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What is Cracklac and fellow thereon lear
A efforts, I am Damn Valley coming

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at you with a solo podcast.
We are going to do updated win lost

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projections for every NBA team following the
NBA in season tournament. Congratulations to the

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Lakers on winning the inaugural NBA Cup
and pocketing half a million dollars per player.

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I'm sure that night out in Vegas
was pretty pretty fantastic before you had

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started very quickly. If you haven't, please hit the subscribe button on YouTube,

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subscribe on Apple and Spotify, ratings
and reviews, help us out a

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ton, and I would ask share
our episodes with people, tell people about

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us, help us continue to grow
the community, and join our discord the

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link to that in the podcast and
YouTube description. Continue the conversation there.

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I think we're nearing a milestone.
If we get ten more subscribers, I'll

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do a special live episode in there
or something, or maybe we need twelve.

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If we have fifteen more people in
Discord, I think we hit a

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membership milestone and I'll do a live
podcast, maybe a mailbag or something that

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I'll schedule around the Discord users.
And finally, socials support us by buying

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our merch as well. That does
it. Though, Let's get into some

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updated win loss projections for every NBA
team. So let's start look at that

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authored by me, updated win projections
for every NBA team after the in season

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tournament. What a great author really
excited to go through this person's article in

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Lantahawks forty one and forty one.
They're actually on a worse pace than this,

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And you know, I don't think
people are gonna want to bump them

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up for the most part when you
have watched them. I think that's fair.

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There have been some bright spots,
the fact that they're fifth or in

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the top five of offense when Trey
Young hasn't been shooting too well. Dejontai

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Murray's been really good as a score
even though it's defense feels like it's regressed.

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And then Jalen Johnson before the injury, was headlining the most improved player

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discussion. He was certainly among the
primary names in there. When you just

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look at this team, though I
don't know how they get better as currently

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constructed. The only real bright spots
on defense are they forced turnovers and they're

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not really fouling a lot relative to
those turnovers. They're not a good defensive

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team. They don't have the personnel
to be better. They're interested in Pascal

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Siakam. I like the offensive fit
in Atlanta just fine. But if you're

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keeping Murray and Trey, you're adding
another ball dominant guy who's not been shooting

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well from three, and I don't
know how much he actually improves your defense,

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whether you're using him at the five, whether you're playing him next to

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Jalen Johnson, or you're trying to
play him next to a congou Or or

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Capella. This team feels like it
needs a trade, like kind of a

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mega trade that really nudges their defense
in the right direction. The Boston Celtics

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sixty wins, and this might be
just a little too conservative because they've just

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they're just the machine and the offense
can get a little sticky at points.

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There are Knights when Drew Holliday,
Jaylen Brown, even Jason Tatum go through

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this just wonky decision making. They're
just a defensive terror, though when you

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look at how they're built to defend, there could be some injury issues here.

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Porzingis has already missed some time.
Al Horford is thirty seven. But

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the Celtics, even if you don't
like the way their offense looks, this

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is a team that is elite at
both ends of the floor, and they

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just have the space to kind of
offset a lot of the playmaking deficits that

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they have. We'll see if this
comes back to bite them in the playoffs,

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but for the regular season specifically,
keeping them at sixty might almost just

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be too much, too little,
excuse me, like they could easily win

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more than that the nets. I'm
gonna go with forty three and thirty nine

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here. I did not expect the
offense to be this good. Lonnie Walker

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the fourth hitting a bunch off the
dribble jumpers before he gets injured. Cam

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Thomas has been lights out just from
sort of those in between ranges. Mcal

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Bridges has come along, Cameron Johnson's
playing well, Dorrin Finney Smith is having

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one of his better offensive seas Spencer
Dinwoodie by the numbers has been one of

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the best one on one scores in
the league too. And I think because

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you know, you still look at
them and it's, oh, do they

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have enough playmaking? They have enough
shot making and they can run a bunch

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of these spacey lineups that are gonna
offset, similar to the Celtics that are

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gonna offset any playmaking deficit and help
them in the half court. The question

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with them, ironically, is just
how the defense holds up when you're gonna

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rely on Lonnie Walker or Cam Thomas. Things could get dicey there. Nick

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Klaxton missing a ton of time probably
doesn't help them, didn't help them.

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Now that he's back, we could
see some normalization there. That being said,

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this is perhaps a team that needs
to acquire some heft on the front

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line if it really wants to beef
up its immediate window. And I wouldn't

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expect them to. They're kind of
in They're not necessarily in win now.

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They're more and they're not in you
know, sit, let's see what we

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have here mode. But they're kind
of in between, and so that's a

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solid spot to be relative to the
pick equity they have moving forward if they

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want to make adjustments over the offseason. The Charlotte Hornets twenty four and fifty

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eight had them higher, but the
wins they got to come from, they

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got to come from somewhere in this
exercise, and so you start after the

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initial runthroughs, and I think I
mentioned this specifically with the Blazers. When

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I get to them, you start
pulling away from certain teams, and the

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Hornets were among the low hanging fruit. LaMelo's injured right now, the same

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surgically repaired ankle that he the same
ankle he had surgically repaired. I think

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it was last March. The defense
has been really bad, and Brandon Miller,

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relying on a rookie has not really
been a part of that. He's

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been one of their brighter spots defensively. Mark Williams looks over taxed. I

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think this team eventually just gets to
a point where, well, are the

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bodies available, but also are they
gonna kind of flip that switch think more

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about the future. Move Gordon Hayward, maybe move Terry Rozier. They're not

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a good basketball team anyway. If
you told me that they don't make any

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moves and that LaMelo's gonna, you
know, still make kid to sixty games

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or something, I think you can
bump up this win total, but I'm

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not about to do it. The
team has just not impressed me. Speaking

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of teams that have not impressed me, the Bulls, I don't have any

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idea what to do with them.
In Zach Levine's first few games out,

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they've looked pluckier. They beat Milwaukee, they beat New Orleans. Demarta Rosen

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was not available for that Milwaukee win
either. There's there's real impact on the

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defensive end. They can still force
turnovers. When you're looking at Javon Carter,

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iod As soon move Alex Caruso.
Of course, even Patrick Williams has

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come along there. The Bulls we
know were shopping Levine. There's also been

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the report that Demarta Rosen trade is
likely because the sides are so far apart

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in extension talks. I could see
the Bulls and this would bump up their

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win total viewing zach Levine's absence and
trying to move him for depth pieces or

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as part of a not a consolidation
trade, but a trade that gets them

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maybe two guys who are gonna help
them right away and they're not prioritizing necessarily

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picks in prospects. If they start
to play really well without Zach Levine,

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that's absolutely something this franchise would do. I still think when we get to

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December fifteenth, maybe by January fifteenth, when a lot of other players can

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be traded. This team will finally, at long last make some seismic selling

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moves well in advance of the trade
deadline. I don't don't. I don't

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personally expect this to linger until February, although it could. The calves.

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I know a lot of people are
down on the calves right now. Let's

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just see them get healthy. We
haven't seen Mobi, Mitchell, Garland,

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Allen and Shrew's log a ton of
time together. I will admit the offense

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has been very wonky during those stretches. They're not taking enough threes, They're

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not making their above the break threes. Darius Garland really hasn't come on from

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the perimeter just yet. He's also
committed a bunch of turnovers. He's looked

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off a lot. That dynamic with
Mitchell and Garland it's still just weird,

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and so is the dynamic between Allen
and MOBLEI. It can be weird,

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inconsistent. They will do some big
to big stuff, but probably not in

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high enough volume. I still look
at this team and as you get you

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know, Carislvert still working his way
back from injury, and we've seen his

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performance slip from where it was pre
injury, Isaaco Korro dealing with injuries.

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I still think if you give this
team time, they're going to be one

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of the most elite squads in the
Eastern Conference, and that the offense will

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start to look a lot better with
all five of their best players on the

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court. And I also you have
to tip the cap to what Max Drews

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has done for this team, not
just beyond the arc, but inside it.

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His movement, his playmaking. It's
it's been big for them, Dallas

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forty five and thirty seven. This
feels I'm lowering them off their current pace.

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And we know the Kyrie injury isn't
serious, which is great, great

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news for them, But they started
out like gangbusters, they've kind of faded.

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Grant Williams is dealing with an injury. Max and Cleeb was barely played

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this season, and he remains incredibly
important to kind of getting two or unlocking

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what should be some of their most
important lineups. The defense is an issue

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here and I don't know what to
make of it. Derek Lively has played

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really well, the mass rim protection
is still shaky Patrick when he's off the

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floor. They are starting Derek Jones
Junior, and he has played well.

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He's hitting his threes this season,
but that's starting units a net negative overall,

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because when you have Derek Jones Junior
on the court, defenses still don't

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care. They'll let him shoot forty
plus percent a moderate volume if it means

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that they're going to be able to
close in, pack the paint, throw

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more bodies at Kyrie and Lugadancic,
and so that group's half court offensive rating

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is actually below average. And so
this team just feels like they are still

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a player archetype or two away from
contention, and those player archetypes are not

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on the roster. To me,
it feels like at least they need one

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real wing or more point of attack
defender. Josh Green is injured right now

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and he's been fairly disappointing as well. Still a very good team, but

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I just if you're asking me whether
I think the Mavericks can win a playoff

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series if they get there, I
don't. I'll never just say Luca can't

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do it, because Luca has had
some spectacular performances in the playoffs. But

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they just still feel a significant player
short is probably the best way to phrase

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it. More than one player,
but it could be one significant player the

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00:10:05,399 --> 00:10:09,639
Nuggets. Look, they can't beat
the Rockets apparently, which is that's a

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little bit weird. They're just they're
chugging along. They're on pace for more

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00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:18,840
than fifty victories. They do have
their fourth in points allowed per possession against

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00:10:18,879 --> 00:10:20,799
top ten offenses, so that's a
big deal this season. They have that

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defensive gear. Murray hasn't really been
great this year. He's still coming back

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from that hamstring stuff. I expect
him to be fine. Jokich is probably

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the favorite to win MVP as of
now, even though he kind of turned

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into non Jokic games in a row. Aaron Gorn's three point shooting is a

157
00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:41,279
problem, but you're getting really good
minutes from Reggie Jackson. Christian Brown is

158
00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:45,399
starting to perk up. I think
you've run into a good problem with Michael

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00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:50,279
Porter Junior, where it feels like
he wax and wanes on offense more than

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00:10:50,279 --> 00:10:52,519
he does with his rebounding and defense. And you know what, that's going

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00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:54,639
to be just fine for this team. There's still things to harp on.

