Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do Podcast. I'm your host, Corey
Evans. Thanks for listening. This week's episode, it's had a week ten
emerging talent or a fluke. I have five names to break down and we're
gonna discuss if their talent is legitimate they are emerging in the NFL and Fantasy
football like, or if it's a fluke because of a spike in usage that
is not sustainable. I'll discuss that in detail before I get to it.
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Emerging talent or a fluke up. First, I have Keidan Mitchell,
running back Baltimore Ravens. He's only twenty one. Talk about a terrific young
investment from a dynasty lens UDFA out of East Carolina, elite straight line speed
four point three seven forty yard dash at five nine one ninety one. The
size concerns were what made him undrafted based on most rhetoric out of the pre
impost NFL draft process, not many teams we'll spend a Day two, let
alone Day three pick on running back that's sub six feet and not even two
hundred pounds. Even so, on his college film, Keidan Mitchell has played
some elements or traits innocent of Chris Johnson TJ two K, who was outright
terrific with his time in Tennessee with the Titans for a solid stretch of half
a decade. He was an elite fantasy commodity. Not saying that Mitchell is
Chris John's two point zero, but the straight line speed and breakaway big playability
does have some shared similarities. Keaton's first NFL rushing attempt came in Week nine
verse Seattle, where he delivered a nine for one thirty eight and one touchdown
effort on the ground only eighteen percent of snaps, incredibly small sample size.
Baltimore had a huge lead against Seattle, so the question was did Mitchell see
reps because of the lead and game flow or was this Baltimore trying to incorporate
Mitchell into the hinsive game plan from here on out. Well, postgame OC
Todd Makin admitted that Mitchell has earned more opportunities with that big performance. The
question in tlement is what kind of workload does that translate to. That's unknown
the rest of season. The short term answer was Week ten, where Keaton
dealt with a hamstring injury leading up to the contest versus Cleveland. He managed
to contribute three rushes thirty four yards and a touchdown, including a thirty nine
yard touchdown run. So at some point during the game he lost five more
yards, then had a catch for thirty two yards. All on twenty four
percent of snap so small increased snap sharewise from eighteen to twenty four. In
a closer contest, the context is still very minimal. We don't have a
lot of data to work with, but it does appear that slowly but surely,
Mitchell's role is expanding a bit for the Ravens over the second half of
this campaign. Meanwhile, same game, Week ten versus Cleveland, Gus Edwards
eleven rushes twenty four yards, one touchdown, one catch for four yards on
fifty two percent of snaps. He's the alpha in his backfield for now without
JK. Dobbins, of course. And then Justice Hill was two rushes seven
yards on twenty six percent of snaps, had a touchdown called back, which
will not show up in the box score, but if you're watching the game,
you saw what I saw. Nonetheless, Baltimore is a full blown RBBC,
and thats difficult to predict when it comes to usage week to week and
often depends on game flow. It does seem that if Baltimore has a larger
lead and or looking for explosive plays, then Michell's going to see plenty of
reps. But Gus Edwards is the bruiser between the tackles grinder, short yard
situations, red zone relied on in that capacity. Another note on Mitchell and
I'm excited about him, thinking he's more of an emerging talent than a fluke,
is that he dominated the college level independence of the lower level competition.
