Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude podcast. I'm Your Hills Korey Evans.
Thanks for listening to this week's show. It's episode three and seventy seven
titled twenty twenty three NFL Draft Review Round One. If you're new to my
show or at least my NFL Draft coverage, I legitimately cover every single off
hasive prospect from a broad overview perspective for free content, and then break them
down extensively over on Patreon in the form of tiered rankings by position in an
eventual top fifty overall. So this week is round one, Next week is
rounds two and three, so Day two of the draft, and then the
week after that would be rounds four to seven or Day three. I take
my time. There is no rush. We have the entire offseason ahead of
us to break down and as rookies, how they fit in and mix into
offenses. Everything you can imagine will be covered over the span over the next
few weeks. In addition to the duration of this offseason, for the month
of May, my promotion is going to be twenty three percent off roster calls
over on Google Meets to celebrate the twenty twenty three NFL Draft and twenty twenty
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you cannot beat it if you want that extra bonus coverage of my work as
well as instant access to reach me. So here we go pick by pick
in the first round, assessing it from a fantasy football perspective, with Dynasty
being top of mind. At pick one point one, Bryce Young quarterback to
the Carolina Panthers. He'll be twenty two in July. He's a franchise building
block for the Panthers along with new head coach Frank Reich and offensive coordinator Thomas
Brown from the La Rams that I think it's going to rely on shifts and
motions pre snap based on what the Rams have plemented. You'd think that Brown
carries that over with him to Carolina. And that's where Bryce Young excelled during
school with Alabama. He won the Heisman Trophy as a first year starter in
twenty twenty one with the Crimson Tide. Some will question continue to do so.
Is five ten, two hundred and four pound body frame for the NFL,
but Young has to poise the decision making football IQ and instincts to succeed
as a day one starter out of the gate. Fantasy wise, Carolina's offensive
depth chart is a work in progress. Bryce rely on the likes of Miles
Sanders, Adam Feelin, DJ Chark, recovering from offseason surgery, new rookie
wide out Jonathan Mingo, Hayden Hurst, Terris Marshall the Vicious Channault as initial
weapons during his rookie campaign. All that being said, I view Bryce Young's
a safe floor, questionable ceiling year one prospect because of the uncertain supporting cast.
Nonetheless, he is my rookie quarterback one post draft that might be viewed
as controversial based on other quarterbacks I'm discussing here in a matter of minutes.
But Bryce Young is such an advanced and well rounded quarterback prospect that there's no
way I passed on him if I had an early pick, assuming b John's
gone a superflex or even in one quarterback format to build my dynasty team around.
At pick one point or two, it's CJ. Strout quarterback to the
Houston Texans. He's twenty two in October six, three two fourteen. I
recently spoke about Stroud and compared him to Joe Burrow based on each of their
late blooming college careers. Along with shared traits such as accuracy, fundamentals,
and even deceptive rushing ability. CJ is the best pocket passer among twenty twenty
three quarterback prospects. It's hands down, no debates. That's where he thrives.
Sure Stroud benefited from a house state's elite WIB receivers Chris Olave, Garrett
Wilson, Jack and Smith and Jigba Marvin Harrison Jr. Yet still managed to
display rare ability to throw the ball to all three levels of the field with
ease, and again that high level of accuracy that you don't find all too
often out of college quarterbacks, similar to that of Bright Young Carolina. CJ.
