Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host, Corey
Evans. Thank you for listening this week. It is my third quarter report
card. If you're a fan of the show, you know all this works.
I give a lot of greade of an, A, B, C,
D, and F to five players. The first quarter, second quarter
already published. Go back and listen if you want to. Third quarter is
here, and then at the end of this season, I'll do a fourth
quarter report card as well. Before I get to that, I want to
correct myself from last week. I was mistaken and when I was discussing Jayden
Daniels, I said he was a three year transfer from USC. It is
actually Arizona State University. It was a brain fart on my end. I
think I was thinking of Caleb Williams out of USC. Either way, Daniels
a transfer from Arizona State to LSU. Wanted to make that crystal clear pride
my show on being one hundred percent accurate, so I wanted to make sure
I brought that up right away. Shout out to both Paige and Eric for
joining Patreon this past week. Support mes a ton if you are eliminated from
the playoffs, and you want to have an evaluation of your roster done,
or if you're in the playoffs, you want to make that push to win
a title with some trades that hit me up for a thirty minute or one
hour roster call thirty minutes, thirty bucks, one hour, fifty dollars that
could be on social media. That's at doynasy do pod on Twitter x or
even Instagram. The minas you do on Facebook, simplest way, shoot me
email Dynasty dopod atgmail dot com. We'll get that locked in and scheduled over
on Google. Meet all right. Third quarter report guard Up. First letter
A is Michael Pittman. He's twenty six double JPPR output in all but one
contest so far in twenty twenty three. Talk about consistent say floor, high,
ceiling, eleven and more targets in nine separate games, at least eight
receptions in ten different weeks, three one hundred or more yard performances, one
hundred and nine yards at Jacksonville, hundred and seven versus Tampa Bay, and
one five to Tennessee. Pittman offers a rare com nation of delivering on counting
stats as well as volume with a larger body frame at six four to two
twenty three. He excels after the catch on screens, specifically bubble screens and
intermediate routes, and that's backed up with his data low average upper catch of
ten point four. Usually we want to see that much higher around fifteen yards
per catch or north of that for a wide receiver. But what Pittman makes
to the table is PPR gold because of the county stats as I mentioned,
receptions, yardage, touchdowns, targets to help pile up. Pittman's annual PPR
finishes since becoming a pro in twenty twenty are wide receiver seventy nine twenty twenty
one, whide receiver seventeen twenty twenty two, Wide receiver twenty. He is
well on his way to becoming a mid if not back end wide receiver one
in fantasy. Assuming this pace keeps up the rest of the way. He's
actually also on tracks to pass his career best total so far in catches,
those being ninety nine yard receiving one thousand and eighty two, targets one forty
one, and touchdowns of six, each of those numbers representing his best collective
totals, perhaps not in the same season, but his NFL resume to date.
For the sake of his real life value, it's perfect timing to have
a career year, or at least a chance to hit those milestones because he's
a UFA in twenty twenty four. It sounds like, based on the Colts
local media what I've read and seen, that the franchise wants to bring Pittman
back on a hometown deal. We'll see what Pittman himself wants to do.
His fantasy points per game is a conversation I think rounds out his value outlook
really well. With Anthony Richardson under center from least one to five of this
year or twenty three point seven, thirteen point six, sixteen point seven,
four point five to ten point two. That volatility is one concern about Pittman's
value beyond this season if he does indeed re sign with the Colts as a
free agent. Compaired to his twenty three three stats and pace the splits with
Gardner Minshew at quarterback, Minshew is funneling to Peppering targets Pittman's way each and
every week, as indicated by my stat eleven or targets in nine different games,
Michael Pittman is operating as both a possession and big play threat for the
Colts offense, especially without the rushing ability of Richardson and of course Jonthan Taylor
to focus on. So based on those stats, based on the accolades I
presented, it's quite evident that Michael Pittman deserves a lot of great of an
A and he's been a fantasy MVP for the sake of this conversation. Moving
right along Lettergreate of a B would be Nico Collins. He's only twenty four
years old, a former third round pick out of Michigan in twenty twenty one,
as somewhat of a polarizing wide out prospect to the Notzer past thirty eight
receptions in a single college season, He's enjoying a third year breakout NFL campaign
thanks to the presence of rookie quarterback CJ. Stroud. Collins himself has four
one hundred and more yard showings one forty six versus Indianapolis, one sixty eight
verst Pittsburgh, one oh four versus Jacksonville, and one to ninety one versus
Denver seven more catches in five appearances. He brings possession traits sixty receptions couple
with big play ability sixteen point seven yars per catch to the field, and
that's where I think Collins is separate in terms of his skill set than Pittman.
