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We're back with another edition of The
Federalist Radio Hour. I'm Emily Drushinsky,

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culture editor here at the Federalist.
As always, you can email the show

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at radio at the Federalist dot com, follow us on exit fdr LST.

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Make sure to subscribe wherever you download
your podcasts, and of course to the

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premium version of our website as well. So excited to be joined once again

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today by Brad Wilcox, who is
out with a new book on February thirteenth

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called Get Married, Why Americans Must
defy the elites, forge strong families,

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and save civilization. Brad, thank
you so much for coming back on the

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show and congratulations on the book.
So good to be with you again Emily

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today. Bret, I don't know
if I've ever asked you this question,

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but it occurs to me. I'm
curious how your career ended up going in

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the direction of family studies, of
studying marriage so closely to the point where

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now you've devoted an entire books length
to this topic, and the trends in

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not just the last you know,
a couple of years, but you know

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much longer time period than that.
How did your career end up in going

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in this direction, Brad, Yeah, it's a good question. So I

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was raised by a single mom in
the seventies and eighties. I talked about

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that kind of in the book you
Know about kind of most of my friends

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growing up were from divorced homes,
either their parents got divorced before we met

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or after we met. Although my
actually my dad died when I was three,

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so my kind of route to single
parent was a bit different. And

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then in college, the you Reachie
Virginia, I was here as an undergraduate

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as well, kind of had the
sense that, as it's kind of trying

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to make sense of, you know, growing up without a dad, that

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the marriage is and institution that connected
men on average, you know, to

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their kids. And I had some
professors who were kind of unusual and challenging

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and they helped me kind of,
you know, reach that conclusion as well.

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So and then that led me to
kind of study family and religion and

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culture at Princeton and sociology and then
right since then on sort of the nexus

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between family, culture, religion,
and the welfare of kids and adults.

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But I shall also say too that
when I kind of first got into this

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business, Emily of kind of researching
families. I was most concerned about the

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way in which are the ways in
which strong marriages, stable families are good

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for children. And we have obviously
a great book out for mosse Kearny on

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the two parent privilege, just out
a few months ago that kind of goes

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into some detail on this theme,
and I address it to in my new

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book. But beyond that, I've
been talking to a lot of UVA students,

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especially younger women, and they're concerned
about their prospects, you know,

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for dating, for finding guys who
are commitment interested, commitment worthy, and

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even more so who are marriageable.
And I've just been kind of getting this

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sense that young adults today are going
to face a lot of challenges finding a

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spouse and getting married. In fact, in the book, I asked me

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that about one in three young adults
today in their twenties will never marry.

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You could have never been at this
place, Emily, where so many people

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in America, so many adults are
not going to be, you know,

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walking down the aisle to put a
ring on it. So this book is

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really directed more towards the sort of
adults and marriage discussion and less on the

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kids and marriage discussion as a consequence
of sort of this newer reality we're seeing

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with the young adults today. And
you know, it sounds so obvious to

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a lot of people, especially people
who are from stable communities that have high

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marriage rates load divorce rates. But
what you do in this book, and

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you know, again you've been doing
this for years, which you mentioned.

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You're the head of the National Marriage
Project at UVA at University of Virginia,

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You're a fellow at the Institute for
Family Studies at the American Enterprise Institute.

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So you've been looking at this data
for a long time. In the book,

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you really put it on one place. And again, it sounds so

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obvious to many people, but it's
a real uphill battle that you fight every

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day when you're looking at how media
covers marriage. What is the different brand

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between how especially elite media covers marriage, looks at marriage, maybe even in

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Hollywood depictions, in the reality the
sort of cold hard facts as you've compiled

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them in this book. Yeah,
so I think it's striking you. When

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I first kind of put out the
idea that I was doing this book on

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Twitter about six months ago, there
were a lot of elite journalists who were

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saying, basically, look, our
American elites are doing just fine at marriage.

