WEBVTT

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Hey everybody, Welcome into the Thinking
Crypto podcast. You're home for cryptocurrency news

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00:00:12.279 --> 00:00:16.039
and interviews. On your way in, please hit that subscribe button as well

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and review. It supports the podcast
and it doesn't cost you anything. Folks.

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We have to start by talking about
the price of bitcoin, which is

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right now at fifty nine and five
dollars. So Bitcoin, of course has

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been in this pullback phase and we're
looking at the daily chart here and maybe

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we found a bottom, or maybe
we haven't. I think we have a

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couple more weeks for bitcoin to settle
and then we bounce. A bounce will

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be coming, folks, when in
doubt zoom out. Market cycles are playing

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out here, and you know,
we're of course talking about the micro you

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know, we're talking about the monthly, the weekly, and the daily.

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But from a macro perspective, we
are in a bull market. I expect

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a bounce and for us to keep
moving up to new highs and possibly a

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blow off top this year, if
not into early twenty twenty five. So

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Bitcoin on the daily it's RSI is
looking like it's found the bottom here.

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Now we could go further down,
so I want to make sure I let

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you be prepared for multiple scenarios.
We're talking probabilities here, not certainties,

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because I don't have a crystal ball. No one has a crystal ball.

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But we want to look at what
are the next possibilities and what's the higher

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probability of playing out. So I
think the higher probability here is Bitcoin is

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very close to that bottom before it
bounds. Is the RSI is indicating that.

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And then if we look at the
dx Y, where you know,

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when the DXY is going down,
risk assets like Bitcoin, the NASDAC and

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much more are pumping. And then
if the DXY is pumping, you know

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the assets are going down. So
the DXY is looking weak on a daily

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chart, and it's RSI is starting
to move downwards. So that's a positive

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sign. You have these two things
moving in parallel, right, d x

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y's starting to show some weakness and
Bitcoin try to find at bottom. So

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I think once these two things happen, we move upwards. And of course

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Bitcoin is the rising tied the lips
all boats. So as the liquidity enters

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in back to Bitcoin, it will
start flowing down to the all coins,

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and of course, as Bitcoin goes
to that next leg up, which could

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be up to ninety K or even
one hundred k, that liquidity will start

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hitting many different all coins. So
here's some analysts actually wade in and have

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similar thoughts, and I want to
share it with you guys. So Techtav

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highlighted the following. He said,
the impulsive structure of the last one point

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five years says ninety to one hundred
k is next. So what is he

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talking about. Well, he highlighted
the chart where the market was in twenty

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twenty one and what that fractal look
like. And then he's saying, we're

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at that same point where the similar
type of fractal could play out, which

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could take us up to about ninety
k, then a correction, then another

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move upwards a Bitcoin going to about
one hundred and fifty K. And he

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included some whyke off charting showing that
this would be wave five where we've currently

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completed let's say way four, and
then we have that final move up.

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I think this makes sense. Now, it's not a guarantee, it's not

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a certainty. And I say that
because people think when I make these statements

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that this is absolutely what's going to
happen. I don't have a crystal ball

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once again, but I think this
has the higher probability of playing out.

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He also shows the RSI potentially near
that bottom where it bounces, so similar

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to what I was just showing you
guys were telling you guys about here on

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the Bitcoin daily chart. So looking
good. Peter Brandt a well known trader.

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He's been traded for a long time, trading traditional assets before crypto.

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He said, if Bitcoin can hold
these lows and move higher, the chart

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will qualify as a very common bull
market continuation chart construction. So right now,

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he says, here, we're in
that dump phase, and then there's

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going to be a pump, right
because eventually, you know, you get

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to that over soul and the market
can't keep going downwards. It has to

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bounce, right, These are principles. Same thing. It can become over

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bought with all the ETF buying and
Bitcoin hitting it's new all time high around

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seventy four thousand just literally over a
month ago. That was in a overbought

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scenario. It could not keep going
up like that it's not sustainable. Same

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thing on the on the other side
of the token or a coin. It

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can't keep going down in these pullbacks, so eventually you'll see a bounce.

