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Welcome to Fantasy Hockey Life, presented
by fan Tracks, your source of information

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and analysis to help you win your
fantasy hockey league. Fuck up a step,

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hit, stay lost. Here's your
hosts, Jesse Suver here and Victor

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Nuno Fantasy Hockey Live. We're back
again to talk about fantasy hockey, dynasty

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fantasy hockey, because that's what we
do. Jesse Severe here from fan Track,

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saying joint by my partner, Victor
Nuno. Victor, how you doing.

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I'm doing great. I'm looking forward
to talking sabers to me, Jesse.

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This was one of the most fun
teams to watch this year. DJ

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Thompson going Ham. He just looks
like a giant out there playing with a

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bunch of little little kids with how
big and tall he is and his twenty

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four foot stick. It's just like
really fun. And there's a lot of

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great players on this team that that's
some great success and we need to know

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how sustainable all this is and what
to expect, and so we've got a

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great guest for that and I'm looking
forward to that. I'm also I want

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to know how you're doing. We
all want to know that. To see

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Victor kind I think of you as
the giant person skating around with the twenty

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four footstick of fantasy podcasting. That's
how I think of you, throwing around

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other podcasts like a rag doll and
making our points. And that's what I

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appreciate. It's about you. So
we're having a good time out here on

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Fantasy Hockey Life. I'm doing good. I am. Yeah, it's exciting.

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The draft is coming up, it's
coming very close, and Stanley Cup

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playoff and all that type of thing, and and we're just plugging our way

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along, Victor. And this is
a long way to make it before we

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talk about the Buffalo Sabers. Given
where we were in recent years, mostly

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Buffalo Sabers fans have been thinking for
the past few years about prospects. And

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you know what, while they were
looking at all those prospects, they should

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have been looking at your patreon,
Victor, and the things you have going

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there. What is it the Sabers
fans, But more to the point,

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fantasy players, dynasty fantasy players could
learn from looking at that particular resource.

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Everyone wants to know what to do
with their team in the offseason, who

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they should buy, who they should
sell, which kind of guys should they

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package in a trade, and that's
the kind of information you can get on

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the Fantasy Hockey Life rank spreadsheet,
so you can look at how I rank

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guys. You can also DM me
and you can get access to the Patron

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Priority Channel, which is a great
brain trust for running by all these moves

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that you might be considering. There
have been some really interesting ones in there

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lately, and sometimes people are ready
to pull the trigger on something and then

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we're all like, WHOA, don't
do that. So it's really good to

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get all that kind of help.
There's also patron cass and other perks like

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the playing in the Tiered Dynasty,
which is something that we're going to be

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recruiting and coming up pretty soon.
If you haven't heard about that or didn't,

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we did an whole episode on that, so you can go back and

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listen to that one, and it's
a patron perk to be able to participate.

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So hit us up if you're interested, but definitely check out patreon dot

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com slash Fantasy Hockey Life. You
will enjoy it. If you decide to

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join up with that, you can
play against Victor and myself and possibly at

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least right now, we've got what
four bred times sixteen. I believe no

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four times eighteen. So we already
have sixty four teams and I think we'll

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probably be expanding to at least I
hopefully at least one hundred teams or ninety

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teams this offseason. Depends on how
many more people want to come in.

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But it's a lot of fun.
And if you are thinking about just stepping

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your toe in some of the stuff, but you're like, I don't know

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about doing a Patreon just yet,
you can start by just coming into our

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discord, which is free and there's
conversation going all the time. Victor has

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given advice to people within the last
ten minutes people, and that is not

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a usual because there's always discussion going
back and forth. And it's not just

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Victor in myself. There's a lot
of smart people who are in their other

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fantasy hockey crazies like yourself, ready
to talk the game of dynasty fantasy hockey.

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So I would recommend it. Hit
Victor of myself up Fantasy Hockey Life

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at gmail dot com, gets both
of us, or hit us up with

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DMS on Twitter. Fan hockey life
for me, Victor Nuno twelve for Victor.

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We can give you a link.
That's how you get into a discord,

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so you'd have to say something to
us before I had it. But

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it's cool people. You'll like it. Trust me. Let's take a break

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and talk with more cool people.
And those are the cool people and the

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cool person ready to talk to us
about the Buffalo Sabers. Welcoming back to

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the show. Walter Sarowski aka Samber
Metrics on Twitter, Walter, how you

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doing doing great? Thanks me on
Yeah, man, we gotta talk Buffalo

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Sabers. We were just talking about. Victor was just talking about this is

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a fun team. These Buffalo Sabers
are fun and we'll have a lot of

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things to talk about here. But
there are just a lot of things,

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okay. So first of all,
Walter, they ended up one point out

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of the playoffs. That's an improvement. It might be a heartbreaking improvement to

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get that close to the playoffs,
but they were tied with the Penguins.

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They were one point behind the Stanley
Cup finalist Florida Panthers after ending the season

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on a nine two and one run
Forty two wins was the first time since

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two ten, two eleven that Buffalo
won the majority of its contests In a

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season, they scored the third most
goals in the NHL. The bad news

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is they allowed the fifth most.
They rarely took penalties, second lowest penalty

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rate in the league, which was
a good thing because they're seventy three penalty

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kill was fifth worst. There's an
argument the Sabers were about a goalie away

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from being a really good team last
year. I would find that tough to

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refute, and we'll get to the
goalies later in this episode. But boy,

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as much as you'd like to talk
about upside, none of the goalies

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coming in last year look like somebody
who would expect to hold it down for

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a playoff team coming into the year. Now, mind you, there's some

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kids we're going to talk about later
this episode that'll probably turn that situation around.

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But I guess Walters, as you
saw all this together, is this

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the Buffalo squad, this core coming
together that is going to get the city

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back to the playoffs and maybe even
mess around and went around of Stanley Cup

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playoffs next year. I think it's
certainly looking like it's so far. I

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mean, we haven't early had a
young group in Buffalo that's exciting since maybe

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two thousand and five, two thousand
and six, and those are two teams

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that went onto the Eastern Conference Finals, and it's finally looking like things are

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tearing around in the right direction.
It's been a very long time, but

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I think they're easily one of the
most fun teams to watch in hockey,

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and a score a ton. They
give up a lot of goals too,

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which isn't good as a Savers fan, but it's fun a fan watching the

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game. Always high event hockey and
always players putting out big point totals now,

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which is something that really not used
to seeing in Buffalo. Yeah,

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and speaking of big point totals,
we have to start with the coarse,

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raging Tage Thompson, as I like
to call him. He's a fantastic It

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was a fantastic season for him.
What an incredible breakout of forty seven goals

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forty seven assists. By the way, I just love the symmetry there.

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Thanks Tage for just having the same
number. That's easy to point out,

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ninety nine point pace in his seventy
eight games. It was awesome and he

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was a bit of a breakout last
year the seventy one point pace and a

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lot of us were ringing our hands
about is this real? Is this for

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real? Is he really a seventy
point guy? Apparently not, He's one

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hundred point guy. And he had
almost four point four shots a game,

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which was really incredible and a decent
amount of hits and blocks for those of

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us who care about those kinds of
things. Three and fifty faceoff wins not

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bad. He didn't. He held
steady at the fifteen percent shooting percentage.

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That was the big rub is that
you're looking at his career shooting percentage before

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that, and he was in that
seven range, and then last season he

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shot fifteen percent, and then this
season he shot fifteen point eight percent.

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So I guess that's one of the
questions. It's that just where he's going

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to live now. His pdo ipp
and power play ippe all suggests there may

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be a touch of regression coming for
Tage. If you look at his rampum

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charts, his offensive impacts are pretty
pretty big as you would expect her.

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His expected goals against per sixty is
awful, pretty awful defensive impact there,

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and his powerplay goals for per sixties
looks like he's trying to escape the page

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on top pretty incredible there. His
Dom does these value charts and his seven

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point one million dollar contract had a
surplus value with three point two million,

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suggesting that he's definitely worth it.
And then some one hindsight, I think

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there's a big shift in our perception
now from that Ryan O'Reilly trade. I'm

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sure the Blues are happy with the
cup that they got, but it's hard

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not to like what Tage Thompson is
doing, especially over Jordan Cairrou, who

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is the guy that the Blues refused
to include in that trade. I think

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that this might actually be working out
better for the Sabers. And anyways,

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all that to say, what did
you think of h Thompson's hundred point season?

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Is this one hundred point Thompson here
to stay because I don't want to

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live in the world, But that's
not the case. Yeah, it's still

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a little hard to believe that,
like Tag Thompson turned into the player we're

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seeing now. I know, prior
to this past season, his seventy point

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year, I thought that year I
think he finally showed up or like,

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all right, this guy's for real, this guy's kind of who we thought

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he could become. And then this
past year, I don't think anybody,

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even including H Thompson, even saw
that coming with just with the goals,

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the points he put up. And
I was a bit stepptal at first.

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I thought there would be regression with
him, just because he's a guy that

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traditionally hasn't had high shooting percentages outside
these last two seasons. But just watch

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him playing. The goals he scores
are pretty incredible. His finishing ability,

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it just seems insane. I don't
think there's really many shooters in NHLs are

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better than H. Thompson right now. So just from that alone, I

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don't think we will see regression with
him. I think really just with the

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line they put him on in Buffalo
with Jeff Skinner and Alex Tuck, that

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line is just generating a lot of
offense every single game. Oh he's setting

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up Tage with some dangerous shot opportunities. And I think Buffalo really created an

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environment that allows H. Thompson to
thrive, and he was a massive reason

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why they came so close to the
playoffs this past season. Another guy he

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didn't have t Thompson's year, but
Jeff Skinner he had a year man after

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years where he didn't quite pay off
that huge contract. Skinner delivered his first

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season of his career over a point
per game. How about that fiftieth overall

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best Fantasy player Fantasy forward last year
and Victor and I are kicking him up

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toward Tier two for next year.
He had his customary three shots per game.

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That's something you can always count on, is that Skinner's gonna take some

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shots. It's all offense here.
Fantasy guys like it, maybe a little

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bit more than some coaches do.
As the advanced metrics put his defense in

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line with that team that led in
a lot of goals. Unfortunately, this

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year he still only plays seventeen twenty
four average time on ice, but he

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played with Tuck and Tage for most
of the season. That's a good place

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to be. Skinner turns thirty one
this year, and I would ask you

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Walter is last year a real sign
of what he can be with the maybe

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the best linemates he's ever had somebody
Duck, sorry miss Draichel, but the

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best linemates Jeff Skinner's ever had.
Walter. Yeah, I mean I think

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he had that combo the icle working
a little bit his first year in Buffalo,

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but I really don't think there's been
an environment quite as consistent as this

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one to allow Jeff Skinner to produce
like really high point totals. He's a

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guy who just like thrives in chaos, and I think that line with agent

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talk is exactly what that line brings. They really let Skinner play his game.

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He's been a guy that's been getting
dangerous shot opportunities really every year of

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his NHL career so far. I
think really the only differences whether or not

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he could turn those into goals.
He's been a bit of a roller coaster

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players toward his career, but in
his current situation, with that chaotic environment

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they create in that top line,
I do think he will continue to be

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a consistent goal scorer. It's hard
to believe he's already thirty one years old.

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He still looks like he's twenty years
old out there, and he even

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looks like he's twenty years old too. Honestly, I don't know when his

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game will slow down or if it
slows down. He's really a unique player

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just with the way he skates and
gets around the ice, and like just

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his ability to find dangerous areas of
the ice. I think he's a player

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whose game will aid well. And
I do think he's a guy who's contract

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look like one of the worst of
the NHL just a few years ago,

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but now it's looking close to fair
value, which is another thing I did

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not see coming. Hey, how
about that one. Alex Tuck was the

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third amigo on that line, but
I would not say he's just on there

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for a ride along. Alex Tuck
was darned good last year, actually,

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but these guys. He was the
twenty ninth best forward in fantasy hockey,

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and Victor and I both call him
Tier two. Next year, he had

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seventy nine points in seventy four games. That was third on the team,

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with a scoring pace that actually exceeded
skinners, but again he missed a few

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games. It was the best season
of Tuck's career, first time, well

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over a point per game, three
shots per game, approaching a hit and

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a block per game. A lower
body injury interrupted his late February in early

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March, but missing eight games isn't
terrible for a guy who missed sixty one

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games combined over the past three years. Is this final the real Alex Tuck

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we saw really blow up this year
in Buffalo and should we expect another point

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per game season on line one next
year. Yeah, I do think Alex

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talked along with those other two guys. I do think this is the version

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of him we will see going forward. Once again, it's just an environment

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that works well for every player in
that line, and he's one of the

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main chaos causers on that line.
He's six four, one of the fastest

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skaters in the NHL. He's always
getting a loose pux. He's always creating

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situations for guys like Skinner and Thompson
to succeed. I do think the interesting

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thing with him really everyone in that
line will just be like their usage.

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I do think Tuck maybe the one
player they maybe try to put on another

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line to get it going at some
next year that opportunity where to arise.

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But even then, I think the
Series has so much scoring depth on their

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team now with their young talent,
that even if he's throwing a different line,

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I still think he could succeed there. He's really been the hard and

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soul of the Sabers offense, and
ever since his arrival, the Sabers have

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just looked different on offense and different
in a better way. So I do

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think We'll continue to see similar production
moving forward, and I think he's just

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a massive piece to the Sabers offense. It was the biggest regret of my

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fantasy season early on, when he
was not doing as well, I dropped

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Alex Tuck and it was awful.
So yeah, he was pretty great and

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definitely won't be doing that again based
on where he is now. But anyways,

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let's move on to Dylan Cousins and
I'll pull myself out of my shame

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there. But Cousins had a pretty
great breakout himself. He was right at

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the two hundred point threshold, which
I know Dabber always talks about. He

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was two hundred and one games at
the end of the season. He still

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has pretty low time on ice does
Cousins sixteen thirty, but he had thirty

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one goals thirty seven assists for a
sixty nine point pace is eighty one games.

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That was pretty awesome. I think
some of his low time on ice

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is probably because of his low defensive
acumen. His expected goals against and course

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he against for sixty or pretty awful, and but his offensive are pretty good,

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So you have the good with the
bad there. He is someone who

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has a decent number of hits and
blocks, although that's not like a major

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strength for him, but in fantasy
he's not like a black hole or anything

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there. For his entry level contract, he was pretty great at a four

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point eight million dollars surplus this season
five point seven million dollar market on his

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ELC. But I know in cap
leagues guys, that we're really wondering what

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should we expect. Can he hold
steady because five point seven million dollar market

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is going to be under what he's
making next year his seven point one million

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dollars extension kicks in. So,
Walter, do you think Cousins can replicate

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or hopefully even build on what he
did last season going in and next season

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maybe even get close to an eighty
point pace, because that would make his

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contract much more worth it. What
do you think about Cousins? Yeah,

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I thought last season, production wise, is really a breakout year for him.

