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What is up, fellow thermonuclear a
efforts. I am Damn Valley coming at

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you with the second mail bag and
final mailbag of this week and the sixth

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podcast. Or is it the seventh
of this week? It's the seventh of

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this week. Either you're welcome or
I'm sorry. I don't know which one

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it is. I split this mail
bag into two parts because we had so

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many great questions from discord. We
will dive right in soon. Just the

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user reminder. If you're watching this
on YouTube, please hit that subscribe button.

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If you're new to the channel,
Like all our videos, comment help

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the algorithm love us back for a
change. If you're listening to this on

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a podcast player for the first time, consider throwing us that permit subscription.

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I know we have a lot of
new listeners during the off season when I'm

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not, a lot of podcasts are
putting out content. It means the world

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to me that you're here, But
definitely please consider staying. As we get

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into the season, there's more content
coming out. I try and do the

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best job I can to be thoroughly
un serious here but also thoroughly cover the

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league as well. We have a
lot of fun in our discord, so

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go join that. The link is
in the podcast and YouTube description. All

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our social accounts follow us there.
That's in the YouTube and podcast description as

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well. The biggest thing you can
do, though, is subscribe on your

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podcast player, download every episode,
subscribe to us on YouTube. Help us

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get to at least I would like
to get to like one hundred k subscribers

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at one point, but help us
get to like two k plus before the

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season starts. We're not terribly far
away from that, just a few hundred

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subscribers away there, So help us
out on YouTube. And if you've done

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all those things, word of mouth
still helps us. Recommend us retweet our

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promos. You could shout us out
on Twitter and post a link to something

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we've done that you like, or
you know a clip that you enjoyed,

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and I will retweet it and engage
with you if I see it. With

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that out of the way, though, let's cannonball into this mail bag a

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lot of fun questions in this one. We begin with unbiased Pistons fan,

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which MBA player has the worst sneaker
design, and which play that doesn't have

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one needs to get one? In
parentheticals, Jesus Christ, please start the

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NBA season. I feel I like
hate having to pick the worst one,

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but so I went through them before
I did this, and I think Donovan

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Mitchell the Adidas Deo n issue,
I didn't like it. It's just like

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boxy and some of the color ways
were cool, but it feels like they

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should look sleeker, and it's probably
because he doesn't want them to, but

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like, I prefer a like.
I don't like the Lebrons. I just

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wasn't gonna pick Lebron. Those just
seem like bulky as hell that I don't

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like. But the Mitchell one,
Mitchell's sort of skews that way, and

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it feels like if they were lower
cut or a little bit slimmer, I

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could like them. And there's just
like his nickname with Spider, it feels

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like there's you know, some of
the designs have actually been pretty cool from

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what I was looking at in the
specific color ways, but it feels like

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the sneaker itself could be so much
more creative and just have a better aesthetic

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when you're when you're looking at the
actual the shape of it, and maybe

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just the the heft from Afar.
I'm not saying it's heavy. I've never

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held one, but not a fan
of it. Uh. Which NBA player

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needs one? Luca just got one. So if anyone is just wondering why

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he's not the pick here, I
think John Moran, Anthon Edwards, Tatum,

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Devin Booker, they all kind of
deserve one. It seems like Devin

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Booker's content to just continue rolling with
the Kobe's and some of them, like

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the shoes he wears are are pretty
cool. But like either one of those

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four, I think you're the obvious
picks the one I would like to see,

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just the one I would like to
see because he might be the most

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stylish person in the NBA. Let's
give Shay Gili Alexander a signature shoe,

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please, Like, what would that
look like? Would it be like floral

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print on anything? Would be mixing
like bright fluorescent pink with neon orange.

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I just I feel like it would
be super badass. Let's just give Shay.

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Let's give him his own signa shoe, like, maybe even just a

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lifestyle shoe. It doesn't have to
be a basketball shoe. Willow, I'd

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like to see them wear of them
on the court. I do, I

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guess I don't. I was about
to say, could you make like a

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a weight training show? Like I
was in love with the Nike met Cons

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for a while. Now I tend
to work out in converses unless I'm doing

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cardio. So if someone wants to
give Shay a Converse deal or something,

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and then can we make a Shay
Guild justs Alexander Converse, Chuck Taylor seventy

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color or Chuck Taylor? What is
it six? What are the classic Chucks?

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Is what I wear? Low cut? I want to see the Shay

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Gilds Alexander color Way color Ways pural
because I will buy them. That's just

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flat out tour Gruff asked. I
listened to a few hours of NBA podcasts

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a week, parentheticals, thank goodness
for yours almost daily during this drive spell

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thank you, tour Gruff. But
I still don't have a great hold on

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cap sheets, how contracts are structured, et cetera. How did you learn

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all this stuff? And what would
you recommend to someone who wants to learn

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it. So it's different because I
do enjoy it, but I had to

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learn it from my job. So
I did pour over and they're by the

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way. They are people that are
way way, way way better than me

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on this. I want to make
that clear. I don't consider myself an

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expert. Bryan to porek Over at
the NBA podcast Slash also my co worker

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at Pleacher Report fantastic with it,
or Pink Pincus also co worker Pleacher Report,

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Nate Duncan and Danny LaRue are great
with it as well. But I'd

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recommend you can google it if you
need the link. I'm not gonna include

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it in the description just because like
some of the podcast players don't actually like

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include the physical link to it,
so that's not going to help you.