Strout immediately becomes the face of Houston's franchise with solid, not spectacular offensive
weapons to utilize, and Nico Collins, Robert Woods, John Metschi, Nathaniel
del Damian Pierce, Devin Singletary, Dalton Schultz as projected starters. Side note,
I'm recording this after Day two of the NFL Draft, so rounds four
to seven have not taken place yet. So if any big trades and orky
draft picks did occur, and I'm not speaking of them, that would be
why used for context in my timeline when I'm recording. So this is assuming
day one and day two in the books. But back to CJ. Stroud,
he could offer the highest floor among twenty twenty three rookie quarterbacks. The
ceiling that's the question mark due to his undefined rushing role or output As a
pro. It was inconsistent rushing wise for Stroud. With how state time,
I'll tell how he's utilized as a pro in the NFL. With new offensive
coordinator Bobby Slowick bringing what he learned under Kyle Shanahan to Houston, the Texans
offense could resemble what we saw from Jimmy Garoppolo with the forty nine ers in
terms of Ta Shot being utilized on heavy play action to open up the rushing
and passing game downfield. If you don't want Bryce Young, then t get
Stroud is a nice alternative. But they're right in splitting Hair's conversation of pick
one h two, one oh three in super Flex in terms of rookie draft
capital. If not those two names, then at pick one point oh four
it was Anthony Richardson, quarterback Indianapolis twenty two in May. He's six four
two forty four, a freak athlete off the charts, athletic ability, the
best vertical, the best broad of all time on quarterback to the combine so
que the fireworks a rich Lands in a near perfect environment with the Colts,
and you have coach Shane Steiken, who previously developed we can't forget Justin Herbert's
with the Chargers and Jalen Hurts with the Eagles. Jalen Hurts being a realists
a camp or ceiling for Richardson in the NFL Listen, there's no guarantee that
Richardson beats out Gardner manshe for week one. That being said, it won't
take long before Anthony As serves himself as an annual quarterback one threats in fantasy
football due to his rushing prowess in overall athleticism. Stiken also mentioned in his
post draft presser from the first round that the best way to develop talent is
for them to play reading between the lines. That means that the Colts are
not going to let Richardson sit for that much of his rookie campaign. He's
going to put to the test and development will come in the form of actually
playing snaps on the gridiron. Richardson is the ultimate risk reward prospect. He's
not a complete product as a passer. A career fifty four point seven percentage
rates completion wise, at Florida and needs to improve his footwork along with the
ball placements. A case we made, however, to take in at one
oh one and super flex ahead of Jean Robinson or even Price Young to just
strout to pick one o two, one oh three or one oh four,
that's going to be highly debated for quite some time. I would not pick
Richardson ahead of Bijon or Bryce Young. Strouds a conversation to have, but
will admit that he has a Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts level ceiling. If
it all clicks and Indianapolis is able to maximize his talent, no better fits
than Shane Steiken. All of that being said, the downside is evident as
well for Richardson, who is not a refined or experienced quarterback prospect. He's
a bit raw, a lot to learn, time to adapt will be a
short window if the Colts want him to accelerate his starting window. But in
fantasy we care about rushing output from quarterbacks that dual threadability, and that is
where AAR checks both boxes. I'm sure there's going to be much debate from
picks one oh one to one oh four for most of this offseason and super
flex workie drafts with Richardson being selected as high as one point oh one or
sliding as far as one point oh four. I cannot wait to see how
it ends out. I have a few leagues where I'm in that range in
both one quarterback and superflex formats, and I know that ADP is going to
be all across the board, which makes for a lot of subjective analysis as
opposed to group think, because it could come down to roster need on your
dynasty team and or your personal belief of who's going to benefit your team and
lead structure the most. At pick one point oweight, it was Bjohn Robinson,
running back Atlanta Falcons. He's only twenty one, five eleven two hundred
and fifteen pounds. Before we knew it, Tyler al Jeers, Stock and
Roll took a major hit. The Falcons didn't need to draft the running back,
and I don't think it was all that smart of a pick. Beja
Robinson generational talent running back to gonna be wrong, But in terms of roster
composition and draft capital usage from just a cost benefit analysis, I don't understand
Atlanta's thought process here yet. Based on head coach Arthur Smith's history with Derrick
Henry in Tennessee, it's not a shot to see him build an offense around
the special talent that is. Indeed, Bijon Atlanti's front office did speak about
Robinson as an all around playmakers opposed to labeling him as a running back,
and even spoke highly about Alger maintaining a role in this offense after the fact.
I guess don't see that coming to fruition when Bijon is a clear cut
three down weapon career six point three carry average that Texas across five hundred and
thirty nine rushes, sixty total catches, a terrific athlete for his size four
point four six forty yard dash, thirty seven inch vertical and a ten foot
for inch broad jump. How about one hundred and four broken tackles in twenty
twenty two per PFF. Robinson does at all excellent vision, contact, balance,
power, blend of that with the sept of speed, elusive, not
afraid to initiate contact and be physical. He is locked in for me as
the one point zero one and super flex one quarterback. I don't care about
the format. Robinson is simply put, the best running back prospect we've seen
since a Kwon Barkley, and the hype is deservedly so in his favor.
