WEBVTT

1
00:00:00.320 --> 00:00:02.879
Hey, guys, it's Jack.
I just wanted to talk to you today

2
00:00:03.000 --> 00:00:06.879
about a way that you can help
support the podcast. If you're not already,

3
00:00:07.200 --> 00:00:10.720
we would really appreciate it if you
guys went and reviewed us on Apple

4
00:00:10.839 --> 00:00:15.320
or Spotify. Those reviews really help
people find the podcast and help it get

5
00:00:15.359 --> 00:00:18.760
recognized, and you know, if
you've been enjoying the show, we really

6
00:00:18.800 --> 00:00:23.879
appreciate your support. Another thing that
you can do to support the channel is

7
00:00:23.960 --> 00:00:28.839
to become a Patreon member. So
we have Patreon memberships that started just five

8
00:00:28.879 --> 00:00:32.719
dollars a month, and when you
sign up, you get access to all

9
00:00:32.799 --> 00:00:36.520
of our episodes add free. That's
the big bonus for that. I mean,

10
00:00:36.520 --> 00:00:41.640
we also do some Patreon bonus episodes
for our subscribers, but this is

11
00:00:41.719 --> 00:00:47.560
the biggest and best way that you
can support the Teamhouse channel and podcast if

12
00:00:47.600 --> 00:00:51.240
you'd like to, and we really
appreciate that. So go and check us

13
00:00:51.240 --> 00:01:02.200
out at patreon dot com. Slash
The Teamhouse, Special Operations, Cobert Ahs,

14
00:01:03.280 --> 00:01:11.159
SB and I The Team House with
your host Jack Murphy and David Bark.

15
00:01:17.480 --> 00:01:19.079
Hey, folks, welcome to episode
two hundred and seventy five of The

16
00:01:19.079 --> 00:01:23.519
Team House. I'm Jack here with
Dave. Our guest on tonight's show is

17
00:01:23.719 --> 00:01:27.480
Dante Paradiso. He is the current
director for East African Affairs at the State

18
00:01:27.519 --> 00:01:32.239
Department. He is a career Foreign
Service officer. He's the author of The

19
00:01:32.319 --> 00:01:36.840
Embassy, which we hope you guys
will take a look at. He had

20
00:01:37.000 --> 00:01:41.040
many different assignments, many different travels
around the world, including some hot spots

21
00:01:41.079 --> 00:01:46.120
in Africa and as well as Afghanistan. We're excited to talk to him tonight.

22
00:01:47.640 --> 00:01:51.439
First up, top, do you
want to give your disclaimer? Yeah,

23
00:01:51.640 --> 00:01:57.000
just as a current serving Foreign Service
officer, I have to say the

24
00:01:57.120 --> 00:02:00.120
views I expressed are my own and
not necessarily those of the United States Government

25
00:02:00.239 --> 00:02:05.159
or the United States Department of State. Thank you, And I just want

26
00:02:05.200 --> 00:02:07.280
to tell people before we get started. If you want, you can check

27
00:02:07.280 --> 00:02:12.719
out our Patreon the links down the
description. Consider supporting the team house keeping

28
00:02:12.759 --> 00:02:15.840
this show going. And if you
sign up for five bucks a month,

29
00:02:15.120 --> 00:02:19.520
you get all of these episodes ad
free, both the video and the podcast.

30
00:02:19.639 --> 00:02:23.759
And we really appreciate you guys supporting
us. So, you know,

31
00:02:23.800 --> 00:02:28.280
you're the first State Department guy we've
had on the show. We've talked a

32
00:02:28.280 --> 00:02:30.400
lot on here about you know,
they say there's the three options. There's

33
00:02:30.439 --> 00:02:35.840
military action, there's covert action,
and then there's diplomacy. We haven't really

34
00:02:35.840 --> 00:02:40.080
talked about the diplomacy so much,
but I wanted to just kind of,

35
00:02:40.120 --> 00:02:44.400
like, before we get into your
personal story, kick off the conversation a

36
00:02:44.400 --> 00:02:47.759
bit because I was thinking as I
was I was reading in Foreign Affairs this

37
00:02:47.800 --> 00:02:53.919
week about like why this matters,
Why diplomacy matters? And in this article,

38
00:02:54.879 --> 00:03:00.000
the authors write, China, in
contrast with the United States, invests

39
00:03:00.400 --> 00:03:04.800
and the diplomatic resource is necessary to
market its initiatives, speaking of like the

40
00:03:04.840 --> 00:03:09.400
Belton Road initiative and things like that. It has more embassies and representative offices

41
00:03:09.439 --> 00:03:14.919
around the globe than any other country, and Chinese diplomats frequently speak at conferences

42
00:03:14.919 --> 00:03:17.879
and publish a stream of articles about
China's various initiatives in local news outlets.

43
00:03:19.319 --> 00:03:23.960
So we talk a lot about great
power, competition and these other buzzwords.

44
00:03:23.960 --> 00:03:29.680
Nowadays a new era of strategic competition
diplomatically, Why does it matter that China

45
00:03:30.240 --> 00:03:36.240
is out diplomating US. Yeah,
it's a great question to start with.

46
00:03:38.319 --> 00:03:46.439
The core of diplomacy is the management
of relations between countries. Right, you

47
00:03:46.560 --> 00:03:53.800
can't go to another country, you
can't trade with another country, you can't

48
00:03:53.479 --> 00:04:00.560
conduct operations through another country, you
can't fly over another country without agreement of

49
00:04:00.560 --> 00:04:05.800
that country. I think a lot
of folks, you know, we were

50
00:04:05.840 --> 00:04:13.639
talking offline about global war and terror, there was a lot of freedom of

51
00:04:13.719 --> 00:04:18.959
movement within other countries that there was
always tension about sovereignty, but there was

52
00:04:19.000 --> 00:04:26.040
a question of how sovereign some of
these entities were. In an error of

53
00:04:26.040 --> 00:04:32.279
strategic competition, sovereignty is at a
premium, and so if you look at

54
00:04:32.319 --> 00:04:38.519
how integrated the world is, it's
basically impossible to get along without the diplomatic

55
00:04:38.639 --> 00:04:46.319
aspect because you're not doing military solutions. For whether you get the component parts

56
00:04:46.839 --> 00:04:51.040
to make your iPhone through a series
of countries into a manufacturing base that then

57
00:04:51.120 --> 00:04:58.079
sells back to the United States.
The global flow of oil goes from refinery

58
00:04:58.120 --> 00:05:05.199
processes to export into plastics. That
whole network is based on agreements between nations

59
00:05:05.240 --> 00:05:10.480
on how to treat the flow of
goods, services, and people. So

60
00:05:11.120 --> 00:05:16.720
it's kind of a critical component to
our everyday life that we don't see because

61
00:05:16.920 --> 00:05:24.000
so much of what America is and
is built on was built out of diplomatic

62
00:05:24.079 --> 00:05:27.759
relations. I mean, you take
French support for US in the Revolutionary War.

63
00:05:27.800 --> 00:05:31.519
It goes back to that. But
that's sort of the core of diplomacy

64
00:05:31.800 --> 00:05:39.800
is managing how we interact as America
with other states, and if we fall

65
00:05:39.839 --> 00:05:43.279
behind China, if they have more
embassies, more consulates. I don't mean

66
00:05:43.319 --> 00:05:45.759
to just put an arbitrary number on
it, but what I mean is if

67
00:05:45.759 --> 00:05:49.480
they're conducting more diplomacy and building more
relationships than we are, does that affect

68
00:05:49.560 --> 00:05:55.800
us from a security standpoint an economic
standpoint? Well, you know, I'd

69
00:05:55.800 --> 00:06:00.920
say economic and security are completely tied
together. But you know, just to

70
00:06:01.279 --> 00:06:08.800
give a very very simple example,
you know, Rarer, it's critical minerals,

71
00:06:09.759 --> 00:06:14.319
things that are minded that go into
the technology that we're relying on to

72
00:06:14.319 --> 00:06:17.920
put on this show that we use
in our phones, in our pockets.

73
00:06:19.959 --> 00:06:25.360
If supply chains get locked up by
one country, it doesn't have to be

74
00:06:25.439 --> 00:06:28.600
China, it could be any country. If that supply chain gets locked up

75
00:06:29.120 --> 00:06:33.800
and we haven't paid attention to it
because we haven't put resources into the diplomatic

76
00:06:33.879 --> 00:06:40.439
relations that would keep that supply chain
open for us, what is that going

77
00:06:40.519 --> 00:06:44.040
to do. It's going to have
an effect on whether the availability of that

78
00:06:44.079 --> 00:06:49.240
technology for us, which directly affects
our lives, our economy, and it'll

79
00:06:49.240 --> 00:06:54.839
do things like drive inflation, right
because things are harder to get at.

80
00:06:55.480 --> 00:07:01.439
So when we take a country like
China that is in vesting in building up

81
00:07:01.560 --> 00:07:09.560
ties around the world, if we
were to scale back significantly, it would

82
00:07:09.600 --> 00:07:13.319
have knock on effects for US.
So I think that's you know, when

83
00:07:13.319 --> 00:07:17.360
you're talking strategic competition, it's not
always a zero sum game. Diplomacy fundamentally

84
00:07:17.399 --> 00:07:20.879
is about how to manage the relationship. You try to get to cooperation,

85
00:07:20.959 --> 00:07:26.399
but when you're talking strategic competition there
is a bit of that zero sum factor

86
00:07:26.439 --> 00:07:30.959
that comes in. Fascinating. Yeah, so Dante, thank you first off

87
00:07:30.000 --> 00:07:33.600
for that, for that answer.
But to back up a little bit,

88
00:07:33.680 --> 00:07:36.800
I want to pick up a little
bit with your story, and I want

89
00:07:36.839 --> 00:07:41.319
you to literally start at the beginning
if you could, because I was convinced

90
00:07:41.319 --> 00:07:45.519
that your name is a pen name. I was like, where did Dante

91
00:07:45.600 --> 00:07:47.560
Paradiso come from? Who were you
born to, where did you grow up?

92
00:07:47.600 --> 00:07:53.120
And how did that take you eventually
towards governmental service? Yeah, I

93
00:07:53.160 --> 00:07:57.079
don't know. I don't know where
the government came into that, you know,

94
00:07:57.160 --> 00:08:01.800
I'm a classic New Yorker Irish Italian. Uh. You know, my

95
00:08:01.800 --> 00:08:07.839
my mom's side of the family was
Staten Island through Brooklyn, via Ireland.

96
00:08:07.560 --> 00:08:13.279
My dad's side of the family was
Italian, Southern Italian Bronx classic New York

97
00:08:13.319 --> 00:08:18.600
love story. They met in the
stacks at the Columbia University and the sort

98
00:08:18.639 --> 00:08:22.439
of school of General ad not the
not the she she part of the School

99
00:08:24.240 --> 00:08:26.600
General Studies, right, yeah,
exactly, they were. They were working

100
00:08:26.639 --> 00:08:31.600
in the stacks. They met there. It was the late sixties. Said

101
00:08:31.440 --> 00:08:37.080
and here I am. I started, uh started my first steps, you

102
00:08:37.080 --> 00:08:41.919
know in h Up in that area, you know, steps of Saint John's

103
00:08:41.960 --> 00:08:45.919
and things like that. It got
pulled out of you know, the States.

104
00:08:45.919 --> 00:08:48.799
They were a little bit Bohemian.
My my my mother's father, so

105
00:08:48.840 --> 00:08:54.759
my grandfather was an illustrator. He
illustrated classics, illustrated comics, John Wayne

106
00:08:54.840 --> 00:09:00.600
comics. He did pulp comics in
the fifties. But back in those days

107
00:09:00.600 --> 00:09:03.279
that was a poor thing to do, Like you didn't make a lot of

108
00:09:03.360 --> 00:09:07.279
money. You just turn this stuff
out and uh, but you know,

109
00:09:07.679 --> 00:09:11.840
there was a lot of artistry in
the family. Uh. Come from a

110
00:09:13.039 --> 00:09:20.279
lineage of artists and filmmakers, and
uh, they they decamped. My parents

111
00:09:20.279 --> 00:09:24.000
decamped from New York to uh,
Spain. If you go back to the

112
00:09:24.000 --> 00:09:28.240
early seventies, this is Franco So
this is fascist Spain. Uh and uh

113
00:09:28.720 --> 00:09:35.240
and uh they stayed there a couple
of years and didn't didn't quite work out

114
00:09:35.240 --> 00:09:39.600
as artists, you know. Uh. Uh they came back and uh.

115
00:09:39.720 --> 00:09:43.399
You know, I grew up in
mostly in Connecticut, uh, and then

116
00:09:43.440 --> 00:09:46.039
returned to the city for high school. Uh. And over that time,

117
00:09:46.200 --> 00:09:50.799
you know, uh, I watched
a lot of film. Back in the

118
00:09:50.879 --> 00:09:54.120
day, we didn't have the access
to you know, our kids have today

119
00:09:54.120 --> 00:09:58.799
to everything, so you know,
but that started to influence me. Film

120
00:09:58.840 --> 00:10:03.919
and literature started to influence me about
getting interested in the world and overseas things.

121
00:10:03.919 --> 00:10:07.440
And then, as in New Yorker, you're just all day, we're

122
00:10:07.440 --> 00:10:11.200
confronted with opinions, so you got
to develop some and you get you interested

123
00:10:11.200 --> 00:10:13.720
in the rest of the world.
So that's I think sort of where the

124
00:10:13.759 --> 00:10:16.720
origins of my international interests started.
And so what was the next step after

125
00:10:16.759 --> 00:10:20.279
high school? I mean, you
presumably go to college and some interest in

126
00:10:20.320 --> 00:10:24.919
foreign affairs. Yeah, it's it
really I had kind of wanted to be

127
00:10:24.960 --> 00:10:31.399
a journalist. I had gotten interested
in high school in journalism. I'd read

128
00:10:31.440 --> 00:10:35.840
a lot of you know, literature, you know, folks like Steinbeck or

129
00:10:35.879 --> 00:10:39.960
big influences on me. And then, you know, a child of the

130
00:10:41.000 --> 00:10:43.559
seventies and the eighties, I also
grew up on a lot of the Great

131
00:10:45.320 --> 00:10:48.360
War films like Apocalypse. Now,
you know, these are like seminal films,

132
00:10:48.399 --> 00:10:54.639
and so you you kind of want
to challenge yourself physically and mentally,

133
00:10:54.000 --> 00:10:58.120
and you also want to see the
world and you want to participate in something

134
00:10:58.159 --> 00:11:01.720
that's bigger than yourself. You know. I really thought journalism would be a

135
00:11:01.720 --> 00:11:05.879
great way to do that. I
took a course when I was at Yale.

136
00:11:05.440 --> 00:11:09.200
They had these seminars that you could
take, and they brought in a

137
00:11:09.240 --> 00:11:13.600
guy who was a journalist for the
Christian Science Monitor who had published a book

138
00:11:13.639 --> 00:11:20.200
on Afghanistan, but this was Soviet
Afghanistan. He'd gone in through Peshawar and

139
00:11:20.320 --> 00:11:22.919
describe what that was like. His
name is EDG. Gerr Day, you

140
00:11:22.919 --> 00:11:28.360
know, tremendous reporter. Still does
stuff at a Geneva. He's got a

141
00:11:28.360 --> 00:11:35.919
little company called Global Geneva that still
talks global issues and serious journalism, you

142
00:11:35.919 --> 00:11:39.600
know, trying to tell you what's
going on is not politicized, this is

143
00:11:39.639 --> 00:11:43.799
sort of the story. So he
was co teaching this with a guy who

144
00:11:43.840 --> 00:11:52.440
had worked as a UN lawyer.
And this was ninety one, and you

145
00:11:52.440 --> 00:11:56.759
know, the Cold War was ending, and what he was trying to do

146
00:11:56.879 --> 00:12:03.639
now with the withdrawal all of the
Soviets from Afghanistan, it was a turbulent

147
00:12:03.720 --> 00:12:07.240
time. They were trying to do
was start a d mining effort through the

148
00:12:07.360 --> 00:12:13.639
United Nations. And he was a
lawyer and he was trying essentially to get

149
00:12:13.639 --> 00:12:18.440
the Soviets to cough up maps of
where they put the minds so that you

150
00:12:18.480 --> 00:12:24.600
could actually protect civilians. And I
started to see that there were maybe other

151
00:12:24.679 --> 00:12:30.000
avenues to go down rather than just
journalism. We also didn't have any money

152
00:12:30.000 --> 00:12:33.759
as a family. So you know, when I saw a lot of successful

153
00:12:33.799 --> 00:12:35.120
journalists, I would I would talk
to them. I would say, how'd

154
00:12:35.120 --> 00:12:37.679
you become a journalist? Oh?
You know, I was a stringer.

155
00:12:39.320 --> 00:12:43.279
It's like, how'd you pay the
rent while you were stringing? Because people

156
00:12:43.320 --> 00:12:46.919
could do that, you would you
would string for a while. You know,

157
00:12:46.960 --> 00:12:50.639
you'd write a few articles. People
in the community would get to know

158
00:12:50.679 --> 00:12:52.720
you, they'd maybe get you picked
up by an organization. But you know,

159
00:12:52.799 --> 00:12:56.559
I mean I didn't have any money
to go to a place to strength.

160
00:12:58.080 --> 00:13:01.000
I also, you know, it
was I had the James Woods model

161
00:13:01.080 --> 00:13:03.600
in my mind from you know,
Salvador. If you guys ever saw that

162
00:13:03.679 --> 00:13:07.600
movie from the from this early eighties, I don't think it's a great film.

163
00:13:07.679 --> 00:13:11.679
Yeah, but you know that was
James when he was on the left,

164
00:13:11.720 --> 00:13:15.360
not on the right, So you
know, different James Woods back then.

165
00:13:15.399 --> 00:13:20.720
But so I started to get interested
in, as you know, is

166
00:13:20.720 --> 00:13:26.039
there a way through law that you
could do something. But so I graduated

167
00:13:26.639 --> 00:13:31.039
Yale and was kicking around. I
you know, wasn't quite sure what to

168
00:13:31.080 --> 00:13:37.279
do. And I got called out
by a friend of mine to build trails

169
00:13:37.360 --> 00:13:43.240
in northern California on a trail crew
for at risk youth. The crew was

170
00:13:43.279 --> 00:13:46.879
for at risk youth, and I
went out there. You know, I

171
00:13:46.919 --> 00:13:50.440
took a friend of mine from from
Yale, also one of my one of

172
00:13:50.480 --> 00:13:52.960
my old roommates. He came out
too. So we spent a year doing

173
00:13:54.000 --> 00:13:58.519
that, and from that I joined
Peace Corps. Interesting story though, because

174
00:13:58.600 --> 00:14:03.879
I had wanted to join a navy
and i'd add an injury. And it

175
00:14:03.960 --> 00:14:09.519
was sort of between this program and
the Navy, and they the Navy came

176
00:14:09.559 --> 00:14:13.799
back and they you know, I
took the ASVAB test and they were like,

177
00:14:13.840 --> 00:14:16.879
man, you you scored really well. We're gonna put you on the

178
00:14:16.919 --> 00:14:20.840
nuclear program. And I said,
I'm like terrible at math. I don't

179
00:14:20.840 --> 00:14:26.080
know what. I don't know what
happened, but apparently I sent them too

180
00:14:26.080 --> 00:14:30.440
many X rays to prove that the
leg was good, so they need more

181
00:14:30.480 --> 00:14:33.679
time. And I got the other
offer, and I just went out and

182
00:14:33.679 --> 00:14:37.279
did the trail crew, you know. So and then later I had developed

183
00:14:37.279 --> 00:14:43.440
a little bit of respiratory condition,
so that was that path was foreclosed to

184
00:14:43.480 --> 00:14:46.559
me. So anyway, I ended
up in Peace Corps coming out of that

185
00:14:46.600 --> 00:14:50.919
other thing, and that was my
first real introduction to embassies. I didn't

186
00:14:50.960 --> 00:14:56.480
know much about what embassies did,
but what what embassies do in places.

187
00:14:56.519 --> 00:15:01.039
I went to Kenya and a lot
of peace corps you get kind of dirty

188
00:15:01.080 --> 00:15:09.200
and unshowered over the over the years. And some embassy communities are real nice

189
00:15:09.320 --> 00:15:13.279
and they may open their houses to
the Peace Corps. And so, you

190
00:15:13.279 --> 00:15:16.720
know, when you go into Nairobi, some people would go and stay with

191
00:15:16.759 --> 00:15:20.799
an embassy family and they would have
a weekend that was you know, with

192
00:15:20.879 --> 00:15:24.200
a clean bed and a shower and
things like that. I didn't actually have

193
00:15:24.240 --> 00:15:28.120
those relationships, but I started to
talk to people who were in the embassy

194
00:15:28.120 --> 00:15:31.240
community and learn a little bit about
what an embassy does. And I learned

195
00:15:31.240 --> 00:15:37.240
things like, we have jobs that
you report on the politics of a country,

196
00:15:39.000 --> 00:15:41.559
So it's kind of like being a
journalist, but for the government feed

197
00:15:41.559 --> 00:15:46.600
that information back that determines what are
policy is going to be to the country,

198
00:15:46.639 --> 00:15:50.879
but you're living over there. And
I got interested in that, and

199
00:15:50.000 --> 00:15:56.200
so it took a couple more details, and I came back and I went

200
00:15:58.320 --> 00:16:02.240
still didn't have any money. You
know, volunteer service doesn't really get you

201
00:16:02.320 --> 00:16:07.960
at nor does a minimum wage work
for a trail call, but I highly

202
00:16:07.000 --> 00:16:11.399
recommend that kind of work. By
the way, it was fantastic time building

203
00:16:11.399 --> 00:16:15.519
trails in the Redwoods. But didn't
have any money. And you know,

204
00:16:17.759 --> 00:16:21.679
my set of folks were like,
so law school is where you end up,

205
00:16:21.720 --> 00:16:26.200
And I ended up in law.
A lot of my law school colleagues,

206
00:16:26.240 --> 00:16:30.559
of course, you know sort of
you know, we're in it for

207
00:16:30.600 --> 00:16:37.240
the money. I was in the
sort of you know, idealistic camp.

208
00:16:37.279 --> 00:16:41.039
I guess still sort of hoping to
do international law, and I would talk

209
00:16:41.080 --> 00:16:44.399
to people, how do you do
how'd you do international law? And there

210
00:16:44.480 --> 00:16:51.240
was this lawyer who was a prosecutor, Pierre Prospery became a big name prosecutor

211
00:16:51.279 --> 00:16:56.320
in l A. He was I
think he had Haitian roots, so he

212
00:16:56.399 --> 00:17:04.359
spoke some French. And when the
International Criminal Tribunals came for Rwanda, they

213
00:17:04.400 --> 00:17:10.440
were looking for an American prosecutor because
we had some funding relationship with it,

214
00:17:11.160 --> 00:17:14.599
and so he ends up out there. I said, you know, how

215
00:17:15.200 --> 00:17:18.200
do you get these jobs? I
just fell into it. I don't know

216
00:17:18.200 --> 00:17:21.400
how I'm going to fall into that
job. He had a unique skill set.

217
00:17:22.680 --> 00:17:26.240
There was a genocide, it happened
in a Francophone place, and you

218
00:17:26.400 --> 00:17:33.079
end up with the skill set that
matches. So but like a lot of

219
00:17:33.160 --> 00:17:40.599
us, I'm a nine to eleven
product. So before nine to eleven,

220
00:17:41.079 --> 00:17:51.039
I interned with the State Department in
Tanzania and that was ninety eight. So

221
00:17:51.119 --> 00:17:56.160
they sent me over for the summer
to be a reporting officer as an intern,

222
00:17:56.240 --> 00:18:02.079
and that was the year that the
bombing happened, and so I was

223
00:18:02.119 --> 00:18:06.640
in the bombing, came back,
still needed money, so I took the

224
00:18:06.640 --> 00:18:12.960
corporate law job, and then I'm
up in Boston the morning those planes would

225
00:18:14.000 --> 00:18:15.480
have flown right past my office.
I had an office on the twenty seventh

226
00:18:15.519 --> 00:18:22.359
floor, and I was on the
call with the client. And I'll never

227
00:18:22.400 --> 00:18:26.119
forget it because the first plane hit
and I assumed it was like one of

228
00:18:26.119 --> 00:18:33.079
these little biplane things. And you
know, because of the ninety three bombing

229
00:18:33.160 --> 00:18:36.839
that everybody forgets in the World Trade
Center, I thought it was I immediately

230
00:18:36.839 --> 00:18:38.359
assumed it was a bombing. Nobody
else does, right, but you know,

231
00:18:38.480 --> 00:18:42.000
I kind of just assumed this was
a sort of bombing. I called

232
00:18:42.000 --> 00:18:45.079
a friend of mine. I was
like, yeah, they tried again.

