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Welcome everyone, Episode seven oh five
of the NBA Podcast. I'm Brian Saporik

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and we have a great show for
you today. You know, the free

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agency is mostly done, with the
draft is over. We'll see about some

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big trades, but as of now, things are relatively quiet around the NBA

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other than summerly, which makes us
the perfect time to step back and reevaluate

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how the championship race could stack up
after we saw a lot of player movement

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this summer. Before we do that, a reminder that you can follow us

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on Twitter at the NBA Pod.
You can find our Twitter handles and our

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bios to get us follow as well. You can also find us on iTunes

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and wherever those podcasts are found on
iTunes, please subscribe download leave them five

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star reviews. Joining me today is
not my usual co host, Morton Jensen.

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He is on vacation, so we
have instead called a longtime friend of

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the show, Dan Favalley of the
Hardwood Knocks podcast, to help us out

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ranking these title contenders. And Dan, how's it going? Man? Man?

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I'm doing great. You know what, I'm doing great because it feels

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like we've there. We have podcasts
that are in the clip that haven't been

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released yet that people don't know about
it. Me you've recorded, I feel

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like over the past two months back
and forth between each other's shows like a

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bunch and for some stuff for BR
too, So I'm excited to get to

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talk to you again about the championship
picture. How are you doing? I

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am likewise excited. I'm always happy
to have you on. And yes,

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as you alluded to, we do
have some some fun stuff coming out on

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the BR front one this week and
then one hopefully next week as well,

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so we will stay tuned to Twitter
for that. But the one coming out

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of this week I had a lot
of fun with and I'm still salty about

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that one. I'm not gonna yeah, well maybe we'll have to record a

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reaction podcast just to review how many
times. Yeah, I'm not gonna spoil

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I'm not gonna all right, So
we're doing title contenders and Dan was kind

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enough to cook up a tear maker
for us, so we're gonna We're not

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gonna go one through thirty. We're
just gonna, you know, break them

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up into five tiers. Dan,
I did not ask you before we recorded,

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but I did ask you what your
tiers. How you quantified them or

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like, you know what an S
tier correlates to an A tier correlates to.

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So we could have taken very different
approaches to this, which will make

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which means worth to argue towards the
consensus, which I love. That's right.

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So so let's start at where do
you want to start? Top or

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bottom? I feel like in this
we normal We've been taught because of what

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we do for a living, that
you should go in reverse order. But

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this feels like one of those situations
where more of the discussion actually happens for

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the teams that are on the lower
pull. So I feel like we should

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begin with s U and then work
our way back. Unless you disagree,

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let's do it. I agree because
I frankly the D tier for me was

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the teams that are But what's the
say? You know there was like rigging

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for Wiggins back in the day.
Do we have one of those for Cooper

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Flag yet? Yes? It's I
think John Hollinger coined SAG for Flag flag.

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Okay, yeah, so spoiler tier
D for me or the SAG for

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flag teams? What about what about
in the pooper for Cooper? I like

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that when I released this on the
Hardwoe Knox feed to day after you release,

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I might call the podcast in the
pooper for Cooper. I think that's

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a brilliant idea that I cannot wait
for the is of Mooji tweet that you

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can turned out with that. All
right, So S tier Dan, what

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how did you classify these teams?
So I view s t here as I

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don't want to coin as like you're
disappointed if they didn't win the title,

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but like you're going in as my
my bar for ste I would say it's

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like these these are the great teams, and I'm curious to see what you

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ended up with. I only have
one team in my S tier. Ooh

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interesting, Okay, so I think
it's Boston, Like we both have them

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an S tier, right, and
it's just with them. What's interesting is,

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I know people have kind of to
keep in theme with the feces comments

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pooh pooed their path to a championship, But like, isn't there just a

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they had a top four point differential
permane hundred possessions in the regular season in

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playoffs combined of all time. Isn't
there just a chance that, like we

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all kind of tried to find flaws
or slept on. What is just this

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generational type team When you look at
their and I know there's the Christops injury,

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it seems like he's gonna miss that, you know, at least be

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out until Christmas are around then,
and who knows how much he plays once

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he comes back. I just can't
bring myself to care. Like this team

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is really good, and I think
you could make cases for some teams to

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be and I would have made a
case for the Nuggets that they kept KCP

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to be in their tier, but
like, I need bankability in the S

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tier. And it feels like when
you get into teams like Philly, it's

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well, how does Paul George meshin? What does Joelle and Bee's health look

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like? When you get to a
team like the Nuggets, it's okay,

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we know Christian Brown is good,
but just saying that he can fill in

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for Contavious called woll Pope, which
by the way, he can't because he's

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not the same offensive player, but
defensively sure, well now that you need

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someone else to level up behind him, And so like even the Knicks,

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it's well, how does Michel Bridges
fit in? And what's up with og

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Anoby's health and how do they reintegrate
Julius Randall and all of a sudden,

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it's Mitchell Robinson is like your only
center unless you want to play Jericho Sims

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or a bunch so or maybe Tims
will go to Julius Randall slash og as

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like his five. So when I
look at the Celtics, even with the

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KP injury, I just have fewer
questions. Okay, that's fair one team.

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I will note that you left out
in the as you were like knocking

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out teams of why they aren't s
tier what about? Okay? See,

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yeah, you know. Do you
know what I've gone back and forth on

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this? Is they all they did? If this all season was incredible,

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But they did all of it without
addressing what I thought was their biggest need,

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and that was the third shot creator
type to break down defenses from a

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dead stop. Now that I'm thinking
about it though, and I just wrote

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about this, so I should have
thought about it, But like, are

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we just I'm just discounting that Jalen
Williams isn't gonna get better, that Chet

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Holmgren isn't gonna get better, that
maybe Aaron Wiggins isn't gonna take on more

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caseon Wallace. So if you have
them an str I won't fight that for

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a minute because there, I mean, we have our Thunder podcast on the

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side. Thunder buddies go like and
subscribe. But yeah, so that's a

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team that I still just if I
knew like what Jay dubb was gonna look

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like or how much of a floor
game they were gonna, let Chet Holmgren

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explore, I might feel more comfortable
with it, but like, yeah,

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that's the That would be a team
to consider for sure as well. I

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think you could also if you really
wanted to mention just because they did.

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Their depth is weird, but like
they destroyed it even And this is what

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Dame just missing wide open threes last
year. He's not gonna he might get

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older, He's not missing wide open
threes forever. But they trucked opponents when

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Damiannis and Chris Middleton were on the
floor, like they absolutely annihilated them.

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So so you had, okay,
see in your st here. I So

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I took a slightly different approach with
my S tier. I actually had four

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teams and then five with a question
mark that I was like waffling between.

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So my S tier was just like, I don't want to call it title

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contenders because I think teams in the
A tier also could potentially contend for a

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title, but title front runners or
you know that. Honestly, it's like

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most of the teams just with the
best Vegas Thuns, and I think,

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frankly, the Vegas is pretty right
on with their determination here. So yeah,

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I had the Celtics obviously, had
the Thunder, had the Knicks had

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the Sixers and then the Nuggets or
my question, I could I you know,

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it's like, I don't want to
overrate. They were up twenty points

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at home in Game seven in the
second half and then just blew a giant

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lead, and who knows if they
hold that lead. So I think there's

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a very good chance they beat Dallas. There's a chance they even beat Boston

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and repeat as champions, And like, maybe we're all just overreacting, but

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to your point, the loss of
KCP is huge, the Deron Holmes injury

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very unfortunate for them. I think, you know, I wrote about them

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a couple months ago that I understand
what they're doing, and I think it's

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frankly kind of the smart approach where
they're just doubling down on youth, and

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they're saying, you know, we've
got Jokic, Jamal and Michael Porter Junior

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on these max contracts, like we're
gonna be a second Apron team for the

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foreseeable future. And really the only
way for us to sustain this is to

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hit young player, like lean on
them, give them the reps, get

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them ready, And it might have
cost up to the title last year,

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but if these guys pop, then
we've got these on these guys under you

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know, cheap cost controlled contracts for
a couple of years. So like,

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I respect the approach that they're going
for here, but to your point,

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yeah, even if Christian Brown can
scale up or replace KCP, who is

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now scaling up to replace Christian Brown
coming off the bench, So it feels

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like I just I'm nervous about discounting
Nikola Jokic, just we've seen what he

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can do in the playoffs. He's
anchored a championship contender before, or a

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championship team before. H and even
this year, I mean the Nuggets losing

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the second round, he's still average
like thirty thirteen and eight or something absurd.

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So you know, I probably,
like if there were six tiers.

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I might have Celtics Thunder on the
S tier alone and then Nick six or

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the Nuggets on the tier below them, but above all these other teams,

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And that's what I was gonna ask
you, And so the pivot point for

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me because if we were to rank
these within the same tier, I think

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Boston and Okac was in the top
of my eight tier. So I'm fine.

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I'm fine with them being an as
I think your approach is probably makes

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for better conversation and it's more just
like, Okay, do we really need

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one team in S tier? But
with the Sixers is like, how do

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you reconcile Joel Embiid has basically never
been healthy for the playoffs or end or

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never really been great for an extended
period of time in the playoffs. That

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doesn't because in my opinion, if
you're gonna make the Knicks and the Sixers

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S tier, I think the Nuggets
have to be S tier because I would

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have them because of Jokic and just
like the familiarity with the crux of their

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roster at the top, I'd probably
have them in front of both, even

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though it's harder to come out of
the West. And so how do you

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square away like we just have it's
not I mean, it's it's borderline Kawhi

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level at this point, except he's
playing through it, which just Joel Ebad

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is always hurt in the playoffs,
And so how do you like, like

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so even forget like they might have
the most well balanced sort of top three

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players in the league, the one
three five look of Embiid, George and

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MAXI. But I just I don't
I find it tough because of just Joellen

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Bee's health specifically of well, do
we really put them up there with these

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teams when we've never seen him healthy
enough to even I guess like understood,

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like we've seen flickers and flashes.
Don't get me wrong, but that just

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seems like a massive gamble to sort
of if we're dismissing the Nuggets, like,

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well they let KCP go and they're
banking on youthful development, the Sixers

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are like, well, we're just
built around this guy that's never healthy but

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needs to be healthy for us to
win the title, right, Yeah,

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And that's a very fair critique,
I'd say, if we're drawing the comparison

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between him and Kawhi and Beads,
injuries have largely been fluky, like he

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breaks his face, you know Pastaliaka
like elbows them in the face and he

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breaks his face, or like he
broke his face our morcall pulls his shoulder

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one year. The Bell's palsy thing. This year was just like what kind

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of the organ trail ship that we
have going on? Like, how are

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we coming up? Who's gonna get
ye? Colera coming right down the corner.

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I mean maybe he had that against
Toronto. He had bubble guts for

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a couple of games. We need
Look, I need the Nuggets or the

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Sixers to sign Gary Trent Junior for
the minimum and then we can call him

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dissentery Gary. Uh if you know, you know it's a blake. I

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love it. I love it.
Yeah. According to all the fake rumored

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bongers on Twitter, Gary Trent Junior
is definitely signing with the Sixers any day

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though it's been these people. Can't
you know, delineate. I'm not hoping

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that Gary dysentery. I'm not root
that. Yeah, but so like yes,

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I mean yeah, like I just
don't know how much stock to put

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into the ken. This guy does
not stay healthy for a two month stretch

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or is it just like he has
just gotten ridiculously unlucky and we're just dealing

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with a relatively small sample size here
and all you need, I mean,

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help it happens. Why every year
all he needed was the one year in

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Toronto, Like, if things break
right, I think you you know that

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the ceiling case for the Sixers might
be I mean, I don't want to

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be reckless here, but like I
think ceiling case is definitely you know,

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top tier title contender. The floor
is a lot lower though, And if

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that makes you want to like push
them out of the sire because you're confident

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that the Celtics and Thunder have a
higher floor as well, I think that's

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a very fair argument. I'm willing
to put them in st here. I

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think the Nuggets have to go there
then too, And but I want,

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like, are you certain? I
think this is where we're gonna disagree.

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Who is right now the second most
promising team in the East. Is it

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the Sixers or the Knicks? Because
the Knicks I think certainly have a higher

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floor than Philly because of their depths
and just like the things they did,

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I know Timms was running his players
into the ground. The things they did

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amid injuries. This year was absolutely
astounding when you look at all the players

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00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:22,960
they lost, and if you get
better health from just Julius Randall or Mitchell

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00:14:24,039 --> 00:14:30,200
Robinson or Ogannanobi and you've added mcal
Bridges Hartenstein's a big loss. Don't get

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me wrong. I'm just like the
top part of the Sixers roster is better

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00:14:35,159 --> 00:14:39,600
because there is a chance and I'm
everyone, I'm in the bag for Jalen

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00:14:39,639 --> 00:14:41,679
Brunson. I want to make that
clear. He finished fifth on Miami p

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Vallet everybody, but like, there
is a chance that the Sixers, when

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you pit top three against top three, that they just have the best three

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players like this in a series against
the Knicks, and the Knicks like after

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00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:58,279
Jalen Brunson, like no one's even
if you want to take Jalen Brunson over

211
00:14:58,399 --> 00:15:01,919
Joelle and b their second and thirds
are not gonna come close to touching Paul

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00:15:01,919 --> 00:15:05,879
George and Tyres MAXI Like it's just
not so it's I'm willing to listen to

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the case, but like does the
shouldn't the floor Matt, And also just

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the newness of just like well,
we don't really know how Paul George,

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00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:16,720
I know, we don't know how
McHale Bridges will work either, but like

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00:15:16,759 --> 00:15:20,919
we have a sample of like the
Knicks with OG just basically destroyed people,

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00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:24,360
right, And we've seen Michale Bridges
play with half of the Knicks already.

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00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:28,600
It's not like Paul George has never
played with this kind. I mean,

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00:15:28,639 --> 00:15:33,519
we've seen Mikail Bridges win championships with
his current teammates, So there is there

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00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:37,120
is zero fit concerns with Michale Bridges, Like I you know, I on

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00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:39,000
pay for both of these guys should
fit like Michael should fit with the Nicks,

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00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:43,720
Paul George should fit the Sixers,
Like I don't think any either one

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00:15:43,759 --> 00:15:46,360
of them are gonna go completely off
the rails. But yeah, I think

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00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:50,759
if you're looking at who is gonna
be better day one of the twenty twenty

225
00:15:50,759 --> 00:15:54,679
four to twenty five season, it's
almost certainly gonna be the Dicks. They

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00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:58,639
have continuity, they have chemistry,
Like MB it has already been kind of

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00:15:58,759 --> 00:16:03,000
set up some morning players of like, yeah, we're really excited, but

228
00:16:03,039 --> 00:16:07,440
it's gonna take time for us to
mesh. Like this is not going to

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00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:12,120
be an overnight thing. So day
one of the season, I think the

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00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:17,240
Knicks certainly have the higher floor.
You could probably argue have the higher ceiling

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00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:21,679
until we see the Sixers in action, you know, then it's just come

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00:16:21,799 --> 00:16:25,960
April, who has the higher ceiling. I think it could be closer because

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the Sixers now also have this kJ
Martin contract. They hand it out,

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00:16:29,799 --> 00:16:33,679
so they have a legitimate chance to
upgrade in the first round picks, which

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00:16:33,679 --> 00:16:37,720
the Knicks they have those fake ones
from Washington and Detroit. But right and

236
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:41,840
the next Like, my question with
them is what happened with Julius Randall because

237
00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:45,120
it seems like, you know,
they go on this big run without him

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00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:49,360
last year. He's on the final
year of his contract. Maybe because Jalen

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00:16:49,399 --> 00:16:53,960
Brunson just took this big discount that
opens the door for Randall to say as

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00:16:55,000 --> 00:17:00,600
well. But I wonder does he
get boxed out at some point frankly,

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00:17:00,639 --> 00:17:03,160
like who starts for the Knicks?
Like are you are you moving? Well?

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00:17:03,559 --> 00:17:07,240
That's why a lot of people have
wondered what it'd be better for them

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00:17:07,279 --> 00:17:10,480
to break up Randall into two players, so that you can just start the

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00:17:10,559 --> 00:17:15,880
Nova Knicks with og An Andobi right
and Mitchell so be Mitchell Robinson bring uh

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00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:19,599
Jalen Brunson, mchal Bridges uh and
then Josh Harten and I guess bring Dante

246
00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,839
off the bench, or at least
you don't you get to a point where

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00:17:22,839 --> 00:17:27,279
it's only one of them. What's
interesting with Julius Randall two is maybe if

248
00:17:27,319 --> 00:17:32,160
this isn't a problem because og is
still gonna be making more than Jalen Brunson.