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And I know this is new for
some of you, but once you've been

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around the block in this market,
guys, and I've been here for multiple

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bullmarket and bear market cycles, I've
seen this before, and once again,

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we are in an uptrend, not
a down trend. So I'm not expecting

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a fifty percent crash or anything like
that. Now, a black swan event

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could happen like what we saw in
twenty twenty, but that doesn't mean the

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bullmarket's over. I mean the world
is shut down in twenty twenty. Right

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in March of twenty twenty, you
guys know what I'm talking about. The

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market's tank. Bitcoin had dropped straight
down to three thousand. Then they started

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pumped again as liquidity came in.
So, guys, the other aspect of

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this too is the macro and the
FED just this past Wednesday or yesterday said

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they're not cutting rates anytime soon.
It goes back to what I've been saying

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since the beginning of the year,
and I wrote that newsletter saying I don't

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think the FED is going to cut
any rates before the election to not show

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any type of favorability. Plus the
data shows guys that when they cut rates,

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there's something breaking and the market's correct
hard. I'm talking like forty fifty

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percent. That type of pullback doesn't
mean the end of the world. It

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just means that's probably the end of
the bullmarket. So I don't think they're

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going to cut this year before the
election. I think after the election,

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and that could be in December of
this year or in Q one of twenty

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twenty five, and maybe, like
I said, this bullmarket could roll into

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twenty twenty five and that's where we
see the big correction the bear market starts.

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So that's what I'm looking at,
And I'm looking at these different scenarios,

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and I'm of course updating my thesis
based on the facts changing and if

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anything happens that is unforeseen. And
of course I have my cell targets.

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You know, I'm gonna start taking
profits on bitcoin and ninety k then one

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hundred and so on and so forth, and likewise for all coins. I

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have my cell targets as well.
So we'll see what happens next with the

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Bitcoin Fear and Greeted index. But
like I said earlier, it was at

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fear. Right now it's at neutral, and that's a good sign as we're

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almost close to finding that bottom,
folks. So let's talk about the top

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trending tokens on social media. This
data is brought to you by Sentiment,

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which is a partner of the podcast, and you can get a lot of

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insightful cryptometrics and data. If you
want to sign up with them, check

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out the link in the description.
You can use my code thinking Crypto to

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get a discount. First token that's
trending here is fracts share FXS and it

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has positive sentiment. Number two is
ave on Ethereum with a high positive sentiment.

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Number three is cou coin token,
so that's the exchange token coming in

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though it's positive to negative sentiment ratio
is not good. Positive sentiment is at

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forty five point eight three percent,
negative sentiment at forty one point six seven

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percent. Coming in at number four
is AMP with positive sentiment. Number five

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is go network. The ticker symbol
is got goot. It has bad positive

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to negative sentiment ratio, so positive
at forty three point zero two percent negative

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sentiment at forty three point seven two
percent. Coming in at number six is

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teller TRB with positive sentiment. Number
seven is tel coin coming in with positive

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sentiment, Axiler AXL coming in with
positive sentiment at number eight, Number nine

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coin x token CET coming in with
positive sentiment, and finally Ocean Protocol number

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ten coming in with positive sentiment.
And remember this protocol is actually going to

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be merged with Fetch dot AI and
Singularity dot net because they're merging those three

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AI tokens to form the I think
it's the super Intelligent, the artificial superintelligence

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alliance. So a Fetch token holder, it made me some decent money this

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cycle, and I told you guys
in December twenty twenty two I was doing

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that. So it's it's going to
be interesting when they merged these tokens.

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It might actually merge all the liquidity
into one token, so we could see

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that FET token, which will be
renamed to ASI, run up significantly.

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Not financial advice, do your own
research, but I'm going to be buying

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the dips for fat because of this
merge that's in the works, and once

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again liquidity being poled behind one token. So exciting times orry, folks,

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Let's jump into some news. We
all know Blackrock is tokenizing. Larry Fink,

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CEO Blackrock, said tokenization is the
future of finance. They started tokenizing

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on the Ethereum blockchain. Well,
we got news here that Blackrock tokenize real

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world asset fun buildal so bui d
L has become the largest of its kind

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after hitting three hundred and seventy five
million dollars, topping Franklin Templeton's rival offering.

