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Okay, Queenians Society tasts everyone.
It's Rich wils I'm walking too. Fantasy

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Baseball Live. It is still the
fourteenth of January, but now it's about

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four twenty in the afternoon. Timmy, we ran long on our first podcast.

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We had a delay your wonderful third
base ranking. So that's what we

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are going to do with this show. Ah, sounds good. Yeah,

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I had fun with third base.
I am just looking now at my first

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first view of the of the overall
rankings, and yeah, there's a few

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discrepancies in there, but I had
fun. I like doing third base.

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Third base is a fun position to
do because it's deep and there's a pile

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of options. Yeah. So,
so you've now done two drafts, or

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in the middle of one draft you've
already completed the other draft. I know,

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when you're right up, you said
what you were going to do.

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But maybe you can expound on how
you're looking at third base this season.

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Well, I think a lot a
lot depends on draft slot. Okay,

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if you're looking towards the back of
the board, well, hey, Riley

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Ramirez, Eli Cruz, They're they're
all going to go either at the end

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of the first round, or very
early in the second, followed up shortly

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thereafter by you know, Rafael Devers, and then you get Gunner Henderson and

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Aaron Otto and Kim There are a
host of early options and solid options in

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the middle, and lots of lots
of rule of dice type prospects. So

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I think you can your draft slot
will dictate somewhat what you're going to do,

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and you can just follow follow along
accordingly. You can go early,

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you can go in the middle rounds
and doing it extremely well. And there's

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prospect mining sitting there as well.
So uh, personally, I'm going to

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be I'm gonna be looking at a
situation where I'm probably gonna go with the

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middle tier, but I'm not going
to pass up rightly to do it,

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or yeah, or Gunner Henderson,
which you were Yeah you grabbed right,

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but he's not to play third base
in your on your team, right,

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he's gonna play you said, cornering
field. Yeah, he's gonna be cornering

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fielder, shortstop or yeah, or
middle he might end up being my middle

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infielder. Okay, Okay, you
know I'm not going to pass up guys

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that have the value. You know, where I end up. Drafting will

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determine a fair bit of it.
But all things being equal, if I

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have the opportunity, I'm going to
look to try and fill in some of

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my outfield before I get concerned about
third base, because I don't think there's

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any reason to be concerned about third
base. It's deep with lots of options,

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right, so you don't have to
you don't have to jump into third

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base early. You don't have to
overplay your hand. You know, you

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don't have to move players up.
Yeah, when you're looking at players like

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Josh Young, you know in the
teams and Spencer Steer and each paratus and

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you know, hey, you want
power. You know, Max Munsey at

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sixteen, Jake Berger genius for it. There's a ton of options at third

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base. Pick your poison, roll
with it. But it's it's a fun

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position, it really is. So
let's let's go through. Let's I guess

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him is making a statement here in
his write up, he does make the

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statement instead of Jose Ramirez number one, which he's still I think going as

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the first the top third base went
off the board at least in the NFBC.

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Simmy, most drafs, you're saying, no, I'm going Austin Riley

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won Jose Ramirez two. You give
some kind of best best out of five

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head to head battles, and Tim
goes very detailed and it is defending of

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the of the selection here. So
Timmy, why don't you tell us why

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Austin Riley above Jose Ramirez. Well, you look at the power numbers,

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there's no comparison, I believe you
know. All you have to do is

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take take a look at Austin.
Austin Riley's production. Okay, and in

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the past past three years thirty seven, thirty eight and thirty three home runs.

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Oh, maybe he's a lock for
thirty plus home runs. The look

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at the runs scored, Okay,
Austin Riley last year and that vaunted offense,

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he scored one hundred and seventeen runs. Okay, one hundred and seventeen

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runs. Let's take a look at
Jose Ramires in comparison. Okay, Jose

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Ramirez scored a grand total of eighty
seven runs. So you're looking at a

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twenty five to thirty run scored edge
at O'Riley home runs. Ramires was twenty

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four. We saw what was it
thirty seven? I think last year,

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Yeah, thirty seven for Riley.
RBI's ninety seven for Riley, okay,

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Jose Ramirez eighty. There's only one
category batting average I think was to eighty

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two to eighty one, okay.
The only category providing an edge to Ramiers

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in a big way stolen bases.
Riley doesn't run, but Jose Ramiris is

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heading into his age thirty two season. Do you need the stolen bases from

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Jose Ramirez? I don't think you
do. I think he can find stolen

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bases all over the place now,
So that edge isn't sufficient enough in the

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stolen bases to want me to push
him ahead of Riley. I just think

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the other the combination of the total
package favors Riley, and that's why I

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ranked him accordingly. I know,
I know many will disagree, but I

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got that's a big number in the
run scoredt rbisen home runs, that's that's

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a big number. I mean,
look, I'm looking at his baseball Savan

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Page. I mean, few people
hit the ball as hard as he does.

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Josey Ramirez doesn't hit the ball nearly
as hard, and you know sprint

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speeds at sixty one percentile, So
it's not like he's a burner still,

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but he makes great contact, so
he's he does. Yeah, so it's

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a ten point six percent strikeout rate, a ten point six percent walk rate,

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so he's walking as much as he's
striking out. So he's going to

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help you. I think there's a
chance from helping you more in the batting

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average than Austin Riley. And then
Austin Riley hits the ball so hard he's

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gonna have a high babbit which is
gonna help prop up his batting average.

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So you can argue it both way
ways, but it is definitely a bold

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statement to take Austin Riley in front
of Jose Ramirez. And I commend you

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for that. Well, I think
it just makes sense, okay, And

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I'm all about being logical, you
know that, Rich, Yeah, I

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just yeah, there are people,
at least in my NFBC draft, people

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took Rafael somebody took Rafael Devers before
they took Austin Riley. Yeah, and

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yeah, I hey, I like
I like GRAFFI I think he said I've

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got him at number four, okay, but I am not taking him ahead

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of Austin Riley. You know that's
supporting cast if Austin Riley doesn't score a

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hundred runs, He's he's heard that's
you know. I mean, it's gotta

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be a he's got to be a
lock scoring. I would agree. I

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would hope that Jose Ramirez, I
mean, he needs a better supporting cast

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and maybe Cole man Zarta can provide
that and maybe a full season of bow

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Nailer. So I mean you can
hope that, you know that eventually he'll

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get maybe Chase the Louder comes up
at some point and can help. So,

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but he is getting a little long
in the tooth. So it's it's

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a bold statement, but it's it's
one that Tim, I think you defended

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it extremely well. Yeah, I
know, I look deep and I just

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think it's time. I don't think
Austin Riley gets a level of respect that

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he probably should. We did spend
some time with Led la Cruz when he

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was when we went through your rankings
and shortstop he is number third off the

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board, he's number three according to
the NFBC, And Tim, you're still

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with his bias, bias ish approach
to swing in and everything. I mean,

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it still becomes to me a very
very tough selection in a Fantasy League

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to take l ed la Cruise and
the Dynasty League, you should be golden

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because I mean, the chance of
him turning into something, But what year

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is it all going to come together
for him if it ever does? And

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that's that's the question you have to
ask when you take him in the second

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and third round, because that's where
you have to take him. Well,

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yeah, and you know what,
as I mentioned in my narrative for for

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Devers, you know Dela Cruz is
going at twenty two, Raffi's going at

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twenty five. Okay, you want
to if you want to pass on the

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risk and move move Devers is a
move them up the spot? Yeah,

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I mean I don't have any problems
with that with playing that game, the

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game that you're you're you're betting right
now on the come for Li de la

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Cruz, and you know what,
he could reward you handsomely or at the

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same point in time, he could
drag your your batting average down where you

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might want to trade for Luisa rise
at some point. Yeah. Well yeah,

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that's it, and that's the risk. But that's the risk reward that

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you you know, you've got to
decide whether or not you want to take

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that. They're both great players.
Yeah, to me, I'm not touching

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Elie Dela Cruz particularly. Have a
few picks later, I can get Gunner

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Henderson. I dare say if they
were both on the board, I would

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take Gunner Henderson. Ever, Elie
de la Cruz, I think it's I

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think it's safer pick and for what
you're going to get from de la Cruz,

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I've got dela Cruz in one league
and I'm very very happy to have

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him in that one league. It's
D five, but it's a dynasty league.

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Yeah, and the price, the
price we paid is it's not a

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it doesn't come associated with an ADP
of twenty two. Okay, Yeah,

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that's just it. I mean,
everybody it's excited about Elie Cruz, Eli

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dealer Cruz. He could turn on
Ronald Acunya. Tim. We could be

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like saying, what wild on Earth
did he going a pick number twenty two

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last last year? Should have been
the second guy off the board. I

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mean, you could make that argument. The skills the tools are that alluring,

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but man, it's your second pick
off the board twenty two, Tim,

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that's early. Well, hey,
most of our leagues are fifteen j

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he's going off the board in the
first half dozen picks in that second round.

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Yeah, it's it's an early pick, and hey, if you want

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to head in that. Hey,
the one thing, you know, it's

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gonna be fun to watch. It
might be painfully fun, but it will

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be fun, right, Absolutely,
Timmy again, as I said last week,

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he's a guy that you stop what
you're doing and watch what he is

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doing because he could do very very
special things. Gunner Henderson to me again,

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not the same kind of upside nearly
as Elie Dela Cruz. But guy

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can hit. He plays in a
great lineup, and you know, I

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just think there's you know, in
the back of the third round where you

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got him again, if he would
have dropped to one more selection for me,

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he would have been on my team
even though I didn't need him because

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I already had a shortstop. I
would have taken Gunner Henderson. Yeah,

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I couldn't pass on that with the
second pick in the third round. No,

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there is so much to like from
Gunner Henderson. There really is.

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Yep. I totally agree this is
that. That is one through five,

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Timmy, five, six through ten. Hassan Kim Nolan Aeronada, Manny Machado,

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Royce Lewis and Alex Bregman Nolan Aeronada, you you kind of up a

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little high on him and Hassan Kim
talk to me about I said, is

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he bounce back in orders? Your
last five words in the paragraph? Well,

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they sort of forced my hand to
some extent in that I guess Royce

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Lewis okay, I get what he
did last year. Okay. And in

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the NFC they have him at six. I have him at nine, many

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Machado seven. Those are the two
players that I that I have pushed down

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okay, to accommodate Kim and Aeronato. And the reasons for me are are

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rather straightforward. My last my last
sentence in my narrative on Royce Lewis,

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what are the odds of seeing Royce
Lewis and Byron bucks and penciled in on

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the same lineup card? Okay?
I love the talent that Royce Lewis brings

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to the table, But when has
he ever? When's he been healthy?

