Speaker 1: All right, Welcome in. It's Monday morning time for another week.
We kick off a week, another week with total basis
right here on wager Talk TV. I've got Brian Leonard,
Tokyo branded. This is your go to show for Major
League Baseball free picks on the wager Talk YouTube channel.
We're probably going to get to all the games today.
It's the abbreviated Monday slate, so I'll go around the horn.
Welcome in, Brian Leonard. How was your weekend and how
are you feeling going into the new week.
Speaker 2: Yeah, thing's been going pretty well. We did lose that
five percent play on the Mets again Pittsburgh on what
Thursday or probably or something, so that was a donner.
But how about those Mets. I think I set something
out that somebody tweeted that was the biggest run disparency
in a three game series in the history of baseball
or something. It was just crazy. Pittsburgh's averaging ten runs
a game. The Mets, we thought once they want to
in a row and they may turn it around. Obviously
they didn't. They've had team meetings, they're doing a lot
of other stuff, and this team right now, I don't
want any part of them the way they're playing right now,
and it's unfortunate because they're one of the most talented
teams in baseball.
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Mets are horrible right now. I mean when
you get swept by the Pirates and the run discrepancy
is thirty four to four, I think it was something
like that. I don't know if it was thirty four.
I know the Mets only scored four though. Wow, that's
pretty bad. They're in a bad place right now. I'm
in a good place. I went five to oh yesterday,
so I'm pretty happy about that. Up to plus eighty
in twenty twenty five to be number one. So I
finally passed Ben for number one.
Speaker 1: So I'm I think your wire came out again. Tokyo
branded good at me. Good to take all those winnings
and get a new wife.
Speaker 3: Yet it doesn't plug in properly. Yeah, I'm kind of
like it's like, you know in the eighties when you
had cable TV and you had to like stick a
hanger on your TV to get the cable. But anyways,
but yeah, so, uh, that's good. I passed Ben for
number one, so I'm pretty happy about that. So not
a lot to like today for me though, I have
one play out, but I don't know if I'm gonna
have two plays out today. But I will give you
my two cents on on all the games that are
happening today.
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're they're the people are talking about the Mets
and Juan Soto in the chat. I had a good
weekend as well. When I'm seven and one of my
last eight MLB plays, So I'm coming for you TV.
I'll have another one today, I want to. So I
think the comment in the chat, Adam, think you could
give us more notice one hour less, one hour or
less before game time. I have to imagine that they're
referring to minor league baseball plays, and the answer is, unfortunately,
most more often than not, no, they're gonna be like
one hour before the game goes off. The reason being,
every one of the plays I make in minor league baseball,
I need to see the lineups because lineup shuffling is
the way you find value in minor league baseball. So
very very difficult to release minor league baseball early. It
is what it is like. You know, I understand that
everyone's gonna get be able to get down on that,
and that's why I only include them on all access.
I never sell them individually. And if you can't get
them in, I would suggest just just going MLB instead
of the all access because yeah, they're gonna come out
an hour before. However, if you can get them down,
probably gonna win long term on those. And they have
been very, very hot the last sort of few weeks.
So anyway, Brian, I'll give you a crack at it.
Do you have this one. I've got the rally cap
going still.
Speaker 2: I am guessing Hartford, but I don't know what their
nickname is.
Speaker 1: Now that is This would be the Harrisburg Senators. This
would be the Double A affiliate for the Washington Nationals.
And the one thing I remember about going to this
park was I went with none other than Dwayne Bryant
and him and I ate hot dogs for about three
innings because they had one of the best hot dog
stands I've ever been to at any ballpark any level. Phenomenal.
It was like a local Harrisburg like joint that's been
there for like one hundred years. They have a place
in the ballpark. We spent easily three innings, like getting seconds.
I think I had like four hot dogs more hot
dogs than I'm not a hot dog guy, Brian, more
than I eat in an entire year. So that's that's
my memory of FNB Field, which is also on an
island in the middle of Susquehanna River in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.
Another fun fact. All right, we've got the we've got
the people. It's a it's a slow Monday morning, so
giving a chance for everyone to get in. We've only
got eight games. We're probably going to get to most
of them, so let's start maybe just we may may
just be able to go in order here until someone
asked the question, let's head to the City of Brotherly Love,
where the Philadelphia Phillies take on the San Diego San
Diego Padres. It looks like Zach Wheeler against a guy
and in Matt Waldron that's been down at Triple A
for a while, was probably supposed to be in this
rotation at one point. Start us off, Brian Leonard. Pretty
big number here, Phillies well over a two dollars favorite
against the Padres.
Speaker 2: What do you see there is some other Let me
get the weather out of the way before we get started.
There's three games that have weither concerns. One, if I'm
being in the Philadelphia game, the game time is a
six thirty and from that time on anywhere from thirty
four to forty four reign all through the night. Pittsburgh's
even worse there. They go from fifty three percent at
eleven PM if it goes extra innings, but at game
time sixty six percent at seven, seventy nine percent of eight,
sixty eight at nine. So that might be a game
that you have some problems with.
Speaker 1: So, as we.
Speaker 2: Talked before, if you're playing starters, makes if you and
you've got really good starter against a week one, make
sure he's not going to be uh sitting through a
long rain delay. And then finally down in Tampa they
have rain. It should be cleared out pretty much by
nine pm, but the game starts it's seven thirty, so
they may be delayed at the beginning. Getting back to
today's games, and we are looking at as you mentioned
Waldron against Wheeler. Waldron's the knuckleball pitcher for the Padres.
Speaker 1: I like him.
Speaker 2: Uh. He has been hurt, he has been out of
the lineup all season long, but he's getting a chance
to play here. Unfortunately, he's going up against Wheeler, one
of the best pitchers in Major Leage League baseball. Waldron's
usually a guy tried to find value on and if
you're looking at this game at all, you'd have to
find the value on the padres because of the line
as you mentioned it Waldron last year. In fact, let's
just look his two seasons of Major league baseball four
point seven to nine ERA, but as expected dras five
or excuse me, four point one to one. His whip
is one point two six. He's very good in hard
hit rate, barrel rate keeping him off balance, the extensions,
very good. His walk rates in the seventy fifth percent talent,
and he walks, you know, six point five percent of
his batter as he faces, and league average is eight
point four. He doesn't get many people to chase, and
the whip race not good. And obviously, being a knuckleball pitcher,
his fastball velocy is only in the seventh percent out.
He does throw the knuckleball thirty eight percent of the
time in his career. We'll see if it's adjusted anything
now with the new season. But the one thing I
do like is he doesn't throw us fastball very much,
only eighteen percent, so He's got five pitches to throw
at you, and he does keep you off balanced. And
that's a pretty good underdog when you get a look
at something like that going against Zach Wheeler. Zach Wheeler
is excellent in everything excepha ground bowl array he does.
