Surprise and welcome to the Dynasty Dude podcast. I'm your host, Krey Evans.
I was not planning on releasing two shows this week, but with the
news of Easyel Elliott and Dalvin Cook finding new homes, I had to release
this show immediate reaction to their value. When I was at work during the
day, I saw the Zeke news, thought to myself, interesting, it's
newsworthy, but probably not episode worthy. And then tonight when Dalvin signed with
the Jets, I knew we then had mega fantasy implications and discussion points to
bring up for not only Zeke and Cook, but the entire backfield of now
New England and New York with the Jets, respectively. So let's get right
to it. Talk about Zeke, I'll talk about Dalvin and what I would
do with each of them in Dynasty and all of their running back peers for
this upcoming season. So Elliott signed a one year contract worth up to six
million with New England. The incentives are not fully released yet, while I
learned about at the same time, but I want to make sure I got
this episode out quick to you. So Zeke met as your recall with the
Patriots towards the end of July without a deal. The two sides recently found
common ground. Would not be surprised if the Patriots internally saw the running back
room preseason Week one, We're not impressed and realized that Elliott was needed for
RB two status or change your pace role alongside Ormondre Stevenson, and therefore Elliott
is presumably in line to now compliment and or steal volume from Rmander in twenty
twenty three. Elliott himself is twenty eight, so back end of his career
a huge workload of the college level of the house state. Same with his
time in Dallas. He was a workhorse year and year out, and it's
taking a toll on his body. He's not as quick the verses in there.
We saw twenty Power overtake him efficiency wise in twenty twenty two, not
to mention, looked like the better, more explosive running back when given the
football he's coming off of. That being Zeke his worst or one of his
worst campaigns as a pro with Dallas in twenty twenty two, where he ran
for a two thirty one eight seventy six twelve rushing line three point yards percarry,
the sub four point oh mark for your uppercarry average is always a red
flag on that much volume. He did add seventeen grabs ninety two yards.
That was on twenty three targets as a pass catcher in fifteen games played.
Zeke didn't have much of an off season free agent market if their Cowboys decided
to move on with twenty Pollard. That being said, Elliott, putting pen
to paper with New England spells serious trouble at least from the out to looking
in for Pierre Strong, Kevin Harris, Time Montgomery, and JJ Taylor.
In the short term, it's going to be hard to envision New England keeping
two three of those running backs. Perhaps one or two are sent to the
practice squad and or there's a trade or a cut that takes place. Unfortunately,
if he were relying on Strong, Harris, Montgomery, most not JJ
Taylor, you're in a situation where that depth isn't as important for New England,
let alone now us in dynasty, So I would not be opposed to
cutting ties with them. If there's better waiver wire material out there and available
in your league from the preseason, They're not must roster players any longer.
Even if Zeke is legitimately only here for one year and still looks like a
shell with former self. If he is healthy, he's going to seymore volume
than strong Harris in Montgomery at the top of that pecking order now, Ramadre,
Stevenson, Suldar remain a strong RB two. The presence of Zeke,
along with his reliable short yardage and red zone career usage, undoubtedly puts a
dent into what stevenson ceiling could have been as a feature running back. And
I've been lower on Remandre than most analysts for Redraft and Dynasty. For my
rankings, I didn't assume Zeke would sign. It's not so much that let's
reflect back though on what Remandre did last year a two ten forty and five
rushing line five yards for clip breakout campaign, and it could be a fair
estimation of projection for his twenty twenty three workload. I've mentioned it before and
it's the reason why I'm fading Remindra. The concern I have is Stevenson's receiving
role after over exceeding expectations with a sixty nine four twenty one one log last
year on eighty eight targets. Not too many running backs You're going to carve
out a path to almost seventy catches and nearly ninety targets as a running back,
let alone a wide receiver. So that alone stood out to me as
major aggression possibility for twenty twenty three. Now you factor in Zeke, and
the workload collectively might not be there. For REMNDRAI more of an RB two
than RB one in my opinion, from a broad point of view, I
value Stevenson as now a hold or by low because of the Zeke transaction,
whereas a few weeks ago people are trying to sell high. It's funny how
the dynasty market works. This takes place and people are going to flip the
switch and try to acquire Stevenson at even lower rate than before, which,
if people are being realistic, Zeke is going to impact this backfield, but
he's not going to use surp overtake. Remindra, I'd be shocked or to
occur. That makes Elliott more of a flex who is going to be dependent
on volume touchdowns over efficiency. Then again, less volume could be just what
Zeke needs and more beneficial for him at this stage or his endbout career after
he gain to decline on a per touch basis in twenty twenty two. Like
I discussed earlier, where Pollard was the clear superior back for Dallas, now
Strong Harris Montgomery are fading into fantasy relevancy outside of twelve team or larger dynasty
leagues where you're carrying thirty thirty five forty man rosters. Barrian injury to Stevenson
or Zeke that's the key. So if you have a taxi squad, or
if you have deeper benches, then I think strong Harris should still be rostered.