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But Larry Coon's CBA FAQ that does
a lot, Like you can read through

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it or you can sort of you
bounce around search certain terms like if you're

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looking for like bird rights, like
just command F on your Mac or control

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F on your your desktop and your
search bird rights and you can read up

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on on that stuff. So that
really helped me a lot, And I

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still go back to it to confirm
things to make sure that especially when I'm

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writing when I'm podcasting, it's a
little different. You guys point out when

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I make mistakes, but it's just
like this is we're all friends here.

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This is informal, but I'm not
trying to get fired from Bleacher Report.

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I understand I have a very cushy
gig there, so that helped a lot.

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I would also recommend like contract details
if you're following guys, it helps

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a ton like Keith Smith over at
spow Track and then just the Spowtrack details

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on the contracts our spectacle, you
can click on a you can see the

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incentives, the scale to which they're
their raises are coming in if you and

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they also have cap sheets and so
if you're trying to understand like where the

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calculations are coming from with the salary
cap you have to spend some time around

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build your own spreadsheets with them using
that data or just looking at theirs and

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seeing it, but you can.
They really do a good job breaking it

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down at spow Track, and the
CBA f a Q is a really a

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really useful resource. I also will
say, like if you hoops Rumors does

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a good job of keeping track of
the traded player exceptions if you're trying to

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understand how those work, and if
you want to know how a TPE works,

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you go to Larry kuon f a
Q. And now I feel like

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that's all overwhelming to kind of just
throw at you. And so if you're

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a fan tour graph of a specific
team, I would say the resources I've

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thrown at you, the CBA,
f a Q, use there. If

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I had to say which cap sheets
use, go to spowtrack and use the

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cap sheet that they have listed there. Read through it, study it,

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try to figure out what your what
the actual like cap space that they have,

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Like challenge yourself for this next year
to understand how much cap space will

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your Orlando Magic have projected right now
twenty two, twenty two, twenty three,

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and spo track will give you that
number. There are people like me

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who have like my own spreadsheets,
but I'm relying on all these other people

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for information. But use that number
and then kind of see how they arrive

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to it because they do a good
job of breaking it down. And there

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are things like and don't be afraid
to ask people if you're having a specific

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like I will try and answer as
many questions as possible. I know I

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go awhile listeners sometimes not checking discord, not checking my dms, not checking

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YouTube one. There are too many
social media the things that I'm honoring,

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but like I'm around to answer quickly
about that. It can be like and

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sometimes you forget stuff like sometimes I
forget the cake in like a minimum roster

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charge, and you have to go
and find like what a minimum roster charge

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is going to be projected that season
real GM. If you search real GM

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salary cap, one of the first
links that come up will be the projected

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salary caps, the mid level exception, the h like the minimum contracts for

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players, then minimid level exception,
the luxury tax that like you know,

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so what the hard cap is going
to be? That stuff is great too,

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And I think all the terminology that
I'm throwing out there, the biggest

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one I would say is the CBA
FAQ because if you're hearing hardcap, if

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you're hearing mid level exception, and
you need to understand why a team is

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using that or can't use it like
CBA f a Q, search for those

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terms and they'll come up. And
that's how I really did teach myself.

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And then read like the people or
listen to the people that I talked about,

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because a lot of them are writing. Danny LaRue at the Athletic If

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you have an athletic suscription will do
a lot of cat breakdowns all the time.

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They do it on their podcast as
well and dunked on all the time.

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Brian to Porrek writes that you can
get it free on Forbes. He's

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always writing cap breakdowns. Really go
read. Brian to Porrek is actually one

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of the best round at doing this
right now, just because it's not behind

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a paywall. Go check out.
He's really doing it a lot with the

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Sixers go back. I can read
some of his stuff about how the Sixers

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were able to afford PJ. Tucker
while resigning James Harden like he had that

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mapped out before it actually happened,
So that would be a recommendation too.

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If this was too rambly for you, hit me on the side. But

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that's how I learned the at least
the base of knowledge that I have,

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and I'm still learning with it still
forgetting things, and it's I'm since I

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do enjoy transactions and the theoretical or
at least looking forward. It is something

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that like, if you enjoy it, I think it makes it easier.

