1 00:00:20,559 --> 00:00:23,800 Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host, Corey 2 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:28,280 Evans. Thanks for listening. This week's show is called Buyer Beware Five over 3 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:32,479 valued players. Over Valued is a subjective term more or less. I am 4 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:37,359 defining it as being drafted or traded for above market value, which could be 5 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:42,280 ADP or consentus rankings, individual rankings. So I have five names that I 6 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:45,640 am avoiding at cost. I'm not avoiding them in general, just at their 7 00:00:45,719 --> 00:00:49,000 certain price points. If you can buy them or draft them at a cheaper 8 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:51,479 cost, that's a different story. Before I get to that, we had 9 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:55,600 one five star running review left on Apple podcast It was by Hip Hop Tino. 10 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:59,560 Title concise and to the point it read, Dude is exactly concise with 11 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:03,600 this no fluff or unnecessary segments. Thank you so much for that review. 12 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:06,799 It is much appreciated. You two can receive a shout out if you drop 13 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:11,159 those five stars with a rim review over on Apple Podcasts. Even clicking those 14 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:14,519 five stars on Spotify helps me out a ton. A few more notes. 15 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:18,680 Don't forget about my thirty percent off roster calls over on Google Meets for the 16 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:22,519 entire month of July. That is to celebrate my thirtieth birthday, so thirty 17 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:25,799 percent off all month long. Be sure to take advantage of that. Hit 18 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:30,920 me up on social media Dynasty dow Pod on Instagram or Twitter, the Dynasty 19 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:34,799 Doude on Facebook, or semi email Dynasty dow Pod at gmail dot com, 20 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:40,640 and then shout out to Lawson for joining Patreon. Your support is much appreciated 21 00:01:40,719 --> 00:01:45,239 if you're listening. Also on access to one bonus episode per week and unlimited 22 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:49,000 dmability to send me your questions. Then click on a link in my show 23 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:52,599 notes titled join Patreon or head to the website down mobile app. It's only 24 00:01:52,599 --> 00:01:56,359 five dollars per month at the minimum, and you gain all those bonus perks 25 00:01:56,400 --> 00:02:00,040 over on the Patreon platform. So here we go. Buyer beware, I 26 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:04,040 have overvalued players up. First, I have remindre Stevenson, who was twenty 27 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:07,400 five years old, fourth round pick in twenty twenty one out of Oklahoma. 28 00:02:07,599 --> 00:02:09,360 As a rookie in twenty twenty one, it was a one thirty three six 29 00:02:09,479 --> 00:02:14,599 zh six five rushing line, four point six yark percarry and a fourteen for 30 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:17,120 one twenty three receiving effort. That was with eighteen targets. In twelve games 31 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:22,080 played. Not outstanding, not all that bad either. Twenty twenty two sophomore 32 00:02:22,319 --> 00:02:25,199 he emerged a two ten, ten, forty and five rushing line for five 33 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:30,039 yards per clip, and then sixty nine four, twenty one and one with 34 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:32,759 eighty eight targets in seventeen games played. We didn't see this coming, this 35 00:02:32,879 --> 00:02:38,639 leap for Remindre, yet he vaulted himself into the RB one RB two conversation. 