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Folks, they're not kidding. They're
going to tokenize every traditional asset,

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stocks, bonds, even commodities,
real estate, much more. It's all

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going on the blockchain. And I've
said it over the years twenty four to

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seven, trading global markets. No
more opening and closing bell of the stock

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market. That will be a thing
of the past. It's not going to

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happen overnight, but you're going to
start to see that phase out, folks,

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because crypto like the crypto market,
because of the blockchain and the real

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time aspect of it, people are
trading real time twenty four to seven,

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and we're going to see a ton
of liquidity come into different assets that we're

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not able to in the past.
You're going to have that borderless aspect where

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you know, some people, for
example in India can't touch the New York

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Stock Exchange, but they can touch
assets on the blockchain. So we're dealing

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with a truly global acid class and
that's because of the blockchain technology. And

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it's amazing that block Rock is already
taking the lead here. They're the lead

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dog now even though other players like
Franklin, Tum, Milton and so forth

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started ahead of them. So let
me give you some details. The Blackrock

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US, the institutional Digital Liquidity Fund, represented by the buildel token on the

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Ethereum network and backed by US Treasury
bills, repot agreements, and cash,

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now boasts three hundred and seventy five
million dollars of deposits after enjoying seventy million

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dollars of inflows last week. Blockchain
data RWA dot xyz shows the fund,

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created with tokenization services platform Securitized,
has captured almost thirty percent market share since

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its debut on March twenty first.
Meanwhile, the Franklin on Chain US Government

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money Fund with the Benji b e
Nji token slid to three hundred and sixty

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eight million dollars in assets under management
after experiencing minor outflows during the same period.

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The change in guard was largely thanks
to the growth of Ondo Finance,

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whose tokenized treasury offering OUSG leverages black
Rocks token as reserve asset and enjoyed fifty

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million dollars of inflows in a week. I really have to look into this

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Ondo Finance token guys, not financial
advice. I'm just saying when I see

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adoption like this from real companies,
from TRATFI and so forth, that's very

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bullish. You're getting utility. You
can also invest in Etherorem because Blackrock is

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tokenizing on the Ethereum blockchain. Now
there's other players like JP Morgan and City

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Bank tokenizing on Avalanche. So this
is where you want to do your research.

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Who is using which blockchains and are
these reputable companies. And I think

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when you see big banks and investment
firms from TRATFI coming in and doing this's

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that's a big endorsement. That's a
big sign that there's going to be more

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value on these blockchains, which is
great for the native token. So I

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hold Etherorem. I don't hold Ondo, but it's something I'm currently researching.

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So I'm being transparent with you,
guys, what I'm thinking, how I'm

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thinking, and what I plan to
do. So this is very bullish news.

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Guys. We're seeing right before our
eyes the adoption of blockchains. So

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the rapid growth of blockchain's first tokenized
offering occurred as putting conventional assets like bonds

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and credit onto blockchain rails in forms
of tokens, also known as tokenization of

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real world assets RWA has captivated digital
asset firms and traditional finance tradified giants alike.

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Tokenization could offer benefits like faster around
the clock settlements, increase operational efficiency,

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and greater transparency. US treasuries,
among RWAs have emerged as a gateway

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for tokenization efforts as a low risk, well known instrument where investors can park

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their on chain cash and earn stable
yield without leaving the blockchain ecosystem. The

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tokenized treasury market swelled to near one
point three billion dollars from near one hundred

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million dollars in early twenty twenty three, propelled by in part of blackrocks entrance

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to the competition. So, folks, just to summarize, how can you

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make money off of this? Right? What Black Rocks doing like I said,

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you go hold a native token of
the blockchains they are tokenizing on,

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so I mentioned Etheroreum and onto finance. Second, you know, if they

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start tokenizing certain types of assets that
you're interested in. For example, I'm

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going to be looking at which real
estate properties will they tokenize. Will they

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be tokenizing certain buildings in Manhattan which
are in well established neighborhoods where the value

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will keep going up? Obviously,
we know real estate continues to rise in

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value in part because they debase the
currency, so the asset prices go up,

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right, we know that. So
let's say they pick a really valuable

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piece of real estate and they tokenize
it, and you are able to buy

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tokens of that real estate and hold
it, which we know it's going to