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But I can understand why, like
throwing terminology. When I listened to like

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Yo, some of the things that
they say, like dunker Spot what a

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fantastic podcast. Like some of the
stuff they throw out there when we're talking

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about XS and ohs, I have
to look up or rewind it and try

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and understand what they were saying.
It's like when I'm watching Playbreakdown from Kaitlyn

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Cooper writing spectacular. Thank God she's
such a good writer, so I can

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understand what's happening, But like I
have to watch the clips she's showing a

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lot of the time to see what's
happening and understand that that's that's how you

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learn. And sometimes it's just that
stuff still makes me shaky, but that's

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how you go about it, in
my humble opinion. I don't know if

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any of that sounded humble though,
So if I came off like a like

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00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:09,279
an ass hat, my apologies.
Saint Underscore, Dally Space jam Lebron is

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in a new video game Brawler with
a lot of under other Warner Brothers characters.

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If you were creating an NBA fighting
video game, which players would you

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need on the day one game roster? So I wanted to limit myself.

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I went with current players. We
had some in the discord. There are

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people who like named the Malice of
the Palace players and ron our test was

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in there. So I went with
current players and I built what my starting

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five would be. And I don't
give a shit about position, like I

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just want I want to win in
this fight. These are the five that

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I settled on. Jannis, Kyle
Lowry, and come on, anyone,

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I love Kyle Lowry, even if
you don't love Kyle Lowry. The dude

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is tough and he will he will
scrap and claw and play dirty if he

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needs to. PJ. Tucker,
I don't ever want to fight PJ.

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Tucker. Steven Adams, that might
be the toughest guy in the NBA.

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He's leaned down a bit, but
like there was a point where you could

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do just like pull ups on his
SEPs, and then there's Zion Williamson.

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00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:03,960
You could actually do pull ups on
his biceps. I don't know that Zion

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has this reputation is being tough.
He is built like a brick walls brick

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wall. Even if you think he's
out of shape, which I don't like.

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I'm sure that's been a battle behind
the scenes, but like we've seen

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what Zion kind of looks like in
shape, and that dude is just like

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00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:26,200
a fucking marble statue that is somehow
mass and like peek Zion like and the

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explosion. If you think that Zion
doesn't cut it, I could see like

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a Jay Crowder in here. But
my five would be Zion, Jannie,

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Kyle Lowry, Stephen Adams, PJ
Tucker. What would yours be? Let

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00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:39,919
me know, Discord, Twitter,
whatever, YouTube comments. That was a

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00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:46,039
fun one and I'm really liking my
non negotiable inclusions. I think Johanna,

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Steven Adams, and PJ Tucker is
like, you might be able to talk

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me into some others other than Zion
or Kyle Lowry, but like I'm gonna

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need Zion, Steven Adams, and
PJ Tucker in this. And no,

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00:11:52,919 --> 00:11:56,879
I don't want fucking Patrick Beverley on
my team, no, no, thank

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00:11:56,919 --> 00:12:00,879
you in this. Tieball Defensive Player
of the Year is Hardened. Status is

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00:12:00,919 --> 00:12:05,679
a former in parenthetical superstar hurting and
beads MVP chances, assuming this season he

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00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:09,080
can adequately replicate his success in Brooklyn. He then said, I'm very interested

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00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,840
to see what you hear, what
you have to say about this, given

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00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:16,039
what you said on the last podcast
when he gave out the six ers grades

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00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:20,519
spoiler alert, I gave them an
A and so to grant here's my thing.

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00:12:20,799 --> 00:12:24,919
If Harden is actually worse, I
think it only helps Joel Embiad's MVP

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chances because he's gonna be viewed as
someone who doesn't have to carry Harden,

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but uplift the roster more than you
would expect with another star. And I

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do think there's the issue of cannibalization
when we get here where it's just like

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it's harder for you know, when
Golden State. Right now, it's not

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harder for Staff to be in the
MVP discussion because he's no longer playing with

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Kevin Durant Lucas on his own.
But like if you're Kevin duran and Kyrie

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Irving playing a full season together,
if you're Kawhi Leonard and Paul George Lebron

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James Zanthy Davis, separating yourself gets
harder. Jannis is different because the two

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stars below him are just not on
the same plane. And so when you're

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dealing with stars that are equals or
at least like, let's just say two

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top twenty players, which I think
at some point Drew Holliday and Chris Milton

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I don't know if it was at
the same time, I probably might have

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both had them in that area.
But they're not consensus. When you're talking

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about Paul George and Kawai Kyrie and
KD like at their peaks, they're all

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consensus Top twenty, lebron A d
consensus top ten, although I don't know

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if AD's a top ten player anymore. Talk about some tough questions to ask.

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So, but do I think like
the fact that Harden I still think

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is going to be really good and
just looking at some of the moments of

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births he had, I known it
wasn't constant in Philly. Let's give the

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dude an off season where he's not
changing teams, where he's actually happy with

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his situation. He's with Darryl Moorey
again, has PJ. Tucker, Daniel

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House there. He seems to like
playing with Joel Embiid. His workload is

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just it's ardably lighter than it's ever
been now too, because you have Embiid

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and like you went from Houston,
where yeah, like Chris Paul I think

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was most helpful to him and he
adapted his game a lot for Russ.

