Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host, Corey
Evans. Thank you for listening. Last week, I did a Dynasty Rookie
Draft redo for twenty twenty three picks one point oh one to one point one
two. This week it is the second round, so for twenty twenty three
picks two point oh one to two point one two. So it should be
another jam packed and fun episode. Hope you all enjoyed the NFL Wildcard weekend.
I'm recording before all the games took place, so there's any players that
I discuss that have huge performances or injuries. The reason I didn't describe those
are that the games occurred after my recording schedule. As you'll see now,
this episode was released on Monday, so I'm back to my off season scheduling
that be Monday for a free show and Tuesday for a page show over on
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in addition to unlimited DMS for questions you might have regarding rookies, strategy,
trades, player value, then click on a link in my show notes a
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monetarily along the way. Let's get right to it. Pick two point oh
one kick it off is CJ. Stroud, And keep in mind these are
one quarterback rankings, but I think this is a nice definitive stand to take
on to J. Stroud as a borderline late first early second round rookie draft
pick valuation from a Dynasty lens in a one quarterback format. Stroud is twenty
three in October second overall pick this past year through for fourth thout, one
hundred and eight yards, passing, twenty three touchdowns, five interceptions, completed
sixty three point nine percent of his passes for eight point two yards pass attempt
and shipped in a thirty nine, one sixty seven and three rushing touchdown log.
Quarterback eleven assuming a six point per passing touchdown league, So that's a
back end quarterback one missed a few weeks because of his concussion, so he
could have easily been in mid range quarterback one. As a rookie, he
showed rapid development from a Hoose States to the NFL landscape as one of the
league's best pocket passers with excellent decision making. The jump from Kyleege with the
Pros did not phase CJ. Stroud. It was not too big of a
stage for him, and he set up for success moving forward in Houston with
foundation wide receiver pieces in Ego Collins and Tank Dell, So longevity wise,
this looks promising. If Stroud can keep up his pace or improve on it
as a rusher, then he's firmly in the elite conversation among fantasy quarterbacks not
named Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes, after that,
cream of the crop, or a few other names. It's a wide
open landscape, and I do believe that Stroud is within that range of outcomes
in summery. He's a mid to back end quarterback one for a one quarterback
league, or a locked in quarterback one for a super flex or two quarterback
format pick two point oh two. I have Dalton Kinkaid, who's twenty five
in October, so advanced age for a sophomore at tight end not as big
of an issue because they played to the mid to late thirties if health cooperates,
of course. Twenty fifth overall pick to Buffalo this past year had a
seventy three six seventy three two receiving line for nine point two as per catch
on ninety one targets the tight end eleven in full PPR, so a back
end tight end one solid start. Forking Kid's NFL resume. His splits with
and without Dawson Knox showcase two different value perspectives. Knox is under contract with
the Bills until twenty twenty seven, so he's not going away. I do
think a path forward for kink to produce at the level he did without Knox
is if Gabe Davis leaves as a free agent during the offseason, then it
could prompt or lead to more reps. Forking Kate as a glorified wide receiver
who carries a tight and label. If you spend a first or a second
on Kinkaid, I would say you're pleased, not thrilled with the results.
Once again, it's just splits with him without Dawson Knox. That really paint
a picture of how Buffalo utilizes Dunky. Kid is more of a traditional receiver
than every downtight end when it comes to run blocking. There's naturally room for
improvements when it comes to Kincaid's blocking. At this time, however, it's
pretty clear that he is more of a outlet for Josh Allen in the passing
game than every down player in Buffalo. Pick two point zero three, I
have Tajy Spears. He's twenty three in June third round selection, one hundred
fourty three and two rushing long for four and a half yards per tote,
along with a fifty two three eighty five and one touchdown as a receiver.