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Why are you saying defy the elites. The elites are the ones who

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are succeeding at marriage. And of
course my point is not that we should

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be defying the elites to practice,
but defying kind of the elite cultural commentary

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around marriage. And so when I
was finishing up this book, for instance,

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I ran across an article and just
trending on Twitter in Bloomberg it's that

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when stay single and don't have kids
are getting richer. It also kind of

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depicted a lot of single and childist
someone who were just basically living their best

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life. Kind of gave people the
impression that steering clear of family life was

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good financially and emotionally. Footman.
There was an article, you know,

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written in The Atlantic, the Case
against Marriage. There have been numerous pieces

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in the New York Times and other
than just kind of talking about divorce,

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particularly since COVID had There was an
article friends in New York Times it's a

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divorce can be an act of radical
self love. So kind of getting this

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message. It's profoundly you know,
often anti nuptial, anti marriage, and

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anti natal as well, kind of
anti kids that's been sort of seen more

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and more in the elite media,
and I just wanted to kind of basically

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remind people on this book and part
that when you look at kind of average

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Americans Emily, there's just no question
that married men and married women are much

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more likely to be happy with the
last are about twice is likely to be

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very pathed with their lives, for
instance. And when it comes to women,

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there's no group of women in America
today who are happier than married moms.

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So for all of the challenges and
difficulties of being a parent and you

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know, crying babies, trunk lent
teens, you know, trips to the

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er, you know, not being
able to always do what you want to

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do, there's just no question that
I think for many of us, the

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opportunities to care for someone else,
to have someone care for us, to

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you know, be trusted guides to
our children, to watch them on the

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playing field at the you know,
the concert if you're religious, to go

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to church with them, these things
into being so important, meaningful and joyful.

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And so that's I think in part
why we actually see is that you

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know, in ordinary America, married
moms and married dads are the happiest.

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So basically, don't read what you
believe from journalists, often writers writing from

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Brooklyn or something. I don't know
what's thebout with the Brooklyn sort of what

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I wonder because so many pieces coming
out of Brooklyn. I mean it's just

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crazy, like literally, I mean
there's just dozens of pieces that are,

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you know, basically attacking marriage,
tacking motherhood and I don't know what's wrong

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in Brooklyn. But without failure,
you scrolled to the byline and it says

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X as a writer basically in Brooklyn. It's just like, oh my god,

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what's in the water there? You
know, we're there in Brooklyn.

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I don't know. It's just it's
crazy. That's funny. So you just

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touched on one of the things you
touched on in the book, and it

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was one of my big curiosities going
into this too, is we're looking at

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the data and qualitative and quantitative on
why this is beneficial. A lot of

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people talk about this in the context
of women for men. What are the

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differences between why marriage is good for
men and women? And is it as

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important for both sexes as it is
for the other. Yeah, great question.

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And I think one of the big
surprises in terms of getting this whole

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book project together was that I found
that there's a newer message now. So

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I think everyone kind of everyone knows
that there are plenty of progressives who have

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got a pretty negative take on marriage
in motherhood from kind of a woman's perspective,

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Right, that's kind of I'm not
saying anything really new on that score.

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I'm just sort of saying it's it's
wrong. But what I think new

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is when I begin the book actually
be talking about Andrew Tait, obviously the

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more right leaning online you know,
Manisphere guy who's got a huge following.

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And I was even in Utah,
actually Emily, talking to a bunch of

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young adults and primarily Mormon, and
I mentioned Andrew Tate, and I could

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see the teenage boy's eyes were kind
of wide, they were widening, and

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they were nodding, and they've heard
the critique. You know that he's offering

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and that basically there's no return on
investment, you know, from them,

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when it comes to marriage, you're
just going to be divorced, taken to

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the cleaners. She's just kind of
trying to take you for your money.

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And so Tate's solution is get strong, you know, workout the dominant,

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the assertive, make a ton of
money and use, but don't invest in

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a woman. And so obviously his
lifestyle I think corresponds to that as well.

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But of course what he's missing is
that for the average guy in America,

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the best route to prosperity is getting
staying married, and for the average

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guy in America, the best route
to happiness is to become married and a

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father. So there's no group of
men who are happier in America than married

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dads ages eighteen fifty five, and
so that's I think what's lost is this

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kind of recognition that for the average
guy in America today, marriage and fatherhood

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are a great deal, both in
terms of the financial kind of dimension and

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then also the emotional side and just
having more people life now it's important.

