Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host, Corey
Evans. Thank you for listening to this week's show. This episode is title
ten Pre Draft Rookie Storylines. So we're now post NFL combine. We have
a lot of measurables and metrics from an analytics point of view to not couple
with all of these prospects and their college film the production. So I've constructed
ten storylines or opinions about prospects and what I think we're gonna have to pay
close attention to as we approach the end of April and the NFL Draft itself.
Before I get to that, shout out to j MMR seven for leaving
a five star written review on Apple Podcasts. It is titled great Podcast,
Great Roster Call Stuff. The podcast is great to the point he does his
research and covers a variety of topics. I just did a roster call with
Corey, and I strongly recommend it. Mine was thirty minutes, but I
wish I would have opted for sixty. His insight was helpful and answered all
my questions. Well. Something I really respect is that he is honest and
stands by his convictions. Some fantasy analysts throw every take at the wall or
hexe their bets. I appreciate that Corey knows his stuff and has confidence in
his work. Wow, thank you so much. Based on your Apple podcast
use name, I'm thinking that was Jim, So Jim. Appreciate the investment
in a roster call for thirty minutes. I'm glad you enjoyed it and found
a beneficial and the positive feedback along the testimonial to give the confidence in other
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seventeen percent off. All right, no specific order, hear, but ten
pre draft rookie storylines as we head into the new league year, the legal
tampering period begins I believe Wednesday of this week, that's the thirteenth of March.
We know that some free agents in the NFL are going to sign beforehand.
We'll hear those transactions or contracts prickle through throughout the week. But once
we have free agency in the rearview mirror, it then opens up the landscape
to see where rookies could land opt them landing spot. So a great time
of the season to pitpoint NFL team needs in order for us to hope or
project prospects to land. So Number one is that JJ McCarthy is now in
the quarterback two to quarterback four mix behind Caleb Williams. I think we can
all pretty much agree that Caleb Williams should be the one point oh one overall
in real life as well as super Fox drafts. McCarthy weighed in at six
two two nineteen to the combine. That's roughly ten pounds more then expected based
on his college listing at Michigan six point eight two second three Coln Durrial.
That was first among quarterbacks, a testament to his short area quickness, lateral
agility to move, and the pocket left the right or even scramble with his
legs. He just turned twenty one this passed January, so he's young,
might not be ready to lead an NFL franchise were out of the gate.
Even so, hearing a lot of chatter since the combine that McCarthy could easily
be a top ten, if not twelve pick. A team could throw him
in the fire hope for the best as he develops. Past season at Michigan
in twenty twenty three two thousand, nine ninety one yards passing, twenty two
touchdowns, four interceptions, seventy two point three completion percentage rate, nine yards
past attempt, and sixty four two two and three on the ground. The
case for JJ McCarthy as quarterback two to quarterback four in this class that puts
him in a conversation of Jaden Daniels or Drake May behind Kiel Williams is that
McCarthy is built for today's NFL, A pocket passer with top tier accuracy,
mobility to extend plays with his legs when needed. He's a proven leader who
was limited statistically because of Michigan's run focused offense under Jim Harbaugh. Now,
the case against is that JJB performed as more of a game manager at the
college level, so assuming he could become a volume passer and sustain his level
efficiency at the pro level is an uncertainty. It's not a guarantee. He
struggles with arm strength to the intermediate and deep levels of the field. So
his accuracy was seventy two point three percent at nine yards past attempt, which
is actually really good at Michigan, but a lot of it was short intermediate,
not taking those deep shots to the next level, which he's going to
have to be able to do hit all three levels in an NFL scheme.
