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What is krak Oak and Harvard Knocks
listeners. I am a Dampa Valley coming

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out of the first time in a
full week because we had dual cancelations while

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you're with guests last week, so
you only had one pot. We apologize,

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but you'll have two this week and
I'll try and squeeze in a third

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one at some point in the coming
week so that the average days for everybody.

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I'm here without Adam Prommel, who
also had to cancel last minute at

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this point because he was extremely sick
on Monday. I'm recording this in the

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very wee hours of Tuesday morning.
We hope he's feeling better. We do

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00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:48,960
not begrudge him for not being able
to be here either, because we were

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00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:53,679
going to record on Sunday for Monday, but I am absolutely drowning in work

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and obligations at the moment, so
I needed to kick the can for that

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one. We push on anyway,
though. We'll have our next pot for

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00:01:00,159 --> 00:01:03,039
you on Friday. This is our
Tuesday mailbag. Have a ton of great

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questions from the discord to get to
as well as some Twitter questions. First

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00:01:07,159 --> 00:01:10,120
and foremost, though, need to
remind you to pretty pretty pretty please with

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00:01:10,159 --> 00:01:14,200
Sugar on top. Rate, review
and subscribe to this podcast wherever you consume

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00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:18,079
your podcast, downloading you every episode, throw us some ratings and reviews on

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Spotify and iTunes. We had a
couple of down votes in recent weeks telling

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us to stick to sports, so
help us juice those numbers up. That

20
00:01:23,359 --> 00:01:27,239
helps a ton and the other single
biggest thing that you can do to really

21
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help us out is retweet our promos
on Twitter or just tell people who you

22
00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:36,319
know like Hoops, Slash, the
NBA about this podcast and encourage them to

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00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:38,319
check it out or recommend your favorite
episode. Also, be sure to follow

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us on Twitter at Hardwoo Knox.
We were on YouTube YouTube dot Com search

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00:01:42,599 --> 00:01:46,239
Hardwooknox we will come up. Please
subscribe to us there and also follow us

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00:01:46,239 --> 00:01:49,799
on Instagram at Hardwood Underscore Knox.
All our personal socials are in the podcast

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00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:55,000
description as well. Lastly, remember
to join the Discord That is also just

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something we're looking to build out in
the coming months weeks. There's been a

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lot of chatre and they're already we
do have roles for each team. Some

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00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:07,080
of them have already been given out, but they are the executive vice president

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of Discord operations, so you can
claim that for a team. If we

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don't have it already, we might
hand out multiples anyway. But come join

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the discord. The link is in
the podcast description. We have a bunch

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of great conversations there. We're gonna
be running some fun stuff. We already

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have live game camp fires, and
I think I'll start doing something where I

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commit to sitting down to a game
and I'll be there and we can all

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talk. You can ask me questions
that won't turn into a podcast or even

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a chat, just we'll be there, we'll wrap, it'll be loads of

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fun. That's all I got.
So let's dive into this mailbag. We'll

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begin with our discord questions, since
those people took the extra step to come

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00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:45,680
chat with us. Darkwing Duck asked, what's the closest distance between the number

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one and eight seed in a conference's
history? So I went back to nineteen

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eighty four here, just because that's
when the NBA sort of not sort of,

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they did switch to the eight teams
per conference playoff format. I believe

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is when that happened. And I
also believe the impetus for this question is

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we look at the East right now
in the eighth place Nets or nine games

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back of the first place Heat,
and that's a fair that's fairly anomalous.

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You look at last year, there
was a big difference in that in the

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Eastern Conference, we've seen a lot
bigger like there have been instances. I

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mean, look at this year in
the West. The Clippers are eighteen games

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back of the first place Suns in
the West as the eighth place team,

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and so you look sort of at
the East and even with the ten place

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Hawks being only eleven games out of
first and really, you know, kind

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of diverting from this question, there
are also only six games in the lost

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comback of the fourth place Cavaliers.
There's a lot of tightly contested races going

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on here. But so I went
through I found three of the seasons that

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stood out the most to me.
I did bounce the ninety eight ninety nine

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campaign from consideration. I didn't need
because it was lockout truncated. I didn't

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need to bounce the two eleven twenty
twelve Crusade off the record because they didn't

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qualify. There was only a six
game difference in the Eastern Conference of the

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Western Conference. I can't remember since
I closed it out between the eighth and

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the first set, but again that
was across a fifty game season, so

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that didn't feel worth including two thousand
nine, two ten is the winner here.

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Technically, the eighth seeded Oklahoma City
Thunder were fifty and thirty two and

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seven games back of the first place
Los Angeles Lakers. The Spurs and the

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Blazers were also tied with win losses
to the Colahoma City Thunder, so those

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three teams six, seven, and
eight were all seven games back. That's

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a wildly close margin when you're going
that deep into the to the Western Conference.

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There was also the two eighteen twenty
nineteen season, more recently, the

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eighth place Los Angeles Clippers and also
the seventh place Spurs since they were both

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forty eight and thirty four, they
were nine games back of the first place

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Warriors there, and then the two
thousand and two two thousand three season we

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were in the Eastern Conference. This
time the Bucks were in seventh place and

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the Magic were in eighth place.
Both at forty two and forty they were

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only eight games back of the then
first place Detroit Pistons. So two thousand

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nine twenty ten that is the closest
one on record where there was only a

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seven game discrepancy from the eighth to
the first seed, and it's it's wild

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when you contextualize it this way.
It's still the same distance, but the

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Lakers winning fifty seven games as the
one seed and then the Thunder winning fifty

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games is the eighth seed. That
is just so darn close. And then

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of course there's that huge drop off
because the Thunder in eighth place were in

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eight games better than the ninth place
Houston Rockets. So that was a fun

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question. I guess it'd be interesting
to see whether the East could kind of

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come close to beating that. The
Rappers are in seventh place and there are

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seven games back of the first place
Miami Heat the Nets, as I already

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mentioned, their nine games back.
It's possible that they could close that gap,

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just because if Kevin Durant comes back
soon, if Kyrie Iring's eventually able

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to play in every game, do
we know when Ben Simmons is going to

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play, just what they look like, I wouldn't put it past this season

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becoming sort of the new Touchsdowe for
you know, a small gap, but

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the smallest gap between the one and
the eighth seed, and even if the

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records don't kind of show it,
you just based off knowing what the Nets

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could look like at full strength,
you could probably make the leap and say

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this is one of the most tightly
contested Eastern Conference playoff races in history.

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Either way, though, even just
going by that raw games back in the

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standing sol this has a chance to
really beat that two thousand nine, two

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ten marks. This can even be
a situation technically where we're looking at it

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like it was ninety eight ninety nine, when there's only six games separating the

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eight seed from the one seed.
I don't know if we'll get to that

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point, but it's making for one
hell of a close to the season,

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and it's just, you know,
I'm more fascinated. I'm fascinating with every

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aspect of the Eastern Conference race just
because there's no seed that's just locked down

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at this point. You also just
have the tenth place Atlanta Hawks being you

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know, six losses behind the fourth
place Cleveland Cavaliers, and there are just

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caveats abounding everywhere. The Bucks are
in fifth, are they actually going to

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stay there? And they have the
same record as the Calves. When does

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Brook Lopez play. What does some
of their new editions look like? But

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Cleveland is dealing with a banged up
Cares Labert and Darius Garland, not to

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mention Colin Sexton's out for the season. The bullstofts some injuries in Caruso and

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Lonzo ball Zach Levine is playing through
a knee injury. The Heat are great

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and they're finally like sort of,
they're the healthiest they've been all season.

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Where the Nets look like when they're
healthier. Can the Raptors sort of they're

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dealing with some stuff with OG and
FTV right now. But are they too

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top heavy or are they a team
that could fall off? But I do

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look at these top eight teams specifically, and I don't think you can assume

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that one is really good to plunge
and you really have to go deeper.

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Probably you have to look at the
Raptors or the Nets. Just because the

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Celtics are in sixth and they're five
and a half games back but first place,

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and so I know, like I'm
throwing a bunch of numbers here,

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but the Raptors and Nets are the
two furthest teams at seven and nine games

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respectively, off the first place pace, and there's like a real chance that

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both those teams, if they're healthy
enough, are going to be good enough

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get wins from enough good teams they
can bridge the gap to where they are

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only five or six games back of
first I haven't looked at the schedule,

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so I don't know if the wind
distribution can technically work out that way.

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But the East is a bloodbath right
now. You can argue that the two

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most serious title contenders lie in West, with Phoenix and Golden State. As

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much as they're slumping, I think
some people would make the leap and say

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Memphis might belong in that discussion.
They're only one game back of second place

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in the West by the way entering
March. That's fucking absurd. But this

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just underscores sort of how hot and
heavy the East has been. Even if

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you like the top of the West
better, there's just there's more parody in

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the East right now, and the
Grizzlies are a perfect case in point.

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There's seven games back of the Suns, who are in first place, and

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that speaks more to the Suns,
but that's part of the top heaviness.

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And meanwhile, we're talking about a
Raptors team in seventh place is only seven

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games back of the first place heat, so this race has a chance to

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go down when you're looking at one
through right again, specifically has a chance

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to go down as the closest during
the sixteen team playoff format. I'm going

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to be very intrigued to see how
it unfolds. Jake g asked, what

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are your reactions on the embiid and
hard and pairing after one game? Should

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the rest of the league just give
up? Now there have been two games

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since this question was asked, Again, the podcast need to be delayed.

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00:09:01,399 --> 00:09:03,679
He also adds, based on a
bead saying that was probably the most wide

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00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:07,000
open I've ever been in my career. I'd be nervous if I had to

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play them in a seven game series. I mean less I'm a Hornets than

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00:09:09,759 --> 00:09:13,200
you just a lead point god Mason
plumbly and sweep the series. Yeah.

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So you know, I've been impressed
with how easy it seems like Embid and

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00:09:18,799 --> 00:09:22,960
Hardener fitting together. And I've not
looked at purposely, and I did not

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00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:26,440
look at any on off numbers or
get into the nitty gritty data. I

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00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:31,879
just watched every action from the two
games and involving those two. You can

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00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:35,559
run high screen and rolls to death
with them, and I think that that's

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00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:39,320
going to be devastating. There's going
to clearly be maybe an adjustment with how

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00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:41,960
hard it needs to pass to someone
who's not a lob catcher. There was

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00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:45,240
one instance, I think it was
the was it the Knicks game, where

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00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:46,960
he just threw a pass that you
know Ebiad's not gonna finish it to catch

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00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:50,320
it and come back down, but
he scored anyway. I also think it's

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00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:54,759
going to help that having the pick
and pop weapon at the five with Mbiad.