249
00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:37,000
But the Knicks played host to Jalen
Brunson's Superstar ascent and he was you

250
00:17:37,039 --> 00:17:41,480
don't want to credit them for it
like they played host to it. They

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00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:44,079
did the same thing with Randall,
who's made two MBA teams with them,

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00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:48,319
And now Jalen Brunson has set a
clear precedent about like why just took less

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00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:52,720
and so is that gonna impact what
the Knicks are gonna ask Julius RANDALLD to

254
00:17:52,759 --> 00:17:56,319
take and extension talks where it's you
know, it's kind of the same thing

255
00:17:56,319 --> 00:18:00,960
with Kawhi and PG. Why are
you paying Randall more than Jalen Brunson at

256
00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:03,240
this point in a vacuum You shouldn't
be. But Jalen Brunson is the one

257
00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:07,960
who agreed to take you know,
twelve on average over the next three years,

258
00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:11,480
about twelve and a half million dollars
less. So I'm wondering if that

259
00:18:11,599 --> 00:18:15,759
makes it. I think it makes
it either more likely that Randall's traded or

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00:18:15,759 --> 00:18:18,799
that he signs an extension that is, like, does he pull the PG

261
00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,759
and say, just give me what
Jalen got, and like, maybe that's

262
00:18:21,759 --> 00:18:25,640
what you end up with. Yeah, yeah, that's reasonable because I mean,

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00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:29,279
frankly, like Jalen Brunson, if
he became a free agent next summer,

264
00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:32,839
I think he would have had the
five year or two seventy eight million

265
00:18:33,519 --> 00:18:36,880
seventy million to offer from if not
from the next from another teamer, it

266
00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:38,240
would have been four years, but
he would have gotten the full max.

267
00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,880
Like, I don't think Julius Randall
is getting a full max. No,

268
00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,440
he's not. There's just he's too
hard of a player to fit in and

269
00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:48,680
we kind of saw it. He's
younger than James Harden, but that's what

270
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:53,039
it's become with James Harden. Is
even like James Harden was ridiculously good when

271
00:18:53,079 --> 00:18:56,400
he was in Philly for the most
part, Yeah, and like, but

272
00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:59,160
there still just wasn't a market for
him when like he had to pick up

273
00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:03,000
his player option and so Julius Randall
extremely talented, incredibly important to the Knicks,

274
00:19:04,039 --> 00:19:10,200
but he's just such a tough He's
tough to fit into a larger ecosystem,

275
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:12,000
is the way I would frame it
on offense, Yeah, and that

276
00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:15,640
I think would limit the teams that
want to go after him. And I

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00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:17,559
think, look, with Jalen Brunston, I just think you're right. I'd

278
00:19:17,599 --> 00:19:19,319
said this on the podcast. I
didn't reaction to the extension is. I

279
00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:22,799
honestly think people said, well,
he could have gotten injured and that money

280
00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:26,079
might not have been available, and
I think from outside teams maybe, but

281
00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:30,720
the Knicks have unloaded their war chest
already in the image of this is Jalen

282
00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:34,000
Brunston's team, and so even if
he had suffered a bad injury, I

283
00:19:34,039 --> 00:19:37,759
honestly think five years and two sixty
nine would have still been on the table

284
00:19:37,799 --> 00:19:40,839
for him from them. So that's
why I do think he gave up that

285
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:44,440
contract. But to get back to
the actual thing that you have me on

286
00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:48,240
the show to do, so,
I guess we should go. I'm just

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00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:52,039
saying, within this tier, how
do we feel about Nuggets, then Sixers,

288
00:19:52,519 --> 00:19:57,039
then Nicks. I'm fine with it. Yeah, would you have had

289
00:19:57,079 --> 00:20:02,799
the Sixers above the Nuggets. I
want to not stance again, not at

290
00:20:02,839 --> 00:20:06,240
the start of the season. I
think the Sixers, if everything big breaks

291
00:20:06,319 --> 00:20:08,720
right for them, I think they
probably have the third highest ceiling of any

292
00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:14,880
team in the NBA. And that's
every you know, Embiid and George stay

293
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:21,960
healthy. That's they flipped the kJ
contract mid season. I don't know for

294
00:20:22,039 --> 00:20:25,880
whom, but they'll have some way. That number came in a little bit.

295
00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:29,680
I actually haven't looked to see like
what their apron status was, and

296
00:20:29,799 --> 00:20:32,519
like them, I thought the contract
was going to be more than eight million

297
00:20:32,519 --> 00:20:37,200
bucks. They're right at the first
apron right now, like once they fail,

298
00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:41,359
they could have gotten a little higher, like twelve thirteen million, and

299
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:48,039
then would have been in like second
apron ish territory. I wonder just they

300
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:51,720
didn't want to have the second apron
be a concern at all. They wanted

301
00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:55,440
to be lagged great contracts, that
kind of thing. I agree, And

302
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:57,680
I haven't seen. I don't know
if the official numbers have come out yet,

303
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:03,359
because I'm wondering if it's you know, we heard two years sixteen for

304
00:21:03,519 --> 00:21:07,599
Josh Akoe and your boy, Simon
Fontecio as well. So I'm wondering if

305
00:21:07,599 --> 00:21:11,960
it's just like a straight dollar for
dollar match for one of those guys.

306
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:15,039
This is tough because they're flat well
they're flat rates in terms of the contract,

307
00:21:15,079 --> 00:21:19,920
but I wanted someone to be signed
for the exact dollar amount of just

308
00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:23,680
like where it's like, why is
just trying to like what why is roy

309
00:21:23,759 --> 00:21:26,839
O'Neill making the same amount of money
as Kyle Kuzma to the dollar right?

310
00:21:27,839 --> 00:21:32,680
Something like that to happen. I
thought Dorian Phinney Smith might have been or

311
00:21:32,759 --> 00:21:41,319
like have the exact dollar amount minus
exactly one minimum contract, right, But

312
00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:44,720
yeah, I'm good with this here. So our s tre is Boston,

313
00:21:44,839 --> 00:21:47,440
Okay, see Denver, Philly and
New York. And I gotta say,

314
00:21:48,759 --> 00:21:52,920
as a Knicks fan, it's surreal
to have them in here and be debating

315
00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:55,519
like, well should they be in
front of the Sixers and the Nuggets?

316
00:21:55,519 --> 00:22:02,119
Like its fucking insane. Yeah,
I mean, frankly, this might be

317
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:03,599
too strong with a take. I
was about to say, I would be

318
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:07,720
surprised if one of these five teams
doesn't win the championship next year. You

319
00:22:07,759 --> 00:22:12,240
know, it's a long season.
Things happened, but I would I would

320
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:15,680
be fair. Like, if you
gave me these five teams or the field,

321
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:19,839
I would take these five teams by
far. I'm trying, you know

322
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:23,680
what, I feel some type of
way, and this is the time we're

323
00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:27,480
doing this. By the way,
there's like something's brewing in New Orleans and

324
00:22:27,519 --> 00:22:30,920
it's like they got to get a
center at some point something. I'm assuming

325
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,119
we'll go down with Brandon Ingram,
but the Trade Water seem to be pretty

326
00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:37,960
barren for him. I look at
the Bucks and they're like, and then

327
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,960
there's Dallas too, and I'm sort
of like, I'll take I'll go with

328
00:22:41,039 --> 00:22:42,799
you, though, I'll take one
of these five winning that. Honestly,

329
00:22:44,319 --> 00:22:47,200
I've been trying to I've been trying
to convince myself not to pick Okay See

330
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:48,680
to win the title next year.
Like I'm trying to talk myself out of

331
00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:52,839
it because I think Boston deserves the
respect of why would you ever pick against

332
00:22:52,839 --> 00:22:56,000
this team? What is the team
that has the antidote to beat them?

333
00:22:56,319 --> 00:23:00,440
And I don't know that that team
exists, but so I think that's a

334
00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:03,680
strong stier. I would say,
since Ronto the A tier. Now I'm

335
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:11,559
assuming that Bucks and Mavericks fans will
feel the most aggrieved. Yeah, Minnesota

336
00:23:11,599 --> 00:23:14,680
fans too. I think, oh
yes, I polach they should be pissed

337
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:19,039
off, and I mentioned but yeah, those were the three the topest exclusions.

338
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:22,960
So for me, the A tier
was just what I called playoff locks,

339
00:23:23,039 --> 00:23:27,240
although I cheated because I went in
theory, if their playoff locks,

340
00:23:27,279 --> 00:23:30,319
it should just be you know,
between the S tier and the A tiers

341
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:36,440
six teams for me each conference.
I think I have seven for each conference.

342
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:41,200
Yeah, so I viewed this one
as more like it's easy to envision

343
00:23:41,319 --> 00:23:45,640
them making the conference finals or making
it out of their conference, whereas like

344
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,720
the teams above them, all these
teams might have that expectations. But it's

345
00:23:48,759 --> 00:23:52,880
like I viewed it, I was
my standard was a little bit higher.

346
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:56,839
So like I initially had OKC in
this tier with Denver the sixers, but

347
00:23:56,880 --> 00:24:00,240
it was like these teams, it's
just very easy to envision them being one

348
00:24:00,279 --> 00:24:04,160
of the last four teams standing at
the end of the year. Okay,

349
00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:08,400
yeah, so yeah, you were
a little more a little more selective because

350
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:12,400
I have like the Magic were in
this tier for me, the Kings were

351
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:15,680
in this tier for me, which
I'm guessing they were not we need to

352
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:21,240
We're gonna need to. Yeah,
okay, okay, So Mavericks, Wolves,

353
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:26,079
Bucks we agree in this tier?
How would you rank those three?

354
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:32,640
Man? I mean it's like,
how do you put the Wolves above the

355
00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:34,160
Mavericks? And the mass just beat
the Wolves in the playoffs, so I

356
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:40,079
guess that answers that well. I
mean you put them above because it's like,

357
00:24:40,079 --> 00:24:41,599
oh, Anthony Edwards is only twelve
years old or something, right,

358
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:47,759
there is that, There is that
and Joe Ingles. Maybe we're underrating the

359
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:52,279
Joe Engles edition there. Honestly,
I thought that was an incredible get yeah

360
00:24:52,319 --> 00:24:56,880
that and look respect to them for
not you know, they steered into the

361
00:24:56,920 --> 00:25:00,119
set like they did things that cost
them money and assets this year. Of

362
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,640
all these other teams kind of one
lied about what was happening with this,

363
00:25:03,839 --> 00:25:07,519
Like the Clippers are still just like
the biggest bullshitters in existence. He was

364
00:25:07,559 --> 00:25:11,000
the one that got me. I
kind of respect the Warriors. In February.

365
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:12,359
Joe Lake was like, yeah,
we're just like not looking to have

366
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:17,519
these huge tax bills anymore. And
I respect that more than the Clippers lying

367
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:19,400
about like, you know, the
second aprin is challenging and it's like,

368
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,119
well, you offered Paul Georgia contract
that would have put you there anyway,

369
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:27,480
So I'm very confused, right right, right? So oh man, I

370
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:33,400
mean the Bucks, You're right,
Like when they were all healthy, they

371
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:37,279
were great, and adding Dylon Wright, especially at a minimum, was a

372
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:41,359
huge get for them as prince too. Yeah right, Like, you know,

373
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:45,279
I know Lakers fans will scoff at
that, but it's different when he's

374
00:25:45,279 --> 00:25:51,440
on a minimum deal and you don't
have super high when Prince to be your

375
00:25:51,519 --> 00:25:55,079
only two way player aside from Lebron
and ad like, that's when it becomes

376
00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:57,440
an issue, right, right,
But the Bucks are probably all covered there,

377
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:02,079
although you're right to point out New
Orleans. You know, we've heard

378
00:26:02,079 --> 00:26:07,599
some brook Lopez rumblings this summer,
so it's I guess I would say the

379
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:11,839
Bucks that is currently constructed would be
in this tier for me. But if

380
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:18,119
they if they did like some sort
of ingram for Brook Lopez and Pat Connaton

381
00:26:18,319 --> 00:26:22,799
and stuff trades or like whatever better, there needs to be like a third

382
00:26:22,839 --> 00:26:25,759
and eighth team involved. There's no
way brandon Ingroom can go to Milwaukee.

383
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:27,880
Rather, that would just be so
and they can't aggregate. So that's just

384
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:33,200
not even feet right. They're they're
close enough to the second apron where they

385
00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:37,160
could get under it, and it's
yeah, constructing a deal, there would

386
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:38,759
have to be a third team,
but like, I don't know how they

387
00:26:38,759 --> 00:26:42,720
would make it work. Like when
those Brook, Lopez and Ingram rumors came

388
00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:47,799
out, I was I spent like
five minutes trying to figure it out,

389
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:49,359
Like, Nope, none of this
makes sense, so it's probably not gonna

390
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:55,440
happen. I was gonna say,
I do think this the order that we

391
00:26:55,519 --> 00:26:59,640
have right now, Mavericks, Wolves, Bucks feels like it's most right,

392
00:26:59,759 --> 00:27:03,000
just becase because the Bucks' depth is
non existent still, they're weirdly relying on

393
00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:07,839
just wild cards or young players.
And I think there's an argument for Minnesota

394
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:12,599
over Dallas, but I still think
Dallas is the better playoff team when you

395
00:27:12,599 --> 00:27:15,960
look at how they're built. And
I know people are concerned about their point

396
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:21,319
of attack defense and maybe there's something
going on with Quenton Grimes's medicals that I

397
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:25,039
don't know about, but like that
dude can defend. He did it in

398
00:27:25,039 --> 00:27:26,359
New York. He didn't do it
in Detroit. He got injured. That's

399
00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:30,680
an answer for point of attack defense, and also they have Dante Exam still

400
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:34,240
center. Naji Marshall. Isn't this
perfect defensive replacement for Derek Jones Junior?

401
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:38,759
And you might miss his athleticism.
But I think the MAVs, if we're

402
00:27:38,759 --> 00:27:41,960
like a value like that has sort
of been my biggest tie breaker. And

403
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:45,119
also just how you're ordering is like
who is best built to succeed in the

404
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:48,440
playoffs right now? It does sort
of feel like Dallas is clearly to me

405
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:52,519
like out in front, because like
the Timberwolves need like Rob Dillingham is not

406
00:27:52,559 --> 00:27:56,359
gonna be that a level shot creator
immediately. I mean, if he is,

407
00:27:56,480 --> 00:28:00,640
oh my god, wow, and
then we just you can't trust Karl

408
00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:03,559
Anthony Towns to do that. And
after that you don't have options. Yeah

409
00:28:04,279 --> 00:28:10,720
yeah, who did you have?
Which other teams did you have in this

410
00:28:10,799 --> 00:28:14,759
tier? So I had the Calves
in this tier? I did too?

411
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:18,240
Okay, good? I just think, well, you know, I did

412
00:28:18,319 --> 00:28:21,359
kind of have I don't know if
it was an overreaction, but I like

413
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:26,200
when that initial reporting came out after
their playoff exit from the Athletic where it

414
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:30,160
was just Donovan Mitchell that Darres Goland
doesn't really want to play with Jonavan Mitchell

415
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:33,680
and they threw Jared Allen under the
bus, and I just thought, something

416
00:28:33,759 --> 00:28:36,119
is off here, and not all
four of these dudes are going to come

417
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:37,440
back. All four of these dudes
are not going to come back. They

418
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:41,640
have Donovan Mitchell gave him, bought
them basically an extra two years with his

419
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:45,599
extension, and I think it was
rickety last year. And maybe you get

420
00:28:45,599 --> 00:28:48,240
to appoint mid season where you have
to look at breaking up one of the

421
00:28:48,319 --> 00:28:55,640
dynamics. But Kenny Atkinson's teams in
Brooklyn always overachieved at one end of the

422
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:57,839
floor. It was usually defense.
But he just I think he will be

423
00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:03,319
creative with how he used is Mobile
and Allen together in actions. And I

424
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:07,680
keep coming back to the fact that, like those four were really good together

425
00:29:07,839 --> 00:29:11,960
when they had less familiarity in year
one, and like an inferior roster around

426
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:15,119
them too, And so I'm just
like, it sort of feels like we're

427
00:29:15,119 --> 00:29:18,839
sleeping on the caves to the extent, I'm not doing this yet, but

428
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:22,839
I very easily could see them being
like better than the Bucks, maybe even

429
00:29:22,839 --> 00:29:26,200
better than the Knicks, just because
like they're there's not another team in the

430
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:30,599
East aside from Boston that has in
a vacuum the top end talent at their

431
00:29:32,039 --> 00:29:36,519
like top four spots when you just
look at their four best players. Yeah

432
00:29:36,759 --> 00:29:40,640
yeah, and who knows. I
mean, we thought Mobile when he came

433
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:44,000
back from the injury, wasn't shooting
like a super high volume of threes,

434
00:29:44,039 --> 00:29:48,200
but was starting to take them more
than he was prior to the injury,

435
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:52,519
and was at least like offering some
semblance of floor spathing, which is basically

436
00:29:52,559 --> 00:29:56,400
what one of those two guys needs
to do to make the Mobile Allen partnership

437
00:29:56,400 --> 00:30:00,440
work. It's also just important to
remember how young Evan Mobley is and how

438
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:06,799
long it often takes NBA bigs in
particular to really hit their stride, and

439
00:30:06,839 --> 00:30:11,759
he was already such an impactful defender, And frankly, we saw like the

440
00:30:11,839 --> 00:30:17,680
calves were almost better with some of
those guys either injured or like off the

441
00:30:17,759 --> 00:30:22,119
floor, Like if Atkinson can figure
out the right stagger patterns and right pairings

442
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:26,880
of you know, do I play
Garland with Alan or Garland with Mobley and

443
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:30,119
then Mitchell with Alan, Mitchell with
Mobley, Like how many of these guys

444
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:33,160
can I have on and off the
floor at any one time? If he

445
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:37,480
figures that out, they're in business. He has experience coaching Alan and Karris

446
00:30:37,519 --> 00:30:41,359
Lavert already. And you know,
with all due respect to JB. Bickerstaff,

447
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:47,519
like I don't know that that was
I think there's a real chance of

448
00:30:47,559 --> 00:30:52,599
its coaching upgrade this offseason. So
I think they're you know, I think

449
00:30:53,359 --> 00:30:56,960
they were already a very good team
that deserved to be in this conversation,

450
00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:02,880
and now you know, potentially,
thanks to internal improvement, have a chance

451
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:04,880
to get even better. Yeah,
I mean the thing that needs to I

452
00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:08,960
still think I think it is a
coaching upgrade. I thought Jamie Bickerstaff was

453
00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,319
too risk averse and then like his
hand was kind of forced with the injuries

454
00:31:12,319 --> 00:31:17,599
and the Calves played more creatively in
the way that stylistically they should have.

