WEBVTT

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For your seven billion dollars. You
already called me twice that there are risks

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of ninety percent. They are SMEs
that generate 80%. Give me twenty

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minutes of your time and I,
in return, give you information on the

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most relevant issues in foreign trade,
tax and customs with a human touch and

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let' s traik a podcast of
TVs in Magas and Mexico Hello how good

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afternoons are welcome. Let' s
barter as it is at a telese event

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Magas and Mexico. Well, then, I' m very pleased. See

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you here, Alejandra, that you
are making a rouquee with us, especially

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with a subject that, in truth, I mean, I heard it and

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I read it And the truth is
that with so many changes that are happening

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both in Mexico and internationally. I
believe that the geopolitics and foreign trade that

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you are going to accompany us to
this day is very important. So good

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also to welcome Dr Maximo Carvajal Doctor
how you are welcome to barter to the

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view Antonio Carballida as well and to
all those who connected both on social networks

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as today. I' m very
happy to welcome you for a hello track.

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Thank you very much. Thank you, Daniela, thank you, Doctor,

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and good afternoon to all of you, and six months I was not

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with you. It' s really
been a little bit of a complex year.

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Last year was complicated, but this
one started leaving anyway. But it

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' s always a privilege. He
wants to be with you, sharing information

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and also listening to experiences from others. Thank you so much, Alexy.

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Good to give you the floor.
I would like to read your face and,

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above all, thank you because your
experience, the truth, brings us

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a lot and we are very happy
that you connect with us to make an

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an here. Alejandro Mayor is a
graduate of the technical market of the Instituto

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Tecnológico de Chihuahua, specializing in business
English from the TEC of Monterrey and Financial

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Law Studies from the Autonomous University of
Chihuahua and High Management from the Es Banking

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and Commercial School. Director of DK
Compañas para la Región de Américas at Flex

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Manufacture, responsible for managing business compliance
program for Canada, Mexico Costa Rica,

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Brazil and with special focus on where
in the United States, including export control.

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TRAK Oflscience' s ISA program has
more than twenty years of experience in

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international regulatory compliance, enforcement, customs
and logistics. He has worked in manufacturing

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companies such as Emerson Electric, Vision
Automotive and Fort Motors, foreign trade services

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and consultancy companies such as Jippy Morganches
Pastera who now s Livingstone and logistics companies

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Rider Systems and bax Global Shenker,
mainly in Mexico, the United States and

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Latin America. He has collaborated with
some associations of maquiladoras and exporters as part

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of the customs committees of Chihuahua,
Nuevo León, Reinosa and Ciudad parez and

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is currently a member of the Trader
Compliance Committee of work cooplass Station Capítulo México

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and is also a member of the
Exports and Operation Committee as part of the

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internal competition indes Pressosstation in the California
Valley of u of Silicon Valley. Well,

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Alejandro, thank you so much for
joining us today and I' ll

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leave you well and I' ll
give you the Community to do a trick.

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Thank you. Thank you, everyone, for I am going to you.

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I prepared for you today an issue
that, as it has lately been

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very much in our minds for everything
we have lived through perhaps since two thousand

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and eighteen, may be when the
trade war between the United States and China

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began. And for some who were
there, they have been more surprising,

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because the whole issue of Pakistan and
all the crises we have been dealing with.

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But lately, more so with the
issue of Ukraine' s war with

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Russia and it term, which,
in particular, I find very interesting and

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very relevant, which is geopolitics.
Let me share with you here the material

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we prepare. Well, well,
look at geopolitics, it' s not

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the opposite. Whatever we might think. It' s not a new term.

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Geopolitics is even a discipline and a
school of a kind of doctrine that,

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for some scholars of the subject,
has its origins from one thousand eight

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hundred to the end of one thousand
eight hundred of the nineteenth century, when

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this theme of the industrial revolution began
to be given and mass or serial production

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began to expand. For others it
has to do with the doctrines of trusted

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political scientists early in the 20th century, although since more detail and more popularized,

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it was formalized following the great depression
of one thousand nine hundred and thirty

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and, obviously, it had its
boiling or its highest point during the Second

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World War. There are records that
geopolitics as such, as it was used

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both by the Nazis, the Nazi
Party, and by the allied countries,

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both to give perception and this sort
of good against bad. I am right,

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and the others are not And obviously, so, everything that flourished after

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World War II, all that whole
period of the famous Cold War that the

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seventies where he left were made two
branches of geopolitics than the school to the

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critical geopolitics, this by an English
who is called Cost Island and the French

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School of Peter Taylor East, who
basically established the following. No, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no,

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no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.

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It dealt as data, as historical
studies to know a country, a

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region, to establish what its political
situation is, what its temes are,

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its demographic situations and for and to
understand a little the international environment or how

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countries and regions relate to each other. It' s about having historical data

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on how populations are managed. The
issue of geopolitics related to international conflicts,

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not to wars, to crises,
comes to our mind a great deal,

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but it has also been achieved in
peace rooms on political issues, because in

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the midst of all this the General
Council of the United Nations was born.

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Then it is fortunate to agree on
all and to manage the power to lead

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the population or humanity to a good
destiny. Logically, obviously, we are

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going to see in this talk that
there are different positions and they obey several

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specific points. So, then,
it has its core point in regional and

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situational analysis for what geopolitics is important
in international trade, because, as we

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well mentioned, it is to understand
them even among historical antecedents of a region,

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of a region where, where we
go to buy goods, where we

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go to do business, where we
go to sell products, It helps us

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identify risks, risks in the sense
that whether we want to buy inputs or

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sell products in countries that understand a
little more the regime that reigns, not

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or that governs that country or that
region, the limitations, uses and customs,

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the different customs regulations, commercial taxes
that have and will make trade easier

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or more difficult for us. On
the other hand, it also helps us

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to know more potentials, benefits or
incentives that exist with another region, namely

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foreign direct promotion programs, free trade
agreements, if they are allied or friendly

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countries, or a region where we
are left to offer a service, sell

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a product, establish a business relationship
or of any kind that we have benefits

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from being nationals of any country.
Namely the North American region, the European

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region, the European Community and,
last but not least, it helps us

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to establish business controls, whether for
sale or for purchase, controls on the

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entry and exit of goods, checks
on the payment of taxes, checks on

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regulations. Basically in geopolitics it goes
hand in hand with international trade and that

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' s where I found myself on
a very good page that I recommend you

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to call the world order. Along
with this sheet that will help us greatly

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to explain and develop this conference or
this talk today, And it is,

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therefore, the whole world map and
the routes of maritime trade, mainly marine,

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because, therefore, the most last
trade is the one that plays the

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world. We have different references here, such as different regions. If you

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look at it, there' s
the map of the world and it'

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s kind of cool, but here
it is in the region of America,

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which is Mexico, Panama Canal,
North America, South America and, to

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understand a little bit, it'
s segmented in what are the areas that

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produce raw materials, what are the
areas where manufactures are produced and what are

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the target or consumer areas and what
are the main trade routes. If we

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can see anything in the world.
There are seven very strategic commodity control points,

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which is where it basically crosses all
world trade. We' re starting

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with the Asia region. If you
look at the Asia region, we have

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manufacturing areas, all that is China, all that is Taiwan. Here the

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goods are produced and we have the
first port of departure through the Strait of

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Malacca that to Singapore, one of
the main financial points of the world with

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the rest of Asia down, as
comes this route that connects with the stress

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of Hormus, which is precisely the
door to the Middle East. Here'

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s Dubai, and here' s
Sakala and we get to the Marvec Strait

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and where the Suez Canal is.
We all remember the Suez Canal, because

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a year and a half ago,
because we were the East boat that ran

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aground and totally collapsed the trade in
that region of the world. Here it

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is because it is precisely the entry
into the lower part of Europe and the

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exit through the estuary of Gibraltar to
the northern part of Africa, and which

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carries many of the supplies or components
of the consumer areas that are basically in

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Europe, continue through another port,
to New York, which is where the

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other large consumer region is. And
so simply following on this side, because

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it goes through all points, collecting
in the different ports the components and traveling

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all over the Pacific Ocean towards America, which has basically three main points.

