Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast Dying Your Holst Corey Evans,
thanks for listening Week two. It was full of surprises and letdowns, and
that's the exact topic and episode title for this week's show. Before I get
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right, Week two surprises and letdowns. First, we had DeAndre Swift verse
Minnesota, that being a surprise. With Kenneth Gamewell out due to rib ailment.
Swift stole the show in the Eagles backfield to the tune of a twenty
eight for one seventy five and one rushing effort, good for six point three
yards per carry, three for six as a receiver on three targets, the
longest carryment for forty three yards. It was a seventy five percent snap rate,
so this was three quarters of the Eagles backfield in Week two in favor
of Swift, compared to a twenty nine percent clip in Week one at New
England, where DeAndre recorded a mere one rush attempt and one catch in a
virtually non existent role. It was great to see for those vested in Swift
as an RB two or a flex candidates, and it's hard to imagine that
Philadelphia will revert back to gain while being RB one after Swift's level of play.
Unlike in Detroit. DeAndre was actually used extensively as a volume rusher in
Week two vers of Vikings as evident from his twenty eight carries, and we
saw traits back from Deandre's Georgia days on display such as physicality plus vision,
burst tacher breaking ability. That sort of workload has not been provided to Swift
the NFL level, at least consistently, so this was a great step in
the right direction for Swift to write the ship on his NFL career arc.
A lack of their ability has plagued Swift dating back to a second round draft
pedigree back in twenty twenty with annual games played of thirteen, thirteen, and
fourteen, so twenty twenty three in a sense is a make or break campaign
for DeAndre. Now, when Kenneth Gamo returns, the Eagles backfield could still
end up being a two man rotation since Rashot Penny seems to be the outman
out while Boston Scott is merely a change of pace weapon who's being evaluated for
concussions. We keep an eye on that. This week. We're at the
point where we can fire up Swift as a weekly starter until further notice.
Do expect some violatility and less volume than the thirty one could buy in touch
as you saw and just accrued. Even so, this was a huge surprise,
and a pleasant one at that for those investment swift AJ Dylon at Atlanta
it was a letdown. Fifteen carries fifty five yards only three point seven yards
per carry, one catch eight yards on one targets. The snap rate was
encouraging sixty eight percent of snaps, longest rush only eight yards. Aaron Jones
was inactive with his hamstring injury, Dylan was unable to capitalize with a starter's
calbo workload, which is concerning because he would be a free agent in twenty
twenty four. See the air apparent to Jones ingree Bay or will Dylan find
a starting job in the open market. This performance does not help his case
to become a feature back. Week one in Chicago was even worser. Dylan
thirteen rushes nineteen yards, two catches seventeen yards on forty eight percent of snaps.
So I guess at least we saw an approvement snapsharewise. Then again,
there was no Jones in Week two. To this point of his NFL career,
AJ is us known to be a force between the tackles at six feet
two forty seven, basically the most athletic running back we've seen from a side
speed ratio since Derrick Henry came into the league. Back to Dylan, though
his calling card is manufacturing yards at their contact, being that bruiser, that
powerful downhill runner. That simply has not been the case so far in twenty
twenty three. Is it seems like Dylan is at times running with a piano
attached to his feet or his back, with next to no power burst after
the point of handoff, which is not what we're accustomed to. If you
recall, Dylan has been a letdown for most of his career in terms of
expectations, even from most of twenty twenty two, but he turned a corner
around week twelve of last year and AJ has finished as the PPR RB twenty
three. That was twenty twenty one, RB twenty six and twenty twenty two
over the past two years. So there's hope we can improve from here on
out. If you're banking on Dylan those an RB two or flex weekly,
it's time to pump the brake. Submit and hopes that Dylan can improve his
effectiveness as both a rusher and receiver. If Aaron Jones is out again in
week three or beyond, then sure, let's start Dylan as a volume and
hope that he is better than what we've seen with a two week sample size.