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He's been someone that's been one of
the better transition players on the Sabers.

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He just struggled with that final part
just putting the puck in the net

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on his line, but that wasn't
a problem for him nearly as much last

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year, And I do think there
may be even room for him to grow

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offensively in the Sabers lineup as these
young players improved. Is to his most

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common lineup linemates last year, where
Jack Quinn and JJ Paterka, And those

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are two guys who are still obviously
very young, both playing the World Championships

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right now, even me in the
gold medal game too, both guys having

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really good tournaments. And there are
two players in Buffalo who are expected to

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take pretty sizeable jumps offensively next year. And I think along with that will

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come more points for Dylan Cousins,
really just because when that line this past

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season was on, they were on, I mean, the Cousins Quinn Petka

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line just unstoppable. Teams struggle defending
the rush, just really had a hard

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time against that line, and they
had multiple, like three four point nights

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each on that line throughout points of
last season. So I do think there's

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room for Cousins to grow. I
just say the only thing that may hold

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him back is just the fact that
they already have a solidified top line,

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So I do think that places a
bit of a ceiling on how much he

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can produce. But talent wise,
and the fact that I do think Quinnipa

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Turco will produce more. I do
think there may be room for him to

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maybe grow a little bit offensively next
season. Well, I definitely want to

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get to those guys in just a
minute, But first, Kei's team middle

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stat He hadn't got a full season
in the prior three years, mostly because

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of injuries, but this year he
got the gold Star for perfect attendance eighty

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two games. He rewarded the team
that took him number eight overall six years

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ago with fifteen goals forty four assists
for fifty nine points in eighty two games

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games only skating fifteen forty four at
night. Mind you, he was then

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the second assist guy ninety plus percent
percentile for eight two per sixty among full

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time forward, so he's getting a
lot of those apples of the secondary variety.

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But anyway, Casey has been a
slow burn, but a good result

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this year. What are we looking
at is this Buffalo's third center of the

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future or someone who will be squeezed
by the kids coming up and finding himself

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in a different role. I do
think earlier in the season I probably would

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have said this was going to be
the guy that we'll probably get pushed out

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of the lineup once all the young
players come out. But really that last

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eleven or twelve games stretched the Sabers
head pushing for that playoff spot where they

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won a lot of games. Middle
Staff played in just a massive role in

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that he's playing probably the best hockey
of his NHL career. He filled in

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on the Sabers top line for TG
Thompson, who was injured or playing injured

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towards the end of the season.
So middle Staff filled in some huge shoes

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there and he performed amazing. He
put up the point totals, and he

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kept that first line running as good
as usual. I do think the coaching

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staff loves him here. I do
think there's going to be even more opportunities

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for him next season. I think
that's largely dependent on what the Sabers decide

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to do with their lines, because
I know they're shaking up the lines a

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little bit towards the end of this
past season, but that may have been

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due to Tah Thompson's injury. I
guess they'll late and see, but he

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does look like a guy who's going
to have a role with the Sabers,

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probably in that third line center.
All if I were to guess, but

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he's a guy that's just able to
produce offense. Really has just been all

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around, like useful center for them
down the stretch, which was something I

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also did not expect a last season. But yeah, I would say he

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has a future in Buffalo, and
I do think he finally found a role

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that fits a skill set in the
NHL. Well, there are a whole

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00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:57,720
bunch of boards to talk about in
the team. I'm going to clump a

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couple of them together here, and
then I know Vicker's got one more.

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But you mentioned Jack Quinn and JJ
Paturka. I'll throw in Victor Olifsson,

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who's this kind of apples and origins
here. But he's a guy who has

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been around for a while, and
there are at different points in their career,

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but yet all of them skatered about
thirteen to fourteen minutes a night last

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00:21:17,319 --> 00:21:19,599
year. All of them ended up
with about the same production of half a

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00:21:19,599 --> 00:21:22,599
point per game. They do it
in different ways. The twenty seven year

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00:21:22,599 --> 00:21:27,039
old Olivesson is almost entirely doing it
from goals twenty eight of those and only

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00:21:27,079 --> 00:21:33,839
twelve assists, while Quinn and Paturka
did their damage with the apples both became

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00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:37,839
old enough to buy a booze in
the United States last season. That would

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00:21:37,839 --> 00:21:41,400
be Quinn and Patterka, and so
there's now a lot of road ahead for

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00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:45,200
them. They're still just extremely young. As my point, who of this

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00:21:45,279 --> 00:21:48,319
group do you think is going to
be the best for us to watch this

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00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:51,480
year? And well, any of
these three guys you think fall off in

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anyway from where they are now?
For me right now, I would say

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it's a close one between Quinn and
Patterka for me, but I'm gonna go

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Jack Quinn being the best next season. I watched all the Savers games last

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year, and I was always surprised
to see like Jack Quinn's point totals,

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just because he's a guy that looked
like so much better than the numbers he's

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00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:15,240
putting up. He's still very young, forward too, very exciting forward.

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A Savers have a ton of confidence
in both him and pet Turka, so

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I do think they'll be put in
positions to score. I think the big

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00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,400
thing for Quinn next year is power
play time and maybe a little more difficult

319
00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:30,039
for him to break down in that
top unit as that's pretty set. But

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I do think that second unit if
it gets going or if they try to

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00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:37,799
do like a one B unit type
of situation. I do see a lot

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00:22:37,799 --> 00:22:42,599
more production for him there, and
I just think he's a fantastic player already

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00:22:42,599 --> 00:22:45,720
at his age doing what he does
in the NHL is pretty impressive, So

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I do expect the best year out
of him. Victor Oliveson, I'd say

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he's probably the most likely to fall
off, just because he's seemed to loss

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00:22:56,119 --> 00:23:00,319
of trust of the coaching staff down
the stretch. Beteran players go to a

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00:23:00,319 --> 00:23:03,119
lot of goals last year, but
he was getting scratched in some very important

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00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:08,119
games. I don't think the additions
Tyson Jost and Jordan Greenway like those depths

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00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:15,279
forwards. I think that's definitely pushed
Olifsson harder down the lineup than in previous

330
00:23:15,319 --> 00:23:19,200
seasons. I mean, he's got
a clear talent with scoring goals, one

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00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:22,880
of the better shots in the NHL, but I mean it's all around game.

332
00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:27,000
I feel it's just left the Buffalo
coaches with a lot to be desired,

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00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:32,720
and he still has one year left
on his contract. It's going to

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00:23:32,799 --> 00:23:36,559
be interesting to see what his role
is next year if they just keep him

335
00:23:36,599 --> 00:23:40,880
on as like a thirteen forward because
I do have a hard time seeing him

336
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:45,960
breaking that starting twelve forward group,
but I guess we'll see. I mean,

337
00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:49,640
I do think he could be useful
somewhere just because just be able to

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00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:55,440
score goals where most players can is
a clear talent. By I mean,

339
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:59,160
it's just everything else, and it
comes with this game that's been holding him

340
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:03,400
back in the Savers coaching staff's eyes. All right, those are good insights.

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00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:08,160
I love Paturka and Quinn and yeah, watching them watching him today beat

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00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:12,480
the Americans was super not fun,
but at least Paturka. But that's gonna

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00:24:12,519 --> 00:24:15,960
be fun for them to play for
the gold medal. And let's talk about

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00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:22,160
one more forward, and that's Peyton
Krebs. Krebs was the Vegas one of

345
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:26,880
the Vegas picks came over and he's
been stuck in that thirty point range the

346
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:32,200
last couple of season thirty point pace
range. Looking at some of his underlying

347
00:24:32,279 --> 00:24:37,319
numbers, he seems to be pretty
adept offensively, but he's generating not no

348
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:41,079
offense, like this is what the
chart tells me. You'll tell me if

349
00:24:41,079 --> 00:24:44,440
you see something different. But his
expected goals FORB for sixty or just awful,

350
00:24:44,519 --> 00:24:48,880
like worse than fourth liners in the
NHL, so that's really not reassuring.

351
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:52,359
His powerplay impacts have been pretty low
as well, So is there so

352
00:24:52,519 --> 00:24:56,720
still some breakout potential here with Crabs. We're at one hundred and thirty five

353
00:24:56,759 --> 00:25:00,200
games. We just talked about how
Cousins finally hit his broke at breakout as

354
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:03,960
he was closer to two hundred games, So that would probably happen for Crebs

355
00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:06,480
this season if he played most of
the season. So is there still hope

356
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:11,400
he can be an impact forward in
the NHL? Offensively? He's always a

357
00:25:11,559 --> 00:25:15,640
very talked about player amongst the Sabers
community, just because he was a guy

358
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:18,920
that was considered a very big prospect
when he's including the Chicle trade. But

359
00:25:19,039 --> 00:25:23,720
really his role in Buffalo has been
more of like a defensive forward type role,

360
00:25:23,759 --> 00:25:27,160
which I certainly did not envisioned for
him when they acquired him, And

361
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:32,279
I think that's largely due to the
amount of bodies he has in front of

362
00:25:32,319 --> 00:25:36,960
him in the lineup and the fact
that he's been pretty decent a defensive forward

363
00:25:37,039 --> 00:25:41,960
role. It's just really come at
the expense of his offense, and I

364
00:25:41,039 --> 00:25:47,200
think it's all based on opportunities he'll
be given. I do think there's opportunities

365
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:51,400
for points for him on that second
power play unit. I think that's really

366
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:56,200
been the only area where we've seen
like his playmaking and juniors shine through at

367
00:25:56,200 --> 00:26:00,359
the NHL level is on that power
play. But at five on five,

368
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:04,119
he's just hasn't been a guy that's
generated too much offense. He plays hard.

369
00:26:06,279 --> 00:26:10,359
He typically played on a line with
Gergenson's an Oposa, which was more

370
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:12,640
of a keep the pocket along the
boards, keep the game simple line,

371
00:26:14,279 --> 00:26:17,359
So he really didn't see too much
playmaking for him at five on five,

372
00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:22,799
and I wouldn't say I'm too confident
that's going to change, at least not

373
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as confident as I am with guys
like Quinn or Cousins heading into this last

374
00:26:26,279 --> 00:26:32,359
year. I do think now that
the Savers have a bunch of young pieces

375
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:37,200
fitting into their roles, He's a
guy where I don't think the Savers will

376
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:41,960
mind if he turns into a defensive
minded bottom sixth center as long as he

377
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:45,480
can excel at that role. I
just think that will be something that comes

378
00:26:45,519 --> 00:26:52,279
at the expense of the office.
Let's move over to the blue line.

379
00:26:52,279 --> 00:26:57,359
Walter and Victory will tell you I
always kept the faith with Rasmuss Dollin.

380
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Now it just doesn't seem even like
a ras Mustalin is pretty obviously one of

381
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:07,880
the top couple of defensemen in the
NHL. Made a jump even where over

382
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:11,240
where Victor and I thought he would
be. He was the fourth best defenseman

383
00:27:11,279 --> 00:27:15,119
at Fantasy last year. He paid
it off fifteen goals, fifty eight assists,

384
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:18,519
seventy three points in seventy eight games. That was a tie for fifth

385
00:27:18,559 --> 00:27:23,000
among defensemen in the NHL. And
if you look at just the power play

386
00:27:23,039 --> 00:27:27,240
points, he was tied for third
in the NHL two and a half shots,

387
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:32,240
one in three quarter blocks, let's
say, and a healthy amount over

388
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:36,599
one hit per game. Six million
dollars is an incredible bargain right now.

389
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:38,880
The Sabers get one more of that, one more year of that until the

390
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:44,200
salary will jump, And from what
I'm reading it sounds like that is very

391
00:27:44,279 --> 00:27:47,960
much on the minds of Sabers brass
right now to make that happen and keep

392
00:27:48,039 --> 00:27:52,440
him around long term. He did. If you're gonna pick nets, He

393
00:27:52,519 --> 00:27:55,920
did slow down a little after the
All Star break. He had fifty five

394
00:27:55,960 --> 00:28:00,440
points in forty nine games, before
the break seventeen and twenty nine. I

395
00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:04,039
don't know, Rasmus Dalin, will
we see another point per game jim from

396
00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:07,799
him last year? And what are
you seen from this guy to make him

397
00:28:07,799 --> 00:28:11,319
what he is in the NHL right
now? Yeah, I think he has

398
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:15,160
fully arrived at the NHL level at
this point. He's a player that was

399
00:28:15,839 --> 00:28:19,240
a little on and off some seasons
earlier on in his career, but this

400
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:23,720
past season, I think we really
saw just all around defenseman. He put

401
00:28:23,759 --> 00:28:29,480
up the numbers on offense, he
was sound defensively, he mixed things up

402
00:28:29,519 --> 00:28:33,480
after the whistle. He just looked
a lot more confident out there, and

403
00:28:33,519 --> 00:28:36,519
I think that carried on throughout most
of the season. He did have a

404
00:28:36,559 --> 00:28:38,880
bit of a stretch where it seemed
like he was playing injured or he just

405
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:42,759
slowed down a bit. I know
he suffered an injury at one point that

406
00:28:42,799 --> 00:28:45,880
maybe shook him up for a few
games, but he really turned things back

407
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:51,200
on down the stretch, and I
think he's right up there in that category

408
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:53,759
with some of the top defensemen in
the league moving forward, especially with the

409
00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:57,400
offense those forwards on the Sabers team
are putting up I think he's going to

410
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:03,039
be the main guy like picking up
those assists and even scoring goals like he

411
00:29:03,079 --> 00:29:07,480
did last year along with those guys
out there. So I think he's a

412
00:29:07,599 --> 00:29:10,799
very exciting player going forward. I
think he's going to be a guy that's

413
00:29:11,559 --> 00:29:14,519
going to be a Norris finalist every
once in a while, maybe win a

414
00:29:14,559 --> 00:29:18,359
Norris or two, just because I
think he has that point potential out there

415
00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:21,400
and he's really saw it at both
ends of the ice. And he's a

416
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:27,759
guy the Sabers have been using in
pretty much every situation. Yeah, they

417
00:29:27,799 --> 00:29:30,599
say you have to build your resume
for the Norris and maybe he needs a

418
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,359
bit of a playoff run to do
that, but I think it's coming for

419
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:37,240
Daline as well. He's and yes, Jesse has been a stand even when

420
00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:41,319
others lost faith. It's good to
see him doing that. Another guy was

421
00:29:41,359 --> 00:29:47,119
good to see this year was Owen
Power. He was obviously the first round

422
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:49,519
pick back in twenty twenty one and
went back to college and that was really

423
00:29:49,519 --> 00:29:52,920
good for him. He was able
to step in the end of last season

424
00:29:53,119 --> 00:29:57,480
previous season to the NHL and look
pretty good. He played seventy nine games

425
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:03,079
this season, thirty five p points, so that's a pretty pretty solid amount

426
00:30:03,119 --> 00:30:07,880
of points. Some people maybe have
wanted more, but he played big minutes.