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00:10:54,679 --> 00:10:58,039
The bench is basically a mess after
you Reggie Jackson and Christian Brown, but

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00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:03,840
the fact that you're still yet to
a top seven like you were last year.

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00:11:03,960 --> 00:11:05,480
Yes, you would prefer to have
Bruce Brown over Reggie Jackson or maybe

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00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:09,320
even Christian Brown in general, but
you still run. It seems like seven

166
00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:13,159
trustworthy players deep because I was wrong
about Reggie Jackson. Of course, it

167
00:11:13,759 --> 00:11:18,320
sure seems like so far, that's
just they're gonna be fine. They might

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00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:20,879
not finish with a one seed in
the West. There are teams like the

169
00:11:20,919 --> 00:11:24,480
Thunder, like the tim Wolves that
will want to go for it more.

170
00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:26,200
This team is still really good,
and I think you have to leave them

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00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:30,759
as favorites in the Western Conference.
They don't really have the amo to make

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00:11:30,799 --> 00:11:33,480
a trade if they did want to
significantly deepen the rotation to get to an

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00:11:33,519 --> 00:11:37,879
eighth or ninth guy. Where do
we trusted big? Because how much can

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00:11:37,919 --> 00:11:41,159
DeAndre Jordan actually play the ichnology.
He's not having a good year and he's

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00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:45,799
kind of already fallen out. And
do we think that Julian Strather or Peyton

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00:11:45,840 --> 00:11:48,559
Watson are just going to be ready
by the playoffs. They don't really unless

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00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:54,039
they're looking to move off of one
of their top seven guys. They don't

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00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:58,039
really have the AMMO or the salary
to go do something significant. But you

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00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:00,679
look at their top seven, even
if you want to say it's a top

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00:12:00,720 --> 00:12:03,080
six because you count Brown and Jackson
as one player or whatever. Even with

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00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:05,759
their flaws, the Nuggets are the
toast of the West. There's just no

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reason to pretend otherwise. So the
Pistons fourteen wins is three fewer than last

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00:12:11,759 --> 00:12:15,399
year, and it might be a
gift because they're currently embroiled in a losing

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00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:18,639
streak that has them on track to
have the worst record in NBA history.

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00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:22,679
This team is a disaster right now. The j and Ivy stuff is officially

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awkward, verging on detrimental. Now
you're dealing with the Jaalen Duran injury.

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We've still seen a little bit too
much. It's they're not staples. So

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00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:33,720
now that Bonian Bogdanovich is back,
they'll be even less with staple fire.

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00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:37,559
The two big lineups into the sun
and that includes Isaiah Stewart. It's just

190
00:12:37,879 --> 00:12:41,120
we're talking. Yeah, he's shooting
five from three. The volume is not

191
00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:43,559
that. The volume is not that
high, and so do you call him

192
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a stretch big? And part of
being a stretch big is can you attack

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00:12:46,519 --> 00:12:52,759
close outs? That's not something he's
necessarily comfortable doing at the moment. Bogdona's

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00:12:52,799 --> 00:12:54,399
coming back opens up the floor for
Kate Cunningham, and we started to see

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00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:58,399
him play better before Bogdanovic even came
back. That's a good sign. Star

196
00:12:58,519 --> 00:13:01,639
Thomps has been one of the most
entertaining players to watch on defense in all

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00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:05,639
of basketball. Jaalen Duran was a
d light before he went down with his

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00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:11,000
injury. This team can be better
Monte Morris, he'll get healthier. That

199
00:13:11,039 --> 00:13:15,320
should help them as well. So
everyone who's in a rush and will trade

200
00:13:15,320 --> 00:13:18,320
Bogdanovich, trade Morris, trade Burkes, just get what you could get for

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them. Maybe they go that route. But if you're not gonna get a

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good first round pick for Bogdanovich,
you might as well just keep him because

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your wind toll is gonna be low
enough that you have top lottery odds anyway,

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and his spacing, his scoring can
streamline development for everyone else. And

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now you get to a point where, yeah, we're going one big and

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Bogdanovich and now we have you know, maybe the spacing if K's hitting his

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threes, depending on who else,
and Marcus Saster is gonna be on the

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floor. But like you can get
two lineups where there are at least two

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to three positive shooters, and then
you can mix and match with Kate Cunningham

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and Star Thompson and hopefully Jay and
Ivy at one point. I won't pretend

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that this season has been a success
for the Pistons. It's just a it's

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an unmitigated disaster and they need to
get their shit together. Otherwise Tory Reaver

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is not gonna have a job time
next year. I would assume the Warriors

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forty two and forty. Speaking of
gifts, they're on pace to be below

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five hundred. I assume they'll get
it together to some extent. But they're

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old, they're slow, they're unathletic. You can blame some things on Steve

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Kerr, but he's gotten away from
some Moses Moses Moody mindis excuse me when

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it's mattered most at points. I
don't know how this team is supposed to

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be a lot better than it is
now, and it wouldn't be so frustrating

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if you're kind of just riding out
the end of this dynastic era. If

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Steph Curry wasn't a transformative player,
still he can headline a contender the Warriors

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just haven't put one around him,
and you're at a point now where it

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needs to be a big trade to
make it happen. And this does not

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really account for that because it is
a new front office with Kirk Lacup and

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Mike dunleavy in charge running the show, and they showed they being aggressive with

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the Chris Paul trade, specifically,
will they do it mid season and will

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they make the call of we're gonna
get rid of Kaminga here, we'll move

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to future first round picks and we'll
go after a Pascal Siakam and we'll try

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and get Ojannanobi. My point is
you can't stamp Pat and hope to be

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in the middle. This team.
It's the dynastic eraror it's run out of

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lightning in a bottle stores. They
got that when they won the title in

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twenty twenty two. It's not happening
again. And everyone can say we're waiting

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for Klay Thompson to be better.
He'll be less disjointed on offense. The

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defense is not coming back. He's
thirty three, he's two major injuries under

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his belt. And then there's the
Andrew Wiggins stuff where Okay, you can

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hold out hope that he's more consistent
and just better. Overall, we have

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nearly a decade of evidence that says
twenty twenty two postseason Andrew Wiggins is the

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exception, not the rule. And
so if you're the Warriors, you need

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to be eyeing the trade market if
you are actually concerned about optimizing what's left

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of steps window. Again, this
would be so much easier just to ride

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out, let them fade off into
stunset. If Steph wasn't this transformative MVP

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type of player. He's still though, and so to me, you're obligated.

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And We've said this multiple times on
this podcast. I've said it,

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I've written about it, and the
Warriors just have never done it. And

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they were kind of vindicated to some
extent when they won another title, But

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after seeing last year spending it mediocrity, you're doing the same again. Real

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changes need to be made if you
actually want to make the most of Steph

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Curry's prime. Houston Rockets. I
don't feel good about this one either.

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I hate putting teams that are plucky. They're above five hundred right now as

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I'm recording this, thirty nine and
forty three feels right though there's nothing.

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You look at this team's performance to
date, there's nothing that feels too fluky.

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The defense feels real. Their top
five in points, a lot of

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per possession right now, they've gotten
some opponents are not shooting like ultra high

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e clips from the three point line
for them. But when you watch them,

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when you watch Dylan Brooks, when
you watch Fred VanVleet, when you

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watch Jabari Smith Junior, when you
even watch Alpha and Shangun, Tarry Eason,

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Jayson Tate, there's a real like
there's a real defensive system here or

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a lot of defensive talent that could
be effective. The offense can have its

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highs highs as well, does explore
some valleys. My question with them,

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I mean, I have a multitude
of questions for them, but the two

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primary ones are can Alprin shanegunin playoffits
for an entire year. It's not that

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I don't believe in his talent.
He's shouldering his biggest load ever and now

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we're gonna extrapolate that across an entire
eighty two game season. Could they fade

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a little bit and then what happens
when Aman Thompson returns he has to.

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I would face assume he factors prominently
into the rotation where you're gonna lean on

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a rookie to that degree, it
lends itself to growing pains, and that

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could hurt them in the immediate And
there is a chance the Rockets look to

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the trade market to improve upon just
being sort of in the bottom of the

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middle, however you want to phrase
it. Their pick is owed to Oklahoma

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City this year top six, top
four protection, I believe, But like,

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is it really the time? Are
you gonna go after a bigger name?

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What bigger name that's become available actually
interests you? Is it? You're

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gonna be in on siakam oh Giannobi
fits anywhere? It doesn't feel like he's

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available. Would you be in on
brandon Ingram or Zion Williamson. Zion Williamson

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is such a weird fit here now? Would you be in on Zion?

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If the Pelicans decide to make a
move there, I don't know, And

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so I don't see them getting noticeably
better at the trade deadline. Some of

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the backup big minutes, they could
stand to rely on Jabari to run even

279
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more backup five minutes, Like there's
some awkwardness there, but this team,

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like they're interesting. I just don't
know that they're good enough to do anything

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else other than hover around playing territory. If they finish at five hundred.

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If they finished at five hundred,
it won't be surprised. If they're above

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five hundred, it will be a
little surprised. The Indiana Pacers NBA Cup

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runner ups. Their offense is just
it's thermonuclear. It's fast, devastating,

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versatile, fast again, it's efficient. They have the best half court offense,

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which is a big deal because they
were twenty third in that metric last

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year. You can worry about the
defense. I'm worried about the defense.

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Aside from Aaron E. Smith,
they don't really have the size to rumble

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with these bigger wings. You're looking
at Bruce Brown, TJ McConnell, Andrew

290
00:19:02,319 --> 00:19:06,720
Demhard. All those guys are undersized. Miles Turner looks over attacked on the

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defensive end. I feel like sometimes
it starts to impact him adversely on the

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offensive end as well. But you
just look at what Indiana is doing and

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for the regular season, specifically,
a team that can run and is in

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the shape to do this all season
and there are a lot of holdovers from

295
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last season, and so if you're
worried about what we'll be topping be in

296
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good enough shape too. I mean, he's just a shot of adrenaline to

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begin with. But if you're worried
about Bruce Brown being in enough shape to

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play at warp speed all year one, I just these aren't the types of

299
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players I worry about. But most
of this Indiana team, so much of

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the core was there last year.
They're gonna be in shape to play this

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way all season, and so I
think that they're going to be a forty

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seven win team. That just feels
that just feels right. They you told

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me they get to fifty, I
wouldn't be shocked. I do think the

304
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defense is gonna is going to hurt
them there. They are built to make

305
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a trade if they want to.
They have Benn mcmather and they have Jarris

306
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Walker. They own all their their
first I just don't know what the answer

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is. I really do like Pascal
Siakam here having the defense of him and

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Miles Turner. He can do some
of the elite wing defensive stuff, but

309
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he's more of a big and so
that's a little awkward. How much you

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00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:11,559
give up for him, and then
he's another player who's used to working on

311
00:20:11,599 --> 00:20:15,599
the ball and things have been fickle
in Toronto because they have him sort of

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00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:19,960
seating touches and status. To Scottie
Barnes, would it be the same way

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in Indy? There's a lot better
spacing there, so we can attack very

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quickly off the catch and have more
room to do so. I don't know

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if that's the answer. They're another
team where it's oh, throw Giannanobi.