455
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:19,279
But I think he got once everybody
was healthy, a little bit better at

456
00:31:19,319 --> 00:31:22,519
taking some chances there. But I
do agree that I think it's an upgrade

457
00:31:22,559 --> 00:31:26,079
overall that there might I think they'll
just be more creative stuff done with their

458
00:31:26,119 --> 00:31:30,359
top four guys. So I'm glad
we both had them in this tier.

459
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:36,480
I didn't know for another team,
what did you do with the Grizzlies.

460
00:31:37,279 --> 00:31:41,440
So again, my my tiers were
a little loose here, but the Grizzlies

461
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:44,759
were in here. For me,
I was all about it, So that's

462
00:31:44,799 --> 00:31:47,359
good enough for me. I'm going
to put them in here. I just

463
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:51,640
think everyone's forgotten how good they were
two years ago because they just got I

464
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:55,319
mean, every year this happens to
one team where you just get absolutely annihilated

465
00:31:55,319 --> 00:31:57,680
by injuries. And it was like
to a comical extent with the Grizzlies last

466
00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:01,680
year. But I actually think it
might have benefited them because you got to

467
00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:07,200
see Jaron Jackson Junior more in a
feature role. We got his ISO frequency

468
00:32:07,319 --> 00:32:13,680
like tripled his career crazy, and
they've like probably don't find Vince Williams Junior

469
00:32:13,799 --> 00:32:17,480
or Gig Jackson if they're all healthy. And now you've like got these two

470
00:32:17,759 --> 00:32:22,160
legit rotation guys locked up on these
super cheap deals. Who can now go

471
00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:27,400
back down to being your like seventh
eighth, ninth man because we still have

472
00:32:27,599 --> 00:32:32,039
you know, John Morant hopefully's healthy
and stays off out of any off court

473
00:32:32,039 --> 00:32:37,960
trouble, Desmond Bane, Jaron Jackson
Junior, Marcus Smart. Uh, We'll

474
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:43,039
have to see, like if Zion
Williams pops at any point. Who knows,

475
00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:46,039
probably Williams fanatic at one point,
I don't think. I don't think

476
00:32:46,119 --> 00:32:50,559
it's happening. The ship might have
sailed, and that's okay. But you

477
00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:54,359
know, I think Memphis has well
see like what they do with Zachi Ed,

478
00:32:54,519 --> 00:32:59,519
but he at least intrigues and could
give them some different looks that they

479
00:32:59,519 --> 00:33:04,079
didn't have, you know, especially
with Steven Adams hurt last year. So

480
00:33:04,279 --> 00:33:07,240
like this, you know, this
team won what fifty five games and was

481
00:33:07,279 --> 00:33:09,200
the two seed in the West two
years ago, and now all of a

482
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:14,799
sudden, we're just like completely ruling
them out because they just had a bunch

483
00:33:14,839 --> 00:33:17,599
of injuries last year. And so
the thing for me, I do think

484
00:33:17,599 --> 00:33:21,799
part of it is just absence makes
us forget when it comes to the NBA.

485
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:23,880
It's not it doesn't make our hearts
grow fonder, We just forget it,

486
00:33:24,319 --> 00:33:28,119
right, And so I do think
there's that element. But I do

487
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:32,119
worry like Jared Jackson Junior, even
Marcus Smart and of course John Morant,

488
00:33:32,119 --> 00:33:37,319
they're not pillars of durability. There's
always been something that it seems like one

489
00:33:37,319 --> 00:33:40,839
of them is dealing with. And
then Marcus Smart was so bad last year

490
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:45,400
and I granted he was overstretched and
the spacing was weird at points. The

491
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:47,559
spacing might be weird again, especially
if you're gonna play jaroned Jackson Junior next

492
00:33:47,599 --> 00:33:52,119
to a traditional big most of the
time. And so it gives me pause

493
00:33:52,119 --> 00:33:55,240
where I still feel like as much
talent as there is, that they could

494
00:33:55,279 --> 00:34:00,400
still that they might be elite defensively
and then really struggle offense in set situations.

495
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:05,680
But what you mentioned, and I
think is the thing that swung it

496
00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:07,199
for me in the sense that I
wasn't sure where I was gonna put them,

497
00:34:07,239 --> 00:34:09,039
but you had them an a tier
and I was thinking about, so

498
00:34:09,079 --> 00:34:14,039
we just let's throw them in the
eightier Desmond Baide and Jared Jackson. You're

499
00:34:14,079 --> 00:34:16,719
getting those reps. Last season,
their efficiency went down, although Baines wasn't

500
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:21,360
down by much, But like now, they're just better, more well rounded

501
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:24,159
players on the offensive end, and
so you have more counters. I still

502
00:34:24,199 --> 00:34:28,320
think this is a team that's you
know, a lot of people expect them

503
00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:30,400
to bring Lukenard back, and you
mentioned Gigi Jackson and Vince Williams Junior.

504
00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:36,119
Those guys are legit rotation players,
but they might still need a higher end

505
00:34:36,159 --> 00:34:39,360
wing because Smart isn't a wing.
GG Jackson is for sure like a combo

506
00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:43,880
forward type and then Vince Williams.
He's not particularly big, but he defends

507
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:46,360
up so you could throw him in
there. But there still feels like there's

508
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:50,840
a lot of question marks, and
so it's like, well, what separates

509
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:52,880
them? Full disclosure, This was
my last team of the A tier,

510
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:55,000
so I know you said you had
a few more, and so it was

511
00:34:55,039 --> 00:34:59,719
like, why do you have them
above Phoenix? Why do you have them

512
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:04,559
above of uh, you know Golden
State or the Pelicans, and the Pelicans

513
00:35:04,559 --> 00:35:07,119
are my TVD team, like depending
on what they do, there's a transaction

514
00:35:07,159 --> 00:35:10,440
for them to be done, Like
I could I reserve the right to shoot

515
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:15,119
them up if they but so I
think what it comes back to me is

516
00:35:15,159 --> 00:35:20,400
that there's a familiarity with their top
three already and there's more balance than there

517
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:23,360
is when you're looking at Phoenix specifically, which Skews just has all sorts of

518
00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:27,480
holes. Even if you like their
roster, you know, after what they've

519
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:31,679
done on the minimum market, so
and signing resigning Josha Kogi to that balloon

520
00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:36,360
deal, of course, can't forget
about that. So they were my last

521
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:38,000
team. But there's so many questions. But I think we're kind of at

522
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:43,079
the point where which of the teams
in the eighth year do we not have

523
00:35:43,519 --> 00:35:46,679
serious questions about? Maybe is like
what is the one you feel most confident

524
00:35:46,679 --> 00:35:49,880
about? And I mean we have
Dallas ranked in front of everybody, so

525
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:52,559
it's probably them, But we could
just be like, well, they lost

526
00:35:52,639 --> 00:35:55,239
the athletic letticism of Derek Jones junior, and what does their point of attack

527
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:59,320
defense look like now? Because you
can't throw Nase Marshall on, you can

528
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:01,840
do I think some of the change
of pace guys like Shay and you know

529
00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:07,119
so, but like can he do
like the raw like the guys that are

530
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,760
have more lateral like they're gonna be
more laterally explosive. I don't know.

531
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:14,840
So, Yeah, the Grizzlies here, for me, I think makes a

532
00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:17,199
lot of sense. I think I
could probably guess which other teams you have

533
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:20,760
in this year, though, Oh
you told me two of them, so

534
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:24,480
I guess I don't need to guess. Yeah, I think I said Suns

535
00:36:24,519 --> 00:36:29,920
and Kings, and I'm I'm willing
to move both of them down and we

536
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:32,119
could talk about them in a minute. The one team that I would probably

537
00:36:32,159 --> 00:36:37,320
still put it in the A Tier
the Indiana Pacers. I know, the

538
00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:40,800
playoff round might have been a little
flooky because of they got to take advantage

539
00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:45,559
of some injuries and like, you
know, realistically, if you honest it's

540
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:47,079
not hurt. Did they get knocked
out in the first round and did we

541
00:36:47,199 --> 00:36:52,639
just not think about them in this
context? But you know, Haliburton is

542
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:57,719
a legit number one. I think
Siakam has proved himself again and again to

543
00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:00,559
be just as good in the playoffs
as he is in the red season.

544
00:37:00,079 --> 00:37:07,639
And really like the nemhard breakout after
Halliburton got hurt was a big eye opener

545
00:37:07,079 --> 00:37:10,920
and if he can build on that
moving forward. They've also still just got

546
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:16,239
a bunch of young wings niece Smith, Benedict Matherin. Like there's you know,

547
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:21,679
if we're baking in the potential of
internal improvement for OKAC, I think

548
00:37:21,679 --> 00:37:23,000
it is fair to do the same
for Indy. And I think Indy,

549
00:37:23,679 --> 00:37:29,800
you know, very well like and
they were just so god him could offensively

550
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:34,320
last year. They might be even
better this year. So what I struggle

551
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,480
with with them, I'm fine with
them being in the A Tier because like,

552
00:37:36,519 --> 00:37:37,280
I mean, you look at their
top two and then you just have

553
00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:43,320
a lot of pieces that fit around
them. I just don't know how to

554
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,000
feel about them defensively because I don't
you mentioned they have a bunch of young

555
00:37:45,039 --> 00:37:49,599
wings. In my eyes, they
have one wing and his name is Aaronice

556
00:37:49,599 --> 00:37:52,320
Smith, Like Bennet Mather's not a
wing. I know Ben Shepherd can kind

557
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:55,639
of guard up, but do you
consider him a wing? And so like,

558
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:59,840
it feels like if to stretch the
baut and Andrew Nemhart can guard up,

559
00:38:00,119 --> 00:38:04,800
Like now we're stretching the boundaries of
they still need a bigger winger combo

560
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:08,760
forward defender aside from Siakam who again
not a wing or so I but I

561
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:12,760
look at Siakam and Nie Smith and
Nemhard is like those main guys there,

562
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:16,599
and I just find myself wondering,
and it's more of a curiosity than I'm

563
00:38:16,639 --> 00:38:21,719
criticizing them for this one who was
giving Obi top in four years and sixty

564
00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:25,840
million and two? Couldn't you make
the case that, like, especially given

565
00:38:25,880 --> 00:38:30,960
how the market shook out, why
is this team they would have been better

566
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:32,679
off because they still could use their
mid level They're just not gonna They don't

567
00:38:32,679 --> 00:38:35,840
want They're not gonna be a team
that pays the tax I don't think I'd

568
00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:38,639
be shocked if they did. But
like, what if you just put Naji

569
00:38:38,719 --> 00:38:44,039
Marshall on this team to a podcast
favorite around in these parts. But so

570
00:38:45,079 --> 00:38:46,519
I would like to see them go. They do, they could make trades.

571
00:38:46,599 --> 00:38:49,840
I mean, they have that teach
McConnell's salary. And like the Andrew

572
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:54,239
Nemhard breakout is like it complicates things
in a really good way because it's,

573
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:59,079
okay, you have Nemhard and McConnell
and Mathrin and Shepherd's out there, and

574
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:02,159
you're very in in Mathrin of course, But if Nemhard is this good on

575
00:39:02,199 --> 00:39:07,239
the ball already and gives you more
defense than Meneic Mathren, what like what

576
00:39:07,639 --> 00:39:09,480
is the like? So how did
the minute shake out there? And then

577
00:39:09,519 --> 00:39:13,800
also though, well, now you
have Toppin, you have Turner, you

578
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:16,079
have Siakham, Jalen Smith is gone, but Isaiah Jackson is still floating around

579
00:39:16,119 --> 00:39:21,000
out in there. What does this
mean for jaris Walkers? Are you deciding

580
00:39:21,039 --> 00:39:23,119
to develop him as just this wing
defender and then you're gonna try and fit

581
00:39:23,199 --> 00:39:27,440
him in on on offense? And
how does that work. They did not

582
00:39:27,519 --> 00:39:30,960
make my a tier, but I
respect them enough for what they've built and

583
00:39:30,039 --> 00:39:36,760
just like you speak about forgetting before
Tyres Alberton suffers that hamstring injury, he

584
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:39,440
was going to be first team All
NBA and probably finished top three or five

585
00:39:39,599 --> 00:39:45,960
on the MVP ballot. Yeah,
I mean that top in contract. I'm

586
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:50,559
with you, like that was an
overpay, but it felt like it might

587
00:39:50,559 --> 00:39:53,800
have been deliberately slow, Like it
might have just been a souped up version

588
00:39:53,840 --> 00:40:00,119
of what Nix did with the Kobe. And my issue with that is why

589
00:40:00,159 --> 00:40:04,239
go out four years? Yeah,
Ben, right right, It's just because

590
00:40:04,800 --> 00:40:07,480
this is not Obie Top is a
much better player that we've seen in Zeke

591
00:40:07,559 --> 00:40:09,559
Nagy. But I like gay.
When the Nuggets on it, he I

592
00:40:09,559 --> 00:40:12,559
was like, well that makes sense, they're gonna need some trade fodder.

593
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:14,239
But I went on to think about
it. I was like, well,

594
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:17,360
if they don't play him, no
one wants four years guaranteed of a player

595
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:22,320
they know nothing about, and like
that's kind of the situation they're in right

596
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:24,000
now. But Obie Top, it
is more proven, so like you can

597
00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:28,199
probably be like Obi Topping in an
average of fifteen million a year. That's

598
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:30,400
that's that's a good point. That's
movable. Yeah. Yeah, Like I

599
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:36,440
haven't looked up the exact number,
but I wonder if it's in Dorian Phinney

600
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,239
Smith territory. Well, they could
take him back. I think he starts

601
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:44,599
at I'm assuming it's escalating, but
he starts at thirteen point four, So

602
00:40:44,639 --> 00:40:47,039
that would get you boring in Phinney
Smith. Yeah, even like this would

603
00:40:47,039 --> 00:40:52,360
have been a perfect Kleb Martin team
too. Yeah, which, by the

604
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:54,599
way, he's got to get a
new agent. I know that his contract

605
00:40:54,599 --> 00:40:58,880
with Philly could be worth more than
forty but you had a chance to guarantee

606
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:04,079
yourself like an extra twenty five million
dollars with the heat for an additional year,

607
00:41:04,119 --> 00:41:07,400
basically with they want him to opt
in and extend him so that this.

608
00:41:08,679 --> 00:41:13,199
Honestly, I don't think I've ever
missed on a free agent market more

609
00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:16,360
than I did this year. I
just I guess I didn't understand how much

610
00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:22,239
teams were really just capslock going through
it and trying to figure stuff out themselves.

611
00:41:22,559 --> 00:41:24,800
Yeah, I will say that was
my big blind spot as well,

612
00:41:25,000 --> 00:41:29,599
was just like what was going to
happen to the middle classes offseason because they

613
00:41:30,000 --> 00:41:34,000
just kind of got wiped out.
And I like, honestly, I you

614
00:41:34,039 --> 00:41:37,039
know, I have a list of
like potential articles jotted down in a notepad,

615
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:42,239
and in one of the articles or
in my July section that I just

616
00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:45,639
didn't have time to write to before
a free agency began, was how short

617
00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:50,360
term balloon deals could squeeze free agency
with a bullet point, more guys might

618
00:41:50,400 --> 00:41:54,000
have to take smaller contracts if cap
space dries up, which lo and behold

619
00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:59,400
Tobias Harris out here getting twenty six
million dollars a year, Caleb Martin's down

620
00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:02,559
taking eight MILLI here, like it's
yeah, I don't get I said,

621
00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:07,320
remember when we were doing our free
agency over unders. I think I said

622
00:42:07,360 --> 00:42:09,639
some Moni font Techio's that he was
probably the mid level guy, and I

623
00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:17,599
smashed the over he got, like
the room exception type deal just like yeah,

624
00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:21,639
yeah, it was a white out. So it's a fair point about

625
00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,760
topping it about the patrons in general, but I would I would put them

626
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:30,480
in my A tier and then I
can be talked into moving every every other

627
00:42:30,519 --> 00:42:36,440
team that I had, So who
would be to get to the what's tier?

628
00:42:36,519 --> 00:42:39,119
Ripped? Now? B tier,
who would be your first team there,

629
00:42:39,280 --> 00:42:43,480
because there's a team that I haven't
here that I was prepared to put

630
00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:47,559
very high up in the A tier
had they just made the move for an

631
00:42:47,639 --> 00:42:52,880
archetype of player everyone's been begging them
to make and they just decided, nah,

632
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:57,440
we could. I assume that being
the Orlando Magic, I don't think

633
00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:00,320
I've ever turned and I still don't
think they had a bad off season.

