to

490
00:24:32,559 --> 00:24:34,359
ride a streak till it'sa and Man the Reds, though,

491
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,000
I agree with you on the Reds. Man, they killed

492
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:39,000
me yesterday. I had the Phillies as my five dollars

493
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:42,119
play and the Reds really surprised me. I'm they're they're

494
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:43,680
a pretty good team.

495
00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:48,319
Speaker 1: I want to talk about that one because yeah, I

496
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,039
that you know Reds yesterday I thought it was an

497
00:24:51,039 --> 00:24:55,000
okay spot for them. Jabroni says Cincinnat he's a good

498
00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:59,440
ball club. I see. I I don't understand. I'm not

499
00:24:59,519 --> 00:25:02,759
picking on him because he brings us up. I feel

500
00:25:02,799 --> 00:25:05,200
like I feel like there's a lot of Reds hate,

501
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,039
and I like just from the market in general, from

502
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,759
people I see talking on gambling Twitter, and I don't

503
00:25:11,799 --> 00:25:14,559
understand it. The only thing I can understand, the only

504
00:25:14,680 --> 00:25:17,720
reason that makes sense to me would be, like, I

505
00:25:17,759 --> 00:25:19,559
know a lot of sharp people were very high on

506
00:25:19,599 --> 00:25:22,279
this Reds team coming into the season. Okay, so like

507
00:25:22,839 --> 00:25:25,359
maybe they haven't become like the maybe they're not going

508
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:28,000
to win this division. But Tokyo, Brandon, this is still

509
00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:31,559
a team that's sixty three and fifty eight. They're five

510
00:25:31,599 --> 00:25:35,519
games over five hundred. At one point you talked about them,

511
00:25:35,839 --> 00:25:38,200
you know, as a team that you thought was going

512
00:25:38,279 --> 00:25:41,440
to be really good. I still think they're really I

513
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,839
still think they have the upside of a team that

514
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:45,359
could be really good. Now, are they going to catch

515
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,240
the Brewers? No, but they're two games out of a

516
00:25:48,279 --> 00:25:51,599
wild card spot. Do you think the Reds are a

517
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:53,440
playoff team this year? I'll put you on the spot.

518
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:55,319
Are the Reds making the playoffs?

519
00:25:56,559 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 2: Well? They're pitching lacks little bit, so I think that's

520
00:26:01,519 --> 00:26:05,559
their problem. And their bullpen is just atrocious. I mean

521
00:26:05,599 --> 00:26:08,200
I got them ranked twenty seven, that's in current form,

522
00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:10,000
But I don't think I've had them ranked higher than

523
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:13,200
twenty off season. I don't remember. Maybe I did, But

524
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:17,400
you know, to win a seven game series and to

525
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:22,000
compete against teams like the Astros or well Astros, or

526
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,720
American League, to compete against the Dodgers and the Phillies

527
00:26:26,599 --> 00:26:29,119
in the playoffs, you're gonna have to do something about

528
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,240
your bullpen. They can't perform like that and win, but

529
00:26:32,839 --> 00:26:36,920
can they make the playoffs? Absolutely? Green's back today after

530
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:40,599
a little hiatus. If he pitches as well as he can,

531
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:42,839
you know he's a strikeout master if he can get

532
00:26:42,839 --> 00:26:47,759
back to that ten strikeouts per start and not expose

533
00:26:47,839 --> 00:26:50,960
the bullpen too much. Yeah, because their lineup's not bad.

534
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:54,759
I got their lineup kind of toiling and mediocrity, as

535
00:26:54,759 --> 00:26:56,440
I like to say. I got them ranked fifteen. But

536
00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:58,960
I only have the Phillies ranked elevens so they can

537
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:01,000
make the playoffs that I don't think they can get

538
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:02,000
too far with that bullpen.

539
00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:05,279
Speaker 1: Now, let me follow this up. You like the Phillies

540
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:08,960
yesterday it didn't work out. This doesn't look like the

541
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:11,000
worst spot to come back with the Phillies. Have you

542
00:27:11,079 --> 00:27:12,319
thought about Phillies today?

543
00:27:13,079 --> 00:27:20,599
Speaker 2: Oh? Absolutely, Phillies are a bona fide championship contender. They

544
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:23,599
usually are a year after year. But man, they got

545
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:27,599
so many See what makes a lot of people, maybe

546
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:30,000
who don't watch baseball as much as you and I do,

547
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:33,000
maybe don't realize. But what makes great a good team

548
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:37,200
great is the fact that can they run produce when

549
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,839
their stars are not producing. So, like the Phillies, if

550
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:42,680
Schwarber and Harper are not hitting, do they have guys

551
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:44,880
to pick up the slack? They absolutely do. And that's

552
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:48,039
why the Dodgers are so dangerous despite their horrible bullpen,

553
00:27:48,519 --> 00:27:52,160
is because when Otani, Betts, and Freeman are not producing,

554
00:27:52,519 --> 00:27:54,880
because for some reason it seems like those three guys

555
00:27:55,319 --> 00:27:58,839
all have bad games on the same day. But then Tascar,

556
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:03,519
Hernandez and Pajz they pick up the slack. So teams

557
00:28:03,519 --> 00:28:06,160
that can do that can win, but teams like the

558
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:11,839
teams like Cincinnati maybe can't. So you know, who's their

559
00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:14,680
seven eight nine? Can your seven eight nine carry the

560
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,759
team when one, two, three, four are not producing? So

561
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:22,039
Phillies can, Reds can't. So that's the difference between great

562
00:28:22,039 --> 00:28:23,720
and good in my opinion.

563
00:28:24,519 --> 00:28:26,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'll answer my own question before I give

564
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:29,839
my quick handicap of this game. I don't think the

565
00:28:29,839 --> 00:28:31,880
Reds make the playoffs. And it's only because of the

566
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:33,880
caliber of team that's in front of them, because I

567
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,519
look at like I'm looking at the standings, I'm like, okay,

568
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,519
theoretically that the three teams that they're going to have

569
00:28:39,559 --> 00:28:41,559
to beat out for a playoff spot or the Cubs,

570
00:28:42,079 --> 00:28:48,079
the Padres, or the Dodgers, I suppose, and the Mets.

571
00:28:48,279 --> 00:28:52,960
And even though I I still I'm still a Mets believer. Well,

572
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:54,599
we'll get to that later. They had a good game

573
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:54,920
that's in.

574
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:58,799
Speaker 2: Cubs are faltering, but the Padres are catching fire again,

575
00:28:58,839 --> 00:28:59,279
aren't they.

576
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:02,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm still I'm still a Mets believer. We can

577
00:29:02,119 --> 00:29:03,559
talk about that later in the show. As far as

578
00:29:03,559 --> 00:29:06,960
this game is concerned, you got Hunter Green, Yeah, they

579
00:29:07,079 --> 00:29:09,319
they they have. Yeah, well we'll get to that one

580
00:29:09,799 --> 00:29:11,279
in a little bit. But like, as far as this

581
00:29:11,319 --> 00:29:14,160
game is concerned, like Hunter Green's been at He's been

582
00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:17,799
rehabbing for the past month pretty much like so. He

583
00:29:17,799 --> 00:29:21,160
he had started his rehab post All Star Break. He

584
00:29:21,279 --> 00:29:25,000
made four starts. Uh, gotta be honest. Wasn't impressed, like

585
00:29:25,079 --> 00:29:27,880
he he got roughed up a couple of times at TRIPA.

586
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 2: Cummins are saying that right now, Turnbuckle Tommy said, he

587
00:29:31,079 --> 00:29:32,039
gave up five runs and.

