1
00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:09,480
What is krak alacking Hardwood Knox listeners. I am Damp Valley coming at you

2
00:00:09,519 --> 00:00:15,080
without my fantabulous co host Adam Problemo
this time, have a solo mail bag

3
00:00:15,119 --> 00:00:18,719
for you on this Friday, mostly
because we're not supposed to have a podcast

4
00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,760
at all this week. I am, as we mentioned on the Hardwood Knox

5
00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:26,679
account at Hardwooknox will follow us.
I am in health and safety protocols.

6
00:00:27,079 --> 00:00:33,119
I tested positive for COVID on Wednesday
morning after a very very very rough tuesday.

7
00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:37,000
I'm doing well for anyone who cares, and there were people who shouted

8
00:00:37,039 --> 00:00:40,280
me out so or wished me well, so I appreciate that. I cannot

9
00:00:40,280 --> 00:00:44,399
sleep though on this It's very early
Friday morning now, like five something.

10
00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:48,439
Couldn't fall asleep, so figured why
not get to the mail bag that we

11
00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:52,679
sent out sent out the solicitation for
earlier in the week. I'm kind of

12
00:00:52,679 --> 00:00:55,280
anchy, very fatigued. You're gonna
try and get through as many questions as

13
00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:58,079
possible, so let's not waste any
more time on that. I just felt

14
00:00:58,119 --> 00:01:02,039
weird not having a podcast for an
entire, like full on work week.

15
00:01:02,079 --> 00:01:03,840
I don't think that's ever happened over
the past half decade or anything, and

16
00:01:03,879 --> 00:01:10,599
it will not happen under our watch
to start twenty twenty two apparently before we

17
00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:12,719
get started, though, just reminder
to please rate, review, and subscribe

18
00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:17,439
to us wherever you get your podcasts. Spotify has a rating system now,

19
00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:19,200
whether you use iTunes or not.
As long as you have access to it,

20
00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,359
we have to you go there.
Throw us a five stor rating,

21
00:01:22,359 --> 00:01:23,879
writer or review. Those help us
out a ton. Even if you have

22
00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:29,040
advice, suggestions, criticism. Someone
asks us to shorten our intros, we

23
00:01:29,079 --> 00:01:32,560
are going to focus on that moving
forward this podcast maybe notwithstanding, although I'll

24
00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:36,439
try and keep it sub two point
five minutes. That helps us out a

25
00:01:36,439 --> 00:01:40,000
ton, though. Retweet our promos. Tell your friends, family members,

26
00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:44,000
random people that you work with,
or on social media. Anyone who you

27
00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:48,319
know enjoys basketball. Tell them you
know of a sub mediocre NBA podcast that

28
00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:52,079
tries to have some fun while being
semi serious but not really serious at all,

29
00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:56,359
because basketball and hoops in general at
large or just awesome and fun and

30
00:01:56,519 --> 00:01:59,799
entertaining and don't always need to be
taken seriously, although sometimes they do.

31
00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:02,040
Anyway, I digress. Remember to
follow us on Twitters. I mentioned at

32
00:02:02,079 --> 00:02:06,200
Hardware Knox follow our YouTube channel,
we have like eight hundred subscribers. Now

33
00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:07,759
we'd like to get that to a
thousands. So YouTube dot com or Hardwin

34
00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:12,919
Knox we will come up. We
were on Instagram at Hardwood Underscore Knox.

35
00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:15,039
With all that out of the way, let's dive head first into this now

36
00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:21,599
bag. We'll begin with the NBA
Chicken frequent question asker. They ask how

37
00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:25,120
much longer until Portland makes a decision
regarding blowing it up or making a major

38
00:02:25,159 --> 00:02:30,759
move this trade deadline next season?
Outside of CJ for Ben Simmons, I'm

39
00:02:30,759 --> 00:02:34,479
not sure what other move makes sense. I would say we've been here before,

40
00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,199
but they've they're nearly at the bottom
of the West now, Yeah,

41
00:02:37,199 --> 00:02:42,120
they're in this weird situation. I
think with Portland specifically, Neil Shay before

42
00:02:42,159 --> 00:02:46,000
he was fired, deserved a ton
of criticism, even though they experienced some

43
00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:51,199
success under his tenure on the basketball
court specifically, anyway, I think I

44
00:02:51,319 --> 00:02:54,319
liked a lot of his moves that
he made on their own. Norm Powell

45
00:02:54,479 --> 00:02:58,439
for Gary French Jr. I feel
like that ended up being a win win

46
00:02:58,479 --> 00:03:00,639
for both teams. To be honest
with you. I liked Lardy dances,

47
00:03:00,719 --> 00:03:04,280
junior trade, I liked Robert Covington
trade at the time, but they never

48
00:03:04,319 --> 00:03:07,800
really went for it. It was
always sort of these not moves on the

49
00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:12,439
margins, but these like half significant
moves where if there were stars that came

50
00:03:12,439 --> 00:03:15,159
out of the market, you never
saw them go all in, maybe because

51
00:03:15,159 --> 00:03:17,120
they were too market aware of selfware, knowing that they weren't going to keep

52
00:03:17,159 --> 00:03:20,840
these guys if it was a Kawhi
Leonard, if it was a Paul George,

53
00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:23,479
if it was if it was a
Jimmy Butler, but knowing how good

54
00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:28,199
Dame has been for quite some time, they really did fail to kind of

55
00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:30,919
make that all and move whatever it
was, And a lot of people point

56
00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:32,199
to a wing, but it might
have been a different type of big other

57
00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:37,039
than use of nurkics. At some
point, it became pretty clear early on

58
00:03:37,159 --> 00:03:39,479
that you were going to be capped
without the infusion of another player. When

59
00:03:39,479 --> 00:03:45,120
looking at a CJ. McCollum or
Damien and Damian Lillard backcourt, I'm not

60
00:03:45,759 --> 00:03:47,199
I'm not even sure that you needed
to break it up, but it's probably

61
00:03:47,199 --> 00:03:52,919
something that needed to be explored more
seriously before now this season specifically, I

62
00:03:52,919 --> 00:03:58,319
would be mildly to moderately shocked if
they move a CJ. McCollum. They're

63
00:03:58,319 --> 00:04:00,840
not moving Dame. Let's just let's
get beyond if they move a Norman Powell

64
00:04:00,919 --> 00:04:04,759
or CJ. McCollum. Part of
that is I don't know how much influence

65
00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:08,960
or authority Joe Cronin has an interm
GM, even though he's been with the

66
00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:11,759
organization for a while, will probably
be in the running, we assume,

67
00:04:11,879 --> 00:04:15,399
for that top job this offseason.
I'm just not sure if they're going to

68
00:04:15,439 --> 00:04:20,720
give him the license to make such
a wholesale decision when you are so far

69
00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:27,319
out of the Western Conference contention picture
right now. Chauncey Phillips has talked about

70
00:04:27,319 --> 00:04:30,279
maybe shutting Dame down for an extensive
period of time so we can heal up

71
00:04:30,319 --> 00:04:34,920
from that abdominal injury that has apparently
bothered him for years at this point.

72
00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:38,639
If you're going that route, I
think what you're probably going to see them

73
00:04:38,639 --> 00:04:41,920
do is hold serve and maybe look
at shopping. There soon to be free

74
00:04:41,959 --> 00:04:45,079
agents. I'd be a little bit
surprised if Anthony Simons was among them.

75
00:04:45,079 --> 00:04:46,399
He's having a great year, and
I don't know that they need to fear

76
00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,920
his restricted free agency. Necessarily they
have the leverage to match, and I

77
00:04:50,439 --> 00:04:54,519
just I look at the cap space
landscape and the teams that are slated to

78
00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:57,079
have the most I don't know that
any of them are going to go give

79
00:04:57,120 --> 00:05:00,319
Simons this huge offer. If you
don't want to pay him, there probably

80
00:05:00,319 --> 00:05:02,399
signed in trade scenarios that will be
open to you, and it'll be easier

81
00:05:02,439 --> 00:05:08,720
to capitalize on his departure when he's
a larger outgoing salary. That leaves Nurkics

82
00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:14,480
and Robert Covington to me as the
most likely players to be moved. I

83
00:05:14,519 --> 00:05:16,319
don't know what you can get for
Nurkics. The big man market is so

84
00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:19,439
saturated. Even though there are some
teams like A you know everyone's gonna mention

85
00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:23,959
Charlotte that could use a center.
I don't know that he necessarily He definitely

86
00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:27,199
doesn't fit in Charlotte. To me, is just someone who isn't necessarily going

87
00:05:27,199 --> 00:05:29,560
to run the floor with them,
And I don't know that he improves their

88
00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:31,639
defense at all, even if they
are playing drop coverage. But he is.

89
00:05:31,879 --> 00:05:33,720
He is a good player, can
make a lot of passes in the

90
00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:36,439
short role from a stand still.
He's improved his finishing around the rim.

91
00:05:36,439 --> 00:05:40,279
He has those little flip shots,
and again, I think he can work

92
00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:43,480
better than a lot of other bigs
if you're gonna put him into drop the

93
00:05:43,639 --> 00:05:46,360
Portland has just tried to be a
lot more aggressive in the pick and roll

94
00:05:46,439 --> 00:05:48,279
this year, which has kind of
hurt him. Roco. We've seen his

95
00:05:48,319 --> 00:05:54,480
shooting really regress this season. Maybe
he picks it up on a better team.

96
00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,639
He's played a little bit better since
he was demoted from the starting five.

97
00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:00,120
I still think he can bring you
some solid team defense, and he

98
00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:04,600
fits the three indeed concept, which
teams are naturally going to want a trade

99
00:06:04,639 --> 00:06:08,720
that I had proposed, or that
I just file the bats, but we're

100
00:06:08,800 --> 00:06:11,959
talking about it before it's even live. But you know, peak behind the

101
00:06:11,959 --> 00:06:15,560
curtain there, and I wrote it
while having COVID's Maybe this is a COVID

102
00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,079
brain here. But if it's basically
a Robert Covington for Nerland's Noel swap,

103
00:06:18,319 --> 00:06:23,279
maybe New York has a send and
protected second top forty four protected second to

104
00:06:23,319 --> 00:06:26,120
Portland to get that done. What
that move does is it gets Portland out

105
00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:29,120
of the tax for this year,
and then it sort of gives them this

106
00:06:29,519 --> 00:06:31,600
cheap big who they can use in
more aggressive pick and roll schemes, at

107
00:06:31,639 --> 00:06:35,800
least relative to nurkicch and Nerlands.
Nowell is a pretty good rim protector.