634
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:04,639
But when they were doing the br
live stream, when free agency like starts

635
00:43:05,199 --> 00:43:08,599
and day sign Kntavious called Little Pope, I went off and which is like,

636
00:43:08,639 --> 00:43:12,599
they are gonna have a this is
a great Like they're clearly setting themselves

637
00:43:12,679 --> 00:43:14,880
up for another move. I was
just like, oh, you're not gonna

638
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:17,440
sign KCP without like now you're gonna
go out and trade for Anthony Simons and

639
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:21,079
you're gonna go out and get LaMelo
Ball or somebody. And then it's like,

640
00:43:21,119 --> 00:43:22,880
now we're just gonna like reinvest in
all our own players and call to

641
00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:29,480
day and just they're gonna be really
good defensively again, and I recognize that

642
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:35,039
Franz Wagner should shoot better and that
Palabank Carrol's still gonna get better and I'm

643
00:43:35,159 --> 00:43:37,039
very high on Joe and Suggs.
I've the term I've used from now is

644
00:43:37,039 --> 00:43:40,480
I think he's gonna end up being
like a super charged Derek White. But

645
00:43:40,519 --> 00:43:45,199
like you do not have you actually
have, I would argue even less options

646
00:43:45,559 --> 00:43:49,239
to run your offense because Mark l. Foltz has now gone and so it's

647
00:43:49,239 --> 00:43:52,239
Cole Anthony and Suggs and Palo and
Franz and like that's what we're doing here.

648
00:43:52,599 --> 00:43:57,679
Off season is not over. But
like even someone like Anthony Simons,

649
00:43:57,719 --> 00:44:00,960
who's very much a secondary, Like
if you put Anthony's di'monds on this team,

650
00:44:00,119 --> 00:44:04,360
if it's like Cole Anthony Jet Howard
and picks or Cole Anthony Anthony Black

651
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:07,239
and a pick whatever, I will
shoot them right up past the Milwaukee Bucks

652
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:12,360
right now. And it almost aggravates
me. And I said it was gonna

653
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:14,960
aggrevate me if they did nothing.
They didn't do nothing. They did a

654
00:44:14,960 --> 00:44:19,960
bunch of stuff. But just like, why, I understand you're not trying,

655
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:22,880
but like it's only gonna get harder
for you as your team. And

656
00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:27,400
also, why are we maxing out
Franz now? If he wanted to max

657
00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:30,840
make him earn it and just sign
him to it and restricted free agency.

658
00:44:30,199 --> 00:44:36,519
So I just there's something. I
just wanted them to be in even better

659
00:44:36,559 --> 00:44:39,760
shape than they are, and I
feel like there's still opportunities out there.

660
00:44:39,800 --> 00:44:44,239
I'm sure, but if this is
the team, they're gonna be a really

661
00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:46,079
solid playoff team. But I think
the path to them winning a playoff,

662
00:44:46,159 --> 00:44:52,320
even an a playoff series is just
like KCP is not the difference there.

663
00:44:52,119 --> 00:44:58,639
Yeah, it sounds like and I'm
in the same boat, Like opportunity cost

664
00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:01,599
is kind of the big critique here. They had the opportunity to create fifty

665
00:45:01,639 --> 00:45:07,679
million dollars this summer in cap space
and could have made multiple major splashes,

666
00:45:07,760 --> 00:45:13,000
and KCP I think counts as a
big splash. I think extend the renegotiating

667
00:45:13,039 --> 00:45:15,519
and extending Jonathan Isaac was smart business
for them, especially you know, they

668
00:45:15,519 --> 00:45:21,000
still gave himselves some protection on the
back end, like it's not fully guaranteed.

669
00:45:21,159 --> 00:45:23,960
That should be a great trade ship
if he stays healthy. He's an

670
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:29,239
incredible defender. So you know,
to your point, that is all good.

671
00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:32,360
It's like, why are we paying
go Goop to todz Ai? You

672
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:36,719
know, what was it? Three
years? Twenty five million figure? What

673
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:39,400
Mobigner got but it was also like
in the ten two years, twenty two

674
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:45,320
million, there you go. Yeah, so like Orlando is just in this

675
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:49,639
spot. And this is always the
trickiest part of a rebuild of like your

676
00:45:49,679 --> 00:45:53,159
cap space is about to disappear because
you just maxed fronds. Jalen Sons is

677
00:45:53,199 --> 00:45:57,480
up for an extension this summer,
or he'll be restrict agent next year.

678
00:45:57,920 --> 00:46:01,599
Powlow will be up for an extension
next year. You have a basically two

679
00:46:01,639 --> 00:46:05,320
year window, not even two year
one and a half. You have to

680
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:09,440
use your flexibility by the twenty twenty
six trade deadline because it is gone after

681
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:14,440
that. And it just doesn't feel
like they maximized this window. But maybe

682
00:46:14,519 --> 00:46:17,159
they just don't feel pressure to do
it in this window, and maybe they

683
00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:22,920
said kind of the approach that OKAC
took it the trade deadline this past February,

684
00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:28,480
which threw some criticism at the time
of like we just want more data,

685
00:46:28,599 --> 00:46:30,760
like we need to identify our biggest
weakness and the biggest needs, and

686
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:34,960
then we like we have all of
these big pieces and big chips that we

687
00:46:35,039 --> 00:46:38,119
like still have the potential to make
this move. The right move just hasn't

688
00:46:38,199 --> 00:46:42,480
presented itself. Yet, although to
your point, it's hard to believe that

689
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:47,280
I would be fairly certain that Anthonty
Simons is at least gettable at the right

690
00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:52,400
price. I guess what my issue
with that is because I didn't applaud,

691
00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:54,920
but I understood what the thunder we're
doing, and I defended them by saying,

692
00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:58,840
tell me who they passed on that
would have made the difference. Then

693
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:00,760
people came out with Daniel gear and
I was like, did you watch Daniel

694
00:47:00,760 --> 00:47:04,679
Gafford in that Thunder series? Was
not even playable. I know he ended

695
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,719
up helping that team, but and
they won that Dallas wins that series.

696
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:10,559
But the thing with the Magic is
they have the data. We just watched

697
00:47:10,559 --> 00:47:15,800
the playoff series where everything that we
thought was gonna go wrong or would be

698
00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:21,280
there undoing is what unmade them.
And so if you really, if if

699
00:47:21,519 --> 00:47:23,679
you go the route they have so
far to me, it has to be

700
00:47:23,679 --> 00:47:29,679
because you believe that Pallo is just
going to level up as an orchestrator,

701
00:47:30,079 --> 00:47:35,880
and that even giving him infinitismally better
spacing is gonna unlock a version of like

702
00:47:35,960 --> 00:47:38,440
this guy is our Lebron And so
if you believe that and that's what you

703
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:42,840
want to say, Okay, fine, but otherwise it's all right. We

704
00:47:42,880 --> 00:47:45,840
really believe that Jalen Suggs is gonna
become a floor general type player. But

705
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:49,639
I just think we end those guys
are gonna get better. I just said,

706
00:47:49,639 --> 00:47:52,360
I love Jalen Suggs. I thought
he made some strides as a passer

707
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:57,320
this year, particularly in the open
floor. That being said, we see

708
00:47:57,360 --> 00:47:59,920
these guys in the playoffs, and
I know they're gonna continue to get better,

709
00:48:00,159 --> 00:48:04,559
but like they didn't even address their
high volume knockdown shooting thing with like

710
00:48:04,559 --> 00:48:07,760
this isn't some guy that you're gonna
run off a ton of pin downs and

711
00:48:07,760 --> 00:48:10,159
he had he struggled shooting at points
last year and in the playoffs, and

712
00:48:10,199 --> 00:48:15,360
so like you could argue that they
didn't even address one of them, or

713
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:19,079
they did. Ksep's gonna be a
great fit here, Yeah, but it

714
00:48:19,199 --> 00:48:22,559
feels like it was too minor for
me based on how good I think they

715
00:48:22,599 --> 00:48:24,320
could be. And maybe they just
looked at it us like, well,

716
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:28,440
boss is not going anywhere. What's
our rush? And now they've made the

717
00:48:28,440 --> 00:48:31,840
decision. Any splash we do make
is gonna be via trade. And it

718
00:48:31,920 --> 00:48:35,920
was gonna be via trade anyway,
because like they were mentioned in the Paul

719
00:48:35,960 --> 00:48:38,119
George sweepstakes, but that was all
that always felt like kind of stalk stalking

720
00:48:38,119 --> 00:48:43,719
horse type stuff. Yeah, yeah, and that was just him trying to

721
00:48:43,800 --> 00:48:46,320
leverage the Clippers into giving him the
max, like and you know, just

722
00:48:46,360 --> 00:48:50,199
in case the floor falls out in
Philly and Darren Moorey is a liar and

723
00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:54,920
doesn't actually give you the contract that
he's been telegraphing for months. So yeah,

724
00:48:54,960 --> 00:49:00,960
I mean, I'm I'm totally fine
put them in the B tier.

725
00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:04,719
I think it's fair to put them
either at or towards the top of the

726
00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:08,360
B tier. I think SUNS fans
in particular would take umbrage with that,

727
00:49:08,519 --> 00:49:13,679
But I just trust the magic to
depth more and that. You know.

728
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:17,199
One other thing about the Magic is
like we didn't see a ton of Jet

729
00:49:17,199 --> 00:49:22,280
Howard last year, like maybe he's
the answer to some of their shooting problems

730
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:24,239
and Anthony, he did do some
nasty stuff. And I watched when I

731
00:49:24,280 --> 00:49:29,199
was writing Somebody, I watched some
Jet Howard G League stuff and I was

732
00:49:29,280 --> 00:49:31,360
kind of like wonderful, Like why
aren't they just trying out this guy,

733
00:49:31,440 --> 00:49:36,320
Like he's supposed to be like what
they need, and he wouldn't when you

734
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:39,280
look at his size, he wouldn't
steal playing time from someone that you need

735
00:49:39,280 --> 00:49:44,239
to play right and now he theoretically
would after you had a KCP. But

736
00:49:45,199 --> 00:49:46,800
yeah, you might be right,
like maybe he's the answer to like the

737
00:49:46,880 --> 00:49:52,000
higher volume motion shooting type guy.
Yeah, they just have enough young talent

738
00:49:52,039 --> 00:49:57,119
that I'm willing to continue bettering on
them. Again, similar to the Thunder

739
00:49:57,199 --> 00:50:00,760
and to the Pacers, like internal
improvement, I think how to be factored

740
00:50:00,800 --> 00:50:04,199
in for teams like this a lot
more than a team like the Suns,

741
00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:07,639
where you know, Kevin Durant,
with all due respect, is like probably

742
00:50:07,679 --> 00:50:12,000
not going to get substantially better at
this point in his career. He's already

743
00:50:12,079 --> 00:50:15,559
just phenomenal and he's going to remain
phenomenal probably until he turns fifty because that

744
00:50:15,599 --> 00:50:19,599
shooting stroke is not going away.
But you know, I have a lot

745
00:50:19,639 --> 00:50:22,719
more questions about Phoenix's depth right now, and just like the Avenues, that

746
00:50:22,800 --> 00:50:28,280
they have to improve their team throughout
the season, whereas Orlando has a lot

747
00:50:28,320 --> 00:50:31,360
more flexibility to address you know,
any glaring needs that pop up, like

748
00:50:31,440 --> 00:50:37,800
they can much more easily make midstream
adjustments than Phoenix. Who did you have

749
00:50:38,039 --> 00:50:40,559
Well, I don't even know if
you had the Magic that we just decided

750
00:50:40,559 --> 00:50:43,719
to talk about them first. Who
is another team you had in the beat

751
00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:50,000
here? So Magic Suns? Would
you have them in front of or behind

752
00:50:50,039 --> 00:50:55,400
the Magic the Suns? Yeah?
I think behind. I mean it's easier

753
00:50:55,400 --> 00:50:58,920
to come out of the East,
and I don't, right, we should

754
00:50:58,920 --> 00:51:01,599
probably just talk about Phoenix, like
Katie is his age thirty six season,

755
00:51:01,639 --> 00:51:05,639
he's already injured with Team USA,
because that's what we need to I know

756
00:51:05,639 --> 00:51:08,440
they're probably being overly cautious, but
that's something that's a little bit alarming,

757
00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:13,760
and we've seen over the past few
seasons, like he doesn't have it in

758
00:51:13,760 --> 00:51:15,880
the sense of if he's gonna have
to face double teams or make decisions out

759
00:51:15,920 --> 00:51:21,840
of those, he's just not the
same type of dominant in those situations that

760
00:51:21,920 --> 00:51:23,920
he was. And yeah, I
like the Monte Morris signing. I think

761
00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:29,039
Royce O'Neill he always just seems to
get criticized because he's always asked to do

762
00:51:29,079 --> 00:51:30,599
more than he should on defense.
He's in another situation, but I still

763
00:51:30,639 --> 00:51:35,440
think he's a useful player. I
just don't know what this team's defense ends

764
00:51:35,480 --> 00:51:37,559
up looking like under my like,
what is the It's not like use of

765
00:51:37,639 --> 00:51:43,320
Nurkics does not work for what we've
seen Mike Budenholzer teams do. Like He's

766
00:51:43,320 --> 00:51:47,039
not gonna have a Brook Lopez type
renaissance under Mike Budenholzer or reinvention. I

767
00:51:47,039 --> 00:51:52,800
should say, not even renaissance right
right, all of a sudden, bombing

768
00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:59,880
threes and playing the best rim protector
in basketball. I've almost wondered, like,

769
00:52:00,039 --> 00:52:01,360
and I know I'm not the first
person to say this, but it's

770
00:52:01,599 --> 00:52:06,079
like, do they just like want
someone who's tall and long and so bull

771
00:52:06,119 --> 00:52:09,079
Balls should play some time at center, Like I just because it's like,

772
00:52:09,119 --> 00:52:13,000
what are you like, run small? Maybe try out some David Roddy,

773
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,039
who I'm not even sure is worth
a roster spot. And it's not weird

774
00:52:15,199 --> 00:52:19,920
an agreement that Mason Plumley's not the
answer, right right right. I mean

775
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:22,559
that's the problem with Phoenix is like
they're just so top heavy, and I

776
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:27,599
like Grayson Allen was great from them
last year, Like shot forty eight ish

777
00:52:27,639 --> 00:52:30,320
percent from three point range. He
played it. I also thought he was

778
00:52:30,360 --> 00:52:35,480
better defensively than like he had any
business being too. Yeah, Like honestly,

779
00:52:35,519 --> 00:52:37,119
that's where they fell apart in the
playoffs. He got hurt and then

780
00:52:37,159 --> 00:52:42,760
their depth was just so crappy after
that that like they they just have to

781
00:52:42,920 --> 00:52:45,519
Like I guess maybe this is the
best way to quantify these teams in the

782
00:52:45,559 --> 00:52:50,519
B tier and like where you know
S tier, I think things can still

783
00:52:50,559 --> 00:52:53,159
go wrong and those teams can survive
to some extent, like Celtics. We

784
00:52:53,199 --> 00:52:58,719
thought last year Kpe got hurt throughout
the playoffs, they're still fine. These

785
00:52:58,719 --> 00:53:00,599
teams in the Bechier. It feels
like every single thing has to break right

786
00:53:00,639 --> 00:53:05,519
for them for them to be a
legitimate contender. And so it sounds like,

787
00:53:06,039 --> 00:53:08,800
not only do your top three half
to stay healthy, but Ryso Neil

788
00:53:08,840 --> 00:53:12,159
needs to stay healthy use of Nirkid, she needs to stay healthy. Grace

789
00:53:12,199 --> 00:53:15,599
now needs to stay healthy because if
any of those guys get hurt, where

790
00:53:15,599 --> 00:53:20,519
do you turn it. And also
when you look at their stagger patterns in

791
00:53:20,639 --> 00:53:22,639
Fury, they're set up to do
it well and maybe this will just be

792
00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:29,480
it'll correct itself. This year they
lost the minutes that Kevin Durant and Bradley

793
00:53:29,519 --> 00:53:32,119
Beal played without Devin Booker, and
so it's like, if you're losing two

794
00:53:32,199 --> 00:53:37,440
star any two star minutes, that's
a problem. Yeah, that's not good.

795
00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:40,039
I mean the Beal trade in general, I know their hands were tied,

796
00:53:40,079 --> 00:53:43,400
Like I know Phoenix fans and are
you already bumped it up against the

797
00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:45,079
second apron? What are you gonna
get with Chris Paul's contract? I get

798
00:53:45,079 --> 00:53:47,360
it, I get it, I
get it. Don't trade for the guy

799
00:53:47,440 --> 00:53:52,880
with the no trade plus that was
just unless they're gonna negotiate it out right,

800
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,679
if like, if the no trade
Claus would have went with it,

801
00:53:54,880 --> 00:53:59,239
Like I don't know who would have
wanted that contract necessarily, but your hands

802
00:53:59,280 --> 00:54:02,599
would not be near is todd?
They honestly might be, Like I mean

803
00:54:02,599 --> 00:54:07,360
if Zach Lavinian is radioactive right now, Like I don't think Bradley Beal is

804
00:54:07,400 --> 00:54:10,119
movable even without a no trade class, Like I think you would have to

805
00:54:10,159 --> 00:54:14,159
pay to get off with him at
this point, Like kudos to Washington man.

806
00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:17,960
I would they have been better just
with Chris Paul instead of Bradley Beal?