588
00:29:32,119 --> 00:29:35,279
Speaker 1: He got there. Now. Now, he still managed seven strikeouts

589
00:29:35,279 --> 00:29:37,720
in his last two Triple A starts, but a lot

590
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:40,400
of a lot out over the middle. I mean that

591
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,400
took you know, he pitched against tuled and and so

592
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:46,119
here's some Triple A perspective for you. Toledo and Omaha

593
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:49,440
right now do not have great Triple A lineups just

594
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,920
where they're at in the season. They just they they're

595
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:55,279
they're two of the lower rated lineups in the International

596
00:29:55,359 --> 00:29:58,279
League right now, and I mean they kind of you know,

597
00:29:58,839 --> 00:30:02,200
the Toledo bomb them the other day. So now to

598
00:30:02,599 --> 00:30:05,480
your point, the Phillies. I always say this about the Phillies.

599
00:30:05,559 --> 00:30:08,319
I prefer this team the way they stack against right

600
00:30:08,319 --> 00:30:10,920
handed pitching more than left handed pitching. Even even though

601
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,680
a guy like Kyle Schwarber has like the highest ops

602
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:16,319
in the league against left handed pitching. I still prefer

603
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:21,480
the Phillies against righty's because it harper is better. You've

604
00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:23,839
got some of those left handed guys like stop that.

605
00:30:24,039 --> 00:30:26,680
Like you know, they're they're gonna they're gonna platoon a

606
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:29,559
little bit, So I gotta be hot. This might be

607
00:30:30,079 --> 00:30:31,960
I'm like, I'm like thinking about throwing this one in

608
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:36,640
the parlay. I I really like Sanchez. He's a you know,

609
00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:39,400
he's he's you look at his stat cast page. Uh,

610
00:30:39,519 --> 00:30:42,880
He's pitching run value, as as rated by Baseball Savat

611
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:46,440
stack cast ninety nine percentile top one percent of starters

612
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:50,200
in Major League Baseball. Expected e er for Christopher Sanchez

613
00:30:50,319 --> 00:30:53,400
is actually like where it's supposed to be. So some

614
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:55,079
of these guys that have a good season, you go

615
00:30:55,119 --> 00:30:58,279
and look at their expected ra Sanchez is right in

616
00:30:58,359 --> 00:31:00,640
line where it's supposed to be. So you know what,

617
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:03,440
let's do it. I'm gonna do it. Let's go Phillies

618
00:31:04,039 --> 00:31:07,200
parlay leg for me. Phillies money line. I think you're

619
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,160
gonna I think you were a day early on the

620
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:11,599
Phillies TV. I think yeah, I think you should go

621
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:17,000
back to them today in some capacity because yeah, I

622
00:31:17,079 --> 00:31:19,079
just want to get a line here and quote the

623
00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:24,640
correct I think it's like minus one thirty ish. Let's see.

624
00:31:25,279 --> 00:31:27,519
Speaker 2: I'm not I don't have anything up right now.

625
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:29,519
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna pull up two books real quick and

626
00:31:29,759 --> 00:31:34,720
double check that. Oh hold on, even better, they the

627
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,880
Reds have taken some money. That doesn't surprise me in

628
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:40,720
the least because the Reds have been the Reds take

629
00:31:40,759 --> 00:31:43,799
money almost every day. Uh, They've taken money the last

630
00:31:43,799 --> 00:31:47,319
two days in this series, and they're gonna take money

631
00:31:47,319 --> 00:31:49,640
again today. I'm still gonna do it. I just want

632
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:51,880
to make sure it looks like it looks like minus

633
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:56,640
one fifteen. Let me just I'm gonna check, you know,

634
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:57,759
while you're.

635
00:31:57,640 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 2: Checking, let me let me throw out my rankings for

636
00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:02,519
the film. I have the Phillies. I have Christopher Sanchez

637
00:32:02,599 --> 00:32:05,359
ranked number three on a curve of thirty am. He's

638
00:32:05,359 --> 00:32:08,599
pitching amazing lights out. I got the Phillies bullpen rinked

639
00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:10,839
number two in all of MLB, where I got the

640
00:32:10,839 --> 00:32:16,640
Reds ranked twenty seven, So hitting, I have Phillies eleven

641
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:20,359
and I got the Reds nineteen, so Phillies have every

642
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,799
advantage here. The one thing that scares me is Sanchez

643
00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:27,079
has not real good numbers against these batteris in his career,

644
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:30,920
but this year he seems like a different guy. I've

645
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:34,160
never really been a Christopher Sanchez fan, but this year

646
00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:38,279
he's kind of changing my attitude. I've I've changed the

647
00:32:38,279 --> 00:32:40,200
way I look at him.

648
00:32:40,559 --> 00:32:43,720
Speaker 1: Elite change up when he's really he's really becoming one

649
00:32:43,759 --> 00:32:46,279
of the premier sort of left handed pitch starting pitchers

650
00:32:46,279 --> 00:32:48,440
in the league. I'm with you TV. A couple of

651
00:32:48,519 --> 00:32:50,480
years ago, I was out on this guy, and he's

652
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:54,640
made me leaver. He's maybe a believer. All the underlying

653
00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:58,680
metrics suggests he is what we see from him like,

654
00:32:58,839 --> 00:33:02,279
there's nothing there to says he should regress, and I

655
00:33:02,319 --> 00:33:03,920
want to go back to one more point you made.

656
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:07,200
That's very important. The Phillies not only has their bullpen

657
00:33:07,319 --> 00:33:09,680
been better, but it should be better because they went

658
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:11,640
out and addressed that need at the deadline. They brought

659
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,240
in John Underran. They now have an elite closer, and

660
00:33:14,279 --> 00:33:16,440
there were some other guys in that bullpen that were

661
00:33:16,519 --> 00:33:19,880
underachieving early in the season. So you talk about you

662
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:22,440
bring in your ninth inning guy. Now you get you

663
00:33:22,519 --> 00:33:25,240
have some of your other bullpen arms kind of pitching

664
00:33:25,279 --> 00:33:27,759
to what they should be. It's actually a pretty good bullpen.

665
00:33:27,799 --> 00:33:30,359
So yeah, let's let's do that. I'm gonna call it minus.

666
00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 2: Want to be the best, could be the best in MLB.

667
00:33:33,000 --> 00:33:37,160
Speaker 1: Perhaps, Hey, when we don't, I wouldn't. That's not that's

668
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:40,240
not a terrible thought. Playoff time when we get the

669
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,559
playoff time and and the Phillies are are coming in

670
00:33:43,599 --> 00:33:45,480
with John Durant and the ninth inning and they kind

671
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:48,240
of figure out who their seventh and eighth inning guys are. Yeah,

672
00:33:48,279 --> 00:33:50,599
I'm with you. This is a this is a team

673
00:33:50,599 --> 00:33:54,799
that is go ahead, go ahead. Sorry, I was just

674
00:33:54,799 --> 00:33:56,519
gonna say they're heading in the right direction, and yeah,

675
00:33:56,559 --> 00:33:59,440
their bullpen is sort of climbing my rankings as well.

676
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:03,200
Speaker 2: And the Padres had the best bullpen after they made

677
00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:08,719
some acquisitions. But honestly, their closer is not performing that well.

678
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:11,280
He's you know, they put him in with a two

679
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:14,000
run lead, he always gives one run up. So it's like,

680
00:34:14,599 --> 00:34:16,400
that's not what you want from your closer. You want

681
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:19,000
your closer to be a shutdown guy. And man, the

682
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:21,880
Phillies closer shut down. I think they might have the

683
00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:25,000
best bullpen in MLB, at least right now. I thought

684
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:28,039
it was the Padres, but could be the Phillies.

685
00:34:28,559 --> 00:34:32,280
Speaker 1: No question. They they got the best reliever at the

686
00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:35,280
trade that getting John Duran. That was the in my opinion,

687
00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:38,400
that was the best reliever out there. They got him, So.

688
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:40,880
Speaker 2: The Dodgers needed do that, but they and then you could.

