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Welcome to the Ayan Hirsi Ali Podcast, a home for critical thinking and common

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sense. Today, Michael Shellenberger is
joining me for the second time. He

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was one of my favorite guests and
I'm delighted to have him back on.

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Michael is the founder and president of
Environmental Progress. He has been working as

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a climate activist for twenty years and
as an environmentalist for thirty. He was

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Time Magazine's Hero of the Environment in
two thousand and eight. The last time

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he joined me, we discussed his
book Apocalypse Never. He now has a

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new book arts titled San fran Sico, which looks at issues such as the

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prise of crime and homelessness in progressive
own cities. As long as running magazine

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A A N. Michael, thank
you very much for joining me again.

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UM. It's always a delight to
talk to you, UM on this podcast.

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I plan to talk to you about
San Francico, your new book,

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But then all sorts of things started
to unfold, current events like the election

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outcome in Virginia and the one I
think it's still a tie in New Jersey,

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New York and other places. And
then there's also Glasgow and there's a

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lot of stuff going on there.
So bear with me. Let me just

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ask you your opinion on the following. So we have a governor in New

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Virginia who is a Democrat and who
could have easily held on to his seat,

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and in fact that was we thought
that was the case for a long

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time. He loses that election to
a person I've actually never heard of before.

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And I don't think I followed local
politics in Virginia before, but now

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that I do. The people who
elected this new governor and who set off

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the old one did it for a
number of reasons, but the most important

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one that's highlighted today is education.
What's your take on it. Yeah,

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it's great to be back. I'm
wonderful to be with you. And yeah,

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it's my book, really, both
books Apocalypse Never in San Franciico,

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Why Progressives Ruined Cities, had a
lot to say about what just happened this

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upset in Virginia. Of course,
it's a state that where the governor of

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the democratic governor should have been elected. It's been trending democratic. I believe

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Biden won with over ten percent points. Don't quote me, but he won

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by a significant margin just a year
ago. And the election ended up turning

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on this issue of critical race theory, which, as you know, is

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this idea that racism is the most
important issue in American life, that people

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of different races have different are essentially
different from one another. It contains a

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story about victimology, which is that
you know, all black people are victims

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essentially, all white people are privileged
essentially, and that to victims everything and

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too oppressors you know nothing. It's
very similar to what I'm arguing against in

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San Francico, and you could see
that in the elections. It played out

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more in the realm of schooling,
which is, you know where the Republican

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candidates said we got to get this
terrible racist ideology out of our schools.

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And the response from the governor was
twice bad. It was first, well,

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it was three. He said,
First, there isn't such thing as

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critical race theories not being taught in
the schools. That's just not true.

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The second thing he said was parents
shouldn't be involved in schooling or involved in

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their children's classroom. So I think
that I'm writing this piece called why Progressives

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Ruined Democrats. It plays on the
theme of San Francico, which is why

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progressives ruined cities the big Basically my
argument is that, you know, the

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parts of the progressive agenda that are
popular tend to have to do with class,

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not race, and Republicans have done
a really good job challenging Democrats on

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class based concerns, you know,
since the Trump Revolution of twenty sixteen,

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but they've let racial this just sort
of hyper racial moral panic, along with

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victimology, really take over what it
means to be a progressive, of what

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it means to be a Democrat.
And the implications of that, of course

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are absolutely extraordinary because it means that
we're in the midst of a major historical

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political realignment. And here's the interesting
thing. We live in a state California,

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where I know a lot of Democrats, and they would agree with absolutely

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everything you said. Just now.
The Democrats that I see and socialize with,

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who are my friends, they hate
critical race theory. They think that

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some of these issues that we have
an actually class center and have nothing to

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do with race. And yet those
very same people continue to vote for the

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people who are obsessed with race.
Is being a member of a political party

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or is being you know, attached
to a political party. Is that like

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a tribal feeling? Oh for sure. I mean I live, you know,

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I live just up the road from
you in Berkeley, California, so

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I saw the same thing. You
know, We're clearly in a really dynamic

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moment, so things could still change
very quickly. California obviously is one of

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the most progressive states in the country, so in some ways I would expect

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things to change here after they change
everywhere else. You know, Virginia is

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a pretty liberal state, but it's
not as as liberal or left wing as

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California is. You know. That
being said, just in the last few

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weeks, we've seen you know,
my book came out three weeks ago.

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It looks like in that just in
that time, we see that the District

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Attorney of San Francisco will likely be
recalled, Several school board members will likely

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be recalled, all from the radical
left. If the DA goes and the

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mayor probably appoints a moderate to be
the DA. From the city council,

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the person on the city Council as
a moderate would be replaced by somebody else

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is probably a moderate. You know, you look down the road and you

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could see San Francisco returning to moderate
hands and LA within one or two election

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cycles. Similarly, you know,
Democrats are I don't I mean, they're

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going to take a huge loss in
a year from now, almost certainly I

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lose control of the Congress, probably
lose the presidency in twenty twenty four,

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and Democrats will have to respond.
And you know, this is where I

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sort of go with as piece,
is that it doesn't look good for Democrats

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according to their own numbers, if
they continue to go down this hyperwoke path.

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There's a young, very young political
consultant named David Shore for the Democrats

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who argues, who's been arguing this
for weeks, and it's been out there

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obviously, really since last last year
the elections, James Carville has been warning

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Democrats that this focus on race and
culture was really off putting. I tweeted

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out last night Van Jones and other
CNN correspondents basically just saying openly that Democrats

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have become annoying, insulting, patronizing, shrill, just everything that we know

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about how Democrats have become. So
Democrats will either have to change or they'll

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just continue to lose elections. It's
just that simple. I just saw a

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reaction from Joy Read to the Virginia
election, and she just said the Republican

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Party is dangerous and that kind of
Patrick, and you know you use the

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word shrill. It's absolutely right,
you know you If I were a Democrat,

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I would say today, you know, we're losing the independence, We're

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losing Democrats who voted for us,
and we're losing Republicans who moved away from

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the Republican Party because of Trump.
And instead of reflecting on why they lost

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and getting to the bottom of it, they are. From the reactions that

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I can see on a superficial level
just coming through the media, they're doubling

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down on it. I just listened
to President Biden who came from Glasgow and

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talked again about COVID, and I
think talking about COVID and the pandemic,

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that's a very very important issues,
the issue of the day. But his

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response to why so many elections who
are lost and elections that shouldn't have been

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closed are so are just what you
described. It's the denial, it's staying

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on the woke path invoking race every
time. Yeah. Absolutely, I mean,

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I think it's a question. I
mean, I think what's great about

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politics is that it you can live
in a delusional bubble for a while,

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but the great thing is that you'll
just lose elections and you'll lose power,

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so and eventually, you know,
these things have to correct themselves. I

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do think, you know, it's
interesting to me that the Democrats, basically

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all the big what the Democrats have
been focused on is all falling apart at

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the exact same time. So,
as you mentioned, it's not just that

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the voters have repudiated this moral panic
on race. Voters Americans are the most

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part not racist. We're less racist
than ever where. We get insulted when

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people tell us that we're racist with
good reason. So that's all kind of

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falling apart. At the same time, the climate change stuff is just a

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joke. I mean they you know, basically Biden and the weeks leading to

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the Climate United Nations Climate talks in
Scotland, they've been pleading with OPEC to

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produce more oil, even at the
same time that he has been along with

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the broader Democratic coalition, attacking expanded
oil and gas strolling in the United States.

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You know, the United States over
the last five years should have been

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increasing its investment in oil and gas
production. It did not out of a

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reaction to progressive climate change demands.
We should be just having much more.

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In fact, the whole world would
then have more oil and gas because it

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is a global market. So you
see that happening. Then they go to

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Scotland and they say, oh,
we're all going to do stuff. Well,

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they couldn't even agree to stop financing
coal plants, which should have been

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easy, low hanging fruit for them. They couldn't even agree to do that.

