WEBVTT

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Ninety five miles an hour, riding
to his head. He hopping down first

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with the lumpbonius face, and on
the very next pitch he up and stole

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second face with gretest speed. He
wasn't born, he had yes uniform.

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Episode thirty of the Prospect B Sides
podcast, he is, what are you

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going by today? It's rook Rel
Yeah, And obviously it's Rookrow Yeah,

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and I am Nate Handy. Welcome
to the muddiest prospect podcast out there,

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and the mud is piling up quite
thick. I'm getting quite overwhelmed watching a

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lot of minor league baseball, trying
to pick out what to talk about,

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who might be most interesting for our
dynasty leagues. Welcome back still last week.

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Thank you. Oh it's great to
be back. Yeah, it was

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lonely over here, you know,
as a return to your roots, you

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back to the original podcast format.
My roots have no friends. But I

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feel like the season, the minor
league season is like really honest now,

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Matt, because I kind of completed
my first sort of like OCD video experiment,

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slash project. I don't know if
you saw, but I was crazy

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enough to cut up and put together
Brooks Baldwin's forty batted ball events on the

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season. I saw that. I
saw that, or at least I saw

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part of it, because I think
you split it up into a few different

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videos, right, and I think
I only saw like the first half or

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something. Yeah, you can only
put so many minute long videos on Twitter.

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That's at pitching specs if you want
to follow along there, So I

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had to split it up into like
three different posts. But I'm sure we'll

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talk a little Brooks Baldwin. He's
one of a handful of bats I've been

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tuning into quite a bit. But
I wanted to give you some kudos on

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an article that you wrote last week
about Jackson Holliday. Gave that area that

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was once again, very entertaining and
smarts, I think, and useful.

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Well, it's the sort of story
behind my nom de plume today, it's

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rook Rel, it's April. Most
of this stuff just doesn't matter, and

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I mean, I can't help but
do it. I know that a lot

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of our Dynasty Fantasy Baseball players fall
into this trap to two weeks of play

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three weeks of play in and opinions
are all over the place. Aaron Judge

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is no longer an elite fantasy asset. You know, Jackson Holiday can census

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top five, top two, top
one prospect in the game, he actually

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stinks and sell them for anything you
can't. I mean, the takes are

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so spicy and hot and mostly I
think are just short sighted. And I

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use Jackson Holliday's well publicized struggles as
he's come up to talk about a larger

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point both about this is what prospects
do when they come up to the biggs

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leagues. It is tough. Having
an extended stretch of adjustment in the big

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leagues is normal even for the very
very tippy top of the prospects, let

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alone the guys that are farther down
the prospect spectrum. I wanted people to

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keep that in mind as we evaluate
some of these early games, and this

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is especially true up and down the
minor leagues. We have to keep reminding

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ourselves this between Nate and me,
as we look at guys, we're like,

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oh, is this an exciting new
step forward or is this a hot

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stretch? And as we've been beating
the drum a lot lately, you should

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change your opinion about guys pretty slowly. And what we try and do here

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is highlight some of the ones that
maybe we are changing our mind about a

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little bit. And I know that's
some of the things that I wanted to

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touch on today with my guys.
But looking back at how did the very

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very best hitting prospects adjusted to the
major leagues? In this article, I

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wrote, by and large like it
was hard for them. You know,

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you have your Acunyas and Otani's and
Chris Bryants who hit the ground running like

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they were among the best players in
the league right away, and of course

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they weren't without their own ups and
downs early in their careers too. But

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you've got Byron Buxton who had a
negative eleven WRC plus in his first twenty

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five played appearances, Vladgerer Junior forty
five WRC plus, Julio Rodriguez just two

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years ago, people forgot how bad
his april was, and people were really

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concerned. He was striking out all
the time and hitting the ball in the

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ground all the time. Ran a
negative five WRC plus. That's atrocious,

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like worse than one hundred points off
of big league average in terms of Wayverne's

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created. So having a bad debut
doesn't tell you really anything. About their

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future or what's going to happen down
the line. And while Jackson Holiday at

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least of the recent you know,
last ten or fifteen years that I looked

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at, he's had the worst debut
of any of them, But he's also

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among the youngest, like he debuted
at twenty and had among the least upper

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miners plate appearances of any of these
guys. All that to say, like,

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I'm still pretty sure he's going to
be a successful big leaguer, and

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nothing about this tough stretch at the
big league level has changed that opinion.

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As many of you know, I
still have questions about how much is he

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going to contribute to your fantasy teams, especially in five by five or rot

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leagues, because I just don't think
he's going to be a big stolen base

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threat, and I think the power
is more below average to maybe average than

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plus. But the guy is going
to have a good played approach, He's

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gonna hit in a good lineup,
and I think gonna play really good defense.

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And so he's going to play all
the time once he gets established.

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But let's just take a breath,
Like if you thought that Jackson Holiday was

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a really great prospect, two weeks
ago and you were clamoring for him to

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be in Baltimore. This happens sometimes
it shouldn't change your mind too too much

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about about his prospects. And I
think we just got to think about that

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as we evaluate guys all up and
down the minor leagues too. So if

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you hear me say it's April,
it's two weeks or let's change our minds

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on a guy slowly, that that's
sort of my continuing refrain for at least

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the next couple of weeks. I
do not disagree, and I think that's

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very well said, Matt. Do
you mind if we start off with a

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couple of hitters that I've been watching
a lot of. Let's do it.

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Who's been catching your eyes? You've
been flipping around the minor leagues. I

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gotta say this very early two and
a half weeks of minor league season,

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and I think that I'm doing this
responsibly, Matt. But my opinion of

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my Diamondbacks B side selection this year, Gavin Conticello is getting more and more

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hopeful. I think. I don't
know if you think these ideas, these

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thoughts might be responsible or not,
But tuning into Hillsboro almost every night to

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at least watch his at bats.
And you know, we talked a lot

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about his improvements hitting the ball out
in front. I talked last week about

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watching him put the best stroke I've
ever seen him put on a ball and

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go opposite field and hit a home
run. We talked about his sort of

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lackluster and weak opposite field contact last
season. Now I would say that that's

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still a part of his game that
is developing, but I think stroking it

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much better that way. Still turning
on some stuff, and he's off to

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a pretty nice start. Arguably has
been the best hitter in what's been a

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tough hitting league thus far, the
Northwest League. I don't know. It's

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still cold up this part of the
country, and that's true. It's also

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cold in the Midwest League, and
they have been hit bombs in the Midwest

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League. Been watching a lot of
Midwest League bats this week too, and

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it's been kind of fun and exciting. But yeah, I don't know,

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have you been tuning in to any
that so I have. I've seen a

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good bit of him, you know, some of the good and some of

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the i'd say early swings. You
could chalk some of them up to one

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thing that we liked about his swing
when we looked at it this offseason was

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he does a really good job of
clearing his arms away from his body,

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And it was one of the reasons
why we were a little bit bullish on

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the power projection, Like we thought, you know, he's sort of a

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skinny looking guy and tall, and
he was sort of the type that we

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were like, Yeah, that swing, he's got some. He's using his

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frame really well and building that leverage
that you can get from longer limbs,

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and he is seeming like a lot
of what he's doing is really good,

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especially the strikeout rate improvements, Like
that's one that I look at and say,

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No, he's striking out twenty percent
of the time. That's pretty good

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for our twenty one year old in
High A. And there are as we've

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noted some decent pictures in this league, and he's face He's faced some decent

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ones, I would say, not
the best ones. I like, I

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think we both agree that Spokane has
some pretty good arms and I think Tri

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City has some sneaky quality High A
arms. I think he went up against

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some decent arms this weekend and n
did well. Was Yeah, I think

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he could have been on the short
list for Northwest League Hitter of the Week.

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He's walking twelve percent of the time. What's the what's he slashed in

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three seventy three, four fifty eight, six twenty seven. I don't think

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there's any doubt that he's been their
best hitter so far. The other thing

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you look at, too, is
what's the kind of babup is he running?

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And it's you know, high.
It's four twenty nine, so you

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expect that to drop at least one
hundred points, maybe a little bit more,

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but still that's a strong batting line
running a high ISO. He's hitting

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some balls hard, hitting the balls
over the fence. You know. He

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had that one opposite field homer that
I thought was a little bit of an

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excuse me, but he really got
into a couple of the poll side homer

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City hit. And it's looking like
a pretty solid call on your part to

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say, like this is a guy
who might have some more upside, and

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it'll be interesting to see how long
they keep him here in Hillsboro. I

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wonder how much he's going to have
to do to get up to double A

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and push there. I don't know. I don't think they're in any hurry,

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but just we'll be interesting to see
how things settle out for him.

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Yeah, in mind you he's at
a level that he's probably a year young

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for, you know, twenty two
years old. College bad is probably you

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know, mostly high A. It's
where you start. But the whole point

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being so far, so good,
I think, and I think some of

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our suspicions may not have been crazy
talk, Matt. I think there might

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there might be a budding bat in
this system here. You know. I'm

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definitely going to keep watching some more
of Another guy who I've been watching a

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lot of and been getting impressed with, is Will Simpson of the A's.

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He's in Lansing, A. We've
briefly talked about him a few times,

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mostly just didn't know a whole lot
about him, I mean, other than

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he's from that fantastic university up there, Washington Husky, but we won't hold

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that against him. He had a
whole nother He had a home run yesterday

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that I don't think I watched.
But he's definitely kind of a line drive

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hitter all fields, happy to take
a single at times, but it's showing

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the ability to turn on it.
I mean I think he hit eighteen home

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runs his last season in Washington.
But I don't know if I have anything

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spicy to say other than guy looks
like he can hit it a little bit

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and seeing some good swings, put
on tough pitches, tough situations, and

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just have been impressed. He's got
two home runs on the season. He's

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striking out twenty seven point nine percent
of the time. Excuse me, he's

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walking twenty seven point nine percent of
the time, striking out twenty four point

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six percent of the time. Slash
from three, twenty six, five,

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way, five thirty. What's his
babbit? He's running a four forty four

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babbit. So but now I will
say Matt unlike the next guy, I'll

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talk about Brooks Baldwin. I started
cutting up Simpson's batted ball events as well.

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I was going to do the same
thing with him, but I think

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that video I stopped because there were
a couple of games that just for whatever

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reason, weren't broadcast or didn't start
until halfway through, and I was like,

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Man, if I'm gonna do this, I want to. I want

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to do it one hundred percent.
But I would think his cut up would

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be full of a lot less sort
of cheapies and lucky, luckier bass hits

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and stuff than than Brooks. Baldwin's
was Take that for whatever it's worth.

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But this isn't like a masher first
base prospect. He also has been playing.

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He has played some outfield. I
don't know if he's been playing any

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outfield for Lansing not yet, No, but he is. There's a little

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bit of athleticism to him. He's
stolen a couple of bases, I think,

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right, yeah, he's got one, but he's been twice already.

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Yeah, I don't not that.
I'm not saying that I think stolen bases

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will be like a part of his
game, but just trying to paint the

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picture. This is in that vulaba. We should be so lucky some stiff

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that that can't. That is first
base only. I don't know how exciting

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his profile might get fantasy, but
maybe a high OBP guy who can hit

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some home runs if it all goes
swimmingly. I kind of got Simpson stamped

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here as a guy that I think
is probably going to climb up some organizational

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list for the A's this year.
Have you watched any Simpson You have any

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thoughts on him or not so much. No, I haven't. I haven't

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watched him. I think I saw
him a little bit in college, but

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I do feel like he might be
kind of up your alley, right yeah.

