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What is crack blac and developed there
one here a efforts. I am Dan

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Valley canay et a very brief intro
grant and I have I'm decided whether I'm

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gonna put it out Monday or Tuesday, but to wrap up for every team

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mail bag the Ladder Half the West. I actually thought it was of among

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the pods that just him and I
have recorded this year. I thought it

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was probably one of my favorite pods
that we did this this year, like

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it's been one of my favorite pods, not just twenty twenty four, but

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just this season cycle in general.
I thought it was really good. So

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I'm throwing you the It's about two
hours long, so I figured i'd throw

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a sneak preview, which is almost, you know, for some pods,

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a close to full pod length.
Over twenty minutes of talk with the Pelicans.

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I thought, we you know,
I really enjoyed the discussion at the

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end about whether they're three point defense. That question was whether it's lucky or

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not. I thought it was a
really fair good discussion. People on YouTube

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dissy read, I don't think they
watched the whole video because we did nothing

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but praise the Pelicans defense or at
least I did for half of THEO.

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But again, I'm I'm actually really
excited to put this one out. It's

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just a basic now bag, but
we had a lot of fun recording it.

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So I hope you enjoy the stippet
of the Pelicans, which I think

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we did twenty plus minutes on and
yes, until next time if you have

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to shout out to the one,
the only the indelible Herb Jones is the

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Pelicans thing. But also Frank Nila, we got the Pelicans next. How

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do you say it? The Pelicans
remain my kink. That's what it's become

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on this the Pelicans. Oh man, how do you want to approach this?

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We have several questions, but I
know there was a particular topic you

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wanted to get into with them.
So do you want to just like just

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go to the shooting and the defense
or do you want me to run down

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a list of questions for you?
They have, so I think we should

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go to do we have two that
kind of stepped on the toes of each

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other or no? It was a
let's I think some of these can be

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a little bit quicker, So Peto, let's go. Let's start with Peto's

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one, all right, So Peter
asks, take your best shot at trying

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to understand who this team should be. A point Zion central team, ABI

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central team. Can Zion and Brandon
Ingram actually coexist? Should they be a

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defense or offense oriented team? So
I think that's a great question. I

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do think they can coexist. But
I think if you're not going to have

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them running pick and rolls with each
other, then you need to get just

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a ton of stretch around them in
the form of just raw three point shooting

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and maybe another twitchy off the dribble
three point threat, or there needs to

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be that vertical spacer guy who's also
a really good rim protector, because,

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like I think that's the way to
compliment them or to maximize the talent around

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them. I do think the best
version of this team is with either point

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Zion, just because but he's just
he's functionally more limiting when he doesn't have

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the ball than Brandon Ingram is,
especially if you're not going to use him

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as the primary screener. That's just
where I'm at with that. However,

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I would also say, and maybe
this is the I don't even know if

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this is controversial, it's either the
best version of this team is either with

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point Zion or point this player isn't
on the team yet, And I'm not

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go ahead, No, I was
gonna say That's what I was gonna ask

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you, was because I I'm I'm
at least tempted to go along with like

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it should be point Zion that needs
to be like the foundation of your team

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is CJ. McCollum on that team? Like is he? Is that what

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you want at that position? Or
do you need like a Herb Jones that

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can also drive and handle them?
You know what I mean? Like because

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McCall because if you're gonna do the
Zion at the point thing and maybe like

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what's that gonna do for your defensive
matchups? It puts McCollum in tough positions.

