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Speaker 1: And Hi, how are you welcome to the Big Podcast.

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It's Tuesday. Today is the twenty fifth day of November,

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year of our lower twenty twenty five. My name is

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Tom Sullivan, and we get started. It's starting to feel

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like a holiday week, isn't it. I mean, everything seems

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to be a little bit out of kilter right now.

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The focus is on the bird on Turkey on Thursday.

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On Thanksgiving, you've got the focus on the food. We

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got some numbers from Butterball. We got traffic, and I

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wonder sometimes if the media is not just exaggerating this

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whole thing about everybody's traveling. Eighty some million people are

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going to be on the road, spread out over a

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number of days. It's eighty one million people. Eighty nine

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percent of that will go by cars, seven percent by air.

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But I was watching a number of the networks this morning,

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and they have their reporters dutifully stationed at airports around

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the country, and I didn't see one that looked crappit.

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They all looked They looked less crowded than I normally

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expect on the normal business day traveling someplace, going to

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the airport. Busy airports, people are flying more aviation. Commercial

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aviation passenger loads are up every year and have been

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for a number of years. They took a dip during COVID,

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but other than that, it's been back on the road

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to more and more on TSA, screening more people. So

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I've told you before, I think my solution to any

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zaniness at the airport, even though I haven't seen any yet,

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I'm not at the airport. I'm watching through some camera somewhere.

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But my solution was we would go travel on Thanksgiving

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morning because nobody's traveling, the roads are pretty quiet, and

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everybody has gone to Grandma's house, and so you go

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to the airport. It's really nice. You get on the

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plane and it's that you know, it depends upon you

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can't go too far. But I mean we would fly,

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take maybe a two hour flight to where we were going,

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and get there by early afternoon, and by that time

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everybody's just getting ready to sit down and have turkey.

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So it was it was my solution to getting around

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the crowds.

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Speaker 2: But the travel.

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Speaker 1: As far as people on the road, there is no

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question that the gas prices are helping because the average

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this is triple a average gasoline per gallon for the

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cheap stuff three dollars and five cents. It was exactly

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three dollars and five cents one year ago as well.

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So it's gone up a little bit, it's come back

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down as we're back down to three zero five. And

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I mean that's giving a lot of people reason to

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gas up. It doesn't cost as much. I will tell

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you this. Everybody's talking about a year ago. So I thought, well,

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let me go back to January twentieth of twenty twenty one,

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the day Joe Biden was inaugurated, and the price of

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gas was two dollars and thirty eight cents when Donald

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Trump handed over the baton to Joe Biden, to thirty eight.

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Speaker 2: So this is this is good.

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Speaker 1: We had you want to go back aways, Well it

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was it was covid uh two dollars eleven cents in

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Thanksgiving twenty twenty. It was two fifty five a gallon

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in twenty eighteen. It was two sixty a gallon twenty nineteen.

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So during Trump one point, oh, it was primarily a

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two dollars price something along those lines. But I will

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tell you this. I one of the things that we

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know about Donald Trump is he always everything's the greatest,

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Everything's the best, Everything's the biggest. He likes to make

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things sound better than they are. So I don't know

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who did this survey said, did Donald Trump make things

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sound toy say, better than they really are, about the

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same as they really are, or worse than they really are?

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Sixty percent that he makes things sound better than they

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really are, twenty seven percent said about what it really is,

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and thirteen percent that he makes things sound worse than

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they really are. So anyway, today it's a big travel

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day on the road, supposed to be the peak when

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most people are going to be on the road today.

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I guess you want to get there early. In my

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old hometown of Seattle, there's been a huge problem. They

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just solved it today. For the last two weeks they

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have had there's two pipelines that bring jet fuel to

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the Seattle Airport and they're leaking, and they just discovered

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it about two weeks ago, and they've been scrambling for

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the last two weeks to figure out where is the leak.

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So they had to shut everything off so they didn't

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destroy whatever the land was wherever the leak was, and

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they've been trucking jet fuel about a couple hundred miles

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to the Seattle Airport. Ninety oil trucks notty gas trucks

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a day, and they just discovered today where the leak is,

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so they're getting it patched up and getting your fuel back.

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But flights going to Seattle have been asked to carry

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extra fuel so that they when they get to Seattle,

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they don't have to fuel up. So that's what's going

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on out there. I told you Butterball has numbers, and

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they were asked at Butterball about they were asking their customers,

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what are you going to do to control the cost

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of Thanksgiving dinner? And number one answer by far was nothing.

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Fifty eight percent said they're not going to change the thing.

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They're going to do what they've done in the past tradition,

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you know, So twenty eight percent, I'm sorry. Fifty eight

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percent said no change, twenty one percent said they're going

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to ask a guest to bring some dish, fifteen percent

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said they're going to change some of the side dishes.