That was with seventy targets, good for the RB thirty four in twenty twenty
three, assuming full PPR. Even with his degenerative knee condition, which is
rumored to have no ACL one of his knees, it's hard to ignore the
short term upside of Spears. If Derek Henry leaves tennes Sees a free agent
in twenty twenty four, tajre offers juice on early downs. It's quite evident
watching him off line of scrimmage that he possesses speed, burst agility, the
cutback skills, and big playability as we saw in twenty twenty three, addition
to being in a depth pass capture really bowed well for Taj's outlook as a
sophomore. I doubt the Titans will enter next season with Spears as their clearcut
RB one, but he's shaping up as a solid RB two Fux Kennedy for
fantasy purposes in PPR scoring, because he's a baseline as a rusher which could
expand in twenty twenty four without we'll assume Derrick Henry in addition to the baseline
of fifty two receptions as a rookie, So if the rushing volume goes up
and the receiving statistics and usage stay on par or increase, then Spears is
a chance to break out in twenty twenty four. The difficult part of his
assessment and value is the knee condition. Since it's entirely possible that he lasts
his first NFL contract before his body wears down and he's out of a league
or he's not a full time player. That's the baked in risk. I
tend to be more out than in on spears unless you can get him for
a second round valuation, which at this point seems fair based on my ranking.
But most people who have him rostered are excited about what he achieved as
a rookie and probably want a first Forest Services pick two point zero four.
As Josh Downs, he'll be twenty three in August, a third round pick
sixty eight seven to seventy one, two touchdowns, eleven point three hours per
catch, with ninety eight targets finished as the wives you for forty three and
PPR reliable slot weapon for the Colts that was proven as a rookie with both
Anthony Richardson and gardermanshow at quarterback Downs is a chance to see his role increase
if Michael Pittman leaves Indianapolis as a free agent for this next season. It
does sound like there is mutual interest between Pittman and the Colts to have a
restructured resigned contract. Keep an eye on that all In all, though Josh
Downs, a smaller body frame the lack of durability remain red flags for him
moving forward. However, the opportunity is ideal, especially with the on and
all field rapport he established with Richardson early on when both got drafted. They
were one of the first two teammates as rookie's working together in hotel parking lots,
running routes, throwing the football with one another, so that's encouraging.
Only had a four game sample size of AR and twenty twenty three more to
come on him soon. I just think that Downs is a safety blanket in
terms of possession traits, and I like those assets in full PPR. While
Downs might not have the same ceiling of other rookies from twenty twenty three,
like a jsn Addison, Puka Nakua, or even twenty twenty four wide op
prospects, I think he's going to be settling in as a safe wide receiver
three with upside annually. Pick two point h five. I have Anthony Brigodson,
who was twenty two and May fourth overall pick. Had five hundred and
seventy seven yards passing three touchdowns to one interception, fifty nine point five completes
percenting rates for six point nine ers per pass attempt, and he twenty five
buck thirty six four touchdown effort on the ground, all in four games played.
Very small sample size hard to create a narrative four or against him all
that strong. He did undergo surgery for a Grade three AC joint sprain in
his right shoulder back in October. Sounds like he's all systems go for this
offseason program. Unless he changes his planes dial with less rushing or at least
avoiding contact, Ar might not last as a starting quarterback in the NFL.
On the flip side, if Rigerdson is able to remain on the field as
of sophomore and prove his accuracy, maintain a rushing workload without taking necessary hits,
then he has the tools to be a perennial quarterback one in fantasy circles.
That four game sample size had him firmly in the quarterback one mix,
and at the time you thought you had a league winning asset on your hands.
The reason why it styffle to rank CJ. Stroud Ar and even Bryce
Young, who actually did not make my second round, he would be in
the third round based on his supporting cast and the disaster of a situation is
in Carolina not really talent based for me. I know Bryce Young's getting a
lot of negative feedback because of his stats as a rookie, but I truly
still believe in him when we saw at Alabama as a Heisman Trophy winner compared
to the uncertainty outlook of Ar. But from a fantasy perspective, Ar is
the safer commodity to invest in with a much higher ceiling with better pieces around
him like Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs. As mentioned, the Colts group of
tight ends potentially resigned to Michael Pittman. All of that being said, if
you have Aar rostered as a quarterback two, he's your backup at a one
quarterback league, you're in a great position. In a super flex league or
two quarterback format. If he's your quarterback one, there's some uneasiness just because
of the playing style, and he could certainly hurt himself again as a sophomore.