233
00:18:48.960 --> 00:18:52.039
He was in New York. He
hadn't even heard anything. It was the

234
00:18:52.039 --> 00:18:55.519
first he'd heard of it. I
go back on with the client. The

235
00:18:55.519 --> 00:19:02.519
client is asking me about the minutia
of board minutes, and somebody runs in

236
00:19:02.559 --> 00:19:06.599
and says, you know, the
tower is on fire, like this is

237
00:19:06.799 --> 00:19:11.319
It was a This was a jet
plane that went into the tower. And

238
00:19:11.400 --> 00:19:14.359
so I said, look, this
is New York. I'm a New Yorker.

239
00:19:14.480 --> 00:19:15.920
I'm up there in Boston but the
guy is up in New Hampshire,

240
00:19:15.920 --> 00:19:18.960
and I said, I gotta I
gotta go, and he goes, you'll

241
00:19:18.960 --> 00:19:26.920
call me back, I'll go.
I gotta go. So so I went.

242
00:19:26.680 --> 00:19:32.559
I watched with everybody else the second
tower fall, and I'll never forget

243
00:19:32.559 --> 00:19:36.599
that either, because the newscaster on
the feed that I was watching did not

244
00:19:37.000 --> 00:19:41.680
realize the second the towers were collapsing. They were just reporting as the towers

245
00:19:41.680 --> 00:19:45.680
are sort of on fire. They
were just they just didn't know. And

246
00:19:45.720 --> 00:19:49.079
then, of course, because we
were in a high rise, you know,

247
00:19:49.160 --> 00:19:53.240
they we evacuated the building, walked
home. Everybody's out on the streets

248
00:19:53.279 --> 00:20:00.240
just wandering around in a daze,
kind of crazy. And then, because

249
00:20:00.240 --> 00:20:03.960
it's the corporate world, within a
few days, we're back at work and

250
00:20:04.000 --> 00:20:10.920
it is you don't even know.
I mean, everybody's talking about it.

251
00:20:10.920 --> 00:20:15.720
It's a thing. But it's back
to you know, meet the client deadlines,

252
00:20:15.720 --> 00:20:21.240
and the clients are focused on a
whole bunch of other things. They're

253
00:20:21.240 --> 00:20:26.440
focused on corporate governance issues, bankruptcy
issues, finance issues. The next mezzanine

254
00:20:26.519 --> 00:20:30.960
round of a financing for a joint
venture, is it going to be affected

255
00:20:30.000 --> 00:20:34.000
by the events that are happening,
you know, does this effect our you

256
00:20:34.039 --> 00:20:37.880
know, the funding that's coming in, you know, because there's some turbulence

257
00:20:37.920 --> 00:20:42.640
in the markets. I said,
okay, I'm working away. And then

258
00:20:42.720 --> 00:20:49.079
we go into Afghanistan because the Taliban
refused to turn over bin Laden. And

259
00:20:51.480 --> 00:20:53.440
you know, this is you know, two thousand and one now, and

260
00:20:55.279 --> 00:20:59.119
I'm a year year and a half
in and I'm walking around the luffer.

261
00:20:59.200 --> 00:21:03.240
But I'm just sort of I mean, I really enjoyed the partners I worked

262
00:21:03.240 --> 00:21:06.720
with. There were some terrific people
there. But I would poke my head

263
00:21:06.720 --> 00:21:11.119
in I go, you know where
at war. People would look at me

264
00:21:11.240 --> 00:21:18.039
like you're a little different, and
I'm like you had this feeling like,

265
00:21:18.200 --> 00:21:22.720
okay, this is a there's something
larger going on here. It's my city

266
00:21:23.039 --> 00:21:27.200
that's affected. Afghanistan is something that
I'd been tracking, you know, all

267
00:21:27.200 --> 00:21:30.799
the way back from you know,
high school. I think we all remember

268
00:21:30.799 --> 00:21:33.680
that National Geographic cover with the girl
with the green eyes, you know,

269
00:21:33.720 --> 00:21:37.519
I mean that that thing was all
seered into us. Then I'd studied the

270
00:21:37.880 --> 00:21:44.000
topic, and colleges I discussed,
and so I just had a sense that

271
00:21:44.119 --> 00:21:47.440
you know, you got to join
and a lot of other people, you

272
00:21:47.440 --> 00:21:49.920
know, joined the military at that
time. You know, for me,

273
00:21:49.960 --> 00:21:55.200
I ended up with an offer from
from the Foreign Service, and so I

274
00:21:55.240 --> 00:22:00.119
said, okay, I'm taking that
and headed off to you know, see

275
00:22:00.160 --> 00:22:02.920
what I can contribute. Now.
The Foreign Service they don't you know,

276
00:22:02.920 --> 00:22:04.359
they'll say, okay, you're you're
coming in. You're going to go to

277
00:22:04.519 --> 00:22:10.759
Afghanistan, right, But that's that's
sort of how I got in into the

278
00:22:10.799 --> 00:22:14.839
career. Can weind rewind it a
little bit because you you were involved in

279
00:22:14.839 --> 00:22:18.960
a bombing and then and and I'd
love to hear about short experience if you

280
00:22:19.000 --> 00:22:23.680
don't mind talking. No, absolutely, So this is August seventh, nineteen

281
00:22:23.759 --> 00:22:32.839
ninety eight. Dara Salaam was a
you know, bustling but relatively sleepy,

282
00:22:33.039 --> 00:22:38.200
dusty port town. I had just
gotten back from a trip to Arusha to

283
00:22:38.400 --> 00:22:45.039
visit the International Criminal Court where I
was kind of reporting on the activities there

284
00:22:45.079 --> 00:22:49.279
so we could kind of see where
our investment uh. And they again,

285
00:22:49.279 --> 00:22:56.519
they were prosecuting folks that were responsible
for the genocide and kind of wanted to

286
00:22:56.599 --> 00:23:00.480
see how that effort was going.
And this is in northern Tanzania, at

287
00:23:00.519 --> 00:23:06.240
the base of kiliman Jarro, and
it was having a great summer. Again.

288
00:23:06.279 --> 00:23:08.160
I had been a Peace Corps volunteer
in Kenya, so I knew the

289
00:23:08.200 --> 00:23:12.839
region had a little opportunity to go
on safari. It's always great, you

290
00:23:12.839 --> 00:23:22.079
know. And I get back and
we're in a morning staff meeting during the

291
00:23:22.880 --> 00:23:29.039
summer, particularly at embassies that are
smaller in their footprint. You know,

292
00:23:29.559 --> 00:23:34.000
not every embassy is Embassy Beijing with
you know, a thousand people working there.

293
00:23:34.160 --> 00:23:38.440
You know, some of our African
embassies may have you know, fifteen

294
00:23:38.559 --> 00:23:45.200
twenty officers. The summer is generally
transfer season, so you have a lot

295
00:23:45.200 --> 00:23:51.200
of interns, temporary duty people out
there, very small staff. So they

296
00:23:51.200 --> 00:23:56.839
were about ten or eleven of us
in the charge's office. I mentioned charge

297
00:23:56.960 --> 00:24:03.519
is the acting ambassador. We hadn't
had ambassador appointed yet, or had the

298
00:24:03.720 --> 00:24:10.799
ambassador hadn't arrived at post yet.
The charge was John Lang and just a

299
00:24:10.839 --> 00:24:15.200
regular morning staff meeting to go over
you know, where are we with development

300
00:24:15.240 --> 00:24:18.720
assistance today? That kind of thing, you know, who's in, who's

301
00:24:18.720 --> 00:24:26.240
out of the office, and we
hear a large boom is the best way

302
00:24:26.279 --> 00:24:32.880
I can describe it. And then
there was a strange, pressurized feeling and

303
00:24:33.400 --> 00:24:38.559
I was sitting right next to the
charge on a couch just like yours,

304
00:24:41.319 --> 00:24:48.960
and I slouch, which is good
because normally if I was standing up,

305
00:24:48.400 --> 00:24:56.200
the entire window structure went over us
and hit the back wall of the office.

306
00:24:56.319 --> 00:25:00.039
And folks were sitting sort of in
an L shape like me, and

307
00:25:00.319 --> 00:25:04.680
they were covered with debris. But
if you'd been standing, if any of

308
00:25:04.759 --> 00:25:08.839
us have been standing in front of
that window, somebody would have been decapitated.

309
00:25:11.200 --> 00:25:15.880
So people were sort of cut up
in shock, kind of wondering and

310
00:25:18.640 --> 00:25:22.519
it's dar As Salam, What what's
going to happen in Daras Salaam? You

311
00:25:22.559 --> 00:25:30.720
know, you had the trouble in
the east, out in Goma where you're

312
00:25:30.759 --> 00:25:36.920
talking about, you know, the
Rwandans and the Eastern DRC issue with the

313
00:25:37.000 --> 00:25:40.720
Hutus and the Tutsis are still you
know, fighting. This is ninety eight,

314
00:25:40.839 --> 00:25:42.640
right, so you're you're doing you
know, I mean, there's still

315
00:25:44.079 --> 00:25:47.799
still fighting there. So was it
something related to that? Could it have

316
00:25:47.839 --> 00:25:52.039
been some sort of you know,
honestly, gas explosion? Right, That's

317
00:25:52.160 --> 00:25:56.039
that's more what you're thinking. You're
not thinking you're going to be the epicenter

318
00:25:56.200 --> 00:26:04.119
of a of a terrorist attack.
It just but the shape of the embassy

319
00:26:04.400 --> 00:26:10.799
was such that the bomb went off
on a corner and blew out the whole

320
00:26:10.799 --> 00:26:15.519
corner. We were sort of tucked
around in a second wing of the embassy,

321
00:26:15.880 --> 00:26:21.319
so we sort of got the blast
came around. It had come in

322
00:26:21.480 --> 00:26:30.119
under a water truck, water delivery
truck. Massive, massive hole. So

323
00:26:30.480 --> 00:26:33.279
we didn't know any of this though. We start making our way out.

324
00:26:33.839 --> 00:26:38.240
We go one direction and we decide, okay, we got to there seemed

325
00:26:38.279 --> 00:26:44.400
to be some damage where things had
fallen in. I was trailing the whole

326
00:26:44.440 --> 00:26:49.480
group. Our charge was at the
lead. He disappeared. He went down

327
00:26:49.519 --> 00:26:56.039
to our consular section and was digging
out one of the consular officers who was

328
00:26:56.119 --> 00:27:00.319
the spouse of one of our marines
who was buried under the rubb. She

329
00:27:00.400 --> 00:27:07.119
survived, so he had made it
immediately did that. We made our way

330
00:27:07.119 --> 00:27:11.119
out, and you know, we
had a wall in front of the embassy

331
00:27:11.359 --> 00:27:19.640
that was concrete gone vaporized. All
of the motor pool which was parked out

332
00:27:21.119 --> 00:27:29.480
front on the street pancaked. All
the frames melted completely, right, but

333
00:27:30.359 --> 00:27:34.319
we kept hearing pop pop pop pop. Sounded like gunfire. It was tires

334
00:27:34.799 --> 00:27:41.079
exploding from the residual heat. So
We're all standing there. Everybody's in a

335
00:27:41.160 --> 00:27:49.039
daze, and trucks pull up and
ladders come over. I think it was

336
00:27:49.079 --> 00:27:52.960
like, I don't know, fire
trucks, I don't know who's coming.

337
00:27:52.960 --> 00:27:55.960
Maybe it was the local Tanzania.
We made our way over the wall.

338
00:27:56.039 --> 00:28:00.960
There was a French embassy compound on
the far side of a a road.

339
00:28:02.119 --> 00:28:06.839
We went over there and then I
could see everybody was completely dazed, and

340
00:28:07.759 --> 00:28:11.640
so I started doing accountability and just
got out. I said hey, and

341
00:28:11.839 --> 00:28:17.000
I remember my boss, Chris mcmowan
later became an ambassador, a great diplomat,

342
00:28:17.519 --> 00:28:19.720
the head of the political section,
just absent mindedly, you know,

343
00:28:19.799 --> 00:28:25.279
handed me a pen and I took
it one of those old yellow sheets and

344
00:28:25.359 --> 00:28:30.839
started saying, who's here. In
the end, we didn't lose any Americans,

345
00:28:30.880 --> 00:28:34.000
but we lost eleven of our Tanzanian
colleagues, and there were some other

346
00:28:34.039 --> 00:28:40.400
folks that were, you know,
vaporized on the street. And then you

347
00:28:40.440 --> 00:28:45.000
know, from that point on,
we sort of regrouped and we figured we

348
00:28:45.000 --> 00:28:51.559
were going to go to our public
affairs officer's house and we regrouped there.

349
00:28:51.599 --> 00:28:53.480
That was the sort of the the
part that we were going to go back

350
00:28:53.519 --> 00:28:59.599
to if there was ever anything like
this, it's not a contingency plan,

351
00:29:00.519 --> 00:29:06.920
and we may have gone to the
charge's house first. We ended up at

352
00:29:06.920 --> 00:29:08.720
the public affairs house. I think
we went to the charge's house first.

353
00:29:10.920 --> 00:29:15.000
I remember at some point there was
like a fax machine or something and I

354
00:29:15.039 --> 00:29:22.640
saw a printed thing come in that
said this is Israelis think this is Issama

355
00:29:22.640 --> 00:29:27.920
bin Laden. Oh wow that quickly, Yeah, it was like within hours,

356
00:29:29.720 --> 00:29:34.160
right. But the other thing that
happened is where there were like,

357
00:29:34.359 --> 00:29:37.440
okay, so this is a bombing, where at the epicenter of bombing,

358
00:29:37.480 --> 00:29:44.279
we don't know what's going on.
The Marines are trying to secure the premises

359
00:29:44.839 --> 00:29:48.559
small it's our Marine Security detachment and
you know, for embassy workers, these

360
00:29:48.559 --> 00:29:55.799
guys are gold right. Our MSG's
are our core defense. They're under the

361
00:29:55.799 --> 00:30:00.519
control of the RSO, so they're
cut to the Regional security off right.

362
00:30:00.200 --> 00:30:10.200
So it's a unique arrangement. And
the Regional Security officer was immediately liaising with

363
00:30:10.559 --> 00:30:14.319
you know, host country officials.
But they're trying to secure it. So

364
00:30:14.880 --> 00:30:18.039
we still had a whole bunch of
communications equipment in there. I had to

365
00:30:18.039 --> 00:30:23.440
go back with our communicator to with
a sledgehammer yeah, this is how we

366
00:30:23.480 --> 00:30:27.880
did with a sledgehammer to bust up
everything. Because the truth is, we

367
00:30:27.880 --> 00:30:33.319
weren't going to be able to really
fully secure this compound. And you know,

368
00:30:33.480 --> 00:30:36.160
back in those days, there was
still a lot of paper files around.

369
00:30:36.920 --> 00:30:40.279
Then we're burning things, you know, feeding them into an incinerator and

370
00:30:40.279 --> 00:30:44.119
stuff. These days it's a lot
it's more efficient because there's just a lot

371
00:30:44.200 --> 00:30:47.480
less paper. We had paper file
cabinets. You had to break into the

372
00:30:47.519 --> 00:30:52.839
cabinet and so I did a lot
of you know, destruction of the of

373
00:30:52.920 --> 00:31:00.960
the sensitive items with a sledgehammer with
by one other coworker who was her responsibility.

374
00:31:00.960 --> 00:31:03.079
She ran that shop. I'd never
even been back there. I had

375
00:31:03.119 --> 00:31:07.559
no oh we got servers. I
have no idea what's going on. So

376
00:31:07.039 --> 00:31:11.480
but then I remember, you know, seeing you know, this has bin

377
00:31:11.599 --> 00:31:18.279
laden and this is a terrorist attack. But in that early in those early

378
00:31:18.319 --> 00:31:22.240
moments, were like, okay,
so you know, we got to need

379
00:31:22.400 --> 00:31:29.559
Washington support. And we find out
Nairobi's been bombed. So it took us

380
00:31:29.599 --> 00:31:33.640
a little time, but we realized
that this is a dual bombing. And

381
00:31:33.680 --> 00:31:37.279
then everybody was under lockdown because they
thought that Campala was going to be bombed

382
00:31:37.319 --> 00:31:45.279
too, but that shifted everybody's attention
because Nairobi's embassy. Our embassy was in

383
00:31:45.400 --> 00:31:48.920
essentially a suburban area at a crossroads
of two large roads. It was a

384
00:31:49.039 --> 00:31:56.279
dispersed explosion. It crushed the embassy, it crushed the chancery right, blew

385
00:31:56.319 --> 00:32:00.359
out all our walls, pancaked everything, but we had a small foot print

386
00:32:00.960 --> 00:32:07.640
and there were virtually no civilians around
in Nairobi. There was a it was

387
00:32:07.680 --> 00:32:10.799
a complex attack where there was like
a grenade or something went off in advance,

388
00:32:12.880 --> 00:32:16.920
and they're in a downtown concentrated area, and two hundred and forty people

389
00:32:16.920 --> 00:32:22.759
were killed. And you also had
secondary explosions so that people had heard some

390
00:32:22.799 --> 00:32:29.000
sort of initial disturbance. Kenyans had
gone to the windows in these downtown offices

391
00:32:29.079 --> 00:32:35.720
and the windows were all blown over
them. So it was this massive event,

392
00:32:35.839 --> 00:32:40.200
and you know, Washington's attention went
to Nairobi because we were also we

393
00:32:40.200 --> 00:32:45.799
had lost Americans. You had a
collapsed building in downtown, and you had

394
00:32:45.880 --> 00:32:50.759
thousands of people trying to be helpful, you know, complete chaos, whereas

395
00:32:50.799 --> 00:32:55.039
we were in this sort of more
days discreete and we had crowds gathering,

396
00:32:55.119 --> 00:33:00.319
but you know again it was the
nature of the area. So you know,

397
00:33:00.400 --> 00:33:02.559
that was it. That was the
start of you know, for me,

398
00:33:04.680 --> 00:33:08.160
the global warrant at that time ben
Laden was he still in Sudan or

399
00:33:08.200 --> 00:33:12.400
he had been exiled by that No, he was in Sudan. And so

400
00:33:12.519 --> 00:33:17.000
if you guys remember we the initial
response was was to you know, drop

401
00:33:17.079 --> 00:33:23.319
some some missiles on what was claimed
to be some sort of pharmaceutical factory.

402
00:33:23.519 --> 00:33:28.920
You know, I honestly lost the
thread on you know, sort of what

403
00:33:28.920 --> 00:33:34.160
what happened. But that's how you
know this. The Sudanese didn't want any

404
00:33:34.200 --> 00:33:37.559
part of him after that. That's
how he ended up in Afghanistan, right

405
00:33:37.960 --> 00:33:45.440
right, because he was looking for
safe space and we were putting pressure to

406
00:33:45.319 --> 00:33:49.359
on the Sudanese to turn him over
and he just got out of Dodge.

407
00:33:49.680 --> 00:33:54.480
So that takes us through. Then
you told us about nine to eleven propelling

408
00:33:54.519 --> 00:34:00.920
you towards foreign service. Tell us
about I mean, it sounds like maybe

409
00:34:00.920 --> 00:34:06.359
this was your first overseas assignment.
Was was Liberia the first one? So

410
00:34:07.119 --> 00:34:12.760
I count this because I was an
acting political officer. It was an internship,

411
00:34:12.840 --> 00:34:15.480
but you know, I was doing
the job and you know, so

412
00:34:15.519 --> 00:34:19.719
I count that the first formal assignment
was Liberia in two thousand and three.

413
00:34:19.840 --> 00:34:23.360
So I go through the whole you
know, you know process to bring us

414
00:34:23.360 --> 00:34:27.079
in. They give us, you
know, ten eleven weeks of training,

415
00:34:27.639 --> 00:34:32.400
and then you're out the door and
I get to Liberia in April of two

416
00:34:32.440 --> 00:34:36.480
thousand and three. So what's happening
in April of two thousand and three.

417
00:34:37.880 --> 00:34:49.079
Charles Taylor is in Liberia. He's
under extraordinary sanction arms embargo. They had

418
00:34:49.119 --> 00:34:54.360
just done an embargo on Timber to
try to cut off revenues to Taylor because

419
00:34:55.320 --> 00:35:00.440
you know, he had sort of
come to power running a lot of irregular

420
00:35:01.119 --> 00:35:07.280
units. There's a lot of stories
about the early nineties and sort of you

421
00:35:07.280 --> 00:35:15.119
know, his legendary coming in at
Christmas and you know, eventually eventually winning

422
00:35:15.119 --> 00:35:20.920
an essentially internal struggle to get control
of Liberia. He was definitely on the

423
00:35:21.239 --> 00:35:27.119
on the wrong side of Washington policy, so he was on the outs.

424
00:35:27.679 --> 00:35:34.760
But he had allowed his troops to
get because he wasn't paying them to sort

425
00:35:34.760 --> 00:35:42.079
of go loot in internal conflict that
had broken out in neighboring Cote Devoir,

426
00:35:43.280 --> 00:35:51.199
and the Ivorians got mad and they
allowed an insurgency to you know, crop

427
00:35:51.280 --> 00:35:57.280
up there magically, while there was
another ongoing one on the border with Guinea

428
00:35:57.760 --> 00:36:02.039
and Sierra Leone. The Lord rebels, No, it's not the Lord of

429
00:36:02.800 --> 00:36:08.079
right. Yeah, it was like
Liberians united for the Restoration of democracy.

430
00:36:08.119 --> 00:36:12.440
You know. So everybody's got there. And the other one was Modell in

431
00:36:12.519 --> 00:36:21.920
the south. So so Taylor was
now facing two insurgencies from different bases while

432
00:36:21.960 --> 00:36:30.559
being under tremendous pressure, and Liberia
was just sort of collapsing in on itself

433
00:36:30.239 --> 00:36:36.719
and turning into a real humanitarian catastrophe. They had, you know, several

434
00:36:36.840 --> 00:36:45.000
hundred thousand internally displaced people, and
the war started to come into toward Monrovia.

435
00:36:45.159 --> 00:36:50.039
They started making gains because again,
you know, people weren't really getting

436
00:36:50.079 --> 00:36:53.800
paid and the payment was looting,
and the looting was driving chaos and so

437
00:36:53.880 --> 00:37:00.920
it was it was all manner of
bad situation. And so so you know,

438
00:37:00.960 --> 00:37:02.559
my first assignment was to go into
the embassy. I you know,

439
00:37:04.519 --> 00:37:12.800
you get a bid list of potential
places you could go. You're matched with

440
00:37:12.880 --> 00:37:17.559
I had eighty nine people in my
incoming class. There's eighty nine places you

441
00:37:17.639 --> 00:37:21.760
find. Everybody enters. They have
different ideas of what they want to do

442
00:37:21.800 --> 00:37:23.880
with their careers. You know,
there's certain people who they want those parish

443
00:37:23.960 --> 00:37:30.800
jobs. Not a lot of parish
jobs for the entry level officers. You

444
00:37:30.840 --> 00:37:32.679
know, I think I put like
Moscow as my number one. I was

445
00:37:32.719 --> 00:37:37.840
always interested in sort of seeing what
the Russians were up to. But I

446
00:37:37.880 --> 00:37:40.639
had library pretty high, and not
a lot of people had library a very

447
00:37:40.679 --> 00:37:44.960
high, so, you know,
and it was because of the crisis experience

448
00:37:45.000 --> 00:37:47.480
I had, and that again the
sense that you want to do something with

449
00:37:47.519 --> 00:37:52.480
your career, that you're part of
something bigger, different. I knew there

450
00:37:52.519 --> 00:37:57.639
was conflict, and you know,
this is opportunity to diplomacy because for me,

451
00:37:58.199 --> 00:38:00.960
I talked about the management of international
relations because you started with China,

452
00:38:01.159 --> 00:38:07.360
you start with strategic competition, right, so that is the core. But

453
00:38:07.079 --> 00:38:12.960
the core core is war and peace. And you know what drew me was

454
00:38:13.039 --> 00:38:17.360
the same impulse that drew me to
apply for the Navy to be interested in,

455
00:38:17.840 --> 00:38:22.559
you know, working on military issues, is that that if you can

456
00:38:22.599 --> 00:38:29.239
be part of something that stops a
war, you know, that can that

457
00:38:29.280 --> 00:38:32.400
can be meaningful work, deeply meaningful
work, which I just want to point

458
00:38:32.400 --> 00:38:37.079
out the Libera experience is detailed in
your book here the Embassy, not just

459
00:38:37.159 --> 00:38:40.159
your experience but some of your colleagues
as well that you went through there.