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An alternate point in Alaska, Vancouver, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Macerillo

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de Lázaro Cárden. This is where
the goods arrive, either for consumption or

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for manufacturing. These in turn,
because they leave following the route of the

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ships, because to the Canal Cama
Panama, In the Panama Canal, because

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here they leave by boat. If
they are fixed, it is cyclical and

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if they are fixed, it is
distributed by region and economic power is distributed

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in regions. To this day,
for everyone has known that the Panama Canal

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is administered by the United States,
which is up to two thousand twenty-

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one and we will see that this
will change. This is where the consumers

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of the planet or Europe and these
regions, which are producer economies, are

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concentrated, because they are the ones
that their economic map has been changing,

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has been improving, their income,
their middle class has been rising and eventually,

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because they will have a share of
consumption cases like India, for example,

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they also tend to be producing areas
of raw materials and manufactures, potentially

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in consumer areas. So, if
we see, we go to power or

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political regimes. We can see,
then, that we have very special regimes

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with the United States and apart,
we have Asia, we have the Middle

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East, and that makes those that
obviously, the nations compete with each other,

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for having, therefore, a greater
participation and a greater control of the

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areas where the goods are produced.
This could be said to be the heart

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of geopolitics. Here are many of
the answers to the questions and the topics

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that we are going to go.
Well, then you don' t lose

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sight of this foil. Over the
last one hundred and fifty years, we

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will realize that in the relationship of
economic conflicts, armed conflicts, industrial development

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and around regulation, many things have
happened, for example, on the side

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of this global and regional economic crisis, Without if we can see compensating with

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the first, which was the recession
of the post- World War I in

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nineteen hundred and seventeen, every ten
years we have had a regional or global

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crisis that has contracted the gross domestic
product or the economy in several digits very

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serious cases, like what happened after
the great depression seventeen percent of the GDP

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or after the Second World War there
was fifteen percent of the GDP and then

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in the Cold War, then almost
one percent. But during the 1970s and

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1990s we were right in my view
that a political crisis, at least a

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regional economic crisis, at the rate
of every five years. Not the tequila

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crisis or the tequila effect, the
effict zamba in Brazil, the tango effect

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in Argentina, where the countries occasionally
went bankrupt, not in impossibility of making

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their payments and their commitments to the
fund, like the international state, to

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the East countries that have to pital
to lend. And the last, because

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it is the one that we are
still living, which is the pandemic of

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covid and the recession that we come
from that, although on a global level,

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according to this OLSD and according to
the whole international, the contraction was

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five point, three percent later we
will see what it is, because it

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is a programming of all the countries
in Latin America. It is estimated that

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there are places like Venezuela, where
it was a contraction of more than twenty

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percent of the economy, and not
only that is five percent of the volumes

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of the economy today, which are
very different from the volumes of billions that

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were handled 150 years or 50 years
ago. Then we have never stopped experiencing

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a crisis in any region. On
the other hand, armed conflicts have also

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been a matter of heart and every
ten twenty years we have had one.

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If we take the same reference beginning
of the twentieth century in, because we

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started with the Mexican revolution in America, while in Europe, because there was

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the Russian civil war, while in
Africa there were still issues of slavery and

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in Asia, because we still had
issues there of the Asian and Oceania war

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and the Chinese civil war. Every
ten years there has been a conflict,

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every ten years there have been adjustments. Every ten years, there have been

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issues of political crises that ultimately result
in economic crises. An encouraging fact is

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that, after all these crises,
there has been a series of reforms.

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Organizations have been established and established,
as they have laid the foundations for what

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they call the new world order.
Much is said to be the case that

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after the first great depression the International
Monetary Fund was born, the dollar was

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introduced as a single currency of exchange
and the World Bank was created for what,

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to regulate the economy, to regulate
prices, to regulate certain international economic

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measures, according to what was needed
at that time and has been operating until

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a few years ago after the Second
World War, because the UMC was created

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or before GAT was created the OCTE
or the SD the World Customs Organization in

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one thousand nine hundred fifty- two, and this was instrumented the gross domestic

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product as an index to measure the
economy of this one in the decade of

210
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the seventies and the eighties, since
the International Augmentary Fund is still to be

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forgiven. The World Economic Forum and
the UCTED were developed and established and then

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more and more, at the beginning
of the year two thousand, with the

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problems and with the crisis that we
had of the twin towers and all the

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00:19:22.720 --> 00:19:26.920
security crises in carnal supply, as
they gave the entrance towards, towards,

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00:19:29.000 --> 00:19:33.799
towards, towards, the business antism
Gremqualition, which is the world coalition of

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00:19:33.839 --> 00:19:41.079
trade to the East, to the
authorized economic operator first in Europe and Singapore,

217
00:19:41.240 --> 00:19:45.119
and to the coalition of Abani and
anti- terrorism trade in the United

218
00:19:45.400 --> 00:19:49.720
States, or the City Pat,
which created a whole supply meat security industry.

219
00:19:53.200 --> 00:19:59.200
On the other hand, since the
mid- 18th century, this has

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been evolving and growing. The industry
became very colliding. We are in the

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Fifth Industrial Revolution, where we started
from the mid- 1800s with mechanization generating

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hydraulic energy, energy, steam,
serial production, mass production. In the

223
00:20:23.000 --> 00:20:27.960
19th century, the use of power. Then, in the 21st century,

224
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computer automation, manufacturing made its bullion. And today, because we come from

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the first ten fifteen years of the
21st century, to hybrid systems, to

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hybrid systems, to the digital world. And now we are in big data,

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we are in intelligence, artificial machine
learning, that we are, as

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I say to you, entering the
fifth industrial revolution. All these things happened

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in the last one hundred and five
thirty years. So, everything, in

230
00:21:02.400 --> 00:21:06.640
the middle of all this, because
there is the political management, the geopolitical

231
00:21:06.759 --> 00:21:10.559
environment, is called ppolódico, because, because it is happening all, all

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countries and then gives us, gives
us the pattern to a new term or

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acronym that was coined during the Second
and after the Second World War, the

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decade of the seventies, And this
was already used in a generalized way in

235
00:21:27.200 --> 00:21:30.200
the business world in the nineties,
which is the buca or bica environment in

236
00:21:30.279 --> 00:21:37.039
Spanish, that speaks of planning and
to this to implement strategies in a volatile

237
00:21:37.240 --> 00:21:44.200
environment where things are changing, which
today serves as a strategy, perhaps not

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00:21:44.839 --> 00:21:49.480
tomorrow or in the following months.
Not because it changes the whole environment.

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And this is uncertainty, because you
can' t predict things with that attitude,

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00:21:56.599 --> 00:21:59.960
because we don' t know exactly
what' s going to happen.

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00:22:00.559 --> 00:22:04.680
The environment is complex, because there
are many, many dependencies, many forces.

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The issue of cause and effect is
complicated and ambiguous. We do not

243
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live in an ambiguous environment, in
that we do not know what the real

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whole is and what it is and
what the mouth or the bica is completely

245
00:22:22.720 --> 00:22:29.000
reliable, as it is today part
of our reality. There is not even

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00:22:29.119 --> 00:22:38.519
a world movement dedicated to studying futurism
and studying bookup. There are some universities

247
00:22:40.000 --> 00:22:47.240
that study this phenomenon or this acronym, because as matter and basically it is

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handled in that how to predict,
how to have the best strategy with everything

249
00:22:52.519 --> 00:22:56.119
and against what it is that we
live. We were not prepared for a

250
00:22:56.119 --> 00:23:00.559
pandemic, No one was prepared to
live what we lived, What left us,

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00:23:00.759 --> 00:23:07.359
for example, the pandemic of covid
because it was contraction of more than

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two digits or two little children in
this one in Latin America, a silence

253
00:23:11.880 --> 00:23:15.039
through the economy. Seven point next
percent. It seems to me how Venezuela

254
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fell the economy thirty percent, Peru
twelve percent, Argentina ten percent to Mexico,

255
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as it was of those that this
less bad was And we almost reached

256
00:23:25.839 --> 00:23:30.200
the two digits. There are a
number of major efforts being made by the

257
00:23:30.240 --> 00:23:36.039
World Bank to rebuild the economy.
It passed on four pillars. First,

258
00:23:36.240 --> 00:23:42.119
nothing saves lives, not putting as
much funding as possible into the health issue,

259
00:23:44.240 --> 00:23:49.079
and then, then, I try
to protect the poor and vulnerable and

260
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lay the foundation for sustained growth.
On the basis that, then, on

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00:23:53.920 --> 00:24:03.559
the basis of this, we protect
the environment, protect health, protect life

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00:24:03.640 --> 00:24:10.799
and, therefore, see how we
are rebuilding and how we are doing short,

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medium and long- term goals.
The World Bank is estimated to have

264
00:24:18.720 --> 00:24:25.559
invested about$ 750 billion. Or
the analysis they have to sort out what

265
00:24:25.599 --> 00:24:29.039
the pandemic left us in broad terms, numbers plus numbers less, no,

266
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and as we started, as we
started the year two thousand twenty- three,

267
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because it was the following way,
I think it was based on what

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00:24:37.759 --> 00:24:44.079
we have seen and what we have
analyzed in the previous prints. Perhaps this

269
00:24:44.240 --> 00:24:53.440
year is when we start with more
crises and more adversities in all regions of

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00:24:53.480 --> 00:25:00.039
the planet. Why, because the
United States was facing the abyss, is

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00:25:00.039 --> 00:25:10.000
facing the enormous risk of falling into
recession that demand for products will fall.