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Riches? Yeah, he has some
incredibly tough injuries. So you know,

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when I look at Kim, I
see fifteen to twenty home runs and I

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see thirty stolen bases, and I
think he put that in the bank.

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When I look at Aeronado, I
didn't realize until I started looking at it.

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At his numbers, you realize that
last year was his first season since

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twenty fourteen in which he didn't hit
at least thirty home runs with one hundred

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rbiys. That's incredible. Yep.
Yeah, you know, and last year

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wasn't a great year, but he
was still twenty six homers in ninety three

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RBIs. Yeah, if he bounces
back, even marginally, he's going to

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earn that. He's going to earn
that seventh spot. So again, I

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dare say there are fears. Appears
to be some value here with Nolan Aernato

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at ninety seven compared to Royce Lewis
at forty seven. Yeah, hey give

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me Aeronado and I ranked them accordeyly
and Manny Michaudo. The problem there is

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he should be probably up at six
five or six, somewhere in that range.

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But again, he's he had the
surgery in early October. Is he

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going to be ready? Can he? You know? Hey, I know

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he's going to DH initially when he
comes back, but all hail the Marcus

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Potter axiom. What happens if he's
not ready to beat and DH come April

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or actually in March, because they're
doing a series I believe in Asia to

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start the season. What third week
of March or something. I think it

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makes sense to downshift on Machado this
year. I agree. I was very

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high on him at the end of
last season. I thought when I saw

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the early rankings, I was like, why is he going so low?

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But then you start to look at
the missing of Juan Soto and Many Michada

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maybe thinks he takes an extra few
days a couple of weeks before he comes

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back. I think the setup is
not good for taking Many Machado early.

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So I agree, And you know
what, Hey, I could be all

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wrong. I'm having to make assumptions
here, like we all are. If

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he's ready to go, Hey,
he could certainly earn anywhere I think from

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you know, hey, from fourth
all you know, as high as fourth

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in the rankings if he plays a
full season. But I'm just I'm just

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gonna push him down a little bit. And I think Aeronauto, Hey,

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he's got another couple thirty one hundred
seasons sitting there. I'll I have no

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hesitation in taking Nolan Aernaudo a bit
before Manny Machado. Man if I could

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grab Manny Machado on the seventh round, you know something like that that I

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would be all over. But like
having to take him in the fourth and

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fifth round, that's where it gets. You know, you just begin to

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think, how much is he going
to play? Is he going to do

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with Bryce Harbor where he comes back
too early, Tim and has no power?

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Yeah, it has no power for
the first three months. Yeah,

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there's some risk there, and with
the depth at third base, you can

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avoid that risk. And I chose, I chose and will choose to take

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that approach. Timmy, let's take
a break, get back and do the

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second ten. You would like to
join us out on our Patriots pr eo

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00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,680
win dot com formar slash Prospect three
sixty one. Not only do I write

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00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:22,440
about prospects, but I do a
lot of baseball stuff. Tim is out

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00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:26,119
in our discord site doing his stuff. We put extra little tidbits of Tim's

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00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:30,200
rankings out there so you can get
those on all one spot with the spreadsheets

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that he and I talk about.
So there's some value at it. There,

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and we'd appreciate it if you would
consider joining us. Tim, Well,

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yeah, I'm having fun with the
discord site and there's very little discord,

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very little discord. Yeah, we're
got we're getting close to two hundred.

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Now, we got two hundred and
twenty members or something. So we're

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we're pushing here, awesome, pushing
our way up a little by little.

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All right, let's do eleven through
fifteen. Is Josh Young, Spencer,

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Steer, Novell, Marte all chalk
with the NFC. Tim's all in on

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esac paratus far higher than the NFC, and then boring ol Alex Baum,

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who just produces and done at fifteen. Josh Young, your guy, Timmy,

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I agree with your statement though,
if imagine what he would have done

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if he would have played the full
season. Well, yeah, he had

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that thumb injury, a fractured thumb, and that cost him some time.

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I think moving forward, barring more
thumb injuries, I think he's a thirty

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ninety type player. I'm all in
on Joshua On. I think he's a

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great young player, and hey,
I like Steer, Hey, Marty's got

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huge upside. All these guys in
here, I don't have any problems rostering

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any of these guys for any number
of reasons. The guy that I think

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in this stretch here that I would
have the most concern about is a Novill

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Marte. I mean I partially that
because, first of all, we talked

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at nausey about the Cincinnati Reds and
how many they've got, maybe four or

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five too many players, And you
do worry if Neville Marte gets off to

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a tough start what that's going to
mean for him. And he's still very

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very young, and did okay in
his first call up, but it was

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wasn't like great. Yeah, I
don't think he disappointed though, No,

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and I I am. I'm sorry
to disappointed now that I read my narrative

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because I forgot to add the great
in front of rich Wilson when I was

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doing my narrative because I included your
quote in there. Oh let's say I

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didn't read. I just did it. Let's see what Rich Wilson has to

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00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:47,000
say a word. He's going into
double plus power, but speed will become

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less part of his game as he
fills out. I think he hits with

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a chance to be a full time
record the impact potential that works for me.

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Yeah, I agree with that.
I just don't know if it's gonna

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be the season. Oh gosh,
darn shattering all my Spencer, ste you're

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just looking at his data. To
me, he doesn't hit the ball all

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that hard, so just good speed, doesn't hit the ball hard, and

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of course at decent strikeout rates.
But a thirty seven hard hit rate is

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not great. No, it's not
great in that roster though, and at

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the top of I think it works. Okay, I'm not convinced. Okay,

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So and your your guy, esuc
Pertes. He was my guy last

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season. He's too expensive for me
this year. I've moved on. But

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I I mean, he had a
great season last year. Another guy doesn't

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hit the ball all that hard.
No, again, a loft guy,

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right, I'd have to go and
take a look at it. Why you

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tell us why he's this position,
why you got him a little higher.

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I will take a look at what
the data says. Well, when you

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take a look at what he's done
over the past couple of seasons, you

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know, he's only twenty four years
old, by the way, turning twenty

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00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:07,079
five this year. But yeah,
in three hundred and thirty at bats in

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twenty two, he had twenty home
runs with forty five RBIs. I got

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him under the radar, strikeout sixty
seven walks, forty four. Last year

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he sort of exploded and moved to
the next plutch oh thirty one home runs,

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ninety eight RBIs. Hey, the
Rays need that bat in the lineup

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and they need him hitting for power, and hey, I will be very

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00:21:33,079 --> 00:21:37,359
disappointed if he doesn't hit at least
twenty five twenty six home runs with close

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to one hundred RBIs this year.
I think I think, I think he'll

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00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:48,000
be disappointed. Okay, his heart
hit rates at six percent. That's six,

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that the number between five and seven. He has an exit velocity of

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00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:56,359
eighty six point nine league averages eighty
eight point four. That ranks in the

276
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lower thirteen percent of the league.
Obviously, never he really strikes out,

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so and he's got a good hittal, but it feels more like a doubles

278
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guy to me. He is a
huge launch angle guy, as Tim was

279
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:15,160
mentioning twenty two twenty two degree launch, which you're not going to find much

280
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higher than that. So he's getting
all of his power by stepping in the

281
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bucket and trying to hit everything up
in the air and get it out.

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And it worked last year and thirty
one home runs was thirty one home runs.

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But it worked the year before too, So that's two years in a

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row. It's worked twenty Yeah,
I mean it did he even he went

285
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from a sixty percent launch angle to
a twenty two percent launch angle. Let's

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see what his Uh, let's see
what his Yeah his, his hard hit

287
00:22:41,799 --> 00:22:45,400
rate went even further down, so
as did his average ECUs alossie. So

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maybe he'd realized that the batspeed was
not there, so he just kept loft

289
00:22:51,319 --> 00:22:52,480
in it to get it out.
I don't know, it's Tim, It's

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00:22:52,519 --> 00:22:56,759
it's I think you'll be disappointed.
I don't think he hits over twenty home

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runs. I'll take you over,
okay, twenty home runs. I got

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the twenty and under for rich Tim's
got twenty one and over. There we

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00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:15,039
go done like dinner. We'll never
remember that. No, justin w's justin.

294
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:18,839
Yeah, you gotta write that one
down. Uh, that's we should

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00:23:18,839 --> 00:23:22,440
go back to doing our steak and
liquor bets. They're they're fun. So

296
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:26,240
yeah, they are all right?
Where and now I'm lost like a totally

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00:23:26,599 --> 00:23:30,319
flummoxed here with the steak and liquor
bet Alex Timmy, there's absolutely nothing wrong

298
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:34,480
with Alex bowm no, no,
hey, and yeah you put you put

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him, as I mentioned in my
narrave, you know, I put him

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in that high power Phillies offense.
Yeah. All he's got to do is

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hit, and he's gonna drive in
some runs. Yeah he's and he's going

302
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:48,680
fifteenth off the board with an ADP
of one sixty if. Yeah, I

303
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:52,480
got no problems. Plus he's first
base eligible to boot. Yeah, you

304
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:59,319
know, I like I like,
I like him a fair bed. I

305
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:03,359
was sayingft and hold leagues, Timmy, first base gets really light when you're

306
00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:08,599
looking for some backup guys. So
getting somebody that maybe you're gonna play at

307
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:14,359
third base who's got first base eligible
not a bad play in a draft and

308
00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:19,160
hold league. Yeah, I won't
disagree. Yeah, you gotta start looking

309
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:25,599
at guys like counting on Ryan Mountcastle
to bounce back. You know, there

310
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:30,799
are some options down a little further
at first base, but with those options

311
00:24:30,799 --> 00:24:33,400
come question marks, right, Yeah, for sure. I mean when you're

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00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:37,519
starting to look at Carlos Santana as
your backup first baseman, tim you know,

313
00:24:37,839 --> 00:24:40,640
and Jake Bowers, you know you're
in trouble. I mean, that's

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00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:45,000
that's what it is. After you
know, after you're done your primary selection

315
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:48,400
process. That's where you are in
these draft and holes. I mean it's

316
00:24:48,839 --> 00:24:52,160
and there's nobody in the minor leagues, right that's gonna come up and help

317
00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:56,680
those guys. They're just not there. No, that's that's where you look

318
00:24:56,720 --> 00:25:00,640
at Brandon Jury and say, yeah, he's he's a stud. Yeah.

