WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.360 --> 00:00:07.719 Not five miles an hour riding to his head. He hopped down first with 2 00:00:07.879 --> 00:00:15.000 the lumpbonius face, and on the very next pitch he up and stole second 3 00:00:15.119 --> 00:00:29.440 face with gretested he wasn't born he had yes, uniforn. Welcome to episode 4 00:00:29.480 --> 00:00:34.079 thirty five of the Prospect B Side podcast. I am made handy and the 5 00:00:34.159 --> 00:00:38.280 Brook is not with us. Perhaps he joins us a little bit later. 6 00:00:38.520 --> 00:00:43.439 Perhaps not. He is out on a tennis court somewhere in Oregon beating up 7 00:00:43.479 --> 00:00:47.640 on some old ladies or something. But kudos to him being active, exercising 8 00:00:47.880 --> 00:00:53.280 better than sitting in your garage talking into a microphone by yourself. I gotta 9 00:00:53.320 --> 00:00:58.640 say we have had a lot of bare activity in my neighborhood. Currently have 10 00:00:58.799 --> 00:01:02.200 the garage door. If you listen to the show, you know I said, 11 00:01:02.280 --> 00:01:04.799 in my garage and do this. I don't know, non zero chance. 12 00:01:06.079 --> 00:01:10.560 We might run into a bear during this episode, but it is too 13 00:01:10.599 --> 00:01:12.920 warm for me to sit with the garage door closed. But I'm glad to 14 00:01:12.920 --> 00:01:15.799 be back. We took a week off because of the holiday. The last 15 00:01:15.799 --> 00:01:22.280 episode we did we got into some pretty boy action and that was just disgusting. 16 00:01:22.439 --> 00:01:26.439 So it's been several weeks since we got into some real b side and 17 00:01:26.040 --> 00:01:30.400 got into some real mudding. I've spent these last couple of weeks getting pretty 18 00:01:30.400 --> 00:01:34.319 dirty. Took the little hiatus catch up and work my way through my list 19 00:01:34.359 --> 00:01:40.359 of players I hadn't watched yet and wanted to or wanted to investigate some more 20 00:01:40.400 --> 00:01:42.879 in the like. I don't think I came across the next Barry Bonds, 21 00:01:44.040 --> 00:01:49.280 but I do think I found some interesting observations, interesting muddy observations to share 22 00:01:49.319 --> 00:01:52.239 with you. But before all that, good friend of the show, Jesse 23 00:01:52.359 --> 00:01:57.239 Severe of the Dynasty Sports Life podcast sent me a question. Good question, 24 00:01:57.680 --> 00:02:01.159 very very sophisticated question, lots of ins and outs, very technical, and 25 00:02:01.280 --> 00:02:06.640 Jesse, if you haven't listened to his show and you play Dynasty Sports of 26 00:02:06.760 --> 00:02:10.360 all sports, you should really check it out. Jesse is a fantastic Dynasty 27 00:02:10.360 --> 00:02:14.639 player. I have to say, he whoops up on me in baseball, 28 00:02:14.840 --> 00:02:17.560 basketball, football, and I don't even think those are his main sports. 29 00:02:17.599 --> 00:02:23.080 I think he's mainly big sport is hockey. I think and imagine he's pretty 30 00:02:23.080 --> 00:02:25.360 good at that one too. But Jesse asked, what makes a guy a 31 00:02:25.400 --> 00:02:30.759 pretty boy? Just a guy making people's prospect list, like Cayden Dana was 32 00:02:30.800 --> 00:02:34.280 picked in the eleventh round, shouldn't he be B side? Can a guy 33 00:02:34.360 --> 00:02:38.000 lose B side status and become a pretty boy if he rises up too much? 34 00:02:38.240 --> 00:02:40.039 Like I said, good questions, But for me, I think what 35 00:02:40.120 --> 00:02:45.919 makes a pretty boy pretty boy is simply popularity, roster percentage, roster at 36 00:02:45.919 --> 00:02:49.560 a high clip in dynasty leagues pretty boy. And I suppose too, if 37 00:02:49.599 --> 00:02:54.080 there's a trendy hot name that might maybe the roster percentages haven't caught up yet 38 00:02:54.120 --> 00:02:58.599 and is making top one hundred list, sure you could slap the pretty boy 39 00:02:58.680 --> 00:03:00.960 label on him too, I think, Jesse, I'd have to say, 40 00:03:00.120 --> 00:03:06.000 I definitely think a guy like Cayden Dana could go from B side to pretty 41 00:03:06.000 --> 00:03:07.759 boy. I mean, I think it kind of has. I think the 42 00:03:07.800 --> 00:03:12.039 inverse could be true too. I think maybe a guy well, I don't 43 00:03:12.080 --> 00:03:15.120 know. I think maybe once you're a pretty boy, you're kind of always 44 00:03:15.159 --> 00:03:17.879 a pretty boy. And yes, definitely I think a B side could lose 45 00:03:19.280 --> 00:03:23.199 B side status and become a pretty boy. I mean, Tovar now is 46 00:03:23.639 --> 00:03:27.639 very highly rostered, right, But I don't know. To me, we 47 00:03:27.759 --> 00:03:31.599 do the sort of like official B side selections before every season at the time, 48 00:03:31.639 --> 00:03:36.360 they will only be rostered I don't know, not created yet to one 49 00:03:36.360 --> 00:03:39.960 to two percent of fan tracks leagues. But I think those guys, regardless 50 00:03:40.000 --> 00:03:44.639 of how it may go, will always kind of be an official B sider. 51 00:03:45.919 --> 00:03:47.400 So I hope that answers your question, Jesse. Like I said, 52 00:03:47.400 --> 00:03:52.919 it's very scientific, so I could understand a confusion to be very educated on 53 00:03:52.960 --> 00:03:55.680 the subject matter to understand. But it's been a good couple of weeks as 54 00:03:55.719 --> 00:03:59.639 far as I don't know. In a way I kind of think a B 55 00:03:59.800 --> 00:04:03.319 side had success story is if you find a guy you think has a chance, 56 00:04:03.759 --> 00:04:09.360 has such a little popularity amongst dynasty owners and they make the big leagues. 57 00:04:09.680 --> 00:04:12.280 I think that's I think that's good. I think I think we call 58 00:04:12.360 --> 00:04:15.160 that a win, regardless of how it may or may not go once they 59 00:04:15.199 --> 00:04:18.160 get up there. But it's been a good couple of weeks in that regard. 60 00:04:18.199 --> 00:04:23.319 I think Matt's Red's bat heard abest up in the Bigs right now. 61 00:04:23.600 --> 00:04:28.079 We saw Kyder Montero, who I think was my first B side arm to 62 00:04:28.160 --> 00:04:31.160 make the Bigs, got a spot start during a doubleheader. Another one of 63 00:04:31.199 --> 00:04:35.120 Matt's sort of older bats that he that he picked out this last offseason. 64 00:04:35.120 --> 00:04:40.879 Trenton Brooks is up with the Giants getting a little run justin. Henry Molloy, 65 00:04:41.000 --> 00:04:45.600 who was a Brave selection after his draft, just got the call. 66 00:04:45.639 --> 00:04:48.720 I don't he hasn't played tonight, but should be getting into a game shortly 67 00:04:48.759 --> 00:04:54.120 here and definitely the first B side bat to get called up to replace a 68 00:04:54.199 --> 00:04:59.079 number one overall draft pick as the Tigers sent down Spencer Torkelsen, which was 69 00:04:59.439 --> 00:05:01.839 surprising, then maybe not surprising at the same time. I think the struggle 70 00:05:01.879 --> 00:05:05.000 has been kind of real for him for a couple of weeks. Casey Schmidt 71 00:05:05.120 --> 00:05:09.040 was a B side selection once upon a time. He's back up with the 72 00:05:09.120 --> 00:05:13.040 Giants. Brett Wisely, who I still have hoped for, back up with 73 00:05:13.079 --> 00:05:16.519 the Giants and swinging it. Another multi hit night tonight I saw and I 74 00:05:16.600 --> 00:05:20.560 don't think that game is over yet. And Emmanuel Valdez had a two home 75 00:05:20.639 --> 00:05:26.120 run game getting called back up a couple of days ago. And Tovar has 76 00:05:26.160 --> 00:05:29.480 been, you know, pretty dang good all the way around. You know, 77 00:05:29.519 --> 00:05:31.680 he's striking out a lot still, but he had the most extra base 78 00:05:31.759 --> 00:05:36.040 hits in the month of May in the National League. So despite the strikeouts 79 00:05:36.040 --> 00:05:42.240 and you know, questionable approach by some, he's still doing quite a bit 80 00:05:42.279 --> 00:05:46.399 of damage. But over the break, I was pulling up a decent amount 81 00:05:46.439 --> 00:05:50.720 of video of a former selection, Javier Sinoya of the Marlins. I know 82 00:05:50.839 --> 00:05:55.199 Matt and I have brought up a few times. Perhaps I don't think we 83 00:05:55.240 --> 00:05:59.600 ever got two into him, but we both identified him as a player that 84 00:05:59.600 --> 00:06:01.519 we just both were kind of fans of, and I think we had both 85 00:06:01.720 --> 00:06:05.399 verbalized questioning if we ever thought he was going to be a major leaguer and 86 00:06:05.480 --> 00:06:10.439 being skeptical on that. I wanted to ask him if he thought maybe we 87 00:06:10.639 --> 00:06:15.639 undersold all that or misread all that, because our man is twenty one years 88 00:06:15.680 --> 00:06:20.079 old in Triple A right now and not struggling at the plate. So last 89 00:06:20.079 --> 00:06:24.720 season he started off in A ball got promoted to HYA, and he started 90 00:06:24.759 --> 00:06:28.439 off this year in Double A where he got in fifteen just fifteen games, 91 00:06:28.639 --> 00:06:30.680 sixty one played appearances, and then they sent him up to Triple A, 92 00:06:30.759 --> 00:06:34.879 where he's played in thirty five games, one hundred and fifty three played appearances. 