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I mean I like a guy who
can take a walk and hits for

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some power, and I think he
does a little bit of that. You

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know, that demographic of player really
has to bang for me to go to

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bat for him though, right right
first baseman in college, like you,

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you know, and he's so far
kind of hitting the ground running was solid

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last year and this year he's like
running a one ninety WRC plus I think

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so far so he's certainly hitting the
ground running. But as a right right

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first baseman right out of college,
like you kind of expect some of this,

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and especially running an almost twenty five
k rate in hi A as a

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college bat there, it's like that's
like fringy. You know, you want

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to see more, i'd teck yeah, And I think too. Just he's

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a guy that on video I think
is probably a bit more enticing, just

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because esthetically, I think his swing
and some of the swings I've seen him

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put on balls just kind of gets
your attention. A good looking stroke sometimes

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on some tough pitches, tuning into
him by chance. I've been watching some

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Henry Bolte there what was either a
second round prep pick a few drafts to

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go. M h. I don't
know if his stat line is super jumping

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off the page at this juncture,
but dude, he can hit the ball

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hard. Man. On Tuesday night
they were in there in Lake County,

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there was a pretty strong wind.
That's another thing with that league is it's

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been been windy and cold. The
wind hasn't always been favorable the hitters,

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but both he hit for the broadcast
one hundred and ten mile per hour double

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into a strong wind and then had
an opposite field home run into the wind

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again later in the game. But
I know he's catching my eye a little

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bit. Not a guy that I
have paid much attention to, whatever that's

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worth. And then Matt, my
looks at my looks hit Bolty have been

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that he really doesn't get cheated.
He when he swings, he swings hard,

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and he's a strong kid, so
he misses the ball a lot,

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but he also hits the ball hard
when he hits it. Yeah, what's

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his what's his k rate? Right
now? I don't think it's forty five

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percent and it's backed by a twenty
percent swinging strike rate. Yeah, the

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Matt Our Mutual White Sox b side
that this year Brooks Baldwin is getting some

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attention, which is beautiful, right, And that's what we were talking about,

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That's what we were suspecting. So
we want to see from our selections

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here. But man, he has
got quite the slash line going on,

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does he not. He does eighty
two five point fifty one. That's that's

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pretty good. What's the babbit on
that there? Matt presently checking in at

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a four eighty seven babbit. Yeah. Like I mentioned, I cut up

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all of his battered ball events and
obviously no one's gonna run a five hundred

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babbit, right, That is not
sustainable. So there is definitely fair share

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of soft contact and you know,
questionable infield hits and maybe some pop ups

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that should have been caught in the
shallow a couple of those. Yeah,

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but there's also some very well struck
balls in there. But I don't know.

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I just thought it would be interesting
to see what that sort of line

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looks like in the video, and
at the first time I've done a little

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project like that. But I have
to tell you, man, I don't

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really know what to take away from
from that. Look. First point,

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you are a gem for doing that
kind of thing, because I love that

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being able to see back to back
to back to back a bunch of plate

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appearances in a row, because you
get to you get the sense of what

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does the shape of that batted ball
production look like. I mean, we

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can read the numbers and watch a
game here and there, but seeing it

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over and over and over again like
that, I think it does illuminate something

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about the swing path, both the
intentional approach at the plate. Like some

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guys you'll see them, they really
are a full spray guy. Like if

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you chopped up somebody like Boba Schett, you would see that he hits the

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ball to all fields all the time
and it's line drives, bloops, pulled

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balls, but it is like he's
spraying everywhere. And then you chop up

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somebody like Isak Pritis, who he
is trying to elevate and celebrate down the

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left field line. That's it.
And I think that when watching Baldwin chopped

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up like that, I noticed just
how many of his fly balls go to

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the opposite field from especially from the
left hand side, especially from the left

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hand side. Yep, Yes,
And it was something that we had talked

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a little little bit about that we
were a touch surprise that he ran such

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a good babbeb last year and about
half the season was at A and half

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the season was at high A last
year and he ran a three eighty four

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babbit at high A, and it
was sort of interesting. Like the way

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he slashes, he's definitely a bit
of a slasher, bit more of a

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flat batpath and sometimes especially if he's
not on time, it means that he's

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his bat as late, a little
bit under the ball and it pops up

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to the left side. Now those
balls are dropping in for hits, and

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you know, even when he's pulling
it, it seems like it's pulled a

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little bit on the ground through the
hole, especially as a lefty, and

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it makes me even more skeptical.
High babbit like he's running right now.

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And so that was the question that
when we were talking about him in the

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Dyna c duggad the other day,
I asked Clegg, hey, are we

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seeing any exit d O bump or
you know, how's the contact rate,

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chase rate? Is there something about
the approach that might be changed, and

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I'm not sure if we've seen that
just yet, but I will say one

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of the things that we liked about
him we talked about him in this offseason,

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was he has a decent plate approach, Like you know, we thought

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above average strikeout rate, like better
than average strikeout rate, and potentially a

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better than average walk rate too,
And that's what he's showing in the early

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going so far. That is interesting
to me. Love seeing the hits drop

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in, that's great. But he's
running an almost eleven percent walk rate and

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a sixteen percent strikeout rate and this
is his first taste the double as a

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slightly young for the level, as
a twenty three year old. I love

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both of those things. Like that
both of those numbers going in the right

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direction is pretty interesting. And you
know, maybe if that keeps going and

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he can sustain that for another month, then we're talking about maybe we're rounding

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up another half grade on his future
projection. So great start to the year

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for him, and it's super fun
to see that chopped up. I want

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access to that for everybody to just
type that into the MLB and ILB film

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room and chop it up. That
would be my that would be my baseball

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heaven. There part of watching like
that, it's like, you know,

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obviously you put the ball in play, good things can happen. Right there

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is a skill, there is a
contact skill is required to do such a

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thing as such a higher rate.
I mean, how many games has he

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played? Twenty games and he's got
forty bat at ball events. I mean

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that's pretty good, and you know, so I want to give him some

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credit for that, but I also
want to note, like some of the

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game situation going on in a lot
of his at bats, the guys in

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front, well what is I think
he's mostly bat in second right, but

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it seemed like a lot of is
that bats. There's runners on and they

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have been Birmingham's been pretty good.
I don't know what their record is,

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but I think they're in first place. They've won a lot of close games.

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And I think part of the situational
hitting for him, I think needs

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to be accounted for and considered there
too, where slapping a single into the

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hole was what was needed, was
was great, you know, for the

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for the team. I think I
noticed from the left side, I think

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he is probably more opposite field approach. I think from the right hand side,

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which we don't see nearly as much. I think he don't know he

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might be a little bit more dangerous
from the right right hand side as far

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as slugging and pulling the ball is
what. And I think we might have

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mentioned that when we first talked about
him too, But I think we're pretty

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spot on for the most part.
Matt, like I think this is a

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00:21:26.799 --> 00:21:32.319
very interesting do a little bit of
everything, kind of switch hitting, play

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every position sort of guy, and
in that organization, I think there's gonna

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be some opportunities for him now fantasy
Fantasy wise, I think it very much

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depends on your league and league size. But you know, I have a

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Luis Renhifo in some daily move leagues
of varying sizes, And I'm not saying

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Brooks, Baldwin and Renhifa are the
same kind of hitter. You know,

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a Swiss army knife like that could
be could be pretty fun and pretty useful.

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Well, continue to monitor, I
think, and keep an eye on

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in watching Baldwin. Matt go back
a few years. Edgar Quero keeps showing

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up. Man. He's on a
tear to start the year, but he's

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walking nine point three percent of the
time, striking out sixteen point seven percent

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of the time. He's slashing three
twenty six, four to twenty six,

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six ninety eight and Matt that's with
a two to ninety babbit. He's got

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five runs, five home runs.
I believe those are all from the from

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the left hand side. Yeah,
all five of his home runs are as

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a lefty. And now you know
this is only eleven played appearances, but

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he's he's got four hits as a
righty. This guy who had a very

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hot April last year too and then
kind of cooled off and so did it

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seem like the prospect and dynasty love. But I don't know, I've always

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I've always felt queer. I mean
that was the first thing that got my

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attention with his bat in his what
ten ten day pro debut at the end

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of twenty twenty two or whatever year
that was. I don't know. I'm

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00:23:00.039 --> 00:23:07.119
leaning that the offense of the good
offensive Kiro is more real than some of

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the struggles that he might have had
last year. But just hitting everything hard

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every time I see him, because
he hit he bats after Baldwin and he

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00:23:15.200 --> 00:23:18.000
had a walk off Grand Slam yesterday. Young Man is on it right now.

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Matt, I don't know. I
like Carol, and I think you

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were the first person to turn me
onto him back when I was just a

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00:23:25.880 --> 00:23:33.039
lowly fan, not to your rookie
tober. And one of the things that

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I really liked about what he does
is that he can He does hit the

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ball pretty hard, but he does
so with really good contact skills. I

336
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mean, these aren't elite, not
like Caleb Durban level back to ball,

337
00:23:48.000 --> 00:23:55.079
but he runs and has four years
now a like sixteen seventeen percent k rape

338
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and brings a really well rounded BA
Otherwise, like, he hits the ball

339
00:23:59.519 --> 00:24:02.000
pretty hard, hits on the ground, maybe a touch too much, but

340
00:24:02.480 --> 00:24:07.319
it's it's a good batted ball profile
years. He's always been very young for

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the levels he's been definitely, I
mean he's twenty one now and repeating double

342
00:24:11.960 --> 00:24:15.160
A and it would not shock me
to see him in TRIPA A by the

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end of this year, only because
I think it goes well with the small

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00:24:18.880 --> 00:24:23.839
sample size stuff and what you what
you were talking about at the beginning,

345
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and that's my Tigers B side bat
this year. Luke gold, who I've

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00:24:29.119 --> 00:24:30.759
been tuning in on a little,
I don't know, if you've been watching

347
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him at all, this is a
great, I think, a great example

348
00:24:34.240 --> 00:24:41.599
of how silly early season stuff can
go. Entering Thursday Thursday Night game,

349
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he was slashing one oh seven two
eighty six to fourteen. He had four

350
00:24:48.440 --> 00:24:51.200
really smoking hot games. Well,
I don't know, you had three hits,

351
00:24:51.240 --> 00:24:52.720
three hits, two hits, three
hits, something like that. And

352
00:24:52.920 --> 00:24:57.119
his slash line now is three forty
eight, four forty four, six seventy

353
00:24:57.160 --> 00:25:03.160
four. He had a couple,
so I mean that's four games. This

354
00:25:03.319 --> 00:25:07.359
season was flipped upside down, right, Yeah, So got to take these

355
00:25:07.400 --> 00:25:11.799
things with you know, lots of
grains of salt early on. Similarly,

356
00:25:11.160 --> 00:25:15.400
you know, I think we get
caught in the trap of talking about the

357
00:25:15.440 --> 00:25:19.960
guys that are going well and definitely
don't talk as much, especially about our

358
00:25:21.000 --> 00:25:23.200
guys, you know, the guys
that you're kind of rooting for or maybe

359
00:25:23.200 --> 00:25:26.880
that we identified as, hey,
this might be someone to watch. And

360
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that was actually one of some of
the guys that I wanted to highlight about

361
00:25:30.880 --> 00:25:37.279
some of these guys that are off
to slow starts and see is there smoke

362
00:25:37.319 --> 00:25:42.680
here or is this like kind of
fluctuations or what we should expect over small

363
00:25:42.720 --> 00:25:47.880
samples, and so I pulled a
couple of the guys who were some of

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my favorite B sides who were off
to slow starts. One of them is

365
00:25:52.319 --> 00:25:56.359
our Kansas City B side selection,
mister Trevor Warner. After having a great

366
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spring training, he is quite cold
to start the year. Slash in one

367
00:26:02.039 --> 00:26:04.799
ninety six, two seventy six,
two fifty five, five point thirty one

368
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ops to start the year. And
it's not because the hits aren't falling.

369
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His babeb is three eighty five.
The weird thing with Werner is that the

370
00:26:14.000 --> 00:26:17.359
power that we saw show up in
his pro debut last year and even in

371
00:26:17.400 --> 00:26:22.720
spring training it's been non existent.
He has three doubles in like fifty sixty

372
00:26:22.720 --> 00:26:27.400
played appearances something like that, almost
sixty played appearances and not the guy that

373
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we've seen. He's striking out a
lot too. That's not you know,

374
00:26:32.160 --> 00:26:34.319
forty five percent of the time.
Obviously way too high. I don't expect

375
00:26:34.480 --> 00:26:42.359
that to continue necessarily, but it's
worth watching the homers like if they really

376
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aren't showing up, and this might
be a product of the ball is cold.

