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No one country benefited more from globalization
than Jina, though of course, if

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that's the case, we're clearly going
through a deglobalization phase now in the world,

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so no country should have to pay
more of a price because of that

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than China. So again, like
I said, this year, we'll probably

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play a crucial role. There is
concern now that they are in such a

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deflationary spiral that they should be cutting
rates and other things. You're listening to

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00:00:24,679 --> 00:00:30,199
Carrie Lutz's Financial Survival Network, where
you get valuable information you just can't find

8
00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:36,359
anywhere else to thrive in today's trying
times. You need the Financial Survival Network

9
00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:41,880
now more than ever. Go to
Financial Survivalnetwork dot com and get your free

10
00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:52,039
newsletter and gift. Financial Survival Network
now more than ever, And welcome you

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00:00:52,079 --> 00:00:56,359
are listening to and watching the Financial
Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie

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00:00:56,439 --> 00:01:00,679
Lutz. Well, it's exactly midway
through January of twenty twenty four. We're

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a touch of base with our old
friend Peter Grandich. Bind Tim at Petergranditch

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dot com. The links in the
show notes. If you've got a question,

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comment on our conversation, or anything
else, should be an email at

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kl at Carrie LUTs dot com.
Peter, great to have you back on

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the show. So you're looking into
the future there, and what you're seeing

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is pretty bleak, isn't it.
Well? Yeah, I began the year

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by stating that we basically now have
a true perfect storm of social, political,

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and economic woes, that it still
still can be as far as three

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to five years away from fully being
implemented. But once it is, it's

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called a rival or surpassed what the
Great Depression impact America to And so it's

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not a bullish stance. I believe
philosophy is its preservation of capital, not

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capital appreciation. That's important now.
All right, So you're more concerned about

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return of investment rather than return on
investment, correct? All right? So

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how do you do that? Like
many of you out there are confused,

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not sure what to do. The
market's been good for so long and you

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think it's just going to keep going, But what if it's not. Well,

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that's a key point, Kerry.
The vast majority of Americans are living

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in a lifestyle at least one,
if not two levels above what they're truly

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their finances support, and everybody says
how they do it. It's simple they

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borrow, and they also have taken
on a lifestyle that almost demands above average

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returns. And for a lot of
years, as you and I spoke,

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even before we started, the markets
managed to do that. Not only has

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become harder and harder, the people
that would aid it no longer have a

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free reign to do so. And
that's the FED. The FED is really

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not got to be in a position
to just pop mo money at free will,

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as it has in the past,
and so I think the first thing

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one should do is is to look
at how they're living and and see if

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budget wise they can live with less
is more. That's been my philosophy for

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almost twenty years. I could live
at a higher lifestyle, I could have

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a bigger car, I could have
a bigger home, and some people might

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feel that there'd be more joy in
that, but it also in this lifestyle

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that I chosen to live, makes
it more at peace, no debt,

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easy to meet my monthly needs based
on what I do. So I think

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that's the first order. Once that's
done, then of course there are places

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where I don't want to be,
and clearly there's no question that even if

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you want to be in general,
equities. The US stock market is so

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more overvalued than compatible companies outside the
US that if you need to want to

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be in general equals these at least
look outside the US. The US market

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is not only frauthy, it's highly
highly valued. Yeah, well, it's

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been overvalued for a long time.
And what did demand say? The market

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can stay irrational longer than you can
stay solvent. Right, yeah, with

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Kerry, you know. So in
twenty twenty one, I made the decision

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that by the end of the year
to be out of general equity's not related

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to resources, and suggests it to
others, including in our planning group here

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in the US that we deal with
US residents the same and people said,

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oh my god, what would you
do? And I said, I would

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want it rather own gold. And
of course gold is always going to be

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hated by the financial service industry.
They treated like kryptonite. And now it

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has even a new group of haters, the crypto nuts. But the bottom

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line is in the last two years, even with the rebound that the stock

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market had last year, gold still
outperformed it. But where it really gets

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interesting, and then you do and
I go back a long time. Nine

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out of our one hundred investment advisors. They'll tell you, oh, stock

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since the new letting began clearly outperformed
gold, when the fact is gold since

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January first, two thousand has even
outperformed the stock market. So I still

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think there's places, but I'm more
focused on preserving one and a half versus

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trying to dramatically increase it. And
one of the places where I believe preservation

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of capital can be, you know, pretty well counted on it, and

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that's the gold market right now,
right, all right, that's very true

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what you say. We know,
like golden has gone up tenfold basically since

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two thousand, right, yeah,
it's gone up about almost seven hundred percent,

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while the S and P five the
S and P five hundred, any

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if you reinvested the dividends is less
than that. And yet most people would

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say that the stock market absolutely greatly
outperformed gold. Then listen. The interesting

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about the gold market now always two
reasons, one fundamental ones technical. The

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fundamental is we've never seen such massive
physical buy in by the people that have

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the money, the central banks.
And then technically we're approaching levels now where

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it never really traded before. And
therefore, once we get above, and