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00:25:12.279 --> 00:25:18.119
There is a crisis of consumer confidence. There' s no money. And

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so, originally, as a region
like the United States, they consume and

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00:25:22.039 --> 00:25:30.279
stop consuming, because for all the
uncertainty and the risk of recession, obviously,

275
00:25:30.680 --> 00:25:33.680
they make all the markets laugh.
Europe, on the other hand,

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00:25:33.359 --> 00:25:40.920
is also suffering the same. Europe
has no money, but it has a

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00:25:41.599 --> 00:25:49.079
huge amount of social problems because of
an uncontrolled migration that is taking place,

278
00:25:49.400 --> 00:26:00.599
especially from people coming from Africa and
other countries. There is a rather complex

279
00:26:00.759 --> 00:26:08.759
situation on social issues, on administration
issues, on government issues in Latin America,

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00:26:10.119 --> 00:26:18.400
because obviously we have a sort of
very controversial political leaders, very populists,

281
00:26:18.559 --> 00:26:23.960
who are called either, loaded into
the center ideology of the left,

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00:26:25.559 --> 00:26:33.640
because they seek only immediacy. They
don' t have a political program,

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00:26:33.640 --> 00:26:38.000
a strategy. And, obviously,
because in situations like these it becomes complicated,

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there is an atmosphere of tremendous polarization
throughout the region and that, therefore,

285
00:26:45.279 --> 00:26:51.599
creates a lot of uncertainty on the
part of investors in countries that have

286
00:26:52.119 --> 00:26:56.680
the capital to invest. As the
Latin American region manufactures and produces inputs or

287
00:26:57.519 --> 00:27:03.000
consumer products, as demand declines and
as there is a crisis of reliability,

288
00:27:03.240 --> 00:27:11.480
because it does not have an environment
with legal certainty, because it is beginning

289
00:27:11.559 --> 00:27:18.599
to complicate in Asia, in this, in the eastern part of Europe,

290
00:27:18.160 --> 00:27:27.400
because also the main problem, because
it is the invasion of Russia to Ukraine

291
00:27:27.480 --> 00:27:34.759
and the whole food crisis and the
humanitarian crisis that resulted from this, the

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00:27:34.880 --> 00:27:41.880
mass migration of all the peoples that
are around, the humanitarian crisis that comes

293
00:27:41.000 --> 00:27:45.640
together, therefore, with the health
crisis of the covid that the covid has

294
00:27:45.799 --> 00:27:48.799
not ended up leaving or that if
the global aviation of health of each comes

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00:27:48.839 --> 00:27:56.599
at the end of the pandemic,
we know that there have been variations of

296
00:27:56.599 --> 00:28:00.079
concern. Chile, on the other
hand, because it is coming out of

297
00:28:00.200 --> 00:28:07.680
bar situations number one, because it
is all that it has stopped selling since

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00:28:07.759 --> 00:28:11.240
it is a country that produces inputs
and raw materials and has been standing for

299
00:28:11.680 --> 00:28:15.279
two or three years, because it
has stopped products. That lockup they took

300
00:28:15.359 --> 00:28:19.400
as a strategy, because it affected
them too much. On the other hand,

301
00:28:21.599 --> 00:28:26.160
because they are immersed in one in
a trade war with the United States

302
00:28:26.640 --> 00:28:33.839
and facing all these trade sanctions imposed
by the President trumpo in two thousand eighteen,

303
00:28:33.920 --> 00:28:40.039
because they have been diminishing their economy
and have terrible debt problems. Its

304
00:28:40.160 --> 00:28:51.359
population grew in purchasing power economy,
came into debt, came acquiring a certain

305
00:28:51.440 --> 00:28:56.519
lifestyle because there was a flow of
sales. And then all of a sudden

306
00:28:56.599 --> 00:29:00.599
all this stopped and now they have
other kinds of problems. So, I

307
00:29:00.680 --> 00:29:06.680
think it' s been a long
time since the world started it. A

308
00:29:06.720 --> 00:29:11.079
year like the one we started and
like the one we are going through lately

309
00:29:11.400 --> 00:29:18.480
i obviously, the positions of power, the political positions, the positions of

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00:29:18.599 --> 00:29:25.400
competition, for the territory, for
the inputs, for the supply, for

311
00:29:25.400 --> 00:29:33.000
the control of goods is radicalized and
this becomes more complex. Everything does not

312
00:29:33.000 --> 00:29:41.119
make the appearance, good or at
least in our vocabulary, this day to

313
00:29:41.240 --> 00:29:48.119
day, global international sanctions. We, I think, were listening to rare

314
00:29:48.240 --> 00:29:51.440
international sanctions. For back in the
seventies, in whom we already are of

315
00:29:51.680 --> 00:29:59.559
a middle age. Yes, that' s the 80' s to that

316
00:29:59.559 --> 00:30:03.279
time when there was a boycotta to
the Olympics in Moscow, Well, yes

317
00:30:03.319 --> 00:30:07.440
to that as we saw that there
was talk about the energy crisis in the

318
00:30:07.480 --> 00:30:11.319
1970s and then in the 1980s because
the whole issue of terrorism and sanctions to

319
00:30:11.440 --> 00:30:17.240
countries. There are no diplomatic sanctions
that occur when two countries focus on conflict

320
00:30:17.319 --> 00:30:22.279
and expel diplomats from it so that
they do not visit, not and so

321
00:30:22.319 --> 00:30:32.880
that they do not have this communication. There are no economic sanctions, which

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00:30:33.119 --> 00:30:37.000
are the ones we are dealing with, which we are engaged in foreign trade

323
00:30:37.000 --> 00:30:41.720
customs. Logistics, because we have
had more to see for the sanctions that

324
00:30:41.759 --> 00:30:45.079
have imposed, because this, the
following trump to Chinese products what you call

325
00:30:45.160 --> 00:30:51.200
it with the rates of section three
hundred one of the Office of Trade Representation

326
00:30:51.799 --> 00:30:56.920
or the Secretariat of Economy of the
United States East and that in some way

327
00:30:57.000 --> 00:31:03.279
has benefited us for being a manufacturing
country and that many of the projects and

328
00:31:03.400 --> 00:31:11.720
processes have been running from China to
America and more specifically to Mexico, because

329
00:31:11.839 --> 00:31:21.000
to use platforms like the USMC.
And we are all the ones who are

330
00:31:21.079 --> 00:31:25.240
a little closer to that the military
songs, because they are the interventions.

331
00:31:26.279 --> 00:31:32.279
What happened with Russia and Ukraine sports
sanctions Russia is a clear example. It

332
00:31:32.359 --> 00:31:36.200
is and later we will see a
case as soon as the invasion of Russia

333
00:31:36.680 --> 00:31:44.839
Ukraine took place, the International Automobile
Federation sanctioned Russia the Formula One Grand Prix.

334
00:31:45.160 --> 00:31:48.799
It' s canceled. There was
a runner and no more cepin running

335
00:31:48.079 --> 00:31:53.039
in a squire' s office.
FIFA also took it out of there,

336
00:31:53.240 --> 00:32:00.039
because it also sanctioned the International Football
Federation of Russia and the gymnastics Federation and

337
00:32:00.079 --> 00:32:07.400
because they are practically isolated from all
competition and environmental sanctions, because they are

338
00:32:07.480 --> 00:32:12.759
the ones that there are economic measures
due to bad environmental practices. We haven

339
00:32:12.839 --> 00:32:21.599
' t seen much of them,
but they' re probably the ones that

340
00:32:22.119 --> 00:32:28.880
will come when we have more complex
effects on climate change issues. There is

341
00:32:28.920 --> 00:32:34.279
a regulation that passed the previous year, which is the CYBOOM or the coal

342
00:32:34.319 --> 00:32:40.799
relationship, which speaks of the green
tax that the European Community is imposing on

343
00:32:40.960 --> 00:32:46.759
its imports. It is beginning with
the steel industry, with concrete for very

344
00:32:46.880 --> 00:32:52.119
specific coditis, but it is what
comes with this agenda that Europe has of

345
00:32:52.160 --> 00:33:00.880
making emissions, of reducing pollution,
because it is going to start issuing sanctions

346
00:33:01.359 --> 00:33:07.119
to those countries that do not have
a clean energy policy that they call it

347
00:33:07.119 --> 00:33:08.279
then. That' s what we' re going to meet to see.

