1
00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:06,320
I heard a statistic that if you
have an intra market reduction during the year

2
00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:13,080
of seven percent or less, you're
incumbent is going to later re election even

3
00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:18,960
as weak as this incumbent is if
there's an intro market entry year reduction of

4
00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:23,320
seventeen percent. So if we have
a drop of seventeen percent during the year,

5
00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:29,399
that would vote better for the trip
team. So God only knows what's

6
00:00:29,399 --> 00:00:35,399
going to happen, but the Defense
certainly probably will try to rescue things at

7
00:00:35,399 --> 00:00:42,039
the September or November meeting with a
rate although all those percentaduce have lesson with

8
00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:47,640
the job or Today you're listening to
Carrie Let's his Financial Survival Network where you

9
00:00:47,679 --> 00:00:53,560
get valuable information you just can't find
anywhere else to thrive in today's trying times.

10
00:00:53,759 --> 00:00:59,200
You need the Financial Survival Network now
more than ever. Go to Financial

11
00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:04,480
Survival Network dot com and get your
free newsletter and gift. Financial Survival Network

12
00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:14,560
now more than ever, and welcome
you are listening to and watching the Financial

13
00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:18,840
Survival Network. I'm your host,
Carrie Lutz. Hey, David Bright is

14
00:01:18,879 --> 00:01:25,280
with us. We've got a really
hot jobs number. You know I reached

15
00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:30,159
in the refrigerator David for a bottle
of champagne, and I realized I consumed

16
00:01:30,159 --> 00:01:36,480
that bottle of champagne for the last
jobs number. So now I'm stuck.

17
00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:40,719
I need to celebrate, but I've
got no beverages to do it with.

18
00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:46,599
Well, I think you should just
not worry about that, because I think

19
00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:51,239
the inflated jobs number is going to
be revite down word. Although when you

20
00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:56,120
look at you know what jobs are
being built. Obviously, what we're seeing

21
00:01:56,159 --> 00:02:00,280
here is a number that's been skewed, iire by a lot of jobs that

22
00:02:00,359 --> 00:02:07,319
our service oriented and leisure hospitality,
even as our fat government gets fatter,

23
00:02:07,719 --> 00:02:10,719
all that stuff is contributed to it. Two hundred and seventy two thousand jobs

24
00:02:12,199 --> 00:02:15,120
when the element was really an hundred
and eighty five thousand. But like you

25
00:02:15,159 --> 00:02:22,319
said, it'll be revised downward for
sure. But I think that poses some

26
00:02:22,439 --> 00:02:27,400
questions for the future of what's going
to happen with you know, interest rates

27
00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:30,800
and the beads. What are they
going to do with that Because at the

28
00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:36,840
same time we add all these jobs
and then have our revisions downward, the

29
00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:43,560
ointment rate rose about to four percent
four point one percent, So you've got

30
00:02:43,599 --> 00:02:47,080
that, you know, going a
little bit higher, So if that's one

31
00:02:47,159 --> 00:02:53,599
of lower rates at some point,
But some of the beneficials are saying,

32
00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:59,719
yeah, well maybe not not so
bast because if the markets are levitating on

33
00:03:00,199 --> 00:03:02,960
AI stocks, you know, what
do we do with that? Do we

34
00:03:04,199 --> 00:03:07,159
lower rates? And there will a
lot of there's more demand destruction, So

35
00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:12,479
lots of questions out there. I
think we all kind of have a feeling

36
00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:17,360
where things might be heading in the
future. Just using the horse US as

37
00:03:17,479 --> 00:03:22,719
a point of fact, it's election
season, Well doesn't the FED have to

38
00:03:22,759 --> 00:03:29,719
cut interest rates to help meat?
That's Alan Abelson, late great editor.

39
00:03:29,759 --> 00:03:34,000
I think he's I think he passed
on from Barons once said the FED is

40
00:03:34,039 --> 00:03:37,759
doing what it does best, which
is re electing a president. Yeah,

41
00:03:38,039 --> 00:03:40,520
Nicole, but true. Huh Yeah, I think so. I think I

42
00:03:40,639 --> 00:03:46,719
heard a statistic that if you have
an intra market reduction during the year of

43
00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:53,439
seven percent or less, you're incumbent
is gonna later re election, even as

44
00:03:53,479 --> 00:04:00,120
weak as this incumbent is. If
there's an intro market entry year reduction the

45
00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,479
seventeen percent. So if we have
a drop of seventeen percent during the year,

46
00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:10,560
that would vote better for the trop
team. So God only knows what's

47
00:04:10,599 --> 00:04:15,560
going to happen, but the Defense
certainly probably will try to rescue things at

48
00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:23,399
the September November meeting with a rate
although all those percentaduce have lesson with the

49
00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:29,639
job or today. Hey, remember
Will Rogers said, over one hundred years

50
00:04:29,639 --> 00:04:33,319
ago, invest in inflation. It's
the only thing going up. He was

51
00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:38,240
a wise guy, wasn't he.
Yeah, on many levels. So how

52
00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:41,839
do you invest in inflation since that's
the only thing that's going to go up?

