Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host, Corey
Evans. Thank you for listening to this week's show. It is titled off
season Injuries to Monitor. It's that time of year, post NFL Draft.
You've had your rookie draft, or you're in the process, it's upcoming.
I have five injuries that could dictate veteran, let alone rookie value. Before
I get to that, keep in mind I offer thirty minute or one hour
rosher calls over on Google Meet to break your team down top to bottom,
whether it be a rookie draft strategy or if you want to analyze your straints
weaknesses. Those are thirty bucks, thirty minutes or one hour fifty dollars.
Hit me up on social media or email Dynasty podg dot com. It's Instagram
or Twitter, slash x Dynasty pod the Dynastute on Facebook. Based on feedback
over the years, it's a very beneficial way to get an outside perspective.
It's unbiased on your roster multiple leagues. So these five injuries I think are
most prominent right now. Of course, there's more than that occurring when OTAs
are now underway, but keep these five top of mind and the possible snowball
effects each could have in the running back room, the wide receiver room.
You get the picture. Let's get right to it up. First is Kyrien
Williams. He is dealing with a foot injury that was sustained while training this
offseason in the spring, and it's going to keep him sidelined in OTAs,
but is expected to return for training camp so far, Head coach Sean McVay
of the Rams is optimistic, claiming paraphrasing here, but it's not a big
deal. It is a low worry level for Kiren's foot. Do keep in
mind, however, that Kyron's NFL injury his three includes a foot fracture from
June of twenty twenty two, a hankel sprain in September of twenty twenty two,
another hankle sprain in October of twenty twenty three, and a hand fracture
in January of twenty twenty four. When the Rams making that postseason run.
Kyron himself will be twenty four in August. A lot of longevity left in
play here, coming off a twenty twenty three campaign as the PPR RB seven
with production of two twenty eight eleven, forty four and twelve on the ground.
That's five yards per carry and thirty two for two of six and three
as a receiver on forty eight targets. A great surprise when Williams was someone
who was becoming an afterthought in Dynasty League, suddenly catapults into the RB one
conversation, a mid range RB one at that based on a season finish a
former fifth rounder, a Notre Dame back in twenty twenty two, showing that
day two day through draft capital does not really dictate future success or failure at
the NFL level. It's more about situation and opportunity. Kiren capitalized last year.
He now faces formidable competition the former Blake Korum, who was a third
round selection this year eighty three overall in fact from Michigan, with a similar
skill set to Kyron and post draft GMLs sneed he coch Sean McVay really pinpointed
the reason why Korm was drafted and it really does align with having another running
back on the roster that is similar in terms of replacing and are complementing Kyrien
Williams. The Rams want Korm to expand his three down set of tools to
be that one B or eventual one to A to Kyrien if needed. Kyrien
checks in at five nine four Blake Korm five A two thirteen, similar builds,
similar early down and versatile skill sets. Kyroen certainly has the age when
it comes to pass protection, receiving capabilities and route running, even reliable hands,
wheres Koram is a developmental talent in those areas or work in progress,
whereas he does thrive on early downs and more of a bruiser in the red
zone. Williams shoulder reign the assumed starter, albeit with risk that Sean McVay
leans on Korm to keep both running backs healthy. Again NFL at coaches,
ocs don't care about us in fantasy. It's about winning football games and preserving
the health of their players. With that context and overall summary in mind,
I do value Kimu Williams as more of a mid range RB one due to
the newfound foot ailments, because he's now associated with a bit more elevator risk
due to durability or the presence of Korum. Even if McVeigh is downplaying the
issue at this point of OTAs or the off season, Mike Williams he has
not been cleared for football activity since Terry his ACL last year in Week three.
He's been off to the side and OTAs. It sounds like training camp
is a realistic target or time frame to return, yet not a guarantee.
