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These things happen because gold and silver
go up with inflation when we print too

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much of our fiat currency. You
know, the metals that are real money,

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that are limited and supplied, they
go up in value, and they

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don't go perfectly sideways up year after
year with inflation. Sometimes they go,

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you know, down, go sideways, and then they have this big jump

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in this big catchup move, and
we're kind of at that perfect storm.

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Now you are listening to Carrie Let's's
Financial Survival Network, where you get valuable

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00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:33,399
information you just can't find anywhere else
to thrive in today's trying times. You

9
00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:40,119
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than ever. Go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot

10
00:00:40,119 --> 00:00:46,880
com and get your free newsletter and
gift. Financial Survival Network now more than

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ever, and welcome. This is
Financial Survival Network. I'm your host,

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Carrie Let's. Well, late gold
prices have gone all over the place.

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They've gone the power ball one might
stay and hey, how can that be?

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I thought that gold was a barbarous
relic and silver was like, who

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needs silver when you have copper?
Right? But Michael Arey's of the Nicol

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Vaney is here to explain to us
exactly what's going on and why it took

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so long. Michael, It's great
to have you back on the show.

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How are you well, I'm good, Carrie, thanks for having me on

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again. It's great to be here
and interesting how things have changed. You

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know. I look back and when
we talked before in February, we you

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know, you said on the show
or titled the show precious Metals are worth

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the weight, and we kind of
mentioned that in there, and honestly,

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I was thinking, all right,
what's wrong? That's so fun? Yeah,

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but I was thinking, you know, yeah, we're we're we're soon

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to have a breakout. Something good's
gonna happen here. It's been a long

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time, but you know, they're
they're probably going to take off. I'm

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thinking, well, i'll see what
happens later this year with the election whatever,

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and then you know, a month
later in March, Gold starts to

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take off and never looks back.
Now recently, I mean, you just

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had, you know, Craig Hemkeyon
saying, oh, Silver's got to go

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about thirty. A couple days later, it goes above thirty. Not even

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trying to go back to thirty.
It's just taken off. So it's interesting

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to see these acceleration phases in the
metals when for so long you get a

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sideways move and just this up and
down kind of going sideways, and you

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kind of think, oh, yeah, metals are never going to do anything,

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and then they take off. They're
like, what's happening, what's going

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on? This is weird? Who
I experts surprised? Expert surprised. But

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that's the thing, Carrie, this
is normal. These things happen because gold

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and silver go up with inflation when
we print too much of our fiat currency.

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You know, the metals that are
real money, that are limited and

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supplied, they go up in value, and they don't go perfectly sideways up

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year after year with inflation. Sometimes
they go you know down, go sideways,

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and then they have this big jump
in this big ketchup move and we're

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kind of at that perfect storm now
where you know, there's political dysfunction,

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there's distrust, there's potential war overseas, and really the FED is just kind

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of losing their mojo. You know, there's a lack of trust, a

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lack of faith that they can save
this, that we can have a soft

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landing, and so you know,
gold ahead of time is like, all

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right, well we need to go
up now. You know, we're the

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safe haven asset. The market is
buying that. But now it's ketchup mode.

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Now it's like, okay, gold
should be much higher compared to the

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trillions and trillions of dollars we printed
out of thin air. So now it

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has it's ketchup move and it looks
like it goes straight up, and it's

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kind of fun to see that.
But also it's not going to wait for

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us. People are late to the
party at this point. Hey, if

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I look at the most good about
housing but like just the most basic condo

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that could have purchased in nineteen seventy
seven, in fact, my mother did

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for twenty one thousand. All right, Yeah, that that house is now

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selling well north of one hundred.
So you're just using a multiplier of five

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back from when gold hit its peak
in the eighties, and you know that's

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four thousand bucks, right, forty
two fifty pardon my mat. Yeah,

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yeah, gold should go to four
thousand to keep up with that condo,

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and it'll naturally do that to catch
up to where it should be. Yeah,

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like you have to, you have
to, you know your indicators.

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There's always these classical indicators of gold, right, Like they used to say

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one ounce by a fine man suit. Right, But like with all of

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the automation and stuff that happened,
and the other countries, lower cost countries

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starting to produce higher quality garments,
that measure lost its relevance to somewhat.

