Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do podcast. I am your host,
Corey Evans. Thank you for listening to this week's show. I'm talking about
polarizing twenty twenty four rookies for this week's episode. Five of them, to
be exact, We're either really high or low on them as an industry in
Dynasty based on early rookie adp from mock drafts or actual bestball data. So
I want to dive deep on that before we hit the NFL combine, which
is by the time you're listening this week already Thursday, February twenty ninth,
running into the early stages of March. Before we know it's NFL Draft will
be here in late April. It's such an exciting time of the year.
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old fashioned email Dinasay do Pod at gmail dot com. So here's five polarizing
twenty twenty four rookies where I'm at on them, the pros, the cons,
and then with each of them, I'm going to offer a ceiling comparison
in the NFL as well as a four comparison to at least lay the land
of their possible range of value. Outcomes Up first is ad and I or
ad Mitchell, Wide Receiver out of Texas. He will turn twenty two years
old in October. A junior. He's sixty four one to ninety six.
That's a large catch radius and offers length to extend arms of the catch points,
which you see routinely on his game film twenty twenty one with Georgia,
who's a transfer twenty nine four to twenty six and four twenty twenty two with
Georgia nine one, thirty four and three, so lackluster production for what's now
deemed a first or second round potential draft pick in real life. But twenty
twenty three with Texas is where Ady Mitchell put his name on the map fifty
five eight, forty five eleven. The production is one of his red flags
or downsides of the resume because Georgia from twenty twenty one to twenty twenty two
was not all that impressive, but he emerged with Texas' past season eighties.
Average yards per catch each season are fourteen point seven, fourteen point nine,
and fifteen point four. He's a silky, smooth rout runner with impressive ball
skills. There's shades of Seedee Lamb in and out of his releases as a
rout runner, especially left line of scrimmage. He creates leverage out of breaks
for easy separation. He does need to bulk up to fight off press coverage,
become more physical instead of relying on his quick feet. That worked in
the college landscape, but it might not work at the pro level with bigger,
faster, stronger corners and safeties, even linebackers. At times Adami Mitchell
is a possession plus a downfield weapon. He's consistent, there's reliable hands,
contributes into short, intermediates and deep levels of the field. He needs to
work on refining the route running, I think the most that is where he's
a work in progress or could improve, which couple with the lack of college
production, makes him a polarizing rookie or prospect. The ceiling comparison, I'll
stick with the aforementioned CD Lamb. I don't think Adie Mitchell ever be that
valuable in redraft or dynasty leagues, but the route running, in the way
he does release at the top of routes, even the playing style, the
mannerisms on the field remind me of CD Lamb, not purely skill sets,
but the actual mechanics on the field and the For comparison, I have two
names, George Pickens or even our Tabis Bryant remember him out of Pittsburgh Pickens
as well with the Steelers. Pickens probably more realistic for comparison, and even
Picks himself we know is very talented out of Georgia, considering he had that
acl tair late in his career and what he is now arguably wide out one
for Pittsburgh's franchise, despite some consistencies at quarterback, I think ad Ni Mitchell
or eighty Mitchell offers a similar career path in the NFL. I am personally
a fan of him, and I will be higher than consensus or adp indicates.
I understand the polarizing viewpoints, however, due to some of his flaws
that I discussed in that breakdown. Johnny Wilson wide receiver for the States.
He'll be twenty three in April. Another junior six seven, two thirty seven.
You heard me right, six foot seven, two hundred and thirty seven
pounds. That's a size and build up a tight end with a huge catch
window for quarterbacks to targets. Jordan Travis at Florida State utilized Wilson in that
capacity. Now will Johnny Wilson be used as a wide receiver or a mismatch
big slot tight end in the NFL? That is the million dollar question.
He reminds me of other oversized wideouts like Helvin Benjamin or even Chase Claypool,
both of which sure showed some glimpses of promise at the professional level before falling
off in value or consistency, and that is the primary red flag and Johnny
Wilson's profile. Let's look at his college production. Spent two years Arizona States
and then two years with Florida States. Twenty twenty with ASU with six grabs
eighty nine yards twenty twenty one with ASU is twelve one, thirty four and
one, so very minimal production. The past two years have been solid,
not spectacular for Wilson with Florida State twenty twenty two forty three, eight ninety
seven to five and then twenty twenty three forty one, six, seventeen and
two. You'd think with that massive of a body frame, height and weight
that he'd be a touchdown machine. Instead, he's done more with counting stats
than find the end zone. His average yards per catch each year are fourteen
point eight, twelve point eight, twenty point nine, and fifteen point zero.
