Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host, Corey Evans. Thank you for listening to this week's episode. It is titled Stud, dud or mud. It is all about value right now in the fantasy football market, specifically Dynasty. Is the player I'm discussing a stud a dud meaning somewhat of a bust or not returning on investment or ADP or is their value even stuck in mud? As if we were driving a vehicle and we can't get the tires out of said mud, does it mean there's room for improvement or decline? In twenty twenty four, before we get to that, there was a five star written review left Apple podcast. It was written by Brandon Lee nineteen ninety one. It read solid content with no waste of time as the title, and Brandon he said, I'm a big fan of the condensed episodes and in depth analysis much appreciated their Brandon, you all know it by now. If you leave me a five star review up a podcast and it's written, you'll get a shout out on next week's program. As always, if you can just drop those five stars on Apple or Spotify helps me out a ton. Thank you in advance. One last housekeeping note is my roster call promotion for the rest of June. It is twenty percent off a usual thirty minute thirty dollars call or one hour fifty dollars call. Slice still's rates twenty percent off. If you want to get on my calendar social media, the dinas dude on Facebook, Instagram or Twitter, slash x Dinasty do pod and email to dinasydepodtgmail dot com will also work. Once again, that is twenty percent off roster calls in June. Here we go stud dud or mud for value in twenty twenty four. Up first, Drake London, who I view as a stud I think they should be pretty much consensus by now, but there are still those who are contrarian thinking that London is overvalued. I think that is not nonsense, but it's a bit outland you think that London is not set up for a breakout season. He will be twenty three in July six four two thirteen. Ideal build for a franchise wide out one in this case with the Falcons eighth overall pick out of USC in twenty twenty two as a rookie in Atlanta, seventy two, eight sixty six and four twelve yards per ketch one hundred and seventeen targets as the PPR wide receiver thirty one, a twenty nine point one percent target share. He was a wide receiver three in twelve team formats as a sophomore. Last year twenty twenty three, Drake London sixty nine, nine oh five and two thirteen point one yards per ketch one hundred and ten targets as the PPR wide receiver thirty seven, so a slight decline overall outside of yardage, and that was a twenty three point one percent target share, So we saw a little bit less of the pie in the Atlanta passing attack. Drake London finally now has a viable quarterback in Kirk Cousins, after dealing with inconsistency from Marcus Mariota, desmin Ritter, even Taylor Heinike over the past two seasons, his first two in the professional landscape of the NFL. It's within the range of outcomes in my mind at least, that Drake emerges as a true wide out one in the fantasy sense of things for twenty twenty four. Even so, there are those who West set are contrarian or doubt london ceiling through the presence of John Robinson along with Kyle Pitts. From a volume perspective, I understand that side of the argument or downside to London's baked in current adp or theoretical outlook. Even so, if there's greater efficiency from Kirk Cousins that could overpower the target share concerns. As we saw almost thirty percent as a rookie and then twenty three percent as a sophomore. If there's a middle ground there, say twenty five twenty six percent, then London should push for career high when it comes to opportunities within new oc Zach Robinson's fantasy friendly scheme from the Sean McVay Coaching Tree, we now have nothing to worry about when it comes to Arthur Smith and his run focused and frustrating usage of personnel in a vacuum. I would say London is worth an early to mid first in all formats. If it's super flexed, then perhaps more of a mid first because of all the quarterbacks we prioritize in twenty twenty four All on, Although I am fully in on Drake, London truly emerging in twenty twenty four, his third year as a pro A stud. For the sake of this week's episode, T Higgins, I see him in Value Mud twenty five years old, sixty four to two nineteen, A second rounder out of Clemson back in twenty twenty. His annual receiving logs to dates are sixty seven, nine oh eight and six, seventy four, ten, ninety one and six, seventy four, ten, twenty nine and seven, forty two, sixty six and five, and then targets per year one O eight one, ten, one oh nine, seventy six games played per year of sixteen, fourteen, sixteen and twelve. All those collective accolades and numbers don't live up to the expectations or the hype when he came out of Clemson. And this is where I'm most concerned in terms of just T Higgins reaching the next level. Why his values in Mud as opposed to being a clearcut stud. He's been ranking as a PPR wide receiver twenty eight, twenty four, eighteen, and last year fifty one. That is, a wide receiver two almost every single year, if not wide receiver three or outside of that mix. Last year was injury riddled. He's currently set to play on the franchise tach for twenty one point eight million to twenty twenty four. He could be even traded by the time you're listening, which would change it from mud to stud. But that is the current infrastructure, is that he was not present for the start of mandatory mini camp in Cincinnati. The Bengals have been reluctant to shop and or even trade Higgins this offseason, and it's pretty evident that he himself wants a a contract extension or b to be traded. And keep in mind, te Higgins is a UFA next off season, he could easily reset his value in the open markets, so push is going to come to shove before long. Cincinnati is going to either retain him or get the most they can, and at this point the franchise has waited a little bit too long to maximize his value. With some of the other deals we've seen for wideouts like Aman Rah or Gustin Jefferson, that's not the level of te Higgins. He has not demonstrated that sort of caliber or monetary worth in real life football or even a fantasy from a stats