348
00:33:09.799 --> 00:33:15.880
And so, the sanctions how they
work, because they have several four items

349
00:33:15.079 --> 00:33:20.960
and four sections that are who is
the end user of the goods or the

350
00:33:20.960 --> 00:33:25.279
products, who they are, what
use these goods will be given to those

351
00:33:25.359 --> 00:33:30.880
products and is to manufacture goods that
are going to be used in which industry,

352
00:33:31.759 --> 00:33:38.640
armament, government, recreation, medicine, etc, and what are the

353
00:33:38.640 --> 00:33:44.400
final destination. Whether we have a
case like that of us in Mexico,

354
00:33:44.759 --> 00:33:52.880
we bring components or goods from other
regions, well we invoice products and forward

355
00:33:52.279 --> 00:33:59.920
them to other countries through the maquila
program. The international regulations that exist.

356
00:34:00.200 --> 00:34:07.079
These are the four quadrants on which
international sanctions are established, mainly who is

357
00:34:07.920 --> 00:34:12.960
exposed or what they are applying to
us, mainly we, because they are

358
00:34:13.000 --> 00:34:19.599
those of the United States Government,
through the Department of State, the Department

359
00:34:20.360 --> 00:34:25.599
of Commerce and the Bureau of Industry
and Security. They have different categories,

360
00:34:25.800 --> 00:34:31.400
different theories of controls, depending on
the type of goods and destination that it

361
00:34:31.559 --> 00:34:38.199
is, whether they are usable or
used in systems or applications of software technologies

362
00:34:38.239 --> 00:34:44.360
for military purposes or those that are
called dual use, also that they can

363
00:34:44.480 --> 00:34:50.199
be used at best in producing a
simple drill, but they can also be

364
00:34:50.280 --> 00:35:00.079
used to produce a chemical cannon,
which can be used for use of detergents,

365
00:35:00.400 --> 00:35:05.400
but they are drug procursors and all
this subject that are of military control,

366
00:35:06.000 --> 00:35:10.599
but which also has a commercial use
and export licenses for mainly controlled items

367
00:35:10.800 --> 00:35:15.280
right now. We' ll see
a little bit more detail with what'

368
00:35:16.039 --> 00:35:20.840
s going on with the theme of
semiconductors, the theme of memories, the

369
00:35:20.840 --> 00:35:24.679
theme of chips. All of these
have sanctions on countries, specifically China,

370
00:35:25.119 --> 00:35:36.119
and have movement or export and import
controls. Well, let' s go

371
00:35:36.239 --> 00:35:40.360
to the first case, to the
case to understand a little more why it

372
00:35:42.039 --> 00:35:45.719
' s important to understand geopolitics in
international business. I brought this case because

373
00:35:45.800 --> 00:35:50.559
it' s very good. It
is very current and has to do with

374
00:35:50.679 --> 00:35:54.280
player Luis Chávez. Luis Charvez,
remember that kick that the Mexican team put

375
00:35:54.360 --> 00:36:00.199
in the Arabian section of the World
Cup. How about one of the prettiest

376
00:36:00.239 --> 00:36:07.400
goals, that goal he scored from
outside the area. And that' s

377
00:36:07.440 --> 00:36:13.480
where this player is from, because
they came up with their credentials. He

378
00:36:14.559 --> 00:36:20.880
really played, he has played in
the gongkaf in two World Cups and national

379
00:36:22.679 --> 00:36:29.679
selection and his dream was to play
in Europe after the World Cup tasting as

380
00:36:29.800 --> 00:36:35.199
there were several clubs interested by him
for his card. The Pachuca club,

381
00:36:35.360 --> 00:36:40.519
which is where he was playing for, is not interested in making a meaningful

382
00:36:40.599 --> 00:36:49.079
transaction for them. And that'
s where the most money was proposed for

383
00:36:49.159 --> 00:36:53.400
this player was the dynamo from Moscow, Moscow, that is, from Russia.

384
00:36:55.320 --> 00:37:00.440
What was the problem here, well
well, we know the card of

385
00:37:00.480 --> 00:37:06.880
this player or the value of the
Charter of Player Rights. According to Transfermarket,

386
00:37:07.000 --> 00:37:12.880
it is the page where you can
see all the information of the players

387
00:37:12.920 --> 00:37:17.360
of the world. The Charter is
assessed at EUR 6 5 million. The

388
00:37:17.480 --> 00:37:22.280
transaction and sale between Club Pachuca and
Dynamo Moscow was a transaction of eight million

389
00:37:22.400 --> 00:37:28.280
euros to live in. In which
FIFA suspended Russia, as we have said,

390
00:37:28.519 --> 00:37:30.840
all clubs in Russia and everyone,
the entire federation from playing and from

391
00:37:30.880 --> 00:37:43.320
having any worldwide interaction of competitions.
UEFA, which is the European Football Federation,

392
00:37:43.599 --> 00:37:51.719
also did the same. Moreover,
at the financial level, SWIFT,

393
00:37:52.159 --> 00:37:58.519
which is the system that facilitates global
transactions between banks, because it blocked all

394
00:37:58.599 --> 00:38:02.000
banks with after and then we had
a problem, that we had a player

395
00:38:02.039 --> 00:38:12.639
who was intended by a Russian club
to get his services. He made a

396
00:38:13.119 --> 00:38:17.960
rather interesting economic proposal to the Pachuca
club for eight million euros. He fulfilled

397
00:38:19.000 --> 00:38:22.400
all the expectations and dreams of a
27- year- old player who wanted

398
00:38:22.559 --> 00:38:25.159
to go out into the world to
play Europe. But it could not be

399
00:38:25.199 --> 00:38:30.719
done. It could not be done
because today the Russian League, because it

400
00:38:30.840 --> 00:38:36.320
is a league that is isolated and
disconnected from the world, cannot play in

401
00:38:36.480 --> 00:38:45.679
official competitions, cannot play with other
countries financially. We were faced with the

402
00:38:45.800 --> 00:38:53.559
dilemma that how those eight million euros
were paid to the Mexican club. And

403
00:38:54.239 --> 00:38:59.519
this is what happened. How they
did it, how the capital flows took

404
00:38:59.559 --> 00:39:04.519
place, Well we have three players
here, we have a country that sells,

405
00:39:04.880 --> 00:39:07.079
the United States, and a country
that buys, Russia. We have

406
00:39:07.199 --> 00:39:12.880
an intermediary who is Venezuela. So
what happened, because first of all,

407
00:39:13.119 --> 00:39:17.840
the player himself, my Chávez,
paid his own contract termination clause, paid

408
00:39:17.920 --> 00:39:23.360
five million pesos to Pachuca to be
considered free people and then he could negotiate

409
00:39:23.440 --> 00:39:31.519
his letter and his rights with any
club. Then negotiations were established to reach

410
00:39:31.559 --> 00:39:37.719
the sale agreement to the player.
And what had to be done was that

411
00:39:38.159 --> 00:39:44.000
Pachuca had to establish a commercial relationship
with a bank in Venezuela. He opened

412
00:39:44.079 --> 00:39:50.880
an account, making a good account
so that after we already assumed that Russia

413
00:39:51.000 --> 00:39:57.519
had no issues in making a transfer
with a bank in Venezuelas, they made

414
00:39:57.639 --> 00:40:01.039
all the arrangements, all the ct
that they call him and in this way

415
00:40:01.760 --> 00:40:07.239
he transferred the eight million euros to
the Pachuca club in his Venezuela account.