36 00:02:39,199 --> 00:02:44,000 For fanas football purposes, his ADP right now is a top twelve running 37 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:47,240 back. That's Redraft and Dynasty your consensus across the board. I'm comfortable with 38 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:52,520 that cost in Redraft, but not so much in Dynasty, since Stevenson was 39 00:02:52,599 --> 00:02:55,759 older for a prospect and will already be twenty six next February, so short 40 00:02:55,800 --> 00:03:00,520 shelf life in terms of longevity, and we don't know what New England has 41 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:02,800 in store for his running back room in twenty twenty three, let alone in 42 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:07,599 the future. Players that refer at cost instead, this is a dynasy conversation, 43 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:12,080 not redraft. Drake London, Nachie Harris, Kenneth Walker, jsn or 44 00:03:12,199 --> 00:03:15,879 Jackon Smith and Jacbat and even an Asian veteran in Austin Ekeler. I'd rather 45 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:20,199 have that high ceiling in the short term than the incertency of Remandre year over 46 00:03:20,319 --> 00:03:23,759 year. I'd rather treat Remondra as an RB two to hedge against Pierce Strong, 47 00:03:24,039 --> 00:03:29,639 Tig Montgomery, Kevin Harris stealing volume, particularly receiving usage, since that's 48 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:32,919 what vaulted Remandra to a PPR RB ten overall finished at twenty twenty two. 49 00:03:34,159 --> 00:03:38,199 Quick reminder, year one rookie fourteen receptions, year two sixty nine receptions. 50 00:03:38,199 --> 00:03:44,479 That's a huge step forward that might not be repeatable or sustainable for Stevenson in 51 00:03:44,479 --> 00:03:47,360 twenty twenty three if Pierre Strong, Montgomery or Harris eat into that workload. 52 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:53,439 So that's my concern for regression or Stevenson being a bit overvalued heading into next 53 00:03:53,479 --> 00:03:57,560 season. It's also an assumption to forecast all the Patriots early on touches too 54 00:03:57,599 --> 00:04:01,520 Stevenson, since he was held to fifteen or fewer Russian attempts in thirteen of 55 00:04:01,759 --> 00:04:06,000 seventeen games played last year. I'll repeat that because it's important. Stevenson was 56 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:11,719 held to fifteen or fewer Russian attempts in thirteen of his seventeen games played last 57 00:04:11,759 --> 00:04:15,120 year. His contests with more than that amount were rushes of twenty five in 58 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:19,319 Week five, nineteen in Week six, sixteen in Week eight, and nineteen 59 00:04:19,399 --> 00:04:23,920 in Week fifteen. Sure without Damien Harris round, there's a clear path to 60 00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:28,399 the lion's share of work for Stevenson in twenty twenty three, the overvalued label 61 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:31,839 comes to the picture, projecting remontree for a similar workload as top tier RB 62 00:04:31,959 --> 00:04:36,279 ones, and that is where Stevenson's ADP is or isn't far off from for 63 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:41,319 that valuation. That's why I'm avoiding at cost. Stevenson is an RB two. 64 00:04:41,439 --> 00:04:44,600 Sign me up. Stevenson is an RB one. I'm out. Next 65 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:47,720 up is Dalton Kincaide twenty four in October. A bit older for a prospect, 66 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:50,839 not as big of a deal for tight ends. Take time to acclimate 67 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:55,160 anyway, but still it's notable first round or this year out of Utah. 68 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:59,079 Spent five years in school towards San Diego free with Utah. At first, 69 00:04:59,079 --> 00:05:02,079 the rhetoric out of Bill Camp was that Daltonincaide will be used more like a 70 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:05,839 wide receiver, a big slot mismatch. Since then, the team has temperate 71 00:05:05,879 --> 00:05:11,519 expectations with offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, indicating that Kincaide's role is to be determined 72 00:05:11,759 --> 00:05:15,800 not the best initial report. Time to turn that around. The issue is 73 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:18,959 his price is already very expensive in Dynasty formats. Kincaid is coming off of 74 00:05:18,959 --> 00:05:23,279 a breakout twenty twenty two campaign. It was a seventy eight to ninety eight 75 00:05:23,399 --> 00:05:26,800 receiving log in school for twelve point seving us per catch that resulted in him 76 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:30,240 being the first rookie tight end drafted in twenty twenty three to the Buffalo Bills. 77 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:33,439 That was over Michael Mayer, over Samuel Porta, etc. Terrific rout 78 00:05:33,519 --> 00:05:38,279 runner, has reliable hands, a dept running catchability. Those are factors working 79 00:05:38,319 --> 00:05:42,759 in Kincaid's favor. From a snapship perspective, I've considered that Dalton's lack of 80 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:46,439 run blocking, chops or experience will cost him valuable reps and plenty time to 81 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:50,600 more experienced tight end on the team already in Buffalo Dawson Knox and sure Knox 82 00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:55,839 has his flaws as a receiver with inconsistent hands drops, but he's a terrific 83 00:05:55,879 --> 00:06:00,160 blocker that is not Daltancaide, ADP Buys and Dynasty Kincaide already top five among 84 00:06:00,199 --> 00:06:03,839 tight ends. Good chance that he's being drafted at his ceiling, and it 85 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:08,279 could take a few seasons for that even to be fulfilled potential wise on. 86 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:12,439 So that's why I'm fading him at a top five tight end price point. 