He's only in the forty six percent tile than that.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 2: He too has six pitches, but his fourth same is
his main pitch, forty one percent. Normally, I don't like
to play pitchers who throw more fastballs by far than
anything else, but he's one of those guys that can
get it done. It's fast of all velot season, the
seventy seventh percentile two point four five ERA two point
three four expected zero point nine two whip his strike
gout manusch Walker Ray Show. His strike out rate right
now is at thirty two point nine. He's never been
over thirty before in his career. And yet his walk
percentage is the same, basically the same as last year
a six point five so strike got minus walk percentage
of twenty six point four. That's elite. And we're getting
this game with San Diego and Philadelphia possibly a little
bit of a look towards the under As I mentioned
Waldron doesn't give up a lot of hard hit balls
Philadelphia with the range situation. That's the one concern I
would have about playing Wheeler if he does have a
long rain delay. I'm more worried about it in the
Pittsburgh game than this one. But between these two, I
think there's a little bit of value on San Diego.
But first game back for Waldron, don't know how long
it's going to go, so slightly to the under in
this one for me.
Speaker 3: So looking at this, yeah, I have Wheeler ranked number
six in all of Major League Baseball two hundred and
fifty starters, so he's pretty good, and he has decent
stats against San Diego, not great, but decent. So first
inkling would be to take the Phillies here, But the
problem is the Padres have a much better bullpen. The
Phillies bullpen is performing terribly right now, and they're not
really hitting that well either current form. They have tons
of talent. The thing. The weird thing is San Diego
has tons of talent too, so you would expect both
of these teams to be able to put up tons
of runs, but they're both really underperforming. In a little
bit of a lull right now for both of these
teams offensively, so I wouldn't argue with Brian's under I
would really like to back Wheeler here, but I can't
with that horrible bullpen and horrible hitting currently, so I
just can't back them right now, and I certainly am
not gonna bet against Wheeler. So kind of stuck in
the mud on this one.
Speaker 1: So I guess important to note that Waldron hasn't really
been hurt like they did. So his rehab, which I
followed pretty closely in the minors, like it started me fifteen,
so he actually ran he ran out of rehab time
back in early June, and then they just optioned him
to Triple A because which was really surprising to me
because I looked at the Padres rotation and I'm like,
you know, you've got Randy Vasquez in there. I think
it was like Steven Kolek, like these are guys that
I felt like were just placeholders, and so that was
very interesting to me that back in early June, I
believe June fourth was when he sort of ran out
of rehab time. They said, no, you're gonna, You're gonna,
We're just gonna option you to Triple A. So that
that was you know, I was, like I said, I
was surprised with that because coming into the season, I
felt like he was supposed to be a guy that
was in this rotation. He's been okay in June for
like again, like I watched two of his starts completely.
One he looked phenomenal, one he looked terrible. So you know,
he's kind of been down at Triple A. Now lengthwise,
he's gonna go his he'll go the full tilt right
like he's been throwing five innings five and two thirds.
Like he'll have his full pitch count a lot. Man.
The question is how effective is he going to be,
Because over the course of this past month, like I said,
there's been starts where he's been very effective and starts
where he's gotten blown up by a Triple A lineup.
Some of that speaks to, you know, if that pitch
is working or not right Brian, like's, if he's got
it going, it can be tough. If not, he can
get hit. So for that reason, it makes it like
I'd love to I really would have loved to like
come on and said, yeah, like I've got good info
on Waldron. This is a good spot to take like
a shot with the padres on the road, but I
just don't trust him. Has been way too inconsistent the
last month and I can't roll with that. Go ahead, Yeah,
a few things.
Speaker 2: First of all, knuckleball pitchers like the wind to be
blowing towards them, and really there's no wind anywhere all.
There's no double digit wins anywhere. That may hurt him
right now. If you take a look at the Fangrass page,
they do an extra job at Roster Resource Rocks rest
resource over there. They really only have four starters listed
for the potters right now because Darbish is still coming back,
Michael King's injured, Musgrove probably out for the season, and
Ryan Berger got a four arm contusion last time. So
they really don't know what they're gonna do. And as
you mentioned, Kolic has faded a little bit. Randy Vasquez
pitching better than a lot of people thought, but he's
not a guy you really wanted in your rotation. Also,
from a bullpen standpoint, Suarez, Adam and morjarn all pitched
each of the last two days, so I doubt any
of those will be used tonight. Whereas Philadelphia is pretty
good set up on their bullpen. So even though TV
doesn't like the Philadelphia bullpen, I think they're coming around now.
With the two guys they've got in the back of
the bullpen, they're tending to like them. Although Kirkering the
other day did get hit when he went in the
eighth in I believe, but other than they pitched pretty
but good now. So the bullpen edge probably is going
to be with Philadelphia today just because of the usage
the podres have had. But other than that, this is
probably the game I'm going to be setting out TV.
Speaker 1: Do you want to the people in the chat are
really asking about Wheeler strikeouts? Did you have like a
lean there?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I put it up, I have him, I have
him projected at six point one. Mac crinson asked me
for that.
Speaker 1: So yeah, beautiful. All right, let's we'll continue on. We're
probably gonna get to most of them today, but I'll
go to I'll go to a chat question because I
haven't seen clock Cage n yet. So thank you for joining.
If this is your first time commenting, we appreciate it,
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free to drop a comment on the on demand and
then of course pop in live and we'll address your
stuff in real time. So I took a lot. I
split my MLB place yesterday. I won with the Blue Jays,
I lost with the A's who just got obliterated by
the Yankees. They now head to the Sunshine State to
kick off a series with the Tampa Bay Rays. Steinbrennerfield
smaller ballpark. I believe this will be the A's first
time there. Clak Cage wants to know about the under Brian,
Do you think that's it's the A's going from one
minor league ballpark to another. Do you think that the
smaller ballpark favors them or hurts them here?
Speaker 2: Well, let's take a look at the weather report here
in Tampa, and and I did say that they have
some concerns. The wind's blowing out, but only five miles
per hour. We're looking at weather about seventy eight to
eighty degrees, so that'll be fine, but there is some
precipitation there. And I finally pronounced it correctly, But yeah,
it's they've got actually the A's. I believe they go
to Colorado, we think next. So they've got a good
week for their hitters. If you play fantasy baseball, you
want to have some ass in your lineup because they
are playing in two really good hitters parks, either that
or going back to you know, Sacramento, which is a
good hitters park for the most part, although it hasn't
been lately. But yeah, the A's coming in with Jacob
Lopez going, and he's a guy I if you've watched
the show every day, you know how much I liked
him before he really got hot the last few starts
because of a strekeout to walk ratio. He's currently at
twenty point zero strekout to walk ratio and you rarely
find young guys with no name like that in that situation.