416
00:40:07.199 --> 00:40:12.400
Then, after the transaction has been
confirmed, the Pachuca club withdrew the funds

417
00:40:12.480 --> 00:40:20.440
to its bank account in Mexico.
This tertiaryization. And all this made it

418
00:40:20.800 --> 00:40:24.039
possible for Luis Charvez, because he
finally fulfilled his dreams, to go out

419
00:40:24.159 --> 00:40:30.679
and play European football. And to
this day, the Pachuca club, as

420
00:40:30.719 --> 00:40:37.880
it has walked this process, is
also offering from its other club, which

421
00:40:37.960 --> 00:40:44.760
is the luxury Pachuca, which is
the lion, is already selling another player

422
00:40:44.880 --> 00:40:51.880
to another Russian club. It is
the first time in the history of football

423
00:40:51.920 --> 00:40:57.679
that a Mexican player goes out to
Russia and, obviously at the most appropriate

424
00:40:57.719 --> 00:41:02.400
moment through a war, now what
potential risks and regulatory commitments there are for

425
00:41:02.440 --> 00:41:08.480
the two involved in this, mainly
for Club Pachuca, because in the sale

426
00:41:09.320 --> 00:41:17.679
of this player is considered an export. Pachuca, as an organization, as

427
00:41:19.159 --> 00:41:24.320
a sports group, already has a
registered export of a sale to Russia in

428
00:41:24.320 --> 00:41:29.280
its records. If for any reason, Club Pachuca becomes a subsidiary, a

429
00:41:29.360 --> 00:41:37.000
subsidiary, an association in another country
that has Russia sanctioned, you call the

430
00:41:37.000 --> 00:41:45.559
United States, England, Spain,
can at any time be questioned or even

431
00:41:45.719 --> 00:41:51.360
punished for having done business with a
country that is blocked, that is seized,

432
00:41:51.480 --> 00:42:00.440
that is sanctioned? This can get
the club into a complication. Financial

433
00:42:00.519 --> 00:42:07.679
transaction, of the exchange of capital
between a bank of Mexico and a bank

434
00:42:07.760 --> 00:42:12.320
of Venezuela seemed to start day,
because it had no issue, because there

435
00:42:12.400 --> 00:42:15.840
is no, there is no sanction, there is no embargo. There are

436
00:42:15.920 --> 00:42:23.920
open trade relations between Mexico and Venezuela, but again we tend to do the

437
00:42:25.199 --> 00:42:30.960
same to other countries or to FIFA
itself. This can be considered a relationship,

438
00:42:30.239 --> 00:42:36.280
a risk transaction. Why. Because
the European Community, the international community,

439
00:42:36.599 --> 00:42:42.599
the international banking system of the West, does not regulate transactions and the

440
00:42:43.679 --> 00:42:50.159
exchange of capital between a country and
the Bank of Venezuela. Moreover, the

441
00:42:50.239 --> 00:42:53.880
Bank of Venezuela is well aware that
banks have some degree of control by the

442
00:42:54.000 --> 00:43:00.519
Government of Venezuela and is thus an
example. The United States today does not

443
00:43:00.519 --> 00:43:05.599
have a total embargo on Venezuela.
They have partial barriers and precisely one of

444
00:43:05.760 --> 00:43:10.920
the points of concern or audit points
is that transactions that are made between individuals

445
00:43:12.000 --> 00:43:15.599
or entities of Venezuela, since they
are not linked to the government. This

446
00:43:15.679 --> 00:43:21.239
could be an important issue for the
Pachuca club and, as I told you,

447
00:43:21.400 --> 00:43:27.559
it could be questioned by the geó
for several things. It is making

448
00:43:28.039 --> 00:43:30.440
it easier for a league to be
active in a league that is sanctioned,

449
00:43:31.199 --> 00:43:40.679
a league that is not disaffiliated,
but is sanctioned and punished. Obviously,

450
00:43:42.480 --> 00:43:46.559
we think that the Lu Pachuca or
the Pachuca Group, because they have their

451
00:43:47.039 --> 00:43:52.400
lawyers have so much foreign trade and
they have people who advised them very well

452
00:43:52.519 --> 00:43:55.559
to make this transaction for Luis Chávez, Para bliz Chávez, because, first

453
00:43:58.159 --> 00:44:00.719
of all, he will lose,
at the best of those sporting moments,

454
00:44:01.159 --> 00:44:06.320
the opportunity, because to have a
forum, he will go to a league

455
00:44:06.400 --> 00:44:08.840
sanctioned by FIFA, by UEFA and
that he will go to a local league

456
00:44:09.159 --> 00:44:15.119
where there will be no records of
his performance, of his goals, of

457
00:44:15.239 --> 00:44:21.400
his assists, of what he does. He may well not be summoned to

458
00:44:21.440 --> 00:44:23.840
play with the Mexican Football Team,
although there are no rules, there are

459
00:44:24.119 --> 00:44:28.800
no laws, there is nothing to
prohibit him. Well, certainly, again

460
00:44:28.960 --> 00:44:35.519
speaking of geopolitics and talking about lately
the interaction between the LMS and the Mexican

461
00:44:35.719 --> 00:44:40.639
Football Federation, we have just gone
through an interleague tournament and we are facing

462
00:44:40.719 --> 00:44:45.280
the doors of a forthcoming Naftan World
Cup, where it will be played in

463
00:44:45.400 --> 00:44:50.519
Canada, the United States and Mexico, because the fact that a selected player

464
00:44:50.639 --> 00:44:55.280
of yours is playing in Russia,
since the truth can affect the player what

465
00:44:55.360 --> 00:44:59.960
other things they can see. It' s a great idea that it doesn

466
00:45:00.320 --> 00:45:05.239
' t suit the game system To
get back, it' s complicated its

467
00:45:05.639 --> 00:45:08.519
return because now, Russia would have
to sell it to Mexico and all this

468
00:45:08.559 --> 00:45:10.960
and it doesn' t adapt the
life system. So, we really live

469
00:45:12.079 --> 00:45:15.960
in an environment of certain freedoms,
in a certain way of living, here

470
00:45:16.519 --> 00:45:21.480
in the West and then he went
against his family there. So this is

471
00:45:21.559 --> 00:45:25.360
not good for geopolitics. For this
purpose it is useful to study the environments,

472
00:45:25.639 --> 00:45:29.760
to analyze the risks and to make
decisions based on them. I believe

473
00:45:29.760 --> 00:45:35.639
that this is an example that makes
it easy for all of us to understand

474
00:45:35.760 --> 00:45:40.280
and to what extent considerations can come
to a commercial transaction. I mean,

475
00:45:40.519 --> 00:45:45.199
it' s not about using the
player here as a commodity. It'

476
00:45:45.280 --> 00:45:49.480
s about selling a service and it
really caught my attention. I followed the

477
00:45:49.519 --> 00:45:53.039
case a lot and when I was
loving this talk, I think it made

478
00:45:53.119 --> 00:45:58.519
it easy for me to illustrate it. Now we' re talking a little

479
00:45:58.599 --> 00:46:07.280
bit about payment financial systems and we
haven' t heard much about Briggs versus

480
00:46:07.400 --> 00:46:15.159
SWIFT. Good him. The Briggs
comes from the year of nineteen hundred and

481
00:46:15.000 --> 00:46:21.480
nine where the acceding countries or the
countries not one hundred percent aligned to those

482
00:46:21.559 --> 00:46:28.039
to the seven. A declaration was
made to be created as in one with

483
00:46:28.360 --> 00:46:32.679
an environment of a new, more
equitable world order, to remove it in

484
00:46:32.760 --> 00:46:39.280
a few words, for protectionism,
or to take away supremacy. And that

485
00:46:39.440 --> 00:46:43.760
and that all power and all economic
and all capitals are concentrated in just seven

486
00:46:43.960 --> 00:46:47.199
countries, that there is a more
felt, fairer distribution, that there is

487
00:46:47.280 --> 00:46:53.800
a more humanistic approach and that there
is a more social approach. And so,

488
00:46:54.320 --> 00:46:58.880
in a way, what we know
is the eternal struggle between left and

489
00:46:58.960 --> 00:47:04.119
right, between camp lifeism and socialism. Not what they represent, because Briggs,

490
00:47:04.519 --> 00:47:10.400
although in the number of countries and
the number of nations they exceed the

491
00:47:10.800 --> 00:47:17.400
United States, the European Unity and
the Group of the G seven, because

492
00:47:19.119 --> 00:47:24.159
in reality they represent just twenty-
five two hundred of the pipe of the

493
00:47:24.880 --> 00:47:30.480
world economy and this forty- two
percent of the population. This has changed.