We'll dismiss that for now. Final two rushing logs were one to seventy four
eleven thirty two and nine touchdowns and then two toh one fourteen fifty two,
fourteen touchdowns career wise, four hundred and sixty three rushes, six and a
half yards for totes and sixty total receptions. He's not going to be a
featured back at the pro level due to the five to nine one ninety nine
body frame, but it does leave hope that the Ravens found a diamond in
the rough or hitting gem. As a UDF fan of East Carolina, at
this point, Mixell should be universally rostered in all dinasty leagues. If not,
he's a top priority ad off the waver wire, burning your fab or
wave priority, whatever it may be. It's only twenty one. Baltimore has
always been a run heavy team in the past with previous ocs, and even
more so now with Todd Makin. Whereas we thought it was going to be
an air raid almost more aired out down field, that has not been the
case because Baltimore's wide out to be manic consistence, even Jay Flowers. As
a result, the bread and butter of the Ravens offensive attack and game plan
has been through them all on the ground, but more importantly Gus Edwards,
Justice Hill, and recently Keaton Mitchell. So I think he's an emerging talent
and it's not a fluke. Up next is Khalil Shakir, wide receiver Buffalo
Bills. He's twenty three, a fifth rounder out of Boise States in twenty
twenty two, who did not contribute all that much as a rookie ten catches,
one hundred and sixty one yards, one touchdown, twenty targets in fourteen
games played. Underwhelming was more depth than anything else. And then we fast
forward to this offseason. Third reports that Shakira might have been a cut post
uned first, let alone fifth sixth on a team's depth chart. It did
not look all that bright or optimistic suddenly, Ever, since Dawson Knox has
been sidelined with that wrist surgery, Khalil has seen his role expand in Buffalo's
offense with output of four for thirty five sixt or ninety two four for fifty
seven. And then I'm recording this prior to Monday night's game vers Denver,
so we'll see how Shakir performs. I'm expecting a decent game baryann Ing,
So there's a context as to why I'm not talking about his performance in Week
ten. But one game positive and negative is not going to dictate the value
or career arc of Shakir. He was a polarizing college prospect because the draft
capital fifth round did not align with the tape or production. He went seventy
seven, eleven, seventeen, and seven during his final year in college twenty
twenty one, and brought measurables athletic traits that are usually highly sought after for
a wide out that can line up in the slot or even out wide at
times. Those were four point four to three four yard dash thirty four and
a halvas vertical ten foot four inch broad jump, all at six feet one
ninety. His playing style reminded me of Julian Edelman as a prospect in terms
of being shipped in space a lucif after the catch. With an underappreciated physicality,
Shakiir is not a big wide receiver, but he's not afraid to initiate
contact and wiggles way through defenders, especially after the catch. Now, it
is hard to determine if Shakir's emerging role is going to stick or disappear once
Dawson Knox eventually returns. It makes him more of a short term than long
term value or commodity for the sake of us being in a playoff push here
in Dynasty. But if you're looking ahead to twenty twenty four, now's the
time to botch Shakir for a third or a fourth because Gabe Davis is a
UFA in twenty twenty four, meaning Shakir's AUTO could improve drastically as soon as
next season or during the offseason. Then again, we're not surprising me at
off the Bills or in the market for a free agent wideout or spend a
Day one or Day two draft pick. Al it's a loaded twenty twenty four
our receiver class to compliment Stefan Diggs or a place Gabe Davis, But Shakir
could become a slot fixture for Josh Allen if less and less two tight end
sets are utilized. The issue at hand is that Dawson Knox is a terrific
blocker, while we witnessed Delton Kaid's role grow exponentially week over week as a
adept pass catcher who's a glorified obe receiver for being honest that plays tight end
regardless of bringing it back to Khlil Shakir. He's more of a hold than
sell For me. I don't fully trust him in lineups quite yet outside of
deep leagues. However, that tune could change quickly if he becomes more and
more involved in terms of Josh Allen peppering him with targets, and that is
contingent upon Dawson Knox in his timeline to return, which at this point there's
not much clarity, so we keep an eye on that, but more or
less, I think Shakiir is an emerging talent based on the college profile that
a lot of us were excited about, and then Landing and Buffalo put the
ice in on the cake. Up next is Cad Otten, who's twenty four
fourth round selection out of Washington last year rookie line of forty two three to
ninety one to two, which is not that bad for a rookie tight end.