He's going to be thirty in October, so hitting that Platowa cliff where it
becomes a concern with age in Dynasty circles. Outside of his breakout twenty twenty
one year with the Chargers, which was a seventy six eleven forty six and
nine receiving log one hundred and twenty nine targets, Williams has been a bit
overvalued, over hyped, overrated in Dynasty, at least in my opinion,
not surpassing saxty three catches in any other campaign. He has also only had
one other one thousand yard season on his resume, and it was one thousand
and one yard, so barely surpassing that threshold in twenty nineteen, and has
been more of a field streuccher with reliance on finding the end zone with thirty
one touchdowns in eighty eight career regular season games played. If healthy in twenty
twenty four, there's plenty of theoretical upside for Mike Williams to assert himself as
wide receiver two for the Jets alongside Garrett Wilson. Not to mention the return
of Aaron Rodgers, obviously playing a pivotal role in statistical relevancy for both Garrett
Wilson and Mike Williams. His annual PPR finishes check in that being Mike Williams
wide receiver one, thirty five, thirty two, thirty nine, forty six,
twelve, thirty two and one twelve, so really only that one wide
receiver one season, and it was wide receiver twelve, so almost wide receiver
two in a twelve team league. Otherwise, he's been either well off the
fantasy radar a flex or at best a wide receiver two or three with some
spike weeks of production. Therefore, Mike Williams on the wide receiver three or
flex borderline for me entering twenty twenty four, his age becoming more of a
factor in a negative manner. Not to mention post ACL tear not cleared for
football activities, so he is on track for Week one, yet missing valuable
repetitions to develop a rapport with his new quarterback, Aaron Rodgers. So in
a sense I'm more out than in a Mike Williams unless it's for a bargain
of a price. I'm thinking a third round pick in twenty twenty four to
twenty twenty five rookie draft capital wise. Daniel Jones. He's recovering from a
twenty ACL in twenty twenty three, already trending in the right direction. He
has been on the field seven on seven drills during OTA's expected a return for
training camp, and he himself has said should be ready to roll come Week
one. The Giants moves this offseason indicate he should remain quarterback one for at
least this season, unless Drew Lock pushes him for the job, and that's
a possibility because Drew Lock, at times, whether it be a denverse yatle
has looked like an adequate starter at the NFL level. If Jones fails to
make progress this upcoming campaign, then he's going to become a sunk cost of
the Giants franchise, if not already after signing that four year, one hundred
and sixty million dollar contract last offseason with ninety two million guaranteed, the Giants
are portally explored drafting a long term replacement or solution to Daniel Jones at pick
one point oal six this year before selecting the league neighbors. In other words,
Jones is certainly on the hot seat in a make or break year.
His annual quarterback finishes in Fantasy with six point per passing formats for touchdowns are
quarterback twenty five, twenty four, twenty seven, nine, and forty four,
with the quarterback nine finished being the outlier. He's more of a quarterback
two with quarterback one upside if the rushing output is relevant. And I'll touch
on that a bit more. Daniel Jones just turned twenty seven. By the
time you're listening. His career numbers stand at sixty two touchdowns to forty interceptions,
a sixty four point three completion percentage rates for six point six yards perfess
attempt, and the rushing equities what keeps him a float and value or fantasy
viable three point thirty two, nineteen fourteen and thirteen on the ground. All
that being said, pretty clear that Jones has not lived up to the sixth
overall hype out of duke in twenty nineteen. It's super flex. He's an
okay quarterback two more so ideal quarterback. Three in one quarterback leagues, he'd
be a desperation quarterback, one more of a backup or Bobby Fillin. It
is all about his rushing value or upside. Malik Nabors should help the development
of dealing Hiat. Perhaps we'll see if deal Johnson's relevance Without say Quon Barkleet,
this offense could struggle mightily in twenty twenty four. So Daniel Jones has
a wide range of outcomes, one being he's a starter, he bounces back,
two replaced by Drew Locke at some point this season, or three he's
either a backup or out of the league by the time next year rolls around.
The one sunk cost fallacy is that the Giants around the hook for that
ninety two million guaranteed and might have a bias to keep him around or see
if things work out in super flex. I'm rosterting him in one quarterback leagues
in a general sense, I think you can do a lot better in ten
or even twelve teen league formats. The time to sell Jones was a year
or two ago when he had that quarterback nine season in fantasy. Now everybody's
caught up to the fact that he is simply a better fantasy quarterback than real
life asset. Quick break off two more names to break down with injuries to
monitor, but forget to that. If you want access to all of my
post draft rookie rankings quarterback, running back, wide receiver, tight end,
all in dependent and then as of this week at top seventy five consolidated volunteers
and spoken episode form as well as Google sheet attached to reference. Patreon is
a spot to be you. Also, becoming a member get a bonus episode
per week and unlimited DMS for any questions you might have. Links are in
my episode notes, social media bios, or simply go to the website Patreon
dot com or the mobile app you find me on. There's Corey ims of
Dynasty. Dude. Minimum is five dollars per month, but if you can't
pledge more's what appreciated. The main benefit right now is all those rankings to
help you come up with trades post draft or in itself help you during rookie
drafts, which this is peak rookie draft season. Time for that quick break,
I'll be right back. TJ. Hockinson is next in the agenda.