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The divorce, you know, challenge, which is I think a legitimate issue

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to raise, is that we're no
longer at sort of the one in two

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marriages ending in divorce pattern in the
seventies and eight divorces come down since then,

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and we would estimate that the folks
are getting married today have about a

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forty percent risk of divorce. So
it's not nothing, but it's not one

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and two. Most marriages go the
distance, and my book gives both women

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and men ideas about how they can
strengthen their marriage and avoid ending up in

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divorce court. A lot of conservatives
have been talking about no fault divorce and

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the sort of policy approach to divorce
state level, federal level in recent years

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as the culture War sort of moved
back into the forefront or not I shouldn't

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say back, but has moved to
the forefront of some basic policy debates.

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And you know, I've heard different
things from people on the right itself.

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You know, I've heard people really
frustrated that some people on the right talk

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about no fault divorce with a total
lack of sensitivity and kind of understanding of

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where these laws came from. And
on the other end, a lot of

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people who have looked at legitimate data
and say that no fault divorce was the

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wrong way to go. Brett,
how did that? Because again you go

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back, you're actually right in the
wake of the family revolution that began in

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the late nineteen sixties and took off
in the nineteen seventies, this is right

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at the beginning of the book,
marriage no longer seemed a safe harbor for

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American men, women, and children. And someone on the left would say,

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because it wasn't safe for a lot
of women, because you know,

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for a lot of women, they
were trapped. Yeah, I think there's

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obviously truth to that, And there
was a lot of you know, chicanery

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that was happening with divorce back in
the fifties and sixties and before then.

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Because you can only get a divorce
in very unlimited situations, someone had to

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take kind of the fall for the
divorce. So I think what I would

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sort of say is that kind of
going forward, we have to acknowledge that

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divorce laws are part and parcel of
why people are less invested in marriage today

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than they were fifty years ago or
sixty years ago. And we also actually

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have new evidence from Pennsylvania that indicates
that divorce, the no fault divorce,

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you know rise in the seventies that
swept across most states then helps to explain

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this marriage vibe that we're now you
know, and what I mean by that

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is basically, educated and affluent Americans
are more likely to get married stay married,

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and working class in poor Americans are
much less likely to get married in

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the first place and then stay married
in a place. And what this new

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research from ten indicates is that for
more educated and affluent Americans, they've got

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a large shared asset, oftentimes a
house that helps to bind them together.

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But sort of the protection of the
law, which really kind of was there

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until the seventies, was more helpful
for working class in for Americans and kind

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of reinforced marriage and working class in
poor communities. Once that protection kind of

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lifts with no fault divorce, their
kind of confidence and their ability to rely

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upon marriage is kind of a stable
institution is just much weaker. And so

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that's just we have to kind of
figure out some new way going forward to

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strengthen and stabilize marriage, in part
by reforming divorce laws. And we've got

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three lawyers that are looking right now
at ideas at these certain family studies that

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we're going to be hopefully rolling out
with them the next year or so that

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would help us to think about,
you know, some creative ideas to make

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it harder to get divorced a little
bit for folks are made with children.

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And you know, one of your
friends and we're thinking about is you know,

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some divorce education, you know,
that might slow down some people or

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make them rethink their decision. Obviously
waiting period were in some states, but

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kind of thinking about posting as more
of a universal normal across the US.

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But I've got a couple of ideas
we're trying to kind of think about that

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would be not making some of the
mistakes that were made I think in the

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older model, but not kind of
just allowing a very kind of expressive approach

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to divorce where it's just kind of
like, I don't believe, you know,

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we've drifted apart. You know,
my life is depressed. You know,

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I want a new you know,
a new option, whatever it might

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be. And they're obviously serious cases
where divorce is warranted, but we have

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seen since the seventies too many of
these more expressive divorces where people are breaking

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up their marriages for reasons that I
would argue are not good for particularly their

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children, and they might want to
rethink that and have the law kind of

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stand more on the side of keeping
the marriage together. This might sound like

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a weird question, but I wonder
also, Brad, how, in your

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opinion, the divorce rate, which
you note has actually declined, But how

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has that affected the never married demographic
or you know, on the policy culture

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being downstream of policy question, you
know, how has the American kind of

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approached a divorce from your perspective,
changed people's decision whether or not to ever

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even get married in the first place. And can you tell us a little

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bit about the never married demographic as
it's emerging, especially among young people.