460
00:38:40.199 --> 00:38:45.119
And I'm afraid I haven't read it
yet, but I plan too. It

461
00:38:45.159 --> 00:38:51.000
sounds really good homework for you guys. But absolutely so. I would love

462
00:38:51.039 --> 00:38:55.159
to hear because we always hear about
embargos and we hear about sanctions. What

463
00:38:55.440 --> 00:39:00.880
is an embargo? How does US
enforce that of art bargo? And then

464
00:39:00.360 --> 00:39:05.119
at a time like maybe when China
wasn't so much a near peer, but

465
00:39:05.280 --> 00:39:09.800
like Russia may have, how if
we put in an embargo or sanctions in

466
00:39:09.840 --> 00:39:15.440
another country decides to just ignore that, What are the recourses for us?

467
00:39:15.760 --> 00:39:22.679
This is a great and timely question. You know, sanctions I think were

468
00:39:22.760 --> 00:39:28.199
viewed It's a little bit before our
time, but I think they were viewed

469
00:39:28.360 --> 00:39:35.079
as an alternative to military solutions and
as a way to sort of shape behavior

470
00:39:36.039 --> 00:39:43.480
in a world that is completely dominated
by the US dollar. Okay, the

471
00:39:43.679 --> 00:39:49.719
sanctions idea, there's certain things that
you could always do, like deny entry

472
00:39:49.760 --> 00:39:53.440
to the country, an individual sanction
on visas, which you know is perfectly

473
00:39:53.480 --> 00:40:00.239
reasonable. You commit you know,
human rights abuses or something right is not

474
00:40:00.239 --> 00:40:02.480
going to invite you to to the
United States is that you don't have no

475
00:40:02.639 --> 00:40:06.920
right to come here, right,
you need to apply to come here legally.

476
00:40:07.039 --> 00:40:10.719
So but you know, there were
there were a couple things. Uh.

477
00:40:12.119 --> 00:40:19.039
So it was born out of the
discomfort with apartheid and how do we

478
00:40:20.280 --> 00:40:28.840
shape South African behavior or you know, the government's and I hate the word

479
00:40:28.840 --> 00:40:31.960
behavior because we're not you know,
you know, it's not a parent child

480
00:40:32.000 --> 00:40:36.559
relationships. It's patronizing right for us. But how do you how do you

481
00:40:36.679 --> 00:40:42.920
shape or influence policies of a foreign
government? And one way to do that

482
00:40:43.199 --> 00:40:49.760
was, you know, to try
sanctions, and so it was a means

483
00:40:49.800 --> 00:40:53.159
to respond to apartheid. It was
one of the core ways to do it.

484
00:40:53.760 --> 00:41:01.039
An embargo where you stop sending uh
you know, aid has a you

485
00:41:01.079 --> 00:41:07.400
know, is a way to express
our own policy directly into a country.

486
00:41:07.039 --> 00:41:10.920
So, you know, the most
famous examples are from the you know,

487
00:41:13.199 --> 00:41:17.679
the Carter years, where they introduced
really human rights into the as a as

488
00:41:17.719 --> 00:41:21.599
a core part of our calculus.
In the late seventies, and so we

489
00:41:21.639 --> 00:41:27.000
started trying to scale back military assistance
to right wing governments in Latin America.

490
00:41:27.000 --> 00:41:29.639
And then when Reagan came in.
He flipped it and he said, no,

491
00:41:29.519 --> 00:41:31.239
no, no, those are our
allies. We're not giving it up

492
00:41:31.239 --> 00:41:37.519
to the Sandinistas. And so we're
gonna we're going to turn the aid back

493
00:41:37.559 --> 00:41:39.679
on. So the embargo would be, hey, we're stopping that. So

494
00:41:40.639 --> 00:41:47.239
sanctions work if a country doesn't have
friends, Okay, if the country has

495
00:41:47.280 --> 00:41:50.840
a lot of friends, sanctions don't
work. Liberia didn't have a lot of

496
00:41:50.840 --> 00:41:57.199
friends. So, and we were
at a moment in history where Russia and

497
00:41:57.239 --> 00:42:00.800
the Cold War was over. You're
talking late nineties, early two thousands.

498
00:42:01.199 --> 00:42:06.920
China had not exceeded. They just
acceeded to the WTO thanks to US.

499
00:42:07.360 --> 00:42:10.960
They were not an economic powerhouse.
They did not have all these diplomatic resources.

500
00:42:10.960 --> 00:42:17.280
They were still very much dealing with
China and and and you know,

501
00:42:17.360 --> 00:42:22.119
Russia's army was in complete disarray.
They were at a point of you know,

502
00:42:22.559 --> 00:42:23.320
uh, not a lot of you
know, it was the Yelts and

503
00:42:23.440 --> 00:42:30.480
years moving into early early putin.
So the the KGB had not re established,

504
00:42:30.559 --> 00:42:32.079
you know, full control over things. And so here you have an

505
00:42:32.119 --> 00:42:39.000
isolated country that's running a cash economy
right where the key sources of revenue or

506
00:42:39.079 --> 00:42:45.800
shipping registry. It's run out of
Virginia. And you know timber that they

507
00:42:45.840 --> 00:42:49.440
were selling, and so if you
sanction that, meaning you you get agreement

508
00:42:49.639 --> 00:42:54.320
at the Security Council that countries will
not buy Liberian timber. There's no market

509
00:42:54.360 --> 00:42:58.719
for it. So when they go
in and pull in to a port with

510
00:42:58.800 --> 00:43:05.440
the Liberian timber, it can't be
offloaded. So now there's no revenue coming

511
00:43:05.440 --> 00:43:07.559
in. Now what are you doing. You're starving that country of the resources

512
00:43:07.559 --> 00:43:12.079
to do what buy guns to perpetuate
the regime. It's a way to put

513
00:43:12.119 --> 00:43:16.039
pressure on the regime in that case. You know, eventually the objective really

514
00:43:16.119 --> 00:43:22.559
was to just have Charles Taylor leave, but you know the core objective was

515
00:43:22.599 --> 00:43:27.079
to steer them back to democratic elections. That's what we were trying to do.

516
00:43:27.559 --> 00:43:30.599
How did that go when you got
there in two thousand and three?

517
00:43:30.599 --> 00:43:34.400
How did things kind of unfold in
Liberia? Yeah? Well, what had

518
00:43:34.440 --> 00:43:37.280
happened was the sanctions were somewhat effective
again, but it was part in just

519
00:43:37.320 --> 00:43:40.039
the sort of the way the country
was being run. Where money would come

520
00:43:40.039 --> 00:43:45.679
in, it would be cash dispersed. They weren't doing a sophisticated banking section.

521
00:43:45.880 --> 00:43:52.199
There so the regime was collapsing,
and you know, our thinking was

522
00:43:52.239 --> 00:43:57.079
that the war was going to be
going on indefinitely, and so our role

523
00:43:57.320 --> 00:44:02.800
was to try to get the groups
to the peace table. And I think

524
00:44:02.880 --> 00:44:08.360
Taylor started taking some hits in the
south part of the southern part of the

525
00:44:08.360 --> 00:44:15.119
country because of again this new insurgency
that had come up. I think it

526
00:44:15.239 --> 00:44:17.679
started. I think he was going
to try to play the long game and

527
00:44:17.760 --> 00:44:22.679
go to peace talks and kind of
draw it out. But the rebels didn't

528
00:44:22.679 --> 00:44:29.719
really have the ability to overthrow them, and so peace talks were initiated.

529
00:44:29.760 --> 00:44:36.400
They started up these trilateral peace talks
in Ghana, and right at the start

530
00:44:36.440 --> 00:44:42.199
of the peace talks, a court
for Sierra Leone, a special court that

531
00:44:42.239 --> 00:44:50.239
we are Congress was funding with an
American prosecutor again for crimes that they accused

532
00:44:50.320 --> 00:44:54.960
Charles Taylor of committing in Sierra Leone. More backstory to why Charles Taylor was

533
00:44:54.960 --> 00:45:00.639
on everybody's blacklist was, if you
guys remember the Sierra Leone, you know,

534
00:45:00.800 --> 00:45:05.199
conflict was horrific. You know,
they would do things like, you

535
00:45:05.239 --> 00:45:08.280
know, cut the arms off children
and pile them in a pile in the

536
00:45:08.280 --> 00:45:15.960
middle of the village and I mean
just horrific, horrific crimes. So Taylor

537
00:45:15.000 --> 00:45:21.440
was in trouble with this Special Court. The Special Court unseals an indictment for

538
00:45:21.519 --> 00:45:27.480
the head of State of Liberia while
he was out of the country in Ghana.

539
00:45:28.679 --> 00:45:31.800
This led the complete chaos back in
Liberia where they were like, oh

540
00:45:31.840 --> 00:45:37.360
my god, are the President's gone. All of his militia, you know,

541
00:45:37.440 --> 00:45:43.480
started panicking, and so the Ghanaians
were like, you're asking us,

542
00:45:43.599 --> 00:45:46.519
the court is asking us to We
invited this guy for peace talks, to

543
00:45:46.599 --> 00:45:51.400
bring the parties together, and you're
gonna tell us we're supposed to arrest him.

544
00:45:51.440 --> 00:45:55.159
They flew him back. They flew
him back to Liberia because Liberia was

545
00:45:55.199 --> 00:46:00.239
melting down. And who gets who's
the victims? The victims of the population

546
00:46:00.440 --> 00:46:06.000
that's at the mercy of you know, militia that are completely loyal to one

547
00:46:06.039 --> 00:46:12.320
guy who thinks their guy has been
taken off the board and they're gonna loot

548
00:46:12.800 --> 00:46:17.199
and they're gonna rape and pillage and
do damage. And then you also had

549
00:46:17.199 --> 00:46:21.559
rebel groups that were basically doing the
same thing. So the rebel groups took

550
00:46:21.559 --> 00:46:24.760
that as a momentum play. Taylor
returns he gets back command and control.

551
00:46:24.800 --> 00:46:30.679
But the rebels, you know,
the other rebels, the lord attacks the

552
00:46:30.719 --> 00:46:35.360
city and they made it, you
know, further than people thought. Over

553
00:46:35.400 --> 00:46:43.159
the course of the a three month
period, the rebels attacked Monrovia three times

554
00:46:43.960 --> 00:46:49.280
and they ended up taking half the
city and driving everybody into the center of

555
00:46:49.280 --> 00:46:53.360
the city. By everybody, I
mean tens of thousands of displaced people and

556
00:46:53.400 --> 00:46:57.320
people who had lived in the city
in the part of the city that the

557
00:46:57.320 --> 00:47:00.679
rebels had come in. They all
came streaming into the uh the embassy,

558
00:47:02.239 --> 00:47:07.039
into the variety of the environs of
the embassy. Because Liberia has such a

559
00:47:07.159 --> 00:47:13.679
unique relationship with the US, we
essentially gave money to found the country.

560
00:47:14.079 --> 00:47:22.719
The idea was to give former slaves
a homeland back in in the in Africa.

561
00:47:22.920 --> 00:47:25.239
Liberia is like liberty. Yeah,
yeah, that's right. So so

562
00:47:25.840 --> 00:47:30.440
the whole idea of Liberia. So
there's has been this long, unique historical

563
00:47:30.480 --> 00:47:37.039
relationship between Liberia and the United States. Far too complicated. We could do

564
00:47:37.079 --> 00:47:40.079
a whole nother podcast on that,
but but for the for these purposes,

565
00:47:42.559 --> 00:47:47.360
you know, folks had sort of
crowded around the embassy. What was amazing

566
00:47:47.559 --> 00:47:54.920
was at the low point. We
had about six officers and seven marines and

567
00:47:54.960 --> 00:48:02.000
our local guards. So embassies,
the embassy secure posture is generally reliant on

568
00:48:02.760 --> 00:48:08.599
host country security. Hear, the
host country security or contract security, but

569
00:48:08.639 --> 00:48:14.840
there's also a relationship between the host
country security and our contract security. So

570
00:48:14.920 --> 00:48:19.159
in Liberia, because of the ongoing
conflict, we had contract security, but

571
00:48:19.199 --> 00:48:24.360
those are local Liberians, just as
we had local Tanzanians that provide the bulk

572
00:48:24.400 --> 00:48:30.679
of the security for an embassy.
So it's very unique dynamic. And your

573
00:48:30.719 --> 00:48:34.639
marines are really sort of inside the
perimeter, you know, protecting the core

574
00:48:34.880 --> 00:48:40.039
things of the chancery. So you
had seven marines and that, and that

575
00:48:40.199 --> 00:48:45.039
was sort of dealing with hundreds of
thousands of people at the gate saying what

576
00:48:45.079 --> 00:48:50.840
are you going to do to help
us out? What's also happening right at

577
00:48:50.840 --> 00:49:00.079
this time Iraq, Iraq. So
from a US government military standpoint, from

578
00:49:00.119 --> 00:49:09.239
a Defense Department standpoint, particularly Rumsfeld, it was we do not need this

579
00:49:09.320 --> 00:49:16.360
problem. You guys are out.
Colin Powell was Secretary of State and he's

580
00:49:16.440 --> 00:49:22.519
like, this is our credibility for
all of our defense and security architecture in

581
00:49:22.519 --> 00:49:28.960
West Africa. So everybody will look
to see what we are doing in Liberia.

582
00:49:29.800 --> 00:49:31.960
If the United States is committed to
its partners, and we had been

583
00:49:32.000 --> 00:49:37.960
spending a lot of money on building
up echoas the economic community of West African

584
00:49:37.960 --> 00:49:45.159
States, but from a military training
standpoint to handle regional security problems, putting

585
00:49:45.159 --> 00:49:52.360
money into Nigeria Ghana, but it
had been a mixed result. In the

586
00:49:53.119 --> 00:49:58.280
mid nineties, there had been Echo
echoass missions that the Nigerians had gone into

587
00:49:58.320 --> 00:50:04.360
Liberian It didn't work out so well
for anybody. So, you know,

588
00:50:04.960 --> 00:50:07.679
Colin Powell said, no, no, we have reasons to be there.

589
00:50:07.719 --> 00:50:12.719
There's a humanitarian crisis. We shouldn't
just you know, abandon the folks in

590
00:50:12.719 --> 00:50:16.480
a country that we have a deep
historical relationship to. We've got broader issues.

591
00:50:16.920 --> 00:50:23.239
And then there's always in the global
War on terror world, the core

592
00:50:23.400 --> 00:50:28.960
belief right was ungoverned spaces are going
to lead to places that you know,

593
00:50:29.039 --> 00:50:35.599
Al Qaeda and others can take root. And so this is the counter argument

594
00:50:35.639 --> 00:50:37.760
to just what are we doing.
It's totally chaotic because if you look at

595
00:50:37.760 --> 00:50:44.880
it from a diplomatic security standpoint,
a military standpoint, you say, you've

596
00:50:44.920 --> 00:50:52.559
got no way to exfiltrate the airport
is twenty miles away. Your neighbor is

597
00:50:52.280 --> 00:50:57.039
you know, through the jungle.
There are no roads going out there that

598
00:50:57.119 --> 00:51:01.480
are passable. It's you know,
two days drive out through Sierra Leone.

599
00:51:02.480 --> 00:51:07.280
You can't convoy out. You can't
convoy out through Guinea or you know,

600
00:51:09.239 --> 00:51:15.519
you know Cote dey Voors because rebels
hold that territory. So what did we

601
00:51:15.559 --> 00:51:20.119
do. The first thing we did
is the French came sent a warship.

602
00:51:20.960 --> 00:51:24.199
I got in touch with the one
French attache who was there, and we

603
00:51:24.320 --> 00:51:30.920
conducted an evacuation. But the ambassador, John Blaney, said, hey,

604
00:51:30.679 --> 00:51:37.679
here's the case for staying. And
I think it's my estimation that the Liberians

605
00:51:37.719 --> 00:51:44.480
want us to stay. That means
the rebels and the government who were trying

606
00:51:44.519 --> 00:51:49.679
to get the head of state out, they still want us. He's making

607
00:51:49.719 --> 00:51:55.000
that assessment right, And so that's
a call because if you look at it

608
00:51:55.039 --> 00:52:00.280
sort of tactically, if you're looking
at threat streams, you're isolated. You

609
00:52:00.280 --> 00:52:05.440
don't have the assets. So we
evacuated everybody onto this front. By everybody,

610
00:52:05.480 --> 00:52:09.000
I mean we called Americans that were
in town and said hey, if

611
00:52:09.039 --> 00:52:13.079
you can make it to the embassy, well we'll get you out with the

612
00:52:13.079 --> 00:52:16.039
French, because the French were evacuating
the UN and other foreign nationals. The

613
00:52:16.079 --> 00:52:22.320
Lebanese whoever was around, not a
lot of It wasn't a big tourist destination.

614
00:52:22.920 --> 00:52:29.119
In two thousand and three, they
got everybody out and a second rebel

615
00:52:29.119 --> 00:52:32.280
attack happened. Right again, I
told you there were three attacks. So

616
00:52:32.400 --> 00:52:38.000
now you know the number one response
for US is at the time we had

617
00:52:38.039 --> 00:52:45.079
a fast platoon that would come down
from Europe to augment embassy security. The

618
00:52:45.079 --> 00:52:50.039
ambassador of course asked for the fast
platoon. Rumsfeld held it wouldn't act on,

619
00:52:50.079 --> 00:52:53.280
it wouldn't send down, wouldn't let
the platoon go down to starve us

620
00:52:53.280 --> 00:53:04.920
out real stuff. So they end
up because of the high level differences in

621
00:53:04.960 --> 00:53:10.559
the cabinet between Rumsfeld and Powell,
and Powell being the advocate to actually get

622
00:53:10.559 --> 00:53:20.480
something done here, we end up
getting half the platoon and uh and we

623
00:53:20.599 --> 00:53:24.639
got some some seals to augment our
security. So they went in. Yeah,

624
00:53:24.880 --> 00:53:30.400
they went in and uh so,
so we had this this small augmentation,

625
00:53:30.679 --> 00:53:37.159
but everybody had mixed signals because some
people were getting the signal that we're

626
00:53:37.159 --> 00:53:42.360
going to send an aircraft carrier and
we did send an aircraft carrier, and

627
00:53:42.880 --> 00:53:45.960
the ambassador sent a cable because we
needed to request a NEO to get the

628
00:53:46.039 --> 00:53:53.079
aircraft carrier to get out non competent
evacuation operation. Right, and Don didn't

629
00:53:53.079 --> 00:53:58.159
care for that. I'm sure so
well, so so well he wanted it

630
00:53:58.719 --> 00:54:00.679
at that point, he did well
because the NEO is the way to get

631
00:54:00.719 --> 00:54:07.639
us out. What the ambassador did
was he requested the neo, but the

632
00:54:07.639 --> 00:54:13.639
embassy would stay open with a core
staff of two or three people to work

633
00:54:13.679 --> 00:54:19.239
the diplomacy. And that said,
you know, that led to you know,

634
00:54:19.320 --> 00:54:23.679
just real, real, real fights. So the rebels pull out,

635
00:54:24.840 --> 00:54:30.199
they get beaten back, and we're
in this sort of stasis. Charles Taylor

636
00:54:30.239 --> 00:54:32.920
can't leave, he can't go back
to peace talks because he's under indictment and

637
00:54:34.000 --> 00:54:37.960
doesn't know if he's going to get
rolled up. President Bush goes on television

638
00:54:38.000 --> 00:54:44.079
and says, Charles Taylor needs to
go. Now. We talk about sanctions,

639
00:54:44.119 --> 00:54:47.400
we talk about the effect of diplomacy. Right, if you go back

640
00:54:47.440 --> 00:54:52.280
to if you said this today,
a foreign leader may just say, what

641
00:54:52.599 --> 00:54:55.039
are we talking about? Who's going
to remove me? Right? I've got

642
00:54:55.079 --> 00:54:59.719
friends, I've got other spate.
Charles Taylor is looking, what did we

643
00:54:59.840 --> 00:55:02.039
just done to Saddam Hussein when we
said Saddam Hussein has to do it?

644
00:55:02.119 --> 00:55:07.639
Right? He doesn't know, yeah, as a factual matter, that he's

645
00:55:07.719 --> 00:55:14.719
under indictment. Potential ships are coming, He's seeing more marines coming into the

646
00:55:14.760 --> 00:55:20.119
country. Right. He doesn't know
that this is not an assassination operation,

647
00:55:20.440 --> 00:55:24.719
has no idea right right. It's
also weird because to get all these people

648
00:55:24.719 --> 00:55:29.440
into the country. We're in touch
with his national security advisor and his team

649
00:55:29.599 --> 00:55:32.559
saying, hey, don't shoot at
our helicopters because we're bringing people in.

650
00:55:34.760 --> 00:55:40.039
So we're working with the guy.
We're trying to remove fairly complicated stuff because

651
00:55:40.360 --> 00:55:50.320
I once had an analyst tell me
that Americans politicians, you know they they

652
00:55:50.679 --> 00:55:55.880
or administrations. I say, they
just don't understand like foreign mentalities, and

653
00:55:55.920 --> 00:56:02.960
that if they like shake hands with
somebody, then that somebody thinks that America

654
00:56:04.039 --> 00:56:08.880
has their back, and they don't
understand like that. They don't understand that

655
00:56:08.880 --> 00:56:14.599
that could shift two months or three
months down the road if somebody else comes

656
00:56:14.639 --> 00:56:22.320
into office or somebody else's appointed to
a position like that. Americans just don't

657
00:56:22.400 --> 00:56:24.960
understand that. So many of these
people think very long term and Americans think

658
00:56:25.079 --> 00:56:29.920
very short term when it comes to
politics or political Yeah, the way I'll

659
00:56:29.920 --> 00:56:34.920
put it, I mean our strength
is a country is we're optimistic and forward

660
00:56:34.960 --> 00:56:37.639
looking. I mean, this is
you know, and and and you know,

661
00:56:37.840 --> 00:56:45.880
folks who you know are your audience, are people who believe in purpose,

662
00:56:45.280 --> 00:56:51.920
believe in the country, believe in
that that we stand for things right.

663
00:56:52.519 --> 00:56:59.280
But by definition that means we're very
forward looking and we tend to allid

664
00:56:59.440 --> 00:57:04.159
history. We just tend to do
it. And you know, I think

665
00:57:04.199 --> 00:57:08.840
a good example is, you know, going back a few years, we

666
00:57:08.840 --> 00:57:13.840
were on the wrong side from the
African National Congress, from Mandela's party,

667
00:57:14.280 --> 00:57:17.280
were on the wrong side of the
apartheid debate. Right when Mandela came in

668
00:57:17.840 --> 00:57:22.519
to us, Americans were like,
this is a great story, right,

669
00:57:22.920 --> 00:57:29.000
He's a voice of the people.
He's preaching a peaceful right, not a

670
00:57:29.000 --> 00:57:32.440
retributive thing. This is the story
we all want to hear. It's a

671
00:57:32.480 --> 00:57:39.920
new multicultural South Africa, all of
that, and so we love South Africa,

672
00:57:40.079 --> 00:57:45.519
right, and and multiple administrations,
you know, looked at South Africa

673
00:57:45.559 --> 00:57:52.159
as this shining model of multi ethnic
democracy, triumph of you know, progressive

674
00:57:52.239 --> 00:57:57.840
politics, right, South Africans are
like, well, you've still got half

675
00:57:57.880 --> 00:58:02.599
of our people sanctioned as terrorists.
So we didn't forget right, we were

676
00:58:02.679 --> 00:58:08.039
happy that you're you're happy with Mandela, but you they didn't forget that part

677
00:58:08.079 --> 00:58:14.360
of the history. We tend to
be like, but that was that was

678
00:58:14.440 --> 00:58:19.760
like like that was like that was
that was yesterday, and so you know

679
00:58:19.840 --> 00:58:27.400
this is true again, you know, there's a so there's a an ahistorical

680
00:58:27.440 --> 00:58:30.880
element to us foreign policy. We're
looking at we're very much looking forward.

681
00:58:31.280 --> 00:58:34.519
And look, you guys have dealt
with it a new rack. Yeah,

682
00:58:35.559 --> 00:58:38.079
you deal with it in places.
Hey, uh, you know, we

683
00:58:38.239 --> 00:58:46.639
just we were I mean, we
were supporting Saddam against the Iranians, right,

684
00:58:49.320 --> 00:58:51.519
and then all of a sudden,
now we're on the wrong side of

685
00:58:51.519 --> 00:58:57.400
Saddam. So we gave all these
terms to like fulfill. He did it.