availability or consistency perspective. I do wonder though, if it change is scenery is what Tee Higgins needs to fault himself into a different tier Fantasy football value because Jamar Chase significantly impacts te ceiling in terms of current value, because it is stuck in mud for the sake of this week's show, mid to late first and even closer to that late first if we're talking super fux, if it's a one quarterback league, a mid first spot on in a sense, I think Ti Higgins is more of a hold or a by low. I don't think, and I have two shares him in Dynasty, and I'm looking to shop or sell at this point in time because there's far more room for growth or profit than there is for bust territory besides the disappointing roller coaster ride that we've had from twenty twenty to twenty twenty three. In a best case, Tea is traded. If it's the worst case, then he plays into Tonaty or holds out and his values once again in that middle ground of uncertainty this upcoming season, I tend to gamble or be okay taken on risk. Te Higgins fits that mold. Sure the value is in mud right now, But if things change for his fan, the environment, situation with a new contract, or trade to another franchise, then suddenly can change in a blink of an eye. And that's what we have to remember in dynasty is that value is ever evolving, ever changing. Get to stay water liquid and not stuck on takes or opinions, because that's how you lose. You cannot be stubborn or biased. Next up is Marcus Brown, who I view as a value dud. He just turned twenty seven this month in June five to nine one point eighty, spent three seasons with Baltimore and two with Arizona. His career highs collectively, not single season, but on in all checking at nine ue receptions, one thousand and eight yards, receiving eight touchdowns, and one hundred and forty six targets. If that was one season line of stats, then he'd be on the wide out one to two borderline career lows. You'll see conversely, receptions forty six yards, receiving five to seventy four touchdowns three and target seventy one. That's the basement level of value that, unfortunately you've seen more frequently than the career highs, and Marquis Brown therefore has been more of a bust than true asset in fantasy football games played for your fourteen, sixteen, sixteen, twelve, and fourteen, so not all that great. Their ability has missed time in his NFL tenure to date eleven point six yards per catch on three or thirteen total receptions in twenty nineteen. That is not the Marquis Brown from the collegiate level, where he was a field structure in big play machine. His usage has been more short intermediate, allowing more you have to catch than true long depth of target where his speed or just one on one ability to separate can take over. What I find even more concerning is that now five years in the NFL to date, Markus Browning has one a thousand yard receiving season. That was the one thousand and eight campaign I spoke about. To me, that means he's just not as impactful or good as advertised for the NFL purposes. Probably a safe wide receiver to a wide receiver three on a team, so now for the Chiefs, and then in fantasy wide receiver three or flex anything more would be a surprise or a wellc co edition to a dynasy roster, but assuming he'll be a wide receiver one wide receiver two is a bit too much, at least in my opinion. So to this point, Brown has not performed as more than a wide out two, while his career average or norm is closer to the wide receiver with three or four border line. That's basically what the stats indicate if we assess them from a bird's eye view. Yet he carries much more weight in perceived value. To me, that's the opportunity to cash out at a relative premium, especially now being tied to Patrick Mahomes. And you read in Kansas City and the early reports out of camp are that the quarterback wide out duo of Mahomes and Marquees Hollywood Brown have established good chemistry That is music to my ears. If I haven't roster anywhere, I don't have any shares. But if I did, I want to cash out for a second this year, ideally early to mid But if I'm looking to acquire him, if you're bought in to Rashid Rice's suspension, Xavier Worthy dealing with the hamstring injury, Travis Kelcey fading with father time catching up, then mid to late second. I'm simply out on Marquise Brown. Been burned too many times from pure data. I don't even have him in any leagues. It's just me looking at stats and numbers across the board. On tape, Marquis Brown does wow and excel went healthy, but that's been a big if as well. So in the nutshell, I would say that Marky's Brown is a value dud compared to where his current cost and value perspective is in the trade slash adp markets. Time for a quick break. Be back with two more names to discuss value wise if they're in a stud dud or mud territory. Before I get to that. Patreon one stop shop for a bonus episode per week, direct message questions, access twenty four to seven and fifty s five zer eight percent off any roster call whenever you want it. There's links in all of my social media bios to join, as well as Patreon dot com or their mobile app as Corey Adams Dynasty Dude. Even in your episode show notes on Apple podcast or Spotify, there's a link that says join Patreon. It supports me monetarily and you're gaining extra content in the process. If you want more access and content from my portfolio of work, Patreon is a spot to do it. Time for that quick break and I'll be right back. How about Zach Sharbonnay for me? The value is in mud. He is twenty three years old, six ' one two fourteen, a second round selection fifty two overall last year from UCLA. It was a one to oh eight four sixty two one rushing log four point three yards per clip and thirty three for two oh nine on forty targets to the PPR RB forty five. So sure, based on all the hype we assumed would take place in Seattle, you'r one Sharponne fell a bit short of expectations. He's a standout college resume. It was two years of Michigan and then two years with UCLA. The final two campaigns with the Bruins showcased his three down skill set for production of two oh two eleven, thirty seven and thirteen was in twenty twenty one, and then