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Yeah, so, I mean,
certainly part of the story about divorce.

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The fact that divorce is down is
because it's you know, marriage is more

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selective. So we're seeing today in
the book talks about four groups of people

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who are more likely to get married
in America today, and I call them

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kind of the masters of marriage.
And those four groups are Americans who are

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an Asian American, or religious Americans, or college educated Americans or conservative Americans.

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And so for a variety of reasons
related to I would say cash and

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culture, those four groups are more
likely to put a ring on it today.

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And also they're just less susceptible to
divorce. So again, one reason

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that we're seeing less divorce is that
the people are getting married are either more

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affluent, or more religious, or
more marriage minded. In an important way

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now. That means that never married
folks are more working class than poor,

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and I think that's an old story. Most people who kind of track this

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issue understand that. What people don't
realize, though, is that there's a

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cultural story you're playing out for the
never married, and that is the Americans

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who are more secular and more progressive
are also less likely to be married,

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less likely to have kids as well. And it looks like from my manage

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point, kind of the gap,
the cultural gap when it comes to marriage

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for religious and secular Americans and for
conservative and progressive Americans is growing when it

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comes to marriage and family formation.
So that just means because we kind of

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go down the pike here, we're
going to see many more kindless Americans in

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poor, working class secular and progressive
community sort of broadly understood, and obviously

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there's going to be some places where
there's an overlap and some not. But

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that's I think, you know what
we're going to see happening in this country

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in the next you know, decade
or two. Yeah, as you're looking

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ahead, and again you work with
students, so I'm curious from that vantage

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point too, there's such a mismatch
now of college graduation rates. And also

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you'll know this better than I do, but what women say they want in

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a partner seems to also be really
mismatched with the population, earning, potential,

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education level and all of that.
What kind of keeps you up at

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night thinking about where these trends could
go with not just sort of younger millennials,

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but gen Z and then maybe even
down the road. But I would

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think, especially gen Z, this
is a pretty problematic trend right now.

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So I mean, I think the
challenge is facing us when it comes to

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marriage. You know, moving forward
are number one, there's a growing ideological

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divide, as you know, there's
a growing educational divide, which you just

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touched on. So women are better
educated than men among adults, women are

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more liberal than among an adults.
And then on top of all that,

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we're seeing more secularization right now,
and we are also seeing I think a

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lot of men are floundering when it
comes to kind of having that sense of

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clear direction both in school and in
their professional lives that would make them attractive

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as marriageable men. So all these
things are kind of combining, and so

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I would certainly have a pretty negative
prediction for sort of at least the short

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and median term future for marriage in
terms of the numbers. And then if

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you kind of just add on to
that the impact of smartphones and now of

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AI and virtual reality classes and goggles, which tend to I think reduce in

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first and socializing and dating, the
picture is pretty blak. So all that

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stuff keeps me up at night.
And I think, you know, I

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really look at my book as an
opportunit comunity to kind of get people who

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are paying attention to realize that you
kind of got to reach higher ground family

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wise, relationship wise. If you
can't, and then you won't be able

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to. But there's a demographic tsunami
coming and it's going to leave a lot

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of young adults today without a spouse
and without children as they move into midlife

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in later life. And we talked
about them as bare branches in the book,

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using a term from China, people
who don't me kin. So just

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kindlessness is heading to our shores.
It's come across the Pacific, where it's

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pretty common in East Asia, it's
coming to America. And if you want

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to reach higher ground, if you
want to have your own family, don't

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listen to your parents and professors who
tell you to wait until you're twenty nine

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to look around and find a spouse. I'm not saying you have to get

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married at twenty two or twenty four
like I did. I'm just saying,

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like, if you're in college and
you meet someone who's like wonderful and you

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know, fun to be with and
a great friend, and forbid, don't

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wait until you're twenty eight and that
person may have gone somewhere else, you

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know, to pull the trigger,
you know, get more serious with them

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and think about marriage. Or you
know, if you're working in DC and

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you're in your early twenties, you
know, and you find someone who's a

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great friend and a great prospect,
don't wait, you know, year pon

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year, pon year, kind of
you know, pull the trigger and ask

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them to marry you. It would
be kind of you know, part part

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of my thinking about, you know, helping people understand there's a new challenge

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day, and that is that a
lot of American young adults will never put

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a ring on it, will never
have children, and so they have to

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be a lot more intentional about avoiding
that that demographic and cultural trend that's sort

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of enveloping America today and how did
it change from boomers to exers, to

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millennials and then to zoomers, Because
I know part of this has been some

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of the predictions with millennials, for
example, And I say, because I'm

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a millennial, is they ended up
just getting married later at a similar rook

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But it's just a similar right,
right, It's still a step down.