At pick one point twelve, seemingly out of nowhere, Jamir Gibbs running back
to the Detroit Lions. He's only twenty one five nine nine with elite speed
four point three six forty. It's a rather curious selection for the Lions,
with the Andrea Swift and David Montgomery already on the roster. By the time
you're listening, gres Swift could have been traded already. Perhaps the Swift trade
is the reason behind this logic and or draft choice. Keep in mind that
the Andrews a free agent in twenty twenty four, so this could be looking
ahead, and Jamison Williams being suspended for six games could translate to a prominent
receiver roole for Gibbs from the start. Some NFL teams or portally had Gibbs
ranked higher than Bja Robinson on big boards, which speaks volumes if actually true.
The Lions allegedly wanted Gibbs at pick one point six before trading back to
pick one point one two, which if that's what they were targeting and worked
out for them a cumula more draft capital because I couldn't imagine any team taking
Gibbs that early. I picked one point oh six until one point one two.
Waken turns aside. I don't think that's going to be an issue.
I've said that for quite some time on here free shows and over on Patreon
pay content. Gibbs is a cheat code in the passing game and dominated Alabama
with one hundred three crew receptions. That also factors in his usage with Georgia
Tech, a career five point six dropercarry average on three and eighty three college
rushes during his time at both school programs. Jamir has the set of tools
to become a superstar in fantas football, with possible outcomes in the range of
Avil Kamara at a Sealing or even his new teammate unless he's traded DeAndre Swift.
In terms of the rushing and receiving capabilities, he doesn't have to be
a workhorse at the NFL levels. What I'm trying to get across efficiency is
as and more important with high leverage touches and Detroit clearly as a plan for
Gibbs after spending a premium on him as a running back when there was so
much other talent on the board, both offensively and defensively for the Lions to
build around Jared Goff In the short term, I'm around Saint Brown, Jamison
Williams. Yet Detroit had a plan and you saw on social media with the
camera view into the draft room that GM Brad Holmes and head coach Dan Cambell
were celebrating after the gets pick as if they won the Super Bowl. I've
never seen anything like it. If that's their guy, they paid a premium
and hopefully it pans out. I believe fulling the skill sets and will be
targeting him regularly right around pick one point oh two or one point oh three
and one quarterback leagues or after the quarterback run in super flex formats. It's
time for a quick break and I will discuss the remaining first round picks real
life from a fantasy perspective. At pick one point two zero, it was
Jackson Smith and Jigba wide receiver to the Seattle Seahawks. He's twenty one six
ninety six. Seattle was a popular destination for Jason and mock drafts and actually
came shrew a former five star recruits. There's little to no doubt as to
what Smith and Jigba has to offer as a wideo can line up at all
three receiver spots and excel and each of them respectively. JSN was plagued by
a hamstring injury in twenty twenty two and limited him to only three contests.
However, it's twenty twenty one numbers showcase the true ability a ninety five sixteen
oh six nine receiving log. Jackson wins with route running finesse being quicker than
fast, and that's evident from his six point five seven second three cong drill
and three point nine three second twenty yard shuttles are both elite scores in terms
of change of direction, agility, elusiveness, all the above. In the
short JSN figures demand a slot. While both dk Metcalf and Tyler Lockett remain
primary outside threats for the Seahawks. Don't be surprised, though, if all
three receivers are moved around, and or if Jackson usurps Locket and twenty eight
thirty one season during some point in twenty twenty three. I'm not saying it's
a lock to occur, but Seattle could have gone multiple directions with the twentieth
overall pick. Instead, they look for the future committed Geno Smith in a
short term, which, based on last season's resurgence and orb real campaign,
is a great sign for the entire offense. JSN is locked in as wide
receiver one for me post draft, huge fan of what he brings to the
table at pick one point two one. Quentin Johnston, wide receiver, Los
Angeles Chargers. He's twenty two on September six, three two o eight.