807
00:54:20,360 --> 00:54:25,760
I mean they would have at least
had more flexibility to like make changes

808
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:30,119
this offseason and not only signed minimum
contracts for two years straight. I do

809
00:54:30,199 --> 00:54:32,679
think it's weird how people still kind
of are like, oh, why would

810
00:54:32,679 --> 00:54:36,719
they have ever done the Bell trade? Where it's I do think if you're

811
00:54:36,760 --> 00:54:38,639
mad about the Bell trade, you
should really be mad about how much they

812
00:54:38,639 --> 00:54:42,480
gave up in the Kevin Durant trade, because I feel like that's the move

813
00:54:42,599 --> 00:54:45,800
that kind of moved them toward this. Or maybe it's just you should just

814
00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:51,000
be mad that matt Ishbio is impulsive
as fuck. And I will say this,

815
00:54:51,199 --> 00:54:57,480
I like, I think deserves credit
for at least going all in on

816
00:54:57,800 --> 00:55:01,000
this strategy, like he is not
he is not cheaping out. He is

817
00:55:01,079 --> 00:55:04,920
you know, he's spent a ton
of money on Royce O'Neill and that's going

818
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:08,239
to send their tax bill even higher. And like yeah, and a Kobe

819
00:55:08,360 --> 00:55:12,239
as well, Like that was you
know, they paid him eight million dollars

820
00:55:12,280 --> 00:55:15,000
basically to be a mid season human
trade exception because they who are they training

821
00:55:15,000 --> 00:55:21,880
that twenty thirty one pick for?
Or maybe it's kJ Martin who knows well,

822
00:55:22,119 --> 00:55:25,599
well, say the dollar for dollar
amounts here, But like I respect,

823
00:55:27,159 --> 00:55:29,760
you know, if he was going
to go this route, which I

824
00:55:29,800 --> 00:55:31,159
don't know with the right route to
go, but if you were going to

825
00:55:31,239 --> 00:55:36,000
do it, like the only thing
you could not afford to do is get

826
00:55:36,079 --> 00:55:38,159
cheap with the supporting cast and like, you know, use your bird rights

827
00:55:38,159 --> 00:55:43,599
when you and like you know they
I know John holl And Drew calls it

828
00:55:43,599 --> 00:55:47,679
the bird rights trap, but like
they intentionally bird rights trapped themselves with O'Neil

829
00:55:47,760 --> 00:55:53,639
in particular the trade deadline. Who's
I'm assuming of the Kings in here?

830
00:55:53,719 --> 00:56:01,239
Right? I do? Yes?
Would you have behind these two? Honestly,

831
00:56:00,559 --> 00:56:04,920
I'm like so low on the Suns, it's not even yeah, like

832
00:56:04,960 --> 00:56:07,920
regular seasons, I think I would
put the like I originally had them in

833
00:56:07,960 --> 00:56:12,880
my A tier and then you talked
me out of movie, Like I think

834
00:56:12,880 --> 00:56:15,519
it's fair, but that you know, I had My original A tier was

835
00:56:15,559 --> 00:56:21,480
just like teams I feel are solidly
playoff. Could easily see them being top

836
00:56:21,519 --> 00:56:24,239
six seeds and then my B tier
with like more playing teams. Teams they

837
00:56:24,320 --> 00:56:30,039
just have more questions about. So
I'm good with like keeping you know,

838
00:56:30,159 --> 00:56:35,239
magic Suns Kings down here because things
could easily break wrong for all of them.

839
00:56:35,280 --> 00:56:37,280
They could very all three could very
easily be in the B tier.

840
00:56:37,360 --> 00:56:43,320
But I think those three are probably
above anyone else in B tier. So

841
00:56:43,400 --> 00:56:46,440
yeah, I think I would do
Magic King's Sons as the top. What

842
00:56:46,480 --> 00:56:52,000
did you think of the DeMar de
Rosen acquisition, both in terms of what

843
00:56:52,079 --> 00:56:57,360
it cost that twenty thirty one swap
plus Saracen Barnes some seconds in cash obviously,

844
00:56:57,840 --> 00:57:01,599
and then just the overall fit.
Yeah, I mean obviously the twenty

845
00:57:01,679 --> 00:57:06,559
thirty one swap. I liked it
a lot more before that detail came out

846
00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:09,000
because that and it was just like
an add in, like wo include,

847
00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:13,960
I'm like, uh bury the lead
a little bit there, buddy, like

848
00:57:14,159 --> 00:57:16,360
sir, that's what they gave up. That was a big piece they gave

849
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:20,280
up. Like, you know,
I like it. I think he's gonna

850
00:57:20,360 --> 00:57:23,199
raise their floor in the regular season. Like, I don't know that it

851
00:57:23,239 --> 00:57:29,360
makes them a significantly better playoff team. It might not make them a better

852
00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:31,679
playoff team at all. We've seen
the on off splits with Damorrow over the

853
00:57:31,719 --> 00:57:36,800
years, But you know, I
think Damar has been one of the most

854
00:57:36,800 --> 00:57:40,719
clutch players over the past couple of
seasons in Chicago. The Aaron Fox has

855
00:57:40,760 --> 00:57:44,840
been one of the most clutch players
for the last one or two years in

856
00:57:44,880 --> 00:57:47,440
the NBA. So now just having
two guys that you can reliably go to

857
00:57:47,559 --> 00:57:52,280
in late close game situations I think
will help them steal games that they otherwise

858
00:57:52,280 --> 00:57:58,440
have no business winning. So it's
really just can that defense hold up once

859
00:57:58,480 --> 00:58:01,760
the playoffs roll around, because they
have so many guys who can be targeted

860
00:58:01,760 --> 00:58:06,559
on that on the floor. So
I don't have much confidence in them winning

861
00:58:06,599 --> 00:58:09,760
a playoff series, but I could, like I'd be surprised if they don't

862
00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:15,360
win forty five games this year.
I think what helps my impressions of them

863
00:58:15,679 --> 00:58:19,400
is I'm a big believer in Keegan
Murray's defense. I think Kean Ellis played

864
00:58:19,400 --> 00:58:22,079
well enough, and I think even
Darn Fox was less stiff on that end

865
00:58:22,119 --> 00:58:24,840
of the floor that there's a pathway
to where if you're playing Sabonis and De

866
00:58:24,920 --> 00:58:29,800
Rosen you can still build lineups that
might have three average or better defenders.

867
00:58:30,280 --> 00:58:34,119
Again, you're banking a lot on
Daron Fox in that scenario, who I

868
00:58:34,159 --> 00:58:37,280
also do think is like a dangerous
enough shooter to wear if you want to

869
00:58:37,360 --> 00:58:39,719
run stuff with Sabonus and De Rosen. That Fox has learned to move without

870
00:58:39,760 --> 00:58:43,320
the ball a little bit more since
the Sabonis came, and I think he

871
00:58:43,360 --> 00:58:45,440
has a good enough shooting stroke to
make it work. They also still can

872
00:58:45,559 --> 00:58:49,840
make moves like they have that and
like the thing about the Rosen too is

873
00:58:50,239 --> 00:58:52,000
I'm sure they didn't sign the league
monk with the intent to trade him,

874
00:58:52,000 --> 00:58:55,880
but that becomes like a salary if
they want to flip offense for defense.

875
00:58:57,159 --> 00:58:59,840
They still have Kevin Hurder. I
know he's coming off a down year and

876
00:59:00,039 --> 00:59:05,159
a really bad twenty twenty two postseason, sorry twenty twenty three postseason as well,

877
00:59:05,960 --> 00:59:07,239
but like that's another contract that's if
you want to go. I know

878
00:59:07,280 --> 00:59:09,840
a lot of people mention, like
what about Kevin Herd for Dorian Phinney Smith.

879
00:59:10,159 --> 00:59:13,679
I even suggested, like what about
Kevin Herder for Cody Martin if he's

880
00:59:13,719 --> 00:59:17,079
healthy and Grant Williams. It feels
like they have ways to kind of futz

881
00:59:17,079 --> 00:59:22,000
and fiddle midstream that will make where
it doesn't have to change the entire identity

882
00:59:22,360 --> 00:59:27,239
or core principles of your team,
and like can just make you better.

883
00:59:27,400 --> 00:59:29,599
And like, if you're moving a
league monk, it's probably a bigger swing

884
00:59:29,719 --> 00:59:35,440
for sure. So I think I
might like their playoff stock. I think

885
00:59:35,519 --> 00:59:37,800
the Rose is gonna help them navigate
the regular season and ensure they get to

886
00:59:37,880 --> 00:59:42,159
the playoffs. And then I'm wondering, like, does Mike Brown have the

887
00:59:42,199 --> 00:59:45,280
ability to make some tough calls with
his lineups once you get to the postseason,

888
00:59:45,280 --> 00:59:47,960
because I feel like it might be
a different iteration of the Kings makes

889
00:59:49,000 --> 00:59:52,639
more sense and a lot of the
matchups are in that like postseason, this

890
00:59:52,719 --> 00:59:55,599
team is game planning for you for
two weeks straight and no other team type

891
00:59:55,639 --> 01:00:05,199
of environment. Yeah, so who, how did you classify your be tier,

892
01:00:05,440 --> 01:00:08,159
Like which which types of teams were
in here for that was not like

893
01:00:08,199 --> 01:00:12,000
these guys are in the playoffs,
might have a higher ceiling than that,

894
01:00:12,039 --> 01:00:15,760
but I expect them to finish in
the top six of their of their conference.

895
01:00:15,760 --> 01:00:17,519
And like I think to some extent, like the math just doesn't work

896
01:00:17,559 --> 01:00:21,880
out in that with the West because
we have the Thunder, the Nuggets,

897
01:00:22,159 --> 01:00:24,480
the Mavericks, the Wolves, the
Grizzlies are there, and then it's the

898
01:00:24,559 --> 01:00:28,280
Kings and the Suns. But it's
like, even if it's you know,

899
01:00:28,360 --> 01:00:30,920
one of these teams has to get
through by way of the play in time.

900
01:00:30,000 --> 01:00:34,400
Like I just considered them almost like
they will be a top eight,

901
01:00:34,400 --> 01:00:37,440
they will be in the eight playoff
team bracket. It's kind of how okay,

902
01:00:37,719 --> 01:00:44,960
so that in theory leaves what one
East team and one West team or

903
01:00:45,519 --> 01:00:47,320
no, maybe two East team?
No? Well yeah, one East one

904
01:00:47,400 --> 01:00:53,519
West team. Yeah, so I'm
curious who you had in the West here.

905
01:00:54,079 --> 01:00:59,280
I'm I like, I went against
my better judgment because I'm just a

906
01:00:59,320 --> 01:01:01,639
big believe in like so many pieces
of their team, and I have New

907
01:01:01,800 --> 01:01:12,760
Orleans. Yeah, I it's between
them Houston and Golden State, right is

908
01:01:12,800 --> 01:01:16,440
there? I mean I guess the
Lakers too, but I yeah, I

909
01:01:16,480 --> 01:01:22,239
like, originally my my beatier was
just teams that I thought like where it

910
01:01:22,280 --> 01:01:24,039
would be in the play in mix, so like in the seven through ten

911
01:01:24,159 --> 01:01:28,360
range, and I had Lakers,
Warriors, Pelicans, Heat, Rockets,

912
01:01:28,400 --> 01:01:31,639
Clippers. So you basically need to
identify, well you have I guess.

913
01:01:31,960 --> 01:01:36,159
Is the East team just easy to
round out? Like it there's only the

914
01:01:36,239 --> 01:01:39,000
Heat. Yeah, it's just I
mean, you could maybe talk yourself into

915
01:01:39,000 --> 01:01:42,960
the Raptors, but it's just the
heat. I am going to be higher

916
01:01:42,960 --> 01:01:45,280
on the Raptors than consensus. I
can already see it. But I'm just

917
01:01:46,079 --> 01:01:51,119
Eric S. Bosher will work as
voodoo and they'll at least be in the

918
01:01:51,159 --> 01:01:52,880
mix of the top eight, and
I think Toronto might steer itself out of

919
01:01:52,880 --> 01:01:58,039
the top eight if it gets to
that point. So that was I don't

920
01:01:58,079 --> 01:02:00,280
even like, what else are we
gonna say, I mean, the or

921
01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:02,840
if you want them to get better? Or is there honestly though, is

922
01:02:02,880 --> 01:02:08,559
there a scenario where like the Hawks
are just better balanced and they're like have

923
01:02:08,639 --> 01:02:14,079
a case to be put in over
the heat. It's hard for me to

924
01:02:14,199 --> 01:02:17,159
see it, okay, because it
feels like they're just kind of pivoting toward

925
01:02:19,280 --> 01:02:22,159
Like I don't know if they're trying
to move off to Trey Young right now.

926
01:02:22,920 --> 01:02:27,360
I think they would want more assurance
that they could get at least one

927
01:02:27,599 --> 01:02:30,079
high caliber point guard in return.
But like that, them landing the number

928
01:02:30,119 --> 01:02:35,800
one pick seemed like it gave them
some license to at least heavily retool,

929
01:02:35,920 --> 01:02:38,480
if not fully rebuild. So I
just don't know what their intentions are as

930
01:02:38,519 --> 01:02:44,239
a team right now. Whereas they're
going to be going for it just because

931
01:02:44,280 --> 01:02:47,119
San Antonio controls your next three picks, and so unless you're moving Trey Young

932
01:02:47,159 --> 01:02:51,880
to them and getting some of your
picks back, I just don't see the

933
01:02:51,920 --> 01:02:55,400
incentive for them to go the like
the rebuilding route. Yeah yeah, they

934
01:02:55,559 --> 01:03:00,719
I mean they don't have it necessarily. It's just you know, where are

935
01:03:00,760 --> 01:03:04,599
you? Like how often? How
much can you spin your wheels with this

936
01:03:04,760 --> 01:03:08,679
iteration of the team and like what
is is Clinton Capella on this team past

937
01:03:08,800 --> 01:03:14,440
mid February? Like, I you
know he, I am confident will go

938
01:03:14,559 --> 01:03:19,639
for it this year. And frankly, Jimmy Butler in a contract year getting

939
01:03:19,639 --> 01:03:23,079
publicly rebuffed by the team president being
like, hey you, I'm not gonna

940
01:03:23,079 --> 01:03:28,320
give you this money. Show up
during the regular season next year, probably

941
01:03:28,320 --> 01:03:30,800
gonna light a fire under Jimmy Butler. Like I think we might see a

942
01:03:30,840 --> 01:03:34,000
Jimmy Butler who actually cares about the
regular season this year because he knows he

943
01:03:34,119 --> 01:03:37,039
has to to get one more big
payday. That or he's getting older and

944
01:03:37,159 --> 01:03:43,320
this could be he could be entering
his tour defart error error. Oh boy.

945
01:03:45,599 --> 01:03:50,440
Yeah, I'm not gonna put that
out in the universe because Miami fans

946
01:03:50,440 --> 01:03:53,880
already hate me, so I'm I
will say about the Hawks though, is

947
01:03:53,880 --> 01:03:57,480
like, even if you're looking to
move Trey Young, you took one potential

948
01:03:57,519 --> 01:04:01,039
Tray Young team off the board by
trading de Jonte Marty You there, right,

949
01:04:01,840 --> 01:04:05,760
and then San Antonio now has Chris
Paul Stefan Castle and Trey Jones and

950
01:04:05,800 --> 01:04:10,159
just doesn't I actually liked Trey Young
there, but it never felt like a

951
01:04:10,159 --> 01:04:13,719
Spurs move. It's like they're almost
like, we'll dare you to trade them

952
01:04:13,760 --> 01:04:16,920
somewhere else that your picks become even
more valuable. And so it's just like,

953
01:04:17,280 --> 01:04:20,880
who is the tray young tea?
Is it Miami? Is it?

954
01:04:20,960 --> 01:04:24,800
Like? Can Houston talk itself into
that? And then it's like I'm starting

955
01:04:24,800 --> 01:04:28,519
to wear It's like Orlando is not
gonna do it? Yeah, it's the

956
01:04:28,599 --> 01:04:33,400
Lakers. Oh forgot about that?
Might be the only only guest in your

957
01:04:33,400 --> 01:04:40,679
podcast just forgets about the Lakers.
I mean it's easy to do these days.

958
01:04:41,360 --> 01:04:45,519
So it's your podcast. Who is
the final West team? I'm good

959
01:04:45,559 --> 01:04:47,679
with going with the Pelicans. I
mean, I agree with you. It's

960
01:04:47,679 --> 01:04:51,119
like weird to do that when I
don't know who their starting center is right

961
01:04:51,159 --> 01:04:57,280
now, Daniel Tice, thank you
very much. I repeat, I don't

962
01:04:57,320 --> 01:05:01,480
know who like starting center is,
right we will be moving them down to

963
01:05:01,519 --> 01:05:06,639
the DT right, Dane the starting
center in mid October, I would not

964
01:05:08,000 --> 01:05:13,039
have them as my final team.
Uh, but I think that it just

965
01:05:13,039 --> 01:05:17,039
feels like another shoe has to drop
at some point with Ingram or maybe I

966
01:05:17,079 --> 01:05:20,639
mean, we'll see, Like this's
this Brunson thing. I think could have

967
01:05:20,760 --> 01:05:25,559
some interesting ripple effects across the league. And maybe it'll be a wake up

968
01:05:25,599 --> 01:05:30,960
call to brandon Ingram, like,
hey, this guy was going to get

969
01:05:30,000 --> 01:05:35,000
this max contract and he still took
way less, Like you know that Mark

970
01:05:35,079 --> 01:05:41,000
sign reported the other day the Apelicans
of Like what, brandon Ingram trying to

971
01:05:41,039 --> 01:05:44,280
find another team that is willing to
give him a max contract and he just

972
01:05:44,360 --> 01:05:47,079
can't do it. So maybe that's
a sign that even if you become a

973
01:05:47,079 --> 01:05:50,679
free agent next summer. I know
Keith smith a spot Tracks already put out

974
01:05:50,679 --> 01:05:55,480
some early cap space projections. There
just aren't a ton of teams projected to

975
01:05:55,519 --> 01:06:00,800
have cap space in general, much
ales max cap space. So brand Ingram

976
01:06:00,840 --> 01:06:04,119
doesn't move. And maybe it is
Daniel Tye at the starting which I have

977
01:06:04,280 --> 01:06:06,840
and I hate you. It's the
same thing with Julius Random. Where these

978
01:06:06,840 --> 01:06:10,079
players are. You can make fun
of them all you want. They're flawed,

979
01:06:10,440 --> 01:06:14,039
but they're good. I just struggle
to find like destinations where it's what

980
01:06:14,159 --> 01:06:16,599
team would trade for him, give
up something and then be prepared to pay

981
01:06:16,679 --> 01:06:20,360
him. I don't like with brand
Ingram. I just don't have one.