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But then you go to like he
were still the guy, and you still

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had this absurdly high usage rate and
we're tasked with doing so much, and

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we know that Chris Paul, you
know, was injured at the twenty eighteen

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playoff run. I think it was
like or just had like the hamstring stuff

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going around for them, and then
Russ was just imperfect for a huge part

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of the season. They had a
change the makeup of the roster. You

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go to Brooklyn where like injuries playing
you during that three quarter season whatever,

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you're there, you yourself, but
then just also Kyrie and kd as well,

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You're banged up this past season.
Kyrie is not available, Kevin Durant

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gets banged up. You seem like
you were visually banged up, Slash,

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you quit on a team. So
now let's put you in Philly. Yes,

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Joel embiid if he spotty health as
well, but like, if you're

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healthier and this is like the spot
that you now actually want to be in,

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he might be the best player on
the team. Like that's not I

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just want to make it clear,
like I think that the conversation about Harden

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being this former superstar has gone too
far off the rails. If he's really

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not. Your reports are that he's
in great shape. Yeah, it's all

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this off season shot shit, you
know, game ten pounds of muscle but

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still single digit body fat, had
the perfect offseas season. If he's still

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like not taking care of his body
now that he's on the wrong side of

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thirty, yeah, I get the
concern, but like this, this isn't

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someone who went from an MVP candidate
when he was with Brooklyn that first season,

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Like when he finished that season,
he kind of worked himself into the

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outskirts of that conversation that like these
drop offs, they're not that steep when

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there's no like real underlying cause at
like a serious injury and if his hamstring

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is just fucked Okay, but I
really think I would bet on Harden winning

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MVP before and bat this season,
and mostly because the odds plus seven thousand,

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Like that's that's something I think.
I'm not don't take this advice,

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but like you invest in that and
then you sell back to the sports book

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because they're worried about that hitting and
you take a smaller profit. That's That's

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where I'm at with that. So
I I I but if to the point

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of this question, assuming Harden is
what he was in Brooklyn that first season

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he was there. Yes, it's
harder for Joel and b to win MVP

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00:15:56,399 --> 00:16:00,399
because I do think that there's there's
overlap and vote and we've seen it with

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Yokich and this look, this is
part of why Yokich was my MVP.

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Like I view, uplifting a roster
that doesn't have a star a fellow star

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with you to being a fringe contender
is actually harder than uplifting a team with

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another top five, top ten NBA
player UH to contender status. Now,

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maybe some people disagree, and depending
on the season that Joel Bead is having

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or vice versa, that could change. But if Harden is the player that

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he was when he closed but when
he was healthy in Brooklyn, not this

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past season, but twenty one,
it's Harden who's going to be more in

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the MVP conversation than in my opinion, and I think a lot of that's

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just gonna have to be with the
agency, the control that Harden has over

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the offense in those situations where yeah, there they'll be like you'll run the

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offense through both of them and you'll
stagger their minutes some. But he's going

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to be the one that I think
is like I'm not thinking like we just

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know the ball is gonna be in
his hands first. When you're getting into

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crunch time, maybe you still run
stuff through and bead. And again we

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saw Harden I think adapt more than
people will credit him for when he had

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Russ with the Rockets. Like,
He's still going to be the go to

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option unless he's completely cooked. And
so if you're telling me that James Harden

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is still a superstar, the superstar
that he was when Brooklyn first got him,

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then yes, I think it definitely
hurts Joe Embiad's MVP chances with without

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question. And look, that was
part of the appeal for embed the past

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two years. It's just yeah,
the Sixers we were really good, but

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last season it was because Ben Simmons
wasn't there and Tyrius Maxi was your second

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best player. And then just even
with UH, you know in twenty twenty

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twenty one, Jimmy Butler had left
UH, like Ben Simmons was. He

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00:17:36,799 --> 00:17:38,799
had like some really good moments through
that that stretch of the year. But

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you know, Joe, well Embiad
was the he had to lead this like

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heliocentric existence and for the most part, and just the fact that he did

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more and there weren't limitations ascribed to
his game, and he didn't have a

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teammate who was in the same vein
where his second best teammate was considered flawed

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00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:00,920
in Ben Simmons, Like, that's
gonna help you too. And so I'm

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trying to think of like another example
where like it would be like Trey Young,

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like it was kind of on that
like, because the gap between Trey

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00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:12,680
Young and John Collins is probably about
the same between Joel and Bead and Ben

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Simmons we're talking about this season.
Maybe that's a maybe that's a terrible example,

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00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:19,759
but you're not close to when it's
not like a co equal. But

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00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:23,440
yo, Devin Booker and Chris Paul
and Phoenix, and there's also I think

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a certain caliber of player you need
to be that voters are just gonna a

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shoe. But that's a different story
altogether. So I would argue I'm investing

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in Harden's MVP odds because I'm probably
I'm a risk taker at this stuff.