108
00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:40,319
Will give you at least more of
a rim running threat than I guess Nurkics

109
00:06:40,439 --> 00:06:42,680
is, but not really Nurks is
going to do more stuff in that situation.

110
00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:45,480
He's clearly more limited an offense,
is the point. But he's under

111
00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:48,319
contract for nine point two nine point
three million next season. That's some insurance

112
00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:51,639
against Nurkics leaving if you don't want
to pay him big money. It's just

113
00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:55,920
cheap enough to where, okay,
we have this rotation big if he's a

114
00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:58,759
backup, we're not paying him that
much money to the point that we mind

115
00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:00,639
having him be a second stringer.
Maybe he's even starting for you, But

116
00:07:00,639 --> 00:07:04,360
that's someone who gives you twenty to
twenty five minutes per game. And again,

117
00:07:04,399 --> 00:07:08,160
I think Portland, knowing this season
is about to be punted on.

118
00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:10,800
It seems like you want to get
out of the tax, and a team

119
00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:15,399
like the Knicks really just needs more
two way wingish players because there's RJ.

120
00:07:15,519 --> 00:07:19,199
Barrett for them, and that's really
it unless you consider Quentin Grymes a huge

121
00:07:19,199 --> 00:07:24,560
part of their immediate outlook this season. Covington could come in, come off

122
00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:27,199
the bench, probably get some real
minutes for them. I don't think he

123
00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:29,759
fixes their defense, but I think
he opens up different lineup combinations. If

124
00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:31,920
Neurlyn Soell is not there, you
have Mitchell Robinson, you have todaj Gibson,

125
00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:34,279
maybe the Nicks and more Wi Way
to play Julius Randolds center with real

126
00:07:34,319 --> 00:07:38,439
Coo at the four. Maybe they're
just more willing to explore the Obi top

127
00:07:38,439 --> 00:07:42,199
and Julius Randall front courts there.
But that type of a move, Larry

128
00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:45,319
Nitch Jr's someone I thought about.
I think a team like Charlotte, maybe

129
00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:47,439
they would come in with an offer
of Kelly Bridge Jr. Kai Jones and

130
00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:51,480
a second for Larry Nance Jr.
I would give up that much for Larry

131
00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:55,319
Nance fom the Horne. It's just
to be clear, I think Ubrey is

132
00:07:55,319 --> 00:07:58,199
not going to factor into their long
term future. If they want to keep

133
00:07:58,199 --> 00:08:01,639
Miles Bridges, PJ. Washington and
Gordon hay Word together, they're already paying

134
00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:05,720
Terry Rozier would raise on this sort
of placeholder deal has only part of his

135
00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:09,199
salary next season guaranteed. He's had
a pretty good year shooting his cool,

136
00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:13,800
but he gives you some just defensive
options up the positional spectrum that you know

137
00:08:13,839 --> 00:08:18,240
Portland could use. And looking at
Rocco probably leaving this summer, having the

138
00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:20,759
ability to keep Kelly brid Junior for
I think it's twelve point six million would

139
00:08:20,759 --> 00:08:24,160
be his full guaranteed salary next year. That's something that could interest them.

140
00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:28,839
But I don't know why you move
Nance because he is also insurance against Nurkics

141
00:08:28,920 --> 00:08:31,879
leaving, just to have that real
big on the roster if you don't want

142
00:08:31,959 --> 00:08:33,120
him playing the five all the time. But I would love to see Nance

143
00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:37,080
in Charlotte. So if you're really
going to lean into sort of seller's mode,

144
00:08:37,399 --> 00:08:43,080
you know, moving Larry Nance Junior
is definitely a smaller scale undertaking compared

145
00:08:43,120 --> 00:08:46,720
to a CJ. Mccollumn or Norman
Powell or Damian Lillard, just one relative

146
00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:50,600
to what Dame means to the franchise, But just looking at the magnitude of

147
00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:54,759
the contracts of a Norman Powell,
CJ. McCullum and Dame deal. The

148
00:08:54,799 --> 00:08:56,759
other thing I'll say about the Blazers, and I just it would probably take

149
00:08:58,519 --> 00:09:01,399
in about face on Philly's art.
They seem to want someone who qualifies as

150
00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:05,639
at least a fringe. All staring
to Ben Simmons trade, I still think

151
00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:09,480
if you build out a package around
Larry Nance, Norman Powell picks and swaps

152
00:09:09,519 --> 00:09:13,159
for Ben Simmons, if I'm feeling
I'm thinking about that, because that's still

153
00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:18,159
ingredients for another trade down the line, and then Norman Powell helps you out

154
00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:20,799
a ton immediately. And I know
that you've had some success with Andre Drummond

155
00:09:20,799 --> 00:09:24,559
this season, with George Yangett points, but Lader next year you would be

156
00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:28,200
a hell of sort of a big
death coming off the bench. You could

157
00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:31,759
try playing him with Joel Embiid.
Even though I wouldn't necessarily suggest it in

158
00:09:33,159 --> 00:09:37,240
high volume, I would just given
where Ben Simmons's value seems to be.

159
00:09:37,399 --> 00:09:41,279
Unless there's just a trade that we
don't know about out there, Powell Nance

160
00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:45,159
plus picks and swaps, I think
that could, you know, I don't

161
00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:46,519
think it does. It definitely helps
the Sixers, but I think that's a

162
00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:52,519
longer term haul that you can justify
if they're them where it's Hey, maybe

163
00:09:52,519 --> 00:09:56,200
we keep these players and they help
him beat immediately, but also between Powell

164
00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:58,679
and Nance and then again picks and
swaps, you should be able to go

165
00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:03,159
out build a different package, should
have Star become available, because we don't

166
00:10:03,159 --> 00:10:07,639
even know how interested Portland will be
in Zimmons if Dame ever becomes available,

167
00:10:07,759 --> 00:10:11,080
if it's this offseason, did over
Washington and Bill where that would probably be

168
00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:13,879
assigned in trade scenario this summer unless
he's opt again. How much do they

169
00:10:13,879 --> 00:10:18,480
actually want to start rebuilding around Ben
Simmons if they're moving Bradley Beal Just something

170
00:10:18,519 --> 00:10:22,200
to consider there. I do expect
Portland to do something at the trade deadline

171
00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:24,759
because if everyone to shut down Dame, this season is over, and I

172
00:10:24,759 --> 00:10:28,519
would think Roco and Nurkish will be
heavily involved in trade rumors and I would

173
00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:33,000
bet money on one of them probably
being moved. And I don't think a

174
00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:35,519
Nance trade is out of the question. I just don't know that you really

175
00:10:35,559 --> 00:10:39,480
need to make that call if you're
not doing anything with the rest of your

176
00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:46,120
roster outside of Roco and Nurkish.
There, let's go to Johnny. He

177
00:10:46,159 --> 00:10:50,919
asked, who has statistically been the
best second round pick this season. It's

178
00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:52,360
if you want to go by total
points at it, which is NBA Mats

179
00:10:52,399 --> 00:10:58,519
homestat. There's Joe Weezcamp of the
San Antonio Spurs. Let's sort of filter

180
00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:01,320
the minutes out there and say these
I need to have at least played like

181
00:11:01,399 --> 00:11:03,519
forty minutes this season, fifty minutes
whatever. In that case, it'll be

182
00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:07,679
Charles Bassy in Philadelphia. I do
think the best second round pick this year

183
00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:11,919
has been Herb Jones. I believe
he leads all second round picks and value

184
00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:16,240
over replacement player. The job he's
done on defense in New Orleans is just

185
00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:22,320
outstanding, and he's shouldering a heavy
role. This data comes per b Ball

186
00:11:22,399 --> 00:11:26,279
Index, but among the five hundred
and seventy six players that have locked court

187
00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:31,159
time and made it to their database, Herbert Jones, Herb Jones is eighth

188
00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:37,799
in matchup difficulty. That is for
a rookie, that's absurd. So that's

189
00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:41,200
a great fine for New Orleans right
there. If he's going to shoot threes

190
00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:46,200
at a league average clip, or
just give them just maybe some downhill hill

191
00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:50,399
juice or something sort of like a
big role, a big man's type role.

192
00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:54,440
Offensively, that's a real rotation player, and it's a great fine because

193
00:11:54,519 --> 00:11:58,960
Naji Marshall has just fallen off a
cliff compared to last season, and Trey

194
00:11:58,039 --> 00:12:01,279
Murphy the third has just not been
as big a part of the rotation as

195
00:12:01,279 --> 00:12:05,240
we expected, has not played or
succeeded as immediately as a lot of people

196
00:12:05,279 --> 00:12:11,039
initially projected in the NBA. So
Herb Jones ends up being an absolutely huge

197
00:12:11,039 --> 00:12:13,519
fine for New Orleans, who,
by the way, I've been playing better

198
00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:16,799
of late. And if Zion ever
does come back, who knows, maybe

199
00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:18,120
they can make a push of some
sort. But I would be interested to

200
00:12:18,159 --> 00:12:22,600
see just I want Zone to come
back, to see the different lineup permutations

201
00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:26,360
that they build having Jonah found tunis
there, but also the Herb Jones option.

202
00:12:26,399 --> 00:12:31,039
They can play a lot of just
wonky position list basketball. But yeah,

203
00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:33,279
for me, the best second round
pick has been Herb Jones, and

204
00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:35,120
I think statistically for the most part
you could support it. But again,

205
00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:41,559
TPA among second round picks who've actually
kind of played at least a certain amount

206
00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:46,919
of minutes. Again, forty Charles
Bassi gets that one. There are I'm

207
00:12:46,919 --> 00:12:50,559
gonna loop these three questions together because
they have to do with the MVP race.

208
00:12:50,879 --> 00:12:54,159
We'll start with Ian he asked,
why do people not see Yokich's dominance

209
00:12:54,159 --> 00:12:58,879
as a clear number one case for
MVP. I think so for starters.