93 00:06:35.360 --> 00:06:38.959 He's hit a home run. He hit one home run in Double A 94 00:06:39.000 --> 00:06:42.639 as well, this year. Now. Sonoya is a small guy and I 95 00:06:42.639 --> 00:06:46.920 don't suspect home runs will ever be a thing with him, But when we 96 00:06:46.920 --> 00:06:49.399 see what happen, I like to celebrate that on Twitter post it. You 97 00:06:49.439 --> 00:06:53.399 can follow me on pitching specs. By the way, I'd like to post 98 00:06:53.399 --> 00:06:57.319 some video of some things we talk about on the show. Sonoya has stolen 99 00:06:57.439 --> 00:07:03.319 seven bases total on the season. He did swape thirty seven total twenty twenty 100 00:07:03.360 --> 00:07:06.360 three, so perhaps speed is a little bit a part of his game. 101 00:07:06.519 --> 00:07:11.920 We're talking about a very sort of high contact profile man and I both liked 102 00:07:11.959 --> 00:07:15.839 him as a guy who just kind of seemed like he was gonna he is 103 00:07:15.879 --> 00:07:18.199 gonna get the most out of himself, just that kind of like player. 104 00:07:18.319 --> 00:07:21.639 I'm gonna maximize what he's got to work with. And man, his triple 105 00:07:21.680 --> 00:07:25.759 A run, he's only striking out six and a half percent of the time, 106 00:07:26.000 --> 00:07:29.079 walking ten and a half percent of the time. The ISOs A at 107 00:07:29.120 --> 00:07:32.519 one forty nine. He's slashing three thirteen, three seventy nine, four sixty 108 00:07:32.639 --> 00:07:36.519 three on the back of a three twenty five babbit. It's a one eighteen 109 00:07:36.680 --> 00:07:43.639 WRC. Plus he's got eleven doubles in thirty five games and three triples. 110 00:07:43.959 --> 00:07:47.959 Obviously, I don't think we would ever tab so Noya as a future Fantasy 111 00:07:48.079 --> 00:07:54.079 superstar. But I gotta admit I'm just not totally sure what kind of dynasty 112 00:07:54.160 --> 00:07:57.600 value to put on our guy here. I don't know, twenty one doing 113 00:07:57.600 --> 00:08:01.040 this at Triple A. You gotta think being in the biggs is on the 114 00:08:01.079 --> 00:08:05.920 table now and maybe relatively quickly. You know, so so format pendant, 115 00:08:07.160 --> 00:08:11.600 high contact, potentially high ratios, chipping some steals. Defensively, he plays 116 00:08:11.680 --> 00:08:16.759 shortstop and second base. I think he's pretty dang good at him. So, 117 00:08:16.800 --> 00:08:18.759 I don't know. Next time I get to talk with Matt, maybe 118 00:08:18.800 --> 00:08:22.199 we'll bring up Sonoya again and see what his thoughts are. But perhaps a 119 00:08:22.319 --> 00:08:28.560 very sneaky dynasty play here, especially in like a thirty teamer, or maybe 120 00:08:28.600 --> 00:08:33.360 just getting some run, might have a very young capable defensively up the middle 121 00:08:33.960 --> 00:08:39.440 possibility to help out your teams. It's kind of wild player, this young, 122 00:08:39.559 --> 00:08:43.039 having so much success at a higher level, and he's rostered in only 123 00:08:43.120 --> 00:08:46.080 one percent of leagues. So hab your Sonoya, Marlins, I don't know, 124 00:08:46.320 --> 00:08:50.000 help me out. Take a look. What do you think then? 125 00:08:50.159 --> 00:08:54.000 The arm that has a lot of my attention over the last couple of weeks. 126 00:08:54.240 --> 00:08:56.759 And this is totally because someone in baseball hit me up and asked me 127 00:08:56.799 --> 00:09:01.519 about them and started sharing some information and putting him on my map. Is 128 00:09:01.600 --> 00:09:07.440 Ryan Lobis with the Rangers, who just recently got promoted to Hya. He's 129 00:09:07.480 --> 00:09:09.600 a righty with I don't know what you want to call it, a three 130 00:09:09.679 --> 00:09:15.039 quarter arm, somewhat side arm, kind of low, just kind of a 131 00:09:15.080 --> 00:09:18.399 funky release, a funky right hander. But you know, the Rangers, 132 00:09:18.799 --> 00:09:24.279 man, they they're kind of like the pitching spec mutters of the real world. 133 00:09:24.559 --> 00:09:28.240 They have picked out some of the most interesting undrafted pitching prospects over the 134 00:09:28.279 --> 00:09:31.399 last several years, I feel like, but I feel like they might have 135 00:09:31.440 --> 00:09:35.559 done it again here. Lobis was undrafted out of Mercer. He's currently twenty 136 00:09:35.559 --> 00:09:39.000 three years old, listed at six' two, but I've turned him on 137 00:09:39.360 --> 00:09:46.000 a few times. The slider might be an exceptional offering, a real top 138 00:09:46.039 --> 00:09:52.799 shelf, nasty sort of pitch post well draft, I guess post signing last 139 00:09:52.879 --> 00:09:56.279 year he got a little bit complex run. Then he was in a ball 140 00:09:56.480 --> 00:10:00.279 to start this year. I feel like they've kind of eased him into some 141 00:10:00.360 --> 00:10:03.720 more innings and some more pitch counts and stuff like that. He's getting to 142 00:10:03.759 --> 00:10:07.039 start now. He's a guy who in a ball is running a thirty six 143 00:10:07.080 --> 00:10:11.840 percent k rate to forty one percent k rate and high A Now I mean 144 00:10:11.879 --> 00:10:16.279 we're talking it's seventeen and two thirds A ball innings, fifteen and two thirds 145 00:10:16.399 --> 00:10:20.519 high A innings, so still not a lot, but the strikeout stuff seems 146 00:10:20.600 --> 00:10:24.320 there in spades. Now. He throws I think a four steamer and a 147 00:10:24.360 --> 00:10:28.120 sneaker, not real high V low per the data that was given to me. 148 00:10:28.559 --> 00:10:33.600 The fur steamer I believe sits around ninety one. They both sit around 149 00:10:33.679 --> 00:10:39.399 ninety one, but I think shape, deception, release point, angle, 150 00:10:39.879 --> 00:10:43.080 that sort of stuff probably helps that pitch play up quite a bit. The 151 00:10:43.120 --> 00:10:46.320 slider, like I said, is the real nasty and I did see him 152 00:10:46.360 --> 00:10:50.600 throw change up too, so there is a change up in there. But 153 00:10:50.679 --> 00:10:54.759 Ryan Lobis I think he's rastered in zero percent of leagues. I scooped him 154 00:10:54.840 --> 00:10:58.799 up where I could, so take that for whatever it's worth. He may 155 00:10:58.799 --> 00:11:03.120 not be a buzzy name and dynasty world at this moment, but from what 156 00:11:03.200 --> 00:11:07.200 I have been told, he is a pretty buzzy name in the real world 157 00:11:07.480 --> 00:11:11.279 on the ground. So Ryan lobis perhaps a fantastic sort of B side play 158 00:11:11.360 --> 00:11:15.720 right now. So I wanted to touch on those two guys in the front 159 00:11:15.720 --> 00:11:18.200 here. But what I ended up doing the last couple of weeks is it 160 00:11:18.240 --> 00:11:22.679 basically just did a filter, did a statistical dive, and then vetted a 161 00:11:22.679 --> 00:11:26.679 lot of names via video, and I formally did a write up here that 162 00:11:26.759 --> 00:11:31.399 Clegg has and I think he's going to put it out on the Dynasty Dugout. 