John Who Smith verse Green Bay. What a surprise. Four catches forty
seven yards, six targets for eleven point of years per catch on sixty seven
percent of snaps and two targets coming in the red zone. That's the crucial
takeaway. Meanwhile, Kyle Pitts assumed starter and or Superstar, recorded two catches
fifteen yards on five targets with a seventy percent snapshare. Right now, it's
up for debate who's more valuable in Atlanta's passing attack. John Who Smith or
Kyle Pitts Now John Who did post a goose sagging in week one verse Carolina
on fifty percent of snaps without earning a single target. As a result,
we should not overreact and assume that he is overtaking or already user pits as
tighten one from receiving standpoint. For the Falcons, that would be a bit
of an exaggeration. What we should consider, however, as prioritizing John who
as a waiver wire ad and tight end premium formats even tight end depth and
a one tight end leads the position is so violentile. Now keep in mind
temper expectations. There was negative game script here four Atlanta against green Bay,
which led to John and being featured more as a pass catcher. Generally he's
going to block first, pass kech second, where Drake London, Kyle Pitts,
b John Robinson, Tyler Aljr. Matcollins are the weapons or outlets in
the passing attack. John who is somewhat of an afterthought as a target in
Atlanta's offense. Where we can't forget, though, is the narrative and history
of head coach Arthur Smith with John as Smith from the time together back in
Tennessee, where John who was actually asked to block and pass ketch was regarded
as a tighten one. Back in those days, it was assumed projected that
Atlanta would primarily use Smith as a blocker. Now we know there's at least
a chance of use as your cross or underneath the middle of the field as
well as in the red zone. Again, two targets of his six in
week two came in the red zone, and if suddenly he becomes a chance
for five touchdowns, that's incredibly valuable at a paper in position that being tight
end in fans football. So prioritize John Who in Titan premium formats, but
don't overlook him either in one tight end lead. She just realized that him
seeing six targets or even recording a catch is not a guarantee each every week.
CJ. Stroud versus Indianapolis a nice surprise. He went thirty or forty
seven for three eighty four terms of yards, passing, two touchdowns, no
picks, two fumbles, though one loss has to work on ball security.
He entered a contest questionable actually with a shoulder injury, but it was not
evident based on his level of play. The Colts were a much more fabable
matchup for Houston compared to Week one at Baltimore, where Stroud through for two
or or forty two yards, no touchdowns, no picks, four rushes twenty
yards with one fumble. So at three fumbles and two weeks, that's not
good when it comes to protecting the football. At least they're not interceptions if
you want to spend it on a positive note. CJ. Displayed a few
of the traits that made him a coveted prospect while facing Indianapolis is past weekend.
We're talking about accuracy, ball placement, sound decision making, poison the
pocket climbing, the pocket reading progressions, and the ability to push the ball
down field to all three levels that being short, intermediate, deep. I
was extremely impressed with the tape off scene on Stroud so far. If CJ
keeps this up, then suddenly the Texans passing attack will be fantasy viable for
the likes Nico Collins already is Tank Dell, Robert Wood, It's possibly even
John Mexi as he gets his feet underneath him. Among wide receivers, Dalton
Schultz a bit disappointing so far, but again, if Stroud is moving the
ball down field, then it's a fantasy friendly environment from our point of view.
Was perhaps most impressive that s Hit performed at a high level with a
dismantled Hugh stuffective line, no Leaner Tounsil while most other starters are on injured
reserve or injured in general right now. Therefore, Stroud locked in as a
quarterback two for super flex leagues and could become a streaming option in one quarterback
formats before long. That keeps up this consistency as a rookie. Not all
that often you see a first year quarterback make this kind of impact. Time
for a quick break, I'll discuss a few more surprises and letdowns from week
two. Next up is Damian Pierce versus Indianapolis. A letdown for sure.