So yes, the big playability exists. We haven't seen enough to fully
have confidence in Johnny Wilson as a legitimate, full proof wide receiver prospect.
He did a lot of his damage over the middle of the field, at
least what I've seen on film with Florida State in particular, he has slow
feet looks sluggish or clumsy, and that limits his yards. You have to
catch upside the separation, A lack thereof actually seems to be his glaring weakness.
That's why I think a transition to tight end might make the most sense
for an NFL team looking to polish his rock traits. Because Johnny Wilson could
be an exceptional talent. We see enough of the intangibles and natural ball skills
from the panouts. He's also an adept and willing runblocker, which is huge
for NFL scouts and coaches. It's fair debate if Johnny Wilson himself or his
peer Keyon Coleman, will become the better pro receiver out of Florida States.
I much prefer key On Coleman's raw upside as a potential X factor game changer
in both fantasy and real life, whereas I think Johnny Wilson is going to
be pegged to more of a situational or sub package role in the NFL.
Think third and short or in the red zone because of that size. See
the comparison. Think Jordan Reed or Darren Waller as borderline wide receivers with tight
end body frames don't forget Darren Waller was once a wide receiver and then became
one of the better NFL tight ends for a few seasons. Even Devin Functions
remember him out of Michigan and in Landwick, Carolina. I think that's a
fair comparison for a best case scenario on the behalf of Johnny Wilson's career outlook,
and then a four comparison could be who I discussed as showing some similarities
on film, like Kelvin Benjamin or Chase clay Pool, where there was promise
displayed early on and then they fizzled out. So that's why Johnny Wilson is
so polarizing or uncertain to evaluate. I'll be fascinated to see how he fares
at the combine, let alone his actual draft stock and NFL circles. If
he's a Day two pick, then suddenly we might have to reevaluate the pennant
on landing spots. The issue here is that Johnny Wilson is not a complete
product. There's a lot of development overfining has to be done wherever he ends
up landing. Zevie l get wide receiver out of South Carolina. He turned
twenty three in January. He was a senior, five year senior at that
six three two twenty seven career receiving logs of nine for eighty and one touchdown,
seven for about thirteen eight sixty three and one eighteen one city, seven
and three. All four of those years are barely even on the radar being
relevant. But Ben this past year twenty twenty three seventy one one thousand,
two hundred fifty five yards and then seven touchdowns, that makes him a late
breakout age prospect to begin with, kind of like Ray Davis at running back
of Kentucky for the sake comparing Apples to Orange's wide receiver running back in this
year's crop. There's always concern with late breakout rookies for the sake of the
pro to college level, because why didn't you excel when you were younger?
In those early years of South Carolina, Lagett dominated as a twenty two year
old senior where he's playing against undersized or developed nineteen twenty twenty one year old,
so that's always something to keep in mind. Now, purely based on
Zabrie, Laget's talent, he reminds me of al Shon Jeffrey meets Colton Sudden
as a traditional X receiver who's aggressive at the catch points. I love that
mentality. It's my football, go out and get it. He thrives and
compiling the yards after the catch at certain times you see some aj Brown as
traits. He quickly became a favorite target for South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler,
fifty to fifty ball specialist thanks to the top tier body control, great field
vision concentration, and he's shifty for that sixty three to two twenty seven frame
before and after the catch. He brings a competitive nature and physical approach to
the wide receiver position, with a willingness to block, which whenever I see
the blocking on tape, that's another added bonus or check mark on a prospects
evaluation profile because NFL coaches love wide receivers can run block and then the route
running and beating press coverage are the flaws on Laguette's college tape. So that's
where we're at. Polarizing For sure ceiling comparison, I'll go back to the
alshon Jeffrey corton Sudden Mold. I think a for comparison would be trailing Burks,
who they both offer similar Deebo, Samuel or aj Brown rushing receiving physical
tools. However, it's one thing earning those comparisons from college tape pre draft
and then becoming something proving it at the NFL level. A la trailing Burks,
who as a rookie in software has been a major's appointment. I wouldn't
say bust quite yet, because Tennessee's fantasy environment a quarterback hasn't necessarily bode all
that well for any names outside of Derek Henry and DeAndre Hopkins. The past
two years, however, Burkes has strug with their ability, so disabel Gett
has a wide range of outcomes. I like the player. The flaws,
once again are route running. He's not as crisp as others in his class
press coverage because of a lack of at time strength consistency. And then it
took you four years to compile a seventy one twelfifty five to seven log where
you previously had catch totals of nine, seven, eight, and eighteen.