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Right. There are plenty of you
know, academics and journalists and other you

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know, people who think about these
issues and right about that who would be

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very kind of skeptical of the claims
that I'm making to you right now,

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Emily. They would sort of say, you know, people are just getting

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married later. You know, just
relax, Brad, this is not a

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big deal. But I'm just saying
that there are a number of different scholars

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who are kind of all pointing to
the sort of trajectory here, and they're

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kind of telling us that, yes, from the boomers who kind of often

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married in the early twenties, to
the exers who married oftentimes in their mid

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to late twenties, to millennials who
are marrying around thirty, we're not kind

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of just seeing delay in marriage,
but we're also seeing people foregoing marriage either

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voluntarily or involuntarily. And there's just
kind of a way in which the more

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you postpone marriage, the more difficult, you know, you make your prospects

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of ultimately finding someone. And then
now we're living in a culture or where

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it's just harder to even you know, meet people and date even when it

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comes to you know, cohabiting relationships, not to mention, you know,

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marriage as well. So I just
think it's it's incumbent upon younger adults in

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their twenties and people who are single
in their thirties just to realize that they

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need to be both themselves more intentional
about finding people who might be worthy updating.

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I mean also asking their trusted friends
and family members to kind of play

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the matchmaker role of you know,
a bygone era or a different culture,

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00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:37,640
you know, and realize that you
know, you might want to kind of

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let your friends you know, you're
looking to marry and do they have prospects

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in mind and have them be more
aggressive on your behalf as well. And

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how does I know again this and
I think you've studied, how do civic

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organizations and the kind of bowling alone
alienated America trends that you know Putnam and

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Cary describe when it comes to empty
churches, empty bowling leagues, that has

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to really be affecting people's abilities just
to couple off, especially when you add

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in app culture swiping. You know, people get what's called option paralysis just

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on Netflix because there's so many choices, let alone in a city of you

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know, a million people or a
suburb of millions of people as well.

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Yeah, no, I think that's
that's the challenge, is that, you

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00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:30,079
know, we do know that in
general, churches are good places to meet

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people. My colleague, doctor Wendy
Wing at these More Family Studies, has

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found that people who meet, you
know, through some kind of religious community

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report the highest quality marriages. And
by contrast, folks are meeting online and

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00:23:45,039 --> 00:23:49,160
folks are meeting in bars in person
report the lowest quality marriages. But kind

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of generally speaking, meeting in persons
better and meeting in a religious community is

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is you know, kind of gets
tough ranks. But there are a few

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young adults who are you know,
finding their way to to religious communities.

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That's a big challenge. And then
I think, yeah, the the whole

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kind of dating culture online is often
not conducive to marriage because it tends to

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reward like the most appealing, if
you will, kind of candidates for dating,

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at least judging on some you know
looks or you know, status criteria,

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and so a lot of people kind
of are left out of that and

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are you know, alienated from or
kept away from, you know, good

333
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dating opportunities. And then the folks
who are kind of flourishing on the dating

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apps often I think, don't feel
like the need to be more intentional about

335
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:41,960
finding someone to marry, which isn't
great either. So yeah, there's just

336
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kind of a perfect storm that's sort
of unfolded here. And so I think

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people who want to flourish when it
comes to marriage or family who are kind

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00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:57,960
of your age roughly speaking, just
need to be more countercultural and more engaged

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in their communities. Then they might
otherwise be interesting. And one thing that's

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00:25:04,839 --> 00:25:10,119
true of your work in general and
definitely this book is you do a very

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00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:17,000
good job of putting class in the
spotlight, and that's where it really needs

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00:25:17,039 --> 00:25:21,200
to be, especially as you're describing
you know, trends like how it's a