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But could they get a you know, Dory Finney Smith would would make a

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difference, So Jay Sean Tate would
make a difference. That's the prototype of

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00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:41,319
player that they should really be after. But they're a playoff teams constructed.

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I don't know what to do with
the Clippers. They've come on lately the

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00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,720
lineup and look, Tyler's done a
good job. I think of exploring more

321
00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:52,480
certain lineups. PJ. Tucker has
gotten five straight dnps, I believe,

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00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:56,160
and that's good, but it's also
bad in the sense that, well,

323
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you want someone who could fill the
minutes he was taking. I think can

324
00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:03,400
play alongside another big They don't really
have that right now, unless you're gonna

325
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:08,640
downsize to the hardened George Leonard Man
combo alongside zoo bots, and that lineup

326
00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:14,000
is absolutely annihilating opponents. Right now, they've been unable to find any sort

327
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:17,839
of lineup with hard and Russell Westbrook
where it works. That will be something

328
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,839
to monitor. My part of my
primary concern is, as I'm recording this,

329
00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:23,319
Paul George and Kwhilander have played in
every game, and so it'll be

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hovering around five hundred. When you've
gotten that availability, and when their track

331
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:33,279
record suggests that this pristine availability is
operating on borrowed time, it's just a

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little uneasy. The Clippers to begin
with this season were both combustible and tantalizing.

333
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The James Harden trade essentially made them
more of both. They are more

334
00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:48,359
combustible, but they're also more tantalizing. They do have some of the assets

335
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to go out and make a trade. I don't necessarily know what they need.

336
00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:55,640
Probably again, probably sort of a
PJ. Tucker type is there's someone

337
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:57,880
they could get to stretch the floor
at the five, but can also spend

338
00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:02,799
time if they want to play with
or Ticer or zoo bots. That might

339
00:22:02,839 --> 00:22:06,160
be something to look at, or
they just could skew wing all together like

340
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:08,359
kind of a wing defender to help
with some of the combinations where they are

341
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:12,160
a little bit more undersized. Norman
Powell has become mission critical to this team.

342
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I think the Clippers are gonna be
really good, and I can see

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forty five and thirty seven being too
low on them. But again, they've

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00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:23,039
gotten here and the post James Hardentree
lose your first five, they've looked a

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00:22:23,039 --> 00:22:26,880
lot better since. So we need
to recognize that. You just you have

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00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:32,279
to doubt the durability of their top
two stars. But even a hard or

347
00:22:32,319 --> 00:22:37,119
a Westbrook is something going to creep
up at all this season. And that's

348
00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:40,079
just where I'm at. You Again, you have to pull wins from somewhere.

349
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But the Clippers, they have a
much higher ceiling than forty five wins.

350
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The Lakers are gonna have it.
Fifty wins. The NBA Cup winners,

351
00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:48,880
you can't call it the I guess
they are the NBA in season tournament

352
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:53,440
winners. Uh. They look as
they've gotten healthier, they've looked a lot

353
00:22:53,519 --> 00:22:57,279
better. Lebron James looks spectacular.
Quite frankly, the minutes without him are

354
00:22:57,319 --> 00:23:03,039
still disaster that's going to help him
In the MVP discussion, Anthony Davis is

355
00:23:03,079 --> 00:23:07,519
building a defensive Player of the Year
discussion game by game Here, D'Angel Russell's

356
00:23:07,519 --> 00:23:11,880
put together like decided the two way
performances, which is just weird to watch,

357
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:15,200
and it complicates when you start to
come up with trades to improve their

358
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,519
offense. It's well, does it
make sense Zach Lvin's and then comes up

359
00:23:18,519 --> 00:23:21,680
does it make sense thinking up Delo
and mariehat Chimore and other stuff to get

360
00:23:21,759 --> 00:23:25,160
Zach Lvine And when d'An angel Russell
has been playing the way he's playing,

361
00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:29,599
I don't know. Excuse me,
I don't know that it does. And

362
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so you do have to think about
that, the fact that you are thinking

363
00:23:32,319 --> 00:23:36,119
about that there was a good spot
for the Lakers to be in the question

364
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,440
has ever look this team? I
know what they've done at points during or

365
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:42,319
what they did at points in the
midseason tournament. There's not enough shooting in

366
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:45,359
terms of efficiency or volume from the
perimeter. They need to address that.

367
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:48,480
Tore im Prints coming on a little
bit will help. Max Christie's given them

368
00:23:48,519 --> 00:23:52,079
some good minutes. Cam Reddish has
been really good defensively, Will gave Vincent

369
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:56,039
come back and maybe jack up their
three point volume in efficiency. His three

370
00:23:56,079 --> 00:23:59,839
point clips have traditionally been all over
the place, so you don't know.

371
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:03,839
I'd like to see them acquire a
shooter that could track their closing lineup,

372
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:07,240
to be honest with you, because
I look at it as very open ended.

373
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I know a lot of people want
to pencil de lo in there or

374
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:14,000
Ruey in there. Delo understands he's
not always going to close games. I

375
00:24:14,079 --> 00:24:17,160
think Reeves, Lebron, and ad
are kind of your three guaranteed spots to

376
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:21,519
close games. Can you get a
shooter to add to that trio that you

377
00:24:21,559 --> 00:24:23,720
know is going to close games for
you? And if you can, the

378
00:24:23,799 --> 00:24:27,000
Lakers become a real threat. And
then of course there's Look, they'll be

379
00:24:27,039 --> 00:24:30,559
great as long as Lebron and a
d are healthy. But neither of those

380
00:24:30,559 --> 00:24:33,119
guys have played in sixty games or
more since twenty eighteen. Twenty nineteen.

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The Memphis Grizzlies thirty three and forty
nine feels right. It's incredibly low,

382
00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:45,799
but the Ron pace to win a
lot less than that they're dealing with.

383
00:24:45,839 --> 00:24:48,079
In addition, look, Jahm Moran's
coming back soon from his twenty five games

384
00:24:48,079 --> 00:24:52,359
suspension. They're dealing with a bevy
of other stuff. Marcus smart as out

385
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:55,759
right now. Lukenard's only played in
eight games while dealing with some knee problems,

386
00:24:55,960 --> 00:24:57,759
which knee problems have been an issue
in his past. That's something they

387
00:24:57,839 --> 00:25:02,599
keep an eye on. Neither Steven
Adams or Brandon Clark are expected to play

388
00:25:02,839 --> 00:25:06,079
this season. That's a big deal. I don't know what you're gonna hope

389
00:25:06,079 --> 00:25:10,319
for from this Memphis team. You're
there are five games in the lost column

390
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,920
behind the final playing spot a quarter
of the way through the season. That's

391
00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:18,000
a pretty big gap to bridge.
And I don't expect them to do it.

392
00:25:18,079 --> 00:25:19,480
I don't. This isn't oh they
need to blow it up now.

393
00:25:19,519 --> 00:25:22,960
But the season feels like a wash
and they're gonna need to recalibrate over the

394
00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:26,759
offseason. And I personally wouldn't.
You know, if it's a small time

395
00:25:26,799 --> 00:25:30,559
trade and we're gonna get Andre Drummon
to come in here and try and replicate

396
00:25:30,599 --> 00:25:33,119
a lot of what Steven Adams did
for you, Okay, fine, but

397
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:34,440
I wouldn't be in the business of, oh, we need to make another

398
00:25:34,519 --> 00:25:38,440
trade to kind of advance our agenda
this season. Because it just doesn't matter.

399
00:25:38,839 --> 00:25:42,000
To what end are you doing that
to get the ninth spot in the

400
00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:45,079
plays, I'm gonna be back your
way into a first round exit. I'm

401
00:25:45,079 --> 00:25:48,200
not about it. I will be
interesting how they're playing once Job returns.

402
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:52,920
But this season, frankly, this
season's over for them. It's just it's

403
00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:56,000
over. They've they've seed in too
much ground and it's not entirely their fault.

404
00:25:56,519 --> 00:26:00,559
The Miami Heat. I'm gonna go
with forty seven just because they're the

405
00:26:00,559 --> 00:26:03,799
Miami Heat, and I I'm not
gonna doubt their ability to figure it out.

406
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:07,079
We got to a point they gave
up Max Drus and gave Vincent,

407
00:26:07,519 --> 00:26:11,759
let them leave for nothing, and
it doesn't fucking matter because the you know,

408
00:26:11,839 --> 00:26:15,359
the dribbling version of Duncan Robinson is
real and hamay Hawks has come in

409
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:18,359
and even before he was hitting threes, was leaving a two way den and

410
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:23,119
now he's hitting threes. On top
of that, there are dead last and

411
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:26,480
opponent percentage at the rim. They
don't allow a ton of attempts there,

412
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:30,880
but to be thirtieth is pretty big
deal for them. I think it speaks

413
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:33,720
to just how small Bam has never
been a true rim protector, and they

414
00:26:33,799 --> 00:26:37,119
just they skew small overall. And
if you're gonna play bigger, you're you're

415
00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:41,720
gonna have a defensive liability on the
court. Does a healthier Caleb Martin allow

416
00:26:41,519 --> 00:26:45,680
wings forwards like Hawk has, like
Jimmy Butler to pitch in more down low.

417
00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:49,359
That's something to monitor or do you
need to address that a little bit

418
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:53,880
more. Tyler Hero is gonna come
back. That will, like in Fury,

419
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:57,000
help your offense, gives you,
you know, the additional playmaking.