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Yes, for twenty three hundred bucks, you can buy a good suit,

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not like a like a hand seiler
custom suit. Yeah, yeah, but

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really it's changed a lot. So
you got to look at other indicators.

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One two of them that never fail
are how many ounces of gold to buy

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your average home? Right now we're
at like one hundred and fifty thereabouts,

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and the doubt of gold ratio right
right, right, yep, those are

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indicators we look at. I think
I've seen, you know, at different

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times it's around two hundred ounces of
gold to buy an average single family home,

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you know, and maybe maybe it'll
yeah yeah, and now it'll be

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a little bit less with gold prices
going up, But that's the same I

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mean one hundred years ago, same
amount of gold buys a house. Now,

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same amount of gold buys a house, you know, one hundred years

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ago, if you had two thousand
or five thousand dollars to buy a house.

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We can't even buy a shed for
that nowadays. So holding on to

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your dear cash for one hundred years
can't buy a house, can't even buy

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shed. Holding onto that amount of
gold for one hundred years, it still

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buys a house. So that's that's
why it's real money. And yeah,

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it'll it'll go to where it's going
to go. And then yeah, with

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the dow gold ratio, we're going
to look at that for when to when

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to sell it when it's too high. You know, when we get it

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down into the low single digits,
well then gold has probably done more than

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it's catchup move and maybe getting too
high and let's rebalance, let's take some

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of those gains. But you know, if the dowt of gold ratio is

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over ten to one or twenty to
one like it has been, it's gold

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is too cheap and you just have
to buy it. It's just stupid cheap.

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Speaking of ratios gold to silver,
what could you say about that?

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That one's interesting? Now, it's
no, I was down to seventy five

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yesterday. What is my chart say
seventy six right now? So yeah,

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so it's coming down it's been in
the nineties, you know, in the

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last year or two, it's been
in the eighties, the last couple of

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months. Now it's seventy five,
so it is coming down significantly and looking

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at some of the price chart patterns
and the structures it makes when you just

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chart out the gold silver ratio,
it's starting to you know, to break

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out and it looks like it's really
going to head down. Or you can

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flip it the other way and do
a percentage of silver to the price of

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gold and it looks like it's breaking
out and going up. But that one's

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been a significant change. I mean
at mclavaney we watched that. We look

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for major turning points where we can
switch from one metal to the other and

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increase our ounces, get free ounces
when one metal has outperformed another, and

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we help our clients do that.
So we absolutely watch the ratio and this

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is I think going to be another
one of those times where it comes down

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quickly. It'll usually go up and
stay up for a long long time where

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silver is undervalued and now Carrie,
it's probably going to drop quickly. Silver's

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going to shoot up and then we
can buy a bunch of extra free gold

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with our silver versus what we could
get today for it. I like it.

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Yeah. Well, you know the
problem with silver if you're having physical

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is it just is so heavy and
it takes up so much space. Yeah,

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to physically secure it, which you
should never do in your home,

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but everyone does. It's costly,
it's probablematical and better. You know,

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you got a few ounce as of
gold and they can easier hide it.

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Yeah. Yeah, it's interesting.
I mean, you know, everyone's different.

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You know, clients that I talked
to, there are so many people

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that they want to have that in
their hands. They want to know that

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it's within arm's reach and I get
that. I feel the same way,

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so, you know, but silver
can get pretty heavy and bulky. We

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do have good storage depositories that we
use that We've even gone out and audited

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our client's metals and seeing everything that's
there and confirmed everything. So there are

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good storage options that we have.
Taking delivery, I've had people that have

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taken tens of thousands of ounces of
silver. I mean it's like half a

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ton of silver, but they just
want it nearby and they want silver for

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the performance. But there are options, there are ways to logistically make it

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work well, so hey, so
yeah, so silver. You know,

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Eric Sprout, one of the gurus
of our space, says, three hundred

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dollars silver, is it possible?
I think it's possible. I think mathematically

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five hundred is possible. And that's
not you know, the fringe conspiracy theory

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number. Really just looking at the
inflation adjusted high from nineteen eighty and the

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ratio it got to then and the
amount of money out there. Now,

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you know, we can potentially see
gold go ten to fifteen thousand dollars an

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ounce. That would just be it's
high in nineteen eighty when it got to

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eight fifty briefly, and then looking
at the money supply today. I mean

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back then you could have picked that
number, and there was a guy,

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Jim Sinclair picked that number pretty close
just looking at and I'd have to look

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back. I can't remember if he
looked at M one or M two for

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the money supply and the amount of
official reserves, which I don't know we

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can trust that nowadays, but you
can kind of, you know he did.