53
00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:46,000
Here? David, Yeah, good
question. Buy all the gold you

54
00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,120
can and just hang on to it. I guess you know, done in

55
00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:55,959
gold? Right, Yeah, there
you go. Ammunition gun's got in gold.

56
00:04:56,000 --> 00:05:00,560
That's the gone gold. I love
it. And you can buy a

57
00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:03,319
little bitcoin while you're at it,
right, why not? You know,

58
00:05:03,439 --> 00:05:06,600
I throw that in. We're good. And I did a couple of versoys

59
00:05:06,639 --> 00:05:11,560
on gang Stop perhaps some game stop. Yeah, what's with the meme stops

60
00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:15,399
here? David? Like, I
thought we outgrew that. I thought so

61
00:05:15,519 --> 00:05:19,759
too. But obviously, uh,
if you're you're just an ordinary consumer,

62
00:05:19,959 --> 00:05:25,399
you can play those games with with
stock prices. I thought Joe Kennedy did

63
00:05:25,439 --> 00:05:29,199
that during the you know, during
the twenties. But I guess we're back

64
00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:32,000
to doing that same thing again.
And it's kind of crazy what's going on

65
00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:36,680
in that world. But there are
so many other things to worry about out

66
00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:42,360
there other than that. I just
it's a pleasant distraction. Yeah, it

67
00:05:42,439 --> 00:05:46,839
is. It's kind of funny to
see what's going on a little kiddy there,

68
00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:54,519
it is. You know. Like, on the one hand, uh,

69
00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:59,839
triggering short squeezes I think is a
good thing because when you've got those

70
00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:04,800
funds naked shorting stocks that are vulnerable
to be able to stick it to them,

71
00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:10,120
it's not too bad, you know. Yeah, that's right. I

72
00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:14,480
totally agree with that abuse of short
sellers should be taken to the woodshed and

73
00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:17,959
you know, and taught a lesson
or two. I mean, if we

74
00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:25,120
had an sec and governmental regulatory structure
that actually worked for the people, there

75
00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:29,839
wouldn't be any game stop situations because
you wouldn't be able to doom abusive short

76
00:06:29,959 --> 00:06:34,199
selling. And look, I think
some short selling is good. Provides liquidity.

77
00:06:34,519 --> 00:06:40,680
It also triggers rallies stock market rallies. But in the final analysis,

78
00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:46,240
Elon Musk said they started short selling
because they had to have the certificates and

79
00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:48,879
they knew the certificates would take eleven
days to get to them, so as

80
00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:57,120
an accommodation to protect the brokers in
the in the clients, they provided for

81
00:06:57,199 --> 00:07:02,000
short selling to allow the certificate to
catch up with the trade. But that's

82
00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:06,959
we've gotten wavy, way way way
beyond that, haven't we. Yeah,

83
00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:13,199
absolutely absolutely know. It's like you
had to wait for Wells Fargo to deliver

84
00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:17,560
your share statutics before you transfer it. So rather than having to wait two

85
00:07:17,639 --> 00:07:23,600
weeks to get the physical certificate,
you you could sell the stock and then

86
00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:27,839
when you have the certificate, you
close out your position and you're you're golden.

87
00:07:28,519 --> 00:07:31,319
But so, hey, what are
the sectors you should be looking at

88
00:07:31,399 --> 00:07:35,639
coming up? Do you think the
mining sector precious metals is going to pick

89
00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:39,680
up in the next year, Well, I it certainly can't. I mean

90
00:07:40,079 --> 00:07:45,720
you have to look at the I
think the the mining stocks, the energy

91
00:07:45,759 --> 00:07:48,879
stocks. So if it's a Trump
presidency, you obviously can look for those

92
00:07:49,319 --> 00:07:55,959
sorts of things. Financials of course, uh uh. Back at some deregulation,

93
00:07:56,759 --> 00:08:01,000
I think some of those stocks will
perform better. Obviously if buying gets

94
00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:03,639
in again. You've got to look
at the things that are you know,

95
00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:09,519
more green in nature. But I
definitely think that for most of my clients

96
00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:16,079
that are retired, we're sticking with
the things that generate dividends and interest and

97
00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:22,319
more of the value oriented things that
than anything else. All right, so

98
00:08:24,639 --> 00:08:30,959
you'll like dividends, right, Yeah, we find that it takes a lot

99
00:08:30,959 --> 00:08:35,519
of the staying out. I mean, our dividend oriented things are on pace

100
00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:41,440
this year obviously not through appreciation,
much appreciation, but just through dividends and

101
00:08:41,519 --> 00:08:48,799
interest to you know, have about
a six to seven percent income, which

102
00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:52,320
for most people, if they've done
a good job of accumulating their wealth,

103
00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:56,159
that's going to give them plenty of
cash flow to live off of from their

104
00:08:56,200 --> 00:09:01,000
portfolio if they do want growth place
and they can obviously, you know,