210
00:12:58,879 --> 00:13:03,080
I don't know that there's a clear, clear number one right now. I

211
00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:07,000
think Yokich and Steph are kind of
neck and neck for that one in two

212
00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:09,679
spot, and I think about Jana
Slot. There's also Katie. There are

213
00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:13,200
people make a case for Damar.
I'll get to my top of my ballot

214
00:13:13,279 --> 00:13:16,440
quickly because that's another question that we
have, so I'll get there soon.

215
00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:22,360
But I do believe that Yokis does
get undersold as an MVP. We saw

216
00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:26,279
it last year when I think that
he became the clear MVP, you know,

217
00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:30,159
midway definitely by the three quarter marks
through the season, when you kind

218
00:13:30,159 --> 00:13:33,120
of looked at and saw the time
that and be missed that Lebron had missed.

219
00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:35,200
There was really I guess between him
and Janice would have been like the

220
00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:39,279
bigger decision to make, insofar as
you even had to make one. I

221
00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:45,000
honestly, I don't know that there's
a real answer other than how many people

222
00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:46,399
are watching the Nuggets. And I
hate to play that card because if you're

223
00:13:46,399 --> 00:13:50,039
a casual MBA fan, you're a
casual MBA fan, Yoki should be among

224
00:13:50,279 --> 00:13:54,919
the primary mega star draws there.
But I understand if there are people that

225
00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:58,840
just aren't watching the Nuggets a ton. That being said, the people who

226
00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,080
have votes, you hope that they
are at least paying attention enough to the

227
00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:05,840
Nuggets to understand the magnitude of what
Yokis is doing. It also could be

228
00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:09,440
because the Nuggets just aren't that elite
team this year, since you are missing

229
00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:15,200
Michael Porter Junior and Jamal Murray right
now. I do think that does elevate

230
00:14:15,399 --> 00:14:18,759
his case. When you look at
everyone who has played at least one hundred

231
00:14:18,759 --> 00:14:24,759
and ten minutes this season, yokeets
leads the league in net rating swing the

232
00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:28,639
Nuggets are. They're getting out scored
by minus fifteen point two points per one

233
00:14:28,679 --> 00:14:33,080
hundred possessions when he's off the court. They're aout scoring opponents by plus eight

234
00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:35,879
point eight points per one hundred possessions
when he's on the court, And so

235
00:14:35,919 --> 00:14:39,240
that's nearly a twenty four point or
exactly a twenty four point net rating swing,

236
00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:43,279
And those numbers can be misleading,
especially when the team is good.

237
00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:46,759
It could be him just elevating this
really good product we've seen it with other

238
00:14:46,879 --> 00:14:50,240
MVPs in the past. That's not
necessarily something to denigrate him with, but

239
00:14:50,519 --> 00:14:54,879
I think this sort of speaks more
so to how in dispense beliefs the Nuggets

240
00:14:54,919 --> 00:14:58,399
because they're dogshit when he's not on
the court. That being said, Stephen

241
00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:03,519
Curry is top five in net rating
swing among this criteria as well. He's

242
00:15:03,559 --> 00:15:07,000
doing it on a team that's better
when he's off the floor relative to how

243
00:15:07,039 --> 00:15:11,360
the Nuggets are without Yokich. There
is something to be said about uplifting a

244
00:15:11,399 --> 00:15:16,000
better team by a similar margin as
opposed to taking a team that would be

245
00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:20,000
barebones or just really crappy without you
and bringing it to a semi good,

246
00:15:20,039 --> 00:15:24,679
borderline great level. I don't this
doesn't have to be the end allpo I

247
00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:28,120
don't know how you'd necessarily distinguished between
these two factors, but it makes it

248
00:15:28,159 --> 00:15:31,320
really tough for Yokich. Advanced metrics
are still going to love him. When

249
00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:37,360
you look at regularize adjusted plus minus
the single year stuff can be noisy,

250
00:15:37,399 --> 00:15:39,519
but no matter how you slice it, whether it's luck adjusted or just the

251
00:15:39,559 --> 00:15:43,720
regular ra APM, he ranks in
the top five of both. He is

252
00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:48,879
I think fourth in regular RAPM and
then luck adjusted RPM he is second in

253
00:15:48,919 --> 00:15:54,440
the league and so he has the
clout to win MVP. I just do

254
00:15:54,519 --> 00:15:58,120
think that step is a viable candidate
as someone who you put him on the

255
00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:00,799
floor, and I don't even know
that you could say is about Yokis just

256
00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:03,840
by having him step on the floor, even if he doesn't have the ball,

257
00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:07,600
by virtue of him being there,
by virtue of the concept of Steph

258
00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:11,519
and Curry existing to the defense,
he makes everyone around him better, where

259
00:16:11,559 --> 00:16:15,000
I do think that Yokis needs the
ball to have that level of an impact,

260
00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:18,399
which isn't really an argument against him, to be clear, And I

261
00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:22,080
will get to who my MVP pick
is in the second next question comes from

262
00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:26,120
diagon Alley says, do you believe
Steph Curry should win the MVP award?

263
00:16:26,879 --> 00:16:30,279
What are you looking for from the
Warriors the rest of the season? Can

264
00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:33,559
they win at all? And then
Delano banton Stan asked, who's your MVP?

265
00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:36,919
So my MVP right now is Nicole
Yoki. I don't know if I'm

266
00:16:36,919 --> 00:16:40,200
waiting the lack of help that he's
had too much, because I don't think

267
00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:44,039
Steph should be penalised for having Draymond
Green, for having this version of Andrew

268
00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:47,759
Wiggins, for getting a Gary Payton, the second breakout for the Warriors,

269
00:16:47,840 --> 00:16:52,440
hitting on the margins with the Otto
Porter junior signing and minutes from Namania be

270
00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:55,639
Elites, and even just getting flashes
of Jonathan commingto this season, the Warriors

271
00:16:55,679 --> 00:16:57,240
have been for the most part,
the best, no worse than the second

272
00:16:57,240 --> 00:17:02,799
best team in the league this season. And I think that Steph is to

273
00:17:02,879 --> 00:17:04,759
me still the single most valuable offensive
player in the league, and that includes

274
00:17:04,839 --> 00:17:10,000
Yoki. Yokich wins it out for
me because I do think he's more valuable

275
00:17:10,039 --> 00:17:12,839
to the Nuggets even at full strength, than maybe Steph would be to the

276
00:17:12,839 --> 00:17:17,039
Warriors at full strength, because you
have Clay, you have Draymond. Maybe

277
00:17:17,079 --> 00:17:18,960
Steph wins it out when they're at
full strength by a little bit, because

278
00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:22,480
if you take him off the Warriors
at full strength, you know, let's

279
00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:26,599
take Yokich off the full strength Nuggets. Let's take Steph off the full strength

280
00:17:26,599 --> 00:17:29,920
Warriors. Which one of those teams
is more likely to be a playoff team.

281
00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:33,000
I think it's probably the Nuggets.
Maybe that speaks to the faith I

282
00:17:33,039 --> 00:17:37,000
have in Jamal Murray, but We've
seen what can happen with Draymond when his

283
00:17:37,039 --> 00:17:41,559
minutes are untethered from Steph or he's
not playing with this team that with a

284
00:17:41,599 --> 00:17:45,720
team that just has a ton of
offensive depth, his game can can really

285
00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:48,200
suffer. Where I think Yokich wins
it for me this season, at least

286
00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:52,160
you can look at the body of
work how he's uplifted a team that really

287
00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:56,200
has just been beset by injuries.
Forget the league's health and safety protocols,

288
00:17:56,279 --> 00:18:00,000
They've just been beset by injuries at
the top more than other squads. Because

289
00:18:00,039 --> 00:18:03,680
Michael Porter Junior Jamal Murray are supposed
to be I would say two of their

290
00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:06,359
three most important players, But depending
on how you feel about Aaron Gordon,

291
00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,720
let's say two of their foremost important
players. That's not a Jamal Murray shot.

292
00:18:08,759 --> 00:18:12,119
That would be a Michael Porter junior
shot. If anything. Yogis is

293
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:15,000
also just more important to the way
that the Denver Nuggets operate on defense.

294
00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:18,240
Steph Is doesn't need to be hidden
all the time on defense for the Warriors,

295
00:18:18,279 --> 00:18:22,200
but they're not going to put him
in these super difficult matchups. They

296
00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:25,279
have players that allow them to work
around that. Where he's not going to

297
00:18:25,319 --> 00:18:29,240
be the player and guarding point of
attack NonStop. That's not his fault.

298
00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:32,039
Again, I think his value on
offense speaks for herself and what he does

299
00:18:32,079 --> 00:18:33,920
on defense. He's not going to
hurt you, and that bears out in

300
00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:38,640
the on off splits. Don't cite
individual defensive raiding, please, We've seen

301
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,559
it cited as a reason for why
Steff is this two way player this season.

302
00:18:41,559 --> 00:18:47,000
I beg you to just don't do
that, but Yokich is He's gonna

303
00:18:47,079 --> 00:18:49,720
just assume more difficult assignments when the
Nuggets want to go aggressive in pick and

304
00:18:49,799 --> 00:18:52,279
roll, which is I think I
was looking at a chart of the most

305
00:18:52,319 --> 00:18:56,359
aggressive pick and roll coverages, not
the top and leave, but I think

306
00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,359
it's fairly often he's going to be
a part of that. And I don't

307
00:18:59,359 --> 00:19:02,440
think that he's a great defender.
I think he hovers somewhere between, you

308
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:04,519
know, on any given nights,
slightly made on his best nights, he's

309
00:19:04,519 --> 00:19:07,960
slightly above average. On his worst
nights, he can be detrimental. But

310
00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:11,880
he's probably hovering around closer to average
or slightly above average for most of this

311
00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:15,759
season. I just think knowing that
and then the workload he needs to shoulder

312
00:19:15,799 --> 00:19:19,519
on offense. It's similar to the
argument we would have made for Johannis ATTENDACOOPO

313
00:19:19,559 --> 00:19:22,880
in the past. I don't think
Yokich is having anywhere near the same impact

314
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:26,440
as Jannis on defense in those years. Jannis could be a defensive Player of

315
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:30,400
the Year candidate this season. That's
just my logic as of right now.