686
00:58:57.639 --> 00:59:01.440
He thinks he thinks that like we're
like cope aesthetic now and then it's

687
00:59:01.480 --> 00:59:04.400
like, oh, good off,
he's got to go like yeah, I

688
00:59:04.440 --> 00:59:13.119
mean, and so that can lead
to i'd seen some difficult outcomes or just

689
00:59:13.199 --> 00:59:19.960
misunderstanding. So again, the core
for diplomats and the core for analysts,

690
00:59:20.480 --> 00:59:27.000
the people who are charged with the
long term view is for your ambassador class

691
00:59:27.079 --> 00:59:31.000
and for those to learn the history, understand the history, understand the environment

692
00:59:31.079 --> 00:59:37.320
which you're operating in. As we
define we, our administration, our Congress

693
00:59:37.639 --> 00:59:43.360
define us interests today, you've got
to interpret that in a way for the

694
00:59:43.400 --> 00:59:46.599
local audience so they understand where we're
coming from, so that you can say,

695
00:59:46.760 --> 00:59:51.440
Okay, you know, I recognize
the history. I understand where we've

696
00:59:51.440 --> 00:59:54.280
come from. But here's why I'm
saying the relationship has to get to a

697
00:59:54.280 --> 00:59:59.639
different place or here's where the relationship
needs to be today, because the policy

698
00:59:59.639 --> 01:00:05.639
won't necessarily be taking the history into
account. So rather wrap up Liberia for

699
01:00:05.760 --> 01:00:07.599
us because I'd like to make sure
we have enough time to talk about Afghanistan.

700
01:00:07.679 --> 01:00:13.679
Yeah, for sure. So you
know, in the end, what

701
01:00:13.840 --> 01:00:20.159
was interesting in Liberia is the ambassador
wouldn't leave. He won. He had

702
01:00:20.360 --> 01:00:25.000
the backing of Colin Powell. It
was a gutsy move because you know,

703
01:00:25.079 --> 01:00:30.320
if it goes wrong, you end
up with, you know, a situation

704
01:00:30.400 --> 01:00:35.800
like Mexonity, and you're the person
avery blame exactly. And the messer knew

705
01:00:35.840 --> 01:00:38.559
that. He gave us all an
option he said to the whole you know,

706
01:00:38.599 --> 01:00:40.639
the country team, very few of
us, but he said, anybody

707
01:00:40.679 --> 01:00:45.679
wants to leave, you can,
you can check out. We had a

708
01:00:45.039 --> 01:00:55.880
extraordinary defense attage and she and I
worked together to establish contact with the rebels

709
01:00:57.880 --> 01:01:06.519
and we got the numbers for the
and eventually what happened was again you can

710
01:01:06.599 --> 01:01:13.199
read the details you know at your
own leisure, But eventually what happened was

711
01:01:13.360 --> 01:01:19.599
we had the rebels owning half the
city and Charles Taylor and his group in

712
01:01:19.679 --> 01:01:23.039
the other half of the city,
and civilians caught in between mortars dropping on

713
01:01:23.079 --> 01:01:29.719
everybody. It was like fish in
a barrel. Bad scenes, very tough

714
01:01:29.719 --> 01:01:36.960
time. We were able to go
in and convinced Charles Tayler to leave,

715
01:01:37.280 --> 01:01:40.519
not us. That was done at
senior levels, and he was convinced that

716
01:01:42.119 --> 01:01:45.679
he's going to have to leave.
He ends up going to Nigeria. On

717
01:01:45.719 --> 01:01:52.519
the ground, we crossed the front
lines with a small contingent of folks that

718
01:01:52.599 --> 01:01:59.360
had deployed from JTF Liberia. JTF
was stood up and it deployed in through

719
01:01:59.400 --> 01:02:06.440
the embassy and we took a contingent
of folks from JTF Liberia. We got

720
01:02:06.440 --> 01:02:12.199
an echo mill and West African peacekeepers
were able to come in and we were

721
01:02:12.239 --> 01:02:16.920
able to broker a local ceasefire that
got the rebels to voluntarily pull out of

722
01:02:16.920 --> 01:02:22.159
the capital and allow for the broader
peace agreement to take hold, because otherwise

723
01:02:22.159 --> 01:02:27.559
they could have just fought until the
end. It allowed the broader peace agreement

724
01:02:27.599 --> 01:02:30.559
to take hold that was hashed out
in Ghana and we were able to end

725
01:02:30.599 --> 01:02:34.519
the war. So it was the
core stuff of diplomacy, as I talked

726
01:02:34.519 --> 01:02:43.079
about. So after Liberia, tell
us about your kind of entry into Afghanistan,

727
01:02:43.159 --> 01:02:46.679
how that begins for you. Yeah, So after Liberia, I went

728
01:02:46.679 --> 01:02:55.039
off to Beijing, and then I
was in Ethiopia. And in Ethiopia I

729
01:02:55.079 --> 01:03:02.360
did a TDY to CJTFO, you
know, our counter terrorism platform in Jibouti,

730
01:03:04.920 --> 01:03:10.480
And so I'd had some experience working
with a command staff. And when

731
01:03:12.639 --> 01:03:15.519
two thousand and nine rolled around and
there was a big push to get a

732
01:03:15.639 --> 01:03:22.280
civilian complement to the military effort.
As we started to surge troops into Afghanistan,

733
01:03:24.079 --> 01:03:30.039
they were looking to fill these billets
that had been created by General Ikenberry.

734
01:03:30.840 --> 01:03:34.480
Ikenberry, as you know, had
been the commander of the forces over

735
01:03:34.519 --> 01:03:37.719
there, US Forces over there.
I don't know if he was commander,

736
01:03:37.719 --> 01:03:39.400
but he was. I guess he
was. And then he became ambassador.

737
01:03:39.400 --> 01:03:45.400
He was made ambassador under President Obama. But rather than have a traditional political

738
01:03:45.400 --> 01:03:51.679
advisor that's a State Department person attached
to a commanding officer, he had this

739
01:03:51.800 --> 01:03:59.960
idea that as the military elements ramp
up and you've got you know, two

740
01:04:00.239 --> 01:04:05.159
all the way up to your you
know, command headquarters, that you would

741
01:04:05.199 --> 01:04:11.400
pair civilian leaders that would report back
to him and the embassy, but be

742
01:04:11.519 --> 01:04:17.840
sort of co equals with the military
commanders at each level as I've described,

743
01:04:17.880 --> 01:04:23.280
you know. So I took one
of these jobs. It was a brigade

744
01:04:23.360 --> 01:04:27.639
level. They called it senior civilian
representative, so they would have it down

745
01:04:27.679 --> 01:04:30.920
at the you know, battalion level. They even had it down at the

746
01:04:30.960 --> 01:04:35.480
company level in some provinces, so
company senior civilian representative, you know,

747
01:04:35.840 --> 01:04:40.920
battalion, brigade, and then division. Up at division, we had an

748
01:04:40.960 --> 01:04:44.960
ambassador rank person or a senior person
that was going to be you know,

749
01:04:45.440 --> 01:04:51.039
paired with the generals up there.
So I was paired with initially Task Force

750
01:04:51.079 --> 01:04:56.840
Mountain Warrior, and I went down
and Randy George, who's now the Chief

751
01:04:56.840 --> 01:05:01.480
of Staff of the Army is you
know the uh he's you know, was

752
01:05:01.519 --> 01:05:10.639
the brigade commander and UH sixty five
hundred troops. We were responsible for N

753
01:05:10.679 --> 01:05:16.679
two KL so that was Nangahar,
Kunar, Logman and Norristan. And you

754
01:05:16.719 --> 01:05:19.719
know, we didn't have a lot
of presence up in Norris Stan at that

755
01:05:19.800 --> 01:05:27.239
time. Uh, you know,
but we had thirty five cops and fobs

756
01:05:27.679 --> 01:05:32.360
scattered throughout the four provinces. Uh, and it was you know, pretty

757
01:05:32.400 --> 01:05:40.440
intense combat operations. The main effort
was under the crystal and it was down

758
01:05:40.519 --> 01:05:46.159
south, so we were, you
know, the supporting effort per the campaign

759
01:05:46.239 --> 01:05:53.599
plan. But you know it was
very clear that we needed we were you

760
01:05:53.599 --> 01:05:58.000
know, going heavy into coin.
Well this was this was this was a

761
01:05:58.079 --> 01:06:02.199
coin centered approached to the to the
war. So, I mean we've talked

762
01:06:02.239 --> 01:06:06.679
a lot about on the show,
including about Nurse Stand specifically from a military

763
01:06:06.800 --> 01:06:11.559
infantry special ops perspective. I mean, what was it like for you as

764
01:06:11.599 --> 01:06:15.400
a diplomat to dovetail with that effort
and as you talk about, you know,

765
01:06:15.559 --> 01:06:20.880
wage of accounter insurgency. So you
know, again we talked a little

766
01:06:20.920 --> 01:06:27.559
before the show that it was interesting
because when I was in Liberia, the

767
01:06:28.400 --> 01:06:33.519
command element from the JTF. They
sent a liaison from the ships into my

768
01:06:33.679 --> 01:06:39.079
office, right and you know,
I said, take this space, set

769
01:06:39.119 --> 01:06:41.800
up what you need to set up. We're going to be hand in glove.

770
01:06:41.840 --> 01:06:45.920
But you're coming in on an embassy
platform under Chief Admission authority because it

771
01:06:46.000 --> 01:06:50.039
was not an active combat role.
I mean it was they were in a

772
01:06:50.079 --> 01:06:56.719
combat zone, but you're fundamentally embedding
with us to achieve the diplomatic outcome,

773
01:06:57.960 --> 01:07:02.599
you know, in Afghanistan, and
the civilians were embedded and relied one hundred

774
01:07:02.599 --> 01:07:08.280
percent on the military downrange. We
were opening some consulates. We had a

775
01:07:08.320 --> 01:07:12.760
couple of consulates open up in Bombyan
for example, that you know had a

776
01:07:12.920 --> 01:07:16.920
slightly different footprint because the Taliban had
just not penetrated there the same way they

777
01:07:16.960 --> 01:07:26.760
had self drive for example. But
I was embedded, and this civilian complement

778
01:07:26.800 --> 01:07:30.079
to the military was going to be
you know, development experts, So yeah,

779
01:07:30.159 --> 01:07:36.079
USAID, Department of Agriculture, and
then you know, you State Department,

780
01:07:36.119 --> 01:07:43.639
diplomats. The idea in the you
know, counterinsurgency operation of course,

781
01:07:43.800 --> 01:07:45.280
was that you were going to work
by with and through your partners, and

782
01:07:45.320 --> 01:07:51.679
you were going to build governance in
the in the provinces, because the core

783
01:07:51.960 --> 01:08:00.599
issue in Afghanistan fundamentally was nobody liked
the government, and the government each didn't

784
01:08:00.679 --> 01:08:05.199
go down to the village level.
I mean two thousand and nine, ten

785
01:08:05.280 --> 01:08:13.559
years into the war. Nine years
into the war, you know, you

786
01:08:13.679 --> 01:08:18.199
had a unitary government that would appoint
people down to the district level, but

787
01:08:18.279 --> 01:08:25.640
those people were not from the district. The people were not from the province

788
01:08:25.640 --> 01:08:31.119
at the provincial level. So the
idea, of course was to instill We

789
01:08:31.159 --> 01:08:34.840
also had rule of law experts like
lawyers that went out and the idea was

790
01:08:34.880 --> 01:08:42.960
to first explain to the Afghan people
the constitution that the Afghan people had crafted

791
01:08:42.960 --> 01:08:46.279
for themselves, right because it was
just not understood, explain to them the

792
01:08:46.319 --> 01:08:53.079
benefits of kabble to people who had
very little interaction with Kabble other than the

793
01:08:53.119 --> 01:08:57.560
officials that were given that they could
see very clearly were kind of looting the

794
01:08:57.600 --> 01:09:01.760
money that we were pouring in.
So, but this is the idea right

795
01:09:02.079 --> 01:09:08.439
now, when the structure is such
that we're embedded. The truth is is

796
01:09:08.600 --> 01:09:12.479
you know, you you know,
it's going to take a commander who is

797
01:09:12.640 --> 01:09:15.720
also given the task of doing governance
and development. It's actually built into their

798
01:09:16.399 --> 01:09:23.159
subordinate plans. Right. So you're
talking to a battalion commander. They're supposed

799
01:09:23.199 --> 01:09:27.760
to go out and they have the
relationship with the provincial governor, They've got

800
01:09:27.760 --> 01:09:32.439
the relationship with their company. Commander
has the relationship with people the state department

801
01:09:32.479 --> 01:09:36.640
person in theory should lead on that. But you know, I think in

802
01:09:36.680 --> 01:09:42.159
Afghanistan, given that these were military
leads and the military was providing all the

803
01:09:42.399 --> 01:09:45.960
platform and sustainment, where it was
effective, Where it worked in terms of

804
01:09:46.000 --> 01:09:51.680
the civilian military relationship was where the
civilian understood, how can I be of

805
01:09:53.560 --> 01:09:56.880
use to you, the commander?
Right, And again I say, in

806
01:09:56.920 --> 01:10:00.119
my own organization, this is a
controversial position. You're supposed to lead.

807
01:10:00.159 --> 01:10:03.960
Well, I'm not leading a brigade
commander with sixty five hundred people. I

808
01:10:04.000 --> 01:10:10.560
had forty people in four provinces that
are all reliant on what the command provides.

809
01:10:10.880 --> 01:10:17.920
Right. So the dynamic you work
out is that it's partially advisory,

810
01:10:18.039 --> 01:10:26.239
partially consultative. But I also just
you know, road right, So when

811
01:10:26.279 --> 01:10:30.439
we needed to do things that would
help brief up, we could brief up.

812
01:10:30.439 --> 01:10:34.560
I also report it. This was
an interesting dynamic because what you find

813
01:10:34.760 --> 01:10:40.600
is is that in a true embedded
relationship, by being out of channel,

814
01:10:41.319 --> 01:10:47.840
I could provide the commanders because I
wasn't reporting to them, I could provide

815
01:10:47.880 --> 01:10:51.239
them a perspective, frank conversation.
The other thing is is I could send

816
01:10:51.239 --> 01:10:58.399
things up my channels. He could
send things up his channels if we had

817
01:10:58.439 --> 01:11:01.479
blockages in there of our channels that
were trying to get done, so you

818
01:11:01.520 --> 01:11:05.119
could you could work, you know, the embassy could hear something that could

819
01:11:05.159 --> 01:11:09.760
be useful that could be then spoken
to at the senior command level because the

820
01:11:09.760 --> 01:11:13.159
commander can't speak to up the chain
that way, right, So there's there's

821
01:11:13.199 --> 01:11:18.600
these interesting dynamics that develop in that
in that thing. But you know,

822
01:11:18.640 --> 01:11:25.439
fundamentally you're an in bed and what
you're trying to do collectively is to essentially

823
01:11:25.520 --> 01:11:30.119
instill confidence in a government that nobody
had confidence. It's due to the nature

824
01:11:30.159 --> 01:11:34.359
and structure of this government. It
sounds like you really accepted this role and

825
01:11:34.520 --> 01:11:38.399
kind of dove into it in this
sense that you weren't a subbortinate, but

826
01:11:38.439 --> 01:11:42.319
you also weren't a superior. It
was a partnership. Even though that was

827
01:11:42.479 --> 01:11:46.760
that's not the standard role for State
department when dealing with the military. Are

828
01:11:46.800 --> 01:11:49.800
you aware of and you don't have
to spill any tea or anything, but

829
01:11:49.880 --> 01:11:56.760
are you aware of other instances where
that type of relationship was not so successful

830
01:11:56.760 --> 01:11:59.399
when it was? No? Absolutely, listen, I had you know,

831
01:12:00.439 --> 01:12:04.640
there was heavy pressure to show civilian
leadership, right, and that that was

832
01:12:04.880 --> 01:12:09.239
all the way through, and so
all the time you would see in the

833
01:12:09.279 --> 01:12:15.239
field, even in my aor people
that were subordinate to me that were reporting

834
01:12:15.319 --> 01:12:18.119
up to me, but they didn't
have a good relationship. Their sense was,

835
01:12:18.319 --> 01:12:23.159
Hey, this battalion commander, they're
supposed to take me to my meeting.

836
01:12:23.560 --> 01:12:26.720
Yeah, you know, it's not
happening. You're in the middle of

837
01:12:26.800 --> 01:12:32.479
combat operations. These are combat foot
patrols. If you're engaging, the engagement

838
01:12:32.720 --> 01:12:40.800
is with intentionality that has to meet
the commander's intent for both force pro and

839
01:12:40.960 --> 01:12:45.640
to generate the effects that they're being
asked to do as part of the counterinsurgency

840
01:12:45.640 --> 01:12:48.439
effort. And you would see those
relationships break down, and you would walk

841
01:12:48.479 --> 01:12:55.600
into a combat outpost and you would
see your military command on one side,

842
01:12:56.279 --> 01:13:01.920
or your security detail for example,
for civilians eating in the cafeteria on the

843
01:13:01.920 --> 01:13:06.319
other side, you know, and
you know that's not an effective relationship in

844
01:13:06.359 --> 01:13:11.600
a combat se right, So so
you know there's that would break down.

845
01:13:11.600 --> 01:13:15.640
And then of course you know in
other areas, right, there's just this

846
01:13:17.159 --> 01:13:21.840
You know, you have to come
at it from a sense of mission and

847
01:13:21.960 --> 01:13:27.199
trust, and you have to have
the mindset of, hey man, we

848
01:13:27.279 --> 01:13:32.119
are here. You know, General
Miller always used to ask people in Afghanistan,

849
01:13:32.560 --> 01:13:36.840
why are you here? The answer
is to protect the homeland? Right

850
01:13:38.479 --> 01:13:42.920
in Afghanistan, that was very much
so we were there because fundamentally this tied

851
01:13:42.960 --> 01:13:45.760
back to nine to eleven, Right, that's the core purpose of being there.

852
01:13:45.760 --> 01:13:54.520
But that can break down in you
know, the day to day operational

853
01:13:54.640 --> 01:14:00.520
things and we go into our tribal
put on our tribal hats of I'm supposed

854
01:14:00.520 --> 01:14:04.039
to do governments or you guys think
short term, we think long term or

855
01:14:04.039 --> 01:14:10.000
whatever whatever the tropes are that they
breed the agency during this timeframe. I

856
01:14:10.039 --> 01:14:14.600
mean, for you and the people
you worked with, I mean, how

857
01:14:14.760 --> 01:14:17.319
how did the capacity building side of
it go? Like success is failures?

858
01:14:17.359 --> 01:14:24.399
I mean, what do you think
you know? For me, there was

859
01:14:24.439 --> 01:14:27.119
a part in my biography we didn't
touch that much on. I was a

860
01:14:27.119 --> 01:14:30.800
corporate lawyer right before I came right
for two years, I did finance and

861
01:14:30.840 --> 01:14:34.000
insolvency. What else is So we
talked about what was happening in Liberia,

862
01:14:34.199 --> 01:14:41.479
what was happening in two thousand and
nine in Afghanistan. Afghan back in the

863
01:14:41.520 --> 01:14:47.720
States, the financial crisis boring billions
of dollars. In Afghanistan, we had

864
01:14:47.800 --> 01:14:54.880
senior leaders talking glowingly about our burn
rate and our spend rate. I'm sitting

865
01:14:54.880 --> 01:15:00.560
there with the private sector view going, this is absolutely unsustainable. What effects

866
01:15:00.600 --> 01:15:05.159
are we achieving? Well, I
remember, you know. Then Colonel George

867
01:15:05.680 --> 01:15:12.880
said, Okay, we got Commander's
Emergency Response funds right, you know,

868
01:15:13.359 --> 01:15:19.000
the SERP program right to you know, allow our commanders on the ground to

869
01:15:19.359 --> 01:15:23.880
sort of build things for people.
So you're gonna win hearts and minds,

870
01:15:23.880 --> 01:15:29.119
classic hearts and mind stuff. So
he said, can I get a roll

871
01:15:29.199 --> 01:15:32.359
up of all the SERP projects that
we've done in the nine years we've been

872
01:15:32.399 --> 01:15:36.680
here in you know, Nangahar,
for example. Okay, can we overlay

873
01:15:36.720 --> 01:15:43.359
that with the projects that the UN
has done in the area, and then

874
01:15:43.399 --> 01:15:47.000
can we also ask what the USAID
has done and what the you know why,

875
01:15:47.680 --> 01:15:54.159
because here's the kind of stuff we
were doing. You're in the Kunar

876
01:15:54.279 --> 01:16:04.239
River Valley. It's rocks. They've
had rocks for millennia. They know how

877
01:16:04.279 --> 01:16:11.840
to do retaining walls for their farms. We were paying two hundred thousand dollars

878
01:16:12.199 --> 01:16:19.319
to build a retaining wall. We
were hyper inflating this economy while you knew

879
01:16:19.359 --> 01:16:24.359
the American public would have been outraged
because the American public is losing six hundred

880
01:16:24.399 --> 01:16:29.479
thousand jobs a year and freaking out
and we're in you know, you know,

881
01:16:29.479 --> 01:16:34.720
we're hitting ten percent on unemployment and
you could see this disconnect. So

882
01:16:34.800 --> 01:16:45.119
what effects are being achieved? A
growing insurgency, massive wastage of US government

883
01:16:45.159 --> 01:16:54.560
resources, and a great construction boom
in Dubai for all the Afghan officials that

884
01:16:54.600 --> 01:16:58.279
we were funding, right, this
is what was happening. And if you

885
01:16:58.520 --> 01:17:02.319
asked Afghans, which anybody who was
out there with Afghans did, corruption was

886
01:17:02.359 --> 01:17:09.039
their number one issue. The Taliban
was not it. Right, of course,

887
01:17:09.279 --> 01:17:16.279
if you were frontline shinwar in Nangahar, you've got tribal and issues with

888
01:17:16.359 --> 01:17:23.039
the Taliban. But remember most villages
were ungoverned. I mean they're governed by

889
01:17:23.039 --> 01:17:29.279
their own village rules. The unitary
state didn't come down there, so you

890
01:17:29.319 --> 01:17:33.159
could see very clearly that this was
not achieving the effects. The second thing

891
01:17:33.279 --> 01:17:41.079
is is that as part of counterinsurgency, part of the initial thing was protect

892
01:17:41.119 --> 01:17:45.159
the population centers right go to the
collapse into the population centers, because what

893
01:17:45.199 --> 01:17:49.760
we had done was a theory of
interdiction for a while. If you got

894
01:17:49.760 --> 01:17:55.079
there. In you know, two
thousand and one, we started to expand

895
01:17:55.119 --> 01:17:59.399
the ink spots out through places like
Norris Stan and we're putting you know,

896
01:17:59.479 --> 01:18:05.159
these common outposts out there. Why
oh, because the guys are coming through

897
01:18:05.920 --> 01:18:12.359
these ungoverned spaces. I think it
was the you know, I think the

898
01:18:12.439 --> 01:18:16.800
mindset that we collectively as a government
had was been Lodden planned nine to eleven

899
01:18:16.880 --> 01:18:21.279
from a cave, right. I
think this is the what led. So

900
01:18:21.359 --> 01:18:26.319
you got to go out there to
the Corngall. You've got to go into

901
01:18:26.520 --> 01:18:32.399
capillary valleys off capillary valley of capillary
valleys to find these guys. The reality

902
01:18:32.640 --> 01:18:38.199
was, and you know, General
George was always articulate on this. He

903
01:18:38.239 --> 01:18:42.239
said, the reason we're being shot
at in the corn Cornngall is because we're

904
01:18:42.279 --> 01:18:46.359
in the cornball, right, Yeah, and if you looked at it from

905
01:18:46.359 --> 01:18:53.199
an interdiction standpoint, if they wanted
to pass the corn gall you just go

906
01:18:53.359 --> 01:18:58.439
on the opposite side of the ridge. Remember we're also pre drone. We

907
01:18:58.520 --> 01:19:00.880
had started to you know, like
this is like the very early days.

908
01:19:00.920 --> 01:19:04.520
I remember seeing a kid somebody opened
it up and you know, there was

909
01:19:04.520 --> 01:19:09.199
like a tiny little it was like
the old balsa would thing that you would

910
01:19:09.239 --> 01:19:11.560
fly as a kid. You know, they put a camera on. But

911
01:19:11.600 --> 01:19:15.640
like, we didn't have hardly any
of the real you know surveillance. We

912
01:19:15.720 --> 01:19:18.680
had you know, stuff up in
the sky, uh, you know,

913
01:19:18.800 --> 01:19:25.359
much higher altitude. But again,
you guys will know competing demands, limited

914
01:19:25.439 --> 01:19:29.239
resources. So you've got all of
these things. If these guys wanted to

915
01:19:29.279 --> 01:19:32.039
bypass us, they could just hike
right past. You would have no ideas.