The talent is undeniable what he brings to the table. When it comes
to versatility, it's simply his development as a passer and overlying injury concerns that
make him more of a Violet alasset in Dynasty Dennis Stroud or perhaps long term
Abrice Young. But nonetheless Ar comes in at two point oh five for me
two point oh six. Quentin Johnston twenty three to September twenty first overall pick
thirty eight four to thirty one, two touchdowns, eleven point three yards per
catch on sixty seven targets in unimpressive fifty seven percent catch rates. He was
a wide receiver seventy four and PPR, which is obviously a major letdown.
QJ was unable to thrive with Mike Williams out with the Towrenty ACL for almost
all the season, Keenan Allen sideline from fifteen to eighteen, and Joshua Palmer
I don't know off the field with any injury and concussion. You'd think that
would have led to far more consistent numbers for Johnston. However, he's best
viewed as a developmental talent or project who lacks the running finesse of most first
round wideouts. QJ is at his best in the open field after the catch,
along with fifty to fifty contested catch scenarios. He has to improve his
hands since drops were an issue with TCU and as a rookie with the Chargers
no more Brandon Staley, we'll see who was brought in replace him as the
head coach with a new regime QJ is guaranteed nothing. I think he's a
solid BILO and dynasty based on him being a recent first round pick, not
twenty franchises will give up that kind of draft capital and right off a player
so quickly, So QJ has to bounce back in twenty twenty four sophomore otherwise
will be reaching levels of panic in terms of his outlook for now, though
mid second seems fair in any one quarterback format. Time for a quick break
and I'll be back with picks two point oh seven two point one to two.
Quick side note. If you want to get on my calendar for a
Google Meet session, those are thirty bucks thirty minutes fifty bucks. One out
to discuss twenty twenty four rookies, your draft strategy, trades, player value.
Hit me up dinasayu Pod on Instagram or Twitter, slash x thedynasty do
on Facebook, or simply send me a note Dinastydupod at gmail dot com to
get a call scheduled over on Google Meet. This part of the offseason is
a bit slow, a little bit of a lull with the Super Bowl not
yet here, so if you want to take advantage, get in my calendar
while there's plenty of slots available in terms of timing, then hit me up
and we'll get that schedule asap. Time for that quick break and I'll be
right back. Two point oh seven is Roshawn Johnson. He'll turn twenty three
later on this month. Fourth round selection eighty one three fifty two two touchdowns,
four point three yards per totes, thirty four grabs, two hundred and
nine yards no touchdowns as a receiver, forty targets ranked as the RB forty
seven end of season and twenty twenty three. Keep in mind Khlil Herbert is
under contract until twenty twenty five, while Deontay Foreman is a pending free agent
who doesn't figure to fit into the Bear's future running back plans, especially after
how he was away from the team late in the year. It seems like
a situation where both parties are headed for a divorce that leaves Rochan in a
position to take a sophomore leap more than just passing downs, because he was
almost exclusively used as the Bears third down weapon, especially when Herbert was healthy
this year, which isn't what was necessarily expected for him out of Texas or
anticipated for his rookie role. He had eighty one rushes thirty four receptions.
Of course there was more Russian volume. The thirty four catches are somewhat surprising
for a prospect who was known to be experienced or excel in pass protection situations,
but his hands were somewhat of a question mark out of school. So
that's great to see that the Bears have a confidence to deploy Rochean Johnson neck
capacity. If he can become a fifty to fifty split on early downs with
Khalil Herbert, we're talking about a potential RB two, if not high in
flex. For twenty twenty four pick two point oh eight is Marvin Mims,
who's twenty two in March take round pick still very young, twenty two three
seventy seven in a touchdown, seventeen point winners per catch, thirty three targets
wide receiver eighty nine as a rookie, disappointed to say the least, state
the obvious. However, Mims was misused quite honestly by Sean Paydon in twenty
twenty three. Compared to draft capital and talent that was displayed on tape during
his time at Oklahoma, Sean Payton was pounding the table talking about Mims all
the time during the offseason leading up to the season, and then the usage
did not correspond to all the hype. For the most part, Mevern Mims
cost a mid second, sometimes in early second in ADP ten to twelve teen
leagues, depending a year ago. I don't think much has changed. He
might have lost some value. So try to swoop in offer a eight second,
as I'm suggesting here, even a third for him to hope it improves.