316
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:34,000
But I really can't decide between Stephan
Yokich. This is written in pencil or

317
00:19:34,039 --> 00:19:38,400
written in sad subject to change whatever
I wouldn't whoever you pick, I'm not

318
00:19:38,519 --> 00:19:42,319
arguing. I think other people that
deserve consideration here. Jannis would be third

319
00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:45,839
for me. Kd is four.
I think the Rosen is fifth. But

320
00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:49,680
there's also names like John Morant,
Donovan Mitchel, Rudy Gobert, even Fred

321
00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,759
van Fleet. Guys, take a
look at Fred van Fleet's mvpks. They're

322
00:19:52,799 --> 00:19:57,480
just this season. He's been spectacular
this year. Those are names that's bring

323
00:19:57,559 --> 00:20:00,440
to mind. People are gonna eventually
make a for Lebron James if the Lakers

324
00:20:00,519 --> 00:20:04,799
continue to play better. I don't
know that he's in my top seven right

325
00:20:04,799 --> 00:20:07,240
now. He's definitely not in my
top five. But those are people that

326
00:20:07,279 --> 00:20:11,359
could deserve some consideration on the back
of the ballot. That's a look.

327
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:17,559
The MVP people complain about talking about
it this early. It's a fluid discussion

328
00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:19,240
in certain seasons. This isn't just
one of those years where it was,

329
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:23,920
you know, set in Stone after
game twelve or whatever. This is a

330
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:27,519
real debate between Stephan, Yokich and
I don't think either of them or I

331
00:20:27,519 --> 00:20:33,079
don't think they collectively have run away
with the award to the extent that you

332
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:36,000
can say, oh, Yannis or
KD doesn't deserve it. And there will

333
00:20:36,039 --> 00:20:38,480
be the Bulls finished with the best
record in the East and Themar's playing like

334
00:20:38,519 --> 00:20:42,160
this, there will be some people
that throw him up there too. So

335
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:48,119
those are pretty solidly my top five, but I could see some of that

336
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:51,359
changing. I think I think in
the end my top three you're gonna end

337
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:53,279
up being Yoki, Stephan, Yannis. I don't know if it'll be in

338
00:20:53,319 --> 00:20:57,000
that order, but I do think
those just looking at I know Jannis hasn't

339
00:20:57,039 --> 00:21:00,720
played as much as Katie this year, but something catastrophic, I think those

340
00:21:00,759 --> 00:21:03,799
are gonna wind up being the top
three. Again, I don't think this

341
00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:10,079
is like etched in Marble let's move
on to something else. This question comes

342
00:21:10,079 --> 00:21:14,160
from Sam. Will Lamello be an
All Star this year? That's an interesting

343
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:18,359
question. A huge part of it
is dependent on you know, he's not

344
00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:22,200
going to be a starter. I
think those that's I think Trey Young is

345
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:23,519
gonna get a starting spot in these
This is the best way to do it.

346
00:21:23,559 --> 00:21:27,640
And look, let's also just be
clear, LaMelo Ball does have an

347
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:32,480
All Star case. He is this
season. He's averaging nineteen point three points

348
00:21:32,519 --> 00:21:34,400
per game, seven point eight assists, even one point seven steals. I

349
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,960
don't think he's a good defender yet. He probably needs to get stronger before

350
00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:41,480
he's an asset. But he's saying
thirty eight point four percent of his three's

351
00:21:41,839 --> 00:21:45,720
on a higher volume per thirty six
minutes. There two points forty five point

352
00:21:45,759 --> 00:21:48,519
five percent down from last year.
But he takes some difficult twos when you're

353
00:21:48,519 --> 00:21:52,640
just looking at the some of the
floaters and even the difficult finishes. If

354
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:55,880
he gets stronger, I think that
is clip around the rim will improve.

355
00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:59,720
He's up this three throw percentage doesn't
get to the rim, he doesn't get

356
00:21:59,759 --> 00:22:02,599
to the eaves. A lot of
Tony He's actually getting there less than last

357
00:22:02,599 --> 00:22:04,240
season, but he's shoting eighty seven
point six percent from the foul line.

358
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:11,960
This guy is a transcendent playmaker,
and Charlotte's offense is like almost net neutral

359
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:14,240
with him on the court. I
think he improves it by one and a

360
00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:18,680
half points per one hundred possessions.
But he's just very much the identity that

361
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:22,160
they assume when they're on the court, and he is that important and that

362
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:26,000
good. So he absolutely belonged to
the discussion. Let's talk about who makes

363
00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:29,279
it. The starters are gonna be
Trey Young, and then if it's me

364
00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:32,839
personally, Demard Rozen should be a
forward and should make it as in the

365
00:22:32,839 --> 00:22:36,000
front court, sorry, and should
make it as a front court starter.

366
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:38,519
And then I would put Zach Lavine
as the other starter. That being said,

367
00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:42,640
I do think people are gonna end
up shoehorning De Rosen into the guard

368
00:22:44,039 --> 00:22:48,079
spots. And I think even the
last voting showed that. Again COVID brains,

369
00:22:48,079 --> 00:22:51,680
I didn't look at. I think
the most recent ballots, let's just

370
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:55,319
Trey Young and Zach Lavine or locks. For me, I think the other

371
00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:59,480
back court lock is Fred van Fleet. In my eyes, Jimmy Butler is

372
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:03,079
gonna end up getting in as a
backcourt. So that's four right there.

373
00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:04,720
If you end up throwing TOMRDA Rosen
in, there is a fifth. I

374
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:10,960
would argue, even though there's the
wild card spots in play, you're guaranteed

375
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:17,279
maybe six at most guard spots.
And then it probably comes down between LaMelo

376
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:22,920
Ball, Kyle Lowry, Darius Garland. I don't know if I'm forgetting anybody

377
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:29,839
else here of those three. Do
I think that LaMelo deserves it? That's

378
00:23:29,839 --> 00:23:33,759
an interesting one, and this is
something I promise I gave a thought before

379
00:23:33,759 --> 00:23:40,960
even you know, segueing into this
podcast. I think I would give it

380
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:45,960
to LaMelo. Do I think now
that he's going to be an All Star?

381
00:23:45,039 --> 00:23:48,960
I'd probably say no, just because
it will come down to the coaches

382
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:52,759
picking him, and I think they're
probably more likely to go with a Kyle

383
00:23:52,799 --> 00:23:56,640
Lowry or Drew Holiday if it comes
between my him and a Darius Garland decision.

384
00:23:56,720 --> 00:24:03,920
Just I do think coach's favor experience
instan maybe they give it him.

385
00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,720
I honestly, I honestly don't know. I would pick him among the group

386
00:24:07,759 --> 00:24:11,039
that we sort of just listed,
maybe just barely. I do think Drew's

387
00:24:11,079 --> 00:24:15,440
case is going to be stronger than
not. I ultimately don't think he'll get

388
00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:17,640
it, and I hope he does
because this game is so well suited for

389
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:18,839
the Austar game. I think a
lot of it also just hinges on what

390
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:23,400
is Damar going to enter ass and
we'll kind of just have to go from

391
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,480
there. But that's a great valid
question. I'm gonna say he should be

392
00:24:27,559 --> 00:24:32,400
in the All Star Game and predict
that he's not, and I'll probably flip

393
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:37,160
flop on that, like eight or
nine more times, reefs, will any

394
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:41,519
star currently in the league wins six
or more rings? Look, Lebron has

395
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:44,440
four, and so I think he's
the one that you have to say is

396
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:48,720
most likely to get it. Here's
and might I would just lean towards nope,

397
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:52,039
because it feels like, can I
imagine Lebron in his age thirty seventh

398
00:24:52,039 --> 00:24:55,920
season going to win another two titles
from here? Probably not. What is

399
00:24:56,000 --> 00:25:00,160
interesting is if the question was who's
more likely to win six titles before where

400
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,440
they retire, is its Steph or
Lebron? And it comes down to how

401
00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:07,799
confident you are that Lebron is on
a team for the next few years.

402
00:25:07,839 --> 00:25:11,160
Maybe he has, Maybe Steph has
two or three seasons more than Lebron to

403
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:15,839
sort of make up the one ring
gap that separates them. Do you trust

404
00:25:15,839 --> 00:25:18,640
the war Let's say, if it's
Stephen's a life long Warrior, do you

405
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:22,880
trust them to sort of bridge into
the future when he's maybe not your number

406
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:26,440
one option or not your best player, to assemble the title team around him?

407
00:25:26,519 --> 00:25:30,160
Or do you do you trust the
Lakers or to build that type of

408
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,000
team around Lebron or do you trust
him to go out and find that team

409
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:37,160
that will That is a tougher one
for me. I might mean just because

410
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:40,480
the way the Warriors are sitting right
now, Like if they hit on James,

411
00:25:40,519 --> 00:25:44,960
Wiseman, Cominga and Moody, No, Like what if Comingas just just

412
00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:48,279
turned What if one of those guys
is a transcended superstars most likely and May's

413
00:25:48,319 --> 00:25:51,440
going to be comingo or maybe they're
able to flip those guys for someone who's

414
00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:55,200
just younger to keep the window open. Is forever the second best player on

415
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:59,359
that team is Draymond and Clay Age, and you're still relying on Steph.

416
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:02,000
But I might be more tempted to
say that Steph is more likely to win

417
00:26:02,079 --> 00:26:06,079
six rings than lebron Is, but
he already has four, so it's it's

418
00:26:06,079 --> 00:26:10,440
a matter of getting to two two
more. I don't know who I would

419
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:14,319
pick to win more than six,
or even else to get to six right

420
00:26:14,319 --> 00:26:18,279
now, because you just look at
the league and there's no just runaway freight

421
00:26:18,279 --> 00:26:21,480
train in existence. Even when you
sort of look at some of the younger

422
00:26:21,519 --> 00:26:23,279
guys who project as the you know, the face of the league, the

423
00:26:23,279 --> 00:26:26,799
Bucks, it's not necessarily set up. And I'm not saying Jannis is young,

424
00:26:26,839 --> 00:26:29,359
but it's not necessarily set up for
them to run the tables. In

425
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:32,160
the East. Lugdanchich is one of
the most promising young players, and the

426
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:36,279
Maverick clearly are not set up to
just win titles earlier than not in his

427
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:38,440
career. He may have to wait
another half decade or so before he gets

428
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:44,039
that legitimate opportunity. Trey Young,
the table, the stage is clearly not

429
00:26:44,079 --> 00:26:48,319
set in Atlanta for him to go
bonkers and win rings. Same with Jason

430
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:51,079
Tatum or Jalen Brown wherever you want. In Boston. I mean, we're

431
00:26:51,079 --> 00:26:53,160
dealing with all these got Lamello and
Charlotte. If you want to go to

432
00:26:53,519 --> 00:26:56,680
these like newbies Jaw and even Memphis, who Yeah, they've done a great

433
00:26:56,759 --> 00:27:00,079
job building around him, but it's
hard to spot aside from a step or

434
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,640
Lebron type of case. And I
guess, look, if you're gonna say

435
00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:07,799
Steph, technically it could be Clay
and Draymond getting to six as well.