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He came to that number, and
if you do the same thing nowadays,

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it's ten or fifteen thousand dollars an
ounce. Well, if gold goes

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to ten thousand, then what's silver? So nineteen eighty, you know what

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the ratio was at the high God, I want to say it was like

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00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:09,840
fifteen to one or something very close, very very close. One seventeen to

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one. Oh, I knew it
was like ridiculously low bear to current numbers.

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Yeah, and again that's a peak
point. You know we're going to

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hit something close to that when we
have time to do a transaction. But

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yeah, you're right on. So
imagine that today. Let's say gold goes

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00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:28,000
to ten thousand dollars an ounce to
just kind of catch up to where it

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should be with the money supply,
Then what silver silver? The ratio gets

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down to twenty to one. Again, that's five hundred dollars silver, So

156
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that's very possible. That may be
a brief event, but I mean anything

157
00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:43,200
from two hundred or five, whether
it is possible silver gets to five hundred,

158
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is that going to be in today's
dollars or is it going to be

159
00:10:48,039 --> 00:10:54,080
wildly depreciated future dollars? Where what
I'm asking effectively, is the real purchasing

160
00:10:54,159 --> 00:10:58,759
power of silver and gold going to
increase or is it just going to stay

161
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this same and we're just to have
more dollars, you know. That's that's

162
00:11:05,039 --> 00:11:07,600
a good question. There are probably
a lot smarter people than me that could

163
00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:13,960
pontificate on that. My feeling is
from my experience, from what I've seen,

164
00:11:13,039 --> 00:11:16,480
is that gold and silver are going
to overshoot where they should be.

165
00:11:16,759 --> 00:11:22,200
I think there will be a brief
time where they go well passed and actually

166
00:11:22,240 --> 00:11:26,639
give us a gain, an increase
in purchasing power far above inflation, and

167
00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:28,720
then come down to a new normal. So it may be the gold goes

168
00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:33,000
to ten thousand, comes back down
to four or five thousand, and that's

169
00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:35,480
the new normal for the next generation. Like still higher than we're at now.

170
00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:39,799
We'll just be you know, the
next generation's normal, but for a

171
00:11:39,879 --> 00:11:43,159
time, I imagine I bet that
it will, and especially with silver,

172
00:11:43,279 --> 00:11:46,960
if it goes to several hundred dollars
an ounce, I think it will overshoot

173
00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:50,159
and then come back down to reality
and there will be a time where we

174
00:11:50,519 --> 00:11:54,480
take advantage of this once in a
generation event with the growth in metals.

175
00:11:54,799 --> 00:11:58,399
And this really is carry like your
listeners need to know this. This is

176
00:11:58,440 --> 00:12:03,440
one of those once in a life
time opportunities to grow your portfolio with the

177
00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:07,919
big ketchup move in metals and have
enough of an exposure to benefit from that.

178
00:12:07,679 --> 00:12:11,519
I like that, the big ketchup
move in metals. And hey,

179
00:12:11,799 --> 00:12:20,600
so if you're able to take you
know, what's seventy six ounces of silver

180
00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:24,080
now for one ounce of gold,
and then down the road, instead of

181
00:12:24,159 --> 00:12:31,799
getting one ounce, you're getting five
ounces almost, That's that's a big difference.

182
00:12:33,120 --> 00:12:39,000
So even if the purchasing power isn't
going up, the purchasing power in

183
00:12:39,080 --> 00:12:43,519
time in terms of how much gold
it will buy is going up correct well.