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Fourteen percent said it's not about if we're not going

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to change anything about the vood but they're not going

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to decorate with decor, paper goods, things like that, and

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twelve percent, which I think is wrong, said they're going

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to change dessert.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what your favorite dessert is, but whatever

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it is, usually at Thanksgiving, it's usually a really good one.

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So that's what's going on with butterball people. Most of everybody,

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fifty eight percent are saying, I'm not changing a thing.

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People like to keep their traditions the way they are.

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So we've got that today. We've got a lot on

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the economy. I want to get to. There's a fight

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going on about AI that is well, I don't want

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to get into the weeds about which companies. They're pouring

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huge amounts of money into AI. They're all trying to

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be the leader in it, and we're finding out who

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we thought was the leader, which was Meta, because they've

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been pouring more money than anybody else. All of a sudden,

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we're finding out it looks like Alphabet, the parent of Google,

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is in the lead right now. Anyway, it's going to

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change so volatile. But one of the fights that I'm

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talking about is a fight that states are wanting to

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regulate artificial intelligence. And so far there are four states

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just that's it, only four that have passed legislation to

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regulate artificial intelligence California, Utah, Colorado, and Texas, and I'm

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surprised about Texas. California, I'm not surprised about But the

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whole idea is the less regulation, the better if you

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want AI to really take off, and that because China

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is over there, Trumpet, it's a bit. If you want

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the United States to be the leader of artificial intelligence,

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out get out of the way government.

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Speaker 4: That means you too.

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Speaker 1: States. Washington is broken in many many ways, and they'll

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probably try to do something. But if you go back

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to the eighties in the nineties about regulating the Internet,

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you're going to have a hard time finding those regulations

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because they basically did not and as a result, the

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Internet flourished. Are there problems with it? Sure, the Internet's

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not perfect, but I'm sorry, but the more you get

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government into the middle of it, that's why Europe doesn't

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have really any leadership in the world of technology, because

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they regulate the bajbis out of it. So a guy

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named Joe Lonsdale, he has founded a bunch of different things,

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including Pallenteer, and he is very concerned about states coming

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up with a patchwork of regulations for artificial intelligence.

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Speaker 2: You know, this has been an issue we're working on

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all year.

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Speaker 5: Obviously close friends with David Sachsen and Cratzios wearing this

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in the administration. And listen, we are on the verge

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of something amazing for our civilization.

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Speaker 6: Right.

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Speaker 5: We have tens of thousands of builders in our country.

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They're going to bring down the cost of health care.

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They're going to make construction finally, how productivity go up,

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make houses cheaper. Permit should only take you know, hours

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instead of months, just like education is going to be

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better for all of our kids, and personalized These are

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all things they're going to fix our civilization. And yet

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on both the far left and the far right, you

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have a lot of populists who, for really nefarious reasons

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are opposing this. There are reasonable people, by the way,

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who have some concerns, and there's ways to compromise and

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push you ahead for our civilization. But you have a

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lot of crazy populist You have a patchwork of just

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really intense stuff they're doing that would break all of this,

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and we can't let that happen.

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Speaker 1: So Joe isn't an anti state or pro federal government.

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He talks about the fact that he's a federalist. He's

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for states rights, but not when you have something like this.

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You can't have a patchwork of fifty different regulations for

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AI companies to try to meet.

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Speaker 5: You know, No, I'm a federalist on most issues. I

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have teams in twenty three states with this. Thrones of

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too are watching this, and I think it's reasonable for

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states to do a lot of things as laboratories of democracy.

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So in general, I'm actually on the state's right side overall.

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What's unreasonable is that you had Biden NGOs By pushed

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by the last administration. You have European like rules, and

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you have Populace trying to put in crazy new regulatory

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authorities that demonize the builders, that demonize the tech. And

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if you force us to hop through regulatory agencies in

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every state, China is going to win and the builders

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are going to lose. And so the interstate Commerce Clause

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exists in the Constitution for a reason. This is one

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of those examples we've learned from the California Mission standards

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that broke the whole nation, and we're seeing a lot

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crazier things being proposed now. So I think it's reasonable

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for states to have some power in a lot of

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different cases. That's what I want overall, but I don't

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want to break the whole AI wave by the populists.

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Speaker 1: So this fight is just getting underway, and there's so

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much money involved that the states are all a bunch

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of greedy people. They're looking at the billions of these

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tech companies are spending and they want to get their

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grubby hands on it. They want to tax it, they

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want to regulate it. And Londale is a very smart guy,

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very successful tech executive.