105
00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:05,919
invest in the and videos of the
world, a MB Microsoft, those types

106
00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:11,320
of things. But but for just
pure dividend place, uh, we use

107
00:09:11,399 --> 00:09:18,759
the universe of income strategies, uh, corporate bonds, preferred stocks, those

108
00:09:18,759 --> 00:09:24,360
sorts of things, uh, generating
a nice return obviously. Uh. You

109
00:09:24,399 --> 00:09:28,440
know, the whole concern that I
had moving forward is just what's going to

110
00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:35,000
happen to our our our economy.
Just the vitifurcation of the wealthy and the

111
00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:39,120
middle class is concerning to me when
you when you look at uh, you

112
00:09:39,159 --> 00:09:41,840
know, we've got all these illegals
coming over the border which are filling all

113
00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:46,279
these service jobs and zinc time,
and you've got all these you know,

114
00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:52,200
gen zers or millennials that uh got
through COVID. It got used to spending

115
00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:58,000
more money, having a nicer car. They had all these government subsidies and

116
00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:03,919
and you know COVID payments. They're
used to using their their government money.

117
00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:09,440
And now their credit cards are maxed
out, uh in one point one trillion

118
00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:15,360
in credit card debt and growing.
Uh when does all that end? I've

119
00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:20,799
heard of statistic that there's about another
three to four trillion dollars available on most

120
00:10:20,879 --> 00:10:26,240
Middle America's credit cards. But at
what point do the credit card company say,

121
00:10:26,279 --> 00:10:28,759
you know what, if you're a
little buying on your credit card,

122
00:10:28,759 --> 00:10:33,480
pays are well cutting back your credit
card credit limits. So when does that

123
00:10:33,519 --> 00:10:39,480
bowl issue of credit card debt start
to uh, you know, bite the

124
00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:45,919
middle American so that you know there
be in bankruptcy situations. So and that

125
00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:50,639
doesn't even measure the seven hundred billion
dollars that's out there and revolving debt,

126
00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:56,080
the phantom debt, the buy now
and they later types of debt that that

127
00:10:56,240 --> 00:11:01,200
are out there that's not even included
in that. So feed mole are are

128
00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:07,279
had gotten used to this cushy lifestyle, spending money buying their their Amazon toys

129
00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:11,799
every day. Uh and uh you
know when does that all got to come

130
00:11:11,919 --> 00:11:16,519
crashing down around us? Yeah?
Well, I'm on the buy now,

131
00:11:16,639 --> 00:11:22,320
pay never planol cool. So you
think that's a sound strategy and absolutely a

132
00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:26,159
solve strategy. You let them,
you know what, they'll never buy in

133
00:11:26,440 --> 00:11:28,799
Gary, They'll not I'm hoping.
I'm hoping if I'm in the age at

134
00:11:28,799 --> 00:11:33,799
someplace, what are they going to
do? Now? But right, I've

135
00:11:33,039 --> 00:11:37,159
never stuck anyone before in my life, and I'm not about to now.

136
00:11:37,279 --> 00:11:41,519
But it's damn tempting, isn't it. Yeah, damn damn dumpting. You

137
00:11:41,639 --> 00:11:46,559
got that right? Yeah? All
right, So look for dividends, look

138
00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:52,000
for yield, no bonds. Right, Well, we're buying bond, we're

139
00:11:52,039 --> 00:11:58,200
buying bond, but obviously there's not
a lot of comfort buying our debt right

140
00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:05,080
now. But the people that we
have in bonds right now, the durations

141
00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:09,799
that we have intermediate durations. Certainly
in shorter durations are doing pretty well.

142
00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:16,879
But things that that can generate the
income that's reliable and predictable, that's kind

143
00:12:16,879 --> 00:12:20,759
of my world. That's what we
say. Okay, I like it all

144
00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:24,240
right, David, appreciate you coming
on. It's how thank you, Harry,

145
00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:28,799
not what summer is coming? Hey, just tell us again where we

146
00:12:28,879 --> 00:12:31,360
find you, how we connect with
you on the web, well other you

147
00:12:31,399 --> 00:12:35,480
can go to two place, the
right financial Group that's right with a W

148
00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:43,279
Financialgroup dot com or my book Bonfire
of the Sanities b O N F I

149
00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:48,759
R E of Thesanities dot dot com. Need a place. We always appreciate

150
00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:54,639
your you're boxed and David and your
words and the link will be in the

151
00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:58,600
show notes for this interview on Financial
Survival Network dot com. And while you're

152
00:12:58,639 --> 00:13:03,600
there, please sign up for your
free newsletter David always a pleasure. Thanks

153
00:13:03,639 --> 00:13:07,799
for coming on. Take here,
Barry, thanks for listening to Carrie Letz's

154
00:13:07,919 --> 00:13:13,519
Financial Survival Network, your solution to
today's trying times. For the latest,

155
00:13:13,639 --> 00:13:20,240
go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com.
Financial Survival Network now more than ever