87 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:15,360 Players that prefer at costs would be George Pitkins, Dallas Goddard, Pat Friar, 88 00:06:15,399 --> 00:06:18,319 Mute, Jax Charbonnet or even James Cook who are very close to him 89 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:23,959 and start up ADP or existing rankings. I wouldn't trust kincaide as my tight 90 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:26,519 end one in Dynasty for twenty twenty three, even a tight up premium, 91 00:06:26,519 --> 00:06:28,920 I think it's a bit of a stretch. A tight end two or tight 92 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:32,560 end three is ideal with the ability to then flex Kincaid if Buffalo's usage shows 93 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:36,560 us that he is indeed a focal point of the passing attack. But assuming 94 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:41,399 a that he usurps Dust and Knox right away and be that he is going 95 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:45,959 to have a consistent hard share when you have Josh Allen the passer and Rusher, 96 00:06:46,199 --> 00:06:49,680 Stefan Diggs, Gabriel Davis, Clio Shakier, James Cook, Damian Harris 97 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:54,399 all in the mix for volume is a hard pill to swallow, which is 98 00:06:54,399 --> 00:06:59,079 why I think that Kincaide is overvalued right now in Dynasty, even in redraft 99 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:02,759 to some extent. Anthony Richardson yet another overvalued player in my mind. He's 100 00:07:02,759 --> 00:07:05,560 twenty one. He's a franchise building block in real life for the Colts and 101 00:07:05,639 --> 00:07:10,879 in Dynasty, but more so for the future than immediate outlook. He's a 102 00:07:10,920 --> 00:07:14,720 fourth overall pick this year. Aar spent three years with Florida. Twenty twenty 103 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:17,360 two is his only true season as a starter. Two thousand, five hundred 104 00:07:17,399 --> 00:07:23,160 forty nine yards passing, seventeen touchdowns, nine interceptions completed fifth three point eight 105 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:27,120 percent of his passes compiled a one h three six orty four and nine Russian 106 00:07:27,199 --> 00:07:30,839 line. The rushing output and athletic abilities, but has a so excited or 107 00:07:30,839 --> 00:07:33,519 intreague from a fantacy line. It's not Richardson the pastor it's Richardson the rusher, 108 00:07:33,560 --> 00:07:39,759 which is always a bit concerning with red flags in his profile allah other 109 00:07:39,959 --> 00:07:42,879 rush first quarterbacks in the clay for the NFL. More on that to come 110 00:07:42,959 --> 00:07:46,199 soon. ADP is the elephant in the room, though without even seeing his 111 00:07:46,279 --> 00:07:49,360 first NFL snap, Richardson is being valued as a top ten quarterback in startup 112 00:07:49,439 --> 00:07:54,240 drafts and in rankings that I've seen. I understand the case for him due 113 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:57,759 to what a ceiling could become. Think Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Cam 114 00:07:57,759 --> 00:08:01,800 Newton, etc. I fear that drafting Richardson with those expectations, however, 115 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:05,480 leaves little room for error. Already top ten, if he does not reach 116 00:08:05,879 --> 00:08:09,279 that threshold and perceived value, then you have a bust on your hands. 117 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:13,319 Therefore, players who prefer at cost this is a superflex conversation in a startup 118 00:08:13,399 --> 00:08:16,920 draft, pretty much anyone quarterback, running back, by receiver, tight end 119 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:20,319 inside of the top twenty four not named AAR. I don't want to take 120 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:26,439 that risk as a core building piece in a startup draft because there is I 121 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:31,120 think more room for loss than profit. In a perfect world, rostering AAR 122 00:08:31,279 --> 00:08:33,720 as a quarterback two is about to take. That's unfortunately not a reality in 123 00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:37,919 startup drafts, yet possible in existing one quarterback and superflex leagues. In a 124 00:08:37,919 --> 00:08:43,600 different sense, if you have a first anyone quarterback or a superflex league, 125 00:08:43,639 --> 00:08:48,759 then drafting Rickertson makes a lot more sense than allocating your first overall or second 126 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:52,279 overall pick in a startup draft to make him one of your top selections. 