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00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:26,519
path to upward mobility marriagures a path
to upward mobility, but also as it's

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something that is practiced by people who
are already upwardly mobile. And you talked

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00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,839
about this a little bit earlier,
Abrad but a there's a divide between what's

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00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:40,480
being practiced and preached by elites,
but also that marriage is the best route

347
00:25:40,519 --> 00:25:44,200
to sort of get from point A
to point B. At the same time,

348
00:25:44,319 --> 00:25:48,200
can you break down the class element
a little bit more? Yeah,

349
00:25:48,279 --> 00:25:52,759
So, what we see in both
my book and other other books like Melissa

350
00:25:52,799 --> 00:25:56,640
Kearny's new book, is that working
class and poor Americans are much more likely

351
00:25:56,640 --> 00:26:00,759
to have difficulty getting married in the
first place today being married in the second

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00:26:00,759 --> 00:26:02,880
place. When it comes just to
kind of who's married, we see that

353
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:07,359
a majority of college educated Americans I
call them strivers in my book, are

354
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:12,400
married eighteen fifty five. By contrast, only a minority of Americans with less

355
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:18,519
education and then eighteen fifty five demographic
are married. And then when it comes

356
00:26:18,599 --> 00:26:22,799
to divorce, we see is that
Americans who don't have a college degree are

357
00:26:22,839 --> 00:26:29,880
about sixty percent more likely to get
divorced compared to their peers who do have

358
00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:37,160
a college degree. So there's just
a big gap in terms of both entering

359
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:44,000
marriage and staying married that is associated
with the class divine. I think there's

360
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:48,279
a lot happening with that. But
I think two things worth quickly touching on.

361
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One is that having a large shared
asset is a stabilizing forced married couples

362
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and so more educated, afluent Americans
are more like could have a home fawn

363
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:03,599
together, And that in some in
some ways, just you know is a

364
00:27:03,799 --> 00:27:07,759
you know, is a force for
you know, making people work through you

365
00:27:07,799 --> 00:27:12,759
know, the usual challenges and difficulties
in any marriage. But the second thing

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00:27:12,799 --> 00:27:15,359
that I think is also kind of
playing out here when it comes to this

367
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:22,240
class divide is that we're seeing that
working class and poor couples are market of

368
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:27,759
guys who are not employed full time, and male full time employment are you

369
00:27:27,799 --> 00:27:30,680
know, is just a huge predictor
both of getting married in the first place

370
00:27:30,799 --> 00:27:34,119
and staying married in the second place. There was a Harvard study that found

371
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:40,799
that when mary couple had the wife
loser job, no impact on a risk

372
00:27:40,839 --> 00:27:45,799
of divorce none. When the husband
lost his job, their risk of divorce

373
00:27:45,039 --> 00:27:51,160
surged by about thirty three percent.
So that's an example of I think the

374
00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:53,319
way in which I mean twenty twenty
four is obviously different than nineteen fifty four.

375
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:56,160
And I'm not saying we should go
back nineteen fifties, but I think

376
00:27:56,160 --> 00:28:00,880
it's just important to recognize realize that
even today, women, even women on

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00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:07,839
the on the left, are looking
for guys who have a set of you

378
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:17,319
know, of rates, character endowments
that kind of correspond to being more responsible,

379
00:28:17,559 --> 00:28:22,680
more protective, more likely to be
flourishing in the labor force. And

380
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:26,920
there's an unfortunately as a class divide
that's kind of playing out there now that

381
00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:30,880
is making the case that a lot
of guys work less of our communities are

382
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:37,240
not as marriageable on things like full
time employment. And the other question I

383
00:28:37,279 --> 00:28:42,519
have is on race in particular,
race, class and public policy, the

384
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:48,359
black marriage rate in particular. A
lot of people make the argument that when

385
00:28:48,359 --> 00:28:52,519
you started to see break down the
black family, you started to have public

386
00:28:52,559 --> 00:29:02,079
policy disincentivizing family formation. Great society
is often targeted that in particular, what

387
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:04,880
is the what is the data show
run? So I think it is the

388
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:10,960
case that one reason that there is
a racial divide in American life today when

389
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:15,599
it comes to marriage and family,
that that is is pretty marked. Whereas