689
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,400
Speaker 1: Say Mason Miller, saw on and so forth. But I

690
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:46,840
just feel like Duran's as the most proven, the most

691
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:50,360
like he's picked in that spot for the Twins for years.

692
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:53,039
So I am going to we'll move on from this one,

693
00:34:53,039 --> 00:34:55,079
but I am putting that in the parlay. So that

694
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:59,280
is good. And mister Finn, yeah, he says Philly's best bullpen.

695
00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,440
Don't know about that. It definitely improved I think that's

696
00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:04,159
what we're talking about, like could be the best, could

697
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,960
write the improvements that they made, and now looking forward,

698
00:35:07,119 --> 00:35:08,840
I think they're gonna throw their hat in the ring

699
00:35:09,199 --> 00:35:11,960
as like an elite bullpen arm and.

700
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:14,360
Speaker 2: Be the best. They're not the best? Who is? You know?

701
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:15,159
Name them?

702
00:35:15,679 --> 00:35:19,039
Speaker 1: Tell me you know Phillies will be my parlay lake

703
00:35:19,119 --> 00:35:21,000
for the day, and I'm gonna call it minus one twenty.

704
00:35:21,079 --> 00:35:25,079
I'm gonna call it minus one twenty. I want to

705
00:35:25,119 --> 00:35:26,960
go to so you talked about the Padres. This is

706
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,639
a good segue here because Inky in the chat says

707
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:32,400
Sam Franz got a nasty bullpen. Yeah, those are two

708
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,239
pretty good bullpens right there squaring off in this series

709
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:38,800
Tokyo Brandon, have you ever been to Taiwan? Have you

710
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:40,639
ever been in tai No?

711
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:44,800
Speaker 2: I have not, so I've been to Korea but not Taiwan.

712
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 1: The reason I ask is because that's not why I asked,

713
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:57,400
But thank you for trying. The reason the reason Kaiwai Tang,

714
00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:00,599
who will start this scheme for the San Francisco jois today,

715
00:36:01,079 --> 00:36:04,440
is from Taiwan. And Kaiwai Tang is a guy that

716
00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:07,320
pitched most of the year at Triple A last year,

717
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:10,920
and I gotta be honest, was a gas can. I mean,

718
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:14,199
he got absolutely lit up at Triple A last year.

719
00:36:14,679 --> 00:36:17,840
And to his credit, he has come back this year

720
00:36:18,159 --> 00:36:21,039
and he's been he has been a completely different pitcher.

721
00:36:21,519 --> 00:36:25,920
Like he he he has looked so different last year

722
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:28,840
this year in the minors that like, it doesn't surprise

723
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:31,079
me that they're sort of giving him a shot in

724
00:36:31,119 --> 00:36:33,679
the big leagues right now. So you know, he was

725
00:36:33,679 --> 00:36:35,679
someone that cost me a few bucks early in the

726
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:37,960
year in minor league baseball because I was betting against him,

727
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:41,239
and he is. He is a different pitcher than he

728
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:44,559
was last year. So kaiwait tang on the mound for

729
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,599
the Giants, but he's up against I believe it's Pivetta

730
00:36:47,679 --> 00:36:52,760
here for the for the Padres. Yes, talk about this matchup,

731
00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,119
as the chat has pointed out, two very good bullpens

732
00:36:56,599 --> 00:36:58,920
and two teams that are really in need of a win,

733
00:36:59,079 --> 00:37:01,400
especially the Giant. The Giants are at risk of playing

734
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:04,760
their way out of this thing hanging bring them back today.

735
00:37:05,599 --> 00:37:11,519
Speaker 2: I don't think so. The reason, the reason being he's

736
00:37:11,559 --> 00:37:14,280
been pitching. I mean, what do we have eight eight

737
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:18,159
innings total this season that he's pitched. He hasn't been terrible.

738
00:37:18,159 --> 00:37:21,199
He got clubbed by the Mets and then he held

739
00:37:21,199 --> 00:37:24,639
down the Nationals. I haven't seen enough of him to

740
00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:27,280
make a real good evaluation on him, but I do

741
00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:30,159
know that the CPB, which is the league he came from,

742
00:37:30,599 --> 00:37:33,599
is a peg below KBO. Now we don't have to

743
00:37:33,599 --> 00:37:35,880
get in, we don't have to get back into our

744
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:39,559
argument about where KBO ranks. But let's just let's just

745
00:37:39,599 --> 00:37:42,320
say something we can both agree on, which is KBO

746
00:37:42,519 --> 00:37:47,880
ranks below Japanese Baseball. Yes, and CPB ranks below the KBO.

747
00:37:48,519 --> 00:37:52,280
So we could probably agree that the CPB might be

748
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:53,159
around single A.

749
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:58,280
Speaker 1: Perhaps, No, No, I can get down with that. That

750
00:37:58,400 --> 00:37:59,719
the Tiler League is definitely worse.

751
00:38:00,199 --> 00:38:04,400
Speaker 2: We're not going to start again, but anyway, but yeah,

752
00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:08,320
so he comes from a very low level league, and

753
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:10,880
but that you know, you can find good guys from

754
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:13,400
that league. I mean there have been guys from Taiwan

755
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:17,440
who have played well here in Japan, not a lot

756
00:38:17,519 --> 00:38:21,000
who have played well in Major League Baseball. The thing

757
00:38:21,039 --> 00:38:23,440
about this game today, though, is I have the Padres

758
00:38:23,519 --> 00:38:26,880
ranked nine, are better in every category across the board.

759
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:29,519
I mean, this team is just firing on all cylinders

760
00:38:29,599 --> 00:38:34,719
right now. Batting ranked nine, bullpen ranked six, starting pitcher

761
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:37,119
Nick Pivetta ranked nine out of thirty on a curve

762
00:38:37,159 --> 00:38:40,320
of thirty. The thing that scares me, though, is Paveta

763
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:44,920
has actually given has actually not been that great against

764
00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:48,719
the Giant's batters in his past. And also a thing

765
00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:52,199
that scares me off is Padres have just not really

766
00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:55,480
crushed them. What was it like, a they've won two

767
00:38:55,519 --> 00:38:57,280
games in a row, like four to one or something

768
00:38:57,360 --> 00:38:59,400
like that, They've shut them down two games in a row.

769
00:39:00,079 --> 00:39:02,480
Winning three in a row is really hard. I'm generally

770
00:39:02,519 --> 00:39:05,960
a guy who takes each event as its own single event,

771
00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:08,280
and I try not to be too biased about what

772
00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:11,400
happened yesterday, but it really is hard to win three

773
00:39:11,480 --> 00:39:13,719
in a row in Major League Baseballs. That kind of

774
00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:16,679
scares me, along with the fact that Paveta doesn't have

775
00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:20,119
the best numbers against these batters. But the Giants ranked

776
00:39:20,119 --> 00:39:23,440
twenty four in batting, they're bullpen ranks eleven, and I

777
00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:27,159
don't have Tang ranked because he hasn't pitched enough innings yet,

778
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:32,719
so m tank's kind of an X factor. I think

779
00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:35,800
the Padres are better than the Giants at everything. And

780
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:38,119
I think what we're probably going to see is another

781
00:39:38,159 --> 00:39:40,639
four to one win by the Padres. Here is what

782
00:39:40,679 --> 00:39:42,880
it looks like to me. I'm not going to bet it, though,

783
00:39:43,039 --> 00:39:46,039
just because there's two X factors that I don't like.