427
00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:11,000
He got some power play to hime
PK time almost twenty four minutes a

428
00:30:11,119 --> 00:30:15,440
night. It is a lot for
a first year guy, and it was

429
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:18,880
one point six. Shots are a
little low. It hits her a little

430
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:22,400
low at twenty seven, but over
a block per game at eighty five,

431
00:30:22,519 --> 00:30:26,279
So that's pretty nice. If you
look at his impacts, his offensive impacts

432
00:30:26,279 --> 00:30:30,000
were actually really strong. His defensive
was a little bit below average, so

433
00:30:30,039 --> 00:30:33,079
he needs to work on that a
little bit. But overall, he was

434
00:30:33,119 --> 00:30:37,920
a great impact in terms of having
a six point five million dollar surplus value

435
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:42,240
according to Dom's model. So that's
pretty great. But Walter, what did

436
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:45,759
you see from him in his first
season? What do you expect next season?

437
00:30:45,799 --> 00:30:49,759
In particular, I wonder how you
see the powerplay dynamic shifting. I

438
00:30:49,759 --> 00:30:53,920
mean, with how great dolling,
I can't imagine that Power steals the show.

439
00:30:55,359 --> 00:30:59,160
Do they maybe put both guys on
the top unites? Do they even

440
00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:02,400
things out? I'm just wondering what
kind of opportunity is Power going to get

441
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:04,920
on the power play? Yeah?
I thought, oh, in power last

442
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:08,880
year I thought he's an incredible season, especially for a player his age,

443
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:12,200
and he's a guy that when he's
out there, he moves around so much

444
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:17,160
on the blue line that he really
like opens up lane and creates opportunities for

445
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:21,920
himself and his teammates. I do
think one thing some people honestly improves is

446
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:25,400
definitely a shooting. He doesn't shoot
the puck that much, which I guess

447
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:27,799
is good at times for a defenseman
because he's always looking to create like the

448
00:31:27,839 --> 00:31:33,200
most dangerous opportunity possible. But there
has been times where he gets the puck

449
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:37,680
in a dangerous area and he just
doesn't have a finishing ability that a guy

450
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:41,720
like Rasmus dot Len has to turn
those shots into goals. So that's one

451
00:31:41,759 --> 00:31:45,079
thing where if he does improve that, I could see a lot more points

452
00:31:45,119 --> 00:31:48,720
coming just from that, because he's
always getting the puck to those dangerous areas.

453
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:53,519
And I do think his role obviously
becomes a bit tricky with Rasmus dot

454
00:31:53,559 --> 00:31:56,720
Lene. I mean, there's not
many teams in the NHL really ever,

455
00:31:56,839 --> 00:32:02,079
that have two first overall picks.
They're both left handed defenseman and a Sabers

456
00:32:02,119 --> 00:32:07,039
seem set on playing them on separate
pairs at least throughout mostly games, and

457
00:32:07,039 --> 00:32:12,000
they paired them up during some games
when they need a goal or need two

458
00:32:12,039 --> 00:32:15,839
goals when they're down a bit.
Don Garnado's used that strategy a bit the

459
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:20,880
power play unit. I do think
the one thing holding them back from keeping

460
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:25,240
both of them together on that top
unit right now is just the fact that

461
00:32:25,279 --> 00:32:30,640
they don't really have like that number
three option on defense to throw on the

462
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:35,440
second power play unit to run the
point. I do think if they get

463
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:39,359
that option down the road, I
think maybe a dolling power both on the

464
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:44,839
top unit will be something they look
at, because neither guy really plays too

465
00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:47,759
much like a defenseman, especially when
you throw them in a powerplay situation.

466
00:32:47,839 --> 00:32:52,519
Like both guys are great at like
moving down low, getting in front,

467
00:32:52,839 --> 00:32:57,160
dialing, the great at shooting.
Both guys could playmate, so it could

468
00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:00,720
be something I see down the road. I don't think it will happen next

469
00:33:00,759 --> 00:33:05,680
season, but I mean I do
think both guys will play just major roles

470
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:08,599
on the Savers team. I think
both of them eat major minutes for this

471
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:13,599
team. I just have a two
players like down two separate pairs will be

472
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,960
fantastic, And I think from what
we've seen from Owen Power at his age

473
00:33:17,039 --> 00:33:22,839
is just remarkable, and I think
he's only gonna get better. Let'll tell

474
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,240
you what. I think a lot
about Donalin. I think a lot about

475
00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:29,839
Power. But the guy who snuck
up on me for the role that he's

476
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:35,240
played with this team is Matthias Samuelson. And right now he's tied for the

477
00:33:35,319 --> 00:33:38,640
longest term contract on the team seven
more years ahead at four point three million

478
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:44,000
dollars per year. He's only twenty
three, and he didn't score a lot

479
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:46,960
of points the only ten and actually
only fifty five games this year with the

480
00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:51,960
little overshot close to two blocks,
close to two hits. He played twenty

481
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:55,200
two eleven average time on ice,
which is a lot. Now, he

482
00:33:55,279 --> 00:34:00,319
played with Donalin all year, which
is something that's probably going to help your

483
00:34:00,359 --> 00:34:04,480
performance. But if you find a
good fit with Rasmustalin, that's a good

484
00:34:04,519 --> 00:34:07,119
thing for your team to have.
So I would ask you, what is

485
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:12,440
Matthia Samuelson to this team? And
do you expect is this a guy who's

486
00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:17,840
ever going to have in offensive parts
in Buffalo success. Yeah, he's been

487
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:22,679
really a great player for the Savers. I think they really found a great

488
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:25,519
pair with him and Rasmus Dollen.
I think that's going to be great for

489
00:34:25,519 --> 00:34:31,280
a moving forward, is just getting
those tough minutes alongside Rasmus Dollen. The

490
00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:36,360
offense, he's never been much of
an offensive player really at any level,

491
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:39,239
but there has been flashes at the
NHL level where he's like carrying the puck

492
00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:42,960
and gets through some guys and it's
so wow, who is that? And

493
00:34:43,079 --> 00:34:45,480
so it's Samuelson. I did not
expect that, So I do think.

494
00:34:45,519 --> 00:34:51,119
I mean, he's definitely experimented a
bit this past season a bit with the

495
00:34:51,159 --> 00:34:53,519
offensive side of things, So I
do think there maybe room for mcgrow.

496
00:34:54,199 --> 00:34:57,800
I mean, it's bread and butter
so far, and the NHL has really

497
00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:01,960
just been just being an all around
style defensive player. He loves killing plays.

498
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:05,960
He's someone that it looks like you
have him beat and then he comes

499
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:07,880
in with the stick and breaks up
because he's just been great with that,

500
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:13,400
and everyone in the organization from the
coaching staff to the GM just loves the

501
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:16,760
guy. That's why I signed that
seven year deal in Buffalo despite not having

502
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:21,360
many NHL games under his belt.
But I think he's going to be a

503
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,440
great piece going forward, and I
do think he'll have a pretty sizable role

504
00:35:23,559 --> 00:35:29,360
just because the coaching staff loves him
with rassing the stalline, and who knows,

505
00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:32,519
maybe the points come along for him
as well, because the Sabers score

506
00:35:32,599 --> 00:35:36,760
points whenever that top linees on the
ice, and that top line is usually

507
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:38,599
on the ice of that Daleine Samuelson
pair, So if you could pick up

508
00:35:38,639 --> 00:35:44,079
a few extra points to there,
I could definitely see that happening. Yeah,

509
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,039
let's move over to the goalies now. So the Sabers had the twenty

510
00:35:47,079 --> 00:35:52,599
seventh expected goals against per sixty two
point nine, but conceded the twenty six

511
00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:59,360
actual goals per six per game,
so three point six two. And looking

512
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:04,239
at their goals, they had obviously
forty two year old Craig Anderson and he's

513
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:07,320
sounds like he's finally not going to
be back. But they had a couple

514
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:10,639
other guys. They had Comrie and
Ukapeca Lucan in for most of the season,

515
00:36:10,639 --> 00:36:16,239
and then Devin Levi at the end. And Levi was definitely the best

516
00:36:16,639 --> 00:36:21,920
and the guy want to start with, because this guy seventh round picked by

517
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:24,400
Florida, and he only fell because
he's a little bit on the smaller side

518
00:36:24,639 --> 00:36:29,280
and he was part of the Sam
Reinhart trade. Reinhardt's looking pretty great in

519
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:32,440
Florida, but I think Buffalo is
also pretty happy with what they got in

520
00:36:32,519 --> 00:36:38,119
return there. And he was great
internationally. Was Levi. He was great

521
00:36:38,159 --> 00:36:44,280
in Northeastern and got into some NHL
games this past season at the end when

522
00:36:44,639 --> 00:36:46,880
Buffalo was really trying to make the
playoffs, they turned to Levi. They

523
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:51,000
turned to this rookie and he was
great in those seven games, went five

524
00:36:51,039 --> 00:36:53,119
and two. I guess you could
say if he just won one more game,

525
00:36:53,159 --> 00:36:55,840
but he was really great. I
don't think it was really on him

526
00:36:57,679 --> 00:37:02,840
per se, but to the expected
action that he got was dreadful. It's

527
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:07,320
like trying to escape the bottom of
the page on this chart that I'm looking

528
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:10,760
at from Evolving Hockey, and he
way I'll performed that his delta Fenwick was

529
00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:15,239
small seven games, but one point
six to nine is just ridiculous. And

530
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:20,519
in those seven games he saved almost
five goals above expected, So really awesome.

531
00:37:21,199 --> 00:37:23,400
I guess the only question here,
Walter is is this guy really going

532
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:29,800
to be the volume starter for the
Sabers this year? Because he has seven

533
00:37:29,840 --> 00:37:32,880
games a professional experience under his belt, he has not played in the HL.

534
00:37:34,559 --> 00:37:37,719
He has been playing in college and
doing really well. But it's a

535
00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:43,239
big jump and to expect him to
play forty fifty sixty games that might be

536
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:45,559
a big leap. What do you
expect from Devin Levy this upcoming season?

537
00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:49,920
Yeah, yeah, I guess that's
a major question, is like what the

538
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:53,599
Sabers envisioned Levi's role being this year. He's obviously better, remarkable, and

539
00:37:53,679 --> 00:37:57,679
they trusted him with a ton of
games down the stretch. They even used

540
00:37:57,719 --> 00:38:00,800
him in the must win back to
back series, which you rarely see from

541
00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:05,320
most veteran NHL starters, let alone
a rookie goalie. They have a ton

542
00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:08,800
of confidence in him. Obviously a
fantastic prospect too. But I think the

543
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:14,519
thing with the Savers is that they're
really trying to push for that playoff spot

544
00:38:14,639 --> 00:38:17,679
this season. In fact, I
think most people view this upcoming season is

545
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:22,639
disappointing if they do miss the playoffs. So I think the question comes in

546
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:25,880
is do you want to go into
that with a rookie goalie in a season

547
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:31,760
where the expectations are so high?
And I think Devin Levi really presents a

548
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:37,760
challenging question there, just because he's
just so good as a rookie. People

549
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:40,880
look at his straight up save percentage
numbers in the NHL and his small sample

550
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:45,079
size and think, oh, it's
not that great. But like you brought

551
00:38:45,159 --> 00:38:47,840
up, the danger he was facing
those games was pretty high, and he

552
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:52,280
saved a lot more goals than were
expected. And I do think he's going

553
00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:57,079
to be a guy that kind of
like changes how the goalie position is played

554
00:38:57,159 --> 00:39:00,960
with smaller goalies, just with the
way he trains and they he approaches the

555
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:05,360
game. That's just how good I
think this guy is, and I do

556
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:08,440
think the Savers have a ton of
trust in him. I think they may

557
00:39:08,519 --> 00:39:15,000
explore the goalie market this off season, but I don't think they're going to

558
00:39:15,079 --> 00:39:20,599
be a team that puts all their
eggs into acquiring goalie this offseason. I

559
00:39:20,639 --> 00:39:24,639
do think if the right situation doesn't
come up, I don't think they'd have

560
00:39:24,679 --> 00:39:30,800
any problem pushing Devin Levi into a
prominent role next season. Who that second

561
00:39:30,840 --> 00:39:36,519
goal will be is probably the biggest
question, but I think Devin Levi he's

562
00:39:36,559 --> 00:39:38,719
gonna put up a fight no matter
who that other goalie is. In Buffalo's

563
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:45,119
a great competitor, had a great
run to end the season, and I

564
00:39:45,159 --> 00:39:47,639
think he's a big reason why the
Savers came so close to making the playoffs

565
00:39:47,639 --> 00:39:52,079
towards the end of the season.
So I think he'll have a big role

566
00:39:52,119 --> 00:39:55,199
in Buffalo. I guess next seasons. The question is just how big his

567
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:59,920
role can be, and I think
it depends how the goalie market fall.

568
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:04,039
But I do think there's a good
chance he could be the Savers starter next

569
00:40:04,079 --> 00:40:07,760
season. I know there are a
lot of people who feel that way,

570
00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:12,280
so we'll have to have to wait
and see. Obviously, in cap leagues,

571
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:15,599
he's going to be incredible value if
that is the case, because he'll

572
00:40:15,599 --> 00:40:19,880
be on his elc putting up big
numbers. Well, let's talk, as

573
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:22,679
you said, about the backup.
Yeah, they may of course add someone

574
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:28,400
and that may throw this whole discussion
into the blender, but for now,

575
00:40:28,559 --> 00:40:30,960
we can talk about the guys who
were on the team. Because both Lucapeca

576
00:40:31,039 --> 00:40:37,800
Lucan and a Air Comrie are under
contract for one more year, looking at

577
00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:40,440
eight thirty seven k and Comrie at
one point eight million, So if you

578
00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:44,239
just look at the numbers, it's
going to be at those numbers. Anyways,

579
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:47,239
it's going to be Comrie. If
you look at some of the goals

580
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:51,519
save above expected, they were both
pretty bad. Comrie had nineteen games,

581
00:40:51,599 --> 00:40:57,000
UPL had thirty three games, and
the Delta Fenwick was worse for Comrie,

582
00:40:57,000 --> 00:41:00,280
but the goals tabe above expected was
worse for UPL. Neither of them were

583
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:05,079
really good and part of the reason
they're expected numbers dragged down so far.