390
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:21,319
you were kind of noting the majority
of like Asian Americans, our greer majority

391
00:29:21,319 --> 00:29:26,279
are married, and the slite majority
of whites are in the con demographic and

392
00:29:26,279 --> 00:29:33,000
focusing on only minority of African Americans
are is that. You know, in

393
00:29:33,039 --> 00:29:36,759
the sixties and seventies, a lot
of our means tested programs, a lot

394
00:29:36,799 --> 00:29:41,519
of our welfare programs effectively penalized marriage. You know, it's just kind of

395
00:29:41,519 --> 00:29:45,920
a better financial deal not to get
married in the first place, and just

396
00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:48,920
to live together. And we still
see this dynamic playing out now with more

397
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:52,839
working class couples. That's a complicated
it. It was the poor in the

398
00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:55,000
sixties, it was now, it's
more working class. Just the way in

399
00:29:55,039 --> 00:30:00,400
which you know, benefits are allocated. And because African Americans were or likely

400
00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:03,960
to be lower income in the sixties, and I think they were more affected

401
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:08,960
by this great society dynamic than were
whites, for instance, although it hastened

402
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:11,759
to add to I think there was
a lot happening the culture in the sixties

403
00:30:11,759 --> 00:30:17,759
and seventies too. The sexual Revolution, you know, for instance, would

404
00:30:17,759 --> 00:30:23,759
be one example. The rise in
individualism, civil rights, you know,

405
00:30:23,799 --> 00:30:30,160
all these things were kind of also
I think re calibrating the kind of the

406
00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:34,599
character and context of white and black
family lives in ways that ended up having

407
00:30:34,599 --> 00:30:40,640
a disparate impact on black marriage and
black families. And then economically too,

408
00:30:41,599 --> 00:30:45,799
we know that working class Americans have
been hit harder by the economic changes of

409
00:30:45,839 --> 00:30:51,519
the last you know, fifty years
give or take. In that economic story

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00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:56,759
affected black couples and black men in
particularly important ways. One final piece on

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00:30:56,839 --> 00:31:03,359
this is that a lot of Americans
do not really eyes that from about eighteen

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00:31:03,599 --> 00:31:08,319
seventy to around nineteen forty, depending
upon you know which trends you're looking at,

413
00:31:08,319 --> 00:31:12,599
and focusing on black men and black
women, in that kind of period

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00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:19,960
after the Civil War up to about
the nineteen fifties, black Americans emily were

415
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:25,759
more likely to marry than white Americans. And if you were to kind of

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00:31:25,759 --> 00:31:30,960
go down any street here in Charlottesville
right now, you know, situated residential

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00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:33,960
street, you would find the vast
majority of black and white kids, you

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00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:41,119
know, living in you know,
married homes. So there's just something about

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00:31:41,119 --> 00:31:45,000
the sixties and seventies, i'd say, in terms of public policy, cultural

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00:31:45,079 --> 00:31:48,960
shifts, and economic changes that kind
of led to a situation where African Americans

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00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:52,680
were less likely to marry in the
first place, and then more likely to

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00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:56,319
get divorced in the second place,
And Brad, I could do this all

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00:31:56,359 --> 00:32:00,839
day, but one area that might
be a good spot. So wind down

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00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:05,680
is just that if we were to
hold all things constant in the culture and

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00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,799
create the best American economy of the
last one hundred years, go back to

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00:32:08,839 --> 00:32:14,160
the post war economy something like that. What we're starting to see trends of

427
00:32:14,319 --> 00:32:22,000
among gen z some crazy polling on
gen Z men and women pulling apart from

428
00:32:22,079 --> 00:32:25,759
each other ideologically. We have gen
Z men, at least in the last

429
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:31,279
couple of years, seeming to embrace
some conservative ideas in ways nobody really expected

430
00:32:32,079 --> 00:32:36,559
in a worldview, in ways people
really didn't anticipate, at least to the

431
00:32:36,599 --> 00:32:38,799
degree that it seems to have happened, and how quickly it seems to have

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00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:43,599
happened, and young women getting more
and more liberal. So if we were

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00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:50,200
to hold everything constant in the culture, what would happen? And what do

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00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:54,759
you think is going to happen with
that crazy mismatch? Yeah, I mean,