784
00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:50,000
Speaker 1: So if I was going to bet this game, and

785
00:39:50,519 --> 00:39:52,519
it is a thought, this was the other one I

786
00:39:52,639 --> 00:39:55,760
was kind of maybe gonna put in. The parlay would

787
00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:58,719
be Giants plus one and a half. But Giants money

788
00:39:58,760 --> 00:40:01,679
line does make some sense. And you're right, the X

789
00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:04,559
factor here is Kywait Tang. The guy would be betting

790
00:40:04,599 --> 00:40:08,320
on is Kywait Tang. Okay, why I think he had

791
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:11,960
improved so much from last year this year is his

792
00:40:12,039 --> 00:40:15,320
pitch mix. So he basically throws five pitches, he throws

793
00:40:15,360 --> 00:40:19,719
them all roughly equally, and the fastball is like not

794
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:24,199
the main pitch. So essentially he's throwing like he's kind

795
00:40:24,199 --> 00:40:26,760
of throwing junk like in a lot of cases. And

796
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:30,440
I just don't think Major League Baseball's got so far

797
00:40:30,480 --> 00:40:33,440
in one direction in terms of like hitting velocity and

798
00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:36,119
being geared up for velocity. Look at look at some

799
00:40:36,159 --> 00:40:39,000
of these guys TV that are having a resurgence this year.

800
00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:44,639
Kyle Hendrix right like and your guy. Yeah, Like, well,

801
00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:46,000
who are you on it? You guy?

802
00:40:46,119 --> 00:40:48,199
Speaker 2: Your guy? What Corbyn? Your guy?

803
00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:51,400
Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah, because he gets right because he's he's just

804
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:53,760
a you know, a veteran guy that can spot a

805
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:55,199
curveball and stuff. That's a good one.

806
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:55,480
Speaker 2: Yeah.

807
00:40:55,519 --> 00:40:57,440
Speaker 1: One that comes to mind for me that you pointed

808
00:40:57,480 --> 00:41:00,599
out earlier this year was Chris Bassett, who's throwing like

809
00:41:00,679 --> 00:41:04,599
eight variations of a fastball, but he's doing it in

810
00:41:04,639 --> 00:41:07,480
a manner that makes it very confusing for the hitter.

811
00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:10,079
So that's what you're gonna see from Kaiwei Tang. You're

812
00:41:10,079 --> 00:41:12,679
gonna see he's gonna throw a change up, he's gonna

813
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:15,559
throw a sweeper, he'll hit you with a curve. They're

814
00:41:15,599 --> 00:41:18,679
all in like the eighties. It's all junk. But he

815
00:41:18,760 --> 00:41:21,280
does it in the zone and he confused. He's he

816
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:23,920
can he has confused minor league hitters to the point

817
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:26,320
this year. Let me just read you, guys. I want

818
00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:28,559
to read you his numbers at Triple A Sacramento this year,

819
00:41:28,559 --> 00:41:31,719
where he's essentially spent the whole season. And this is

820
00:41:31,760 --> 00:41:34,679
a league, mind you. The PCL is a league that

821
00:41:34,800 --> 00:41:38,559
is is offense forward a lot of altitude. So sometimes

822
00:41:38,559 --> 00:41:41,440
he's pitching in Albuquerque or Salt Lake, where he's got

823
00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:44,159
to do it in altitude. Here's his numbers. In Sacramento.

824
00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:46,559
He has a he has a three to six seven ERA,

825
00:41:46,679 --> 00:41:49,360
which is fine whatever. He has a one to one whip,

826
00:41:49,599 --> 00:41:51,800
one point one to one whip, a one ninety four

827
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:56,599
batting average against, and eighty six strikeouts in fifty four innings.

828
00:41:57,000 --> 00:42:01,800
Eighty six strikeouts in fifty four innings. Tokyo, Brandon, that's insane, like.

829
00:42:02,840 --> 00:42:05,000
Speaker 2: Where they score tons of runs in the past.

830
00:42:05,960 --> 00:42:08,840
Speaker 1: Yes it is, and yes you pointed out he got

831
00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:10,920
called up and the Mets did get to him, and

832
00:42:11,039 --> 00:42:13,280
we'll we'll tip the cap to the Mets. That's a

833
00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:15,320
really should be a lineup that's better than they are.

834
00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:18,920
But last time out against the Nationals, a little bit

835
00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:24,039
of a step down. Five scoreless, three hits, one walk,

836
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:26,239
that's the other thing. He's in the zone a lot,

837
00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:29,519
so one walk for strikeouts. I think he's going to

838
00:42:29,559 --> 00:42:32,519
confuse the hell out of this Padres lineup today, and

839
00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:35,159
for that reason, I think that this is a this

840
00:42:35,199 --> 00:42:38,840
is one that'll have my attention. Like I said, if

841
00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:40,920
I give out in early, so what time is this game?

842
00:42:41,440 --> 00:42:43,920
I think this is a is this a day game here, TV.

843
00:42:44,039 --> 00:42:51,039
Speaker 2: I'm in Japan early, it's an early game. It's early, so.

844
00:42:53,159 --> 00:42:55,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, so this is one like this is one that

845
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:57,840
I'm kind of thinking of for a potential client play.

846
00:42:57,920 --> 00:42:59,960
I wanted to see if the Padres would take money

847
00:43:00,079 --> 00:43:03,000
because we talked about bullpen. But the Padres have used

848
00:43:03,000 --> 00:43:05,440
some bullpen the last couple of days, So even though

849
00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:07,719
they typically have I would say their bullpen's better than

850
00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:11,480
the giants. They have used it some. I think if

851
00:43:11,519 --> 00:43:14,360
you can find, like if you can find Kaiwei Tang props,

852
00:43:14,440 --> 00:43:16,639
if you maybe want to take a first five, I

853
00:43:16,679 --> 00:43:19,000
think the Padres are going to be very very baffled

854
00:43:19,039 --> 00:43:21,920
when they see him the first time, and so maybe

855
00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:22,840
you find some value there.

856
00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:25,400
Speaker 2: Go ahead, TV, here's one thing, two points to make

857
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:31,599
real quick and we can move on. But one thing

858
00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:34,119
about when you do sports betting a long time, there's

859
00:43:34,199 --> 00:43:36,400
certain things you pick up on. And when a team's

860
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:39,559
facing a picture for the very first time, usually the

861
00:43:39,599 --> 00:43:42,320
first time around the lineup, he shuts them down. Usually

862
00:43:42,440 --> 00:43:45,320
I'm not saying Tang's gonna shut them down today, but

863
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:49,440
usually if you've never seen a picture before, it's advantage picture.

864
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:53,239
So that's just a sports betting thing that probably every

865
00:43:53,280 --> 00:43:56,480
professional capper knows in the back of his head. Here's

866
00:43:56,519 --> 00:43:59,280
another point, is what you said. I like what you

867
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:02,559
said about how the league has just become fireball throwing,

868
00:44:02,639 --> 00:44:08,880
you know, not fireball drinking, but fireball throwing. And these

869
00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:12,440
batters are they're expecting to see a bunch of sliders

870
00:44:12,440 --> 00:44:15,800
and fastballs. And these guys who have who are not

871
00:44:16,079 --> 00:44:18,519
great at anything, but good at a lot of things,

872
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:22,480
they can excel because they can confuse batters. And batters

873
00:44:22,519 --> 00:44:26,079
are expecting to see ninety five mile fastball and a

874
00:44:26,599 --> 00:44:29,239
and an eighty nine mile an hour slider. They're they're

875
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:34,960
expecting to see that, and they see change of sinker splitter.

876
00:44:35,639 --> 00:44:38,519
You know, it's like WHOA. So, yeah, he can keep

877
00:44:38,559 --> 00:44:42,480
people off their feet maybe for the first few innings. Yeah,

878
00:44:42,519 --> 00:44:44,159
and that's probably all he's going to pitch, is the

879
00:44:44,159 --> 00:44:44,960
first few innings.

880
00:44:45,039 --> 00:44:48,840
Speaker 1: So maybe an I think he could. So he's been

881
00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:51,199
a regular starter at Triple A, sof I mean, if

882
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:54,599
he's cruising, he'll go five six, if he's if he's

883
00:44:54,639 --> 00:44:55,360
pitching well, like.