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go up in value as that's how
the world works with the basement of currency,

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and then possibly lend those tokens out
or create secondary markets and do different

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things and eventually, like I said, lend it out so you're in pasaf

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inca or for a profit. So
that's what I'm personally looking at. Next,

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as they get all of these things
finalized, you know they're going through

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a lot of trial and error here. They're testing the waters, so eventually

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they're going to be tokenizing rare things, artwork, different cars, rare cars,

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and real estate and all these things. So that's what I'm keeping my

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eye open for guys and paying attention
to to see what are some other investment

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opportunities to make money here. Now, folks, we got some interesting news

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from Tether. Now, many of
you have seen my interview with Tether's CEO

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Paolo Ardoino that was from like a
month and a half ago, if you

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haven't check it out. Tether has
really positioned themselves to be in a better

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place than they were years ago.
I've often stated. They got an endorsement

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from Howard Lutnik, who is the
CEO of Canter Fitzgerald, a major Wall

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Street firm that existed before Crypto.
He said, they have the money.

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Tether is done audits, it's on
their websites. They do quarter and I

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actually monthly attest stations, I believe, and they have been working with governments

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and authorities to track down people breaking
the law and doing wrong things because it's

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easy to do that with the blockchain. Right Well, folks, they are

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taking that to the next level.
Tether enhances compliance measures with chain analysis ecosystem

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monitoring solution. Tether has collaborated with
chainnalysis, the blockchain data platform, to

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develop a customizable solution for monitoring secondary
market activity. This is a smart move

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on their part, and we know
Chainnalysis they do a lot of data and

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analytics and blockchain tracking to help identify
things that are not going well. So

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I think it's a great partnership.
I think this is a big win for

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Tether and it helps them to further
cooperate with governments around the world because they

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are the world's largest stable coin and
of course they're going to be bad actors

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who are going to try to use
USDT for nefarious activities. Same way bad

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actors try to use cash and gold
and whatever means of value transfer that they

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can. So you want to stop
the bad actors. It's not the medium,

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it's not the technology, right,
we know that, unlike what Elizabeth

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Warren and Gary Genson would try to
paint the picture of, it's all bad

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stuff. Clearly not right, black
Rocket, All these guys are tokenizing and

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so forth. So this is a
great, great partnership. Here and some

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other context, it says here the
monitoring system could help Tether identify risky crypto

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addresses that could be used for bypassing
sanctions or illicted activities like terrorists financing.

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The company said, so, really
great stuff, and this is what I've

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been saying. You know, all
along with the industry needs the clarity.

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They need to put these things in
place because there are bad people out there

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trying to do things like they are
outside of crypto. This is just human

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civilization. This is society. There's
bad people doing bad things, so we

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need to make sure we're tracking them
out and kicking them out off the blockchain,

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not letting them use these things.
But we know it's very minimal compared

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to how cash and other currency and
means of of value transfer are being used.

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Right, so this is great news
in my opinion. Now, guys,

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00:17:06.400 --> 00:17:07.799
quick word from our sponsor, and
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So. If you'd like to learn
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the description now, folks, Michael
Saylor, I told you guys last week

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00:17:41.200 --> 00:17:45.720
he was doing his Bitcoin for Corporations
initiative, where he's helping businesses and corporations

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00:17:45.720 --> 00:17:49.759
and enterprises be able to learn how
to add bitcoin to their balance sheet.

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00:17:49.839 --> 00:17:53.240
Micro's strategy. Obviously he's doing that, Tesla has done it. A part

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of why Elon decided to add bitcoin
to SpaceX and Tesla's balance sheet is because

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Michael Seller helped him to do that
and educate him about it. And Jack

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Dorsey. You guys know who Jack
Dorsey is. I don't need to explain

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00:18:07.519 --> 00:18:11.440
that. They actually he tweeted out
here that block the company he found it

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is dollar cost averaging into bitcoin every
month, and he provided some details.