436
00:27:07,799 --> 00:27:12,559
But aside from the Warriors core or
Lebron, I don't necessarily know who else

437
00:27:12,559 --> 00:27:15,839
you would pick for six. If
anyone else has an answer and justification,

438
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,960
you can get at me on Twitter
at Dan for Valley Melverk asked which rookie

439
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:25,480
do you think most deserves to be
getting more minutes? I still think the

440
00:27:25,519 --> 00:27:29,680
answer is Alprune Shang Gun, and
before his ankle injury and the techneames leading

441
00:27:29,759 --> 00:27:30,960
up to it, he was playing
twenty one point nine minutes per game.

442
00:27:32,279 --> 00:27:34,200
That's not enough. I know you
have Christian Wood and Daniel Tys that that

443
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:38,359
really shouldn't stop you even a little
bit. I don't know, you know,

444
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:41,680
I guess you can understand. Maybe
I don't understand why Tye is there,

445
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:45,920
but you don't really need to justify
playing Tights more than thirteen fifteen minutes

446
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:49,440
a game, even with his salary
at this point, and I think you

447
00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:55,200
can also play Shane Good a lot
with Tye more so offensively that excuse me,

448
00:27:55,240 --> 00:27:56,200
you could play Shane Goud with either
one of the Biggs where was I

449
00:27:56,200 --> 00:28:00,880
don't necessarily love the tights would fit
and the stats are gonna share that out,

450
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:03,319
So yeah, it's still Shane Goo
for me. They also have Usman

451
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:07,240
Gruba on that team, which he's
played one hundred minutes total this season across

452
00:28:07,279 --> 00:28:11,799
fourteen appearances we record this podcast,
I get the sentiment of they just don't

453
00:28:11,799 --> 00:28:14,599
think he's ready, and he's spent
some time in the G League, but

454
00:28:15,039 --> 00:28:18,359
you're bad, Like just cut him
loose, like, let's see more Usman

455
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:22,200
Gruba. I know that trial by
fire isn't necessarily a way to guarantee development,

456
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:26,079
but I do think those reps are
important, and they do, in

457
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:30,079
my eyes, have the roster to
where he should be getting more run as

458
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:33,200
someone who can log minutes to be
four, maybe even as a as a

459
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:37,519
small ball type type five, and
just let him explore what is his defensive

460
00:28:37,519 --> 00:28:40,200
We're stillity going to bring you and
try to figure out how you can and

461
00:28:40,559 --> 00:28:44,519
plan to use him on the offensive
end. Two more guys that's bring to

462
00:28:44,599 --> 00:28:47,480
mind. I think Quentin Grimes in
New York, just in the flashes that

463
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:49,759
he's shown of the defensive hustle,
they need a He is a smaller wing,

464
00:28:49,799 --> 00:28:52,599
but they need a wing of that
ilk unless they're gonna trade for one,

465
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:56,279
and I would this would be against
everything san Antonio always does. But

466
00:28:56,359 --> 00:29:00,680
can we cut Josh Primo loose in
the He just has a lot of wiggle

467
00:29:02,039 --> 00:29:03,799
on offense and I really want to
see him get more on ball reps and

468
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:08,559
more just NBA reps in general.
I will say I didn't consider guys that

469
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:11,759
you can't really pick where there's not
a clear path to their playing time,

470
00:29:11,799 --> 00:29:15,279
Like Quentin Grimes can bounce someone in
New York shortation and it shouldn't be a

471
00:29:15,359 --> 00:29:21,559
big deal. But you look at
say James book Knight in Charlotte, you

472
00:29:21,599 --> 00:29:25,000
can't just you know, who are
you playing him over in Charlotte And don't

473
00:29:25,039 --> 00:29:27,480
say a big you want you want
to play him over Mason Plumber Like that's

474
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,480
not really gonna work. You would
have to think trade people out of their

475
00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:34,720
spots because he there's just actual people
in front of him that are that are

476
00:29:34,759 --> 00:29:37,839
more effective than he would be.
Even if you're not happy with the way

477
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:42,000
Charlotte is performing on a night tonight
basis, But yeah, those are the

478
00:29:42,039 --> 00:29:45,680
ones that stand out. I still
think it's Shane whod Is the most egregious

479
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:48,880
one I would like to see.
Grimes might be tough, but like the

480
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:52,160
Knicks are just such a roller coaster
ride on a night tonight bassis like bucket,

481
00:29:52,319 --> 00:29:55,000
Like, let's see more Grimes.
But I do think the Spurs could.

482
00:29:55,039 --> 00:29:57,680
Even though they have a ton of
perimeter players, they have effectively,

483
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:04,119
you know, put Jock Jack Landell
appoints in front of Thaddeus Young for stretch

484
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:07,839
of the season, like we can
put we can afford to see Josh Primo

485
00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:11,920
a little bit more. Paolo asked, this is a longer one. Call

486
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:15,160
me a reactionarybod. I just watched
r J Barrett score sixteen points in nine

487
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:18,640
minutes. The only person that could
stop him with Julius Randall and his zaiso

488
00:30:18,759 --> 00:30:22,000
is what do you think happens first
Randall hands the keys to r J Barrett

489
00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:23,880
on offense or r J leaves New
York. I'm not really suggesting that r

490
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:29,200
J is a superstar who's better than
Randall. It's more so a complaint at

491
00:30:29,279 --> 00:30:33,359
Randall taking tough shots and passing mid
jump instead of passing it up to RJ.

492
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:37,000
Okay. So we talked about I
think the last podcast we released actually

493
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:41,440
at this point was with Andrew Claudio
Nick's film School about the Knicks, and

494
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:45,920
we went deeper into what RJ.
Barrett's role is and what it could theoretically

495
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:48,240
be. I am with you,
Paolo that RJ. Barrett should have a

496
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:52,240
bigger role on offense. I don't
know that it's Julius Randall's fault. To

497
00:30:52,279 --> 00:30:56,480
the extent that this is on Tom
Thibodeau to establish a pecking letter on offense,

498
00:30:56,839 --> 00:31:00,240
He's decided to give Julius Randall a
ton of influence on the offense.

499
00:31:00,319 --> 00:31:04,200
I think that went into their initial
benching of Kemba Walker in the first place,

500
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:10,440
because Tibbs effectively decided that Randall needed
to have the ball. Even more

501
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:11,880
so, if you're going to make
that shift, it's going to take a

502
00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:18,279
concession on Randall's part, or just
a change to the excuse me still not

503
00:31:18,279 --> 00:31:22,680
feeling great, a change to the
makeup of the roster. And I don't

504
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,559
know that the Knicks, this was
my fear leading into the season, are

505
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:29,480
really built for RJ to plumb the
depths of his offense. Has he necessarily

506
00:31:29,559 --> 00:31:33,839
done anything consistently enough to warrant more
on ball control aside from the flashes he's

507
00:31:33,839 --> 00:31:36,799
shown in the past few games where
he's really attacked the rim. In their

508
00:31:37,599 --> 00:31:40,359
game against oh Man, I can't
remember who it was, but he recently

509
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:42,839
tied a career high for made shots
inside four feet at the rim in a

510
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:47,240
game. So when he's aggressive like
that, it's easy to really give him

511
00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:48,319
the ball. And then, of
course the couple of games that Julius Randall

512
00:31:48,559 --> 00:31:52,519
missed, we saw him get more
control. Look, he is below the

513
00:31:52,559 --> 00:31:56,880
fortieth percent tile and isoe efficiency below
the fortieth percent tile and scoring as the

514
00:31:56,920 --> 00:32:01,279
pick and roll ball handler, he's
a sub thirty five effective field goal percentage

515
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:07,000
on his pull up jumpers. I
understand the reticence to give him more on

516
00:32:07,039 --> 00:32:09,960
ball control, but this is year
three. It's time to sort of understand

517
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:13,160
more of what you have in him, or do you think he's going to

518
00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:19,160
be more of just a situational offensive
player who's probably gonna hurt hurt. Defense

519
00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:22,640
is more off the catch assuming his
corner three start to fall down in a

520
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:25,799
higher clip and then maybe he'll do
some attacking. I think what the Knicks

521
00:32:25,799 --> 00:32:29,839
could do to try and to you
know, see the best of both worlds

522
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:35,559
is untether his minutes to Julius Randol
more often. This number includes the games

523
00:32:35,559 --> 00:32:37,200
that Julius Randol missed and RJ played, and I think it was only two

524
00:32:37,279 --> 00:32:42,000
or three games, but still that's
a healthy amount. Fewer than fifteen percent

525
00:32:42,079 --> 00:32:45,119
of RJ's possessions this season have come
without Randall on the floor. I think

526
00:32:45,119 --> 00:32:49,680
that number can stand to be higher. Just completely separate them and stagger their

527
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:53,400
minutes. See more r J plus
bench units that really shouldn't hurt your rotation

528
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:59,559
at all, especially while Derrick Rose
is out recovering from his latest surgery.

529
00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:01,720
So that is something they can and
should try. I don't know if they

530
00:33:01,759 --> 00:33:05,319
will. We've seen RJ be a
little bit more aggressive even with Randol on

531
00:33:05,319 --> 00:33:07,839
the court in the past week or
so, and I don't even know if

532
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:10,799
RJ will eventually be the player that
can run an offense, run pick and

533
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:15,119
roll. You can trust as a
passer, but it's really time to explore

534
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:19,559
the depths of that game. He's
extension eligible this summer. You want to

535
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:23,279
have a better grasp of the ceiling
on this player, because to me,

536
00:33:23,359 --> 00:33:27,880
he still is probably the single most
important player in that building. He remains

537
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:30,920
that swing prospect, the one that
can really change the Knicks' trajectory. We

538
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:34,720
kind of know what Julius Randall is
at this point. We know last year

539
00:33:34,839 --> 00:33:37,960
was a flash in the pan relative
to you know, second team All NBA

540
00:33:38,039 --> 00:33:43,000
status. He's probably better than he's
been over all this season. But if

541
00:33:43,039 --> 00:33:46,119
he lies somewhere in between, you
still need that, you know, swing

542
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:50,319
prospect, that swing piece, that
player who could develop into let's say,

543
00:33:50,319 --> 00:33:52,839
at least a number two on a
title team to really change your fortunes.