So therefore JJ McCarthy quarterback two, quarterback four, somewhere in between Caleb Williams,
Jade Daniels, and Drake May. It's going to be a fascinating situation
to watch unfold in this April's draft and are corresponding Dynasa rookie drafts to follow
in both one quarterback and super flex leagues. If JJ McCarthy is quarterback two,
quarterback three, or even quarterback four, which seems like a lock at
this point, and his rookie ADP is going to hover, if not stand
firm in the first round mid to lights of twelve teen leagues for super fux
in one quarterback league's probably end up somewhere in the second. Number two is
that Trey Benson is in the RB one conversation among his twenty twenty four peers,
six feet two sixteen from his combine check in, he ran a four
point three nine forty yard dash third among running backs, one point five to
two second ten yards splits fourth among running backs, thirty three and a half
is vertical, and a ten foot two inch broad All in all, great
numbers for Benson athletically, twenty two in July, so he's only twenty one
right now. One fifty six, nine oh five fourteen in the ground,
five pointy yards per clip, and twenty for two twenty seven and one as
receiver in twenty twenty three with Florida States. On tape, you'll find Benson
being a violent rusher in terms of cutbacks tackle breaking ability. The red flag
on his resume is injury history, and it's the main concern with Trey's outlook
in the NFL. He tours ACL MCL, LCL, hamstring and meniscus in
a practice session thuring December twenty twenty while at Oregon before transferring two Florida states.
The town is undeniable. He could be a featured three down weapon at
the pro level if he'ar ins de two capitals, especially second third round,
would be substantial for his fantasy outlook. You hope he lands in situation where
could be at least a one A to one B committee member, if not
sees the opportunity to take over the reins of a running back room. Number
three is that Marshawn Lloyd is making a strong case for being a top five
rookie running back. He's five nine, two twenty so a good build,
fairly similar to Trey Benson. Actually, Lloyd himself ran a four point four
to six forty that was six among running backs. One point five six second
ten yard splits thirty six inch vertical on a nine foot ten in is broad
athletically speaking, not as impressive as Trey Benson, yet not far off either.
They're both size speed freaks. Marshawn Lloyd he turned twenty three to pass
January, so not all that young for running back prospect to be twenty four.
Next offseason, he went one, sixteen, eight, twenty and nine
on the ground for seven point one yards per clip. Then thirteen for two
thirty two as a receiver in twenty twenty three with USC. He previously spent
twenty twenty one twenty twenty two with South Carolina, who was a two year
transfer. Lloyd is a decisive runner with a depth field vision, and his
tape speaks volumes to how talented could be as a versaal weapon. His SI
speed combination is very intriguing and it's evident on film from a burst perspective.
I don't currently have Marshawn Lloyd in my top five Amongo they running backs in
my pre draft rankings, which can be found on Patreon soon. Yet he's
right on that cusp. So if draft capital in the NFL and the cats
that teams perceive him as an impact contributor, then I might have to readjust
I just don't know if he has the upside of four to five other prospects
at running back in this year's crop. Marshawn Lloyd has electric bounce in his
step on cutbacks that stands out, and there's big play ability written all over
him. It's from a consistency standpoint where I see different plays where I'm not
one hundred percent sold on him. Nonetheless, he undoubtedly improved the stock in
Indianapolis at the combine. Number four is that Blake Korum solidified its Michigan resume.
In other words, he is who we thought he was. Five eight
two oh five, not the largest frame, good enough four point five three
forty one point five tike at ten yard split was actually for second worst my
running backs. So the straight line speed the initial burst isn't all that great.
Thirty five and a half inch vertical six point eight two second three cone
drill second one running backs overall, and that's where Blake Koram really put an
exclation point. Honest combat performance doesn't have the best immediate speed, but the
shiftiness, a loosiveness in and out of breaks, as well as the short
area quickness is where Blake Koram is going to eat up defenses in the NFL.
He also had twenty seven bench press reps that tied Joe alt Is one
of the best offensive linement prospects in this year's class on Notre Dame. Just
goes to show that Korm is a very strong running back, a Jim Ratt,
like an Austin Eckler or a Nick Chubb, if you will for comparison's
sake, and those twenty seven bench press reps were first my running backs at
the combine. Korm's overall meticism is average at best. You can see that
from his measurables and testing performance. However, his elite three cone drill score
confirms the change of direction skills and latter quickness routinely displayed on his Michigan tape.