Three point five six cra three point three two expected
one point three to zero whip. He is a fly
ball pitcher, no doubt about it. His ground ball percentage
is in the first percentile, basketball velocity in the eighth percentile,
but he's been doing very well so far this year.
Ninety third percentile extension. This is a guy to take
a look at his split so far this season. This
home games two point seven to four, ERA, road games
four point five. His whip as much higher on the
roads as well, So he's pitched very well in West Sacramento,
not as well on the road. He's ticking on Drew Rasmussen,
who has been one of the most consistent pitchers in
baseball this year. In fact, I took them talk about
this Saturday. His career in six seasons, he's got a
two point eight five ERA one point zero six whip.
He's had problems with injuries, but when he's healthy, he's
a damn good pitcher. Expected the RA this year three
point four to nine, so he's been a little bit
lucky in that regard, but he's been very good. And
as opposed to his opposition on the Mountain Lopez, he's
in the eightieth percentile of the ground ball percent So he's
a guy with a strikeout to walk ratio of sixteen
point one, which is slightly better than average, but he's
able to get those ground balls and that definitely helps. Here.
We're looking at a current line right now of excuse me,
Tampa Bay is basically about a one' sixty five was
sixty seven favorite, and we're looking at a total of eight.
That number is kind of low if you're taking a
look at this Tampa Bay ball Park here, But if
these two pitchers pitch like they have been lately, it's
probably correct. It open eight and a half and it
has been bad down to eight. So the guys you
bet at early do like theander here. I think I think,
oh glint, excuse me, Sacramento has a little bit of
value in the betting line. But I'm not going to
go against Rasmussen because he's been so good and I'll
be passing this one.
Speaker 3: Yeah, guys, before I get to my analysis, do me
a favor, and after the show, go to the replay,
click the like and leave a comment, even if it's
just a hey, great show, guys. It helps us out
a lot, and it shows Wager Talk that you appreciate
our show, which goes a long way for us and
our reputations. So would appreciate that. I have a special
out right now the rest of twenty twenty five for
under three dollars a day, so all of our pages
are down there. I'm sure Brian and Adam. Both have
specials too, so check our specials out when you have
a chance. And we all put free plays up at
those pages as well, so there's value for going to
check our pages out. So Rasmussen I like him a lot,
and actually I agree with everything Brian said. We measure
our stats differently, but we get to the same conclusions.
So I measure walks in a little different way than
Brian does I, but we get to the same conclusion.
Both of these guys are have great co and they
don't walk people very much. Their strikeout to ball ratio
is great. Lopez has been great. He's a young guy,
but he's been great. Let's see one earned run in
his last four starts. I'd say that's pretty great. And
Rasmusen had a stretch where he went four starts with
no earned runs. He had one bad game against the Mets,
but besides that, he's given up four earned runs in
six starts. I mean he's been great. So let's take
a look at the hitting. Tampa Bay has been pretty
hot and both bullpens are not really performing well right now.
If anything, I would like to attack the A's hitting
because they've been a little cold at the plate right now.
They do have good batters like Rooker, a few other guys.
I keep forgetting that that young guy's name who's having
a great season for the A's, but they're slamming. They
have the potential to slam it pretty good, but they're
not doing it right now. So if anything, I would
take Rasmussen's talent and put that against the cold bats
of the A's and maybe take a first five team
total under for the A's. I think that I'm gonna
make that my parlay leg A's team total first five
under one and a half. Now, under one and a
half can be risky propositions in MLB because these are
the best. These are the best. These are the best
five hundred baseball players in the world, so holding them
to less than two runs in five innings is tough.
But I think Raspusen can do it at home. Unfortunately,
I don't know the odds for that. That's going to
be my first leg of the parlay.
Speaker 2: You got it, Brian, Yeah, it's basically minus one twenty
onto the under.
Speaker 3: Wow, minus one twenty for under one and a half.
Whoa dancing dancing on the edge. But I like it.
I like it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Rasmussen can have pretty nasty stuff. I
The only issue I have with that really is that
the eight the A's set up better against right handed pitching.
So like this lineup I feel like gives you a
it's a more favorable one to nine against right handed
pitching as opposed to left handed pitching. That being said,
I mean, I said I had the A's yesterday plus
one and a half. They couldn't hit Marcus Stroman. I
mean that was a that was a deceiving five runs
for them yesterday because they got dominated by Marcus Stroman,
who hasn't pitched in you know, however long. So your
bet would have hit in that game yesterday Tokyo Brand
and they had one run at the end of the
fifth inning. They didn't start scoring until the game was
already over. So and it really just it's what I've
said about the A's this whole time. Young team they're
going to You're gonna have stretches where they have some juice.
Everything's clicking, and it almost seems to snowball, kind of
like I said, watch for the Marlins. If they win one,
they might win a few in a row. Look at
what they did last week. Right, The A's are very
similar where they they they'll kind of catch lightning in
a bottle for a little bit, but then it's just
it's you'll have the next game where they're horrible. They
might be terrible for a week. And it just seems
to be how when you have this collection of young
players that are all at the big league level at
the same time getting up to the big league level
at the same time, I feel like you see that
it's not just with this team. So yeah, I don't
I don't know how how badly I want to jump
in with the A's now off of that performance yesterday,
having to go down to Florida, I like Lopez, wanted
to make a case for them plus one and a half,
but I'm kind of priced out at minus one forty.
What needed that to be about twenty five twenty to
twenty five cents cheaper so Lean A's, But have my reservations,
go ahead.
Speaker 2: Brian, Yeah, Brandon mentioned Jacob Wilson, the shortstop for the A's.
He took a foul ball I believe, off his leg
yesterday and had to leave the game early. So there
there there are no hurry to win games in Sacramento
and they're on the road here. It would not surprise
me if they give them the day off. And if
there is any team that has a shortage of bench players,
quality hit betteris from the bench positions. It's the Oakland A's,
the A's, Sacramento, whatever their bench is. Willie mc iver,
Geoe O'shella, Max Suliman, and JJ Bluday. I don't want
any of those guys on my team, So one of
them is gonna have to come in and replace. It's
probably ge O'shella or Sloman coming in. And Geo's had
some bright spots in his past, but right now, when
you're sitting the bench in Oakland or for the A's,
that's not a position a lot of people want to
be in. So that's a big drop off.
