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Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty
Do Podcast. I'm your host, Corey

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Evans. This week the show is
titled Overrated or Reliable. Basically, I

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have assessed five players based on ADP
rankings and just simple chatter I've seen online

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who I think at this point in
time are either overrated expectations are far too

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high, or they are going to
be reliable, perhaps a BILO candidate,

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or in a more general sense,
fair value, as is in the current

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market infrastructure. Before I get to
that, if you want a one on

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one roster call, a breakdown your
team top to bottom. Those are available

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00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:55,280
for thirty minutes or one hour.
Normal pricing is thirty bucks thirty minutes or

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fifty bucks for that one hour session. Hit me up on social media to

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connect and schedule that call, either
at Dynasty Do Pod on Instagram or x

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the Dynasts Do on Facebook, or
a simple email to dynastydudepodgmail dot com will

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suffice. My birthday is coming up
on July fourteenth, so I'm feeling generous.

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Want to celebrate that. I'll give
anyone interested fourteen percent off the thirty

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minute or one hour rate. That's
fourteen percent off. My favorite number,

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so hit me up if interested.
That's good for the rest of July.

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But when you reach out, make
sure you say Birthday special of birthday promotion,

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so I know you're listening to get
that discount, all right. Up

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first is don Tavion Wicks. He
turned twenty three in June sixty one,

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two oh six. Not the best
straightaway speed a straight line four point six

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two forty mix up for it though
with ball skills rout running physicality. You

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had a thirty nine ers vertical and
a ten foot ten inch broad jump,

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so overall in appealing athletic profile that
we saw on full display with Green Bay

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last season. Former fifth round pickout
of Virginia twenty twenty three, he had

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one standout campaign, which came in
twenty twenty one fifty seven twelve O three

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nine. He managed to average eighteen
point eight yards per catch across ninety three

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receptions in school, and as a
rookie with Green Bay thirty nine, five,

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eighty one and four averaged fourteen point
nine yards per catch across fifty eight

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targets. As the PPR whys here
with the eight to not win anybody leagues

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yet Wicks end up being a really
nice value or sleeper that if he took

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him in a fourth fifth round rookie
draft or a nice ad off, the

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wave wire is now suddenly on the
fantasy radar. Is he overrated or reliable?

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Let's get to it. Matt Lafleur
has compared Wicks to Devonte Adams,

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which understandably has caught the attention of
us in fans football circles. It's a

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lofty comparison to me. That seems
more traits or skill set than role based.

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Adams was an alpha for the Packers
year in, year out, connected

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to Aaron Rodgers. A long way
to go for Jordan Love to reach those

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heights as a franchise Calbert quarterback,
and the issue is the reason for costume.

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I think Wicks might be a bit
overrated right now. Is Green Bay's

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loaded wide out depth chart? You
have? Christian Watson sounds like he might

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have pinpointed his soft tissue hampshire injuries
with the offseason stud he did where he

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found out that one of them was
actually larger than the other and that was

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causing the inefficiency or unbalanced muscle use. Let's see if it actually pans out

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and Watson remains healthy some bounced back
appeal. There you have Jade Reid,

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Romeo, Dobbs, not to mention
Josh Jacobs, Marshall Lloyd at running back,

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possibly Ben aj Dillon along with Luke
Musgrave took a craft a tight end.

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Therefore, I think the talent of
Wicks is legitimate. He's a reliable

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asset in fantasy leagues as a flex
in that territory, the target and snap

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shares are where his outlook become cloudy. For example, his twenty twenty three

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season high in snap break was seventy
eight percent, so almost a full time

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player. Season low, though,
was twenty two percent, and that corresponded

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with Christian Watson being in or out
of the lineup, Jayden Reed emerging,

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Dobbs towards the end of the season
also really gaining steam. So I think

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that Jordan Love is the facilitator.
Obviously, Lafor is going to utilize all

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weapons. I'm not sure that one
Green Bay wide receiver is going to be

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all consistent week over week. I
think Wicks is perhaps cheapest of them all

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Watson, Reed, Dobbs, but
I'm not going to overspend. So a

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one quarterback league, I'd say a
mid to late second, super flex early