884
00:44:55,559 --> 00:44:57,840
Speaker 2: He did in his last few he went five.

885
00:44:57,920 --> 00:45:01,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, he went five scoreless against the NAT that's one. Again,

886
00:45:01,079 --> 00:45:03,280
It's like that plus one and a half is somewhere

887
00:45:03,280 --> 00:45:05,360
in the minus one thirty minus one forty range. So

888
00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:07,840
for me personally, I'll have my eye on that. The

889
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:10,800
Padres are a team that will take money sometimes, so

890
00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:12,599
if we get closer to the game time and that

891
00:45:13,079 --> 00:45:15,440
dips a little bit, I'll I'll be looking at plus

892
00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:16,880
one and a half there. But I wouldn't put you

893
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:20,360
off of a giant's money line. Just a value play.

894
00:45:20,599 --> 00:45:22,840
I think that's great value with the Padres. Having never

895
00:45:22,840 --> 00:45:23,760
seen this guy.

896
00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:27,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, so yeah, that's about all I have to

897
00:45:28,000 --> 00:45:28,880
say about that one.

898
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:32,800
Speaker 1: Travis. To support these gentlemen, hit the like comment on

899
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:36,480
the YouTube replay. Yeah, we also go ahead.

900
00:45:36,280 --> 00:45:39,760
Speaker 2: To grab Adams five percent. And I have an MLB

901
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:42,559
play out too, And like I said earlier, ways you

902
00:45:42,599 --> 00:45:45,360
talk makes us put free plays out every so often,

903
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:48,920
and we both have one up today, So just take

904
00:45:48,960 --> 00:45:50,920
ten seconds go to our pages at least look at

905
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:51,920
our free plays.

906
00:45:53,039 --> 00:45:54,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, we very much appreciate it. And again, if you

907
00:45:54,960 --> 00:45:58,400
haven't subscribed to the YouTube channel, that I've been told

908
00:45:58,639 --> 00:46:01,639
by management is very very helpful to us. It's free,

909
00:46:01,920 --> 00:46:04,320
it takes will take you less than one minute to

910
00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:06,920
go over to YouTube and just hit the subscribe button

911
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:12,519
on the on the wager Talk YouTube channel, hit.

912
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:15,519
Speaker 2: The like button you Filthy Animals, Yeah, I like it.

913
00:46:16,599 --> 00:46:20,639
Speaker 1: I love that home alone reference there TV.

914
00:46:21,599 --> 00:46:26,400
Speaker 2: Probably Yeah, you know, our show is not for casual

915
00:46:26,480 --> 00:46:29,119
baseball fans. We're for total where our show is for

916
00:46:29,199 --> 00:46:32,559
baseball geeks. Like we are people who live, who eat,

917
00:46:32,679 --> 00:46:35,840
and breathe baseball. So we appreciate you guys watching, and

918
00:46:35,840 --> 00:46:38,280
we we always like you guys supporting us and giving

919
00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:39,679
us comments on the replay.

920
00:46:39,840 --> 00:46:43,480
Speaker 1: Please do that, he GIBBRONI said, he saw you missed

921
00:46:43,480 --> 00:46:45,800
Monday TV. How is the How is the drive? Is

922
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:48,440
that like a great drive? I imagine like driving out to

923
00:46:48,480 --> 00:46:51,039
central Japan being like this great scenic drive.

924
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:54,239
Speaker 2: Not really, I mean you can see Mount you can

925
00:46:54,239 --> 00:46:57,800
see Mount Fuji from the freeway part part way through,

926
00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:01,440
but in Japan, like there's no I mean, Japan is

927
00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:06,000
basically half the US population shoved into California. So uh

928
00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:09,519
so even like the countryside is full of people, so

929
00:47:09,599 --> 00:47:11,679
we don't have any Like when I when I went

930
00:47:11,719 --> 00:47:13,800
to the University of Arizona, I would drive back and

931
00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:16,280
forth tu soon in Phoenix, I would see no other

932
00:47:16,360 --> 00:47:19,360
car for two hours. You don't get that in Japan.

933
00:47:19,519 --> 00:47:22,239
You know, even in the boonies of the boonies, there's

934
00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:24,360
someone standing behind you everywhere you go.

935
00:47:24,519 --> 00:47:26,800
Speaker 1: So yeah, I a couple of years ago I did

936
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:30,800
that drive. I did Vegas to Phoenix. That drive. It

937
00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:34,039
is awesome. But there was about an hour stretch where

938
00:47:34,079 --> 00:47:36,960
I was like, if if I like blew out a

939
00:47:37,039 --> 00:47:39,800
tire or something, I would be very very concerned that

940
00:47:39,960 --> 00:47:41,480
I would not back.

941
00:47:41,519 --> 00:47:44,679
Speaker 2: Hey, funny story that's not baseball related, but the hottest

942
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:47,960
day in Arizona history. My car broke down while I

943
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:50,039
was driving from from Phoenix to two Son. It was

944
00:47:50,039 --> 00:47:55,320
one hundred and twenty three degrees and my car started smoking.

945
00:47:55,360 --> 00:47:57,840
It was funny. I'll save that story for another day.

946
00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:01,000
Speaker 1: You know, I was there is like a stretch once

947
00:48:01,039 --> 00:48:04,039
you get past. I think it's Kingman, Kingman Arizona, Like,

948
00:48:04,079 --> 00:48:06,760
once you get past, there is like an hour stretch

949
00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:10,039
where if you break down, you are in some ship.

950
00:48:10,599 --> 00:48:15,119
Speaker 2: You're no gas station, yep, yep, about an hour. Better

951
00:48:15,159 --> 00:48:15,639
have one.

952
00:48:15,519 --> 00:48:19,840
Speaker 1: Gas station, no service, you're pretty much flagging someone down

953
00:48:20,280 --> 00:48:22,800
that's coming at you. Eighty on a on a two

954
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:25,840
lane one a double all line road and hoping they're not.

955
00:48:25,920 --> 00:48:29,880
Speaker 2: You will see nobody passing you by. And US Arizonans

956
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:32,719
we know that always take water wherever you go. We

957
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:34,960
all know this, but you snowbirds don't know that.

958
00:48:35,280 --> 00:48:37,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, you're right, you're probably right about that. I

959
00:48:37,199 --> 00:48:39,199
doubt I had a water bottle like in the car,

960
00:48:39,320 --> 00:48:42,000
but yeah, for sure, all right, turn buncle, Tommy. I

961
00:48:42,039 --> 00:48:45,239
think you know I got a I you know TV.

962
00:48:45,360 --> 00:48:48,480
I know the Cardinals lost yesterday, but I had already

963
00:48:48,519 --> 00:48:51,800
ruined the parlay with the over in the Diamondbacks game.

964
00:48:51,920 --> 00:48:53,559
And it's just it's it's why I come on here

965
00:48:53,559 --> 00:48:56,639
and say, like I that's why I don't handicap totals.

966
00:48:56,679 --> 00:48:58,559
That's why I don't try to bet totals. I was

967
00:48:59,039 --> 00:49:01,519
so confident in that game going over and it ends

968
00:49:01,599 --> 00:49:03,480
up being a three to two final. I don't remember

969
00:49:03,519 --> 00:49:05,840
if it was Tommy, but someone was like, yeah, this

970
00:49:05,880 --> 00:49:07,880
is an under. I'm just gonna like kick my feet

971
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:10,320
up on this first five under, and sure enough it

972
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:13,760
was like the easiest under of the day. So props

973
00:49:13,760 --> 00:49:16,519
to whoever had Dbacks Rangers under yesterday. You were right.

974
00:49:17,000 --> 00:49:20,639
That was a dead under. Never close. But turbucle Tommy says,

975
00:49:20,639 --> 00:49:23,559
do the Astros and Hunter Brown get it done today?