Pittman does a lot of low underneath route running. Think a blend of
Mike Evans meets Vince Jackson meets to Marius Thomas. Those traits a wide receivers,
Nigo Collins can do some of that possession work. It also brings lid
lifting dimensions to the offense as a downfield threat. In twenty twenty one,
he was a wide receiver eighty six. In Fantasy twenty twenty two wide receiver
seventy seven. This year twenty twenty three is on track the finishes at back
end wide receiver one or high my receiver two. That is of course intended
upon this calf injury. More to come on that soon. Nico has taken
a huge leap in value compared to his rookie and sophomore seasons. As a
rookie he posted a thirty three four to forty six one log on sixty targets.
Sophomore thirty seven forty one and two on sixty six targets Tank Dell being
out for the main of the year with this fracture fibula paints a clear picture
for EAGLEL. Collins assuming his health cooperates from a broader scope, though,
assuming Tank Dell makes a full recover, we can expect the combination of Collins
and Dell to form a one to a one B duo in Houston for quite
some times in the future, while impacting each other's stealings a bit weak to
week, there's going to be some uncertainty as to who's the de facto one.
It's probably going to be scheme or a matchup dependent based on defensive alignments
and coverages. But the future is bright for Stroud, Tank Dell, and
Eagle Collins himself is known as I forecasted that Collins is a part of Week
fourteen's contest at New York Jets with a calf injury that could put his rest
of season availability in doubt. It sounds like a reaggravation of an earlier season
injury. Those ailments are always concerned lower body for whitrelets that rely on expulsiveness
in and out of routes. So I don't have an update right now.
As the time I'm recording, which is Monday before the internet football games kickoff.
Keep a close eye on that. In terms of a letter grade,
though for a report card, Nico Collins deserves a B in my mind.
He's been reliable with a few huge spike weeks, and those that invested a
third a fourth in him back when he was a rookie have reaped significant profits
since then. Ledigrade of a c is Patrick Mahomes, twenty eight years old
in the midst of uguably his worst NFL season stat wise, is becoming a
starter for the Chiefs back in twenty eighteen. Most faults be blamed on drops
or inconsistent receiver output from the Chiefs pass catchers, his opposed Mahomes, and
his decision making. He's been held two or below two hundred and ten yards
passing four different times, two o three at the Jets, one of five
vers Miami, one seventy seven vers Philadelphia, and two tenant Green Bay.
That's not like him at all usually can lock him in for two fifty two
to seventy five if not exceeding three of the yards passing each and every week.
To make matters worse, Mahomes is also on pace to set a career
high inner interceptions. His previous high and that mark was thirteen back in twenty
twenty one. Already has eleven and tim Week fifteen, so he could come
close, if not surpassed that thirteen total. Twenty twenty two, though,
was proof that Mahomes could provide elite value without Tyree killing Kansas City. He
had five thousand, two and fifty yards passing forty one touchdowns only twelve interceptions.
However, twenty three to three is shown that a slight decline of production
or separation skills, even availability for Travis Kelcey could severely limit the perceived quarterback
one over e'l seeing the half for Mahomes and Redraft or Dynasty. Un Less,
more talent is added in the offseason at wide receiver or if forra sheet
Rice pans out as a franchise captalot out one, which seems to be a
real possibility based on his emerging play as of late, Rashet Rice could be
a superstar in the making. There's no need to necessarily overreact and sell short
on Mahomes as the top three quarterback in Dynasty in terms of cost, mostly
referring to super flex or two quarterback leagues. Here that being said, lowing
expectations or elevating names ahead of him or of equal value like Josh Allen,
Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow doesn't Herbert Lamar, Jackson, DJ Stroud, among
others. Isn't all that far fetched of a notion or conversation to have any
longer. Patrick Mahomes could be benched fantasy. Even in the Fantasy playoffs.
He has not been the Mahomes of old, where regardless of your scoring format,
he's putting up a baseline of twenty points with an attic of thirty five
forty more points. We're not seeing that in twenty twenty three, and it
is a lot of factors working against him. At the end of the day,
it does fall back on his shoulders because as a quarterback, you're the
leader of a locker room, you're calling pretty much every shot in the field.