That is a glaring production outlier, and accordingly, disabel Gett is all over
the map in mock draft data, both real life mock draft circles and US
and rookie edp Time for a quick break, and I'll discuss two more polarizing
twenty twenty four NFL rookies before I get to that. It's those exciting time
of the year for me on Patreon. I think you'll think the same as
a fan of my work, where the preview episodes are almost done, Wide
Receiver and tight End coming next two weeks. But then my pre draft rankings
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Five bucks per month at the minimum. Can't beat it. Be right
back after a short intermission. Will Shipley running back out of Clemson, Who's
twenty two in August a junior five eleven two ten good build. Three years
of production out of Clemson twenty twenty one one forty nine seven thirty nine eleven
on the ground, sixteen grabs a buck, sixteen through the air, twenty
twenty two, two ten eleven, eighty two to fifteen. It was a
breakout season, thirty eight two forty two as a receiver twenty twenty three.
Some regrets once He's seven eight twenty seven to five on the ground and thirty
one two forty four to two out of the backfield as a pass cutcher.
Shipley's annual Robert Kerry averages checking at five point zero, five point six,
and five point zero. That is incredibly efficient. Will's predraft grades are all
over the map, even within a dynasty community. His value is so divisive.
I've seen some websites have Shipley ranked as the RB one in this crop,
while others have him outside of the top five of the position. Hence
him fitting perfectly into this polarizing label or buckets. I think, based on
what I've seen on a little Shipley over the past three seasons, he's one
of the better all purpose rookie running backs in twenty twenty four, especially intrigued
by his receiving capabilities. He's explosive as a rusher with patients, quick feets
and lateral agility, displays terrific burst and athletic hurdles cutbacks on film consistently elusive,
perhaps is the best adjective to describe Shipley with the ball in his hands.
A ceiling comparison, I see Austin Eckler, even a faster version for
comparison, remember Rex Burkehead his good days in New England. That's the area
s C. Shipley falling in. From a fantasy lens peak value Austin Eckler
usage basement or lower level outlook would be sporadic yet usable volume or efficiency like
a Rex Burkhead. Will Shipley should be a second, third or fourth round
pick in the NFL draft this year, and if he lands in the right
situation or system under an offensive mind to coach, with touches available for distribution
in said backfield, then I think we're going to see him creep into the
late first round, if not locked in the second round of rookie drafts,
super flex keep in the second, but a one quarterback league, I could
easily see will Shipley entering that late first conversation, depending on scheme fit,
of course. And then, last, but not least, perhaps most polarizing
is romadonsa wide receiver O of Washington. From what I've seen, you're either
in on him or you are out out. I am personally in twenty two
in June a junior six three two fifteen. That's a long frame and it
creates a large catch radius, and he moves so fluidly for a larger stature.
