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It's more posturing because there is absolutely
no way on in any scenario, that

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new United States allows itself to default
on its obligations. Because the dollar is

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the worldwide currency, it's the currency
that's used to trade oil, it is

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the standard throughout the world. The
United States will never put that positioning at

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risk. You're listening to Carrie Letz's
Financial Survival Network, where you get valuable

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00:00:27,039 --> 00:00:32,600
information you just can't find anywhere else
to thrive in today's trying times. You

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00:00:32,679 --> 00:00:38,960
need the Financial Survival Network now more
than ever. Go to Financial Survival Network

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00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:45,719
dot com and get your free newsletter
and gift. Financial Survival Network now more

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00:00:45,799 --> 00:00:54,000
than ever. Welcome you are listening
to watching the Financial Survival Network. I'm

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your host, Carrie Letz. Well, we've got the I guess it's annual

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or almost annual debts kabuki dance taking
place in DC now. If you're not

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aware to date, they've they've raised. Congress since nineteen sixty has raised the

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debt ceiling seventy eight separate times to
permanently raise or temporarily extend or revise the

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definition of debt limit. That's forty
nine times under Republican presidents and twenty nine

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times under democratic presidents. So that
should tell you that this thing really kind

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of should transcend politics. They're both
both parties are fiscally irresponsible and have showed

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absolutely no desire to reign in spending
and to reprioritize government and preferably to stop

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the government the country in the world
from going bankrupt. But maybe this time

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is different. Carl Gould is with
us now by him at Karl Gould dot

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com. Carl, great to have
you back on. So why is this

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time different than all the others?
Hey carry great to be here. It's

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not different than all the others.
It's the same as all the others.

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And what the death ceiling becomes as
a negotiating point that every politician knows is

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coming at some point, because what
happens is, you know, the country

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expands, they make more money.
We have a greater GDP gross domestic product,

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which is like our salaries, right, So the percentage of what you

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are able to borrow or what is
responsible to borrow also can increase, and

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so by definition, the debt ceiling
will increase as the company grows. Each

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party knows that they all know that
it's coming, but they use it as

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a bit of a bargaining chip so
they can get other items resolved as part

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of the debt ceiling. All right, So so this is like death taxes

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and the debt ceiling, right,
pretty much, it's inevitable. There's now

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and now the debt ceiling changing and
rising doesn't have to be a bad thing.

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It does mean we are irresponsibly raising
the debt ceiling. It just means

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that at some point, if you
look at a percentage of revenue, the

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debt ceiling will follow. We have
to, of course, keep it under

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a certain percentage, just like every
every person out there is not going to

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apply for a or get accepted for
a mortgage if it's over a certain percentage

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out there salary. But as your
salary goes up, your ability to borrow

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goes up as well. This is
the same thing. But Carl, doesn't

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it reach a point where it's unsustainable? And maybe we're at that point already

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where we can't grow ourselves out of
it. It used to be the debt

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the deficit would be a couple of
billion, Then it went to tens of

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billions, then it went to hundreds
of billions. Now we're in the trillion

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dollar ms. What don't you think
that's important? Doesn't it make a difference

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at some point? There there is
no question, and all of the entitled

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programs during COVID increased the debt to
historic eyes, and so it does need

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to be reined back in. There
is no question about it. And that's

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exactly what's happening now. The Republican
side wants certain spending measures reduced, the

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Democratic side wants certain entitling programs to
stay, and that all of the negotiation

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that we're hearing about now has everything
to do with everything but the debt ceiling.

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They're not going to approve the death
ceiling unless they get their their programs

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push forward, right, So it's
a political bargaining chip effectively, is what

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you're telling exactly. And whoever has
um you know, whoever has the majority

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in Congress currently the Republicans can exert
more influence. And so they're playing a

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bit of game of chicken right now. But in the end they're all gonna

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come to the table or they are
they really playing a game of chicken?