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Speaker 5: You know, I think there's always an argument in our

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country between safety and liberty, and I think people, especially

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if they're not in the details, are right to be

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concerned and want to be safe. But if you're going

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to use safety to have arbitrary finds and arbitrary penalties,

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where every state, including the radical blue states like New York,

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are going to be able to break our BUILDERS waves,

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that's not okay. Listen, you have states trying to ban

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the use of AI in healthcare right now in ways

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that are going to prevent us from making healthcare cheap,

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or you have New York State already banning it in education.

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Speaker 2: This is insane. Public schools in New York are not

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allowing AI. You're not even in any kind of school

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in New York.

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Speaker 5: You have to call yourself a homeschool to use the

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I right now in New York, which means we can't

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personalize it and lift up the lives of the kids

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who are not doing well in inner cities. This is

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crazy stuff, and that the safety ism is what Europe does.

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If you want to be a course ofation where you're

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poorer than our poorest state, like Europe, we should, then

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you should move to Europe. But American needs to stay free.

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Speaker 1: I'm with him all the way. We'll see how this

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fight turns out. But there's going to be, like I said,

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a lot of government goops that the fact that they

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are not allowing kids in New York state schools to

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be introduced to AI. These are not smart people that

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are coming up with these kinds of policy ideas in

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other matters. We told you yesterday. We got the word

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just before we finished recording yesterday about the fact that

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the judge threw out the James Comey and Letitia James cases.

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And that's not exactly what I explained that yesterday. That's

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not what the judge did the judge threw out Lindsay

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Halligan because she wasn't properly appointed as the US Attorney

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for the Eastern Diffect District of Virginia. He didn't throw

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the cases out. So now the question is what will

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happen next. Is there another one hundred and day one

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hundred and twenty day rule that starts, because that's what

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happens when a new administration comes in. The US attorneys

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around the country are the president has one hundred and

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twenty days to put a new US attorney in and

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if the president doesn't, then the judges in that district,

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the federal judges can appoint somebody. And there's a lot

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of constitutional questions about that going judges appointing a judge

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and judges appointing somebody. That's an executive not a judicial job.

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The job of appointing a judge is not for the

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judicial branch. It's for the executive branch. So there's still

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tons of legal issues to feel about this. But I've

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heard already some people on the table television say, Wow,

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that's it, that's it. Case is over, it's over. And

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Joey Jackson, who's a good defense attorney, in New York City.

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It's not so fist.

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Speaker 4: Means is that they are not out of the woods yet.

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Had it been dismissed with prejudice, it means that it

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cannot come back to the extent that it's without prejudice.

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The US Attorney's Office can seek to refile, and yes,

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indeed they can. There are two options. I think the

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one is to refile the indictment. The issue is is

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the law says that if an indictment is dismissed on

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a variety of grounds, you have six months to file

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an indictment anew with regard to the five year statute

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of limitations, we do know that as it relates to Kmy,

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they indicted five days prior. Now Comy's people say, hey,

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that clock keeps ticking. There was no validly appointed US attorney.

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The government's position will be no, not at all, that

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it would have frozen at that time, and we have

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six months to go. The second option, as we noted,

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and as they seem to notice, to take the appeal

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to the Fourth Circuit, which is based in Virginia, that

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is the appellate court that could look to see if

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the district court got it wrong. Now the way I

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view it, there's a number of issues. Remember that we've

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seen in New Jersey an opinion that was consistent with

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this opinion, and that is that you have one hundred

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and twenty days to get Senate confirmation. You've got one

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shot at the apple. And if you don't, then guess

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what the district in that specific location gets to appoint

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the US attorney? You executive, do not. We saw it

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happen in Nevada, same ruling in Valley appoint the US attorney.

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We saw it happen in California. Why am I saying

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this because this precedent I know how oftentimes the politics

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our otis was a lunatic judge who made a lunatic decision. Nonsense,

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this precedent for it. Last piece of this this when

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Samuel Alito was at the Department of Justice, he wrote

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a legal opinion indicating that exactly what this judge ruled

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as it relates to the dismissal of the indictment on

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calling and dismissed on Letitia James's to the one hundred

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and twenty days to get Senate confirmation, That's what it is.

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Speaker 7: Now.

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Speaker 4: This Justice Department takes a contrary view, but interesting if

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it goes up to the Supreme Court, will he change

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his opinion on that or will he be consistent with

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what he said almost forty years ago.

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Speaker 2: So that's a lot.

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Speaker 1: But bottom line is this isn't over and it's going

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to be kicked around in the courts for quite some time,

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and we're still waiting to hear officially. The Press Secretary

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said that they're going to appeal this decision, but it

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may it's gonna be kicked around to the courts for

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quite quite quite some time. In the meantime, Komi looks

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like he's in better shape because of the statute of

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limitations did expire five days after they indicted him, and

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if the indictment wasn't legit, then his attorneys saved the cock.