916
01:19:32.079 --> 01:19:36.079
So and then where did where was
bin Laden in the end? Right?

917
01:19:36.479 --> 01:19:41.720
Where was his command and control?
Probably in play? Probably this is

918
01:19:41.760 --> 01:19:45.800
pure speculation, but is in places
like Jalalabad. Why because they have access

919
01:19:45.840 --> 01:19:48.880
to you know, food, resource, communications, the internet and you know

920
01:19:48.920 --> 01:19:54.319
the road that never got hit?
Ever, what was the road that never

921
01:19:54.399 --> 01:19:59.319
got hit in Nangahar? All of
our guys were getting hit with massive IEDs

922
01:19:59.399 --> 01:20:02.119
every time they We're on all of
the all of the surface streets. It's

923
01:20:02.159 --> 01:20:06.319
the main road, you know,
from the Kyra Pass to the base.

924
01:20:08.560 --> 01:20:13.359
So this also tells you what we
knew. Everybody knew it. I don't

925
01:20:13.359 --> 01:20:16.600
know it as a factual. Here's
the specific intel that I'm now referring to.

926
01:20:16.800 --> 01:20:23.920
We all knew the Taliban a making
money off the war. The Afghan

927
01:20:24.039 --> 01:20:27.199
government's making money off the war.
Everybody's invested in it. So you ask

928
01:20:27.239 --> 01:20:30.039
what kind of effects you're achieving.
You could see very clearly we're not achieving

929
01:20:30.760 --> 01:20:39.199
the sustained you know, self government
government. You know, the sustained self

930
01:20:39.239 --> 01:20:43.000
government. You know, where are
the revenues coming from that Afghanistan is going

931
01:20:43.039 --> 01:20:48.399
to use to run itself while doing
this, the government is largely funded by

932
01:20:48.520 --> 01:20:57.479
the international community, and the security
forces were funded by US. So it's

933
01:20:57.640 --> 01:21:01.800
it's not a self sustaining model.
Yeah, that's that's where we were.

934
01:21:02.000 --> 01:21:08.479
It was knowable, it was seeable, so you know, and I think

935
01:21:08.520 --> 01:21:15.279
anybody down range would have would have
felt felt that. So after a few

936
01:21:15.359 --> 01:21:19.399
years when we started, you know, to come out. You know,

937
01:21:19.439 --> 01:21:23.680
I actually wrote on this in twenty
eleven, after I had left, I

938
01:21:23.680 --> 01:21:27.800
said, we should be honest with
where this is going. This is like

939
01:21:27.800 --> 01:21:30.720
twenty eleven, twenty twelve, I
wrote this, and I said we should

940
01:21:30.800 --> 01:21:36.000
just be honest that the core thing, particularly after we got in Laden,

941
01:21:36.199 --> 01:21:42.840
was we we have achieved the national
security objective, which was to take bin

942
01:21:42.920 --> 01:21:47.479
Laden off the off the off the
board. That's a good thing. We

943
01:21:47.640 --> 01:21:51.800
also gave Afghanistan. Look, we've
poured resources into other countries. They've stood

944
01:21:51.880 --> 01:21:56.520
up, you know, obviously,
the famous examples of Germany and Japan and

945
01:21:56.920 --> 01:22:00.720
South Korea. You know, South
Korea, you know, we So there's

946
01:22:00.760 --> 01:22:03.399
a It's not like pouring in resources
to a partner means a partner is going

947
01:22:03.439 --> 01:22:10.239
to be forever dependent. It's just
the way Afghanistan ended up developing, the

948
01:22:10.279 --> 01:22:14.960
way the economy developed, the way
the officials chose to interact with us,

949
01:22:15.199 --> 01:22:17.279
what they chose to do with the
resources. You know. One of the

950
01:22:17.279 --> 01:22:24.359
things I like when I think back
on Afghanistan is you can see it as

951
01:22:25.119 --> 01:22:28.079
a failure from a certain perspective,
but on the other hand, I look

952
01:22:28.119 --> 01:22:33.039
at it as we achieved national security
effects that we needed to achieve. We

953
01:22:33.199 --> 01:22:39.119
gave our partners every chance to go
in a different route. The fact that

954
01:22:39.159 --> 01:22:45.920
it didn't go there is not for
lack of you know, generations of soldiers,

955
01:22:45.960 --> 01:22:51.760
civilians, contractors, you know,
people who put good faith into trying

956
01:22:51.760 --> 01:22:57.319
to make it work. That to
me, that work doesn't go away.

957
01:22:58.039 --> 01:23:01.680
And for all of us who have
Afghan friends, you know, people that

958
01:23:01.760 --> 01:23:06.760
we know have experienced difficulty, who
are still stuck back there, some who've

959
01:23:06.800 --> 01:23:11.680
made it out. I mean,
you know, that partnership was real,

960
01:23:12.600 --> 01:23:17.720
you know, but it was overcome
by the structures that we're employee. Yeah,

961
01:23:17.760 --> 01:23:23.199
Afghanistan is really interesting because, like
you, I feel like people talk

962
01:23:23.239 --> 01:23:25.840
about losing the war in Afghanistan and
it's sort of like, well, we

963
01:23:25.920 --> 01:23:29.359
won, like we won in the
first thirty days. Then we decided to

964
01:23:29.520 --> 01:23:33.600
just stay after the party was already
over, and then it was just became

965
01:23:33.760 --> 01:23:38.840
very nebulous. And you know you
mentioned like you know Germany and Japan,

966
01:23:39.279 --> 01:23:43.920
Well there you're funding a government that
is building projects in a tribal area,

967
01:23:43.960 --> 01:23:46.680
which I don't think. I don't
know if any administration ever really got in

968
01:23:46.720 --> 01:23:54.000
a tribal area like Afghanistan. That's
not there's no there's no Afghanistan National identity.

969
01:23:54.079 --> 01:23:58.640
Really like when you fund somebody,
you're funding a tribe and it's going

970
01:23:58.640 --> 01:24:02.279
to their tribe members who they install
in all the different regions. Like it's

971
01:24:02.760 --> 01:24:05.760
we went in there and we tried
to impose a federal system where we have

972
01:24:05.960 --> 01:24:09.119
Yeah, it's like, no,
it's a system of tribes, Like,

973
01:24:09.159 --> 01:24:11.800
well, shut up, you're going
to have a federal system. Yeah,

974
01:24:11.960 --> 01:24:15.800
yeah, I mean, I you
know, I strongly agree with that.

975
01:24:15.880 --> 01:24:18.920
As as the as the core it's
a unitary state where people were being appointed

976
01:24:18.960 --> 01:24:25.760
from a central government. I always
the way I always looked at it was

977
01:24:26.680 --> 01:24:30.079
imagine, look, I'm a New
Yorker man, if I'm if you send

978
01:24:30.079 --> 01:24:34.000
me to Texas to tell somebody how
to run their town, it's not going

979
01:24:34.079 --> 01:24:38.439
to go that way, right.
And so as a result, you know,

980
01:24:38.880 --> 01:24:45.520
it was interesting that we as a
as a as a as a core

981
01:24:45.000 --> 01:24:49.520
self government like govern your own like
this is the core of in the DNA

982
01:24:49.560 --> 01:24:55.600
of America, that we were fundamentally
supporting a structure that does have models of

983
01:24:55.720 --> 01:24:58.760
Pakistan runs that model. There are
other countries in the region. It's not

984
01:24:58.760 --> 01:25:01.079
like it's a you know, and
they had a history of a monarch in

985
01:25:01.119 --> 01:25:05.560
Afghanistan, they used to central authority, but that we would be the ones

986
01:25:05.560 --> 01:25:12.960
to say that this is the model
that has to be and not approach it

987
01:25:13.000 --> 01:25:17.319
differently, because obviously the model they
got constructed and put together was put together

988
01:25:17.399 --> 01:25:23.840
by people from the diaspora and things
like that, and you know, yeah,

989
01:25:23.880 --> 01:25:28.199
they brought in, you know,
a number of constituents, but fundamentally

990
01:25:28.399 --> 01:25:34.279
it was our money that kept backing
that particular system. So it made it

991
01:25:34.359 --> 01:25:40.800
hard I think for us, you
know, as a government to reassess that

992
01:25:41.760 --> 01:25:48.000
just the collective weight the accretion of
the project over years. The other thing

993
01:25:48.000 --> 01:25:54.520
though, in the accretion though,
is interesting because remember that Rumsfeld on this

994
01:25:54.640 --> 01:25:59.479
case didn't want troops on the ground, right, It felt strongly that we

995
01:25:59.520 --> 01:26:04.079
shouldn't get ourselves involved. Now he
contradicts himself by then running the whole Iraq

996
01:26:04.159 --> 01:26:10.800
war, right, And it's a
contradiction is the reasons he had were very

997
01:26:10.800 --> 01:26:14.439
well founded to not get involved in
Afghanistan. He just blew those out of

998
01:26:14.479 --> 01:26:20.399
the water in a rock. But
the accretion of our forces there came from

999
01:26:20.439 --> 01:26:27.640
a demand signal from the Afghans and
also international partners, including the NGO community,

1000
01:26:27.680 --> 01:26:30.520
who was saying, hey, there's
not enough security you can't go in

1001
01:26:30.560 --> 01:26:34.920
this war in Iraq and just forget
Afghanistan. So it was a weird dynamic

1002
01:26:34.960 --> 01:26:42.119
where there was a demand signal from
communities that you wouldn't naturally say would have

1003
01:26:42.119 --> 01:26:45.640
a demand signal for US forces.
Now by two thousand and nine, when

1004
01:26:45.640 --> 01:26:47.399
you're coming in with a heavy footprint, suddenly that signal is, oh my

1005
01:26:47.439 --> 01:26:51.680
god, you're escalating the war.
But it was you know, I think

1006
01:26:51.680 --> 01:26:59.159
that we we ended up having multiple
missions, right, because it's also backed

1007
01:26:59.159 --> 01:27:03.920
in the whole you know, neo
conservative worldview, which is create democratic society.

1008
01:27:04.039 --> 01:27:11.359
So one is democratic society is as
partners for us and expand democracy that

1009
01:27:11.399 --> 01:27:14.680
came out of the bush hears.
You know, you're doing that with your

1010
01:27:14.720 --> 01:27:17.000
aid people who are like, hey, the reason for this is to because

1011
01:27:17.000 --> 01:27:20.239
we can't abandon the people. If
you abandon the people, you know you're

1012
01:27:20.279 --> 01:27:26.760
going to end up with an ungoverned
space, a humanitarian catastrophe. So that's

1013
01:27:26.760 --> 01:27:30.640
irrationale for the war, and we
sort of drifted away from Hey, the

1014
01:27:30.640 --> 01:27:33.680
core reason we're we're the Taliban is
they didn't turn over bin Laden, and

1015
01:27:33.760 --> 01:27:38.920
had they turned over been Laden,
we wouldn't have been at war, but

1016
01:27:39.000 --> 01:27:44.319
we went into a whole bunch of
other justifications, and you know, so

1017
01:27:44.760 --> 01:27:47.640
that's how we ended up where we
were. Well to fast forward a bit.

1018
01:27:47.680 --> 01:27:51.439
I mean, you've had some other
experiences too. I hope if we

1019
01:27:51.479 --> 01:27:57.079
can't get into tonight another time for
sure, but I want to fast forward

1020
01:27:57.079 --> 01:28:00.000
a little bit because you were involved
in sort of the end game Afghanistan as

1021
01:28:00.000 --> 01:28:03.399
well. I was wondering if you
could talk to us a bit about that.

1022
01:28:03.680 --> 01:28:09.399
Yeah, sure, I was.
You know, I got an assignment.

1023
01:28:09.640 --> 01:28:15.079
There was a unique assignment that in
twenty eighteen, they stood up a

1024
01:28:15.439 --> 01:28:20.439
peace and reconciliation section in the embassy, thinking that we needed to get a

1025
01:28:20.479 --> 01:28:27.439
peace process going because there was no
discussions of note with the Taliban. And

1026
01:28:28.600 --> 01:28:33.399
they started this section with the idea
that there would be bottom up, that

1027
01:28:33.439 --> 01:28:38.760
we would be reaching out to the
provinces and at the district level and trying

1028
01:28:38.760 --> 01:28:45.479
to see if there are folks out
there that can reach out and start to

1029
01:28:45.560 --> 01:28:54.800
build some consensus around a national way
forward that comes bottom up. But about

1030
01:28:54.840 --> 01:29:00.119
a year after they stood that up, or almost soon after they stood it

1031
01:29:00.199 --> 01:29:03.000
up, not even a year soon
after they stood that up, President Trump

1032
01:29:03.039 --> 01:29:08.399
came into office. And decided that
we should just do a top down approach,

1033
01:29:09.039 --> 01:29:15.239
that it's time to rept this war
up, and that means a direct

1034
01:29:15.239 --> 01:29:24.319
negotiations with the Taliban. And so
this section which reported to Ambassador Bass through

1035
01:29:25.319 --> 01:29:31.560
the DCM. Karen Decker also served
as Ambassador Khalil Zad, who became the

1036
01:29:31.600 --> 01:29:38.479
special envoy that was going to take
on the direct negotiations. It was going

1037
01:29:38.520 --> 01:29:43.039
to support him when he was in
Kabble because the negotiations were not going to

1038
01:29:43.079 --> 01:29:46.279
happen in Kabble. The negotiations,
you know, the Taliban were not in

1039
01:29:46.359 --> 01:29:53.319
Kabble at the time. They were
in Doha and they were in Pakistan and

1040
01:29:53.399 --> 01:29:57.199
so where we were going to engage
them was going to be somewhere other than

1041
01:29:57.279 --> 01:30:03.319
Kable. But we had to keep
the government closely informed. It was a

1042
01:30:03.479 --> 01:30:10.880
choice to and you know, certainly
a Taliban ask that we negotiate directly with

1043
01:30:10.960 --> 01:30:16.880
the Taliban and not include the government
of Afghanistan. The Taliban always were clear

1044
01:30:16.960 --> 01:30:23.119
that they only wanted to negotiate with
us, that the central government was a

1045
01:30:23.159 --> 01:30:28.880
proxy government for us, and so
as a way to catalyze the negotiations,

1046
01:30:29.479 --> 01:30:36.720
we were going to talk to the
Taliban directly and then essentially keep the government's

1047
01:30:36.760 --> 01:30:44.279
equities close at heart and keep them
briefed very closely of what we would be

1048
01:30:44.399 --> 01:30:49.960
doing. The government never felt that
they were a true partner in the Afghan

1049
01:30:50.039 --> 01:30:54.760
government never felt that they were a
true partner in that process ever. But

1050
01:30:55.600 --> 01:30:59.840
this was the arrangement. And so
when Ambassador Khalil's out in his team came

1051
01:30:59.880 --> 01:31:03.479
in to Kabble, my office became
the support structure to go to all the

1052
01:31:03.520 --> 01:31:09.680
meetings, take the notes, and
provide feedback and input into that process.

1053
01:31:10.039 --> 01:31:16.960
But again working for Ambassador Bass,
so it was an interesting dynamic. And

1054
01:31:17.000 --> 01:31:26.560
then what happened was after we got
to agreement, I left and I came

1055
01:31:26.720 --> 01:31:32.680
back for the last let's say five
months in Doha working directly for Ambassador Jhalilzad.

1056
01:31:34.279 --> 01:31:41.720
We had a military touch point that
was under General Miller's command with the

1057
01:31:41.760 --> 01:31:45.399
Taliban. So for the last,
you know, year after the agreement,

1058
01:31:45.479 --> 01:31:50.199
this was to kind of give the
Taliban a touch point with us because they

1059
01:31:50.319 --> 01:31:56.439
would keep complaining that we violated the
agreement, and we could from a military

1060
01:31:56.479 --> 01:32:00.439
perspective explain, no, no,
no, no, we're in complyingiens with

1061
01:32:00.479 --> 01:32:08.800
the agreement. And I became the
ambassador Khalilzad's representative on that group that was

1062
01:32:08.840 --> 01:32:14.920
reporting to General Miller. Can you
tell us what so Trump wanted out of

1063
01:32:14.960 --> 01:32:19.439
Afghanistan? You guys were trying to
make it happen. What were the US's

1064
01:32:19.520 --> 01:32:24.640
chief goals and you know, sort
of hardlaments, soft liments. What were

1065
01:32:24.680 --> 01:32:29.279
the Taliban's chief goals their hard limits, their soft limits for making this agreement

1066
01:32:29.319 --> 01:32:33.079
happen. Well, I think for
making the agreement happen. You know,

1067
01:32:33.199 --> 01:32:38.720
I was not in the room for
the negotiation phase of the agreement. I

1068
01:32:38.760 --> 01:32:42.079
got there when the agreement was all
but done, and we can talk a

1069
01:32:42.079 --> 01:32:45.199
little bit about that period, you
know, when I arrived on the scene.

1070
01:32:45.239 --> 01:32:49.880
But you know, the Taliban were
always clear that it would be basically

1071
01:32:49.960 --> 01:32:55.079
to give them the government. That
was it, that there was going to

1072
01:32:55.079 --> 01:32:58.479
be a new government, and it
was going to be a Taliban led government.

1073
01:32:58.520 --> 01:33:04.239
That was their objective from the beginning. The real question was whether there

1074
01:33:04.359 --> 01:33:12.159
was any accommodation possible, meaning you
know, the goal ultimately for US would

1075
01:33:12.159 --> 01:33:15.840
be that they would be brought into
the existing construct in some way, shape

1076
01:33:15.920 --> 01:33:20.359
or form, so you can call
it power sharing, not predetermined by US

1077
01:33:20.720 --> 01:33:25.319
so Ambassador khalilza did not want us
to predetermine it. But what the goal

1078
01:33:25.399 --> 01:33:30.399
was to get the Afghan government leadership
into the room with the Taliban to negotiate

1079
01:33:30.479 --> 01:33:36.079
that. So his objectives, Ambassador
Khalilzad's objectives and what I think, you

1080
01:33:36.159 --> 01:33:42.279
know, essentially the deal with the
administration was was if we're coming out and

1081
01:33:42.319 --> 01:33:46.359
the intent is to end this war, the American war in Afghanistan, if

1082
01:33:46.399 --> 01:33:50.600
we just come out, it'll be
chaotic, it'll be dangerous, and we

1083
01:33:50.680 --> 01:33:56.159
get nothing. There's nothing we leave
behind, right we At the time,

1084
01:33:56.880 --> 01:34:01.399
the thinking was that it would be
likely a civil war that the Taliban couldn't

1085
01:34:01.439 --> 01:34:06.840
just win because there's so many other
constituencies in a loaded country, right that

1086
01:34:06.920 --> 01:34:12.479
you would have a rerun of the
early nineties where there was this horrific civil

1087
01:34:12.479 --> 01:34:16.079
war. You know, the Taliban
had done a lot of work and this

1088
01:34:16.239 --> 01:34:23.279
obviously became apparent later eroding all of
those other constituencies, either buying them off.

1089
01:34:23.720 --> 01:34:29.479
Something was happening, because in the
end we did not see a civil

1090
01:34:29.520 --> 01:34:32.720
war breakout. We saw the Taliban
take Cobble with less than three thousand people

1091
01:34:34.359 --> 01:34:39.680
six million people, less than three
thousand people there were more than enough capabilities

1092
01:34:39.680 --> 01:34:43.199
to defend Cobble, and you know, yet everybody went to ground. The

1093
01:34:43.239 --> 01:34:46.800
whole thing dissolve. So that tells
you that the Taliban had made a lot

1094
01:34:46.840 --> 01:34:50.439
of inroads all around the countries,
particularly in the north. You know,

1095
01:34:51.359 --> 01:34:57.920
for anybody who had been up there
in previous years to then go back in

1096
01:34:57.960 --> 01:35:01.560
twenty nineteen and twenty twenty and find
out the North is basically you know,

1097
01:35:02.359 --> 01:35:08.520
you know, Mazarli, Mazar sharif
Is is basically nearly under Taliban control.

1098
01:35:08.560 --> 01:35:11.199
You're like, you've lost the how
can you lose the problems? For me,

1099
01:35:11.439 --> 01:35:15.560
I knew things were over when it
was a couple of weeks is maybe

1100
01:35:15.720 --> 01:35:19.359
maybe it was a month before Ghani
fled the country. His office put out

1101
01:35:19.359 --> 01:35:24.960
like a press release about building a
hydro electric dam in Kunda's and like,

1102
01:35:24.960 --> 01:35:27.239
we have this big plan, We're
going to build this hydro electric dam.

1103
01:35:27.279 --> 01:35:30.520
It's like, well, Kunda has
already fell of the Taliban, you're talking

1104
01:35:30.520 --> 01:35:33.600
about building it, Like the priorities
are so off and so weird. Yeah,

1105
01:35:33.640 --> 01:35:36.680
that is like you just knew this
wasn't going to end. It was

1106
01:35:36.760 --> 01:35:41.399
sort of there were a lot of
mismatches going on there. But so the

1107
01:35:41.720 --> 01:35:46.319
core objectives that that Investad Khalilza was
trying to get at was one to get

1108
01:35:46.359 --> 01:35:53.399
the Taliban to break with al Qaeda
and transnational terrorism al Qaida specifically because of

1109
01:35:53.439 --> 01:35:58.520
the history, but also transnational terrorism, that you're not going to use Afghanistan

1110
01:35:58.560 --> 01:36:02.399
as a platform to attack other entries. Second, and you know, second

1111
01:36:02.960 --> 01:36:11.880
equally, you know, critical priority
is that our withdrawal be not a hostile

1112
01:36:11.920 --> 01:36:15.960
withdrawal, that that when we come
out, they're not going to be attacking

1113
01:36:15.039 --> 01:36:17.800
us on the x filtration. That
we're going to get to an agreement.

1114
01:36:18.399 --> 01:36:27.640
You know. The third critical point
was that the Afghans would have the opportunity

1115
01:36:27.720 --> 01:36:31.920
to come to a peace agreement that
we would be committing to, you know,

1116
01:36:32.840 --> 01:36:39.199
a peace agreement. And so,
you know, he viewed these goals

1117
01:36:39.279 --> 01:36:45.800
as all very interlocking goals. There's
four elements and I am forgetting one.

1118
01:36:45.960 --> 01:36:50.840
But so was there any sort of
was there any with that peace agreement or

1119
01:36:50.960 --> 01:36:57.479
or aside from that, was there
any sort of thought of amnesty for like

1120
01:36:57.520 --> 01:37:01.960
the Afghan national forces who'd against the
Taliban, or was there any like no,

1121
01:37:02.000 --> 01:37:08.640
because because it was never presupposed,
never that the Afghan government would collapse.