584
00:41:05,199 --> 00:41:07,199
Anderson we didn't really talk so much
about, but he pretty much kept his

585
00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:12,079
head above water in those twenty six
games. He was at least pretty reasonable

586
00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:15,719
UPL. Obviously, this is a
guy that they drafted fairly high. It's

587
00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:20,960
been a long time now, back
in twenty seventeen, and he's just someone

588
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:24,400
who hasn't really seemed like he's worked
out. So you almost wonder if it's

589
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:29,960
time to move on from him,
let him explore a different market. I'm

590
00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:32,639
not really sure what the plan is
there. Camray had some spurts where he

591
00:41:32,679 --> 00:41:37,920
looked okay, but then he also
had some really bad games and looks pretty

592
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:42,320
awful. Neither of them were able
to outperform the expected protection, though I

593
00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:45,320
will say again the expected protection was
poor, so it's not like they had

594
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:49,639
a ton to work with. But
what is your feeling on these two guys?

595
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:52,320
Is Buffalo going to maybe move on
from UPL? Does he still have

596
00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:57,159
a future? Camra is a bit
older and has always been that backup kind

597
00:41:57,159 --> 00:41:59,679
of guy, so maybe it's a
different conversation with him. But what do

598
00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:02,639
you think of these two? I
think this one's going to be interesting if

599
00:42:02,639 --> 00:42:07,559
they don't make a move this offseason, just because I think both guys played

600
00:42:07,639 --> 00:42:10,599
last year at a pretty similar level. Like you just brought up, I

601
00:42:10,679 --> 00:42:15,519
do think what Comery has going for
him is that the Sabers obviously liked him

602
00:42:15,599 --> 00:42:19,639
enough last offseason to give him a
two year dealing free agency, and he

603
00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:23,440
battled injuries a little bit last year, and then he came back into a

604
00:42:23,559 --> 00:42:28,639
situation where UPL was running the net
with Anderson for a bit and struggled to

605
00:42:28,679 --> 00:42:32,480
find really any game time down the
stretch, which I don't think helped his

606
00:42:32,639 --> 00:42:37,400
numbers too much, but he had
some bad stretches unhealthy, and then he

607
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:43,199
has UPL. Gad's been developing the
Sabers system for a while. Savers draft

608
00:42:43,199 --> 00:42:47,840
pick. He had some incredible performances
last season and also some of the worst

609
00:42:49,159 --> 00:42:53,039
Sabers boy performances last season, So
I guess I guess it just comes down

610
00:42:53,079 --> 00:42:57,880
to preference. Do they go with
the guy they picked up in free agency

611
00:42:57,920 --> 00:43:01,400
who they seem to like a bit
who had a pretty solid season of Winnipeg

612
00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:07,239
before he signed Buffalo, Or do
you hang your hat on upl's potential.

613
00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:10,239
He's got great size, great mobility. Is a guy you want to let

614
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:16,079
go and have potentially succeeds somewhere else. I definitely don't want to be the

615
00:43:16,159 --> 00:43:21,880
GM having to make that call,
just because I do think if they move

616
00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:24,679
on from UPL, you always have
though. Could this guy turn into a

617
00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:30,119
great start or someone else questioned,
or maybe you turn away from comedy turns

618
00:43:30,119 --> 00:43:34,519
into a solid backup and UPL doesn't
pan out. I think at this point,

619
00:43:34,599 --> 00:43:37,079
I honestly think it's a fifty fifty
shot in my eyes, if they

620
00:43:37,079 --> 00:43:39,880
don't add a goalie, who the
backup will be. I could see the

621
00:43:40,000 --> 00:43:45,280
argument from either. I could see
our GM choosing either. I guess it's

622
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:52,039
just gonna come down to I don't
even know what, honestly, maybe training

623
00:43:52,079 --> 00:43:57,119
camp or whatever, but definitely not
a goalie situation. I'm MBS have any

624
00:43:57,159 --> 00:44:00,719
GM to have with that backup choice. Just because there's two options there that

625
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:06,440
really aren't the greatest. I just
guess you're trying to choose the one that's

626
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:10,400
just not the worst. And I
respect you too much Walter to bring up

627
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:15,920
the name Lena Soulmark right now.
Yeah, the good ones that get away,

628
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:17,639
I guess I didn't. Oh,
never mind, backfire. No,

629
00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:22,199
why Walter, you've given us some
great information on the Buffalo Sabers. Why

630
00:44:22,239 --> 00:44:24,800
don't you let people know how they
can follow your work and keep up with

631
00:44:24,880 --> 00:44:30,559
the Sabers throughout the year. Yeah, you follow me at Saber Metrics on

632
00:44:30,599 --> 00:44:35,400
Twitter SA b R E M E
t R i X. And you can

633
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:40,599
also see some of my writing work
for the Charging Buffalo or a credential log

634
00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:45,280
that covers the Buffalo Sabers. So
you'd see some of my logger form worked

635
00:44:45,320 --> 00:45:00,320
on the air. And yeah,
that's good. Fire passed up? What

636
00:45:00,639 --> 00:45:08,880
grab? Now it's your weekly goalie
talk with Kats Silberman Cat's instincts Now,

637
00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:15,079
time for Kat's Instincts on the Buffalo
Saber goalies. Thanks for joining us,

638
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:19,559
Kat Silverman of in goalmag. We
have some pretty good goalies to talk about

639
00:45:19,599 --> 00:45:24,039
in Buffalo, and so we're unlike
some of the system we've talked about recently.

640
00:45:24,079 --> 00:45:28,239
There are some really high end guys
here to mention, and we're going

641
00:45:28,280 --> 00:45:31,760
to start with Devin Levi. He
was the seventh round pick by Florida back

642
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:37,199
in twenty twenty. He fell because
he's six feet tall and maybe not even

643
00:45:37,239 --> 00:45:39,880
six feet tall. He went to
Buffalo in the Sam Ranhart trade. I

644
00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:44,079
think Florida's pretty happy with Sam Ryanhart
right now, and I think Buffalo is

645
00:45:44,119 --> 00:45:47,840
pretty happy with Devin Levi. And
he was really good back in twenty twenty

646
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:52,480
twenty one. Lost one game in
that World Junior Championships. It was only

647
00:45:52,519 --> 00:45:55,440
to the US. His goals against
during the seven games were point seven five

648
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:00,880
sixty four say percentage, ridiculous stuff. The America has played a perfect game.

649
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:04,039
That's the only reason he lost that
one game. And he went to

650
00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:07,840
Northeastern was just as good. And
then this season we got to see some

651
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:13,000
NHL action from him, and Buffalo
turned to him with their season on the

652
00:46:13,000 --> 00:46:15,840
line as they were making a playoff
push, and he played really well.

653
00:46:15,159 --> 00:46:19,679
Didn't work out for the team,
but he was pretty impressive. I would

654
00:46:19,679 --> 00:46:22,840
say looking at hockey prospecting, he's
got about a twenty five percent chance right

655
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:25,880
now being an NHLer. I think
a big part of that is because that

656
00:46:27,000 --> 00:46:30,960
factor that model factors in his height, which gives him a huge ding.

657
00:46:30,519 --> 00:46:35,159
And if you look at his evolving
hockey graphs, he had some of the

658
00:46:35,199 --> 00:46:39,280
worst expected save percentage of any goalie
in the NHL this season based on Buffalo's

659
00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:44,760
defense, and he outperformed that by
the most significant margin of anyone. He

660
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:47,440
was incredible. The only thing I
guess, the only knock I guess you

661
00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:52,559
could say based on this graph is
that his penalty kill wasn't as good,

662
00:46:52,679 --> 00:46:54,519
But that's a different situation. Kat. What do your instincts tell us about

663
00:46:54,599 --> 00:46:59,559
Devin Levi? Is he the heir
apparent to be the starter in Buffalo?

664
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:04,679
Yes, he's perfect. I'm just
kidding. I have to actively try to

665
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,280
temper myself with definite le by because
I think he's wonderful. I know that

666
00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:13,480
there are certain goaltenders that I haven't
admitted bias for because when I watched them

667
00:47:13,480 --> 00:47:16,039
play, they just play a technical
style that just like checks all my boxes

668
00:47:16,639 --> 00:47:22,880
and definitely buys one of those.
He just plays a really structured, solid

669
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:27,000
game that's tracking based, really knows
how to mix it up and get creative.

670
00:47:27,559 --> 00:47:30,760
He's super nimble on his skates,
but doesn't overcommit to in any one

671
00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:35,639
direction. He just plays like a
really consistent, fluid game that doesn't rely

672
00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:38,800
on any one area of his game
or any one skill set in order to

673
00:47:38,920 --> 00:47:42,480
thrive, which is good because he's, like you said, he's on the

674
00:47:42,519 --> 00:47:47,519
smaller side, so he avoids just
creating those holes for himself by boxing himself

675
00:47:47,559 --> 00:47:52,239
in. Is a goaltender who plays
like X style of game. His numbers

676
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:58,880
were like just a goal or too
shy of perfect every year leading up to

677
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:01,440
this year. And the only reason
and he didn't have a perfect year this

678
00:48:01,559 --> 00:48:06,679
year is because he played part of
the year for Buffalo and they, like

679
00:48:06,760 --> 00:48:09,679
you said, their defense did not
do him any favors. That's another one

680
00:48:09,679 --> 00:48:16,280
of those just cornnially rebuilding teams.
But he's to me, the best technical

681
00:48:16,320 --> 00:48:22,599
goaltender they've had in their system in
years. I feel like it's been since

682
00:48:22,719 --> 00:48:27,000
Ryan Miller at least. And I'm
a lenas Olmark fan, so this is

683
00:48:27,039 --> 00:48:30,519
no disrespect to him. He's obviously
doing incredibly well for Boston, but I

684
00:48:30,559 --> 00:48:36,280
think devinely By to me, is
a better goaltender just from a structured perspective

685
00:48:36,280 --> 00:48:42,639
and from a technical perspective, and
so it's unfortunate that he probably isn't going

686
00:48:42,719 --> 00:48:49,199
to be a called or contender in
his first pro season, just because I

687
00:48:49,239 --> 00:48:52,199
don't think he's going to be put
in a situation where his numbers are going

688
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:54,559
to look like he's called or worthy. Although Buffalo could surprise us, they

689
00:48:54,559 --> 00:49:00,639
could finally take that step forward and
make their return their triumph returned to the

690
00:49:00,639 --> 00:49:05,519
playoffs, riding on the cape of
his goalie jersey. But I think he's

691
00:49:05,559 --> 00:49:08,440
their best bet, and it's almost
like he's their top tier and then they

692
00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:14,639
don't have anyone that's coming in close
to him. And I think that was

693
00:49:14,719 --> 00:49:16,599
one of the smartest trades they've made
in a very long time, because they

694
00:49:17,079 --> 00:49:22,320
sorely needed that goaltender who looked like
just a slam dunk and he's one of

695
00:49:22,320 --> 00:49:25,920
those. So good for them.
Yeah, good trade. And you were

696
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:30,159
a little hedging on whether he'd win
the Calder, but I heard you say

697
00:49:30,199 --> 00:49:31,920
he's better than the Vesna Trophy winner, So I guess he'll just win the

698
00:49:32,000 --> 00:49:36,320
Vesna instead and that would work out. Okay, He's going to skip the

699
00:49:36,360 --> 00:49:38,360
Calder and just go straight to the
vestman. It's fine. I think Buffalo

700
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:42,960
would be okay with that too.
Yeah. Great, great job, Devin

701
00:49:43,079 --> 00:49:45,800
Lee. And he's past one of
the guys we'll talk about later who some

702
00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:49,840
people thought might have been the Air
apparent. But we're going to first go

703
00:49:49,920 --> 00:49:52,039
to Tapious lenin In. He's the
next guy we're going to talk about.

704
00:49:52,079 --> 00:49:54,920
And he was just drafted in twenty
twenty two, so, as you just

705
00:49:55,000 --> 00:50:00,719
mentioned, not really close to being
an into already. He is huge.

706
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:04,920
Six five two thirty four played in
the YIP system or JYP if you're a

707
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:07,480
North American, mostly at the U
twenty level, but eight games in the

708
00:50:07,559 --> 00:50:14,199
Liga where it didn't go so well
for him. He didn't really have the

709
00:50:14,239 --> 00:50:16,320
best in either of those. He
also played a couple of games for the

710
00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:22,400
Mestis in the Mestis League and internationally
he also made some appearances. Basically,

711
00:50:22,440 --> 00:50:25,280
none of his numbers look really good
this year. He still has a pretty

712
00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:29,800
high equivalency though. If you look
at the Hockey Prospecting Model thirty two percent,

713
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:32,920
he looks I just pulled up some
other Finnish goalie comps just to see

714
00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:37,079
who he looked like. He looks
a little bit like Billy Husso, but

715
00:50:37,400 --> 00:50:39,920
that's again in this model. And
I don't know about stylistically, but Kat,

716
00:50:39,960 --> 00:50:44,800
should we be interested in lining in? What are your instincts tell us?

717
00:50:45,360 --> 00:50:47,800
I think it's worth keeping an eye
on him. He's well rounded.

718
00:50:49,280 --> 00:50:52,599
I know that for people who get
nervous about goaltender height, they don't have

719
00:50:52,719 --> 00:50:58,760
to worry because as short as Devin
leeviyas Tobias line In is just as tall.

720
00:50:58,880 --> 00:51:01,440
He clocks in a six foot five, two hundred and thirty four pounds.