420
00:26:57,000 --> 00:27:00,000
I think he's I don't know if
he's an underrated passer, reason quality passer

421
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,079
enough and so you can use those
minutes with him and Kyle Lowry and Jimmy

422
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:07,079
Butler and bam Adebayo. You have
your passing down. But if you get

423
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:11,359
to a point where you're training Tyler
Hero Kyle Lowry, you are probably gonna

424
00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:15,079
need to bring in some additional playmaking. And shout out to bam here as

425
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:18,759
well. He's putting together yet another
career off the defensive season, and I

426
00:27:18,799 --> 00:27:22,039
think that's gonna put him firmly in
not just the conversation, but firmly on

427
00:27:22,079 --> 00:27:25,920
an All NBA team for the for
the first time in his career, but

428
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:29,920
I'm just overtook. The Heat's defense
has been a little weird. Some of

429
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:32,839
that. His opponents have been shooting
well from the perimeter against them, and

430
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:37,319
you wouldn't expect all those percentages to
hold relative to the reputation, though,

431
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:40,440
that is something to watch for.
They're just gonna spit out forty five to

432
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:41,640
seven wins, Like, what are
we even doing here? You just have

433
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:45,440
to I'm over doubting the Heat.
Like we said, there's alien shit going

434
00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:49,160
on in there. They're gonna upend
the postseason landscape at some point. Milwaukee

435
00:27:49,279 --> 00:27:52,759
Bucks. Everyone's concerned about the Bucks, and I get it. The defense

436
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:56,440
is not great. No team allows
opponents to get out and transition more often

437
00:27:56,480 --> 00:28:00,920
after live rebounds than Milwaukee. It's
not just a matter of teams getting behind

438
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:04,440
their guards. There's a lot of
just like watching and letting things happen.

439
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:10,480
From Brook Lopez and even Giannis Tantakumpo. I don't know that they're gonna solve

440
00:28:10,799 --> 00:28:17,480
these issues, these defensive issues with
the personnel. It's on their roster necessarily.

441
00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:21,480
We've seen Bobby Portis's minutes come down. We should note that both Pat

442
00:28:21,519 --> 00:28:25,240
Contenton and Jake Crowd are injured.
They're still on this like fifty six win

443
00:28:25,279 --> 00:28:27,359
pace, which is what I have
them for fifty six and twenty six.

444
00:28:29,599 --> 00:28:32,799
They're just gonna be fine. I
mean, the offense is top five and

445
00:28:32,839 --> 00:28:37,400
they're not even like milking the Damian
Lillard Downason Tentacupo pick and roll enough.

446
00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:41,160
Is it concerning that there's been some
rough late game execution. Bobby Port has

447
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:45,839
called it out from Adrian Griffin and
the players the other day. It's slightly

448
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:48,400
concerning, But the Bucks still have
a top five crunch time offense, and

449
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:51,599
so the fact that they haven't even
reached their peak. Their rim protection has

450
00:28:51,599 --> 00:28:55,480
gotten a lot better since Brook Lopez
started started playing more drop unless he's going

451
00:28:55,559 --> 00:29:00,240
up against Indiana. So for all
that's wrong with them, they're still just

452
00:29:00,279 --> 00:29:03,640
on pace for this elite record.
I think the concerns are going to manifest

453
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:07,559
more in the postseason, and it's
can you get some additional point of attack

454
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:11,480
defense in here, or just maybe
a different look on the wings. I

455
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:14,480
will say I've been really impressed with, for the most part, when League

456
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,440
Beasley has done on both ends of
the floor this season. Probably not enough

457
00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:21,680
defensively, but he's had games where
he's played really well defensively. The Minnesota

458
00:29:21,759 --> 00:29:26,079
Timberwolves fifty eight and twenty four,
because fuck it, this team is real.

459
00:29:26,519 --> 00:29:29,119
If I have to choose right now, I've already chosen in the preseason.

460
00:29:29,119 --> 00:29:30,160
But if I have to choose,
I'm gonna pick the Nuggets to come

461
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:33,240
out of the West. After that, though, and we've had this conversation

462
00:29:33,279 --> 00:29:37,400
before, it's supposed to be entirely
open ended. It's not, because the

463
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:41,759
Timberwolves exist and this team is just
so good. When you look at the

464
00:29:41,799 --> 00:29:45,480
top eight nine of their rotation,
depending on how you feel about Troy Brown

465
00:29:45,559 --> 00:29:49,799
Junior, that is superseded by no
other team in the league one through eight

466
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:55,000
or nine. There might be deeper
teams overall looking at New Orleans and all

467
00:29:55,039 --> 00:30:00,000
their optionality. OK, see of
course, but but one through eight the

468
00:30:00,039 --> 00:30:04,599
Wolves have maybe the most bankable playoff
rotation right now, nos Reed has made

469
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:08,160
another jump at both ends of the
floor. I still need to see this

470
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:14,799
offense take more threes, and I
think that's important because the dual big setup,

471
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:19,440
while it's been effective, especially on
defense, it has created an environment

472
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,000
where it's harder for the perimeter players
to get to the rim, and so

473
00:30:22,039 --> 00:30:26,799
the Wolves are not as often and
those tighter spaces at points have resulted in

474
00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:30,799
some additional turnovers, and three point
shooting can be a way offsetting that.

475
00:30:30,839 --> 00:30:33,319
I'm not saying Cam Karl Anthony Town's
out in the corner. Have him take

476
00:30:33,319 --> 00:30:37,160
ten threes a game, but Carl
Anthony Towns take ten threes a game.

477
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:41,359
At this point, Carlin Town's been
good though some variants on offense, and

478
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:45,079
then he's defended really well. Still
slow in space, but when you look

479
00:30:45,119 --> 00:30:48,839
at what he's doing specifically, just
like where he's supposed to be, he's

480
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:52,000
now there and it's not and it's
not just there, and he's off balance

481
00:30:52,039 --> 00:30:55,079
and he's late. It helps that
you're playing with nos Reed and Rudy Gobert,

482
00:30:55,079 --> 00:30:56,559
who probably needs to be the defensive
player of the year right now.

483
00:30:56,559 --> 00:31:02,720
You go back and look at just
five to seven possessions defense possessions from the

484
00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:04,480
Wolves per game. He is all
over the place. I said, I

485
00:31:04,519 --> 00:31:07,920
haven't seen him move like this in
years. I think it was JJ Reddick

486
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:11,920
or Zach Lowe had recently said,
and they're just probably right because it's them

487
00:31:11,119 --> 00:31:15,480
that he has never moved like this
ever. They have the best defense in

488
00:31:15,519 --> 00:31:18,519
the league. It's not going anywhere, I think because you look at their

489
00:31:18,599 --> 00:31:22,359
second best defender, is it We
know where their second best defender is.

490
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:25,519
But when you look at who Rudy
Goberart is played next to on the perimeter,

491
00:31:26,079 --> 00:31:30,240
Athey Edwards, Jade McDaniels, probably
Nikael Alexander Walker, probably Troy Brown

492
00:31:30,279 --> 00:31:37,519
Junior all would have registered as the
best perimeter defender during Go Bear's final season

493
00:31:37,519 --> 00:31:40,599
in Utah if they were on that
team. So to have all this personnel

494
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:45,799
around, I think it's worth the
offensive trade off because you have decided,

495
00:31:45,799 --> 00:31:48,279
when you're looking at some of the
guys you are playing naw, Troy Brown

496
00:31:48,319 --> 00:31:52,400
Jr. Kyle Anderson, even,
you have decided that your three point attempt

497
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:59,079
trade may always be artificially or by
design repressed. And I'm watching this team

498
00:31:59,079 --> 00:32:00,079
and it's just okay, I like
to see them. I don't think it's

499
00:32:00,119 --> 00:32:02,720
a matter of that meeting to acquire
someone. I think you look at Towns,

500
00:32:04,039 --> 00:32:07,119
you can even see it from Jade
McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, who's pull

501
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:12,039
up three pointer has been going in
this year. Can they up their three

502
00:32:12,039 --> 00:32:14,720
point volume because I think that would
do wonders for the offense. But they're

503
00:32:14,799 --> 00:32:17,000
fifty eight. They're on course.
I think for maybe sixty something. At

504
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:20,640
this point. We're gonna pull them
back a little bit. But this is

505
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:24,400
probably gonna be the one seed in
the Eastern Conference. Quite frankly, I

506
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:28,359
will be interested to see. My
question with the Wolves is whether any of

507
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:31,599
the matchup stuff changes in the postseason. Is that when teams are scheming for

508
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:36,039
you, when they're going up against
you potentially seven times in a row,

509
00:32:36,559 --> 00:32:38,599
does that make it harder to float
the two big stuff? I think it.

510
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:42,519
I this might be a hot take. I think it will wind up

511
00:32:42,519 --> 00:32:45,799
impacting Karlathee Towns more than anyone because
he might be more exploitable on defense than

512
00:32:47,599 --> 00:32:51,359
or not might be. He is
more than a nas Reeder or a Gobert,

513
00:32:51,359 --> 00:32:53,319
and I think you could get by
defensively with those two on the court

514
00:32:53,359 --> 00:32:57,720
together and Read and go Bear in
a playoff series because of just how damn

515
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:02,359
switchable nas Reed is. The New
Orleans Pelicans, I'm going forty five wins.

516
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:07,000
It's ambitious. You will be hard
pressed to find someone who is higher

517
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:10,480
on this exact version. No changes
of the Pelicans than me. I have

518
00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:15,839
vacillated. We've made jokes in discord
about it, the jokes been made on

519
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:20,000
Twitter about it. I was almost
ready to deboard the bandwagon at one point.

520
00:33:20,279 --> 00:33:23,640
They're getting healthier. You can see
the skeleton of a really great team

521
00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:28,960
here. Tramer for the third's return
is absolutely monstrous because I think it will

522
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:32,200
allow them to get to more of
those Zion as your big units with Herb

523
00:33:32,279 --> 00:33:36,440
Jones so that you could and maybe
even Dyson Daniels so that he's not the

524
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:40,720
one playing the center role specifically,
but Zion load big units that don't torpedo

525
00:33:42,079 --> 00:33:46,240
your defense. I think still when
you watch this team, there's some things

526
00:33:46,359 --> 00:33:51,559
plural missing, and no one in
themselves is the primary issue. I will

527
00:33:51,599 --> 00:33:55,880
say Zion's rebounding and conditioning is clearly
an issue. There's the report from Christian

528
00:33:55,920 --> 00:34:01,319
Clark of The Times pick un I
think are la dot com about how the

529
00:34:01,319 --> 00:34:06,000
Pelicans have struggled to get Zion to
change his diet and work on his conditioning.