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The clock was still ticking, but we're going to have

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to again. We'll see, but he probably has a better

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chance of escaping any sort of liability. Letitia James has

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another problem. This came out today. I'm waiting to verify,

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but this is what's being reported is that Letitia James

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she had this extra house in Virginia and she said

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it was on the mortgage paper. She said it was

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a second home like a vacation home. All right, some

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people can afford to do that. But the problem with

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it is on her tax records, apparently she claimed it

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as investment property. And there's a huge difference. You can

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you cannot write off everything from a to Z on

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a vacation home or a second home, but you can

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on an investment home. An investment home, you can write

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off all kinds of things you can write I mean,

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it's much much more liberal in the Internal Revenue Code.

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So apparently she texted to her accountant this past year

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that she needed to not take all the deductions that

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she's been taking in the past, and that she wanted

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to follow the Internal Revenue Code to the letter of

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the law. Well, okay, what about all the other years

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in which it was apparently treated as an investment property.

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But you told the mortgage lender it was a second home.

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So she's got some explaining to do. She's not out

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of the woods on that, and the statute of limitations

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hasn't run. So Letitia James still has problems. Even though

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she said she was clear, she's not. So let's get

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down to the big legal stink of the day. This

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is the one about the Democrats, the six Democrats that

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came out and said it was a weird thing. They

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did these little clips where they said, you're not required

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to follow an illegal order. They were addressing members of

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the military, you are not required to follow an illegal order,

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and the next person would say not required to follow

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an illegal order, and the next to the next to

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the next. One of them was Mark Kelly, the Senator

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from Arizona. Mark Kelly has a formidable background. He was

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a fighter pilot, he was an astronaut. He's now a senator.

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His wife not relevant, but Gabby Giffords who was shot,

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so apparently the Pentagon wants to go after him. And

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people are confused about this. But I remember my advisor,

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when I was a brand new young kid in the military,

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told me that there are two types of commissions. I

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was Army, so it was regular army or reserve army.

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And you can't tell the difference. They wear the same uniform.

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It just depends upon whether or not you are locked

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in for life, and as a regular commission, you're locked

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in for life. And I remember my advisor, Major Leu Concien.

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He said to me, he said, so this means that

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even when you're an old man, they could drag you

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back into the military, and a lot of people don't

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know that, and a lot of people are not aware

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of that. That's what's going on is they're trying to say,

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you were a regular commissioned officer of the Navy, and

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we're going to drag you back into active duty and

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then we're going to court martial you. At least that's

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the rumor. So Carley Stimpson is a former naval jag officer,

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judge advocate general the lawyers in the military, and he

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was asked about this. This is his reaction.

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Speaker 7: Well, they believe that it's possible that Captain Kelly, retired

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Captain Kelly, who is subject to the UCMJ under Article two,

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committed a crime and so there going to investigate that.

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And regardless of whether that's proves to be true or not,

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the fact is that this video undermined good order and discipline.

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They knew exactly what they were doing. They were essentially

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wink wink, nod nod telling members of the military that

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they should reflexively doubt the legality of the Commander in

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chief's orders. And that's where they crossed the line. Politically.

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Speaker 1: You hear what he said, they crossed the line politically

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and uh not legally, but politically. And it's what were

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they who comes up with these stupid ideas? Remember they

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had a bunch of Democrats that were doing some sort

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of dance and they thought that would be beneficial to

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what what was the point? They were basically, like you said,

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with a wink and a nod, saying, well, you know,

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the commander in chief does a bunch of stuff illegal.

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I mean, you better be on your egal eyes for

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watching for this commander in chief giving you illegal orders.

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That's what they were trying to imply. But what's further

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bizarre about this is every single soldier sailor from private

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to general knows and has been drilled into their young

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heads when they got in the military that you not

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only can, you must not obey an illegal order. The

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difficulty is, how do you know if it's an illegal

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order or not. You assume that the higher commands from

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your commander all the way up to the commander in

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chief are issuing legal orders. But there are some there

388
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are some blatant errors Meli Masker and Vietnam that came

389
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up about it. I was just following orders. No, it

390
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was an illegal order. That's what the German soldiers said

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after they've found the atrocities of killing the Jews in

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Germany and a lot of the lower ranking people that

393
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did that. So we were just following orders. So you

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are required to know that the orders you follow are legal.

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And I don't know if anybody who's ever run into

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other than the guys in Vietnam in that one case,

397
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would run into this whole thing. Jack Keene, General Jack Keen,

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he's livid about the fact that they're playing games, these

399
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politicians are playing games with the military irect But.

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Speaker 6: He's an irresponsible, reckless of political leaders. And I normally

401
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don't go after political leaders in our country, but they

402
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deserve it now. They're absolutely undermining the military chain of command.