Montgomery could be expendable just based on age and durability a lack of it
in terms of what he's done over the past few seasons. Even if he
has a receiving role for the Patriots, what are the odds that it's sustainable
week over week? If anything, Zeke might steal rushing volume from Monrey and
then suddenly Stevenson once again is relevant as a pass catcher more than we thought
he ever would be. That isn't less. New England has plans a feature
stronger Montgomery. I'm passing downs which could lower a Montre stock even furthest There's
a lot of variables in play here. But bottom line is that Zeke is
going to shake up this backfield rushing and target distribution more so than what it
would have been a week ago. So therefore Stevenson more of an RB two
for me. Zeke flex radar could have some spike RB two weeks, but
he's going to be reliant on set volume and finding the end zone time for
quick break. And I will discuss Dalvin Cook in detail as well. All
right, So Dalvin Cook signed a one year, eight point six million dollar
contract with the Jets, ninth highest paid running back based on AAV and if
any contract details change, it's not as important as the actual signing to a
team. That's what we're working with right now. Eight point six million.
Dalvin knew his worth and kudos to him remain patient in the open market after
Minnesota decided to move forward with Alexander Madison instead. In the short term,
cook landing with the Jets is less than ideal for briefe Halt. To me,
it means that Breee will be eased in more than head coach Robert Salo
has led on. From a fantasy perspective, the album figures to be more
of a redraft over Dynasty asset in his age twenty eight campaign. Suddenly,
though, he is a considerable value if you bought low on him in Dynasty.
For contenders, if you're still rebuilding in the middle of the pack,
can flip or cash out on Dalvin now that he has a home for this
season. Their ability has long been Cook's downside and fantasy. He's actually still
recovering from offseason shoulder surgery to fix a torn labram. However, his effectiveness
has not dipped to the same level of his ECO Elliott, so I'm not
concerned about him declining significantly. In twenty twenty two with the Vikings, the
album posted out put at two sixty four eleven seventy three eight for four point
four yards per totes, and then thirty nine two ninety five two with fifty
six targets. In seventeen eighth play. He was the PPR RB eleven to
a back end RB one. Clearly the Jets still think he has that level
of skill set left in him, Otherwise wouldn't have dished out eight point six
million when their running back depth was good, if not great, compared to
most NFL teams. Listen, I don't think RB one potential exists for Dalvin
twenty the Jets unless Hall miss a significant time and eventually Hall will be back
sooner than later to split or take over this backfield. I think it'll be
an RBBC. If Breeze is fully healthy mid season or four or five weeks
into the campaign, then it could be a seventy thirty split sixty forty.
This is pure conjecture. Time will tell. We don't know what the Jet's
intentions are, but they've been linked to Dalvin Cook for quite some time,
so clearly there was mutual interest to lock down a deal. And I'll speak
in a Breese Hall. The addition of Dalvin could severely limit the redraft outlook
to back end RB one, if not RB two territory with some fluctuation in
workload. Breese's Dynasty value doesn't change much, if at all, twenty two
years old as one of the NFL's best young running backs. So if this
window opens up any opportunity to buy low on Breeze, Hall and Dynasty strike
immediately capitalize on Dalvin Cook's signing a lucrative deal with the Jets. Don't wait,
because eventually the dust will settle, Breese will be back and Dalvin won't
be as valuable as he is right now. Now, if you are in
redraft or dynasty and you have briefe Haw already been doing what it takes to
acquire Dalvin even for a one year deal, makes sense to have the backfield
on lock. This transaction more or less should allow Breese to recover full instead
of rushing back for Week one, where he was unlikely to be at full
strength to begin with. Now, depth chart wise, the Jets have expendable
running backs to work with. Michael Carter's out of a night's Israel Abanaconda.
Based on Izzie's preseason success and fifth round draft capital, I doubt that his
roster spot isn't Jeppard. He's looked impressive with his speed, burst, spin
move in the open field ability. We've seen it now two weeks in the
preseason. He's the real deal. The best part is, at only twenty
years old twenty one October, you don't have to rely You weren't relying on
Izzie for twenty twenty three. He's a long term investment to hopefully become what
Dalvin is right now, two haul in twenty twenty four and beyond as a
result, I'm still optimistic and excited about selecting Abantaconda at a third or fourth
round valuation for rookie draft capital and letting him sit develop for a few your
dividends. On the flip side, one or both of Michael Carter's Out of
a Night could be traded or cut prior to Week one. That would not
surprise anybody at this point, because it's going to be a mixture of Reesell
and Dalvin Cook, with Cook having the early season egge. Assuming he's back
from his torn labraam the shoulder surgery. He needs to get some reps to
get up the speed. That much is for sure. Hope you all enjoyed
this instant immediate value reaction episode where I talked about not only Zeke and Dalvin
Cook, but the ramifications for the Patriots backfield and the Jets and how it
shakes out in Redraft and Dynasty. A few shout outs here at the end.
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Zeke Cook a lot to work with here. More news, of course
come out over the next few days, but I want to get that instant
reaction delivered to you, my little audience. Until next time. This is
the Dynasty checking out. Talk to you all next week. See you