530
00:34:06,839 --> 00:34:08,840
That's definitely somebody to monitor. I
find it tough to be too critical

531
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:14,760
of someone in zion spot who can't
necessarily get his because he's twenty three,

532
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:16,639
is my point, and just like
how dedicated were you to nutrition when you're

533
00:34:16,639 --> 00:34:21,280
twenty three? You weren't getting paid
this much money. But you do have

534
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:22,599
to remember who they're dealing with,
a twenty three year old. However,

535
00:34:23,079 --> 00:34:28,199
his defensive rebounding rate is eight point
sixty five when Yonis Valentiunis is off the

536
00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:31,199
floor and when Cody Zeler's off the
floor so effectively sometimes Nance is there,

537
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:37,760
but when he is a primary big
that is impressively shitty. I have to

538
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:40,159
say it, that's something to be
a concern. I look at them and

539
00:34:40,199 --> 00:34:44,760
it's Yona Salentunis is not the problem, and I'm not gonna say Larry as

540
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:47,920
Junior is the problem either. But
they could use a different big look next

541
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:52,760
to Zion, someone who's going to
protect the rim set really powerful screens.

542
00:34:52,159 --> 00:34:55,400
That player, and I believe we've
talked about this on podcast, doesn't necessarily

543
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:59,960
need to be a floor spacer one
because it's hard to find those guys.

544
00:35:00,079 --> 00:35:02,199
But two, if you could find
that guy, definitely go out and get

545
00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:07,159
him. But if you can just
get someone to create separation with screens,

546
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:09,880
that will be a form of spacing
and gravity in itself. And Zion doesn't

547
00:35:09,880 --> 00:35:14,079
need a ton of room to get
to the basket. He's been lighter on

548
00:35:14,159 --> 00:35:17,559
freakish athletic plays this year, and
he can still just devastate defenses and get

549
00:35:17,559 --> 00:35:22,559
through double triple, quadruple teams.
With that said, I do think the

550
00:35:22,599 --> 00:35:25,679
Pelicans really do need to improve their
floor balance overall. Still, even if

551
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:29,920
you're gonna, you know, even
with Trey Murphy being back, I don't

552
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:35,000
know. If I'm looking at this
roster without any changes. I think there's

553
00:35:35,039 --> 00:35:37,679
the one big stuff. But the
other thing you could try is can we

554
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:43,000
get Zion to set more super high
ball screens for Brandon Ingram or CJ.

555
00:35:43,119 --> 00:35:46,519
Mccumps. They can dribble into threes
that are gonna be twenty five feet and

556
00:35:46,559 --> 00:35:51,440
above the break, and then that
give Zion room to kind of roam underneath

557
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:53,679
them after setting the screen. Is
it a matter though, of going out

558
00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:57,159
and getting a trade. I've actually
the more I thought about it, I've

559
00:35:57,199 --> 00:36:00,079
love og Ananobi for this team because
of what he could do in the Zion

560
00:36:00,119 --> 00:36:04,280
as your big lineups. You have
him, you put herb on ball a

561
00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:06,599
little bit more if you want,
if you're worried about you know, maybe

562
00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:09,320
run some pick and rolls with him
and Zion, but having herb and Og

563
00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:14,880
specifically, that's gonna insulate you defensively
against basically any big man unit and you

564
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:16,960
get the benefits of right. So
throw Ingram and Trey Murphy there and there's

565
00:36:17,039 --> 00:36:21,199
just your spacing and you devastate.
I do think for the Pelicans, who

566
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:23,920
actualize the contender version of themselves,
they will need to make a trade.

567
00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:29,719
But they are closer than I think
some of their low moments might suggest.

568
00:36:30,559 --> 00:36:31,360
The New York Knicks, I don't
know what to do with them. I'm

569
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:35,480
putting them at forty seven wins,
which is what they had last year.

570
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:37,239
I think some fans will take that
as an insult because they're on pace to

571
00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:39,840
went about fifty right now. It's
not an insult. I mean, we

572
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:44,519
have to consider the shifting landscape in
the East. For one, Boston,

573
00:36:44,519 --> 00:36:47,920
Milwaukee, Philly not going anywhere.
Orlando and Indy neither of them look like

574
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:51,599
they're going anywhere right now, and
at least one of them seems like they're

575
00:36:51,639 --> 00:36:53,960
here to stay. And then you
kind of have to believe Miami and nor

576
00:36:54,039 --> 00:36:58,079
Cleveland will both climb up the ranks. And so the Knicks have been really

577
00:36:58,119 --> 00:37:00,079
bad against winning opponents this year.
I think there's three and nine in those

578
00:37:00,119 --> 00:37:05,119
games. They're a really good team
overall, though, and it's there's a

579
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:07,480
weird I should do a longer podcast
on this, but it's the middle of

580
00:37:07,519 --> 00:37:12,679
the season and I don't want to
dedicate way too much time to one team.

581
00:37:13,119 --> 00:37:15,880
I really like what they've done,
even look the Quentin Grimes struggles.

582
00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:19,679
They move him to the bench,
Dante de vincenzls starting. What does that

583
00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:22,000
do to the defense Because of how
important Quentin Grimes was to defending on the

584
00:37:22,039 --> 00:37:27,360
perimeter, Our's been better there this
year. But this gets leads into my

585
00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:30,880
difficulty. There's just weirdness. The
stuff that I can buy into the defense,

586
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:35,039
I just I buy into. Mitchell
Robinson has been great. Some of

587
00:37:35,079 --> 00:37:37,519
the on off splits can be wonky, but you have to look at the

588
00:37:37,519 --> 00:37:40,079
way that he's just deterring teams from
It's not just yeah, the rim volume

589
00:37:40,079 --> 00:37:44,119
can be a little bit higher,
but he's just taking away floaters because they're

590
00:37:44,159 --> 00:37:46,760
terrified of him. And he's also
being pulled away from the basket a bunch.

591
00:37:46,840 --> 00:37:51,039
I don't so I think the best
way to look at this stuff.

592
00:37:51,079 --> 00:37:52,639
I like about the Knicks I think
the defense is real stuff I don't like.

593
00:37:52,679 --> 00:37:57,360
It doesn't seem like they can defend
teams that stretch the floor, like

594
00:37:57,440 --> 00:38:00,320
across all five spots or even four
spots. That's a real problem. The

595
00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:05,719
offense taking enough threes and hitting them
at a high clip. I would still

596
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:09,480
like to see them take more threes. Jalen Brunson's emergence as one of the

597
00:38:09,519 --> 00:38:15,199
deadliest off the dribble three point shooters
in the league absolutely real. Julius Rando

598
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:19,800
playing better lately may be real,
but the inconsistency from him and now r

599
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:22,880
J. Barrett coming back from his
Migram stuff, and even Josh Hart who

600
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:25,159
him and Grimes. They're talking about
how hard it is to get in the

601
00:38:25,199 --> 00:38:30,000
flow of this offense because they're so
deep, and neither of those two are

602
00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:34,159
Grimes I think could play on offense
like Dante DiVincenzo. Josh Hart isn't really

603
00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:37,159
wired to do that. But he
can also go grab a rebound and then

604
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:38,519
dribble it up the court. That's
how you can generate your own offense.

605
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:42,719
They're almost it feels like they're too
deep for their own good, and you

606
00:38:42,800 --> 00:38:45,960
run into some awkwardness and the other
issue here is how do you get to

607
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:50,440
the next step with this roster.
Where's the internal leap coming from. I

608
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:52,639
don't know that Emmanuel Quickly is going
to be much better. Quentin Grimes is

609
00:38:52,679 --> 00:38:55,599
currently in his slump but has been
demoted. I just think that RJ.

610
00:38:55,679 --> 00:38:59,239
Barrett is going to be a roller
coaster for his career. Felt like he

611
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:01,920
turned a corner as just a decision
maker. There have been some of those

612
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:06,519
moments since he's come back from the
migraine issue, but not nearly as many.

613
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:09,639
And it's I'm not insulting the Nicks
in a sense that they need to

614
00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:15,079
make a trade or that they're doomed. It's just this is weird. They're

615
00:39:15,159 --> 00:39:19,199
good the path to them with this
exact roster being a lot better and being

616
00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:22,639
a threat to come out of the
East, a true blue threat. I

617
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:24,159
don't know how they get there,
But I'm also I'm gonna sit here.

618
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:27,239
I'm not gonna sit here and pretend
I know how do they get there with

619
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:31,280
the trade? The names that are
available, Zach Levine, Pascal siaka Ojiannanobi

620
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:34,599
is the guy, but he's the
guy for every team, and I don't

621
00:39:34,599 --> 00:39:37,880
think the Raptors move him. I
think they need the bigger wing type,

622
00:39:37,119 --> 00:39:40,360
doesn't need to be doesn't need to
have ball skills, but we'll defend their

623
00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:45,199
butts off and is going to hit
and take a bunch of open threes in

624
00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:49,239
Ojiannaobi type. I don't know that
there's a lower end version of that that's

625
00:39:49,280 --> 00:39:52,880
going to become available to the Knicks. Still a really good team. I

626
00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:57,639
just question whether they have a peak
above forty seven wins, maybe winning one

627
00:39:57,679 --> 00:40:00,719
playoff series. If the indicators are
there, their defense, this remains elite,

628
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:04,239
and they remain continue to hover in
the top ten of offenses as well.

629
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:07,159
I'll recalibrate at the halfway point.
But something still feels off here.

630
00:40:07,199 --> 00:40:09,480
And again it's not in a bad
way. It's like I said, they

631
00:40:09,559 --> 00:40:13,880
might be too deep for their own
good. You could if you would like

632
00:40:13,960 --> 00:40:17,079
to restrain yourself from talking about the
thunder. Sam Presty would certainly like you

633
00:40:17,119 --> 00:40:22,159
to. I'm done this team.
They have not. They have not just

634
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:25,079
arrived. They've unpacked, They've changed
the locks, and they've settled into their

635
00:40:25,079 --> 00:40:29,360
new spot, new digs atop the
Western Conference and the ore the top of

636
00:40:29,360 --> 00:40:35,599
the Western Conference. I won't say
they're beyond concern because I have not many

637
00:40:35,760 --> 00:40:38,679
but a few. Well, Chet
Holmgren hit a rookie wall like this is

638
00:40:38,760 --> 00:40:43,880
just his first time going through an
eighty two game season. The Josh Giddy

639
00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:47,159
play guys. It's admitted it's been
a drain and they now have to plan

640
00:40:47,639 --> 00:40:51,519
around it. That's going to be
an issue. Some of their most important

641
00:40:51,519 --> 00:40:53,880
lineups. I think their most important
lineups, We're getting to the point where

642
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:57,360
I don't even want to see him
in them. You had to start the

643
00:40:57,400 --> 00:41:00,559
game final to close the game.
No other than that. You look at

644
00:41:00,559 --> 00:41:02,920
this team. Will they be the
best three point shooting team in the league

645
00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:06,880
all year? Probably not, And
they also need to take more threes.