1122
01:37:08.760 --> 01:37:12.760
You know, what you're dealing with
in peace agreements. Often in these

1123
01:37:12.840 --> 01:37:17.239
kind of piece agreements is what we
euphemistically call security sector reform, which means

1124
01:37:17.520 --> 01:37:23.000
you bring the irregular elements. In
this case, it would be the Taliban

1125
01:37:23.399 --> 01:37:28.000
into the professional military that has been
built right. Right, So we've all

1126
01:37:28.079 --> 01:37:31.640
seen the images of these guys driving
around in our funded APCs, right,

1127
01:37:31.720 --> 01:37:34.840
But the idea would have been,
rather than to have the unit dissolved,

1128
01:37:34.960 --> 01:37:42.319
the expertise dissolved, the logistics supply
channel dissolve, they're coming into these existing

1129
01:37:42.359 --> 01:37:48.000
structures that in theory are functional and
operational, right, and we're not losing

1130
01:37:48.039 --> 01:37:55.159
all of that capacity to a civil
war. So it was never amnesty for

1131
01:37:55.239 --> 01:37:58.119
the Afghan government. If anything,
the question would be, Oh, the

1132
01:37:58.159 --> 01:38:02.000
other thing that the Taliban very much
wanted was removal of sanctions. Individual Taliban

1133
01:38:02.000 --> 01:38:08.000
are all sanctioned because they're terrorists,
right, Okay, so you know they've

1134
01:38:08.079 --> 01:38:12.760
killed people, including Americans, so
they're on sanctions, you know, individual

1135
01:38:12.800 --> 01:38:15.880
sanction, financial travel, et cetera. So the Taliban of course wanted that

1136
01:38:16.800 --> 01:38:20.840
that peace removed. But for us, it's okay, you know, if

1137
01:38:20.880 --> 01:38:25.199
we're going to go down that path, you are going to break the ties

1138
01:38:25.239 --> 01:38:29.479
with al Qaeda, and you are
going to commit to not becoming a terrorist

1139
01:38:29.600 --> 01:38:32.680
state, right to state sponsors terresponding
to that, well, I mean they

1140
01:38:32.760 --> 01:38:41.159
negotiated that they would essentially do that. The reality on the ground is that

1141
01:38:41.199 --> 01:38:47.640
we killed you know, Zawahiri,
who was celebrating, you know. With

1142
01:38:47.680 --> 01:38:53.359
that said, I will say that's
a good example of why it was once

1143
01:38:53.399 --> 01:38:58.399
we got out, we actually achieved
the biggest, the second biggest effect that

1144
01:38:58.439 --> 01:39:01.119
we could have achieved, probably because
we weren't there, because he's not being

1145
01:39:01.199 --> 01:39:04.079
hidden by those guys and he thought
he was in a safe space. Right

1146
01:39:04.159 --> 01:39:09.600
So, so in some senses we
achieved the effect on that particular target,

1147
01:39:09.680 --> 01:39:15.439
and that is a significant target,
right. So, but but it is

1148
01:39:15.479 --> 01:39:19.239
in the agreement, right the county
that their counter terrorism commitments are in the

1149
01:39:19.319 --> 01:39:25.159
agreement, and you know, even
you know, to this day, there's

1150
01:39:25.399 --> 01:39:30.880
you know, you can see that
they have gone full Taliban right in terms

1151
01:39:30.920 --> 01:39:33.560
of how they're governing the country,
in terms of where they are. But

1152
01:39:35.479 --> 01:39:41.640
you know, there's still the idea
for the Taliban, and it will eventually

1153
01:39:41.680 --> 01:39:45.319
fade that there could be some sort
of arrangement with the United States that can

1154
01:39:45.359 --> 01:39:49.479
achieve these other effects that they want, and so that that element is there,

1155
01:39:50.119 --> 01:39:56.000
the core thing that that was achieved
because the other pieces didn't come together.

1156
01:39:56.319 --> 01:40:01.239
The governance piece, the peace agreement
between Taliban in the Afghans was not

1157
01:40:01.880 --> 01:40:10.439
tied to the timetable of our withdrawal. Right, so in theory we would

1158
01:40:10.439 --> 01:40:14.800
come out and that wouldn't have been
didn't necessarily have to be done. The

1159
01:40:14.880 --> 01:40:17.920
idea was to have it done.
But you know, it wasn't. It

1160
01:40:17.960 --> 01:40:20.479
wasn't. It didn't talk to us
a little bit about that. It's I

1161
01:40:20.560 --> 01:40:26.039
mean, the deal is negotiated.
Eventually we signed a deal. Yeah,

1162
01:40:26.560 --> 01:40:29.800
what happens next? And how do
things? You know, I think we

1163
01:40:29.880 --> 01:40:32.439
all agree that the way we ended
up pulling out of there was not ideal.

1164
01:40:32.560 --> 01:40:39.439
Yeah, so so first of all, you know, there were some

1165
01:40:39.479 --> 01:40:43.119
stops and starts to to to how
that that came forward. You know,

1166
01:40:43.159 --> 01:40:47.239
Trump hit a pause after a US
soldier was killed, right, you know,

1167
01:40:47.439 --> 01:40:50.640
on the eve of the signing,
and was that sort of like if

1168
01:40:50.680 --> 01:40:56.840
we if we follow through this now, it'll look like it like it's an

1169
01:40:56.880 --> 01:41:00.000
image issue or they're not holding their
their deal. They're not I can't.

1170
01:41:00.079 --> 01:41:03.840
I can't speak for President Trump.
I mean we know his words. He

1171
01:41:03.880 --> 01:41:06.840
said, what kind of people are
these? You know? You know,

1172
01:41:06.880 --> 01:41:11.920
I think the thinking, you know, the Taliban explanation was we weren't in

1173
01:41:11.960 --> 01:41:14.600
the scope of the peace agreement yet
because we hadn't signed it, right,

1174
01:41:15.640 --> 01:41:18.479
I mean, that's that was their
mentality. He's like, hey, you're

1175
01:41:18.520 --> 01:41:21.640
gonna you know, that's what he
said. What kind of people would do

1176
01:41:21.680 --> 01:41:28.960
this? Yeah, so he he
hit he hit the pause button. We

1177
01:41:30.239 --> 01:41:39.520
then conducted negotiations in Doha that were
off book negotiations where Ambassa khalilza the the

1178
01:41:39.600 --> 01:41:45.119
agreement, the US Alberian agreement was
all but done and then it was paused

1179
01:41:45.439 --> 01:41:48.159
and there was no It was called
off I mean we didn't know whether it

1180
01:41:48.159 --> 01:41:51.640
was a permanent pause. When you
say off book, you mean like informal

1181
01:41:51.880 --> 01:41:57.960
essentially, I'm going to say informal
to not use other words. You know

1182
01:41:58.039 --> 01:42:03.640
it was. It was because we
were no longer negotiating with the Taliban formally,

1183
01:42:03.800 --> 01:42:08.279
right, but behind the scenes,
I now do that, so now

1184
01:42:09.359 --> 01:42:12.720
each other. So now you know, Inbassador Khalilzad said, well, let's

1185
01:42:12.760 --> 01:42:17.119
not lose what we have. We've
got the US to alband agreement is basically

1186
01:42:17.119 --> 01:42:21.119
ready to go. We can make
some adjustments. I would like to take

1187
01:42:21.159 --> 01:42:25.239
a run at how can we get
the Taliban? The Taliban said, hey,

1188
01:42:25.239 --> 01:42:27.560
we'll come back to the table.
But it's you guys, you know,

1189
01:42:28.119 --> 01:42:32.239
so what is ambassador you know Leo
Zady? He One of the big

1190
01:42:32.560 --> 01:42:38.359
goals of the Trump administration was free
American hostages. They put a lot of

1191
01:42:38.359 --> 01:42:43.039
time and effort into that that they
felt that Americans should not be left overseas.

1192
01:42:43.119 --> 01:42:46.319
Now, you know, I think
all of us understand the very difficult

1193
01:42:46.359 --> 01:42:50.640
choices made with Americans that are hostage
overseas. And you know, we've had

1194
01:42:50.640 --> 01:42:58.840
a long standing policy that we weren't
going to negotiate on hostages. And there's

1195
01:42:59.199 --> 01:43:02.479
a very good reason for that,
which it introduces moral hazard. You pay

1196
01:43:02.520 --> 01:43:05.720
four million dollars for somebody, the
next person is eight, it becomes an

1197
01:43:05.760 --> 01:43:11.359
economy and or it becomes a series
of political objectives that they can get.

1198
01:43:11.399 --> 01:43:15.720
And we always pay a lot more, you know, for Americans. We

1199
01:43:15.840 --> 01:43:19.439
trade a lot more, We give
up a lot more than other people you

1200
01:43:19.479 --> 01:43:24.640
know, are willing to do.
But you know, it's not just the

1201
01:43:24.640 --> 01:43:29.760
Trump administration, you know, this
administration, every administration has committed to you

1202
01:43:29.760 --> 01:43:33.239
know, it's our top thing is
protecting Americans overseas. So you make trade

1203
01:43:33.239 --> 01:43:40.920
offs when you deem that there's an
opportunity. So what Investador Leo Zad realizes,

1204
01:43:41.840 --> 01:43:45.800
we could bring somebody home safely.
And what we're going to do is

1205
01:43:46.279 --> 01:43:50.560
use this as an opportunity to sort
of go back and test a few things.

1206
01:43:51.720 --> 01:43:55.840
And one of the things was whether
the Taliban really had command and control,

1207
01:43:56.640 --> 01:44:01.279
whether they could deliver what roll Miller
was asking for, which is,

1208
01:44:02.079 --> 01:44:05.319
if we're going to go into a
US Taliban scenario, we need to see

1209
01:44:05.319 --> 01:44:10.600
a reduction of violence, a serious
reduction of violence. Because the Taliban view

1210
01:44:10.720 --> 01:44:14.800
was always we're not going to attack
you, but we are going to come

1211
01:44:14.880 --> 01:44:18.119
after the Afghan government because they're not
party to the agreement, of course,

1212
01:44:18.359 --> 01:44:21.319
because they didn't want them to party
the unit. They wanted the power.

1213
01:44:21.880 --> 01:44:28.680
And our point to the Taliban was
always, Okay, you know that's not

1214
01:44:28.800 --> 01:44:32.720
good. You should be negotiating with
the government, but if you attack our

1215
01:44:32.760 --> 01:44:36.880
partners, we are going to defend
our partners, right, Okay. So

1216
01:44:38.960 --> 01:44:42.920
we were still engaged in combat operations
against the Taliban, but it was not

1217
01:44:43.399 --> 01:44:47.159
in theory, not direct right.
So one of the things to test was

1218
01:44:47.239 --> 01:44:51.560
whether you could actually have a ceasefire, whether you could get to a point.

1219
01:44:51.960 --> 01:44:56.159
We couldn't get in ceasefire, but
we were going to have a reduction

1220
01:44:56.239 --> 01:45:01.960
of violence. And so one of
the operations for these negotiating to get the

1221
01:45:02.239 --> 01:45:09.720
return our people was we needed to
have the Taliban stand down in an area

1222
01:45:12.119 --> 01:45:16.640
and not attack if we were sending
our special operations forces in to the area

1223
01:45:16.720 --> 01:45:20.920
to pick up a guy that you
don't even know if he's alive. Right,

1224
01:45:21.960 --> 01:45:28.920
So we worked out that agreement.
The mission happened. The Taliban did

1225
01:45:28.960 --> 01:45:31.760
have a ceasefire. They actually ended
up in a firefight with the Afghan government

1226
01:45:31.760 --> 01:45:38.039
at one point, which they blamed
on the government, and we spent months

1227
01:45:39.000 --> 01:45:44.279
trying to unstick in this military touch
point. It all worked, The agreement

1228
01:45:44.359 --> 01:45:48.560
was eventually signed, We returned to
the table, we got a hostage freed,

1229
01:45:50.479 --> 01:45:56.640
and the agreement happens. I exit
the scene for a while at that

1230
01:45:56.720 --> 01:46:00.680
point. Now we go into implementation. We're drawing down. But we had

1231
01:46:00.720 --> 01:46:05.239
COVID, so it that, you
know, really jacked up a lot of

1232
01:46:05.239 --> 01:46:09.880
things. You know, there were
a lot fewer meetings within Afghanistan. A

1233
01:46:09.880 --> 01:46:15.279
lot of stuff was being done virtually
at this point, you know, and

1234
01:46:15.359 --> 01:46:19.800
part of the agreement was prisoner releases. So this was a huge thing.

1235
01:46:19.840 --> 01:46:25.119
The Taliban were supposed to get back
FI up to five thousand prisoners. The

1236
01:46:25.159 --> 01:46:28.079
government didn't want it. They didn't
negotiate for it, so they didn't want

1237
01:46:28.079 --> 01:46:30.359
to give them up, and so
we did a lot of stop and start

1238
01:46:30.439 --> 01:46:35.119
over these prisoners, trying to get
the two sides to the table. All

1239
01:46:35.159 --> 01:46:43.560
of this was happening while we're drawing
down, and the Taliban were slowly making

1240
01:46:43.600 --> 01:46:49.960
some inroads, right, So I
get recalled back and you know, they

1241
01:46:49.960 --> 01:46:53.319
started calling me and say, hey, we have this this gap. We

1242
01:46:53.359 --> 01:46:58.359
need somebody to be in their military
touch point, to be partnered with the

1243
01:46:58.439 --> 01:47:02.920
general General Klein. It was General
Tooley who was the main guy for fifteen

1244
01:47:02.960 --> 01:47:09.880
months talking to the Taliban every day. You know, that guy wore one

1245
01:47:09.920 --> 01:47:12.199
out for him. Yeah, pour
one out for him, I mean,

1246
01:47:12.800 --> 01:47:16.520
you know, really truly, but
nearer to the end. As as as

1247
01:47:16.520 --> 01:47:21.279
we got closer to the end,
he was replaced by General Klein, and

1248
01:47:21.319 --> 01:47:26.279
so I was going to be the
civilian counterpoint to this. So Zol's representative.

1249
01:47:26.760 --> 01:47:30.640
These guys are reporting to General Miller, they're conveying essentially to the Taliban.

1250
01:47:30.680 --> 01:47:35.840
Hey, we are we are on
the trajectory that we said we're on,

1251
01:47:36.760 --> 01:47:40.720
which was for April first, right, well it was I think it

1252
01:47:40.720 --> 01:47:48.399
was May first, because the Taliban
were not attacking us in a way you

1253
01:47:48.399 --> 01:47:53.880
know, of course some you know, and it was a deconfliction channel too,

1254
01:47:53.960 --> 01:47:56.359
like, okay, so if you're
not attacking us, why why did

1255
01:47:56.399 --> 01:48:00.319
we have seven rounds drop on Bogrum
last night? Oh it wasn't us,

1256
01:48:00.399 --> 01:48:02.479
Or we're going to investigate, or
it's a rogue command or whatever, you

1257
01:48:02.520 --> 01:48:06.600
know, but you're you're trying to
deconflict so you don't get people killed on

1258
01:48:06.640 --> 01:48:13.760
the way out. And so I
came back to that, and what had

1259
01:48:13.760 --> 01:48:16.239
happened was we have the change in
administration. And during the change in administration,

1260
01:48:17.159 --> 01:48:20.720
you can understand, you come in, you've got a deal on the

1261
01:48:20.760 --> 01:48:27.520
table to get out. There's a
lot of equities in Washington saying okay,

1262
01:48:28.960 --> 01:48:32.079
let's let's not come out. I
mean, you know this is this was

1263
01:48:32.119 --> 01:48:40.399
a controversial thing, yeah, that
President Trump did because look, huge equities

1264
01:48:40.479 --> 01:48:46.279
within the defense establishment we're operating under
the mow the grass theory that it's a

1265
01:48:46.720 --> 01:48:51.640
relatively low cost to stay in Afghanistan
and this will not become a terroristaent and

1266
01:48:51.880 --> 01:48:56.920
we cannot be kicked out. With
some number of troops that are supporting the

1267
01:48:57.359 --> 01:49:00.159
are enabled, you can keep like
two thousand people in the contrary and just

1268
01:49:00.279 --> 01:49:04.119
maintain a counter terroristy. So I'm
not going to put numbers because that was

1269
01:49:04.119 --> 01:49:09.520
always a controversy. Yes, a
small platform, but again with our Afghan

1270
01:49:09.600 --> 01:49:14.199
enablers and with or sorry with our
enablers for the Afghans. But also remember

1271
01:49:14.199 --> 01:49:16.119
the Europeans are also in there,
NATO is in there. So you know

1272
01:49:16.119 --> 01:49:18.680
when we looked at we had eight
thousand troops, well we're actually at a

1273
01:49:18.720 --> 01:49:23.600
sixteen thousand troops strength because you have
your partner nations are in there, right,

1274
01:49:23.680 --> 01:49:27.800
so you're at a higher level.
But you can understand. So there

1275
01:49:27.840 --> 01:49:31.920
was a constituency within the Defense Department
which was very much like why are we

1276
01:49:31.920 --> 01:49:35.359
doing that? There's still the neo, you know, conservative approach of a

1277
01:49:35.600 --> 01:49:41.159
ungoverned space. Then there's people who
are like you're on the doorstep of Pakistan,

1278
01:49:41.359 --> 01:49:47.039
China, Iran rushes over there,
strategic environment to be there, right,

1279
01:49:47.680 --> 01:49:51.880
you know. And then there's the
State Department, which is you know,

1280
01:49:53.039 --> 01:49:57.920
hey, we educated a generation of
women, We've got partners in here.

1281
01:49:58.279 --> 01:50:02.920
This is a valuable partner in the
region. And let's economic we're also

1282
01:50:03.000 --> 01:50:09.159
emotionally tied to this subject. And
there's the emotional ties to the entire US

1283
01:50:09.239 --> 01:50:15.960
government establishment that has worked under the
GAT framework for twenty years building this thing.

1284
01:50:15.159 --> 01:50:19.920
Right, We're deeply vested. So, you know, I think President

1285
01:50:19.920 --> 01:50:27.560
Trump made very much the right decision
because, as you guys know back home,

1286
01:50:28.199 --> 01:50:32.800
outside of the foreign policy establishment,
it's why are we still in Afghanistan.

1287
01:50:33.159 --> 01:50:36.239
I don't think we should be spending
any money over there. I don't

1288
01:50:36.239 --> 01:50:41.600
know why people are dying over there. Why are we fighting a war even

1289
01:50:41.640 --> 01:50:45.960
though we could convince ourselves that this
war was against somebody else. So I

1290
01:50:45.000 --> 01:50:50.159
think, you know, President Trump
made a decision that was difficult to make.

1291
01:50:50.279 --> 01:50:54.359
That's why people don't make it because
if you, if you choose to

1292
01:50:54.439 --> 01:51:00.640
come out, you're the one who
gave up the al Qaeda scenario. Parties

1293
01:51:00.680 --> 01:51:02.560
were kind of done with this war. Well, so here's this is where

1294
01:51:02.600 --> 01:51:05.960
I'm going with this, right,
So when the new administration comes in,

1295
01:51:06.079 --> 01:51:11.079
it's got to take on board all
of these inputs. This is a logical

1296
01:51:11.119 --> 01:51:15.840
thing for any new administration. Sure, let's examine and remember President Biden's position

1297
01:51:15.920 --> 01:51:19.159
from back in two thousand and nine
was not come out entirely, but keep

1298
01:51:19.239 --> 01:51:26.279
it just as a counter and it's
a CT presence. Now we know that

1299
01:51:26.359 --> 01:51:31.000
the CT presence was enabled by the
military flight print. Right, the logistics

1300
01:51:31.039 --> 01:51:35.600
of a landlocked country through which you've
got to go through in Afghanistan don't really

1301
01:51:35.680 --> 01:51:42.239
allow you that pure CT presence if
you have two thousand people. But his

1302
01:51:42.920 --> 01:51:48.399
position wasn't radically different from President Trump's
position, with the exception he would have

1303
01:51:48.520 --> 01:51:53.319
kept a CTVY. Now would President
Trump if that had been you know,

1304
01:51:53.399 --> 01:51:56.760
sort of at the end, would
that have been you know, an outcome

1305
01:51:56.920 --> 01:52:02.079
because we don't know, because you
know, there there were still moments at

1306
01:52:02.119 --> 01:52:08.199
which you could have paused this trajectory, right, So we don't know the

1307
01:52:08.239 --> 01:52:13.720
administration chain they took. The Biden
administration took a prudent pause. There's no

1308
01:52:13.840 --> 01:52:15.920
question you have to take the inputs. You have to come with a fresh

1309
01:52:15.960 --> 01:52:19.680
set of eyes, assess this,
and remember you're getting it from a lot

1310
01:52:19.720 --> 01:52:26.000
of other people. The problem is
is we had a deal and that deal

1311
01:52:26.079 --> 01:52:29.720
was May first, and as part
of that deal, the Taliban we're not

1312
01:52:29.800 --> 01:52:35.439
attacking the ex filtration. So if
you're going to abrogate that particular term of

1313
01:52:35.479 --> 01:52:41.199
the deal, you are exposing us
to risk. General Miller, as the

1314
01:52:41.239 --> 01:52:48.960
commander, understood that crystal clear.
Right. So the advice that tends to

1315
01:52:49.000 --> 01:52:54.640
go up is, well, I
think we should keep a certain level and

1316
01:52:54.720 --> 01:52:59.119
maintain because we've got force pro we've
got all these other equities. But if

1317
01:52:59.159 --> 01:53:02.600
they were going to come out,
which is what they ended up doing,

1318
01:53:04.760 --> 01:53:11.199
then you better get out under the
terms that we agreed because otherwise the Taliban

1319
01:53:11.239 --> 01:53:14.640
are telling us and where are the
Taliban telling us? In the military touch

1320
01:53:14.680 --> 01:53:17.920
point? Right, you're telling us
this in the military touchpoint. So the

1321
01:53:18.039 --> 01:53:24.840
people that we're interacting directly face to
face with the Taliban are very few in

1322
01:53:24.920 --> 01:53:30.319
the US government. There's Ambassador Khalilzad
directly his deputy from time to time,

1323
01:53:30.359 --> 01:53:38.159
but really Ambassador Khalilzad, right,
and General Miller through is a military touch

1324
01:53:38.199 --> 01:53:42.600
point, right, that's it,
right, This is how we're communicating with

1325
01:53:42.720 --> 01:53:47.119
the Taliban, and what we're hearing
is, hey, what are you doing?

1326
01:53:47.279 --> 01:53:50.600
What is this pause? What's going
on? Okay, now we're be

1327
01:53:50.720 --> 01:53:55.960
on the scope. When the Biden
administration came and said August thirty first,

1328
01:53:56.640 --> 01:54:00.039
and first they said September eleventh,
I think prudently back to to August thirty

1329
01:54:00.079 --> 01:54:06.920
first. The Taliban said, we
don't accept that. Where did they say

1330
01:54:06.960 --> 01:54:12.119
it? They told us in this
touch point. They didn't accept it,

1331
01:54:12.119 --> 01:54:16.720
but they said we don't trust you. You know, we heard you were

1332
01:54:16.720 --> 01:54:19.399
coming out before. You know,
again under the Obama mystery, we were

1333
01:54:19.399 --> 01:54:24.840
supposed to have a significant drawdown and
it just ended up being ramped back up.

1334
01:54:25.000 --> 01:54:30.600
So we had to keep delivering the
message we are coming out militarily.

1335
01:54:30.840 --> 01:54:35.920
But you guys got to get to
the peace talks, and we did start

1336
01:54:36.000 --> 01:54:40.640
to get the Afghan government and the
Taliban to finally meet face to face.

1337
01:54:40.800 --> 01:54:45.840
The problem was is as we started
to move out district after districts started to

1338
01:54:45.880 --> 01:54:51.560
fall, they just can you can
come up with any theory you want.

1339
01:54:53.199 --> 01:54:59.119
The reality was I mean, and
look, the beauty of Afghan maps was

1340
01:54:59.199 --> 01:55:03.199
again always goes to that village level. Right that you look at the map,

1341
01:55:04.439 --> 01:55:10.079
it says, hey, this is
this is Afghan government controlled if you

1342
01:55:10.119 --> 01:55:13.159
looked at at the village level,
none of the villages where Afghan. They

1343
01:55:13.199 --> 01:55:15.439
may have been Taliban, they may
not have been, but they certainly weren't

1344
01:55:15.479 --> 01:55:21.439
governed. The district center was controlled. That was the space. So now

1345
01:55:21.439 --> 01:55:26.800
those district centers are gone, and
now you're seeing, okay, well they

1346
01:55:26.800 --> 01:55:32.039
haven't gone after the provincial capitals,
but you're watching the map go red from

1347
01:55:32.159 --> 01:55:38.680
May June July, and this is
all open source stuff that you know they

1348
01:55:38.680 --> 01:55:42.560
did. You know, I found
I don't you know, use Twitter anymore

1349
01:55:42.600 --> 01:55:45.520
at all, gotten off that platform. But at the time they were Twitter

1350
01:55:45.560 --> 01:55:55.000
accounts from rando's doing spectacularly good.
This battle happened, or the Taliban have

1351
01:55:55.119 --> 01:56:00.399
now taken this village, this village, this thing with pin drops. I

1352
01:56:00.439 --> 01:56:04.920
would then call my Afghan contacts or
talk to the Taliban and they would confirm

1353
01:56:05.159 --> 01:56:10.119
that these places are gone. And
I don't know who the randos are that

1354
01:56:10.159 --> 01:56:15.520
are dragging the stuff on open source. The military is briefing in the Commander

1355
01:56:15.640 --> 01:56:18.399
Update brief. There's a lot of
open sources feeding into that stuff because what

1356
01:56:18.399 --> 01:56:23.920
are we also losing. We're losing
intelligence networks, and we're losing our intelligence

1357
01:56:23.920 --> 01:56:30.640
network because we're reducing all those not
only that we're losing assets because now Syncom's

1358
01:56:30.640 --> 01:56:35.600
losing assets to pake on, you
know, because you have the larger battle

1359
01:56:35.640 --> 01:56:40.520
for resources within our government. So
this all starts happening and you can kind

1360
01:56:40.520 --> 01:56:45.159
of see the thing coming down.
So a I think a prudent decision made,

1361
01:56:45.119 --> 01:56:51.479
which is that we we stick to
the agreement. An irritant that produces

1362
01:56:51.520 --> 01:57:01.600
a significant vulnerability and the reality now
shifting on the ground. I think there

1363
01:57:01.600 --> 01:57:05.199
are a lot of people who will
argue, okay, well that you know

1364
01:57:06.199 --> 01:57:12.399
that it was a red flags and
all of this stuff right. The challenges

1365
01:57:12.640 --> 01:57:17.279
is when you look at it from
a Washington perspective, and again, you

1366
01:57:17.319 --> 01:57:25.399
know, I can't emphasisize enough.
You guys know, people working on Afghanistan

1367
01:57:25.600 --> 01:57:29.359
worked in good faith. You know, we're trying to get to the right

1368
01:57:29.359 --> 01:57:32.680
outcome. There's very few there are
cases where you say, oh, what

1369
01:57:32.800 --> 01:57:35.680
did we do this? This government, we overthrew this government, we tried

1370
01:57:35.720 --> 01:57:40.000
to do is no. People were
trying, you know, working to try

1371
01:57:40.039 --> 01:57:44.840
to get you know, from your
line soldiers to your diplomats, to Inveassador

1372
01:57:44.880 --> 01:57:49.920
Khaliozad to General Miller, different perspectives, different approaches, but definitely trying to

1373
01:57:49.960 --> 01:57:54.520
do the right thing for the United
States and also for our Afghan partners.