721
00:51:01,840 --> 00:51:07,280
That's huge. He's for his size. He moves really well, which

722
00:51:08,119 --> 00:51:13,719
I know that over in Finland that
a lot of the teams are there's a

723
00:51:13,800 --> 00:51:19,760
huge discrepancy between the most competitive teams
in Liga and the ones that are essentially

724
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:23,400
some of those teams are playing with
a goalie coach that works for their entire

725
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:28,440
system and is working on almost a
volunteer basis, And like I said,

726
00:51:28,440 --> 00:51:31,239
there's different rink sizes, like different
funding levels for each of the teams,

727
00:51:31,280 --> 00:51:37,000
so there's really just a huge gap
there. My daughter came over to say

728
00:51:37,039 --> 00:51:40,360
hi, she loves hearing about the
goalies. I said that can skew numbers

729
00:51:40,760 --> 00:51:49,000
pretty substantially because you have teams like
a oh it was a huge one.

730
00:51:49,079 --> 00:51:51,320
Yeah, So that's where a lot
of the funding goes. You get a

731
00:51:51,360 --> 00:51:54,719
lot of guys loaned when their prospects
from the NHL, they'll loan guys they're

732
00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:57,719
just so they can keep an eye
on them because they have a lot of

733
00:51:57,760 --> 00:52:00,519
good scouts and access there. And
then you have some teams that are really

734
00:52:00,519 --> 00:52:05,559
just car out there and don't get
a lot of the same opportunities. And

735
00:52:05,599 --> 00:52:07,559
that's okay. I when I was
writing up on him last time, said

736
00:52:07,559 --> 00:52:13,840
that due to his just athleticism and
he's got some pretty decent hockey sense,

737
00:52:13,880 --> 00:52:20,760
it's hard to be lying in with
just a clean shot, but sometimes he

738
00:52:20,840 --> 00:52:24,239
can get pulled out of position a
little bit, and he's a pretty decent

739
00:52:24,280 --> 00:52:29,199
puck handler. But he's also a
really young goaltender, so sometimes that can

740
00:52:29,239 --> 00:52:34,719
burn some younger goaltenders from time to
time. So I think he's wanted to

741
00:52:34,719 --> 00:52:37,719
wait and see on for sure.
I think that Buffalo has put themselves in

742
00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:43,800
a really nice position, which is
surprising given that they had the NHL's oldest

743
00:52:43,880 --> 00:52:47,719
goaltender this year and Craig Anderson.
They it's weird saying that they've put themselves

744
00:52:47,719 --> 00:52:52,440
in early en vehable position in that
they can be patient with some of their

745
00:52:52,480 --> 00:52:55,440
prospects. But they have they put
themselves in early nice position where we don't

746
00:52:55,440 --> 00:52:59,519
need lynan And to be ready right
now. We don't even need him to

747
00:52:59,559 --> 00:53:00,760
be ready in the next couple of
years, so we can just wait and

748
00:53:00,800 --> 00:53:04,760
see on him. But I don't
think he's summon to discount quite yet.

749
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:09,400
Nice. Yeah, so it sounds
like he could be in line for Mike

750
00:53:09,480 --> 00:53:15,679
Smith type antics in the future.
Yes, oh god, all right.

751
00:53:15,760 --> 00:53:20,559
So the last guy we're going to
talk about Uko Peca lucan In drafted way

752
00:53:20,559 --> 00:53:25,119
back in twenty seventeen. UPL finally
played double digit NHL games this season thirty

753
00:53:25,119 --> 00:53:29,159
three, but he wasn't the main
guy. As you mentioned, They leaned

754
00:53:29,199 --> 00:53:35,199
heavily on the veteran Anderson, which
was hilarious and frustrating for those of us

755
00:53:35,239 --> 00:53:39,360
who wanted UPL to get more games, and it was a topsy turvy development

756
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:44,719
road for UPL. He had injuries, he had setbacks. We finally got

757
00:53:44,760 --> 00:53:47,159
a good sample size of him in
the NHL, and it did not go

758
00:53:47,239 --> 00:53:52,159
well. I think it's very easy
way to put it. He as I

759
00:53:52,199 --> 00:53:57,480
mentioned Buffalo doesn't give their goalies the
best protection, and he took that and

760
00:53:57,679 --> 00:54:01,920
just didn't do anything with it.
And Bethel Fenwick was way worse than expected.

761
00:54:02,360 --> 00:54:06,519
Who knows that that can sometimes play
with your mind. I'm sure when

762
00:54:06,519 --> 00:54:10,199
you're cheating for two on ones or
off your angles because you know that their

763
00:54:10,239 --> 00:54:14,760
backdoor passes and things like that.
So I don't really pretend to know all

764
00:54:14,800 --> 00:54:17,480
that, but I know that his
underlying number did not look good. His

765
00:54:17,679 --> 00:54:23,199
hockey prospecting graduated the model in last
year with twenty seven percent chance of being

766
00:54:23,199 --> 00:54:25,840
an NHL OR. He was in
that low thirties, high twenties the whole

767
00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:30,800
time, which is decent for goalie
prospects, but not great. His best

768
00:54:30,840 --> 00:54:34,320
comp, his only comp that's really
an NHL OR is Cam Talbot, who

769
00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:39,159
was an average to below average NHL
starter. And with Levi emerging, Lennon

770
00:54:39,480 --> 00:54:44,079
in the weed in the weeds back
there, what do we make of Ukapeca

771
00:54:44,159 --> 00:54:46,079
Lucan and he's he's someone who's going
to have to go to a different team

772
00:54:46,119 --> 00:54:50,400
to maybe get a shot or is
he just going to be an NHL backup

773
00:54:50,480 --> 00:54:52,719
kind of guys? There? Hope
he can be a one bee. What

774
00:54:52,760 --> 00:54:55,480
do your instincts tell you about Uko, Pecca, Lucan and ket And I'm

775
00:54:55,480 --> 00:55:00,639
hoping he could be a good backup
because Kig Anderson can play another NHL season.

776
00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:07,679
Maybe he could, But I think
it was incredibly telling that Craig Anderson

777
00:55:07,719 --> 00:55:10,559
came back. That was a surprise. I think a lot of us expected

778
00:55:10,639 --> 00:55:15,800
him to retire and then he came
back for another year. I think that

779
00:55:15,960 --> 00:55:22,079
some people maybe naively thought that he
was coming back to mentor Lucanan. I

780
00:55:22,119 --> 00:55:27,199
was surprised that Lucanan was going to
be there one of their NHL who's to

781
00:55:27,239 --> 00:55:31,519
begin with, just because he essentially
he made it up to the NHL sort

782
00:55:31,559 --> 00:55:36,400
of on the same path as Lenas
Olmark. He started to get some starts

783
00:55:36,519 --> 00:55:42,039
just under Olmark there and ended up
getting shuttled back down to the HL because

784
00:55:42,039 --> 00:55:45,920
he just was not ready. And
I don't know if his development got stunted

785
00:55:45,920 --> 00:55:52,079
a little bitter, if they realized
that he really just wasn't just didn't have

786
00:55:52,199 --> 00:55:58,480
that upper tier of just composure and
recovery to his game. But he gets

787
00:55:58,519 --> 00:56:02,440
lost and I don't think he's an
awful goaltender. I think that if he

788
00:56:02,480 --> 00:56:06,760
did move to another team. I
almost want him to just so we can

789
00:56:06,800 --> 00:56:09,119
see him play behind a team that
gives him even a fighting chance. But

790
00:56:09,280 --> 00:56:15,559
he doesn't necessarily thrive all that well
with the Amerks, which is a little

791
00:56:15,599 --> 00:56:20,000
concerning seeing that even his AHL numbers
haven't been super stellar over the years.

792
00:56:20,119 --> 00:56:22,159
I don't know. I think they
need a backup, and I guess they

793
00:56:22,159 --> 00:56:27,599
could use him as that, but
he hasn't done anything that's really wowed me

794
00:56:27,679 --> 00:56:32,639
up to this point, and I
unfortunately don't look at him and see sure

795
00:56:32,719 --> 00:56:37,400
shot NHL or at all at this
point. He almost gives off the kind

796
00:56:37,440 --> 00:56:42,000
of tweener vibes, like a Richard
Bachman type guy who can play in the

797
00:56:42,280 --> 00:56:45,159
HL and has enough composure to his
game that when you call him up to

798
00:56:45,159 --> 00:56:47,719
the NHL, he's going to be
able to hold his own and he's not

799
00:56:47,760 --> 00:56:52,039
going to just completely implode and cause
you to play your starter too many games.

800
00:56:52,039 --> 00:56:57,599
But on the other hand, they
did have to play Craig Anderson too

801
00:56:57,599 --> 00:57:00,920
many games I think this year,
and that said a lot to me,

802
00:57:00,320 --> 00:57:08,119
So we'll see. I think he
probably is going to end up being a

803
00:57:08,280 --> 00:57:13,639
tandem with Devin Levi, which I
don't love. Because that's a blind leading

804
00:57:13,960 --> 00:57:17,800
the blind. There. That's giving
your brand new goaltender Ukapeca. Lucanan is

805
00:57:17,880 --> 00:57:24,679
his standem partner for experience. But
it is learning to swim when someone ties

806
00:57:24,719 --> 00:57:29,639
an anvil around your ankle. Is
that what that's like? I think it's

807
00:57:29,639 --> 00:57:32,639
like learning to swim when this swim
instructor is still using water wings. It's

808
00:57:32,679 --> 00:57:37,360
not necessary. It's not necessarily that
I think Lucanan's gonna cause def and Leviy

809
00:57:37,400 --> 00:57:39,679
to drown. It just there are
a lot of things about Lucanan's game and

810
00:57:39,760 --> 00:57:44,880
his recovery from bad games, because
he doesn't recover well from bad games.

811
00:57:44,880 --> 00:57:46,840
He plays a couple bad games in
a row before he shakes it off.

812
00:57:47,000 --> 00:57:52,599
That makes me not necessarily want to
see him as the tandem for Levi,

813
00:57:52,719 --> 00:57:55,480
as he's getting himself used to NHL
gameplay. But he also seems like by

814
00:57:55,519 --> 00:58:00,480
all accounts, including like when I've
seen him at rinks, he's a really

815
00:58:00,559 --> 00:58:04,159
nice guy. So I always feel
really bad this guy's not an NHL but

816
00:58:04,280 --> 00:58:08,440
he's not. He he didn't.
He might prove me wrong. I'd love

817
00:58:08,440 --> 00:58:12,800
to see him treated to another team. I think that there's probably a goaltender

818
00:58:12,800 --> 00:58:15,880
out there, it's a little more
experience that Buffalo could use as a backup

819
00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:20,960
to Devin Levi. They could use
a young goaltender as a reclamation project,

820
00:58:21,079 --> 00:58:23,559
and I feel like Toronto has been
loving those lately. They could always take

821
00:58:23,639 --> 00:58:29,639
him, but I think he needs
a change of environment in order to essentially

822
00:58:29,719 --> 00:58:32,559
give me the confidence to say anything
super positive about him. At this point,

823
00:58:34,880 --> 00:58:39,400
I was just looking at the Americs, the Rochester Americans roster, and

824
00:58:39,480 --> 00:58:45,360
the goalie who has been leading them
through the playoffs is Malcolm sue Band and

825
00:58:47,679 --> 00:58:54,519
the fact that UPL can't outplay him
or Michael Houser gives me grave concern from

826
00:58:54,599 --> 00:58:58,519
his future. But I just want
to circle back to one thing he said

827
00:58:58,519 --> 00:59:01,079
about Levi, just to be clear, you think Devine Levi can and will

828
00:59:01,119 --> 00:59:07,639
be the starter for Buffalo at least
get the volume starts next year. I

829
00:59:07,719 --> 00:59:13,320
think he's capable of it. I
don't know if that's necessarily if they're it's

830
00:59:13,360 --> 00:59:15,760
tough because I think that they really
should have taken a bigger step forward than

831
00:59:15,800 --> 00:59:21,039
they did this last year. And
if they do take that step forward and

832
00:59:21,119 --> 00:59:24,400
have just a hair of structure on
their defense, which in theory they should

833
00:59:24,440 --> 00:59:28,840
they have some good young defenders on
their team. Now, I don't think

834
00:59:28,840 --> 00:59:34,320
there's any reason necessarily to park him
in the HL. But if they look

835
00:59:34,480 --> 00:59:38,599
like the Buffalo Sabers that we've seen
unfortunately over probably the last fifteen years,

836
00:59:38,880 --> 00:59:42,480
you don't necessarily want to do that
to him. You don't want to throw

837
00:59:42,519 --> 00:59:45,719
him to the Wolves. But I
don't think he has anything about his game

838
00:59:45,760 --> 00:59:47,800
that I look at and say,
oh, this guy needs a ton of

839
00:59:49,000 --> 00:59:53,639
HL seasoning. I think he's in
HL ready, so awesome. That's gonna

840
00:59:53,639 --> 00:59:57,639
be fun, and he's gonna go
high even in redraft leagues. Definite LEVI.

841
00:59:58,320 --> 01:00:02,639
So thanks Cad forgiving us stinks on
the Buffalo Sabers system. We'll be

842
01:00:02,760 --> 01:00:24,760
back right after this the Dynasty dig. It's Buffalo Sabers time. It is

843
01:00:25,000 --> 01:00:31,320
prospect time. Here is what we
could say about the Buffalo Sabers prospect situation.

844
01:00:31,519 --> 01:00:36,679
They have the number thirteen pick in
the upcoming NHL Entry Draft. They

845
01:00:36,719 --> 01:00:40,719
have all their own picks except their
third rounder, but they acquired the Los

846
01:00:40,719 --> 01:00:46,079
Angeles King's third rounder for Eric Portillo. They have Philadelphia's second round pick from

847
01:00:46,079 --> 01:00:51,599
the Erasmus Risk to line and trade, and Victor loves this system, has

848
01:00:51,639 --> 01:00:57,639
it ranked overall victor. That must
start with your no brainer. And let's

849
01:00:57,679 --> 01:01:00,960
just not talk about the fact that
Yarno tried to talk need this guy earlier

850
01:01:00,960 --> 01:01:02,880
in the year and I gave him
the cold shoulder. Who's your no brainer?