163 00:11:31.679 --> 00:11:35.320 There's some video included. But what I did is I took a sample 164 00:11:35.399 --> 00:11:39.840 size of about six hundred and fifty pitching prospects who and I know these sample 165 00:11:39.840 --> 00:11:43.240 sizes aren't super large, that had at least thirty innings pitched this season and 166 00:11:43.399 --> 00:11:48.200 last season at whatever levels, picked out some metrics that I like to look 167 00:11:48.240 --> 00:11:52.360 at, and basically subtracted last year's numbers from this year's numbers to just kind 168 00:11:52.360 --> 00:11:58.440 of see who might be making some big jumps at least production wise, and 169 00:11:58.480 --> 00:12:01.759 then tried to line it up with some video and some other knowledge that I 170 00:12:01.799 --> 00:12:05.159 might have about the pictures, basically to see who are the most improved pitching 171 00:12:05.200 --> 00:12:09.919 specs this June, now two months into the season. So then I wrote 172 00:12:09.960 --> 00:12:13.879 up thirteen of them, the most improved and lightly rastered pitching prospects, the 173 00:12:13.879 --> 00:12:18.039 ones that stuck out the most for me in this exercise, in this homework 174 00:12:18.080 --> 00:12:22.200 and might have the most Dynasty interest. I looked at walk percentage, p 175 00:12:22.320 --> 00:12:26.320 percentage, whip x fit, ground ball percentage, swinging strike rate, and 176 00:12:26.480 --> 00:12:30.919 strike percentage. Those are kind of the main divining rods for me. Threw 177 00:12:30.960 --> 00:12:33.840 in a couple other metrics, just more out of curiosity, and then, 178 00:12:33.879 --> 00:12:37.679 like I said, subtracted them all and see saw who was sort of sort 179 00:12:37.679 --> 00:12:41.960 of popping. And I have to say the first arm on my list here 180 00:12:41.080 --> 00:12:46.559 really kind of inspired you looking at these numbers and things. Left hand pitching 181 00:12:46.600 --> 00:12:50.120 prospect of the Diamondbacks, Spencer Geisting threw him on a few times after he 182 00:12:50.120 --> 00:12:54.799 put up some gaudy lines. You know, just in my other Northwest League, 183 00:12:54.799 --> 00:12:58.480 looks have been eyeing him a little bit and he's repeating high. But 184 00:12:58.519 --> 00:13:01.360 he's still only twenty two years old. I don't I don't care if a 185 00:13:01.399 --> 00:13:05.600 pitcher is repeating a level, especially if they seem to be making the giant 186 00:13:05.679 --> 00:13:11.519 gains that Geisting is and Hillsboro broadcast will rave about how much better he is 187 00:13:11.600 --> 00:13:13.039 this season. He's, like I said, twenty two year old. He's 188 00:13:13.080 --> 00:13:16.519 listened at six' four. He was the I don't know, early second 189 00:13:16.600 --> 00:13:20.799 day pick in the twenty twenty two draft out of UNC Charlotte. Now it's 190 00:13:20.840 --> 00:13:26.360 tricky watching lefties in the Northwest League, and especially someone who's been there for 191 00:13:26.399 --> 00:13:30.879 two years. You don't get any good angle to really look at the stuff. 192 00:13:31.039 --> 00:13:33.879 So that's still a bit blurry. But I don't think it is hard 193 00:13:33.960 --> 00:13:37.559 to see how much more interesting he has become, How much more efficient? 194 00:13:37.679 --> 00:13:43.799 How much of a better pitch executioner? Is executioner proper to use here? 195 00:13:45.039 --> 00:13:50.080 Executionist? How about that this season than last his you know, his strike 196 00:13:50.120 --> 00:13:54.120 percentages up from fifty eight point nine percent to sixty five point four. His 197 00:13:54.200 --> 00:13:58.759 swinging strike rate is up four percent. His strikeout percentage is up almost seven 198 00:13:58.759 --> 00:14:05.519 percent. He's basically turned seven percent of walks into seven percent case. Obviously, 199 00:14:05.559 --> 00:14:09.799 the sort of surface level stuff era WHIP x FIP, I don't know, 200 00:14:09.919 --> 00:14:13.480 is x FIP surface level. I'm not sure if you categorize it as 201 00:14:13.519 --> 00:14:16.600 that, but those are all way down. The era is under one his 202 00:14:16.600 --> 00:14:20.919 whips under point eight the numbers on this dive or maybe one outing data at 203 00:14:20.919 --> 00:14:26.360 this juncture. But nonetheless, the fastball slider, I don't even know if 204 00:14:26.360 --> 00:14:30.279 I should call it a slider. Breaking ball. Execution just is leaps and 205 00:14:30.360 --> 00:14:33.759 balance better than last year. I did turn him on some from last season. 206 00:14:33.799 --> 00:14:37.080 But he's another guy. He's two percent rastered right now. It's hard 207 00:14:37.080 --> 00:14:43.440 to think he's not asserting himself as a pretty legit pitching prospect in their system 208 00:14:43.519 --> 00:14:45.600 right now. So, like I said, he kind of inspired this. 209 00:14:45.679 --> 00:14:48.360 I'm like, man, he is. He is so much better. You 210 00:14:48.360 --> 00:14:52.200 know, pitchers developed sometimes, and so I want to see who else might 211 00:14:52.240 --> 00:14:58.919 be developing in a manner that he is. Another guy that maybe helped inspire 212 00:15:00.080 --> 00:15:03.559 this homework. A guy that I've talked about a little bit on this show, 213 00:15:03.279 --> 00:15:07.200 Uhanier Herrera of the Brewers. I mean, just on these metrics, 214 00:15:07.200 --> 00:15:11.039 he has had some of the biggest gains and he's doing it up a level 215 00:15:11.080 --> 00:15:16.000 now now. Granted, I think he's only about twenty innings into his high 216 00:15:16.000 --> 00:15:18.240 a run right now, but you're talking about a guy who's improved his strikeout 217 00:15:18.279 --> 00:15:24.159 rate by almost fifteen percent, has dropped his walk rate by almost seven percent. 218 00:15:24.240 --> 00:15:28.360 I mean, that's like a twenty two percent swing and K minus BBB. 219 00:15:28.600 --> 00:15:31.120 That's that's pretty wild. Walks has maybe been a bit of an issue 220 00:15:31.159 --> 00:15:35.159 for him in the past. He does seem to be getting better in the 221 00:15:35.279 --> 00:15:37.279 execution part. I mean for him, like we talked about, he tends 222 00:15:37.320 --> 00:15:43.600 to pitch backwards. He's got a pretty hard fastball that he doesn't really lean 223 00:15:43.679 --> 00:15:46.440 on or use very much or nearly as much as most guys that can throw 224 00:15:46.480 --> 00:15:50.279 that hard down in the lowers. So I think the secondary execution is a 225 00:15:50.320 --> 00:15:56.279 big part in his developmental gains. Here. He's throwing strikes seven percent more 226 00:15:56.320 --> 00:16:00.720 often, swinging strike rate is up like six point three percent doing this dig 227 00:16:00.960 --> 00:16:03.720 Like I said, six hundred and fifty something pictures, you've got about thirty 228 00:16:03.960 --> 00:16:07.960 that were making these sorts of gains. Production wise, it's an outlier to 229 00:16:08.039 --> 00:16:12.360 be improving this much, and it's even more of an outlier to be improved 230 00:16:12.360 --> 00:16:17.120 this much while jumping a level. The outlook of what he may become is 231 00:16:17.399 --> 00:16:19.519 still, you know, funny a question, quite blurry, but it does 232 00:16:19.559 --> 00:16:25.519 seem like he is sliding into a legit run at being a starter here. 233 00:16:25.720 --> 00:16:30.080 So the twenty year old, big bodied Herrera in the Brewer system is definitely 234 00:16:30.480 --> 00:16:33.720 pequing my interest on this level. Another guy that really popped in the Giants 235 00:16:33.840 --> 00:16:40.519 organization who I'd seen before, but I don't think I had realized how much 236 00:16:40.559 --> 00:16:45.039 his K game has improved. But that's Dylan Cumming. Another undrafted guy the 237 00:16:45.120 --> 00:16:48.879 twenty twenty two class who actually didn't even get signed after the draft. I 238 00:16:48.919 --> 00:16:52.960 think he spent a brief minute in some independent ball, but he was out 239 00:16:52.960 --> 00:16:57.120 of liberty. Giants signed him. He was an able last season, started 240 00:16:57.120 --> 00:17:02.360 off in Hi A, got thirty three and two thirds innings in and then 241 00:17:02.399 --> 00:17:06.960 they just recently promoted him to Double A, whereupon his Double A debut was 242 00:17:07.079 --> 00:17:10.839 pretty good. I watched that he definitely struck out his fair share of hitters. 