On sixty five targets for nine point three yards per catch, Caid was
fairly productive for a college tight end prospect as well. Ninety one career catches
nine touchdowns was across four years of school. Ouden himself as a pro as
a sophomore, has been more involved as a late for the Buccaneers output since
Week seven of five for forty three four for twenty seven the breakout game six
seventy two touchdowns back down to earth Week ten two grabs ten yards. I'm
intrigued because Tampa Bay's OC Dave Canalis has featured out and extensively with forty one
targets in nine games played. That's well on pace past DCC five targets he
posted as a rookie. The issue at hand as the Buccaneers are loaded with
other weapons on offense. You have Mike Evans, Chris Gobin, Rashad White,
even Trey Palmer having a salb rookie campaign. Therefore, Auden's growing chemistry
at Baker Mayfield is clear. Twenty four targets since Week seven, forty one
targets in the year. I just don't know if it's a locked in enough
role to offer US Titan one value unless he finds the end zone like the
two touchdown performance in week nine. He's more of a low ceiling, say
floor commodity that at this point is third or fourth in line four targets in
Tampa Bay. So that being said, I think the production we've seen as
a late is an outlier or a fluke for the sake of this content of
the episode. I don't think that kay Down's going to emerge as a clearcut
tight end one, at least not this season. Time for a quick break
and then two more emerging talents or flukes for twenty twenty three. One quick
shout out. If you want to get on my calendar for a thirty minute
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it, and get a lot of great feedback from those calls. We'll be
right back Chewba Hubbard is up next, running back Carolina Panthers, twenty four
fourth round pick out Oklahoma States. In twenty twenty one, he slid farther
than expected. He returned to school after a fight out dominant twenty nineteen season,
which I think was a mistake in hindsight, where he ran for a
three to twenty eight twenty ninety four twenty one rushing log good for six point
four yards per carry. That's insane, almost three in thirty rushing attempts,
over two thousand yards and north of twenty rushing touchdowns. It was a high.
It's been caliber campaign for Cuba Hubbard. Let's look it as NFL production
to date twenty twenty one, one seventy two, six, twelve and five
on the ground unimpressive three point six yards per clip twenty five one seventy four
to one as receiver that was on thirty seven targets. Software campaign regressed a
bit in terms of volume ninety five four to C six two for four point
nine ers per carry and then fourteen for a bucks seventy one on seventeen targets.
It's now year three Miles Sanders. Surprising, it has taken a back
seat to Hubbard as RB one in Carolina, despite the massive free agent contract
he signed of four years twenty five point four million, thirteen million, which
was guaranteed to Miles Sanders. Since the Panthers Week seven five whose offen went
teams make adjustments or offensive personnel or snap changes, Cuba has led running back
duties for Carolina, with game logs of fifteen for twenty eight and then two
for twenty six as a receiver FIRS Houston sixteen fifty eight, four for nine
versus Indy, and then nine for twenty three and two for sixteen at Chicago.
The efficiency is dreadful. But then again, the Caroline Panthers have a
medio gogre offensive one bottom three cords of the league, depending on the grade
unit you look at. We've seen Bryce Young struggle. A lot of that
is because he has no time to make decisions and he's kneaking nunky instead of
airing out downfield. There's a lot of factors in play here. Let's focus
on the running back distribution of touches. Now, keep in mind, over
that same span of time, Miles Sanders has turned in efforts of two rushes
zero yards, then six for thirty nine, three for twenty two. As
a receiver. This past week, Week ten, two rushes negative five yards
and then two grabs fifteen yards. This is most important. Hubbard's snap share
over the past three weeks sixty seven percent, sixty three and fifty. Conversely,
sanders snapshare past three weeks eighteen twenty five thirty eight blind resume wise,
we see that Chewe Hubbard is the featured back in Carolina and Panthers new OC
Thomas Brown seems to prefer Hubbard as a team's primary running back. Now,
whether or not that actually translates to much in terms of fantasy value or output
remains to be seen because Carolina is one of the worst teams in football offensively
from a creativity and just efficiency standpoints. Yet running backs that a guarantee volume
are hard to find, So Hubbard is on the futs radar. But in
terms of the topic of this week's show, emerging talent or Fluke, I'm
going with Fluke, and it's less to do with the talent of Hubbard more
to do with the situation at hand. I was a huge Hubbard fan out
to Oklahoma State and I thought he should have declared in twenty twenty to the
NFL after that dominant twenty nineteen season, not the case. Became a mid
round draft pick, started off as a backup, and now is his chance
to shine. Perhaps Hubbard surprises us all second half of the season and submith
himself as RB one in Carolina for next season. I doubt that's the case,
Yet the role the volume is there for the taking. And last,
but not least, will Lovis. He's twenty four second rounder out of Kentucky
this year, was projected to be a first round talent. There's a lot
of off field question marks when it came to his ego, his work ethic
personality. Was he really a leader in the locker room? All that could
be cast aside now because he's a starter in Tennessee. He spent two seasons
in school Penn State before Shawan Clifford overtook quarterback duties and then finished his college
resume or tenure with Kentucky from twenty twenty one to twenty twenty two. His
career numbers in school a sixty four point nine percent passer that's with both schools
Penn State and Kentucky, and then a forty six to twenty five touchdown interception
ratio. But the underrated element of Will Levis in a skill set is the
rushing ability and over authletic traits he brings to the field a three twelve,
seven, forty two seventeen touchdown collective rushing log in school, which I think
is whereas fans football side becomes very interesting rest of season, let alone heading
to twenty twenty four, assuming Levis is the answer at quarterback for the Titans,
we have a three game sample size so far. In twenty twenty three.