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Or is this just all fostering and
just playing to the public. It's more

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posturing because there is absolutely no way
on in any scenario that the United States

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allows itself to default on its obligations. Because the dollar is the worldwide currency,

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if it's the currency that's used to
trade oil, it is the standard

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throughout the world. The United States
will never put that positioning at risk.

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All right, But there we come
into the end of the dollar being the

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sole reserve currency, now, aren't
we really? I don't know that we're

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coming to the end. Remember every
time you borrow money and you signed a

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thirty year mortgage, you have locked
in that dollar for the next thirty years.

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Anytime somebody places a foreign investment in
our country and that invest if it's

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a bond and it's a ten year
bond, well that dollars locked in for

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ten more years. That mortgage is
locked in for twenty more years or thirty

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more years. So the where that
disruption is going to come from is digital

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currencies, cryptoc and sees and other
digital currencies. That is what is going

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to disrupt the monetary system overall.
But the dollar will remain as the world's

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currency for the immediate time. Be
okay, Well, hopefully you're correct on

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that score. I don't know.
At some point the world is subsidizing US

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now subsidizing the dollar. Don't you
think that you're going to get tired of

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this at some point? Well as
other opportunities and other options materialize, that

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is what is going to put the
dollar at risk. And so I think

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the big change you're going to see
is not necessarily around paper currency. It's

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going to be around digital currency because
right now, cash is the only way

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that you can exchange value with another
person without an intermediary. In other words,

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Kerry, I can give you a
dollar, you can give me something

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back that's worth a dollar. We
didn't need anyone else's permission for that.

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I gave you a dollar, you
gave me back value in a dollar.

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That's the only Please, there's that
one to one exchange. But right now

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it's not the physical currency. Well, cryptocurrency and other digital currencies are trying

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to become is a one to one, peer to peer exchange of value that

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does not have an intermediary. That's
where the change is going to come in

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because now governments can't regulate the currency
or the transaction. Okay, so yeah,

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so this cryptocurrency is another step towards
enslavement, then, isn't it.

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Then now there will be. They're
just trying to figure out how to regulate

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it and how to enforce it.
Because right now, if you have a

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currency, it's because you have an
army and you have a government, right

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And if you have a strong enough
government and a strong enough army, then

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your currency will be stable and will
be welcome in the marketplace. The United

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States has both a great army,
a great military, and a very stable

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government, and so that's that's one
of the reasons why the US currency is

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the world's currency, and so h
with it. When it comes to a

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digital currency, it is likely going
to be backed by a military and backed

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by a government, all right.
So when we're looking at the stability though,

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how stable really is the United States
at this point? Well, relatively,

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the United States is one of the
most if not the most stable currency

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in one of the most stable economies. The overall monetary system is what has

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some instability in it. Certainly,
China is making some advances, but their

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population, def their population is going
to start to contract over the next couple

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decades. So that's actually going to
put them in a really difficult position because

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they will not be able to sustain
their growth. So they are going their

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policies of only one child or family
is going to come back to haunt them

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as they look to grow, because
it is rejected that in the next two

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decades they will drop below one billion
people and so they will have twenty to

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thirty percent less population that they have
now. And so for a growing company,

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sorry for a growing country that wants
to be a player in the world

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market, that's going to be borderline
devastating for them. Yeah. Well,

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in the meantime, though, we
got this banking disaster that's still unfolding that

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they haven't been able to get a
handle on yet and making a lot of

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people nervous about the long term stability
and viability of the country. Are you

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concerned about it? Well, I'm
always concerned about the long term viability of

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our country, and I'm not ready
to ring the doomsday bell just yet.

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I think there. I think we
have a many more tools at our disposal

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that we once had. But it
will be a volatile and very rocky road

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over the next three to six years, there is no question about it.

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The you know, the economic downturns
and the correction in the markets, when

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you mix in COVID and the pandemic
and all the dollars that were put back

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into the system to stimulate it that
all that XS cash excess equity, excess

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value has to be flushed out and
normalized. And so yeah, the next

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three to six years are going to
be rough, but they're going to be

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rough for everybody. There's there's nobody
that is going to be spared this next

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correction that will come over the next
few years. So it's going to be

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tough. It's gonna be tough,
there's no doubt about all. Right,

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So we know it's gonna be tough. But what can you do about it?