982
01:06:20,400 --> 01:06:25,800
Some people like the Kings, I
hate it. I thought about the Lakers

983
01:06:26,199 --> 01:06:29,119
might make some sense. They don't
have any wings, like two way wings

984
01:06:29,119 --> 01:06:31,519
on that roster, and he would
come close to at least meaning Matt criteria.

985
01:06:31,559 --> 01:06:34,239
But I don't love the fit with
him a D and Lebron like all

986
01:06:34,840 --> 01:06:38,639
none of them, Like he doesn't
space the floor. And then Lebron likes

987
01:06:38,639 --> 01:06:40,719
to work on the ball. Brand
Ingram likes to work on the ball.

988
01:06:40,760 --> 01:06:43,000
But that might be you know,
if you don't want to give up what

989
01:06:43,039 --> 01:06:45,239
it cost to get Trey Young at
this point of a sweet brand Ingram is

990
01:06:45,239 --> 01:06:49,000
gonna cost less than that. Yeah, it'd be very funny if the Pelicans

991
01:06:49,039 --> 01:06:54,239
just turned into a Lakers feeder system
where they just keep trading, keep trading

992
01:06:54,639 --> 01:06:59,079
the Lakers, and then just keep
shortening the Lakers' future, right right,

993
01:07:00,039 --> 01:07:01,840
which it actually worked out pretty well
for them to help them get John Tay

994
01:07:01,880 --> 01:07:06,199
Murray. Yeah, so, I
but like, do you have any like

995
01:07:06,239 --> 01:07:10,480
what what's like a realistic brandon Ingram
team, do you I thought about Memphis

996
01:07:10,519 --> 01:07:13,360
a little bit, but like that
salary matching gets a little It's like,

997
01:07:13,599 --> 01:07:15,840
okay, so you're trading Smart and
Clark, I guess is how you're going

998
01:07:15,880 --> 01:07:18,559
that route? Or like Smart has
to be in that deal because you're not

999
01:07:18,639 --> 01:07:24,480
trading Bane or Jared Jackson junior right
right? And then are you paying well,

1000
01:07:24,519 --> 01:07:28,119
I guess Jaron jacksonville way below Max, but like you know, Johnson

1001
01:07:28,199 --> 01:07:30,639
of Max Baines on very close to
a Max. Are you also going to

1002
01:07:30,679 --> 01:07:35,360
give Brandon Ingram this massive contract when
Jared Jackson Juniors do for one in the

1003
01:07:35,440 --> 01:07:40,320
near future as well? So,
yeah, it sulpsify the team. That

1004
01:07:40,440 --> 01:07:47,960
makes sense. Maybe the Hawks if
they're refusing to tanky trade and that's true,

1005
01:07:48,440 --> 01:07:54,159
that's a fair point. Yeah,
the Jazz if they're just searching,

1006
01:07:54,280 --> 01:07:58,599
desperately searching for this partner for lawyer
Marketen that may or may not materialize.

1007
01:07:59,559 --> 01:08:02,000
That's a good question. Like I
know the Cavaliers have been mentioned. I

1008
01:08:02,119 --> 01:08:05,039
just don't get how they do it. That is, that's the one that's

1009
01:08:05,199 --> 01:08:12,679
that's a terrible fit. That's like, yeah, especially who do you want,

1010
01:08:13,119 --> 01:08:15,400
Like I guess well, Jared Allen
obviously does what I say, do

1011
01:08:15,440 --> 01:08:16,560
you want? You don't want one
of the guards because you have to shot

1012
01:08:16,560 --> 01:08:19,239
that Murray, But I forgot about
Jared Allen for a second. So yeah,

1013
01:08:19,319 --> 01:08:23,840
I think it'd be like Alan and
Lobert. So you're just hiring Kenny

1014
01:08:23,880 --> 01:08:28,279
Atkinson and then getting rid of all
the Kenny Atkinson players. But I still

1015
01:08:28,319 --> 01:08:30,520
I'm just oddly hot, like even
if you have to run it back with

1016
01:08:30,560 --> 01:08:33,560
Brandon Ingram, just the idea of
like another year of Trey Murphy getting better,

1017
01:08:33,680 --> 01:08:36,600
her Jones maybe getting better. You've
added to Jonte, who've always been

1018
01:08:36,680 --> 01:08:40,880
higher on a lot of people.
I thought CJ had mostly a really good

1019
01:08:40,920 --> 01:08:44,680
year last year when you look at
his three point volume specifically, and just

1020
01:08:44,760 --> 01:08:48,039
Zion is just if you get again, it's the same thing with Joelle Embiid,

1021
01:08:48,359 --> 01:08:51,359
and I feel like Zion's injuries have
just been they've been. They feel

1022
01:08:51,439 --> 01:08:55,960
kind of as random, like it's
not the same thing that keeps hampering him

1023
01:08:56,039 --> 01:09:00,840
right so, but he's been utterly
dominant when he's at his peak, and

1024
01:09:00,880 --> 01:09:04,279
so it's like this is the team
when you look at like as of right

1025
01:09:04,359 --> 01:09:10,000
now, like in this tier,
they could potentially have the single best player,

1026
01:09:10,640 --> 01:09:13,239
Like that's how good Zion Williamson is. And it's okay, well what

1027
01:09:13,359 --> 01:09:16,039
about Jimmy Butler, what about Kevin
Durant. It's yes, those guys maybe

1028
01:09:16,079 --> 01:09:19,600
he would pick them over him,
but like there's not a pathway next season

1029
01:09:19,640 --> 01:09:25,119
to Orlando having the best best player
in this tier. I would say,

1030
01:09:25,239 --> 01:09:29,119
as much as I love Palo Bankaro
and like the Pelicans still have that element

1031
01:09:29,159 --> 01:09:31,119
of this might be a top seven
or ten guy that's just on our roster.

1032
01:09:31,840 --> 01:09:34,680
Yeah, I mean we saw him
in the playing game against the Lakers,

1033
01:09:34,760 --> 01:09:41,119
like that was that was his statement
playoff game or playing game or whatever

1034
01:09:41,119 --> 01:09:44,319
you want to call it, but
like that was the oh, I'm ready

1035
01:09:44,319 --> 01:09:45,920
for this stage too. I'm not
just an eighty two game player. And

1036
01:09:45,960 --> 01:09:49,720
then unfortunately he gets hurt. I'm
just going to raise a whole nother round

1037
01:09:49,760 --> 01:09:54,359
of questions of can this guy stay
healthy? But you're absolutely right if he

1038
01:09:54,399 --> 01:10:00,239
does, and you know we'll see
that the fit in theory with him Dejonte

1039
01:10:00,640 --> 01:10:04,279
CJ. You know, Trey Murphy
is the floor spacer and Herb Jones like

1040
01:10:04,319 --> 01:10:10,039
they they have the potential to play
some really creative lineups. This year,

1041
01:10:10,479 --> 01:10:14,920
they could just really go heavy on
small ball. But like, versatility is

1042
01:10:14,920 --> 01:10:17,560
the thing that we've seen throughout especially
like the last five to ten years.

1043
01:10:17,600 --> 01:10:23,720
Like, you basically can't only play
one style and expect to win four playoff

1044
01:10:23,800 --> 01:10:27,880
series because you're being tested in different
ways each series. And I think the

1045
01:10:27,880 --> 01:10:31,920
Pelicans have more answers than some of
the teams right by both of them.

1046
01:10:33,439 --> 01:10:35,920
Yeah, so I don't know that. I like, I think you could

1047
01:10:35,920 --> 01:10:39,239
have put some other teams here,
and I'm sure we're going to talk about

1048
01:10:39,279 --> 01:10:42,920
them now, How did you What
does your seats here look like? So

1049
01:10:44,359 --> 01:10:48,279
I would have Lakers, Warriors,
and these are kind of like the teams

1050
01:10:48,600 --> 01:10:53,880
like we're considering them playing teams that
might have potentially higher ceilings with us.

1051
01:10:53,960 --> 01:10:58,079
Right now, it feels like they're
most likely path to postseason basketballs through the

1052
01:10:58,119 --> 01:11:03,359
play in Yeah, yeah, Lakers, Warriors, Rockets, Clippers, I

1053
01:11:03,520 --> 01:11:09,920
guess Raptors, and Hawks in there
as well, because just again it's like

1054
01:11:09,960 --> 01:11:13,239
a numbers games. Someone has to
finish ninth and tenth in the East,

1055
01:11:13,239 --> 01:11:15,680
and it's certainly not going to be
the Wizards of the Nets and we're you

1056
01:11:15,680 --> 01:11:20,640
know, yeah, it's definitely the
Hawks are definitely like they have every incentive

1057
01:11:20,680 --> 01:11:24,520
to continue to try to win,
and it's just yeah, so it's but

1058
01:11:24,880 --> 01:11:27,800
I don't know. I'm kind of
I like, well, could the Bulls

1059
01:11:27,840 --> 01:11:30,119
maybe consolidate picks and be the team
that trades for brandon Ingram for some reason?

1060
01:11:30,399 --> 01:11:34,800
Oh my god, we know the
ball I had in my lowest like,

1061
01:11:35,039 --> 01:11:39,960
I think they have finally embraced we
are just gonna be bad where we're

1062
01:11:40,000 --> 01:11:44,840
gonna lean on our young players and
the Bulls though, so no, but

1063
01:11:44,920 --> 01:11:48,840
yeah, I think these are the
teams. I just which team is more

1064
01:11:49,159 --> 01:11:53,039
well, well again, i'm around
it. Which team is more likely if

1065
01:11:53,039 --> 01:11:57,720
they're better than expected to trade out
of this tier? Though, the Raptors

1066
01:11:57,720 --> 01:12:00,680
are the Bulls, and it feels
like it would be the Raptors, like

1067
01:12:00,680 --> 01:12:04,319
the Bulls might double down, like
like we got to make a big move

1068
01:12:04,359 --> 01:12:10,399
with the deadline. That's right,
can't cost yourself that one game of gate

1069
01:12:10,479 --> 01:12:15,800
revenue. God for hey, if
they're eighth, somehow they might get too.

1070
01:12:16,439 --> 01:12:19,079
Right. That's a good point.
It's a good point. So of

1071
01:12:19,079 --> 01:12:21,680
the teams that we've now settled on
in this tier, I want to be

1072
01:12:21,760 --> 01:12:26,880
higher on the Rockets, but they're
just gonna be so reliant undevelopmental pieces,

1073
01:12:26,880 --> 01:12:29,720
where reed Sheepherd should play a bunch
omen tops and should play a bunch.

1074
01:12:30,119 --> 01:12:32,000
Shang Gun is still young. I
mean he was great last year. Jalen

1075
01:12:32,000 --> 01:12:35,880
Green is inconsistent, and they also
if they're healthy. I was talking about

1076
01:12:35,880 --> 01:12:41,720
this with s barrahiny they have like
twelve thirteen guys that should just get minutes.

1077
01:12:42,039 --> 01:12:44,840
And so they seem ripe for consolidation
trade but maybe not at the point

1078
01:12:44,840 --> 01:12:46,960
where they're gonna make it. And
it's not to their detriment. It's a

1079
01:12:46,960 --> 01:12:50,000
good problem to have, but it
represses their ceiling, I think. And

1080
01:12:50,000 --> 01:12:55,239
so I feel like the Lakers or
the Warriors are the team in this.

1081
01:12:55,399 --> 01:12:59,279
I don't know which one. I
mean, the Lakers haven't done anything really.

1082
01:12:59,680 --> 01:13:01,399
They have Dalton connecting, Brownie James. Congratulations to the Lakers, and

1083
01:13:01,439 --> 01:13:06,840
Lebron took the massive pay cut of
course, but like and so they have

1084
01:13:06,920 --> 01:13:11,640
that like chemistry built in. And
now the Warriors is it's not just losing

1085
01:13:11,680 --> 01:13:15,039
Klay Thompson. They're probably a better
team in a vacuum talent wise than they

1086
01:13:15,039 --> 01:13:18,079
were last year. But they're still
gonna be reliant on like oh, what

1087
01:13:18,159 --> 01:13:21,319
is Jonathan Kamengo? What is Moses
Moody? Can Pods take on more ball

1088
01:13:21,319 --> 01:13:26,000
handling and playmaking? And then there's
just how is this team gonna score?

1089
01:13:26,319 --> 01:13:29,359
When you look at their offense and
their potential spacing, it's yeah, okay,

1090
01:13:29,640 --> 01:13:32,640
buddy, healed great, like Steph
Curry can dribble, and then who

1091
01:13:32,680 --> 01:13:42,800
else Pods and Draymond like a little
bit right and so and but do you

1092
01:13:42,840 --> 01:13:45,680
have you don't have the spacing to
capitalize on those as of right now.

1093
01:13:45,600 --> 01:13:51,479
So just like who is the like
who who is your like number one team

1094
01:13:51,560 --> 01:13:59,119
in this tier? Yeah, I
think it's probably the Lakers, just because

1095
01:13:59,119 --> 01:14:02,359
you don't want to bet a gunst
Le Brown James until proven otherwise. And

1096
01:14:02,399 --> 01:14:05,600
we're seeing even with Tims, like
the dude was almost forty years old and

1097
01:14:05,640 --> 01:14:11,079
he's still somehow a freaking top that
player in the world. He's not coming

1098
01:14:11,119 --> 01:14:14,479
back into twenty twenty eight. I
won't rule it out. I won't run

1099
01:14:14,279 --> 01:14:16,439
I believe it when I see it. Yeah, So, I mean,

1100
01:14:16,520 --> 01:14:23,039
like it's it's easy to poke fun
at the Lakers, especially you know what

1101
01:14:23,159 --> 01:14:26,479
happened to them last year, But
like, I think there is a fair

1102
01:14:26,640 --> 01:14:33,279
argument that Darvin Ham was doing damage
to them, Like even a league average

1103
01:14:33,279 --> 01:14:38,720
coach, they might have been better
last year and Darvin Ham just so badly

1104
01:14:38,760 --> 01:14:44,439
screwed with the rotations or screwed up
the rotations that they looked worse than they

1105
01:14:44,479 --> 01:14:47,039
actually were talent wise. And now, I mean, who knows. JJ

1106
01:14:47,039 --> 01:14:49,720
Reddick is the first time head coach. We have no idea what he's going

1107
01:14:49,800 --> 01:14:55,239
to look like. But you know, Lebron setting like ghost screens or something

1108
01:14:55,239 --> 01:14:58,039
like, I mean to see something
off the walls happening with the Lakers.

1109
01:14:58,479 --> 01:15:01,159
I mean, what with like all
ten episodes of Mind the Game before he

1110
01:15:01,199 --> 01:15:04,640
got hired that wound up being his
coaching interview, and you know, like

1111
01:15:04,840 --> 01:15:11,239
hearing him and Lebron just talk ball
like, it's very clear that he has

1112
01:15:11,239 --> 01:15:15,600
a sharp basketball mind and a creative
basketball mind. And you know, I'm

1113
01:15:15,640 --> 01:15:18,720
assuming the Lakers will put the coaching
staff in place around him to give him

1114
01:15:18,760 --> 01:15:24,039
some experience to lean on to handle
all the day to day minutia that he

1115
01:15:24,119 --> 01:15:28,239
is assuredly not aware of. But
you know, if his main focus is

1116
01:15:28,359 --> 01:15:31,239
just designing the ex'es and o's like
that part of it, I am fairly

1117
01:15:31,279 --> 01:15:38,279
confident he will be better than league
average even and so you know, Lebron

1118
01:15:38,319 --> 01:15:42,439
and AD is a really solid foundation
to build on. Right, they haven't

1119
01:15:42,479 --> 01:15:45,279
really done anything. Maybe they get
a little bit more fortunate with health blat

1120
01:15:45,479 --> 01:15:48,560
this year. I mean, Gabe
Vinson barely played for them last year,

1121
01:15:49,119 --> 01:15:53,720
but like, really, just going
into the year, how long do you

1122
01:15:53,840 --> 01:15:57,720
take them this ste all on?
Like they go on the conference finals with

1123
01:15:58,399 --> 01:16:01,000
the you know, Reeves and Vandal
lineup and it takes them at half a

1124
01:16:01,000 --> 01:16:04,880
freaking season to get back to just
starting that line up. Like what just

1125
01:16:04,920 --> 01:16:10,239
happens if the Lakers from last season
start that lineup from day one and if

1126
01:16:10,279 --> 01:16:13,479
they do it from day one this
year, what happens? I go back

1127
01:16:13,479 --> 01:16:15,199
and forth because let's say they did
make a coaching upgrader or at least they're

1128
01:16:15,239 --> 01:16:19,479
more creative on offense, And then
what if Van do was healthier? What

1129
01:16:19,560 --> 01:16:23,239
if gave Vincent is like that was
a everyone was like, Okay, the

1130
01:16:23,319 --> 01:16:26,199
gave Vincent signing was super interesting.
That he just doesn't really play because he

1131
01:16:26,239 --> 01:16:29,720
gets in there, So there's that
element to it. But also, like

1132
01:16:29,880 --> 01:16:32,720
Lebron and Anthony Davis were on the
court for more than two thousand possessions together

1133
01:16:32,840 --> 01:16:36,840
last season, and it's like the
Lakers still just very clearly had this ceiling

1134
01:16:36,960 --> 01:16:43,119
of you'll get into the playoffs maybe
and then what happens. They've done nothing

1135
01:16:43,199 --> 01:16:46,479
to change that, right, and
so I just I do think though they're

1136
01:16:46,479 --> 01:16:51,439
probably the most bankable in it.
It's just it's just they have those top

1137
01:16:51,479 --> 01:16:55,479
two guys, and like, even
if you go to Golden State, you

1138
01:16:55,520 --> 01:17:00,319
can't trust like Draymond the same way
that you can trust Ad. I mean,

1139
01:17:00,399 --> 01:17:03,880
you can't trust Raymond and not get
suspended by Franklin and the Clippers.