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But it doesn't even matter because the
conference itself, it's voluntary. It's

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just public relations. The first day
Biden falls asleep, he gives this terrible

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press conference that he's just barely coherent
in and then meanwhile, today I just

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tweet out this morning announces that it's
going to spend half a trillion dollars building

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more nuclear over the next fifteen years
than the rest of the world built over

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the last thirty five for reasons that
have nothing to do with climate change,

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because it knows it needs a lot
of energy. And by the way,

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neither you know, President she of
China or President Putin of Russia bothered even

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going to und climate talks. So
it's just clear as day. It seems

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to me that we're in the midst
of an epical shift from a kind of

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Postcold War era that lasted about thirty
years to whatever. The post Postcold War

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era is probably some new geopolitical rivalry
with between the United States and China,

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But clearly it's the end of the
early it's the end of this really I

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think bad. I think we're also
in the you know, just about to

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end a really bad and we're about
to go into a big backlash against all

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the woke, bad, woke racial
stuff. At the same time. Yeah,

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it's the fascinating thing is that's this
woke nonsense. It just sabotages everything

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you wouldn't You shouldn't expect to be
talking about cracial justice and all that nonsense.

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And I don't think that racial injustice
is nonsense. I just think that

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this inject increase into everything, which
is what the work do, that's nonsense.

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And even on a topic that should
be in my view, free of

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this stuff like climate, the environment, what a pandemic, it gets into

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all of that. One thing you
said earlier about the geopolitics, Number one

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just twenty years ago was nine eleven, two thousand and one. And when

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that event happened, there is attacked. The United States of America tried to

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destroy everything that we believe in.
One of the key responses was America should

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never ever pen on oil from the
Middle East again. And the private sex

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that worked very hard to deliver on
that and only just shut it down.

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You say, you wrote that in
your previous book, and you say that

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we have the capability of developing nuclear
energy and that can lead us to a

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clean planet. China's doing it,
and China, as you know, is

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not our best friend. Why are
we not doing it? It's the most

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rational path to take. Yeah,
I mean it's it's it's crazy, right,

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and hopefully China's big push into nuclear, and of course Russia is a

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major nuclear builder around the world,
will force it. You know, we

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had a big sea change in public
opinion. You know, a lot of

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the progressives, including the people who
I argue with on other issues, have

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become pro nuclear, but they haven't
had the support in their own party for

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it. But it's the same issues
as we discussed last year. It's just

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continuing fear of nuclear weapons. But
it's also become a big scam. You

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know, if you have nuclear,
you don't need all this renewables, you

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don't need all this junk. Basically, you don't need all this money spent

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on special interests, on special causes. You just you know, with natural

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natural gas and nuclear basically the only
things that matter when it comes to reducing

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carbon emissions. If you use nuclear
natural gas, there is no climate problem.

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So the key is to expand those
two things. Well, that's that's

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the opposite of what the climate activists
want. They actively are a campaign against

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it. They get financing from the
big investor banks like black Rock, and

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they're in bed with the Chinese solar
panel manufacturers. I mean, I think

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since you and I talked last year, we've seen a series of pretty big

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events occur. We now know that
China has subsidized that solar panels not just

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directly with money, but also to
the use of coerced weaker Muslim labor.

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We know that the solar panels required
the use of the dirtiest form of energy

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in the form of coal, and
that the unaccounted for cost of waste,

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and this is according to a Harvard
Business Review study that came out a few

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months ago, should make electricity from
solar four times more expensive once that waste

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is properly accounted for. So the
renewables, the expansion of renewables is also

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coming to a halt, and it's
in a point of crisis. And as

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I pointed out, you know in
a recent substack, the US and the

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world really invested so much in unreliable, weather dependent renewables and not enough in

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oil and gas development that the world
is now having a massive energy crisis.

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Petroleum prices are up sixty percent from
where they were in just a year,

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at their highest level in seven years. We're running we don't have enough gas,

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and so countries including the United States, but also China and Europe are

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all returning to coal because of the
advocacy of climate groups. So I think

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these you know, really progressive ideology
is in crisis, and to some extent,

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I just think the West is in
crisis too. I think we can

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pull out of it, but we've
got to get beyond this basically woke religion,

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which is complete with, you know, an apocalyptic view of climate change

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and a religious essentialist and really pseudoscientific
view of race. Yeah. So I

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celebrated this outcome of the Virginia election
and others because I hope that this means

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we can get out of it.
And when I say I celebrated it,

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what I mean is the way parents
in Virginia felt empowered enough to organize themselves

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and bring an end to the narrative. The only question is do you really

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think we can pull Before we pull
out of it, how much damage can't

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we expect? Well, it's been
it's been pretty ugly so far, right,

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I mean, we've seen in you
know, I basically I wrote apocalyps

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never versico go together in the sense
that, on the one hand, they're

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totally different. Apoc ups never argues
that most environmental trends are going in the

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right direction, most environmental trends are
we want to do more of them,

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more gas, more nuclear. Climate
change is not the big threat that we

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were worried about. I have a
piece up today noting that really temperatures are

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going to probably peak at two and
a half degrees centigrade. Well, the

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UN target had been two degrees for
two decades until they recently changed it to

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one and a half degrees. So
we're actually on track not having very much

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warming. And the big problem is
we're in, at least in the United

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States, but certainly in other countries, including Scotland. Interestingly enough, is

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a drug addiction crisis. We had
almost one hundred thousand people die of drug

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deaths last year. That's an increase
from just seventeen thousand and twenty years ago.

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We have a whole generation that is
just dying from totally poisonous, heavily

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intoxicating, addictive drugs. And that's
you know, of course, what's behind

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or maybe not of course, but
that is what's behind the so called homelessness

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problem. So clearly we're we're having
you know, we're a mass. I

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mean, big things need to change, and they need to change quickly.

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Yeah, when you were talking about
climates. The phrase that just keeps rolling

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in my head is that of the
cost of living, And if you tie

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that to the homelessness and poverty,
I see precisely what you mean by how

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these things are related. And and
yeah, the outcomes. And I know

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that when you describe the drug addiction
and then behind it the drug tells the

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fact that actually here in California,
we know all this, or people we

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we've put in power all this.
But then they keep reverting back to this

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racial injustice meme. And you have
to wonder, then, with the cost

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of living going up, gas price
is going up, do you think we're

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going to have more homelessness or less. Fortunately, we're going to have significantly

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more until there's some political change.
You know what I discover in San Francicco

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is, on the one hand,
there's a lot of different causes of what

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we call homelessness. The word homeless
itself is a propaganda word designed to trick

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our brains into thinking this is just
a problem of housing, or that the

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people that are living in tents on
the street or underneath highway underpasses, that

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there's somehow just poor people. That's
absurd. I mean, I think everybody

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knows where these are people who almost
all of them, at least if they're

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living unsheltered, are suffering very serious
levels of drug addiction and or some other

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mental illness. You know, the
solution is very simple. You have to

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shelter everybody, require people to stay
in the alters. You can't let people

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sleep on the streets, you can't
let people use drugs and defecate in public.

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These are not compatible behaviors with civilization. So then the question for me,

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for Sarencico was just why don't we
do that? Yeah, And the

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bottom line is victim idiology. It's
this idea that you can divide people in

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the world into the category of victims
or oppressors. That victims, the state

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of being a victim is permanent.
It's not like in the traditional heroic journey

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where you're victimized on the way to
becoming a hero, such as every Hollywood

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movie. But also just in those
stories we tell about our own lives,

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you know, when we all suffer, and so the stories that we tell

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ourselves is yeah, I got through
that hard part and it made me a

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better person. Well that's not what
victim idiology says. Victim Idiology says,

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by nature of being black, or
mentally ill, or a woman or an

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addict, you are a victim.
And to victims we give everything and demand

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nothing in return. That's what TOM
ideology requires. So even if you would

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agree that some people are victims are
on the street, the idea that you

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just give them cash and a tent
and some fresh needles to shoot or smoke

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drugs with is bonkers. But that's
the basic idea. Yeah, I'd say

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the third part of it is just
that we then elevate we I should say

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they progressives elevate victims into sort of
spiritual beings. Yeah. So it is

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a kind of victim worship, but
it is a kind of worship that maintains

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their victims status through the policies that
we enact relating to them. It's also

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a desire to acquire power, So
people use this narrative to get to powerful

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positions. But then when they're in
those powerful positions, they just make those

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problems like well so homelessness or you
know, the mental health issues, addictions,

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these things get worse and worse with
the people who are committed to getting

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to power through the development of this
victim you call it eptimology, and that

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doesn't bode well for the country.
Because the other thing that I find disturbing

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is in San Francisco and in I
WoT say even probably La it's homelessness,

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mental health. These are things that
we talk about all the time, and

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yet these are also problems that I
think you lay it out beautifully in your

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book that we know I don't want
to say one hundred percent solutions, but

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we know that there are policies that
actually help, and yet those policies are

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not carried out. And if you
could please talk a little bit about your

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visits to the Netherlands and what you
say so as an option, as an

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alternative, and how much that costs. Sure, well, let me just

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say first what we should do,
because it's just clarifying I think, to

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sort of a contrast what we know
works and what we should do with what

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with what we're doing in San Francisco. And this is based on you know,

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my field work in Amsterdam and the
Netherlands, but also interviews with the

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head of the drug program in Portugal. We looked at basically every civilized nation,

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every civilized city and state, and
looked at how they dealt with it.