377
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The parks that he's playing in are
cold because he's you know, hitting

378
00:26:51.039 --> 00:26:53.880
the ball in the air. I
still expect that it's pretty hard. I

379
00:26:53.960 --> 00:26:57.559
tuned into a few of his games, but haven't watched every at bat or

380
00:26:57.559 --> 00:27:02.200
anything at this point. But Werner
is a guy that It's a slow start,

381
00:27:02.319 --> 00:27:06.720
the strikeouts are a bit much,
but I'm still not super swayed one

382
00:27:06.720 --> 00:27:08.359
way or another here. This is
one where I'm like, oh, yeah,

383
00:27:08.400 --> 00:27:11.359
you know, super cool start.
We'll see check back in a couple

384
00:27:11.359 --> 00:27:15.240
of weeks, a couple of homer
a week and he's got three or four

385
00:27:15.279 --> 00:27:19.640
homers and we're back kind of on
track. And compare that to my twins

386
00:27:19.720 --> 00:27:25.759
beside hitter Joiner for Hardo, who
I liked, is sort of a decent

387
00:27:26.200 --> 00:27:30.000
defender, jack of all trades,
Okay, plate approach, maybe sneaky power

388
00:27:30.039 --> 00:27:34.400
and then a lot of speed again
for the kind of roto fiends in here.

389
00:27:34.599 --> 00:27:40.319
And he's been atrocious to start the
year. One point seven percent walk

390
00:27:40.400 --> 00:27:45.359
rate, thirty five point six percent
k rate. There's very little power showing

391
00:27:45.400 --> 00:27:48.160
up. I think he's got a
couple of home runs and then that's it,

392
00:27:48.319 --> 00:27:52.319
like three home runs and ten singles. So it's like he maybe is

393
00:27:52.359 --> 00:27:56.839
selling out for some power, striking
out a Ton not walking. It's a

394
00:27:57.039 --> 00:28:02.400
bad, bad start to the here
good for fifty three WRC plus and I'm

395
00:28:02.400 --> 00:28:04.920
a little concerned. You know,
he's not old for level per se.

396
00:28:06.000 --> 00:28:08.839
You know, he's in Triple A, he's twenty five, and that Twins

397
00:28:08.920 --> 00:28:12.519
team is often hurt. So that
was the other thing that I was thinking.

398
00:28:12.519 --> 00:28:15.680
If he hit well, maybe he
was a guy who gets a call

399
00:28:15.799 --> 00:28:22.559
to spell Max Kepler in his inevitable
injury or Byron Buxton and his annual trip

400
00:28:22.559 --> 00:28:26.799
to the IL. And I'm concerned
that the plate approach, the bat at

401
00:28:26.799 --> 00:28:32.279
ball profile might not sustain that.
So He's one where my level of concern

402
00:28:32.400 --> 00:28:34.599
is a little bit higher than a
Trevor Werner. You know, obviously they

403
00:28:34.599 --> 00:28:38.319
are a couple levels apart. They're
different ages, different plate approaches, and

404
00:28:38.440 --> 00:28:45.440
different positions. But looking to me
at the k and walk rates is more

405
00:28:45.839 --> 00:28:51.000
indicative of how much concern should should
you have. And so Fajardo is one

406
00:28:51.039 --> 00:28:53.200
that I'm I don't know, I'm
nibbling on my fingers a little bit looking

407
00:28:53.240 --> 00:28:56.880
at that, like, man,
that might be a bit of a wasted

408
00:28:56.960 --> 00:29:00.680
d side pick. And I'm not
sure he's going to get the apportunity to

409
00:29:00.319 --> 00:29:04.480
really really show out. So that's
one that you know, talking about some

410
00:29:04.519 --> 00:29:07.880
of the guys that are off to
a slower start. It's worth owning up

411
00:29:07.920 --> 00:29:11.200
to that and being like, yeah, it's it's not not what we wanted

412
00:29:11.240 --> 00:29:17.079
to see, and there's some cause
for concern. There a ton to add.

413
00:29:17.400 --> 00:29:22.440
A second, that's why is like
these samples are just so small.

414
00:29:22.799 --> 00:29:26.039
I try not to like let one
hot week or a couple of good games

415
00:29:26.240 --> 00:29:30.440
way my opinion like too much.
You know, like we talked about,

416
00:29:30.480 --> 00:29:33.759
that's why pitching is so much better. You get to watch their you know,

417
00:29:33.880 --> 00:29:37.319
guy do his thing sixty or eighty
times and one night. These hitters

418
00:29:37.359 --> 00:29:38.960
you got to kind of stay at
least for what I like to do and

419
00:29:40.039 --> 00:29:41.799
watch them, like you kind of
got to stay on guys for a while

420
00:29:41.920 --> 00:29:47.039
to see you're hearing it here,
folks. Nate just likes the easy way

421
00:29:47.039 --> 00:29:51.079
out. He doesn't really like muddying
for the for the hitters. He wants

422
00:29:51.160 --> 00:29:56.359
to see one outing and say,
ah, man, George Klassen's it.

423
00:29:56.240 --> 00:30:00.480
You know. The first game that
I turned on this week, it was

424
00:30:00.519 --> 00:30:03.200
an afternoon game on Tuesday. South
Bend was at Beloite and I turned the

425
00:30:03.200 --> 00:30:07.079
game on the very first pitch.
You know who I saw, I hit

426
00:30:07.079 --> 00:30:11.559
a home run, Hendrick Banango.
Nice. Yeah, I'm just like,

427
00:30:11.680 --> 00:30:15.200
oh, don't do this to me. I know, right. I wanted

428
00:30:15.240 --> 00:30:19.000
to mention. We talked about Mark
Cooley a little bit first year player guy.

429
00:30:19.240 --> 00:30:22.079
I had mentioned that he was a
younger college guy last week. That

430
00:30:22.200 --> 00:30:26.440
wasn't correct, twenty three years old. But he got promoted to hy A

431
00:30:26.839 --> 00:30:30.039
and hit a grand slam his first
I don't think it was his first at

432
00:30:30.079 --> 00:30:33.000
bat, but his first game,
and then hit backed it up with another

433
00:30:33.039 --> 00:30:37.599
home run. You know, interesting
but potentially interesting power speed guy. But

434
00:30:37.680 --> 00:30:41.319
I think strikeouts are gonna be a
potential whammy there. Of course, man

435
00:30:41.400 --> 00:30:45.680
as soon as TJ. Walton got
going that Tuesday, he hit his second

436
00:30:45.680 --> 00:30:49.160
home run in as many games,
and then he got hit in the face

437
00:30:49.359 --> 00:30:59.079
and putting on IRL classic. Creed
Williams continues to be Creed Willams early in

438
00:30:59.119 --> 00:31:02.880
the season and hit a bunch of
home runs and slug a bunch big boy.

439
00:31:03.400 --> 00:31:07.559
Yep, did you see Ukfus took
James Gonzale's yard. I did.

440
00:31:07.759 --> 00:31:10.799
Cathus is often a nice start.
He's kind of picking the sick where he

441
00:31:10.880 --> 00:31:12.799
left off getting such a funky profile
for him, but I really like his

442
00:31:12.880 --> 00:31:17.039
swing. Yeah, what is he? Three fifty five, three ninety four,

443
00:31:17.240 --> 00:31:19.680
six thirteen, A couple of home
runs, a couple of stolen bases.

444
00:31:21.039 --> 00:31:23.440
Yeah, he's he's an interest.
He's different, he's a different he's

445
00:31:23.519 --> 00:31:26.839
kind of a different cat. But
but that's not in a not in a

446
00:31:26.880 --> 00:31:32.680
bad way. Watched a couple of
my favorite lefties this week in Brand Herder

447
00:31:32.720 --> 00:31:37.680
and Reed van Scooter Herders at Toledo
and with the mud Hens, and you

448
00:31:37.720 --> 00:31:41.759
know, i'd say going into this
last Star he looked okay. I think

449
00:31:41.799 --> 00:31:45.039
the era was was a little higher, and you know, was getting some

450
00:31:45.039 --> 00:31:48.240
strikeouts but hadn't really put it together. But he had a really great start

451
00:31:48.279 --> 00:31:56.039
this week. Has the overall line
down to quite quite a nice two ninety

452
00:31:56.039 --> 00:32:00.480
two fifth. He's getting a little
bit unlucky on the batted balllock metro like

453
00:32:00.720 --> 00:32:04.880
left on bass babip and home runs, but the stuff looks great and he

454
00:32:05.119 --> 00:32:08.680
really carved this week. I think
he had nine punch outs in five innings

455
00:32:08.720 --> 00:32:14.559
and looked really good and looked like
the guy that I'm as high on as

456
00:32:14.640 --> 00:32:17.400
maybe any other of our B side
arms, Like, I really really buy

457
00:32:17.759 --> 00:32:22.240
what he's doing, and it seems
like it's working at triple A just as

458
00:32:22.279 --> 00:32:23.599
well as it did at double A
last year. You know, he's got

459
00:32:23.599 --> 00:32:28.480
this strikeout rate up almost a thirteen
per nine so far this year. And

460
00:32:28.799 --> 00:32:31.440
yeah, he's he's looking really good. Continuing to limit walks, although I

461
00:32:31.440 --> 00:32:35.240
think the walks had been a bit
of a problem in his first couple of

462
00:32:35.279 --> 00:32:38.640
outings. But five innings, nine
punch outs, no walks this time around,

463
00:32:38.960 --> 00:32:43.880
just two hits, So he looked
really good. And that was against

464
00:32:43.920 --> 00:32:46.720
a very good NATS Triple A lineup. You know, he got James Wood

465
00:32:46.960 --> 00:32:54.000
strikeout looking and chopped that lineup really
really well. Nice. I also watched

466
00:32:54.240 --> 00:33:00.680
Revent Scooters outing. Oh against Texas. He had a good outing, you

467
00:33:00.720 --> 00:33:04.839
know, six innings, one hit, one walk, but he only had

468
00:33:04.880 --> 00:33:07.359
the one strikeout, and that's been
a challenge for him in the early going,

469
00:33:07.440 --> 00:33:12.319
and it's something to monitor. You
know. His first outing, I

470
00:33:12.319 --> 00:33:15.119
think we talked a bit about he
had some batted ball bad luck and gave

471
00:33:15.160 --> 00:33:19.880
up a few runs that way.
His second outing, he walked four,

472
00:33:20.119 --> 00:33:22.880
which I don't think he's ever done
in the minor leagues before. And only

473
00:33:22.880 --> 00:33:28.160
got one strikeout. And then obviously
this time around just one walk but one

474
00:33:28.400 --> 00:33:31.079
strikeout. I will say he got
squeezed a little bit. He had three

475
00:33:31.160 --> 00:33:37.680
other instances of a two strike count
where he just painted a fastball or really

476
00:33:37.720 --> 00:33:40.680
dotted a slider on one pitch.
I forget who this was against, but

477
00:33:42.079 --> 00:33:45.519
it was like that's he thought it
was strike three. His catcher was like

478
00:33:45.920 --> 00:33:51.079
the fuck that it was definitely a
strike So he maybe could have had a

479
00:33:51.119 --> 00:33:55.119
couple more strikeouts there. But of
the nineteen batters he faced, I think

480
00:33:55.119 --> 00:34:00.480
I counted thirteen ground ball outs in
that outing. So like he's just this

481
00:34:00.519 --> 00:34:04.000
is what he does. He just
hits the bottom part of the strike zone,

482
00:34:04.200 --> 00:34:07.480
mixes up speeds, attacks hitters in
different ways each time through the order,

483
00:34:07.599 --> 00:34:10.559
and still ends up with a bunch
of ground balls. So I want

484
00:34:10.599 --> 00:34:14.639
to see more strikeouts. Like I
don't expect him to be a really really

485
00:34:14.719 --> 00:34:19.599
high strikeout arm, but it's something
that I'm monitoring that balls that were whiffs

486
00:34:20.000 --> 00:34:22.719
in high last year, a lot
of those seem to be getting fouled off

487
00:34:22.800 --> 00:34:29.159
early this year, and that's that'll
tell us something about the sustainability of the

488
00:34:29.320 --> 00:34:31.760
overall line. So you know,
I still believe in him. This is

489
00:34:31.840 --> 00:34:37.400
just three starts to start the year, but it's something to monitor about how

490
00:34:37.440 --> 00:34:40.800
he's looking going forward. The only
thing I wanted to note on the hitters

491
00:34:40.840 --> 00:34:45.760
side was we got a home run
from Javier Sonoya this week, Matt,

492
00:34:45.920 --> 00:34:50.480
for real. That does not happen
all the time, and I think should

493
00:34:50.480 --> 00:34:54.559
be celebrated on this podcast. That
was fun to see. Yeah. Pitching

494
00:34:54.599 --> 00:34:59.679
wise, Matt, I don't know
did you watch any of but I have

495
00:34:59.679 --> 00:35:02.320
found to be the best pitching duel
of the minor league season so far.