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It's kind of like we talked about
with Dallas and how Luca is at

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a position where you want him to
guard like a three to four, that's

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a tough matchup. Usually you got
to like move things around. H If

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it's not McCollum, who is it? Can it be McCollum, Like because

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that obviously the stretchy big and the
rim protecting big Like yeah, yeah,

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we said that forever, Miles Turner
on and on. Uh, is McCollum

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the right point guard for that or
whatever whatever? If he's not the point

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guard, is McCollum the right guy
at like what would otherwise be the one

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going forward? And that's just the
look you're talking about. And he's so

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good that it's been so good this
year and you have to credit him for

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really juicing up his three point more. Yeah, Trey Murphy coming on ends

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up being a big deal for them, So maybe you have just but look,

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if you told me this team came
out of the West, it wouldn't

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surprise me. I do think ultimately
and this will get it. So the

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offense or defense? Should they be
an offensive defense team? I actually think

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because of how imperfect they can be
on offense, it makes sense that it

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doesn't make sense when you're looking at
their personnel, Like this current team I

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think needs to actually hang its hat
on defense. But like, if you're

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building out future iterations just because of
who your best player is gonna be,

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whether it's Zion or whether it's Ingram
in that like and even though like having

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like, I think I think it's
probably leaning offense first, Like that's what

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if you're making new additions, I'm
catering to the offense. But we'll get

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into that because we have another defensive
question. So yeah, I think the

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other thing with what you mentioned looming
over all this is it might be point

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Zion, but you have to ask
yourself, is he healthy enough? Will

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his prime last long enough to lean
all the way into that? Yeah?

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I mean I guess that that hangs
over everything. So because like if you

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build a point Zion team that is
a specific ass team with like guys that

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are gonna, you know, have
really certain jobs that'll be different than they'd

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be on like a quote unquote normally
constructed team. Yeah, and then if

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if the guy that's at the center
of all that is like maybe not going

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to hold up or is gonna miss
time or have conditioning issues or whatever,

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which, for the time being like
pretty good stretch on that front for Zion,

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But like it's so precarious to build
like an unusual roster around an unusual

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player. If he's not there,
like, then what the hell is this

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team? Like things don't make sense
anymore. You kind of almost have to

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build like a totally different like second
you I don't know, there's risk there,

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But it's like I think I still
think that like putting the ball on

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Zion's hands unlesson until he becomes like
a great off ball cutter or a shooter,

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Like that's just the way it's got
to go, right, Like,

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I don't know what else you really
do to maximize the talent, And I

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do think that the two can coexist, and they might look they're doing it

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right now. I mean, like
the numbers they're they're starting lineup numbers have

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started to turn, and I think
it's probably about futzing and fiddling one on

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the margins. But there is a
case to be made that if you are

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trying to really improve your offensive ceiling
or maybe even playoff, we have to

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see what their playoff offense looks like. If you want to playoff proof of

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your offense or create more chemistry,
the glue tying all that together probably isn't

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on the team yet if that's the
route you want to go, Yeah,

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okay, So next question here from
Yankees Man seventy seven. Pelican's going to

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make a move this summer to bring
in an center either by trade or free

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agent or are they gonna sign Yonis
Valentuna soon new deal if not, so

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they move on from him. Who
do you see as not the new starting

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five next de zion bi for next
season? Like what's what's it look like?

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I guess focusing on the center position, Like what do you think they

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should do? What can they do? What would you like them to do?

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I think so they're like twelve and
a half thirteen million dollars under the

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tax without accounting for Jonas Valenciunas next
contract, and so you could say,

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right, well, if you just
plug in, maybe that's the number he

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gets he's earning. What's he at
this year? I mean that would be

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a pay cut, so you would
think that he would have more. And

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you're also in that point that doesn't
include a new contract for Jose Alvarado if

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they want to go that route with
him. Naji Marshall gonna have a first

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round draft pick too, right,
Well, no, so the estimate for

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this is like it has the Lakers
draft pick in there. I think they

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have the right to defer it.
So I mean you could save some money

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there, yeah, which they probably
will for it, just because that could

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save him like four million bucks.
But my point being, you don't have

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money to spend on a big wig
Center. So I would just keep Yonas

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Valentunis or try and work out a
unless you have another trade lined up.