Jerry Judy under contract till twenty twenty five, Corton sudden twenty twenty six.
It is not out of the question that one or both of them are
traded. That's been the subject of speculation and rumors for the past two years.
I think a best case for Reverend Mims is that he earns more reps
as a wide receiver in twenty twenty four while becoming a fixed year in Nevers
offense, supplanting one of Judy or Sutton. The worst case is that Mems
remains a gadget player with low volume, contributing on special teams like he did
as a rookie. As punt returner he had nineteen for three twelve and then
kickoffs fifteen three ninety seven and one All Pro player on special teams for punts
and kickoffs. But thees us no good in fantasy lest your team, or
your league for that matter, rewards special teams points or yardage. Most leagues
don't, so Marvin Mims posting a twenty two three seventy seven one log is
very discouraging because it was a second round pick, the hand picked first offensive
talent for Sean Payton outside New Orleans and Denver, and we saw next to
nothing compared to Hope's respirations of how he was utilized in Oklahoma. So investing
in Mims is a pure bet on talent and more volumes a sophomore. Otherwise
he could just be wasting his talent on special teams, being more valuable to
Denver in real life than us in fantasy circles. Pick two point h nine
is Michael Mayer. He's twenty three and July second round pick twenty seven,
three h four to two touchdowns, eleven point three yards per catch with forty
targets tighten thirty five. I've been vocal about being a huge Mayor fan.
Still am I had him ranked above Dalton Kaid Sam Porter pre draft, even
post draft. Of course you have their main fluid and dynasty, so my
rankings have changed accordingly. I don't think it's talent based. I simply think
that Laporta and kincaid I had better opportunities and environments to thrive, whereas Mayor
was thrown to the fire, being viewed as possibly to tighten one overall in
the twenty twenty three crop. Yet we fast forwarded and his Dynasy's dock has
fallen a bit with one year in Las Vegas. On the Raiders, there
were signs of stardom at times in terms of snap bright, target share or
a few stretches, but the Notre Dame product was ultimately an after thoughts on
a run focused Las Vegas offense, DeVante Adams, Kobe Myers. They were
the focal points as pass cacchers, leaving Mayor with little to work with from
Jimmy Garoppolo, Brian Hoyer, even Aidan O'Connell. The future is still bright
for Michael Mayer. He owns necessary pass catching skills run blocking chops to excel
at the professional level. We all know that it doesn't take much to surface
as a Titan one and fantasy, So don't give up on him too soon.
Because the opportunities that alluded to and the quarterback support was not as favorable
as Sam Laporte in Detroit or Dulkin Kaid in Buffalo. Eve and sirt Michael
Mayer into Detroit or in Buffalo, then this conversation is likely not guaranteed to
be different, but that is the nature of the NFL Draft. Players are
selected to certain teams and we have to assess their value giving the environment situation.
Even so, I tend to bet on talent over environment. So that's
why I still think Mayors were the second and one of the better tight ends
of Builwan in Dynasty. Assuming the Raiders make a drastic quarterback change for twenty
twenty four pick two point ten, I have Chase Brown twenty four in March.
Fifth rounder contributed forty four rushes for one hundred and seventy nine yards four
point winners per carry, and then fourteen for one fifty six in a touchdown.
I'm fifteen targets the twelve games played RB sixty three in the year.
Those stats don't really showcase or demonstrate how valuable Chase Brown was down the stretch.