One of the largest receivers in this year's crop, that is, for the
most part, slot wideouts that have some versatility. I comped Johnston and Mike
Williams a few weeks ago for a best case scenario, so it's clear the
Chargers of a preference when it comes to drafting wideouts. Big body frame fifty
fifty contested catch type athletes, Quentin is far from a lock to succeed,
as he often body catches the football and didn't run if we're outrey at TCU.
Drops are also a consistent issue. Despite the huge body frame, Johnston
doesn't win with physicality, but instead as a running catch threat who is dangerous
after contact. He had twenty four forcemis tackles last year in twenty twenty two,
good for fifth in the nation among wide receivers. Being tied to Justin
Herbert is a plus right off the bats and that could give him Fox appeal
immediately. Johnston could be though, the long term solution or replacement to Keenan
Allen age thirty one season, and is an immediate threat to push Joshua Palmer
for wide receiver three duties or status is upcoming season. I'm excited to see
how new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore from Dallas runs a Charger's offense in twenty twenty
three, and the big question mark a wildcard is Austin Eckler. If a
trade takes place, then suddenly could be a next man up at running back.
If another running backs brought in and or it becomes more of a past
centric offense with three receiver sets, then Johnston is going to potentially be a
Steel Murkie ADP if he slots the mid first Brown. I will admit,
based on this conversation that Joshua Palmer should not be ridden off. He's also
a very consistent wide out and brings possession trade to the table that Johnson simply
will not offer. So if the right in the wall is that Keenan Allen
could be on his way out of the Chargers organization, which was a rumor
for much of this offseason, that perhaps the future is Mike Williams, Johnston
and Joshua Palmer. We will see how it ultimately pans out over the next
few seasons, but in terms of pure landing spots, it's a plus for
Johnston with the Chargers. Justin Herbert Kellen Moore couldn't ask for a better or
more favorable destination at Big one point two two. Zay Flowers wide receiver bolts
More Ravens. He's twenty three in September five, nine eighty two. I've
said up a four and I will say it again. If Flowers had a
larger bill not even height, but weight closer to two hundred pounds, he
could have been viewed as the consensus while receiver one in this year's class.
He's that talented and versatile top tier speed four point four two forty and that's
clear as day during route running even after the catch in the open field against
would be defenders, not one. Lamar Jackson signed a new deal with the
Ravens. Zay Stock is in a dream spot of swords, considering the lack
of their ability that Rashod Bateman has displayed to stars pro career and the uncertainty
of Odell Beckham coming up with Tory acl And in his age thirty one campaign.
Would it surprise anyone if Zay Flowers eventually, not right away, but
ev actually becomes the Ravens Bob receiver one. No, that's essentially what Baltimore
used the first round pick on his services for dynamic versus a weapon who should
thrive in the middle of the field like Mark Andrews for the sake of his
offense thanks to his nactual ball skills playing make an ability with the ball in
his hands. And in my mind, Zave Flowers brings back what Mark He's
Brown used to offer for the Ravens prior to leaving for Arizona. That is
a short, intermediate, deep vertical threats with blazing speed who is also going
to help open up the running game for Lamar Jackson or JK. Dobbins.
Zay Flowers I'm a huge fan of and I hope that because of the previous
campaigns and rhetoric of Ravens receivers not being valuable leads to Flowers becoming a midiate
first. That would be fantastic. Of course, it's probably not going to
happen because most people are on board with him being especial talent on a Boston
college. But you never know. I me any time for he adp to
formulate at pick one point two three. Jordan Addison wide receiver in Minnesota Vikings
twenty one five eleven, one seventy three. After releasing Adam Phelan, Addison
has a legitimate chance to a certain himself as a wide receiver two for the
Vikings behind Justin Jefferson. Kg Osbourne might have something to say about that and
was a sleeper pride of the draft, but it's hard to imagine him holding
off Addison for long. Jordan is not overly athletic four point four to nine
forty in terms of straight line speed. However, he dominated at the college
level with Pittsburgh and USC. He won the blitzin Coff Award in twenty twenty
one to represent the nation's top wide out with a one hundred fifteen ninety three
seventeen receiving log, which makes him a bet on production over athleticism. Addison
received passes from Kenny Pickett at Pittsburgh then Caleb Williams at USC during his college
ten ures, so he's used to being a focal point on offense and commanding
a large target share, So this jump to the NFL is not going to
be a big translation for him. In my opinion, I view him as
a real life wide receiver two, and that's probably a ceiling in nase.