319
00:25:00,759 --> 00:25:04,359
Yeah. Even guys like oh,
the San Francisco guy, outfitter, first

320
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:11,200
baseman, hits at the top of
the lineup. Oh help me, Tim,

321
00:25:11,599 --> 00:25:15,920
San Francisco, San Francisco. Look
look at Brosto Resource, the guy

322
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,559
who says, yeah, that guy
plays first base. He becomes very interesting,

323
00:25:18,799 --> 00:25:23,200
very in the late twenties. In
a draft and hold league, you're

324
00:25:23,279 --> 00:25:26,960
thinking of JD. Davis No,
no, no, no, no,

325
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:33,880
no no, no, J Wade
Junior. Yeah, LaMonte LaMonte Waite.

326
00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:37,400
Yeah, he has value, Tim, because you get get him at first,

327
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:41,160
you get him an outfield. Those
are those are that's a nice bench

328
00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:45,279
slot to have, particularly in a
draft and hold league. Well, in

329
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:48,279
draft and hold leagues, you have
to you have to extend value to multi

330
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:53,440
eligible type players. Yeah, you
know you're gonna deal with injuries and you

331
00:25:53,519 --> 00:25:56,640
can only roster so many. If
you can get a guy that covers off

332
00:25:56,680 --> 00:26:00,039
a couple of spots and he stays
healthy, yeah, that's a big asset.

333
00:26:00,519 --> 00:26:04,960
I will say you're Zach McKinstry.
Conversation we had last week, we

334
00:26:06,039 --> 00:26:10,000
talked about second base. I think
this will a shortstop or whatever. I

335
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,640
mean, that's what led me.
I mean literally second third shortened out.

336
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:18,240
Feel, that's a godsend in a
in a draft and old league. He's

337
00:26:18,279 --> 00:26:21,640
gonna play full time. He'll hit
some home runs, he'll steal some bases,

338
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:26,039
but it covers a lot of ground. Yep. And when you're when

339
00:26:26,039 --> 00:26:29,960
you're sitting in August and you have
two death spots because you you ran out

340
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:33,759
of guys, having somebody that you
can flip around like McKinstry, that's like

341
00:26:33,839 --> 00:26:37,400
a good deal. So anyway,
my favorite draft, my favorite and draft

342
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:41,079
in hold Rich is when you draft
three catchers, okay, to back up

343
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:44,640
your two and four of them are
on the IL. Yeah, I just

344
00:26:44,799 --> 00:26:48,440
I draft I won't I have one
backup catcher. That's it. If I

345
00:26:48,519 --> 00:26:52,119
lose my catchers, I lose my
catchers. I'm just like, okay,

346
00:26:52,519 --> 00:26:56,559
I'll just move on. Here's sixteen
through twenty. Max Munsey, Jake Berger,

347
00:26:56,920 --> 00:27:00,880
you, Hineo Suarez, my buddy, your buddy, Ryan McCann,

348
00:27:00,559 --> 00:27:04,200
and keep Brian Hayes, which I
still continue to be bullish on. Tim

349
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:10,839
is not so any comments to make
about Max Munsey. Hey, in this

350
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:15,880
group, if you're looking for power
and low batting average, it's there.

351
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:19,799
Okay, I think that's very funny. I'm gonna give you a rim shot

352
00:27:19,799 --> 00:27:26,039
on that because it's funny and true. So that's that deserves Jake Berger is

353
00:27:26,039 --> 00:27:30,039
definitely power, no batting average,
right, and you look at Max Munsey.

354
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:36,240
Okay, what did I say,
amode Schwarber level BA? So yeah,

355
00:27:36,319 --> 00:27:38,759
but yeah, it's not quite Schwarber
level BA, but it's in the

356
00:27:38,759 --> 00:27:44,359
same area code for sure. Yeah. You know, hey, months,

357
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,119
he's going to hit a pilot home
runs, driving a mess of runs.

358
00:27:47,319 --> 00:27:51,559
I think Burger Burger is going to
do the same thing. Not the RBIs

359
00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:55,039
won't be as high as Munsy,
but he's I wouldn't be shocked if Jake

360
00:27:55,079 --> 00:27:59,519
Berger found a way to hit forty
home runs. I would shot when when

361
00:27:59,559 --> 00:28:03,000
I did the research after he was
traded. I was shocked at how how

362
00:28:03,039 --> 00:28:06,920
hard he hits the ball. I
didn't realize that to him because every I

363
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:08,559
tried to see in the minor league, he was always he was always sting.

364
00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:11,240
Yeah, he is barrel rate ninety
eight percent, hard to hit rate

365
00:28:11,319 --> 00:28:18,079
ninety one percent. He's his mats
ex y Velossiti is one eighteen point two.

366
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:22,799
That's top one percent in the league
at that late. Yeah, that's

367
00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:26,640
only Di la Cruz. He's like
like crazy EXI velocity. I mean that's

368
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:30,920
a big boy power there. Yeah. And you know, you get to

369
00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:34,160
Suarez and I you know, when
you look at the the NFBC numbers,

370
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:37,119
they got him at twenty four.
I've got him at eighteen, Okay,

371
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:41,359
And I put a lot of thought
into this. When then I started like

372
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:45,839
where I have him slotted, because
yeah, he really enjoyed his time in

373
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:52,599
Cincinnati, not so much in Seattle. Now he's moving to Arizona. Good

374
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:56,640
young team, lots of young players, and it's back to you know,

375
00:28:56,440 --> 00:29:00,200
you start looking at Chase Field in
the Great American they're in the same area.

376
00:29:00,359 --> 00:29:06,799
So I think we could see a
rebound for Suarez based on park factor.

377
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:11,480
And I moved him up accordingly,
so we'll see how it all shakes

378
00:29:11,519 --> 00:29:15,200
down. But you know, again, Muncie Berger Suarez, I think they're

379
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:18,680
all capable of hitting thirty home runs
with little batting averages. And then you

380
00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:25,920
get into McMahon and Kimbrian Hayes,
and one has been a bigger disappointment than

381
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:29,400
the other, but not by much. Jose that Yeah, Ryan mc I

382
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:32,480
don't know what else to say about
it. He's I haven't a DL five

383
00:29:32,559 --> 00:29:36,720
everybody. I think everybody knows wo's
listening to this. It's it's I don't

384
00:29:36,759 --> 00:29:38,359
like him. I don't know what
to say, Timmy. He's disappointed me

385
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:42,599
his whole career, and I there'll
be two weeks that he looks like he's

386
00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:45,920
a good player, and the rest
of the time it's just lousy. I

387
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,599
don't want to spend any time with
them. I love Ryan Hayes. I

388
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:51,759
think you're too low on all.
Yeah, I could be, but he

389
00:29:51,799 --> 00:29:55,079
hasn't shown anything yet. He's a
data guy, so I'm waiting for the

390
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:57,759
data to to turn into production.
To me, I think he's rough on

391
00:29:57,799 --> 00:30:03,519
the cusp of something happening. You
and your Star Wars, it's all about

392
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:06,440
Star wars. You know, it's
uh, gotta go with the data.

393
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:10,079
Eh. Ey, it's really it's
a ball, really hard. The speed's

394
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:14,839
kind of dwindling a little bit,
but it makes great contact. I don't

395
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:17,519
know, this is one of these
guys. I look at the data.

396
00:30:17,519 --> 00:30:19,839
I don't understand what's happening. So
yeah, but you know when you look

397
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:25,759
at both those guys, McMahon and
Hayes, right, McMahon's at nineteen,

398
00:30:25,799 --> 00:30:29,319
you're gonna get you're gonna get low
twenties homer in power with seventy RBIs and

399
00:30:29,359 --> 00:30:33,319
seventy runs score. And Hayes you're
gonna get mid teen's power, mid teen

400
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:37,319
speed sort of thing. Right,
that's nineteen and twenty off the board.

401
00:30:37,599 --> 00:30:41,799
And you know you just said you
you know you you believe I'm low on

402
00:30:41,839 --> 00:30:45,200
Hayes, and I could very well
be. But that's nineteen and twenty.

403
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:52,400
Yeah, yeah, yeah, you
know. And and from twenty to thirty,

404
00:30:52,519 --> 00:30:57,440
it's to thirty fun times, fun
times, one thousand percent agree with

405
00:30:57,480 --> 00:31:02,279
you on twenty one of take a
quick break and come back and speak about

406
00:31:02,279 --> 00:31:04,200
that, because we could spend the
next half hour. It's twenty one to

407
00:31:04,279 --> 00:31:18,480
thirty seven questions A non base more
related question for you. Tell me it's

408
00:31:18,519 --> 00:31:21,960
at our beach house. We do
rent it out in the summertime. Don't

409
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:23,799
know how much longer we're going to
do that. We have wonderful, wonderful

410
00:31:23,839 --> 00:31:29,559
people that rent our place out.
They rent almost every year. But I

411
00:31:29,599 --> 00:31:34,119
think this is getting a little too
much. We came When we came back,

412
00:31:34,119 --> 00:31:37,480
two things were a bit surprising.
One, you know those curegg machines.

413
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,359
We didn't have one because we're cheap
right there, like one hundred and

414
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:45,440
fifty dollars I've got I've got a
cure egg machine. Whine, Well,

415
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:52,799
you're a big shooter. On of
our one of our guests brought a cure

416
00:31:52,039 --> 00:31:57,240
I'll be one of our guests bought
a cureg machine for the house and just

417
00:31:57,319 --> 00:32:01,519
left it here, like, like, who does that? I would?

418
00:32:05,039 --> 00:32:09,440
I love my curreate machine. I
don't use the pre bought pods. I've

419
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:15,119
got plastic pods that I use and
I rinse some out. But it's perfect.

420
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:17,440
You get a fresh cup of coffee
all the time. If you know,

421
00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:22,079
you're the old with the old glass
thing that sits there and burns burns

422
00:32:22,079 --> 00:32:24,920
a but Jesus out of it and
by the time you get halfway through that

423
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:29,359
pot of coffee and you know it
tastes like something they should be redoing the

424
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:34,640
roads with. Man, those days
are gone. Curate is that's hey?