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But you don't have all this expendable
matching salary necessarily unless you if U s

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J. McCollum as expendable, sure
you have Larry Nance, maybe you're willing

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to go you can get to numbers
where it's like, oh, if you're

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step ladder with Nance and Dice and
Daniels, I think the safest course would

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be to figure out a way to
keep Jonas Valentiunis and then that'll, you

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know, will this team pay the
tax? You have to ask yourself that

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if you're gonna make another splash at
Center, if you let Jonas Valentiunis walk,

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I don't know who the free agent, like, you don't have the

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money to go after Isaiah Hert Andstein, who would be an interesting fit here,

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you know? And then there's just
like there's not a ton of talented

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Yeah, Nick Claxton would be kind
of interesting. There'd be spacing limitations there

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though. You can't afford him either. So you're looking at You're looking at

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like, oh, Daniel Tice,
like could we get him? And so

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if you're gonna upgrade the center position
or make him materially different, it has

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to happen on the trade market when
I go through, Like you can come

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up with names, and I know
a lot of Wolves fans love the Jared

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Allen idea, and maybe the Cavs
get to a point where they want to

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move off one of their bigs.
I will say I kind of consider vertical

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spacing overrated in this context. I
don't know how you feel about that to

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where I prefer, Yes, I
want a big who protects the rimman stretches

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the floor. But just like if
I'm going to really give up a lot

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of assets for this team, it
has to be for that big. And

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yes they're rare, borderline non existent. I like Jared Allen works, and

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especially at his numbers, so maybe
it's like, well, we're giving up

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this equity and he's so cheap for
the next couple of years relative to what

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players of his caliber would make.
But like I just there's not a name

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out there, like it's the idea. It's like Miles Turner as concept and

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like been there, done that type
deal. So and they might just I

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think a lot of what happens in
the playoffs will probably inform what they try,

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because you could convince me that they
enter the offseason with the priority of

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we need like a real floor general
any year rather than like focusing on the

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five spot depending on how the postseason
unfold. And so I don't have a

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great I feel bet not having a
great answer to who should they go after

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at the center position. But if
they do anything, I'm assuming it's just

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gonna happen on the trade market,
and I just don't there's no name.

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I don't know if you can think
of a name that brings to mind,

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like maybe Dallas, would we want
to trade one of their bigs? Like

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are they gonna trade you maxally Kliba. And he's also just not the thirty

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five minute per game answer either thirty
minute per game answer. I think it's

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telling that you got to Daniel Tyss's
name real quick in the list of options.

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So whether they can afford in free
agency as well, it's a bare

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okay, So this is where we
really got to get to. This has

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been the topic I don't know,
not du jour, but like of the

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last couple of weeks around NBA NERD
circles and Pelicans circles, particularly from this

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is from Trey Real Stroker Murphy.
How does the Pelicans three point defense work?

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It can't be just luck that their
opponents have consistently the worst three point

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percentage for two straight seasons while they
also give up the most three point attempts.

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What's going on? I wrote about
this today for something else. I've

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been listening to a lot of discussions
about it. We got to talk about

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this. Oh, you wrote about
it. Did you want to take it?

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Then? No? It's all your
notes are very similar. I mean,

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I'm the cynic and I am my
kink is not the Pelicans. So

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I feel like I'm just a little
a little bit more down on them than

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you, And I trust in a
lot of smarter people than me who have

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essentially said, you know, there
are some things you can do as a

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defense to limit three point accuracy of
your opponents, one of the main ones

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being make sure really good shooters do
not take those threes, and one of

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the other ones being try not to
allow really wide open threes the Pelicans.

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The deep dives in the data just
suggest that like some of that might be

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happening, and the two year window
where it's this is happening two years in

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a row now is persuasive just because
it grows the size of the sample,

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so you can't dismiss it as small
sample. Look as I still think it's

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mostly luck. I still think if
opponents are missing wide open threes more often

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against you than against any other team, odds are you're lucky. And it's

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not like you haven't figured out how
to play like you don't. Willie Green's

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a good coach. I don't know
if he has schooled the team on defensive

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telepathy, Like I don't think that's
a thing. So part of it I

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said I wasn't gonna take over this
thing. But like, I think part

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of it is that maybe some of
the numbers we have are not accounting for,

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like the length of the Pelicans roster, Like maybe wide open shots are

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not as wide open if it's Trey
Murphy or brandon Ingram or Herb Jones closing

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out against you with like nine foot
wingspans. But I skew more towards the

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Pelicans have been lucky defensively, and
I think their defense will be will regress

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as opponents make threes that expected rates. So take that where you want.