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It's the same thing for everybody.
It's basically you have to require you

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have to have enough shelters for people
that need them. They have to stay

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in them. It's not you can't. The alternative is not to camp in

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the streets or the sidewalks. That's
just not allowed. People that are suffering

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from severe mental illness or drug addiction
are offered treatment, and if they're arrested

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breaking laws, then they have the
option of getting clean through rehab or going

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to jail. It's not optional.
And then I think the final part of

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it, and certainly we need,
is some sort of universal psychiatric care.

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So in the Netherlands they actually have
a private insurer model like we have.

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It's not a single payer system like
the French or the Canadians have, but

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it is universal, it does cover
everybody, and that's a similar component of

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what we need. But what I
loved about the Netherlands, and the part

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of the reason I chose it as
the model for California is, you know,

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we Californians are snobs and and San
Franciscans are more snobby than anybody.

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So I wanted to choose a city
that I think is a world class city.

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Anybody that's ever been to Amsterdam knows
it's a world class city. It's

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it's not it's about the same site. It's actually bigger than San Francisco.

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Obviously, California is, you know, bigger, it's huge. California is

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the bigger economy than Britain's economy.
But I wanted to give the example because

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I did feel like, you know, you could explain to Californians, who

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are very liberal on many things.
You know that, look, you can

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smoke marijuana in Amsterdam. You can
hire a sex worker. It's a regulated

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industry. It's that you know,
there's you can bike everywhere. We love

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biking in the Bay Area, and
so I wanted to give that as the

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model rather than than New York or
Miami or San Antonio. That I have

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all done good things, but who
if you kind of talk about them,

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I thought Californian San Franciscans would sort
of turn their noses up. But that's

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basically it. I mean, it's
slightly different than Portugal, slightly different in

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Japan, but that's the basic recipe. And Michael, it's also so that

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Amsterdam is a progressive run city.
The mayor is of the Green Party from

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Kaholsama and has been as long as
I remember. Amsterdam was from by the

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Special Democratic Party, So progressives there
somehow see things differently. Yeah, similarly

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to the United States. Interestingly in
California. The Netherlands is more conservative than

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Amsterdam. Like around the world,
people that live in cities are just more

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00:29:10.680 --> 00:29:15.519
liberal, that's right, more decadent, there's not that more. You know,

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conservatives tend to be more rule and
so the but the the country of

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the Netherlands, so the country of
the Nolans, is more a center right

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than the city of amshamp which is
more left wing. And I think that

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helped a lot to get the changes
they needed, just like I think it

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would help here. And in fact, we even see a similar dynamic in

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Texas, where the state of Texas
is obviously more conservative than the city of

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Austin, which is the capital,
but it's a very culturally progressive city.

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And basically the state itself has had
to take action to force Austin to deal

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with its open drug scenes. Yeah, because it had done basically what San

350
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Francisco had done, which was just
to basically say, oh, anybody can

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camp any where because they're victims and
they've been able to shut that down.

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So I mean that's what basically,
just to you know, fast forward to

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the end of the end of the
book of San Francisco, I basically argue

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it's going to be much more it's
going to be much more likely that California

355
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becomes a more moderate state and takes
action than it is that San Francisco does.

356
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And in fact, I don't think
it's a problem that can be solved

357
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at this city level, in part
because addicts are street addicts are such a

358
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transient population. Yeah, and they're
taking off. The question that keeps propping

359
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up is the cost. How much
does it cost to get everyone off the

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streets, provide them with the mental
healthcare they need, provide them with shelters,

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provide them with an alternative to camping
under of a passes and other places

362
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that are not fit for human life. That's a great question. I mean,

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it's funny I could I after two
years of research, I still could

364
00:31:02.160 --> 00:31:08.079
not get a clear number of how
much we spend on this problem, and

365
00:31:08.240 --> 00:31:14.440
neither can members of the state legislature. And part of the problem is,

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you know, for example, how
much of the fire department do we spend

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on homelessness. It's very hard to
figure out exactly, but we know that

368
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about half of the fires that they
put out in Oakland and Los Angeles now

369
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are homeless fires, which is really
wild when you consider that while there are

370
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a lot of homeless, there's there's
not half of the people, right,

371
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So you're talking about a huge part
of our public services are going to homelessness.

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We know that we spend more money
per capitating California on mental health in

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any other state, and we obviously
have the worst outcomes, So money,

374
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if anything, has made the problem
worse. In fact, I do argue

375
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that it's a consequence of our prosperity
that we've done. We've been so decadent

376
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and so liberal in our policies.
You know, what I would say is

377
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part of you know, the cost
depends on what you're doing. So if

378
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you if you basically are just having
paying social workers to maintain the lifestyles of

379
00:32:13.559 --> 00:32:17.000
drug addicts who don't work and just
basically sit in tents all day and do

380
00:32:17.079 --> 00:32:21.359
drugs, it can be very expensive. You know, at this point,

381
00:32:21.440 --> 00:32:24.480
it's about one hundred thousand dollars per
homeless person in San Francisco. San Franco

382
00:32:24.599 --> 00:32:28.960
Cisco. Wow, having a hard
time saying the name of the city.

383
00:32:29.680 --> 00:32:34.119
I could calling it San Francco.
It's very expensive. On the other hand,

384
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you know, and there's some people
who are more expensive than others.

385
00:32:36.559 --> 00:32:39.240
I mean, people with schizophrenia are
very difficult. People with schizophrenia with drug

386
00:32:39.240 --> 00:32:45.839
addictions extremely difficult. But my aunt
at schizophrenia, she did well. She

387
00:32:45.880 --> 00:32:49.279
lived in a group home in Denver. She never worked, you know,

388
00:32:49.359 --> 00:32:52.720
she lived in a house with like
six other people. That's a good outcome

389
00:32:52.839 --> 00:32:55.400
for people with schizophrenia. She did
well. There's other people like the twenty

390
00:32:55.400 --> 00:32:59.920
five year old kid, you know, kid, young man that got a

391
00:33:00.119 --> 00:33:05.519
that gets addicted to heroin and just
as living in an attent in San Francisco.

392
00:33:06.960 --> 00:33:09.279
That guy, he's, first of
all, he's probably breaking many laws

393
00:33:09.319 --> 00:33:15.519
every day, including shoplifting to sustain
his habits, but certainly camping publicly,

394
00:33:15.519 --> 00:33:19.559
defecating in public, using drugs publicly. If he were arrested for for breaking

395
00:33:19.559 --> 00:33:24.039
the law, brought in front of
a judge and the judge mandated rehab and

396
00:33:24.200 --> 00:33:28.240
said, look, you got to
get rehab. And you know it's the

397
00:33:28.319 --> 00:33:35.319
rehab that's you really wanted to be. Something like ninety days, probably impatient,

398
00:33:35.519 --> 00:33:38.240
and probably not in San Francisco,
so it'd be more like, you

399
00:33:38.279 --> 00:33:44.359
know, under our fantasy California,
the guy would be like, Okay,

400
00:33:44.400 --> 00:33:47.799
I'll take the rehab instead of prison. I'm tired of being a junkie.