There's four years of production twenty two, twenty six, seventy two,
twenty twenty one, forty one, four, fifteen and four, twenty twenty
two, seventy five, eleven, forty five and seven, twenty twenty three,
ninety two, sixteen, forty and thirteen. You see the year over
year progression, improvement, enhancement, and production, and that is what speaks
to usually a wide receiver one caliber talent. Odonzay's average ark per catch each
year stand at twelve point zero, ten point one, fifteen point three,
and seventeen point eight, showing both possession and lidlifting skills. He tracks the
ball well downfield with one of his best traits adjusting to throws with top tier
and I mean top tier body control to position himself for success at the end
of routes. His adjustments with the ball in the air with small catching windows
are exceptional. The ball skills also opt the charts. He plays a level
of confidence in his hands that allow him to set up angles to accumulate yards
after the catch. Think about a receiver having excellent vision and knowing what's behind
him layer wise and defensive coverage. That's Romo Dunzay to a t. He
knows where he's at, where he's supposed to be. It can make big
plays out of seemingly nowhere to go because of his IQ and confidence that his
hands will allow him to extend a catch point and then his natural athleticism can
take over from there after. The versatility lineup inside or outside also helps Glo
for hands has the build and tools to become an instant Whys you were won
in the NFL. Daniel Jeremiah, one of the best scouts in the business
is a huge fan of Roma. Dunday's comparing him to Larry Fitzgerald, which
talk about a comparison, right, that'd be a dream outcome romadonsday. He
runs a near complete route tree. He's acrobatic and flexible, and that speaks
once again to the body control on underneath or salbine routes where he is going
to find a way to haul on the ball with his hands, with the
footwork very fundily sound following soon after. Rome is particularly dangerous after the catch
with the ball in his hands. That's where the natural playmaking ability takes over
even his strength. It's so notable and identifiable on film that he is simply
stronger than opposing DB's and I hope that makes also the same impression when he's
a professional. A lot of down the enthusiasts I think are out on romandunsday
because they have a sour taste or association in their mouth, have to being
burned by prospect. Dante pettis another prospect wide receiver wise out of Washington,
cheke a round pick at twenty eighteen. It's worth noting that pettis never accrued
collegiate production near the level of Donsay, So associating you're linking the two because
of college program is simply an error and process. There are a ton of
hits misses from all college programs at all positions, each being their own unique
player. Assess one for one, not group bad prospects from this college because
the program didn't adapt to NFL level. Each is its own case. O'doonsay
emerged the past two campaigns in Washington system due to the presence of quarterback Michael
Pennick junior and offensive cornea Ryan Grubb. Odoons's production in twenty twenty two and
twenty twenty three. He's gonna make him a borderline top five ten to fifteen
pick in this year's NFL draft. Now, there's two areas that you could
sort of deflect against him as a weakness run blocking and then he trusts his
hands almost too much instead of running at full speed routes, and that's not
always going to work if you have press or man coverage against NFL defenses.
Seeing the comparison, it's lofty, it's more stylistic than I think talent based,
but Jamark Chase, they're early similar when it comes to mechanics and movement
post catch. There's times I'm watching film of Roma Donze in school and I
think to myself, as this is Mark Chase. It's so crazy how they
move with the ball in their hands. If you watch film romandunzey you know
what I'm talking about. Then a for comparison, even though I think it's
this far less likely, I do see some Quentin Johnston when Roma Donze comes
back to the football. Because of the tall, lanky frame, I think
Rome is a much more polished and complete wide out prospect. But QJ did
have a lot of hype and draft capital working in his favor as a first
round pick out of TCU that it wouldn't surprise me at the lower end of
outcomes if Roman Donze was in that downfall of first year. Not to say
that QJ is a full out bust, however, Johnston stock it's a whole
lot different now in twenty twenty four than it did a year ago. In
twenty twenty three. I hope for to say of Romadonza that the skill set
is transferable from Washington to whatever NFL team selects him. And I think that
while he might not ever reach the heights in value or contribution level of Jamark
Chase. He's far more equipped to deliver at that sort of threshold than a
Quentin Johnston will do it. Hope you'll enjoyed my polarizing twenty twenty four Rookies
episode. They were once again Ada and I or ad Mitchell wide receiver out
of Texas, Johnny Wilson wide receiver out of Florida State, Exavier Laget wide
receiver, South Carolina, Will Shipley running back out of Clemson, and Romadonzay
wide receiver out of Washington. Do you agree? Disagree? Would you throw
other prospects in this polarizing conversation? Comment on my social media posts. You
can follow me as I mentioned on Twitter, slash x, Instagram, That's
Dynasty Dupod, Facebook, The Dynasty Dude. I love interacting with all you
on social media, so continue to comment so we can create more conversation about
my episode topics and content. Thank you all again for listening. Don't forget
to take advantage of that expiring twenty percent off roster call promotion if you want
to get on my calendar. Cannot wait for the NFL combine this week.
I'll be back next week. With a breakdown of winners, losers, or
my takeaways from this year's NFL Combine. Until next time, this is the
dynasty you can out. I will talk to you all soon. See you