851
01:01:05,920 --> 01:01:07,800
Yeah, Yano knows what he's talking
about. Yuri Coolich is the guy

852
01:01:07,880 --> 01:01:12,760
that we're going to talk about here. What a year after being drafted twenty

853
01:01:12,800 --> 01:01:15,280
eighth overall by Buffalo out of the
Czech League part of the return they got

854
01:01:15,320 --> 01:01:20,159
for the Sam Ryan Hard deal along
with Devin Levi, we mentioned that I'd

855
01:01:20,199 --> 01:01:22,239
say both teams are pretty happy,
and Coolich is going to make them even

856
01:01:22,280 --> 01:01:28,079
happier than just getting Levi looking at
the starting goalie and potentially their next number

857
01:01:28,079 --> 01:01:30,840
one center or listen further to see
if that's true. But he came to

858
01:01:30,880 --> 01:01:35,880
North America played for the Rochester Americans
in the HL. It's pretty unusual to

859
01:01:35,920 --> 01:01:39,440
have a D plus one guy playing
the HL, just the mostly Europeans,

860
01:01:39,519 --> 01:01:44,480
some of the guys that were long
before this HL NHL agreement, or guys

861
01:01:44,559 --> 01:01:49,400
during COVID. But Coolidge put up
forty six points in sixty two HL games

862
01:01:49,960 --> 01:01:52,960
as mostly an eighteen year old.
He turned nineteen on April fourteenth. That

863
01:01:53,239 --> 01:01:58,480
is ridiculous. Twenty four goals and
twenty two assists, a little bit more

864
01:01:58,519 --> 01:02:02,920
goals than assists. That's the eleventh
best mark all time in the HL for

865
01:02:02,960 --> 01:02:07,480
an eighteen year old. Guys ahead
of him only three that you would recognize,

866
01:02:07,599 --> 01:02:12,280
David Postnak, Willy Nie Lander and
Cole Perfetti. Those are pretty good

867
01:02:12,320 --> 01:02:16,960
names. Guys behind him Jesse Pouliarve, Kevin Fiala Filipedo, There's some other

868
01:02:16,960 --> 01:02:21,679
guys to a bunch of defensemen and
some other forwards. Coolest didn't stop in

869
01:02:21,719 --> 01:02:24,280
the regular season, though, he's
still going ten points in eight playoff games,

870
01:02:24,280 --> 01:02:30,199
including six goals. He's ended many
of those games too, and over

871
01:02:30,239 --> 01:02:32,840
time and Ben had the game winners. His one point two five points per

872
01:02:32,880 --> 01:02:37,079
game are the fourth most by a
teenager in the HL. Ever, guys

873
01:02:37,079 --> 01:02:42,000
ahead of him jj Paturka did it
last year. He's starring for Germany over

874
01:02:42,039 --> 01:02:45,800
at the Worlds. As we mentioned
earlier, Jeff Carter, Tyler, Bertuzzi,

875
01:02:45,000 --> 01:02:52,320
Willie knee Lander, Patrice bergeron Comtois
Larkin. All of those guys he's

876
01:02:52,320 --> 01:02:59,800
ahead of, so that's pretty amazing
bur Yurikolich. We had Jacob Stoller on

877
01:03:00,239 --> 01:03:06,960
the dab or that were Prospects Report
podcast and he does these really great player

878
01:03:07,039 --> 01:03:12,159
cards like the Jay Fresh ones for
the HL, and Coolich has some pretty

879
01:03:12,159 --> 01:03:15,400
good numbers. Is hit and miss
his game score at sixty four percent,

880
01:03:15,559 --> 01:03:19,360
goals are on goals chances and powerplay
goals are really the top for him,

881
01:03:19,440 --> 01:03:22,960
as well as some shots. His
coursie against expectacles against hits are all really

882
01:03:23,000 --> 01:03:28,719
low and a little bit lower on
assists, but overall some pretty awesome offensive

883
01:03:28,719 --> 01:03:31,920
impacts for a teenager. And for
a little bit more about what makes Urie

884
01:03:31,920 --> 01:03:37,360
Coolidge so special, let's hear from
our FHL scout. That's right, Victor.

885
01:03:37,400 --> 01:03:40,960
FHL scout Brandon ad a look at
Urie Coolidge and here's what he found.

886
01:03:42,159 --> 01:03:46,400
The skating very potent and powerful stride
that lends to deceptive acceleration, especially

887
01:03:46,880 --> 01:03:51,320
from a glide. Quite efficient with
the zedge work, not flashy for the

888
01:03:51,400 --> 01:03:54,880
sake of flash, not overly explosive, but generates linear speed that allows him

889
01:03:54,920 --> 01:04:01,079
to get behind defenders or on to
open ice. Like his skating puck handling

890
01:04:01,199 --> 01:04:06,320
equally elegant, void of over complication. His shot candid of a one tim

891
01:04:06,400 --> 01:04:10,679
or from the right circle in the
power play comes off his stick in her

892
01:04:10,760 --> 01:04:13,840
hurry that puck does, and he
uses shots and goals as an engine to

893
01:04:13,880 --> 01:04:18,199
create rebounds and chaos. IQ reads
the ice on developing plays very well,

894
01:04:18,519 --> 01:04:23,599
often seems to have a solution.
One under attack drives on the power play

895
01:04:23,639 --> 01:04:28,400
with the added time and space,
defense circles back to cover, rushing and

896
01:04:28,719 --> 01:04:32,440
carrying d's even on prolonged pinches in
the ozone responsibly one of the first men

897
01:04:32,519 --> 01:04:38,199
back to help the D or back
check best asset, general finesse, in

898
01:04:38,280 --> 01:04:44,920
efficiency of movement check army knife.
Look at that Brandon making a fun statement

899
01:04:45,039 --> 01:04:47,280
right there. The biggest concerned his
style can look like he's not trying as

900
01:04:47,280 --> 01:04:51,719
hard as he ought to because his
footworks aren't choppy and busy and he's not

901
01:04:51,880 --> 01:04:56,800
trying to cram ten deeks into one. Might be frustrating to both coach and

902
01:04:56,920 --> 01:05:00,280
fan alike at times. Top tier
potential, So what would be the best

903
01:05:00,480 --> 01:05:06,000
case outcome for mister Coolidge? He
thinks seventy pointer on top of the top

904
01:05:06,360 --> 01:05:12,519
unit power play skilled playmaker point per
game. Even perhaps he ought to put

905
01:05:12,599 --> 01:05:15,679
up a solid amount of shots,
but Brandon would like to see him shoot

906
01:05:15,719 --> 01:05:20,079
more rather low peripherals. Otherwise,
but most likely Tier Well, Brandon's a

907
01:05:20,079 --> 01:05:25,199
little more pessimistic there. Season is
more of a third liner two way forward

908
01:05:25,239 --> 01:05:30,480
with checking assignments, thirty five points, second unit power play. If he

909
01:05:30,519 --> 01:05:32,679
hasn't putting up points and shots that
are limited by ice time, he doesn't

910
01:05:32,679 --> 01:05:39,000
have the current skill set to provide
much else. Statistically stylistic comparison, here's

911
01:05:39,000 --> 01:05:44,679
an interesting one and Jacopitar crossed with
Arturrey leckinit That's wow, that's a range

912
01:05:44,760 --> 01:05:48,159
right there. And the NHL rank
King Mason Black. He is the king

913
01:05:48,840 --> 01:05:53,800
who did he decide to put Coolidge
up against in our head to head Jacob

914
01:05:53,840 --> 01:06:00,280
Pelletier of the Calvary Flames. That
is our comparison to deal with today and

915
01:06:00,519 --> 01:06:05,440
our guy Nate. He also pulled
out Jorgan Cairo is a guy who comes

916
01:06:05,519 --> 01:06:12,239
up on the Byron Bader Hockey Prospecting
model as somewhat similar to Coolidge. But

917
01:06:12,559 --> 01:06:16,519
Coolidge versus Pelletier in the Mason Blackpole
it was this will get a lot of

918
01:06:16,599 --> 01:06:23,960
votes, and Coolidge came out ahead
seventy percent to thirty percent. Is that

919
01:06:24,119 --> 01:06:28,760
your preference as well, Victor,
Definitely, I think this is a little

920
01:06:28,840 --> 01:06:32,000
unfair to Jacob Pelletier. Actually,
I think that he is someone who's taken

921
01:06:32,039 --> 01:06:35,000
a while. He's come around,
he's gotten some NHL games, He's looked

922
01:06:35,119 --> 01:06:40,000
really good and the HL the past
couple of years over a point per game

923
01:06:40,079 --> 01:06:43,519
this season, a little bit under
last season, has really made a strong

924
01:06:43,559 --> 01:06:48,079
transition to the NHL, especially the
fact that he's a little bit under size

925
01:06:48,119 --> 01:06:53,519
at five ten Pelletier is So this
is not to slide him at all,

926
01:06:53,559 --> 01:06:56,880
because I still think he's got pretty
decent upside. But what Jury Coolidge is

927
01:06:56,920 --> 01:07:01,440
doing is ridiculous, Like he early
does look like their next number one center.

928
01:07:01,519 --> 01:07:05,079
I know that they have Tage Thompson, I know Dylan Cousins is looking

929
01:07:05,119 --> 01:07:11,360
great, but he's looking like a
top six center, and that is extremely

930
01:07:11,440 --> 01:07:15,880
valuable. I would take Coolidge in
a heartbeat. There aren't guys that do

931
01:07:15,000 --> 01:07:19,559
what he's doing this young and don't
end up being really high end performers.

932
01:07:20,400 --> 01:07:25,559
Also, Jesse, every assignment Ury
Coolich gets is a checking assignment, is

933
01:07:25,559 --> 01:07:29,920
it not? Oh my gosh,
Victor, we are pouring it on today,

934
01:07:30,000 --> 01:07:34,719
pour in and on poured on with
your need to know prospect. You

935
01:07:34,800 --> 01:07:39,039
need to know Noah Ocelin. He's
going to be our need to know.

936
01:07:39,719 --> 01:07:44,719
He's taken sixteenth overall back in twenty
twenty two, so he was taken before

937
01:07:45,119 --> 01:07:48,440
Ury Coolitch and he's not as exciting. He's part of that Jure Gardens trio

938
01:07:48,519 --> 01:07:53,360
that we've talked so much about with
Ogrin and let Ganimaki. Had a good

939
01:07:53,360 --> 01:07:56,679
season for them and the Hockey else
Fence Gin twenty six points in thirty seven

940
01:07:56,719 --> 01:08:00,559
games. He was the lowest point
producer of that trio in the playoffs five

941
01:08:00,599 --> 01:08:04,239
points in twelve games. Trying to
get promoted didn't work out. Drew Gardens

942
01:08:04,280 --> 01:08:09,440
felt just one game short of getting
promoted back to the SHL, losing to

943
01:08:09,800 --> 01:08:14,760
Moto Hockey in seven games. Olson
also represented Sweden at the U twenty World

944
01:08:14,840 --> 01:08:17,680
Junior Championships with four points in seven
games. He looked pretty good looking at

945
01:08:17,720 --> 01:08:25,640
some of these underlying stats for Oceland
from sport contracts or new partners that he's

946
01:08:25,640 --> 01:08:30,800
got some really good contributions in terms
of his exit and entry control percent ozone

947
01:08:30,840 --> 01:08:36,199
passing some of the recoveries in terms
of puck recovery forcing dumpins and things like

948
01:08:36,239 --> 01:08:41,640
that. Some of the things that
aren't his best forte his primary shot assists,

949
01:08:42,079 --> 01:08:45,279
blocks certainly aren't his thing, and
his shooting is not as good as

950
01:08:45,279 --> 01:08:48,880
you would like in terms of volume, so a little bit lower expected goals

951
01:08:48,880 --> 01:08:54,279
for sixty slot shots total shots.
But I'll hear a little bit more from

952
01:08:54,319 --> 01:08:59,279
what makes Oceland so interesting. Let's
hear from our FHL scout. Our fill

953
01:08:59,359 --> 01:09:03,880
scout for mister Osland is FHL MVP
Nate, and what he had to say

954
01:09:04,159 --> 01:09:10,279
is the skating here above average.
Reached another level in his second season in

955
01:09:10,319 --> 01:09:13,560
the Swedish League there and there were
times he looked to be all over the

956
01:09:13,560 --> 01:09:16,000
ice, speeding around the offensive zone
to support his teammates and being the first

957
01:09:16,079 --> 01:09:20,359
forward back in the defensive zone.
Impressed with his agility was Nate. Puck

958
01:09:20,399 --> 01:09:25,840
handling elite. Watching Osland go through
traffic with a puck on a string is

959
01:09:25,880 --> 01:09:29,800
fun to watch, gives him confidence
that he could succeed in North America.

960
01:09:29,880 --> 01:09:32,520
Doesn't shy away from high traffic areas
as much as he did in his first

961
01:09:32,560 --> 01:09:36,520
season, and build more confidence with
the puck as the season went on.

962
01:09:36,680 --> 01:09:42,359
Playmaking is the most elite of his
skills, the shot. Average Oceland shot

963
01:09:42,399 --> 01:09:45,760
doesn't have the power to blow many
goals away right now. He definitely doesn't

964
01:09:45,800 --> 01:09:48,319
have the shot makeup a goal store, so he needs to work on his

965
01:09:48,399 --> 01:09:54,960
strength and improve his shot to increase
his goals IQ elite. One thing that

966
01:09:55,000 --> 01:09:58,720
stands out to Nate about Oceland as
he always seems to be in the right

967
01:09:58,760 --> 01:10:01,920
position, whether it's support this defenseman
in the defensive zone or giving his line

968
01:10:01,920 --> 01:10:05,920
meets an outlet when attacking. He
shows elite vision in the offensive zone,

969
01:10:06,039 --> 01:10:11,119
specifically on the power play. There's
a reason many scouts labeled him as being

970
01:10:11,119 --> 01:10:15,680
one of the smartest players in his
draft class. Defense above average, very

971
01:10:15,720 --> 01:10:19,039
reliable on the defensive end, evident
he prides himself on his defensive game,

972
01:10:19,359 --> 01:10:24,000
even though he is an elite playmaking
forward. In the defensive end, he's

973
01:10:24,039 --> 01:10:27,920
always below the puck supporting this defenseman. He also has his great stick,

974
01:10:28,000 --> 01:10:31,800
taking away many scoring chances by breaking
up passes and catching players on the back

975
01:10:31,880 --> 01:10:36,159
check. And the best asset,
like we said, playmaking. He has

976
01:10:36,159 --> 01:10:40,760
a chance to be an elite playmaking
center at the pro level. The biggest

977
01:10:40,760 --> 01:10:45,039
concern though, strength and physical play. Osland has improved on this in his

978
01:10:45,119 --> 01:10:48,560
second season, but he gets pushed
still around by a bigger defenseman when they

979
01:10:48,640 --> 01:10:53,680
challenge him physically. He will need
to improve on this a lot to succeed

980
01:10:53,720 --> 01:10:57,359
in North America, and the fact
he thrives in the more wide open European

981
01:10:57,439 --> 01:11:02,159
game is a cause for concern.
What's the upside? What's the top potential

982
01:11:02,479 --> 01:11:06,680
for Oceland? First line center?
Says Nate Oastland could be very effective two

983
01:11:06,680 --> 01:11:12,199
way center at the NHL level,
defensively responsible at his own end if playing

984
01:11:12,199 --> 01:11:15,600
with two skilled wingers, could be
an elite distributor of the puck at the

985
01:11:15,720 --> 01:11:20,600
offensive end. Most likely tier middle
six forward. Oceland's more likely path middle

986
01:11:20,640 --> 01:11:25,439
six on a good Savers team,
moving up and down the lineup, since

987
01:11:25,439 --> 01:11:29,199
his strings could be effective with any
linemate who can finish. Always going to

988
01:11:29,279 --> 01:11:32,000
have a spot on the power play
with his ability to work the half wall

989
01:11:32,039 --> 01:11:38,840
with his playmaking and a stylistic comparable, Nate says, Braton Point stylistically sees

990
01:11:38,880 --> 01:11:43,520
a lot of Braton Points game supportive
and reliable and defensive zone fine everywhere around

991
01:11:43,520 --> 01:11:46,840
the ice and the offensive zone,
supporting his teammates uncanny ability to play with

992
01:11:46,920 --> 01:11:53,319
skilled players and get them a puck. Noah Osland in the NHL rank King

993
01:11:53,720 --> 01:11:59,680
data with the Mason Black is a
familiar face. Victor loves to talk about

994
01:11:59,680 --> 01:12:01,840
this guy because he used to cover
Boston and this was the only Boston guy.