243 00:17:10.839 --> 00:17:12.359 I think he went like four or four and a third or something like 244 00:17:12.400 --> 00:17:15.839 that and struck out seven or eight. I think I have those cut up 245 00:17:15.920 --> 00:17:21.039 and put in the piece. But my man has increased his strikeout seventeen percent, 246 00:17:21.160 --> 00:17:25.160 which is just pretty absurd. Yeah, walks have ticked down a little 247 00:17:25.160 --> 00:17:27.799 bit, I guess seven point seven percent and high A five point three, 248 00:17:27.960 --> 00:17:32.039 and I guess I mean it's like one an outing. So but I'm not 249 00:17:32.119 --> 00:17:34.519 watching some video from last year in this year. I don't know if like 250 00:17:34.920 --> 00:17:41.240 his execution is really all that much better or different. My suspicion is that 251 00:17:41.519 --> 00:17:48.480 something somewhere in the arsenal there is a much juicier tool making it all play 252 00:17:48.599 --> 00:17:52.200 up better. I think he's always kind of been a slider guy. He's 253 00:17:52.279 --> 00:17:55.839 got you know, he's a bit wiry. Maybe it's just the hair or 254 00:17:55.839 --> 00:17:57.839 something, but he's just like really intense and kind of gives you, like 255 00:17:57.880 --> 00:18:03.160 some Dennis eckers The like vibes. And don't take that wrong, I'm not 256 00:18:03.200 --> 00:18:07.759 saying he's Dennis Eckersley, but just aesthetically and sort of like energetically, you 257 00:18:07.839 --> 00:18:11.599 get a little bit of that feel. But he's got this big sort of 258 00:18:11.720 --> 00:18:17.680 like sideways hook, slower sideways hook that seems to give hitters quite a hard 259 00:18:17.759 --> 00:18:22.200 I think it's very easy to see or just I don't want to say lazily, 260 00:18:22.319 --> 00:18:25.759 but I don't know, just an initial impressions be like, Okay, 261 00:18:25.839 --> 00:18:27.920 yeah, this could be you know, this looks like a future in the 262 00:18:27.920 --> 00:18:32.359 pen, and that very well could be the case. But he's gotten like 263 00:18:32.519 --> 00:18:34.839 I don't know. He just seems to have gotten so good and the Giants 264 00:18:34.839 --> 00:18:38.200 are giving him some more innings, giving him some starts. So I'm curious 265 00:18:38.200 --> 00:18:41.279 to see what they might do with him. You know, maybe we're talking 266 00:18:41.319 --> 00:18:45.720 about a multi inning reliever, a sort of prospect, but you know those 267 00:18:45.799 --> 00:18:51.039 types of guys if they are good at being a multi inning reliever, and 268 00:18:51.079 --> 00:18:53.640 the way the war of attrition goes with pitching, what have you. Maybe 269 00:18:53.680 --> 00:18:57.480 we do see Coming starting in the future here. I don't know, but 270 00:18:57.519 --> 00:19:03.319 I can unequivocally say in this context, Coming is one of the most improved 271 00:19:03.359 --> 00:19:07.519 pitching prospects in the minor leagues right now that isn't rastered at a very high 272 00:19:07.559 --> 00:19:11.359 percentage. He's rastered zero percent of leagues. We were talking about eighteen point 273 00:19:11.400 --> 00:19:15.640 two percent increase in knus BB percentage. He's getting ground ball. He got 274 00:19:15.640 --> 00:19:19.759 ground balls at a fifty six point three percent clip at High A last season 275 00:19:19.799 --> 00:19:23.079 was fifty one percent. He got a ton of ground balls during his Double 276 00:19:23.160 --> 00:19:27.160 A debut. The swinging strike raid has jumped like six percent. He's still 277 00:19:27.240 --> 00:19:32.519 running about a low sixties percent strike percentage. That hasn't really changed too much. 278 00:19:32.559 --> 00:19:36.319 So again I think maybe his stuff might have just somehow got gotten some 279 00:19:36.359 --> 00:19:38.519 more teeth. I don't know. Without without any data on him, I 280 00:19:38.519 --> 00:19:42.119 can't say with certainty, but I'm very curious to see how the rest of 281 00:19:42.160 --> 00:19:47.200 his season might go and how he fares in Richmond, which is a very 282 00:19:47.240 --> 00:19:51.759 friendly pitching environment too, So I don't know doing coming might be putting up 283 00:19:51.759 --> 00:19:55.400 some gaudy numbers the rest of this year. Another guy who caught my attention 284 00:19:55.599 --> 00:19:57.920 that I hadn't paid a ton of attention to. And this might be a 285 00:19:57.960 --> 00:20:02.599 little bit more subtle well than the first three guys we talked about, but 286 00:20:02.799 --> 00:20:07.720 Ray's pitching prospect Trevor Martin Righty's rastled in one percent of leagues right now. 287 00:20:07.839 --> 00:20:10.880 He is twenty three years old, big body, six' five. He 288 00:20:11.000 --> 00:20:14.480 was picked fairly high, third round I think in the twenty twenty two draft 289 00:20:14.519 --> 00:20:17.119 out of Oklahoma State. He was the one hundred and fourth pick overall. 290 00:20:17.319 --> 00:20:19.880 Now he's a you know, higher draft choice college guy, still in the 291 00:20:21.000 --> 00:20:26.400 high A. And statistically this dive, there's there's improvements pretty much across the 292 00:20:26.400 --> 00:20:30.880 board, but nothing real big like his strikeout percentage is up just under three 293 00:20:30.880 --> 00:20:36.559 percent, his walk percentage is three percent better, so has turned some walks 294 00:20:36.599 --> 00:20:40.240 into keys. Era is a little little bit better, his whips a little 295 00:20:40.279 --> 00:20:42.599 bit better. Ground ball percentage is a little bit better, three point four 296 00:20:42.640 --> 00:20:47.920 percent better. His swinging strike rat is about the same. His strike percentage 297 00:20:47.960 --> 00:20:51.319 is up like two percent. He's doing that well, you know, jumping 298 00:20:51.359 --> 00:20:53.559 up a level. Nothing has regressed, if anything, that's all gotten better. 299 00:20:53.599 --> 00:20:56.279 But to me, this was more. This was more. Just like 300 00:20:56.480 --> 00:21:00.559 video review, He's got four pitches, at least four pitches, and I 301 00:21:00.559 --> 00:21:04.799 think he mixes them for an arm to throw a fastball and then a breaking 302 00:21:04.839 --> 00:21:08.200 ball and then a fuel pitch in a change up or something like that. 303 00:21:08.279 --> 00:21:14.240 Like mixing those up is just a higher level of difficulty than the guy who 304 00:21:14.319 --> 00:21:18.319 might just be you know, whipping his big fastball four steamer up there and 305 00:21:18.839 --> 00:21:22.160 throwing in the slider right. Like I see like a sophistication in his attack 306 00:21:22.200 --> 00:21:26.960 with using all four of his pitches that you see him getting whiffs on all 307 00:21:26.039 --> 00:21:30.400 four of his pitches. I've seen him throw some right on the right change 308 00:21:30.440 --> 00:21:33.119 ups, which Matt and I have talked about him. We really like, 309 00:21:33.119 --> 00:21:37.720 like it's just a more overall game here takes you know, some more polish 310 00:21:37.799 --> 00:21:42.480 and some more intricacy rounding form, and I think just from last year, 311 00:21:42.480 --> 00:21:47.680 I think it's just all looking good. It's all on a nice path and 312 00:21:47.920 --> 00:21:52.240 has just become a much more interesting prospect to me long term. He's one 313 00:21:52.279 --> 00:21:56.079 that I think might be kind of kind of sneaking up for Dinas Smers and 314 00:21:56.240 --> 00:21:59.920 like I said, one percent roster and nobody's really in on Trevor Martin, 315 00:22:00.079 --> 00:22:02.400 and maybe it is part of him, I don't know, maybe just having 316 00:22:02.400 --> 00:22:06.119 a little bit of a slower ascension here, but I think, like I 317 00:22:06.119 --> 00:22:10.720 said, there's more sort of stuff here, more more nooks and crannies to 318 00:22:10.839 --> 00:22:14.519 his game to round in the form, so that I don't know, maybe 319 00:22:14.519 --> 00:22:18.240 that's part of it, but I can't imagine a upper level tries is too 320 00:22:18.319 --> 00:22:22.960 far away here for Trevor Martin. Another arm that's that popped here, who 321 00:22:22.960 --> 00:22:26.279 I know has got a little bit of fantasy buzz and has been putting up 322 00:22:26.319 --> 00:22:30.039 some really good numbers, but I think has folks a bit stand offish because 323 00:22:30.079 --> 00:22:34.240 he's twenty four and in high A. But The Guardian's Austin Peterson, who 324 00:22:34.359 --> 00:22:38.680 was the two hundred and seventy first pick of the twenty twenty two draft out 325 00:22:38.720 --> 00:22:41.319 of Yukon. So we're talking. You know, he's still just in his 326 00:22:41.480 --> 00:22:47.319 second full pro season despite his age. You know, the older college pitcher. 327 00:22:47.440 --> 00:22:49.680 Peterson's a big body, six' six. He was in a ball 328 00:22:49.759 --> 00:22:52.480 last year, got in one hundred and seventeen innings. There, I would 329 00:22:52.559 --> 00:22:59.160 say, pretty pedestrian numbers, not horrible, not not anything that would make 330 00:22:59.200 --> 00:23:02.480 me want to run and raster a twenty three year old and a ball. 331 00:23:02.599 --> 00:23:06.440 But he's moved up to high now he's got I think fifty nine innings roughly. 