425
00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:37,079
You could? You could? You
could take my stereo record collection and my

426
00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:40,160
car, but I steal my curve. Man. Wow. Anyway, so

427
00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:46,000
we got a cure now here.
Here's the weird thing. So we come

428
00:32:46,039 --> 00:32:51,319
in place, got four bathrooms to
it. And as soon as we come

429
00:32:51,359 --> 00:32:53,279
in from the long ride of the
car, rd to jump in and get

430
00:32:53,319 --> 00:33:00,079
to the first floor bedrooms bathroom.
I go in and I realize that the

431
00:33:00,119 --> 00:33:05,079
toilet seat has been changed. It's
not only been changed on that bathroom,

432
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:08,200
but another bathroom some one of our
guests to because we've talked to the to

433
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:13,759
the management, they have no record
of anybody changing out a toilet seat.

434
00:33:14,039 --> 00:33:22,119
They replaced our toilet seat. Who
does that? I busted if I busted

435
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,839
to day. Okay, that's what
we're thinking. They busted it. But

436
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:29,559
I'd probably look at my fat ass
and say it's time to lose twenty pounds

437
00:33:29,599 --> 00:33:31,160
and I'm not going to fast up, so I'll just replace it, right,

438
00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:35,319
But I'd replace it with the same
one. Okay, they replaced it

439
00:33:35,359 --> 00:33:37,240
with a cheap el, cheap O
one. I wouldn't want to get caught.

440
00:33:37,359 --> 00:33:40,279
Yeah, I wouldn't want to get
Can you imagine explaining that to your

441
00:33:40,359 --> 00:33:45,200
landlord. Yeah, I'm sorry,
I broke the toilet seat. Instead of

442
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:47,960
the nineteen ninety nine model, I
got the fourteen ninety nine No, no,

443
00:33:49,039 --> 00:33:51,400
I want to I want to keep
that between me and me, right.

444
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:53,799
The ones we had to me are
those ones that when you lower them,

445
00:33:53,839 --> 00:33:58,920
they slowly go down. So I'm
done, lift up the seat,

446
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:02,000
I'm done, and I close.
It went bang because it's one of those

447
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:07,719
big, heavy wooden ones. What
is that? That's what led me to

448
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:13,519
investigate what was going on? So
I don't know. So somebody replaced our

449
00:34:13,519 --> 00:34:17,360
toilet seats. I've never had a
toilet seat with HYDRAULICSS real neat. I

450
00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:22,639
can tell you about our toilets one
day, Timmy anyway, number twenty one

451
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:25,559
through thirty. There's some great names
here. Jordan Westburg, I did draft

452
00:34:25,639 --> 00:34:31,079
him. Junior Caminario, loved Junior
Caminara, Heimer Candelaria, Lewis Rahifo,

453
00:34:31,599 --> 00:34:36,519
my guy. I'm very disappointed.
Tim has got him so low Michael Garcia,

454
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:40,400
Matt Chapman at twenty six, Tyler
Black Big Tyler Black Fan, Matt

455
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:45,760
Vierling at twenty eight, Ezekiel Durant
at twenty nine, who also plays all

456
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:49,039
over the place, Colt Keith,
and I'm gonna keep going, Timmy Wilmer,

457
00:34:49,079 --> 00:34:52,639
Flores, Brett Battie all the way
down to thirty three. Tim has

458
00:34:52,639 --> 00:34:55,280
moved him up thirteen slots. Well
done, Timmy, Michael Bush. Not

459
00:34:55,559 --> 00:35:00,760
sure what to start here, but
Jordan Westberg and your Cameron. First of

460
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:04,800
all, Jordan Westbrook better hit.
But Junior Caminarrea, Tim I like.

461
00:35:05,159 --> 00:35:07,800
I like Junior camer Ira coming in
the season. Yeah, I do as

462
00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:10,960
well. And you know, when
I look at the options, it's like,

463
00:35:12,079 --> 00:35:15,679
Okay, one to twenty, they're
relatively safe picks all the way through

464
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:19,199
there. Okay, I think you
got a pretty good idea. You know,

465
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:22,760
well what you're going to get,
even even with Dela Cruz, Okay,

466
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:27,559
you're gonna get forty stolen basis.
He'll steal forty bases for you blindfolded.

467
00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:30,000
Okay, you're safe one to twenty, and once you get to twenty,

468
00:35:30,039 --> 00:35:35,599
you start looking, man, there
are some great young options you know

469
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:39,519
even in deeper leagues, a guy
like ring Etheo. Okay, yeah,

470
00:35:39,519 --> 00:35:44,239
he's power speed. He's in the
leadoff spot. Somebody has to score runs

471
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,320
in Anaheim like, there's just so
many great choices. And just to let

472
00:35:47,400 --> 00:35:53,920
you know, on Michael Garcia,
once he gets the power up to Louise

473
00:35:54,159 --> 00:36:00,480
or rises level, I will move
him up. I'm gonna give you a

474
00:36:00,519 --> 00:36:02,960
rim shot on that rap baster.
I'm gonna give you a rap faster that

475
00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:09,000
would give me. That would so
I have written, I have researched extensively

476
00:36:09,079 --> 00:36:13,519
Michael Garcia. I write I've written
about him five or six times at least

477
00:36:13,559 --> 00:36:15,920
on the Patriots. I could be
all wrong here, Tim, I will

478
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:21,079
tell you right off the bat.
I could be wrong. But his speed

479
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:25,760
is top seventy five percent tile on
the league. His hard hit rates are

480
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:30,840
top eighty percent of them. This
guy. Few people hit the ball as

481
00:36:30,840 --> 00:36:34,480
hard as he does. His problem, Tim, and it look makes good

482
00:36:34,519 --> 00:36:38,320
contact he has. He is a
ground ball hitter. Now here's my logic,

483
00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:43,800
and I could be completely wrong.
If I'm in the data department of

484
00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:49,280
the Kansas City Royals, I'm looking
at his one. Yeah, jeez,

485
00:36:49,639 --> 00:36:54,199
that's another rim shot. I'm looking
at an average ex velocity eighty seven percent,

486
00:36:54,599 --> 00:36:58,840
hard hit rates ninety third percent time. I mean, it is crazy

487
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:02,559
bat speed. And I'm looking at
his loft at six degrees, which was

488
00:37:02,639 --> 00:37:06,800
double what he did in twenty two. I'm looking at six and I'm in

489
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:10,280
the data department of the Kansaity Royals. I'm going I'm licking my chops to

490
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:15,159
sit down with this guy and say, all you got to do is add

491
00:37:15,199 --> 00:37:17,159
a little loft and his sweet spot
to me. So when he does add

492
00:37:17,199 --> 00:37:22,159
loft, it goes a long way. If I can prove to this guy

493
00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:27,599
just to add a little bit of
loft and take on a few extra percent

494
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:30,440
in your strikeouts, which is going
to happen, I think he could easily

495
00:37:30,519 --> 00:37:36,719
unlock twenty home runs. So I
think that's what the potentialist doesn't happen this

496
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:39,039
year. I have no idea,
but I want to find out. Yeah,

497
00:37:39,079 --> 00:37:42,800
and you know what, it's a
great argument. It really is.

498
00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:51,440
Again what the Royal should do,
Okay is obviously hire you okay to be

499
00:37:51,519 --> 00:37:58,639
part of their scouting department and fix
and fix the problems that would cause him

500
00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:01,320
to all of a sudd and become
a twenty home run guy and with that

501
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:05,400
hard hit rate. Yeah, you
know, your argument makes perfect sense.

502
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,639
I just want to see it happen. I for sure do anything about it.

503
00:38:07,679 --> 00:38:12,599
That's that's why I've gotten worried because
right now he's a four home run

504
00:38:13,039 --> 00:38:15,920
twenty five stolen based, twenty five
stolen based with a good batting average type

505
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:22,920
player, and I need like he
hit four last year. I think a

506
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:28,159
rise hit ten. Yeah, yeah, totally, so totally get he's got

507
00:38:28,199 --> 00:38:31,159
to hit yeah. I like to
look. It could be he could be

508
00:38:31,519 --> 00:38:36,440
a top top fifteen third basement if
he finds that power easy. Yep.

509
00:38:36,639 --> 00:38:38,800
So here's here's my argument. I
look for setups. It could be wrong

510
00:38:39,280 --> 00:38:45,360
to me, this is one skill
away from a guy that could be an

511
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:47,800
impact player. Does it ever happen? Don't know. Does it happen in

512
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:52,400
twenty twenty four? Really don't know. But I bet you there's a lot

513
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:59,000
of organizations in this in MLB that
would look at this and go that's easy

514
00:38:59,039 --> 00:39:04,679
to fix. So I'm hoping that
the Royals will do. If the Royal,

515
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:08,639
if the Royals, if the Royals
get a trade offer from the Dodgers.

516
00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:14,400
Okay, that involves Garcia move him
up onto your top fifteen. No,

517
00:39:14,519 --> 00:39:15,920
I get your argument, and I
like it. That's what I do

518
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:22,400
with players as well. I look
for inefficiencies that hey, that can be

519
00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:27,599
corrected, that will cause players to
increase in value. And that's obviously what

520
00:39:27,679 --> 00:39:31,400
you want. And I get your
argument. It's solid and if it does

521
00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:36,960
happen, yeah, he's gonna sore
up this list. And again from a

522
00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:40,559
non fantasy standpoint, you take a
look at his fielding metrics. They're way

523
00:39:40,639 --> 00:39:45,639
up there too. It's got a
great arm, great range, it's all

524
00:39:45,679 --> 00:39:47,599
sitting there and it just I want
them in every one of my teams.

525
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:52,239
I'm I could be completely wrong,
but to me, it is the setup

526
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:55,039
that I want. I also love
the setup for Tyler Black tim big time.