He'll be twenty four in November, and quite honestly, if it weren't
for the age, I probably had Blake Korm at RB one, RB two
in this year's class. But being twenty three soon to be twenty four November,
he cuts a little bit of shelf life longevity off of his career arc
production wise stellar twenty twenty three Michigan two eight twelve, forty five, twenty
seven rushing touchdowns, four pointy earth per carry and then sixteen for one,
seventeen and one As a receiver. He's a volume driven running back redown skill
set. If he earns second to third round draft capital, even reunites somehow
Jim harbaut In La of the Chargers, then his Dynasty stock is going to
soar. So at this point, Korm escaped the combine with pretty much the
same expectations as when he entered it. He solidified his resume and is what
we thought he was from a box score and tape perspective. When you line
up number for number forty ten yard split vertical three cone drill, which stood
out in the best way, and then the bench press, the showcase is
strength Number five is that Bucky Irvin's athletic profile disappointed five to nine one ninety
two, which is rather small to begin with. In a best case scenario,
Bucky was going to turn into a form of Devon eight chan in terms
of being lightning in a bottle with sporadic volume. The measurables and the testing
is where things went south for him. Four point five five forty one point
five four second ten yards split twenty nine a Hals vertical WHI showcases explosiveness worse
of my running backs than a nine foot seven inch broad second worstro running backs.
So that is alarming when on film urgulan to have top bend if not
close to that speed. Yet a four point five to five forty yet five
to nine about ninety two is not going to turn any head. So this
is an indication that Irving benefited from Oregon scheme and doesn't have the next level
explosion required to thrive the next level like a Devon h Chan with a smaller
body stature. Doesn't mean we have to ride off Buckey Irving. It's just
I'm lowering him in my ranks and perceived Fantasy football valley because of his testing
numbers. He's twenty one twenty two in August, still very young. One
to eighty six eleven eighty eleven for six point three yards per totes and fifty
six four to thirteen to to a is a receiver last year with Oregon.
At this juncture, I feel like Irving's receiving outlook is his best path forward
in terms of transferable skills to the pro level. The fifty six catches last
season is very encouraging. However, Irving is a tough assessment because his game
film gives off Devon eight Chan vibes at times. As I mentioned. While
the athletic profile mirrors or replacement level running back prospect or change of pace committee
running back, perhaps even satellite weapon on third downs, overall NFL draft capital
and nanting spot will be crucial for Bucky after a lacklusser showing in Indianapolis at
the Combine. He is a post combined loser, which is rather unfortunate because
Bucky Irving pre Combine was someone that a lot of analysts are really high on
and we have to reevaluate. Not saying that his testing numbers are the end
all be all, yet they are certainly part of the prospect evaluation puzzle and
the athleticism is not what we thought it was for Bucky. Time for a
quick break and I'll be back with five more storylines for us to keep an
eye on or monitor heading to the NFL Draft at the end of April.
Before I get to that, don't forget one stop shop. Four bonus episode
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There's a link also in the episode notes that I'll join Patreon head of the
website download bi ble app. You'll find me as Corey. You have as
a dynasty, dude. The pre draft rankings are starting up this week.
I'll be doing quarterbacks and then running backs, wide receivers, tight end,
and at top fifty. Overall their in tiered form as well as spoken audio
form. I used to publish them with Excel spreadsheets. This year, I'm
going to alter course and do them with Google sheets because I can update them
more frequently. That's one of the more requested pieces of feedback I get on
Patreon is how can I see when you made up this year rankings? Well,
now you can, because I'm going to update them routinely behind the scenes,
and when you click on a link, you'll see my most recent set
rankings. And this will be for both my rookies, veterans rookies combined in
the season. Pretty Much all the above is now going to be with Google
sheets. I mean it's just a better FORMATS utilize. So you're getting the
most up to date in recent version of my rankings. So that's all on
Patreon for this week, though. Pre Draft twenty twenty four heat quarterback rankings
will be published on Tuesday time for that quick break and I'll be right back.
Number six is that Braylon Allen might not be as athletic as advertised.