976
00:49:23,599 --> 00:49:25,719
He likes the Astros first five, So I'll go to

977
00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:26,920
you Astros, Red Sox.

978
00:49:28,559 --> 00:49:31,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know some of those games. You know,

979
00:49:31,880 --> 00:49:36,119
we're sports betters professionally, so we've watched a million baseball games,

980
00:49:36,159 --> 00:49:39,039
and by the second inning, you knew that that game's

981
00:49:39,079 --> 00:49:42,239
now going over. You just knew it. Their baths were

982
00:49:42,320 --> 00:49:44,840
just limp. They're just like you know, I mean, you

983
00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:47,559
can just tell as a sports better if you have

984
00:49:47,639 --> 00:49:49,440
the over in that game, you're just like, oh God,

985
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:51,280
I don't even want to watch this crap. In the

986
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:55,360
second inning, you knew that was gonna lose. So if

987
00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:57,159
there's just times like that you got the under and

988
00:49:57,199 --> 00:49:58,920
they score ten runs in the second inning, you know,

989
00:49:59,000 --> 00:50:01,480
sometimes you just know it. But in this game, I

990
00:50:01,519 --> 00:50:04,679
love the Astros and I'll tell you why. Hunter Brown

991
00:50:04,960 --> 00:50:07,920
is a guy who I had ranked top twenty. I

992
00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:10,840
have him ranked top twenty almost all season. He's a stud.

993
00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:13,880
And his numbers. Let me take a look at his

994
00:50:13,960 --> 00:50:18,199
numbers against this team. I don't have a memorize, but

995
00:50:18,199 --> 00:50:20,519
I know they're really good. Yeah, he's got a two

996
00:50:20,559 --> 00:50:23,440
twenty two average against and a five to twenty five

997
00:50:23,480 --> 00:50:26,960
OPS against. That's amazing. Walker Buehler, on the other hand,

998
00:50:26,960 --> 00:50:30,440
against the Astro batters too eighty four average against in

999
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:34,519
the seven eighty ops which is not terrible, but that's

1000
00:50:34,559 --> 00:50:36,239
when he was a good pitcher, and he's not a

1001
00:50:36,280 --> 00:50:41,000
good pitcher anymore. So I think the Astros are just

1002
00:50:41,079 --> 00:50:44,800
going to curb stomp Boston today. I got the Astros

1003
00:50:45,119 --> 00:50:48,280
lineup ranked four. I got Boston's ranked nine, though, but

1004
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:52,400
I think just Hunter Brown being a great pitcher is

1005
00:50:52,400 --> 00:50:55,559
going to cancel that nine out. I give huge advantage

1006
00:50:55,599 --> 00:50:59,679
the Astros of hitting. Neither Bullpen's really that good. They're

1007
00:50:59,679 --> 00:51:03,079
both twenty or worse. But I got Hunter Brown ranked

1008
00:51:03,119 --> 00:51:05,320
a lot higher than Walker Bueler. So I think the

1009
00:51:05,360 --> 00:51:07,840
Astros will definitely come back here. As a matter of fact,

1010
00:51:08,119 --> 00:51:11,000
I think I'm gonna make this my parlay piece. Give

1011
00:51:11,039 --> 00:51:13,280
me the Astros on the money line here for my

1012
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:20,079
parlay piece. Hunter Brown is a great picture. He's he's great,

1013
00:51:21,119 --> 00:51:23,559
there's good, he's in the top level.

1014
00:51:25,159 --> 00:51:28,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. I was. Once you started talking about it.

1015
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:29,960
In my head, I was like, yeah, I hope he

1016
00:51:30,039 --> 00:51:32,920
just throws this in the parlay because that that's the thing,

1017
00:51:33,039 --> 00:51:36,519
like he's another one. We talked about Joe Ryan earlier,

1018
00:51:36,519 --> 00:51:39,719
but maybe even more so Hunter Brown, like he's another

1019
00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:41,599
one the league sleeps on a little bit, or like

1020
00:51:41,639 --> 00:51:44,440
the betting markets tend to sleep on him, like for

1021
00:51:44,480 --> 00:51:48,519
whatever reason. And this is again like for whatever reason,

1022
00:51:48,559 --> 00:51:50,880
the Astro, like the Red Sox, are taking money against

1023
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:54,000
Hunter Brown. Now I understand why the Red Sox, as

1024
00:51:54,039 --> 00:51:58,199
a plus money underdog, would take money against the Astros.

1025
00:51:58,239 --> 00:52:00,719
I think the thought process there is, well, you know,

1026
00:52:00,760 --> 00:52:03,159
we'll throw the starting pitchers are out. These two teams

1027
00:52:03,199 --> 00:52:05,239
are pretty equal. I think a lot of people probably

1028
00:52:05,280 --> 00:52:08,079
have the Red Sox rated ahead of the Astros just

1029
00:52:08,159 --> 00:52:10,920
in general. So I can understand why they're taking money.

1030
00:52:11,119 --> 00:52:13,480
But you know, you want to you want to talk

1031
00:52:13,519 --> 00:52:16,840
about like a discount. I mean, Hunter Brown, is you

1032
00:52:16,840 --> 00:52:20,199
you pull up his under underlying metrics, his stat cast stuff.

1033
00:52:20,480 --> 00:52:21,920
It is all I'll do it. I got it on

1034
00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:23,880
my phone right here. You can barely see it on

1035
00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:26,079
the screen. That's a lot of red right there. TV.

1036
00:52:26,440 --> 00:52:28,960
You want to see red on this page, and all

1037
00:52:29,000 --> 00:52:32,400
you see is red with Hunter Brown. I mean, he's

1038
00:52:32,679 --> 00:52:33,079
probably a.

1039
00:52:33,079 --> 00:52:35,480
Speaker 2: Lot of blue. And some people in the comments are

1040
00:52:35,480 --> 00:52:37,880
saying Bueller's been good lately. I don't see that he's

1041
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:39,400
been good lately. I don't see it.

1042
00:52:39,719 --> 00:52:42,440
Speaker 1: No, well, he's been well. He's been good relative to

1043
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:45,360
what he was earlier this year. That's that's for sure.

1044
00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:47,880
And and here's the thing, Like, that's the thing with Bueler.

1045
00:52:47,920 --> 00:52:49,880
People are gonna look at him. You know he's got

1046
00:52:49,880 --> 00:52:51,920
it in him because we saw it in the postseason

1047
00:52:52,000 --> 00:52:54,280
last year. Okay, you know he's got it in him.

1048
00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:56,440
But yeah, he you know, you want to talk about

1049
00:52:56,480 --> 00:52:59,960
like expected era is close to six. That's not very good.

1050
00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:04,800
You've been all over his walks, like his his command lax. Again,

1051
00:53:05,280 --> 00:53:07,159
it's been you know, you want to talk about him

1052
00:53:07,199 --> 00:53:10,360
being better. Okay, he had a good outing against the Padres.

1053
00:53:10,559 --> 00:53:12,440
Six score less will tip the cap there. He had

1054
00:53:12,440 --> 00:53:15,199
a good outing against the Padres. Previous two outings didn't

1055
00:53:15,199 --> 00:53:17,119
get out of the fifth inning. He did throw a

1056
00:53:17,159 --> 00:53:20,519
good game against the Phillies. Yeah, he's definitely even better.

1057
00:53:21,039 --> 00:53:24,960
But like, I just think people sleep on Hunter Brown.