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00:09:54,799 --> 00:09:58,159
I don't Harden didn't look uncomfortable throwing
him passes, and I think it

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00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:03,120
forces the defense is to think more
just because no Joel Embiid is not this

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00:10:03,159 --> 00:10:07,120
traditional Roman threat, but because he
has so many ball skills and can stop

162
00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:11,559
on a dime and shoot, there
are more things that they have to plan

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00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:15,919
against even if you're not worried about
him finishing lobs, and I think we

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00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:18,399
saw that to an extent. I
don't really want to use the Knicks game

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00:10:18,399 --> 00:10:22,399
as an example because they're fucking clueless. They've just some of the watching them

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00:10:22,399 --> 00:10:26,159
trying to defend Harden Ebid picking rolls
with Julius Randall and Mitchell Robinson the court

167
00:10:26,159 --> 00:10:30,360
at the same time was actually painful. My eyes are still sort of bleeding

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00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:31,679
from it. But you look at
sort of the Timberwolves game, and there

169
00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:35,559
were a couple spots where Harden was
able to probably deliver the ball a little

170
00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:39,200
bit earlier to Embid than he would
with other bigs, because you can trust,

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00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:41,600
again, he's either going to pause
and shoot or he can put the

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00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:45,039
ball on the floor. That's not
something that Clink Capella or Dwight Howard,

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00:10:45,399 --> 00:10:50,320
at least the Dwight Howard in Houston
was ever going to do. And I

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00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:54,720
don't want to say spares hardened energy, but if he's able to deliver the

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00:10:54,759 --> 00:10:56,639
ball earlier, it doesn't even have
to get going downhill before he's throwing some

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00:10:56,679 --> 00:11:01,440
of these passes to Embiid. It
makes his job a lot easier than it's

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00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:03,840
ever been. I think that this
is more of an organic pairing than people

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00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:07,240
were crediting. And Bee's already done
a good job of sort of tethering himself

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00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:11,279
to Harden when Harden's bringing the ball
up, and so perhaps you're not seeing

180
00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:15,480
moving forward as many from scratch touches
from Embid when he's on the court with

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00:11:15,519 --> 00:11:18,759
Harden, That's ultimately fine. The
workload that Ebid had to carry for most

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00:11:18,759 --> 00:11:22,639
of this year was arguably too heavy
anyway. He was the fulcrum of both

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00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:24,519
the offense and the defense for Philly. You're still gonna have minutes where you

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00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:28,320
only have one of them on the
court to begin with, so he's still

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00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:31,480
going to get those types of touches. I like the way that this pairing

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00:11:31,519 --> 00:11:37,000
has looked though so far, and
I think matist Table might be the teammate

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00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:39,679
in Philly that benefits the most from
this, just the way defenses have been

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00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:43,360
losing him when he's hanging around the
dunker spot or if he can cut to

189
00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,879
the basket. Tyrese Maxie will probably
benefit as well with some leakouts in transition.

190
00:11:46,919 --> 00:11:50,679
You could say the same for Tyble, and I've been kind of impressed.

191
00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:52,960
I would need to check like the
average possession time numbers on this.

192
00:11:54,279 --> 00:11:56,440
I've been impressed with a number of
leakouts at least that Philly has tried,

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00:11:56,600 --> 00:12:01,440
or that they don't seem that they're
bogging down too much in the open floor.

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00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:03,440
After missus they're not looking to blitz
it, but like, this isn't

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00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:09,000
something that's coming to a slow grinding
pause. I will say that the free

196
00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:11,759
throw parade is real, and it
might be at times unwatchable. It's going

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00:12:11,799 --> 00:12:16,279
to be incredibly effective though. And
so when you look at sort of the

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00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:20,159
landscape of the Eastern Conference, I
don't know where you should put Philly in

199
00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:24,399
the pecking order of title contenders.
There are just there's so many things that

200
00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:28,639
matter here, really two games at
this recording into the hard and embiid era

201
00:12:28,759 --> 00:12:33,919
together, So I don't want to
make any just profound conclusions. They're there,

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00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,000
though, and I would put them
ahead of the nets in the title

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hart hierarchy. I don't know that
I trust the Bulls and the playoffs just

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yet. I need to see it. And there are people done great breakdowns

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of the Bulls, what the Martin
Rosen has done, what their defense can

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be like at full strength. I
would assume most been huge from them.

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Zach Lavine is just his offense is
so scalable when he's on. I just

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there's something about them. It just
makes me wonder whether their offense is dynamic

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enough to whether the storm of the
playoffs maybe Vujevich is sort of you know,

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connective pastor for them goes a long
way, and he's quietly played a

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lot better over the past on a
month and a half or whatever it's been.

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But I would put the Sixers ahead
of them. I'd still take the

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Bucks over Philly. I take I
take Philly over the Nets Miami. I'd

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probably take over Philly at this point. Those are the two teams though that

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I'm I'm only guaranteed to take over
Philly right now. If you're looking at

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Toronto, Boston, Cleveland, Chicago, those are all up in the air.

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So and Brooklyn I'm just ready depends
out of the title contemporary. We

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can use the ifs and ifs and
ifs, if this happens, if Kevin

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Duran's healthy, if Kyrie Irving's playing
every game, if and when Ben Simmons

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plays at some point. There's too
many ifs here. There's just too many

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uncertains, and they have to start
not they're not going to tank, but

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they don't have they don't control their
own pick this year. But you do

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have to start thinking, Okay,
this is more of a two twenty two,

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two twenty three team. If that
because what happens with Kyrie Irving's free

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agency because he has a player option. Overall, though I really do like

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would Embed and Harden seem like they're
going to become and I do think that

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the whole Ken Harden, except that
this is in bids team and it's sort

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of just a lateral move from his
status in Brooklyn where that was already going

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to be Kevin Durant's team, or
people comparing it to Kevin Durant arriving in

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Golden State and finding that he was
never going to be as popular as Steph

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Curry. I don't think Harden was
under the illusion that this was ever going

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to be his team. I actually
fully believe. I don't care what people

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say because there might have still been
problems and awkwardness behind the scenes. Maybe

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James Harden Kyrie Irving just never vibe, including from last season. I could.

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I could buy into that if Kyrie
Irving plays this year, is available

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to play every single game, we're
probably not talking about James Harden becoming a

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mount content and so he remains the
one to me his up ended Brooklyn season

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more than than anyone else. This
next question comes from Bondam thirty four.

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What was the worst trade you couldn't
remember that didn't involve a star. I

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was thinking the King's six Ers captain
in twenty fifteen. I believe might be

241
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mine, But I don't know if
there's some forgetting I've racked my brain for

242
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these. That one is, of
course a good one that Kings had in

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00:15:00,399 --> 00:15:03,200
twenty fifteen. I'm just clearing all
this cap space and signing big names,

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and they ended up with Rondo was
like the highlight of that summer for them.

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That certainly has to be a candidate. I think you can go back

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00:15:11,559 --> 00:15:16,879
to the twenty thirteen I think it
was, yeah, a trade for Bonniani

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where the Knicks give up a first
round pick. It ends up becoming Yaka

248
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Purtle, who was a pretty damn
good basketball player. But that was just

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00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:26,080
sort of a signal that New York
didn't really know how to handle the success

250
00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:31,519
of the twenty twelve twenty thirteen season
prior where it was, Hey, let's

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00:15:31,559 --> 00:15:35,360
put a ton of spacing around mellow
and veterans who allow him to sort of

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just go about his business. They
optimize his offensive skill set, don't ask

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him to do too much defensively or
even as a leader and the Knicks just

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I don't really know what they were
thinking in that one sneaky candidate, and

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I don't know if this is recency
bias creeping in. We might look back

256
00:15:48,519 --> 00:15:56,240
upon the Celtics essentially trading the pick
that became Desmond Baine just to skirt the

257
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luxury tax to get off Enis Canner, Enis Freedom, whatever the fuck he's

258
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calling himself these days. That might
go down is just one of the worst

259
00:16:03,399 --> 00:16:08,399
non star trades ever. It'll be
even worse if Desmond Bain grows in to

260
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a star, and so there's so
many caveats there because other teams passed on

261
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him. The number thirty pick isn't
necessarily supposed to turn into anything then,

262
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But that just the optics of that
just looks so terrible because in the theory,

263
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that was also a type of player
that Boston needed at the time and

264
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could clearly still need now he's a
lot like just looking at his ball skills,

265
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like that was someone who could have
definitely helped the earlier version of this

266
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team, even before they traded for
Derek White. That just might be when

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we look at and go, holy
crap, it was just Desmond Baine the

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pick that became doesn't mean was traded
as part of a salary though, But

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those are the two that really sprang
to mind for me. That might be

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my Knicks bias creeping in, but
the Barnani deal was just awful. And

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what makes this exercise tough is I
think when you're looking at it through the

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non star lens, those are the
trade that you might just remember the least

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because they're normally inconsequential, even if
they do have some longer term consequences.

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And then even just the for the
Kings specifically, that's a great candidate that

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trade. But when you're moving deals
like four cap space is it in?

