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Well, we're seeing people spend equal
as much. Now, Remember people have

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less disposable income than they did last
year, So on average, the average

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family has five to seven thousand dollars
less as a family to spend than they

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did last year. So here's where
That's why we're seeing credit card debt go

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up, and that's why buy now, pay later is going to be a

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strong trend for this holiday season.
You're listening to Carrie Lutz's Financial Survival Network

7
00:00:28,239 --> 00:00:33,240
where you get valuable information. You
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9
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Go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com and
get your free newsletter and gift. Financial

10
00:00:45,119 --> 00:00:54,200
Survival Network now more than ever,
and welcome. You are listening to the

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00:00:54,399 --> 00:00:58,880
Financial Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie Lutz. Well, it's a

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tough Christmas season in looks like the
country is heading into a potential recession,

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could be a deep one. Got
a lot of problems out there in the

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horizon. What are we going to
do? Uh? Well, the buy

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now, the buy now, pay
later plan is back in vogue. Everybody

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seems to be offering it. Carl
Gould is with us Now, Carl,

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it's great to have you back on
the show. He you've got a question

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for Carl and myself. Kl at
Kerrie LEDs dot com is the email address,

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and Carl, you are president business
management firm Seven Stage Advisors. So

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buy now, pay now for some
people, it's buy now, payever,

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right, it could be Look,
it's you know, with all that's going

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on right now, companies have to
get more creative as to how to bring

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in a customer. It's the most
expensive thing that they do when it comes

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to fulfilling. You know, their
services and products to their customers is getting

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them in the first place. And
so and it's eight times more expensive to

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get a new customer than keep an
existing one. So they've got to get

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creative. So they say, all
right, well you come and buy now,

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pay later. It's almost like an
in house finance program. And it's

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a way to attract more customers and
get more foot traffic into their locations.

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Well, you know they've got this
zero percent financing. They've got you know,

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make no payments until January twenty twenty
five, like at furniture stores.

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You know, is this going to
make any difference? The people take advantage

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of it. Oh, it will, it will because we you know,

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we very much appreciate the impulse buy. We will. We will spend money

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on things that we that we see
or if we run out of budget,

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but there's still something really important to
us that we want to get, especially

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during the holiday season, We're going
to make that purchase. So it's genestly

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people put more on their credit cards. This is another form of that.

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So yeah, you'll you'll see an
uptick in purchases as a result. Just

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need to be careful. Mm hmmm. Hey, well, one nice thing

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is when you do the buy buy
now, pay later plan doesn't go on

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your credit report, does it generally, right? So that is one of

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those nice things. Now, yeah, you want to check the fine print

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to make sure that it doesn't because
a larger store that already has its own

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credit department, like a home depot
like L's, like a Macy's. In

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the fine print, it could say
that if you miss a payment, it

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goes on your credit report. So
you do want to be careful about that

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because if you're going to buy one
hundred dollars item and you do buy now,

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pay later, you think you're going
to spend one hundred dollars. But

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maybe there's an admin fee to get
onto the program, maybe there's interest,

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maybe there's a convenience fee. Maybe
there's a penalty if you don't pay on

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time. These are the sorts of
things that you want to make sure are

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not part of the program, or
you least know about them before you get

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into them, right, So,
I guess some people will take advantage of

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it. Huh. What other innovative
ways to bring customers into the stores of

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the websites are you seeing now?
Well, they're doing a lot of bundling.

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You know, when times are tough, it's hard to just charge a

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retail price for something. So what
they might do is they might put a

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bundle together. Instead of buying that
T shirt in that hat, they'll put

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the two together, They'll put a
they'll put a band around it, and

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they'll and they'll say, hey,
two for twenty instead of buying them separately

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it would be thirty. They're also
using clearance racks. If you noticed,

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did you notice Black Friday started right
after Halloween? It didn't start on after

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the damn Thanksgiving. It started then
it went all the way through the weekend.

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It's still going on. Yeah,
Black friend is a month long now,

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yeah, exactly, Friday is a
state of mind. I think it.