494
00:47:31.360 --> 00:47:37.000
Obviously, and as I was telling
you, economies like India, for

495
00:47:37.000 --> 00:47:42.679
example, have been growing enormously.
South Africa has been growing tremendously. This

496
00:47:43.199 --> 00:47:46.800
one in Brazil, because it has
quite a lot of problems, but it

497
00:47:47.480 --> 00:47:58.280
is a strong country in Latin America
and can potentially raise the income of its

498
00:47:59.519 --> 00:48:04.760
middle class, purchasing power to grow
its economy. And this, then,

499
00:48:04.800 --> 00:48:10.000
can start to balance things a little
bit. It' s going to replace

500
00:48:12.039 --> 00:48:17.840
SWIFT to Briggs to SWIFT probably not. What I studied from these two positions

501
00:48:17.920 --> 00:48:25.320
is that it can economically benefit the
world, because there may be several interbank

502
00:48:25.840 --> 00:48:31.519
payment systems and not just one,
like what just happened with the example we

503
00:48:31.559 --> 00:48:37.519
saw of the football player, if
we had two open payment systems and were

504
00:48:37.079 --> 00:48:44.159
working in some normality and in one
of the polarized environments we live in.

505
00:48:44.639 --> 00:48:50.679
For Mexico, which is a mediating
country, is that we have always gone

506
00:48:50.800 --> 00:48:54.280
to a country that we do not
charge ourselves to one side, to the

507
00:48:54.280 --> 00:48:59.480
other side of the balance, that
we are an open country. It would

508
00:48:59.480 --> 00:49:04.719
be easier to have access to the
two payment systems and to transact this trade

509
00:49:04.800 --> 00:49:13.079
with the two regions countries such as
Switzerland as well and other countries that have

510
00:49:13.320 --> 00:49:17.679
not decided to take a physical stance. It can be a real posture,

511
00:49:17.880 --> 00:49:20.960
it can be a benefit. But
today, as Briggs is a reality,

512
00:49:21.360 --> 00:49:28.320
more countries will be able to join, perhaps it will be able to increase

513
00:49:28.480 --> 00:49:36.199
this participation in the pit Definitely,
taking into account two things, the world

514
00:49:36.320 --> 00:49:44.920
' s great consumers are in crisis. Europe has been tremendously affected by Russia

515
00:49:45.000 --> 00:49:52.079
' s war with Ukraine Russia.
Ukraine was therefore the number one supplier of

516
00:49:52.280 --> 00:50:00.679
minerals, grains and some other foods
in Europe. Russia is therefore the number

517
00:50:00.760 --> 00:50:08.599
one supplier of natural gas throughout Europe. And, as I was saying,

518
00:50:10.480 --> 00:50:17.559
European countries are facing severe humanitarian and
social crises. I was just reading that,

519
00:50:17.679 --> 00:50:27.920
for example, Sweden has terrible crime
problems, ulterior social problems all over

520
00:50:28.000 --> 00:50:32.119
migration and by all gangs and every
time Sweden, as it has been one

521
00:50:32.159 --> 00:50:37.920
of the most open countries to migration. Spain has problems, France, also

522
00:50:37.920 --> 00:50:44.199
in England and the United States,
because let' s not say the United

523
00:50:44.280 --> 00:50:49.280
States with the security problems that the
drug crisis has lately, with the canile

524
00:50:49.320 --> 00:50:58.679
of some potential recession. This can
definitely balance or move completely. The map

525
00:50:58.760 --> 00:51:08.800
that we, who had seen at
the beginning, has no other important theme,

526
00:51:09.039 --> 00:51:13.280
which is the war of the semiconductors
and between the boys. Why shouldn

527
00:51:13.280 --> 00:51:19.480
' t we worry. Well,
look at a report that Mackenzie made in

528
00:51:19.599 --> 00:51:24.000
two thousand twenty- two. He
made projections that by the year two thousand

529
00:51:24.119 --> 00:51:32.480
thirty the market of microchips or semiconductors
will be evaluated in a billion dollars,

530
00:51:34.320 --> 00:51:37.840
that is, billions of dollars,
which potentially means this beyond all the electronics

531
00:51:39.400 --> 00:51:45.719
that we can think bring a memory. Today, everything has memory, it

532
00:51:45.760 --> 00:51:52.239
has a semiconductor chip. The car
shortage crisis came precisely because today the autros

533
00:51:52.320 --> 00:51:58.800
are very electrified. Our phones have
chips, our computers. Our whole life

534
00:52:00.199 --> 00:52:05.239
as we become smarter and more digital, because it has a chip, a

535
00:52:05.239 --> 00:52:12.280
semiconductor, a memory and an integrated
circuit that facilitates, since all this.

536
00:52:13.159 --> 00:52:17.519
And there is a very but very
important issue and I think it is the

537
00:52:17.599 --> 00:52:22.400
central part of all of this.
The development of artificial intelligent, military systems,

538
00:52:22.639 --> 00:52:29.000
state- of- the- art
satellite systems, aircraft, all have

539
00:52:29.239 --> 00:52:35.360
to do with chips and obviously,
who wins the chip production market, microchips,

540
00:52:35.639 --> 00:52:43.239
semiconductors will own the world. For
China, chip manufacturing is extremely complex,

541
00:52:43.400 --> 00:52:45.639
because while they have cheap labor,
although they do have them, many

542
00:52:45.760 --> 00:52:52.880
of the raw materials developments depend on
others, mainly Japan and mainly Holland,

543
00:52:53.199 --> 00:53:00.599
the United States, from company to
the United States, from capital to produce,

544
00:53:00.639 --> 00:53:08.440
as all that technology. And there' s another important issue, which

545
00:53:08.519 --> 00:53:14.320
is silicon, not silicon. Those
countries that have silicon and that have lithium

546
00:53:14.480 --> 00:53:21.039
and that have other components, because
they are going to have capital there invested

547
00:53:21.079 --> 00:53:25.519
for something. The President of López
Obrador made the decree that nationalize lithium and

548
00:53:27.000 --> 00:53:34.679
other components, because this is going
to be the basis of the new wars

549
00:53:34.719 --> 00:53:37.079
we have. This is going to
be the basis of geopolitics and, obviously,

550
00:53:37.559 --> 00:53:45.199
as we saw very much at the
beginning of our discussion on this,

551
00:53:45.960 --> 00:53:50.280
this map is the heart of geopolitics. Until a few months ago, routes

552
00:53:51.679 --> 00:54:00.239
began in Asia and there they moved
to certain regions such as Oceania, such

553
00:54:00.280 --> 00:54:06.360
as the Middle East, such as
Europe, North Africa, Central America,

554
00:54:06.559 --> 00:54:13.400
South America. But what everyone is
looking for is, obviously, more and

555
00:54:13.480 --> 00:54:19.599
more territory, more and more power
to dominate the other. That' s

556
00:54:19.719 --> 00:54:22.920
geopolitics. And that is, therefore, the world that we have had to

557
00:54:22.920 --> 00:54:29.039
live, especially to those who are
on these issues of customs, of international

558
00:54:29.039 --> 00:54:34.800
trade, of foreign trade, of
three complayans of logistics. It is fascinating

559
00:54:34.880 --> 00:54:38.559
to understand this, to understand what
is happening outside, because, because it

560
00:54:38.639 --> 00:54:43.679
is already coming to us in the
immediate environment in Mexico, which happened two

561
00:54:43.760 --> 00:54:46.679
weeks ago, on the 16th of
August. The government of Mexico, because

562
00:54:46.800 --> 00:54:52.159
it took out three decrees there well, made a change to the lige to

563
00:54:52.280 --> 00:55:00.320
adjust the import rates the ones cups
that are to zero the sweats Tomentis five

564
00:55:00.480 --> 00:55:06.320
percent. He modified the decree process
this. So why, precisely, to

565
00:55:06.719 --> 00:55:15.239
ensure that all the entry of goods
from a country with which we do not

566
00:55:15.320 --> 00:55:22.079
have a trade treaty, because a
trade barrier is placed on it? Interestingly,

567
00:55:22.679 --> 00:55:27.599
two days later, the user or
the iust Representative Office or the Secretariat

568
00:55:27.599 --> 00:55:34.920
of Economy in the United States made
a publication congratulating or welcoming or expressing its

569
00:55:35.039 --> 00:55:40.440
satisfaction with the measures that the Government
is doing to control mainly this, the

570
00:55:40.599 --> 00:55:47.639
entry of plastic steel and some other
key components of this country that do not