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I don't I consider myself risk averse
in life, although I am doing something

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00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:42,799
at the moment that is probably just
actually fucking stupid. But that's a delirious

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00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:48,200
right now, please just ignore that. So so I'm risk averse in general

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00:18:48,319 --> 00:18:51,200
in life, but like when it
comes to this stuff, I'm starting to

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trust my instincts a little bit more, take more chances when I'm making predictions.

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00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,720
If I actually believe, I'm not
going to just uh, you know,

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subscribe to group think or the general
consensus if I really don't believe it.

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00:19:00,319 --> 00:19:03,079
I just feel like this could be
a bounce back here for Harden because

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of how far perception is shifted,
and that almost helps him MVP chances because

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the baseline or his floor has been
set so low and we're just assuming not

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00:19:12,319 --> 00:19:17,279
we but people are just assuming he's
hit that floor. So but to answer

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00:19:17,319 --> 00:19:19,319
your question, tyble dpo y,
I know that I went on this long

314
00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:23,720
rant. I do think that hardened
status if he's actually, you know,

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00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:27,640
worse than he was during that time
in Brooklyn. Like if he is not

316
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,359
the best, if I beat is
the best player on the sixers by a

317
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:34,279
minor margin, it's a problem for
his MVP chances. If the gap is

318
00:19:34,319 --> 00:19:38,119
actually wider like it was yeah for
most of James Harden's time in Philly this

319
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:41,319
past year. If that's the Harden
you get all season, and bead is

320
00:19:41,319 --> 00:19:44,920
going to be right in the fick
of the MVP discussion. But if Harden

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is what he was with the Nets, I would just argue, not only

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00:19:47,559 --> 00:19:52,079
does it hurt jaw Mban's MVP case, but Harden might have a stronger one

323
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:56,000
than him at that point. Lance, Roberson, And this is a question

324
00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:57,160
I did not get to on one
of the last mail bags. I forgot

325
00:19:57,200 --> 00:20:00,200
about it, but I remembered here, So I do hope you're list nang,

326
00:20:00,319 --> 00:20:03,799
Lance, who is the most likely
team to disappoint expectations this season?

327
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I think my initial inclination was to
go with Dallas or Chicago, but I

328
00:20:07,599 --> 00:20:11,559
don't know that expectations are high enough
for that. I do still kind of

329
00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:14,920
lean towards Dallas because they have Luca, and teams are just gonna People will

330
00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:18,039
tend to think, oh, top
five seven player or whatever he is,

331
00:20:18,039 --> 00:20:19,440
like, he'll they'll navigate out of
it. They just you know, they

332
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:22,599
got to the conference finals, and
you know Jalen Brunson isn't the superstar,

333
00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:27,759
so whatever fair So I'll throw them
in there. If the expectations are still

334
00:20:27,759 --> 00:20:30,960
that high, but I do think
that the consensus is still sort of low

335
00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:36,079
on them. I think it's gonna
be the Grizzlies just if you're I don't

336
00:20:36,079 --> 00:20:38,200
want to call them the Hawks,
that team that made it to the conference

337
00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:41,759
finals and then fell off a cliff
this past year. I think they're better,

338
00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,480
more sustainable than that. But you
just had the second best record in

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00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:47,759
the league. And if you're expecting
them to replicate that type of success,

340
00:20:48,039 --> 00:20:51,559
if the West is healthier and by
extension deeper, and you're dealing with this

341
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:56,920
Jaron Jackson junior injury, and you're
now relying on your internal development even more

342
00:20:56,119 --> 00:21:00,200
because it's not just oh, we
have John Randt, Desmond Bane and Aaron

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00:21:00,319 --> 00:21:03,000
Jackson Jr. You're at a point
where like you need David Roddy, Jake

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00:21:03,079 --> 00:21:07,079
la Ravia, Brandon Clark because I
You're Williams like two of those guys to

345
00:21:07,079 --> 00:21:10,599
play pivotal roles. And that just
gets a little a little iffy. And

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00:21:10,599 --> 00:21:12,839
so that's my pick. I've been
pretty upfront about that for a majority of

347
00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:15,359
the off season. I'm prepared to
be wrong because I've been wrong about the

348
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Grizzlies for three years running, and
I just hope Grizzlies fans don't take it

349
00:21:18,319 --> 00:21:26,759
as an insult. Jaws fantastic.
I saw on Twitter someone said that Jaren

350
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:30,079
Jackson Junior is just like Miles Turner
with a different green light or something.

351
00:21:30,079 --> 00:21:33,279
I just think he's better than that
when you look at what he can do

352
00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:37,079
offensively. So I remain high on
the Grizzlies long term, and they could

353
00:21:37,079 --> 00:21:41,240
be just as good as they were
last season technically, but the wind total

354
00:21:41,319 --> 00:21:45,599
might be significantly lower. Haitian Mamba
DM me and asked, Hi, my

355
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,519
friend Hope Paul as well mail bad
question. I'm sure if you're familiar with

356
00:21:48,519 --> 00:21:52,559
the w NBA playoff format, but
their first round is the best of three,

357
00:21:52,799 --> 00:21:55,319
with the higher seed getting first two
games at home and if necessarily,

358
00:21:55,319 --> 00:21:56,759
the last on the road. I
am familiar with that, thank you,

359
00:21:56,799 --> 00:22:00,240
though I kind of love that format. Could the NBA one go back to

360
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,160
Round one best of five and two? Could they adopt a format like the

361
00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:07,759
w NBA's first round to make the
first round very exciting and give lower season

362
00:22:07,759 --> 00:22:11,880
more of a chance of upset?
So I let's answer the second question first.