646
00:41:06,920 --> 00:41:09,559
The defensive rebounding and rebounding in general
is an issue. Can they acquire more

647
00:41:09,639 --> 00:41:14,880
heft on the front line without doing
the anti thunder thing of oh, we

648
00:41:15,199 --> 00:41:19,079
consolidate it into kind of a Winnish
now trade. Those are concerns, but

649
00:41:19,159 --> 00:41:22,639
this team is great. You don't
get inside the top five of net rating

650
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:27,119
more than one quarter the way through
the season on accident, shake Gillchchalexanders once

651
00:41:27,159 --> 00:41:30,480
again a top five MVP candidate,
and he's not four or five there's Jokic,

652
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:36,119
Hallie and SGA. I think Lebron
is the other guy that's gonna have

653
00:41:36,119 --> 00:41:39,039
a case to be in the top
four, So maybe SGA is four.

654
00:41:39,079 --> 00:41:43,400
I know a lot of people want
to see Kevin Durant get there. I'm

655
00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:46,559
not lower on his case than most. He could certainly be in my top

656
00:41:46,599 --> 00:41:50,079
five. I haven't gone through it. I don't think he's in the top

657
00:41:50,119 --> 00:41:53,159
three though. I would have Sga, Halle and Jokic all ahead of him,

658
00:41:53,159 --> 00:41:57,400
and I probably have Lebron ahead of
him as well. The Thunder though

659
00:41:57,599 --> 00:42:01,519
just Jalen Williams is now now JA
Dubb is now in every level score.

660
00:42:01,599 --> 00:42:05,519
That's what it really feels like.
Lou Dort defending his butt off. Has

661
00:42:05,559 --> 00:42:07,639
not been playing as well on offensive
late, but he's still just low fucking

662
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:15,880
mac truck Dort and really, look, I can't overemphasize enough how much better

663
00:42:15,960 --> 00:42:19,679
he makes a Jdubb or Shay Gildas
Alexander look, or even a Channel Wan

664
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:22,880
look defensively because he insulates everybody against
the most difficult assignment i'd Someone on Twitter

665
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:25,719
asked me if I thought Shay could
make all defense this year. I think

666
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:29,760
his defensive effort will be reflected in
the MVP voting, But he's not gonna

667
00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:32,920
make all defense because he's so insulated
on defense when you look at his one

668
00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:37,039
on one assignment workload thanks to lou
Dort, Isaiah Joe just continues to do

669
00:42:37,119 --> 00:42:43,000
things. Case and Waller's been a
great like a great rookie. The fact

670
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:45,960
that he's so plug and play defends
his butt off. Will hit open threes.

671
00:42:45,199 --> 00:42:50,079
That's a big deal. Aaron Wiggins
shot of adrenaline. I think Jay

672
00:42:50,119 --> 00:42:52,559
Will will start to play a little
bit better. I think this team is

673
00:42:52,679 --> 00:42:55,559
just are they a contender? They
might be. I'm gonna have him fifty

674
00:42:55,599 --> 00:43:00,800
one wins, but if they can
acquire some hef on the front line and

675
00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:05,800
someone who doesn't need to crack their
closing line up, but another frontcourt option

676
00:43:05,960 --> 00:43:09,079
that could's that has size and can
play alongside chet Holme Grin. And it's

677
00:43:09,119 --> 00:43:12,760
hard to find a big who can't
play alongside chet hulng Grin because of what

678
00:43:12,800 --> 00:43:16,599
he does from the outside. They
just that doesn't change their entire trajectory,

679
00:43:16,639 --> 00:43:21,079
but it turns them into a completely
different They're not some at that point.

680
00:43:21,079 --> 00:43:23,639
They're not a plucky title threat.
They're like an actual title threat. I

681
00:43:23,679 --> 00:43:25,960
just don't think they'll make that move. And look, they don't need to

682
00:43:27,039 --> 00:43:31,199
because as constructed, they will probably
season into a contender eventually. The Erlino

683
00:43:31,280 --> 00:43:36,719
Magic another surprise, We'll go forty
eight wins here. I didn't see this.

684
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:39,400
I could have seen a scenario where
I was incredibly I think I took

685
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:43,079
the over on the Thunder because of
Sam. I listened to Sam pressI I'm

686
00:43:43,079 --> 00:43:46,079
a fucking idiot. But the Magic. I could never envision them winning almost

687
00:43:46,079 --> 00:43:51,199
fifty games. It's it's gonna happen
at this point. I don't know where's

688
00:43:51,199 --> 00:43:55,079
the pullback gonna come from. You
actually might get some boose. Franz Vagner's

689
00:43:55,119 --> 00:43:58,239
up been shooting the ball well from
three. He still been making an impact

690
00:43:58,320 --> 00:44:02,360
on offense, though Caro's once again
a terror. The defense has remained health

691
00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:07,440
hire for the most part, without
by the way Mark kel Foltz or Wendell

692
00:44:07,519 --> 00:44:10,320
Carter Junior. Jonathan Isaac is now
dealing with another injury. So as the

693
00:44:10,360 --> 00:44:15,199
Magic get healthier, they might get
even better on the defensive end. The

694
00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:17,920
offense is their problem. It's been
better lately. They can do some things

695
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:21,800
in transition they can get to the
foul line. It helps that Palo Bank

696
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:27,719
Carroll's essentially just murdering everybody as I
record this. But they need they need

697
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:30,719
shooting, and by that I mean
not just someone who's hitting threes, someone

698
00:44:31,000 --> 00:44:36,880
who has defenses react like they're going
to hit threes. Defenses don't care about

699
00:44:36,880 --> 00:44:38,639
guarding any of Orlando shooters at this
point, even when it looks like they're

700
00:44:38,679 --> 00:44:43,840
four out or five out, they
don't care about any of Orlando shooters.

701
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:45,760
And so can you get them a
shooter that defense is going to care about

702
00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:50,679
to make life easier on Franz Wagner, on Palo Bank Caro, even on

703
00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:54,519
excuse me, Mark L. Fultz, Like once he's once he's back,

704
00:44:55,519 --> 00:44:59,199
would they be willing to make that
trade if? And I don't think it

705
00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:00,880
needs to be a stars Zach Levine
still interests me a little bit for this

706
00:45:00,920 --> 00:45:05,679
team when they go after Anthony Simons, when they go after Gary French Junior,

707
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:07,519
that's the level of player that could
make a world of difference here.

708
00:45:08,159 --> 00:45:12,440
I'll rap by saying I think Anthony
Black is probably gonna make like a trillion

709
00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:15,920
all defense teams for his career and
I'll find I'll wrap it up finally by

710
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:21,119
saying Jalen Suggs. I've said this
probably too many times. He to me

711
00:45:21,199 --> 00:45:23,360
has been a lock for all defense. I think he's been one of the

712
00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:28,199
ten best defenders in basketball. And
that's on top of kind of just improving

713
00:45:28,239 --> 00:45:32,760
on offense accepting a streamlined, more
plug and play role. The Philadelphia seventy

714
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:36,599
six ers are gonna win fifty three
games. That's I think that's the exact

715
00:45:36,599 --> 00:45:38,880
base they're on now. If you're
waiting for the pullback, it's just it's

716
00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:44,679
not coming. Tyrese Maxie has inoculated
them against it forfeiting. James Harden's star

717
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:49,400
power matters in a vacuum, but
now you've replaced it with more all NBA

718
00:45:49,519 --> 00:45:53,960
caliber star power in Tyrese Maxi.
He's averaging like twenty seven points in or

719
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:58,480
twenty six points and seven assassooing over
thirty nine percent on an absurd volume with

720
00:45:58,519 --> 00:46:01,960
threes. The sixers are the minutes
he plays without Joel Embiid. That's a

721
00:46:01,960 --> 00:46:07,239
big deal. Joe Embiid having another
MVP type campaign as well. The passing

722
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:10,400
from him has gotten a lot better
and there's more variance to Philly's offense.

723
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:14,559
In general, it feels like there's
been some I don't want to call it

724
00:46:14,639 --> 00:46:19,199
defensive noise, but concern. The
Sixers are not good at keeping teams out

725
00:46:19,199 --> 00:46:22,760
of transition right now. They get
even worse when Joel Embiid is off the

726
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,360
floor. I do think this probably
has at least a little to a lot

727
00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:30,519
to do with Nick Nurse deciding that
he wants them to crash the offensive glass.

728
00:46:30,559 --> 00:46:34,159
But they could use another ball handler
type to help control the ball on

729
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:37,440
offense and then maybe limit the transition
opportunities when you're looking at some of the

730
00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:42,039
turnovers they've had, or another wing
to really because you look at their best

731
00:46:42,039 --> 00:46:45,960
defenders right now are Embiid Okay,
he's not he's talk what you just said,

732
00:46:46,199 --> 00:46:50,039
those wing types, and then you
have de Anthony Melton, and there's

733
00:46:50,239 --> 00:46:52,599
Jaden Springer and Tobias Harris has been
solid, but he's cooled off after his

734
00:46:52,679 --> 00:46:57,239
surface at the Sun start. Kelly
Brady Junior is not going to give you

735
00:46:57,280 --> 00:47:00,519
that type of performance on defense,
So I would like to see them go

736
00:47:00,639 --> 00:47:05,519
after someone who would and if you're
not gonna be another ball handler type to

737
00:47:05,519 --> 00:47:08,480
come off the bench to steady your
offense. Without Maxi on the floor,

738
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:13,199
they're just a ridiculously good team,
though, and Maxi's give them optionality.

739
00:47:13,239 --> 00:47:15,159
They don't need to go out and
trade for a number two. Now,

740
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:16,239
they don't even need a number three. He could say, we just want

741
00:47:16,239 --> 00:47:19,679
to deepen our rotation, and we're
going to move some of these assets to

742
00:47:19,719 --> 00:47:22,599
get two or three guys in here
who fill the gaps. I do think

743
00:47:23,039 --> 00:47:27,199
they're less likely to go that route
and give up first round equity in the

744
00:47:27,239 --> 00:47:29,480
middle of the season. They want
to wait and see what happens over the

745
00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:32,679
offseason with their cap space in the
trade market. But again, Maxi has

746
00:47:32,679 --> 00:47:37,920
afforded them all sorts of optionality.
The Phoenix Suns, I'm gonna go with

747
00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:42,280
fifty. I know some people probably
expect it to be less. Zero minutes

748
00:47:42,320 --> 00:47:45,400
have been played by their big three
together this season. Bradley Beal's still dealing

749
00:47:45,400 --> 00:47:49,280
with the back stuff, Devin Booker
missed some time. They're still winning.