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I think the round number is critical
here, the twenty one hundred. Once

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people start to hear a twenty one
one hundred and something goal price, it's

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going to bring in all sorts of
momentum and there won't be that resistance of

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people. Oh, I'm just glad
I got back to here. Let me

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get out. And that's where I
really think that we accelerate. And I

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think we're going to do that in
the first quarter of this year. I

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think we're going to We're going to
print and stay above twenty one hundred,

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and that's really going to accelerate the
interest in the goal market. So what

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about the impact of cryptocurrencies on precious
metals. Do you think there's been an

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impact? Oh, no question about
it. And where the impact has been

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is not so much in the physical
market, but the things related to particularly

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mining shares and particularly the junior resource
mark. That market clearly has been impacted

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in two ways, not only by
people buying crypto currencies versus junior resource stocks,

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but also the way that companies used
to be able to market to individual

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investors has changed dramatically. There's very
few financial advisors left in North America that

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builds book of businesses around junior resource
stocks because commissions are next to nothing or

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nothing. And therefore, when you
used to get one financial advisor interested in

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your company and three or four hundred
of their clients came in, now you

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got to get to those same three
hundred and four hundred that they still exist

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almost on a one to one basis. So part of the junior resource market

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and mining shares in general has been
impacted by crypto, but not so much

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to physical market. The physical market, particularly outside of the United States,

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is growing stronger. We're witnessing so
much more interest now coming out of Asia.

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We're also wishing, we thankfully seeing
Asia take more control of the goal

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market and the market. That's why
the raids that happened in the paper market

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steel here are not long lasting like
they used to be. Right, And

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it looks like every time gold now
is getting ready to break two thousand,

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we have some geopolitical incident that takes
place. Have you noticed that too,

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Yeah, but you know, here
we are at two thousand and something and

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for many days now, Harry,
And it was a number that seen just

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six months ago or twelve months ago, elusive that we couldn't even get to

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that. It's a market that I
like to describe. It's the Rodney Danger

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field of investment. It's no respect
and it is before dreading really well.

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And I think it's only got to
accelerate into a much stronger market which is

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going to seem more widespread participation.
So you know, we talk about the

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Rodney Danger Field of the investment world. You know, you and I dating

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ourselves a bit. We both remember
really well, I actually met him once,

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and you know, it's it's going
to change for sure. But like

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just the crypto has kind of taken
all of Gold's luster and run with it,

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and you have to wonder, you
know, is there something more behind

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it than just people having an infatuation
with cryptos or is there is there something

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maybe nefarious or I hate to be
a conspiracy theorist, but you know,

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as it turns out, us conspiracy
theorists have been right way more than we've

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been wrong here, Peter, No, I agree with that, But you

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know what's not what's lost in this. I don't want to call it discussion

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because the crypto people don't want to
have a discussion. It's not their way

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or the highway. But so much
money has been lost in crypto when you

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look outside of just bitcoin and you
look at just what happened in the last

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three years, so much money has
been lost there. And also people like

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to bring up, well, look
how much bitcoin is up. It's true,

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but there weren't a lot of people
participating when it was at those low

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prices. Much of the public came
in at these levels we're at now or

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even higher, and that's just typical
of a distribution pattern. And I don't

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see the embracing you know, carried
the first go around in bigcoin a few

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years ago. It was all pushed
about how everybody was going to use it

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instead of money, and every time
somebody made an announcement master car or somebody's

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going to eat it was that was
another bullish reason that never took hold.

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Now, the technology hasn't changed.
It's still in a very hard technology for

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all the things it's supposed to do. And what's really really interesting is you

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have a guy like Larry Frank who
just a few years ago called it like

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every name in the book wouldn't touch
it with a ten foot poll. The

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technology has change. Bitcoin now is
the same as it was a few years

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ago, but suddenly he thinks it's
the greatest thing since sliced bread white because

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they want to make money trading it
through you know, exchange, trade of

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funds and so forth and so on. So I just continue to see a

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lot of hope and conjecture, but
I don't see the reality and the usage

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of it, other than the fact
that also in you and I have been

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around the block this mania that's in
it. There's no room for discussion.

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And when people are that caught up
on anything, on any one thing and

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have no room to hear ad anything
other than it can only go up,

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and it's the best thing in the
world. You have to avoid or actually

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sell those type of things, no
matter what they were. If they were

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saying the same things about gold now
that they say about bitcoin, I would

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get out of gold. It's so
true. It reminds you of the political

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discussion or lack thereof, that's taking
place in the country and the world right

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now. There's no room for discussion
about anything anymore, is there. I

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think that's part of the crisis that's
coming. I want to switch gears a

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little bit talk about China. Initially
it looked like China was going to run

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the world but now China's economy is
collapsing so fast. They're built and road

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initiative, which many have called the
bribe and rape initiative, is falling flat

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on its face. And their infrastructure
that they we're so proud of spent trillions

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of dollars over the past thirty forty
years seems to be collapsing faster than their

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stock markets. Is there a way
back for China? Is this just disinformation

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being thrown out there by the West, or is there some truth to it?