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Here's how your company can do it
too, And Michael Sailor retweeted him saying,

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each month, you know, they
will be investing ten percent of their

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gross profit from bitcoin products into bitcoins. So, guys, I think this

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trend continues and the name escapes me. I think it's fast bey, if

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I'm not mistaken. There's a rule, like an accounting rule that was updated

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last year, very bullish, that
makes it easier for these companies the whole

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bitcoin. So I think this trend
continues as these fuduciaries see that, Hey,

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look, I can get a better
return and protect the purchasing power of

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the cash we hold in our balance
sheet and our reserves by putting into crypto

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because it moves faster, right,
faster in a real estate and the track

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five assets. It's like what Paul
Tudor Jones, the billionaire investor said,

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crypto Bitcoin is the fastest horse in
the race. And part of that is

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because it's a nascent acid class.
The other aspect is it's global. Like

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I said before, not everyone can
access stocks in different regions and markets,

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right, but they can access bitcoin. They can buy a fraction of it.

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First truly global acid class. And
this blockchain of layer sits on top

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of the Internet and everybody now has
a mobile smartphone, so the world is

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connected. They live digital and it's
easy for them to just buy a fraction

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of the XRP cardono bitcoin. You
name it, Solana, whatever it is,

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and many of these tokens have a
finite supply, right it's hard cap,

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especially bitcoin, so that bodes well
for the increase in value because there's

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no ambiguitio segmentation as to what is
this market doing as far as how much

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capital is coming into the market.
You see it real time on the blockchain

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and transactions. Right if someone's buying
a billion dollars worth of bitcoin in Saudi

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Arabia, you will know. Now
you don't know who they are and sof

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but you will see the transaction value
and all of that is pooled right now.

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Yes, they can buy OTC obviously
where some of these things are not

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tracked un chain. But the other
aspect is they're buying a part of the

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supply, so the supply is then
locked with you know, in their wallets

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and so forth. So you don't
have this type of visibility and transparency in

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real time timeliness with gold and other
assets. And there's many times you know,

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borders for these assets where not everyone
can access it, but you have

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an Internet connection, you can access
bitcoin in the crypto asset class. All

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right, folks, that's the news. Don't forget to get a copy of

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00:20:55.000 --> 00:20:59.599
my book rethinking crypto. It will
help support me. And this is also

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00:20:59.680 --> 00:21:02.160
a great book you can give as
a gift for someone who wants to learn

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00:21:02.200 --> 00:21:06.200
about crypto. It tells the story
of crypto's past, president and future,

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00:21:06.599 --> 00:21:11.079
highlighting y FTX and all that stuff
was not crypto, the bigcoin ETF race,

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00:21:11.160 --> 00:21:14.839
the regulatory battle, what does the
future look like? Tokenization NFTs and

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00:21:15.000 --> 00:21:18.160
much more so a great gift.
Once again, give it to your friends,

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00:21:18.240 --> 00:21:22.480
your family who want to learn about
crypto. It's broken down in Layman's

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00:21:22.559 --> 00:21:26.839
terms, and it documents what has
happened so far, guys. So grab

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00:21:26.920 --> 00:21:30.000
a copy on Amazon in digital or
in paperback. And thank you for everyone

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00:21:30.039 --> 00:21:33.680
who came out to my book signing
event on Tuesday down by the Wall Street

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00:21:33.720 --> 00:21:37.319
bull It was at Station three NYC, which is a Web three hub.

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00:21:37.400 --> 00:21:41.240
Guys had a great time meeting many
of you who are longtime listeners. Thank

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00:21:41.279 --> 00:21:45.480
you, Thank you for coming out. Thank you for your support, guys.

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00:21:45.920 --> 00:21:48.599
And you know, I'll try to
see if I can do other book

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00:21:48.640 --> 00:21:52.319
signing events across the country in different
places. So if you'd like me to

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00:21:52.559 --> 00:21:56.519
come by to you know, whether
you're in Florida, wherever it is,

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00:21:56.039 --> 00:21:59.920
you know, leave your comments or
send me an email and I can see

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00:22:00.000 --> 00:22:03.200
if there's enough people who want to
come out and meet up. You know,

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00:22:03.240 --> 00:22:06.680
I can certainly set it up and
have another event in different parts of

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00:22:06.759 --> 00:22:10.039
the country. So thank you guys
for watching and listening. I appreciate your

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00:22:10.079 --> 00:22:11.200
support, and I'll talk to you
all later