332 00:23:06.480 --> 00:23:07.880 Like I said, this might be dated by one outing. But his 333 00:23:08.079 --> 00:23:15.000 strikeout percentage has jumped eight percent. His walk percentage he's cut down from five 334 00:23:15.039 --> 00:23:18.240 point four percent, which was already pretty good, to just one point three 335 00:23:18.279 --> 00:23:22.000 percent. Right now, that's a He's got a twenty six point nine percent 336 00:23:22.079 --> 00:23:26.480 K minus BB. He's got a whip under point nine. His ex FIP 337 00:23:26.519 --> 00:23:30.240 is two eighty just all across the board. His swinging strike rate is up 338 00:23:30.279 --> 00:23:36.240 three percent is strike percent This is ridiculous. But also I think part of 339 00:23:36.720 --> 00:23:40.799 my hesitation strike percentage is seventy two point six percent, So you know, 340 00:23:40.799 --> 00:23:42.480 it makes sense to a lot of strikes, you're not gonna walk a lot 341 00:23:42.519 --> 00:23:47.359 of guys. But watching Peterson, who I hadn't until this year, ultimately 342 00:23:47.400 --> 00:23:52.839 it's a bit of well, my Adam Maser concerns or questions were grooven. 343 00:23:52.920 --> 00:23:56.400 A lot of strikes. He has the propensity to just kind of live in 344 00:23:56.440 --> 00:24:00.599 the middle third, and I think his stuff is good enough. I think 345 00:24:00.680 --> 00:24:06.279 Clagghead mentioned that his stuff also jumped up, whatever however that might be defined. 346 00:24:06.279 --> 00:24:08.000 I don't know. Obviously, the Midwest League hitter, which there are 347 00:24:08.039 --> 00:24:11.640 some pretty good ones, has a hard time with his stuff. You know. 348 00:24:11.640 --> 00:24:15.079 I think he throws fairly hard mid nineties. I think has a good, 349 00:24:15.240 --> 00:24:21.200 nasty looking slider. There's I shared video from an outing at West Michigan 350 00:24:21.599 --> 00:24:23.720 which has a really nice angle, so a good look at some of his 351 00:24:23.839 --> 00:24:29.319 offerings, but also a good look at how my man earned a lot of 352 00:24:29.319 --> 00:24:32.319 strikes and stay in the middle third and as you move up and as you 353 00:24:32.359 --> 00:24:36.240 get more elite hitters, I don't think you can live like that, and 354 00:24:36.720 --> 00:24:40.240 you know, until he can kind of show it, I don't know if 355 00:24:40.279 --> 00:24:45.400 he's a guy who has the acumen to live on the edges a little bit 356 00:24:45.440 --> 00:24:48.720 more so, I don't know, definitely you can't deny how good he's been 357 00:24:48.759 --> 00:24:52.160 this year, because he has been. But I think I think I kind 358 00:24:52.160 --> 00:24:56.400 of want to see a little bit more in the uppers before I get too 359 00:24:56.480 --> 00:25:00.799 too excited. Here another arm that we have maybe briefly met mentioned in the 360 00:25:00.839 --> 00:25:06.839 past. Here Rangers right hand pitching prospect Joseph Montalvo, who was almost my 361 00:25:07.119 --> 00:25:11.680 Rangers beside a selection this year. I went with DJ McCarty and the way 362 00:25:11.759 --> 00:25:14.680 things are kind of shaken out, I I wish and maybe would have went 363 00:25:14.720 --> 00:25:18.079 with Montalvo, but we'll see, we'll see. But he's a twenty two 364 00:25:18.160 --> 00:25:21.920 year old. He was like a man, one of the last picks of 365 00:25:21.960 --> 00:25:26.279 the twenty twenty one draft out of high school in Florida. But I kind 366 00:25:26.279 --> 00:25:29.920 of liked the look of him from last year. In a ball he went 367 00:25:30.000 --> 00:25:33.240 last season, he went ninety one, or excuse me, he went ninety 368 00:25:33.240 --> 00:25:37.400 five and a third at a twenty seven percent k rate, ERA under three, 369 00:25:37.519 --> 00:25:41.599 a whip under one point two, a lot of fly balls. He's 370 00:25:41.720 --> 00:25:45.920 kind of a flyball pitcher, which can be a bit precarious. Maybe more 371 00:25:45.960 --> 00:25:51.640 subtle improvements with these metrics, but and maybe one sort of gaudier one. 372 00:25:51.680 --> 00:25:56.720 But he's sitting at a thirty one point three percent K rate his first I 373 00:25:56.880 --> 00:26:00.759 A run thirty one innings. The four point three percent increase moving up a 374 00:26:00.839 --> 00:26:04.960 level, he's dropped his walk percentage three percent. That's a seven point one 375 00:26:06.000 --> 00:26:11.680 percent K minus BB increase. Still has an ERA under three. His whip 376 00:26:11.720 --> 00:26:15.839 is even better at one point zero six again, five balls, spatter ball 377 00:26:15.880 --> 00:26:19.400 profiles kind of all the same. Swing strike rate is up just to touch, 378 00:26:21.000 --> 00:26:23.839 while his strike percentage is down just a half of a percentage point. 379 00:26:23.880 --> 00:26:27.160 But I don't think there's any magic new pitch here. I don't think there's 380 00:26:27.240 --> 00:26:33.240 any big velocity gains. I think he's just a young pitcher who has jumped 381 00:26:33.279 --> 00:26:37.640 up a level and met that challenge and is improving. He's got I think 382 00:26:37.640 --> 00:26:40.599 he's got a good fastball. I think he's got a good breaking ball, 383 00:26:40.960 --> 00:26:45.799 a good slider. So nothing real like juicy here from my looks that I 384 00:26:45.799 --> 00:26:48.759 can point to get you all excited. But I think a guy who's just 385 00:26:49.119 --> 00:26:53.319 on the right trajectory here, a plenty of young still and getting it done, 386 00:26:53.559 --> 00:26:56.880 you know, might be making a name for himself in their system. 387 00:26:57.240 --> 00:27:02.119 Another guy, now this was I kind of wish that I had talked about 388 00:27:02.160 --> 00:27:06.799 him a little earlier because he just had a thirteen strikeout performance. But been 389 00:27:06.839 --> 00:27:12.640 watching a little bit of Ibersen Castaigo of the Phillies, bigger right handed Venezuelan. 390 00:27:12.880 --> 00:27:18.200 He's twenty three years old, just getting his first IA run. I 391 00:27:18.240 --> 00:27:21.240 feel like he's kind of been I don't know, maybe a little bit of 392 00:27:21.279 --> 00:27:25.160 a slower burn. He's kind of been going back and forth between starting and 393 00:27:25.200 --> 00:27:30.440 relieving in his pro career. Kind of a weird fangrass page and that repeated 394 00:27:30.599 --> 00:27:37.319 a ball last season and was like produced noticeably worse than the year prior. 395 00:27:37.400 --> 00:27:41.960 But now he's up in High A and doing much better now. These numbers 396 00:27:41.000 --> 00:27:47.279 are before his big thirteen k outing, so maybe even some more improvements. 397 00:27:47.279 --> 00:27:49.880 But a guy who just across all of these metrics has made a little bit 398 00:27:51.000 --> 00:27:53.559 of a trump. He's walking about four percent less, striking out about three 399 00:27:53.599 --> 00:27:56.960 to three and a half percent more. Zra is down, his whips down, 400 00:27:57.000 --> 00:28:02.519 his ex flips down, lions five percentages down eight percent, ground ball 401 00:28:02.559 --> 00:28:06.480 percentages up three percent. He is giving up a little bit more flyballs, 402 00:28:06.519 --> 00:28:10.279 but it's still it's a twenty eight point two percent flyball rate. Swinging strike 403 00:28:10.359 --> 00:28:14.400 rate's about the same. He's thrown two percent more strikes, so nothing too 404 00:28:14.400 --> 00:28:18.400 different there. I'm wondering if a big part of his gains here, maybe 405 00:28:18.480 --> 00:28:22.519 maybe it's a combination of both. But he's proving to be a bit of 406 00:28:22.519 --> 00:28:26.559 of of a spin doctor. I think, like, yeah, I think 407 00:28:26.599 --> 00:28:30.000 he throws two different breaking balls, and I don't know if execution of them 408 00:28:30.079 --> 00:28:33.680 has gotten better or they've got better shape, maybe both. I don't know. 409 00:28:33.799 --> 00:28:37.720 This last outing against Brooklyn Man, these breaking balls were just making the 410 00:28:37.799 --> 00:28:41.319 hitters look look pretty silly. Now, I wouldn't say that Brooklyn has is 411 00:28:41.680 --> 00:28:47.400 the toughest high eight lineup to strike out in the world, but it was 412 00:28:47.440 --> 00:28:52.519 pretty impressive his ability to just get these guys way off balance and some really 413 00:28:52.599 --> 00:28:55.519 ugly swings. And again, you know, when you have a guy who's 414 00:28:55.720 --> 00:28:59.559 who's putting up some gaudy numbers with you know, on the back of maybe 415 00:28:59.599 --> 00:29:03.359 a really good secondary in the lowers, I think you gotta take, you 416 00:29:03.400 --> 00:29:07.240 know, take some of that with a grain of salt and maybe have some 417 00:29:07.440 --> 00:29:10.799 little built in skepticism of how it might play when he moves up a level. 