995
01:12:01,960 --> 01:12:08,520
Fabian Lisell. Ocean Versus Lisell is
the comp and they're somewhat close.

996
01:12:08,560 --> 01:12:14,399
In the Byron Bader Hockey Prospecting model, Nate also pulled out Lucas Ramat as

997
01:12:14,439 --> 01:12:18,239
a guy who has a similar career
trajectory so far to Noah Oceland. Of

998
01:12:18,279 --> 01:12:24,760
course he blew up like crazy when
he came over from Sweden. So Osland

999
01:12:24,880 --> 01:12:29,359
Versus Lisell went out on the internet. The people had their say voting for

1000
01:12:29,399 --> 01:12:33,079
this and Oceland buy a hair fifty
two percent to forty eight percent over Fabian

1001
01:12:33,600 --> 01:12:40,760
Lisell. Is this time to turntail
on your favorite Boston bruin and go with

1002
01:12:40,840 --> 01:12:45,920
no Osland, Victor, or are
you going to stick with Fabian? Actually,

1003
01:12:45,159 --> 01:12:49,399
patrons have access to my organizational ranks, and I did not have Fabian

1004
01:12:49,439 --> 01:12:56,439
Lessel as the best Boston prospect that
has already come to pass. And yeah,

1005
01:12:55,920 --> 01:12:59,319
all right, he did, all
right, in the HL this year?

1006
01:12:59,359 --> 01:13:01,840
Did Lisell thirty seven points in fifty
four games and not bad. But

1007
01:13:02,159 --> 01:13:04,439
there's a guy that I like a
little bit better. And when we get

1008
01:13:04,439 --> 01:13:09,920
to past and I'll certainly talk more
about Frederick Burnett, but he's a defenseman

1009
01:13:09,960 --> 01:13:14,079
who I think has pretty good upside. Anyways, between these two, I

1010
01:13:14,159 --> 01:13:15,760
do still like li Sell. I'm
not like totally out on him, but

1011
01:13:15,840 --> 01:13:19,520
no, Ocelan just looks like a
top six center for sure. He's and

1012
01:13:19,640 --> 01:13:26,319
as Nate mentioned, he's gonna get
all the opportunity and what a great luxury.

1013
01:13:26,399 --> 01:13:29,119
Right We just talked about two guys
that look like they could be the

1014
01:13:29,159 --> 01:13:32,760
Buffalo Sabers next top line center or
top six center. That means that one

1015
01:13:32,760 --> 01:13:34,920
of these guys is probably going to
be a third line center and they're going

1016
01:13:34,960 --> 01:13:40,399
to be stacked down the middle.
So Oceland is pretty exciting. I think

1017
01:13:40,399 --> 01:13:45,159
that if you just look at pure
offensive upside, Lissel probably has more because

1018
01:13:45,279 --> 01:13:47,119
there really isn't a lot of reason
to have him out there if he's not

1019
01:13:47,159 --> 01:13:51,640
getting an offensive role, whereas Oceland
could be pushed back into a third line

1020
01:13:51,720 --> 01:13:57,199
checking role. Not unlike someone like
Anton Lindell, who I think is a

1021
01:13:57,239 --> 01:14:01,520
great two way forward. I'll respect
to Nate. I don't know about the

1022
01:14:01,520 --> 01:14:04,479
Brandon point, and that's amazing.
If he reaches that, that would be

1023
01:14:04,520 --> 01:14:10,479
great for Buffalo. I think more
like Lindell, someone who's two way responsible

1024
01:14:10,800 --> 01:14:15,479
and can certainly provide offense, but
is not going to demand those offensive minutes.

1025
01:14:15,479 --> 01:14:17,479
And with all the guys ahead of
him, I don't know if Oslin

1026
01:14:17,560 --> 01:14:19,960
pushes his way all the way to
the top, but he certainly could.

1027
01:14:20,520 --> 01:14:25,279
So this is a tough one.
I think I would I like Ocelin better

1028
01:14:25,359 --> 01:14:29,600
as the player, but in terms
of who has more fantasy upside, I

1029
01:14:29,640 --> 01:14:32,640
think it's Lisell, even though Boston
scares me now with how their system,

1030
01:14:32,880 --> 01:14:36,000
how they're obviously what happened this,
and who knows what's going to happen in

1031
01:14:36,000 --> 01:14:40,600
the offseason. Are they gonna try
to get the band back together one more

1032
01:14:40,640 --> 01:14:43,960
time? Are they gonna start retooling? What is going to happen and what's

1033
01:14:44,000 --> 01:14:46,680
going to be there when Lisell gets
there. I'm sure poster Knock and McAvoy

1034
01:14:46,760 --> 01:14:49,479
will be there, but who else. So if it's just him and he

1035
01:14:49,520 --> 01:14:53,279
comes into that, great, but
there may not be much to work with

1036
01:14:53,359 --> 01:14:58,239
but I guess I'm gonna lean Lisell
Jesse. Yeah, I think that's fair.

1037
01:14:58,399 --> 01:15:01,800
I don't like hearing not a great
shot, just an average shot in

1038
01:15:01,840 --> 01:15:06,199
a below average physical game. Love
that, IQ, but that's going to

1039
01:15:06,279 --> 01:15:09,880
take away all the PRIs that you
want. If those are the things that

1040
01:15:09,920 --> 01:15:12,880
are going on. So we'll see. We'll see what happens with this guy.

1041
01:15:12,920 --> 01:15:15,840
And by the way, I should
just say Nate's scouting report is even

1042
01:15:15,880 --> 01:15:19,119
more comprehensive than what I read here. I tend to summarize these reports.

1043
01:15:19,399 --> 01:15:26,119
If you get your patron access and
you read our I think nearly fifty pages

1044
01:15:26,199 --> 01:15:31,079
some notes on this episode, you
can see the thing in full. Third

1045
01:15:31,119 --> 01:15:35,640
of the prospects Victor is to keep
your eye on who is it? Yeah,

1046
01:15:35,800 --> 01:15:42,119
we got Matthew Savoy here as our
keep your eye on the ninth overall

1047
01:15:42,159 --> 01:15:45,000
pick from twenty twenty two. Just
what a haul for the Sabers in twenty

1048
01:15:45,079 --> 01:15:47,680
twenty two, all these guys were
talking about I'll shoot at the top of

1049
01:15:47,720 --> 01:15:53,520
their prospect list, which was already
pretty strong. Savoy fell to ninth overall

1050
01:15:53,600 --> 01:15:56,760
in his draft because of his size
and yes, he's still only five nine

1051
01:15:57,279 --> 01:16:00,000
eighty pounds. He had a good
D plus one season five points in sixty

1052
01:16:00,000 --> 01:16:03,239
two games, but that was only
modestly better than his ninety points in sixty

1053
01:16:03,319 --> 01:16:06,920
five games during his draft seasons.
That was a little bit disappointing and maybe

1054
01:16:08,000 --> 01:16:11,039
not the biggest step you would like
to have seen from him. But Savoy

1055
01:16:11,199 --> 01:16:15,479
did absolutely massively increase his playoff performance
with twenty nine points in nineteen games as

1056
01:16:15,479 --> 01:16:19,920
the Winnipeg Jets came up short in
the WHL Championship to the Seattle Thunderbirds.

1057
01:16:20,720 --> 01:16:24,640
The Thunderbirds seem like they're a team
of destiny, so we'll have to see

1058
01:16:24,640 --> 01:16:27,199
what happens in the Memorial Cup.
Maybe someone will upset them, but they

1059
01:16:27,239 --> 01:16:30,960
look like combautable at times, so
good on them to do so well as

1060
01:16:30,960 --> 01:16:36,399
they did. Savoy and Mitch Brown's
tracking data has some pretty elite expected goals

1061
01:16:36,439 --> 01:16:41,880
for sixty. He also really does
a really good job of creating high danger

1062
01:16:42,000 --> 01:16:45,439
chances in the slot, so his
offensive acumen there is great. One of

1063
01:16:45,479 --> 01:16:47,560
the things he really struggles with,
according to this data, is a transition

1064
01:16:47,600 --> 01:16:53,960
game. His controlled exits and transition
success is pretty poor. Is a defense

1065
01:16:54,000 --> 01:16:57,880
in terms of course he against its
actually pretty good though, so that's interesting

1066
01:16:58,279 --> 01:17:01,840
and some of his off puck assists
unexpected primary says look really good actually in

1067
01:17:01,880 --> 01:17:04,800
this model. But to hear a
little bit more about Matthew Savoya, let's

1068
01:17:04,800 --> 01:17:11,199
hear from our fl scout and the
FHL's scout for Matthew Savoya is branded.

1069
01:17:11,720 --> 01:17:15,800
He says for the skating, he's
a north south skater. Is a savoy,

1070
01:17:15,000 --> 01:17:20,079
can change later laterally change lanes quite
effectively. Lack speed and power,

1071
01:17:20,159 --> 01:17:25,399
awkward edgework, doesn't utilize a high
degree of mortar, but motor, but

1072
01:17:25,520 --> 01:17:30,279
will be redline when on the rush, especially for odd man rush puck handling

1073
01:17:30,359 --> 01:17:34,239
heads up not flashy, may overhandle
the pucket times, but can he effectively

1074
01:17:34,319 --> 01:17:38,840
break up plays, disrupt the puck
carrier with his stick work, and has

1075
01:17:38,840 --> 01:17:44,239
potential to make incredible passes, but
still a little inconsistent in his effort on

1076
01:17:44,319 --> 01:17:49,239
the passing shot. High volume opportunistic
shooter will take shots on goal, even

1077
01:17:49,239 --> 01:17:56,239
if it's only to create chaos and
rebounds. Explosive one timer crisp snapshot iq

1078
01:17:56,840 --> 01:18:00,479
waited to anticipate offensive breaks even when
on the defense. Can make high level

1079
01:18:00,520 --> 01:18:06,079
plays under pressure and defense. Often
the last man back on d zone coverage

1080
01:18:06,079 --> 01:18:12,800
can be disruptive and dangerous on the
PK with his opportunistic leanings. Best asset

1081
01:18:13,119 --> 01:18:16,920
is the shot. As we said, biggest concern. Skating in all areas

1082
01:18:17,000 --> 01:18:23,079
is about average for the DUB.
Could use power development and refinement of edgework

1083
01:18:23,359 --> 01:18:28,520
that could unlock more fluidity. So
what's the top tier? What's the upside

1084
01:18:28,600 --> 01:18:33,680
for mister Savoy. It's complimentary volume
shooter, seventy pointer, special teams deployment.

1085
01:18:33,920 --> 01:18:36,840
Not sure if the size and skating
will make him a good NHL center,

1086
01:18:36,880 --> 01:18:43,039
though most likely tier thirty five point
middle six forward with low peripherals.

1087
01:18:43,079 --> 01:18:45,960
Besides shots, potential for him to
get caught in limbo between the HL and

1088
01:18:46,159 --> 01:18:51,720
NHL if his game remains raw similar
optists. Now we're going to go to

1089
01:18:51,720 --> 01:18:57,279
the comparables. This is wild This
is wildness stuff, a much less gritty

1090
01:18:57,279 --> 01:19:01,479
and greasy Zach Hyman with shades of
Tyler Ennis and Patty Kane, especially in

1091
01:19:01,520 --> 01:19:05,560
regards to the rigid upper body posture
of the ladder. So we're man,

1092
01:19:05,600 --> 01:19:10,279
We're Frankenstein in this thing. So
I don't think he's saying Patrick Kane,

1093
01:19:10,319 --> 01:19:13,239
but there are elements of some of
these different players that he's seen, so

1094
01:19:13,640 --> 01:19:18,439
that's incisive. NHL rank King Mason
Black has come out with the pole Matthew

1095
01:19:18,479 --> 01:19:25,640
Savoy versus Alexander Holtz, another guy
who's known for his shooting and going for

1096
01:19:25,680 --> 01:19:30,279
those goals. And in addition to
that, our guy Nate came up with

1097
01:19:30,279 --> 01:19:35,720
Brian Gianti as a guy who maybe
would be a historical comparison for Matthews Savoy.

1098
01:19:35,960 --> 01:19:42,119
So the Mason Black pole, Matthew
Savoy, Alexander Holtz. Savoy comes

1099
01:19:42,159 --> 01:19:45,840
out ahead in a heavy pole fifty
two percent to forty eight percent, Victor,

1100
01:19:46,079 --> 01:19:53,159
Is that an accurate assessment of where
you have these two guys? These

1101
01:19:53,159 --> 01:19:59,520
are two guys that I struggle with. They both have their issues being small

1102
01:20:00,279 --> 01:20:03,039
and not being a good skater.
That's always a problem. Being small and

1103
01:20:03,119 --> 01:20:08,199
not being a great skater is usually
an issue. We're making a tremendous impact.