496
00:35:02.679 --> 00:35:07.559
Tristan Reeling versus Carson Palmquist. I
didn't. I saw a little bit.

497
00:35:07.599 --> 00:35:14.119
I think somebody posted a mashup of
Reelings side of it, But no,

498
00:35:14.199 --> 00:35:16.360
I didn't. I didn't watch that
outing. It was pretty impressive on both

499
00:35:16.400 --> 00:35:22.199
sides in my opinion. Reeling in
his mind you his third pro appearance ever

500
00:35:22.400 --> 00:35:24.599
a double A in this season.
He went seven to two thirds, gave

501
00:35:24.679 --> 00:35:29.280
up no hits, no runs,
walked two, struck out six through one

502
00:35:29.320 --> 00:35:32.719
hundred pitches, sixty three strikes.
Pump Quist went six innings, gave up

503
00:35:32.760 --> 00:35:38.039
four hits, walked one, and
struck out ten. It's interesting watching some

504
00:35:38.119 --> 00:35:44.039
of these funkier guys or nastier guys
in the minor leagues where you know,

505
00:35:44.079 --> 00:35:47.599
sometimes the catchers have a hard time
catching them, and I think sometimes the

506
00:35:47.679 --> 00:35:52.760
umpires have a really tough time humping
them too. Like pump Quist. Man

507
00:35:52.960 --> 00:35:55.880
was just landing fastballs and breaking balls
over the middle of the plate to start

508
00:35:55.880 --> 00:36:00.239
that game, and they were getting
called balls and it was ridiculous, to

509
00:36:00.280 --> 00:36:02.920
be honest. But you know,
pump Quist, We've talked about him some

510
00:36:04.119 --> 00:36:07.840
and he's just I mean, he's
been doing nothing but killing it in double

511
00:36:07.880 --> 00:36:12.519
A and that release that released point
the action on all of his pitches,

512
00:36:12.679 --> 00:36:15.679
Like, I think we're gonna see
him in the big leagues relatively soon.

513
00:36:15.079 --> 00:36:20.719
Yeah. I like pump Quist a
lot. I mean yeah, and he's

514
00:36:20.840 --> 00:36:24.519
nasty. So I mean, there
wasn't really like anything super new to report

515
00:36:24.760 --> 00:36:29.639
or to observe there, in my
opinion, just him continuing to do his

516
00:36:29.719 --> 00:36:32.400
thing and and really dominate the Eastern
League and then relaying, you know,

517
00:36:32.440 --> 00:36:36.719
we only get he's so new,
Like what you know is this guy?

518
00:36:37.000 --> 00:36:39.320
Is this guy for real? Like
what what's his story all about? And

519
00:36:39.320 --> 00:36:44.159
man, I gotta say I was
I was pretty impressed. I would lean

520
00:36:44.320 --> 00:36:46.920
that this is not some flavor of
the week guy. I mean, he

521
00:36:47.039 --> 00:36:51.239
was a third round pick by the
Yankees. I think that says something.

522
00:36:51.639 --> 00:36:58.119
But finally seeing him and he's the
fastball and the slider that just just disappears,

523
00:36:58.119 --> 00:37:00.559
man, And if it looks like
it just disappears late too, and

524
00:37:00.599 --> 00:37:07.239
he's commanding the arsenal well and pitching
and locating stuff like I'm kind of you

525
00:37:07.280 --> 00:37:08.880
know, for three starts, I'm
man, I gotta say, I'm pretty

526
00:37:08.920 --> 00:37:14.480
sold that this is a legit pitching
prospect here and out of all the sort

527
00:37:14.480 --> 00:37:17.440
of new arms that are doing things
this year, like he's he's the guy

528
00:37:17.480 --> 00:37:21.760
that I would be the most interested
in, the most wanting to get on

529
00:37:21.800 --> 00:37:24.119
my roster, I think. But
it proved far too late for me to

530
00:37:24.159 --> 00:37:30.079
do that in my leagues. Yeah, or I didn't have the funds to

531
00:37:30.119 --> 00:37:31.960
make that happen. But that that
was a good one, man. And

532
00:37:32.000 --> 00:37:36.519
then it ended with a who hit
the Ben Rice hit a walk off I

533
00:37:36.519 --> 00:37:39.639
think solo home run in the ninth
inning. But that was a good series.

534
00:37:39.679 --> 00:37:43.400
That was one that I had highlighted
to watch, and that was they

535
00:37:43.440 --> 00:37:47.000
split three, three to two.
Fun teams there with some some good prospects.

536
00:37:47.239 --> 00:37:53.920
So I saw reeling live last year. I'm trying to find the game

537
00:37:54.480 --> 00:38:00.440
last years in pitch. Yeah,
he did in college, so it would

538
00:38:00.440 --> 00:38:02.559
have been two years ago. He
was a twenty twenty two draft pick.

539
00:38:02.639 --> 00:38:06.000
Right, Oh, it would have
been two years ago. Then. I'm

540
00:38:06.000 --> 00:38:08.719
pretty sure he was twenty twenty two. You're right, You're right. So

541
00:38:08.960 --> 00:38:12.840
I didn't. I didn't see him
last year, that's right. Where do

542
00:38:12.880 --> 00:38:15.039
you go to school? Yeah?
Okay, where do you go to Schoozaga?

543
00:38:15.159 --> 00:38:16.400
Yeah, that's right. Well,
just while we're here, Matt,

544
00:38:16.440 --> 00:38:21.000
I wanted to ask you about Owen
Wild and if you have any thoughts on

545
00:38:21.039 --> 00:38:23.639
Owen Wild. He had an FQO
this week. He was good. He

546
00:38:23.760 --> 00:38:27.719
was the arm that I was thinking
of when I was like, oh,

547
00:38:27.760 --> 00:38:30.320
yeah, I really was last year
at Gonzaga. I no, it was

548
00:38:30.440 --> 00:38:35.039
Owen Wild was the guy that I
remembered because he had a great outing here

549
00:38:35.239 --> 00:38:40.599
in Portland against University of Portland where
he kind of got babboped in the first

550
00:38:40.599 --> 00:38:44.920
inning and they just chopped the rest
of the way, like, looked really

551
00:38:44.920 --> 00:38:47.679
good. I watched that outing.
He's more over the top north South.

552
00:38:49.679 --> 00:38:52.599
He was drafted in the seventh round
last last draft out of Gonzaga, and

553
00:38:52.639 --> 00:38:54.719
I don't think he pitched it all
last year. Right now, he's got

554
00:38:54.760 --> 00:39:00.880
three three outings under his belt and
Charleston a ball proven to be a little

555
00:39:00.880 --> 00:39:02.800
too much for those hitters down there. Right now, I think his fastball

556
00:39:02.880 --> 00:39:07.599
was like at ninety two for the
broadcast, but you know, life up

557
00:39:07.599 --> 00:39:10.000
in the zone. I think his
main secondary might have been the one that

558
00:39:10.039 --> 00:39:13.360
at least he threw the most,
was a change up. I think that

559
00:39:13.480 --> 00:39:15.920
outing. He does have a breaking
ball, very north south sort of attack,

560
00:39:16.599 --> 00:39:21.159
breaking bats with changeups, hitting them
off the end of the bat.

561
00:39:21.280 --> 00:39:24.079
He gave up two doubles in like
one inning for the run that he gave

562
00:39:24.159 --> 00:39:30.559
up. But Gonzaga smaller school for
college baseball. I don't know mid major.

563
00:39:30.679 --> 00:39:32.679
Is it a mid major mid baseball? I don't know mid major for

564
00:39:32.800 --> 00:39:37.960
baseball. But they've historically been a
pretty good pitching factory. I mean,

565
00:39:37.320 --> 00:39:39.920
they've had a lot of arms out
of there in the past ten years.

566
00:39:40.000 --> 00:39:44.480
I'd say yeah, if you got
my attention a little bit, I'd say

567
00:39:44.679 --> 00:39:46.760
yeah. I don't think they've really
turned out a hitter of note, not

568
00:39:46.800 --> 00:39:51.840
that I can think, but you
know, from Marco Gonzalez to Gabriel Hughes

569
00:39:52.000 --> 00:39:55.320
and a bunch of guys in between, they've been Gonzaga guys. They've had

570
00:39:55.320 --> 00:39:59.639
some interesting arms come out of there
for a long time now. Ben Caderna,

571
00:40:00.000 --> 00:40:01.760
I watched his good outing last week, and I don't know, maybe

572
00:40:01.800 --> 00:40:05.559
I threw a little bit of shade
on it talking about the wind and I

573
00:40:05.559 --> 00:40:07.440
think he got lucky with some hard
cart contact. But then I watched his

574
00:40:07.480 --> 00:40:12.079
outing this week and I was impressed. Matt, I think my man might

575
00:40:12.119 --> 00:40:16.239
have taken some steps forward, and
I think his arsenal has got some more

576
00:40:16.320 --> 00:40:20.960
teeth here. That change up seems
pretty legit to me. Is going to

577
00:40:21.000 --> 00:40:23.039
be an interesting guy to watch the
rest of this season, I think,

578
00:40:23.079 --> 00:40:27.079
And if you can stack these together, he's going to be in double A

579
00:40:27.280 --> 00:40:30.039
mighty quick And I don't know if
you have any thoughts on him. No,

580
00:40:30.199 --> 00:40:31.199
I haven't watched him yet. I
think it's a bit of a different

581
00:40:31.239 --> 00:40:34.920
animal. I don't think this is
the same Coderna from last year. He's

582
00:40:34.960 --> 00:40:39.760
been tearing up the Midwest League.
The guy that is going to be on

583
00:40:39.840 --> 00:40:45.760
the top of our trending list when
we get to that part is Astros pitching

584
00:40:45.840 --> 00:40:52.039
prospect aj Blueball and I know when
we were selecting our Astros arms, he

585
00:40:52.199 --> 00:40:54.559
I think was on the short list
for both of us. Is that right?

586
00:40:54.639 --> 00:40:58.599
And he was yep for me.
So now a guy that we are

587
00:40:58.840 --> 00:41:02.440
too unfamiliar with, but he is, he's catching some buzz man. He's

588
00:41:02.639 --> 00:41:06.960
what I don't think. He pitched
very much in Double A and pitching the

589
00:41:07.000 --> 00:41:09.639
AFL, and now he's up in
Triple A getting some attention. I had

590
00:41:09.639 --> 00:41:14.000
to take a close look. So
I watched his Wednesday night outing against Round

591
00:41:14.079 --> 00:41:16.079
Rock, where he went six and
a third, gave up three hits,

592
00:41:16.159 --> 00:41:21.760
gave up one earned run, struck
out eight eighty three pitches, sixty six

593
00:41:21.840 --> 00:41:23.280
percent of them for strikes. And
this guy, you know, like I

594
00:41:23.320 --> 00:41:27.679
said, this said people buzzing and
out of prospects that are not in the

595
00:41:27.679 --> 00:41:30.960
major leagues, the most picked up
guy this week on fan tracks and yeah

596
00:41:30.960 --> 00:41:34.440
again, I got some questions about
the labeling of some of these pitches on

597
00:41:34.960 --> 00:41:38.719
savant, but forcing fastball, slider, change up, sweeper, curveball,

598
00:41:39.000 --> 00:41:42.920
I don't know. I think those
are kind of the same pitch. So

599
00:41:43.039 --> 00:41:46.760
the first pitch of the game fastball
that I don't know, I forget who

600
00:41:46.840 --> 00:41:51.559
it was, but solo home run
and that was it all Zero's after that

601
00:41:51.679 --> 00:41:55.400
when we talked about him, the
execution of everything is just it's not super

602
00:41:55.679 --> 00:42:01.000
clean in my opinion, and I
don't know how nasty his offerings are standing

603
00:42:01.039 --> 00:42:04.360
alone, like I and I don't
want to tons of credits. Like don't

604
00:42:04.360 --> 00:42:07.039
get me wrong, Blueball is a
Wisconsin guy, like he's my boy,

605
00:42:07.159 --> 00:42:09.239
Like you know, I like him
for sure, I want to see him

606
00:42:09.280 --> 00:42:13.360
succeed, but like, he got
hit pretty hard. Matt, and I

607
00:42:13.400 --> 00:42:15.559
don't know if you saw this,
but I got really curious because I'm watching

608
00:42:15.599 --> 00:42:20.000
that game and I'm like, man, he seems to be getting kind of

609
00:42:20.079 --> 00:42:23.320
lucky here. So I compared him
to the rest of the PCL pitchers just

610
00:42:23.440 --> 00:42:28.400
on that night as far as hard
contact and other than Ryan Carpenter who just

611
00:42:28.519 --> 00:42:31.480
got like lit up that night,
blue Ball got hit harder than everybody else

612
00:42:31.719 --> 00:42:35.719
one O wait, one O wait
one O seven one O seven one O

613
00:42:35.840 --> 00:42:39.639
two one oh one, and only
half of those were hits. So I

614
00:42:39.639 --> 00:42:44.199
don't know, you know him in
the PCL. I don't think that it

615
00:42:44.320 --> 00:42:49.000
is crazy to think there might be
some long nights for him. I don't

616
00:42:49.039 --> 00:42:52.079
know. I do not disagree with
you here. I like him, and

617
00:42:52.119 --> 00:42:57.400
I do think that maybe some of
the swinging myss stuff looks a little bit

618
00:42:57.440 --> 00:43:00.800
cleaner to me, Like I do
think that he's executed some of his two

619
00:43:00.880 --> 00:43:05.760
strike pitches a little bit better in
the early going than we saw last year.