527
00:39:55,119 --> 00:39:58,760
I don't think he's gonna I don't
think he's gonna steal fifty bases,

528
00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:01,320
but that guy can hit and there's
more speed there than you think. I

529
00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:07,280
love the setup. I looked at
Tyler Black and I've got him six slots

530
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:12,400
ahead of the NFC right now at
twenty seven. I could easily have moved

531
00:40:12,559 --> 00:40:16,760
him to sit right behind Junior Camanaro
on this ranking. And I just kept

532
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:21,280
looking at it and looking at it. I spent more time staring at this

533
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:25,039
list than you can shake a stick
at because again, there's arguments for moving

534
00:40:25,119 --> 00:40:31,039
up Cole Keith, for Duran,
for Tyler black Man. I love time

535
00:40:31,039 --> 00:40:36,280
for Bush Bush as well. Yeah, I've already got him thirteen slots up,

536
00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:39,639
and that's again what I'm looking at
there is I'd be curious to see

537
00:40:39,639 --> 00:40:45,800
what Bush's ADP is after the trade. I'm looking at the combined ADPs for

538
00:40:45,920 --> 00:40:50,800
Bush at forty six in the NNBC. I'm sure he's up in the thirties

539
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:54,159
at least possibly higher with since the
trade. I should have taken a look

540
00:40:54,159 --> 00:40:58,199
at it. To me, if
you want to punt third base ten,

541
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:01,039
this is just me and you.
You say, I'm going with Junior Caminario,

542
00:41:01,119 --> 00:41:05,159
Michael Garcia, and Tyler black I'm
gonna draft all three of those guys

543
00:41:05,159 --> 00:41:07,079
at the end of my draft and
see what happened. I would not fault

544
00:41:07,119 --> 00:41:10,960
the person for that one of those
guys is going to start the season well.

545
00:41:12,159 --> 00:41:15,719
Garcia is going to have a job, but the likelihood of Caminario blowing

546
00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:21,079
up and hitting twenty home runs is
pretty high. And Tyler black is going

547
00:41:21,159 --> 00:41:25,519
to play for the Milwaukee Brewers,
and he's gonna hit so well. I

548
00:41:25,519 --> 00:41:32,559
I was bold on Monasterio going at
forty seven. There's your competition. Yeah,

549
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:38,000
yeah, yeah, And if you
look at Andrew monaster I'm you know,

550
00:41:38,039 --> 00:41:40,840
hey, he made it to the
big leagues. He's he's got that

551
00:41:42,320 --> 00:41:47,519
job sort of, I think heading
into the season, but no power and

552
00:41:47,599 --> 00:41:54,599
speed. Yeah, it's everything's set
up perfectly for Tyler Black to be a

553
00:41:54,639 --> 00:41:59,400
full time player very early in the
season. It's all set up for Colt

554
00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:02,480
Keith. Well yeah, well sure
it is. And you know, you

555
00:42:02,519 --> 00:42:07,280
know, I've got Burlin at twenty
eight, I've got Cole Keith at thirty.

556
00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:10,840
You know, I've got to give
it to Berlin because a bit of

557
00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:14,199
an edge because he's going to start
the year. But how long does he

558
00:42:14,239 --> 00:42:16,320
hold onto that? How long does
he hold onto the job? Yeah,

559
00:42:16,360 --> 00:42:20,719
I think Detroit's going to be better
than people think last year was too.

560
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:25,119
Yeah, they're going to get that
pitching back and Tyler Terrek Scool is going

561
00:42:25,199 --> 00:42:29,000
to be very good. I didn't
like the Jack Flaherty signing, but oh

562
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,480
well, but I mean Casey Mice
is going to be back at some point,

563
00:42:32,079 --> 00:42:36,679
and I just I kind of like, yeah, matt Man, yeah,

564
00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:40,039
and you know they have your bias
terrible signing, but it's it's there's

565
00:42:40,119 --> 00:42:46,679
some decent players out there, and
Mattley Green and Torklsen Yeah, yeah,

566
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:51,280
yeah, they're gonna be fun.
It's yep, and cold Keith comes in

567
00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:55,159
there, Matt Verling comes back to
probably the player he is. I love

568
00:42:55,199 --> 00:42:58,679
the setup there. That's why I
took him on my NFBC draft. I

569
00:42:58,679 --> 00:43:02,199
could be wrong, but I just
go on setups and hopefully some of these

570
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:07,480
things pan out that that's some of
all you can do. So you know

571
00:43:07,559 --> 00:43:10,840
this, you know the group from
twenty to forty, I'm going to have

572
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:15,519
at least five of those guys mentioned
more than once on my way for ware

573
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:20,199
this year. Does that seem fair? Uh? Yeah, there's a couple

574
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:23,360
of other guys named Brian Rocchio.
It's not a bad guy. We're already

575
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:25,840
kind of doing. I guess the
next thing. I mean, look,

576
00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:30,360
Anthony Rondondom, he's going to play, if he's, if he's he was

577
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:35,000
one of the worst players last year
in baseball, I get it. He's

578
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:42,039
going to play. Yeah, so's
Nixon Zel, Yeah, so's DJ LeMay.

579
00:43:43,559 --> 00:43:51,280
That's right. Hey, yeah,
what do you want from a picks

580
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:53,840
in the thirty five, thirty six, thirty seven range, there's three full

581
00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:59,280
time players. Zach McKinstry at thirty
nine is a full time player. Wilmer

582
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:02,320
Flores is a full time player at
thirty one. Yep, Brett Beatty at

583
00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:07,400
thirty two, Oh man, yep. Loaded, that's all. It's it's

584
00:44:07,480 --> 00:44:12,360
loaded. All right, I'm gonna
take another break back and the hard questions

585
00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:23,920
are going to start to come out
now. I saw him giving up a

586
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:29,960
Curtis need either, well, no, And you know, further down the

587
00:44:30,000 --> 00:44:34,760
list, you know, you know
who's a full time player at forty nine.

588
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:38,320
Abraham Torrel. Yeah yeah, Kiner
full off is going to get at

589
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:42,639
bats in Toronto. John Birdie is
a full time player at forty five at

590
00:44:42,639 --> 00:44:46,360
shortstop. Chris Taylor is a great
pick. It's yeah, it's yeah.

591
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:52,559
I think I think that signing though
of Ti Oscar kind of hurt Chris Taylor's

592
00:44:52,559 --> 00:44:54,400
playing time a little bit. He'll
play all over the place, but I

593
00:44:54,440 --> 00:44:58,119
was hoping he would have a full
time position, but I don't think that's

594
00:44:58,119 --> 00:45:00,760
going to happen. Well, and
that's why the NFBC has him at twenty

595
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:04,239
nine. I've got him at forty
one. Yeah, I think he's going

596
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:07,840
to be dropping, so I agree. Yeah, and that's why, Yeah,

597
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:09,679
I dropped him on my rankings because
of the playing time issue. But

598
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:15,079
yeah, Curtis Mead at fifty one, and then you got Brian Ramos in

599
00:45:15,159 --> 00:45:20,079
Chicago. He could very easily find
his weight into being a full time player

600
00:45:20,119 --> 00:45:22,639
at some point in time this year. And he's at fifty three. I

601
00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:25,239
mean, Kobe Mayo's at in Tripa
and waiting to get a shot, and

602
00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:30,199
I have no idea what shot he
gets, but yeah, exactly. But

603
00:45:30,559 --> 00:45:35,800
that's that's a good player to the
third base. I'm totally in agreeing with

604
00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:38,760
him. It is. It is
pretty deep here. So okay, Timmy,

605
00:45:39,639 --> 00:45:43,760
Yeah what guy? Let me go
back to my notes. Always mess

606
00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:46,800
this up. Which player not in
the top ten has a chance to move

607
00:45:46,880 --> 00:45:51,480
there next year? And it's gotta
be Josh Young, right, because that's

608
00:45:51,519 --> 00:45:55,360
what you talked about thirty nine.
There's a there's a there's a whole raft

609
00:45:55,400 --> 00:45:59,719
of them. Pick one, Well, you gotta give me two, and

610
00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:01,559
then yeah, you gotta tell me
the two that are not gonna not gonna

611
00:46:01,599 --> 00:46:05,360
be there. Let me see,
So, Hasson Kim's probably not gonna be

612
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:09,519
third base eligible, neither's gun or
Henderson. So uh so you gotta give

613
00:46:09,559 --> 00:46:13,000
me three guys that are gonna make
it up, because you've got to tell

614
00:46:13,039 --> 00:46:15,599
me the guy that's not going to
be there. Okay, Well, I

615
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:24,920
gotta go with Josh Young. Uh
and I'm gonna go way out on a

616
00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:30,599
limb here, Junior cam and Arrow
right answer, and Tyler Black, Wow,

617
00:46:30,920 --> 00:46:34,920
Tyler Black, I'm gonna go cold, Keith. But yes, all

618
00:46:35,000 --> 00:46:38,639
right, so yeah, the kids, Yeah, they could fly up the

619
00:46:38,639 --> 00:46:42,760
board, quick, quick, quick, quick quick. Elie de la Cruz

620
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:45,199
is not going to be at third
base. Gunner Henderson is not going to

621
00:46:45,239 --> 00:46:49,000
be at third base? Is Hasson
Kim? Where's he playing shortstop? He's

622
00:46:49,039 --> 00:46:52,320
going to start the year at third
base? I think in Oh, uh

623
00:46:52,599 --> 00:46:58,440
met Mechado's so he could have third
base eligibility next year. Okay, So

624
00:46:58,440 --> 00:47:00,719
so Elie de la Cruz and Gunner
Henderson, they you can't tell me who

625
00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:05,159
the two guys falling out of the
top ten are going to be. So

626
00:47:05,159 --> 00:47:07,719
so give me give me a couple
of guys that are not going to be

627
00:47:07,719 --> 00:47:22,639
in there. Ryce Lewis mm hm
oh man, I look at the Yeah,

628
00:47:22,519 --> 00:47:25,760
the only one that I have an
easy time with is Ryce Lewis.