1140
01:17:03,880 --> 01:17:09,159
It's okay, they're two top guys
in Kawhi and Harden, but Kawhi is

1141
01:17:09,159 --> 01:17:12,520
probably the least trustworthy of those two
at this point where you're looking at guys

1142
01:17:12,520 --> 01:17:14,479
actually like, yeah, we know
what he is when he's on the court.

1143
01:17:14,920 --> 01:17:17,359
How many games is he playing?
So and it's now you have to

1144
01:17:17,359 --> 01:17:20,520
figure out, Like the Clippers have
done the load management thing, it didn't

1145
01:17:20,600 --> 01:17:24,920
work this year. They did the
Kawhi is gonna play thing, that didn't

1146
01:17:24,920 --> 01:17:30,800
work. So is it Kawhi's on
ice until April? So like what is

1147
01:17:30,840 --> 01:17:33,960
the next move there? I think
you're right that it's the Lakers and I

1148
01:17:34,119 --> 01:17:38,439
honestly the only other team. It's
like it's them or the Warriors. I

1149
01:17:38,520 --> 01:17:42,119
just don't I guess if the Rockets
really pop and they just like read Shepherd

1150
01:17:42,119 --> 01:17:45,880
comes in and he's amazing out of
the gate and increases their spacing, Tarrasan's

1151
01:17:45,920 --> 01:17:48,000
healthy, and they're just like fucking
shit up on defense all the time.

1152
01:17:48,840 --> 01:17:55,000
But they're just it's not an insult, it's they're They're sitting pretty and I

1153
01:17:55,039 --> 01:17:59,479
don't think that they're gonna they need
to make a move to probably reach that

1154
01:17:59,560 --> 01:18:00,319
point. And I don't know that
they're going to be in a rush to

1155
01:18:00,359 --> 01:18:04,279
make that move when it feels like
they're very much structuring their books around having

1156
01:18:04,319 --> 01:18:09,800
a bunch of cap space next summer, right right exactly, like they they

1157
01:18:09,840 --> 01:18:14,159
have the probably the highest upside of
any team in this year, like long

1158
01:18:14,279 --> 01:18:16,800
term, yeah, but I'm not
sure that they reach it next year,

1159
01:18:16,840 --> 01:18:21,920
whereas like Lakers and Warriors are clearly
feeling a much more imminent win now.

1160
01:18:23,000 --> 01:18:29,279
Pressure. This is a fun question. Who is more likely to make a

1161
01:18:29,399 --> 01:18:33,800
trade that requires them giving up a
first round pick that is later than twenty

1162
01:18:33,960 --> 01:18:40,239
twenty seven. The Lakers, the
Warriors, I'll throw the rockets in there,

1163
01:18:40,840 --> 01:18:46,880
or the Clippers, probably the Lakers. Is because Lebron is forty and

1164
01:18:46,960 --> 01:18:51,199
he is clear the one plus one
did not seem like a coincidence. He

1165
01:18:51,359 --> 01:18:57,520
is going to continue to exert pressure
on that organization, which is hilarious because

1166
01:18:57,520 --> 01:18:59,800
they're probably gonna be like, look, dude, we know you're not leaving

1167
01:18:59,840 --> 01:19:03,279
out like you are clearly just if
you wanted to leave, LA was literally

1168
01:19:03,640 --> 01:19:11,960
holding your son hostage and paying right. So I'm sure he's going to try

1169
01:19:12,000 --> 01:19:15,359
to pressure them into it. I
don't know that it necessarily works, but

1170
01:19:15,399 --> 01:19:17,920
they do at least have a bunch
of those like mid tier you know,

1171
01:19:18,000 --> 01:19:25,000
D'Angelo, Russell, Van Do,
Gabe, Vincent Austin Reeves really like that

1172
01:19:25,239 --> 01:19:30,039
they have the contracts to make it
work, and because of Lebron James's massive

1173
01:19:30,039 --> 01:19:33,479
pay cut, they're slightly below the
second apron so they are allowed to aggregate

1174
01:19:33,520 --> 01:19:39,119
contracts. So I think they're probably
the most desperate to make a move since,

1175
01:19:39,159 --> 01:19:41,880
as you said, I mean,
like the Warriors, they made moves

1176
01:19:41,920 --> 01:19:45,159
this offseason. I mean, you
know, losing Klay Thompson obviously sucks,

1177
01:19:45,159 --> 01:19:47,680
but like Buddy Heal, Danthe Melton, Kyle Anderson, those are all like

1178
01:19:47,880 --> 01:19:50,600
pretty big additions to that team.
And I agree with you that I think

1179
01:19:50,680 --> 01:19:54,640
there's a real chance they're better this
year than they were last year as a

1180
01:19:54,680 --> 01:19:58,119
result. And there just seems and
even if you just framed us, who's

1181
01:19:58,119 --> 01:20:00,000
most likely to make a trade that
matters, is still like it's the Lakers,

1182
01:20:00,039 --> 01:20:04,840
because the Clippers that just there's no
pathway to them being contenders again.

1183
01:20:05,039 --> 01:20:09,359
They just don't like it's gone and
so why are you gonna make any sort

1184
01:20:09,359 --> 01:20:11,800
of move because you're gonna have to
give up a distant first round pick to

1185
01:20:11,840 --> 01:20:15,159
do that. And then the Rockets, I just don't know if they're gonna

1186
01:20:15,159 --> 01:20:16,920
have the appetite for it. We
already mentioned the cap space and just they

1187
01:20:16,920 --> 01:20:20,840
have so many not projects, but
prospects I guess the way, and they're

1188
01:20:20,840 --> 01:20:25,359
trying to figure stuff out. And
then the Warriors would be the other candidate.

1189
01:20:25,399 --> 01:20:28,439
So we just keep coming back to
Lakers the Warriors, but they also

1190
01:20:28,520 --> 01:20:31,560
they don't seem to have an appetite
to do that either. Like I know

1191
01:20:31,600 --> 01:20:35,880
they've been linked to lowry marketing,
but they seem oddly obsessed with Jonathan Kamingo,

1192
01:20:36,159 --> 01:20:39,840
who seems like he could be a
really good player, but it's not

1193
01:20:40,399 --> 01:20:43,920
played like a really good and part
of that might be opportunity. But John

1194
01:20:44,039 --> 01:20:45,199
give Me is viewed as like,
well, could they really like give him

1195
01:20:45,239 --> 01:20:48,119
up in a trade for lowry marketing? Yeah, they absolutely could and should

1196
01:20:48,159 --> 01:20:53,119
if they have the opportunity to do
that. So I but they just seem

1197
01:20:53,239 --> 01:20:57,279
like that they're planning for the next
era more so. And it's like,

1198
01:20:57,319 --> 01:21:00,319
we're gonna do a two time a
one point five timeline thing, where's we

1199
01:21:00,319 --> 01:21:03,319
don't want to be irrelevant until Steph
fades into the sunset, but we're not

1200
01:21:03,359 --> 01:21:08,399
getting rid of our young guys to
maximize what's left of Steph's prime. Yeah,

1201
01:21:08,560 --> 01:21:11,079
yeah, exactly. And they already
trade the twenty thirty pick, so

1202
01:21:11,239 --> 01:21:14,680
I think they have twenty twenty eight
is the only one they're legally allowed to

1203
01:21:14,680 --> 01:21:17,640
trade past that range, whereas the
Lakers have twenty nine and thirty one that

1204
01:21:17,640 --> 01:21:21,640
they can offer. And I think
you're right, like the Warriors should not

1205
01:21:21,720 --> 01:21:26,760
be interested when Stephen Curry is only
under contract for a couple more seasons give

1206
01:21:26,880 --> 01:21:30,079
way anything? Why can't I don't. I didn't look at their pick commitments.

1207
01:21:30,079 --> 01:21:36,439
Why can't they trade twenty twenty six? Who do they because their pick

1208
01:21:36,479 --> 01:21:42,039
commitments are weird and it's like a
fake first round or they sent to Washington

1209
01:21:42,239 --> 01:21:48,079
in the Jordan pool very much?
Yeah, yeah, so I mean for

1210
01:21:48,119 --> 01:21:51,399
some reason, I thought, yeah
they should. They can trade twenty six

1211
01:21:51,800 --> 01:21:56,680
and twenty eight. Yeah, okay, yeah, it's just twenty thirty they

1212
01:21:56,680 --> 01:22:00,560
can't. Yeah, can they also
do if they wanted to be like,

1213
01:22:00,640 --> 01:22:04,319
okay, it's protected for selections twenty
one to thirty, and then also trade

1214
01:22:04,319 --> 01:22:09,880
their twenty thirty first round pick,
right since Washington's top twenty protected technically,

1215
01:22:09,960 --> 01:22:13,960
Yeah, so I mean, and
then swaps of course, And yeah,

1216
01:22:14,000 --> 01:22:16,439
I just don't. I guess what's
tough with this team is, even if

1217
01:22:16,439 --> 01:22:19,680
I think they're better and more balanced
on paper, it seems harder, for

1218
01:22:19,680 --> 01:22:25,920
some reason for them to make a
trade that would vault them into title contention

1219
01:22:26,079 --> 01:22:29,520
or close to it than it is
for the Lakers, who have two guys

1220
01:22:29,560 --> 01:22:32,399
that can headline a title contender.
The Warriors have one guy. And like,

1221
01:22:32,439 --> 01:22:35,720
if you add Larry Marketing to this
team, if you add Brandon Ingram,

1222
01:22:35,720 --> 01:22:39,199
if you add Zach Lavine, even
if you added trade like something like

1223
01:22:39,239 --> 01:22:43,199
wild, like LaMelo or Trey,
they're not there. But if you add

1224
01:22:43,239 --> 01:22:45,199
basically any of those names to the
Lakers roster, I think you could make

1225
01:22:45,239 --> 01:22:48,760
a case for the Lakers. Yeah. Yeah, I think that they're the

1226
01:22:48,800 --> 01:22:55,000
only ones that could realistically vault into
like the A tier this year, Whereas

1227
01:22:55,479 --> 01:22:58,560
I have a hard time seeing any
move that would put any of these other

1228
01:22:58,600 --> 01:23:03,399
teams in there. Uh so,
I guess we should just for posterity sake

1229
01:23:04,039 --> 01:23:08,760
o our D tier of teams.
It's no shot. And although should the

1230
01:23:08,760 --> 01:23:14,399
Spurs have been in the CE tier
better than the Clippers maybe so, I

1231
01:23:15,359 --> 01:23:18,359
originally broke up the C and D
tier. C tier for me was end

1232
01:23:18,439 --> 01:23:21,680
stage rebuilding is what I called it. And I have the Spurs in there

1233
01:23:21,720 --> 01:23:26,479
even though they are only what year
two into the Webby era, but like,

1234
01:23:26,840 --> 01:23:30,279
he's so good that they are already
in that. So I had Spurs,

1235
01:23:30,399 --> 01:23:35,880
Jazz, Pistons, and Hornets in
the we are not deliberately tanking this

1236
01:23:35,960 --> 01:23:42,279
year tier, and then Wizards,
Nets, Bulls and Blazers in the we

1237
01:23:42,399 --> 01:23:45,319
might win ten games this year,
we are trying to be pretty bad.

1238
01:23:46,680 --> 01:23:49,720
Yeah, I mean the Blazers,
if they don't make some roster changes might

1239
01:23:49,760 --> 01:23:55,920
stumble into too many victories. I
think, honestly, I think the Spurs

1240
01:23:55,920 --> 01:23:58,479
are the only team as of right
now that I would say would be guaranteed

1241
01:23:58,479 --> 01:24:01,479
to like not like the Jazz still
have lowry marketing right now, but even

1242
01:24:01,479 --> 01:24:03,800
if they have him, they might
still be trying to lose games. So

1243
01:24:03,840 --> 01:24:06,000
this is like the Spurs the only
one in this tier. I'm like,

1244
01:24:06,000 --> 01:24:09,840
should they have been up a little
bit because the others are just like,

1245
01:24:10,560 --> 01:24:13,319
Okay, the Pistons and Hornets can
try to win, but they're not gonna

1246
01:24:13,640 --> 01:24:16,520
And I don't I honestly don't think
the Hornets are gonna try. And then

1247
01:24:16,560 --> 01:24:18,920
like the Bulls, maybe they'll try, but they're the Bulls. It won't

1248
01:24:18,920 --> 01:24:26,279
matter. So you can talk out
now like CP three and with Harrison Barnes,

1249
01:24:26,319 --> 01:24:29,479
you could talk me into the Spurs
being in the seed tire at seventy.

1250
01:24:30,039 --> 01:24:32,479
Well, this is I'm sure you've
probably read this ad nauseum and stuff

1251
01:24:32,520 --> 01:24:35,880
that I or other people have written
and you've edited in so far as we

1252
01:24:35,920 --> 01:24:44,399
get an editor anymore on things like
the Spurs with Wemby and Trey Jones on

1253
01:24:44,439 --> 01:24:46,479
the court, unless you were plus
five point two points per one hundred possessions.

1254
01:24:46,640 --> 01:24:50,479
You had Devin Vassell in there plus
ten something points per one hundred posessions.

1255
01:24:50,479 --> 01:24:55,159
And now it's like we have two
more competent NBA rotation players and Trey

1256
01:24:55,239 --> 01:24:58,720
Jones can get bumped down to the
second unit without us having a you know,

1257
01:24:58,720 --> 01:25:03,000
a starting unit that's basically a arcrificial
lamb statistically, So there's like I

1258
01:25:03,079 --> 01:25:10,640
mean, because it feels like all
the teams in the seatier, like for

1259
01:25:10,680 --> 01:25:14,479
the from the Western Conference anyway,
they have like this boom er bust potential

1260
01:25:14,520 --> 01:25:17,439
and so like the Spurs might belong
in the seatier just by saying, hey,

1261
01:25:17,479 --> 01:25:21,800
the math doesn't check out, but
one of these teams is gonna implode.

1262
01:25:21,880 --> 01:25:25,079
But one of these teams is probably
gonna be a lot better than we

1263
01:25:25,159 --> 01:25:30,319
expect, right right, Yeah,
I mean it's they're getting promoted. I'm

1264
01:25:30,359 --> 01:25:34,319
going okay, I like it.
I like it. I'm allowing it because

1265
01:25:34,359 --> 01:25:38,520
yeah, I mean I could easily
see them. I mean I could see

1266
01:25:38,520 --> 01:25:42,000
them making the plane this year,
which is crazy to say, but like

1267
01:25:42,239 --> 01:25:48,920
adding CP three Barnes and the Castle
as well, I'm curious if they were

1268
01:25:48,920 --> 01:25:56,119
the team that traded for Lowry Marketing
where would you put them A. Devin

1269
01:25:56,199 --> 01:25:59,239
Vessel is still on the team after
this, That's really the only thing.

1270
01:25:59,560 --> 01:26:01,920
Devins Ell and Stephan Castle are still
on the team in addition to CB three

1271
01:26:02,119 --> 01:26:11,720
and Wemby. Damn. I mean
definitely at least B tier. Do I

1272
01:26:11,760 --> 01:26:14,319
put them in A? I think
I would put them in B until I

1273
01:26:14,359 --> 01:26:17,439
saw it. But would you have
them B like ahead of the Kings and

1274
01:26:17,479 --> 01:26:21,880
the Suns and the Yeah? Probably
yeah, maybe not. I think the

1275
01:26:21,960 --> 01:26:29,479
Kings will still have a really high
regular season for but I mean this like,

1276
01:26:29,920 --> 01:26:32,520
there's just never been anything like Wemby
before, so we have no idea.

1277
01:26:33,079 --> 01:26:36,159
I mean, we'll see with in
the next couple of weeks the Olympics.