544
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:55,680
That's still r J. Barrett at
this point, unless you think it's Manual

545
00:33:55,720 --> 00:34:01,240
Quickly or Obi toppin a Quentin Grimes
tous McBride. I still think, barring

546
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:04,799
a trade, it's going to it's
RJ. Barrett. Gives you the best

547
00:34:04,799 --> 00:34:10,239
shot of that right now. Berb
asked, who is better Joel Embiide at

548
00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:14,880
the free throw line or Bradley Beal. It's look, when you're looking at

549
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:19,039
your frequency, there's just no competing
with Joel Embiid his free throw attempt rate,

550
00:34:19,119 --> 00:34:22,840
which is the number of free throw
attempts per field goal attempt is point

551
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:27,280
five seven seven, down from point
six one zero last year. That is

552
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:29,960
to say it's knocked down much at
all, and given them new officiating rules,

553
00:34:30,559 --> 00:34:34,000
the whistle has not changed a bunch
for him, and he is shooting

554
00:34:34,159 --> 00:34:37,079
on his free throw attempts eighty point
nine percent, which is down from last

555
00:34:37,159 --> 00:34:40,000
year, but he's still above eighty
percent for his career. Bradley Beale is

556
00:34:40,039 --> 00:34:43,360
normally better at getting to the foul
line, but I think the rule,

557
00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:47,400
the way, or the d emphasis
on certain calls from the officials that's hurt

558
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:51,639
him. His free throw a tempt
rate is point two four seven. That's

559
00:34:51,679 --> 00:34:55,599
down from point three three two and
pales in comparison to the past few years

560
00:34:55,800 --> 00:35:00,400
of his career. He is shooting
a higher clip at the fo I know

561
00:35:00,519 --> 00:35:02,480
he's at eighty three point six percent, but I think, look, if

562
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:07,360
you let's just go by straight makes
per let's do it per thirty six minutes.

563
00:35:07,639 --> 00:35:10,920
Bradleybys giving you four point one free
throws per thirty six minutes made Joe

564
00:35:12,119 --> 00:35:15,360
Joel the beat is giving you nine, So he's more than doubling up the

565
00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:17,960
makes there just the volume in which
he gets to the foul line, he

566
00:35:19,079 --> 00:35:23,880
is the more valuable free throw shooter
Ryless, Since no one on the Jazz

567
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:28,119
not named Golbaron can stay in front
of their man on dece VENs, are

568
00:35:28,119 --> 00:35:30,480
there any quick defenders that might be
available to them, Ryles? Didn't you

569
00:35:30,559 --> 00:35:35,400
hear they just signed Daniel House they
fix their problems? No? I think,

570
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:38,000
Look, they're set up to make
a trade, and I wrote about

571
00:35:38,039 --> 00:35:43,119
this. I think they've shown signs
that they might be willing to make a

572
00:35:43,119 --> 00:35:45,360
bigger swing. A lot of people
have pointed to them hiring Danny Ainge as

573
00:35:45,960 --> 00:35:50,400
evidence they might do that. He
is the king of almost I don't know

574
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:52,639
that that in first he would make
a bigger swing. But they've even run

575
00:35:52,679 --> 00:35:55,760
the ball in the post the Rudy
game more often during the bench heavy units,

576
00:35:57,119 --> 00:35:59,719
and I think that just shows that
maybe they're preparing for a change in

577
00:36:00,039 --> 00:36:02,559
fensive structure at points. What that
means to me is are they trying to

578
00:36:02,599 --> 00:36:07,480
get by without upgrading the backup point
guard spot because Trent Forrest is not the

579
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:12,400
answer there, or are they maybe
thinking about moving a Joe Ingles on his

580
00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:15,800
expiring deal or moving a Jordan Clarkson, who is not the best facilitator but

581
00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:20,599
gives you a lot of from scratch
creation by process of elimination. In the

582
00:36:20,599 --> 00:36:22,280
piece I wrote, you can check
that out at bleacher report dot com just

583
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:25,440
search my name. It'll be one
of the two or three most recent pieces

584
00:36:25,480 --> 00:36:29,920
I published. I wrote about one
player from every team that I think should

585
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:34,079
be traded this year. If I
were the you know, emperor of the

586
00:36:34,079 --> 00:36:37,360
front office, whatever the titles are
now. I ended up at Jordan Clarkson

587
00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:40,000
just because I think between his age
he has two years of a reasonable number

588
00:36:40,079 --> 00:36:44,719
left on his contract and just a
from scratch scoring, he might be more

589
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,360
interesting. But I also recognize that
Joe Ingles is expiring contract. He's been

590
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:51,239
all over the place this year,
but he can still shoot give you secondary

591
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:54,079
playmaking. Maybe he's more appealing to
certain teams a name that I just have

592
00:36:54,199 --> 00:36:59,280
circled for them. Some people are
naming Marcus Smart or them trying to figure

593
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:02,880
out a way to step ladder up
to a Harrison Barnes or Jeremy Grant that

594
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:07,199
would take the market on pretty much
all three of those players in my eyes,

595
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:08,960
and imploding because the Jazz can't trade
the earliest first round pick. I

596
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:13,119
believe they can trade is in twenty
and twenty six, and that's assuming their

597
00:37:13,159 --> 00:37:17,440
first two obligations this season and then
in twenty twenty four that those two obligations

598
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:22,039
convey I just a team. Teams
are gonna be able to beat those offers.

599
00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:25,480
Josh Richardson in Boston, they signed
him to an extension, but he

600
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:30,119
could still be traded because he didn't
get this this huge raise and he's quietly

601
00:37:30,159 --> 00:37:31,840
had a pretty good year shooting thirty
nine plus percent from three. But he

602
00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:35,400
gives you defense from the point of
attack all the way up to some of

603
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:38,719
these bigger assignments. And so it
depends on what Boston wants. Their season

604
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:42,360
is quickly going off the rails.
If you're not going to move down round

605
00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:45,719
and Marcus Smart though, and if
you like you know you have Romeo Langford,

606
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:49,880
even Aaronnai Smith. I think I'm
officially higher on Romeo lank for moving

607
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:52,719
forward in the Smith. But whatever
you have minutes to sort of play around

608
00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:54,960
with and Phil the wings, maybe
you're willing to move with Josh Richardson for

609
00:37:55,599 --> 00:38:00,039
compensation that lowers your tax bill this
year, if not get you out of

610
00:38:00,079 --> 00:38:02,599
it. Utah's not going to get
them out of it entirely, but lowers

611
00:38:02,599 --> 00:38:07,920
your tax bill, maybe pick up
some future assets or even just juices up

612
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:12,199
your offense. And Jordan Clarkson for
Josh Richardson swap works in theory. Maybe

613
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:15,679
you have to send Jared Butler to
Boston in that scenario, or even if

614
00:38:15,679 --> 00:38:19,280
it's a second round pick, or
is it a pick swap, maybe it's

615
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:22,159
taking back another smaller salary to cut
their tax bill in Utah has the roster

616
00:38:22,199 --> 00:38:25,000
flexibility to do that. I don't
know if they'd be interested in Clarkson.

617
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:29,840
They probably need someone who's a better
passer. Slash puts more pressure on the

618
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:32,079
rim. I do think he would
help their offense. And knowing that Dennis

619
00:38:32,079 --> 00:38:36,000
Shrewder is a goner after this season, if not in the middle of this

620
00:38:36,079 --> 00:38:37,480
year, should they trade him because
they'll be a non bird free agent.

621
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:40,960
Perhaps that makes him more appealing.
They could also have interest in Joe Ingles,

622
00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:45,480
just an expiring contract. He is, you know, probably becomes what

623
00:38:45,639 --> 00:38:50,679
they're second or third best pass around
the team once he arrives there can still

624
00:38:50,679 --> 00:38:52,960
shoot. I think he's lost a
few steps on defense, but they have

625
00:38:53,119 --> 00:38:59,119
the talent to sort of cover up
for that Joe Ingles plus Jared Butler for

626
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:02,760
Josh richards Maybe you're probably need to
take back another salary from Boston because they're

627
00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:07,800
not gonna want to take on salary, and that scenario, you could you

628
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:09,760
expand this too. And you know, one of the trades that that I

629
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:15,239
came up with was Boston gets Joe
Angeles Jared Butler, Memphis is twenty twenty

630
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:21,119
two second a twenty twenty three swap
from Utah, and then Utah gets Josh

631
00:39:21,199 --> 00:39:23,920
Richardson and Dennis Shrewder. The leverage
Boston has what Shruder is very minimal because

632
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:28,119
he can just leave after this season
given his non bird rights. He's just

633
00:39:28,159 --> 00:39:31,119
not resigning for one hundred and twenty
percent raise off his sub six million dollars

634
00:39:31,119 --> 00:39:36,320
salary. Would it take the twenty
twenty six first round pick to get this

635
00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:39,559
deal done instead of that swap or
that Memphis twenty twenty two second. I

636
00:39:40,039 --> 00:39:44,679
don't know, but I would consider
it if i'm Utah. That's that's the

637
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:47,679
framework if you want to swing bigger
but sort of the bigger, quicker wing

638
00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:52,159
to wrap this up that I think
they could target. Is it Josh Richardson

639
00:39:52,199 --> 00:39:54,719
because I really think he is sort
of a middle end option that could prove

640
00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:59,440
gettable for them. There are other
like guys that they could look at.