418 00:29:10.839 --> 00:29:15.000 But Castillano is has become much more interesting. I don't think we need 419 00:29:15.000 --> 00:29:18.559 to like maybe sound some dynasty alarms and stuff like that. But you know, 420 00:29:18.599 --> 00:29:22.680 if he's going to be a guy putting up double digit k outings just 421 00:29:22.759 --> 00:29:26.640 to sort of play the game within the game, kind of b side play, 422 00:29:26.839 --> 00:29:30.559 like in a deeper league, maybe maybe that's up your alley. Maybe 423 00:29:30.559 --> 00:29:33.759 that's something you're interested in. But yeah, like I said, just kind 424 00:29:33.759 --> 00:29:37.599 of starting to stack some pretty impressive game logs in the video, doesn't look 425 00:29:37.920 --> 00:29:44.960 completely uninteresting. Another guy who kind of popped here you on Jacob Steinmetz, 426 00:29:45.480 --> 00:29:48.920 the d Becks. This is not a guy without some pedigree. He was 427 00:29:48.960 --> 00:29:52.720 the seventy seventh pick of the twenty twenty one draft out of New York, 428 00:29:52.839 --> 00:29:56.160 and this is just kind of, you know, so big frame. He's 429 00:29:56.200 --> 00:30:00.640 listed at six six live arm. You know that that's why he drafted so 430 00:30:00.720 --> 00:30:03.079 high. Some pretty nice clay to work with. And I just have to 431 00:30:03.119 --> 00:30:07.720 say, every time I turn on or catch Steinmetz, he's just like better 432 00:30:08.319 --> 00:30:11.680 than the last time I saw him. Like every time he just looks better 433 00:30:11.720 --> 00:30:15.680 and better. And it's starting to show. Now, yes he's repeating a 434 00:30:15.799 --> 00:30:18.599 ball, but yes, he's twenty years old. Last year he got in 435 00:30:18.680 --> 00:30:21.960 seventy two and two thirds innings. So far, I think he's about thirty 436 00:30:22.039 --> 00:30:25.640 nine innings. But you're talking about a K percentage that has jumped seven point 437 00:30:25.680 --> 00:30:29.880 two percent, a walk percentage that's down three percent. That's a ten percent 438 00:30:29.960 --> 00:30:33.640 increase in K minus bb darn near cut his ra in half. You know, 439 00:30:33.680 --> 00:30:37.039 he still gives up some contact, but he's jumped his ground ball rate 440 00:30:37.079 --> 00:30:41.559 a little bit, knocked down his fly ball rate five percent, swinging strike 441 00:30:41.640 --> 00:30:45.319 rates up a little bit. Strike throwing is five percent better, which I 442 00:30:45.359 --> 00:30:51.160 think is pretty significant. Fastball, big hook seems to be the gist of 443 00:30:51.200 --> 00:30:56.160 his game north south until I turn on Steinmetz and he doesn't seem better than 444 00:30:56.160 --> 00:31:00.720 the last time I saw him. He's going to continue to have my interest, 445 00:31:00.759 --> 00:31:07.200 and he's currently rostered zero percent. Another guy who popped here was Tiger's 446 00:31:07.240 --> 00:31:11.519 pitching prospect, Garrett Burhen. I think that's how you say it. B. 447 00:31:11.880 --> 00:31:15.720 You are h e nn zero percent rostered two hundred and fifty fifth pick 448 00:31:15.759 --> 00:31:19.559 of the twenty twenty one draft out of Ohio State. He's twenty four years 449 00:31:19.599 --> 00:31:22.759 old. Thisted is six' four and he is now up in Double A, 450 00:31:23.319 --> 00:31:29.039 just got promoted up there this season after roughly thirty High A innings, 451 00:31:29.079 --> 00:31:32.759 which is where he was last season for ninety three and two thirds innings. 452 00:31:32.920 --> 00:31:37.920 Well, he's got I think three outings now three Double A outings in if 453 00:31:37.920 --> 00:31:41.440 I'm not mistaken, and granted, you know, small sample size, but 454 00:31:41.559 --> 00:31:45.839 all the jumps in these ratios I might I'm gonna mention, have all stuck 455 00:31:47.119 --> 00:31:49.480 since he's been promoted. So he seems to be, at least this early 456 00:31:49.559 --> 00:31:55.039 going a guy who has jumped a level and made the gains. But you're 457 00:31:55.079 --> 00:32:00.440 talking about a nine percent increase in strikeout percentage, four percent drap in walks 458 00:32:00.759 --> 00:32:05.319 twelve and a half thirteen percent increase in K minus bb era is down one 459 00:32:05.319 --> 00:32:08.079 point sixty seven, whips down point three, eight x fips down one, 460 00:32:08.319 --> 00:32:12.880 giving up a little bit more flyballs than he has in a little bit less 461 00:32:12.960 --> 00:32:16.640 ground balls. Swinging strike rate is up three point four percent. Strikes are 462 00:32:16.680 --> 00:32:19.839 about the same. He's always, you know, looked to be a pretty 463 00:32:19.839 --> 00:32:23.400 good strike thrower. He's at sixty eight percent right now, was sixty seven 464 00:32:23.480 --> 00:32:27.319 percent last year. I hadn't paid any attention to him last year, but 465 00:32:27.359 --> 00:32:30.119 I flipped him, flipped some of him on from last year and this season, 466 00:32:30.160 --> 00:32:32.960 and I think just when you get a decent look, get a decent 467 00:32:34.000 --> 00:32:37.359 angle. Just generically speaking, the stuff just looks nast year last year. 468 00:32:37.400 --> 00:32:40.200 I think. I don't know if my man did some work in a lab 469 00:32:40.319 --> 00:32:44.960 or something, but he's got a you know, mid nineties fastball and a 470 00:32:44.960 --> 00:32:50.039 pretty good looking firm slider spots it pretty well. Executes those two pitches pretty 471 00:32:50.039 --> 00:32:52.599 well, and he's got another pitch in there. So he's got all three 472 00:32:52.960 --> 00:32:55.279 velocity bands. And I don't know a guy it's pretty new to me, 473 00:32:55.440 --> 00:33:00.799 but has got my interest for sure. Tigers Man, they're doing some stuff 474 00:33:00.839 --> 00:33:04.960 with some arms. So Garrett Burns zero percent rostered. Perhaps some nice little 475 00:33:05.039 --> 00:33:09.880 muddy find here another guy man who I've kind of resisted talking about a few 476 00:33:09.920 --> 00:33:15.839 other episodes, but another Philly here in double A Robinson Pina who came over 477 00:33:15.880 --> 00:33:19.000 from the Angels. I don't know what the story was. I don't know 478 00:33:19.000 --> 00:33:22.640 if this was like some sort of Rule five pick or just a minor league 479 00:33:22.680 --> 00:33:24.759 free agent situation or what it was. I didn't look into it. But 480 00:33:25.079 --> 00:33:29.319 he's twenty five years old, six' five, big guy. I shared 481 00:33:29.319 --> 00:33:31.319 some video of him from early last year and then there and you can just 482 00:33:31.359 --> 00:33:37.319 see the difference in physicality. I think my man has been lifting some weights 483 00:33:37.559 --> 00:33:40.920 his highest level. He did get two different Triple A stints with Salt Lake 484 00:33:40.960 --> 00:33:45.920 City last year. While in the Angels system, which you know angels that 485 00:33:45.160 --> 00:33:47.960 kind of checks out. They like to, you know, push guys along, 486 00:33:49.079 --> 00:33:52.359 give them most challenges. But Penia for a few years would just kind 487 00:33:52.400 --> 00:33:57.160 of show up, just putting up some gaudy lines from time to time. 488 00:33:57.440 --> 00:34:00.680 I watched a good amount of him over the last several years and just like 489 00:34:00.799 --> 00:34:05.880 kind of always teetering on the question like is this a dude? Is this 490 00:34:06.000 --> 00:34:09.280 a guy? You know, just consistency wasn't quite there. But since coming 491 00:34:09.320 --> 00:34:15.119 over to the to the Phillies organization, he's jumped his strikeout rate and half 492 00:34:15.159 --> 00:34:21.920 percent. He's dropped his walk percentage by ten percent. My Man is only 493 00:34:21.960 --> 00:34:25.480 walking three and a half percent the batters this season and that is such a 494 00:34:25.679 --> 00:34:30.320 huge gain for him. A strike percentage increase of almost eleven percent, that 495 00:34:30.559 --> 00:34:35.760 is top of the scale in this dive here, swinging strike rate has increased 496 00:34:35.760 --> 00:34:39.039 by two point two percent. He's gone from a ground ball pitcher to a 497 00:34:39.079 --> 00:34:44.960 fly ball pitcher and having you know, success with that. Shared some stack 498 00:34:45.039 --> 00:34:50.679 cast stuff from him and some video that points out he has a very different 499 00:34:50.920 --> 00:34:55.920 arm slot than he did early last year with the Angels, and the fastball 500 00:34:57.039 --> 00:35:01.119 movement is very different. He has a lot more armside run to it. 501 00:35:01.360 --> 00:35:07.440 But this is not a situation where he went to a new organization and has 502 00:35:07.519 --> 00:35:13.000 this new look. This was actually an evolution that was taking place last season. 