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to mid third, and while he's
not really overrated, I can see where

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wicks His value is nearing a peak
or sealing range of outcomes, and that's

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when I usually pump the brakes in
dynasty formats. So in summary, for

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me, Wicks is a hold unless
someone is coming to you offering a first

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or second or a player you can't
refuse. Otherwise, if you want to

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acquire him, don't spend more than
that threshold in value. To Mario Douglas

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twenty four in December, he's five
eight one ninety two four point four to

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four speed six round selection on a
liberty. Last year, he showed real

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promise during his final year of school, output a seventy nine nine, ninety

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three and six that translated well to
the NFL in year one and was actually

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one of the few consistent or reliable
assets for the Patriots in twenty twenty three.

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Forty nine grabs five sixty one four
yards, no touchdowns, eleven point

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four yards per reception, seventy nine
targets as the PPR wide receivers sixty four

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not all that far off in value
from Dontavion Wicks. The cool part about

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Douglas is that he was a focal
point. He actually led the Patriots in

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receiving with those five hundred and sixty
one scoreless yards, and that could be

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more of a negative reflection to how
bad Mac Jones, Bailey Zapp beat the

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entire New England offense was last year. There were not many offensive catalysts,

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Douglas being one of them. He
saw at least five targets from Week seven

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to eighteen in each of those games
and proved to be a solid weapon out

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of the slot as a possession receiver
sixty five percent slot rate in twenty twenty

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three. What to Mario's software role
ends up being, that's up in the

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air. After the Patriots brought in
kJ Allsbourn's a free agents, re signed

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Hendrick Bourne, and then proceeded to
draft Jill and Polk in the second round

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Javon Baker in the fourth. Douglas
has been a bright spot already, it

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sounds like, based on most reports
during spring workouts, picking up where he

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left offs a rookie, albeit now
with a new offensive coordinator as well as

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a new regime. Let's see what
Alex Van Pelt can bring. As doc

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from Cleveland, it could be more
of a committee approach to wide receiver.

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I tend to think that Douglas is
more overrated than down Tavion Wicks, just

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in terms of pure sealing the potential
in a one quarterback league early mid third

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for de Mario super flex mid to
late third. He is more valuable in

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full PPR than half PPR. That's
a factor to keep in mind depending on

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your team context or league structure.
Another buzzworthy name is Elate is Julia McLaughlin

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twenty four September a bit undersized,
as we know, at five to seven

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a buck eighty seven. Nonetheless,
he showed plenty of juice and agility as

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a UDFA out of Youngstown State last
season seventy six four to ten, one

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touchdown as a rusher. That's good
for five point four guards per clip and

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thirty one for a buck sixty and
two scores on thirty six targets. All

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in all, PPR RB forty six
was on the Fantasy Radar, but not

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a week two week contributor Sean Payton
has spoken positively about Julio for pretty much

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his entire tenure with the team.
At the same time, the Broncos have

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a very crowded running back room.
Javonte williams Audrick estimate Blake Watson, who

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Sean Paydon has recently compared to Alva
Kamaras. So if Blake Watson's a free

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agent in your league right now,
pick him up immediately. And if your

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draft has not occurred, I'd say
fourth fifth round only a target of mine,

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and then'sma J p Ryan. I
doubt all those running backs make the

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final roster. Jaliel is being viewed
by some though as a fixture in the

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Denver offense, win his role as
far from guaranteed. I do think Jaliel

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looked more explosive with better vision than
Javonte for most of last season. The

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issue is Jalil's body frame is not
necessarily equipped for ample volume despite his college

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production, which I'll touch on here
soon, making in more of a change

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of pace weapon than true three down
option. His season high for perspective in

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twenty twenty three for snapbreak was forty
percent, so not even a RBBC fifty

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to fifty split season low three percent. So Jaliel has a wide array of

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avenues as a sophomore, could be
an RBBC member in tandem with Javonte or

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a third down specialist who sees a
field at a forty percent of blow clip

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once again, special teams contributor the
new kickoff rules, or this could be

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Jalil's backfield. Eventually, the craziest
outcome would be him not making a team,

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which that seems a bit far fetched. Let's reflect back on that college