Speaker 1: If Wilson doesn't start me and they're rolling with a
they're rolling with a guy starting every day that that's
out there for defense, Like Denzel Clark's a triple A bat,
like he's not a He's not a MA major league hitter,
at least not at this point. So you take Jacob
Wilson onto that lineup, and suddenly that Tokyo Brandon's first
five under looks that much better because he is the
best hitter on that team in my opinion. And yeah,
and he's had a lower body injuries before too, so Brian,
Brian Leonard might be onto something. You might see Jacob
Wilson out of the lineup today. I wouldn't be.
Speaker 3: Saying they're asking me to change my leg because their
books don't have first five team totals.
Speaker 2: What books don't have to say with only nine games
and a couple of them my good.
Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, here's the thing.
Speaker 3: If you have team totals in Major League Baseball, if
your book doesn't, yeah.
Speaker 1: But some if you're if you're playing on So here's
the thing TV. A lot of people in the States
are still playing. They'll they'll still play with locals, they'll
still play on PPH sites. They may not let you
parlay that I would I would say, listen, we're gonna
keep it for the parlay. But I think you can
just go first five under if you can't get the
team total. I don't hate a first five under. Brian
talked about one of the redeeming qualities of Lopez. I
agree with those, So maybe you just go first five
under if you can't show that.
Speaker 3: Sure, it's a little more risky because Tampa's bats are
hotter than Oakland's. But uh yeah, okay, do the first
five under four. I believe it is.
Speaker 1: Someone said, Adam, why do you look so mad? I'm
actually not that at all. Right now. I had a
great I've had a great run. This is the final
day of June. June will end up being my best
month of twenty twenty five so far. That that's just
my thinking face. I was over here looking up Jacob
Lopez trying to trying to crunch numbers. So that's that
was just my deep, deep in thought base right there.
But we'll go to Hose.
Speaker 3: Adam is the serious guy of US three.
Speaker 1: Jose. We'll go to Jose Perez and a couple of
others in the chat are are asking about this game
Mariners Royals. I watched for what For one reason or another,
I feel like I watched every pitch of that Dodgers
Royals series this weekend. Had had the Royals on Saturday.
It's a nice winner right there for me. Now it
is they're going to head out to Seattle. Brian Leonard,
we've talked about the Mariners and how he liked them
on the road better because of where they're priced and
their smaller ballpark. Were you surprised when you saw this
number where it was like, man, the Mariners are getting
a lot of love, and now they're back at home
where it's a little harder to hit the ball out.
Speaker 2: I don't know if Seattle's getting the love or Case
is getting the hate because Kansas City right now, that
offense is really struggling. Other than Ben Attendee, who for
some reason knows how to hit for power this year,
the rest of the guys are struggling. You come into
the season, you thought the offense is going to be
pretty decent. Obviously, wait, coming off a possible MVP season
last year, he hasn't been as good. The first baseman
hasn't been as good. The guy they brought up, the
young guy that today's the first basement that has played
him in the outfield. Other than a game where he
hit a home run, he's done nothing. I think he's
got three hits the entire time he's been up there.
So they've been very disappointing offensively. And this is traditionally
a good pitcher's park. I trust Waka Walka pitches in
these kind of places all the time. In Kansas City
he's very good. In Seattle, he should be very good.
If I knew that George Kirby was back one hundred
percent or at least ninety percent, I would play this
game under, even though it's seven and seven and a half.
That would be the only way I would look. Problem
is Kirby still he will come out with the one
game and have thirteen strikeouts. The next game he comes
out and he gets hit, so he's still struggling with
his control, and that is what comes last when you
come back from these arm injuries and shoulder injuries. So
going against Kansas City, it's going to make him look
a lot better. If I had to play this, I
played the under, but it doesn't take much to push
a game over seven. Luckily there's still plenty of seven
and a half. Minds went twenties out there for you,
So that would be my look in this one is
I prefer walk a little bit, but I don't like
that Kansas City offense and Seattle right now, as you mentioned,
not hitting nearly as well at home.
Speaker 3: Again, I agree with Brian. I got Waka ranked a
little higher than Kirby, but just barely. And I got
the Royals bullpen ranked better than Seattle, and Seattle's kind
of known for their good pitching. Their bullpens a little
bit underperforming these days, but their hitting is a lot
better than the Royals, especially current form. They got a
lot more talent in my opinion. And we got two
pitchers here who have great command again and two guys
who don't really walk very very many compared to their strikeouts.
The stat that I use for this is I divide
the walks by the strikeouts and get a percentage, so twenty.
Usually pitchers are about thirty to forty percent the amount
of walks they have compared to their strikeouts. Both of
these guys are less than twenty five or well, Waka's
twenty seven, Kirby's twenty three. So really good command for
these guys. So if anything, I would think under for this.
I did say something bad about Seattle's bullpen, but they're
not that bad so and these Royals can't hit anything
right now anything, So yeah, I would think under would
be the only way to go here. I'd like to
take the Royals here if they hit a little bit better,
but I got them ranked twenty three out of thirty
teams right now they're just not hitting. So yeah, under
would be the only way I would go here, but
I haven't met it yet.
Speaker 1: The George Kirby thing is puzzling because he came out
and was so good in that one start against the Angels,
fourteen strikeouts as dominant of a George Kirby performances are
gonna find, and then he kind of like, you know,
I don't think he's pitched bad, but the concern is
like the since that start, five strikeouts, three strikeouts, three strikeouts,
and for me, like when George Kirby is is George Kirby.
He's getting a lot of swing and miss. He's he's seven, eight,
nine strikeouts in a start, and so that would suggest
in my opinion that he's still kind of like working
his way back, struggling with command, because remember command is
not just walking people like you can miss out over
the plate the same way guys miss out of the zone.
So if you see a guy that's typically a strikeout
guy and they're not getting the strikeouts, it's that's a
command issue too, because it probably means they're catching too
much of the plate now doesn't matter against this Royals
lineup right now. Maybe not because they're not hitting, but
you know, I still think. I still think they have.
You know, they had a somewhat of a breakout. I
guess on Saturday, scored a bunch of runs on Saturday.
That was the Otani Kaspirius start. So my gut tells
me that the Mariners are overpriced here I agree with.
I think Tokyo Brandon mentioned their bullpen. I don't have
the numbers to back it up in front of me
right now, but I've watched a ton of Mariners baseball
this year. It definitely seems like their bullpen is not
as daunting as it was the last couple of years,
where like those top guys get in and I don't
think it's I feel like, you go back to the
last couple of years, Mariners get to the eighth inning
with a one run lead, and you just go do
you can, just go do something else. They're probably gonna
get out and win the game. This year not so much.