So complimenting Justin Jefferson makes for a strong duo in a highctane offense led by
Kirk Cousins. He's a player that I'm higher on post draft than I was
pre draft because of scheme fits an opportunity. It's not Sendenstone, yep.
But if I had to speculate right now, I think Addison will be margiver
two behind JSN. Just a great fit in Minnesota, even if Kirk Cutsins
is not the answer a quarterback long term. Complimenting Justin Jefferson is fantastic because
so much defensive coverage and attention will be dedicated to him down field that Addison
is going to live as another possession wide out for the sake of this offense
and a nice outlet for whoever's at quarterback beyond Kirk Cousins, and the last
offensive pick in the first round was at one point two five Dalton Kincaide,
tight end Buffalo Bills. He would be twenty four in October, a bit
older for rookie. I talked about that on last week's show six four two
forty six. It was rumored at the Bills would be targeting a pass catcher
in the first round. Most assumed it would be in the form of wide
receiver ins at a tight end. Yeah, Kinkaid is essentially glorified wide receiver
that operates as a move tight end. Posted a seventy eight ninety and eight
line last year at Utah while excelling against zone coverage, and I expect the
same in Buffalo with so many players for Josh Allen throw too. If teams
give the Bills zone coverage, Kincaide's going to eat them up. Dalton doesn't
offer much in terms of blocking, so it's going to be you're seeing to
see how he's utilized or Buffalo and tends to line him up. I wouldn't
be surprised if he ends up being a mismatch out of the slot. So
a big slot threat while Stefan Diggs gave Davis line up outside, which could
be bad news for the outlook of Dawson Knox from here on out. So
far, Klio Shakier has dodged some draft bullets. We'll see what happens in
rounds four to seven and our port back gun mad in a few weeks.
But for anyone not named Diggs or Davis, even James Cook out of the
backfield, this is a concern that being a first round allocation to Kincade for
passing game volume per usual, don't overvalue, over anticipate rookie tighten production,
even Dalcan Kade, who's going to be catching past from Josh Allen. I'm
not going to spend a premium hockey Kay because he's linked to the offense in
a sense. We've seen Dawson Knox have peaks and valley of production, and
Dustin Knox isn't going away. This could be a committee of sorts with the
long term play being in Cade, So pump the brakes on selecting him in
the first round, even a tighter premium formats That seems a bit excessive unless
other options are not as favorable from your perspective. But yes, of course,
landing in Buffalo is ideal in both real life and fantasy lens is a
matter of what kind of usage Kincaid sees year one and when he's a focal
point of the offense. Thank you all for listening. That concludes my first
round review of the twenty twenty three NFL Draft. As I mentioned, next
week will be rounds two and three, or Day two following week Day three,
rounds four to seven. I don't like to rush my post draft content.
We've waited for it for how many months now, and we'll be reflecting
referencing it until August September, so there's no need for me to sprint and
deliver it all in one episode. I don't want to brush over any players.
It's all very important to break down in detail. Other podcasts might do
things differently, but if you're a loyal listener, you've been listening for the
past six seven years, you know how my structure is. You're going to
hear at least a brief snippet every offensive player drafted over the next two weeks.
Round one of the books, Rounds two to three coming up, and
then four to seven surely thereafter. But if you want access to my rankings
post draft. You have to go on Patreon one dollar per show, four
or five dollars per month. Very low cheap entrance cost to gain that bonus
coverage and the twenty four seven DM access shouldn't be overstated either. That is
a key this time of year if you want to bounce off ideas for me
with your workie, draft picks, upcoming trades, startup drafts, anything in
between. That's when I'm on Patreon. Four click the link in my show
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the lots. Until next time. This is the Dynash checking out talk to
you all next week, see you m h m h m hm h