1104
01:20:08,600 --> 01:20:13,640
The other thing, you didn't mention
the comps on the PNHL similarity score,

1105
01:20:13,680 --> 01:20:15,960
but I think they're pretty interesting.
So Matthew Savoy, Dawson Mercer,

1106
01:20:16,319 --> 01:20:21,039
Nazim Khadri Adam Ernie So Ernie maybe
not as interesting, but the other two

1107
01:20:21,119 --> 01:20:26,000
in terms of like offensive upside maybe, although both those guys are bigger and

1108
01:20:26,039 --> 01:20:30,439
better skaters. And then Holds on
the other hand, obviously we know he

1109
01:20:30,479 --> 01:20:32,720
has a great shot, he has
some great offensive acumen. He's not terribly

1110
01:20:32,800 --> 01:20:36,560
small, but he's just a one
way kind of guy. There's no real

1111
01:20:36,960 --> 01:20:43,439
defense there, and so that's a
bit concerning. I don't think that Savoy

1112
01:20:43,600 --> 01:20:46,319
is a center in the NHL,
So you're talking about a playmaking winger,

1113
01:20:47,159 --> 01:20:50,520
and there can be some value there, and he's certainly seems reasonable. I

1114
01:20:50,560 --> 01:20:55,720
think Gianta is probably not an unreasonable
comp there, especially based on size.

1115
01:20:55,720 --> 01:20:59,520
He was even smaller but just so
good, so smart at finding those spaces,

1116
01:20:59,560 --> 01:21:01,399
and I think the boy is like
that. He can find those spaces,

1117
01:21:01,439 --> 01:21:05,359
he can open up and create offense
that way. But the porcing is

1118
01:21:05,359 --> 01:21:11,199
really an issue. Huh. I
guess between the two, I'm gonna lean

1119
01:21:11,279 --> 01:21:15,920
Holtz because I think that role that
he can get, he can he can

1120
01:21:15,960 --> 01:21:18,279
play in a top six, he
can be like that Mike Coffman guy.

1121
01:21:18,319 --> 01:21:21,680
That just he's pretty much a good
shot in good offense and he's going to

1122
01:21:21,720 --> 01:21:26,039
get that role and get powerplay points. And if you're going to put him

1123
01:21:26,039 --> 01:21:30,319
with a good responsible center, like
a Niko Hisher, then you know he

1124
01:21:30,359 --> 01:21:33,359
can be great. And I have
more concerns with Savoy being able to translate

1125
01:21:33,399 --> 01:21:36,439
to the NHL, and we'll have
to see how he can do in the

1126
01:21:36,600 --> 01:21:41,560
HL next year. But I'm going
to take Holts even though both these guys

1127
01:21:41,640 --> 01:21:46,560
give me a little pause. Jesse, Yeah, I used to my refrain

1128
01:21:46,720 --> 01:21:49,720
about Holts on this show over the
years. Has Ben he's a goal scorer,

1129
01:21:49,800 --> 01:21:54,880
doesn't score goals, and finally in
the HL, I guess I gotta

1130
01:21:54,920 --> 01:21:58,279
lighten up a little bit because he's
getting about half a goal per game and

1131
01:21:58,640 --> 01:22:01,520
going on a point per game.
It didn't do much with Jersey so far

1132
01:22:01,600 --> 01:22:05,760
this year. I'm going to take
Savoy for now because I like what I'm

1133
01:22:05,840 --> 01:22:10,439
hearing about this guy on the way
up, but it sounds like the potential

1134
01:22:10,560 --> 01:22:13,720
is probably a bit capped out.
But then we're talking about the third prospect

1135
01:22:13,760 --> 01:22:16,520
on the team here. Yeah,
And I think just the other thing I

1136
01:22:16,520 --> 01:22:20,840
wouldn't say about these guys is that
I think it's pretty interesting how it's reverse

1137
01:22:20,960 --> 01:22:25,239
order of how they were picked.
Right, Like Coolidge the best, he

1138
01:22:25,359 --> 01:22:29,960
was drafted the latest in the third
round. Oceland has a really high floor,

1139
01:22:30,760 --> 01:22:32,720
and I think is going to be
an nhlor and an impact maybe not

1140
01:22:32,800 --> 01:22:35,079
so much in fantasy, but he's
one of those guys that is just so

1141
01:22:35,159 --> 01:22:39,319
good two way that he's going to
get opportunity, he's going to get goodlinemates,

1142
01:22:39,359 --> 01:22:43,600
he's gonna score some points, and
Savoy just has questions whether he can

1143
01:22:43,640 --> 01:22:46,399
even whether he'll even be an NHL
or whether he'll be an impact guy or

1144
01:22:46,439 --> 01:22:50,039
kind of a tweeterer. So interesting
how it went in reverse order of how

1145
01:22:50,079 --> 01:22:54,279
you might think. But I think
more eyebrows would have been raised if they

1146
01:22:54,279 --> 01:22:59,039
had taken Coolidge at the position that
they took Savoy in at ninth overall.

1147
01:22:59,119 --> 01:23:01,800
But that's just how it works out. It's easy to look back in hindsight,

1148
01:23:01,920 --> 01:23:05,680
but that's all the time we have
for these guys, Jesse. They're

1149
01:23:05,720 --> 01:23:09,279
more guys to talk about. As
you mentioned, there's a lot more info

1150
01:23:09,439 --> 01:23:13,920
on the one Note Scouting document if
people want to subscribe it and check that

1151
01:23:13,960 --> 01:23:15,800
out. On Patreon, you can
listen to my top ten lists, which

1152
01:23:15,800 --> 01:23:18,239
I'll be doing more and more of
as we go through the summer here.

1153
01:23:18,239 --> 01:23:21,439
It's been busy with the recordings lately, but those are going to be coming

1154
01:23:21,439 --> 01:23:25,920
out, and if you're interested in
doing some scouting or helping out with the

1155
01:23:25,920 --> 01:23:28,439
show at all, there's some behind
the scenes stuff that you can do,

1156
01:23:28,479 --> 01:23:30,439
like our buddy Nate is. And
so shoot me a DM on Twitter,

1157
01:23:30,560 --> 01:23:35,359
Discord, or email us at next
Fantasy Hockey Life at gmail dot com.

1158
01:23:35,479 --> 01:23:45,479
We'll come right back. We'll go
the show. Hey, hey, a

1159
01:23:45,520 --> 01:23:48,439
couple of things remind you of before
we get out of here today. One

1160
01:23:48,479 --> 01:23:53,880
of them is our show is on
the fan Tracks podcast network. That's right,

1161
01:23:54,000 --> 01:23:59,560
Jesse, I am a Fantracks guy. I not only work on Fantrax's

1162
01:23:59,680 --> 01:24:02,840
HQ and or you know, just
contribute to Fan Tracks HQ, but I

1163
01:24:02,960 --> 01:24:08,159
also try to play all my leagues
there because they simply have the most options.

1164
01:24:08,239 --> 01:24:10,800
You can move leagues over to fan
Tracks. If you have a Dynasty

1165
01:24:10,840 --> 01:24:14,399
league and you're like, you know, I'm kind of stuck on another platform

1166
01:24:14,439 --> 01:24:16,399
because it's just going to be too
much work for me to move them over.

1167
01:24:16,439 --> 01:24:20,479
They actually will help import your leagues
or you can start new ones.

1168
01:24:20,600 --> 01:24:24,159
That is a whole lot of fun. You could be doing that today.

1169
01:24:24,199 --> 01:24:27,359
You don't have to wait months to
do it. They've got the most options

1170
01:24:27,479 --> 01:24:31,479
for scoring you can do salaries and
contracts, you can customize your rookie eligibility,

1171
01:24:31,760 --> 01:24:34,960
you can do all kinds of different
things. They even have a good

1172
01:24:35,039 --> 01:24:40,640
mobile chat feature, while other platforms
are trying to get rid of that extra

1173
01:24:40,680 --> 01:24:43,520
stuff. Seems like a lot of
sites these days just aren't caring quite as

1174
01:24:43,600 --> 01:24:47,640
much about supporting US fantasy players.
But fan tracks always will. Fan Tracks

1175
01:24:47,800 --> 01:24:53,840
HQ fantasy content. As I said, it's not only a plane site.

1176
01:24:53,880 --> 01:24:57,640
It's also got content. There's articles
on fantasy hockey. There will be a

1177
01:24:57,640 --> 01:25:00,640
lot, I'm sure as we get
closer to the graft from the writers there.

1178
01:25:00,960 --> 01:25:04,840
There are also articles on all the
fantasy sports. I think there's even

1179
01:25:05,319 --> 01:25:09,760
Formula one. I think Formula one
is even a sport you can play,

1180
01:25:09,760 --> 01:25:13,399
and of course the golf, College
football, a lot of good college football

1181
01:25:13,399 --> 01:25:16,000
stuff going on. John Lobb great
guy. You can read his work at

1182
01:25:16,000 --> 01:25:20,960
Fantrack's HQ. But there are podcasts
there as well. For fantasy baseball you

1183
01:25:21,000 --> 01:25:27,119
can listen to the Prospect Pod and
Full Count Fantasy Baseball, and there is

1184
01:25:27,159 --> 01:25:30,359
a football that is the Fly Fantasy
Football, and then for basketball you can

1185
01:25:30,399 --> 01:25:35,079
listen to the Fantasy Hoops. We'd
like to thank our producer Nate Duffett,

1186
01:25:35,119 --> 01:25:40,680
FHL Scout Extraordinaire, but more to
the point, producer for this show,

1187
01:25:40,720 --> 01:25:44,920
because he's been helping out a ton
with show prep. This is literally a

1188
01:25:44,960 --> 01:25:49,840
forty page document Victor and I prepare
every week with charts and graphs and all

1189
01:25:49,880 --> 01:25:55,359
sorts of inserts, and it is
a pretty elaborate process pulling stuff in from

1190
01:25:55,399 --> 01:26:00,279
all sorts of different sources. So
Nate has been indispensable with that just starting

1191
01:26:00,319 --> 01:26:04,560
out just here. Recently, our
shows brought to you also on the Dabber

1192
01:26:04,880 --> 01:26:11,960
Hockey podcast network Dabber Hockey and the
sister site Dauber Prospects, where Victor is

1193
01:26:12,039 --> 01:26:15,720
an editor. He writes about the
draft, about prospects, about the Detroit

1194
01:26:15,760 --> 01:26:19,000
Red Wings, I think specifically,
but he doesn't just stick to that,

1195
01:26:19,279 --> 01:26:24,840
and there's all kinds of NHL draft
content going on there. You should be

1196
01:26:24,880 --> 01:26:28,520
looking at daber Prospects dot com.
You can follow his work there in the

1197
01:26:28,600 --> 01:26:30,479
other place. If you're into audio, and you probably are, you're an

1198
01:26:30,479 --> 01:26:34,880
hour and a half into a podcast
right now. You can listen to Dauber

1199
01:26:34,960 --> 01:26:40,600
Prospects Report, which is the new
podcast from Daber Prospects. We're Victor and

1200
01:26:40,720 --> 01:26:45,119
Peter Harling are the permanent co hosts, and they're going to talk about nothing

1201
01:26:45,439 --> 01:26:48,800
but hockey prospects. Patreon, I
think we mentioned that earlier in the show,

1202
01:26:48,800 --> 01:26:53,239
but if you choose to join up
a Patreon, you can get a

1203
01:26:53,319 --> 01:26:57,000
number of things. You can enter
our tiered Dynasty League at just the lowest

1204
01:26:57,079 --> 01:27:02,239
level of contribution and there's no fee
for the tier Dynasty. You are going

1205
01:27:02,279 --> 01:27:06,119
to get to play on the premium
Fantrak's product. There is a premium as

1206
01:27:06,159 --> 01:27:11,359
well as a free product, and
the advanced one is where you'll be playing

1207
01:27:11,359 --> 01:27:15,279
there. And there are patron casts
every month that Victor and myself put out.

1208
01:27:15,279 --> 01:27:18,960
A believe around the time you're listening
to this, there will be a

1209
01:27:19,000 --> 01:27:26,039
patron cast coming where patrons are going
to be on mock drafting the twenty twenty

1210
01:27:26,079 --> 01:27:30,079
three mock Draft with Victor. So
that is going to be a special one

1211
01:27:30,359 --> 01:27:35,680
and so Patreon lots of good things. Dynasty Sports Life is my other podcast.

1212
01:27:36,039 --> 01:27:41,199
That is one where I do all
the Dynasty Sports Dynasty Baseball, basketball,

1213
01:27:41,239 --> 01:27:45,359
and football episodes, and then episodes
are called the Blender where I mix

1214
01:27:45,680 --> 01:27:48,279
multiple sports at the same time.
Sometimes I have guessed sometimes it's solo.

1215
01:27:48,600 --> 01:27:54,359
Sometimes it's more philosophical about how to
approach rookie drafts, how to value players

1216
01:27:54,359 --> 01:27:57,880
across different sports and multi sport leagues. Yes, you heard me right,

1217
01:27:58,119 --> 01:28:00,840
We're going to be starting a four
sport league with some of the lifers from

1218
01:28:00,840 --> 01:28:05,319
Fantasy Hockey Life there as well.
You can follow Victor and myself on Twitter

1219
01:28:05,600 --> 01:28:10,439
and should follow us and tweet at
us if you got something to say.

1220
01:28:10,880 --> 01:28:15,439
Victor Nuno twelve viic tr and U
n O one two is how to get

1221
01:28:15,439 --> 01:28:18,680
ahold of Victor. Fan Hockey Life
is how to get a hold of me.

1222
01:28:18,760 --> 01:28:23,359
And you can see all new episodes
when they come out and the occasional

1223
01:28:23,760 --> 01:28:27,479
mix centered up that we do.
Out there on the interwebs. You can

1224
01:28:27,640 --> 01:28:33,159
rate and review this podcast on many
fine podcast providers, Apple Podcasts Spotify probably

1225
01:28:33,199 --> 01:28:38,560
catch the most attention, so those
are great places to leave ratings of five

1226
01:28:38,680 --> 01:28:44,800
stars and reviews so that more people
find this show. We are cruising through

1227
01:28:44,880 --> 01:28:48,239
the team's folks. The Buffalo Sabers
are now in the rearview mirror. We're

1228
01:28:48,279 --> 01:28:53,640
going to be keep going on until
you are fully ready for the twenty twenty

1229
01:28:53,640 --> 01:29:03,279
three twenty four Fantasy hockey life,