620
00:43:05.800 --> 00:43:08.599
To me, it looked more like
in the few starts that I perused

621
00:43:08.639 --> 00:43:13.119
last year, my notes on him
were that he was out of the zone

622
00:43:13.159 --> 00:43:16.639
a lot and got whiffs that way, but also walked a decent number.

623
00:43:16.880 --> 00:43:22.480
Ye thus far, he to me, looks like he's riding all the luck

624
00:43:22.559 --> 00:43:29.719
metrics to a sparkly pcl er.
Like he literally every base runner that has

625
00:43:29.840 --> 00:43:34.320
gotten on has been left on base
one hundred percent left on base rate A

626
00:43:34.880 --> 00:43:38.719
he's running a one sixty babbit despite
all of that hard contact that you're talking

627
00:43:38.760 --> 00:43:43.440
about. Like, to me,
this is a flash in the pan.

628
00:43:43.599 --> 00:43:45.760
I'm not saying he's a bad arm. I think he'll be a big leaguer,

629
00:43:45.880 --> 00:43:49.679
but I'm not looking at him and
saying like, oh man, this

630
00:43:49.760 --> 00:43:54.840
is just pristine execution, Pristine's stuff. This is a noe doubt mid rotation

631
00:43:55.039 --> 00:43:58.840
starter. I think, like,
you're right, we're going to see some

632
00:43:58.960 --> 00:44:02.480
long nights and he's going to have
times where those balls fall in. He's

633
00:44:02.519 --> 00:44:07.599
going to walk more than one or
two guys, and he's going to give

634
00:44:07.679 --> 00:44:09.360
up some long balls, And I
just think, like, this is the

635
00:44:09.440 --> 00:44:14.360
kind of thing where it's it's a
nice pop up arm. I think I

636
00:44:14.480 --> 00:44:16.760
popped him in one of my deep
leagues where I had a little bit of

637
00:44:16.760 --> 00:44:22.079
fab and dropped like a couple bucks
on him, But I'm not I viewed

638
00:44:22.119 --> 00:44:24.519
it as more like, hey,
maybe he gets five or ten starts this

639
00:44:24.639 --> 00:44:28.920
year and that plays in that points
league, not like, Wow, this

640
00:44:29.000 --> 00:44:31.119
is some guy who's going to turn
into a mid rotation piece, you know.

641
00:44:31.239 --> 00:44:36.599
So I would just be cautious with
your optimism about a guy like this,

642
00:44:36.679 --> 00:44:38.880
And so I kind of agree with
what you're saying that this is there's

643
00:44:38.920 --> 00:44:42.679
like a lot more to prove here. Yeah, And I'd really interested,

644
00:44:42.679 --> 00:44:45.559
Like I've got some of his like
pitch plots pulled up here. Man,

645
00:44:45.679 --> 00:44:51.159
Like the location radius of like his
four scene fastball is is quite large.

646
00:44:51.440 --> 00:44:57.920
Like I think part of his maybe
good fortune that night was that round Rock

647
00:44:58.039 --> 00:45:01.440
lineup was extremely aggressive against him,
and it was like anything that got into

648
00:45:01.519 --> 00:45:05.880
the zone they were they were putting
into play or trying to at least.

649
00:45:06.360 --> 00:45:08.480
I think that Round Rock lineup has
been a bit unlucky too so far.

650
00:45:08.719 --> 00:45:13.079
I remember looking at because I like
quite a few guys on that team,

651
00:45:13.159 --> 00:45:17.320
and I remember looking and a bunch
of them had really low babeps and were

652
00:45:17.840 --> 00:45:23.119
seemingly still like like Blaine Cram and
trissou Ornellis. I think both aren't off

653
00:45:23.119 --> 00:45:27.079
to very good starts. Put it
mostly is babbeb related like that They're not

654
00:45:27.079 --> 00:45:30.239
striking out a lot or anything.
It's just like they've been a bit unlucky

655
00:45:30.239 --> 00:45:34.079
on the batted ball front to start
the year. I'd be a little cautious

656
00:45:34.159 --> 00:45:36.960
there, just just my two cents. But again I didn't watch like his

657
00:45:37.039 --> 00:45:39.199
other outings this year, so maybe, uh, you know, maybe there's

658
00:45:39.239 --> 00:45:43.920
there's things out there that I'm not
privy to. My guy, Tyler Schweitzer,

659
00:45:43.960 --> 00:45:49.320
after a not so great debut,
tossed a FQO this week. Hey

660
00:45:49.320 --> 00:45:52.000
here you go. Yeah, so
I was excited for that and went to

661
00:45:52.039 --> 00:45:55.559
turn it on and we got a
press spots view for that game. Yeah.

662
00:45:55.599 --> 00:45:59.440
He told me that that was get
to get into that one. Another

663
00:45:59.480 --> 00:46:02.719
really interesting and pitching matchup by Tune
Into this week was jayd and Hamm versus

664
00:46:02.760 --> 00:46:07.519
Jackson Ferris and Man. I gotta
say Jaydan Ham's pretty good. I think

665
00:46:07.639 --> 00:46:13.039
he thinks so too. Yeah,
he's working that whole impress like, yeah,

666
00:46:13.079 --> 00:46:15.639
he looks slick to me, man. And that change up and now

667
00:46:15.679 --> 00:46:19.920
I can't say for certain because we
didn't get the greatest view of the first

668
00:46:19.960 --> 00:46:22.719
pitch, but who was it.
Yeah, Alex Freelan came up, Man

669
00:46:22.800 --> 00:46:29.800
and he threw Freeland like just four
change ups to start and Freeland was done.

670
00:46:30.599 --> 00:46:32.679
Yeah. I think we talked about
this too, that he isn't afraid

671
00:46:32.719 --> 00:46:36.199
to throw right on right change ups, which you know, I love,

672
00:46:36.400 --> 00:46:40.320
like I love that as a setup
pitch or or especially on the inside part

673
00:46:40.320 --> 00:46:44.760
of the plate like a change up
in like hitter's highes get big to try

674
00:46:44.800 --> 00:46:47.199
and yank the fastball and be early
on it and they swing right through it.

675
00:46:47.239 --> 00:46:51.280
I love that pitch. Yeah.
You know, Jackson Ferris, Man,

676
00:46:51.639 --> 00:46:53.199
he he was off to a pretty
good start. I think he struck

677
00:46:53.199 --> 00:46:57.159
out like the first four hitters or
something like that. And you know he's

678
00:46:57.199 --> 00:47:00.559
a young guy, but you see
this in the Sometimes did you see this

679
00:47:00.639 --> 00:47:04.280
in the uppers too? Sometimes you
see it with guys in their major league

680
00:47:04.320 --> 00:47:07.440
debuts. But like he just doesn't
have like the game and control yet,

681
00:47:07.440 --> 00:47:09.760
like the run game and stuff like
that. He's some like weird, a

682
00:47:09.840 --> 00:47:15.880
weird balk and guy's running on him
and all this stuff, but still growing,

683
00:47:15.039 --> 00:47:19.320
still growing up as a picture.
But I gotta say that his armstroke

684
00:47:19.639 --> 00:47:22.800
is just it doesn't make me feel
like he's going to get the command to

685
00:47:22.880 --> 00:47:25.920
where I like it. I don't
know how much watched of him, but

686
00:47:25.960 --> 00:47:30.679
he's just like, really, it
just seems like a lot of different checkpoints

687
00:47:30.800 --> 00:47:35.559
that you have to get to and
get correct in that long back armstroke.

688
00:47:35.639 --> 00:47:39.159
And he's a longer guy. Like
it's not surprising if you were just watching

689
00:47:39.199 --> 00:47:43.800
a video of him on the mound
and not seeing where the ball was going,

690
00:47:44.119 --> 00:47:46.039
like I think you would guess that
that guy's probably not the most accurate

691
00:47:46.119 --> 00:47:50.480
picture in the world. So I
don't know, I still have I still

692
00:47:50.519 --> 00:47:53.840
have reservations on him as a whole. Another guy with a that I wanted

693
00:47:53.840 --> 00:47:57.559
to I had mentioned last week I
wanted to get eyes on who I didn't

694
00:47:57.599 --> 00:48:01.360
realize I had actually already watched a
little bit of because in his first outing

695
00:48:01.400 --> 00:48:06.800
of the year he was opposite of
Joanah Tong, so I had accidentally turn

696
00:48:06.920 --> 00:48:09.880
him on for a few at bats. But that is Adam Saranowsky. I'm

697
00:48:09.960 --> 00:48:15.639
sure I'm butchering that he's a young
teenage arm in the red system. Got

698
00:48:15.639 --> 00:48:20.000
to see him pitch them in Bradington, so I wanted to check out that

699
00:48:20.079 --> 00:48:22.920
angle. It's a big lefty,
tall lefty, nineteen years old. Four

700
00:48:22.960 --> 00:48:27.880
innings pitched, one hit, walk, two struck out three, sixty eight

701
00:48:27.880 --> 00:48:31.800
percent strikes on fifty pitches. It's
mostly fastball. He's throwing a fastball and

702
00:48:31.840 --> 00:48:36.079
a slider. But I think it's
like sixty six percent fastballs. And I

703
00:48:36.079 --> 00:48:39.559
think it's an arm slat and an
arm action that's very different. I don't

704
00:48:39.559 --> 00:48:45.320
think he throws necessarily all that hard. What was his fastball averaging ninety well

705
00:48:45.360 --> 00:48:49.599
he got up to ninety six,
it was averaging ninety four. But talk

706
00:48:49.639 --> 00:48:52.559
about arm actions. Like man,
I got a good side view of him.

707
00:48:53.239 --> 00:48:55.840
He's another guy that, like my
arm just hurts to watch him.

708
00:48:55.880 --> 00:49:00.960
It's just really sort of odd,
weird, short arm. A lot of

709
00:49:00.000 --> 00:49:02.920
this like going on, and I
don't know. I know he's he's guy

710
00:49:02.960 --> 00:49:07.880
popping. He's a guy popping on
the trending list citing the untalented arm I

711
00:49:07.920 --> 00:49:13.719
suppose, but I don't know about
my interest level and Sarahanovski, but I

712
00:49:13.719 --> 00:49:15.239
felt like I should do my homework
there, so I did. Got to

713
00:49:15.239 --> 00:49:19.559
watch some Hayden Mullens. Matt.
Yeah, I haven't turned him on yet.