Does not appear to have a concrete timeline to return from his late season ACL
and mcl tears in sixteen, which makes him a candidate for the pup list
to begin twenty twenty four. He's twenty seven in July ninety five, nine
to sixty and five or ten point one yes per catch. That was one
hundred and twenty seven targets last season in fifteen games played. His annual PPR
finishes are tight end thirty two five, fifteen, two and four. So
as of late that temple size indicates that he is locked in as a premier
tight end one from a fantasy landscape, and that collectively is with both Detroit
and Minnesota. Hockinson is indeed valued as a tight end one and startup value
our existing leagues. It's when he's active. However, the dilemma right now
is when is he going to be on the field next season. When Hockinson
does with term, we can assume that Jaj McCarthy will probably be in at
quarterback and it should result in more consistency or effectiveness after last year's roller coaster
ride of Joshua Dobbs, Nick Mullins, Darren Hall at the Kirk cousins towards
Achilles. If it is Sam Darnold in the center, We've seen Donald be
more than capable of moving an offense downfield long term. The connection or rapport
with McCarthy and Hockinson is a stack or do what a build around. It's
even fair debate if Hockinson with the murky timeline to return, is tight end
one over on Dynasty. Nonetheless, you have Sam Laporta, Trey McBride,
Kyle Pitts, Mark Andrews, Dolphanon Kaid, Travis Kelsey still even brought Boers
in that conversation. It's a large cluster tier with Laporta due to his rookie
campaign and recency bias, being a top that list for the most parts.
But don't write off Hockinson and what he is capable of producing. We've seen
it now with over the past four years. Finishes at the position of five,
fifteen, two and four, so three top five finishes in full PPR.
He's essentially a glorified wide receiver for us in fantasy who can build around
at a much cheaper price than an elite wide receiver. In terms of acquiring
Hockinson right now, I do think it's the time to strike. The window
is going to close when positive reports begin to surface beyond or around training camp,
whereas this in between or interim period of two trading camp, even the
preseason is where we don't have that firm return date. And even if he
isn't the pupplst then scoop a Josh Oliver or some other backup in Minnesota or
an sillery weapon another team. Even perhaps you're the depth to accommodate acquiring Hockinson
now and he's eventually your tight end one. You get the idea of the
picture that this could represent the lowest cost to trade or secure Hockinson shares of
him in Dynasty League, So don't wait too long. And then finally JK.
Dobbins. He will turn twenty six in December. That's still fairly young
for running back. He tours achilles in week one last season. That was
after tearing his ACL, LCL and meniscus, not to mention hamstring issue as
well back in twenty twenty one. Dobbins appeared to be on the right track
in twenty twenty two, when he appeared in eight contests with production of ninety
two or five twenty and two scores five point seven yards per carry and then
seven grabs forty two yards in a touchdown. So yes, twenty twenty three
was a major setback or disappointment when it seemed that he was returning to vintage
form. Jk now claims that he feels fully healthy for the offseason program should
be ready to roll come training camp. He has missed an astounding forty three
NFL game since entering the league back in twenty twenty. His durability, availability
or lack thereof, is working against him at this stage of his career on
a one year contract, approve it type deal, despite him being an exciting
prospect drafted in the second round out of Howo State back in twenty twenty.
The Chargers, in my mind, are an ideal scheme fit with Jim Harbaugh
and Greg Roman, who previously worked with Dobbins in Baltimore as a former Rozer.
Ce Gus Edwards is projected for the most volume and even sixth round or
Commandie Adell out of Troy is a nice sleeper. That being said, Dobbins
is the afterthought in this backfield, and I think if he makes a team,
which is an if at this point, he could end up being or
offering the most value in twenty twenty four out of all Charger running backs at
the least expensive price tag shouldn't cost much more than a third. At this
point, when I am building depth at running back or assessing the running back
talent on my dynasty rosters, I want to find diamonds in the rough or
RB three RB four candidates with ways to climb into RB two rankings or a
better delta when it comes to return on investment. And I think that really
summarizes or forecasts JK. Dobbins in twenty twenty four. He's a futs candidate
with RB two potential if it all goes well. The durability is the elephant
in the room. It's the uncertainty that's baked into his cost. So right
now, would you rather spend probably a second on Gus Edwards if you really
need to fill that RB two void and hopefully get a lot of valume and
touchdown upside with him a price that's growing by the day. In rookie drafts
as early as I've seen late first to early mid seconds for Kamanie Adell or
quite possibly in mid to eight third for JK. Dobbins. If I have
all three options on the table and it's purely depth adding to my running back
room in a dynasty league, I'm probably going to take the Dobbins side of
that because there's less risk and far more room for profit. The main downside
with Dobbins is not only his previous injury history, but coming back from a
torn achilles at the rbat position does not have a great sample of success.
So even if he is the most optimistic about his return timeframe or even his
health in general, battling back becoming relevant and earning a substantial workload seems a
bit far fetched. Then again, if there's any system to benefit or be
eased back into, it is in need the Chargers not to mention Greg Roman,
being familiar with what Dobbins brings to the field with their time together in
Baltimore. That will do it. Thank you all for listening to this week's
episode off Season Injuries to Monitor. They were as a quick recap Kirim Williams,
Mike Williams, Daniel Jones, TJ. Hockinson, and JK. Dobbins.
If you enjoyed or learned anything this week found it entertaining beneficial, please
drop a five star review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. If it's Apple Podcasts
five stars and written, we'll get a shout out on Nextbok's program. Until
next time, this is the dynasta you're checking out. Hope you all have
the great rest of the week. Thanks again, see ya being of Blue Blue g