1374
01:57:55.119 --> 01:57:59.159
So if you look at it from
Washington's perspective, the analog, the historical

1375
01:57:59.199 --> 01:58:04.680
analog is the civil war. And
you have to think that with thousands of

1376
01:58:04.760 --> 01:58:14.319
Afghan police and officers and the armaments
that we dumped into Cobble itself, that

1377
01:58:14.399 --> 01:58:19.279
at a minimum you would have a
several large inkspots as provincial centers, maybe

1378
01:58:19.279 --> 01:58:23.920
the Taliban would sweep through parts of
the country, but that at the end

1379
01:58:24.039 --> 01:58:27.439
you're going to have some sort of
bad civil war if you can't get to

1380
01:58:27.479 --> 01:58:30.119
a deal. And certainly that was
Ambassador Jalilzad's analysis, that it would be

1381
01:58:30.119 --> 01:58:36.159
a civil war, not an outright
victory, not a dissolution of the Afghan

1382
01:58:36.199 --> 01:58:44.359
forces. So I think what was
happening was the reality was we were built

1383
01:58:44.359 --> 01:58:48.239
on quicksand again, you know,
the agency said, hey, you know,

1384
01:58:48.279 --> 01:58:51.359
I think there was some assessment at
some point where they said it's got

1385
01:58:51.399 --> 01:58:55.560
six months or whatever, you know, earlier in the process, that it's

1386
01:58:55.600 --> 01:58:59.439
not going to last maybe a year
or whatever. But I think it is

1387
01:58:59.479 --> 01:59:04.199
a really good argument that the Afghan
government would defend itself, at least in

1388
01:59:04.319 --> 01:59:09.239
Kabble, that they were equities of
all of these troops and all of these

1389
01:59:09.239 --> 01:59:14.479
families, that they would defend themselves, which meant that your time horizon would

1390
01:59:14.520 --> 01:59:20.359
be longer. Right. General Miller
clearly said, once we're beyond the agreement,

1391
01:59:20.439 --> 01:59:25.840
we've got to come out faster.
And so they were pulling out,

1392
01:59:25.920 --> 01:59:32.319
and you know, I think my
assessment is that no matter how you came

1393
01:59:32.359 --> 01:59:36.720
out the twenty year relationship, once
that military piece is out, it was

1394
01:59:36.760 --> 01:59:45.199
going to be chaotic. Are there
mitigants that could have you know, stopped

1395
01:59:45.680 --> 01:59:49.520
you know, some of the scenes
that we saw. Yeah, there are

1396
01:59:49.600 --> 01:59:57.720
things that we can do better as
a government, right, But in the

1397
01:59:57.840 --> 02:00:03.039
end, the outcome was the right
outcome, right, And that's fundamentally what

1398
02:00:03.079 --> 02:00:08.399
we have to focus on, because
you know, I said this to you,

1399
02:00:08.399 --> 02:00:11.199
you know, before we were taping. If you look at the world

1400
02:00:11.239 --> 02:00:18.079
today and the battle space and the
change in technology, if we're opposing Russia

1401
02:00:19.159 --> 02:00:27.439
in Ukraine and we're you know,
crosswise with you know, Iran, and

1402
02:00:27.479 --> 02:00:31.840
you see the damage the Huthis are
inflicting, I find it impossible to believe

1403
02:00:31.920 --> 02:00:38.159
that that stuff wouldn't be hitting US
forces and US diplomats if we were still

1404
02:00:38.199 --> 02:00:42.720
in Afghanistan today, because you know, we would be beyond the scope of

1405
02:00:42.720 --> 02:00:47.319
any agreement. And it's also folks
that the Taliban do business with, you

1406
02:00:47.319 --> 02:00:51.319
know, are ramped up and the
technology has changed because for the first time

1407
02:00:51.359 --> 02:00:56.359
ever, some of your guess appoint
is you have to look to the air

1408
02:00:56.439 --> 02:01:00.960
now in a way that we've never
had to look to protect embassy platform.

1409
02:01:00.560 --> 02:01:04.119
It's also a question of like priorities. We're trying to counter Russia, China,

1410
02:01:04.199 --> 02:01:10.960
Iran, and then somewhere after that, we're also looking at the global

1411
02:01:10.960 --> 02:01:15.399
war on terror, counter terrorism North
Korea. I mean, you get to

1412
02:01:15.439 --> 02:01:18.560
a certain point where it's like,
can we maintain these long term you know,

1413
02:01:18.680 --> 02:01:24.800
quote unquote sustainable counterinsurgency campaigns in places
like Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria,

1414
02:01:25.079 --> 02:01:30.399
and elsewhere while also trying to confront
some of these larger nation states. The

1415
02:01:30.560 --> 02:01:38.439
logistics chain, the cost I mean, there are many in our defense establishment

1416
02:01:38.520 --> 02:01:41.479
and you know, and you know, also on the state side. I

1417
02:01:41.479 --> 02:01:45.880
think that would argue that these costs
are relatively minimal. I don't. I

1418
02:01:45.920 --> 02:01:48.960
don't agree with that, and I
don't think most Americans would agree that.

1419
02:01:49.039 --> 02:01:54.079
You know, nine billion dollars a
year or whatever whatever cost is just simply

1420
02:01:54.119 --> 02:02:00.560
because again the complexity of sustaining operations
in Afghanistan was immense. And saw that

1421
02:02:00.239 --> 02:02:04.359
when BOGRAM closed. Because now you've
got a single point of failure, which

1422
02:02:04.399 --> 02:02:11.000
is that runway at Karzai International Airport
one way in and one a out.

1423
02:02:11.319 --> 02:02:15.800
Could you convoy outshore? But you're
convoying hours and hours and hours. I

1424
02:02:15.800 --> 02:02:19.720
mean it's very very easy to you
know, take out those you know,

1425
02:02:19.920 --> 02:02:25.960
convoys. So I mean this is
operationally, you're you're stuck at that point.

1426
02:02:27.399 --> 02:02:30.159
So when you look at this,
you know, sort of global force

1427
02:02:30.239 --> 02:02:36.880
posture and global diplomatic posture. This
cost if you're under if you're really drawn

1428
02:02:36.960 --> 02:02:41.520
deeper into the war, which we
would have been had we stayed, because

1429
02:02:41.520 --> 02:02:45.600
again, you know, all of
this technology would have flowed in there.

1430
02:02:45.600 --> 02:02:47.399
The Russians would have loved to hit
us. I am sure, and I'm

1431
02:02:47.399 --> 02:02:53.199
not a Russian expert. It just
stands to reason that you know that we

1432
02:02:53.239 --> 02:02:58.399
would have more Tower twenty two's if
we were still there. So the outcome

1433
02:02:59.439 --> 02:03:03.279
was the right outcome. And you
know, again, you know what I

1434
02:03:03.359 --> 02:03:09.439
mentioned before is what's unique about this
is we had two presidents that are from

1435
02:03:09.720 --> 02:03:16.319
radically different perspectives on virtually everything.
Right, that understood I think where the

1436
02:03:16.359 --> 02:03:24.399
American public was on this issue and
understood the American public was not, you

1437
02:03:24.439 --> 02:03:31.279
know, aware of supportive of pouring
money into this particular war anymore. And

1438
02:03:31.359 --> 02:03:40.359
so the decision was made across both
administrations. So when we go back to

1439
02:03:40.399 --> 02:03:44.479
execution again, things that you can
do, some of the things are just

1440
02:03:44.520 --> 02:03:46.680
going to be what they were.
I'll give you a very good example.

1441
02:03:48.720 --> 02:03:54.760
You know, it's a really tough
conversation for State Department people when we have

1442
02:03:54.800 --> 02:03:57.560
to pull up out of an embassy. When I was in Liberia and it

1443
02:03:57.760 --> 02:04:00.520
was a potential for us to pull
up star and pull out, and sometimes

1444
02:04:01.199 --> 02:04:08.319
the security posture and the logistics to
sustain the place are not viable. Maybe

1445
02:04:08.319 --> 02:04:12.680
the country wants us out, maybe
we're directly under attack, so it's not

1446
02:04:12.800 --> 02:04:18.359
viable. The large number of people
who work for the embassy that run generators,

1447
02:04:18.399 --> 02:04:24.840
that run your human resources in many
countries are our foreign service nationals.

1448
02:04:24.840 --> 02:04:32.319
These are local Liberians, local Hong
Kongers, local you know people, many

1449
02:04:32.359 --> 02:04:38.880
of whom have put twenty thirty year
careers in with US. Right, just

1450
02:04:39.119 --> 02:04:43.199
like all the military interpreters that we
hear about that in Afghanistan worked with US

1451
02:04:43.199 --> 02:04:51.760
for ten fifteen years in traditional evacuation. By traditional I mean historical evacuations.

1452
02:04:54.279 --> 02:04:59.279
The answer is they stay in place. We don't take them out. If

1453
02:04:59.359 --> 02:05:02.600
they are in titled to a special
immigrant visa, they've worked for US for

1454
02:05:02.680 --> 02:05:08.159
a certain amount of time, we
can bring them and their families home.

1455
02:05:08.199 --> 02:05:12.079
But it's not happening generally in evacuation. This would be the normal course.

1456
02:05:12.119 --> 02:05:16.319
If you work your twenty years,
you apply, an interagency committee looks and

1457
02:05:16.359 --> 02:05:19.319
says, this person is who they
say they are. They've got recommendations through

1458
02:05:19.319 --> 02:05:24.119
the years, and we're going to
give their family a chance to come to

1459
02:05:24.159 --> 02:05:30.159
the States and say a reward.
And you know, in places where people

1460
02:05:30.800 --> 02:05:35.199
you know don't have difficult circumstances,
you don't use a lot of SIVs where

1461
02:05:35.199 --> 02:05:39.600
they have difficult circumstances. It's an
option. Most people don't want to really

1462
02:05:39.720 --> 02:05:43.199
leave their country, but it's a
nice thing. Now. In Afghanistan,

1463
02:05:44.359 --> 02:05:46.520
you heard we had a lot of
people that would be targeted, and so

1464
02:05:47.079 --> 02:05:56.239
we had a bigger program, but
we worked with people across the spectrum for

1465
02:05:56.399 --> 02:06:01.119
twenty years that we've invested in relationships
that anybody who was in country has friends

1466
02:06:01.239 --> 02:06:04.880
or you know, contacts or that
was a good person or people that they've

1467
02:06:04.920 --> 02:06:11.840
saved your life, right, literally
saved your life. So in Afghanistan,

1468
02:06:12.439 --> 02:06:16.359
sorry, in a normal situation,
the answer is to local staff is you

1469
02:06:16.760 --> 02:06:20.119
don't come. We will try to
help you. We will try to keep

1470
02:06:20.119 --> 02:06:24.239
your salary on the books for another
year. We'll try to get back.

1471
02:06:24.359 --> 02:06:28.920
But you and I had to have
those conversations in Liberia. We cannot take

1472
02:06:28.960 --> 02:06:32.560
you out. That is a hard
conversation. You are keeping the lights on

1473
02:06:32.920 --> 02:06:36.079
so I can get the messages back
to work the diplomacy. But if I

1474
02:06:36.119 --> 02:06:44.000
am ordered to leave, I can't
take you in Afghanistan because like in Iraq,

1475
02:06:44.039 --> 02:06:46.039
we had this we basically, if
you worked for us for a short

1476
02:06:46.079 --> 02:06:49.640
period of time, we were going
to give you the option of an SIV.

1477
02:06:50.279 --> 02:06:55.399
Basically most of our staff had an
option. And then we had all

1478
02:06:55.479 --> 02:07:02.760
these other relationships that were you know, contracting relationships with people meaning they didn't

1479
02:07:02.800 --> 02:07:05.880
work for the embassy, but they
may have worked for a military contractor who

1480
02:07:05.960 --> 02:07:15.199
was supporting our fob Right, we
felt a certain obligation to try to get

1481
02:07:15.479 --> 02:07:20.159
a lot more people out. And
then we also had made twenty years of

1482
02:07:20.159 --> 02:07:26.279
commitment to Afghan women girls. There
were vulnerable groups of people that we've We've

1483
02:07:26.279 --> 02:07:29.439
had our Congress sit with them,
we've had you know, and then you

1484
02:07:29.880 --> 02:07:32.359
look and you say, well,
here's a woman author. For example,

1485
02:07:32.399 --> 02:07:36.960
there's a book, The Secret Gate
that came out about this about a DS

1486
02:07:38.319 --> 02:07:43.680
agent who became a State Department Foreign
Service officer. Well DS is foreign service,

1487
02:07:43.720 --> 02:07:47.319
but he became a political officer and
he came in and you know,

1488
02:07:49.439 --> 02:07:54.039
evacuated an author. Why did the
author come out? The author came out

1489
02:07:54.039 --> 02:07:57.399
because as a matter of policy,
we said, we're going to try to

1490
02:07:57.439 --> 02:08:00.840
take out some of you know,
as many of our friends as we can

1491
02:08:00.920 --> 02:08:07.199
and vulnerable people. So if you're
looking at an after action, what did

1492
02:08:07.199 --> 02:08:09.159
that do? That was a magnet
for everybody to come to the airport.

1493
02:08:11.239 --> 02:08:16.199
Now, if you've worked the issue, are you really going to criticize and

1494
02:08:16.239 --> 02:08:20.439
say, hey, just leave everybody, just leave. By the way,

1495
02:08:22.920 --> 02:08:26.880
you know, there's a ton of
American citizens in Afghanistan, but a lot

1496
02:08:26.920 --> 02:08:33.560
of folks who you know, were
Afghan and now they're American, So we

1497
02:08:33.640 --> 02:08:35.119
have an obligation to them but what
were they doing there. They were doing

1498
02:08:35.119 --> 02:08:39.199
there because they were trying to get
They were there on vacation, visiting family,

1499
02:08:39.479 --> 02:08:41.880
you know, things that we wouldn't
conceive of in a war zone.

1500
02:08:43.239 --> 02:08:46.600
But they're there because they thought the
state was going to be there. Right

1501
02:08:46.640 --> 02:08:50.319
now, they're caught off guards,
but they also have very tough choices.

1502
02:08:50.239 --> 02:08:56.520
Do you leave the family that is
under US immigration law under all that not

1503
02:08:56.800 --> 02:09:01.439
entitled to come out? Right?
But now you have these moral questions.

1504
02:09:01.520 --> 02:09:05.920
The American citizen is saying, hey, you know, I've got one daughter

1505
02:09:05.960 --> 02:09:09.800
who's in America, but my other
daughter came back with me, you know,

1506
02:09:11.159 --> 02:09:13.319
right, Or my other daughter was
here, she was in the immigration

1507
02:09:13.520 --> 02:09:18.119
process. All of those people,
some of them are entitled to come out.

1508
02:09:18.640 --> 02:09:24.359
Many are attached to people who are
entitled to come out. If you

1509
02:09:24.479 --> 02:09:30.880
say no, right, you might
mitigate people trying to get to the airport,

1510
02:09:30.920 --> 02:09:33.680
but probably you wouldn't because people would
not, you know, have a

1511
02:09:33.720 --> 02:09:37.600
sense. And so as a result, there was a magnet coming to the

1512
02:09:37.680 --> 02:09:39.920
airport and what did that do?
That introduced a ton of vulnerabilities, and

1513
02:09:39.960 --> 02:09:45.840
we saw the very tragic outcome of
that. Do you want to tee up

1514
02:09:45.840 --> 02:09:50.000
the question. Yeah, for Dante, you know, I'm curious because something

1515
02:09:50.119 --> 02:09:52.680
you mentioned has kind of stuck with
me, Like when I wonder if,

1516
02:09:52.720 --> 02:09:56.640
for you know, people in state, people in the Department of Events,

1517
02:09:56.680 --> 02:10:00.479
people in the administrator like administration of
workers, when they look get it an

1518
02:10:00.520 --> 02:10:03.520
effort in Afghanistan and they say,
well, you know, for nine billion

1519
02:10:03.560 --> 02:10:07.000
a year or whatever like that,
or how much ever it is for nine

1520
02:10:07.000 --> 02:10:11.159
billion dollars, like that's not a
high price to pay. I wonder if

1521
02:10:11.600 --> 02:10:16.920
how many of those opinions would change
if they were forced to go out and

1522
02:10:16.960 --> 02:10:20.159
walk patrols with the troops walking.
There's you know that that like we look

1523
02:10:20.199 --> 02:10:26.239
at this as a monetary thing,
but there's also you know, a generation

1524
02:10:26.640 --> 02:10:31.279
of war fighters who are also living
with you know, sort of the consequences

1525
02:10:31.479 --> 02:10:35.399
of that war and then the moral
injury of how we left, how we

1526
02:10:35.479 --> 02:10:37.199
left, you know a lot of
the Afghan partners and things like that.

1527
02:10:37.600 --> 02:10:43.359
Listen, this is an excellent question, right, and it's a core question

1528
02:10:43.439 --> 02:10:46.399
that any of us have worked on
the issue. Because I will tell you

1529
02:10:46.479 --> 02:10:52.920
that the way you framed it,
you would say, okay, it was

1530
02:10:52.000 --> 02:10:56.159
people. People who have that perspective
are only looking at the monetary costs.

1531
02:10:56.319 --> 02:11:00.920
Right. You know, some of
the people who are framing are those same

1532
02:11:01.039 --> 02:11:09.800
people who are out there because because
there's still the theory that we operate under,

1533
02:11:09.880 --> 02:11:16.720
which is it's better to take the
fight into the field forward rather than

1534
02:11:16.840 --> 02:11:20.479
have to fight it back here.
Now there's another theory, which is it

1535
02:11:20.520 --> 02:11:28.199
really doesn't matter what happens in Afghanistan
if we protect the homeland. In the

1536
02:11:28.239 --> 02:11:33.079
homeland, your border control is working, your port access is working. We

1537
02:11:33.159 --> 02:11:37.079
all take off our shoes at the
airport so we don't get a shoe bomber.

1538
02:11:37.399 --> 02:11:41.319
Right, that's a these are This
is a theory. There's no right

1539
02:11:41.359 --> 02:11:46.720
answer. But those people I would
still say, would say, yeah,

1540
02:11:46.720 --> 02:11:52.479
I don't minimize the physical cost of
families, the cost and loss of lives,

1541
02:11:54.680 --> 02:11:58.159
but we're trying to protect the homeland. And if so, again,

1542
02:11:58.199 --> 02:12:01.680
I come back to good eight.
I don't run into a lot of people

1543
02:12:01.760 --> 02:12:09.800
who are dismissive it's just that cost. But but I do agree that the

1544
02:12:09.960 --> 02:12:15.199
further you are from the front,
the further you are from a combat outpost

1545
02:12:15.319 --> 02:12:18.640
or an embassy, the easier it
is to put it in economic terms rather

1546
02:12:18.680 --> 02:12:22.640
than the human toll. I agree
with that but some of the people making

1547
02:12:22.680 --> 02:12:28.399
those decisions do have that. But
it's the calculus is you know what,

1548
02:12:30.560 --> 02:12:33.199
three thousand people were lost in nine
to eleven, so we're trying to prevent

1549
02:12:33.199 --> 02:12:35.199
a nine to eleven. We're trying
to prevent you know, what the houthis

1550
02:12:35.199 --> 02:12:41.399
are doing right now. So but
it's a great question. Okay, M

1551
02:12:41.439 --> 02:12:43.319
Corbyn, thank you very much.
How big of a headache is the leasing

1552
02:12:43.359 --> 02:12:50.319
agreement for Jibouti? But now you're
talking my current job, you know,

1553
02:12:50.520 --> 02:12:56.319
listen, I have to go into
State Department speaking. Jibouti is a critical

1554
02:12:56.399 --> 02:13:00.399
counter terrorism partner. We can see
the we can see the challenges the Red

1555
02:13:00.439 --> 02:13:05.399
Sea, so we want to make
sure that our partners feel, you know,

1556
02:13:07.039 --> 02:13:15.239
that we appropriately view the relationship as
a strong strategic partner. Out of

1557
02:13:15.239 --> 02:13:20.279
curiosity, have you ever had from
any of these partners? Obviously there's there's

1558
02:13:20.359 --> 02:13:24.359
the monetary there, you know,
all types of diplomat diplomatic things. Has

1559
02:13:24.359 --> 02:13:28.399
there ever been a really weird request
that just caught you off guard or you

1560
02:13:28.439 --> 02:13:33.560
know anything that that like the an
ambassador or something like anything, not an

1561
02:13:33.600 --> 02:13:37.600
ambassador, but like, have there
ever been concessions that they wanted or or

1562
02:13:37.720 --> 02:13:46.600
things that struck like you or or
like Americans is odd, you mean,

1563
02:13:46.640 --> 02:13:54.840
from our partners, from our partners. You know, there's I mean,

1564
02:13:56.319 --> 02:14:01.399
you know, when you're in a
foreign country, you there's just different things

1565
02:14:01.479 --> 02:14:07.119
happen and you don't really understand.
I'm not going to give an example.

1566
02:14:07.600 --> 02:14:09.600
The example I want to give you
is a funny one because it just popped

1567
02:14:09.640 --> 02:14:15.680
into my mind, not because I'm
you know, trying to avoid a formal

1568
02:14:15.720 --> 02:14:20.319
government request. I just didn't have
one right away. I'm negotiating with General

1569
02:14:20.399 --> 02:14:28.199
Cobra, and we're trying to get
General Cobra to withdraw his forces from Liberia

1570
02:14:28.760 --> 02:14:33.520
from Monrovia, and he ends up
doing it. So then I go back

1571
02:14:33.520 --> 02:14:41.600
to his headquarters, right and they're
trying to sort of figure out what their

1572
02:14:41.680 --> 02:14:46.279
new posture will be in the sort
of post war era. And this is

1573
02:14:46.319 --> 02:14:52.399
what he figured out. He throws
down a giant lump of stone and he

1574
02:14:52.479 --> 02:14:58.760
goes, this is a raw diamond. You and me, we can sell

1575
02:14:58.800 --> 02:15:05.800
this. And I was like,
General Cobra, I don't want to read

1576
02:15:05.840 --> 02:15:07.920
you kindle the war. I don't
want to get shot. I'm like,

1577
02:15:09.319 --> 02:15:11.600
you know, this is a great
I you know, sorry, I this

1578
02:15:11.720 --> 02:15:15.159
is not my laying, you know, and I'm trying to so, I

1579
02:15:15.199 --> 02:15:18.479
mean, things come. You know, you don't quite know what is uh

1580
02:15:18.479 --> 02:15:22.399
what you're going to be dealing with
it on a daily basis, but uh,

1581
02:15:22.840 --> 02:15:24.640
yeah, that's the example that pops
into my is. It was not

1582
02:15:24.680 --> 02:15:28.319
a formal government request, but it
was yeah, ahead of the of the

1583
02:15:28.600 --> 02:15:33.279
rebel contingent. Thank you, Devin. Thank you very much, very generous.

1584
02:15:33.640 --> 02:15:37.239
I would like to know your action
in a nuclear war setting. Wait,

1585
02:15:39.560 --> 02:15:41.640
if a nuclear bomb dropped, what
would you do? Die? Probably?

1586
02:15:43.640 --> 02:15:46.199
What would I do in a nuclear
by Yeah, I mean, look

1587
02:15:46.319 --> 02:15:50.199
like everybody, if I'm not vaporized
immediately, I'm going to go find my

1588
02:15:50.279 --> 02:15:54.520
family and you know, try to
go to ground. Thanks definitely appreciate it.