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00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:12,920
I don't think I think the NBA
is ever going to do best of

364
00:22:14,039 --> 00:22:18,480
three in the first round. They
might sort of you know, elongate or

365
00:22:18,519 --> 00:22:22,119
extend the play in to make it
that route, and that's almost what it

366
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:25,200
is for certain teams, Like there's
one you win one and you're in,

367
00:22:25,279 --> 00:22:29,039
and then other teams have to win
two, so like two in a row

368
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:32,160
to get in. But maybe they
adopt a different format for the play in.

369
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,920
I don't think that'll ever be the
first round. I love the WNBA

370
00:22:36,039 --> 00:22:41,880
having the best of three first round
because it bakes in that opportunity for randomness,

371
00:22:41,079 --> 00:22:45,240
which I think, and upsets,
which is great. The NBA dropping

372
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,200
down that low like best of five, I would love to see it just

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00:22:48,279 --> 00:22:52,039
because it increases the likelihood that you
get the upsets in the first round.

374
00:22:52,039 --> 00:22:56,680
But I think the NBA likes the
idea of the best teams being able to

375
00:22:56,680 --> 00:23:00,559
win the title. But I do
think that if you're that much better than

376
00:23:00,599 --> 00:23:03,519
a team, you should still be
able to beat them three and five rather

377
00:23:03,559 --> 00:23:07,079
than four of seven. But I
would love the first round to go back

378
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:10,559
to to best of five. I
don't see them doing it to cutting the

379
00:23:10,599 --> 00:23:14,440
gate revenue. And like I said, they or at least publicly they'll say

380
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:15,960
like, oh, well this,
you know, it makes it harder.

381
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,519
We want the best teams after the
BOT. They want the regular season to

382
00:23:18,559 --> 00:23:22,000
matter, and it matters just a
little bit less if it's all of a

383
00:23:22,039 --> 00:23:25,359
sudden best of five in the first
round. But from a chaotic perspective,

384
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:27,000
hell fucking yeah, I give me
best of five. I will say what

385
00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:30,240
I don't like about the w MBA
format, and I'm sure it's done to

386
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:33,519
cut down on travel costs. I
don't like two one. I like one

387
00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:41,480
one one because not having the like
the higher seed have that like final home

388
00:23:41,519 --> 00:23:45,160
game, have home court advantage in
that I would go one one one to

389
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,920
do that. But I do I
do enjoy that format. Next question comes

390
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:53,200
from I'm gonna say this one for
last sauce. It's just a fun light

391
00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:59,240
one. This next question comes from
I don't know why I don't have the

392
00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:03,799
name. Oh. This question comes
from b J. Dunster aka Anthony.

393
00:24:03,839 --> 00:24:06,799
So it comes from Anthony. Excuse
me for stumbling through that. Who were

394
00:24:06,839 --> 00:24:08,519
some guys you think are most positioned
to make or break their teams the season

395
00:24:08,599 --> 00:24:11,200
this year? I'm thinking teams who
either probably or definitely will be in the

396
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:15,559
playoffs. Mix. He then sent
me a thread of his thoughts, and

397
00:24:15,559 --> 00:24:18,640
we do have some overlap here.
I did frame it like this, I'm

398
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:22,039
looking at it, and I included
health, and I'm gonna just rip through

399
00:24:22,079 --> 00:24:26,319
some of the easier ones quickly.
But players that are the difference between their

400
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:30,400
team maybe being title contenders and just
not being completely out of it, and

401
00:24:30,799 --> 00:24:33,680
like the actual they have more question
marks than if they do have if they

402
00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:37,319
do have other players on their teams
where you could say, oh what if

403
00:24:37,599 --> 00:24:40,440
I like, I don't have Lebron
ray D on this because it's what if

404
00:24:40,519 --> 00:24:45,400
Lebron ray D gets injured. I'm
thinking about like less known quantities if they're

405
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:49,359
healthy, and also like they are
the bigger uncertainty on their team. So

406
00:24:49,519 --> 00:24:52,799
we'll start off with this. I
have Kawai with the Clippers just because he

407
00:24:52,839 --> 00:24:56,279
missed so much time. I'm gonna
have him instead of Paul George, even

408
00:24:56,279 --> 00:24:59,000
though Paul George missed a bunch of
time. But if you have Kawai being

409
00:24:59,079 --> 00:25:02,839
Kawai of elable for the playoffs,
you're a title contender. If you don't,