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You know, how much do you
penalize teams for doing that? Like how

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00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:18,400
bad does it look if you don't
sign stars because of how much of a

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crapshoot for agency could be. I
do lean toward that. It's still knowing

279
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the back channels of the NBA teams
have a lot of information, and so

280
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if you're the Kings and making that
decision without having knowledge that you're getting the

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players you were targeting first and foremost, then yeah, that just looks terrible

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in the moment. And then of
course even years later down the line,

283
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and just to I mean, the
scale of draft equity they gave up to

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was just absolutely blasphemous. So it's
certainly candidate, but it's interesting too to

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think about those those types of trades
you begrudge. When the Knicks acquired Tracy

286
00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:56,400
McGrady gave up assets because they were
trying to make the run at Lebron James

287
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:57,920
in twenty and ten, and this
was not prime team Mac. It was,

288
00:17:59,039 --> 00:18:00,839
you know, like Hobbel team Mac, who I think did win his

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first game at the Garden. I
actually attended it, I believe, But

290
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like that even the Knicks again when
they did it with Christaps porzingis because they

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00:18:08,839 --> 00:18:12,839
thought Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant were
coming, only to see them go over

292
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to Brooklyn. That's a man that
franchise has tried way too many times to

293
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get other teams as players, only
to fall through. And I know that

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they're always tangentially mentioned as like preferred
destinations. When was the last time that

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00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:27,920
players actively wanted to go to the
Knicks even when they were agitating their way

296
00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:33,119
out? Mellow wasn't the last one, because I'm pretty sure CP three really

297
00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:36,359
wanted to go to New York,
but they chose the path of amnestein Chauncey

298
00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:40,599
Billups, signing Tyson Chandler and then
therefore just limiting their flexibility to go after

299
00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:42,480
CP three while having stat on the
books as well with Chandler and Melow.

300
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But it just it hasn't happened in
forever, and the team still operates like

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00:18:48,839 --> 00:18:52,440
they're that type of destination. And
if Zion's really unhappy New Orleans and they

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00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:55,720
think they've positioned themselves because they have
r J and they could have the whole

303
00:18:55,759 --> 00:18:59,799
Duke reunion with Cam Reddish, that
is a detour that we don't a rabbit

304
00:18:59,839 --> 00:19:02,319
hole. We don't need to go
down right now. And I tweeted this

305
00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:06,440
out the other night in the wee
hours of the night, just like when

306
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:11,039
I'm recording this, I'm getting ready
to say some pretty recklessly optimistic things about

307
00:19:11,079 --> 00:19:15,680
a Pelicans team that has Zion in
it. Very Look, look, Willie

308
00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:18,880
Green has done a good job sort
of coaxing defense out of this team and

309
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:23,359
especially limiting opponents in transition. Ever
since the Pelicans dropped to was a six

310
00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:27,079
and eighteen whatever it was like the
low point of their season, and CJ

311
00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:30,519
mccoumus had some really high moments for
them. Their offense is going to be

312
00:19:30,839 --> 00:19:34,920
taf thermonuclear as fuck, as we
say around here. Once it can be

313
00:19:36,039 --> 00:19:37,759
that already. But if Zion plays
this season, or if they just have

314
00:19:37,839 --> 00:19:41,559
them for next year, and this
is largely the same cast that's in place,

315
00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,839
good luck stopping them. I am. If you give me a Pelicans

316
00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:48,440
team at full strength, I'm ready
to say some stuff, is all I

317
00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:55,880
could hint that Hoop Informatics had two
questions and he said favorite and least favorite

318
00:19:55,960 --> 00:20:02,079
player to watch. So favorite if
we're looking at stars, I really do

319
00:20:02,319 --> 00:20:07,640
enjoy Steph Jannis, Devin Booker,
probably just a job of course, Like

320
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:11,359
are the most entertaining high names for
me? When you look at higher profile

321
00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:14,960
least favorite players to watch, I
do not enjoy watching. And also Westbrook

322
00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:19,480
anymore, Like that's because that's become
sort of a chore for me when you're

323
00:20:19,519 --> 00:20:26,079
looking at sort of less heralded guys. If we're trying to, you know,

324
00:20:26,079 --> 00:20:29,519
do the basketball nerd flex and I'm
honestly not trying to go like too

325
00:20:29,519 --> 00:20:33,079
far awful link here. I really
enjoy watching o Shaber set in Indiana.

326
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:37,359
He's one of those guys that makes
you want to watch what happens away from

327
00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:40,720
the ball and the work he puts
into it. I'll also say he's a

328
00:20:40,759 --> 00:20:42,119
rookie, so I don't want to
necessarily throw him into this already. I

329
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:45,440
would assume he has been a joy
to watch this year because he plays with

330
00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:51,799
this like frenetic energy yet is still
under control. So that's incredible. I

331
00:20:51,799 --> 00:20:56,200
don't know if there's like a least
favorite like player to watch that's sort of

332
00:20:56,240 --> 00:21:03,519
a not like on that at scale, because I guess I can't generate or

333
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:07,240
muster strong feelings about those players.
Westbrook might be my least enjoyable NBA player

334
00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:11,960
to watch this season there though,
And there's also the there can be times

335
00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:14,839
where it's when we're looking at higher
profile guys like, yeah, it absolutely

336
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:18,160
is difficult to watch James Harden for
stretches if he's you know, pounding the

337
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:22,200
ball too much, and the free
throw parades in Philly that are bound to

338
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,960
come, how does that slow down
sort of the pace of the game.

339
00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:30,240
So there's certainly that to consider.
I'm really trying to think of if there's

340
00:21:30,279 --> 00:21:33,759
like a you know, I don't
really feel like dumping on a non star,

341
00:21:33,839 --> 00:21:36,319
not that I want to dump on
a star anyway, but just like

342
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:41,319
someone who's on a lower scale that
I really don't enjoy watching. I used

343
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:42,799
to not enjoy watching Andre Drummond,
but I feel like the past three or

344
00:21:42,799 --> 00:21:48,880
four years he has like these guilty
pleasure moments that I'm definitely all about.

345
00:21:48,039 --> 00:21:52,400
So you could, you could certainly
throw him out. I wouldn't put him

346
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:56,359
in consideration for this, but he's
certainly not one of my favorite players to

347
00:21:56,440 --> 00:22:00,039
watch. I mean, yeah,
I honestly don't know. That's maybe I

348
00:22:00,039 --> 00:22:03,319
should have given that one more thought. I guess I just don't have like

349
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:08,359
strong feelings on players who aren't these
marquee contributors I could. I could probably

350
00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:11,640
do with that Malik Beasley, if
that matters to anybody, or this season's

351
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:17,680
version of Malik Beasley. There are
moments where Jordan Wara is painful to watch,

352
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:21,920
but I sort of enjoy the adventure
behind it all for him, So

353
00:22:22,079 --> 00:22:25,119
just going through those, I don't
really want to. I'm not going to

354
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:27,359
name a nick and just say Julius
Randall, but he's been he's been tough

355
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:32,720
to watch for a lot of this
season. Yeah, I think That's the

356
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:37,039
closest you're gonna get out of me, is saying those types of players.

357
00:22:37,079 --> 00:22:38,880
I think Garrett Temple has been a
rough watch this season too. I haven't

358
00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:42,839
caught the past. I caught the
Lakers Pelicans game, and I don't think

359
00:22:42,839 --> 00:22:47,319
he really played in that one,
So they're sort of a breath of fresh

360
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:49,680
air. I did think about,
No, that's that's not even a good

361
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:52,759
one. But yeah, that's the
closest you're gonna come for me to sort

362
00:22:52,799 --> 00:22:56,960
of dumping on players that maybe shouldn't
be there. If anyone has their own

363
00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:00,680
suggestions, feel free to get me
on that one. Whoop Informatics also asked

364
00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:04,400
or poses this scenario. Pretend Andrew
Wiggins and Julius Randolds swap places. How

365
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:07,519
do we think of those two if
Julius Randol was with the Warriors and Andrew

366
00:23:07,519 --> 00:23:12,000
Wiggins was with the Knicks. That's
an interesting question because of some of the

367
00:23:12,079 --> 00:23:18,200
wing development we've seen under Tibbs in
New York, so Wiggins's role might be

368
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:22,160
more complicated. But given what we've
seen in you know, the minutes from

369
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:25,440
Quentin Grimes before his injury, and
then of course RJ. Barrett, does

370
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:29,480
he sort of have a quasi breakout. If he's in New York and he

371
00:23:29,519 --> 00:23:32,759
has really competed on defense, what
would he have looked like if he was

372
00:23:32,799 --> 00:23:36,000
on the Knicks last year. I
tend to think that Julius Randolo would look

373
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:40,160
way better in Golden State than Wiggins
would look in New York, just because

374
00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:45,720
part of the part of the draw
or part of Wiggins's effectiveness in Golden State

375
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,680
is the way his role has been
streamlined at both ends of the floor.

376
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:52,240
When you've asked him to do too
much, Yeah, there's been times where

377
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:55,960
he's delivered, but we've also seen
of late when you are too dependent on

378
00:23:56,039 --> 00:23:59,119
him, Like there are gonna be
really rough stretches where he bails out before

379
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:02,200
the rim way too often. It
doesn't give you any sort of pressure when

380
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:04,680
he's putting the ball on the floor. I don't know why his role would

381
00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:07,640
be any easier in New York.
They might actually need more, if you

382
00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:10,960
know, would they insert him into
like sort of some of the RJ.

383
00:24:11,079 --> 00:24:15,000
Barrett touches because Julius Randall is such
a high usage player for them, and

384
00:24:15,039 --> 00:24:18,119
Derrick Rose has been injured. Kema
Walker doesn't work out, Andrew Wiggins probably

385
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:21,319
ends up having to be a pretty
high usage player in New York, and

386
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:25,799
I don't think that's his anything near
his forte and the other thing. I

387
00:24:25,839 --> 00:24:30,279
think his Golden State has created this
defensive ecosystem around him, behind him,

388
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:33,000
in front of him, just like
having all this sort of different talent to

389
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,519
where he's been allowed to succeed.
I don't know that the Knicks, I

390
00:24:36,559 --> 00:24:37,599
don't It's nothing I don't know.
I don't think the Knicks have the same

391
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:41,839
level of comfort there, whereas with
Julius Randall. Steph is so plug and

392
00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:47,640
play. I think he can work
alongside anyone. There could be some iffiness

393
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:51,359
with the Draymond Green Julius Randall fit, but again, Randall has at least

394
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:55,400
been willing to shoot threes even when
they don't go down, and Green has

395
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:59,839
found ways to work with Kavan Looney
offensively, so I can't imagine that would

396
00:24:59,839 --> 00:25:03,160
be too much of a thorny fit. I guess because Julie's Gonna likes to

397
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:07,000
have the ball so much more than
a Looney or even a Wiggins, that

398
00:25:07,039 --> 00:25:11,319
could create some redundancy, But he
also gives Golden State a ball handler for