1589
02:15:54.760 --> 02:16:00.359
Uh Colly, thank you very much. We define success in Afghani stand

1590
02:16:00.760 --> 02:16:09.079
as a strong, stable central government
ignoring ignoring reality. Did this mislignement ensure

1591
02:16:09.159 --> 02:16:18.319
failure? I would say that again. I want to be clear. I

1592
02:16:18.359 --> 02:16:22.640
think we achieved our core strategic mission
in Afghanistan, which is we took the

1593
02:16:22.760 --> 02:16:31.840
leadership of al Qaida off the board
and the ideological gravity center of that organization

1594
02:16:31.960 --> 02:16:35.639
off the board. And that's the
organization that killed you know, three thousand

1595
02:16:35.639 --> 02:16:41.879
Americans. Right, So I feel
strongly that that core national security objective.

1596
02:16:41.879 --> 02:16:46.360
Now when you're talking about what came
and what we were trying to achieve in

1597
02:16:46.440 --> 02:16:52.200
terms of the stability, it's less
sort of that objective. Then. I

1598
02:16:54.000 --> 02:17:01.200
think there are alternate history lines as
we've talked about that certainly us. I

1599
02:17:01.239 --> 02:17:09.520
think the bigger, you know,
the bigger mistakes that were made were hyper

1600
02:17:09.559 --> 02:17:16.280
inflating an economy that couldn't handle it, that it blatantly enabled corruption. So

1601
02:17:16.319 --> 02:17:24.159
we fueled a completely dependent structure that
wasn't serving the benefit of the people that

1602
02:17:24.479 --> 02:17:28.440
in theory, we were trying to
help. And again it gets back to

1603
02:17:28.440 --> 02:17:33.079
why we as Americans supporting a unitary
state. By unitary state, I mean

1604
02:17:33.200 --> 02:17:39.959
a central government that appoints the governing
structures the governors and the district governors of

1605
02:17:41.000 --> 02:17:45.440
the provinces in the outlying areas,
and all the resources flow back to centrally

1606
02:17:46.000 --> 02:17:50.559
led ministries. This is the type
of stuff that drives us crazy in America.

1607
02:17:50.680 --> 02:17:54.840
And so I, you know,
the fact that we worked so much

1608
02:17:54.920 --> 02:18:00.840
on that project, if I had
had a stronger say, you know,

1609
02:18:01.600 --> 02:18:05.360
and had been a senior person I
would have been looking more at, you

1610
02:18:05.399 --> 02:18:09.159
know, what are the relationships of
the tribes, and how do we do

1611
02:18:09.680 --> 02:18:18.360
you know, a looser confederation of
peoples that you know will fundamentally be willing

1612
02:18:18.399 --> 02:18:24.159
to accept some money far smaller amounts
to tell us when al Qaeda shows up

1613
02:18:24.159 --> 02:18:28.200
and ted them over and that's it, and then leave the Afghans to sort

1614
02:18:28.239 --> 02:18:33.319
out a different construct, rather than
we didn't fully impose it, but we

1615
02:18:33.680 --> 02:18:37.440
funded it so much that so I
think the you know, you know,

1616
02:18:37.600 --> 02:18:41.440
I hope I'm being responsive to the
answer. I don't think it was a

1617
02:18:41.520 --> 02:18:46.079
preordained failure, but I do think
that the structure as it developed was definitely

1618
02:18:46.120 --> 02:18:50.319
not the right structure, and there
are other things that probably could have should

1619
02:18:50.319 --> 02:18:54.719
have been tried earlier in the process. I mean, once we were,

1620
02:18:54.319 --> 02:18:56.920
once I got there in two thousand
and nine, we were we were far

1621
02:18:58.040 --> 02:19:03.000
down the road supporting a unitary state, and that was our problem. I

1622
02:19:03.040 --> 02:19:07.760
think we should have looked at other
models. That's my own view, Ian

1623
02:19:07.760 --> 02:19:13.040
Brown, Thank you very much.
What are Dante's thoughts about the Diplomatic Security

1624
02:19:13.079 --> 02:19:18.239
Service? How did he work with
him? Thanks? Guy. I mean,

1625
02:19:18.280 --> 02:19:26.440
I can't say enough positive things about
my colleagues in diplomatic security and again

1626
02:19:26.479 --> 02:19:30.399
the marine security guards that work for
them at embassies. I'm a field person.

1627
02:19:30.959 --> 02:19:35.879
Most of my career has been overseas. You know, those folks are

1628
02:19:35.920 --> 02:19:41.600
responsible for not only our safety of
us, safety of the chancery, but

1629
02:19:41.680 --> 02:19:48.000
they're maintaining the relationships with all the
local security apparatus, right because fundamentally we're

1630
02:19:48.000 --> 02:19:52.200
in somebody else's country, we are
relying on them. You know, a

1631
02:19:52.399 --> 02:20:01.639
strong RSO and a strong RSO contingent
is completely tie in and has the context.

1632
02:20:01.959 --> 02:20:05.319
So when you need to evacuate somebody
from a country when there's a real

1633
02:20:05.399 --> 02:20:09.600
crisis, that person being able to
do it. And you know, my

1634
02:20:09.680 --> 02:20:13.719
colleagues are excellent. The other thing
is is that they are tasked with and

1635
02:20:13.799 --> 02:20:16.959
you guys know this. If you
look at threat streams, we would close

1636
02:20:18.000 --> 02:20:22.959
everywhere because you're constantly under thread,
right if your focus is on threatstreams,

1637
02:20:22.000 --> 02:20:26.399
and the RSO has to have the
judgment, and they do. We have

1638
02:20:26.479 --> 02:20:33.079
exceptional RSOs throughout the world who are
looking at these threat streams that we're all

1639
02:20:33.120 --> 02:20:35.680
seeing in different channels and they have
to go to the ambassador, the chief

1640
02:20:35.719 --> 02:20:43.639
of mission and say, hey,
we got this or it's time to go.

1641
02:20:43.040 --> 02:20:48.639
And so like in Liberia, if
you can imagine the pressure that Ted

1642
02:20:48.680 --> 02:20:52.399
Collins and Brad Lynn are rs and
aarso we're under. You not only have

1643
02:20:52.440 --> 02:20:56.559
the Washington pressure, but it's if
I give the ambassador the wrong advice,

1644
02:20:58.000 --> 02:21:00.520
I don't think we can hold that. If I say I think we can

1645
02:21:00.559 --> 02:21:03.639
hold this compound, the compound's overrun, right, I mean not only do

1646
02:21:03.680 --> 02:21:09.000
I maybe get killed, I get
the ambassador killed, but I've you know,

1647
02:21:09.520 --> 02:21:15.159
destroyed the US credibility in the region. We've lost a platform, I

1648
02:21:15.159 --> 02:21:20.799
mean huge ramification. The ambassador,
as the chief of mission with the authority,

1649
02:21:22.639 --> 02:21:28.079
will make the final call unless it's
taken away and Washington decides we don't

1650
02:21:28.079 --> 02:21:31.200
think the ambassador has it right.
We're gonna We're gonna order the ambassador out.

1651
02:21:31.920 --> 02:21:35.879
But the RSO is the critical counsel
to the ambassador on how to handle

1652
02:21:37.120 --> 02:21:41.120
the riot that is out front of
your embassy, how to handle uh,

1653
02:21:41.239 --> 02:21:43.920
you know, the civil war uh
that that's broken out. You know,

1654
02:21:45.360 --> 02:21:50.479
what does this mean for the security
of our personnel? So I can't say

1655
02:21:50.559 --> 02:21:54.200
enough positive things about it because you
don't see, you know, all of

1656
02:21:54.239 --> 02:21:58.600
the things that are prevented on a
daily basis by that, you know.

1657
02:21:58.799 --> 02:22:03.639
Uh, I again, thank you
very much. Hit the likes, guys,

1658
02:22:03.719 --> 02:22:05.559
let's get to that one hundred.
Hopefully we got there already. Thanks.

1659
02:22:05.639 --> 02:22:11.399
Thanks again. We appreciate Collie.
Thank you very much. Does the

1660
02:22:11.520 --> 02:22:18.799
United States government facilitating private hostage negotiations
example of the Burnham's undermine the stated policy

1661
02:22:20.120 --> 02:22:24.840
no negation, no negotiation with good
question? So this is a really good

1662
02:22:24.920 --> 02:22:28.159
question. I really have to caveat
it that it's you know, I'm not

1663
02:22:30.200 --> 02:22:35.280
familiar with that particular example in terms
of what what that means the facilitation.

1664
02:22:37.600 --> 02:22:43.479
I'll say this that, uh,
it's a very that you know, hostage

1665
02:22:43.879 --> 02:22:48.840
negotiation stuff is very, very difficult. We have a commitment as a government

1666
02:22:48.959 --> 02:22:56.639
to recover our people safely, right, but there's a moral hazard every time

1667
02:22:56.760 --> 02:23:01.440
you're doing it, and you're dealing
with the emotions and lives of family members

1668
02:23:01.840 --> 02:23:07.399
and communities. But you're balancing that
against the reality that the more you pay

1669
02:23:07.440 --> 02:23:11.760
into a system, and I don't
mean monetary, but whatever transactions you do

1670
02:23:11.840 --> 02:23:20.559
on hostage release can introduce more hostages. So these are very very tough calls

1671
02:23:20.639 --> 02:23:28.000
on whether or not that's right.
So in terms of is there moral hazard?

1672
02:23:28.040 --> 02:23:30.760
And I can't answer that specific case
because I don't know it, but

1673
02:23:30.959 --> 02:23:35.639
as a general principle, you know, negotiations introduced that and then you know,

1674
02:23:37.280 --> 02:23:41.840
we have to The Burnhams were in
the Philippines and it was a big

1675
02:23:41.879 --> 02:23:46.799
deal in the early two thousands getting
them out of there. There were missionaries

1676
02:23:46.360 --> 02:23:50.639
and when they were finally rescued,
I believe the wife made it out.

1677
02:23:50.639 --> 02:23:56.000
In the husband I believe was killed
if I remember correctly. Yeah, I'm

1678
02:23:56.079 --> 02:23:58.840
not. I'm not familiar with it. I will say that, you know,

1679
02:23:58.879 --> 02:24:05.479
there's some you know, again not
my area of expertise, there's some

1680
02:24:05.719 --> 02:24:09.520
areas of policy that are you know, under consideration because we I think we

1681
02:24:09.639 --> 02:24:15.360
used to have a law that private
citizens couldn't do their own negotiation. You

1682
02:24:15.440 --> 02:24:18.239
sort of understood it because again it
was to try to prevent the moral hazard

1683
02:24:18.760 --> 02:24:24.479
and try to prevent people from getting
deeper into a situation that they're unfamiliar with

1684
02:24:24.559 --> 02:24:30.799
and you know, producing something.
But you know, a change in policy

1685
02:24:30.799 --> 02:24:33.440
there would make some sense in the
sense that, look, if a family

1686
02:24:33.440 --> 02:24:37.440
member wants to try, they should
be aware of the risks that they're undertaking.

1687
02:24:37.520 --> 02:24:41.799
But we as a government shouldn't you
know, I think there's a strong

1688
02:24:41.920 --> 02:24:46.559
case to be made that it's not
our role to stop it, right,

1689
02:24:46.399 --> 02:24:52.159
but you know, but it's because
of those kind of very very difficult situations

1690
02:24:52.200 --> 02:25:00.200
that the policy gets gray. Sure, tell us a little bit about where

1691
02:25:00.239 --> 02:25:03.440
you're at now, you're the Director
of East African Affairs at the State Department.

1692
02:25:03.440 --> 02:25:11.840
What does that entail. That entails
you know, an office within the

1693
02:25:11.879 --> 02:25:16.440
State Department, in a what we
call a regional bureau, is sort of

1694
02:25:16.479 --> 02:25:20.600
your primary touch point for the embassies
in the reporting back. So when an

1695
02:25:20.639 --> 02:25:26.959
embassy reports what's going on in a
country, you know, they will you

1696
02:25:26.959 --> 02:25:33.159
know, feed their views and that
information into a policy process on how we

1697
02:25:33.200 --> 02:25:37.200
respond to whatever the country is doing. If somebody wants to you know,

1698
02:25:39.040 --> 02:25:41.920
join bricks, do we have a
do we have a policy response? Should

1699
02:25:41.959 --> 02:25:46.159
we encourage them not to? Should
do we have an alternative for them?

1700
02:25:46.559 --> 02:25:50.200
You know those kind of things.
So the office is the primary pooler and

1701
02:25:50.319 --> 02:25:56.879
gatherer of information for the embassies.
And then the second thing is is where

1702
02:25:56.920 --> 02:26:07.360
the you know, we provide a
regional and country specific perspective into interagency deliberations

1703
02:26:07.399 --> 02:26:11.959
over whatever policy is being cooked up. Hey, we want to you know,

1704
02:26:13.959 --> 02:26:18.280
we want to train police. Okay, good ideas. Should we be

1705
02:26:18.319 --> 02:26:22.239
training these police? Right? You
know, how are we balancing the human

1706
02:26:22.319 --> 02:26:31.319
rights considerations with the hardcore national security
considerations. So it's a lot of it's

1707
02:26:31.360 --> 02:26:35.159
a lot of internal conversation. And
then of course we are a touch point

1708
02:26:35.200 --> 02:26:46.399
for the embassies here from the foreign
missions. You know, in places where

1709
02:26:46.399 --> 02:26:50.479
we have intensive negotiations, we may
support those negotiations. Maybe there's a trade

1710
02:26:50.520 --> 02:26:54.680
treaty, there's that they bring in
our expertise on. Maybe there's some other

1711
02:26:54.840 --> 02:27:00.360
kind of bilateral dialogue. We support
a lot of things like that. You

1712
02:27:00.399 --> 02:27:05.559
bring their foreign minister over, we
bring the secretary together and we discuss the

1713
02:27:05.639 --> 02:27:11.959
issues. So you're trying to manage
the relations with countries where there's sort of

1714
02:27:11.000 --> 02:27:20.600
primary regional policy expertise on that.
And folks out there that are interested in

1715
02:27:20.639 --> 02:27:24.120
your book, which I mean,
I think you described it to me before

1716
02:27:24.600 --> 02:27:28.000
that it's really about what it's like
to be existing in a crisis in a

1717
02:27:28.120 --> 02:27:33.000
US embassy abroad. In this book. Where can people find it? They

1718
02:27:33.000 --> 02:27:39.360
can find it on Amazon. The
book is the Embassy Story of War and

1719
02:27:39.399 --> 02:27:46.120
Diplomacy. Just a couple quick points
on it. It is designed, it's

1720
02:27:46.120 --> 02:27:50.680
written in narrative nonfiction. There's a
brief section that you've got to get through

1721
02:27:50.719 --> 02:27:52.600
and intro. You don't have to
read it on history a little dry.

1722
02:27:54.280 --> 02:27:58.520
What I do is the reason I
wrote it is to put you in an

1723
02:27:58.520 --> 02:28:03.959
embassy in a crisis. So it
was based on my own personal observations and

1724
02:28:03.079 --> 02:28:09.840
experiences. But I also did extensive
interviews with everybody that was involved in the

1725
02:28:09.879 --> 02:28:13.079
crisis at the time, and I
was sort of at the nerve center.

1726
02:28:13.159 --> 02:28:18.719
So you've got, you know,
chapters built around the perspective of the rso

1727
02:28:18.760 --> 02:28:24.559
more or less chapters built around the
perspective of the ambassador, of a local

1728
02:28:24.600 --> 02:28:31.399
staff member, and they're woven together
to take you through an extraordinary summer in

1729
02:28:31.479 --> 02:28:35.319
which again three rebel attacks, the
X, the end of the Charles Taylor

1730
02:28:35.360 --> 02:28:41.399
regime, and a peace agreement that
has endured to today. That's fantastic.

1731
02:28:41.600 --> 02:28:43.879
I don't know if I've ever heard
of a book of that nature work.

1732
02:28:45.120 --> 02:28:50.680
Coolly, Yeah, yeah, yeah, I'm looking forward to it. And

1733
02:28:50.280 --> 02:28:52.840
is there anything else that you want
to plug? Is there where can people

1734
02:28:52.879 --> 02:28:58.879
find you? I know you're currently
a government official. Do you have any

1735
02:28:58.879 --> 02:29:03.639
sort of public faith seeing places that
you want to direct people at the shop

1736
02:29:03.799 --> 02:29:07.239
or yeah, no, no,
I might you know, if you if

1737
02:29:07.280 --> 02:29:11.680
you want to see the uh the
travel version of the Foreign Service and see

1738
02:29:11.680 --> 02:29:16.600
some you know, travel photography,
you can go to my Instagram account parody

1739
02:29:16.639 --> 02:29:18.559
so d X if you just want
to reach out to me and you have

1740
02:29:18.680 --> 02:29:22.639
further questions. You know, I
think one of the things that your platform

1741
02:29:22.719 --> 02:29:26.840
does is give people a chance to
connect. So you can just find me

1742
02:29:26.920 --> 02:29:31.600
on LinkedIn under my name, because
you know, I'm always happy to engage

1743
02:29:31.639 --> 02:29:37.280
people and you know, build the
community of interests for for people who might

1744
02:29:37.799 --> 02:29:46.159
be interested in pursuing the field of
foreign service. What like what's a good

1745
02:29:46.200 --> 02:29:48.840
age to start that, what are
some good in roads and what does the

1746
02:29:48.840 --> 02:29:54.719
Foreign Service look for in candidates?
Yeah, I mean the Foreign Service.

1747
02:29:54.959 --> 02:29:58.440
There are a couple of ways in
I'm not that familiar with the sort of

1748
02:29:58.479 --> 02:30:03.559
non traditional mid career ways. They're
trying to open up that process and make

1749
02:30:03.559 --> 02:30:09.120
it a little more flexible. The
traditional way is there's a Foreign Service exam.

1750
02:30:09.680 --> 02:30:13.920
You should find out from State gut
doug gov where you can you can

1751
02:30:13.959 --> 02:30:18.760
find the information on the exam and
it's a written exam, followed by an

1752
02:30:18.879 --> 02:30:22.920
oral exam, followed by security and
medical clearances if you pass it. You

1753
02:30:22.920 --> 02:30:30.959
know, the preparation for the career
can be varied. Obviously, Folks with

1754
02:30:31.399 --> 02:30:37.159
you know, military background is excellent. We're fortunately getting a lot of folks

1755
02:30:37.200 --> 02:30:39.559
that are using it as a second
career. You can enter at any point.

1756
02:30:41.280 --> 02:30:45.559
The retirement age is sixty five.
You know, you're going to have

1757
02:30:45.639 --> 02:30:48.600
to come in, you know,
in your late fifties if you want a

1758
02:30:48.600 --> 02:30:52.200
couple tours overseas. The thing is
is that you know, you're not going

1759
02:30:52.239 --> 02:30:56.399
to become an ambassador if you start
when you're fifty five, right, because

1760
02:30:56.399 --> 02:31:00.920
it's just you're not going to be
have the time to work your way up

1761
02:31:00.959 --> 02:31:05.200
through the system. But there's a
tremendous number of uh, you know,

1762
02:31:05.399 --> 02:31:11.280
great assignments out there. There's a
lot of different aspects to foreign service life.

1763
02:31:11.719 --> 02:31:15.760
So, you know, I'm a
political officer by you know, by

1764
02:31:15.920 --> 02:31:18.040
they call it cone. What do
you what do you guys call it skill

1765
02:31:18.079 --> 02:31:24.840
code? Right, political officer that's
you know, essentially reporting on the political

1766
02:31:24.920 --> 02:31:30.680
dynamics in a country. But there
are also management officers that just sort of

1767
02:31:30.799 --> 02:31:33.440
run the affairs of an embassy.
You know, make sure that we have

1768
02:31:33.479 --> 02:31:37.680
our motor pool set, you know, make sure that your financial stuff is

1769
02:31:37.680 --> 02:31:43.200
being run. We have public affairs
officers and of course consular officers. And

1770
02:31:43.239 --> 02:31:48.639
if you know, immigration is your
thing and you want to help, you

1771
02:31:48.680 --> 02:31:50.719
know, bring people to the States, you want to keep people out of

1772
02:31:50.760 --> 02:31:54.680
the states. You know, you're
going to be working on visas, You're

1773
02:31:54.680 --> 02:31:58.959
going to be working on family reunification, and the critical component of American city

1774
02:32:00.200 --> 02:32:03.719
and services, which is, you
know, when somebody's in trouble overseas,

1775
02:32:03.959 --> 02:32:07.879
you get thrown in jail, the
embassy is going to visit track you.

1776
02:32:07.239 --> 02:32:11.360
We can't run your court case for
you, but it's it's those kind of

1777
02:32:11.360 --> 02:32:16.159
things, sort of helping Americans through
evacuations, in extremists and all that.

1778
02:32:16.360 --> 02:32:20.760
Those are all aspects. And then
there are specialized roles, which is you

1779
02:32:20.799 --> 02:32:24.360
know, like diplomatic security. Those
are you know, folks come in in

1780
02:32:24.440 --> 02:32:30.159
diplomatic security or it t people you
know, if you have a general interest

1781
02:32:30.239 --> 02:32:37.280
in living overseas representing the country,
but you know, are not as as

1782
02:32:37.360 --> 02:32:45.239
interested in the the core diplomatic sit
in the meeting with the foreign minister and

1783
02:32:45.600 --> 02:32:48.920
write reports on that. Then you
know some of those other roles or ways

1784
02:32:48.959 --> 02:32:54.200
to contribute, you know, you
know, to the inner agency platform.

1785
02:32:54.719 --> 02:32:58.319
And I want to you know,
shout out everybody that is part of an

1786
02:32:58.559 --> 02:33:03.959
embassy team, because State Department provides
the core platform, right, but a

1787
02:33:05.079 --> 02:33:09.600
country team at an embassy, you
know, like if you go to Thailand,

1788
02:33:09.639 --> 02:33:11.200
it's like fifty four agencies. I
didn't even know we had fifty four

1789
02:33:11.239 --> 02:33:16.159
agents. Yes, right, I'm
like, I don't know there's d A.

1790
02:33:16.079 --> 02:33:20.840
I can go through the entire litany
of the US government and apparently and

1791
02:33:20.879 --> 02:33:24.840
find it in Tily. You go
to a smaller embassy, you know,

1792
02:33:24.000 --> 02:33:28.159
you're going to find two or three
agencies. Usually you're going to have a

1793
02:33:28.159 --> 02:33:31.360
Defense attache there and you might have
a USA I D person or whatever.

1794
02:33:31.399 --> 02:33:35.520
So it really depends. There's a
lot of you know, folks that are

1795
02:33:35.520 --> 02:33:41.159
doing foreign affairs and doing embassy work, so they should all get credit for

1796
02:33:41.200 --> 02:33:46.239
that. Dante, thank you so
much for coming in to do this interview

1797
02:33:46.280 --> 02:33:50.040
tonight, even if you came in
under an alias, that's okay. I

1798
02:33:50.079 --> 02:33:54.760
really appreciate it. And we will
be back on Wednesday with Adam Gamal,

1799
02:33:54.879 --> 02:34:00.639
the author of the unit. So
that's Wednesday at noon, so it'll be

1800
02:34:00.840 --> 02:34:05.200
a neon interview. It'll odd for
us, but I hope you guys will

1801
02:34:05.280 --> 02:34:09.040
check out the embassy. The books
available on Amazon, and there's going to

1802
02:34:09.079 --> 02:34:11.600
be a link down the description as
well. You guys can go and check

1803
02:34:11.600 --> 02:34:16.159
it out. Thank you, And
you know, I hope that we can

1804
02:34:16.159 --> 02:34:18.840
have you back sometime in the future
because there's a few other things here that

1805
02:34:18.920 --> 02:34:26.440
we didn't quite get to tonight and
could probably yeah, no, it absolutely

1806
02:34:26.559 --> 02:34:31.040
could. And you know, I
have no idea maybe you'll have another book

1807
02:34:31.079 --> 02:34:35.639
to come and talk about as well. Yeah, it's great. It's a

1808
02:34:35.760 --> 02:34:39.239
it's a real honestly and honor to
be here. And you know, you

1809
02:34:39.280 --> 02:34:43.319
guys have you know, phenomenal guests. You know, love this love this

1810
02:34:43.399 --> 02:34:46.600
program, and it's thank you.
We all learned, we all learned from

1811
02:34:46.639 --> 02:34:50.680
it. Yeah, thank you,
appreciate it. And uh so that's it.

1812
02:34:50.719 --> 02:34:54.319
We'll see you guys on Wednesday.
Take care out there, have a

1813
02:34:54.360 --> 02:34:54.920
nice weekend.