714
00:49:19.599 --> 00:49:23.360
How's he look? Is he keeping
the walks under wraps this time around

715
00:49:23.440 --> 00:49:27.960
her? He did this outing,
I think he got I don't have that

716
00:49:28.000 --> 00:49:29.960
line up in front of me,
but I think he had a pretty rough

717
00:49:30.000 --> 00:49:32.440
one last go, but this outing
he went four and two thirds. He

718
00:49:32.519 --> 00:49:37.800
gave up three hits, three earned
runs, no walks, and six strikeouts

719
00:49:37.960 --> 00:49:42.400
eighty pitches sixty one percent strikes.
And we got a little bit of a

720
00:49:42.440 --> 00:49:45.840
different camera angle this time than we
did last season, and seeing him from

721
00:49:45.840 --> 00:49:49.920
more behind the plate mat. He
really turns his back on the hitter,

722
00:49:50.360 --> 00:49:53.400
like I didn't notice that before,
But he's like really facing second base and

723
00:49:53.519 --> 00:49:58.239
his wind up might add some deception
there, but I think he continues to

724
00:49:58.239 --> 00:50:01.400
look pretty nasty. Man is dominant
out the start. He like plunked the

725
00:50:01.480 --> 00:50:07.559
leadoff lefty with the breaker one inning, and then Max Romero Junior hit like

726
00:50:07.599 --> 00:50:10.239
a chopper that snuck through and that
was like the run that scored. And

727
00:50:10.280 --> 00:50:14.400
the other two runs came after he
was pulled. I mean, they're his

728
00:50:14.480 --> 00:50:17.639
runners, but there was like a
catcher's interference that loaded the bases and got

729
00:50:17.679 --> 00:50:22.719
a sack fly something like that.
So a couple I think of maybe a

730
00:50:22.719 --> 00:50:24.679
little bit unlucky runs. But yeah, I don't know meens man. I

731
00:50:24.679 --> 00:50:28.960
think he's he's got some nasty for
Higa. I know he's older, but

732
00:50:29.000 --> 00:50:31.119
we talked about the injury stuff,
like definitely gonna still be watching him.

733
00:50:31.320 --> 00:50:35.800
Yeah, did you see some more
of him? Yeah, he's a fun

734
00:50:35.800 --> 00:50:38.519
one. But I think that slider
really is gonna play. Yeah. Yeah,

735
00:50:38.639 --> 00:50:43.280
it gets yeah, it runs man. Yeah. And then did you

736
00:50:43.320 --> 00:50:47.840
see a Lazaro Estrata sighting man in
a ball in able on a rehab assignment.

737
00:50:49.119 --> 00:50:52.480
Yeah, and I saw did did
he throw just two innings or was

738
00:50:52.519 --> 00:50:57.719
it two to one inning? Two
innings, struck out three, didn't walk

739
00:50:57.719 --> 00:51:00.960
anybody, gave up a couple of
hits seven Because that's something that's something that

740
00:51:00.960 --> 00:51:05.360
I'm trying to watch with some of
my b side arms is because a lot

741
00:51:05.360 --> 00:51:07.920
of the guys that I picked are
kind of fringy and seeing what teams are

742
00:51:07.920 --> 00:51:12.480
doing with them, and so Michael
Darryl Hicks is one of these guys.

743
00:51:12.519 --> 00:51:15.880
I've watched a couple of him,
and he's coming in in relief, often

744
00:51:15.960 --> 00:51:19.000
as bulk, so like they'll have
a starter go three and then he goes

745
00:51:19.039 --> 00:51:22.320
three behind them, but that doesn't
bode well. Often sometimes it's part of

746
00:51:22.360 --> 00:51:27.199
a ramp up plan, sometimes it's
part of an innings management plan. But

747
00:51:27.440 --> 00:51:32.559
I'm a little concerned that his might
be trending to relieverhood, which isn't bad

748
00:51:32.639 --> 00:51:37.000
in and of itself, but I
saw enough there that I was like,

749
00:51:37.079 --> 00:51:39.440
maybe this guy could make it as
a starter last year. And Estrada is

750
00:51:39.480 --> 00:51:43.880
another one that I'm worried about,
not worried per se, because I do

751
00:51:43.920 --> 00:51:46.400
think he'd be quite a good believer
if he went down that path. I

752
00:51:46.440 --> 00:51:49.320
want to see what he can do
as a starter, and I want to

753
00:51:49.360 --> 00:51:52.199
see him throw once, twice,
three times through the order, just because

754
00:51:52.719 --> 00:51:59.920
I think his fastball has such outlier
traits and I think his courball and slider

755
00:52:00.159 --> 00:52:04.639
have potential like they could do that
slider is wild. That's that hard slider

756
00:52:04.719 --> 00:52:08.000
is wild to me. Man,
it's it gets some time under his four

757
00:52:08.039 --> 00:52:14.199
steamer and saviant. Really yeah,
yeah, most definitely. I was watching

758
00:52:14.199 --> 00:52:19.039
it and doing the matchups at the
same time, and they would call a

759
00:52:19.079 --> 00:52:23.360
foul for steing fastball like an eighty
seven mile per hour slider or whatever from

760
00:52:23.400 --> 00:52:27.639
a center field view. A lot
of them it's not like this huge arching

761
00:52:27.719 --> 00:52:30.880
movement, you know, but her
ball is the one that has the big

762
00:52:30.920 --> 00:52:35.519
movement. But it's like that slider
is hard and then it's just right at

763
00:52:35.519 --> 00:52:38.119
the end. But you know that
combination, you can you know, it's

764
00:52:38.159 --> 00:52:40.280
easy to think like, oh man, this guy could be a nasty,

765
00:52:40.800 --> 00:52:44.880
nasty reliever. But yeah, I'm
with you. Let's I want to see

766
00:52:45.000 --> 00:52:46.880
my man walk some innings here.
And I think they had him assigned.

767
00:52:47.079 --> 00:52:51.920
I think they had him assigned to
Vancouver, so I think that's where he'll

768
00:52:52.039 --> 00:52:54.880
be going after this rehab assignment or
whatever. But I like to that call

769
00:52:54.920 --> 00:52:59.519
on your part. He's he's an
interesting guy and I don't mind watching him.

770
00:52:59.519 --> 00:53:02.679
Pitch Man speaking guys such an enigma
too, Like that's the other part

771
00:53:02.679 --> 00:53:07.679
about him that it's like he's been
an a ball for basically four or five

772
00:53:07.800 --> 00:53:10.440
years, like I want to see
let me see him, like bump him

773
00:53:10.480 --> 00:53:14.280
up? Yeah yeah, and I
don't know, uh man. I talked

774
00:53:14.280 --> 00:53:15.800
about him last week, and of
course I watched him again. No,

775
00:53:16.039 --> 00:53:19.440
I couldn't watch him this week because
he was at home. But what'd you

776
00:53:19.440 --> 00:53:22.400
think of that? Dinsen Batista A
little highlight reel from that one outing that

777
00:53:22.679 --> 00:53:25.679
that I shared. Did you check
that out? I did? It was

778
00:53:25.760 --> 00:53:30.360
interesting. I thought that could see
what you liked about him, and there

779
00:53:30.880 --> 00:53:35.320
seemed to be some pieces. Again, he's one that like, I'm not

780
00:53:35.320 --> 00:53:38.679
sure the execution and putting it all
together is there quite yet. But he's

781
00:53:38.679 --> 00:53:44.159
still he's twenty one years old.
He's barely he's barely pitched really yeah yeah

782
00:53:44.239 --> 00:53:46.719
yeah, And he's still throwing strikes
at a high clip so far. But

783
00:53:46.840 --> 00:53:51.719
he is some of those sliders,
some of those two seamers like a drunk

784
00:53:51.760 --> 00:53:55.559
guy has on remote control. Man, they just get going. He's fun

785
00:53:55.599 --> 00:54:00.320
to watch too, just because catchers
have such a hard time with him,

786
00:54:00.639 --> 00:54:02.800
and good catchers too. That was
just whiff on something. It's like,

787
00:54:02.840 --> 00:54:07.280
Okay, that's to me, that's
a sign that there's maybe something a little

788
00:54:07.280 --> 00:54:10.800
different going on there. I did
want to do some homework on some of

789
00:54:10.840 --> 00:54:15.679
those Brewers guys while they were in
Gusta. Turned on Gosh, Matt helped

790
00:54:15.679 --> 00:54:21.480
me. You you Hanier Herrera,
a twenty year old in the Brewers system.

791
00:54:21.719 --> 00:54:23.400
Sure that sounds good to me?
Oh sure, yeah, yeah,

792
00:54:23.400 --> 00:54:28.239
this was interesting man, if you
watch him, report to me, because

793
00:54:28.599 --> 00:54:32.119
I couldn't help but wonder that if
this was a kid that like was keeping

794
00:54:32.119 --> 00:54:36.920
his big weapon in his back pocket
and working on some other stuff this outing.

795
00:54:37.000 --> 00:54:39.679
So they got him listed at sixty
three one seventy five on his MiLB

796
00:54:40.079 --> 00:54:45.239
page, and on the broadcast they
called him six three two forty one.

797
00:54:45.800 --> 00:54:49.920
That's quite the discrepancy. He threw
a lot of two seamed fastballs. There

798
00:54:49.920 --> 00:54:52.760
were like ninety one ninety two for
the broadcast. But then every once in

799
00:54:52.760 --> 00:54:58.119
a while, not often, he
would throw this four steamer that was ninety

800
00:54:58.159 --> 00:55:01.760
five ninety six. At the broadcast
said on one of them got two five

801
00:55:01.840 --> 00:55:06.920
hundred and sixty six RPMs, and
that thing, I mean, it looked

802
00:55:06.960 --> 00:55:10.199
like it was rising from center field
right, and so I see that pitch

803
00:55:10.239 --> 00:55:13.519
come out the first time, like, okay, here we go. He's

804
00:55:13.599 --> 00:55:16.480
going to just start mowing through these
guys with this fastball, right, But

805
00:55:16.519 --> 00:55:20.400
he didn't do that. He didn't
do that at all. He threw change

806
00:55:20.440 --> 00:55:23.559
up with eighty seven with some looked
like some nice fanning sort of like you

807
00:55:23.599 --> 00:55:27.880
know, finning two steamer action.
Yeah, I don't know the whole fastball

808
00:55:28.039 --> 00:55:30.960
change up game. I'm kind of
curious to see some more of the slider

809
00:55:31.119 --> 00:55:37.679
looks. I don't know. Seemed
pretty pedestrian from that angle. There's definitely

810
00:55:37.679 --> 00:55:42.199
a curveball. There's two different signs
going on for breaking balls, but he

811
00:55:42.280 --> 00:55:45.199
seemed to prefer throwing that sort of
man slider. I have a lot of

812
00:55:45.280 --> 00:55:49.159
notes here, I'm not going to
read through all of them, but his

813
00:55:49.280 --> 00:55:52.639
line, what was his line for
that game? He pitched? He threw

814
00:55:52.719 --> 00:55:54.559
five, game up, six hits, two hundred runs, two walks,

815
00:55:54.559 --> 00:55:59.519
struck out six. But I thought
he like was pitching, you know,

816
00:56:00.119 --> 00:56:02.320
send it up, spotting stuff fairly
well. But I want to watch him

817
00:56:02.320 --> 00:56:06.760
again and just see if this four
seamer comes out some more, because I

818
00:56:06.760 --> 00:56:12.400
think I'm wondering if that's his best
pitch and he's just working on that's the

819
00:56:13.039 --> 00:56:16.079
RPMs behind it. That's pretty it's
pretty good. I know, I know,

820
00:56:16.320 --> 00:56:22.760
right, so interesting young arm there
that Carolina team has got. Has

821
00:56:22.800 --> 00:56:24.360
got some others too that I kind
of want to see some more of.

822
00:56:24.480 --> 00:56:27.960
But I just kind of wanted to
share that. Yeah, I don't know.

823
00:56:28.079 --> 00:56:30.000
That was some of the more interesting
pitching watches for me this week.

824
00:56:30.039 --> 00:56:34.840
Matt very nice. I was just
gonna mentioned a couple f QoS that went

825
00:56:34.840 --> 00:56:37.719
down this week, Matt. Your
boy Mason Adams had one. It's a

826
00:56:37.719 --> 00:56:39.760
couple of good but he went well. This is early in the week.