399
00:25:11,599 --> 00:25:15,759
minutes where step and Curry is off
the court, and that could wind up

400
00:25:15,799 --> 00:25:21,240
really helping the Warriors. I don't
know how much of a defensive expenditure it

401
00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:23,839
comes at, though we've already seen
the Warriors start to struggle after treading water

402
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:27,480
without Raymond Green, and Randall's not
going to help you there. The last

403
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:30,039
season version of Randall that was really
just locked in, but this year where

404
00:25:30,039 --> 00:25:34,119
he's just letting dudes get behind him
left and right. Probably not. I

405
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:38,279
would say that we view Andrew Wiggins
was never going to be an All Star

406
00:25:38,319 --> 00:25:41,440
starter or never should have been an
All Star starter, but I think we

407
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:44,240
would end up viewing him a lot
more negatively if he was with the Knicks

408
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:47,359
and Randall. I don't know if
he ever I doubt he ever has his

409
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:52,039
second team All NBA campaign with the
Warriors, but he's probably a player that

410
00:25:52,079 --> 00:25:53,279
we could look at and say,
oh, we turned into this blue guy,

411
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:56,759
or it's working out for the Warriors. Even if I wouldn't predict that,

412
00:25:56,839 --> 00:26:00,400
I think it's pretty safe to say
that Randall on the Warriors would be

413
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:04,839
a much better player and or fit
than a Wiggins on the Knicks. And

414
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:10,440
I don't think that that's like a
ridiculous thing to point out Ian forty two,

415
00:26:10,519 --> 00:26:12,599
ask Portland seems interested in training for
Jeremy Grant in the offseason. People

416
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,640
in Portland seem to think he's awesome. Can you please explain what he does

417
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,839
or doesn't do that makes him worth
twenty million dollars a year. Look,

418
00:26:18,839 --> 00:26:22,559
what he does is he is someone
that you can say, go guard the

419
00:26:22,599 --> 00:26:26,559
other team's best player who's basically not
a point guard, and he can do

420
00:26:26,599 --> 00:26:29,359
it and hold up a lot.
There's a ton of value in that.

421
00:26:29,839 --> 00:26:32,680
There's the element of three and D
to his game where even if he's a

422
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:37,519
below league average on threes, he's
normally going to be right around the overall

423
00:26:37,599 --> 00:26:40,119
league average. Maybe not necessarily on
catch and shoot opportunities, but you can

424
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:42,400
count him to hit open catch and
shoot threes. What's been really interesting in

425
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:47,480
Detroit for stretches is he clearly has
more ball skills when you're looking at him

426
00:26:47,519 --> 00:26:49,920
not just attacking an open space,
but going at it in ISO and it's

427
00:26:51,079 --> 00:26:52,799
not the most efficient play, it's
not something you can lean on, but

428
00:26:52,839 --> 00:26:57,960
it's an extra layer to his game
that he didn't plum in Denver or Philly

429
00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:03,160
or Okay see and knowing that it's
there. I don't want him as my

430
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:07,119
number two, but if you get
into a situation where he's your number three

431
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:11,039
or number four, he might be
more dynamic than the average. I'll say

432
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:15,480
number the average, number three or
number four. I think even number three

433
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,119
you can go down, because not
every team's number three is Chris middle tenor

434
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:22,759
or Drew Holiday. Do I think
he's worth the four year, one hundred

435
00:27:22,759 --> 00:27:26,039
twelve million dollar extension that a team
who acquires him will have to give up.

436
00:27:26,559 --> 00:27:30,880
I'd probably skew towards know what the
league is hot for guys that do

437
00:27:30,039 --> 00:27:34,720
even the most complimentary version of what
Jeremy Grant does, where he if he

438
00:27:34,759 --> 00:27:38,039
doesn't soak up possessions on the offensive
end and then defends his butt off and

439
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:44,640
is spacing the floor hitting stand still
threes on the other side. So I

440
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:48,880
get the appeal, but this is
a fair inquiry about Portland where I think

441
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,880
Joe Cronin deserves. I don't know
if it's the benefit of the doubt,

442
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:53,680
but this team deserves time to see
what they're going to do with its flexibility,

443
00:27:53,759 --> 00:27:56,799
what direction they're taking in. Are
they rebuilding around Dame? Is this

444
00:27:56,839 --> 00:28:02,079
supposed to be a quick retool.
I struggle to see the long term vision.

445
00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:03,920
And maybe that's the idea is they
believe that they can take so many

446
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:07,559
different forms, have so many different
options. That's why they've set themselves up

447
00:28:07,599 --> 00:28:11,319
this way. But if you're looking
at going into next season with Dame,

448
00:28:11,519 --> 00:28:18,200
this year's lottery pick Anthony Simons,
do you resign Nirk? You've you've explored

449
00:28:18,319 --> 00:28:22,000
like some of the other youngsters on
your roster, Plus you could also maybe

450
00:28:22,079 --> 00:28:26,359
have a for once healthier nos little
you have Josh Hart saw a guy you've

451
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:32,279
You've seen good minutes from Greg Brown
at points trend and Wofford has given you

452
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:36,319
some interesting minutes too. What does
Kean Johnson turn into. I don't know

453
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:38,279
that that's a much better situation than
the Blazers had. If it's a better

454
00:28:38,319 --> 00:28:44,440
situation at all pre CJ and Norman
Powell Trede. And it's not even just

455
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:49,640
about being slightly better. You want
to have a clearly higher range of outcomes

456
00:28:51,079 --> 00:28:52,880
once you're moving on, if you're
trying for the instant turnaround, I don't

457
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:56,599
think that scenario really gives you that
they could have other moves up their sleeve

458
00:28:56,880 --> 00:29:00,440
though, of course, and so
we have to see what they do with

459
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,000
this year's first round pick, assuming
that they're going to keep it, which

460
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:04,559
I would predict that they do,
even though they've you know, they've already

461
00:29:04,559 --> 00:29:07,839
shut down Nerk. We know Dame
is out and we're probably gonna get to

462
00:29:07,839 --> 00:29:11,039
a mover that you show down Anfrey
Simon's if they don't lose enough enough games.

463
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:15,079
So I this is this is a
really fair question if I'm Portland,

464
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:19,400
like Jeremy Grant is not the answer
to maximizing whatever they're trying to do in

465
00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:22,519
the post CJ, post Norm Powell
era. I think if you want a

466
00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:26,160
number two on your team for Dame
to contend, I would argue they have

467
00:29:26,279 --> 00:29:32,279
to be better than Simons and Jeremy
Grant, Like those those two are your

468
00:29:32,359 --> 00:29:33,839
third and fourth best players. Now
you're really working with something, and Josh

469
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:37,000
Hart's like your fifth best player or
Nerk is you know, there's it's cool

470
00:29:37,039 --> 00:29:41,119
that if you keep Nerk around and
he's playing the way he was before his

471
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:45,680
injury, you there might be blurry
lines between a Grant, Simons and Nerk

472
00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:48,960
on who's your second, third,
and fourth best player on any given night.

473
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:52,839
So there's value in that sort of
depth, but I think you need

474
00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:57,680
a higher end number two then CJ. McCollum or an Anthony Simons or Jeremy

475
00:29:57,759 --> 00:30:00,640
Grant. And if you were going
to, oh this nuclear route and you're

476
00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:04,279
keeping Damian Lillard, which you know
he has not said anything, and I'm

477
00:30:04,279 --> 00:30:08,319
just going to default towards He'll stay
in Portland until or Portland will keep him

478
00:30:08,359 --> 00:30:11,359
until he says he doesn't want to
be there anymore, which he is yet

479
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:15,759
to do. I would not be
inspired if Jeremy Grant ends up being the

480
00:30:17,279 --> 00:30:22,680
most marquee newcomer from this entire operation, Jeremy Grant plus this year's lottery pick.

481
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:25,000
And I think that's fair to say. So that's a great question.

482
00:30:25,039 --> 00:30:29,000
Ian lukea. J thirty seven.
Do you think the Calves success is sustainable

483
00:30:29,039 --> 00:30:33,279
this year or they do for a
regression similar to the Knicks from last season.

484
00:30:33,519 --> 00:30:37,279
Yeah, that's something that's interesting to
think about. What I think is

485
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:44,200
different about the Calves is they're having
this success while also missing their leading scorer

486
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,880
from last season and Colin Sexton,
who Zach Low has said this might just

487
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:52,279
be the most disrespected twenty four points
per game score in NBA history, just

488
00:30:52,359 --> 00:30:56,039
because it came on pretty good efficiency, and people are so dismissive of him

489
00:30:56,039 --> 00:30:59,960
and thought the Calves not everyone but
thought the Calves should trade him while he

490
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:03,519
was injured and rather than even think
about bringing back in free agency. Maybe

491
00:31:03,559 --> 00:31:06,880
you're not crazy, maybe you're not
in love with the carus leavert fit beyond

492
00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:11,599
this season. But Darius Garland younger
than Julius Randall and has already made like

493
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:18,559
the All Star rise. Evan Mobley
is a transcendent defender already, and you

494
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:22,160
watch him on offense, there's like, I don't know if he can necessarily

495
00:31:22,359 --> 00:31:26,480
isn't think the game that quickly yet, but there's like a fluidity and also

496
00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:29,480
a complexity to some of the things
he does with the ball in his hands,

497
00:31:29,559 --> 00:31:33,240
especially when he's around the basket.
And as a passer. You have

498
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:36,319
Jared Allen, who even if you
think that Pascal Siakam should have been named

499
00:31:36,319 --> 00:31:38,119
to the East All Star Team over
him, this is someone who's a defensive

500
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:41,720
difference maker has improved on offense.
I think that's what separates the Cows from

501
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:45,359
the Knicks more than anything. This
doesn't feel like as big of a flash

502
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:49,880
in the pan because you have a
lot of players who can grow from these

503
00:31:51,839 --> 00:31:55,000
career high points, Whereas when you
look at Julius Randall, there was almost

504
00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:57,880
nowhere for him to go but down
from that second team all MBA appearance and

505
00:31:59,079 --> 00:32:02,119
getting such a high impact season from
Derrick Rose maybe not an anomaly, but

506
00:32:02,359 --> 00:32:06,720
his availability post trade last year probably
was. And we're seeing that now when

507
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,119
you used to have yet another procedure
while he was still trying to work his