Fifteen carries thirty one yards two point one yards per carry, two catches for
four yards on three targets with only a forty five percent snap rate. I've
been out on pre for a while. I understand that he's a volume play,
but when you're seeing sub fifty percent of snaps on what is a bad
offensive line in Houston. More to come on that here again soon. Pierce
just doesn't have much upside at this point in time. So now it's not
the time to sell. It's actually the inverse, could be time to buy
low a bit. That's after though a discourage in week one showing of eleven
to thirty eight yards, two catches, nine yards at Baltimore once again forty
five percent of snaps. That's two weeks in a row that he's been on
the dot of forty five percent of snaps. That's sub fifty percent. We're
talking about a rotational player at this point in time. As previously discussed regarding
TJ. Stroud, the Texans offensive line is a disaster right now, which
isn't helping to create rushing lanes for Pierce. The problem is Damien has not
looked all that great with twenty six rushing opportunities to date, despite offseason reports
ever glowing from him becoming more comfortable in pass pro being features of receiver.
We're not seeing it yet. Doesn't mean it won't happen, but to date,
Pierce is not living up to the bill and or expectations set for him
as a sophomore. Things won't be any easier come Week three, when the
Texans are set the traveling Jacksonville to face the Jaguars stock run defense. So
at this point Pierce should be treated or viewed as a TV dependent flex.
The volume is a plus, but there's legitimate reason to question if Devin Singletary
begins to see more touches if Damien's unable to execute a higher level soon.
So far, that has not been the case, with snap rates of twenty
one percent and thirty six percent four singletary across tweeks of action, but again,
that could flip on a switch like we saw last season when Pierce lost
valuable passing down reps to the likes of Rex Birkehead. Josh Jacobs at Buffalo
one of the biggest letdowns of week two nine rushes negative two yards. You
heard me right, nine rushes for negative two yards. What kept him relevant
was five catches fifty one yards on six targets a seventy three percent snap rates.
Jacobs started off slow Week one of Denver nineteen for forty eight in the
ground two for twenty three on eight percent of snaps. With that performance,
a benefit of the dot was given. It was considered an outlier compared to
his twenty twenty two output until his appearance this past weekend against the Bills.
Don't sound you all our, but prepared to press that button that Jacobs could
be a bust. It's a combination of a Raiders offense looking for its identity
with Jimmy Garoppolo and then inconsistent offensive line plates make matters worse. Jacobs was
pulled in the fourth quarter with the game out of reach to sink his fantasy
production or line even further regression was due in some capacity, we could probably
all agree after career year in twenty twenty two four Josh. However, so
far in twenty twenty three, Jacobs looks like a different running back. Sluggish,
slow, Perhaps holding out kept him out of game shape and its contributing
to his early season struggles. It presents a solid bylow window here, perhaps
only lasting a week or two because better days are ahead. Whenever a running
back is a volume that Jacobs is seen more often than not, it's going
to lead to at worst RB two numbers, and I who's seeing the past
RB one value. He's still dominating backfield touches. Mere White is waiting in
the wings to take over and or compliment Jacobs if it comes to that.
On TA half of Week three is a match up vers Pittsburgh, who is
generally known to stop the run. I don't doubt that Jacobs can return to
some form of an RB one fantasy. For now, treat him as more
of an RB two who is being kept afloat due to his passing game involvement,
not his rushing efficiency. Whenever a running back has a career year that
is in this age range, I always fear that they were overused and or
that was peak value. And I preached for most of the offseason to sell
Hiang Jacobs. He can bounce back. He's not dust in terms of being
done, but holding out does seem to be a factor here, and he
might just beginning his legs unerneath him. So don't panic. Sell. At
the same time, realize you might not have the top tier RB one you
thought you did a few weeks ago. Marvin Mims versus Washington, good surprise
here. Two catches a buck thirteen, one touchdown on two targets, averaging
fifty six and a half yards per catch. Little snap right, however,
only twenty four percent on the field. Mims emerging in week two was truly
a great surprise upon the return of Jerry Judy, since Judy was out in
week one and Marvin only managed to haul and two catches for nine yards on
twenty seven percent of snaps versus the Laws Siggs Raiders, so less snaps in
week two, yet had a huge performance and found his way to the end
zone. Those who invested a late first or early second round the draft pick
of Mims had to be thrilled with the usage and results. First, Washington
is Denver's big play target downfield. Mims scored his loan touchdown from sixty yards
out to showcase his speed and lidlifting ability. The two targets were underwhelming,
sure, even so, it's a step in the right direction. First rest
of season outlook or roll with the Broncos his other reception and the game went
for three yards. I don't feel confident or safe deploy Mims and fantasy starting
lineups quite yet outside of deeper formats with Jerry Judy Corn Sutton locked in his
starters. Even second year wide receiver Brandon Johnson has been relevant for Dever dispoint.