I had them on Friday Night ended up winning an
extra innings, but that was another one where they choked
away a four run lead in a Logan Gilbert start,
So I kind of agree with you there, TV. I
don't trust their bullpen as much anymore. I would love
to find a way to play the Royals here. I
just don't know how to do it.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, right, Yeah, A Kirby, as you mentioned the
fourteenth strakeouts against the Angels. Other than that, the most
truckouts he's had in any game is five last two games,
three each. He's only walked one in those, so that's
very good. But his whiff rate is in the fourteenth percentile,
and he's a guy that gets you to chase normally.
His chase rate is in the seventy second percentile. But
they're still chasing. They're just hitting the ball. They're not whiffing.
They're not swinging and missing, and that is the concern.
And when it comes to the bullpens in this one,
Kansas City's bullpen is set up better today than Seattle's.
Seattle had to use more of their key bullpen arms
the last couple of days. So if you are going
to play it, I would not play Seattle. I would
play Kansas City or the Under if it was up
to me.
Speaker 1: In this one, very interesting comment here from Chad, which
I want to just kind of like throw to you guys,
because nobody watches these games. It seems like if they do,
they'd see on the road the Royals of zero problem
scoring runs at home, the Mariner struggled to score. This
is a Royal spot. Now I agree with I agree
with that, the fact that this is probably a Royal spot.
But for me, it's like, I I watch this Royals
team struggle all week against the Rays and then most
of that series against the Dodgers. Now, why does them
going on the road instantly mean the offense comes back?
Like that's that's the only way I kind of did.
That's the only reason I kind of disagree with that mindset, Like, yes,
they have better numbers on the road, but like so
just going to Seattle, just negate the fact that they can't,
that they haven't hit for shit all week. That's that's
I'm curious to see how you guys like evaluate that.
Are you like, Okay, Now they're on the road, so
we're gonna get road splits from the Royals here or no,
Like this team's struggling to hit, they're probably still going
to struggle to hit. It's an interesting question.
Speaker 2: Well, the home ballpark Kaufman Field is more of a
pitcher's ballpark overall, although it changes a little bit every year,
but this year it's it's similar to what it's been
in the past. So when they do leave a pitcher's ballpark,
they're they're hitting should be a little bit better. But
we could see that happening here. But I'm agreeing with you.
If the guys are slumping, it doesn't make a difference.
It's not like I've been to games in Kansas City.
They're typical of you're Midwest fans. They like the team
and all, but it's not if you're like if you're
pitching in New York City or Boston, where if you're
stinking at home, you can't wait to get down the
road get away from that kind of pressure. Kansas City
doesn't have that.
Speaker 1: So I don't.
Speaker 3: I don't.
Speaker 2: I don't think I agree in that with that comment.
Speaker 1: I don't disagree with it though. It's just it's an
interesting thought process because we're baseball people are so numbers oriented.
I know, I know so many handicappers really look at
home road splits and stuff like that, and I've never
been a huge splits guy, and I think it's for
that reason, because I just I just think there's more
to it. But it's an interesting question, and I'm not
disagreeing with him. It would it would be Royals or
pass for me here, So I'm not fully disagreeing. It's
just I thought it was a very interesting question that
deserved some attention. Double cole Red Sox and Reds. Next,
please ask and you shall receive. This is gonna be
Fenway Park. Fenway Park's gonna gonna get to meet a
guy named Chase Burns tonight, Brian Leonard, how about that
for uh? How about that? For for your major league
you get called up? You were in college last year.
You didn't ever pitch in the minor league, so your
first affiliated ball action was this year. You shoot up
through the ranks. You shoot up through the ranks of
the miners, and then your first two starts in Major
League Baseball are Yankees and then at Fenway Park against
the Red Sox. That's what Chase Burns is getting tonight.
He's at home, he's on the road against Garrett Crochet.
Might be the game of the night to watch here,
are you getting?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 2: Burns pitch really well in that first game. They left
him in a little bit too long. He went five innings,
got eight strikeouts. He comes in with a five point
four o E, a one point two oh whip expected
the ra four point seven to one, but he was
much better than that until he tired as the game
went on. You see that a lot. And he's only
twenty two years old. You see that a lot in
these younger pitchers. They come out and they get so excited,
they get so pumped up. Miss Rowski's been that way
all of his starts so far. But they do get
tired a little bit, and that's the situation that cost
him there. This is a good hitters park. Boston is
a good hitting park, and despite the fact that the
offense is struggling right now, this is a place that
it's tough to win on, win at and pitch well,
especially when in reality, you know, he's only got three pitches.
He throws a curve one percent of the time, but
his four team is fifty nine percent of the time.
So he's a fastball pitcher. You know what you're going
to get, and you're in a ballpark where you can
give up some cheap fly balls that hit the monster.
That is my concern with Burns here and going up
against Crochet. Crochet has just been terrific all season long.
Two point zho six CRA one point oh two whip
two point nine to five expected ERA. But he's taken
on Cincinnati team who seems to hit a little bit
better on the road than they do at home this year,
even though they're they play in a good hitters ballpark.
It should be a fun game to watch. We're looking
at a basically a line of one sixty five maybe
on Boston and seven and a half on the total
that's been met down and opened at eight over fifteen.
Now it's either eight minus twenty twenty five to the
under or seven and a half minus fifteen to the over,
so they expect it to be a lower scoring game.
Burns could blow up. It could happened in this game.
It doesn't take much to score seven and a half
eight runs in Boston. That said, I'm excited to watch
the game, Donald, if I'm gonna get involved.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Burns is the only Italian player in
Major League baseball, so that's that's kind of nice. He
did have a good start his first start, and he
didn't walk anyone, which is nice. Struck out a lot.
So yeah, he's got good stuff. Like Brian said, they
left him in too long. If they had taken him
out earlier, his stats would be bright and shiny. But again,
it's a it's a small sample size, so you have
to take it with a bit of a grain of salt.
But he definitely has good stuff. But he's gonna be
erratic because he's young, and he's and he's never been
here before. So I have Garrett Crochet ranked one notch
right above Zach Wheeler at number four. I have Wheeler
at five. I think I said six earlier, but got
Crochet ranked four. I mean, he's absolutely stud and he's
let's see, take a look at the lineups. Yeah, Boston.
You know again, I'm gonna use that phrase toiling and mediocrity.
Both of these lineups not hitting real well, and neither
Bullpen's performing very well. So I'm kind of stuck here.
I'd love to take Boston, but not at minus one ninety.
I'd like to maybe use a minus one and take
him at minus one sixty if they were playing a
team that's worse than the Reds. But I have kind
of a you know, I try to cover the logos
and just base my analysis on numbers. But I got
a thing for the Reds. I think they're just They're
just a good team, I think, and it's hard to
bet against them here. But Crochet is definitely a great picture.