When you have the reign of an offense like Mahomes does. This point
I think is a great by low and one quarterback superflects league because he's still
fairly young for the position in terms of longevity, and we know that his
ceiling is elite based on what he's done since twenty eighteen. Even so,
as an analyst, I have to be fair and not biased when evaluating talent,
and Patrick Mahomes does deserves at least to see, if not worse,
based on his level of play and fantasy output this season. Time for quick
break, I'm being back with letter grades of a D and an F for
the third quarter report card. Before I get to that. If you want
to support the show, dropping a five star of iView and Apple Podcast or
Spotify helps me out a ton. If it's on Apple five stars and written,
we get a shower on next week's show. But the single hand the
best way to show your support By becoming a member over on Patreon on my
page. You gain access to a bonus episode per week and the limited direct
message ability to send me questions anything you ever have. They give it us
having my phone number, We're bouncing back and forth with messages left and right.
There's only five dollars per month at the minimum. That is the minimum,
though a lot of you pledge a lot more, and that's much appreciated.
Link in the show notes title, Join Patreon, head the moble lapp,
go to the website or even now on Twitter or Instagram. It's a
link in my bio make it that much easier for you to become a member.
It's well worth the price of emission. Compree to others in the industry.
Now's a great time of joint because all of my top fifty quarterback,
running Back, our Receiver, and Tighter rankings have been published over the past
month, and just last week a top one hundred. Those are all on
episode in tiered form on the Patreon platform. Time for that quick break and
we'll be right back. But a grade of a D is Austin Eckler Free
Agent twenty twenty four. I'm restricted ran to be seen what kind of market
he's going to see after an injury riddled and ineffective twenty twenty three campaign with
the Chargers. We've also seen uncharacteristic drops, even a lack of burst or
explosion as a rusher. Since Eckler has returned from his handless sprain, I
almost wonder if he's simply not fully recovered or dealing with another lingering injury.
Since we are seeing a steep decline in output from what Austin has established at
the NFL level, Eckler is almost certain at this point. Instead a career
low in rs per carry. The previous low was four point two and twenty
nineteen one hundred thirty tw rushing attempts. He's at three point seven yards per
clip right now one hundred and thirty six rushes. That is a major red
flag after earning carries of two six, two four twenty twenty one, twenty
twenty two. It's possible, if not probable, that Eckler is simply wearing
down a bit as a feature running back because of a smaller stature at five
to ten two hundred. He's also been held to twenty nine yards rushing or
fewer three different times this season. That's the Eckler is degrading in value and
or efficiency side of the conversation. There's also the element of maybe Kellen Moore
is not as great of a fit as ec for this offense as he was
in Dallas. Could be a fair point, could be somewhere in the middle
where Eckler is diminishing a bit in terms of his dominant self, still an
above average running back at the pro level if it weren't for a significant dip
in receiving work. He only has thirty six catches leading up tweet fifteen,
I don't think we'd be as concerned about Eckler as a consensus appears to be
a lack of their ability could become an a nine factor that results in him
becoming a sunk cost in dynasty before long, if not already, I personally
have one share of him left, I'm going to be holding unless top fifty
or so value was offered to me in return with another player, so a
top fifty player or a first ROUNDY draft pick. And I think still this
point has to be early to mad Why would you cash out otherwise? When
he bounced back a bit in Week fourteen, scored a touchdown, looked a
bit more explosive than he has in recent weeks. Long story short, whether
contender, middle of the pack, team rebuilding. If echoes on your roster,
there's no reason to sell too low based on his record of success and
considency as a pro. Speaking of if this is the start of a legitimate
decline for him, then it's been a fun ride to twenty nineteen with annual
ppr RB finishes of four twenty six two to one. That's three top five
finishes over the past four years. Because he missed time with that ankle injury.
It's unlikely finished as a top five running back this year on a points
per game basis in full PBR. He might sneak into that mix if you
prefer that data point as opposed to just an annual finish. Regardless if you
spent a first round pick on Eckler in a redraft league or you have him
rostered in dynasty via startup draft, a trade, or existing league, twenty
twenty three has not been what was forecaster or advertised. You're expecting a clearcut
RB one with huge volume numbers a large sample size to find the end zone
at will. Has not been the case of twenty twenty three. As I
mentioned and describing in details a lot of factors perhaps working against him, such
as Kellen Moore, the charge offensive line simply Eckler himself, the tiering a
bit and efficiency all in all, at this point you have to hold unless
the return is seventy five cents a dollar to get out of an aging asset
or equal value. Otherwise you could be selling short on a free agent that
could resign with the Chargers and or land in a similar offensive system where he
is utilized as a workhorse until his body wears down beyond his age thirty season.