403
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And what do they think our soldiers are. They're insulting

404
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the intelligence of our soldiers and their moral commitment to

405
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serve the nation by making these outrageous statements.

406
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Speaker 1: Couldn't agree more. But I also couldn't agree with the

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president called it sedition and that they should be put

408
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to death. I'm sorry, that's beyond but here's go back

409
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to college. Stimpson, the JAG officer.

410
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Speaker 7: Well, General's correct as usual, and the fact is that

411
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there's one commander in chief and only one And the

412
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proper way to litigate these policy disputes is either for

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one Congress to reclaim their war powers in Article one,

414
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Section eight and declare war or authorize the use of

415
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military force, therefore the president has the top authority under

416
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the Congress's passing of that type of law, or litigate

417
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these issues which are happening in states where people are

418
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calling up national guards. And so imagine the scenario where

419
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Republican members of Congress would have issued the same type

420
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of warning to members of the military when we sent

421
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twenty five thousand troops to Haiti under President Clinton, saying

422
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you should reflexively question that when Congress didn't authorize that authorization.

423
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And there's scores of other issues in times in our

424
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history when the Presidence sends troops into harm's way and

425
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Congress didn't authorize it. So this is the wrong way

426
00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:06,960
to go about this.

427
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Speaker 1: So the SoundBite that adds to the confusion about all

428
00:27:11,079 --> 00:27:15,559
of this is Alissa Slotkin. She was at one time

429
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worked for the CIA, She's a member of Congress, a Democrat.

430
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She was one of those that said make sure that

431
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you don't obey in the illegal order. And she was

432
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on ABC's Sunday Morning Show and this is her question

433
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and answer.

434
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Speaker 3: Do you believe President Trump has issued any illegal orders?

435
00:27:37,799 --> 00:27:40,720
To my knowledge, I am not aware of things that

436
00:27:40,759 --> 00:27:43,880
are illegal, but certainly there are some legal gymnastics that

437
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:46,960
are going on with these Caribbean strikes and everything related

438
00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:47,960
to Venezuela.

439
00:27:48,039 --> 00:27:52,839
Speaker 1: So again, it was a stupid thing for the Democrats

440
00:27:52,839 --> 00:27:56,359
to put this tape out there. Didn't anybody stop and say,

441
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why are we doing this? And then when she was asked,

442
00:28:01,079 --> 00:28:03,319
have you ever heard of any illegal orders coming from

443
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:09,559
President Trump? And she said no. So now the question is,

444
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is egg Seth and the Pentagon really going to recall

445
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Mark Kelly onto active duty.

446
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Speaker 7: You can recall somebody who's retired receiving retirement pay. I'm

447
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a retired Navy captain, he's a retired Navy captain and

448
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bring them back on active duty and charge them with

449
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:30,279
a crime. And it doesn't have to just be a

450
00:28:30,319 --> 00:28:33,279
military crime. It can be any federal or state crime

451
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under the Federals symbol OF's Crime Act. But the problem

452
00:28:36,279 --> 00:28:38,759
is that when we've recalled people act to active duty

453
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to prosecute them. Almost in every instance, it's been for

454
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a crime they committed while they were on active duty,

455
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not in this situation where he's a senator giving a

456
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speech not covered by the Speech and Debate clause because

457
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it wasn't a core legislative function. And so I don't

458
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think any military jury is ever going to convict this

459
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,279
guy ever. So I think the punishment here is the

460
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process ultimately not prosecute him.

461
00:29:01,519 --> 00:29:02,720
Speaker 8: We're bringing back on activeduty.

462
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Speaker 1: I don't think anybody's going to actually prosecute him, and

463
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:09,240
if they do, they won't find him guilty. And this

464
00:29:09,839 --> 00:29:12,599
is just the wrong guy to go after. This guy

465
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:17,119
is an American hero. He was he has spent his

466
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entire adult life serving our nation. He was in combat.

467
00:29:23,319 --> 00:29:27,759
Listen to what he gives a brief resume of his background.

468
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I've had a missile blow up next to my airplane.

469
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I've been shot down, nearly shot down multiple times. My wife,

470
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Gabby Gifford's meeting with their constituents shot in the hat,

471
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six people killed around her. We know what political violence

472
00:29:40,359 --> 00:29:42,440
is and we know what causes it too. You know,

473
00:29:42,519 --> 00:29:47,559
the statements that Donald Trump made is insightful, incites others.

474
00:29:47,599 --> 00:29:50,319
He's got millions of supporters. People listen to what he

475
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,359
says more so than anybody else in the country, and

476
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:55,680
he should be careful with his words. But I'm not

477
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:59,759
going to be silenced here. He's not happy with President Trump,

478
00:29:59,799 --> 00:30:04,440
and any way, shape or form politically, he's pretty moderate

479
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:09,720
the Democrat. But the idea that this guy had a

480
00:30:09,759 --> 00:30:13,599
career in the Navy, was a fighter pilot, was an astronaut.