But he's backed by a poor bullpen and their lineup's
not hitting real well right now. So although I'd love
to take Boston minus one, I'm not going to do it.
Speaker 2: I don't think you need the minus one because it's
not one ninety. It's about one sixty three right now.
Speaker 3: Okay, got it. I thought it was one ninety when
I checked it.
Speaker 2: Maybe I didn't stay long.
Speaker 3: Burns is Italian, guys, Sorry he is.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so's I don't think he's the only Italian. I mean,
there's plenty of Italian Italian descent players and Italian players
in Major League Baseball. But yes, Chase Burns was born
in Naples, Italy, which is where much of my family
on my mother's side is from and still lives. If
you go out further to the cousins, a lot of
them are still in the Naples, Italy area. So that
is where Italian was born. Yeah, mostly entirely. Yep. My
mother's side one hundred percent Italian, and my dad's side
is mostly Italian. I think I have some Polish in
me from one from one grandmother, but yes, mostly Italian,
and most of them are from that that Naples Areas
so where Chase Burns was born. I believe his dad
was in the military, so he was born in Italy,
but family traveled around a lot. I wonder if he
that probably means he could play for He could probably
play for Italy and World Baseball Classic. I would assume.
I don't know if that's like a you know, that
would be a nice that'd be a nice grab for Italy.
Let's put it that way, because I don't think they
typically have a ton of pitching. There's also a bunch
of Italians in the Cardinals organization. I don't know why,
like what the pipeline is there, but like Triple A,
Memphis has like four Italian guys in the Cardinals organization. Anyway,
back to this game, I am I like the Red
Sox here, I'm debating using it. Yeah, you know what,
I'm gonna use it. Let's use it for the parlay
Red Sox money line. Brian, what did you say that
that price is minus one sixty five. Yeah, Red Sox
minus won sixty five. Agree with Tokyo Brandon. I I mean,
as much as you like burned and he did throw
the ball well, I agree with Brian. He was cruising
until they kind of maybe left him in too long.
I think, you know you're still gonna have to outpitch
Garrett Crochet here, who is like I mean, they did,
the Red Sox still have the edge with Garrett Crochet
on the mound, even even with how good this kid is.
In my opinion, it's a it's a really is a
massive game for the Red Sox. I think this is
another huge series for them. They are they're three games
under five hundred. They just dropped a series in their
division to the to the Blue Jays over the weekend.
It just feels like a really big spot for them
at home. And Crochet has just done nothing, but he's
just been amazing. I mean, they they've lost games that
they should have won for him. I believe his last
start we I think his last start, we had him
in the parlay actually, guys, and he threw like seven
or seven innings of shutout ball and then the bullpen
came in gave up the run and they lost an
extra innings. I just feel like where they're at, Roche
is the guy, Like this just feels like such a
big game for them that I think they maybe get
the Reds kind of coming off, you know, coming to
Fenway off the road, weird spot for them. If Burns
only goes four or five innings, you should have a
decent advantage at the end of this game. So I'll
go Red Sox go ahead, Tokyo Brandon.
Speaker 3: Quick note, I when the line was like this, I
just took a look at Crochet's to win odds and
it was minus one ten. And usually a pitcher to
win is like plus one sixty around there. Minus one
ten is pretty tough to take to get the win.
So yeah, I would agree with you, Adam. But the
bullpen said, I trashed Boston's bullpen. But actually the bullpen
probably won't be much of a factor because Crochet likely
will go seven or eight innings here.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I want to say to get the win and
then we'll go to Brian. This is one scenario where
I don't hate that because I really think that he's
not given that ball up unless he absolutely has to.
If you've watched him times out he could go in
the ninth He pitched into the ninth inning against the Yankees.
He pitched. He probably wanted to go back out there
in that Angels game. Seven innings, shutout, innings, ten strikeouts.
I think he understands he is the guy there and
they're gonna have to pry that ball out of his hands.
I think you're gonna get seven or eight from Crochet again.
Go ahead, Brian.
Speaker 2: Vinny Pastino can't get more than an Italian name from
so he's the first one that pops into my head
for being Italian.
Speaker 3: Is a good Italian name.
Speaker 1: Father Alas Master Bony is one that's on the Mariners
right now. Made a great catch to save me on
Friday night in a game that the Mariners ended up
winning in extra innings. The team they beat in extra
innings in that game, the Texas Rangers. Very interesting game
tonight because we had this exact matchup last week on
this show. We talked about the game. I said it
might be Trevor Rodgers finally like showing his stuff, and
it was. And now we get the same matchup. What
a week later? I think it's a week later, same
matchup a week later. This time it's in Arlington. It's
Patrick Corbyn against the Orioles Rogers. Corbyn will start with uh,
we'll start with Brian.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 2: In that game for Rogers, he went eight innings nowhere runs,
no walks, three hits, four strikeouts, got a zero point
seven to eight whip in that game.
Speaker 1: It was awesome.
Speaker 2: But the problem is he's facing the same team again
in Texas. And this is the situation. And I talked
about this the other day about Texas being turning into
a real pitchers ballpark. That's the situation we're having again. Now,
this current line on this game, as we're looking at
it is Texas Corbyn, two lefties. By the way, Texas
Corbyn and Rogers. Rogers is actually the favorite here. He's
gone basically it was a pick him overnight, still more,
but basically pick him. But you can take Baltimore and
go anywhere from minus one oh five to minus one thirteen. Really,
there's only one place out there that has got a
plus circa here in Vegas. He got plus on Texas.
But I would prefer the Texas side here playing at
home in the second time they get to face him.
Trevor Rodgers. We've known what we could get out of him.
Speaker 3: So far this year.
Speaker 2: He's been he's been.
Speaker 1: Good, but.
Speaker 2: Just it just reminds me of what he's done the
last couple of years. You know, his career record is
sixteen and thirty four, and yet the Orioles went out
and searched for him. They were the guy that they
wanted to sign in the off season. And he's only
got three starts so far this year, four point twenty
sixth career ERA one point three eight whip.
Speaker 1: He looked good earlier.
Speaker 2: I don't think he's turned his career around. I'm not
looking to bet on Rogers. Patrick Corbin. You know, as
much as he's he's been picked on last few years
while he's pitched in losing ballparks, he's got a four
point two four E four point two six expected one
point two eight whip is he's always had a problem
a little bit with the whip. It's not that he
walks a lot of batters, that he gives up a
lot of hits. His strak out to walker ratio this
year eighteen point five seven point two puts him at
eleven point three. Not the greatest, but he's got a
really good extension and hard hit rate, chase rate is
very good. So I like the Texas side here. I
think that's a bargain. If you're telling me right now
that Baltimore with the Rogers should be favored on the
road even slightly, I think is a mistake. I will
take Texas in this game and that will be my
part of the parlay. Let's play Texas on the money
line and let's go minus one oh two on that,
and that should be a consensus number right now.