503 00:35:13.159 --> 00:35:16.079 I also shared some video of him during his last as Salt Lake City 504 00:35:16.199 --> 00:35:21.159 start and you can see that it was drastically different than early in the year. 505 00:35:21.280 --> 00:35:25.079 So is Pina guy that I'm rushing out and rostering in deep leagues? 506 00:35:25.639 --> 00:35:30.199 No? Is he a guy who does he have a major league chance? 507 00:35:30.440 --> 00:35:34.719 I think so, especially if he's pitching like this now to what extent who 508 00:35:34.760 --> 00:35:38.280 knows? I think the big league dream is revitalized here and you can't deny 509 00:35:38.360 --> 00:35:44.639 that he is one of the most improved pitching prospects out there. Another guy 510 00:35:44.679 --> 00:35:49.159 that I finally got around to watching that I kept meaning to is the Royal's 511 00:35:49.199 --> 00:35:54.119 Walter Pennington, who if you do a K percentage search you will see he 512 00:35:54.239 --> 00:36:00.199 is striking out a ridiculous forty one percent of batters this season. The first 513 00:36:00.239 --> 00:36:02.519 time he was mentioned on the podcast, Matt Well kind of joked around and 514 00:36:02.599 --> 00:36:06.039 he had no idea you know who this was. Neither did I. When 515 00:36:06.039 --> 00:36:08.719 you're talking about what he's twenty six years old out of the Colorado School of 516 00:36:08.760 --> 00:36:13.239 Mines, just down the road here, undrafted, free agent, rostered and 517 00:36:13.360 --> 00:36:17.119 zero percent of leagues. He's a soft toss and lefty. His sinker averages 518 00:36:17.280 --> 00:36:21.840 ninety two point eight, which you know, actually for a lefty, it's 519 00:36:22.320 --> 00:36:25.119 it's not really that soft. When you consider the average lefties fastball in the 520 00:36:25.119 --> 00:36:30.000 major leagues. I think it's like ninety three point something. But you're talking 521 00:36:30.159 --> 00:36:35.000 a fourteen percent increase in ks, three percent dropping walks, it's a seventeen 522 00:36:35.000 --> 00:36:37.719 point one percent increase in K minus BB. It's pretty wild. I mean 523 00:36:37.760 --> 00:36:43.440 he's been he's been dominating one point ninety three er, a point eighty six 524 00:36:43.519 --> 00:36:46.440 whip the season of ground ball rate of fifty two point one percent, four 525 00:36:46.480 --> 00:36:51.519 point four percent increase in strike percentage since last year. The big thing here 526 00:36:51.559 --> 00:36:53.960 that is obvious, and I shared some stackcast stuff and what have you. 527 00:36:54.159 --> 00:36:58.840 I think a big part of making this all work is he has added a 528 00:36:58.880 --> 00:37:02.400 cutter that he threw to right handers. Last year he was a slider sinker 529 00:37:02.440 --> 00:37:07.039 guy, and Righty's got him. That cutter has made all of this jrump 530 00:37:07.199 --> 00:37:12.719 I shared usage changes and fifth percentage changes and CSW and all that sort of 531 00:37:12.719 --> 00:37:16.360 stuff. Now he has been relieving, so you know, that definitely dampers 532 00:37:16.400 --> 00:37:22.400 some dynasty interest. But he's starting to get more innings, longer outings. 533 00:37:22.400 --> 00:37:25.079 They're starting to up his pitch counts where I think his last inning he went 534 00:37:25.159 --> 00:37:30.440 three innings and I think got to like shifty pitches. So sure, maybe 535 00:37:30.480 --> 00:37:35.119 the obvious trajectory here is as a multi inning reliever or just a major league 536 00:37:35.639 --> 00:37:37.280 reliever if it, you know, continues to all go well. But like 537 00:37:37.320 --> 00:37:42.760 I said when we were talking about Herrera, you know a multi inning reliever 538 00:37:42.920 --> 00:37:46.960 who does really well in that role, maybe the door on being the starter 539 00:37:47.320 --> 00:37:52.440 isn't totally shut. If it's all about how well you execute your best pitch. 540 00:37:52.599 --> 00:37:55.360 I think Pennington checks that box big time. And then just the last 541 00:37:55.360 --> 00:37:59.440 two guys. I added a couple more guys in the write up. I 542 00:37:59.480 --> 00:38:01.719 won't get in to them too much here have already kind of talked about both 543 00:38:01.800 --> 00:38:07.000 of them, I think, but Aaron Davenport and one Daniel and Canarcion I 544 00:38:07.039 --> 00:38:12.920 think are both markedly improved. They haven't gotten me super interested dynasty wise yet, 545 00:38:12.960 --> 00:38:15.679 but they were kind of some honorable mentions included in this piece here. 546 00:38:15.920 --> 00:38:20.199 So that was, uh, you know, as lame as it might sound, 547 00:38:20.400 --> 00:38:22.880 was was kind of my main focus and what I spent the last couple 548 00:38:22.920 --> 00:38:28.920 of weeks getting into the muddy can lack glory, but we'll we'll see here. 549 00:38:29.400 --> 00:38:31.440 You know, obviously there's not a lot of dynasty interest in these arms, 550 00:38:31.440 --> 00:38:35.239 but I think they're I think they're interesting, and I got my eye, 551 00:38:35.360 --> 00:38:38.400 I got my I think uh, I've rostered a few of them in 552 00:38:38.440 --> 00:38:43.440 my deeper leagues. Which prospects are getting picked up the most? This last 553 00:38:43.440 --> 00:38:47.039 week I got to say, the numbers, the percentage increases this time of 554 00:38:47.159 --> 00:38:52.159 year getting to the beginning of June, are much smaller than they were at 555 00:38:52.199 --> 00:38:54.599 the beginning of the year. I think we're entering a part of the season 556 00:38:54.960 --> 00:39:00.239 that I think it's really fun and interesting for us mutters. There's been you 557 00:39:00.239 --> 00:39:05.239 know, some trendy names for a few months, guys who had some loud 558 00:39:05.280 --> 00:39:08.000 introductions to pro ball and the like. You know, you got your Jona 559 00:39:08.119 --> 00:39:13.800 Tong's, your Zwie Matthews. You know those types of guys, your classes, 560 00:39:13.880 --> 00:39:16.159 and those guys are rostered up and people are going to hang on to 561 00:39:16.239 --> 00:39:21.880 them and see and so maybe there's some less less churning and burning happening, 562 00:39:22.199 --> 00:39:25.079 and I think that's reflected in some of these numbers here. But that's when 563 00:39:25.119 --> 00:39:29.559 we start digging on the guys like I was trying to mention, and you 564 00:39:29.599 --> 00:39:35.000 know, gains and developments that might be a little bit harder to see than 565 00:39:35.519 --> 00:39:38.199 a guy's numbers his first month or two of a season. Right, But 566 00:39:38.239 --> 00:39:45.119 nonetheless, Matthew Lugo Red Sox prospect is up two point nine percent. Tobias 567 00:39:45.199 --> 00:39:47.639 Meyer is still prospect on that I think he is, but you know that's 568 00:39:47.679 --> 00:39:51.800 not surprising. He's getting some major league run. He's up two percent. 569 00:39:51.960 --> 00:39:54.320 Brandon Sproute, who I know in the Dynasty dugout. There's a lot of 570 00:39:54.360 --> 00:39:58.719 chatter about a guy that highlight out of this first year player draft. He's 571 00:39:58.760 --> 00:40:02.199 into some extent. He's up to point two percent a total of fifteen percent 572 00:40:02.280 --> 00:40:06.719 now probably would have been a really good b side choice. Trey Morgan, 573 00:40:07.079 --> 00:40:10.119 I'm pretty famous from his LSU run, putting together a nice season. He 574 00:40:10.400 --> 00:40:15.880 is up two percent a total of eight percent. Screwballer guy with the Cardinals, 575 00:40:16.280 --> 00:40:21.079 Gulian Nelly, I think is what you say, is up two percent. 