508
00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:15,160
way back from his latest injury.
So I don't think they're the next version

509
00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:19,480
of the Knicks. I do think
some people fear they've rushed the process a

510
00:32:19,519 --> 00:32:22,519
little bit by giving up this year's
first and that Houston second round er to

511
00:32:22,599 --> 00:32:25,400
get Caro Silbert. I don't mind
that as much because there's a chance that

512
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:29,079
Lavert really ends up working out.
Now you've given yourself a bunch of different

513
00:32:29,119 --> 00:32:32,559
options with contexton if he's too expensive, you can let him walk, if

514
00:32:32,559 --> 00:32:35,599
there's a lot of interest in him, maybe you look at sign in trades,

515
00:32:35,839 --> 00:32:37,920
or also maybe just knowing how good
your defense has been this year and

516
00:32:38,119 --> 00:32:42,559
how much you've struggled to generate offense
at points in the half court, and

517
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:47,559
knowing that you don't have a ton
of just knocked down shooters around your primary

518
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:52,440
ballhander, the Darius Garland, or
just period having Colin Sexton who showed that

519
00:32:52,519 --> 00:32:55,079
he can hit threes in addition to
Darius Garland. Like that still works with

520
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:59,079
Carol Silvert. I don't know if
you'd ever play those three together, but

521
00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:02,079
it does sort of. It deepens
your offense, and so I don't think

522
00:33:02,119 --> 00:33:07,279
that's the best spot to be in. And you also just have more intriguing

523
00:33:07,359 --> 00:33:10,039
trade assets at this point that you
would actually give up than the Knicks do,

524
00:33:10,519 --> 00:33:14,480
because are you married to Isaac okorro
Our team is going to be able

525
00:33:14,519 --> 00:33:16,519
to talk themselves into Larry Mark in
his contract. Kevin Love is in the

526
00:33:16,559 --> 00:33:20,920
sixth man of the year discussion right
now, but he'll be on nixspiring contract

527
00:33:21,279 --> 00:33:23,279
next season. Is their stuff you
can attach to him, or a contract

528
00:33:23,319 --> 00:33:27,599
you can take back that other teams
might not necessarily want. They have more

529
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,480
avenue is worth exploring. But beyond
that, I just think when you look

530
00:33:30,519 --> 00:33:35,880
at the core of their roster,
none of them, even though they might

531
00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:39,240
be operating at career peaks in a
Jared Allen, a Darius Garland than this

532
00:33:39,359 --> 00:33:45,240
is of course Evan Mobley's debut NBA
season. That's not going to be their

533
00:33:45,279 --> 00:33:47,960
actual apexes. I mean maybe it
could be, but they're young enough to

534
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,480
where you can envision them getting a
lot better. And with the Knicks last

535
00:33:51,559 --> 00:33:53,519
year it was okay, maybe I
can grow a little bit, but you're

536
00:33:53,519 --> 00:33:57,799
gonna need to trust him and give
him a different role and give him a

537
00:33:57,839 --> 00:34:00,480
long rope, which the Knicks have
generally not done. This season. You

538
00:34:00,519 --> 00:34:02,319
could have been visioned Obe Topping being
better, which he has been, but

539
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:06,640
his role is not grown. You
can visioned r J. Barrett being better

540
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:08,559
at moments he has looked up,
looked great, and you know, going

541
00:34:08,599 --> 00:34:13,440
back and watching that forty six point
performance he had last week. If I

542
00:34:13,519 --> 00:34:15,400
were the Knicks, that's the direction
how it goes, I would strip it

543
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:17,320
down. Yeah, keep someone like
the youth to Quentin Grimes, the manual

544
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:21,800
quickly, the Obie Topping, and
just start to rebuild around r. J.

545
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:24,280
Barrett because you're not going anywhere with
this court. It's stagnant. And

546
00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:28,199
they read, They clearly read,
just like so much of us, including

547
00:34:28,559 --> 00:34:30,880
this podcast. We did talk ourselves
in the Julius Round extension. We thought

548
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:34,440
the Knicks were more for real than
not. We'll own up to that.

549
00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:37,719
Those people who thought that some more
stronger than us, some maybe a little

550
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:42,360
bit weaker than us, we're all
fucking wrong about it. I don't think

551
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:45,960
the Calves are going to follow that
similar trajectory, and just knowing how gut

552
00:34:45,199 --> 00:34:49,239
gutsy they've been on defense, their
help to play right now, and the

553
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,480
fact they're still contending for a top
four spot in the East when it's as

554
00:34:52,559 --> 00:34:55,000
competitive as it is, when they're
dealing with as many key absences as they've

555
00:34:55,039 --> 00:34:59,320
had to deal with, specifically no
Colin Sexton for most of this year,

556
00:34:59,559 --> 00:35:01,519
losing Rubio at one point, let's
not forget about that, and now Darius

557
00:35:01,599 --> 00:35:07,440
Garlands banged up and as is Caius
Lavert. Maybe they're not the fourth best

558
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:09,239
team the East this year, but
progress isn't linear. And we said that

559
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:12,639
about the Knicks leading into the season. They could have had a worse record,

560
00:35:13,039 --> 00:35:15,719
they could have finished eighth, tenth
in the East, but there could

561
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:20,239
have been real progress because of development
from the youngsters, or maybe something you

562
00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:24,360
noticed about their identity identity sustaining on
defense, or Julius Randall's defensive improvement holding

563
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:29,440
where Mitchell Robinson taking a step forward
where he's more of a consistent presence.

564
00:35:29,519 --> 00:35:35,519
But they've just regressed from last year, and it's shown that the product the

565
00:35:35,599 --> 00:35:38,119
team that they were fielding was a
nomalous whereas with these calves. Just to

566
00:35:38,199 --> 00:35:43,360
reiterate it, I think it's clear
that there's time for them to marinate and

567
00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:46,480
get even better from this, even
if it's not happening right away. Jt

568
00:35:46,679 --> 00:35:50,719
Alexander asked, do you think it's
time for the NBA to adopt an elim

569
00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:53,239
ending on a full time basis to
all games? We've seen it improve the

570
00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:57,559
past two All Star Games, and
the Lakers Clippers game from Friday night took

571
00:35:57,559 --> 00:36:00,000
twenty minutes to finish the last thirty
seconds, which really killed the momentum.

572
00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:02,320
Do you think it is ever likely
to happen? It wouldn't improve the ending

573
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:06,599
of games. I don't want to
cop out here and say I don't know,

574
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:08,000
but I honestly don't know. We
can know the NBA is going to

575
00:36:08,039 --> 00:36:12,719
think about it if the elim ending
becomes the standard ending across an entire G

576
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:15,760
league season, and maybe they measure
how that works out for anyone who's not

577
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:21,039
familiar with it. The way it's
going to work is at least as when

578
00:36:21,079 --> 00:36:23,639
you're using it for the basketball tournament. Specifically, it calls for the game

579
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:27,960
clock to be shut off at the
first dead ball with under four minutes in

580
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:30,840
the fourth quarter, and a target
score will then be established to finish the

581
00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:35,800
game by adding eight points to the
leading team's score. The thought process here

582
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:37,559
is, yeah, maybe the game
is still not close, but every game

583
00:36:37,639 --> 00:36:44,079
theoretically then concludes with a game winner. What also happens is when it is

584
00:36:44,159 --> 00:36:47,360
close, it does change the way
when the clocks turned off, how you

585
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:53,440
defend, because you could get to
a point where where one you're not fouling

586
00:36:53,679 --> 00:36:58,000
to ensure that time stops. But
there's also going to points where you can't

587
00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:00,960
foul because that could put someone at
the line to just end the game if

588
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:05,320
they're going to hit the target score
on one of those two free throws.

589
00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:09,199
And so I think there is some
validity to that thinking. I am curious

590
00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:15,920
as to how it could impact just
certain records that the NBA might be married

591
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:20,039
to, or how you measure trunch
time. I guess it would just be

592
00:37:20,159 --> 00:37:22,800
from when the target score is added. I'd be curious with the Players Association

593
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:25,079
thinks about this. I don't really
know that we've heard from them on the

594
00:37:25,119 --> 00:37:30,360
subject. I haven't read anything.
At least my gut says that it won't

595
00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:36,000
happen anytime soon sweepingly, but we'll
know if they decide to use it across

596
00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:39,960
a G League season. There's a
there's a real chance then that it's going

597
00:37:40,039 --> 00:37:44,199
to come to the NBA students,
since they do use the G League for

598
00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:46,519
a ton of experimental purposes and normally
when it's at I don't want to say

599
00:37:46,519 --> 00:37:50,320
that, you know, let's not
the deal zone if Brian Winvers might call

600
00:37:50,360 --> 00:37:54,800
it, but that's sort of been
their guinea pig operation. I honestly don't

601
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:57,480
know how I feel about it,
though I wish I could tell you that

602
00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:00,639
I felt strongly one way or the
other. The end of that Late Cuse

603
00:38:00,639 --> 00:38:02,960
Clippers game was brutal. I was
watching it. My god, it just

604
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:07,519
wouldn't end. So I totally understand
that. But you're also going to have

605
00:38:07,639 --> 00:38:10,719
to that might be that one Specifically, it's more about can we change the

606
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:14,719
instant replay rules. There's got to
be a way to speed that up.

607
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,519
Those won't necessarily go away unless they
also change those rules. As part of

608
00:38:17,559 --> 00:38:21,000
the elim ending. I do think
it should be on the table, just

609
00:38:21,079 --> 00:38:22,719
because it's been interchanged for the All
Star Game. And again, even if

610
00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:29,000
these games aren't close, there's something
fun about contest ending on a on a

611
00:38:29,079 --> 00:38:30,639
made shot. Do you get to
a point though, where it doesn't matter

612
00:38:30,760 --> 00:38:35,119
if they're blowouts because teams are just
gonna stop trying and they'll let parades to

613
00:38:35,199 --> 00:38:38,559
the to like a layup line go
through. I honestly don't know, but

614
00:38:38,599 --> 00:38:42,800
I do think it's it's valid enough
to think to think about JT. I

615
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:45,800
just don't know if it would make
it better. I think if the NBA

616
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:50,199
doesn't want to go that route,
there definitely needs to be changes to instant

617
00:38:50,199 --> 00:38:52,519
replay, and there needs to be
changes to that regardless of whether the NBA

618
00:38:52,599 --> 00:38:57,719
adopts the elim ending across all games, you know, the regular season,

619
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:01,400
specifically, Jay Dobbs of the Pacers, Pistons, Magic and Rockets. Who

620
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:06,159
has the best chance of winning a
playoff series in the next three years?