750
00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:53,159
They're seven to four with KD and
Devin Booker this year. That's a better

751
00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:59,280
than fifty win pace. And I
do truly believe that by getting Bradley Beal

752
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:01,760
back, you're doing two things.
The turnovers have been an issue even with

753
00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:05,239
them and Booker on the court now, But when it's Booker and Beal and

754
00:48:05,360 --> 00:48:07,920
Durant and now you can have two
of them on the court at all times,

755
00:48:07,199 --> 00:48:12,239
I think the turnovers will start to
tamp themselves down. And then you've

756
00:48:12,239 --> 00:48:15,079
also removed one wild card from the
crunch time rotation. You know that bial,

757
00:48:15,159 --> 00:48:17,880
Durant and Booker are going to play
when they're all there. Now you

758
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:22,480
futz and fiddle around them. Could
they be bitten by the fact that they

759
00:48:22,480 --> 00:48:29,000
have a bunch of one way minimum
contract guys or just guys who run hot

760
00:48:29,039 --> 00:48:31,679
and cold, including use of Nurkic, who's he's had some really good moments

761
00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:36,599
this year, but he's been there
big nights where it feels like he's just

762
00:48:36,639 --> 00:48:38,760
not there at all, or where
the defense is just is terrible. It's

763
00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:43,239
actually impressive that the Suns are not
a bottom ten defense at the moment when

764
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:45,400
you look at their personnel and how
they had to rely on some of the

765
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:49,960
units. I think backup five or
five spot in general could become an issue

766
00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:53,760
come postseason. Are they able to
get anyone to help that or are they

767
00:48:53,800 --> 00:48:59,159
gonna need to rely on smaller accommodations
than Hey, Kevin Durant is now your

768
00:48:59,199 --> 00:49:01,719
backup five. I don't know.
They have three stars and Bradley Beal will

769
00:49:01,760 --> 00:49:06,400
eventually be healthy. It's fair to
question what they're sealing is now. I

770
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:08,519
still think, Look, Minnesota's right
there. This might be the team that's

771
00:49:09,119 --> 00:49:13,360
the third most ready to win a
title in the West. The Lakers and

772
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:15,119
the thunder kind of are giving me
pause there, but they're certainly in that.

773
00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:20,159
Like when I'm talking Inner Circle contenders
right now, and we did this,

774
00:49:20,239 --> 00:49:23,360
go check out our inner our podcast
on Inner Circle contenders, I have

775
00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:30,079
Minnesota, Denver, Boston, and
Milwaukee, and I'd be willing to consider

776
00:49:30,119 --> 00:49:32,280
putting Phoenix or the Lakers in there. I don't have them in there just

777
00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:35,840
yet, but the Suns are certainly
in that next tier if they're not in

778
00:49:35,880 --> 00:49:39,639
the inner circle. The Blazers seventeen
and sixty five, I promise you I

779
00:49:39,639 --> 00:49:43,559
have seen some Blazers. I know
they're on pace to win more. I

780
00:49:43,639 --> 00:49:45,840
know that their offense, excuse me, their defense has been pretty good.

781
00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:50,320
They're tenth in points loud per possession
in the half court. That's a big

782
00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:53,440
deal. They should get one.
I think they're gonna get worse on defense

783
00:49:53,480 --> 00:49:57,760
because now you have Anthony Simons and
Scoot Henderson back on the fold. But

784
00:49:57,960 --> 00:50:02,239
two, I think they'll get on
worse by design. It's okay, you're

785
00:50:02,280 --> 00:50:07,000
going to rely on Scoot Henderson a
rookie. The learning curve for rookie point

786
00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:10,119
cards is pretty steep. That's going
to hurt you. And then the bigger

787
00:50:10,159 --> 00:50:15,199
one is how many of the guys
who are helping them are still there after

788
00:50:15,239 --> 00:50:19,599
the trade deadline. I'm talking Jeremy
Grant, Mattist, Steibel, Anthony Simon's

789
00:50:19,679 --> 00:50:22,719
himself, Malcolm Brockton. Of course, I think at least two of those

790
00:50:22,760 --> 00:50:27,320
guys get traded by the deadline,
and I think I also think that even

791
00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:30,679
if they don't, this includes DeAndre
Ayton, we're gonna start to see injuries

792
00:50:30,719 --> 00:50:35,559
to made up body parts and them
racking up dnps because that's just the point

793
00:50:35,599 --> 00:50:38,000
of the rebuild. Portland's wouldn't shock
me if they won more than this.

794
00:50:38,159 --> 00:50:42,280
But I think by the trade deadline, we'll look at this and say,

795
00:50:42,679 --> 00:50:45,440
okay, like this team is going
to get worse on purpose one way or

796
00:50:45,519 --> 00:50:51,559
the other. The Sacramento Kings,
I'm going with forty six and thirty four.

797
00:50:51,679 --> 00:50:55,239
Excuse me, he says thirty five. The issue forty six and thirty

798
00:50:55,280 --> 00:51:00,880
six is what it should say.
I apologize. The issue there here is

799
00:51:01,559 --> 00:51:06,119
I don't think they're worse. I
just don't know how much better they are.

800
00:51:06,280 --> 00:51:09,599
You've gotten defensive jumps from Keegan Murray
before his back injuries and Daron Fox

801
00:51:09,920 --> 00:51:15,239
that kind of gets offset by the
Harrison Barnes regressing regression and Davion Mitchell just

802
00:51:15,719 --> 00:51:19,960
becoming completely not completely unplayable, but
he's just not as big of a part

803
00:51:20,000 --> 00:51:23,400
of the rotation. You're also getting
hammered in the minutes that the Bonus plays

804
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:28,519
without Fox. Offense is trending in
the right direction since Fox's return. That's

805
00:51:28,559 --> 00:51:31,360
good. So I still just have
questions about this team. The bigger one

806
00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:36,519
is the defense. Of course,
they don't have the ability to be better

807
00:51:36,599 --> 00:51:38,440
than a bottom ten defense to me
over the course of a season. They're

808
00:51:38,480 --> 00:51:42,199
another team where it's yes, O
Jana will be be great, but if

809
00:51:42,199 --> 00:51:45,360
you can get a Jasehn Tate or
Dorian Phinney Smith that will go a long

810
00:51:45,840 --> 00:51:51,280
long way. San Antonio Spurs.
This one's hard because they look so bad

811
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:54,920
on purpose right now, I have
them at nineteen and sixty three. I

812
00:51:55,000 --> 00:52:00,960
could easily see them going higher just
because they have the talent to get better.

813
00:52:00,599 --> 00:52:05,079
Wemby's the headliner, of course there
does he hit a rookie wall,

814
00:52:05,119 --> 00:52:07,199
but like he's shooting over forty percent
from three on real volume over his past

815
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:10,159
I think the past like two weeks
or something, nine games, whatever it's

816
00:52:10,199 --> 00:52:15,039
been, and at some point you
would think, Okay, they're gonna get

817
00:52:15,079 --> 00:52:19,199
They're gonna start Trey Jones right or
get away from Jeremy Soham playing so much

818
00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:22,599
point guard. And they have Zach
Collins, they have Devin Vessel, they

819
00:52:22,639 --> 00:52:27,119
have Calden Johnson, they have good
players. I would like to see them

820
00:52:27,159 --> 00:52:31,800
acquire another floor general type, not
Devonte Graham, someone other than Tredy Jones,

821
00:52:32,039 --> 00:52:35,679
Tias Jones. Speaking of Jones,
this would make a lot of sense

822
00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:37,360
for this team. I just don't
think the Spurs are at that point,

823
00:52:37,559 --> 00:52:40,079
and you don't need to be at
that point to make a trade for someone

824
00:52:40,119 --> 00:52:44,400
like Tyas Jones. But that's just
not how they operate. I ultimately think

825
00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:46,880
that they're gonna continue with the experimentation. Would surprise me if they get a

826
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:50,960
little extra cautious with Wemby. We
get to the second half of the season

827
00:52:51,519 --> 00:52:54,880
nineteen and sixty three, I feel
uneasy about that. But we haven't seen

828
00:52:57,559 --> 00:53:01,480
extended stretches of the Spurs playing a
brand of basketball that makes you think they

829
00:53:01,519 --> 00:53:05,480
are going to be more of a
threat in the Western Conference, or I

830
00:53:05,480 --> 00:53:07,239
should say, more of a threat
to not finish with one of the two

831
00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:15,039
worst records in the Western Conference,
the Toronto Raptors thirty five and forty seven.

832
00:53:16,599 --> 00:53:20,920
What do I say about the Raptors. Scotty Barnes' year three leap is

833
00:53:21,039 --> 00:53:24,280
for real, and it gives the
Raptors access to a multitude of directions.

834
00:53:24,719 --> 00:53:29,239
Pick one, Pick one. You've
not optimized the roster if you want to

835
00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:34,480
keep Siakam and Barnes and Anonobi together. There's just not enough spacing. Their

836
00:53:34,559 --> 00:53:37,559
half core offense has been more efficient
overall than I would have expected, but

837
00:53:37,719 --> 00:53:42,199
they still struggle to open it up. Everything just feels like it not everything,

838
00:53:42,280 --> 00:53:45,880
but so much of what they do
when it's effective, feels like it's

839
00:53:45,960 --> 00:53:49,480
too hard and that it should be
easier. That is with mind you Dennis

840
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:52,760
Shruter and Scotty Martin shooting better from
three than I think anyone could have predicted

841
00:53:52,519 --> 00:53:55,920
there are not any more levers to
pull, levers to pull. With this

842
00:53:57,079 --> 00:54:00,800
exact roster, you could hope Grady
Dick kind of start shooting a lot better.

843
00:54:01,159 --> 00:54:05,639
You could move Garrett Trent Junior to
the starting five. That's really it.

844
00:54:05,920 --> 00:54:07,760
And so if you are the Raptors
and you want to be better than

845
00:54:07,800 --> 00:54:10,800
thirty five and forty seven, then
you need to go out and be involved

846
00:54:10,840 --> 00:54:15,599
in the zach Lavine sweepstakes. If
you want to be not trapped in the

847
00:54:15,639 --> 00:54:20,039
bottom of the middle, then you
need to trade. I would say Siakam

848
00:54:20,079 --> 00:54:22,719
and Garret Trent Junior in advance a
free agency because there's been this conversation in

849
00:54:22,760 --> 00:54:29,000
our discord I think was everything Blacks
proposed it. They're not sure what's worth

850
00:54:29,360 --> 00:54:32,199
worse, letting Siakam and Garrett Trent
Junior leave a free agency for nothing or

851
00:54:32,320 --> 00:54:37,599
just running back this entire roster.
And it's a fair point. Pick a

852
00:54:37,039 --> 00:54:39,960
direction. You have Scottie Barnes,
you know you need to flesh everything out

853
00:54:40,079 --> 00:54:44,199
around him. I do think there's
a pathway to him in Siakam working,

854
00:54:44,519 --> 00:54:49,599
but you need to assemble a roster
that opens that pathway to it working.