The obviously concern with his rest of season outlook for twenty twenty three is
the absence to Justin Herbert, who could be out for the year. That
timeline is not clear based on when his likely surgery takes place. That's still
a bit up in the air at this time of the recording. Nonetheless,
in the short term, without Herbert at quarterback for the team, Eastan Stick
filling instead, it's going to limit Austin Eckler from a fantasy standpoint, because
defense is going to focus it on him out of the backfield, try to
wipe away those short intermediate passes or on the screen, and then stack the
box when he could run the football. That's why, couple with his disappointing
numbers to date, I signed a letter grade of a D to Austin Eckler
and then rinding out this week's show lettergraate of an F is Damian Pierce.
He'll be twenty four in February, still young seed expectations as a rookie last
season to two hundred and twenty totes nine thirty nine on the ground, four
touchdowns for four point three yards for clip and then thirty receptions for one hundred
and sixty five yards, receiving one touchdown on thirty nine targets in route to
finishing as the PPR RB twenty eight. Not bad. He missed time due
to injury as well as a lot of inefficiency, and has led to a
sophomore slump for Pierce, not to mention the fact that from a pure film
perspective or if you're watching Houston games live, Devin Singletary looks like the better
running back on tape. More On, Pierce has not exceeded fifty nine percent
of snaps in a single game this year, averaging a dreadful two point nine
yards per carry. Pierce's best weekly finished for some contact in twenty twenty three
was RB fourteen in Week three at Jacksonville. That's RB two production. Otherwise,
he's been a back end RB two sometimes, but more often than not,
completely off of the fantasy radar, belonging on benches. If you're a
fan of my work over on Patreon, where I discuss pre and post draft
rankings of upcoming prospects each and every offseason, you know that I faded Pierce
as a rookie at their fourth round draft capital in real life, despite clear
opportunity to see work with the Texans. At this point, it seems unlikely
that his role is going to be secure hitting it to the next offseason,
especially because Houston is competing early unexpected in the AFC South, which is great
for the organization to get Shroud has turned this team around quicker than anyone was
anticipating. The issue is at running back Singletary from a contract standpoint, is
a lot cheaper than Pierce. If the team decides to resign him in the
future or keep him as a fixture of the organization, which I don't think
is in the cards. It's fair to question this point from our perspective,
if Pierce is even worth a twenty twenty four to third in Super Flex or
a twenty twenty four second and one quarterback LEAGUEES as we approach twenty twenty four,
I personally am out out on Pierce unless it's for that price point third
or fourth. Take a flyer on. He was good, not great at
Florida. His calling cards were physicality between the tackles and the yards of the
contact. The issue is he has not displayed the same rookie film as a
sophomore in the NFL. It's almost as if defenses know what to expect out
of him. He's a perhaps predictable runner in terms of decision making. Whatever
you spin it. If you invested in Pierce's offseason, He's been one of
the larger busts in fantasy, particularly Dynasty, where youth is on a side.
But at some point a fourth round rookie draft pick in real life isn't
going to cut it. If the rushing metrics and stats are this suboptimal,
that will do it. We'll be enjoyed. My third quarter report card quick
recap letter grade of an A is Michael Pittman, B. Nico Collins,
C. Patrick Mahomes, D. Austin Eckler, and F Damian Pierce.
Thank you all again. If you made the fantasy playoffs, hope this show
has helped you along the way. Good luck, keep me posted. I
would like to hear listener audience success in the postseason. If you got eliminated,
then so be it. Hit the reset button. Start to focus now
on twenty twenty four draft picks. Sell your talented aging assets two contenders.
If you don't have a trade deadline, which that's one of my favorite recommendations
in Dynasty when it comes to just rule settings or strategy, to never have
a trade deadline because it promote league activity. It's what we all want end
of the day is a highly engaging league with trades at drops. You get
the idea. So again, if you're out of the playoff mix, don't
worry about it. Twenty four seven recixt five there's no offseason. Don't check
out. Focus the rest of this year on approving your roster, making smaller
pickups that are going to help you when other people who are eliminated just simply
check out. Don't be that player. You're hardcore. You're listening to this
show and other fans we will podcasts, so reap their rewards. Make those
late season editions that help you in twenty twenty four and beyond. Until next
time. This is the Dynastay checking out. Thank you again for listening.
Talk to you all next week. See you