571
00:55:47.800 --> 00:55:52.320
have free trade agreements, which is, therefore, a deglobalization and a regionalization,

572
00:55:53.519 --> 00:55:58.840
I mean practically what it would like
to do is to break this line

573
00:55:58.840 --> 00:56:01.639
or turn it into a dotted line
like this, so that these hoops or

574
00:56:02.360 --> 00:56:07.760
these points of control of goods,
because they become two or three, not

575
00:56:07.840 --> 00:56:12.039
so that there is only one with
the North American bloc, another with the

576
00:56:12.519 --> 00:56:17.440
Americas and another with Europe and another
with Asia. It is very interesting what

577
00:56:17.480 --> 00:56:24.360
is happening and so far my intervention
of this day. I hope you'

578
00:56:24.480 --> 00:56:31.239
re interested in this conversation or this
conversation. I say I' m passionate

579
00:56:31.360 --> 00:56:38.880
about all these issues out there are
here my Linkedin and x networks. Now,

580
00:56:40.119 --> 00:56:45.159
if you want to talk to me, I' ll exchange information,

581
00:56:45.159 --> 00:56:50.960
because you' ll have your orders. Here was a comment, I tell

582
00:56:51.000 --> 00:56:55.360
the excellent truth extra nadia talk and
here was a song comment. Why the

583
00:56:55.480 --> 00:56:59.920
map is like that. It'
s not like I wasn' t in

584
00:57:00.639 --> 00:57:06.440
the way No, it' s
because it' s kind of seen from

585
00:57:06.440 --> 00:57:12.480
above. It' s not like
we saw it from above and identified how

586
00:57:12.559 --> 00:57:21.480
the world had been designed as a
circle or a perfect cycle, where everyone

587
00:57:21.639 --> 00:57:28.159
had their roles in this game very
well defined. Who they were, Who

588
00:57:28.280 --> 00:57:35.559
they were who produced the components,
who manufactured them, who distributed them and

589
00:57:35.639 --> 00:57:39.239
who consumed them. That had been
the world a few years ago. Right

590
00:57:39.239 --> 00:57:44.360
now, because all this is changing. Hey Alexia here tell me to have

591
00:57:44.480 --> 00:57:50.679
a ball between the future and your
experience and especially how these transnational corporations are

592
00:57:50.719 --> 00:57:55.039
contemplating it, how they' re
going to double, what' s going

593
00:57:55.079 --> 00:58:01.320
to happen to the dola, and
that' s right, America is yielding

594
00:58:01.400 --> 00:58:04.920
this power how we' re looking
at it as business from international companies.

595
00:58:06.159 --> 00:58:09.320
Well, there are opinions of all
kinds, studies of all kinds analysis and

596
00:58:09.400 --> 00:58:15.039
all kinds. There are since the
most catastrophic ones that say what the end

597
00:58:15.159 --> 00:58:22.119
of capitalism is, which is the
end of the dollar, that just as

598
00:58:22.239 --> 00:58:30.400
after the Second World War the supremacy
of the dollar and capitalism was established,

599
00:58:30.719 --> 00:58:37.719
because now the world has changed and
the dollar can potentially end and other means

600
00:58:37.840 --> 00:58:40.760
of change are put in place.
There was much talk of cryptocurrencies that if

601
00:58:40.880 --> 00:58:45.519
the joan or if the Brigs are
now going to implement a single coin and

602
00:58:45.639 --> 00:58:51.320
my opinion, very personal and I
can be wrong, is that rather this

603
00:58:52.599 --> 00:58:57.760
is going to be opened, rather
in places that we have only one coin,

604
00:58:58.679 --> 00:59:00.960
maybe we have three or four and
we are going to have to get

605
00:59:00.960 --> 00:59:06.360
used to living together. It is
not going to balance power and if it

606
00:59:06.360 --> 00:59:10.480
would be, obviously, the happy
world to get there, because it will

607
00:59:10.559 --> 00:59:15.599
not be easy and it will have
to get many complicated and complex situations,

608
00:59:15.000 --> 00:59:23.440
because everyone will be defending their terrain
and power, as it says also go

609
00:59:23.480 --> 00:59:28.480
here and that they are mentioning it
right now, it is what will happen

610
00:59:28.559 --> 00:59:34.039
with these countries that are already negotiating
in Chinese currency, because forgiveness with those

611
00:59:34.079 --> 00:59:39.920
who are already negotiating with Chinese currency. I don' t have many examples

612
00:59:40.000 --> 00:59:44.760
like that at the hands of companies
that are negotiating. But to this day,

613
00:59:45.000 --> 00:59:49.079
as we know it, because the
dollar is still the international currency of

614
00:59:49.599 --> 00:59:55.840
exchange, I do not have many
examples. I' m telling you this

615
00:59:55.840 --> 00:59:59.960
example of a footballer. It came
to me very well because or because the

616
01:00:00.000 --> 01:00:04.840
complexity and the obstacles that are going
to begin are precise. Let' s

617
01:00:05.000 --> 01:00:09.000
start seeing that we' re engaged
in international trade. Hey this alexi also

618
01:00:09.079 --> 01:00:15.119
see how you' re going the
future with super weight and with the changes

619
01:00:15.199 --> 01:00:19.960
we' re having in Mexico as
well. What I' ve read about

620
01:00:20.039 --> 01:00:25.400
super weight is that it' s
one is a consequence of several factors.

621
01:00:27.480 --> 01:00:30.800
Obviously, the issue of neal shorring
has appreciated the currency because, within all

622
01:00:31.559 --> 01:00:43.400
this geopolitical, geo- economic re- accommodation, mainly Western companies or companies

623
01:00:43.440 --> 01:00:51.440
have wanted to take their production out
of China and have passed it to other

624
01:00:51.440 --> 01:00:54.840
markets. Yet, fortunately, for
us our reference is the United States.

625
01:00:55.519 --> 01:01:00.199
This, then, results in many
companies coming and still appetizing to the US

626
01:01:00.400 --> 01:01:07.000
market. In the United States,
the United States has been doing a lot

627
01:01:07.079 --> 01:01:10.920
of work inside. They have right
now, the IRA called or the Teamflation

628
01:01:10.960 --> 01:01:16.840
Reduction Active is basically a series of
incentives that give everyone who invests in energy

629
01:01:16.920 --> 01:01:22.519
and give money back to the companies, to the people they buy cars from.

630
01:01:23.920 --> 01:01:29.960
You see that initially this law signed
by the President of Baden, said

631
01:01:30.079 --> 01:01:36.599
that those Americans who bought electric cars
were going to be returned money in their

632
01:01:36.679 --> 01:01:45.119
tax declarations. Fortunately, and that' s where the U S canal government

633
01:01:45.280 --> 01:01:50.320
got alive, and they went on
to wade disputes and modify this law to

634
01:01:50.400 --> 01:01:53.199
be built cars in the North American
region. And it was one of the

635
01:01:53.239 --> 01:01:59.000
main reasons why Teslab decided to come
and put his plant here, that effect

636
01:01:59.119 --> 01:02:02.679
of bringing more chapter and that we
are attractive, not because of the issue

637
01:02:02.719 --> 01:02:07.880
of public administration, not because of
the issue of security, for many issues

638
01:02:07.920 --> 01:02:12.480
that, while they are painful,
is what has been appreciating the weight of

639
01:02:12.599 --> 01:02:15.760
China, as it has come down
in its economy and the part that the

640
01:02:15.800 --> 01:02:24.639
dollar has also been weakening. However, one of the points of risk that

641
01:02:24.679 --> 01:02:31.199
I saw quite important, was the
pressure points that the Mexican economy has,

642
01:02:31.280 --> 01:02:37.000
because of so much legal uncertainty,
for the electoral year and, above all,

643
01:02:37.199 --> 01:02:43.400
for the indexes in relationaries. That
could potentially play us the other way

644
01:02:43.440 --> 01:02:47.079
around and in the next few months
volatility, because we would happen what each

645
01:02:47.119 --> 01:02:51.679
sexenia a time plan that runs out
of the sexenium and the weight comes down.