621
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:09,719
Holy shit, this is a great
question. Adam would definitely pick the Magic

622
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:15,000
because he's just somehow in luge love
with their mishmash of non stars. There

623
00:39:15,760 --> 00:39:19,480
I think you could argue I'm going
to say that, I'm gonna say the

624
00:39:19,559 --> 00:39:23,840
Pacers just because they have Miles Turner
and Malcolm Brogden still there, and if

625
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:27,840
you decide to keep them, go
forward with Tyrese Haliburton, who is really

626
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:30,440
good. You have Christa war Day, you bring back t. J.

627
00:39:30,559 --> 00:39:32,960
Warren if he's healthy, plus this
year's pick, which could be like top

628
00:39:34,039 --> 00:39:37,119
five, top seven, whatever,
I'm gonna say them. I think after

629
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:42,400
that there'd be a case for the
Pistons, just because there's a chance that

630
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:46,480
they end up having as soon as
next season the best player among these four

631
00:39:46,559 --> 00:39:50,840
teams in Kid cutting him. I
really think that he's that good. I

632
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,639
might pick the Magic next then,
or even consider them over the Pistons just

633
00:39:53,679 --> 00:39:57,920
by virtue of them being in the
Eastern Conference. If Jonathan Isaac is healthy

634
00:39:57,960 --> 00:40:00,840
next year, they did just get
marked l folks back. What if Jalen

635
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:06,239
Suggs hits friends Wagner looks spectacular,
so they could be in the discussion for

636
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:08,400
number two. I'm gonna say the
Pacers. They can clearly trade their way

637
00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:12,880
out of this, But as of
right now, entering March first, twenty

638
00:40:13,199 --> 00:40:15,360
twenty two, I would expect the
Pacers to win a playoff series before the

639
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:19,639
Pistons, Magic or Rockets, the
ladder of whom just has a tough go

640
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:24,199
of it in the West and they
don't necessarily have the tent pole prospect.

641
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:30,719
We know that the Pacers have it
in Tyrese Haliburton plus really good above replacement

642
00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:35,119
level players, fringe All Stars and
Malcolm Brogden and Miles Turner plus the topic

643
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:39,840
this year. I guess the Magic
they're a hodgepodge as well. And you

644
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:42,400
know, if you're going to say, oh, well, they have Jalen

645
00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:45,840
Suggs, Yeah, but the Rockets
have Jalen Green and who was playing pretty

646
00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:50,920
well leading into the All Star break. So it's just the West is so

647
00:40:51,119 --> 00:40:53,880
tough, and I think the Magic
are a little bit deeper where you're looking

648
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:59,000
at their immediate optionality of the outcomes
may not be as high long term.

649
00:40:59,039 --> 00:41:00,719
I think that really just depend on
what you think the ceiling of Sugs is

650
00:41:01,679 --> 00:41:05,360
or what you think Isaac can turn
into on offense. Maybe I'm just miss

651
00:41:07,400 --> 00:41:09,960
mistaking Like friends Wagner's peak is this
someone who could be a lot better than

652
00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:15,480
even he's shown so far. Houston
feels like it has more flyers with Changoon,

653
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:17,480
Christian Wood, Jalen Green, even
it was mont Gruba still sort of

654
00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:21,400
an unknown, and then all those
picks moving forward for themselves. But the

655
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:23,920
Magic it also feels some urgency.
Maybe before the Rockets took out and get

656
00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:27,840
some window talent. I might just
a fault to the Pistons at the second

657
00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:30,079
best because I'm that in love with
Kake Cunningham and they're gonna have another top

658
00:41:30,159 --> 00:41:34,960
pick to add there. Though they
could wind up trading Jeremy Grant this season,

659
00:41:35,079 --> 00:41:37,360
I still think the Rockets are going
to be fourth for me, if

660
00:41:37,400 --> 00:41:43,199
only by virtue of them playing in
the Western Conference. This will be our

661
00:41:43,599 --> 00:41:45,320
Oh that is our last discord questions, So now we can move on to

662
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:50,840
the Twitter questions. Had had a
bunch of good ones here. First one

663
00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:55,960
comes from NBA stat nerd which rookie
has the highest PR on a team currently

664
00:41:57,079 --> 00:42:01,199
in the playoffs or playing spot I
set if you want to look at just

665
00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:07,360
not having any qualifiers, you have
basically Jaden Springer in Philly twenty six point

666
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:12,920
seven PR. But I wanted people
who had played like semi actual minutes,

667
00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:20,400
so I set the benchmark at rookies
this season who qualified for the or played

668
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:23,320
at least five hundred minutes excuse me, swored them by pr Umar Your seven

669
00:42:23,519 --> 00:42:27,440
came up. He's at eighteen point
four, alpertn Shane goudas two at sixteen

670
00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:30,360
point three, followed by Scottie Barnes
at fifteen point nine, and Evan Mobley

671
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:36,000
at fifteen point seven. Jonathan Cominga
is five at fourteen point seven, and

672
00:42:36,159 --> 00:42:39,519
Franz Wagner is right behind him at
fourteen point seven as well. I decided

673
00:42:39,559 --> 00:42:46,280
to also look at the value over
replacement player of rookies who have played at

674
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:51,119
least five hundred minutes again this season. Or did I haven't qualified for the

675
00:42:51,159 --> 00:42:58,039
minutes per game leaderboard. Yeah,
since they don't five minimum five hundred minutes.

676
00:42:58,159 --> 00:43:01,679
So Evan Mobley leads the pack here
with one point three. Scottie Barnes

677
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:07,280
is two at one, Herbert Jones
is third at point six, and so

678
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:09,679
those three they come from potential playoff
teams. The Helicans are still in the

679
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:14,559
race out east, but Mobile and
Barns are clearly you know, they're right

680
00:43:14,639 --> 00:43:17,119
there in the thick of rotations for
actual playoff teams. And then if you're

681
00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:21,320
looking at it, though PR for
playoff teams, it's it's you're at seven

682
00:43:21,480 --> 00:43:24,039
comes in because he's actually played six
hundred and eleven minutes for the Heat has

683
00:43:24,039 --> 00:43:29,559
shown some stuff around the basket from
the stuff that I have seen of him,

684
00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:32,639
and they've also needed him more at
points this season because of all the

685
00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:37,639
injuries that they were dealing with.
I don't expect him to be like someone

686
00:43:37,679 --> 00:43:39,440
who's on the floor in the playoffs. Scottie Barnes though, would be the

687
00:43:39,559 --> 00:43:43,840
next and Mobile they're right there.
They rank third and fourth overall and rookie

688
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,320
PR of a minimum five hundred minutes
played. But they're also both just coming

689
00:43:46,440 --> 00:43:51,000
from bona fide playoff teams and really
prominent parts of their rotation. And it's

690
00:43:51,039 --> 00:43:54,840
pretty wild that Jonathan Cominga who is
still under below average at fourteen point seven

691
00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:59,719
with average considered fifteen and still pretty
high for rookie, and he's playing now

692
00:44:00,039 --> 00:44:02,840
regular role for a team and the
Warriors that as of right now is I

693
00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:08,280
still think the second most serious contender
in the Western Conference. Next question comes

694
00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:12,840
from Daniel Tye fall excuse me,
Mitchell Harris. Daniel Types Fan Club is

695
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:15,440
next. Mitchell Harris asked to Westbrook's
triple doubles actually help his teams or is

696
00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:19,440
it that his team wins more when
his teammates shoot better, which is when

697
00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:22,039
he gets triple doubles. I always
wonder this because it always seems assists is

698
00:44:22,079 --> 00:44:27,599
the hardest part for him. So
lifetime, Russell Westbrooks teams are one forty

699
00:44:27,639 --> 00:44:30,679
two and fifty one. When he
records a triple double, it's a seventy

700
00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:32,639
three point six win percentage, which
is super high. I think we've seen

701
00:44:32,679 --> 00:44:37,000
the limitations of this though in recent
years since leaving Oklahoma City, his teams

702
00:44:37,039 --> 00:44:40,360
were thirty two and twenty three when
he records a triple double, which is

703
00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:44,519
a fifty eight point two winning percentage. You're still above five hundred there,

704
00:44:44,559 --> 00:44:49,920
but it's noticeably lower. I don't
necessarily know what value to ascribe to triple

705
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:54,639
doubles other than I don't necessarily know
that there are a reflection of winning contributions.

706
00:44:55,159 --> 00:44:59,199
They're more volume than they think.
They're impressive volume, especially when you're

707
00:44:59,199 --> 00:45:01,800
averaging over the course of an entire
season. But I think when it comes

708
00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:06,079
to Russell Westbrook, how is he
getting those triple doubles? Are they coming

709
00:45:06,119 --> 00:45:08,840
within the flow of an offense.
No, they're coming because he dominates an

710
00:45:08,880 --> 00:45:13,320
offense more often than not, Like, forget about the rebound chasing, but

711
00:45:13,400 --> 00:45:15,639
the assists, Like, this is
not someone who's going to just whip the

712
00:45:15,719 --> 00:45:20,920
ball around and throw these touch passes
after playing off the ball himself a ton,

713
00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:25,079
Like he needs to dominate the action
and try and collapse defenses and attack

714
00:45:25,159 --> 00:45:29,440
the basket. And that changes the
way that players around him need to play.

715
00:45:29,679 --> 00:45:34,159
And if you insert him into ecosystems
where there are other alpha ball handlers,

716
00:45:34,199 --> 00:45:37,840
scores, offensive players, whatever,
I think you're more likely to struggle

717
00:45:37,960 --> 00:45:40,039
even if he is getting a triple
double. And we've seen that in Houston,

718
00:45:40,320 --> 00:45:44,960
we've seen it in Washington, and
now we've seen it with the Lakers.