Six' one two thirty five still a very large frame for running back,
thirty two inch vertical third worst among running backs, not great nine foot nine
ers broad jump and then twenty six bench press reps was second among running backs
behind only like Korum, Meaning we have to wait for Wisconsin's pro day for
Allen's forty times, which is whatever he wanted to see with that six'
one two thirty five body frame. The positive spin is that Braylon Allen just
turned twenty years old in January, so he was nineteen, still a teenager,
incredibly young for a prospect any position entering the NFL. For production with
Wisconsin last year one eighty one ninety four and twelve five point four exper clipped
in twenty eight for about thirty one as a receiver, went to more of
a pro scheme offense, and he benefited from ample volume out of the backfield
catching passes. Is Allen a natural pass catcher like Jonathan Brooks, Trey Benson,
or even Jalen Wright. No, but there is clear versatility in Allen's
repertoire that should not be ignored. He might be more aj Dillon or Michael
Bush for a throwback comp than Jonathan Taylor Dereck Henry in terms of NFL seiling
a player comparison. Nonetheless, I'm still a huge fan of what Braylin put
on tape out of Wisconsin as a bruiser with underappreciated receiving chops. It's not
out of the question he still ends up being RB one post NFL Draft four
twenty twenty four rookie drafts, but it's less certain post Combine than it was
pre Combine. Whenever running back does not run the forty, it's more of
a question why not when all eyes are on you. Wisconsin's Pro Day will
be huge. It's just not as trusted as when the entire league is watching,
monitoring under pressure all in, although this could be a solid window to
capitalize on in early to mid second in super flex leagues or a late first
to early second and one quarterback leagues to potentially stash four bailing al in a
matter of months, assuming he gets at least Day two draft capitol. In
real life. Number seven is that Brian Thomas Junior is the makeup of an
NFL wide receiver one sixty three to two oh nine. He's been the talk
of the town for a while now, behind elite neighbors out LSU four point
three three forty second among wideouts one point five second ten yards split third among
wideouts thirty eight and half xs vertical in a ten foot six inst broad jump.
Brian Thomas Junior is gifted. He's a freak athlete. He'll be twenty
two in October, still only twenty one come draft day production of sixty eight
eleven, seventy seven and seventeen for seventeen point three yards per grab last season.
As the one B to mileak neighbors, being one A for LSU and
Jaden Daniels, Thomas Junior is arguably the best deep threat among twenty twenty four
key wide receivers. He's not as complete of a talent in terms of rope
run or finesse as his peer neighbors. However, Thomas Junior is steadily climbing
in value as the perceived rookie WHI actually for four behind Marvin Harris, A
Junior, Melik Neighbors and Roma Dunze. For Donaszie purposes, if you have
pick one point oh seven one point eight, you're gonna miss out on the
top quarterbacks Marvin Herris Junior, neighbors Odoonzay and probably Brock Bauers, which leaves
you with someone like Brian Thomas Junior, which I think is a big win
on paper, great value mid first in a super flex format. Number eight
is that Troy Franklin is becoming a boomer Bus prospect. As you all,
though you follow my work this offseason, I've been more out than in on
Franklin six two one seventy six. The hike's not an issue, it's the
weight. And then the test team was downright awful compared to what everyone was
touting. Franklin the beat four point four and forty not bad, but everyone
said he had blazing speed, which shows on film, but not with the
forty yard dash. To be fair, i'm't even that worried about the forty.
It's the worst among wide receivers. Ten yards split for Troy Franklin one
point sixty one second. That has my attention in a bad way. That
means that off the line of scrimmage you're already smaller one to seventy six and
weights. Imagine pressman coverage lacking the ten yard split speed to beat them.
So not only get facing faster, stronger, more physical dbs, but your
speed isn't as good as advertised. Thirty nine ers vertical and then a ten
foot for inch broad six point nine against three cone drill. The forty vert
broad and three cone are fine, not maybe what was expected. It's that
ten yard split that stands out in a negative way. I've been labeling Troy
Franklin as a Boomerbus prospect for months, and I think it's even more true
now because of speed was truly supposed to be his calling card he didn't show
at the combine. It now means that he either a plays faster a pads
on or the scheme with Oregon just adhere to his skill set. And there
was a lot of lapsed or broken coverage from an age perspective. He just
turned twenty one last month in February, so very young. Production was really
notable eighty one, thirteen, eighty three, and fourteen for seventeen point win
ards per ketch. Last season checks a lot of boxes, none of which
are enough in my mind, though surpassed Harrison Junior, Neighbors Odoonsea or even
now Brian Thomas Junior. Franklin being a top five wide receiver as most rookie
ADP indicated pre combine seems to be a thing in the past. He is
still possibly a top ten wide out, if not top fifteen for sure.