one ninety five, thirteen, fifty nine and fourteen and twenty twenty two. Seventy five career receptions and a five point nine yarder carry average on five hundred and sixty six total rushes. That's ample volume. It's efficiency at a high level competition with Michigan and UCLA. Now we all know in Seattle right now, Kenneth Walker's preferred Seattle running back to roster and dynasty rightfully so, because his week to week upside is not only matchup but potentially league winning when it comes to Walker's big rushes and explosive talents. That being said, the Seahawks have a new coaching regime and head coach Mike McDonald and then OC Ryan grub out of Washington, so the running back rotation could look different in twenty twenty four. Sharboney is a sophomore breakout candidate albe at one with obvious workload questions. What's working in his favor is the proven success at the college level and then what he showed in terms of promise as a rookie to earn an expanded roles both the Russian receiver moving forward as soon as a sophomore campaign. If Seattle conversely keeps use the same for twenty twenty three, then we can expect Walker to dominate reps on early downs while Sharbonny functions as the passing not running back or change of pace rusher. If Walker would have miss any time as he has in his Navel career to date, then Sharbonney will be a plug in player WRB two with in theory RB one upside, he is in value mud though, because we don't know what his role is going to be under Ryan Grub as the OC that was more of a Dylan Johnson RB one to himself backfield with Washington. But then again, there weren't too legitimate running back ten like Kenneth Walker and Zach Sharboney for Grub to utilize in terms of pure value. Right now, a mid to eight second is fair game for Zach Sharboney. Yes, the value is in that mud range or territory, but I'm looking to buy low where I can at cost, whether it's twenty four to twenty five. In terms of running backs in twenty twenty four, who are rookies compared to Sharboney outside of Jonathan Brooks and Crey Benson. I'd rather have Sharboney over any other rookie in this year's class, So keep that in mind. Just comparing twenty twenty three to twenty twenty four, if you can get a steeper discount, instead of paying a premium for a new rookie getting a lot of hype this offseason camp not named Brooks or Benson, and last, but not least, it's been a polarizing offseason for him. It is Devon h Chan, who I think is a stud twenty three in October five, nine, one eight eight does warrant serious concern about durability, But then there's a blatant speed of the four point three two forty yard dash, excellent field vision, cut back ability, and scheme fit for Mike McDaniel. The offense we saw last year in Miami, third under for eight Chan last year out of Texas am M eighty four overall a one to oh three eight hundred and eight rushing touchdown, seven point eight yards per carry in a twenty seven one to ninety seven three receiving log. It was thirty seven targets good for the PPR RB twenty four fish and only eleven games played. That is what makes eight chances to a divisive talent. To discuss, it was incredibly efficient, almost unsustainable to be a top twenty four running back RB two and twelve teen leagues and eleven games played. Can you do that again? With more or less volume. These stand up performances were Week three vers Denver eighteen totes two oh three on the ground and two touchdowns, and then four for thirty and two more touchdowns a receiver. Week four at Buffalo was eight for one oh one and two touchdowns. Week five or the Giants eleven for about fifty one and one score on the ground. Week thirteen at Washington was seventeen seventy three two more rushing scores, and even Week seventeen a Baltimore fourteen for one oh seven as a rusher and then four for thirty in a touchdowns receiver. Those standout games are week winning and if you get to the playoffs league winning, that is what eight Chan offers despite the ongoing durability worries. Speaking of their ability, it is will continue to be the everlasting red flag or asterisk in his stock. Basically, when eight Chan is active, you're catching lightning in a bottle with very few running backs can match his fantasy sealing the downside what we saw the one twenty twenty three when he missed notable time. It's worth noting that reportedly this offseason eight Chan did add muscle in an effort to improve his overall strength. I'm curious to see if that means extra weight or simply being in good shape. We'll see when training camp is underway. Then again, there is Raheem Moster continuing to be at least on paper RB one for Miami fourth rounder Jalen Wrights, who brings traits like Raheem Mooster and Devon a Shan to the table. So when RBBC is probable under head coach Mac McDaniel, all that being said, eight Chan can legit be a league winner or a complete bust. I'm betting on the optimistic point of view for a dynasty outlook because of the set of tools and fantasy environment off at the scheme that really caters to a skill set with that field vision, cut back in, and home run big play potential each and every time he touches the football. In a value sense, it's early to mid first and one quarterback leagues probably on the spectrum, if not a bit more valuable than Jonathan Brooks or Trade Benson for first round picks in this year's class because a Shan has proof of concept from his rookie campaign. So in a super flex league, probably mid to late first, but one quarterback has to be early to mid to match what he did in twenty twenty three, a sensational start to his young NFL career. That will do it. Hope you all enjoyed this week's episode of Stud, Dud or Mud the five players where they fit on that scale or range of outcomes. As a reminder, it was Drake London a stud for me, T Higgins Mud, Marquise Brown Dud, Zach Sharbonnay Mud and Devon Aischan Stud. Thank you all again for listening. If you enjoyed this week's show, please take a few moments hit those five stars on Apple or Spotify. Support me and my work as an independent content creator. Until next time, this is the dimes you're checking out. Hope you all the great rest of the week. Talk to you soon, see ya,