641
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:02,239
You know, how does Robert Covington
come from Portland? At this point,

642
00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:07,760
I just don't know that he is
going to be effective enough in the in

643
00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:13,480
one on one situations to do any
sort of to make any sort of real

644
00:40:13,559 --> 00:40:16,159
impact or move Utah's needle on defense
if that's what they're looking for, which

645
00:40:16,159 --> 00:40:19,559
is also the challenge to the Jazz
here. I don't know that you should

646
00:40:19,559 --> 00:40:22,360
make a move. I've thought about
Tory Craig, which yeah, he would

647
00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:25,360
help situationally, but you want someone
who you know can either can one crack

648
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:30,320
an eight or nine man rotation in
the playoffs or preferably be a part of

649
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:32,159
your closing lineups. And we know
that Tory Craig probably won't be a part

650
00:40:32,199 --> 00:40:36,880
of many closing lineups, would be
sort of a fringe player when it comes

651
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:39,199
to cracking the rotation. And so
I don't think they're gonna have the Jews

652
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:44,599
to get a Marcus Smart or Jeremy
Grant or Harrison Barnes. And so that's

653
00:40:44,599 --> 00:40:47,840
how Josh Diricherson feels like a not
even a compromise, but someone who they

654
00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:53,480
could feasibly get that drastically improves their
title chances. Like if you put if

655
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:58,280
all you're giving up in terms of
immediate players is Clarkson or Angles and you're

656
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,719
getting Josh Fritchinson. To me,
this might not be popular with Utah fans,

657
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:04,639
but if that's the player that you're
getting for one of those two guys,

658
00:41:04,639 --> 00:41:07,800
and there's other stuff, but it's
not anyone who's mission critical to what

659
00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:13,320
you're doing. Now, I think
the Jazz become you know, their top

660
00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:15,719
five title favorite right now. I
would say top six the lowest they probably

661
00:41:15,800 --> 00:41:20,119
entered the top three at that point. Perhaps you have Golden State and Phoenix

662
00:41:20,159 --> 00:41:22,760
I'm a walking in front of him
still, but who else. I just

663
00:41:22,119 --> 00:41:25,519
forget about where they would rank on
the ladder. I think getting a Josh

664
00:41:25,599 --> 00:41:30,840
Richardson exponentially improves their their overall title
chances. And look for anyone who's saying

665
00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:32,880
that they can move Bunyon mcdonovitch to
make the bigger move. My whole thing

666
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:37,760
is you have a wing six,
seven, sixty eight whatever, who is

667
00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:43,960
averaging over seventeen points per game on
better than sixty two shooting. Please please

668
00:41:44,039 --> 00:41:47,039
don't overthink this like you keep that
guy, and I do think your offense

669
00:41:47,079 --> 00:41:52,000
is good enough in large part because
of him Conley Mitchell to withstand the loss

670
00:41:52,039 --> 00:41:55,000
of an Ingles or a Jordan Clarkson. So that's where I end up with

671
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:59,519
on the Jazz, a promising team
that feels eight Josh Richardson away from being

672
00:41:59,559 --> 00:42:02,719
a born line title favorite. I
am running out of steam here, so

673
00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:07,239
let's get through a couple of these
last questions. Bowls Film Room asked,

674
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:12,360
would you rather have role players being
incredibly specialized like a great three point shooter,

675
00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:16,519
but shitty like when it comes to
zone defense, or just good overall.

676
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:22,840
That's a great question. I just
it depends on the level of shitty

677
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:25,800
you're talking about everywhere else? Is
this you have Steve Novak as a shooter

678
00:42:27,519 --> 00:42:30,639
and then like Steve Novak everywhere else, Because no, I'd rather have the

679
00:42:30,679 --> 00:42:35,480
overall role player. But is this
a a Duncan Robinson or even a Davis

680
00:42:35,559 --> 00:42:39,199
Burton's type situation? I would probably
say a Davis Bretons or Duncan Robinson,

681
00:42:39,199 --> 00:42:44,400
although Davis Preton's is not making a
great case for this this season. So

682
00:42:44,639 --> 00:42:49,519
I'm gonna go with the the role
player who is more specialized or great in

683
00:42:49,599 --> 00:42:52,760
one area and not so much with
the others. I know some people might

684
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,000
say that Duncan Robinson can be okay
in zone defense, give me how Miami

685
00:42:55,079 --> 00:42:59,320
rolls it out. So I'll just
I'll throw out the you know, I'll

686
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:01,559
throw out the Thomas Burton's or you
know, does Buddy Hill to even fall

687
00:43:01,599 --> 00:43:07,920
into this category is just in incandesce
and shooter in basically any method imaginable.

688
00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:10,519
But are you going to trust him
to effectively create off the dribble? Are

689
00:43:10,559 --> 00:43:13,960
you going to trust him to play
defense? I would still rather have that

690
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:17,000
player. I think, you know
his particular price point when you're getting into

691
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:22,440
salaries and contracts. That's definitely important
context. But just in a vacuum,

692
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:27,280
I think I would rather have the
elite skill set rather than a more well

693
00:43:27,519 --> 00:43:32,519
rounded or replacement level player type skill
set across a bunch of different areas.

694
00:43:32,559 --> 00:43:36,079
But that's a That was a good
question, Bullshilm Room, Thank you for

695
00:43:36,159 --> 00:43:42,199
it. Smith asked which who has
the worst defensive three point percentage? I

696
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:46,039
will say this is I don't know
that they're seth part. Now, the

697
00:43:46,039 --> 00:43:49,719
athletic has gone through this a lot. He calls the Jedi three point defense

698
00:43:50,079 --> 00:43:52,960
that teams. You know, historically
they have not been able to actually impact

699
00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:58,920
their opponents three point percentage. So
the worst three point defense this year belongs

700
00:43:58,920 --> 00:44:02,840
to the Orlando Magic. They're allowing
thirty nine percent shooting from three. Overall,

701
00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:07,239
they're dead last. Also in above
the break three point shooting at thirty

702
00:44:07,239 --> 00:44:12,360
eight percent. The worst corner three
point defense actually belongs to Chicago. Opponents

703
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:15,800
are shooting. This can't be right. This can't be right. I need

704
00:44:15,800 --> 00:44:20,679
to I'm refreshing this page because this
number is just absurd. Nope, Chicago

705
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:24,000
is allowing a post you forty nine
point six percent on quarner three pointers.

706
00:44:24,079 --> 00:44:29,480
Now, you can look at the
frequency of that matters. Their eighth in

707
00:44:29,559 --> 00:44:31,480
the frequency with which they allow corner
three so they're not allowing the ton.

708
00:44:31,840 --> 00:44:37,119
But opponents this season have shot forty
nine point six percent in the corners against

709
00:44:37,159 --> 00:44:40,400
the Bill sixty one hundred and twenty
one. That is astronomical. I don't

710
00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:44,480
know how much that actually matters,
but yes, the worst three point defense

711
00:44:44,519 --> 00:44:46,199
in the league overall is Orlando.
If we want to just look at the

712
00:44:46,199 --> 00:44:51,679
bottom five. Portland's twenty ninth,
Miami's twenty eighth, Toronto's twenty seventh,

713
00:44:51,840 --> 00:44:54,880
and Chicago is twenty six. Now, this doesn't necessarily have to infer anything

714
00:44:54,880 --> 00:45:00,719
about how good the defense is overall, because when you look at Chicago is

715
00:45:00,719 --> 00:45:06,960
a top ten defense right now.
Miami is also a top ten defense right

716
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:09,480
now. So these teams that have
been quote unquote bad in allowing three point

717
00:45:09,559 --> 00:45:14,079
shooting, and even Toronto, I
think it's been on the defensive uptick,

718
00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:17,000
have they not of late? There
other twentieth defensive ficialty So you can be

719
00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:21,519
and look. Phoenix, I think
allows a pretty high clip from three as

720
00:45:21,639 --> 00:45:23,119
well. If I'm not mistaken.
Maybe it was just above the break.

721
00:45:24,559 --> 00:45:27,599
No, I guess I'm just maybe
it was from the corners. No,

722
00:45:27,679 --> 00:45:29,880
I'm just I'm making shit up.
At this point, I thought Phoenix was

723
00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:31,400
low. Maybe I was just misreading. I knew I was caught off guard

724
00:45:31,440 --> 00:45:36,280
a little bit when I saw it. So yeah, and I think the

725
00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:38,800
best three point defense in the league
this season comes from the Clippers, the

726
00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:42,760
Calves, the Warriors, the Nets, and the Mavericks. I would argue

727
00:45:42,760 --> 00:45:47,519
the Nets specifically they're in for just
some reversal when it comes to their defensive

728
00:45:47,559 --> 00:45:52,920
metrics. You look at they've gotten
lucky with opponent shooting a ton basically from

729
00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:57,159
every area on the court this year. But yeah, I don't I don't

730
00:45:57,199 --> 00:46:00,719
know how much you can watch and
then look at how much these teams are

731
00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:04,760
doing to maybe prevent corner three point
looks or which players are taking the attempts

732
00:46:04,800 --> 00:46:08,519
from three. I think defensive shot
profiles are more indicative of defensive talent rather

733
00:46:08,559 --> 00:46:13,360
than necessarily three point accuracy. If
you're limiting the number of three your opponents

734
00:46:13,400 --> 00:46:15,840
are taking and they're turning into mid
range jumpers and it's not you know,

735
00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:20,320
Kevin Durant taking these mid range jumpers
all the time, I think that you

736
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:22,800
can infer more about the defense from
that. But yes, those are the

737
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:28,039
worst three point defenses on the season. As I just name two questions more,

738
00:46:28,119 --> 00:46:30,280
can I get through them before I
just faint? Peja asked, is

739
00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:36,199
there a metric to tell if a
player is impacting negatively his team's winning odds?

740
00:46:36,199 --> 00:46:38,199
While having filled the stat sheet,
why do you think this metric should

741
00:46:38,199 --> 00:46:42,400
be counted? In Westbrook, Unix. That's a little fucked up. I'll

742
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:50,519
be it accurate now I don't even
want to say ironically, but in Predictable

743
00:46:50,599 --> 00:46:55,159
has a stack called estimated win expected
win probability added. Excuse me, it

744
00:46:55,239 --> 00:47:00,920
is the win probability added one would
expect based on a player's body score stats.