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How do you prepare for it as
an individual? Are you totally helpless

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or is there something you can do? No, there's a lot you could

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do, and you want to just
be a little bit more discretionary with your

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spending. A formula that we advise
our clients to use is to look at

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anything that you're about to buy.
You look at the asset and you want

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to pay sixty percent of the asking
price, or you're looking for bargains.

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You're looking for deals because things are
overchrist right now, So don't get caught

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over buying an asset. And during
the next three to six years. Don't

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expect an asset to grow in its
equity value. Manage it for cash flow.

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So we say buy low and manage
for cash flow during times like this.

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And if you are if you are
doing that and not expecting to get

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some high you know, upside on
the value or the equity value of the

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asset, you should be in good
seat, all right. So so buy

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assets at a discount. Do we
buy assets other than housing, assets that

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are going to make you money cash
flowing? Perhaps your guidelines there. So

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if you need to buy a truck
for your business, you need to buy

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a printing press because you're a printer, you need to buy. If you're

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a contractor, you need to buy
you know, lawnmowers and trailers and trucks.

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Look for them out on the secondary
market. Somebody who has a change

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in their life or change in their
business or looking to sell. You could

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likely get a good deal on that. So don't pay retail prices for the

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next three to six years on assets
because they will not appreciate. You want

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to look for the good deal,
and you want to you want to bargain

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hunt right now, all right,
So bargain hunting. You know, I'm

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always bargain hunting, so that's nothing
new to me. Sure, but make

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sure that these are the kind of
assets that perhaps aren't going to lose value.

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Do we say it that way,
or well, they are. If

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you bought them at their peak,
they might likely lose their value for a

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period of time. But if you're
buying below market value, when the value

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comes down, you'll still be safe
and you won't be underwater. You know,

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if you look back at two thousand
and five where people bought houses,

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they bought them at the peak with
low interest rates. Right, all of

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a sudden the value the house comes
down, and all of a sudden,

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your interest rate goes up. Now
you're underwater. Your mordig is high or

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than the value of your own right, so you got underwater that way.

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We're not doing it that way.
Now. What we're doing is we say,

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if you're asking for a hundred,
I'm offering sixty. I'll buy us

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somewhere in there. So when that
asset drops down to eighty or seventy,

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I'm still okay. All right.
So but you know, like a house,

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all right, For instance, you
know that inflation is not going away

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anytime soon. They don't have it
under control. As much as they would

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like you to believe that you got
to live someplace anyway, you risk being

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underwater to have your monthly housing payment
to be below market value. You know

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what I'm saying. Yeah, not
necessarily. So for example, you can

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have a house that's a perfectly good
asset, but maybe the ownership or the

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partnership that owns it is distressed.
So you're not always just looking for distressed

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assets. You're also looking for distressed
people that are in distressed and need to

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get out of it, and you
could help them do that. So as

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state sales and auctions and what people
are selling their real estate portfolio or um,

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you're you're buying a fixer upper,
or you know somebody is looking to

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down size or they're moving, So
there are other avenues to explore. Sometimes

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when you see a foresale by owner, that's somebody that's that you know might

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be look have some have some distress
or or their life circumstances have changed,

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and you coming in and even buying
it for less than they're asking actually helps

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them out. So so there are
a number of circumstances where you could buy

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it a discount and it actually helps
the seller Okay, got you there,

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all right? So win win situation
effectively or win not excuse me, m

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but at this way, win win
but not losing too much. Correct,

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Sometimes you win by not losing,
right, That's right. Sometimes you get

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into a good deal if sometimes you
avoid a bad one. Those are both

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wins. All right. What about
people as far as testing in yourself,

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human capital, all that stuff,
does that still apply or do you just

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hoard cash and try to ride out
the storm. No, you know some

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people will hoard cash and just try
to ride out the storm, and that

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would be a mistake right now doing
volatile times. Purchasers defer to what they