127 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:58,080 That I think is a major question mark to assemble a new team around. 128 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,840 At this point, we know that Rickertson is going to start as a rookie 129 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:03,639 in twenty twenty three. At some point Colts GM has already publicly said, 130 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:09,159 so it's a matter of how long or if veteran quarterback Gardner Minshew holds him 131 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:11,360 off. The two have split reps so far in offseason practices, so training 132 00:09:11,399 --> 00:09:16,159 camp and the preseason will reveal the Colts two plans for ar in twenty twenty 133 00:09:16,159 --> 00:09:22,080 three. Without pads or offenders, We're seeing remarkable passes from Anthony on Twitter 134 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:26,320 or different highlight reels. We've witnessed that countless times be four with other rookie 135 00:09:26,399 --> 00:09:28,799 quarterbacks who ended up being bust. Most recent example is Zach Wilson. Sure, 136 00:09:28,879 --> 00:09:33,039 different skills set, but the same logic applies. We were enamored with 137 00:09:33,039 --> 00:09:37,679 the skill set of Wilson him chucking balls down field with ease, strong arm. 138 00:09:37,759 --> 00:09:39,799 Richardson has those tools, but he's a better rusher, yet he's more 139 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:43,360 incomplete as a prospect. The raw skills are there, there's a lot of 140 00:09:43,399 --> 00:09:48,840 refining or development that's to take place. What is working in Richardson's favor is 141 00:09:48,879 --> 00:09:52,279 that rare athletic profile six four two forty four four point four three forty fourty 142 00:09:52,279 --> 00:09:54,879 and a half inch vertical and a ten foot nine inch broad drop, all 143 00:09:54,879 --> 00:09:58,240 of which are off the charts records at the combine. For quarterbacks, what's 144 00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:03,039 difficult to over come are the post snap decision baking skills that were displayed at 145 00:10:03,039 --> 00:10:07,120 Florida, along with very inconsistent reading progressions, which is evident on tape. 146 00:10:07,399 --> 00:10:13,200 That has me in the skeptic category. When assessing the short and long term 147 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:16,600 outlook for r in the NFL, let alone in dynasty fantasy football for all 148 00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:20,600 clicks, then yes, Richardson is worth the price of admission. If he 149 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:22,840 fails to live up to adp however, then it could be a huge capital 150 00:10:22,879 --> 00:10:28,840 loss to those who have spent a premium during this offseason in a startup or 151 00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:35,200 existing dynasty league. Simply put, there are varying outcomes for richardson first entire 152 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:37,720 career, but I think he's one of the most polarizing players in redraft or 153 00:10:37,799 --> 00:10:41,240 dynasty right now, and at this point I think he's a bit too expensive 154 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:46,519 for baking in far too much upside for a year one starter. The ceiling 155 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:50,080 is undeniable. We know the talent exists, There's a lot in between that 156 00:10:50,159 --> 00:10:54,799 needs to go right for him in order to achieve or deliver at his current 157 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:58,720 ADP. Which is why I think that Anthony Riginson is overvalued. Right now, 158 00:10:58,879 --> 00:11:01,000 it's time for a short break. Then I have two more overvalued players 159 00:11:01,039 --> 00:11:09,200 to break down for this episode. How about Josh Jacobs, twenty five years 160 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:13,440 old, set to play in the franchise tag unless Las Vegs extends him. 161 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:16,440 Jacobs even could hold out into the regular season. Reports have indicated that he 162 00:11:16,480 --> 00:11:20,279 has no issues doing so, at least into Week one. Time will tell. 163 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:24,639 Josh has been a steady and consistent running back for the Raiders since being 164 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:28,000 a