719
00:45:45,159 --> 00:45:49,559
So when he is your lone star
and is he a star if you

720
00:45:49,599 --> 00:45:53,559
put him on a team where he
is just the center of everything and you

721
00:45:53,639 --> 00:45:58,079
have like actual competent role players around
him, like, this isn't someone who

722
00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:02,159
can lift up a fringe contender.
I guess like he kind of did in

723
00:46:02,199 --> 00:46:06,239
two thousand and sixty thousand, seventy
post KD. This isn't a you know,

724
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:08,440
he couldn't have if you gave him
the nugget supporting cast would be my

725
00:46:08,519 --> 00:46:10,840
point. They're not gonna have the
same type of season that they've had with

726
00:46:10,960 --> 00:46:15,360
Nicole Yokich, sans Jamal Murray and
Michael Porter Jr. But if you did

727
00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:20,320
put him just around him with shooting
in a five, who can set screens

728
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:22,239
like we saw with a Steven Adams
doesn't necessarily need to space the floor.

729
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:27,119
I do think that team could be
better than this current Lakers team. But

730
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:31,280
he is no longer good enough to
want to dictate the terms of your roster

731
00:46:31,679 --> 00:46:36,039
to that degree, and that's where
it becomes difficult. And the context of

732
00:46:36,159 --> 00:46:39,119
his triple doubles are just they came
because he had a monopoly over the offense

733
00:46:39,159 --> 00:46:44,440
specifically, and he is no longer
good enough to do that, or even

734
00:46:44,440 --> 00:46:46,000
if you think he is, there
are going to be limitations to how good

735
00:46:46,039 --> 00:46:51,039
your team can be if that's the
route you're taking. And as of right

736
00:46:51,079 --> 00:46:52,480
now, if you're asking me whether
I think a Russell Westbrook cripple double is

737
00:46:52,519 --> 00:46:55,840
a harbinger of whether his team is
winning or losing, I just don't think

738
00:46:55,840 --> 00:47:00,960
it's be indicative of anything other than
what his role is on that team or

739
00:47:00,079 --> 00:47:04,800
any given night was Lebron out and
that's why he's taking control. But if

740
00:47:04,840 --> 00:47:07,239
I was forced to choose now,
I don't think that Russell Westbrook having a

741
00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:09,559
triple double necessarily ensures that your team
is a better chance of winning. It's

742
00:47:09,599 --> 00:47:13,280
like Mitchell also said here, a
lot of it could just come down to

743
00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:15,760
his teammates hitting shots. It's also
not on him if they if they miss

744
00:47:15,760 --> 00:47:20,920
shots. I think it's really though
Again, the context of his role on

745
00:47:21,039 --> 00:47:23,000
the office is what matters more than
anything, and when he can't be the

746
00:47:23,559 --> 00:47:27,519
all everything, he is going to
struggle. And I think we've reached the

747
00:47:27,519 --> 00:47:30,400
point in his career where even if
he is the all everything, you have

748
00:47:30,519 --> 00:47:34,239
to still surround him with very high
end plug in play talent for you to

749
00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:39,840
even be a noticeably above average NBA
roster. Daniel Tys Fan Club asked what

750
00:47:39,920 --> 00:47:44,519
percentage Robert Williams has finishes around the
ram or alley oops and putbacks. So

751
00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:47,400
Robert Williams, as of this recording
has finished, has taken two hundred and

752
00:47:47,400 --> 00:47:51,119
fifty nine shot attempts of some form
at the rim. He has made two

753
00:47:51,199 --> 00:47:55,000
hundred and two of them. So
shooting seventy eight percent there, So of

754
00:47:55,159 --> 00:48:00,800
those two hundred and two mates,
eighty three eighty six come off of alley

755
00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:04,559
oops, so that ends up being
forty two point six percent of all his

756
00:48:04,679 --> 00:48:07,920
makes come as the finisher on an
alley loop. And then sixty one of

757
00:48:08,000 --> 00:48:12,039
his two hundred and two makes at
the rim are on putbacks, so that

758
00:48:12,119 --> 00:48:15,559
comes out the twenty three point six
percent of his looks around the rim.

759
00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:20,960
So that's you know, almost two
thirds, maybe more than two about it's

760
00:48:21,000 --> 00:48:27,199
more than two thirds of his offensive
scoring or as rim attempts come or rim

761
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:31,159
makes come as alley ope finishes or
or putbacks. So there you go.

762
00:48:31,360 --> 00:48:36,480
Dan Ties Fan Club Alex asked,
how does points per game relate to players

763
00:48:36,519 --> 00:48:40,320
as usage rate so uses percentage.
I don't want to go through the read

764
00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:45,360
out the calculation of the way that
it is calculated. It's just too complex

765
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:50,360
to read through on this. But
it's accounting for field goal attempts, free

766
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:53,639
throw attempts, turnovers. It's supposed
to be an estimate of the percentage of

767
00:48:53,679 --> 00:48:55,920
team plays used by a player while
he's on the floor, and when so

768
00:48:55,960 --> 00:49:00,880
many team plays are going to end
in a shottempt or free throw attempts specifically,

769
00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:05,039
never mind the turnovers, and then
there's the minute plate element. But

770
00:49:05,159 --> 00:49:08,719
when it's those shot attempts, the
more shots you take in fury, the

771
00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:15,440
more points you're going to score,
and so the higher your shot attempts,

772
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:19,599
the higher your usage rate is going
to be. So there is that in

773
00:49:19,679 --> 00:49:22,519
free throw attempts obviously too, So
there is that corollary. And unless you're

774
00:49:22,599 --> 00:49:25,119
just like one of the worst scores
of all time, it doesn't have to

775
00:49:25,199 --> 00:49:30,360
be this direct correlation between usage rate
and how many points per game you're scoring.

776
00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:34,960
But you're probably only taking shots finishing
plays in the first place because you

777
00:49:35,079 --> 00:49:37,880
are a valuable score. So if
your points per game are higher, the

778
00:49:38,000 --> 00:49:42,880
chances are that you are going to
have a higher usage rate. There are,

779
00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:45,000
of course, things that can factor
in that. If you're not getting

780
00:49:45,039 --> 00:49:49,840
to the foul line because you're exclusively
just sort of a catch and shoot guy,

781
00:49:50,519 --> 00:49:52,719
if you're someone who doesn't have a
ton of prol of the offense,

782
00:49:52,800 --> 00:49:58,159
so you're not even necessarily committing turnovers, you're just passing the ball to someone

783
00:49:58,199 --> 00:50:00,199
else, which this you know,
the most basic form of usage is not

784
00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:04,599
accounting for assist that you go out
yeah, in theory, you could have

785
00:50:05,239 --> 00:50:07,880
a lower usage rate, and just
there are guys that have averaged a ton

786
00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:13,719
of points in the past that don't
have these super high usage rates, especially

787
00:50:13,840 --> 00:50:16,000
if they're you know, when you're
looking at the Also the other thing,

788
00:50:16,039 --> 00:50:20,280
when you're looking at the calculation for
usage rate, like it's not making any

789
00:50:20,360 --> 00:50:24,639
delineation between threes and two point attempts. You can take fewer shot attempts while

790
00:50:24,639 --> 00:50:30,320
having a higher usage a lower usage
rate if you're just taking a ton of

791
00:50:30,400 --> 00:50:34,199
threes, and like, you know, think of like a Joe Harris last

792
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:38,039
year, he's averaging over fourteen points
per game, and like his usage is

793
00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:43,920
a hair over eighteen, which is
just like not super duper high. So

794
00:50:44,360 --> 00:50:47,400
there's that context there. But I
would think generally there's going to be a

795
00:50:47,440 --> 00:50:52,519
correlation between like the more you're scoring, the higher usage rate is going to

796
00:50:52,559 --> 00:50:57,280
be because in theory, you're just
finishing a higher percentage of your team's plays.

797
00:50:57,360 --> 00:51:00,599
That was sort of a stumbling explanation, but that's really the gist of

798
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:07,880
it. This question comes from truth. He asked why do casuals hate stats?

799
00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:13,239
Basketball fans? Mostly because stats are
facts? Nerds? Nerd invented basketball.

800
00:51:13,519 --> 00:51:16,400
When the haters of stats argue about
their players, they don't hesitate to

801
00:51:16,519 --> 00:51:21,639
use them nerd haters or casual highlights
kids even if their favorite player coach or

802
00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:28,960
using those stats. So I don't
I don't like using the word casual as

803
00:51:30,360 --> 00:51:34,360
like a denigration. There are casual
basketball fans because it's not their favorite sport,

804
00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:37,719
or they don't pay Super CLO's attention
to the NBA and left the Super

805
00:51:37,760 --> 00:51:39,480
Bowl or something, or maybe they
only pay attention in the playoffs, maybe

806
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:43,599
they only follow one team, or
maybe they're just not into the mini gritty.

807
00:51:43,719 --> 00:51:45,199
So I don't want to promote,
like not promote. I don't want

808
00:51:45,199 --> 00:51:50,360
to like label someone a casual ass
as an insult. And I don't even

809
00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:54,280
know that all casuals hate stats as
basketball like the basketball stats excuse me.

810
00:51:55,239 --> 00:52:02,559
I really just think that there's been
a poor job in many instances of communicating

811
00:52:02,679 --> 00:52:06,599
what these stats mean and how to
portray them. So we see the misuse

812
00:52:07,159 --> 00:52:10,960
or neglected altogether. But there's a
way to marry the eye tests and numbers,

813
00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:14,920
and it's been done by many people
for a really long time. There

814
00:52:15,000 --> 00:52:20,079
can be it still feels like the
stats world can be too gatekeeper or condescending

815
00:52:20,119 --> 00:52:22,800
at one point, and some people
do use them as balls. Some people

816
00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:25,960
just misportray them entirely, especially when
you're looking at kitchen sink metrics, or

817
00:52:27,000 --> 00:52:30,639
if you just value points per game
over everything else. But I don't really

818
00:52:30,760 --> 00:52:35,079
think that if you're a casual fan
you necessarily hate stats. If you're just

819
00:52:35,280 --> 00:52:37,599
someone who is more invested in the
eye test, you might not place as

820
00:52:37,679 --> 00:52:43,880
much stock in stats. I don't
know whether that's right or wrong. Neither

821
00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:45,079
one to me is the end all
be all. You need to tether them

822
00:52:45,199 --> 00:52:52,199
together. It's a marriage of both
cubone x x zs and we'll finish here.