745
00:47:00,599 --> 00:47:07,960
Westbrook ranks dead last in this stat
if you just go with wind probability

746
00:47:07,039 --> 00:47:14,320
added where they're looking at it through
the lens. When they're looking at through

747
00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:19,239
the lens of wind probability added or
subtracted by player due to made slash miss

748
00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:22,480
shots, getting fouled, made slash
miss free throws, and turning the ball

749
00:47:22,519 --> 00:47:27,239
over. Josh Giddy ranks dead last
and Westbrook is second to last, So

750
00:47:27,280 --> 00:47:32,079
he comes up theoretically as the worst
or second worst or second the most or

751
00:47:32,119 --> 00:47:36,679
second most damaging high volume player.
Right now, I think there's a lot

752
00:47:36,679 --> 00:47:39,519
of stuff that goes into that.
Draymond Green does not rank favorably in these

753
00:47:39,599 --> 00:47:44,000
stats, did over Julius Randall,
although that probably makes a lot of sense.

754
00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:46,360
This season, there is a point
where volume, though, can be

755
00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:50,039
damaging to your team. You're gonna
see a lot of rookies ranked towards the

756
00:47:50,079 --> 00:47:55,119
bottom of these metrics. But like
anyone anything that's gonna say Draymond Green is

757
00:47:55,639 --> 00:47:59,440
one of the least impactful players when
it comes to winning. I think it's

758
00:47:59,480 --> 00:48:02,079
probably what you're seeing on offense a
little too heavily. So even if we

759
00:48:02,159 --> 00:48:06,800
view this though through an offensive prism, you know, Westbrook has been at

760
00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:08,800
points fairly damaging for the Lakers,
even through his higher stints. The turnovers

761
00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:12,960
has just been an issue. There's
a big deal made because he had zero

762
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:15,400
turnovers for the first time in like
four hundred and something games. But he

763
00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:19,239
came on two assists though, And
I don't want to drag him. I'm

764
00:48:19,280 --> 00:48:22,760
just saying there are elements of his
game that I've always been damaging and if

765
00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:24,920
you amplify them, they're gonna be
even more damaging than usual. So,

766
00:48:25,320 --> 00:48:29,199
Paige, I know you were being
tugget cheek here, but that was a

767
00:48:29,239 --> 00:48:32,880
real chat, real stat estimated when
probability added, and Westbrook ranks dead last

768
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:38,159
in the league. And that's that
per in predictable. Final question from James,

769
00:48:38,159 --> 00:48:42,239
a throwback question that has probably been
asked a bunch of times moving on

770
00:48:42,320 --> 00:48:45,480
on this podcast, if the thundertraded
Westbrook instead of Harden, do you think

771
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:50,360
they would have won a championship.
That's a tough question because does James Harden

772
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:54,559
becomes James Does James Harden become James
Harden in Oklahoma City, even if Westbrook's

773
00:48:54,559 --> 00:48:58,599
not there, I do not know, because he was given the keys to

774
00:48:58,639 --> 00:49:01,599
the offense Houston. I think if
you moved Westbrook, if that was even

775
00:49:01,599 --> 00:49:05,400
a decision, and I don't think
it was a Baka versus Harden. It

776
00:49:05,440 --> 00:49:08,119
was never Russ versus hard in real
time. How'd you moved Russ? It

777
00:49:08,159 --> 00:49:13,440
was probably with the intention of giving
Kevin Durant and even larger on ball roll.

778
00:49:13,519 --> 00:49:15,920
I don't know if it would have
allowed you to turn James Harden into

779
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:21,480
the single highest uses player in basketball
for his duration like he was in Houston.

780
00:49:21,559 --> 00:49:24,880
Now, you can say that Russ
was similarly high volume and he played

781
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:29,400
alongside KD for a number of years, but that was sort of known,

782
00:49:29,559 --> 00:49:31,480
that was his role. I don't
know if Okac ever would have viewed James

783
00:49:31,559 --> 00:49:37,760
Harden in that same light, even
if he made the transition to star form,

784
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:45,960
and so I think ultimately that they
that I can't view. I can't

785
00:49:45,000 --> 00:49:49,199
say if you told me James Harden
became James Harden that he was in Houston,

786
00:49:49,199 --> 00:49:52,119
Oklahoma City, I'd say yes,
but he also had his own playoff

787
00:49:52,119 --> 00:49:55,639
foibles in Houston, so there's nothing
guaranteed there, and I think we need

788
00:49:55,679 --> 00:49:59,760
to look back. Okay, see
they make it to the finals in two

789
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:02,679
thousand twelve with everybody, and then
they were favorites or should have been favorites

790
00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:07,159
a number of time after that.
Number of times after that, even if

791
00:50:07,159 --> 00:50:09,840
you're not factoring in that blown three
to one lead against the Warriors in twenty

792
00:50:09,920 --> 00:50:14,719
sixteen, there was I think two
postseasons where Russ ended up getting injured.

793
00:50:14,719 --> 00:50:16,199
There was one where they had a
Kevin Durant injury, then a search of

794
00:50:16,239 --> 00:50:22,360
back injury. I think the run
of bad luck and wound up hurting them

795
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:25,360
more than trading James Harden instead of
Russ. And I think you could even

796
00:50:25,400 --> 00:50:30,159
make that as all my notifications are
going off here, I think you could

797
00:50:30,159 --> 00:50:36,400
even make that same case when it
comes to, you know, the Hard

798
00:50:36,559 --> 00:50:39,239
versus Abaca argument. Had they traded
Abaca instead of James Harden and kept those

799
00:50:39,239 --> 00:50:42,840
three, we would like to say, well, does that make it more

800
00:50:42,920 --> 00:50:47,920
likely that that Kevin Durant is staying
in Oklahoma City? Long term or what

801
00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:53,960
if? What if? What if
James Harden was James Harden Olman's And then,

802
00:50:53,960 --> 00:50:58,760
of course you might have viewed them
as title favorites at that point or

803
00:50:58,800 --> 00:51:00,960
assumed that they would have won title
as I'm just stumbling through this because my

804
00:51:01,199 --> 00:51:05,559
text messages are blowing up for no
reason. In particular, I apologize more

805
00:51:05,599 --> 00:51:07,599
of the story is. I don't
think we can just say that had you

806
00:51:07,639 --> 00:51:12,039
traded Westbrook instead of James Harden,
the Thunder would have won a title.

807
00:51:12,199 --> 00:51:14,639
I think the more effective argument,
if you want to make it, would

808
00:51:14,639 --> 00:51:19,199
be had they kept hardened, is
it less likely that Katie would have eventually

809
00:51:19,199 --> 00:51:24,079
wanted out? Would it? Would
he have clashed less functionally with Russell Westbrook

810
00:51:25,000 --> 00:51:30,280
with James Harden than Russell Westbrook.
I think you can make that case as

811
00:51:30,440 --> 00:51:35,760
a yes. But we also don't
know how much Russ really factored into Katie

812
00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:37,719
leaving. Maybe he was still just
graded about the fact they broke up those

813
00:51:38,119 --> 00:51:42,280
three in the first place, or
didn't pay Harden. So I don't think

814
00:51:42,320 --> 00:51:46,840
it's so this question. I really
think it's it's it's a very good thought

815
00:51:46,920 --> 00:51:52,079
exercise, but I'm I don't think
that trading Russ instead of Harden would have

816
00:51:52,079 --> 00:51:54,920
guaranteed the Thunder a title. What
did they give them a better shot?

817
00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:59,880
At one point? I mean maybe
it's just hard to envision what Harden's role

818
00:52:00,000 --> 00:52:02,320
ever would have looked like an okay
See had he stayed there, whether it

819
00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:07,960
was with both Russ and Katie or
just Kad. I think the more salient

820
00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:13,239
point would be, could Harden have
been good enough and gotten along with Katie

821
00:52:13,320 --> 00:52:15,880
enough or not? Again, let's
just say functionally, I don't even want

822
00:52:15,880 --> 00:52:20,679
to say off the court, emotionally
whatever. Could he have functionally clashed less

823
00:52:21,039 --> 00:52:23,440
or been more of a seamless fit
next to Durant than Russ? And if

824
00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:27,719
the answer to that is yes,
which I think is fine, then maybe

825
00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:31,199
it's more like that both of them
stayed in okay See and you would want

826
00:52:31,199 --> 00:52:34,800
a title. You could also look
at it through the lens of you know

827
00:52:34,840 --> 00:52:38,239
what happens if let's say everything unfolds
as planned, but you wind up Russ

828
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:42,119
is the one that leaves. You
traded Russ. Excuse me, I think

829
00:52:42,159 --> 00:52:44,840
Katie leaves anyway, but you end
up getting Paul George and it's a Paul

830
00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:47,719
George James Harden pairing and James Harden
does turn into James Harden at this point,

831
00:52:49,039 --> 00:52:51,719
that team probably would have given you
a better shot at a title.

832
00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:54,199
So I don't mean to say that
had they traded Russ instead of Harden,

833
00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:58,719
Okacy would have had a better shot
after Kevin Durantant left. But that would

834
00:52:58,719 --> 00:53:00,679
be another part of this puzzle.
I think, if you're gonna tell me,

835
00:53:00,719 --> 00:53:04,480
Harden, once those two guys are
gone, he would have gotten at

836
00:53:04,559 --> 00:53:07,920
least the one season without KD and
without Russ, and he had turned into

837
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:12,000
Harden and they go out and they
trade for Paul George. Hey, maybe

838
00:53:12,480 --> 00:53:15,000
that's still a fun one. I
would love to know what everybody else thinks

839
00:53:15,000 --> 00:53:16,480
about this. Again, Get at
me on Twitter at damp Valley. Follow

840
00:53:16,559 --> 00:53:20,559
us on Twitter at Hardwood Knox.
If you've made it this far in the

841
00:53:20,559 --> 00:53:22,480
podcast, if this is your first
time listening to us, whatever, consider

842
00:53:22,559 --> 00:53:25,920
throwing us the permanent subscription. Give
us a rating and review on iTunes.

843
00:53:25,960 --> 00:53:30,599
It helps us out a ton.
We're on YouTube Hardwood Knox, follow us

844
00:53:30,639 --> 00:53:34,320
on Instagram at Hardwood Underscore Knox,
and again, most importantly, where wherever

845
00:53:34,400 --> 00:53:38,079
you get your podcasts, subscribe to
us. Download every episode help us get

846
00:53:38,079 --> 00:53:40,639
the word out there, tell people
about it, tell people about it,

847
00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:45,679
and also share our promotions of our
episodes as well. Thank you so much

848
00:53:45,719 --> 00:53:49,800
for listening, and until next time, I humbly leave you with a shout

849
00:53:49,800 --> 00:53:52,360
out to the one, the Only, Frank Nilo Kina