401
00:33:47.960 --> 00:33:51.839
You know. Maybe there's a place
for him in the countryside somewhere or some

402
00:33:51.880 --> 00:33:54.359
suburb. He gets his life together, he gets reconnected with his family,

403
00:33:54.960 --> 00:34:00.519
you have a single social worker as
opposed to the current mess of system we

404
00:34:00.559 --> 00:34:05.640
have. Now, there's no reason
that within ninety days or six months he

405
00:34:05.640 --> 00:34:09.280
could be independent. It's not going
to be easy for him. He's probably

406
00:34:09.280 --> 00:34:13.880
going to relapse. There's some amount
of kind of a sort of case management

407
00:34:13.920 --> 00:34:19.320
for him. But if you don't
have the stick of prison or jail time

408
00:34:20.119 --> 00:34:23.480
as the as the consequence of him
continuing to break the law, then he's

409
00:34:23.599 --> 00:34:28.800
very expensive. If you do have
it, it's a lot cheaper. So

410
00:34:29.159 --> 00:34:31.079
that's not I know, sometimes maybe
a totally satisfying answer, but it tells

411
00:34:31.079 --> 00:34:37.360
you, I think what the cost
dynamics are specifically, Yeah, and I

412
00:34:37.440 --> 00:34:43.480
think if you add to that the
cost of the crime and not the you

413
00:34:43.519 --> 00:34:49.159
know, you've you've you've discussed that
the crimes committed by people who are addicts

414
00:34:49.199 --> 00:34:54.039
and with mental health issues. But
the drug hotels, these young men from

415
00:34:54.960 --> 00:35:01.440
mainly from Latin America, who are
organized and who sell the drugs and who

416
00:35:01.519 --> 00:35:07.159
want this thing to go on because
for them it's a direct profit. That

417
00:35:07.320 --> 00:35:13.119
cost is also almost never spoken of, absolutely the societal costs. And how

418
00:35:13.159 --> 00:35:17.920
do you how do you put a
number on the loss of ten or twelve

419
00:35:19.039 --> 00:35:22.519
drug stores in a year in the
last year, or two drug stores that

420
00:35:22.559 --> 00:35:28.280
no longer are available for the community
to use, which is what's going on

421
00:35:28.400 --> 00:35:30.639
because the you know, I don't
know, your listeners may not realize,

422
00:35:30.679 --> 00:35:36.559
and it's one of things that describe
We pass legislation in twenty fourteen in the

423
00:35:36.719 --> 00:35:44.760
same ballot initiative that basically reduces the
consequences from a felony to a misdemeanor of

424
00:35:45.280 --> 00:35:50.440
theft of nine hundred fifty dollars worth
of goods and three grams of hard drugs.

425
00:35:50.760 --> 00:35:52.079
So, I mean, it's when
you look back on it, you

426
00:35:52.159 --> 00:35:54.199
kind of go, oh, my
gosh, why did we ever think that

427
00:35:54.239 --> 00:35:58.960
was a good idea? Yeah,
Basically it allows addicts to go into drug

428
00:35:59.000 --> 00:36:02.320
stores steal nine dollars with items,
sell them at a fraction of their cost

429
00:36:02.480 --> 00:36:07.119
to build to buy enough drugs for
a couple of days. And then the

430
00:36:07.239 --> 00:36:09.599
drug stores they've been you know,
because of the threat of violence, they

431
00:36:09.800 --> 00:36:15.119
order the security guards to let it
occur. And then after a certain amount

432
00:36:15.159 --> 00:36:17.079
of time, the drug stores they
just can't afford to keep the drug stores

433
00:36:17.119 --> 00:36:21.480
open, so Walgreen safe way.
We see them cutting back hours or just

434
00:36:21.480 --> 00:36:27.280
shutting stores entirely, shutting stores in
a city that is one of the richest

435
00:36:27.280 --> 00:36:34.480
cities in the country and could easily
sustain those stores. Yeah, it's all

436
00:36:34.559 --> 00:36:37.719
boils down to what you said,
this victimology and narrative. You know,

437
00:36:37.760 --> 00:36:44.519
if you're a criminal, then it
must be because of racism. If public

438
00:36:44.559 --> 00:36:49.199
schools are not providing that service,
does they should, then the standards of

439
00:36:49.320 --> 00:36:55.480
education all allow it, and all
this nonsense about race is introduced into them.

440
00:36:57.679 --> 00:37:02.719
If if we have of one or
two problems, very minor problems with

441
00:37:02.920 --> 00:37:07.639
our police force, we go out
and say defund the whole thing. I

442
00:37:07.679 --> 00:37:14.840
mean, it all fits into that. I don't know, collective madness.

443
00:37:15.880 --> 00:37:22.719
We've been talking about the mental health
of individuals, but I fear for the

444
00:37:22.760 --> 00:37:29.079
mental health of the decision makers as
a group, the elite, and the

445
00:37:29.119 --> 00:37:35.599
fact that they just kept making these
terrible choices. Absolutely, the title san

446
00:37:35.639 --> 00:37:39.239
Francico refers to the San francickness,
you know, not just of the drug

447
00:37:39.320 --> 00:37:45.400
addicts and mentally ill on the street, but also the San francickness of really

448
00:37:45.440 --> 00:37:50.400
all of us, of the society
of progressives, of people in California and

449
00:37:50.440 --> 00:37:54.119
these liberal cities. And that really
is a kind of compassion sickness. It's

450
00:37:54.159 --> 00:38:01.239
a kind of Yeah, what I
ultimately conclude is a pathological all truism or

451
00:38:01.280 --> 00:38:07.119
what Jordan Peterson famously calls the devouring
mother. Really, it's the overprotective it's

452
00:38:07.159 --> 00:38:15.360
the overprotective parenting, it's the coddling
culture, it's the victimology. It's it's

453
00:38:15.400 --> 00:38:16.719
not just you know, and I
at the end of the book, I

454
00:38:17.480 --> 00:38:22.400
sort of wrestle with this idea from
the great psychologist Jonathan Height, who sort

455
00:38:22.440 --> 00:38:25.320
of says, he says, look, what progressives are doing is they're taking

456
00:38:25.400 --> 00:38:30.559
one value among kind of six core
values that are core values to most religions,

457
00:38:30.559 --> 00:38:35.320
and they're taking one of them,
which is care, and they're elevating

458
00:38:35.360 --> 00:38:39.599
it above all the other values.
I partly agree, but then I go

459
00:38:39.639 --> 00:38:43.039
a bit. I think I go
a bit further, and I argue that

460
00:38:43.119 --> 00:38:47.119
really what progressive ideology, which you
know, I think is rebranded already,

461
00:38:47.280 --> 00:38:52.639
really is radical left ideology from you
know, from Rousseau to Marx to Fucaut.

462
00:38:52.559 --> 00:38:57.760
What it's done is it's basically said, you know that that each of

463
00:38:57.800 --> 00:39:02.679
these traditional values, which include the
like sanctity, respect for authority, loyalty,

464
00:39:04.159 --> 00:39:07.679
it's redefined each of those values around
the victim. So we should have

465
00:39:08.000 --> 00:39:14.199
we should have our the authority should
be to the victims as opposed to you

466
00:39:14.239 --> 00:39:15.880
know, to the government or to
God, or to the nation or to

467
00:39:15.920 --> 00:39:22.920
the parents. The loyalty similarly,
and sanctity. You know, the traditional

468
00:39:22.000 --> 00:39:27.800
view, traditional religious views of the
body is the body is pure and you

469
00:39:27.880 --> 00:39:30.679
have to be careful what you put
into it. And drugs are a problem,

470
00:39:30.760 --> 00:39:34.559
not just because of their effect,
but because there's a kind of defilement

471
00:39:34.639 --> 00:39:38.519
of the body, of the sacred
space of the body. Well, progressives

472
00:39:39.960 --> 00:39:45.079
take that in a different direction.
They would say the body, the body

473
00:39:45.119 --> 00:39:49.599
of the victim is also pure,
but it's not defiled by drugs. That's

474
00:39:49.599 --> 00:39:53.119
okay, because they're just self medicating. Really, what you have to prevent

475
00:39:53.199 --> 00:40:00.159
against is the is the intrusion upon
these pure bodies with the police, you

476
00:40:00.199 --> 00:40:04.719
know, with the critical with the
criminal justice system and so part. And

477
00:40:04.760 --> 00:40:07.519
I guess I didn't say it before, although maybe it was implied. Progressives

478
00:40:07.559 --> 00:40:14.199
are solely focused, strictly focused,
or at least very disproportionally focused on victims

479
00:40:14.199 --> 00:40:17.880
of the so called system. Then
they are on victims of other people.