184
00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:46,480
Well, and that's just that's one
way we're going to capture our gains

185
00:12:46,519 --> 00:12:50,559
a lot of way along the way. So for our clients at maclvane,

186
00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:52,799
if for anyone working with me,
we're going to be doing some of that

187
00:12:52,879 --> 00:12:56,159
along the way, maybe not waiting
to the very end. We might want

188
00:12:56,159 --> 00:12:58,559
to be scaling out of our precious
metals at that very end point, at

189
00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:01,720
that very low ratio, but along
the way we're going to hit points where

190
00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:05,799
you know, people that have bought
five years ago, well, on this

191
00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:07,279
next move up in silver, they
can get to a point where they can

192
00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:11,919
double their ounces from where they started, and maybe we take some of our

193
00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:16,399
silver and turn it into gold,
and we're essentially capturing that gain in three

194
00:13:16,399 --> 00:13:18,440
ounces of gold. We're locking it
in. We have extra three ounces of

195
00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:20,720
gold that we didn't have before,
and we're locking in that gain. If

196
00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:24,480
there's a correction, great, we
can reset for a little bit. If

197
00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:28,639
it keeps going, that's fine.
We haven't tried to time the market perfectly.

198
00:13:28,720 --> 00:13:31,399
We're just we're making our pile bigger
along the way. Okay, So

199
00:13:33,399 --> 00:13:37,480
the doubt to gold ratio, that's
kind of when you know it's time to

200
00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:39,399
get out of metals. If it
gets down to two to one, three

201
00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:45,600
to one, or one to one
even then it's kind of flashing of major

202
00:13:45,679 --> 00:13:48,639
buy for the stock market. Huh. Yeah, that would be the case

203
00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:54,519
too. I think we'll get to
a point of selling gold and buying stocks

204
00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:58,519
potentially if interest rates are high enough, going back into the bonds again too,

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if they're paying enough. But yeah, the Dow gold ratio will be

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a big indicator. And I've got
actually a list for my clients, and

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I'm going to let them know.
I've got a list of like ten indicators

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of this is what we normally see
at the end of a bowl market in

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metals, how people are acting,
what the news is saying, what's going

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on in the world. There's a
lot of things we'll know, but the

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Dow gold ratio will be a good
one. So what is it now?

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Seventeen to one? Roughly? What
can we say it is sixteen? Between

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sixteen and seventeen to one. So
yeah, the end of a bowl market,

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the time when you want to reallocate
some of your goal, the time

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when you want to buy stocks.
Maybe five to one or less. I

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mean, I think it could go
to two or three to one. So

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huge multiplier, huge multiplier. And
it's not like we'd even get rid of

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all our gold either. I think
everyone should always have amount of gold,

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yeah, whether it's ten or twenty
percent, whatever it is. But we

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may be high in that percentage when
gold is ten thousand dollars down. So

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then let's say, all right,
well let's go back to a foundational amount.

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Oh, stocks are dirt cheap,
Okay, let's buy a bunch of

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those for pennies on the dollar compared
to today. So there'll be a reallocation.

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We'll take advantage of these moves,
but we also need to be on

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the trend right now, because this
is this is where they're going. All

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right, it's exciting times here.
Just tell us, Michael, where we

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find you connect with you. Give
us your phone number, Yeah, the

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phone number you again, call our
text We can get in touch that way.

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It's nine seven zero four five nine
four six one one Again nine seven

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00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:28,360
zero four five nine four six one
one. Call me directly, send me

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00:15:28,399 --> 00:15:31,279
a text. We'll connect. Any
questions you have, I'm happy to help.

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Right, and the link is in
the shows to this interview on Financial

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00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:39,480
Survival Network dot com. If you've
got a question for Michael byself, shoot

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me an email kl at Carrie Lutz
and hey, while you're at the site,

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00:15:43,679 --> 00:15:46,799
sign up for your free newsletter Michael. Always a pleasure, Thanks for

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coming by. Thank you, Kerrie
Privilege. I appreciate it. Thanks for

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00:15:50,159 --> 00:15:56,519
listening to Carrie Leutz's Financial Survival Network, your solution to today's trying times.

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00:15:56,759 --> 00:16:03,240
For the latest, go to Financial
Survival Network dot com. Financial Survival Network

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00:16:03,639 --> 00:16:04,120
now more than ever