1058
00:53:25,199 --> 00:53:27,239
I thought this, I thought Hunter Brown might win. I

1059
00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:29,280
thought he at one point in time earlier this year,

1060
00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:30,639
I thought he was gonna win the Cy Young in

1061
00:53:30,679 --> 00:53:34,599
the American League. He dipped for like a month, yes,

1062
00:53:35,480 --> 00:53:38,119
and then it's like, so okay, he's out of that

1063
00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:40,440
race because School and Crochet are going to battle it

1064
00:53:40,480 --> 00:53:42,719
out for that. But now, like if you look at

1065
00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:46,000
post All Star Break, he you know, he had that

1066
00:53:46,039 --> 00:53:48,840
one bad start against the Mariners. It's been five innings,

1067
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:51,920
one run against the A's, seven innings, one run, six

1068
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:55,800
strikeouts against this Red Sox team. Think they lost that game,

1069
00:53:55,840 --> 00:53:58,400
but he pitched great. And then he pitched into the

1070
00:53:58,440 --> 00:54:02,519
sixth inning in in a win over Well, he didn't

1071
00:54:02,519 --> 00:54:04,840
get the win, but it was a win over the Yankees.

1072
00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:09,320
They won an extra innings. To me, Hunter Brown so

1073
00:54:09,480 --> 00:54:12,960
much better than Walker Bueler. Astros get bombed last night.

1074
00:54:13,000 --> 00:54:15,239
They've got the bullpen arms ready to go coming back.

1075
00:54:15,360 --> 00:54:17,880
I agree with you. I agree with our guy turned

1076
00:54:17,920 --> 00:54:20,320
up with Tommy. I think Astros are the way to

1077
00:54:20,360 --> 00:54:24,480
look today. And yeah, yeah.

1078
00:54:24,800 --> 00:54:25,840
Speaker 2: You're done, after you're done.

1079
00:54:25,880 --> 00:54:27,760
Speaker 1: Sorry, I thought I was just gonna say he likes

1080
00:54:27,760 --> 00:54:30,880
Astros first five. Can't talk you off that certainly makes sense.

1081
00:54:31,159 --> 00:54:33,239
Speaker 2: I can't tuck you off that at all, because both

1082
00:54:33,280 --> 00:54:37,880
bullpens are bad and not reliable in current form. But

1083
00:54:39,440 --> 00:54:42,159
I have Hunter Brown ring number eleven out of two

1084
00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:47,199
hundred and twenty pitchers, so he's still top eleven. He

1085
00:54:47,320 --> 00:54:49,280
wasn't the top five at the beginning of the season

1086
00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:52,280
like constantly, and then, like you said, he had a

1087
00:54:52,280 --> 00:54:55,079
little blip. But you know, this is a marathon. These

1088
00:54:55,079 --> 00:54:58,119
guys are not gonna be always good. Like Schemes yesterday

1089
00:54:58,159 --> 00:55:01,559
got bombed. Nobody expected that. Scooble is the one guy

1090
00:55:01,599 --> 00:55:05,760
who's yet to get bombed this season and might not

1091
00:55:05,920 --> 00:55:09,719
get bombed this season because he's he's so good. But yeah,

1092
00:55:09,840 --> 00:55:12,199
I don't see how you could go against Brown today.

1093
00:55:14,239 --> 00:55:17,039
Speaker 1: Mark Kinsen says, Colin, I'm willing to bet that Adams

1094
00:55:17,039 --> 00:55:21,079
five percent play today is Mariner's money line. It is not.

1095
00:55:21,480 --> 00:55:25,239
I actually lean the other way, believe it or not.

1096
00:55:25,440 --> 00:55:28,400
I kind of lean toward the Orioles here, So I

1097
00:55:28,440 --> 00:55:30,440
figured this was we already got the parlay locked in

1098
00:55:30,480 --> 00:55:32,519
and we'll read it off at the end of the show.

1099
00:55:33,199 --> 00:55:36,320
But I saw that comment. Yeah, I kind of lean

1100
00:55:36,360 --> 00:55:39,320
toward the home team here TV. I have my reasons why.

1101
00:55:39,320 --> 00:55:41,599
I'm curious if you agree or disagree.

1102
00:55:42,519 --> 00:55:44,760
Speaker 2: On the Boston or the Oril album.

1103
00:55:45,039 --> 00:55:46,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, Orioles, Mariners.

1104
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:53,039
Speaker 2: We'll finish here Okay, Yeah, Gilbert's great, but so is

1105
00:55:53,079 --> 00:55:57,159
his counterpart. You know, Rogers been pitching, Rogers has been dealing,

1106
00:55:57,519 --> 00:56:01,559
and one thing about Gilbert's good, but he actually is.

1107
00:56:02,239 --> 00:56:05,880
Let me see, he actually does. He has decent numbers

1108
00:56:05,880 --> 00:56:11,320
against this team. But Rogers, Rogers has been bombed by Seattle.

1109
00:56:11,559 --> 00:56:14,719
The thing is Gilbert's I think there was one red

1110
00:56:14,760 --> 00:56:17,239
flag I saw about Gilbert. Let me check real quick.

1111
00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:20,360
Maybe it was his yeah away, He's got a five

1112
00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:23,159
plus cra away, So that was the flag that I

1113
00:56:23,159 --> 00:56:28,880
got on Gilbert and Rogers is a solid picture. So

1114
00:56:29,039 --> 00:56:32,480
do you trust the Oriols bullpen. It's a question if

1115
00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:35,239
the Oriols bullpen can be solid. Sure, they definitely have

1116
00:56:35,280 --> 00:56:38,119
a chance of winning this game. Gilbert is a great

1117
00:56:38,119 --> 00:56:40,679
picture though, but yeah, he's terrible on the road and

1118
00:56:40,719 --> 00:56:44,880
the Orioles are batting quite well. So yeah, I wouldn't

1119
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:46,199
take Seattle, that's for sure.

1120
00:56:48,960 --> 00:56:53,119
Speaker 1: Great great illustration of how two people myself, you and

1121
00:56:53,199 --> 00:56:55,320
you can throw three in there with Brian do things

1122
00:56:55,320 --> 00:56:57,800
totally different, but oftentimes we arrive at some of the

1123
00:56:57,840 --> 00:57:00,400
same stuff, Like you know we do. We don't any

1124
00:57:00,440 --> 00:57:02,559
of this, We don't talk before the show. We literally

1125
00:57:02,559 --> 00:57:05,679
get on here and just wing it, and you kind

1126
00:57:05,679 --> 00:57:08,639
of made that. That's the probably the biggest point I

1127
00:57:08,639 --> 00:57:13,400
would make in this handicap uh is that the Orioles

1128
00:57:13,800 --> 00:57:16,400
hit the ball at home like this. This team rakes

1129
00:57:16,440 --> 00:57:19,119
at home there they this has been going on for

1130
00:57:19,159 --> 00:57:21,360
a couple of years. They've been a much better team

1131
00:57:21,400 --> 00:57:24,920
at home. Not just win loss, but WRC plus has

1132
00:57:24,920 --> 00:57:28,199
always been better at home. And it's always since the

1133
00:57:28,239 --> 00:57:32,280
Orioles sort of sort of called this crop of players

1134
00:57:32,360 --> 00:57:36,679
up what we'll call it, like Rushman, Holiday, Westburn, cows Er,

1135
00:57:36,800 --> 00:57:38,760
you know, like the crew they have up there right now.

1136
00:57:39,480 --> 00:57:41,840
They've been much better against right handed pitching. And so

1137
00:57:42,599 --> 00:57:47,039
you want optimal Orioles. Optimal Orioles are right hand at

1138
00:57:47,039 --> 00:57:50,039
home against the right handed pitcher. And and so even

1139
00:57:50,079 --> 00:57:53,400
though Logan Gilbert is an elite right handed pitcher, this

1140
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:56,400
is the subset that the Orioles thrive in. And Tokyo

1141
00:57:56,440 --> 00:57:58,840
Brandon just pulled it up for me. His numbers on

1142
00:57:58,880 --> 00:58:01,119
the road haven't been as good. So you know, the

1143
00:58:01,159 --> 00:58:03,679
Mariners are going to get priced as a top option,

1144
00:58:04,480 --> 00:58:07,320
and you know that you're gonna pay the tax for Gilbert.