481
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:18,279
The Senator, I'm sorry that I don't think you're going

482
00:30:18,319 --> 00:30:23,279
to find a group that will convict him of a crime.

483
00:30:23,359 --> 00:30:25,599
I think they're wasting their time on this. It was

484
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:29,599
a stupid thing for the Democrats to do. I'm surprised

485
00:30:29,599 --> 00:30:33,480
Mark Kelly fell for it, but he did well. Let's

486
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,720
talk about go back to the economy. I told you

487
00:30:35,759 --> 00:30:39,920
about the Butterball survey about fifty eight percent of people

488
00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:42,000
are not going to change your thing with their traditions

489
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:49,160
at their Thanksgiving table. Good for them. It is one

490
00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:53,759
of those times where we know there's always poverty, always

491
00:30:53,799 --> 00:30:56,640
has been, always will be. But you stop and think

492
00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,440
about the people that probably more so now than you

493
00:30:59,519 --> 00:31:02,559
do normal. But about the people who don't even have

494
00:31:02,759 --> 00:31:07,160
enough for a meal. Let alone, a butterball, turkey with

495
00:31:07,359 --> 00:31:11,920
sides and et cetera, a dessert. But we got the

496
00:31:12,039 --> 00:31:18,519
numbers out today and I think they portray an economy

497
00:31:18,519 --> 00:31:25,200
that is slowing. ADP came out with their jobs survey.

498
00:31:25,319 --> 00:31:28,759
It's not the government numbers, and this is for the

499
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:33,000
four weeks ending November eighth, and they said that we

500
00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:38,599
were losing thirteen thousand, five hundred jobs per week for

501
00:31:38,759 --> 00:31:45,359
four weeks ending November eighth. Consumer confidence numbers came out

502
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:51,200
today and it's clear this is the Consumer Confidence Index.

503
00:31:51,279 --> 00:31:54,640
Consumer Conference Board puts one on out. The other one

504
00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:57,000
of is the University of Michigan. This is Consumer Confidence

505
00:31:57,319 --> 00:32:01,480
Board and they said the numbers drop got consumer confidence dropped.

506
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:04,319
It's an index number. It doesn't mean anything to most people,

507
00:32:04,799 --> 00:32:10,000
but it was a very sharp drop. It went from

508
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,759
eighty eight I went down to eighty eight from they

509
00:32:13,799 --> 00:32:16,920
were expecting it to be ninety three. And it just

510
00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:19,079
shows again it's a big that's a huge drop in

511
00:32:19,119 --> 00:32:22,079
this in particular index that's on how do you think

512
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:26,319
things are right now? And people have dropped their confidence

513
00:32:26,319 --> 00:32:31,920
in the economy. Consumers are clearly more pessimistic about business

514
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:35,319
conditions now than they were six months ago. They asked

515
00:32:35,359 --> 00:32:37,200
a second question, they say, what do you think the

516
00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:40,680
economy's going to be like six months in the future,

517
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:48,079
and they got an even bigger drop. So people are pessimistic.

518
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:52,200
They're worried about the no higher, no fire job climate.

519
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:55,759
They're worried about keeping their jobs. They say jobs are

520
00:32:55,759 --> 00:32:59,559
hard to get. So the conference board was a big

521
00:32:59,599 --> 00:33:07,119
negative when it came out on all of that. With officialdom.

522
00:33:07,319 --> 00:33:11,200
Scott Bennett, the Treasury Secretary, I know it's kind of

523
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:13,640
his job, but I think he really does believe this.

524
00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:18,279
He is very bullish about the economy in twenty twenty six. Now,

525
00:33:18,279 --> 00:33:21,960
that's great, but for people that are worried about their economy,

526
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:24,880
they're worried about putting food on the table this week,

527
00:33:25,359 --> 00:33:27,839
they're worried about putting gas in the car this week.

528
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:32,240
So it's nice to see that there is maybe a

529
00:33:32,359 --> 00:33:36,359
rainbow down the road not that far away. But that's

530
00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:40,759
Scott Besson and he's been on that banging that drum

531
00:33:40,799 --> 00:33:46,000
now for quite some time. Steve Moore, the economist, he

532
00:33:46,119 --> 00:33:49,400
also is kind of on that same page. But he

533
00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:53,519
was asked the question about DOGE. Did you hear the

534
00:33:53,559 --> 00:33:57,880
DOGE has been shut down. Well, then that report came

535
00:33:57,920 --> 00:33:59,720
out and then the White I said no, no, no, no,

536
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:02,880
they're still own business. But everybody's been checking though they're gone.