827
00:56:39.760 --> 00:56:44.880
He went six, five hits,
no walks, nine strikeouts. Don't hate

828
00:56:44.880 --> 00:56:47.760
to see that. There's this young
pitcher Jan Slas that they're one with Palm

829
00:56:47.840 --> 00:56:52.519
Beach. Palm Beach hasn't been broadcast
yet, but I might tune into him,

830
00:56:52.639 --> 00:56:57.239
see what's up there. We mentioned
Palm Quest and Reeling Kit and Dana

831
00:56:57.360 --> 00:57:00.519
had one the other day. Looks
pretty pretty dominant in double A. Twenty

832
00:57:00.599 --> 00:57:06.440
year old Carson Millbrandt, who I
have not watched much of, if at

833
00:57:06.480 --> 00:57:08.599
all before, had one for Beloit. But those were the ones that kind

834
00:57:08.599 --> 00:57:15.920
of popped out to me this week. Trending on fan tracks, Matt Mitchell

835
00:57:15.960 --> 00:57:20.360
Parker, I know he's got two
starts now out on the major league level,

836
00:57:20.400 --> 00:57:22.880
but hey, not too shabby,
huh, not bad at all.

837
00:57:23.119 --> 00:57:27.960
Yeah, he's up eighteen percent to
twenty five percent. I'll try to just

838
00:57:28.039 --> 00:57:30.559
stick to the guys who aren't in
the majors yet. Here blue ball went

839
00:57:30.639 --> 00:57:37.360
from less than one percent to seven
percent. Laperffito made another five percent jump,

840
00:57:37.400 --> 00:57:38.960
so he's up to thirty seven percent. Matt, what do you think

841
00:57:39.039 --> 00:57:43.920
about Joey Laperfdo I like him a
lot? I mean, I think that

842
00:57:44.320 --> 00:57:50.679
he had a pretty rapid ascent to
prospect lists last year as a kind of

843
00:57:50.760 --> 00:57:57.239
multi positional threat with some pop.
I remained pretty skeptical of him as a

844
00:57:57.280 --> 00:58:01.719
big time fantasy contributor because I think
the hours more good than great, and

845
00:58:02.079 --> 00:58:07.519
he has a bit of a whiff
problem, so I think that that's gonna,

846
00:58:07.639 --> 00:58:08.760
like, that's going to catch up
to him a bit. And I

847
00:58:08.800 --> 00:58:13.440
know I had mentioned this that I
was like pretty skeptical of him as a

848
00:58:13.559 --> 00:58:16.320
sort of top tier prospect, more
like back end top one hundred, just

849
00:58:16.360 --> 00:58:21.519
outside a top one hundred kind of
guy because of that profile. And then

850
00:58:21.559 --> 00:58:24.639
of course he went absolutely bananas.
The first two weeks had like what six

851
00:58:24.760 --> 00:58:29.559
or seven homers in a week and
three in a game, and it's become

852
00:58:29.559 --> 00:58:31.960
a nice meme on the dynasy.
I got discord to at me every time

853
00:58:31.960 --> 00:58:36.960
he hits on the run. But
I have noticed that there. I haven't

854
00:58:36.960 --> 00:58:39.760
been added for a low Berfeito bomb
in a while, and it's because he

855
00:58:39.760 --> 00:58:44.679
didn't hit me this week and he
kept striking out. And again I'm like,

856
00:58:44.880 --> 00:58:49.079
yeah, great, he's out to
super hot start. Maybe he wouldn't

857
00:58:49.119 --> 00:58:54.760
be worse than the husk of Jose
Braw who's currently manning first for the Astros.

858
00:58:54.800 --> 00:58:59.840
But I don't know. I'm I'm
not viewing this as like he's turned

859
00:58:59.840 --> 00:59:02.559
in to Kobe Mayo or Hessen cure
Stat or anything. I mean, how

860
00:59:02.559 --> 00:59:07.679
can you not love le Brasfito man, He's like total B side. Yeah

861
00:59:07.760 --> 00:59:09.519
no, that's like I said,
I loved his ascent last year. I

862
00:59:09.559 --> 00:59:15.239
just think maybe people were getting a
bit over hyped over a fifty percent home

863
00:59:15.320 --> 00:59:20.280
run per fly ball rate, which
again impossible to sustain that kind of thing,

864
00:59:20.400 --> 00:59:24.119
So like you would expect that to
drop way down, and it has

865
00:59:24.159 --> 00:59:30.039
a bit see pitching prospect with the
Rangers, Winston Santos is up like three

866
00:59:30.079 --> 00:59:32.960
percent to see a lot of buzz
about him. I can't say that I

867
00:59:32.960 --> 00:59:37.440
am too familiar with Santos. I
don't think i've seen him either. If

868
00:59:37.440 --> 00:59:40.599
you pitched last year, I definitely
definitely watched them, but I don't remember.

869
00:59:42.079 --> 00:59:45.119
Or Elvis Martinez is getting a lot
of buzz. He's up like two

870
00:59:45.159 --> 00:59:47.480
and a half percent, which was
thirty six percent total. Yeah, you

871
00:59:47.519 --> 00:59:52.159
were you were skeptical of Irrelvis and
Addison Barger, but I was telling you

872
00:59:52.199 --> 00:59:55.480
I think both are big league regulars
for sure, and Elvis might be more

873
00:59:55.480 --> 00:59:59.840
than that. It's hard, Matt, when you watch you see a guy

874
01:00:00.000 --> 01:00:04.440
I would like struggle with strikeouts so
much, even if it's a year or

875
01:00:04.599 --> 01:00:07.119
half a year, it's just kind
of hard to unsee that and feel that.

876
01:00:07.280 --> 01:00:09.920
But I know, I know he
has made improvements, so I'm not

877
01:00:10.039 --> 01:00:13.920
I don't want to take that away. But big league pitching has a way

878
01:00:13.960 --> 01:00:17.719
to really bring up some some mortz
and some ghosts. So oh, yes,

879
01:00:17.960 --> 01:00:22.199
we shall see. Jefferson Rojas of
the Cubs is up a couple percent

880
01:00:22.519 --> 01:00:29.119
in Cosume Orioles, James Wood Joanatan
has jumped up to six percent. Now

881
01:00:29.320 --> 01:00:34.000
who I'm excited to watch some more
of Santiago Suarez up, a little Christian

882
01:00:34.039 --> 01:00:40.400
Scott, some guys who haven't really
jumped percentage but maybe half a percent or

883
01:00:40.440 --> 01:00:45.000
sort or so that I think are
getting a little bit more popular now.

884
01:00:45.039 --> 01:00:47.199
Matt. I don't know if you
remember when the NL West episode, but

885
01:00:47.239 --> 01:00:52.079
I was having a hard time picking
a Dodger's bat, right. I remember

886
01:00:52.239 --> 01:00:54.920
Perez was was one that I like
watched the week of and I was like,

887
01:00:55.000 --> 01:00:58.320
yeah, I don't know, man, this young eighteen year old that

888
01:00:58.360 --> 01:01:01.280
the Dodgers have like them up in
a ball for some reason, but he's

889
01:01:01.519 --> 01:01:07.159
impressing early on. I think you
look at his bat, a ball profile

890
01:01:07.239 --> 01:01:10.920
that looks nice for hitting the home
runs and such. But he's definitely I

891
01:01:10.960 --> 01:01:15.320
think, on the up and up
here popularity wise. And then so I

892
01:01:15.400 --> 01:01:16.199
was like bumming. I was like, man, I went with you and

893
01:01:16.239 --> 01:01:21.519
your Garcia again. He just looks
trash. And then he popped two home

894
01:01:21.599 --> 01:01:24.519
runs over the weekends, like all
right, all right. And then a

895
01:01:24.559 --> 01:01:29.920
picture in the Dodger system that I
turned on Jose Rodriguez, I think is

896
01:01:29.920 --> 01:01:34.039
going to be getting pretty popular this
week. Long limbed righty throws pretty hard.

897
01:01:34.079 --> 01:01:37.320
You can tell he's got, you
know, good ride on the fastball,

898
01:01:37.440 --> 01:01:42.000
good breaking ball. He pretty much
dominated that outing another guy that's just

899
01:01:42.039 --> 01:01:45.639
got a lot of like moving a
lot of checkpoints in the delivery to get

900
01:01:45.639 --> 01:01:50.639
to I want to watch that and
see if you can get that clean up.

901
01:01:50.679 --> 01:01:53.039
But what I think, he's twenty
years old, definitely looks the parts.

902
01:01:53.400 --> 01:01:58.039
I can see why folks might get, you know, a speculative share

903
01:01:58.079 --> 01:02:01.280
of him if your league allows for
you're doing that with a ball. Pictures

904
01:02:01.559 --> 01:02:07.440
shooting on Rancho Matt I caught what
I would think is the scariest picture in

905
01:02:07.480 --> 01:02:09.960
all the minor leagues to face.
Yeah you've mentioned this, Yeah, this

906
01:02:10.159 --> 01:02:15.599
kid man? Where did I even
write down his name? Ronaldo Ronaldo E?

907
01:02:16.800 --> 01:02:22.079
How do you spell em? Oh? Yeah, yeah, Ronaldo Yahan.

908
01:02:22.800 --> 01:02:28.199
Dude is huge, six' four
two point fifty, throwing triple digits

909
01:02:28.960 --> 01:02:34.199
and throwing a wicked looking slider.
But it's I mean, I shouldn't.

910
01:02:34.199 --> 01:02:37.079
I got to give him some credit. East west he's not too wild,

911
01:02:37.159 --> 01:02:40.920
but north south they could go anywhere. But I would just be shitting my

912
01:02:42.039 --> 01:02:45.320
pants if I had to get in
the box against him. But just a

913
01:02:45.400 --> 01:02:50.440
guy relieving, potentially closing for Rancho
right now, who throws very hard.

914
01:02:51.400 --> 01:02:54.159
But yeah, Perez end up winning
the cal League Hitter of the Week,

915
01:02:54.639 --> 01:02:58.320
for whatever that's worth. But yeah, you know, you know how these

916
01:02:58.360 --> 01:03:01.840
Dodger prospects going, Matt He's gonna
be loved well coming up this week.

917
01:03:02.000 --> 01:03:06.000
This is what I got my eye
on. I don't know. You tell

918
01:03:06.039 --> 01:03:09.039
me if any of these sound interesting
to you. Well, there's one clear

919
01:03:09.119 --> 01:03:13.639
matchup that I'm super excited to see. Okay, let me see if I

920
01:03:13.719 --> 01:03:16.480
mention it. Okay, if I
don't, you write me. But in

921
01:03:16.519 --> 01:03:21.599
the FSL Florida State League, palm
Beach is at Fort Myers. This will

922
01:03:21.639 --> 01:03:23.719
be the first time that PAULM.
Beach is broadcast this year. So you

923
01:03:23.719 --> 01:03:28.840
know, Chase Davis, Lynn,
who's getting popular, getting some buzz,

924
01:03:29.119 --> 01:03:32.920
you guy, Quinn Matthews. This
salace kids. So some some arms there

925
01:03:34.199 --> 01:03:37.559
maybe get a look at We can, you know, watch Winnakers strike out

926
01:03:37.559 --> 01:03:42.199
a bazillion times. Maybe Charlie Sodo
gets taken the yard some. We'll probably

927
01:03:42.239 --> 01:03:45.199
tune in some there. In the
Carolina League, Myrtle Beach is at Lynchburg

928
01:03:45.559 --> 01:03:50.800
and I haven't watched Lynchburg yet and
I probably should. And this check out

929
01:03:50.800 --> 01:03:52.280
this Matt Wilkinson kid. I don't
know, if Matt, you should check

930
01:03:52.280 --> 01:03:55.639
out his head shot. Tell me
that he doesn't look like a police officer,

931
01:03:57.960 --> 01:04:01.119
but he's leading the league and strike
up right now. Ralphie Velasquez is

932
01:04:01.119 --> 01:04:05.519
on a tear at Chario and you
know, against some loser Cubs or whatever,

933
01:04:05.760 --> 01:04:11.159
Leo Devrees is gonna be up.
I don't know, maybe that's interesting.