629
00:47:27,159 --> 00:47:30,599
If Nolan Nolan Aronado, If what
we saw last year is the beginning of

630
00:47:30,639 --> 00:47:37,280
a trend and he doesn't bounce back, it's possible for Aeronato, but for

631
00:47:37,320 --> 00:47:39,239
the rest of them, or could
it be could it be could it be

632
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:45,079
Alex Bregman just because I mean he's
on the cusp. Yeah, but I

633
00:47:45,119 --> 00:47:49,360
don't see Bregman moving down very far. He might not move down because of

634
00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:52,800
performance. It might be just other
people have moved ahead of them, if

635
00:47:52,800 --> 00:47:55,320
you know what I mean. Well, yeah, it's so deep. Yeah,

636
00:47:55,800 --> 00:48:00,559
and and that again makes a position
even richer heading in next year,

637
00:48:00,599 --> 00:48:05,880
doesn't it It does? Indeed.
Yeah, Okay, give me a couple

638
00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:07,760
of sleepers, Tim, I mean
you've already given me a ton, but

639
00:48:07,840 --> 00:48:12,679
let's formalize it. Well, Yeah, for for me, the guy that

640
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:15,639
I traded for him in d O
five and I've got him in the first

641
00:48:15,679 --> 00:48:19,920
redraft of the league. Yeah.
I got to mention Tyler Black again because

642
00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:23,639
I love that. I love Tyler
Black. I I haven't given up on

643
00:48:23,679 --> 00:48:30,960
Brett Bady Okay, Yeah, he's
coming up on my on my uh baseball

644
00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:35,199
savant breakdowns at the Patreon site.
I gotta haven't formulated a thought on there,

645
00:48:35,199 --> 00:48:39,480
so tell us why you haven't given
up on him yet. A pedigree,

646
00:48:40,400 --> 00:48:44,960
the skills, I think there's I
think there's some skills there. I

647
00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:50,400
think they're slow developing. But again, the position is so deep. Guys

648
00:48:50,480 --> 00:48:55,360
like Brett Baby and you know,
further down, you know, hey,

649
00:48:55,400 --> 00:49:00,079
Ren don't get bounce back. Yes, I totally agree with you, Tim,

650
00:49:00,519 --> 00:49:05,239
Yeah, and it would not surprise
me if he if he plays,

651
00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:08,119
you know, one hundred and thirty
games and hits fifteen home runs, then

652
00:49:08,320 --> 00:49:12,960
it hits well, it would also
not surprise me if he hits he gets

653
00:49:12,960 --> 00:49:17,440
fifty at bats. So I mean, I don't know. Yeah. Yeah.

654
00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:21,920
The one guy that I think is
a sneaky pick that I think is

655
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:27,880
going to be proved to be a
worthwhile pick is Brian Raymolds Oh from Chicago.

656
00:49:28,679 --> 00:49:31,079
In Chicago. Yeah, that's that's
that's sneaky good. That's really good.

657
00:49:31,519 --> 00:49:36,480
I agree with you. Yeah,
but again, there's so many names.

658
00:49:36,639 --> 00:49:39,679
Yeah, it's yeah, it's like
a kid being in a candy store

659
00:49:39,679 --> 00:49:45,039
looking at them all right now,
right, Ezekiel Duran, if he plays

660
00:49:45,079 --> 00:49:47,119
full time all year, he could
be one hack of a ballplayer. You

661
00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:53,000
look at the numbers, you know
if are they going to take him under

662
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:58,679
the d D spot to bring up
Langford or is Langford going to be replacing

663
00:50:00,119 --> 00:50:05,719
uh one of Carter Leordi Tavers.
You know Duran could move up here.

664
00:50:05,800 --> 00:50:08,119
Well, you know, nobody's stopping
Langford, right, I mean, assuming

665
00:50:08,199 --> 00:50:12,960
he hits and he's healthy, he's
he's gonna be up soon. I like

666
00:50:13,159 --> 00:50:15,719
that guy's really good. Yeah,
I agree with that. There's there's so

667
00:50:15,840 --> 00:50:20,440
many sleepers here. I mean,
Michael Garcia, I'll just give my I've

668
00:50:20,440 --> 00:50:25,480
already given my argument there, Junior
Caminario, that guy could be really good.

669
00:50:25,599 --> 00:50:30,119
Look, Jordan Westberg to me,
Yeah, we haven't talked about him.

670
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:32,880
He's the skills are really good.
He hits the ball hard, there's

671
00:50:32,920 --> 00:50:37,480
a little bit of speed. But
unfortunately Tim, he's gonna have a very

672
00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:42,599
small window and hopefully the pressure won't
get to him because he's got a hit.

673
00:50:42,760 --> 00:50:46,679
Because there's a gazillion guys waiting at
Triple A, including that Holiday kid,

674
00:50:47,159 --> 00:50:50,920
that are gonna be chomping at the
bid. If he doesn't hit,

675
00:50:51,039 --> 00:50:55,760
and that's my only concern there,
mm hmm. Yeah, and it's it's

676
00:50:55,760 --> 00:51:01,920
a legitimate concern because he might not
hit. I'm betting he will, but

677
00:51:02,280 --> 00:51:07,119
again, he's a young player on
a team that won't exercise. If this

678
00:51:07,280 --> 00:51:13,920
was two years ago, it wouldn't
have been a concern, but now it

679
00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:17,039
is. Now they're not building for
the future now the futures arrived, right,

680
00:51:17,360 --> 00:51:22,199
Yeah, look at Colton Kowser,
I mean in him, he gone,

681
00:51:22,360 --> 00:51:25,800
you know, it's like, you
know, it's it's just it's just

682
00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:30,280
the stage that the Orioles find themselves
in that they're a really good team that

683
00:51:30,719 --> 00:51:37,559
they cannot do what they did with
Gunner Henderson and let him struggle for six

684
00:51:37,599 --> 00:51:42,440
to eight weeks before he gets it. That's just an unfortunate situation. Yeah,

685
00:51:42,679 --> 00:51:45,280
it's like Alex Bregman, Okay,
he totally went the bed when he

686
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:51,599
came up, I think, I
absolutely yea, yeah, exactly. And

687
00:51:51,760 --> 00:51:57,880
at that point in that stage in
the Astros development to that program, they

688
00:51:57,880 --> 00:52:01,159
could do that. If Alex came
up three years later and did what he

689
00:52:01,199 --> 00:52:07,440
did, you know, he would
have had a plane ticket back in a

690
00:52:07,519 --> 00:52:10,119
week, week and a half.
Yeah, Jackson Holliday will be interesting with

691
00:52:10,159 --> 00:52:15,199
the Orioles because he could come up
and really struggle, because there's always a

692
00:52:15,239 --> 00:52:20,039
good chance that guys come up for
the first time and it'll be interesting raft

693
00:52:20,079 --> 00:52:24,599
When was he drafted, by the
way last year. We're twenty twenty two,

694
00:52:24,639 --> 00:52:28,880
so I'm still yeah, you know, so he could come up and

695
00:52:28,960 --> 00:52:31,679
not play well for the first hundred
of bats, and the Oriols could go

696
00:52:32,360 --> 00:52:37,199
publicly he's really young, he's twenty
years old. Who's gonna ge him a

697
00:52:37,199 --> 00:52:39,599
little bit more time in the minor
leagues? And no one would say anything

698
00:52:40,079 --> 00:52:44,360
if they did that, right,
Yeah, the Race could do the same

699
00:52:44,360 --> 00:52:47,000
thing with Camon Arrow, except everybody
would cry follow because they're just being cheap

700
00:52:47,039 --> 00:52:51,719
again, right, But the Race
could do the same thing. And you

701
00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:54,480
know, yeah, man, with
any young player. But I think I

702
00:52:54,519 --> 00:52:59,920
think the Rais knee Cam and Arrow
a lot more than the Orioles knee Jack

703
00:53:00,079 --> 00:53:05,000
and Holiday. Yeah, the window
and it's the same situation in Milwaukee,

704
00:53:05,280 --> 00:53:08,559
yes, yeah, yeah, you
know that's they can afford. Both those

705
00:53:08,599 --> 00:53:15,239
teams can afford a month's worth of
adjusting per se. Yeah, And and

706
00:53:15,559 --> 00:53:20,320
I'm telling you losing wander franco Is
a big deal for the for the Tampa

707
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:24,079
Bay Rays. That's ye paper that
that guy's paper. That guy's a very

708
00:53:24,159 --> 00:53:29,400
very good baseball player. Human being
won't leave that aside. But he's a

709
00:53:29,719 --> 00:53:31,840
very very good baseball player and the
best baseball player on the team, and

710
00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:37,000
they lost him and they have to
make up for that if they want to

711
00:53:37,039 --> 00:53:42,519
compete this year. Yeah, they
they based their future. Their plan has

712
00:53:42,599 --> 00:53:45,559
been shattered because of that situation.
That's right, it is, it's it's

713
00:53:45,599 --> 00:53:50,639
gone. Yep, they gotta they
gotta rethink it. There was nobody who

714
00:53:50,760 --> 00:53:54,440
had who had who had gained that
at what happens if we lose Wander Franco

715
00:53:54,559 --> 00:53:59,320
for potentially the rest of his career. Nobody was thinking. They couldn't have

716
00:53:59,320 --> 00:54:01,559
been. I mean, why would
you even go through that scenario? Yeah,

717
00:54:01,760 --> 00:54:07,000
exactly. So I love Junior Cameran
and again I'm with Tim on Tyler

718
00:54:07,039 --> 00:54:10,800
Black that I just want to make
sure this is a hit or first,

719
00:54:12,199 --> 00:54:15,519
a little bit of power and good
speed. This is the player, don't

720
00:54:15,880 --> 00:54:17,159
draft. I'm thinking you're gonna get
twenty five home runs. To me,

721
00:54:17,239 --> 00:54:22,360
that is not the game. That
is Junior Caminario's game. Yeah, but

722
00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:25,760
what you could get from Black is
you could get a batting average to eighty

723
00:54:25,880 --> 00:54:30,000
five. Plus, you could get
a pilo runs scored. And I think

724
00:54:30,039 --> 00:54:36,159
you can bank thirty stolen bases.
Uh yeah, I don't know about banking

725
00:54:36,199 --> 00:54:40,079
thirty, but bank twenty to twenty
five. Yeah. I think that he

726
00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:45,159
walked more than he struck oled last
year. Yes, yes, yes,

727
00:54:45,519 --> 00:54:49,599
yes, And not enough people are
talking about that skill at least. I

728
00:54:49,639 --> 00:54:52,760
don't think enough people are talking about
Tyler Black other than the two of us.

729
00:54:53,320 --> 00:54:57,039
I totally agree with you, Timmy. I mean it's and again,

730
00:54:57,119 --> 00:55:02,559
let's let's who's who's who's playing third
base again? Monasterio? Yeah, yeah,

731
00:55:02,679 --> 00:55:07,519
Andrew Monasterio. I'm sure he's a
swell guy, good dancer, but

732
00:55:07,519 --> 00:55:12,320
he better watch out so you better
get off the slide quickly as well.