823
00:52:52,599 --> 00:52:57,280
Which MVP candidate has the worst supporting
cast The answer, without going into

824
00:52:57,320 --> 00:53:00,800
any detail, I think would just
be Nicole Yokich. He's missing the two

825
00:53:01,679 --> 00:53:06,519
two of the three best players on
a team in Michael Porter Junior and Jamal

826
00:53:06,639 --> 00:53:10,440
Murray. His second best player this
season has been Aaron Gordon. Maybe it's

827
00:53:10,440 --> 00:53:14,840
been Will Barton. At points,
you can try and look at more scientific

828
00:53:14,920 --> 00:53:17,320
ways of this. I did try
to look at which MVP candidates had the

829
00:53:17,400 --> 00:53:22,239
fewest number of teammates who qualified for
the minutes per game leaderboard while also ranking

830
00:53:23,079 --> 00:53:28,719
or checking in with an above average
VORP, and that really wasn't too effective.

831
00:53:28,719 --> 00:53:30,719
You could look at if you averaged
out the value over replacement players of

832
00:53:30,760 --> 00:53:36,039
their supporting casts among qualified players who
qualified at the minutes for game, that

833
00:53:36,119 --> 00:53:39,079
might be more more useful. But
there's like a tie here basically where most

834
00:53:39,119 --> 00:53:44,440
of these guys have six or seven
or eight or nine teammates who have qualified

835
00:53:44,519 --> 00:53:46,400
for the minutes per game lead aboard
and have an above average VARp. Just

836
00:53:46,599 --> 00:53:51,159
to try, and this is not
the way I would do it, but

837
00:53:51,280 --> 00:53:53,320
if you looked at the net ratings
of teams when these stars are off the

838
00:53:53,360 --> 00:53:57,880
court, Nicole Yokich is also going
to win that the Nuggets are getting outscored

839
00:53:57,880 --> 00:54:00,000
by twelve points per one hundred possessions
when he's on the floor. There are

840
00:54:00,000 --> 00:54:04,119
obviously other influencers here, like who
are they playing without him? Are there

841
00:54:04,239 --> 00:54:07,320
certain players that they're just tethering to
Nicole Yokich's minutes almost exclusively who could really

842
00:54:07,360 --> 00:54:09,719
help out in the times that he's
off the court. Yes, that's absolutely

843
00:54:09,760 --> 00:54:14,320
a possibility. But when he just
comes up so much, even when you

844
00:54:14,360 --> 00:54:16,920
look at net ratings, swing the
Nuggets are I think twenty two point four

845
00:54:17,000 --> 00:54:21,679
points better per one hundred possessions when
Yokich is on the court. That is

846
00:54:21,719 --> 00:54:23,760
the single highest net rating swing in
the league. So that keeps coming up.

847
00:54:24,079 --> 00:54:29,440
Steph actually happens to be number two
when looking at higher volume players,

848
00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:32,559
and I'm not even you don't even
need to go by higher volume players specifically.

849
00:54:32,599 --> 00:54:36,920
It's just among anyone who has logged
at least two hundred and fifty minutes

850
00:54:37,280 --> 00:54:42,559
this year, Nicole Yokich has the
single highest net rating swing in the league.

851
00:54:42,800 --> 00:54:47,159
And again that's not an end all
be all necessarily, but it's twenty

852
00:54:47,199 --> 00:54:51,840
two point five points is no joke. And then you have, like I

853
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:54,880
said, Steph checks in it number
two at sixteen point seven. There's like

854
00:54:54,920 --> 00:54:58,920
a huge gap there. When you're
also just looking at the net ratings with

855
00:54:59,039 --> 00:55:02,599
players off Steph's the Warriors are minus
five point two. That's the second lowest

856
00:55:02,679 --> 00:55:07,760
mark. Again, there's a huge
gap there though, between the Curry and

857
00:55:07,880 --> 00:55:10,599
Yokis minutes, and that's kind of
impressive knowing that Draymond Green plays so or

858
00:55:10,639 --> 00:55:15,039
played so many of his minutes with
Steph. So the Warriors have I don't

859
00:55:15,039 --> 00:55:21,559
want to say, hamstrung themselves during
certain stretches there, but it's not they

860
00:55:21,639 --> 00:55:23,199
haven't put there. There are other
things I think they could have done better

861
00:55:23,280 --> 00:55:27,320
to try and survive. The death
minutes is when I'm getting at pre Clay

862
00:55:27,400 --> 00:55:31,199
Thompson's return, pleach, pre Draymond
green back injury. The Bulls are minus

863
00:55:31,280 --> 00:55:35,519
five with the Rosen off the floor, and so that's the third highest mark

864
00:55:35,559 --> 00:55:37,719
even Lebron like the Lakers, they're
minus three point six per one hundred when

865
00:55:37,719 --> 00:55:40,400
he's off the court. So Yo
the Nuggets, the yokich Is. Even

866
00:55:40,639 --> 00:55:45,239
the yokichless minutes for the Nuggets are
even worse than that. That's not a

867
00:55:45,320 --> 00:55:49,280
perfect comparison because you're getting into a
point where you're comparing minutes from all these

868
00:55:49,280 --> 00:55:52,039
different rosters where stars even on the
court. I do think it's among the

869
00:55:52,119 --> 00:55:59,360
foremost MVP candidates. I think you
have to say it's it is Yokis though,

870
00:55:59,400 --> 00:56:02,000
because Steph maybe comes pretty close.
But you're discrediting a lot of what

871
00:56:02,199 --> 00:56:05,880
Raymond did then the rest of the
season. Even just looking at number two

872
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:09,079
options specifically this year, it would
have to be by fault or the second

873
00:56:09,119 --> 00:56:13,639
best player. Let's say I think
it's still Yokis like Damario Rosen has,

874
00:56:13,719 --> 00:56:16,360
Zach Lavine, Lebron is Ampty Davis
even if he's not available. Like I

875
00:56:16,400 --> 00:56:20,599
said after that, there's the huge
drop off. Joel Embiide is interesting.

876
00:56:20,679 --> 00:56:22,639
The Sixers are a minus three pro
one hundred possessions when he's off the court,

877
00:56:22,679 --> 00:56:28,079
and the second best teammate has been
Tyrres Maxie this year instead of Ben

878
00:56:28,159 --> 00:56:30,119
Simmons. Maxie was really good though, But if you wanted to make a

879
00:56:30,199 --> 00:56:34,480
case for that, you can't anymore
because James Harden's there. Let's not forget

880
00:56:34,519 --> 00:56:37,360
Seth Curry was there too. Are
either of those two players Maxe Curry?

881
00:56:37,360 --> 00:56:43,440
Would you prefer them to Aaron Gordon
or Will Barton? Maybe I wouldn't blame

882
00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:45,119
you if you did. I wouldn't
blame if you didn't. Janie. You

883
00:56:45,159 --> 00:56:49,280
know, having Drew and Chris Middleton, the bucks are shallow, but those

884
00:56:49,320 --> 00:56:51,440
two guys at the top, that's
a luxury that not a lot of other

885
00:56:51,519 --> 00:56:53,320
guys have. Chris Paul is Devin
Booker and just a deep roster, and

886
00:56:53,360 --> 00:56:57,079
hey, Devin Booker has Chris Paul. Even Chris Paul is currently injured and

887
00:56:57,119 --> 00:56:59,519
the rest of the Sun's roster as
well. I guess there could be a

888
00:56:59,599 --> 00:57:01,840
case Luca, but the mass are
actually winning the minutes three point seven points

889
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:06,800
per one hundred possessions when he's off
the court this year. That actually shocked

890
00:57:06,880 --> 00:57:09,360
me. It's not Jimmy Butler,
it's not rudygo Berrodonovan Mitchell, It's definitely

891
00:57:09,400 --> 00:57:15,239
not John Morant. I think it
would have to be between Yokich, Curry,

892
00:57:15,199 --> 00:57:19,519
and maybe Embed but like you kind
of remove him now. If you

893
00:57:19,559 --> 00:57:22,079
have a different answer, feel free
to get at me. But I'm almost

894
00:57:22,119 --> 00:57:24,400
positive that Yokich is the MVP candidate
with the worst supporting cast, and I

895
00:57:24,400 --> 00:57:30,079
think that's gonna give him a lot
of MVP when it comes to the arguments.

896
00:57:30,159 --> 00:57:31,719
I don't know that's not wrong,
but I do think we need to

897
00:57:31,760 --> 00:57:37,039
be careful not to necessarily discredit players
who have a better supporting cast, are

898
00:57:37,079 --> 00:57:42,519
healthier supporting cast. It's not their
fault that they're not working with West.

899
00:57:42,960 --> 00:57:45,760
So Yokich is doing is impressive.
He would be my MVP pick if the

900
00:57:45,800 --> 00:57:50,800
season ended today. But there are
a lot of justifiable candidates. I think

901
00:57:50,880 --> 00:57:53,320
at least four, maybe five,
perhaps even six at this point, and

902
00:57:53,360 --> 00:57:59,400
I'm not someone who is all participation
trophy like here that just wants to hand

903
00:57:59,440 --> 00:58:02,079
the MVP word to everybody. Thank
you for sticking with me. If you've

904
00:58:02,119 --> 00:58:07,079
made it this long, we will
be back for another podcast this Friday if

905
00:58:07,119 --> 00:58:08,440
you If you have made it this
far, though, please remember to rate,

906
00:58:08,480 --> 00:58:12,519
review and subscribe to us wherever you
get your iTunes. Wherever you get

907
00:58:12,519 --> 00:58:15,840
your podcasts, we asked you do
head over iTunes and throw us five star

908
00:58:15,960 --> 00:58:19,440
ratings and reviews. Written reviews in
addition to those five star ratings help a

909
00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:22,639
ton, even if you're not using
iTunes. Follow us on YouTube YouTube dot

910
00:58:22,639 --> 00:58:28,159
com hard Knox join our discord links
into podcast description along with the YouTube channel

911
00:58:28,239 --> 00:58:30,440
link. And until next time,
I'll leave you all the shout out Build

912
00:58:30,440 --> 00:58:32,800
one the Only Frank neil Te