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production. The resume was impressive from
Youngstown State. It makes it easy to

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forecast a larger role. For twenty
twenty four. Jalil's rushing logs per year

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in school were one thirty four,
six ninety seven and five five point two

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yards per carrie, one seventy five, eleven, thirty nine, and twelve

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scores six and a half yards per
totes and then a round it all off

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two twenty seven, fifteen, eighty
eight and thirteen for seven yards per carrey

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in addition to securing forty four total
career receptions. Bottom line is we need

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to wait this backfield out. Let's
see if Smashrack p Ryan is cut or

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I'll quickly under estimate Blake Watson are
brought along to understand if Denver's running back

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rotation is going to be more or
actually Javante and Jalil. It's an advisable

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backfield or running back room to avoid
in fantasy from my perspective, unless we're

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able to roster Estimate or Watson for
much cheaper in a one quarterback league.

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I think acquiring Jalil for an early
mid third makes sense. Super flex mid

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to eight third even more incentive to
do so if you have Javonte Williams.

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That way, you can sort of
heg your bet to see who Sean Payton

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favors in training camp and the pre
season. Time for a quick break,

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I'll be back with two more overrated, reliable assets to discuss in Dynasty before

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I get to that. If you
want a bonus episode per week on limited

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dms for any questions you might have
on a daily basis, and fifty percent

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00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:16,120
off roster calls when you want them, join Patreon. Simple link in the

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show notes title joint Patreon. Go
to any of my social media bios.

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You'll see links direct to the platform. They have a mobile app, they

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have a website. It's only five
dollars per month of the minimum for all

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three of those main perks. You
can't beat it, and it's a great

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way to support me and the work
that I put in each and every week

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for you, it's time for that
quick break. I'll be right back Deontay

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Johnson. Is he overrated or reliable? Twenty eight and July five, ten

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one eighty three makes it more of
a slot receiver than true franchise cornerstone former

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third round pick out of Toledo to
Pittsburgh in twenty nineteen with annual receiving logs

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to dates of fifty nine six eighty
and five touchdowns eighty eight nine, twenty

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three and seven scores one oh seven, eleven, sixty one and eight.

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That was a standout best season today
eighty six for eighty two no touchdowns that

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year, and then last season fifty
one seven to seventeen and five, so

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there's been a lot of ebbs and
flows, ups and downs. Deanthy Johnson

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was traded to Carolina, but as
yearly target totals indicate that the best might

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be behind him, yet could still
be reliable. Those target totals per year

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are ninety two, one forty four, one sixty nine, one forty seven

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and eighty seven. I don't think
he's going to see the one forty to

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one almost seventy target total in Carolina
PPR wide receiver forty one, twenty one,

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eight thirty and forty five. Over
that span of time, drops lack

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of durability at times have limited Deonte
to this point of Zenvil career went healthy.

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However, his performs consistent wide out
bringing fantasy with glimpses of value on

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the wide receiver one or two borderline. Under Carolina's revamped offense, volume is

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up for grabs and redistribution. The
question is how much well head coach Dave

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Canalis figures to write the ship for
bres Young, who can now facilitate to

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receivers in an approved scheme tea with
Deontay Johnson, Adam Thielen, exavierl Get

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at wide receiver, Jonathan Brooks,
Jebu Hubbard, Miles Sanders at running back,

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00:11:05,799 --> 00:11:09,480
even Ian Thomas J. Tavion Standers
at tight end. That's a lot

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of mouths to feed. I would
suggest or project Deontay performing as a wide

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receiver three with flex upside, probably
rounding out around one hundred and twenty or

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so target mark based on what Bryce
Young could see in terms of passing volume.

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In twenty twenty four, Deontay's stock
has plummeted since that twenty twenty one

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season with over one hundred catches one
thousand years receiving, which means he's no

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longer expensive or overvalued in the dynasty
trade market. In fact, Johnson is

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now obtainable as a wide receiver three
or four for that action of flex candidates,

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which would be no more than a
future or immediate second round K draft

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00:11:43,919 --> 00:11:48,480
pick. It is worth noting that
Deontaey is entering a contract year has a

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lot to prove or incentivize for all
the wide receivers getting paid in today's NFL

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at UFA in twenty twenty five,
Bryce Young needs a security blanket. I

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think Deanthony Johnson could be just that
for him, underneath comeback routes, middle

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of the field, better in PPR
than half PPR. Deontay, I think,

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is suddenly going to be more reliable
than he was in Pittsburgh when there

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was simply better receivers around him,
and this is now an improved scheme.