For the Bengals. He's electric with the football in his hands, and
Makestro Mixon look like he's running in mud at times. You compare them apples
to apples. Chase offers top tier speed, acceleration, special traits for running
back prospects coveted by NFL talent evaluators and us in dynasty. Mixon is under
contract till twenty twenty five with the Bengals. Brown might not be the future
long term for the Bengals at running back, However, he's certainly in the
mix for change of pays duties with enough juice to push for increased volume as
both a rusher and receiver in twenty twenty four. If you have Joe Mixon,
you better have Chase Brown your roster. I don't think it's all that
bold the state that Chase Brown could significantly cut into Mixing workload next season.
Pick two point eleven. It is Luke Musgrave, who's twenty four. In
September, second round pick had a thirty four three fifty two one touchdown log,
ten point four yards per catch, with forty six targets and only eleven
games played. Tight end thirty one. He had a last rate of kidney
it derailed and otherwise encouraging first NFL campaign for Musgrave. The issue now is
that Tucker Craft filled in adam ly produced well in his absence, which causes
sub concern that both could form a committee of sorts at tight end for the
Packers in twenty twenty four. Did return in Week eighteen, was not overly
involved. It's going to interesting to see how Green Bay deploys or utilizes Craft
alongside Musgrave and the Packers wildcard matchup facing Dallas this weekend. Curious to see
how that pans out. I still think that Musgrave had to you remain healthy,
would be ranked as high, if not around Michael Mayer's terms of the
twenty twenty three rookie class among tight ends. He's not passing up Sam la
Porta, probably not Kincaid, but Mayor versus Musgrave is a very good debate.
And then round at the second round is at pick two twelve or two
point one two Jonathan Mingo twenty three in April second round selection four to three
catches, fourte and eighteen schoolers yards nine point seven yards per catch on eighty
five targets, a dreadful fifty one percent catch rates as the wide receiver eighty
one in Fantasy. Mingo's rookie campaign was about as bad as possible from an
efficiency perspective, especially because negative gamescript favorite Carolina for almost the entire year and
Mingo didn't really assert himself as a dominant The fact of option in the offense
now granted, all categories were not his fault from stay since Carolina is off,
the line was a mess and translated to Brece Young being forced into bad
decision making and a short passing game. Mingo thrived at ole Miss as a
mid to long range weapon, relying on his natural ball skills to take over.
Mingo ended his twenty twenty three season on IR with a foot injury.
Chocol it up as a lost season, and let's monitor if a full NFL
offseason in addition to a new head coach helps improve his outBut as a sophomore
in twenty twenty four. The Panthers were a tough football team to watch in
twenty twenty three, but based on pure exposure of players I have in so
many different leagues, as well as this being a passionate side job for me,
I of course watched a lot of Panthers football, and Mingo just didn't
look like the same player from the college level in the pros. I'm not
sure if that's based on alignment or a lack of being featured in roles he's
comfortable with. I hope it's a career outlier compared to his arc moving forward.
There's one player member specifically where Mingo literally ran one of the worst NFL
routes have ever seen. He ended up catching a football backwards. If you
saw the play, you know what I'm talking about. His feet were the
wrong position. Picture going to extend your arms towards the sideline and then trying
to dip your toes in toe drag swag, or at least get both feet
and bounds. He did it the opposite. His hands were extending towards a
field, not the sideline, whilst heels were the parts of his feet trying
to get in bounced. It was so strange that sums up Mingo as a
rookie, a strange campaign, and hopefully it improves as a sophomore. Thank
you all for listening. A quick recap of my Dynasty Rookie Draft Redo picks
two point one, two point one two for twenty twenty three two point oh
one I had t J. Stroud two point oh two, Dalkin Kaid two
point oh three, Tajy Spears two point oh four, Josh Downs two point
oh five, Anthony Rickinson two point oh six, Clinton Johnston two point oh
seven, Rosehawn Johnson two point oh eight, Marvin Mims two point on nine,
Mchal Mayor two point ten, Chase Brown two point eleven, Luke musk
Grave and two point twelve Jonathan Mingo. Thank you again for listening. Until
next time, This is the Dynastry checking out. Hope you all have a
great rest of the week. See you