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If you're looking at three point devents
specifically and say they've been lucky, but

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I think the way that they are
able to get set is like a big

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part of why their defense is maybe
overachieved relative to personnel. There's luck involved

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with the three point I mean you
mentioned it, like their opponents aretooting thirty

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six percent on wide open threes.
That's by far and away the lowest mark

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in the league. You can say
they're selective about who gives them up,

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but when you go back and watch
what I do think you already mentioned the

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length thing and the contest stuff is
right, but there are two things that

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stand out to me. Is the
level of pressure they're able to put on

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because they navigate screens and so they're
within proximity of these shot takers that they're

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going to have these where maybe it's
classified as open, but because of the

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wingspans of some of these guys that
it's actually not six plus feet. The

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other thing for me, only the
heat and the bulls are better at forcing

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opponents to take threes later in the
shot clock, so seven seconds or less

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remaining on the shot clock. Statistically
speaking, those shot percentages on average are

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going to be lower than if they're
coming up, because the reason you're taking

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shots early under the shot clock is
you're open to the Pulgus might give up

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a lot of wide open threes,
but if you're also forcing opponents to defend

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deep into the shot clock, how
many of those threes are grenades? Two

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shooters. You mentioned this at the
top, they're not very good, and

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so I think that's been a big
deal about their defense, which comes back

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to one getting set the fact that
they're able to fight. And you have

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guys like Herb Jones, you have
guys like Craig Murphy, you even have

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just like and I think this has
been the other thing that I noticed is

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brand Ingram has gotten better defensively.
I think he's been smarter with his closeouts,

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He's been able to shoot better gaps, smarter with his help and I

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think that's where the Pelicans have And
I did not dig into the data on

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this, so I didn't look at
like what's happening from the corners. But

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when you look at like with CJ. McCullum and Brandon Ingram have done as

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helpers when they are in the corners, and maybe even Zion Williamson at points

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they've been able to like pick and
choose where they're gonna put the ball pressure,

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and if you trust those guys to
close out, or if you're helping

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off of the right shooters, I
think that adds the element of Okay,

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we're actually helping deflate this three point
percentage by design. I say all this

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knowing we saw it with the Knicks
a couple of years ago. That stuff

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will normalize. There's luck here,
there's absolutely luck here. But I don't

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think like if you look at the
Pelicans defense as a whole, and a

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lot of what I said applies to
I think their overall defense, because take

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three point pointers out of the equation, only the Bulls have opponents taking a

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larger share of their overall shots inside
seven seconds of the shot clock. That's

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a big deal, I would say. And so it's their ability to get

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set, which that comes back to
their offense, but also just a commitment

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to getting back in transition, which
they've for the most part consistently had under

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Willie Green. All that stuff makes
a big difference. And so if you

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want to say the Pelicans three point
defense has been more luck than not,

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I will concede that. But I
do think they've done things that go into

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it. As a larger point,
I don't think their overall defensive standing is

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completely founded around luck. I know
it looks wonky because of the personnel,

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but I think that they have done
things to earn what are they like sixth

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right now in points lab the possession
or wherever it is. So that's where

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I'm at with the Pelicans defense,
and it's why, I mean, it's

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one of the many reasons why they
are my kink, because even their offensive

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imperfections or the Knights where it's look, they're going through a kind of a

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mini tear right now. They've beat
up on some inferior opponents, like we've

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seen stretches where those don't kind of
just deviate from what's working and it doesn't

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make sense. But you can still
almost trust them to refine their peak or

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to tread water because their defense has
been so good. And I think too,

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like it's kind of exciting to think
about because like their process, at

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least in terms of just the shots
they allow, goes against conventional wisdom because

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like in terms of what are the
pillars of a good defense. Typically right

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now in the NBA, it's like, don't let opponents shoot threes, like,

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just don't do that, Like that's
the bucks under Buttonholzer, like that

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was their whole thing. We funnel
everything to the middle. We let the

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big guys deal with it. Typically, I correct me if I'm wrong.