first round pick in twenty nineteen. Prior to his standout twenty twenty two 165 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:31,799 put, Jacobs did not surpassed the following totals in any year rushing attempts two 166 00:11:31,919 --> 00:11:35,440 seventy three yards rushing in a thousand, one hundred and fifty and yards per 167 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:39,639 carry four point eight. That makes his twenty twenty two production, which was 168 00:11:39,799 --> 00:11:43,720 three forty sixteen three twelve for four point nine yards per carry, unbelievable, 169 00:11:43,879 --> 00:11:48,279 simply unexpected. He was a league winner, in arguably the best value at 170 00:11:48,279 --> 00:11:52,440 any position, certainly running back. In twenty twenty two, receiving production per 171 00:11:52,559 --> 00:11:54,879 year has been twenty for one sixty six, thirty three for two thirty eight, 172 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:58,480 fifty four for three forty eight, and fifty three for four hundred. 173 00:11:58,519 --> 00:12:03,200 That's one d sixty Cree receptions without catching a single touchdown. You'd think there'd 174 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:07,600 be some positive aggression for him in that arena. He's earned exactly sixty four 175 00:12:07,639 --> 00:12:11,200 targets in back to back seasons. My concern is that his ADP, which 176 00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:15,799 is understandable that there's such a dominant twenty twenty two campaign, is top five 177 00:12:15,840 --> 00:12:20,200 to ten among running backs without the contract security. That's a risky bets to 178 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:24,559 invest in for Dynasty Redraft. Different story players that prefer at cost and Dynasty 179 00:12:24,639 --> 00:12:28,600 over Josh Jacobs, Ore Travisy, tn Tee Higgins, Tony Pollard, DK 180 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:31,960 Metcalf, and Jordan Addison, to name a few. A general of FuMB 181 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:35,200 I have in Dynasty's a cashout on running back coming off of an outlier or 182 00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:39,799 breakout campaign after a few years of NFL experience, Bat's Josh Jacobs and three 183 00:12:39,879 --> 00:12:43,600 twenty twenty three. I already gave you the historical numbers his career highs prior 184 00:12:43,639 --> 00:12:46,360 to last year, and then what he did in twenty twenty two. It's 185 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:50,320 an outlier. There's a definition of it in fantasy football. More likely than 186 00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:52,799 not, the value of Jacobs has nowhere to go but down from a volume, 187 00:12:54,159 --> 00:12:58,360 consistency and efficiency perspective. While Jacobs continues to restrain from signing the franchise 188 00:12:58,399 --> 00:13:03,639 tag saw from running back Zamere Whites will continue to see expanded opportunities in practice. 189 00:13:03,639 --> 00:13:07,679 He's ready being called out as demonstrating clear growth during his second manicamp by 190 00:13:07,799 --> 00:13:11,039 Raiders coaches and beat reporters, and being a standout in general week after week. 191 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:15,360 That's encouraging. Since I was a fan of White as a prospect out 192 00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:18,120 of Georgia reminded me a bit of a poor man's Nick Chubb stylistically as a 193 00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:22,360 rusher. If White sees an expanded role in year two, that could be 194 00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:28,320 a smash value who's available in the late rounds of a startup draft, or 195 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:31,000 could be acquired for as cheap as a third right now in existing dynasty league. 196 00:13:31,080 --> 00:13:35,840 So We'll see how Jacob's treats situation coming into July and then August or 197 00:13:35,879 --> 00:13:39,360 even September, pushing it towards Week one. But Zamir White could be the 198 00:13:39,399 --> 00:13:43,600 takeaway from this conversation. Josh Jacobs is overvalued right now. He's not even 199 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:46,279 on an NFL team. He has not signed the franchise tech tender, so 200 00:13:46,399 --> 00:13:52,080 Zameer White could be the presumed RB one if Jacobs legitimately holds out. If 201 00:13:52,159 --> 00:13:56,399 not, it sounds like the Raiders are on board with incorporating Sameer White a 202 00:13:56,399 --> 00:14:00,480 bit more into the game plan as a sophomore, which could hurt Jacobs ceiling 203 00:14:00,639 --> 00:14:03,799 from matt Angle as well. Then, last, but not least, I 204 00:14:03,879 --> 00:14:07,720 have Devanta Smith. He's twenty five in November. After being the tenth overall 205 00:14:07,759 --> 00:14:11,200 pick out of Alabama in twenty twenty one and a Heisman Trophy winner at the 206 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:15,080 college level, Smith has carried over that pedigree and success to the NFL level. 