934
01:04:11.320 --> 01:04:13.239
Yeah, I saw on the discord
and someone was like, hey,

935
01:04:13.239 --> 01:04:15.679
it was the last last prospect to
go from the DSL the full season and

936
01:04:16.000 --> 01:04:18.880
the last one that came to my
mind. And now it was a COVID

937
01:04:18.960 --> 01:04:24.719
year, so maybe it's a little
bit different. But Robert Posslin went from

938
01:04:24.960 --> 01:04:28.880
the DSL to or no, went
straight from I'm sorry, I went from

939
01:04:28.960 --> 01:04:33.360
signing to full season ball, skipping
DSL was postin and he's now on year

940
01:04:33.440 --> 01:04:38.599
four of a ball and still not
hitting over one hundred and maybe the worst

941
01:04:38.679 --> 01:04:43.119
left fielder I've ever seen in my
life. Dude, he's horrible, man,

942
01:04:43.280 --> 01:04:46.000
God, poor kid in the Cal
League. Lake Elsinore is at Rancho.

943
01:04:46.639 --> 01:04:50.760
See some more of this Perez kid. See if Jean's getting the fastball

944
01:04:50.760 --> 01:04:56.440
over the plate. Some more Jose
Rodriguez in the sal League. Greensboro is

945
01:04:56.480 --> 01:05:00.480
at Greenville, and I haven't really
watched like any of Greenville this year other

946
01:05:00.559 --> 01:05:03.880
than that, like Mullens outing that
I was just skipping ahead to day his

947
01:05:04.000 --> 01:05:09.280
innings. But you know, McAdoo
versus Moens could be fun. In the

948
01:05:09.320 --> 01:05:12.400
Midwest League, man, I've been
liking watching the Midwest League. I think

949
01:05:12.440 --> 01:05:15.719
there's a lot of fun bats,
you know, and they're they're college maybe

950
01:05:15.800 --> 01:05:20.480
later around third day guys, and
who knows prospect wise, but there's there's

951
01:05:20.480 --> 01:05:24.320
some guys swinging it in that league
right now, and some and some good

952
01:05:24.360 --> 01:05:28.000
pictures too. But this that I
want to see some more Simpson Bolte,

953
01:05:28.440 --> 01:05:30.840
is it Bolt or Bolte? I
don't know, Henry Bolt, I don't

954
01:05:30.840 --> 01:05:34.119
know. But they'll be going up
against like Louder, Cardona, Lions,

955
01:05:34.159 --> 01:05:39.320
Sikama and some other you know,
decent Dayton Arms. The Dayton lineup is

956
01:05:39.360 --> 01:05:42.800
super fun. Camp day is a
really fun team. Dayton's a really fun

957
01:05:42.840 --> 01:05:45.360
team right now. Yeah, I
watched quite a bit of Yeah, so

958
01:05:45.400 --> 01:05:48.440
that I think that'll be a fun
Midwest League. Of course, Northwest League.

959
01:05:48.440 --> 01:05:53.840
I'm gonna continue to watch some Contacelo
I think he's got some tricky lefties

960
01:05:53.880 --> 01:05:57.679
to the face against Eugene, which
could mix for some fun at bats.

961
01:05:57.760 --> 01:06:00.119
And you know, not that these
guys are super high I'm on prospect wise,

962
01:06:00.159 --> 01:06:04.599
but they got Winjo Lonswai, Mkolsky
and Corey as some lefties that I

963
01:06:04.599 --> 01:06:08.559
think will be a good challenge for
him. In the Eastern League, Portland

964
01:06:08.639 --> 01:06:12.119
at Hartford, these are two best
teams in the Eastern League. They might

965
01:06:12.159 --> 01:06:15.199
be good angle to watch some pitching. And I haven't watched like any Roman

966
01:06:15.239 --> 01:06:20.039
Anthony or any of those Portland guys, so maybe tune in there a little

967
01:06:20.079 --> 01:06:25.119
bit. In the Southern League,
I'm thinking Tennessee at Rocket City, maybe

968
01:06:25.239 --> 01:06:29.599
at least for like kid Danna's start
going up against those good smoky bats and

969
01:06:29.679 --> 01:06:33.960
Shaw and Ballastero s Elkintara and those
guys, that might be a fun outing.

970
01:06:34.280 --> 01:06:38.920
In the Texas League, Wichita at
San Antonio. I want to see

971
01:06:38.920 --> 01:06:43.599
em Rod versus Snelling and Maser.
I'm still ben Ross is frustrating Matt.

972
01:06:43.719 --> 01:06:46.400
He's frustrating because he's I think he's
a very skilled guy, but it's just

973
01:06:46.480 --> 01:06:50.880
not doucing. That's the matchup that
I think is the matchup of the week

974
01:06:51.280 --> 01:06:55.599
that was the one. Yeah,
a bunch of fun arms in that one,

975
01:06:55.760 --> 01:06:59.679
em Rod and a bunch of fun
bats in there too. So it's

976
01:06:59.679 --> 01:07:01.239
funny how it works. So you're
talking about Wichita and like, man,

977
01:07:01.280 --> 01:07:04.760
there's some really interesting bats there,
and like their offense has struggled. And

978
01:07:04.880 --> 01:07:09.519
the Twins, Man, we were
talking about preseason, like the man,

979
01:07:09.599 --> 01:07:12.000
the Twins are, how are they
going to fit all these guys together?

980
01:07:12.039 --> 01:07:15.440
And man, they are off to
like a historically awful start, or at

981
01:07:15.480 --> 01:07:18.159
least they were at the beginning of
the week. Like so it's just you

982
01:07:18.159 --> 01:07:21.079
know, baseball, man, we
think we know what we're talking about.

983
01:07:21.159 --> 01:07:25.480
We don't know. Shit said.
Anything can happen in small bursts, and

984
01:07:25.559 --> 01:07:30.480
sometimes those bursts lead to banked losses. And you're looking up at the tough

985
01:07:31.000 --> 01:07:33.280
rd to home. I mean,
this is true. If the Astros right

986
01:07:33.280 --> 01:07:38.199
now, they're off to a terrible
start and they're still a great team,

987
01:07:38.360 --> 01:07:41.480
a little bit hurt on the pitching
staff side, but man, they're in

988
01:07:41.519 --> 01:07:43.920
a hole. I don't know,
Like I said, I don't watch a

989
01:07:43.960 --> 01:07:46.760
ton of Triple A, but Iowa
is at Buffalo. Man, do you

990
01:07:46.880 --> 01:07:51.559
know that the Bisons have scored just
one less run than those pretty boy Tides,

991
01:07:51.880 --> 01:07:57.320
and that Durham has has scored just
two less runs than those Tides.

992
01:07:57.400 --> 01:08:00.280
And did you know that the Tides
have given up more run than anybody else

993
01:08:00.440 --> 01:08:03.440
in the International League. Yeah,
this is what I said when everyone was

994
01:08:03.519 --> 01:08:08.519
like, should the are the Tides
better than the A's or the White Sox.

995
01:08:08.559 --> 01:08:12.559
It's like, no, like they're
not. I think that stuff is

996
01:08:12.599 --> 01:08:16.119
so silly and people just forget that
the levels of baseball, it is still

997
01:08:16.119 --> 01:08:21.039
a huge jump up Triple A to
the major leagues remains the largest jump,

998
01:08:21.199 --> 01:08:27.520
and it's just not easy. But
I think that that could be a fun

999
01:08:27.800 --> 01:08:30.680
test. I mean, if're
Elvis is still around, I think those

1000
01:08:30.199 --> 01:08:35.000
that's a good staff. That Iowa
has at least leading the International League in

1001
01:08:35.000 --> 01:08:38.880
a lot of pitching categories and stuff
like that, and have some talented guys.

1002
01:08:39.000 --> 01:08:44.880
And then the PCL. I guess
maybe Oklahoma City at Albuquerque. I

1003
01:08:44.880 --> 01:08:46.880
guess Beef has been on a tear
hitting a bunch of home runs, and

1004
01:08:47.079 --> 01:08:51.800
you know Oklahoma's supposed to have like
an MLB caliber rotation, So let's see

1005
01:08:51.800 --> 01:08:57.520
how that goes. Yeah, I
don't know Matt anything on the MLB side

1006
01:08:57.560 --> 01:09:00.319
you wanted to touch on or not. I saw man unfortuate. His first

1007
01:09:00.359 --> 01:09:04.119
taste of the Bigs did not go
as swimmingly as we had hoped. But

1008
01:09:04.399 --> 01:09:08.479
yeah, it didn't. And a
lot of it was the problems that we

1009
01:09:08.520 --> 01:09:12.279
had identified before. He walked a
bunch, you know, had some some

1010
01:09:12.439 --> 01:09:16.800
battered ball misfortune, but mostly it
was his own doing. Wasn't hitting his

1011
01:09:16.840 --> 01:09:21.439
spots, and you know he also
the usage was not quite what we're hoping

1012
01:09:21.439 --> 01:09:28.319
for either, but somewhat predictable,
sort of a long swingman pitching some blowouts

1013
01:09:28.319 --> 01:09:30.800
and mostly did not pitch very well. You know, we'll see. I

1014
01:09:30.840 --> 01:09:34.680
still think there's a picture that can
get some k's in there, and maybe

1015
01:09:34.720 --> 01:09:40.560
he slots back in and the rotation
back in triple A and and lankns back

1016
01:09:40.560 --> 01:09:44.640
out and it keeps working on stuff. But yeah, not his best first

1017
01:09:44.640 --> 01:09:46.680
turn. I mean, hey,
look at I mean, is reed Debtmer's

1018
01:09:46.760 --> 01:09:51.800
arguably like the best picture in majors
right now or one of like it's up

1019
01:09:51.800 --> 01:09:58.039
there that has not been a you
know, straight ascension. But what a

1020
01:09:58.079 --> 01:10:02.760
what a fun little win for anyone
out there who likes value soft tossing lefties.

1021
01:10:02.880 --> 01:10:06.760
Huh, and know he's that like
soft tossing lefty right now. But

1022
01:10:08.039 --> 01:10:10.640
that's why everyone didn't want a piece
of him, Matt, And it turns

1023
01:10:10.680 --> 01:10:15.239
out that it can turn out.
So he's on my dream rotation team,

1024
01:10:15.279 --> 01:10:18.680
not yours. He is. I'm
you're right, you're right. But did

1025
01:10:18.680 --> 01:10:24.960
you see that article on fangraphs about
Debt Meers and his pitch usage this year

1026
01:10:25.039 --> 01:10:29.600
and where he's locating his fastball and
stuff. No, I think I opened

1027
01:10:29.600 --> 01:10:30.840
that one, but I haven't read
it. I enjoyed that, and I

1028
01:10:30.880 --> 01:10:34.000
would totally give credit to the author, but I don't know who it was.

1029
01:10:34.279 --> 01:10:38.000
Off the top of my head,
I don't know. You can follow

1030
01:10:38.079 --> 01:10:42.239
me on Twitter at Pitching Specs.
I've been trying to drop a lot of

1031
01:10:42.279 --> 01:10:45.119
the video that I think we might
talk about on the show during the course

1032
01:10:45.159 --> 01:10:49.119
of the week, and you know, doing crazy stuff like spending three hours

1033
01:10:49.119 --> 01:10:53.640
putting the video together and getting killed
up by my wife and stuff. But

1034
01:10:54.079 --> 01:10:56.840
yeah, I don't know. I
think that'll do it for episode thirty.

1035
01:10:57.000 --> 01:10:58.880
Anything else you want to say,
or should we get out of here?

1036
01:10:59.760 --> 01:11:02.479
Let's get out of here. It's
still April. We'll check back in in

1037
01:11:02.520 --> 01:11:05.439
a week. It's still going to
be April and uh, and then we

1038
01:11:05.479 --> 01:11:10.479
can start talking about what's real and
what's not. In the meantime, you

1039
01:11:10.520 --> 01:11:15.279
guys, don't trade away your studs. Believe in your prospects that you like

1040
01:11:15.359 --> 01:11:18.439
them before, you should still like
them and listen to us, and we'll

1041
01:11:18.439 --> 01:11:21.880
help you find the money names to
pay attention to. At the very least,

1042
01:11:21.880 --> 01:11:27.760
we'll just shed some light on some
people. We'll let Chicago Farmer take

1043
01:11:27.840 --> 01:11:30.880
us out and we'll talk to you
next week. Audios. Miles an hour

1044
01:11:31.399 --> 01:11:39.640
riding to his head, you have
him down first with the lump bonus face,

1045
01:11:40.199 --> 01:11:47.720
and on the very next pitch he
up and stole second face with gretest

1046
01:11:48.119 --> 01:11:57.520
be. He wasn't born. He
had the dirt Yes uniform.