410
00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:04,359
you might be a title favorite.
If you don't, you might not

411
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:07,960
even be a playoff team. I
think they'd still be a playoff team,

412
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,920
but you need him. I've Michael
Porter Junior with the Nuggets, and I'm

413
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:12,640
hesitant about this because I don't think
they need him to be a contender,

414
00:25:12,759 --> 00:25:17,839
but I do think if he's healthy
and playing like up to what he was

415
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:22,640
in twenty twenty one, we're talking
about a title favorite, a juggernaut here,

416
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,319
and I'm assuming like you could go
MPJA or Jamal Murray here. I

417
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,799
think the Nuggets need at least one
of them to pick up where they left

418
00:25:29,799 --> 00:25:33,799
off to be in that upper echelon
of contention discussion, which isn't the spicy

419
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:36,440
take, and so I'm going with
MPJA. I think I'm not really worried

420
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:38,759
about Murray. It's just mpj's back
stuff. It's been dogging him his entire

421
00:25:38,799 --> 00:25:44,039
career from before he got to the
NBA. If he's going to be fine

422
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:47,319
and he's going to be the one
that continues to progress, the Nuggets all

423
00:25:47,319 --> 00:25:52,119
of a sudden go from like interesting
QT contender, Dan's title pick, but

424
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:56,000
people think he's an idiot too.
Oh, they might be among the top

425
00:25:56,039 --> 00:26:00,599
three title favorites. I have James
Harden with the Sixers as well. We

426
00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:04,839
already went through that just perception of
him seems to have just devolved so much,

427
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:08,000
so appreciably over the course of the
past year. If he is James

428
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:11,640
Harden like he was in that first
season in Brooklyn, what he was or

429
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:15,119
most at that time and that season
in Brooklyn, like we're like, the

430
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:18,880
Sixers need to be put in Tier
one of contenders in the East, like

431
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:21,920
we have Boston and Milwaukee and then
everyone else. I think rightfully so right

432
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:25,640
now, like the Sixers would belong
in there even more so than to eat

433
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:29,880
more so than the Raptors. For
me, I have Ben Simmons with the

434
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:33,119
Nets at this point because if they're
gonna keep Kyrie and Kad and that's like

435
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:36,319
I don't want to pick anyone for
the Nets, and you could say Katie's

436
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:38,440
health, but Ben Simmons, if
he's healthy, he just brings a whole

437
00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:42,240
new dimension to their defense, and
they have enough shooting to make that roster

438
00:26:42,319 --> 00:26:48,680
interesting, even if I don't love
the idea of Simmons on offense there because

439
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:49,920
if you're putting the ball in his
hands, you're taking out of Kadi or

440
00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:55,759
Kyrie's which they're capable of working through. But that's not something you want to

441
00:26:55,759 --> 00:26:57,799
do too heavy handedly. You need
Ben Simmons to do more off the ball.

442
00:26:57,839 --> 00:27:00,720
I would say most likely as screener, which we just haven't seen too

443
00:27:00,799 --> 00:27:03,960
much of it his career, so
there's that element to that. But just

444
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:07,720
if he's healthy, that team could
be like their outcome is winning a title,

445
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:10,839
but it could also be playing.
They're more likely to be in that

446
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:14,319
upper echelon of team though, if
his back is holding up. And then

447
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:18,799
these last two are the most interesting
to me. I'm Zion with the Pelicans,

448
00:27:18,839 --> 00:27:21,480
which I guess is kind of duh, and the Pelicans might make the

449
00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:23,079
playoffs if he's not good, if
he doesn't make progress, if he's not

450
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:30,480
healthy, Zion was an All NBA
caliber player last time he was healthy in

451
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,960
twenty twenty one. If he's getting
better because he's still so young, maybe

452
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:37,119
craftier with the ball in his hands, Maybe he's hitting some set threes this

453
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:40,400
year. Maybe his off ball attention
on defense, like to detail, is

454
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:42,680
just so much better. Like the
Pelicans. You know, the way we're

455
00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:47,119
talking about the Timberwolves, you better
start talking about the Pelicans there as well

456
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:51,240
too. And then Anthony Edwards with
the Timberwolves. Just I think the key

457
00:27:51,319 --> 00:27:55,359
to that team because I do believe
we know what Karl Anthony Towns is going

458
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:56,880
to be on offense, no matter
what. We know what Rudy Gobert is

459
00:27:56,920 --> 00:28:00,759
going to be on offense and defense
no matter what, we sort of know

460
00:28:00,839 --> 00:28:06,200
what we what Anty Edwards is or
can be. Is he that guy yet

461
00:28:06,319 --> 00:28:07,960
because we're talking about him the vein
of this might be the all NBA leap.