537
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:08,199
They're gone. According to the report, they saved two hundred

538
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:14,360
and fourteen billion dollars. Nothing to sneeze at, but that

539
00:34:14,559 --> 00:34:18,760
was that was it. Now everybody's back to spending the

540
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:23,280
way they were before. Steve Moore was asked specifically about those.

541
00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:26,079
Speaker 2: We's happened was the empire fought back.

542
00:34:26,159 --> 00:34:28,960
Speaker 9: And when you try to downsize government, you know, the

543
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:32,440
government bureaucracy tries to do everything they can to prevent it.

544
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:37,239
I think that Elon Musk deserves a Metal of Freedom

545
00:34:37,519 --> 00:34:41,480
and maybe even Nobel Prize in Economics for what he

546
00:34:41,519 --> 00:34:42,960
has done for our country.

547
00:34:43,679 --> 00:34:44,480
Speaker 2: But it is true.

548
00:34:44,519 --> 00:34:47,199
Speaker 9: You know, they wanted one trillion in savings and they

549
00:34:47,280 --> 00:34:49,400
ended up with what about two hundred and fifty billion.

550
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,039
That's still a lot of money, Stewart, I mean, my goodness,

551
00:34:52,079 --> 00:34:56,280
that's larger than this the entire budget of almost every state,

552
00:34:56,719 --> 00:34:58,239
So giant savings.

553
00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:00,320
Speaker 2: I do not want those to go way.

554
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:03,840
Speaker 9: I think President Trump should instill this in our government,

555
00:35:04,039 --> 00:35:06,360
so we have at least one agency that's trying to

556
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:10,760
cut costs rather than raise them. Was basically pointing out

557
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:14,280
how much waste there is in government, and they identified

558
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:17,760
trillions of dollars of waste. It's just that the agencies

559
00:35:18,119 --> 00:35:21,320
will not cut their budget by and not just the agencies.

560
00:35:21,559 --> 00:35:25,559
You need congressional help, you know, you need legislation to

561
00:35:25,679 --> 00:35:27,760
downsize the budgets of these agencies.

562
00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:28,719
Speaker 2: We just had a big fight.

563
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:32,079
Speaker 9: The Democrats shut down the whole government in order to

564
00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:35,719
prevent any cuts from happening. So this is a very

565
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:38,920
difficult thing to accomplish. I think, you know, he came

566
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,840
and tried to take on the bureaucracy. He had some success,

567
00:35:42,039 --> 00:35:44,159
but it's not like a private business where you can

568
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:45,599
just go in and slash costs.

569
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:47,159
Speaker 2: That's not the way government works.

570
00:35:47,159 --> 00:35:49,719
Speaker 9: And that's why we're running a thirty eight trillion dollar

571
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:50,719
national bet.

572
00:35:51,079 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 2: I am super bullish on the US economy.

573
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:56,199
Speaker 9: The TEX cut really starts to kick in next year,

574
00:35:56,280 --> 00:35:59,320
the big beautiful bill. We're seeing hundreds and hundreds of

575
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:01,760
billions of dollars of investment capital flowing in.

576
00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:03,199
Speaker 2: Trump says it's trillions.

577
00:36:03,199 --> 00:36:06,039
Speaker 9: I think it's probably closer to, you know, hundreds and

578
00:36:06,079 --> 00:36:08,360
hundreds of billions. That's a lot of money to invest here.

579
00:36:08,519 --> 00:36:11,079
We're seeing an investment boom. Look, I'm with you and

580
00:36:11,119 --> 00:36:13,400
my buddy Larry Kudlow. You know, I think this is

581
00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:15,840
going to be a great economy next year. Everything the

582
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,599
table is well set. Whether I think four and a

583
00:36:18,639 --> 00:36:22,480
half percent growth is a big, big number, so I'm

584
00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:24,280
not going to go that high, but I'll tell you

585
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:26,480
I think we're going to be between three and four

586
00:36:26,519 --> 00:36:29,400
percent growth, And sy is that important. Once you get

587
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,079
above like three to three point two percent growth, you

588
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:35,519
do start bending that curve of debt down because the

589
00:36:35,559 --> 00:36:39,280
economy grows faster than the debt and that's essential to

590
00:36:39,679 --> 00:36:41,639
solving this fiscal crisis in Washington.

591
00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:43,920
Speaker 2: So count me as I'm gonna say three and a

592
00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:44,400
half percent.