1145
00:58:07,599 --> 00:58:10,079
Why would you want to do that? Why would you

1146
00:58:10,079 --> 00:58:14,079
want to pay the tax, the tax meaning the premium

1147
00:58:14,400 --> 00:58:17,320
to back the Mariners in back Gilbert when you're playing

1148
00:58:17,440 --> 00:58:20,920
into the best scenario possible for the Orioles and you're

1149
00:58:20,920 --> 00:58:23,519
playing into a guy in Trevor Rodgers that's been hot.

1150
00:58:24,039 --> 00:58:27,079
So that's kind of my handicap here. I was hoping

1151
00:58:27,079 --> 00:58:28,920
to get plus one and a half. I don't think

1152
00:58:28,960 --> 00:58:30,920
that's going to be the case at minus one forty.

1153
00:58:31,199 --> 00:58:33,400
But again, this is kind of right there with the Giants,

1154
00:58:33,400 --> 00:58:36,480
where plus one and a half is probably too expensive.

1155
00:58:36,679 --> 00:58:39,719
But I do think you have like a good, solid

1156
00:58:39,800 --> 00:58:42,760
value underdog, so I think of, like, let's put it

1157
00:58:42,800 --> 00:58:44,880
this way. Here's the last point I'll make with this.

1158
00:58:45,320 --> 00:58:46,760
I think if you were to bet the Giants and

1159
00:58:46,800 --> 00:58:49,360
the Orioles today, you would make money because I think

1160
00:58:49,400 --> 00:58:51,920
one of those underdogs is winning today, and so if

1161
00:58:51,960 --> 00:58:53,760
you split, I think you can still come out ahead.

1162
00:58:53,800 --> 00:58:59,920
That's how I'll leave it there, as all right, team,

1163
00:59:00,559 --> 00:59:03,119
why don't you give the give the people one more

1164
00:59:03,159 --> 00:59:05,519
solid promotion before we get on, Before we get on

1165
00:59:05,639 --> 00:59:06,360
with the show.

1166
00:59:06,519 --> 00:59:11,719
Speaker 2: Got it? Adam? Adam? Actually, Adam's being humble. I think

1167
00:59:11,719 --> 00:59:13,599
he's number one the last three days in all of

1168
00:59:13,639 --> 00:59:16,800
wager Talk. I'm number one in twenty twenty five in

1169
00:59:16,800 --> 00:59:18,320
all of wager Talk. So you've got two of the

1170
00:59:18,320 --> 00:59:22,480
best cappers at wager Talk here talking to you, and

1171
00:59:22,800 --> 00:59:24,840
Adam as a five percenter out and I have a

1172
00:59:24,880 --> 00:59:29,400
three percenter out, So grab those and grab our free

1173
00:59:29,400 --> 00:59:34,400
plays as well. We're good cappers, guys, and we do

1174
00:59:34,519 --> 00:59:37,800
this day in and day out to promote our stuff,

1175
00:59:37,840 --> 00:59:39,920
but also to give you guys some information, so not

1176
00:59:40,000 --> 00:59:42,280
just to take free plays, but to actually take the

1177
00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:45,360
information and be good better. So we're trying to educate sure,

1178
00:59:45,480 --> 00:59:47,559
you guys, and you guys educate us too, because we

1179
00:59:47,599 --> 00:59:50,159
are probably the best crowd in all of wager talk.

1180
00:59:50,239 --> 00:59:52,719
So thank you for that. Go to our pages, leave

1181
00:59:52,760 --> 00:59:54,960
a comment on the replay if you would, please tell

1182
00:59:55,000 --> 00:59:56,440
wager Talk that you like our show.

1183
00:59:57,800 --> 00:59:59,719
Speaker 1: Well, Steven says they got it run of a couple

1184
00:59:59,719 --> 01:00:02,360
of their lefty batters. Yeah, Cedric Mullins is no longer

1185
01:00:02,400 --> 01:00:05,239
in that lineup, but they also they also get Rushman back,

1186
01:00:05,519 --> 01:00:09,199
like you know, I think that offsets They called up.

1187
01:00:09,719 --> 01:00:12,599
They called up I think it was Jeremiah Jackson, who's

1188
01:00:12,679 --> 01:00:15,960
who I haven't seen how he's done lately, but I

1189
01:00:15,960 --> 01:00:18,320
guess I wanted to just address his point with the Orioles.

1190
01:00:18,920 --> 01:00:21,440
I think it balanced out based on like some of

1191
01:00:21,480 --> 01:00:24,280
the guys they had come back. But it's a good point.

1192
01:00:24,519 --> 01:00:27,920
Speaker 2: I have the Orioles. I have the Orioles ranked sixteen

1193
01:00:28,000 --> 01:00:30,360
right now in batting in current form, but they've dropped

1194
01:00:30,440 --> 01:00:34,039
quite a bit. They were up there pretty high.

1195
01:00:34,199 --> 01:00:36,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, they had they had a bad series. I feel like,

1196
01:00:36,960 --> 01:00:38,559
I don't know if it was the most recent one.

1197
01:00:38,559 --> 01:00:41,400
I'm just like going off memory, but what one series.

1198
01:00:41,400 --> 01:00:43,079
Maybe it was against the Phillies, so you got it.

1199
01:00:43,119 --> 01:00:45,079
Maybe we'll give him a break there because the Phillies

1200
01:00:45,079 --> 01:00:47,719
are they have a pretty solid pitching. Yeah they Oh

1201
01:00:47,760 --> 01:00:49,840
they didn't hit. They didn't hit against the A's really

1202
01:00:49,880 --> 01:00:52,599
at all either, so that that's concerning. They haven't really

1203
01:00:52,679 --> 01:00:55,679
hit in the last week. But again, I still it's

1204
01:00:55,719 --> 01:00:58,039
not my favorite play. But I still think you're paying

1205
01:00:58,239 --> 01:01:01,039
a premium to back the Mayor. I guess I'll leave

1206
01:01:01,079 --> 01:01:05,960
in disagreement. Okay, TV our parlay so a two team

1207
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:09,400
or today. There's a theme here. It's us playing back

1208
01:01:09,519 --> 01:01:13,960
at some sharp money on the underdog with very good

1209
01:01:14,000 --> 01:01:16,559
elite teams and elite pitchers. So that's the theme of

1210
01:01:16,559 --> 01:01:19,239
the parlay. We actually are getting a better price on

1211
01:01:19,280 --> 01:01:21,719
this parlay now than we would have an hour ago,

1212
01:01:21,760 --> 01:01:25,159
which I love. So I'm gonna use Philly's money line, Tokyo,

1213
01:01:25,199 --> 01:01:28,239
Brandon's gonna use Astros money line. It's that simple. Phillies

1214
01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:32,639
Astros two teamer pays plus two ten. Hopefully we've got

1215
01:01:32,639 --> 01:01:34,559
our second parlay win of the week and then when

1216
01:01:34,559 --> 01:01:36,840
Brian's back tomorrow, we can maybe hit a three teamer.

1217
01:01:37,039 --> 01:01:40,639
But that's what it's gonna be for today. That's what

1218
01:01:40,679 --> 01:01:45,000
it's gonna be for today. Astros Phillies two team parlay

1219
01:01:45,039 --> 01:01:49,719
plus two ten. We are at the hour mark. Appreciate

1220
01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:52,400
everyone tuning in. Can't wait to have Brian back tomorrow.

1221
01:01:53,480 --> 01:01:55,960
Good luck today. Cashlier tickets, Yeah, head on over to

1222
01:01:55,960 --> 01:01:58,480
my page, grab the five percenter. We're rolling right now.

1223
01:01:58,519 --> 01:02:01,119
Hopefully we've got another winner and we'll see you guys

1224
01:02:01,159 --> 01:02:01,599
in the morning