I'm just not sold that is a bulletproof prospect at wide receiver for this year's
class. Number nine is that bub Means is emerging as a sleeper wideout six
one two, twelve, four point four to three, forty one point five
five second, ten yards split thirty nine a half inch vertical in a ten
foot two inc broad He tested solid across the board, not spectacular, no
standout traits, but managed to perform well and looks smooth in receiving drills during
the combine. He just turned twenty three in January. He went forty one
seven to twenty one and six for seventeen point six yards per ketch with Pittsburgh
last season. I think Bob Means is going to surprise us with Day two
draft capital, be a steal for a team on Day three and could fill
an ancillary or red zone wires three roll for a team. Perimeter wide out,
good size, speed, tested well the combine better than most people are
anticipating. That's once again bubb means out of Pittsburgh, and the number ten
is a storyline that does not discuss one singular prospect. It's that in my
opinion, we should be stockpining as many twenty twenty four second round here draft
picks as possible right now between NFL fregency and the draft, especially in superflex.
Names in the two point oh one to two point twelve super Flex mix
based on early ADP data includes Jonathan Brooks, added I Mitchell, Xavier Worthy,
Trey Benson, Lamacacky, Keyank Coleman, Blake Corham, Jalen Wright,
brayln Allen, Michael Pennix, Junior bo Nix, Marshawn, Lloyd, Roman
Wilson, Bucky Irving, to Tavion Sanders, is Abely get, Ricky Piersall,
Jalen Polk or even audrec estimate. Of course, that's a lot more
than twelve names, so we're into the third round. Goes to show the
depth that this class is going to offer us and the value we're going to
see second to third round in super flex this year. In one quarterback,
it's not as deep because quarterbacks will inevibly fall in that format. Compared to
super flex. You get the point, though, first round picks will be
treated as golden dynasty for twenty twenty four from here on out to the draft
complete itself, and eventually we enter our personal rookie drafts. As such,
it won't be cost effective to trade into the first round from this point forward.
Instead, don't spend that premium. Focus on the second third rounders,
specifically the second rounders and super flex as solid alternatives to exposure of rookie shares
for this year. The best part is that there's a chance that second rounds
become even more valuable if another rookie quarterback or two like bo Nix, Michael
Pennis Junior or Spencer rather enter the first round of rookie adp by the time
late April or the mayberls around. Because it's going to then inevitably about running
backs wide receivers tight ends to fall even further, so stockpiles many twenty twenty
four six rounders. As you can right now, don't pay that first round
premium unless you're really sold on a prospect that will do it. A quick
recap of my ten pre draft rookie storylines we should be monitoring very closely between
now NFL free asy as well as the NFL draft itself. Number one Jj
McCarthy is now in the quarterback two to quarterback four mix behind Caleb Williams.
Number two Trey Benson is an RB one conversation among his twenty twenty four peers.
Number three Markshawn Lloyd is making a shrawn case for being a top five
Rookey running back. Number four Blake Korp solidified as Michigan resume. Number five
Bucky Irvin's profile disappointed. Number six Braylan Allen might not be as athletic as
advertised. Number seven Brian Thomas Junior as the makeup of an NFL wide receiver
one. Number eight Troy Franklin's becoming a boomer Bus prospect. Number nine Bob
Means is emerging as a sleeper wide receiver and number ten stockpile as many twenty
twenty four second round draft picks as possible, especially in Superflex. Thank you
all for listening. If you enjoy this episode, please drop a five star
review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Helps me out a ton, and don't
forget take advantage for Ford expiers. The seventeen percent off roster call promotion from
March and if you want access to my pre draft rankings, be sure to
join Patrion only five bucks per month of the minimum Quarterbacks published this week on
Tuesday in both episode record form as well as a Google spreadsheet for you to
utilize reference, print out wherever you want to analyze and information. Thank you
all again, until next time, This is the Dynasta Chicken out. Let's
all enjoy the roller coaster ride that is free agency. Talk to you soon, see you