1278
01:26:36,199 --> 01:26:41,520
Like, wouldn't shock me if he's
significantly better than he was a few

1279
01:26:41,520 --> 01:26:45,840
months ago. I mean, he
the the rate at which he was able

1280
01:26:45,880 --> 01:26:50,840
to absorb information and then get better
throughout the season, Like we typically don't

1281
01:26:50,880 --> 01:26:57,520
see these like massive in season leaps. It's like you you are who you

1282
01:26:57,600 --> 01:27:00,119
are, and then you take the
off season and you add something new to

1283
01:27:00,159 --> 01:27:02,439
your bag, and you come back
and you show it off and you're a

1284
01:27:02,520 --> 01:27:06,439
much better player. Wemby was like, oh my god, this guy's getting

1285
01:27:06,479 --> 01:27:11,159
significantly better as the season's going off, Like, oh, he has a

1286
01:27:11,199 --> 01:27:15,800
pull up three pointer now, and
it's right right, he just he just

1287
01:27:15,840 --> 01:27:19,560
seemed to get more comfortable with the
NBA game. And to your point,

1288
01:27:19,600 --> 01:27:23,760
maybe it's like we don't have Jeremy
so Hanna as the point guard anymore.

1289
01:27:24,159 --> 01:27:27,520
Well, now we're not gonna have
to do the point so hand experiment for

1290
01:27:27,560 --> 01:27:30,000
thirty games next season. You have
Chris Paul and Trey Jones. And like,

1291
01:27:31,000 --> 01:27:33,439
you know, Chris Paul, if
you're banking on him to stay healthy

1292
01:27:33,439 --> 01:27:38,079
for all of you two games,
good luck. But like pairing him with

1293
01:27:38,159 --> 01:27:41,359
any big man is just a cheap
code. I mean, he made DeAndre

1294
01:27:41,479 --> 01:27:45,800
Jordan into a freaking All Star,
you know, like he was that like

1295
01:27:45,840 --> 01:27:48,319
what are you gonna He's gonna just
throw a ton of lobs at the seven

1296
01:27:48,359 --> 01:27:51,159
foot four guy who could jump up
and catch them. All you would do

1297
01:27:51,279 --> 01:27:55,399
is throw it at the damn basket. And when you can outreach anyone,

1298
01:27:55,720 --> 01:28:00,720
like, they're gonna just generate so
much easy offense from literally just and catch.

1299
01:28:01,680 --> 01:28:04,239
Yeah. I mean, he might
honestly be so good. I know

1300
01:28:04,279 --> 01:28:08,279
people framed us. He's gonna agitate
and they're gonna have to make a move

1301
01:28:08,600 --> 01:28:11,840
that's not gonna happen. He just
might be so fucking good that they have

1302
01:28:11,920 --> 01:28:15,000
no choice other than he's gonna win
us X games, and like at that

1303
01:28:15,039 --> 01:28:17,920
point, we're not gonna have these
great draft picks, like we might as

1304
01:28:17,920 --> 01:28:23,239
well go trade for player X,
star Y, whatever, because Wemby has

1305
01:28:23,279 --> 01:28:27,680
us like in contention for the six
seed already. Yeah, right, exactly.

1306
01:28:27,760 --> 01:28:30,800
Yeah. I think I said that
last year. They are not able

1307
01:28:30,840 --> 01:28:35,159
to tank anymore because he's just too
good and like good, especially now that

1308
01:28:35,359 --> 01:28:40,119
you know teams like the Nets and
the Wizards have just thrown in the towel

1309
01:28:40,199 --> 01:28:43,600
on trying to compete, Like you
are not going to catch those teams,

1310
01:28:43,600 --> 01:28:46,079
so you might as well just let
Wemby grow at his own pace. And

1311
01:28:46,119 --> 01:28:49,720
I think they're being smart and strategic
about how they are rebuilding around him,

1312
01:28:49,760 --> 01:28:54,520
Like I respect them for not making
an all in move and for like going

1313
01:28:54,560 --> 01:28:58,720
after these distant pick swaps and picks
because they know, like we need to

1314
01:28:58,720 --> 01:29:02,000
be loading up for Wemby's prime at
the turn of the decade, assuming that

1315
01:29:02,039 --> 01:29:06,840
we were all still here on this
planet at that point, and assuming the

1316
01:29:06,880 --> 01:29:12,159
Mothership doesn't call him home, right, that's right, right, that they're

1317
01:29:12,159 --> 01:29:16,479
really gambling on a lot of future
based things that might not happen. But

1318
01:29:17,159 --> 01:29:21,880
I think they're being smart about you
know, like I know they got killed

1319
01:29:21,880 --> 01:29:27,239
for trading the number eight pick to
Minnesota. That's like, I get why

1320
01:29:27,279 --> 01:29:30,159
they are making these moves like they
are. They're being very deliberate about this,

1321
01:29:30,239 --> 01:29:32,319
and I think it's going to pay
off in the long run, but

1322
01:29:32,560 --> 01:29:35,359
also in the short run it might
not matter because when we might be good

1323
01:29:35,439 --> 01:29:41,520
enough that they're still winning at a
much faster pace than you typically see for

1324
01:29:41,560 --> 01:29:45,800
a team, you know, this
early and into its rebuilt. Yeah,

1325
01:29:45,880 --> 01:29:49,279
they are just I want them to
be aggressive, but I know they just

1326
01:29:49,319 --> 01:29:54,039
don't have to because he's just still
good. He's honestly, he's gonna be

1327
01:29:54,079 --> 01:29:58,119
one of the greatest players of all
time if he stays healthy. There's it's

1328
01:29:58,159 --> 01:30:01,079
just absolutely wild. Shou you want
to recap what our tiers were unless you

1329
01:30:01,119 --> 01:30:04,159
have anything else to add about any
of these teams. No, let's yeah,

1330
01:30:04,199 --> 01:30:11,039
so s tier. We had Celtics, thunder Nuggets, Sixers, and

1331
01:30:11,119 --> 01:30:17,600
Knicks, and this was our top
tier title contenders. A tier were teams

1332
01:30:17,640 --> 01:30:24,680
we feel reasonably confident about and could
very easily see them making it at least

1333
01:30:24,680 --> 01:30:29,199
around if not too or advancing you
know, second round, maybe even conference

1334
01:30:29,199 --> 01:30:33,399
finals at being Mavericks, Timberwolves,
Bucks, Cavaliers, Grizzlies, and Pacers.

1335
01:30:34,159 --> 01:30:40,279
The B tier were you know,
also teams that we think probably finished

1336
01:30:40,279 --> 01:30:43,840
somewhere in the top eight of their
conference, that being the Magic, Kings,

1337
01:30:43,880 --> 01:30:48,840
Sons, Heat and Pelicans. C
tier we had Lakers, Warriors,

1338
01:30:48,920 --> 01:30:55,399
Rockets, Clippers, Sons, Hawks, and Raptors. These are teams potentially

1339
01:30:55,520 --> 01:30:59,920
probably in the play and mix.
And then the D tier. What would

1340
01:31:00,039 --> 01:31:01,520
in the Pooper for Cooper? I
believe, yeah, and the Pooper for

1341
01:31:01,560 --> 01:31:05,319
Cooper is the D tier. There
we go, So Jazz, Pistons,

1342
01:31:05,359 --> 01:31:11,760
Hornets, Bowled, Blazers, Wizards
and Nets. Could you imagine if the

1343
01:31:11,800 --> 01:31:15,119
Spurs just decide to like Wenby might
Riot, but if they shut them down

1344
01:31:15,119 --> 01:31:18,840
and they're in the Pooper for Cooper
and they get Cooper? What or what

1345
01:31:18,880 --> 01:31:23,239
if they just win the like what
if they just get really lucky? Like

1346
01:31:23,560 --> 01:31:26,760
yeah, sure too, because like
get a one percent chance and now you've

1347
01:31:26,760 --> 01:31:30,239
got Cooper flag as well. At
that point, like it's already the Spurs

1348
01:31:30,279 --> 01:31:33,399
and the Thunders League by the late
twenty twenties. But if Cooper Flag goes

1349
01:31:33,399 --> 01:31:38,119
to San Antonio, like every other
team should just push all its chips in

1350
01:31:38,199 --> 01:31:42,039
right now because there is no point
like that's over. What are you waiting

1351
01:31:42,079 --> 01:31:45,760
for? You're you're not winning in
twenty twenty eight, Just burn it all

1352
01:31:45,840 --> 01:31:48,119
down. What's like twenty eight teams
will be rebuilding at the same time.

1353
01:31:49,039 --> 01:31:54,920
I'm looking at our list now and
like, once we get through, because

1354
01:31:54,960 --> 01:31:58,079
there we kind of ranked them within
the tiers, but so the S tier,

1355
01:31:58,520 --> 01:32:00,359
even if you don't think they belong
in the sty. I feel confident

1356
01:32:00,359 --> 01:32:03,720
about those five teams, the Celtics, the thunder, the Nuggets, the

1357
01:32:03,720 --> 01:32:08,439
Sixers, the Knicks. Then I
feel confident in the MAVs, the Timberwolves,

1358
01:32:08,439 --> 01:32:12,720
the Bucks and the Calves. So
like after those nine teams, though,

1359
01:32:13,199 --> 01:32:15,800
I'm just looking at all these and
you could talk me into every single

1360
01:32:16,039 --> 01:32:18,720
one of the schools, every single
one of them and if you know,

1361
01:32:18,760 --> 01:32:23,119
forget about in the Pooper for Cooper, but all these other you could talk

1362
01:32:23,159 --> 01:32:28,439
me to them being demonstratively better then
we have them categorized or just like way

1363
01:32:28,479 --> 01:32:32,159
way, way worse. Yeah,
you have to talk to me for a

1364
01:32:32,199 --> 01:32:35,960
while to talk me into the Raptors. But other than that, yeah,

1365
01:32:36,079 --> 01:32:41,680
like I I could, I could
definitely see the Rockets winning forty five plus

1366
01:32:41,720 --> 01:32:45,640
games and you know, quite like
being the sixth seed in the West.

1367
01:32:45,640 --> 01:32:49,960
It's just for me. The West
is so tough. It's like I'm baking

1368
01:32:50,000 --> 01:32:54,000
in you know, Like if the
Rockets were in the East, I think

1369
01:32:54,039 --> 01:32:58,439
I would feel more confident in their
chances of actually waking up the tox six

1370
01:32:58,479 --> 01:33:01,000
seeds. It's just there in the
West and they're you know, like if

1371
01:33:01,000 --> 01:33:03,680
you think they are going if you
think the Houston Rockets are going to be

1372
01:33:03,680 --> 01:33:06,119
a top sixceeed. We do this
with you know, the draft and with

1373
01:33:06,199 --> 01:33:11,640
trades and with roster spots all the
time. It's like which of thunder Nuggets,

1374
01:33:11,840 --> 01:33:17,520
Mavericks, Wolves, Suns, Pelicans, King's Grizzlies. Yeah, that's

1375
01:33:17,600 --> 01:33:21,479
eight teams. So we just mentioned
like you have to remove three of them

1376
01:33:23,119 --> 01:33:26,600
or put the Rockets over three of
them. I can't make a case like

1377
01:33:26,640 --> 01:33:29,800
that, No, I can't.
I can't get there with you. Just

1378
01:33:30,760 --> 01:33:33,000
fascinating exercise to do. I'm curious
if we'll have any transactions that kind of

1379
01:33:33,000 --> 01:33:36,399
blow this up though, the rest
of the season. We need to put

1380
01:33:36,399 --> 01:33:40,159
this out tomorrow morning. And I
swear to God, if Brandon Ingram gets

1381
01:33:40,159 --> 01:33:43,880
traded tonight, I'm gonna scream.
Well, that's fine because brand Inger's not

1382
01:33:43,920 --> 01:33:50,840
someone who impacts the title race.
But it depends depends on what the framework

1383
01:33:50,920 --> 01:33:55,640
is. The Proklopez is going to
New Orleans were we're maybe we're just swapping

1384
01:33:55,680 --> 01:33:59,319
the bucks and the Pelicans and our
tears, so we'll have to agree even

1385
01:33:59,359 --> 01:34:00,960
while you're about to have a baby. So maybe, like, if there's

1386
01:34:01,000 --> 01:34:04,000
a move that doesn't it can't happen
this week, that'll just be worth it.

1387
01:34:04,000 --> 01:34:06,680
But there's a move that happens within
the next couple of months that shifts

1388
01:34:06,720 --> 01:34:10,800
this, we'll have to redo it
and maybe see how much it changed.

1389
01:34:11,119 --> 01:34:15,279
Yes, this feels like a fun
like mid season after the trade deadline to

1390
01:34:15,359 --> 01:34:18,279
revisit. Oh god, just how
wrong will it? No one's gonna trade

1391
01:34:18,319 --> 01:34:23,600
They have no idea what's going on? That's right? Well, now,

1392
01:34:23,880 --> 01:34:28,560
Dan, all these teams are saving
their mid level exceptions for trade exceptions.

1393
01:34:28,600 --> 01:34:31,479
Clearly, that's that's the only reason
they're not spending them right now. Yeah,

1394
01:34:31,479 --> 01:34:36,720
that's the only reason. Well,
we'll have to do a how a

1395
01:34:36,800 --> 01:34:41,439
team's got too scared of the Second
April Podcast at some point a follow up

1396
01:34:41,520 --> 01:34:45,479
to teams should be afraid of the
Second April Podcast and should we get like

1397
01:34:45,520 --> 01:34:51,319
CJ. McCollum and Grant Williams on
the podcast, Grant, how do you

1398
01:34:51,319 --> 01:34:56,840
feel about getting the last big mid
tier contract in NBA history? Congratulations?

1399
01:34:57,920 --> 01:35:00,680
And I just I know people now, let's not we we need to save

1400
01:35:00,720 --> 01:35:02,760
it. I have. It's just
wow, that's all. Well, there

1401
01:35:02,800 --> 01:35:06,720
we go. We've got another podcast
in the Hoppersit we just this happens last

1402
01:35:06,720 --> 01:35:12,359
time we recorded where it was was
like, well, we're going to record

1403
01:35:12,399 --> 01:35:15,760
another one. Well, Dan,
thank you as always for coming on.

1404
01:35:15,840 --> 01:35:20,159
It's always a blast to have you
and to walk you through goofy exercises like

1405
01:35:20,159 --> 01:35:23,800
this. So can you let our
listeners know one more time where they can

1406
01:35:23,840 --> 01:35:26,920
find you on Twitter and where they
can find your work. Yes, follow

1407
01:35:26,960 --> 01:35:30,000
me on Twitter at Dan Favalley fav
al E. All my stuff is at

1408
01:35:30,039 --> 01:35:34,279
Bleacher Report, and then also check
out the Hardwood Knox podcast. Just like

1409
01:35:34,319 --> 01:35:40,000
the NBA podcast, we cover the
NBA at large because there's not enough NBA

1410
01:35:40,079 --> 01:35:43,720
podcasts out there. Quite frankly,
you have no options aside from the NBA

1411
01:35:43,760 --> 01:35:46,279
Podcast and Hardwoodknox. You might as
well subscribe YouTube, Spotify, Apple,

1412
01:35:46,279 --> 01:35:49,079
the whole nine, but spelled exactly
as the towns come check, Grant and

1413
01:35:49,159 --> 01:35:54,079
I out and then from time more
than occasionally, I would say, Brian

1414
01:35:54,199 --> 01:35:56,920
is on the podcast as well,
so that's another reason to come tune in.

1415
01:35:57,359 --> 01:35:59,600
And I love doing these things with
you. I'm always happy to talk

1416
01:36:00,159 --> 01:36:01,840
to talk hoops with you. I'm
excited that we get to tease. We're

1417
01:36:01,880 --> 01:36:05,199
doing the Brian Windhorse thing where he's
I know things but I can't say it,

1418
01:36:05,199 --> 01:36:09,359
and we're just we've got content coming. We're gonna tell you what it

1419
01:36:09,439 --> 01:36:14,880
is. But there's yeah, yeah, it's a fun extra sign So please

1420
01:36:14,960 --> 01:36:18,399
go subscribe to Hardwood Docs. I
will be on there sometime within the next

1421
01:36:18,399 --> 01:36:23,520
week, presumably we'll see when this
thing gets published if we are, But

1422
01:36:23,640 --> 01:36:27,479
we do have a fun project coming
up and hope you all enjoy that because

1423
01:36:27,520 --> 01:36:30,199
we have a ton of fun doing
it. But Dan, thank you again.

1424
01:36:30,319 --> 01:36:34,000
We always love having you, and
please everyone, thank you for listening

1425
01:36:34,079 --> 01:36:38,000
in. As always. Please follow
us on Twitter at the NBA Pod.

1426
01:36:38,039 --> 01:36:40,840
You can find our Twitter handles and
our bios to give us to follow as

1427
01:36:40,840 --> 01:36:43,760
well. You can also find us
on iTunes and we're about to podcast or

1428
01:36:43,800 --> 01:36:47,359
founds on iTunes. Please subscribe download
please the five star reviews. Until next

1429
01:36:47,399 --> 01:36:50,680
time. I'm Brian's Pork and I
was joined by our very special guest,

1430
01:36:50,840 --> 01:36:55,960
Dan Valley of Bee Hardy with NOx
Podcast. Dan, thank you again,

1431
01:36:56,039 --> 01:36:58,960
my friends. We will talk too, Yes, talk you very soon.

1432
01:37:00,840 --> 01:37:03,720
Bat and a bot