855
00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:53,159
They haven't done that. Will they
do that? Messiah Jerry has been kind

856
00:54:53,159 --> 00:54:58,599
of cagy when it comes to blockbuster
trade since the Kawhi Leonard deal. I

857
00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:01,960
know that they did trade. They
traded Yaka Purtle in the Qui Leonard deal.

858
00:55:02,000 --> 00:55:04,960
That's the what the blackbuster I'm talking
about. I know they went out

859
00:55:04,960 --> 00:55:08,440
and got Mark Basol later on that
year. That wasn't really a blockbuster and

860
00:55:08,559 --> 00:55:13,760
since then their biggest move has been
on the trade market has been bringing back

861
00:55:13,840 --> 00:55:17,440
Yaka Purtle for a top six protected
first round pick. You have the equity

862
00:55:17,559 --> 00:55:22,599
to go out and be involved in
some pretty splashing transactions depending on who becomes

863
00:55:22,599 --> 00:55:27,199
available. I like Zack Lavine in
Toronto. I'm sure Toronto doesn't. He's

864
00:55:27,239 --> 00:55:30,519
just not that type of player.
But if there's nothing wrong with that,

865
00:55:30,760 --> 00:55:32,239
you know, the right foot stuff
he's dealing with. I know he had

866
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:36,639
the PRP injection. If that's not
a long term thing, he makes so

867
00:55:36,719 --> 00:55:37,599
much sense for this team. If
you don't want to go that route,

868
00:55:37,639 --> 00:55:42,239
I get it, then it's time
to trade Siakam and probably Trent I would

869
00:55:42,280 --> 00:55:44,320
keep out of no, but he
just makes too much sense to me.

870
00:55:44,719 --> 00:55:49,880
Alongside Barnes Utah Jazz. I'm gonna
go twenty nine to fifty three. I

871
00:55:49,960 --> 00:55:52,760
think we're seeing this season what everyone
mistakenly thought we were gonna see from the

872
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:58,239
jump last season, and that's the
Jazz are at a talent deficit and it's

873
00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:02,000
now showing injuries to Walker Kessler.
Larry market In. The hamstring stuff right

874
00:56:02,000 --> 00:56:07,360
now certainly haven't helped Jordan Clarkson's thigh
stuff that's now diluted a playmaking well that

875
00:56:07,480 --> 00:56:13,400
really only has Kante George aside from
Jordan Clarkson. This team does have the

876
00:56:13,440 --> 00:56:15,920
assets to say, well, maybe
we'll go out and get more passing or

877
00:56:15,079 --> 00:56:21,039
actual wings, and actual wings will
who will defend without maybe shrinking the floor

878
00:56:21,480 --> 00:56:24,920
on on the offensive end. I
just I expect them to tilt more towards

879
00:56:25,039 --> 00:56:29,960
sellers than opportunistic buyers, which is
what they were with John Collins. Were

880
00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:34,440
these opportunistic buyers. I do expect
that they're more likely. I would frame

881
00:56:34,519 --> 00:56:36,519
it this way, and I'm not
going to predict it. I think it's

882
00:56:36,599 --> 00:56:39,280
more likely Larry Marketen because he's going
to be extension eligible, because they're going

883
00:56:39,320 --> 00:56:43,320
to start thinking about his next deal, because he's a fringe all NBA player

884
00:56:43,360 --> 00:56:46,119
and not necessarily a capslock building block
for the future. I think there's a

885
00:56:46,159 --> 00:56:51,320
better chance he becomes this year's surprise
trade candidate than the Jazz go out and

886
00:56:51,440 --> 00:56:55,639
make a move that addresses the you
know, the playmaking uncertainty aside from George

887
00:56:55,880 --> 00:57:00,679
or just the complete absence of wings
on this raw and wings that can also

888
00:57:00,840 --> 00:57:05,440
kind of diversify how you're running the
front line right now, where you're kind

889
00:57:05,440 --> 00:57:08,920
of locked into, well, we're
playing it's not three fours because Larry Marketing

890
00:57:09,000 --> 00:57:13,840
can play the three, but it's
like, oh, we don't really have

891
00:57:14,199 --> 00:57:19,440
room or the like, the tools
to get Lowry to the four a bunch

892
00:57:19,880 --> 00:57:22,840
And is John Collins best suited if
he's playing alongside another big Is there any

893
00:57:22,840 --> 00:57:27,400
way to open up minutes for Taylor
Hendricks and all this that's not really related

894
00:57:27,440 --> 00:57:30,320
to the Jazz changing up the way
that they build a roster, but I'd

895
00:57:30,360 --> 00:57:31,400
like to see more of Taylor Hendricks. I do think we get to a

896
00:57:31,480 --> 00:57:37,079
point where we do see that,
and so that will deflate their win total.

897
00:57:37,239 --> 00:57:42,639
And there are players on this team, not necessarily Marketing, but that

898
00:57:42,840 --> 00:57:46,039
you could see them moving that then
actively hurt their immediate chances. I think

899
00:57:47,079 --> 00:57:52,039
I would say Walker Kessler and Larry
Marketing and the players least likely to be

900
00:57:52,159 --> 00:57:55,119
traded, which is just weird because
you could tell me that Larry Marketing gets

901
00:57:55,159 --> 00:57:58,840
traded over Taylor Horton Tucker because there's
more of a demand, and the Jazz

902
00:57:58,840 --> 00:58:02,199
are decided to go that route.
I just they're here because if they make

903
00:58:02,360 --> 00:58:08,920
monumental changes, it's not going to
be to improve materially improve the roster this

904
00:58:09,079 --> 00:58:14,199
season. Our final team, the
good old Washington Wizards, who are not

905
00:58:14,360 --> 00:58:16,679
good, will go fifteen and sixty
seven. They're actually on pace right now

906
00:58:16,800 --> 00:58:22,199
to win only twelve. That's me
or in fifteen almost feels bold because they're

907
00:58:22,280 --> 00:58:28,199
built to lose and play no defense, and what is their pathway to getting

908
00:58:28,280 --> 00:58:31,320
better than this twelve win pace?
When you look at some of the players

909
00:58:31,360 --> 00:58:36,519
on this team, Jordan po will
be there past the trade deadline, will

910
00:58:36,599 --> 00:58:40,039
Kyle Kuzma, Will Corey Kispert,
Deni Avdya poison Pill. I think he'll

911
00:58:40,039 --> 00:58:44,159
be there past the trade deadline.
Well, Tyas Jones would, a healthy

912
00:58:44,199 --> 00:58:47,079
Delon Right would well Daniel Gafford,
And so you start to I could see

913
00:58:47,079 --> 00:58:51,079
them starting to move players to make
themselves even worse, which would mean that

914
00:58:51,159 --> 00:58:54,119
fifteen is pretty ambitious. I will
say, I just think when we get

915
00:58:54,159 --> 00:58:59,119
to late in the season and you're
dealing with teams who start to initiate their

916
00:58:59,159 --> 00:59:04,480
own inorganic tanks or just good teams
that have entered cruise control, the Wizards

917
00:59:04,519 --> 00:59:07,639
will pick up a few extra victories
there, even after they move at least

918
00:59:07,719 --> 00:59:12,039
one of Kuzma and Tyas Jones,
well, we'll limit it to that.

919
00:59:12,239 --> 00:59:14,800
I think at least one of those
guys will be gone. I'll be floored

920
00:59:14,800 --> 00:59:19,840
if they're both still on the roster
past the trade deadline. Bright spots though

921
00:59:19,880 --> 00:59:22,480
for this team, Denny Avia,
blockhool Bali, Corey Kisper. I think

922
00:59:22,480 --> 00:59:25,239
those have been bright spouts. Lanry
Shammitt before his was he deal with the

923
00:59:25,320 --> 00:59:30,639
neck injury. I think he had
some really good moments for them before before

924
00:59:30,719 --> 00:59:35,119
that. The blockhoul Bali one,
he just looks more ready, especially on

925
00:59:35,239 --> 00:59:37,159
offense, that he was supposed to
be. And I would like to see

926
00:59:37,199 --> 00:59:40,559
the Wizards commit to really ratcheting up
his front court touches for the rest of

927
00:59:40,559 --> 00:59:45,400
the year most certainly if they that
would be a you know, a vote

928
00:59:45,400 --> 00:59:46,280
of confident, not a vote of
confidence, but that would be one of

929
00:59:46,280 --> 00:59:51,239
the primary reasons to move Kuzma,
maybe even Jones, maybe even scale back

930
00:59:51,280 --> 00:59:53,480
on Jordan Poole's role so that you
can open up more touches in the front

931
00:59:53,519 --> 00:59:57,480
court for Block Cool Bali, which
are still like I think he's outside the

932
00:59:57,559 --> 01:00:00,360
top five in the team on those
and that's just not the way to go,

933
01:00:00,679 --> 01:00:04,079
quite friendly. I want to see
more. I want to see more

934
01:00:04,119 --> 01:00:07,079
Block Cool Bali on ball and then
the information that comes with it. Hope

935
01:00:07,159 --> 01:00:13,000
you enjoyed this. Please remember subscribe
if you haven't already Apple, Spotify,

936
01:00:13,159 --> 01:00:15,440
YouTube, hit the subscribe button and
please I would ask that you tell people

937
01:00:15,559 --> 01:00:20,639
or share our content with other people
to help us continue building the community,

938
01:00:20,639 --> 01:00:23,480
which is getting harder and harder as
Twitter progressively just sucks. Now. We

939
01:00:23,599 --> 01:00:28,679
appreciate all the support. Join our
discord, Come continue the conversation with me

940
01:00:28,840 --> 01:00:32,199
with us, get your mouthbed questions
in there always a blast socials. They're

941
01:00:32,199 --> 01:00:37,119
in the podcast and YouTube descriptions until
next time, and as always, I

942
01:00:37,320 --> 01:00:40,079
get the shout out to the one
feel me Frank Neil Kina and my sincerest

943
01:00:40,119 --> 01:00:45,840
apologies once again, and perhaps forever
more to Reggie Checks