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Well, we're old enough to remember
that a lot of the descriptions of

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China in recent years, whether the
description is given to Japan in the seventies

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and eighties, they were going to
be to take it over the world.

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They were going to become the economic
powerhouse and all. And of course nothing

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is further from the truth. Now
for them, I think we're still a

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state. The verdict is still out
on China. I do think you bring

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up an important part that China is
not the slam dunk nor and this is

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very important if we believe on this
coming financial crisis. Let's not forget that

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back in two thousand and eight,
they were one of the reasons the whole

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world didn't collapse because they were strong
enough economically to prevent and help support the

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stabilization, if that's what you want
to call it. That time. We

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never rided ourselves of the financial problems
at that point in time. But they're

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not in that same position to do
that now. Although the flummation of the

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bricks at all, of that is
going to be something again that's going to

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00:13:45,039 --> 00:13:48,200
be negative for the US and negative
for the dollar at all. But I

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think the jury is still out.
I do think the interesting thing that's happening

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there is there is a switch to
consume the driven economy versus an exporting economy.

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And the more that they do that, the more the people there want

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more of twenty first century lifestyle.
They don't want to live under communist rules.

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So we may be shocked to surprise
that China as we know it will

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still exist, but the ion fist
that runs it may not be able to

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keep running it in the way they
did. But I still think the jury's

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00:14:22,679 --> 00:14:28,360
out. Carry But you're right,
this should be far more concerned about China

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00:14:28,399 --> 00:14:31,559
now than we just had a few
years ago. Yeah, I just find

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00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:37,799
it interesting, you know, they
seem to be in a protracted, multifascined

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collapse, much like the West,
but it looks like it's unfolding faster.

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And in two thousand and eight,
yeah, they jumped in and they printed

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money and you know, use their
dollar reserves to help bolster their domestic demand,

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which maybe did mitigate the collapse a
bit, but perhaps they were just

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putting off the inevitable. But this
multifaceted moral, ethical, infrastructure, economic,

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00:15:07,519 --> 00:15:11,840
stock market. You know, we
could argue all day about the origins

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of a certain pandemic, but it
becomes more and more obvious by the day.

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It originated there with the help of
certain individuals in our own power structure.

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But it looks like they're getting their
come up ins here in terms of

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00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:33,480
just this collapse. I mean,
you look at these to food drag construction

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projects. They have their high speed
rail, and it just seems like they

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cut a lot of corners to get
where they are today, and maybe they

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00:15:43,399 --> 00:15:46,879
cut too many. Well, it's
very odd to look anywhere around the world

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and see strength economic or what have
you. Whether you look in Europe,

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00:15:52,399 --> 00:15:56,480
good pots of ases there are.
You know, obviously indiers coming a much

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lower base, so it can look
like it's growing but one of the things

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that again has crippled in a sense
a good part of the world is the

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amount of debt that the world has
taken on. And nowhere is that more

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important now in the US with thirty
four trillion in debt going to fifty trillion,

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hay in our interests expence is going
to become a major concern over the

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next couple of years. So again, you brought up one of many,

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many reasons not to be very enthusiastics
about general equity markets, China being one

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of them. Yeah, yeah,
soon, and that demand that they're trying

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to facilitate through domestic shifted from international. You see hundreds of Western companies and

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Japan Korean companies for that matter.
Asian companies are abandoning China are decoupling.

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And I don't know if it has
to do with the global health issue that

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they unleashed on the planet or whether
there is just natural cyclical happenings there,

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but I do find it kind of
interesting. It reminds me of the tale

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of Japan thirty years ago. They
were going to take over the world.

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Then you know they've had the lost
couple of decades here, Peter, Yeah,

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I spoke about that before, and
no one country benefited more from globalization

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than China. So of course,
if that's the case, we're clearly going

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through a deglobalization phase now in the
world, so no country should have to

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pay more of a price because of
that than China. So again, like

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I said, this year will probably
play a crucial role. There is concern

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now that they are in such a
deflationary spiral that they should be cutting rates

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and other things. Last night they
didn't do it in one of their bank

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rates, which gaves some people more
concern, and the were even weaker.

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So it is something, as you
noted, very worth watching in the coming

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weeks and months. It could very
well just wind up adding a fuel to

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the fire, right absolutely all right, Peter, We still find you at

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Peter Grandage dot com. Go sign
up there for Peter's blog. If you

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got any questions or comments, kl
at Carrie LUTs dot com. You'll find

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00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:17,079
a link to Peter's site in the
show notes to this interview on Financial Survival

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00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:19,519
Network dot com. Make sure you
sign up for your free newsletter. Peter.

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Great getting in touch with you again, talking to you, and we'll

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definitely be talking to you soon again. Thank you Gary much carry thanks for

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listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, your solution to today's trying times.

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00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:40,839
For the latest, go to Financial
Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now

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00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:41,839
more than ever,