Speaker 3: The most Italian name to ever play Major League Baseball
has to be rockobal Deli. Don't you think that's a
pretty Italian name. Vinnie's pretty good, Vinnie Vinnie is pretty
Italian too. Yeah, that's that's yeah. Okay again, I'm going
to grovel you guys. Go back to our replay of
this show and just leave a comment and click to
like and show Wager Talk that you love our show.
It goes a long way in helping us.
Speaker 1: So.
Speaker 3: Uh, both of these pictures have pretty good walk walk
to strikeout ratios. But like Brian said, maybe we can't
trust Trevor Rodgers shiny numbers because throughout his career he
hasn't been this shiny. But can the Rangers hit him?
I highly doubt it because you know they're they're hitting
is is their bats are pretty cold. Uh, not quite
as cold as Kansas City, but still somewhat cold. The
Riols didn't they didn't they just come off a sweep.
They're actually playing pretty good, did they?
Speaker 1: Did they? They lost one of the lost one.
Speaker 3: Nevertheless, they're playing quite good and quite well, and uh,
the problem is neither one of these bullpens performing very well. Yeah,
I'm kind of stuck in the mud and I'm not
going to jinx Bryan's play. So i'll, i'll, i'll, I'm
not going to play this, but I'll just say that
both pitchers are pitching pretty well right now. I think
Corbyn's more lucky than he is skilled at the moment,
but man, he's he's as for for an innings eater,
he's doing a respectable job. I think Rogers will have
a decent game, but I don't think he'll have quite
the game he had last start. So those are my
thoughts on this one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so thought process for me here leans toward the Rangers.
So you've had these two teams that just played six
days ago. The Orioles had a harder time hitting on
the road. They have a harder time hitting left handed pitching.
So even though the Corbyn they just saw him, they're
still gonna have to deal with going on the road
and facing a left handed pitcher. Whereas Rogers was unhittable.
He was nasty in that start. But now you're gonna
have the Rangers like A, he hasn't been consistent at all,
like if he was, you know what I mean, Like
he's had the opportunity to do that for three years now. Yeah,
he had a really good start, but is he gonna
replicate that A and B? Is he gonna do it
against the team that just saw him six days ago?
I'm almost the same thing goes for Corbyn, right like
they just saw him. But it's like Corbyn's been doing
the same thing for so long. I just feel like
he's you know, they knew what they were gonna get
six days ago out of with Corbyn and they still
struggled to hit him. So I'm more inclined to think
the Orioles have trouble with Corbyn here, whereas the Rangers
might make the adjustments to get something off of Rogers
throw them in their home ballpark. I think it leans
to a Ranger spot. Go ahead, Brian.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 2: The last time they played, it was the matchup and
Corborn watch five innings give up five hundred runs. That
was his worst start of the season. So I've got
a guy coming off his best start of the season
against the guy coming off as worst start of the season.
I try to put myself in the position of players.
If I'm the starter for the Orioles, I'm coming in
is our friend Marco would say pat and sassy in
the in this game, or as opposed to if I'm
the guy that got bombed last time I played him,
this guy all week long, he's been working on his
coming back out and playing that team and getting his revenge.
So that's something I always look at when you and
you've got two teams that just played each other with
the same starting pitchers. I like to fade what happened
in the first game. And and Corbin's got six different
pitches to throw, even though he only throws his curve
one percent of the time, but he's not a guy
who's gonna throw a throws is forcing four percent of
the time. I love that everybody. I always say, everybody
measure the baseball, can hit the passball, and his fastball
velocity is only eleventh percentile. So he's gonna beat him
with a bunch of junk. And that's how you beat
this Baltimore Orioles team.
Speaker 3: Good point.
Speaker 1: All right, we are going to go to uh well,
we'll get one more game in here. The chat really
wants to talk Diamondbacks Giants, so let's go. Let's go
to that one. We'll go right to Brian Leonard. This
is the I guess, the degenerate special of the night,
the last one off the board, heading out West, Giants Diamondbacks.
What do you see in there?
Speaker 2: Two pitchers, two starting pitchers pitching very well. Logan Web
obviously one of the best pitchers in baseball. Two point
five two e r a three point zero two expected
one point one four whip. He's got a lot, he's
got a lot of red on his stat cast page.
His strekout to walk ratio is twenty two point four,
which is excellent. And he's going up against Ryan Nelson.
Ryan Nelson's pitched very well lately. In fact, you go
back for his gain logs, you can go back all
the way through. Since April twenty fourth, he's given up
earn runs in his games one zero two, zero two,
one zero zero seven against the Cincinnati Reds in Cincinnati,
then zero one and one. He is one of the
biggest bargains right now in Major League Baseball has been
looking to play him in the last couple of months.
He's been very good and now he's got his chance
to pitch in the starting rotation, and it's something a
lot of his backers like. His extensions in the eighty
third percentile, but he doesn't draw a lot of chase
and whifts. He's only in the eighteenth percentile, and with
ten percent in chase. He's a guy comes in with
a three point seven to one ERA, and so three
point seven one ERA is expected. Era's four point oh
nine one point five whip two pitchers that I trust
in this game right here that are pitching very well.
The line is right now at WEB maybe minus one
point thirty total of eight in this game. But do
we really trust this San Francisco offense. They've been struggling
mightily lately. Miami swept them and they have not been
hitting at all. So if I play this game, either
playing the under eight. You can get an eight and
a half a pinnacle right now if you're out of
the United States but under eight or I'm looking at
the team total for San Francisco under and that is
looking at a four and a half under minus one
twenty five, So you need the Giants to score five
runs against Arizona to lose. To lose that bet, I
kind of like the under four and a half in
the team total. As we look to fade, the Giants
can once again. Here it's more of a hitters park
in Arizona. But with the way these pictures are pitching
right now, I like this. I like the under team
total in San Francisco under the four and a half.
Speaker 3: Wow, Brian, you stole all my thunder on that. We're
exactly on the same page. Man. This is how you
beat the books. Now, this is how professional handicappers beat
the books. Is you take a picture like Nelson, who
the books will slight and completely disrespect him, and you
go in there and you you grab him until the
books catch up to how good he is. If you
cover these pictures names and just look at their numbers,
you would think that Nelson is Web and Web is Nelson.