207 00:14:15,159 --> 00:14:16,559 As a rookie in twenty twenty one, it was a sixty four nine 208 00:14:16,639 --> 00:14:20,879 sixteen five log with one hundred four targets for fourteen point three yards. Pertetch 209 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:26,480 sophomore year took a step forward ninety five eleven ninety six seven with one hundred 210 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:31,000 and thirty six targets for twelve point six yards pertetch his ADP, which is 211 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:33,600 why I think he's a bit over values entered the top ten wide receiver mix, 212 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:37,200 which could result in selecting him at his ceiling or close to it. 213 00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:41,360 A. J. Brown remains the alpha or wide receiver one in Philadelphia. 214 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:45,600 He's under contract the Eagles until twenty twenty seven. Smith was incredible last season, 215 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:50,200 yet yet a few outlier performances that elevated his overall production. The box 216 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:54,039 score totals when you look at it season's end eight one sixty nine one at 217 00:14:54,039 --> 00:14:58,080 Washington and then eight one thirteen two at Dallas, those are inflated numbers, 218 00:14:58,399 --> 00:15:01,519 not to mex and Smith going on a hair from weeks thirteen to seventeen, 219 00:15:01,759 --> 00:15:05,919 with four of those five games recording at least one hundred and two yards receiving. 220 00:15:05,919 --> 00:15:07,799 That is not a sustainable pace. But I think that Smith is a 221 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:11,039 wide receiver two, of course, but at a wide receiver one price tag, 222 00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:16,519 you're banking a lot of growth that might not exist from a tarret share 223 00:15:16,679 --> 00:15:20,759 or overall static cumulation point of view. So players I prefer at cost and 224 00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:24,240 dynasty would be Aman Ross, Saint Brown, Christo lav Jamir Gabs, Kyle 225 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:26,159 Pitts, or even Mark Andrews. To reiterate myself, I am in on 226 00:15:26,279 --> 00:15:30,639 Smith as wide receiver two. It's the wide receiver one valuation that I have 227 00:15:30,639 --> 00:15:33,799 a hard time agreeing with based on the presence of a j. Brown, 228 00:15:33,919 --> 00:15:35,759 Dallas Goddard, Jefrey Swift or Shot Penny kind of game well, and of 229 00:15:35,759 --> 00:15:41,159 course the volume Hurts will command as a rusher. So Smith is I think 230 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:46,879 perhaps overachieving right now, and his perceived value is a bit overvalued when I'm 231 00:15:46,919 --> 00:15:50,720 assessing other players in rankings radp that are close to him. I don't want 232 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:54,399 to sell short on Smith or necessarily sell high. But if you can pivot 233 00:15:54,960 --> 00:16:00,399 to a clear wide receiver one with a more visible path to being a top 234 00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:03,919 target on their team and think it makes sense to at least consider trading him 235 00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:07,720 after it could have been a career season in twenty twenty two, that will 236 00:16:07,759 --> 00:16:14,279 do it. Quick recap of buyer beware five overvalued players vermondre Stevenson, Dalton 237 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:18,200 Kincaide, Anthony Rickertson, Josh Jacobs and Devanta Smith. Any questions. Hit 238 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:22,240 me up on Patreon. It is only five dollars per month at the minimum. 239 00:16:22,279 --> 00:16:26,440 You gain access to one bonus show per week and unlimited direct message ability 240 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:30,840 over on the platform. And don't forget if you want that one on one 241 00:16:30,919 --> 00:16:34,039 insight to break down your team top to bottom, discuss possible trades, how 242 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:37,600 to assemble your team for success in both the short and long term. Then 243 00:16:37,679 --> 00:16:41,240 take advantage of that thirty percent off a thirty minute or one hour roster cut 244 00:16:41,279 --> 00:16:45,000 over on Google Meets for the rest of July. Just hit me up. 245 00:16:45,039 --> 00:16:48,480 We'll get it scheduled and locked in. Make you all again for listening until 246 00:16:48,519 --> 00:16:52,159 next time. This is the Dyning Stude checking out. Talk to you all 247 00:16:52,240 --> 00:17:06,640 soon, see you at a