435
00:32:54,759 --> 00:33:01,079
I think we're looking at deeper ideological
polarization. We're going to see you

436
00:33:01,119 --> 00:33:06,279
know, less marriage less child bearing. I mean, it's already happening obviously

437
00:33:06,279 --> 00:33:08,359
in South Korea in a very extreme
way. So in South Korea, the

438
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:13,960
twenty somethings are pretty polarized between the
sexes, where young men are going right

439
00:33:14,039 --> 00:33:16,720
and when they're going left, having
a lot of difficulty dating, meeting,

440
00:33:16,799 --> 00:33:22,200
marrying, having children as a consequence
in part, and the right leaning twenty

441
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:28,559
something guys helped just elect a conservative
president in South Korea, and it was

442
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:36,079
somewhat of a surprise to some Korean
observers. So that's sort of one scenario.

443
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:40,400
And I think for a long time, a lot of progressives assume that

444
00:33:40,519 --> 00:33:45,880
kind of the rising character of unmarried
America, the fact that there are more

445
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:49,000
and more folks who are not married, would lead in extably to a kind

446
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:52,359
of democratic demographic dominance, like they
sort of thought about kind of trends and

447
00:33:52,359 --> 00:33:59,400
immigration and whatnot. But what I
think they and frankly me did not anticipate

448
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,839
is that it looks like a lot
of single men, younger single men today

449
00:34:04,359 --> 00:34:07,079
are you know, moving right and
in a way some ways that are good,

450
00:34:07,119 --> 00:34:08,960
in some ways that are not great. You know. I think Inentertate's

451
00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:13,239
obviously a great example of how this
can play out in negative ways. And

452
00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:16,199
so for young men who kind of
feel like rejected either romantically or who feel

453
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:21,199
like they don't have a shot at
realizing the American dream in terms of their

454
00:34:21,559 --> 00:34:27,599
you know, education, work opportunities, or abilities. I think that kind

455
00:34:27,599 --> 00:34:31,039
of can lead to a to a
dark place and to a dark politics.

456
00:34:31,519 --> 00:34:37,800
So I would anticipate that kind of
young women who are more progressive is going

457
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:43,920
to kind of push the Democratic Party
in a more radically progressive direction. In

458
00:34:44,039 --> 00:34:47,079
young men who are conservative may be
disappointed with their prospects, you know,

459
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:54,960
both job wise and family wise,
or roman romance wise, could also be

460
00:34:55,000 --> 00:35:01,440
obviously pushing the Republican Party into a
dark place as well, more reactionary angry

461
00:35:01,679 --> 00:35:07,599
politics. So anyways, yeah,
right now, I think the trajectory is

462
00:35:07,639 --> 00:35:12,199
not good, and the challenge is
how do we kind of bridge this to

463
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:15,679
bi between the sexis among our adults, and if we can kind of make

464
00:35:15,039 --> 00:35:21,440
progress in doing that miraculously, our
future as a country, as a civilization

465
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:24,199
is going to be much brighter.
If we can't, I would I would

466
00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:30,400
project more of the same. What
an exciting and optimistic place to end,

467
00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:37,039
Yeah right, yeah, yeah,
I cannot recommend those book and off it's

468
00:35:37,039 --> 00:35:40,320
fantastic it's called once Again Get Married, and Brady timed it for basically a

469
00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:45,920
Valentine's Day release. It's out of
February thirteenth. Was that intentional Harper wanted

470
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:50,840
to do that? Yeah, they
aim for this Valentine's daytiming. Yep.

471
00:35:51,199 --> 00:35:54,320
It's perfect, absolutely perfect, and
especially when people are surrounded by so many

472
00:35:54,360 --> 00:36:00,880
wonderful stories of successful marriages. So
Again Get Married by bradwell Cox. Brad,

473
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:02,760
thank you so much for joining the
show, and it's a pleasure to

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00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:06,880
be with you as as always.
You've been listening to another edition of The

475
00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:08,880
Federalist or a radio hour. I'm
Emily Dashinski, culture editor here at The

476
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:12,920
Federalist. We'll be back soon with
more. Until then, be lovers of

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00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:21,079
freedom and anxious for the Fray.
You got me right, well, you