576 00:40:21.199 --> 00:40:25.039 He went from zero to two percent this last week. That screwball looks 577 00:40:25.159 --> 00:40:30.280 nasty and it's getting a lot of attention. Just me personally, that doesn't 578 00:40:30.320 --> 00:40:36.679 seem sustainable to me. I haven't taken a close look at how he throws 579 00:40:36.719 --> 00:40:39.239 that pitch, but I was very invested in Martin Perez back in the day 580 00:40:39.239 --> 00:40:44.199 when he threw a screwball, and that just wasn't a sustainable pitch for him 581 00:40:44.320 --> 00:40:47.960 and his UCL or his arm oh mentioned at the top Justin Henry molloy, 582 00:40:49.239 --> 00:40:52.159 who's got the call, is up two percent. He's at thirty three percent 583 00:40:52.199 --> 00:40:57.880 total. Yilber Diaz still some people happen on that train. He's up two 584 00:40:57.960 --> 00:41:02.400 percent total of ten percent. On Janeo the Guardian system is up one point 585 00:41:02.440 --> 00:41:07.840 seven percent a total of five percent. Folks get a little more interested in 586 00:41:07.880 --> 00:41:10.280 my guy. Kevin mcgonagal. He's up a percent and a half. Cader 587 00:41:10.320 --> 00:41:15.599 Montero probably because you got the call is up a little bit, But yeah, 588 00:41:15.719 --> 00:41:19.480 that seems to be the trendiest. I see. Spencer Geisting, who 589 00:41:19.519 --> 00:41:22.639 we talked about, is uper point seven percent a total of two percent. 590 00:41:22.719 --> 00:41:27.320 Now, so I'm not the only one getting in on some Spencer Geisting, 591 00:41:27.719 --> 00:41:32.079 but yeah, those are those are the most trending prospect pickups of this last 592 00:41:32.079 --> 00:41:36.840 week. As far as next week, what I might be watching in the 593 00:41:36.840 --> 00:41:40.159 International League, probably again, I don't watch a ton of Triple A, 594 00:41:40.360 --> 00:41:45.480 but Jacksonville is at Charlotte. I want to see some more Javier Sonoya. 595 00:41:45.760 --> 00:41:50.840 And then Sean Burke is back, and he pitched pretty well his first Triple 596 00:41:50.880 --> 00:41:53.760 A appearance of the season. And he's a guy that I liked more than 597 00:41:53.920 --> 00:42:00.000 Justin Steele heading into what last season as kind of a maybe sneaky good pitching 598 00:42:00.079 --> 00:42:05.719 prospect close to the Biggs, and I was happy to see him not rostered 599 00:42:05.760 --> 00:42:08.280 in a few leagues, and I picked him up when I did the White 600 00:42:08.400 --> 00:42:14.440 Sox Top Prospects for Clegg. I know, I kind of shoved Burke up 601 00:42:14.480 --> 00:42:19.599 there, because you know, I'm not a guy who just forgets about injured 602 00:42:19.639 --> 00:42:22.920 pitchers that are good in the PCL. Man I had I had Las Vegas 603 00:42:22.920 --> 00:42:27.679 at all Passa because I wanted to, you know, see how Maser fared 604 00:42:27.719 --> 00:42:31.239 against a lot of young bats in Las Vegas that are just back from the 605 00:42:31.280 --> 00:42:34.880 bigs. I thought it would be a really good test for him. But 606 00:42:34.920 --> 00:42:37.960 you know, Maser is getting call and it sounds like he is going to 607 00:42:37.000 --> 00:42:40.719 start tomorrow, so he gets to go up against big leaguers still in the 608 00:42:40.719 --> 00:42:45.440 big leagues, So that'll be fun. In the Eastern League, Hartford is 609 00:42:45.480 --> 00:42:50.719 at Somerset. Whenever Hartford is at Somerset, that's probably my favorite Eastern League 610 00:42:50.760 --> 00:42:55.039 series to watch. Both have you know, exciting prospects Augustin Ramirez versus some 611 00:42:55.079 --> 00:43:00.880 pretty good pictures for Hartford, see how he fares again. Texas League Frisco 612 00:43:00.039 --> 00:43:06.599 at Corpus Christie. Surprisingly just a team numbers wise, Frisco has the best 613 00:43:06.599 --> 00:43:10.760 pitching staff in that league, and I want to see how this mister irrelevant 614 00:43:10.920 --> 00:43:15.000 goes against the best pictures and is the best staff in his league. But 615 00:43:15.079 --> 00:43:20.280 herraras so with the Astros, the last pick of last draft, who's up 616 00:43:20.280 --> 00:43:22.199 in Double A and swinging it, I want to see how he does against 617 00:43:22.199 --> 00:43:25.320 them. Southern League, you know, and we're getting to the point of 618 00:43:25.320 --> 00:43:30.159 the league. We're starting to get repeats in smaller leagues. You know, 619 00:43:30.440 --> 00:43:34.960 some of the same series just continue to be the most interesting. But Birmingham 620 00:43:35.079 --> 00:43:39.000 is at Tennessee. You know, good Birmingham pitchers versus a good Smokey's lineup. 621 00:43:39.440 --> 00:43:44.960 Sale League. Jersey's Shore is at Greensboro. There's a lot of good 622 00:43:45.039 --> 00:43:49.519 Jersey Shore pitchers right now. And I want to see how Charles mcadow's week 623 00:43:49.599 --> 00:43:53.679 goes. I bet you he gets his because mcadow is legit. He is 624 00:43:53.760 --> 00:43:59.679 good man. Who knows maybe maybe he moves up to double A. And 625 00:43:59.719 --> 00:44:04.760 we don't even get to see these matchups. Northwest League against slim Pickens, 626 00:44:04.800 --> 00:44:10.840 but Hillsborough at Spokane probably the two most interesting talented teams in the league. 627 00:44:10.960 --> 00:44:15.800 I think Contaceelo and Pintar and those guys get to go up against Dolander and 628 00:44:16.039 --> 00:44:20.800 Sullivan and all that. Midwest League. Man, Lake County at Beloit. 629 00:44:20.920 --> 00:44:23.079 I'm excited for this one. You know that Matt and I are like the 630 00:44:23.159 --> 00:44:30.760 Lake County lineup. You got what Nate Furman and Capus and Mooney Ingle has 631 00:44:30.800 --> 00:44:35.880 been really good. But we get to see Noble Meyer and White versus that 632 00:44:35.960 --> 00:44:39.280 really good Lake County lineup, so that'll be their toughest protests so far. 633 00:44:39.320 --> 00:44:43.199 I want to see how that goes. In the Florida State League, you 634 00:44:43.280 --> 00:44:46.400 got Clearwater at Bradenton, so this is a chance to see Davis Graves and 635 00:44:46.639 --> 00:44:51.960 George Glassen from that really good Bradington angle. In the Carolina League, we 636 00:44:52.039 --> 00:44:58.960 got Fayetteville Columbia. Neil Marrachoa has settled in nicely, is a really interesting 637 00:44:59.280 --> 00:45:04.280 bats with potentially some big upside. But he's going to get to go up 638 00:45:04.280 --> 00:45:07.760 against some I think, some pretty good A ball pitchers for Columbia. But 639 00:45:07.800 --> 00:45:12.599 then in the Cal League, you know, Fresno's at Modesto, so again 640 00:45:12.639 --> 00:45:16.320 we get to see how Matt's nuts might do against those pretty pretty good for 641 00:45:16.400 --> 00:45:21.760 the level Fresno pictures. So I don't know that's that's enough of me talking 642 00:45:21.840 --> 00:45:25.320 at youra. I hope Matt won his his tennis match against the six year 643 00:45:25.360 --> 00:45:29.239 old women that he's playing against. He should be back next week. I 644 00:45:29.239 --> 00:45:31.159 want to ask him about a few of the guys that we mentioned and see 645 00:45:31.159 --> 00:45:35.239 what he's been watching. It's been a while since we've gotten some word on 646 00:45:35.880 --> 00:45:39.079 what his muddy might be looking like these days. You can follow me on 647 00:45:39.119 --> 00:45:45.119 Twitter at pitching specs, share some video, and if you were interested in 648 00:45:45.159 --> 00:45:47.480 what some of these pictures that I talked about tonight might look like, check 649 00:45:47.519 --> 00:45:52.400 out the Dynasty dugout. I think Cleig is gonna put that piece up I 650 00:45:52.440 --> 00:45:54.800 don't know, sometime soon here, and if he doesn't, I'll just share 651 00:45:54.840 --> 00:45:59.400 it on Google Docs via Twitter. But we'll let Chicago farmer take us out. 652 00:45:59.559 --> 00:46:02.280 Be well, Matt Volbel, so have your mind for me and we'll 653 00:46:02.320 --> 00:46:09.000 talk to you next week. Ladies and gentlemen. We got him five miles 654 00:46:09.039 --> 00:46:15.800 an hour, riding to his head. He hopped down the first with the 655 00:46:15.880 --> 00:46:22.360 lump on his face, and on the very next pitch he up and stole 656 00:46:22.719 --> 00:46:34.400 second face with gradest speed. He wasn't born. He had the dirdy yes, nifarn