646
01:02:52.000 --> 01:02:52.920
I hope it doesn' t happen. But, because what I was

647
01:02:52.920 --> 01:03:00.400
reading about this topic and to close
with the questions says good. Obviously,

648
01:03:00.639 --> 01:03:07.039
there are many congratulations and we are
also asked here whether it is enough in

649
01:03:07.159 --> 01:03:12.159
Mersharring to have international competitiveness, that
is, that there is also a need

650
01:03:13.800 --> 01:03:17.239
for more research and technological development and
to become a manufacturing country. Yeah,

651
01:03:17.400 --> 01:03:22.960
we definitely do, and, on
the other hand, we need you as

652
01:03:22.960 --> 01:03:27.440
a legal man. Today, there
seems to be a fan of ending simex

653
01:03:27.599 --> 01:03:37.719
companies and what we are seeing,
for example, that the aeronautics law of

654
01:03:37.800 --> 01:03:43.760
reducing the number of flights at Mexico
City airport, the militarization of customs,

655
01:03:44.000 --> 01:03:50.639
there are many things that, while
not bad and are good ideas. I

656
01:03:50.679 --> 01:03:54.440
mean, the NAM seems to be
a copy paste of the Home plan Security.

657
01:03:55.639 --> 01:04:00.599
Boa' s new security profile is
a faithful copy of the CITPATI security

658
01:04:00.519 --> 01:04:08.400
profile. They are necessary things,
but execution has not been the best,

659
01:04:08.519 --> 01:04:14.800
the best and the most accepted.
So, if you need a lot of

660
01:04:14.840 --> 01:04:20.079
things to take advantage of this moment, listen, I said at the last

661
01:04:20.239 --> 01:04:29.760
but well, how do you see
the next US elections for Latin America and

662
01:04:29.760 --> 01:04:30.840
they' re going to be transcendent, just as much polarization. We'

663
01:04:30.880 --> 01:04:34.239
re already seeing it. There is
not a very strong candidate who is President

664
01:04:34.360 --> 01:04:44.280
Trump. There is an adsverse social
and economic scenario for those living in the

665
01:04:44.280 --> 01:04:50.880
United States. There is a lot
of discontent and then I was also reading

666
01:04:50.920 --> 01:05:00.280
an article that became quite interesting to
me that President Trump promised to end the

667
01:05:00.360 --> 01:05:04.719
war in Russia Ukraine, and I
was seeing that they are different points of

668
01:05:04.719 --> 01:05:09.239
view. For the President of Biden, the enemy is Russia, for the

669
01:05:09.320 --> 01:05:12.599
President of Trumpe the enemy China.
And in the middle of all that,

670
01:05:13.480 --> 01:05:15.440
because who we' re good for
Trump to be, because maybe Mexico certainly

671
01:05:15.440 --> 01:05:21.239
did very well with the President.
We don' t know, but they

672
01:05:21.320 --> 01:05:29.679
' re going to be transcendent and
whatever happens in America. Thank you very

673
01:05:29.719 --> 01:05:32.440
much, Alexy. Well, right
now. Now the microphone for the panelists

674
01:05:32.519 --> 01:05:43.559
if you want to make a comment
Doctor. Thank you, Daniela. Congratulations

675
01:05:44.280 --> 01:05:53.480
Alejandro, really very interesting your talk
and very well decorated with your slides.

676
01:05:54.480 --> 01:06:00.320
That map, although it looks strange, but gives us precisely the sense in

677
01:06:00.440 --> 01:06:08.280
the maritime traffic where the ports are
and how the maritime lines that are above

678
01:06:09.679 --> 01:06:16.920
all moving, carrying out international trade, are moving. I believe that the

679
01:06:18.039 --> 01:06:26.880
issue is a fundamental issue in order
to understand international trade well, not more

680
01:06:27.039 --> 01:06:31.280
in our trade, but in trade
around the world. And you' ve

681
01:06:31.280 --> 01:06:36.920
done it, because it' s
really extraordinary. I was thinking about it.

682
01:06:38.000 --> 01:06:47.880
When you spoke of Panama, I
remembered the Torrijos Carter Treaty, which

683
01:06:48.159 --> 01:06:54.400
gave Panama total absolute control over the
canal from nine hundred and ninety- nine.

684
01:06:58.960 --> 01:07:05.840
And the reference to what led me
to think is that, because you

685
01:07:05.960 --> 01:07:15.440
said something historically, geopolitics has served
us, and what I reflected is that

686
01:07:16.039 --> 01:07:27.239
the current government would have had,
would have applied the historical experience we had

687
01:07:27.519 --> 01:07:34.800
with that stretch of the isthmus of
Teguantepec, of course, in which in

688
01:07:34.960 --> 01:07:45.800
the time of Porfirio Díaz, of
course that corridor opened and worked. It

689
01:07:45.000 --> 01:07:51.960
worked well for a good number of
years with profits for our country. But

690
01:07:53.000 --> 01:08:00.599
when the Panama Canal arises, this
because our traffics are falling apart. We

691
01:08:00.760 --> 01:08:09.280
are trying to do that when,
geopolitically, exclusive economic zones were more acceptable.

692
01:08:10.000 --> 01:08:14.280
It' s a very personal opinion. Of course, exclusive economic zones

693
01:08:15.519 --> 01:08:20.760
such as China, which gave it
a great rise shen Chen, which was

694
01:08:20.840 --> 01:08:27.840
a fishing village of five thousand inhabitants, now has several million people and has

695
01:08:28.119 --> 01:08:43.159
the most important industrial and manufacturing companies. Why, because geopolitically it is very

696
01:08:43.279 --> 01:08:49.640
close to Hong Kong has everything for
precisely with that vision that the Chinese had

697
01:08:50.119 --> 01:08:57.279
to be an exclusive economic zone,
the most important and that it has the

698
01:08:57.359 --> 01:09:01.239
best development. And that' s
why I set it as an example in

699
01:09:01.359 --> 01:09:09.199
China and the world. And those
are precisely the geopolitical aspects that are necessary,

700
01:09:09.319 --> 01:09:16.079
especially for our rulers, to analyze
to take action on many things.

701
01:09:16.359 --> 01:09:24.800
But speaking of international trade in this
branch, if we had thought better about

702
01:09:24.920 --> 01:09:30.439
continuing with those areas, I think
we would have done better than with the

703
01:09:30.439 --> 01:09:36.720
transoceanicism, which is being attempted,
because historically we have seen that congratulations have

704
01:09:36.760 --> 01:09:45.000
failed. Alejandro extraordinary so much I
loved your talk very well really, uh,

705
01:09:45.159 --> 01:09:53.640
thank you, thank you, very
much listen gras comments, because here

706
01:09:53.680 --> 01:09:58.000
there are many congratulations. The truth
is that they say the masterful way you

707
01:09:58.319 --> 01:10:02.760
expose it, not applauding your exhibition
and take the opportunity to throw the entire

708
01:10:02.800 --> 01:10:08.039
three- week team in Mexico and
let' s barter to give you this

709
01:10:08.039 --> 01:10:11.600
virtual recognition, Alex. The truth
is, thank you very much for sharing

710
01:10:12.279 --> 01:10:15.079
your knowledge, Alejandro al licenciado,
Alejandro Alcalte, for doing a little in

711
01:10:15.119 --> 01:10:18.479
the usual practice with the geopolitical issue
and foreign trade, on September 6 of

712
01:10:18.479 --> 01:10:21.520
the two thousand twenty- three,
signed by Dr Fede la Torre and your

713
01:10:21.520 --> 01:10:26.359
servant, Alex. Thank you so
much. Really super practical. Thank you

714
01:10:26.439 --> 01:10:30.800
always a pleasure to greet you,
a privilege to be here thanks to everyone,

715
01:10:30.039 --> 01:10:38.840
to my friends who gave me your
greetings. Good afternoon we' ve

716
01:10:38.880 --> 01:10:41.479
reached the end of today' s
trout. Thank you so much for joining

717
01:10:41.479 --> 01:10:45.279
us. This was let' s
make a viazom barter an event of tels

718
01:10:45.279 --> 01:10:48.760
Magas and Mexico. If you like
this talk, don' t forget to

719
01:10:48.800 --> 01:10:55.119
share each event with your contacts so
that we continue to spread knowledge and stay

720
01:10:55.119 --> 01:10:59.439
up to date. Find all our
talks through our online education platform, entering

721
01:10:59.479 --> 01:11:05.520
www FTAs Mexico com mx in the
course section, where you can see them

722
01:11:05.520 --> 01:11:12.880
again without things. If you are
interested in any specific topic, send us

723
01:11:12.920 --> 01:11:15.800
a message through the social networks of
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724
01:11:15.840 --> 01:11:18.840
for an expert who can clarify your
doubts. This was let' s make

725
01:11:18.520 --> 01:11:18.840
a truek.