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I am a true believer in Dave
Canalis, how he really turned around the

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careers of Gino Smith and Seattle and
Baker Mayfield in Tampa Bay. I hope

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and expect that to be the case
of Bryce Young, and that's going to

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benefit a lot of pass catchers like
Deontay Johnson. And then, last but

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not least, Kamani vaidell Is twenty
three in August five, eight, two

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fifteen, a four point four to
six forty that creates an enticing size speed

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combination. He also posted solid jump
scores thirty seven and a half as vertical

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and a ten foot broad sixth rounder
out of Troy this year. If you

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ever on Patreon, you know that
I was a fan of Kamani as a

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sleeper in this year's class on my
pre draft content. However, we've now

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reached the point where he's a well
known commodity with an inflated ADP, and

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that's going to make it difficult to
return value with Gus Edwards as the presume

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starter. JK. Dobbins reportedly healthy
in the Chargers running back mix. Kamani's

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college stats are outrighting press if.
His final two rushing logs at Troy checked

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in at two thirty one, eleven
thirty two and ten touchdowns as a twenty

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twenty two and then two ninety seven, sixteen sixty one and fourteen touchdowns twenty

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twenty three, averaging five point one
yards per carrier across seven hundred and eighty

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one career rushing attempts. That is
efficient to a tee, not to mention

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chipped in ninety two total receptions.
Those numbers reflect a true workhorse at leads

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to the college level at Troy.
The concern for Kamani's NFL roll is twofold.

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The case four is you have Jim
Harbaugh Greg Rohman in what should be

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a run focused offense. I tend
to think that Gus Evers is the best

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bet on volume man overall production.
Just Reinnalu with Greg Roman from their Baltimore

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days together. The case against Kamani
is cost He's entered what I've seen the

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second round of rookie adp and to
me, that is a major red flag.

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Pump the brakes. The train has
left the station of just being way

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overrated. There's also the increase in
level competition Kamani being used to dissem Belt

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conference in school at Troy compared to
the NFL, and what NFL defensive coordinators

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can do when they know that Ball
and Roman going to be pounding the football

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on the ground. In terms of
actual buzz at a Chargers camp. So

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far, there hasn't been a lot
of chatter outside of the coaches that praising

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Final's ability to pass block and that
could go a long way, and seeing

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the feel as a rookie, we
all know he's talented. Kamani could do

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it all as a rushroom receiver.
There's always going to be holes or opportunities

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to improve on as a college prospect, and there aren't a ton of standout

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talents besides Jonathan Brooks and Trey Benson
in this year's running back crop. Therefore,

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it's okay to target Kamman in the
third round rookie drafts. Otherwise,

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if you reach for him the second, you're potentially drafting him what could become

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his ceiling. So I think that
Kamani is really overrated right now. If

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he has a strong training camp in
preseason and pushers Gus Edwards different story,

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but investing at this point in time
for a sixth rounder out of Troy seems

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more like a cell high or cash
shot opportunity than banking on what could be

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the odds that he's the next isap
Bacchecko are slim just based on previous hit

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or miss rates with draft capital and
all the data editor disposal for running backs,

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so tread carefully. Receive a caution
if you're valuing Kamani at what may

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or may not be a role Year
one for the Chargers. Hope you all

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enjoyed my overrated or reliable episode.
A quick recap I talked about Tavion Wicks

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to Mario Douglas, Julia McLaughlin,
Deontay Johnson, and Kamanie by daw Any

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questions feel free to comment on my
social media posts about this episode. Best

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way to reach me though, is
certainly on Patreon for only at five dollars

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00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:31,399
per month answerance cost and you're guaranteed
a response on that platform. Thank you

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00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:35,360
all again for listening. Until next
time, this is the Dynasty you're checking

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00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:58,559
out. I hope you all a
great rest of the week. See you