480
00:40:17.920 --> 00:40:21.639
And that's why, you know,
because one thing you got, you would

481
00:40:21.639 --> 00:40:24.039
ask I did, was if you're
so concerned with victims, why are you

482
00:40:24.079 --> 00:40:30.079
not concerned with the thirty times more
African Americans killed every year by other civilians

483
00:40:30.239 --> 00:40:35.559
rather than the one thirtieth killed by
the police. And the answer is that

484
00:40:35.679 --> 00:40:40.360
progressives, really from a straight line
from Rousseau through Marx to Fuco, are

485
00:40:40.400 --> 00:40:46.119
just obsessed with victims of the system
and not concerned about victims of other individuals.

486
00:40:46.920 --> 00:40:52.360
And I think essentially that really is
the true racism, because if you're

487
00:40:52.480 --> 00:40:59.440
black and you find yourself in difficulties, the assumption is there's absolutely nothing you

488
00:40:59.559 --> 00:41:06.400
can do to lift yourself out of
those difficulties of adversity because the system,

489
00:41:06.480 --> 00:41:15.760
as you describe it, you know, manipulated by this oppressor abstracts white figure

490
00:41:16.119 --> 00:41:23.280
that that holds the key to your
destiny. And so whether you like,

491
00:41:23.440 --> 00:41:29.719
you know, being described as a
victim is also being put in a place

492
00:41:29.719 --> 00:41:34.559
where you're a slave again. You
can't you can't help it, you can't

493
00:41:34.639 --> 00:41:39.920
come out of addiction, you can't
get up in the morning, and you

494
00:41:39.960 --> 00:41:47.000
know, put the effort that's needed
to work hard to re establish your life,

495
00:41:47.000 --> 00:41:51.800
to reorganize it, because it's not
in your hands. Yeah, you

496
00:41:51.880 --> 00:41:53.760
got it. I think last year
you and I may have talked about how

497
00:41:53.760 --> 00:41:59.119
we have a mutual friend in Pascal
Bruckner, the French, yes, French

498
00:42:00.199 --> 00:42:04.880
writer author, and he wrote this
brilliant book called Tears of the White Man,

499
00:42:06.239 --> 00:42:12.000
which really anticipated wokeism very very well, but in a more European context,

500
00:42:12.039 --> 00:42:15.760
which he noted that you know,
at a moment where African nations are

501
00:42:15.760 --> 00:42:20.639
really at a point where they can
pursue their own destiny. They're not subjects

502
00:42:20.679 --> 00:42:23.519
of European power. They're after,
you know, post colonialism. Well,

503
00:42:23.519 --> 00:42:28.760
it's at that moment that suddenly you
hear from Europeans how really the fate of

504
00:42:29.119 --> 00:42:35.079
Africa's up to Europe, or that
the reason that Africa is failing in some

505
00:42:35.079 --> 00:42:37.800
ways African nations might still be failing
is because of Europe that really, you

506
00:42:37.840 --> 00:42:43.360
know that this discourse finds a way
to put you know, white people at

507
00:42:43.400 --> 00:42:47.039
the center of everything. So you
know, if you anytime, you know,

508
00:42:47.119 --> 00:42:51.360
so when you you know, the
classic when you talk about, you

509
00:42:51.400 --> 00:42:55.559
know, challenges facing African Americans among
progressives, well it always has to do

510
00:42:55.880 --> 00:42:59.760
you know, the answers always has
to do with racism from white people.

511
00:43:00.079 --> 00:43:02.559
You're right, it's sort of it's
I mean, if you just kind of

512
00:43:02.599 --> 00:43:08.039
listened to it, it's really gross. You know, this idea that that

513
00:43:09.199 --> 00:43:14.800
all black people are victims and all
white people are privileged. Well it's actually

514
00:43:15.920 --> 00:43:19.599
it's just yeah, pressors. It's
just a reassertion of the thing that we

515
00:43:19.599 --> 00:43:24.920
were trying to get away from and
really did but supposedly in a in a

516
00:43:25.000 --> 00:43:30.039
way that reverses the hierarchy, but
it doesn't. It actually reinforces it.

517
00:43:30.119 --> 00:43:35.920
So yeah, I totally agree.
It's a kind of narcissism. It's a

518
00:43:36.159 --> 00:43:43.280
power move. It's looking to reinforce
this older racial hierarchies, supposedly in the

519
00:43:43.360 --> 00:43:46.320
name of reversing it, but really
reinforces it. You know, one of

520
00:43:46.360 --> 00:43:52.280
the things I became obsessed with this, you know, with this great self

521
00:43:52.320 --> 00:43:57.920
help psychologist named Victor Frankel, who's
really a stoic philosopher, and the idea

522
00:43:57.960 --> 00:44:01.320
that you know, he's famous because
he survived the concentry Asian camps by changing

523
00:44:01.360 --> 00:44:07.360
his mentality and having you know,
having goals including reuniting with his wife and

524
00:44:07.400 --> 00:44:10.000
family and writing a book. And
so I kind of asked this question.

525
00:44:10.039 --> 00:44:15.599
It's like, how did we how
did liberals go from having this view that

526
00:44:15.119 --> 00:44:19.239
you know, we need to empower
people, you know, we need to

527
00:44:19.480 --> 00:44:23.239
we need people need to have the
right mentality to basically to basically claiming that

528
00:44:23.320 --> 00:44:27.760
anybody who says that is blaming the
victim, you know, And why did

529
00:44:27.760 --> 00:44:30.840
that come to take over in the
nineteen sixties. Yeah, I read Victor

530
00:44:30.960 --> 00:44:37.320
Frankel's book. That was an impressive, impressive life. I have in my

531
00:44:37.360 --> 00:44:44.559
background politics, and so what every
time I think about societies like the one

532
00:44:44.599 --> 00:44:49.679
I came from, you know,
Somalia, Kenya, Saudi Arabia, these

533
00:44:49.679 --> 00:44:54.119
countries that we call developing countries or
authoritarian countries, and I compare them to

534
00:44:54.199 --> 00:45:00.920
America and other great European societies,
and I think if only we could in

535
00:45:01.079 --> 00:45:07.320
Africa and in developing world, if
only we could find a way of resolving

536
00:45:07.440 --> 00:45:14.559
conflicting peacefully, then we can become
like those rich countries. And that the

537
00:45:14.639 --> 00:45:20.320
secret to success if we stay with
America is that that has been discovered,

538
00:45:20.679 --> 00:45:29.039
that has been found, it's been
applied. We have a government and power

539
00:45:29.159 --> 00:45:36.840
is checked and it's you know,
it's it's it's spread. We recognize in

540
00:45:36.880 --> 00:45:45.159
America the why it's bad for power
to be concentrated in the hands of a

541
00:45:45.159 --> 00:45:50.679
few. And if you look at
what we call now blue states and red

542
00:45:50.760 --> 00:45:53.880
states and that sort of thing,
one of the things that I find striking

543
00:45:54.840 --> 00:46:01.679
is that actually the country is divided
now into if you're a Republican or if

544
00:46:01.679 --> 00:46:07.480
you're a Conservative, you moved to
a state run by Republicans, and if

545
00:46:07.480 --> 00:46:10.679
you're a Democrat, you moved to
a blue state. But what that then

546
00:46:10.760 --> 00:46:20.400
means is it entrenches this notion of
concentrated power. If there was some competition

547
00:46:20.559 --> 00:46:25.639
in California, say from the Republican
Party, things would be different. I

548
00:46:25.679 --> 00:46:32.400
think the politicians would have to be
forced to mend their ways. I see

549
00:46:32.400 --> 00:46:37.159
a little bit of hope now with
the Republican Party and some of the changes

550
00:46:37.159 --> 00:46:44.199
that are taking place there, the
shedding of Donald Trump, young King,

551
00:46:44.559 --> 00:46:50.199
this guy who took Virginia. He
comes across as really decent, insane.