733
00:55:12,440 --> 00:55:15,159
So, yes, very much.
So there's a and again, I will

734
00:55:15,199 --> 00:55:19,199
say, I don't know a lot
about Zach mckinstram, going a lot on

735
00:55:19,239 --> 00:55:22,440
what the great Tim McLeod said,
better player than I am. But if

736
00:55:22,440 --> 00:55:25,760
you're in a draft and hold league, I'm towny, second short, outfield

737
00:55:25,760 --> 00:55:30,559
and third base. Tim that's money, man, that is money. And

738
00:55:30,599 --> 00:55:36,559
he's got a full time job.
Yeah, The only thing I like about

739
00:55:36,639 --> 00:55:40,239
Zach mckinstrm is that when I'm setting
up my rankings, I got to move

740
00:55:40,280 --> 00:55:47,079
to four different pages to include him. That's true. That's true. This

741
00:55:47,199 --> 00:55:51,800
is I want you to give me
two guys that you are not going to

742
00:55:51,840 --> 00:55:53,519
be drafting. I know one of
them because I'm not gonna be drafted.

743
00:55:53,519 --> 00:55:58,039
I'm just gonna tell you it is
Manny Machado. I hope he becomes the

744
00:55:58,039 --> 00:56:00,840
best player in baseball, wins the
MVP. Not gonna be in my team.

745
00:56:00,840 --> 00:56:07,039
I'm scared to death of the injury. Yeah, I won't have Machado

746
00:56:07,159 --> 00:56:10,559
ros rostered anywhere unless he drops a
couple of three rounds, and then I

747
00:56:10,559 --> 00:56:15,840
would consider it. Well, I
probably I'll probably pass even if he does,

748
00:56:15,000 --> 00:56:20,639
because I'll look at Jake Berger,
you know, one hundred picks later

749
00:56:20,760 --> 00:56:22,719
and say, hey, I get
I'll get some power there and some RBA.

750
00:56:22,800 --> 00:56:25,719
Yeah, I'll get some power,
a good piece, A better player

751
00:56:25,719 --> 00:56:30,519
than Jack Berger though, come on, so all right he is. But

752
00:56:30,960 --> 00:56:35,039
I think the depth at third base
allows you to say, I'm not gonna

753
00:56:35,119 --> 00:56:42,000
draft Elie Delacruz, or I'm not
gonna draft uh Manny Machado or Royce Lewis

754
00:56:42,239 --> 00:56:45,599
because I don't have to. So
Lewis is your other guy you're not going

755
00:56:45,599 --> 00:56:50,599
to draft. No, I'm gonna
stay away from Royce Lewis. I'd be

756
00:56:50,719 --> 00:56:57,400
much happier right now with Josh Young
okay at a pick slot of one oh

757
00:56:57,440 --> 00:57:04,719
one versus Royce Lewis at forty eight. Yeah, I totally support that.

758
00:57:05,239 --> 00:57:07,159
Yeah, and you look at the
guy like, you know, even Alec

759
00:57:07,199 --> 00:57:13,719
Baum okay at one sixty. How
many more RBIs is Royce Lewis gonna produce?

760
00:57:13,920 --> 00:57:16,840
Yeah, he'll produce. He could
produce fifteen to twenty home runs.

761
00:57:17,239 --> 00:57:21,519
He's not gonna run because of the
knee. I don't think he's gonna ever

762
00:57:21,639 --> 00:57:24,960
run Ryce Lewis. So, you
know, is there that much to gain

763
00:57:25,079 --> 00:57:31,039
from Royce Lewis one hundred and ten
picks or so ahead of Alex Baum.

764
00:57:31,159 --> 00:57:37,639
Yeah, I don't think there is
not. For six seven rounds worth of

765
00:57:37,719 --> 00:57:42,000
value. That's a lot of value
you got to you gotta pull from a

766
00:57:42,000 --> 00:57:45,000
guy like Royce Lewis. Yeah,
it's shame because I like Royce Lewis.

767
00:57:45,000 --> 00:57:49,079
I think the upside is I know
too, but it's you know, you

768
00:57:49,199 --> 00:57:52,519
gotta listen everybody listen to him.
He speaks from great experience to me.

769
00:57:52,599 --> 00:57:55,920
Let's take our final, break it
back and wrap this puppy up. We've

770
00:57:55,920 --> 00:58:15,360
gone an hour talking about third base. Tim's wrong about Michael Brooks. How

771
00:58:15,400 --> 00:58:19,400
to say that we did? It
was just taken like a bead on somebody.

772
00:58:19,519 --> 00:58:24,000
It wasn't. It wasn't. It
wasn't even as Ryan Hayes. No,

773
00:58:24,079 --> 00:58:29,440
it was paradis. Oh, paradis. Yeah, the twenty home runs.

774
00:58:29,519 --> 00:58:30,880
Yeah, I've got him. Uh, I've got him as the next

775
00:58:30,880 --> 00:58:35,360
Babe Ruth and you've got him as
the next Mike. I don't know,

776
00:58:35,440 --> 00:58:44,280
mant wow. Oh the last the
last shot at the barrage of the book.

777
00:58:47,159 --> 00:58:51,280
I want to be right on I
want a Garcia to prove be right

778
00:58:51,280 --> 00:58:54,559
because I want the data to not
have lied. It probably won't work,

779
00:58:54,599 --> 00:59:00,440
but I wanted to be true.
But you know what, those those are

780
00:59:00,480 --> 00:59:04,039
the picks that you like to make
because you've spent the time, you've analyzed

781
00:59:04,079 --> 00:59:08,000
the data, and you've got everything
logically explained it. Hey, I do

782
00:59:08,079 --> 00:59:13,039
it all the time. That's part
of my process is looking at players that

783
00:59:13,199 --> 00:59:16,280
can you know, that can fix
something or improve or whatever, and you

784
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:19,400
know, what. It's a lot
of fun. It's one of the most

785
00:59:19,519 --> 00:59:25,360
fun aspects of scouting or analyzing data
and players is trying to find those gems

786
00:59:25,400 --> 00:59:30,320
that nobody else is really searching out
and they become your player. And that's

787
00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:34,480
that's cool. It's it's an important
part of our game that I think more

788
00:59:34,519 --> 00:59:38,159
people should really spend time on.
You know, it's trying to trying to

789
00:59:38,159 --> 00:59:45,559
find those gems. So I can't
recall the listener whose wife played Fantasy Baseball

790
00:59:45,599 --> 00:59:50,360
for the first time and she drafted
Estra Ruwez because I recommended him. It's

791
00:59:50,400 --> 00:59:54,159
probably Robbie Robbie Thayer, Yeah,
because in somebody that you recommend it and

792
00:59:54,199 --> 01:00:00,199
they did well. So if it's
Robbie Thayer's wife draft my Garcia, thank

793
01:00:00,239 --> 01:00:04,639
you for it, and you'll you
can thank me later. Yeah, exactly.

794
01:00:04,840 --> 01:00:07,760
Yeah, but no, that is
it is fun, isn't it.

795
01:00:07,840 --> 01:00:12,960
Yeah, it is it particularly.
Yeah, sometimes the players don't cooperate,

796
01:00:13,400 --> 01:00:19,719
and sometimes organizations don't cooperate by by
having him increases his loft. But that's

797
01:00:19,840 --> 01:00:23,199
that's that's what you hope so well, exactly, and as long as you

798
01:00:23,280 --> 01:00:29,920
have some way to logically support your
argument, it's a good argument always will

799
01:00:29,920 --> 01:00:31,880
be. You know, I poke
fun at you about Garcia, but I

800
01:00:32,320 --> 01:00:36,800
agree one hundred percent with your approach. Yeah, yeah, you can't.

801
01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:39,599
You can't argue with that. Everything's
in place to see a different player.

802
01:00:39,679 --> 01:00:44,840
Hopefully we do, hopefully don't.
It'll it'll be time. And I think

803
01:00:44,880 --> 01:00:47,480
that's just kind of what as we
go through all of these you know,

804
01:00:47,760 --> 01:00:51,320
all of these positions, I mean, that's what we're looking for. We're

805
01:00:51,320 --> 01:00:55,239
looking for those. Everybody knows that
Austin Riley and Jose Ramirez are really good,

806
01:00:55,440 --> 01:00:59,360
right, I mean, like,
do you take one of the first

807
01:00:59,440 --> 01:01:02,360
round of Do you take Austin Riley
over Jose Ramirez? Tim says, yes,

808
01:01:02,440 --> 01:01:07,440
you can make probably as Tim was
saying, you know, best out

809
01:01:07,440 --> 01:01:10,239
of five. So I mean the
other two arguments is Jose Ramirez should go

810
01:01:10,320 --> 01:01:14,360
in front of But you can't really
go wrong with either one. If you

811
01:01:14,360 --> 01:01:17,079
want to take early on a third
base, Yeah, no you can.

812
01:01:17,559 --> 01:01:22,599
And you know when you're saying,
these players always hold a special spot in

813
01:01:22,639 --> 01:01:24,559
your heart. At least they do
for me. Like I don't care if

814
01:01:24,599 --> 01:01:30,199
I ever draft Josh Oatman again or
James Oatman, whatever, I always get

815
01:01:30,239 --> 01:01:35,039
the chance. Yeah, you know, but you pick somebody and they're successful

816
01:01:35,119 --> 01:01:39,239
and always brings a smile, and
that's important in our game. It really

817
01:01:39,280 --> 01:01:43,760
is. Yeah, I agree with
you. But the thing that Tim and

818
01:01:43,800 --> 01:01:46,679
I are trying to I think provide
here, if I can be so bold,

819
01:01:46,880 --> 01:01:52,760
is the guys that you can target
later or which position to wait on.

820
01:01:53,800 --> 01:01:58,559
And third base is a position you
can wait on. Now if gun

821
01:01:58,800 --> 01:02:00,320
doesn't falls into your lap, you
want to play them a third by all

822
01:02:00,440 --> 01:02:05,199
means, get it. Jose Ramirez
drops to the middle of the second round,

823
01:02:05,559 --> 01:02:07,400
Grab them, you know. Don't
don't say well, I gotta get

824
01:02:07,400 --> 01:02:13,559
Michael Garcia because Wilson said, I
got to get almost your guy, uh,

825
01:02:13,760 --> 01:02:17,440
Tyler Black, Tyler Black, because
because they're gonna be no. If

826
01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:22,400
the opportunity presents itself, take it
and just you know, save it for

827
01:02:22,440 --> 01:02:28,440
another day. You know the recommendations. But if you find yourself like deciding

828
01:02:28,480 --> 01:02:32,599
between a third basement or an outfielder, probably want to go with the outfielder.