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Well, you're right, because it's
no longer a day. So even

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Black Friday even starts on Thanksgiving in
some places. So people are you know,

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companies are using a lot of promotions, they're using a lot of discounts,

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They're using a lot of very clever
tactics to make it appealing. So

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you think you're getting a good deal
and you and you patronize their particular store.

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Amazon is giving free delivery. There's
a lot of different hooks to get

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somebody to start buying. Hey,
so it looked like there were less riots

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this Black Friday too, Maybe spreading
it out as a good thing, you

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know, it could be, you
could be. It's hard. It's hard

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to know if that's the case.
But what we have definitely seen is retailers

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are upping their security and more importantly, their security presence. So someone's less

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likely to, you know, to
grab and run if they see security right

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at the door. You know,
the stores that were getting hit, you

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know, look, no one deserves
to be robbed, but the store is

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that we're getting hit. Were the
ones that not only were vulnerable, but

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they looked vulnerable. They looked as
though they didn't have a security presence,

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and so that emboldens somebody who's going
to try to snatch stuff from your store.

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Yeah, well you know they would
like be fighting each other off for

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toaster ovens and stuff. Then remember
that guy in Long Island got trampled to

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death, like takes to go and
it's just was out of control. So

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if you could spread it out and
keep them away from the stores, maybe

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that's not such a bad thing,
right right, Well, look, the

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retail is going to continue to be
under pressure. It's it's changing. The

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retail world has changed since the Amazon
effect really accelerated during the pandemic, so

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that really did change things. Retail
still has its place and people still do

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like to come out and look and
touch things and consult this with the sales

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reps so they make sure that they're
buying the right thing. There's still a

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place for that and there always will
be. But the retail shops have to

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create a compelling experience in order for
people to come back. Okay, so

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an interesting item that popped up here, I just want to run it by

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you. In Europe, Amazon was
hit by multiple strikes because they're not it's

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mainly working conditions. You know,
they do some things over there that might

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be acceptable here but are not acceptable
in Europe, and they're kind of like,

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I mean, look, two thousand
workers struck across six Amazon fulfillment centers

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in Germany. You know, what
are they doing wrong here? KORL.

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Well, you do need to know
your audience, and you do need to

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know what is acceptable, you know, labor practices in each of these states

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now in these countries. Now,
you know, Amazon is a very is

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a company that has a lot of
accountability in its workplace, and not everybody

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likes that. And you know,
they are very data driven and they're very

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accountability driven, and you know,
you're you're going to have that issue.

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I don't know that they're doing anything
wrong, but how you institute things like

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that sometimes is the difference. And
they just need to make sure that they're

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communicating the expectations properly and you know, and enforcing what they say and not

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enforcing what they don't say. Yeah, yeah, well they're still popular though,

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sure, sure, amazing amazing company. You know, I wonder what

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modern life would be like without them
sometimes, you know, Yeah, I

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just do it sometimes just because I'm
lazy, I don't want to go to

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the store. It's not so much
I don't want to go to the store,

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but I know that a certain product
I'm looking for I have difficulty finding

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at the local supermarket. That's the
point right there, Kerry. Amazon has

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engendered trust that if they say they
have it, they have it, and

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you can't always rely on your local
store or to have what they have historically

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had on the shelves. And Amazon
makes it super easy to find out.

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You go right on the site,
you do a search, they have it,

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they don't have it. They tell
you when you're going to get it,

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and they just manage your expectations,
I think, as much as anything

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else, that's what they're good at. You know, if I told you

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something that you really wanted was going
to come in three days instead of two,

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I don't think you would care,
but you would want to just you

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just want to know is it there
or not? Right? Am I buying

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the thing that I'm am I getting
the thing that I think that I'm buying.