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believe are experts, and they believe
if they believe that company is the best

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in its niche. So right now
I would be directing my If I'm a

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business owner, I'm directing my funds
towards marketing and I'm brand building and I'm

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show I'm sharing thought leadership to show
that I have I'm a subject matter expert,

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and I have a solid place in
the market. Now, if you're

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an employee, what I suggest is
go to your boss and show them just

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how indispensable you are, and tell
them that you are willing to come back

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into the office at least three days
a week, because that's where that's what

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businesses need. They need their employees
back in the office. And I know

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it was an employee's market for a
while, but it's flipped back. It's

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an employer's market now. And you
don't want to be left on the outside

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looking in. You know, business
great businesses, most of them are grown

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by having their employees collaborating and be
around each other, have proximity. So

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I would share with your with my
boss just how indispensable I am, and

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then I'm willing to come into the
office. Yeah. But if you're a

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millennial, the last thing you want
to do or a gen zer, last

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thing you want to do is go
back to the office. Right, This

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is true. This is true.
You might not want to do it,

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but it doesn't change the fact that
that's what the company needs. And you're

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putting yourself at a disadvantage if you're
unwilling to do all. Right, So,

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no matter how any masks you think
you need to go back to the

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office, go back to the office. Now. Remember most businesses have adopted

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a hybrid policy. They're okay with
you only coming in a few days a

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week, right, So set your
week up that way, right, and

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00:16:57,080 --> 00:17:00,120
it's and it doesn't have to be
as bad as it seemed. To Remember

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it wasn't all that long ago that
you used to go into the office all

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the time. So you know they
if not, you are subjecting yourself to

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you know, the marketplace and trying
to find a job where that is going

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to be the prevailing request is that
you move back in to the office.

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Come back to the office the bullet, huh, bite the bull, or

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start your own business where you don't
have to come in and come into the

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00:17:26,759 --> 00:17:29,640
office. But if you're working for
somebody else, they're going to ask you

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to come in right. Don't be
insulted if the boss expects you to come

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in right, that's right. Look
before COVID, nobody was saying the way

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to build a great company is to
send everybody home. Nobody was saying that

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that was out of necessity. We
got a little there is, we got

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00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:49,119
a little sabbatical there. If you're
able to engineer your life where you can

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continue to do that, good for
you. But understand that business owners know

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and they've had the most success by
having their teams working together at being in

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an office together, and they're going
to go back to that. Yeah,

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00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:07,680
and you know when Elon Musk is
saying, you know, you got to

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00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:12,119
come back to the office or else, then it's time to get back to

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the office. Exactly, exactly,
all right, Well, interesting perspective on

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00:18:18,079 --> 00:18:22,480
things, Carl. Just tell us
where we find you. How do we

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00:18:22,519 --> 00:18:25,559
connect with you on the web.
Sure, you can connect with me by

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00:18:25,599 --> 00:18:30,160
going to my personal site Carl three
six dot com. That's c A RBL

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00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:33,680
three six zero dot com and you
can connect with all of my social media.

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00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:37,920
Interact with me anyway, Drop me
a text, drop me a line,

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00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:41,200
and we can we'll connect there,
all right. That link is in

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00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:47,880
the show notes to this interview on
Financial Survival Network and the just click through

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00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:51,400
and it'll take you there. While
you're at the site, just to sign

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00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:53,839
up for your free newsletter. We
bring you a lot of interesting info like

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things with Carl's discussing the economy,
the dollar, all these things. And

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00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,920
if you got a question for me
or Carl, I'll shoot us an email.

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00:19:03,279 --> 00:19:06,880
Heyl at carry Lutz dot com.
Carrel always a pleasure. We'll talk

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00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:10,240
to you a gain real soon.
Thanks Carry, Thanks for listening to carry

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00:19:10,319 --> 00:19:15,519
Lutz's Financial Survival Network, your solution
to today's trying times. For the latest,

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00:19:15,599 --> 00:19:22,000
go to Financial Survival Network dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than ever