It was Week eight versus Atlanta, a breakout party nineteen to twenty nine
two thirty eight, four touchdowns, no picks, seven rushes eleven yards.
Since then zero touchdowns, two picks. It was Week nine at Pittsburgh twenty
two to thirty nine for two ct two through the air, zero touchdowns,
one interception, one rush two yards, and then his past week Week ten,
tough match up at Tampa Bay nineteen to thirty nine for one n nine
through the air, no touchdowns and that one interception, not a single rushing
attempt, So the rushing output has diminished the past two weeks. The yardage
has been on par, not close to what he did his debut, but
the touchdowns have been non existent. A couple factors in play. Tough matchups
against Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay compared to Atlanta, who their defense looked really good
for the first quarter half of the season but since taking a bit of a
step back. So perhaps Will Levis and company caught the Falucans by surprise with
that much tape to go off of. No matter what you spin it,
the Titans are three and six, so turning back to Ryan Tannehill, it
makes little to no sense. This is now a litmus test rest of season
for Levis, a audition if you will for him to become a franchise cornerstone
or building block. For it appears to be more of a rebuild than competitive
team in Tennessee. The organization needs to hit the reset button and retool a
bit. I like will Levis. I think that he brings a lot of
physicality, good decision making, likes to be aggressive downfield. Give me that
nine times out of ten over an indecisive quarterback who is scared to air it
out beyond the short intermediate routes. Will Levis is going to make me because
he does try to have that Baker Mayfield mentality of my arm stronger than coverage
in man zone, whatever may be, I'm gonna find a receiver or an
outlet in the window that's tight, which sure leads it turnovers. But from
a fantasy lens, give me more volume passing and of actually the baked in
rushing up side of Will Levis, and I think that he's an emerging talent
in the NFL and fantasy. It's not a fluke. His first game might
have been a fluke in terms of four touchdowns throwing. Tennessee is still a
run heavy scheme led by Derrick Henry, but the talent itself. Levis could
have very well been a first round pick in real life had not been for
the reported bad interviews with NFL teams. That part of a player profile is
more important to NFL teams who are baking in millions of dollars to sink a
first round pick investment in whereas us from fantasy playing with virtual draft picks means
less we're betting on talent. Situation. Ship prevail and Will Levis now has
a starting job to hopefully cement himself as a back end quarterback one, if
not streambolle quarterback two. Rest of the way that will do. It'll be
all enjoyed my episode discussing Emerging Talent or a Fluke. As a quick recap,
I discussed Keenan Mitchell as an emerging talent, Khalil Shakir emerging Talent,
cad Auden Fluke, Chuba Hubbard Fluke, and Will Levis emerging talent. Any
follow up questions, you know where to go? You can comment on my
social media posts each and every week. It's always fun interacting with you on
there. That's Instagram, dines du Pod, same with Twitter or even the
din stent on Facebook. But where all my questions are answered one hundred percent
guaranteed. Is over on Patreon with the bonus show per week and limited DMS
for only five dollars per month at the minimum, and right now is the
best time of join since you'll gain immediate access to my quarterback running backs of
this week and then future wide receiver, tight end, rookie and veteran rankings
combined in spoken audio form as well as attached Excel spreadsheets. And then the
last one of that series is the top one hundred, which will be released
at the end of the individual position breakdowns. Thanks again for listening until next
time. This is the Diynasty checking Out colluct to you all in week eleven.
We're really at a deported time of the year. I hope this show
has been helpful to you, providing value weekend week out. That's what I'm
here for, provide you my audience with the best and most accurate information as
possible. Talk to you all soon.