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So if I were, if I
need a gift and last year they

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had it at that store, but
I'm not really sure, and Amazon,

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I know, has it. You
know, do I want to invest an

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hour of my life to go find
out when I could do it at the

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click of a button and if the
prices are reasonably close, Amazon's going to

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win. Yeah, so true.
I mean, hey, something like Terryoki

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sauce. I can never find it
where I think it should be in the

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supermarket. So I just gave up
and I said, you know, I'll

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just order it from Amazon. They'll
have it to me in two days,

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need it right this minute. And
that's what I've taken it doing with a

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whole host of items that I just
trun't be bothered going out to the to

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00:10:07,399 --> 00:10:11,200
the local stores for it. You
know, if I buy it from Amazon

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or I buy it from the cvs, who cares, right right, Yeah,

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exactly exactly. And that's and that's
where you know, Amazon has always

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wanted to be a customer centric person
company, and they wanted to be one

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of the most customer centric businesses on
the planet. And that's they've placed their

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focus there. And it's it's clear
that they have. You know, Target

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has done a really good job and
Walmart, for that matter, where the

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same day pick up and curbside pickup. Again, that's been a very very

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customer centric move. Target and Walmart
are doing actually have the advantage over Amazon

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because they have stores in your local
market, whereas Amazon does it. So

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Target and Walmart actually have an advantage
there over Amazon. And that's something that's

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very valuable to people. They say, I need to so on my way

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00:11:01,519 --> 00:11:03,799
home from work, I'm happy to
just stop by and pick it up if

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00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:07,519
you could just have it ready and
we can do a curbside delivery. That

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has proven to be a tremendous value
added service for customers, and they really

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like it is curbside delivery. I
had them delivery a package to me Walmart

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in like it was like in less
than a day, like two hours after

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I it was dropped off at my
door. It was amazing, you know,

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00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:31,360
and Mazon had never done that before. So I think I got to

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00:11:31,399 --> 00:11:37,279
look more closely at Walmart, you
know, right right, well, the

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convenience now you can look on the
website, you can look on the app,

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you could see if they have it, and you know, they're all

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three of these companies were talking about. Their logistics are so sophisticated that if

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they say they've got it, you
could trust that they have it and they'll

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00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:56,480
get it to you. Yeah,
it's pretty it's pretty cool. Definitely pretty

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00:11:56,519 --> 00:12:01,720
amazing. So what other trends we're
seeing here for Chris miss in terms of

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00:12:01,759 --> 00:12:05,919
what people are buying, how much
they're spending, anything that's raising alarms with

167
00:12:05,960 --> 00:12:11,120
you. Well, we're seeing people
spend equal as much. Now, remember,

168
00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:13,600
people have less disposable income than they
did last year. So on average,

169
00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:18,799
the average family has five to seven
thousand dollars less as a family to

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00:12:18,919 --> 00:12:22,159
spend than they did last year.
So here's where that's why we're seeing credit

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00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:26,600
card debt go up, and that's
why buy now, pay later is going

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00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:33,200
to be a strong trend for this
holiday season. You know, it's funny

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because when we were kids growing up, buy now, pay later, that

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00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:41,440
was like, you know a lot
of people did it. It was like

175
00:12:41,519 --> 00:12:46,200
the Christmas Club, right, yep, that's right, Yeah, no doubt

176
00:12:46,279 --> 00:12:52,039
these so people they're reviving some of
these older products and services, but just

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00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:56,200
under a new knee. So every
old is new again, right, exactly.

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00:12:56,279 --> 00:13:01,120
It's not vegan, it's plant based. You know, you're not on

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00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:03,519
a diet. You have a meal
playing, right, you're not. It's

180
00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:07,120
not in house financing. It's buy
now, pay later, right, all

181
00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:11,279
right, But it all amounts to
the same thing as the same idea,

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00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:13,559
you're going to buy more than you
can afford, right in some cases,

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00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:16,919
yes, in some cases, Look, if you managed the if you manage

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00:13:16,919 --> 00:13:22,120
the program properly, you'll be fine. But you just want to be aware

185
00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:26,879
of what the fine print is for
one of these programs so you're not caught

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00:13:26,919 --> 00:13:31,639
off guard, right, Yes,
OHI it's the devil is in the details,

187
00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:35,320
right, Yeah, sure is it? Sure is you you know,

188
00:13:35,399 --> 00:13:41,000
because you're If you manage the program
right and you set up your payments and

189
00:13:41,159 --> 00:13:45,159
make sure you're not getting hit with
fees and interest, then this program could

190
00:13:45,159 --> 00:13:48,320
work really well. But if you're
playing if you're using the program to play

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00:13:48,399 --> 00:13:50,960
catch up. You know, some
people either are getting a bonus at the

192
00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:54,360
end of the year or they know
they're getting a tax refund, and they