552
00:46:52.719 --> 00:46:58.599
The Republican Party is investing more time
and efforts in recruiting people from immigrant communities,

553
00:46:58.599 --> 00:47:01.719
black communities, women, and so
on. And so you can see

554
00:47:02.079 --> 00:47:09.199
with every election loss, when the
Republican Party does an autopsy, then a

555
00:47:09.320 --> 00:47:14.480
to do list comes out of it
that they try and follow. I wonder

556
00:47:14.519 --> 00:47:19.760
why the Democrats are not doing that. Well, we give it a minute,

557
00:47:20.559 --> 00:47:22.159
we may see it happen. Okay, you're right. I mean,

558
00:47:22.199 --> 00:47:27.679
I think we're in the midst of
a very interesting political realignment. You know.

559
00:47:27.760 --> 00:47:30.000
I think one of the big wild
cards for Republicans is just yeah,

560
00:47:30.360 --> 00:47:35.519
is you know, if Trump runs
again, and everybody seems to think he

561
00:47:35.559 --> 00:47:40.320
will, that will that means that
will basically close the door to bringing over

562
00:47:40.400 --> 00:47:45.559
I think some moderate Democrats, you
know, but if it's somebody more,

563
00:47:45.039 --> 00:47:49.719
you know, like young Ken,
who clearly had appeal among Democrats who voted

564
00:47:49.719 --> 00:47:53.400
for Biden, then we're talking about
something completely different there. And especially if

565
00:47:53.440 --> 00:47:58.159
you you know, I mean I
mentioned David Shore, the young poster.

566
00:47:58.199 --> 00:48:00.719
If on the Democrat side, you
know, he and others have pointed to

567
00:48:00.760 --> 00:48:05.639
the fact that you know, you
know, Trump increased his support from Latinos,

568
00:48:06.840 --> 00:48:09.760
which is massive, you know,
really on class appeals, you know,

569
00:48:09.800 --> 00:48:15.119
appealing to to you know, lower
wage Latinos. So if Republicans can

570
00:48:15.840 --> 00:48:21.880
can become a party truly of the
working class without without the personality of Trump,

571
00:48:22.639 --> 00:48:25.320
I think that opens up a lot
of possibilities for it to really be

572
00:48:25.519 --> 00:48:30.480
a majority party rather than a minority
party. Similarly, though, you know,

573
00:48:30.519 --> 00:48:37.920
it's not impossible to imagine some Democrats
emerging that take that more moderate approach,

574
00:48:38.039 --> 00:48:42.400
although I agree it's hard because the
base of the Democratic Party at this

575
00:48:42.440 --> 00:48:45.199
point is just so woke and just
you know, it's really fully in a

576
00:48:45.280 --> 00:48:52.280
religious has a fully religious mentality,
viewing climate change just totally apocalyptic, you

577
00:48:52.320 --> 00:48:57.599
know, racism and having supernatural views. I mean, I keep asking,

578
00:48:57.599 --> 00:49:02.440
I've been asking I progressive friends why
tomorrow I could declare myself a woman and

579
00:49:02.519 --> 00:49:08.840
demand total um adherence to being called
a woman by all of my friends.

580
00:49:09.480 --> 00:49:15.039
But I but if I if I
said I was black, I would be

581
00:49:15.119 --> 00:49:21.920
demonized. And so I think that
there's a lot more genetic and biological um,

582
00:49:21.960 --> 00:49:23.360
I think there's a lot. I
think there's I think that my genetics

583
00:49:23.360 --> 00:49:28.519
of biology make me much more similar
to a black man than to a white

584
00:49:28.559 --> 00:49:31.159
woman. So explain that. Explain
that to me. Why that is,

585
00:49:31.800 --> 00:49:38.159
Well, there is no rational explanation. It's simply that the trans community wants

586
00:49:38.199 --> 00:49:43.760
to be larger than it is and
therefore allows anybody who says that they're a

587
00:49:43.840 --> 00:49:49.159
different sex to say that, and
the African American community, through some peculiarities

588
00:49:49.199 --> 00:49:57.039
of history, have sought to,
you know, basically not allow and really

589
00:49:57.119 --> 00:50:01.320
in some ways stigmatize h Arian Americans
who are trying to pass themselves off as

590
00:50:01.360 --> 00:50:06.719
white or or trying or trying to, um, you know, to be

591
00:50:06.760 --> 00:50:10.400
acting white or in other way.
So that's just a kind of weird historical

592
00:50:12.079 --> 00:50:16.760
coincidence based on the on the completely
arbitrary judgments of activists in both of those

593
00:50:16.760 --> 00:50:21.840
communities. It doesn't have anything to
do with kind of reality. So you're

594
00:50:21.880 --> 00:50:27.360
clearly in a religious mentality, you
know. I wrote San Franciico because I

595
00:50:27.400 --> 00:50:30.639
was like, it's so ridiculous,
Like when I got to the bottom of

596
00:50:30.679 --> 00:50:31.639
it, I was like, really, is it really this dumb? And

597
00:50:31.679 --> 00:50:36.599
it was like, yep, it's
just that dumb, Like I can't you're

598
00:50:36.719 --> 00:50:39.079
I was sort of hoping intellectually on
both of these issues. You know how

599
00:50:39.159 --> 00:50:45.239
dumb kind of woke religion is,
but then also how straightforward it is to

600
00:50:45.320 --> 00:50:49.760
solve the open drug scene problem.
And you know, ultimately at bottom,

601
00:50:49.760 --> 00:50:53.360
I'm like, you don't require anything, any fancy intellectual analysis. It just

602
00:50:53.639 --> 00:50:58.159
it's just as dumb as it seems. Yeah, it's it's quite dumb.

603
00:50:58.519 --> 00:51:00.840
If we look for you know,
across the Atlantic for some hope, what

604
00:51:01.000 --> 00:51:07.039
you see is that Labor Party was
ruined by these people with similar views.

605
00:51:07.840 --> 00:51:14.960
And of course, yeah, and
it's no longer Tony Blair's Labor Party that

606
00:51:15.199 --> 00:51:24.599
was vibrant and very strong and insane
and rational, it's now become something else.

607
00:51:24.679 --> 00:51:30.800
Altogether. This guy called Jeremy Corobbin
destroyed it and took on this walk

608
00:51:30.920 --> 00:51:37.239
nonsense. And that group, that
subset of far far left I call them

609
00:51:37.320 --> 00:51:44.320
progressives, are still within that party. But if you read the discussion in

610
00:51:44.360 --> 00:51:47.679
the newspapers, in the British newspapers, you know, all the rational commentators

611
00:51:47.719 --> 00:51:54.280
say it's a democracy can't survive with
just one party. You're then going to

612
00:51:54.320 --> 00:52:00.440
get power concentrated in the hands of
a few, and I don't think it's

613
00:52:00.480 --> 00:52:06.559
good or healthy for a political party
to have power so long and so are

614
00:52:06.800 --> 00:52:10.280
there are no, I think,
very healthy debates and discussions going on within

615
00:52:10.360 --> 00:52:15.760
the Labor Party how to fix this
and how to get rid of these crazy,

616
00:52:15.880 --> 00:52:21.639
fringe, extreme people who have hijacked
the entire party. And I was

617
00:52:21.719 --> 00:52:27.039
hoping really that we could that we
will see something like that with you know,

618
00:52:27.079 --> 00:52:31.920
one of our major parties, the
Democratic Party, unless maybe what other

619
00:52:31.960 --> 00:52:37.039
people are pointing to, which is
I don't know, independent Party or something

620
00:52:37.079 --> 00:52:42.440
like that, but there should be
you know, a democracy can't really survive

621
00:52:42.480 --> 00:52:45.599
on what with one party. Yeah, that's right. I mean, so

622
00:52:45.719 --> 00:52:49.199
if if you sort of push forward
on this, I mean you can sort

623
00:52:49.239 --> 00:52:51.639
of see different paths, I mean, one of them. Obviously, the

624
00:52:51.679 --> 00:52:54.039
future of the Republican Party depends heavily
on whether or not Trump gets the nomination.