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I think, just as a broad
generalization, the best defense is limit opponent

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three point attempt frequency. The Pelicans
don't do that. Well, it's interesting

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to think that, like conventional wisdom
is only right until it isn't, And

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at some point we could be in
an era where like it's actually okay to

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let opponents shoot a bunch of threes
as long as you get really good at

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you know, contesting and letting the
wrong guys making sure the wrong slash right

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guys are shooting those threes. It's
fun to think about the Pelicans maybe being

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on like the vanguard of something because
it's two years now, so like that

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has to at least get your attention
a little bit. I'm just playing Devil's

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advocate. But well, that's the
interesting side of this to me, is

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that it goes against like normal good
defensive process. Well, I think you're

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touching on a trend too. I
mean, this isn't I'm talking about just

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this season So if you go through
the teams that are the best at limiting

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opponent three point attempts, I'll read
them off to you. I'll read you

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the top five and you guess how
many top ten defenses are in there.

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Indiana, Denver, Detroit, Washington, Portland followed by San Antonio. Interest

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out right, bad defense is like
pretty much across the board. Denver Tennis.

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Yeah, and is not even in
They're not in the top ten of

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defense this year, right. You
wonder though, is that the defense limiting

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threes or is that the defense being
so bad that teams get all the way

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to the basket, which is what
they want to do anyway, Like I

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don't you know what I mean,
Like it can't it could be that too.

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Look to be fair, So like
Minnesota is seventh, Cleveland is eighth,

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or Milwaukee's ninth, Orlando is tenth, and so it's like, okay,

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there is some pretty good defenses there. But it's just funny that of

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the top five teams, even top
six, just because Portland was so close

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to being in the top like they
were basically dead. Even of the top

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six teams that are great at limiting
opponent three point attempts, there's one top

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ten defense and it's Denvers. Yeah. You know what The unfortunate part about

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this is what it reveals is that
you can't just look at the number and

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conclude that the Pelicans are a good
or bad defense or are lucky because all

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those teams you just mentioned, like
you can't. I guess I'm just you

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have to watch what they do,
like what kinds of threes are. It's

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like that just makes it harder to
study defense. This happened earlier in the

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season where it's of the games I
caught. It was like someone had said

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in our discord, I apologize,
I can't remember that CG. McCom was

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having a fantastic defensive season and you
look at some of the counting numbers of

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what he's doing seals, it's like
okay, And then I was just like,

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eh, like I haven't seen it. But then you go back to

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kind of watching the possessions that he's
not involved in yah directly, and it's

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oh, okay, it's like they
are the That's that was a great way

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to frame It's like this is the
team that you have to watch them to

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defend to understand why this is happening. Beyond luck, but I do have

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to concede just because we've seen it
play out. I'm going to default the

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history with you. I think the
three point stuff is probably more lucky than

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not. But I will say relative
to like what the Knicks did, like

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during the early TIBs days, it
does feel like more than the typical Jedi

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defense, the Pelicans are doing things
to actually affect what's going on here.

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Yes, I think I think that's
Yeah. I don't think it's all luck.

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I think it's mostly luck, and
I think the part that is luck

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is really worth paying attention to,
like how aggressively they rotate and how much

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they just always have a body at
the nail, so you can't drive.

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You have to swing, swing,
swing, and hope they fuck up a

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rotation and then you get your wide
open three. But to your point,

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maybe that's like eight passes into the
possession and the shot clocks at five,

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and that's a harder shot. The
amount of work it takes to get them

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in rotation because of the way they're
able to navigate screens,