So this is how you beat the books is you
take a picture like this because everyone knows that Web
is good. As a matter of fact, I have Web
rank number two out of all starting pitchers in current
form right now. Everyone knows he's good. So you're not
gonna get value betting like betting the Giants to win,
but you will get value betting either. A Giants team
total under is exactly what Brian said. I mean, I'm
on the exact same pages. And the Diamondbacks bullpen is
starting to come around as well. As I mentioned in
our last show, I was ripping them a new one
at the beginning of the season, but now they're actually
playing kind of well right now, somewhat well. But yeah,
you think the Giants can score five runs? I mean,
they haven't scored. They're one of the worst offenses in
Major League Baseball right now. They're winning by having great
pitching and winning two to one every game. That's how
they're winning their games right now. So yeah, I'm on
exactly the same page as Brian here. I think you
take Nelson. One thing that concerns me is is career wise,
his stats against these Giants are not very good. But man,
he's pitching great this season and season to season, pitchers
they make adjustments, they pick up new pitches, they drop
pitches that don't work. So I think that's what's happening
with Nelson. He's he's morphing into a really good picture.
Speaker 2: I do want to point out the Arizona bullpen has
been used a little bit lately, So if you want
to play the first half under for San Francisco, that
wouldn't be a bad play either. That is looking at
two and a half under one fifty one fifty five.
Another way to look at it. You keep the bullpens
out of it.
Speaker 1: I got to push back on that comment. The Diamondock's
bullpen has been atrocious and they really couldn't be worse.
They've they've now after yesterday, they've now blown a lead
in twenty eight of their law. The just Baseball guys
on Buddies with tweeted that out on Saturday, and they
blew another one yesterday. That means twenty eight times that
they've had a lead and ended up losing the game.
And yesterday was no was no exception. They gave that
game up in the eighth inning. The Diamondbacks bullpen is horrific,
absolutely horrific. They are they they And it's not that
they don't have it's not that they don't have arms
that can get out. The problem TV is they don't
have any leverage guys. So they're going to blow games
because they don't have They don't have guys that can
get out in the tough spots. I'm not saying they can't.
They don't have a guy that can go in and
give three four innings of long relief. They just don't
have any of these guys that you could put out
there in the eighth, ninth inning when the game's on
the line, and that's why they blow so many leads.
So as far as the total is concerned, I would
definitely look at first five. I would not want any
part of Arizona in what's probably going to be a
tight game. At the back of this game, I too
like Nelson, but I now after the money move here,
there's been a lot of money on Arizona. I think
I could only push back at this point because I
still think Logan web is a cut above, you know,
in terms of like I love what I've seen out
of Nelson, but Logan Webb's like a guy that I
feel like you can rely on for six seven innings,
like you pretty much know that he's going to give
you a professional start for six seven innings. And then
I would not want any part of Arizona in a
close game late. I mean, they're just they have no
one that can go out there in the eighth or
ninth inning, So it could only be Giants here for me.
Giants are passed.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Bran, Yeah, with the Arizona bullpen, five with
their top back, six starter back bullpen guys all pitched
to it the last three days, So scratch the full
game and I prefer the first five.
Speaker 1: San Francisco Stacey in the in the chatt is a
very funny comment here. The d Backs could put a
t ball stand at the plate and the Giants would
still struggle. It certainly feels it certainly feels like that,
and it's like it's it's puzzling to me, and I
gotta come on here and own it. I said that
that this trade made this Giants team getting Devs the
bat that they didn't have, and they have been awful
the last week or two, you know, a week or
so since they've they've gotten him terrible all weekend against
the White Sox. So yeah, I don't know where you
go with the Giants from here. I still think it's
in there somewhere. They've got so they've got pitching for days.
You have to think they could figure something out. But yeah,
they have been a very big disappointment since that trade.
All right, we've reached, we've reached the hour. I am
going with promotion out him a promotion. I'll get the
promotion out of there. We have a great Fourth of
July special on seven A all access that's for all
three of us. I haven't locked in a play. I'm
I'm probably locked. I'm probably gonna have a five percenter today.
I was waiting for something to come in and range.
I'm watching the screens. I didn't want to lock it
in before the show because I wanted to make sure
I was getting the best price. I'm gonna be putting
that in as soon as we're off the show, which
you can get on the seven Day Special. And everyone's
got the seven day Special, so myself, Tokyo, Brandon, Brian Leonard.
It's seven days, sixty nine bucks. I think you can
flex it. That's pretty good. So you can bounce around.
So if I lose to five percenter tonight and you
want to peace out, you can do that. Apparently on
the site, you can just bounce around to which handicappers
you want it to go with whole feature. That's that's
a new newer feature that we have now, so that's
pretty cool. The parlay plus four eighty three. So the
mondays have been been good for the parlay the last
couple weeks. Then we can't hit one the rest of
the week, but we're still even after the losses last week,
we are still up twelve dollars and twenty four cents
on every dollar, which means if you were to play
all of these parlays equally, every dollar so far that
you've invested would have returned twelve twenty four. That's pretty
good and we're but we got to keep it going
because every time we creep up to that like twenty
unit mark, we like lose a few in a row.
So maybe tonight's to night. The parlay is again as
follows brand Tokyo brandon A's first five team total under
one and a half. If you cannot bet that, I
think we're all good with a first five under in there,
but for the official grading, TV is going a's team
total first five under one and a half. I've got
the Red Sox minus one sixty five and Brian Leonard's
going Rangers minus one oh two. That comes out to
plus four eighty three, and hopefully that is the three
teamer that gets our week going right here. So one
more time, it's a's first five team total under one
and a half, Red Sox minus one sixty five, Rangers
minus one oh two. Do either of you guys have
anything to promote before we get out of here?
Speaker 3: Sorry? Brown, I'll go first. I have a rest of
the year for under three dollars a day, and I
also have seven day special seven days for sixty nine dollars.
Use code TB seven.
Speaker 2: I am going to promote my friend Marco D'Angelo, who
is tearing up the w n B A. I believe
Ronald Kabeng is also very good in the w n
B A. I don't handicap it, but I follow what
they give out and they've been excellent. So if you
could play the w n B A, those are a
couple of guys. We've got a few guys that are
really good at it. Those are a couple of guys
that have been really good this season.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Marco has been like he he crushed last year too. Yeah,
Like I remember he had an insane w NBA season
last year too, so good for him. Yeah. So definitely,
if you're tuned into that league, you can beat it,
same way as if you're tuned into minor league baseball,
the way TV is in Japan and and and KBO.
So yeah, they don't don't sleep on those those smaller
leagues because there are edges all over the place. All right,
we've we've hit the hour over the hour mark here.
We've got a full week. We will be here all week.
So that's the other thing I wanted to point out.
We will be here on July fourth. We'll see you
every day this week, nine am Eastern. We are back
tomorrow morning, nine am, live right here on the Wager
Talk YouTube channel. Cash all your tickets tonight. We will
see you in the morning.