462
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:11,960
Is he going to I don't want
to say, remain on schedule,

463
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:15,519
but is he going to continue progressing
as much as he did last season where

464
00:28:15,519 --> 00:28:18,319
he became his defensive disruptor and if
he makes a step up there, maybe

465
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:22,440
improves his sort of passing guys open
rather than just reacting, but you know,

466
00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:26,079
being proactive and anticipating more as a
playmaker. And I'd argue they need

467
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:30,000
him to do that unless you just
think de Loo and Jalen Noel and Britt

468
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:33,839
Forbes are the secondary answers there.
But he can elevate the Wolves like he

469
00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:38,359
to me is actually we can talk
about the dual big and how that's gonna

470
00:28:38,359 --> 00:28:41,200
I think playoff defense is what you're
most concerned there. I think it'll be

471
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:45,160
fine and offense like that matters.
But the actual key to the Timberwolves hitting

472
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:51,119
their ceiling. I think a successful
Townsend Gobet give you an incredibly a fairly

473
00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:55,359
high ceiling and incredibly high floor.
Anty Edwards is the one who will set

474
00:28:55,839 --> 00:28:59,279
what your actual highest ceiling is.
And so those are the players I have

475
00:28:59,319 --> 00:29:02,160
his answer this question. Zion with
the Pels, Harden with the Sixers,

476
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,759
Anthony Edwards with the Wolves, Simmons
with the Nets, Quiet with the Clippers,

477
00:29:04,799 --> 00:29:08,720
and MPJ with the Nuggets. I
tried to keep myself just five players

478
00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:11,720
for five teams. I went to
six because let's face it. Let's face

479
00:29:11,799 --> 00:29:15,559
it, y'all all, it's it's
me. Final question this comes from Austin

480
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,799
next mail. Bad question. I
already answered it in the DMS. But

481
00:29:18,839 --> 00:29:22,559
where did the Frank end buy come
from? Is that like a common Knicks

482
00:29:22,559 --> 00:29:26,240
fan joke? The answer is probably
not anymore. But when he was there,

483
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:27,799
it was just the running theme was
a lot of Nicks guys were frustrated

484
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:32,920
with his lack of opportunity, the
inconsistency behind the way he was used,

485
00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:37,200
and the opportunity in general. I
still think there's a quality basketball player there

486
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:41,359
because when you're inserting him like in
defensive situations because he can be so good

487
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:44,680
on the ball and disrupt with his
length, and even just some of the

488
00:29:45,039 --> 00:29:48,200
gambles that that he makes figure out
a way to use him on offense.

489
00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:49,920
And I think the biggest key for
him is like, yeah, you don't

490
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,240
want him putting the ball on the
floor. There's like a smoothness to his

491
00:29:52,279 --> 00:29:56,559
game sometimes, but it's not if
there's I love him, but there's only

492
00:29:56,559 --> 00:29:59,200
trace elements of it. If you
could just hit a set three and it's

493
00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:03,880
almost under just like this three indeed
point guard who isn't insufferable like Pat Beverley

494
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:06,759
at this point or three in d
guard if you want to call it.

495
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:10,400
And I just think he has the
potential prime Beverly could defend up. They're

496
00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:12,400
not good player, comes just throw
that out the window. But I still

497
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:15,759
think there's a quality NBA player in
there, and I will die on that

498
00:30:15,839 --> 00:30:18,759
hill. I'm probably currently dying on
that hill if you ask most of the

499
00:30:18,759 --> 00:30:22,160
people around the league. But it
was at nick fan joke because he just

500
00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:26,680
never got a fair shake in New
York. And I'm not saying Dallas used

501
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:29,400
him any better, but hey,
he was non guaranteed in there as far

502
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:30,799
as like, I think it looks
like they're bringing him back this season,

503
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:34,720
so he belongs on an NBA roster. We'll see if he ever sort of

504
00:30:34,759 --> 00:30:38,799
becomes a regular rotation player more than
this spot minutes specialty guy. It comes

505
00:30:38,799 --> 00:30:41,119
down to what he's gonna give you
on offense, because he can be in

506
00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:45,160
net zero, but there's he has
moments where it's like, oh, if

507
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:48,519
he just did that like four out
of ten times instead of like one out

508
00:30:48,519 --> 00:30:51,400
of one hundred wherever, it is
like he imagined the type of player he

509
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:53,559
would be. This was a fun
second part of the mail bag. Again.

510
00:30:53,559 --> 00:30:56,400
If this is your first time checking
this out, please remember to subscribe

511
00:30:56,440 --> 00:31:00,039
to us on YouTube, on Spotify, and applepoc cast all the mediums like

512
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:03,599
this video on YouTube. Subscribe to
this channel if you are new. It

513
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:06,599
helps me out a lot, and
also follow us on all the socials,

514
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:08,559
join the discord, tell people about
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515
00:31:08,559 --> 00:31:11,599
shout us out on Twitter, the
whole nine, the whole ten, the

516
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:15,079
whole whatever. Until next time,
And like always, I leave you with

517
00:31:15,079 --> 00:31:18,640
the shout outs to one the only
the player I just waxed or rambled incoherently

518
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:22,519
but also a poetic about Frank Neilikio