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00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:56,279
say, you know what, I'm
going to pay this off when I get

194
00:13:56,320 --> 00:13:58,559
my bonus or I get my tax
refund, and they've already planned that out,

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00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:01,519
so I'll take advantage of the buy
now, pay later, And that's

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00:14:01,519 --> 00:14:05,519
cool. That works fine. But
if you're saying I have no idea,

197
00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:07,960
how I want to pay this and
I really want to get this gift,

198
00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:11,039
and your payment schedule extends, that's
when it's going to be a little bit

199
00:14:11,039 --> 00:14:16,879
more painful. I just find it
fascinating that, you know, the creativity,

200
00:14:18,279 --> 00:14:22,759
the brain power that goes into these
companies to get you to buy more,

201
00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:26,960
and it's it's all scientific, you
know. It's like things that they

202
00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:30,919
do in the casino to get you
to gamble, like getting rid of the

203
00:14:30,919 --> 00:14:35,879
clock correct, all those things are
all geared at how do you make people

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00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:41,679
spend more money than they plan to
write? Yeah, it's true. Look,

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it's the hardest thing to do in
business. Marketing and sales is the

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hardest thing to do in business,
and so that's why so much time and

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effort and energy is placed on it. Because it's expensive, it's hard,

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it's ever changing, it's ever evolving, and you need to stay. If

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you miss a you know, consumer
purchasing trend, it could be catastrophic for

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your business. I mean, these
companies make up to forty percent of their

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revenue in the holiday season. They
can't afford to have this miss right forty

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percent. How did they become so
dependent on one season? Really, literally

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let's call it two months, but
really it's like forty five days. Isn't

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that a mistake? Well? I
think it's just you just have three major

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holidays within sixty days of each other. You have Halloween, which does billions

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and billions in circles, believe,
Yeah, Thanksgiving and Christmas. If you

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think about it, it's within just
under sixty days. Those three holidays.

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They are the biggest consumer holidays.
There are other big ones Mother's Day and

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Easter and New Year's right, but
nothing compares to those three. Those are

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the big three. They're within sixty
days of each other, and we have

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built our social, family and business
calendars are on those those three holidays.

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So it's not a tremendous surprise that
they have become as big as they habit.

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But you know, like I always, you know, would like to

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buy things off season, like Christmas
decorations, buy this sure the day after

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Christmas? Right, and you know, breeding cards, things like that,

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things you can buy. So with
a little strategic planning, a consumer really

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can save way more than they would
save on Black Friday or any other designated

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sales holiday just by buying off season. Yep, that's right, and that's

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why Boxing Day internationally or December twenty
sixth is so important because these retailers have

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now you know, have looked at
what didn't sell and they realized that it

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is better for them to deeply discount
it and get it off their shelves rather

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than carry it into the new year
where the trend might not be as as

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strong, or people might not want
it or might go out of style.

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So it's better for them to sell
it right there on the spot then have

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the carrying costs of it sitting on
their shelves. Right. So that's why,

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that's why December twenty sixth through say
January fifteenth is so it's such a

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good time because this is when these
companies have to clear, literally clear their

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shelves. So buy your Santa suits
on the December twenty sixth. It's right,

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it's coming. God, it might
have a little black marks on it

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from the going down the chimney,
but you'll still get a much better deal,

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right, much better deal. So, hey, Carl, tell us

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where we find you, how we
connect with you on the web, and

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what you can do for us.
So for anyone that wants to reach me,

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you can find me at Carlgould dot
com or Carl three sixties CURL three

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00:17:51,519 --> 00:17:53,759
six zero dot com. All right, and the link is in the show

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notes and yeah, Carl, appreciate
as always you coming on. We'll talk

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to you again real soon. Happy
holidays. Don't get caught up on too

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many buy now, pay later programs. That's that we're watching. To be

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solvent for the coming year. Absolutely, you got it. Talk to you

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00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:17,000
soon, Happy holidays. Thanks for
listening to carry Lenz's Financial Survival Network,

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00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:22,160
your solution to today's trying times.
For the latest, go to Financial Survivalnetwork

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00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:26,680
dot com. Financial Survival Network now
more than ever,