625
00:52:55.000 --> 00:52:58.559
If he doesn't, then I think
that the party has a chance to

626
00:52:58.599 --> 00:53:01.480
become a majority party. And if
that's the case, then it seems to

627
00:53:01.519 --> 00:53:08.199
me that we're looking at a very
similar realignment of the kind that we saw

628
00:53:08.280 --> 00:53:15.360
under Reagan. Though I think the
differences is that it's not a neoliberal realignment

629
00:53:15.400 --> 00:53:19.599
like Reagan ushered in. It's really
more of a nationalist like more of an

630
00:53:19.639 --> 00:53:23.239
economic nationalist one that probably has an
expanded role for the state. That is,

631
00:53:23.400 --> 00:53:29.880
you know, Republicans no longer trying
to privatize entitlements for example, and

632
00:53:30.079 --> 00:53:34.360
being um, you know, pretty
accepting an open and open towards gays and

633
00:53:34.440 --> 00:53:37.519
lesbians. You know, I don't
know what happens with abortion under either scenario.

634
00:53:38.559 --> 00:53:42.719
Democrats, Um, yeah, Like, I mean, I would say,

635
00:53:42.719 --> 00:53:45.760
if there's a third party that has
any possibility, it would be in

636
00:53:45.800 --> 00:53:50.719
California. We have an open primary
system already, so you can have two

637
00:53:50.719 --> 00:53:57.440
Democrats or two Republicans in the runoff
or independence. But I think that depends

638
00:53:57.519 --> 00:54:00.440
on you know what again here too, it just depends on the addits that

639
00:54:00.519 --> 00:54:04.480
you get to some extent. You
know, what's interesting is if you did

640
00:54:04.519 --> 00:54:08.440
get a third party in California,
whether it would be aligned with one of

641
00:54:08.840 --> 00:54:12.800
you know, with one of the
parties outside of California, whether it would

642
00:54:12.800 --> 00:54:16.320
take it over a lot of big
questions to ask. I mean, it

643
00:54:16.400 --> 00:54:22.960
seems like, you know, certainly
in California, there's a lot of unhappiness

644
00:54:22.000 --> 00:54:27.440
somebody's got to emerge, you know, to challenge Gavin Newsom, somebody more

645
00:54:27.480 --> 00:54:30.960
moderate on the one on the one
hand, on the other hand, the

646
00:54:30.039 --> 00:54:35.480
Republican Party's basically dead. It's very
hard to raise the kind of money you

647
00:54:35.519 --> 00:54:39.679
need to raise to compete with Gavin
Newsom. You know, more more more

648
00:54:39.760 --> 00:54:45.760
likely would be though, that moderate
Democrats take power, take back power in

649
00:54:45.840 --> 00:54:50.360
Los Angeles and San Francisco, and
Gavin ends up governing more as a moderate

650
00:54:50.679 --> 00:54:55.719
if he's reelected. Yeah, well, I hope that that is a scenario

651
00:54:57.480 --> 00:55:01.920
where he can be successful challenged,
because again, it's really only through the

652
00:55:01.960 --> 00:55:07.119
ballot box that we will be able
to see a peaceful transition to a more

653
00:55:07.199 --> 00:55:10.880
normal life. And I think Virginia
has shown that. I think what we

654
00:55:12.000 --> 00:55:17.599
also see in Virginia is I was
cheering on this woman Winsome Seers last night.

655
00:55:19.199 --> 00:55:22.880
That's a black woman, I think, originally from Jamaica. She was

656
00:55:22.920 --> 00:55:27.880
elected to the position of lieutenant general. And she stood there saying, please

657
00:55:28.039 --> 00:55:32.039
don't it's not about my skin,
and this country has given me all these

658
00:55:32.119 --> 00:55:37.800
wonderful things. And she said,
what did she see, like a little

659
00:55:37.840 --> 00:55:45.400
bit away from from becoming the governor
and I think that if you have more

660
00:55:45.440 --> 00:55:50.079
and more individuals like that instead of
a Trump, but more and more people

661
00:55:50.599 --> 00:55:58.000
with that kind of background, Latino's
other immigrants taking prominent positions in the Republican

662
00:55:58.039 --> 00:56:01.519
Party, they do have a chance
of winning. Chance. And then I

663
00:56:01.639 --> 00:56:07.480
agree, Yeah, that also takes
that the race arguments in that Prase narrative

664
00:56:08.760 --> 00:56:15.199
out, you know, just tol
us to that. Yeah, I agree

665
00:56:15.239 --> 00:56:20.519
with you. I mean, I
think there's there's real potential there. You

666
00:56:20.559 --> 00:56:22.880
know, it's interesting. I mean, I I'm struck by how quickly and

667
00:56:22.880 --> 00:56:29.400
how responsive our political system is.
I mean, you know, there's there's

668
00:56:29.440 --> 00:56:30.360
some people that still kind of say, oh, the elite try to touch.

669
00:56:30.400 --> 00:56:34.079
I think that's true, but when
they suffer a defeat like this,

670
00:56:35.280 --> 00:56:37.960
I just kind of go, you
know, I don't know. I mean,

671
00:56:37.960 --> 00:56:40.599
Democrats can just keep losing, But
if the Democrats were to keep losing

672
00:56:40.639 --> 00:56:45.239
so badly, then yeah, you
would have some sort of new party,

673
00:56:45.360 --> 00:56:49.440
you know, challenge them. You
know. I think the other thing that

674
00:56:49.440 --> 00:56:53.760
we all worry about, right is
that that basically we just become more segregated

675
00:56:53.840 --> 00:56:59.719
so that states like California become one
party states, you know, other states,

676
00:56:59.719 --> 00:57:04.280
because you know, Republican one party
states. I think what's exciting about

677
00:57:04.320 --> 00:57:08.599
Virginia is it shows that you can
get a candidate who was you know,

678
00:57:09.239 --> 00:57:12.800
not expected. You know, it's
really the underdog, can't it not expected

679
00:57:12.840 --> 00:57:17.360
to make um any headway, who
can come and win in part because he's

680
00:57:17.400 --> 00:57:23.199
not he doesn't have the abrasive qualities
of a Trump, who, you know,

681
00:57:23.239 --> 00:57:25.599
I think in the past would have
had a more neoliberal orientation. I

682
00:57:25.639 --> 00:57:30.400
think he comes out of the finance
sector, but is you know, was

683
00:57:30.440 --> 00:57:34.039
able to strike a more populous chord. So so yeah, clearly we're seeing

684
00:57:34.039 --> 00:57:37.519
some innovation there. I think that, you know, somebody there's going to

685
00:57:37.599 --> 00:57:43.719
need to be a proper reckoning on
the Democratic side with what the agenda is,

686
00:57:44.320 --> 00:57:45.599
you know, in California, like
I mean, I kind of look

687
00:57:45.599 --> 00:57:53.320
at what their Democrats are proposing nationally, you know, childcare credits you know

688
00:57:53.360 --> 00:57:58.760
as the big one, some subsidies
for renewables, and I'm like, that

689
00:57:58.760 --> 00:58:00.480
doesn't address any of the big issues. In California, we were in the

690
00:58:00.480 --> 00:58:05.079
midst of a bad drug addiction,
untreatedmental illness crisis, and yet what's the

691
00:58:05.119 --> 00:58:09.320
strategy on either of those is totally
not clear? Right, So but I

692
00:58:09.320 --> 00:58:13.079
think that goes to Republicans too.
I mean, you know, during the

693
00:58:13.119 --> 00:58:17.000
recall election, Larry Elder, who
was the main Republican candidate, he didn't

694
00:58:17.000 --> 00:58:20.960
really have a particularly good answer or
a good story on what do you do

695
00:58:21.000 --> 00:58:24.239
about homelessness and drug addiction. There
was some hand waving, but he also

696
00:58:24.320 --> 00:58:28.079
said things like, I mean,
it's confusing because he would say, we

697
00:58:28.159 --> 00:58:31.239
need to decriminalize all drugs. Yeah, at the same time he said,

698
00:58:31.280 --> 00:58:35.880
oh, we got to have charities
involved in taking care of addicts. That's

699
00:58:35.920 --> 00:58:40.719
just not good enough. I mean, he really needed a more serious proposal.