829
01:02:34,199 --> 01:02:37,880
Yeah, I would. I would
think that's a very very safe play.

830
01:02:37,039 --> 01:02:42,159
Yes, because once we get into
the outfield, which will be happening

831
01:02:42,159 --> 01:02:46,440
in a couple of weeks, we'll
find fairly quickly that finding a total of

832
01:02:47,039 --> 01:02:52,000
seventy five of them is a handful. Seventy five you want, I should

833
01:02:52,000 --> 01:02:57,840
say, is a handful. Yeah, I will tell you my four to

834
01:02:57,920 --> 01:03:00,559
five. I got one, one, two, three, Good for me.

835
01:03:00,639 --> 01:03:07,039
I got Michael Harris, Michael Trout
and all the Cheerio Jackson, Cheerio.

836
01:03:07,639 --> 01:03:12,800
Okay, My four and five Tommy. Guys that I like are Max

837
01:03:12,880 --> 01:03:17,760
Kepler and Michael Conforto. But there
are four or five almost five number five

838
01:03:17,800 --> 01:03:22,840
outfielders now, So that's how shallow
he gets towards end. It's not a

839
01:03:22,960 --> 01:03:28,199
very deep. Uh. Outfield is
not deep at all. No, I

840
01:03:28,239 --> 01:03:31,800
am. I'm looking at what's left
in my league, and there are some

841
01:03:32,760 --> 01:03:37,639
decent options. If you've already got
three outfielders, you know, Happ is

842
01:03:37,679 --> 01:03:42,679
there, and Yashida and Lars Newt
bar and Carrie Carpenter, Dalton Merser not

843
01:03:42,719 --> 01:03:46,599
household names. But after that group
goes, then you're looking at Alex Verdugo,

844
01:03:47,480 --> 01:03:52,920
Yeah, Chris Bryant, self,
Rey Lake, Tavares, Austin Hayes,

845
01:03:53,239 --> 01:03:58,079
Max Keppler, there's all. They
all come with question marks. Every

846
01:03:58,119 --> 01:04:01,000
six you know, there's a question
mark. You can't look at a fourth

847
01:04:01,039 --> 01:04:04,559
outfielder unless you go very very early. You can't look at a fourth outfielder

848
01:04:04,639 --> 01:04:10,840
that doesn't have some sort of concern. There's no such I don't think there's

849
01:04:10,880 --> 01:04:16,280
a safe pick after that. You
know, after your third outfielder, there's

850
01:04:16,320 --> 01:04:20,039
just a pile of question marks.
And then you know, even Riley Green,

851
01:04:20,119 --> 01:04:24,840
I like, I love Riley Green
long term, but this year,

852
01:04:27,199 --> 01:04:31,840
you know, coming off the injury
is a bit of a bomber because his

853
01:04:31,920 --> 01:04:35,960
stuff will yellow. He looks like
he could break out at any moment,

854
01:04:36,280 --> 01:04:41,800
but the injury kind of that he
comes in with this to the season with

855
01:04:41,960 --> 01:04:45,559
a little disconcerting. I agree with
you there, Yeah, he's not expected

856
01:04:45,639 --> 01:04:47,559
to be ready for the start of
the season with you know, coming off

857
01:04:47,599 --> 01:04:56,320
the TJS. Yes, yeah,
that's a problem. It is. And

858
01:04:56,480 --> 01:05:00,159
again I learned everybody firsthand with Bryce
Harper, who's a right and he came

859
01:05:00,199 --> 01:05:03,639
back too early and it wasn't good. I know, he finished the season

860
01:05:03,639 --> 01:05:05,840
great, and he's gone to the
first round. I get all that,

861
01:05:06,039 --> 01:05:10,199
But when I took him, I
took him in like the fifth or sixth

862
01:05:10,280 --> 01:05:13,280
round, thought I had gotten a
bargain. Last season, I can assure

863
01:05:13,320 --> 01:05:16,119
you it wasn't until late or mid
August that you finally started to have a

864
01:05:16,239 --> 01:05:20,199
return. That was tough, tim
Well, yeah, because when you factor

865
01:05:20,239 --> 01:05:27,039
in the replacement player plus Harper for
two months, what did you actually get

866
01:05:27,039 --> 01:05:31,280
out of it? Could you have
taken an outfielder in the sixth seventh round

867
01:05:31,800 --> 01:05:35,880
a couple of rounds later that provided
better value and allowed you to sleep a

868
01:05:35,920 --> 01:05:39,880
little bit better at night, for
sure? And I think I shared this

869
01:05:39,960 --> 01:05:43,440
already, but I'll share it again
because I think it's important. You had

870
01:05:43,480 --> 01:05:47,119
to play Bryce Harper because he's Bryce
Harper and you were I was so worried

871
01:05:47,159 --> 01:05:50,400
and right, I think rightly so
that I take him out of my lineup

872
01:05:50,400 --> 01:05:54,599
and I miss out on four home
runs because that's what he could do.

873
01:05:54,679 --> 01:05:57,880
But it never happened until the end
of the season, and then he was

874
01:05:57,960 --> 01:06:01,920
more Bryce Harper again. Not only
did I have find a replacement level player

875
01:06:01,920 --> 01:06:05,440
for him for the first six weeks
to two months, that allows the player

876
01:06:05,519 --> 01:06:10,440
for two months, well, yeah, you're counting stats didn't go through the

877
01:06:10,519 --> 01:06:14,800
room for two August. Yeah,
exactly. And it was tough to take

878
01:06:14,840 --> 01:06:17,599
him out of the lineup, right. I did a couple of how are

879
01:06:17,639 --> 01:06:19,960
you how are you gonna feel?
Okay, you know, you've put up

880
01:06:20,000 --> 01:06:24,280
with a week and a half,
two weeks of Bryce Harper struggling, and

881
01:06:24,360 --> 01:06:27,079
you take him out of the lineup, then he's going to hit four home

882
01:06:27,159 --> 01:06:30,199
runs because Murphy's Law always kicked.
That's right, right, that's right,

883
01:06:30,239 --> 01:06:32,480
and it didn't happen. And you
know, hindsight, yeah I should have

884
01:06:32,480 --> 01:06:35,360
taken him out, but you just
you can't. It's tough. At least

885
01:06:35,360 --> 01:06:39,039
it is for me. Maybe I'm
not a good player. It's tough to

886
01:06:39,079 --> 01:06:43,440
make that call. So sometimes it's
best just to leave the guy for somebody

887
01:06:43,440 --> 01:06:45,519
else. And when we say that's
leave that to somebody else's problem, that's

888
01:06:45,599 --> 01:06:48,760
that's what we're talking about. Me, Andy Machado. Let's hope he comes

889
01:06:48,760 --> 01:06:54,119
and does thirty one hundred hits two
eighty. Great for him. It's just

890
01:06:54,440 --> 01:06:58,599
there's there's so many flashing lights up
there. It's like buyer beware, what

891
01:06:58,800 --> 01:07:01,480
happens if he doesn't get his first
at bad until May first? Yeah?

892
01:07:01,519 --> 01:07:04,920
Absolutely, or first bat at May
first. It's not me and even Shota

893
01:07:04,960 --> 01:07:11,559
until August first, yeah, yeah, it's And again going back to third

894
01:07:11,599 --> 01:07:15,920
base, it's not like you don't
have options. Yeah, you brought up

895
01:07:15,960 --> 01:07:18,719
Chris Brian. I saw Chris Brian
sit at the top of the queue for

896
01:07:18,880 --> 01:07:23,880
round after round and everybody who's afraid
of him, and he's Chris Bryan.

897
01:07:23,960 --> 01:07:28,119
He's a was a great player.
But it's like, I mean, when

898
01:07:28,199 --> 01:07:30,000
is that plan of fasciit it's going
to get better. I mean the foot

899
01:07:30,039 --> 01:07:33,000
problem has been a problem for a
couple of years now, and it's just

900
01:07:33,159 --> 01:07:38,320
like, I mean, at some
point everybody has value and a draft,

901
01:07:38,360 --> 01:07:42,079
but you know, it's sometimes it's
just best to like I just don't want

902
01:07:42,119 --> 01:07:45,199
to deal with it. Yeah,
exactly, Well, we'll find another road

903
01:07:45,239 --> 01:07:49,599
to go and let somebody else,
like you said, worry about that problem.

904
01:07:49,800 --> 01:07:53,000
To me, it's not you,
it's a rap. So we are

905
01:07:53,039 --> 01:07:58,039
not doing outfield next week? Huh
oh No, I can't have outfield ready

906
01:07:58,079 --> 01:08:01,840
bye by next week. There's there's
simply to too many of them, and

907
01:08:01,880 --> 01:08:06,880
I've got them all ranked the same, they're all they're all, they're all

908
01:08:06,920 --> 01:08:11,159
seventy five to one hundred. It'll
take me, it'll take me a week

909
01:08:11,199 --> 01:08:14,519
and a half to sort the sort
through the oat field. It'll all be

910
01:08:14,599 --> 01:08:19,640
in your performance review, Tim,
Just well, what I'm concerned about is

911
01:08:19,680 --> 01:08:26,560
the running the running count on rat
bastards go off, So we'll have to

912
01:08:26,600 --> 01:08:29,640
find Hopefully there'll be a big trade
or two over the week. If it's

913
01:08:29,760 --> 01:08:31,880
quiet week, to me, it
could be a very very short show.

914
01:08:32,039 --> 01:08:36,720
So but we will figure something out. But that's a wrap, Tim,

915
01:08:36,800 --> 01:08:42,239
good job, thanks for hanging on
for an extra half hour. And we'll

916
01:08:42,239 --> 01:08:44,399
get to the San France. Maybe
that's all. We'll do it. Next

917
01:08:44,399 --> 01:08:49,079
week. We'll finally do to the
San Francisco Giants. It's number one on

918
01:08:49,159 --> 01:08:54,239
the list. Okay there, Timmy
b Well, have a good week.

919
01:08:54,319 --> 01:08:59,720
I'll knock then i'll knock the dust
off my notes. We'll be to be

920
01:09:00,560 --> 01:09:03,560
saved. Be well, have a
good weekend. We'll catch you next Sunday.