593
00:36:44,599 --> 00:36:46,559
Speaker 1: Okay, if we get three and a half percent growth,

594
00:36:46,559 --> 00:36:50,920
then yeah, that will be a positive, positive year. So

595
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:56,639
Scott Besson was also talking about the the FED and

596
00:36:56,719 --> 00:37:01,079
there he's been doing the interview to get down to

597
00:37:01,119 --> 00:37:03,400
a handful of people that are going to be presented

598
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:08,440
to the president. We had word yesterday that the President

599
00:37:08,519 --> 00:37:10,360
was going to make a choice on who was going

600
00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:13,800
to replace Jay Powell's the head of the Federal Reserve Board.

601
00:37:14,119 --> 00:37:19,639
He'll make that announcement prior to Christmas. But then Wall

602
00:37:19,679 --> 00:37:25,519
Street this afternoon there was a rumor that Kevin Hassett,

603
00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:28,599
the head of the National Council of Economic Advisor to

604
00:37:28,639 --> 00:37:32,920
the President, that he has been selected, and the market

605
00:37:33,039 --> 00:37:38,679
rallied on that news alone, because Kevin Hassett is a

606
00:37:39,039 --> 00:37:45,480
very smart economist, and he also realizes that Jay Powell

607
00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:49,960
and the current FED have been very slow to respond

608
00:37:51,039 --> 00:37:56,360
and that we really could use a reduction in interest rates.

609
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:59,880
Here's what Bestine said earlier today.

610
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,679
Speaker 8: And I think it's time for the FED just to

611
00:38:02,679 --> 00:38:06,480
move back into the background like it used to do,

612
00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:11,159
calm things down and work for the American people, set

613
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:16,599
monetary policy on a good course. That this isn't this

614
00:38:16,679 --> 00:38:20,400
isn't sport. It's people's lives, and I think we just

615
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:22,159
need to calm down.

616
00:38:22,480 --> 00:38:26,280
Speaker 1: Well, I think he's right. The FED is lately they

617
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:29,000
want to be the darlings of the media. They're out

618
00:38:29,039 --> 00:38:32,239
there there in front of microphones giving speeches. I think

619
00:38:32,280 --> 00:38:34,119
they should go back to the way they used to.

620
00:38:35,079 --> 00:38:37,920
They didn't even have news conferences none. They just put

621
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:41,239
out a statement and as far as the speeches, those

622
00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:44,800
were very few and far apart, So the Fed should

623
00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:48,519
kind of cool it, stick their green eye shades on

624
00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:53,119
and work on monetary policy and be done with it.

625
00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:58,519
One other rumor floating around the saff it's awfully hard

626
00:38:58,519 --> 00:39:01,199
when you're doing a podcast to get of you breaking news,

627
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:06,039
but the whole idea about Ukraine and a peace agreement

628
00:39:06,079 --> 00:39:13,159
with Russia. There is talk that President Trump is going

629
00:39:13,199 --> 00:39:17,599
to meet with Zelensky on Thanksgiving Day on Thursday. Then

630
00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:20,119
that was changed to know that's not going to happen.

631
00:39:20,159 --> 00:39:23,039
The President will not meet with him, that there will

632
00:39:23,039 --> 00:39:26,519
be a deal put together within a few days between

633
00:39:26,639 --> 00:39:31,519
Russia and Ukraine directly, and that President Trump will meet

634
00:39:31,559 --> 00:39:35,760
with Putin and Zelensky together when the deal is done.

635
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:39,960
So it's a lot of a lot of movement, a

636
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:44,519
lot of people trying to figure out how to get

637
00:39:44,519 --> 00:39:47,119
this thing to an end. But we don't have as

638
00:39:47,159 --> 00:39:52,000
we finish recording today, we don't have the final, final

639
00:39:52,199 --> 00:39:56,039
final word. It's it's not a final final anything at

640
00:39:56,079 --> 00:39:59,719
this point. Wall Street it, like I told you, it

641
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:04,039
loved the news about Kevin Hassett. It literally when that

642
00:40:04,159 --> 00:40:07,880
rumor started floating around on Wall Street, the market went

643
00:40:08,079 --> 00:40:12,079
straight up and it finished with the Dow up six

644
00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:16,719
hundred and sixty four points to forty seven thousand and

645
00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:22,360
one twelve. The rebound is off thats to p up sixty,

646
00:40:22,599 --> 00:40:25,119
Nasdaq up one hundred and fifty three. A lot of

647
00:40:25,159 --> 00:40:28,440
those tech stocks that went way up then went way

648
00:40:28,519 --> 00:40:32,639
down there nibbling at them again today. The price of

649
00:40:32,679 --> 00:40:36,280
gold was up thirty one dollars to forty one twenty five,

650
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:41,440
and oil fell one dollar down to fifty seven dollars.

651
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:44,719
Now for one barrel of oil. That's it for today.

652
00:40:45,119 --> 00:40:48,559
Thank you for coming by. We'll be back again tomorrow.

653
00:40:48,639 --> 00:40:49,880
Hope to see you then