700
00:58:40.840 --> 00:58:43.679
I mean, it was interesting to
me last night when I was watching

701
00:58:43.760 --> 00:58:46.960
young Ken from Virginia give his acceptance
speech. He talked about he said something

702
00:58:47.000 --> 00:58:52.719
like, and we're going to invest
in behavioral health, and I felt like,

703
00:58:52.760 --> 00:58:55.000
wow, that is like a big
piece of wonk are for your acceptance

704
00:58:55.000 --> 00:59:00.760
speech. But it shows that,
you know, but behavioral health is very

705
00:59:00.800 --> 00:59:05.920
you know, avant garde language describe
mental what we used to call mental health

706
00:59:06.000 --> 00:59:10.199
or basically you know, behaviors that
are affected by addiction or mental illness.

707
00:59:10.960 --> 00:59:15.440
Yeah, you know, using very
progressive and that's like a very using very

708
00:59:15.440 --> 00:59:19.519
progressive wonky language describes something similar.
But yeah, if that were if you

709
00:59:19.559 --> 00:59:22.559
had someone that was more like a
young kin than a Larry Elder. Yeah,

710
00:59:22.559 --> 00:59:25.639
you know who's who's out there,
you know, pretty progressive on a

711
00:59:25.679 --> 00:59:31.719
bunch of things, you know,
including healthcare, including you know, probably

712
00:59:31.719 --> 00:59:36.960
in California they've got to be pro
abortion rights, you know. Um.

713
00:59:37.800 --> 00:59:39.840
But again that's hard because so much
of the Republican based in California is actually

714
00:59:39.920 --> 00:59:45.199
quite similar to the Trump base and
the rest of the country. Yeah,

715
00:59:45.639 --> 00:59:49.719
I noticed that. I think the
problem also with mental health is what,

716
00:59:50.480 --> 00:59:57.400
you know, the definition of mental
health has become so elastic. So you

717
00:59:57.719 --> 01:00:04.360
were talking about schizophrenia the other moments, and that falls under mental health,

718
01:00:05.519 --> 01:00:10.000
but also what met and Marcos suffers
from also falls under mental health. So

719
01:00:10.719 --> 01:00:16.119
if you have a definition that's that
wide, you will just be wasting resources.

720
01:00:16.119 --> 01:00:22.519
Really, what does Megan Marcos say
she suffers from? Search me?

721
01:00:22.159 --> 01:00:30.639
Narcissism? Yeah, so I think
entitlements, extreme entitlements and narcissism with some

722
01:00:30.760 --> 01:00:35.599
neuroticism built into what I guess I
mean guys like that's pathetic. That is

723
01:00:35.639 --> 01:00:38.280
the problem. So if that's mental
health, which she has, his mental

724
01:00:38.320 --> 01:00:43.840
health and then you have people who
are psychotic, either on drugs or because

725
01:00:43.880 --> 01:00:47.119
of their genes, and are really
violent, you know, veterans from military

726
01:00:47.119 --> 01:00:53.639
with property is trauma. You know, where where do you know where's the

727
01:00:53.679 --> 01:00:58.760
cutoff? I mean, one of
the questions I was wrestling with in San

728
01:00:58.760 --> 01:01:04.199
Francico that we wrestled with this staff
with sort of is universal the universal healthcare

729
01:01:04.199 --> 01:01:07.559
proposal that we're proposing. Is it
just for there really down and out,

730
01:01:07.599 --> 01:01:10.159
the people on the streets, the
people suffering really bad illness. You know,

731
01:01:10.280 --> 01:01:17.079
Ultimately we think we need universal mental
health stay wide because before people get

732
01:01:17.079 --> 01:01:22.039
to the point where they're on the
street, they are kids experimenting with drugs

733
01:01:22.519 --> 01:01:25.760
they need you know, often,
you know, often this is the argus,

734
01:01:25.800 --> 01:01:30.800
not my argument, but I agree, there's a lot of people that

735
01:01:30.840 --> 01:01:34.880
are self medicating. Yeah, and
so you see people that you know,

736
01:01:35.159 --> 01:01:42.960
young people that would have benefited from
an antidepressant or maybe an ADHD drug or

737
01:01:43.000 --> 01:01:49.840
you know that plus some therapy and
a job and some counseling would be fine.

738
01:01:50.199 --> 01:01:52.159
You know. Um. One of
the things is that you know,

739
01:01:52.199 --> 01:01:55.679
the argument by by Sally Satel,
who's one of the people that blurbed my

740
01:01:55.719 --> 01:02:02.039
book psychiatrist at American Enterprise Institute.
She just argue, use the opioid crisis,

741
01:02:02.599 --> 01:02:07.880
you have to Yes, the drug
companies were terrible and they weren't regulated

742
01:02:07.920 --> 01:02:10.480
properly and all that stuff, and
yes, loneliness and despair, all those

743
01:02:10.480 --> 01:02:15.679
things are factors, but we just
didn't provide proper psychiatric care for people suffering

744
01:02:16.719 --> 01:02:22.960
from some treat highly treatable mental illness. I mean, anti depressants are miracles,

745
01:02:23.199 --> 01:02:28.679
miracle drugs. But we have a
pretty good I mean it's not perfect.

746
01:02:28.800 --> 01:02:31.639
We have pretty good drugs for people, good medicines for people, but

747
01:02:31.760 --> 01:02:35.800
they need to see a psychiatrist.
You need so there and you know the

748
01:02:35.880 --> 01:02:39.440
great thing is telepsyche now means that
it's not should not be super expensive.

749
01:02:39.559 --> 01:02:43.320
You don't need to go see a
psychiatrist every week. Most people don't,

750
01:02:43.360 --> 01:02:46.320
at least not for long periods of
time. So when you ask about costs,

751
01:02:46.400 --> 01:02:51.239
like, one way you bring down
the costs is you help people to

752
01:02:51.280 --> 01:02:54.159
get the care that they need.
They're seeing a psychiatrist because that's the most

753
01:02:54.159 --> 01:02:59.320
expensive part of the system, is
the psychiatrist because they're mds. But you

754
01:02:59.360 --> 01:03:01.199
know, most people, well they
maybe just need to get their medicines.

755
01:03:01.199 --> 01:03:04.639
They need to tweak it a little
bit over some time, but then they're

756
01:03:04.639 --> 01:03:08.960
going to be okay with exercise,
therapy, diet, job, you know,

757
01:03:09.039 --> 01:03:14.519
relationships, the typical ingredients of a
happy life, and I think you

758
01:03:14.599 --> 01:03:17.400
can you can end up avoiding a
lot of the expensive cost later. But

759
01:03:17.519 --> 01:03:22.400
again, you've got to have a
society that understands. And this is where

760
01:03:22.400 --> 01:03:25.239
the Dutch are brilliant. Yeah,
that it does require carrots and sticks,

761
01:03:25.239 --> 01:03:29.679
it does require discipline, and that
the Beatles were wrong. Love is not

762
01:03:29.719 --> 01:03:36.159
all we need. Yeah. Well, I could listen to you all day

763
01:03:36.199 --> 01:03:42.480
long, all day long, and
even though we you know, we're talking

764
01:03:42.480 --> 01:03:46.280
about some of his grave issues,
you always give me hope. So,

765
01:03:46.440 --> 01:03:51.880
Michael, thank you so much.
Oh it's wonderful to speak with you again,

766
01:03:51.920 --> 01:04:20.519
and it's always a pleasure. Let's
keep the conversation going. Thank you

767
01:04:20.599 --> 01:04:25.760
for tuning into another episode of the
Ian Heresy ALI podcast. I hope you're

768
01:04:25.840 --> 01:04:30.320
enjoying these conversations as much as I
am. Visit Ianhercli dot com to learn

769
01:04:30.360 --> 01:04:34.880
more and consider subscribing to support this
podcast. As always, I'm looking forward

770
01:04:34.920 --> 01:05:00.320
to the next conversation. Seve