So there's a lot of mounts to feed, and Russell Wilson is throwing
that will, So Marvin Mims is somewhat of a shot in the dark.
It's more of the peace of mind that the talent is legitimate. There was
a reason why Sean Payton allocade his first offensive selection in the second round two.
Mims now it's a matter of consistency and building up his role as a
rookie. And last, but not least, Brian Robinson at Denver another surprise
eighteen carries eighty seven yards two touchdowns, four point yark per carry, two
catches, forty two yards, three targets on fifty two percent of snaps.
That was effective on that sort of snapshare, even if his plotter label rings
true. Robinson is guaranteed volume and that's hard to find him on running backs
in today's NFL. Workload is an exception to the rule for other running backs
like Najie Harris Derrick Henry, so there's no reason why it can't apply to
Robinson. Not all running backs are going to be five six yard per carry
exceptional talents. There are those who are gonna average three to four yards per
carry. The guaranteed volume and that in and of it self does carry weight
and relevance in fantasy football. Brian had a solid day in Week one as
well versus Arizona nineteen fifty nine on the ground, one catch, seven yards
and a touchdown across sixty one percent of snaps. We saw a slight decrease
in snapshare week two, but much more production right now on Tonyo. Gibson
is not a threat to Robinson as a rusher. Five carries in Washington's first
two games. Gibson has been a major letdown to this point. Therefore,
we should be valuman Robinson as a set it and forget it RB two until
further notice. As a key cog at the Commander's offense. He has thirty
seven ructions and three catches in two contests. That's up there among RB one
RB two ranks. Remember that Robinson was eased in as a rookie during the
twenty twenty two campaign. If they're being shot prior to the start of week
one. He recovered, returned to play twelve games and finished as the PPR
RB forty three with two hundred and five rushes nine receptions. He is on
pace to past those totals and RB rank substantially as a sophomore, and I'm
excited to see if Robinson can silence his critics his doubters improve that he can
become already is Washington's RB one for at least a few seasons. And this
is a quick side note, but I do remember during my scouting process a
lot of talent evaluators pointing out that many within Alabama's program viewed Robinson as a
superior running back prospect two that of Naji Harris. That seems far fect based
on the draft capital difference. But now that we know that Naji is a
puer bat of volume as well, is there really that much of a difference
in value between Nagi rob Robinson. Probably not so. If you can buy
low on the quote unquote plotter, mentality and or label that is associated with
Brian Robinson, you're basically getting Naji Harris in what could be a better offense
right now with Eric b Enemy pulling the strings as the offensive coordinator in Washington.
That will do it. A quick recap of Week two surprises and letdowns.
De Andre Swift surprise, AJ Dillon letdown, John who Smith's surprise,
CJ Stroud surprise, Damian Pierce letdown, Josh Shacobs let down, Marvin Mims
surprise, and Brian Robinson surprise. Thank you all for listening. Don't forget
if you want access to a bonus show per week over on Patreon, as
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Thanks again, until next time, this is the Dynasty you're checking out.
Good luck to you all in week three, See you at a